National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OHIO RIVER FORECAST CENTER WILMINGTON OH 225 PM EDT Sunday March 31 2019 THE FOLLOWING IS THE 30-DAY WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK FOR April ...WATER RESOURCES STREAMFLOW OUTLOOK... The streamflow outlook calls for normal flows for most of the Ohio River Basin with scattered above mean flows in the lower Ohio Valley. ..................................................................... ...HYDROLOGIC FLOOD AND DROUGHT POTENTIAL... Flood outlook is normal which means flooding could occur with water levels having minor impacts. There is no risk for drought. ..................................................................... ...HYDROLOGICAL AND METEOROLOGICAL REVIEW for March... Rainfall was 2 to 3 times above normal for most of the Ohio Valley except in the southeast portion of the basin where precipitation was slightly below normal. Flooding occurred in the Wabash watershed...Whites and Little Wabash basin. http://www.weather.gov/ohrfc/images/dynamic/latest30day.jpeg ...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS... Soils are moist to wet. http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/soilmst/w.shtml ...STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS... Streamflows averaged normal except below normal in the upper Ohio Valley for March. http://watermonitor.gov ..................................................................... ...ATMOSPHERIC TELECONNECTION AND OSCILLATION FORECASTS for April... ARCTIC OSCILLATION negative = dry NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION trending neutral = normal PACIFIC/NORTH AMERICAN TELECONNECTIOn positive = dry Developing el nino = normal to dry http://www.cpc.noaa.gov ..................................................................... Antecedent conditions are supportive of above normal streamflows but teleconnections support dry to near normal rainfall. Therefore...streamflows are forecast to be normal with scattered above normal in lower Ohio Vallet where antecedent conditions are wettest. ....................................................................... VISIT OUR WATER RESOURCES WEBSITE AT http://www.weather.gov/ohrfc/WRO IN ADDITION TO A 30-DAY STREAMFLOW OUTLOOK...YOU CAN ALSO OBTAIN A 60- AND 90-DAY OUTLOOK AT THE WEBSITE $$ wheeler