Fire Weather Forecast - Watauga County, NC

FNUS51 KRNK 151926
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
226 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...

Key Message:

1) Gusty and dry conditions increase tonight and into Sunday.

2) A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for much of SW and south
   central Virginia and portions of NW North Carolina. 

As the approaching cold front ushers in dry air and gusty winds
on Sunday, fire weather concerns increase across the area. A 
few showers associated with the front will mainly be confined to
SE West Virginia. Little to no rain expected for the Blue Ridge
and east. This front will bring very gusty northwest winds in 
excess of 30 mph, along with a much drier airmass. Temperatures 
Sunday afternoon will also rise into the mid/upper 50s to low 
60s in the mountains, to mid upper 60s east of the 
mountains...RH mins will drop into the 20 percent range. This 
brings a heightened fire weather concern for Sunday, nearly 
areawide. Given this threat, a fire weather watch has been
issued for much of the area on Sunday. 

Although winds will be slightly less on Monday, the area will
still see gusts into the 20 mph range at times. Even lower min 
RH values into the teens will result in continued heightened 
fire awareness through Monday.

NCZ018-160915-
Watauga-
Including the city of Boone
226 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon          

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear        
Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         None         
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            0            0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          46           57           28           50           
Max/Min RH %          100          34           55           27           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 11 G31     NW 19 G41    NW 13 G31    NW  9 G22    
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 18 G38     NW 17 G35    NW 11 G25    NW  7 G17    
Precip Amount         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration       1                                                   
Precip Begin          11 PM                                               
Precip End            6 AM                                                
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3850                      2860         
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 31                     NW 21        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 119350                    60060        
Dispersion            Excellent                 Excellent                 
Max ADI Early         22 Fair      78 Good      19 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good  
Max ADI Late          25 Fair      80 Good      17 Gen Poor  61 Good      
Max LVORI Early       4            4            2            2            
Max LVORI Late        5            1            2            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
South winds around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 50.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 84 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 74 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.