National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

FY20 NGGPS Competition

Research proposals to advance the Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) with the FV3 dynamical core will focus on accelerating coupled model development to improve forecast accuracy. This includes coupling among the weather prediction model components (atmosphere, ocean, land surface and ice system), advancing data assimilation and ensemble techniques, and developing post-processing forecast tools and improving deterministic forecast skill by improving computational efficiency (see details in NOAA-NWS-NWSPO-2020-2006290).

For the NGGPS competition, 3 proposals were awarded with individual award amounts ranging from $100,000 to $200,000 per year for up to two years. Project start date is September 1, 2020. Details of the projects are summarized in the table below.

 

Project Title PI/co-PIs Affiliation
Development of High-Resolution for MOM6 for NGGPS

 

Eric Chassignet
Alan Wallcraft
Alexandra Bozec
Florida State University
Applications of METplus to Subseasonal climate Outlooks, Multi-Model Ensembles, Process Studies, and Extremes Tara Jensen NCAR
Jason Levit NOAA/NWS/EMC
Joseph Sienciewicz NOAA/NWS/OPC
Coalescence Precipitation Forecasts to Improve the National Blend of Models Thomas Nehrkorn Atmospheric and Environmental Research
Tom Hamill NOAA/OAR/ESRL/PSL

 

Presentations

Nehrkorn

Hamill, T., 2021: Status report of the QM development. 2 February 2021.

 

FY20 Weeks 3-4 Competition

Proposals pertaining to the advancement of the Weeks 3-4 Program will contribute to the development of coupled data assimilation approaches; extending the forecast of the UFS from 3 weeks to seasonal timescales; process-based diagnostic tools and seasonal to subseasonal validation/verification metrics for the coupled system; and addressing challenges in subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction that project onto NOAA requirements for weeks 3-4 forecast products (see details in NOAA-NWS-NWSPO-2020-2006290).

 

For the Weeks 3-4 competition, 3 proposals were awarded with individual award amounts ranging from $100,000 to $250,000 per year for up to two years. Project start date is September 1, 2020. Details of the projects are summarized in the table below.

 

Project Title

PI/co-PIs

Affiliation

Linear Inverse Modeling for Coupled Analysis and Forecasting in the UFS

Greg Hakim

University of Washington

Matthew Newman

Steve Penny

NOAA/OAR/ESRL & CIRES

Chris Synder

NCAR

Improving Week 3-4 Weather Prediction through a Global Convection-Allowing Version of the UFS

Jim Kinter

Ben Cash

GMU

Vijay Tallapragada

NOAA/NWS/EMC

A Diagnostic Toolbox for Verification and Validation of Subseasaonal Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling

Eric Ray

CIRES/CU

Judith Perlwitz

NOAA/OAR/ESRL/PSL

Laura Ciasto

NOAA/NWS/CPC

 

Presentations

Ray

Lawrence, Z., 2021: Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling: An overview of concepts and links to recent climate extremes. NCEP/Climate Prediction Center, 26 January 2021.

 

Lawrence, Z., 2021: A Toolbox for Verification & Validation of Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling Processes in Current and Future NOAA S2S Forecast Systems. Weeks 3-4/S2S Webinar Seminar Series, 1 February 2021, https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/weeks-3-4-s2s-webinar-series/past-webinars#zachary-lawrence.

 

FY20 HFIP Competition

Research proposals to advance NGGPS with the FV3 dynamical core will focus on accelerating coupled model development to improve forecast accuracy. This includes coupling among the weather prediction model components (atmosphere, ocean, land surface and ice system), advancing data assimilation and ensemble techniques, and developing post-processing forecast tools and improving deterministic forecast skill by improving computational efficiency (see details in NOAA-NWS-NWSPO-2020-2006290).

 

For the HFIP competition, 3 proposals were awarded with individual award amounts ranging from $100,000 to $200,000 per year for up to two years. Project start date is September 1, 2020. Details of the projects are summarized in the table below.

 

 

Project Title

PI/co-PIs

Affiliation

Extending The Tropical Cyclone Genesis Index To Global Ensemble Forecasts

Alan Brammer

Andrea Schumacher

CIRA/CSU

Dustin Grogan

University at Albany, SUNY

Developing Regional Ocean Modeling Capabilities with MOM6 for use in the UFS

Enrique Curchister

Rutgers

Application of Innovation Statistics to Diagnose Biases in the HAFS System

Ryan Torn

University at Albany, SUNY