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FNUS51 KRNK 121902
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
202 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...


Key Message:

1) Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again Thursday. 

The combination of wind and low humidity will result in 
good drying conditions. In spite of recent precipitation, leaf 
litter will dry quickly, becoming crunchy and receptive to fire.

Temperatures will trend warmer, and this combined with gusty 
west winds and low humidity will contribute to an increase in 
fire danger across the region, but especially along and east of
the Blue Ridge where temperatures will be the warmest. Wind 
gusts of 15 to 25 mph will be common Thursday. Humidity 
recovery tonight will be relatively poor along the ridgetops. 

Thursday remains a concern, with the peak potential for fire 
concerns during the afternoon when the vapor pressure deficits 
are the highest. Winds are forecast to diminish by Friday, 
lessening the effects of fire spread. However, Friday and into 
the upcoming weekend are expected to be warmer than normal with 
highs in the 60s/70s, favoring good burning conditions.

Little or no measurable rain is expected until next week. There
is a slight chance of showers across the mountains this weekend.

VAZ014-130915-
Montgomery-
Including the city of Blacksburg
202 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri          

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       
Precip Type           None         None         None         None         
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          38           56           30           61           
Max/Min RH %          72           33           86           29           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 10 G23     W  9 G22     W  4         Lgt/Var      
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W  7 G22     NW  9 G20    Lgt/Var      W  4         
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration                                                           
Precip Begin                                                              
Precip End                                                                
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4410                      3780         
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 26                     W 21         
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 114660                    79380        
Dispersion            Good                      Poor                      
Max ADI Early         16 Gen Poor  110 Very Good9 Poor       43 Gen Good  
Max ADI Late          8 Poor       109 Very Good4 Very Poor  87 Good      
Max LVORI Early       3            3            3            4            
Max LVORI Late        3            1            5            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 30 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows around 40.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.