Thunderstorms and Heavy Rains Across Portions of the Central and Eastern US; Heat Expands to Portions of the East

Widespread showers and thunderstorms, some severe, may produce heavy downpours and flash flooding across much of the eastern and central U.S. Dangerous heat will continue in the Pacific Northwest and expand across portions of the East. Deep tropical moisture and associated thunderstorms will bring heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding across portions of Florida into the central Gulf Coast. Read More >

COMPUTER MODEL DATA

Q: What is computer model data and how is it used? A: Forecasters use the output from computer models to make their forecasts. Computer models mathematically simulate (or model) the fluid motion of the atmosphere. The output from these models gives the forecaster a picture of how the atmosphere will evolve. For example, models indicate how the jet stream might change strength and location, and how surface fronts and low pressure systems might move and change strength. By integrating the latest satellite, radar, and surface observations with the computer model data, the forecaster can evaluate the computer models and adjust the forecast accordingly . Most computer model data is interpreted by trained meteorologists. For information on how well computer models perform, please visit the WPC (Weather Prediction Center) web page that summarizes computer model strengths and weaknesses.

NEW! BUFKIT data links (see area below model graphic links)

MOS (Model Output Statistics) guidance

CITY	GFS MOS	NAM MOS	GFS 7-day MOS
Cape Girardeau, MO	Cape Girardeau	Cape Girardeau	Cape Girardeau
Poplar Bluff, MO	Poplar Bluff	Poplar Bluff	Poplar Bluff
Carbondale, IL	Carbondale	Carbondale	Carbondale
Mount Vernon, IL	Mount Vernon	Mount Vernon	Mount Vernon
Marion, IL	Marion	Marion	Marion
Cairo, IL	Cairo	Cairo	Cairo
Carmi, IL	Carmi	Carmi	Carmi
Harrisburg, IL	Harrisburg	Harrisburg	Harrisburg
Evansville, IN	Evansville	Evansville	Evansville
Hopkinsville, KY	Hopkinsville	Hopkinsville	Hopkinsville
Paducah, KY	Paducah	Paducah	Paducah
Henderson, KY	Henderson	Henderson	Henderson
Owensboro, KY	Owensboro	Owensboro	Owensboro

More helpful MOS sites:
LAMP MOS Meteograms for KY stations	LAMP MOS meteograms for IL stations
LAMP MOS Meteograms for IN stations	LAMP MOS meteograms for MO stations
LAMP MOS text (by state)	LAMP MOS text (by station)
LAMP MOS station plots	LAMP MOS thunderstorm products
MRF Ensemble MOS	National MOS guidance site

Visit the Meteorological Development Lab (MDL) website to learn more about MOS guidance.

BUFKIT data (courtesy NWS Louisville)
NAM (00z/12z) Evansville	NAM (06z/18z) Evansville
NAM (00z/12z) Hopkinsville	NAM (06z/18z) Hopkinsville
NAM (00z/12z) Paducah	NAM (06z/18z) Paducah
NAM (00z/12z) Cape Girardeau	NAM (06z/18z) Cape Girardeau
GFS Evansville	GFS Paducah
GFS Hopkinsville	GFS Cape Girardeau
RUC Evansville	RUC Paducah
RUC Hopkinsville	RUC Cape Girardeau

NOAA Sources For Weather Analysis:

Surface			Aloft
SPC Mesoanalysis	Weather Prediction Center	Surface Analysis	Upper Air Maps

PAH RSS Feed

Thunderstorms and Heavy Rains Across Portions of the Central and Eastern US; Heat Expands to Portions of the East

Model Data Page