National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Sacramento County Decision Support Briefing Page

Note: Images generally update twice a day around 2:30 AM PST and 2:30 PM PST. This website is experimental and not maintained 24/7. Maintained by the National Weather Service Sacramento forecast office.

Current Hazards: Loading active alerts for Sacramento County...

Heat Risk — Day 1

Heat Risk Day 1 graphic

Viewing Heat Risk for Day 1. Click the image or “Open full size” to open the graphic in a separate window.

*Note: HeatRisk Probabilities are experimental and may be unavailable at times.

City Point Forecast

Choose one city or station at a time. The data and calculations are unchanged; this only changes how the table is displayed.

Citrus Heights WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
94% 100% 100% 100% 98% 16% 19%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% 45% 38% 38% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
77-79° 88-91° 86-90° 86-90° 79-83° 70-75° 68-76°
High Temp
Forecast
78° 88° 87° 88° 81° 72° 72°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
47-57° 50-58° 55-62° 59-62° 58-62° 55-57° 48-56°
Low Temp
Forecast
52° 54° 58° 60° 59° 55° 52°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 9%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 11-16 mph 10-13 mph 10-12 mph 13-19 mph 14-21 mph 13-21 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
10 mph 13 mph 11 mph 11 mph 15 mph 17 mph 18 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.07" 0.00-0.12"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.07" 0.12"
Elk Grove WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
90% 100% 100% 100% 96% 15% 15%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% 11% 10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
75-79° 83-87° 84-89° 85-90° 77-82° 70-74° 68-75°
High Temp
Forecast
77° 84° 86° 86° 79° 71° 71°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
41-53° 43-54° 49-56° 52-57° 52-56° 50-52° 49-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
47° 49° 52° 54° 54° 50° 49°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 9% 13%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 9-13 mph 9-14 mph 11-15 mph 16-23 mph 17-23 mph 16-25 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
10 mph 11 mph 11 mph 12 mph 19 mph 19 mph 20 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.05" 0.00-0.11"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.05" 0.11"
Florin WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
87% 100% 100% 100% 93% 12% 14%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% 11% 14% 17% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
76-79° 85-89° 84-89° 85-90° 77-82° 70-74° 68-75°
High Temp
Forecast
77° 86° 86° 86° 79° 71° 71°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
44-57° 47-57° 53-60° 56-61° 56-60° 54-55° 47-56°
Low Temp
Forecast
51° 52° 55° 58° 57° 54° 52°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 4% 13%
Wind Gust
Range
8-10 mph 8-13 mph 9-13 mph 9-14 mph 15-22 mph 16-23 mph 15-25 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 11 mph 11 mph 11 mph 18 mph 19 mph 19 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.05" 0.00-0.11"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.05" 0.11"
Folsom WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
96% 100% 100% 100% 98% 14% 17%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% 23% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
77-79° 86-90° 86-89° 86-90° 79-83° 69-74° 67-75°
High Temp
Forecast
78° 87° 87° 87° 81° 71° 71°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
49-54° 51-55° 55-61° 57-61° 57-61° 51-55° 47-53°
Low Temp
Forecast
51° 52° 58° 58° 58° 52° 49°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 13%
Wind Gust
Range
10-12 mph 12-15 mph 11-14 mph 11-13 mph 13-18 mph 14-20 mph 15-22 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 14 mph 13 mph 12 mph 15 mph 17 mph 18 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.08" 0.00-0.14"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.08" 0.14"
Galt WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
91% 100% 100% 100% 97% 14% 16%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% 14% 12% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
76-80° 83-87° 86-89° 86-91° 79-84° 70-75° 69-76°
High Temp
Forecast
78° 84° 87° 87° 81° 72° 72°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
43-52° 44-54° 48-57° 53-57° 52-57° 49-52° 48-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
47° 49° 52° 55° 54° 50° 49°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 9%
Wind Gust
Range
10-12 mph 10-13 mph 10-13 mph 12-14 mph 17-21 mph 17-22 mph 15-24 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 11 mph 11 mph 13 mph 19 mph 19 mph 20 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.05" 0.00-0.12"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.05" 0.12"
Isleton WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
76-81° 83-87° 84-89° 85-91° 77-82° 70-73° 69-75°
High Temp
Forecast
78° 84° 86° 87° 79° 71° 71°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
42-52° 44-54° 46-56° 54-58° 53-56° 50-52° 50-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
48° 49° 52° 55° 54° 51° 50°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 22% 22% 22%
Wind Gust
Range
11-14 mph 11-13 mph 11-13 mph 13-18 mph 21-26 mph 21-27 mph 16-27 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 12 mph 12 mph 15 mph 23 mph 23 mph 22 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.04" 0.00-0.07"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.04" 0.07"
Rancho Cordova WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
92% 100% 100% 100% 97% 16% 16%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% 34% 37% 32% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
77-80° 87-91° 86-89° 86-90° 79-83° 70-75° 69-76°
High Temp
Forecast
78° 88° 87° 88° 81° 72° 72°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
46-57° 49-57° 54-61° 57-61° 56-60° 54-56° 48-56°
Low Temp
Forecast
51° 53° 57° 59° 58° 54° 52°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 9%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 9-13 mph 9-13 mph 9-12 mph 13-19 mph 14-21 mph 14-22 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
10 mph 12 mph 11 mph 11 mph 15 mph 17 mph 18 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.07" 0.00-0.13"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.07" 0.13"
Rancho Murieta WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
98% 100% 100% 100% 99% 16% 19%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% 35% 32% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
77-79° 85-89° 87-90° 87-91° 80-84° 70-75° 68-76°
High Temp
Forecast
78° 86° 88° 88° 82° 72° 72°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
47-52° 49-54° 53-59° 56-59° 55-59° 50-54° 46-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
49° 51° 55° 57° 57° 51° 48°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 13%
Wind Gust
Range
10-12 mph 11-14 mph 11-14 mph 11-13 mph 14-18 mph 15-19 mph 15-24 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 12 mph 12 mph 11 mph 16 mph 17 mph 19 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.09" 0.00-0.14"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.09" 0.14"
Rio Linda WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
89% 100% 100% 100% 94% 13% 14%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% 20% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
77-79° 87-91° 85-89° 85-89° 78-82° 69-75° 68-75°
High Temp
Forecast
78° 88° 86° 86° 80° 71° 71°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
42-54° 45-55° 51-58° 54-58° 54-58° 51-54° 45-54°
Low Temp
Forecast
48° 50° 54° 55° 55° 51° 49°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 13%
Wind Gust
Range
8-10 mph 10-17 mph 10-15 mph 9-12 mph 15-21 mph 16-23 mph 15-24 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 13 mph 12 mph 11 mph 17 mph 19 mph 19 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.06" 0.00-0.12"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.06" 0.12"
Sac Exec WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
89% 100% 100% 100% 94% 15% 15%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% 14% <10% 15% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
76-80° 85-90° 84-88° 84-90° 77-82° 70-74° 69-75°
High Temp
Forecast
77° 86° 86° 86° 79° 71° 71°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
42-52° 44-54° 48-58° 53-59° 52-57° 49-51° 45-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
47° 49° 53° 55° 54° 49° 48°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 17% 17% 22%
Wind Gust
Range
7-9 mph 8-13 mph 9-14 mph 9-15 mph 17-27 mph 18-26 mph 15-28 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 11 mph 11 mph 11 mph 21 mph 21 mph 21 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.05" 0.00-0.1"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.05" 0.1"
Sac Intl WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
84% 100% 100% 100% 85% <10% 11%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% 12% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
77-79° 87-91° 84-88° 84-88° 77-81° 68-74° 68-74°
High Temp
Forecast
77° 88° 85° 85° 79° 70° 70°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
42-53° 45-54° 51-57° 54-58° 52-57° 50-52° 44-53°
Low Temp
Forecast
47° 50° 54° 55° 54° 50° 49°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 9% 17%
Wind Gust
Range
8-11 mph 11-19 mph 11-16 mph 9-13 mph 15-22 mph 17-23 mph 15-25 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 14 mph 13 mph 11 mph 18 mph 19 mph 20 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.05" 0.00-0.1"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.05" 0.1"
Sacramento WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
89% 100% 100% 100% 93% 13% 14%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% 24% 18% 18% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
76-79° 86-90° 84-89° 85-89° 77-82° 69-74° 68-75°
High Temp
Forecast
77° 87° 86° 86° 79° 71° 71°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
44-57° 47-58° 53-61° 57-61° 56-60° 54-56° 48-56°
Low Temp
Forecast
51° 53° 56° 58° 58° 54° 52°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 13%
Wind Gust
Range
7-10 mph 9-14 mph 9-13 mph 9-13 mph 15-22 mph 16-23 mph 15-25 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 11 mph 11 mph 11 mph 18 mph 19 mph 19 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.06" 0.00-0.12"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.06" 0.12"
Walnut Grove WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
87% 100% 100% 100% 95% 13% 16%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% 37% 13% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
76-81° 83-87° 84-89° 85-91° 77-82° 70-73° 69-75°
High Temp
Forecast
78° 84° 86° 87° 79° 71° 71°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
42-52° 44-54° 46-56° 54-58° 53-56° 50-52° 50-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
48° 49° 52° 55° 54° 51° 50°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 22% 22% 22%
Wind Gust
Range
11-14 mph 11-13 mph 11-13 mph 13-18 mph 21-26 mph 21-27 mph 16-27 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 12 mph 12 mph 15 mph 23 mph 23 mph 22 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.04" 0.00-0.07"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.04" 0.07"
Wilton WednesdayOct. 14 ThursdayOct. 15 FridayOct. 16 SaturdayOct. 17 SundayOct. 18 MondayOct. 19 TuesdayOct. 20
HeatRisk
Forecast
Minor Minor Minor Minor Minor Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
92% 100% 100% 100% 97% 16% 19%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% 10% 14% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
76-78° 84-87° 85-89° 86-90° 79-83° 70-74° 68-75°
High Temp
Forecast
77° 85° 87° 87° 81° 71° 71°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
43-52° 45-53° 50-57° 54-57° 53-57° 50-52° 45-52°
Low Temp
Forecast
48° 49° 52° 55° 55° 50° 49°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 13%
Wind Gust
Range
9-12 mph 9-13 mph 9-13 mph 10-13 mph 15-20 mph 15-20 mph 16-23 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 11 mph 11 mph 11 mph 17 mph 18 mph 19 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00" 0.00-0.06" 0.00-0.13"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.0" 0.06" 0.13"

Legend

HeatRisk

Low Minor Moderate Major Extreme

High Temperature

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Low Temperature / Cold

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Snow

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Wind

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Rain

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Updated: 10/14 03:34 AM

Source: NBM (10/14/2026 01z)

Sacramento County Point Summaries

Loading live point data across all Sacramento County locations...

User Defined Threshold Probabilities

Calculates real-time exceedance probability (%) across all NBM distribution curves using your custom thresholds.

Loading interactive probability matrix...

Emergency Management Threshold Highlights

High Temp ≥ °F
Low Temp ≤ °F
Wind Gust ≥ mph
24-Hr Rain ≥ in
6-Hr Rain ≥ in