National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Overview

Scattered thunderstorms rapidly developed across southeast Missouri around 9 PM on August 19th and then continued to expand eastward across our region through the late evening and into the overnight hours. A combination of supercells and bowing line segments occurred. Damaging winds of 60 to 80 mph impacted portions of southeast Missouri, far southern Illinois, and western Kentucky. A more intense area of straight line winds (known as a macroburst) occurred across Carlisle and Graves counties Kentucky where winds of 80 to 105 mph produced significant damage. Right before this unfolded, a brief EF-1 tornado touched down west of Lowes, KY. A few hail reports were observed early on in the event, including a report of 2" diameter hail near Van Buren, MO. Training thunderstorms set up which lead to flash flooding occurring across parts of southeast Missouri and far western Kentucky. 24 hour rainfall totals ranged from 3 to 7" in the heaviest swath.

Tornadoes

Select a tornado from the table to zoom into the track and view more information. The default table view is limited to 8 tracks, but can be scrolled by a mouse wheel or dynamically expanded. Additionally, the table can fill the entire window by clicking the small circular expanding arrow icon at the very top right of the table and returned to its original size by clicking the button again. The side information panel that opens over the map can be closed using the "X" on the upper right corner of the pop-up. Zoom into the map and click damage points to see detailed information and pictures from the surveys.

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EF-Scale

The Enhanced Fujita (EF) Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories:

EF0
Weak

65-85 mph
EF1
Moderate
86-110 mph
EF2
Significant
111-135 mph
EF3
Severe
136-165 mph
EF4
Extreme
166-200 mph
EF5
Catastrophic
200+ mph
ef-scale
Tornadoes that fail to impact any ratable damage indicators on the EF-Scale are rated EF-Unknown (EF-U)

Wind

A large area of exceptionally strong straight line winds touched down across northeast Carlisle County in the Cunningham area and expanded east-southeastward from there across the northern half of Graves County. We determined wind speeds in this area ranged from 80 to 105 mph. The approximate length of this macroburst was nearly 19 miles and the max width was nearly 8 miles. Significant tree damage occurred along with numerous outbuildings that were heavily damaged or destroyed and several homes that suffered some degree of shingle or roof damage.

Radar/Photo
Polygon showing the area where the Macroburst occurred in Carlisle and Graves Counties

 

Rain Reports

A swath of very heavy rainfall with amounts ranging from 3 to 7" was observed across southeast Missouri and far western Kentucky. While the heaviest and most widespread amounts occurred from late evening on the 19th into early morning on the 20th, there was a swath of 1-3" that preceded this across parts of southeast Missouri during the morning of the 19th.

Radar/Photo
Radar estimates for Aug 19-20, 2026

Radar

Here is a radar loop from the event, starting at 9 PM on August 19th and continuing through 6 AM on August 20th.

Radar Image Radar Image
Radar Reflectivity and Velocity from KPAH at 11:47 PM Radar Reflectivity and Velocity from KPAH at 12:10 AM
Radar Image
Radar Reflectivity and Velocity from KPAH at 12:31 AM

Photos

Photo Photo Photo Photo
Bardwell, KY via Larie Chandler Benton KY via Beau Dodson Carlisle County near Bardwell via Josh Glover Cunningham KY via Josh Glover
Photo Photo Photo Photo
Grain bin damaged in Graves County via Beau Dodson Hickory KY area via Josh Kerr Hickory KY via Beau Dodson Mayfield, KY via Nanci Janssen
Photo Photo Photo
NWS Damage Survey Graves County NWS Damage Survey Graves County Pottsville area of Graves County via Loretta Maldaner

Storm Reports

Here is an interactive map of local storm reports from this event.


Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Paducah KY
746 PM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     6 WNW Glenallen         37.33N 90.13W
08/19/2026                   Bollinger          MO   Law Enforcement

            Tree down along Hwy DD near intersection of
            County Road 804.

1019 PM     Hail             1 N Van Buren           37.02N 91.01W
08/19/2026  E2.00 Inch       Carter             MO   Public



1035 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 E Advance             37.11N 89.90W
08/19/2026                   Stoddard           MO   Public

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 1
            E Advance. Power outage reported, though
            timing is in question.

1117 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NW Anna               37.47N 89.26W
08/19/2026                   Union              IL   Utility Company

            Multiple customers without power reported.

1118 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Mound City              37.09N 89.16W
08/19/2026                   Pulaski            IL   Utility Company

            A few separate power outages in Mounds City.

1119 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 S Kelso               37.17N 89.55W
08/19/2026                   Scott              MO   Utility Company

            Numerous customers reporting power outage.

1121 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     0 E Morley              37.04N 89.61W
08/19/2026                   Scott              MO   Utility Company

            Debris in roadway.

1126 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     0 NE Benton             37.10N 89.56W
08/19/2026                   Scott              MO   Utility Company

            Power outages reported.

1145 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Cunningham              36.91N 88.89W
08/19/2026                   Carlisle           KY   Law Enforcement

            Several trees fell on homes in Cunningham
            area. Time estimated.

1147 PM     Tornado          3 ESE Cunningham        36.89N 88.83W
08/19/2026                   Carlisle           KY   NWS Storm Survey

            An EF-1 tornado touched down in Carlisle
            County 3 miles east-southeast of Cunningham
            and was on the ground for 1.5 miles before
            lifting 2 miles west of Lowes in Graves
            County. Peak winds were 100 mph and max
            width was 75 yards.

1149 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Cunningham              36.91N 88.89W
08/19/2026                   Carlisle           KY   NWS Storm Survey

            A macroburst started just northwest of
            Cunningham in Carlisle County and continued
            east-southeast across northern Graves
            County. Widespread winds of 80 to 105 mph
            occurred along the 18.5 mile swath with a
            peak width of nearly 8 miles. The swath of
            intense damage seemed to end a little ways
            east of Hwy 45. Time was between 11:49 PM
            and 12:10 AM.

1150 PM     Tornado          Lowes                   36.89N 88.77W
08/19/2026                   Graves             KY   Public

            Multiple homes damaged in Lowes, KY. Lots of
            trees down over 131 in Graves, 3 mile
            marker. Very likely tornado with TDS.

1154 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Fancy Farm              36.76N 88.79W
08/19/2026                   Graves             KY   Public

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from
            Fancy Farm. Large limbs down.

1200 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SE Lovelaceville      36.93N 88.81W
08/20/2026                   Graves             KY   Utility Company

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 3
            SE Lovelaceville. Numerous power outages
            reported across multiple counties.

1200 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SW Sikeston           36.87N 89.59W
08/20/2026                   Scott              MO   Public

            Limbs down in Sikeston.

1201 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SSE Folsomdale        36.86N 88.67W
08/20/2026                   Graves             KY   Broadcast Media

            Gas station awning knocked over. Outbuilding
            blown onto nearby trucks.

1205 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 S Folsomdale          36.86N 88.66W
08/20/2026                   Graves             KY   Law Enforcement

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 2
            S Folsomdale. Delayed report of trees downed
            and power lines in front of a house.

1205 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Lone Oak                37.04N 88.66W
08/20/2026                   McCracken          KY   Law Enforcement

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from
            Lone Oak. Trees down around Lone Oak.

1207 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 N Mayfield            36.77N 88.64W
08/20/2026  M65 MPH          Graves             KY   Public

            Home weather station peak gust.

1208 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NE Sedalia            36.67N 88.56W
08/20/2026                   Graves             KY   Law Enforcement

            Tree Fell on a truck on Nanny Rd.

1213 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SW Folsomdale         36.88N 88.69W
08/20/2026                   Graves             KY   Public

            Tree fallen on a home. No injuries.

1213 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 E Tanner              36.92N 89.63W
08/20/2026                   Scott              MO   Trained Spotter



1214 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 W Blandville          36.93N 89.00W
08/20/2026                   Ballard            KY   Public

            Tree limbs down and brief power outage.

1219 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Kirksey                 36.68N 88.43W
08/20/2026                   Calloway           KY   Public

            Tree down and power out!.

1230 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Benton                  36.85N 88.36W
08/20/2026                   Marshall           KY   Law Enforcement

            Numerous trees down across the county, some
            of which fell on powerlines. Time estimated.

1230 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 ESE Kirksey           36.66N 88.37W
08/20/2026  M82 MPH          Calloway           KY   AWOS

            Measured at Murray, KY Airport.

1235 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     0 SW Sikeston           36.88N 89.58W
08/20/2026  E60 MPH          Scott              MO   Public

            Several public reports of 60 mph winds.

1245 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 S Dexter              36.69N 88.30W
08/20/2026  M65 MPH          Calloway           KY   Trained Spotter

            Strong winds and numerous power flashes.

1255 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NW Murray             36.62N 88.33W
08/20/2026                   Calloway           KY   Utility Company

            Roof collapse near Murray State Campus.

1257 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Melber                  36.95N 88.73W
08/20/2026                   McCracken          KY   Public



1258 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Lone Oak                37.04N 88.66W
08/20/2026                   McCracken          KY   Law Enforcement

            Trees down around Lone Oak.

0100 AM     Flash Flood      2 SE Bardwell           36.85N 88.99W
08/20/2026                   Carlisle           KY   Emergency Mngr

            Road washed out near KY 1377 southeast of
            Bardwell. Time estimated.

0100 AM     Flash Flood      2 SE Cunningham         36.89N 88.86W
08/20/2026                   Carlisle           KY   Law Enforcement

            4 feet of water over Hwy 307 between Hwy 62
            and 121. Time estimated.

0100 AM     Flash Flood      Sikeston                36.88N 89.58W
08/20/2026                   Scott              MO   Law Enforcement

            Several roads in Sikeston with water over
            them. Time estimated.

0100 AM     Flash Flood      Vanduser                36.99N 89.69W
08/20/2026                   Scott              MO   Public



0104 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NNW Linton            36.70N 87.93W
08/20/2026                   Trigg              KY   Utility Company

            Power outages reported here.

0112 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SW Hickory            36.80N 88.70W
08/20/2026                   Graves             KY   Law Enforcement

            Power lines down covering driveway.

0116 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NE Fancy Farm         36.77N 88.78W
08/20/2026                   Graves             KY   Law Enforcement

            Delayed report of trees down near KY339.

0135 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     6 SSE Gracey            36.81N 87.62W
08/20/2026                   Christian          KY   Utility Company

            Several power outages reported.

0149 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NE Hopkinsville       36.88N 87.44W
08/20/2026                   Christian          KY   Utility Company

            A few power outages reported here.

0223 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 ENE Elkton            36.84N 87.08W
08/20/2026                   Todd               KY   Utility Company

            Several power outages here.

0255 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 E Murray              36.61N 88.30W
08/20/2026  M68 MPH          Calloway           KY   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AX109 MURRAY.

0330 AM     Flash Flood      3 S Hickory             36.78N 88.65W
08/20/2026                   Graves             KY   Law Enforcement

            Water over US 45 just north of Mayfield.

Environment

A mid level wave was moving east across southeast Missouri into southern Illinois during the late evening on the 19th. This was leading to an enhancement of the wind fields with 500mb winds out of the west at 45-55 kts and 700mb winds around 30-35 kts. Meanwhile, a southwesterly low level jet ramped up around 10 PM which resulted in 0-1 km shear increasing to 25 kts. The effective shear of 40-50 kts was unusually strong for August (more on par with what we would expect in the Spring or later in the Fall). We were right on the edge of the instability gradient thanks to cloud cover and showers that remained over our region into the early to mid afternoon on the 19th. By evening though, the airmass had recovered with MLCAPE of 2000-2500 j/kg across the southern half of southeast Missouri and into the Jackson Purchase area of west Kentucky. The combination of unusually strong shear and moderate instability provided an environment for supercells to develop around 9-10 PM and then propagate eastward into the early overnight. Eventually the storms merged into bowing segments as well and the overall coverage of storms continue to increase towards midnight and beyond as the low level jet ramped up. Precipitable water values were quiet high (maxed out around 2.2 to 2.3") which allowed thunderstorms to be very efficient rainfall producers. Training thunderstorms set up across southeast Missouri, extreme southern Illinois, and far west Kentucky which produced flash flooding.

Environment Environment Environment
500mb chart at 10 PM Aug 19 MLCAPE at 12 AM Aug 20 Precipitable Water at 1 AM Aug 20
Environment Environment Environment
0-6 km shear at 12 AM Aug 20 0-1 km shear at 12 AM Aug 20 STP (Significant Tornado Parameter) at 12 AM Aug 20

 


Additional Information

We started messaging the potential for severe weather several days before the event. As the event neared, the area of concern grew a bit more with a slight risk from SPC encompassing much of the region. We issued a timing graphic on the afternoon of the 19th to give a rough idea of when to expect the storms during the evening and overnight. The storms ended up being slightly delayed by about an hour or two compared to initial thinking, but overall it worked out fairly well. While we started messaging the potential for flash flooding over 24 hours before the event, it became even more apparent that flash flooding would become likely as we moved into the evening of the 19th. So a couple hours before the event began we issued a Flash Flood Watch. We also performed two Facebook Live's, one the evening before the event and the other during the following afternoon.

SPC Day 3 Categorical Outlook SPC Day 3 Probabilistic Outlook
Weather story issued over 48 hours in advance of the event Weather Story issued on the afternoon of the 19th
SPC Day 1 Categorical Outlook SPC Day 1 Tornado Outlook
Timing graphic issued during the afternoon of the 19th Flash Flood Watch issued on the evening of the 19th

 


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