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Sacramento County Decision Support Briefing Page

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Heat Risk — Day 1

Heat Risk Day 1 graphic

Viewing Heat Risk for Day 1. Click the image or “Open full size” to open the graphic in a separate window.

*Note: HeatRisk Probabilities are experimental and may be unavailable at times.

City Point Forecast

Choose one city or station at a time. The data and calculations are unchanged; this only changes how the table is displayed.

Citrus Heights SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Major Moderate Major Major Major Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
99% 88% 96% 98% 100% 93% 36%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
61% 38% 63% 73% 66% 38% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% 10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
99-101° 94-100° 98-102° 100-102° 99-102° 97-100° 86-98°
High Temp
Forecast
99° 96° 99° 100° 100° 97° 90°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
64-67° 65-69° 64-69° 67-71° 66-72° 66-71° 63-68°
Low Temp
Forecast
65° 66° 66° 68° 68° 67° 65°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
9-12 mph 9-11 mph 9-12 mph 11-13 mph 10-13 mph 11-14 mph 12-19 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 10 mph 10 mph 12 mph 11 mph 12 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Elk Grove SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
98% 76% 96% 98% 97% 79% 24%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
42% 19% 32% 45% 39% 20% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
97-99° 92-99° 97-101° 98-101° 98-100° 95-99° 85-96°
High Temp
Forecast
98° 94° 98° 99° 99° 96° 88°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
57-62° 59-68° 57-67° 60-67° 60-69° 60-68° 57-66°
Low Temp
Forecast
59° 63° 62° 63° 64° 63° 60°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
11-13 mph 11-13 mph 11-14 mph 13-16 mph 13-16 mph 13-19 mph 15-22 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
12 mph 12 mph 13 mph 14 mph 14 mph 16 mph 18 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Florin SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
98% 76% 95% 98% 98% 89% 28%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
44% 32% 45% 54% 50% 28% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
98-100° 92-99° 97-101° 99-102° 98-101° 95-100° 85-96°
High Temp
Forecast
98° 95° 98° 99° 99° 96° 88°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
61-66° 63-72° 61-71° 64-71° 63-73° 63-71° 61-69°
Low Temp
Forecast
63° 67° 65° 67° 68° 66° 64°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
10-12 mph 10-12 mph 10-13 mph 12-14 mph 11-15 mph 12-17 mph 15-22 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 11 mph 11 mph 13 mph 13 mph 15 mph 18 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Folsom SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
99% 91% 97% 98% 100% 92% 35%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
61% 35% 69% 75% 55% 32% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
99-100° 94-100° 98-101° 99-101° 98-101° 96-100° 86-97°
High Temp
Forecast
99° 96° 99° 99° 99° 96° 90°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
63-66° 64-67° 64-68° 66-67° 66-68° 64-68° 62-66°
Low Temp
Forecast
64° 65° 66° 66° 66° 66° 64°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
11-14 mph 10-12 mph 11-13 mph 12-15 mph 12-14 mph 12-15 mph 13-18 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
12 mph 11 mph 12 mph 13 mph 13 mph 13 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Galt SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
98% 78% 96% 98% 98% 79% 27%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
36% 18% 26% 39% 28% 17% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
97-99° 92-99° 97-100° 98-101° 98-100° 95-99° 85-95°
High Temp
Forecast
98° 95° 98° 99° 98° 96° 89°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
58-63° 61-68° 58-68° 61-68° 61-69° 61-68° 59-66°
Low Temp
Forecast
60° 63° 62° 63° 64° 63° 61°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
12-14 mph 12-13 mph 12-15 mph 14-17 mph 14-18 mph 14-19 mph 16-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 13 mph 14 mph 15 mph 16 mph 17 mph 18 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Isleton SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
97-100° 92-99° 97-101° 98-101° 97-100° 94-99° 83-94°
High Temp
Forecast
98° 95° 98° 99° 98° 95° 87°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
57-62° 60-69° 57-69° 60-68° 60-70° 60-69° 57-67°
Low Temp
Forecast
59° 64° 63° 64° 65° 63° 61°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 26%
Wind Gust
Range
14-14 mph 14-16 mph 14-18 mph 15-20 mph 16-21 mph 17-23 mph 19-26 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
14 mph 15 mph 16 mph 17 mph 18 mph 19 mph 22 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Rancho Cordova SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
99% 84% 96% 98% 100% 91% 33%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
47% 34% 53% 61% 55% 28% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
99-101° 94-100° 98-102° 100-102° 99-102° 96-100° 86-98°
High Temp
Forecast
99° 96° 99° 100° 100° 97° 90°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
63-66° 64-70° 63-70° 65-71° 65-72° 65-70° 62-66°
Low Temp
Forecast
64° 66° 66° 67° 68° 66° 64°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
9-12 mph 9-11 mph 9-12 mph 11-13 mph 10-13 mph 11-15 mph 13-19 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 10 mph 11 mph 12 mph 11 mph 13 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Rancho Murieta SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
99% 87% 96% 99% 100% 87% 32%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
19% 24% 27% 32% 27% 11% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
99-101° 95-100° 98-102° 99-102° 99-101° 96-100° 86-97°
High Temp
Forecast
99° 97° 99° 100° 99° 97° 90°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
62-65° 63-68° 63-68° 64-67° 65-68° 64-68° 61-65°
Low Temp
Forecast
63° 64° 64° 65° 65° 64° 63°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
12-15 mph 10-12 mph 11-15 mph 13-16 mph 13-15 mph 13-16 mph 14-18 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 11 mph 13 mph 15 mph 14 mph 14 mph 16 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Rio Linda SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
98% 76% 95% 98% 99% 86% 28%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
30% 12% 36% 52% 44% 16% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
97-100° 93-99° 97-101° 99-102° 98-101° 95-99° 85-97°
High Temp
Forecast
98° 94° 98° 99° 99° 96° 89°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
59-64° 61-68° 59-65° 62-68° 62-70° 61-68° 59-64°
Low Temp
Forecast
61° 63° 62° 64° 65° 64° 62°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 9-11 mph 9-11 mph 10-13 mph 9-13 mph 11-15 mph 13-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
10 mph 10 mph 10 mph 11 mph 11 mph 13 mph 17 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Sac Exec SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
98% 81% 95% 98% 99% 87% 29%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
47% 33% 46% 59% 52% 30% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% 10% 11% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
97-100° 93-99° 97-101° 99-102° 99-101° 95-100° 85-96°
High Temp
Forecast
98° 95° 98° 100° 99° 96° 88°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
59-65° 61-71° 59-70° 62-70° 62-73° 61-70° 60-68°
Low Temp
Forecast
62° 66° 64° 66° 67° 65° 63°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 17%
Wind Gust
Range
10-11 mph 10-12 mph 10-13 mph 11-14 mph 11-15 mph 12-19 mph 16-25 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 11 mph 11 mph 13 mph 13 mph 15 mph 20 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Sac Intl SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
98% 67% 93% 98% 95% 72% 22%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
23% <10% 30% 44% 35% 10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
96-99° 91-98° 97-100° 98-101° 97-100° 94-99° 84-96°
High Temp
Forecast
97° 93° 97° 99° 98° 95° 88°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
58-63° 60-68° 58-63° 61-68° 61-70° 60-67° 58-63°
Low Temp
Forecast
60° 63° 61° 64° 65° 63° 60°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 9-12 mph 9-11 mph 10-13 mph 10-13 mph 11-16 mph 14-22 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
10 mph 10 mph 10 mph 11 mph 11 mph 14 mph 18 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Sacramento SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
98% 78% 95% 98% 99% 89% 29%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
46% 33% 45% 56% 50% 30% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
98-100° 93-99° 97-101° 99-102° 99-101° 95-100° 85-97°
High Temp
Forecast
98° 95° 98° 100° 99° 96° 89°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
61-66° 63-72° 61-71° 64-72° 64-74° 63-72° 61-67°
Low Temp
Forecast
63° 67° 66° 67° 68° 66° 64°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 9-11 mph 9-11 mph 11-13 mph 10-14 mph 11-16 mph 14-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
10 mph 10 mph 10 mph 12 mph 11 mph 13 mph 17 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Walnut Grove SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
98% 83% 96% 98% 99% 77% 24%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
48% 26% 39% 54% 45% 26% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
97-100° 92-99° 97-101° 98-101° 97-100° 94-99° 83-94°
High Temp
Forecast
98° 95° 98° 99° 98° 95° 87°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
57-62° 60-69° 57-69° 60-68° 60-70° 60-69° 57-67°
Low Temp
Forecast
59° 64° 63° 64° 65° 63° 61°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 26%
Wind Gust
Range
14-14 mph 14-16 mph 14-18 mph 15-20 mph 16-21 mph 17-23 mph 19-26 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
14 mph 15 mph 16 mph 17 mph 18 mph 19 mph 22 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Wilton SaturdayOct. 03 SundayOct. 04 MondayOct. 05 TuesdayOct. 06 WednesdayOct. 07 ThursdayOct. 08 FridayOct. 09
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
98% 76% 96% 98% 98% 79% 27%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
26% 15% 24% 39% 29% 10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
98-100° 93-99° 97-101° 99-101° 98-101° 95-99° 86-97°
High Temp
Forecast
98° 95° 98° 99° 99° 96° 89°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
60-64° 62-68° 60-68° 63-68° 63-69° 62-68° 59-64°
Low Temp
Forecast
61° 63° 63° 64° 65° 64° 61°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
12-15 mph 11-13 mph 11-14 mph 13-16 mph 13-16 mph 13-17 mph 15-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 12 mph 13 mph 15 mph 14 mph 15 mph 17 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"

Legend

HeatRisk

Low Minor Moderate Major Extreme

High Temperature

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Low Temperature / Cold

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Snow

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Wind

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Rain

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Updated: 10/03 03:34 AM

Source: NBM (10/03/2026 01z)

Sacramento County Point Summaries

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User Defined Threshold Probabilities

Calculates real-time exceedance probability (%) across all NBM distribution curves using your custom thresholds.

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Emergency Management Threshold Highlights

High Temp ≥ °F
Low Temp ≤ °F
Wind Gust ≥ mph
24-Hr Rain ≥ in
6-Hr Rain ≥ in