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Sacramento County Decision Support Briefing Page

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Heat Risk — Day 1

Heat Risk Day 1 graphic

Viewing Heat Risk for Day 1. Click the image or “Open full size” to open the graphic in a separate window.

*Note: HeatRisk Probabilities are experimental and may be unavailable at times.

City Point Forecast

Choose one city or station at a time. The data and calculations are unchanged; this only changes how the table is displayed.

Citrus Heights WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% 23% 28% 18%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
70-75° 66-72° 72-74° 72-75° 74-77° 72-77° 71-78°
High Temp
Forecast
72° 68° 73° 73° 75° 74° 74°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
54-57° 52-59° 51-57° 48-51° 48-51° 48-52° 47-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
55° 55° 53° 48° 49° 49° 48°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
13-19 mph 13-15 mph 15-19 mph 10-13 mph 10-12 mph 9-14 mph 9-12 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
15 mph 14 mph 17 mph 11 mph 11 mph 11 mph 11 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
42% 37% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
26% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
16% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.03-0.79" 0.00-0.47" 0.00-0.02" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.36" 0.27" 0.02" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Elk Grove WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% 31% 35% 23%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
69-74° 66-72° 72-74° 72-75° 74-77° 72-77° 70-78°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 69° 72° 73° 75° 74° 73°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Range
49-52° 47-55° 46-53° 44-47° 43-47° 44-48° 41-48°
Low Temp
Forecast
51° 50° 48° 44° 44° 45° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
14-20 mph 14-18 mph 16-22 mph 10-14 mph 10-13 mph 10-17 mph 10-15 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
17 mph 15 mph 19 mph 12 mph 11 mph 13 mph 12 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
32% 32% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
21% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.62" 0.00-0.47" 0.00-0.02" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.31" 0.24" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Florin WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% 20% 26% 18%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
69-74° 66-72° 72-75° 72-75° 73-76° 72-77° 71-78°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 68° 73° 73° 74° 74° 73°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
53-56° 51-59° 50-56° 48-51° 48-51° 48-52° 46-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
54° 54° 52° 48° 48° 49° 48°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
13-19 mph 13-17 mph 16-21 mph 10-14 mph 9-13 mph 9-15 mph 9-13 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
16 mph 15 mph 18 mph 12 mph 11 mph 12 mph 11 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
37% 37% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
21% 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
11% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.01-0.62" 0.02-0.52" 0.00-0.02" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.31" 0.27" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Folsom WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% 18% 25% 16%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
70-74° 65-71° 71-73° 71-74° 74-77° 72-77° 71-77°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 67° 71° 73° 75° 74° 73°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
53-55° 50-56° 49-54° 45-48° 45-49° 46-51° 45-50°
Low Temp
Forecast
54° 52° 50° 46° 47° 48° 47°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
14-19 mph 13-16 mph 16-20 mph 10-13 mph 11-13 mph 11-14 mph 10-13 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
16 mph 14 mph 18 mph 12 mph 12 mph 12 mph 11 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
47% 37% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
32% 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
11% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.06-0.83" 0.02-0.55" 0.00-0.09" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.37" 0.31" 0.05" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Galt WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% 31% 33% 20%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
69-74° 66-73° 72-75° 72-75° 74-78° 73-78° 71-78°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 69° 73° 73° 75° 74° 74°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Range
50-52° 48-55° 46-52° 44-47° 43-48° 43-49° 42-49°
Low Temp
Forecast
51° 50° 48° 45° 45° 45° 45°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
14-20 mph 14-18 mph 16-21 mph 11-14 mph 10-13 mph 10-16 mph 10-15 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
17 mph 16 mph 18 mph 12 mph 11 mph 13 mph 12 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
32% 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
21% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
11% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.67" 0.00-0.47" 0.00-0.01" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.3" 0.24" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Isleton WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
70-74° 67-73° 72-76° 72-75° 74-78° 72-78° 71-78°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 69° 73° 73° 75° 74° 74°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Range
49-52° 47-55° 45-51° 44-47° 43-47° 43-49° 41-49°
Low Temp
Forecast
50° 50° 48° 44° 44° 45° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
4% 0% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
14-22 mph 15-20 mph 16-23 mph 11-15 mph 10-15 mph 10-19 mph 10-16 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
17 mph 17 mph 19 mph 13 mph 13 mph 14 mph 13 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
32% 37% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
21% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.58" 0.00-0.47" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.25" 0.2" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Rancho Cordova WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% 23% 28% 18%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
70-75° 67-72° 72-75° 72-75° 74-77° 73-77° 72-78°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 69° 73° 73° 75° 74° 74°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
54-57° 52-59° 51-57° 48-51° 48-51° 48-52° 47-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
55° 54° 53° 48° 49° 49° 48°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
13-18 mph 12-16 mph 15-19 mph 9-12 mph 9-12 mph 9-14 mph 9-12 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
15 mph 14 mph 17 mph 11 mph 11 mph 11 mph 11 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
37% 37% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
21% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
16% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.75" 0.00-0.45" 0.00-0.02" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.31" 0.28" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Rancho Murieta WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% 11% 47% 45% 27%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
70-74° 66-72° 71-74° 72-75° 74-77° 73-78° 72-78°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 68° 72° 73° 75° 74° 74°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
52-55° 50-56° 48-54° 45-48° 45-49° 46-50° 44-50°
Low Temp
Forecast
53° 52° 50° 46° 47° 47° 46°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
14-19 mph 13-16 mph 17-21 mph 11-13 mph 10-13 mph 11-14 mph 11-13 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
16 mph 14 mph 19 mph 12 mph 12 mph 13 mph 12 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
37% 42% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
26% 26% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
16% 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.02-0.88" 0.04-0.69" 0.00-0.1" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.36" 0.33" 0.03" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Rio Linda WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% 17% 25% 16%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
69-74° 66-72° 72-75° 71-75° 73-76° 72-77° 71-77°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 68° 73° 73° 74° 74° 73°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 5% 5%
Low Temp
Range
49-54° 47-57° 46-54° 44-46° 43-46° 43-48° 42-47°
Low Temp
Forecast
51° 51° 49° 44° 44° 45° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
14-19 mph 13-17 mph 16-22 mph 10-15 mph 9-13 mph 9-14 mph 9-13 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
16 mph 14 mph 18 mph 13 mph 11 mph 12 mph 11 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
37% 32% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
26% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.73" 0.00-0.45" 0.00-0.03" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.32" 0.24" 0.01" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Sac Exec WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% 10% <10% 27% 34% 21%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
70-75° 67-73° 72-75° 72-75° 73-77° 72-77° 71-78°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 69° 73° 73° 74° 74° 73°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
51-54° 48-57° 47-54° 46-48° 45-48° 45-50° 43-50°
Low Temp
Forecast
52° 52° 50° 46° 46° 47° 45°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 9% 4% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
14-20 mph 14-19 mph 17-23 mph 10-16 mph 9-14 mph 9-17 mph 9-15 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
17 mph 16 mph 19 mph 13 mph 11 mph 12 mph 12 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
37% 42% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
21% 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
11% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.03-0.5" 0.06-0.56" 0.00-0.02" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.3" 0.28" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Sac Intl WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% 12% 13%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
69-74° 66-72° 72-74° 71-74° 73-76° 71-77° 70-77°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 68° 73° 72° 74° 73° 73°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 5% 11%
Low Temp
Range
50-54° 47-56° 46-53° 44-47° 44-46° 43-48° 42-48°
Low Temp
Forecast
51° 50° 48° 45° 44° 45° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 9% 4% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
13-20 mph 12-17 mph 17-23 mph 11-18 mph 10-13 mph 9-15 mph 10-15 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
16 mph 15 mph 19 mph 14 mph 11 mph 12 mph 12 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
37% 32% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
21% 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.56" 0.00-0.4" 0.00-0.02" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.25" 0.19" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Sacramento WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% 16% 25% 17%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
69-74° 66-72° 72-75° 71-75° 73-76° 72-77° 71-77°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 68° 73° 73° 74° 74° 73°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
54-57° 51-60° 50-57° 48-51° 48-51° 48-52° 47-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
55° 54° 53° 49° 49° 50° 48°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
13-19 mph 13-17 mph 15-21 mph 9-13 mph 9-12 mph 8-15 mph 9-13 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
15 mph 14 mph 18 mph 12 mph 10 mph 11 mph 11 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
42% 37% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
26% 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.02-0.66" 0.04-0.51" 0.00-0.02" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.34" 0.27" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Walnut Grove WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% 22% <10% 45% 39% 29%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
70-74° 67-73° 72-76° 72-75° 74-78° 72-78° 71-78°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 69° 73° 73° 75° 74° 74°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Range
49-52° 47-55° 45-51° 44-47° 43-47° 43-49° 41-49°
Low Temp
Forecast
50° 50° 48° 44° 44° 45° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
4% 0% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
14-22 mph 15-20 mph 16-23 mph 11-15 mph 10-15 mph 10-19 mph 10-16 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
17 mph 17 mph 19 mph 13 mph 13 mph 14 mph 13 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
32% 37% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
21% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.58" 0.00-0.47" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.25" 0.2" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Wilton WednesdayOct. 21 ThursdayOct. 22 FridayOct. 23 SaturdayOct. 24 SundayOct. 25 MondayOct. 26 TuesdayOct. 27
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% 38% 40% 23%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
69-74° 66-72° 71-74° 72-75° 74-77° 72-77° 71-77°
High Temp
Forecast
71° 68° 72° 73° 75° 74° 73°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
50-53° 48-55° 47-53° 44-48° 43-48° 44-49° 43-48°
Low Temp
Forecast
51° 51° 49° 45° 45° 45° 45°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
14-19 mph 14-17 mph 16-20 mph 11-13 mph 10-13 mph 11-16 mph 11-14 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
16 mph 15 mph 18 mph 12 mph 11 mph 13 mph 13 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
37% 32% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
21% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00-0.68" 0.00-0.48" 0.00-0.03" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.31" 0.24" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"

Legend

HeatRisk

Low Minor Moderate Major Extreme

High Temperature

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Low Temperature / Cold

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Snow

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Wind

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Rain

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Updated: 10/21 03:34 AM

Source: NBM (10/21/2026 01z)

Sacramento County Point Summaries

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User Defined Threshold Probabilities

Calculates real-time exceedance probability (%) across all NBM distribution curves using your custom thresholds.

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Emergency Management Threshold Highlights

High Temp ≥ °F
Low Temp ≤ °F
Wind Gust ≥ mph
24-Hr Rain ≥ in
6-Hr Rain ≥ in