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Sacramento County Decision Support Briefing Page

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Heat Risk — Day 1

Heat Risk Day 1 graphic

Viewing Heat Risk for Day 1. Click the image or “Open full size” to open the graphic in a separate window.

*Note: HeatRisk Probabilities are experimental and may be unavailable at times.

City Point Forecast

Choose one city or station at a time. The data and calculations are unchanged; this only changes how the table is displayed.

Citrus Heights TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
66-68° 70-72° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
-460-52° -460-50° 48-51°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 48°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
11-14 mph 10-12 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
12 mph 11 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Elk Grove TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
66-68° 69-71° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 16% 5%
Low Temp
Range
-460-46° -460-46° 43-47°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
11-13 mph 11-14 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
12 mph 12 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Florin TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
66-68° 69-72° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
-460-51° -460-50° 47-51°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 48°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
10-13 mph 10-13 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 12 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Folsom TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
66-68° 69-71° --°
High Temp
Forecast
66° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
-460-49° -460-46° 46-48°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 46°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
12-14 mph 10-12 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
13 mph 11 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Galt TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
67-69° 69-72° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 11% 5%
Low Temp
Range
-460-47° -460-46° 44-47°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
11-13 mph 12-14 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
12 mph 13 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Isleton TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
--% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
--% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
--% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
--% --% --%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
67-68° 69-72° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 5% 5%
Low Temp
Range
-460-47° -460-46° 43-47°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
13-17 mph 13-16 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
15 mph 14 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Rancho Cordova TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
66-68° 70-72° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
-460-51° -460-50° 48-50°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 48°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
10-13 mph 10-12 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
12 mph 11 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Rancho Murieta TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
66-68° 69-71° --°
High Temp
Forecast
66° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 5% 0%
Low Temp
Range
-460-48° -460-46° 46-48°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 46°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
11-13 mph 11-13 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
12 mph 12 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Rio Linda TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
66-68° 70-72° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 11% 11%
Low Temp
Range
-460-48° -460-46° 44-47°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
10-13 mph 11-13 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 12 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Sac Exec TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
66-68° 69-72° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 5% 5%
Low Temp
Range
-460-48° -460-47° 44-48°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
9-12 mph 11-15 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
10 mph 13 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Sac Intl TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
65-67° 69-71° --°
High Temp
Forecast
66° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 5% 11%
Low Temp
Range
-460-47° -460-46° 43-47°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 12-16 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
10 mph 14 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Sacramento TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
66-68° 69-72° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Range
-460-51° -460-51° 48-51°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 48°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
9-13 mph 10-13 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 11 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Walnut Grove TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
67-68° 69-72° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 5% 5%
Low Temp
Range
-460-47° -460-46° 43-47°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 44°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
13-17 mph 13-16 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
15 mph 14 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"
Wilton TuesdayOct. 27 WednesdayOct. 28 ThursdayOct. 29
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% --%
High Temp
Range
66-68° 69-71° --°
High Temp
Forecast
67° 70° --°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 16% 5%
Low Temp
Range
-460-47° -460-46° 44-47°
Low Temp
Forecast
-460° -460° 45°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% --%
Wind Gust
Range
11-13 mph 12-14 mph --
Wind Gust
Forecast
12 mph 12 mph --
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.00"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.0"

Legend

HeatRisk

Low Minor Moderate Major Extreme

High Temperature

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Low Temperature / Cold

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Snow

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Wind

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Rain

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Updated: 10/27 03:34 AM

Source: NBM (10/27/2026 07z)

Sacramento County Point Summaries

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User Defined Threshold Probabilities

Calculates real-time exceedance probability (%) across all NBM distribution curves using your custom thresholds.

Loading interactive probability matrix...

Emergency Management Threshold Highlights

High Temp ≥ °F
Low Temp ≤ °F
Wind Gust ≥ mph
24-Hr Rain ≥ in
6-Hr Rain ≥ in