National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Flash Flooding Risk Continues in Texas; Wildfire Smoke Impacts in the East

Widespread, life-threatening considerable flash flooding is expected in south-central Texas through at least Friday. Catastrophic river flooding and rapid rises on small streams, arroyos, and typically dry washes are expected in the Texas Hill Country. Wildfire smoke is impacting air quality across much of the Great Lakes region into the Northeast U.S. with Air Quality Alerts in effect. Read More >

Sacramento County Decision Support Graphics

Quick access to heat, cold, precipitation, and wind graphics for emergency management partners.

Select a hazard on the left, then choose Day 1 through Day 7. Use “Open full size” for briefings or sharing.

Note: Images generally update twice a day around 2:30 AM PST and 2:30 PM PST. This page is not an official product, and graphics may not always update. Maintained by the National Weather Service Sacramento, California forecast office.

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Heat
Cold
Precipitation
Wind

Heat Risk — Day 1

Heat Risk Day 1 graphic

Viewing Heat Risk for Day 1. Click the image or “Open full size” to open the graphic in a separate window.

*Note: HeatRisk Probabilities are experimental and may be unavailable at times.

Watch/Warning/Advisory Products

No Products in Effect For Sacramento County

As of: 07/15 03:35 PM

City Point Forecast

Choose one city or station at a time. The data and calculations are unchanged; this only changes how the table is displayed.

Downtown Sac WednesdayJul. 15 ThursdayJul. 16 FridayJul. 17 SaturdayJul. 18 SundayJul. 19 MondayJul. 20 TuesdayJul. 21
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 98% 98% 99% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
97% 20% <10% <10% <10% <10% 18%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
102-104° 94-97° 89-93° 90-93° 88-94° 85-92° 88-95°
High Temp
Forecast
103° 95° 90° 91° 90° 88° 90°
Low Temp
Prob 75°
or Higher
--% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
--° 63-66° 58-61° 57-58° 57-61° 57-62° 56-61°
Low Temp
Forecast
--° 64° 59° 57° 59° 59° 59°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
17-20 mph 17-19 mph 16-19 mph 14-16 mph 14-18 mph 13-18 mph 13-17 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
19 mph 18 mph 17 mph 15 mph 16 mph 16 mph 16 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Elk Grove WednesdayJul. 15 ThursdayJul. 16 FridayJul. 17 SaturdayJul. 18 SundayJul. 19 MondayJul. 20 TuesdayJul. 21
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 98% 98% 99% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
87% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% 10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
101-103° 92-95° 87-91° 88-91° 86-92° 83-90° 86-93°
High Temp
Forecast
101° 93° 89° 89° 88° 86° 88°
Low Temp
Prob 75°
or Higher
--% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
--° 59-61° 54-58° 54-55° 54-57° 54-58° 53-58°
Low Temp
Forecast
--° 60° 56° 54° 55° 56° 55°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
21-23 mph 19-22 mph 17-20 mph 16-19 mph 17-21 mph 16-20 mph 16-20 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
22 mph 20 mph 19 mph 18 mph 19 mph 19 mph 19 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Folsom WednesdayJul. 15 ThursdayJul. 16 FridayJul. 17 SaturdayJul. 18 SundayJul. 19 MondayJul. 20 TuesdayJul. 21
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Moderate Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
97% 56% <10% 12% 16% 11% 27%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
13% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
37% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
104-106° 97-99° 92-95° 92-96° 90-96° 87-94° 90-97°
High Temp
Forecast
104° 97° 93° 93° 92° 90° 92°
Low Temp
Prob 75°
or Higher
--% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
--° 64-67° 58-62° 58-60° 58-63° 58-63° 57-62°
Low Temp
Forecast
--° 64° 60° 58° 60° 60° 59°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
15-17 mph 14-16 mph 13-15 mph 10-13 mph 9-14 mph 11-14 mph 10-13 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
16 mph 15 mph 14 mph 12 mph 12 mph 13 mph 12 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Galt WednesdayJul. 15 ThursdayJul. 16 FridayJul. 17 SaturdayJul. 18 SundayJul. 19 MondayJul. 20 TuesdayJul. 21
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 98% 98% 98% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
97% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% 10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
101-103° 93-95° 88-92° 88-92° 86-93° 83-91° 86-93°
High Temp
Forecast
101° 93° 90° 89° 88° 86° 89°
Low Temp
Prob 75°
or Higher
--% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
--° 60-62° 55-59° 54-57° 55-58° 55-59° 54-59°
Low Temp
Forecast
--° 61° 57° 55° 56° 57° 56°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
22-25 mph 18-22 mph 17-20 mph 16-19 mph 17-21 mph 16-20 mph 17-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
23 mph 20 mph 19 mph 18 mph 20 mph 20 mph 19 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Mather WednesdayJul. 15 ThursdayJul. 16 FridayJul. 17 SaturdayJul. 18 SundayJul. 19 MondayJul. 20 TuesdayJul. 21
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 99% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
91% 16% <10% <10% <10% <10% 15%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
21% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
104-105° 95-98° 90-94° 90-94° 89-95° 86-93° 89-96°
High Temp
Forecast
104° 96° 92° 92° 91° 88° 91°
Low Temp
Prob 75°
or Higher
--% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
--° 61-63° 56-59° 54-57° 55-59° 55-60° 54-59°
Low Temp
Forecast
--° 61° 57° 55° 56° 57° 56°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
18-21 mph 16-19 mph 15-18 mph 13-16 mph 13-18 mph 13-17 mph 13-17 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
20 mph 18 mph 17 mph 15 mph 16 mph 16 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
McClellan WednesdayJul. 15 ThursdayJul. 16 FridayJul. 17 SaturdayJul. 18 SundayJul. 19 MondayJul. 20 TuesdayJul. 21
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 98% 98% 99% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
98% 41% <10% <10% 14% 10% 23%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
103-105° 96-98° 91-94° 91-95° 89-95° 86-93° 89-96°
High Temp
Forecast
104° 96° 92° 92° 91° 89° 91°
Low Temp
Prob 75°
or Higher
--% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
--° 64-66° 59-62° 57-59° 58-62° 58-63° 57-62°
Low Temp
Forecast
--° 64° 60° 58° 59° 60° 59°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
16-19 mph 15-18 mph 15-17 mph 13-16 mph 13-17 mph 12-16 mph 11-15 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
17 mph 17 mph 16 mph 15 mph 15 mph 15 mph 14 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Rancho Murieta WednesdayJul. 15 ThursdayJul. 16 FridayJul. 17 SaturdayJul. 18 SundayJul. 19 MondayJul. 20 TuesdayJul. 21
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 98% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
97% 32% <10% <10% 11% <10% 22%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
26% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
104-105° 96-99° 91-95° 91-95° 90-96° 86-94° 89-97°
High Temp
Forecast
104° 97° 93° 93° 92° 89° 91°
Low Temp
Prob 75°
or Higher
--% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
--° 62-65° 57-61° 56-59° 56-61° 57-61° 55-60°
Low Temp
Forecast
--° 63° 58° 57° 58° 59° 57°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
18-21 mph 15-18 mph 14-16 mph 12-15 mph 13-17 mph 12-16 mph 12-16 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
19 mph 17 mph 15 mph 14 mph 15 mph 15 mph 14 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.01" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.01" 0.0"
Sac Exec WednesdayJul. 15 ThursdayJul. 16 FridayJul. 17 SaturdayJul. 18 SundayJul. 19 MondayJul. 20 TuesdayJul. 21
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 98% 98% 98% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
97% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% 14%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
102-104° 94-97° 88-92° 90-93° 88-94° 85-91° 88-94°
High Temp
Forecast
102° 95° 90° 90° 90° 87° 90°
Low Temp
Prob 75°
or Higher
--% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
--° 63-66° 57-60° 55-57° 55-59° 55-61° 55-60°
Low Temp
Forecast
--° 63° 58° 56° 57° 58° 57°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
20-23 mph 19-22 mph 18-22 mph 15-20 mph 16-21 mph 15-21 mph 16-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
22 mph 21 mph 20 mph 18 mph 19 mph 19 mph 19 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Sac International WednesdayJul. 15 ThursdayJul. 16 FridayJul. 17 SaturdayJul. 18 SundayJul. 19 MondayJul. 20 TuesdayJul. 21
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 98% 98% 99% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
97% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
101-103° 94-96° 89-92° 90-93° 88-93° 85-92° 88-95°
High Temp
Forecast
101° 94° 90° 91° 90° 87° 90°
Low Temp
Prob 75°
or Higher
--% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
--° 60-63° 56-58° 54-56° 55-58° 55-60° 54-59°
Low Temp
Forecast
--° 61° 56° 55° 56° 57° 56°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
16-19 mph 17-19 mph 17-20 mph 14-18 mph 14-18 mph 13-18 mph 12-17 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
18 mph 18 mph 19 mph 16 mph 16 mph 17 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.01" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.01" 0.0"
Walnut Grove WednesdayJul. 15 ThursdayJul. 16 FridayJul. 17 SaturdayJul. 18 SundayJul. 19 MondayJul. 20 TuesdayJul. 21
HeatRisk
Forecast
Moderate Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
100% 100% 100% 98% 96% 95% 99%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
95% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
98-101° 90-93° 85-90° 85-90° 83-90° 80-88° 83-90°
High Temp
Forecast
99° 91° 86° 86° 85° 83° 86°
Low Temp
Prob 75°
or Higher
--% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
--° 59-62° 54-58° 54-55° 54-57° 54-58° 53-58°
Low Temp
Forecast
--° 60° 56° 54° 55° 56° 55°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
58% 16% 0% 0% 11% 16% 16%
Wind Gust
Range
24-27 mph 21-24 mph 19-23 mph 19-22 mph 20-24 mph 18-24 mph 19-25 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
26 mph 23 mph 21 mph 21 mph 23 mph 22 mph 23 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0"

Legend

HeatRisk

Low Minor Moderate Major Extreme

High Temperature

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Low Temperature / Warm Nights

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Snow

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Wind

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Rain

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Updated: 07/15 03:35 PM

Source: NBM (07/15/2026 13z)