National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Sacramento County Decision Support Briefing Page

Note: Images generally update twice a day around 2:30 AM PST and 2:30 PM PST. This website is experimental and not maintained 24/7. Maintained by the National Weather Service Sacramento forecast office.

Current Hazards: Loading active alerts for Sacramento County...

Heat Risk — Day 1

Heat Risk Day 1 graphic

Viewing Heat Risk for Day 1. Click the image or “Open full size” to open the graphic in a separate window.

*Note: HeatRisk Probabilities are experimental and may be unavailable at times.

City Point Forecast

Choose one city or station at a time. The data and calculations are unchanged; this only changes how the table is displayed.

Citrus Heights SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
63-65° 61-66° 59-62° 57-60° 52-56° 54-58° 54-59°
High Temp
Forecast
64° 63° 60° 58° 54° 55° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 11% 0% 5% 32%
Low Temp
Range
44-49° 46-52° 47-53° 40-43° 42-46° 41-46° 36-43°
Low Temp
Forecast
46° 48° 49° 41° 43° 43° 39°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 4% 0% 0% 74% 17% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
12-15 mph 18-23 mph 11-15 mph 12-17 mph 30-39 mph 16-26 mph 11-20 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 20 mph 13 mph 14 mph 33 mph 21 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
11% 100% 95% 11% 95% 58% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 95% 89% 5% 89% 47% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 74% 63% 0% 53% 26% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.1" 1.01-1.51" 0.74-1.59" 0.00-0.1" 0.81-1.57" 0.09-1.37" 0.00-0.09"
Rain
Forecast
0.08" 1.2" 1.18" 0.1" 1.13" 0.66" 0.09"
Elk Grove SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
64-65° 62-66° 59-62° 58-60° 52-56° 54-58° 54-59°
High Temp
Forecast
64° 63° 60° 59° 54° 55° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 11% 5% 16% 32%
Low Temp
Range
42-46° 43-48° 44-49° 38-41° 39-43° 39-43° 35-41°
Low Temp
Forecast
43° 45° 46° 39° 41° 40° 37°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 9% 0% 0% 78% 26% 9%
Wind Gust
Range
12-15 mph 20-24 mph 12-15 mph 13-18 mph 32-41 mph 18-28 mph 12-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 21 mph 14 mph 15 mph 35 mph 23 mph 16 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
11% 95% 89% 11% 95% 58% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 89% 74% 5% 84% 37% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 58% 53% 0% 47% 21% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.06" 0.77-1.42" 0.6-1.6" 0.00-0.1" 0.72-1.51" 0.04-1.22" 0.00-0.08"
Rain
Forecast
0.06" 1.07" 1.03" 0.1" 1.02" 0.58" 0.08"
Florin SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
64-65° 61-66° 60-62° 58-61° 52-56° 54-58° 54-59°
High Temp
Forecast
64° 63° 60° 59° 54° 55° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 11% 26%
Low Temp
Range
43-49° 44-51° 45-51° 40-43° 40-45° 40-44° 37-42°
Low Temp
Forecast
45° 47° 47° 41° 43° 41° 39°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 4% 0% 0% 78% 22% 9%
Wind Gust
Range
11-14 mph 18-23 mph 11-15 mph 13-18 mph 32-40 mph 17-27 mph 12-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 20 mph 13 mph 15 mph 35 mph 22 mph 16 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
11% 95% 89% 11% 95% 53% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 89% 68% 5% 84% 37% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 63% 53% 0% 47% 26% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.05" 0.81-1.37" 0.48-1.38" 0.00-0.11" 0.73-1.53" 0.04-1.22" 0.00-0.08"
Rain
Forecast
0.05" 1.06" 0.96" 0.11" 1.04" 0.58" 0.08"
Folsom SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
62-64° 62-66° 57-60° 56-58° 52-55° 52-56° 53-58°
High Temp
Forecast
63° 63° 58° 56° 53° 54° 55°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 16% 0% 5% 37%
Low Temp
Range
45-48° 47-50° 48-51° 41-44° 43-46° 43-46° 36-43°
Low Temp
Forecast
47° 48° 49° 41° 44° 43° 39°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 13% 0% 0% 74% 17% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
12-15 mph 20-25 mph 11-15 mph 12-17 mph 31-41 mph 16-29 mph 11-19 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 22 mph 13 mph 15 mph 35 mph 22 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
37% 100% 100% 11% 100% 68% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
11% 100% 95% 0% 95% 53% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 74% 74% 0% 58% 32% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.34" 1.18-1.77" 1.12-2.04" 0.00-0.08" 0.93-1.74" 0.18-1.57" 0.00-0.11"
Rain
Forecast
0.18" 1.4" 1.42" 0.08" 1.24" 0.8" 0.11"
Galt SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
64-66° 63-67° 60-63° 59-61° 52-56° 54-59° 54-60°
High Temp
Forecast
65° 65° 61° 59° 54° 56° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 16% 5% 11% 32%
Low Temp
Range
42-46° 43-49° 45-49° 39-42° 40-43° 39-44° 35-41°
Low Temp
Forecast
44° 45° 46° 39° 41° 41° 37°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 4% 0% 0% 78% 22% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
11-15 mph 19-23 mph 13-16 mph 14-17 mph 30-38 mph 18-27 mph 12-19 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 21 mph 14 mph 16 mph 33 mph 22 mph 16 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
16% 100% 95% 11% 95% 58% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
11% 89% 79% 5% 84% 42% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 58% 58% 0% 47% 26% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.17" 0.71-1.64" 0.68-1.8" 0.00-0.08" 0.72-1.53" 0.04-1.31" 0.00-0.09"
Rain
Forecast
0.13" 1.11" 1.11" 0.08" 1.05" 0.61" 0.09"
Isleton SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
64-66° 62-67° 61-63° 59-62° 53-57° 55-59° 55-60°
High Temp
Forecast
65° 64° 61° 60° 55° 56° 57°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 16% 0% 16% 37%
Low Temp
Range
41-46° 43-49° 44-49° 39-41° 39-43° 38-42° 34-41°
Low Temp
Forecast
43° 45° 46° 39° 41° 40° 37°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 9% 0% 4% 78% 17% 9%
Wind Gust
Range
10-15 mph 18-23 mph 14-19 mph 14-18 mph 30-38 mph 18-27 mph 13-23 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
12 mph 20 mph 16 mph 16 mph 33 mph 22 mph 17 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
11% 95% 84% 11% 89% 53% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
5% 74% 63% 11% 79% 32% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 32% 32% 0% 42% 16% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.1" 0.55-1.19" 0.4-1.07" 0.00-0.11" 0.61-1.3" 0.00-0.95" 0.00-0.06"
Rain
Forecast
0.1" 0.8" 0.71" 0.11" 0.91" 0.47" 0.06"
Rancho Cordova SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
64-65° 62-66° 59-62° 58-60° 53-56° 54-58° 55-59°
High Temp
Forecast
64° 63° 60° 58° 54° 56° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 11% 0% 5% 32%
Low Temp
Range
44-49° 45-51° 46-52° 40-43° 41-45° 41-45° 36-42°
Low Temp
Forecast
46° 48° 48° 41° 43° 42° 39°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 4% 0% 0% 78% 17% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
12-15 mph 19-23 mph 11-14 mph 12-17 mph 31-39 mph 16-26 mph 11-20 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 21 mph 12 mph 14 mph 34 mph 21 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
11% 100% 95% 11% 95% 63% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 95% 89% 5% 89% 47% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 68% 63% 0% 47% 26% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.17" 0.96-1.48" 0.72-1.63" 0.00-0.14" 0.79-1.51" 0.07-1.34" 0.00-0.09"
Rain
Forecast
0.07" 1.18" 1.15" 0.1" 1.09" 0.65" 0.09"
Rancho Murieta SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
63-64° 63-66° 58-60° 56-58° 52-55° 53-56° 53-58°
High Temp
Forecast
63° 64° 58° 57° 54° 54° 55°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 21% 5% 11% 42%
Low Temp
Range
43-47° 45-49° 46-50° 38-42° 40-44° 40-45° 34-41°
Low Temp
Forecast
45° 46° 48° 39° 42° 41° 37°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 26% 0% 0% 78% 26% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
12-14 mph 21-26 mph 12-15 mph 13-17 mph 32-43 mph 17-30 mph 11-19 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 23 mph 14 mph 15 mph 36 mph 23 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
26% 100% 100% 11% 95% 68% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
5% 95% 95% 0% 95% 58% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 68% 74% 0% 53% 32% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.29" 0.97-1.61" 1.08-1.96" 0.00-0.06" 0.85-1.62" 0.15-1.52" 0.00-0.11"
Rain
Forecast
0.14" 1.26" 1.34" 0.06" 1.15" 0.77" 0.11"
Rio Linda SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
63-65° 60-65° 60-62° 58-61° 52-56° 54-58° 54-60°
High Temp
Forecast
64° 62° 60° 59° 54° 56° 57°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 11% 32%
Low Temp
Range
43-48° 44-50° 45-50° 39-42° 41-45° 40-44° 35-42°
Low Temp
Forecast
45° 46° 47° 40° 42° 41° 38°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 9% 0% 0% 78% 17% 9%
Wind Gust
Range
13-16 mph 19-23 mph 11-15 mph 13-19 mph 30-39 mph 16-27 mph 11-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
14 mph 21 mph 13 mph 15 mph 34 mph 21 mph 16 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 100% 89% 16% 95% 53% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 95% 68% 5% 84% 37% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 47% 47% 0% 47% 26% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.03" 0.77-1.51" 0.43-1.42" 0.00-0.12" 0.73-1.62" 0.05-1.28" 0.00-0.08"
Rain
Forecast
0.03" 1.04" 0.9" 0.12" 1.08" 0.58" 0.08"
Sac Exec SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
63-65° 60-65° 60-62° 58-61° 52-56° 54-58° 54-59°
High Temp
Forecast
64° 62° 60° 59° 54° 56° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 16% 11% 21% 47%
Low Temp
Range
41-47° 43-50° 43-50° 38-41° 39-44° 37-43° 35-40°
Low Temp
Forecast
44° 46° 46° 40° 41° 40° 37°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 13% 0% 9% 83% 26% 13%
Wind Gust
Range
11-14 mph 19-25 mph 11-15 mph 13-20 mph 34-43 mph 18-28 mph 13-24 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 21 mph 13 mph 16 mph 38 mph 23 mph 17 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 95% 84% 16% 95% 53% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 89% 68% 11% 84% 37% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 58% 47% 0% 47% 26% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.03" 0.75-1.37" 0.4-1.33" 0.00-0.12" 0.68-1.56" 0.02-1.23" 0.00-0.08"
Rain
Forecast
0.03" 1.01" 0.87" 0.12" 1.06" 0.56" 0.08"
Sac Intl SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
62-64° 57-63° 58-61° 57-60° 51-55° 53-57° 54-59°
High Temp
Forecast
63° 59° 59° 58° 53° 54° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 11% 26%
Low Temp
Range
43-48° 44-50° 44-50° 39-42° 40-45° 39-43° 38-42°
Low Temp
Forecast
45° 46° 46° 41° 42° 41° 38°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 13% 0% 4% 78% 22% 9%
Wind Gust
Range
12-15 mph 19-24 mph 11-14 mph 13-20 mph 32-40 mph 17-28 mph 12-24 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 21 mph 12 mph 16 mph 35 mph 22 mph 17 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 100% 79% 16% 95% 47% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 89% 58% 11% 79% 32% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 42% 42% 0% 47% 21% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.02" 0.72-1.29" 0.37-1.21" 0.00-0.13" 0.65-1.56" 0.01-1.16" 0.00-0.06"
Rain
Forecast
0.02" 0.93" 0.76" 0.13" 1.03" 0.5" 0.06"
Sacramento SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
63-65° 60-65° 60-62° 58-61° 52-56° 54-58° 54-59°
High Temp
Forecast
64° 62° 60° 59° 54° 56° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 11% 26%
Low Temp
Range
43-49° 45-52° 45-52° 39-43° 40-45° 40-44° 37-42°
Low Temp
Forecast
45° 48° 48° 41° 43° 42° 39°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 4% 0% 0% 78% 17% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
11-14 mph 18-23 mph 11-14 mph 12-17 mph 31-39 mph 16-26 mph 12-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 20 mph 12 mph 15 mph 34 mph 21 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
11% 100% 89% 11% 95% 58% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 89% 68% 5% 84% 37% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 63% 53% 0% 47% 26% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.04" 0.86-1.4" 0.44-1.38" 0.00-0.11" 0.73-1.55" 0.03-1.28" 0.00-0.08"
Rain
Forecast
0.04" 1.07" 0.95" 0.11" 1.07" 0.59" 0.08"
Walnut Grove SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
64-66° 62-67° 61-63° 59-62° 53-57° 55-59° 55-60°
High Temp
Forecast
65° 64° 61° 60° 55° 56° 57°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 16% 0% 16% 37%
Low Temp
Range
41-46° 43-49° 44-49° 39-41° 39-43° 38-42° 34-41°
Low Temp
Forecast
43° 45° 46° 39° 41° 40° 37°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 9% 0% 4% 78% 17% 9%
Wind Gust
Range
10-15 mph 18-23 mph 14-19 mph 14-18 mph 30-38 mph 18-27 mph 13-23 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
12 mph 20 mph 16 mph 16 mph 33 mph 22 mph 17 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
11% 95% 84% 11% 89% 53% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
5% 74% 63% 11% 79% 32% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 32% 32% 0% 42% 16% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.1" 0.55-1.19" 0.4-1.07" 0.00-0.11" 0.61-1.3" 0.00-0.95" 0.00-0.06"
Rain
Forecast
0.1" 0.8" 0.71" 0.11" 0.91" 0.47" 0.06"
Wilton SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17 WednesdayNov. 18 ThursdayNov. 19 FridayNov. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
63-65° 63-67° 59-61° 57-59° 52-55° 53-57° 54-59°
High Temp
Forecast
64° 64° 60° 58° 54° 55° 55°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 21% 5% 16% 42%
Low Temp
Range
42-46° 43-48° 45-50° 38-41° 39-44° 39-43° 33-40°
Low Temp
Forecast
43° 45° 46° 39° 41° 40° 36°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 13% 0% 0% 78% 26% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
12-15 mph 21-25 mph 13-15 mph 13-18 mph 30-40 mph 18-28 mph 12-20 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 22 mph 14 mph 15 mph 35 mph 23 mph 16 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
16% 100% 95% 11% 95% 63% 5%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
5% 95% 89% 0% 89% 42% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 63% 63% 0% 47% 26% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.2" 0.86-1.5" 0.86-1.83" 0.00-0.07" 0.74-1.52" 0.09-1.39" 0.00-0.09"
Rain
Forecast
0.11" 1.16" 1.19" 0.07" 1.07" 0.66" 0.09"

Legend

HeatRisk

Low Minor Moderate Major Extreme

High Temperature

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Low Temperature / Cold

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Snow

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Wind

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Rain

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Updated: 11/14 02:34 AM

Source: NBM (11/14/2026 01z)

Sacramento County Point Summaries

Loading live point data across all Sacramento County locations...

User Defined Threshold Probabilities

Calculates real-time exceedance probability (%) across all NBM distribution curves using your custom thresholds.

Loading interactive probability matrix...

Emergency Management Threshold Highlights

High Temp ≥ °F
Low Temp ≤ °F
Wind Gust ≥ mph
24-Hr Rain ≥ in
6-Hr Rain ≥ in