Here are statistics for select climate sites in southeast Wyoming and western Nebraska with long records, based on data from 1951-2025.
We have included the historical probability of a freeze by specific dates. A 50% chance (the median) means half of all years in the record had a freeze before this date, and half after. A 90% chance means in 90% of years, the first freeze occurred on or before this date.
| 36°F | 32°F | 28°F | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% chance by | Sep 7 | Sep 13 | Sep 21 |
| 50% chance by | Sep 20 | Sep 29 | Oct 9 |
| 90% chance by | Oct 2 | Oct 15 | Oct 27 |
| 36°F | 32°F | 28°F | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% chance by | Aug 15 | Aug 31 | Sep 10 |
| 50% chance by | Sep 2 | Sep 13 | Sep 21 |
| 90% chance by | Sep 15 | Sep 23 | Oct 6 |
| 36°F | 32°F | 28°F | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% chance by | Aug 23 | Sep 3 | Sep 12 |
| 50% chance by | Sep 7 | Sep 16 | Sep 25 |
| 90% chance by | Sep 19 | Sep 25 | Oct 12 |
| 36°F | 32°F | 28°F | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% chance by | Sep 2 | Sep 9 | Sep 20 |
| 50% chance by | Sep 16 | Sep 22 | Oct 5 |
| 90% chance by | Sep 26 | Oct 5 | Oct 16 |
| 36°F | 32°F | 28°F | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% chance by | Sep 8 | Sep 17 | Sep 25 |
| 50% chance by | Sep 20 | Sep 30 | Oct 9 |
| 90% chance by | Oct 4 | Oct 13 | Oct 23 |
| 36°F | 32°F | 28°F | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% chance by | Sep 2 | Sep 13 | Sep 19 |
| 50% chance by | Sep 16 | Sep 24 | Oct 5 |
| 90% chance by | Sep 29 | Oct 10 | Oct 24 |
| 36°F | 32°F | 28°F | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% chance by | Sep 4 | Sep 12 | Sep 21 |
| 50% chance by | Sep 18 | Sep 26 | Oct 5 |
| 90% chance by | Sep 30 | Oct 8 | Oct 23 |