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Sacramento County Decision Support Briefing Page

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Heat Risk — Day 1

Heat Risk Day 1 graphic

Viewing Heat Risk for Day 1. Click the image or “Open full size” to open the graphic in a separate window.

*Note: HeatRisk Probabilities are experimental and may be unavailable at times.

City Point Forecast

Choose one city or station at a time. The data and calculations are unchanged; this only changes how the table is displayed.

Citrus Heights WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
11% 24% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
74-76° 73-77° 63-69° 62-64° 61-64° 57-60° 57-59°
High Temp
Forecast
75° 75° 65° 63° 62° 58° 57°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Range
48-51° 49-52° 52-55° 47-50° 46-49° 47-50° 41-45°
Low Temp
Forecast
49° 50° 53° 49° 48° 48° 42°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 78% 13% 4% 13% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 11-15 mph 31-38 mph 13-23 mph 14-22 mph 14-25 mph 12-17 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
10 mph 13 mph 34 mph 18 mph 18 mph 19 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 53% 74% 84% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 100% 42% 58% 74% 11%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 74% 26% 37% 53% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 1.15-1.78" 0.16-1.34" 0.28-1.41" 0.55-1.55" 0.00-0.15"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.39" 0.63" 0.78" 1.01" 0.15"
Elk Grove WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% 15% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
73-75° 72-76° 63-69° 62-64° 61-65° 57-60° 57-60°
High Temp
Forecast
74° 73° 66° 63° 62° 59° 58°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Range
44-48° 45-48° 48-51° 44-47° 43-46° 44-47° 39-42°
Low Temp
Forecast
46° 46° 49° 46° 45° 45° 40°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 78% 13% 9% 13% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 12-18 mph 30-38 mph 13-24 mph 15-23 mph 15-25 mph 12-18 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 14 mph 33 mph 18 mph 19 mph 19 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 47% 68% 79% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 95% 37% 53% 63% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 63% 21% 32% 53% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.82-1.57" 0.1-1.09" 0.24-1.28" 0.45-1.49" 0.00-0.14"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.16" 0.51" 0.68" 0.92" 0.14"
Florin WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
72-75° 72-75° 62-69° 62-64° 61-64° 57-60° 56-59°
High Temp
Forecast
73° 73° 65° 63° 62° 58° 57°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Range
46-50° 46-50° 50-53° 45-49° 45-48° 46-49° 40-43°
Low Temp
Forecast
48° 48° 51° 47° 46° 47° 41°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 78% 9% 4% 13% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
8-10 mph 10-15 mph 30-37 mph 13-23 mph 14-23 mph 15-24 mph 12-18 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 13 mph 33 mph 17 mph 18 mph 19 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 42% 74% 79% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 95% 37% 53% 63% 11%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 58% 21% 32% 53% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.81-1.61" 0.06-1.01" 0.28-1.35" 0.44-1.5" 0.00-0.15"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.18" 0.48" 0.71" 0.92" 0.15"
Folsom WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% 34% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
74-76° 74-78° 62-68° 60-63° 60-63° 55-58° 55-58°
High Temp
Forecast
75° 75° 65° 61° 61° 56° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Range
49-52° 50-53° 52-54° 47-50° 46-49° 47-50° 41-45°
Low Temp
Forecast
50° 51° 53° 49° 47° 48° 42°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 78% 13% 13% 22% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
10-12 mph 12-19 mph 34-43 mph 14-24 mph 15-25 mph 15-27 mph 12-18 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 15 mph 37 mph 19 mph 19 mph 20 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 74% 68% 84% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 100% 58% 58% 79% 11%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 84% 42% 42% 58% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 1.39-2.09" 0.27-1.66" 0.24-1.45" 0.58-1.66" 0.00-0.15"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.64" 0.88" 0.79" 1.1" 0.15"
Galt WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
13% 38% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
74-77° 73-78° 64-70° 63-65° 62-66° 58-61° 57-60°
High Temp
Forecast
75° 75° 67° 63° 63° 59° 58°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Range
45-49° 45-49° 49-51° 45-48° 44-46° 45-48° 40-43°
Low Temp
Forecast
46° 46° 50° 46° 45° 46° 40°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 74% 9% 4% 13% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 13-18 mph 28-35 mph 13-23 mph 15-23 mph 15-24 mph 13-18 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
10 mph 15 mph 31 mph 17 mph 18 mph 19 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 53% 68% 79% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 95% 42% 53% 63% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 63% 21% 32% 53% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.77-1.58" 0.14-1.24" 0.18-1.27" 0.46-1.54" 0.00-0.13"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.16" 0.57" 0.68" 0.97" 0.13"
Isleton WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
--% --% --% --% --% --% --%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
73-76° 72-75° 64-70° 63-65° 62-65° 59-61° 58-61°
High Temp
Forecast
74° 73° 66° 64° 63° 59° 59°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16%
Low Temp
Range
45-48° 44-47° 48-50° 44-47° 43-45° 44-47° 38-41°
Low Temp
Forecast
46° 45° 48° 45° 44° 45° 39°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 74% 9% 9% 13% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
8-11 mph 13-19 mph 28-37 mph 13-22 mph 15-23 mph 16-23 mph 12-19 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 16 mph 32 mph 17 mph 18 mph 19 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 95% 37% 74% 74% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 74% 26% 42% 58% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 42% 11% 26% 42% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.53-1.28" 0.03-0.71" 0.27-1.13" 0.3-1.24" 0.00-0.12"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.87" 0.34" 0.58" 0.74" 0.12"
Rancho Cordova WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% 24% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
73-76° 73-77° 63-69° 62-64° 61-65° 57-60° 57-59°
High Temp
Forecast
75° 75° 66° 63° 62° 58° 57°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Range
47-51° 48-51° 51-54° 46-50° 46-48° 46-49° 41-44°
Low Temp
Forecast
48° 49° 52° 48° 47° 48° 42°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 78% 9% 4% 13% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
9-11 mph 10-15 mph 31-38 mph 13-24 mph 14-23 mph 14-25 mph 12-17 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 13 mph 34 mph 17 mph 18 mph 19 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 53% 74% 84% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 95% 42% 58% 74% 11%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 74% 26% 37% 53% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 1.06-1.7" 0.15-1.27" 0.26-1.38" 0.55-1.52" 0.00-0.14"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.33" 0.6" 0.75" 0.98" 0.14"
Rancho Murieta WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
20% 52% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
74-77° 75-79° 64-69° 61-63° 61-64° 55-59° 55-58°
High Temp
Forecast
75° 76° 66° 61° 62° 57° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16%
Low Temp
Range
47-50° 48-51° 51-53° 46-48° 44-47° 46-49° 40-43°
Low Temp
Forecast
48° 50° 52° 47° 46° 47° 40°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 4% 78% 17% 17% 22% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
10-13 mph 13-20 mph 35-44 mph 13-25 mph 15-26 mph 15-28 mph 13-19 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 16 mph 38 mph 19 mph 20 mph 21 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 74% 68% 84% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 100% 58% 53% 74% 11%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 79% 42% 37% 58% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 1.23-1.99" 0.28-1.6" 0.15-1.36" 0.51-1.59" 0.00-0.13"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.53" 0.88" 0.73" 1.05" 0.13"
Rio Linda WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
73-75° 72-75° 61-68° 62-64° 61-64° 57-61° 57-60°
High Temp
Forecast
73° 73° 64° 63° 61° 58° 57°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Range
45-48° 45-48° 48-52° 44-48° 44-47° 45-48° 39-42°
Low Temp
Forecast
46° 46° 50° 46° 45° 46° 40°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 78% 13% 4% 13% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
8-10 mph 10-13 mph 30-38 mph 14-24 mph 15-23 mph 15-24 mph 12-18 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 11 mph 33 mph 18 mph 18 mph 19 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 37% 79% 79% 16%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 95% 32% 63% 63% 11%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 63% 21% 37% 53% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.91-1.62" 0.05-1.03" 0.36-1.43" 0.45-1.56" 0.00-0.17"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.22" 0.46" 0.79" 0.96" 0.17"
Sac Exec WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
72-74° 71-74° 62-68° 62-64° 61-64° 58-61° 57-60°
High Temp
Forecast
73° 72° 65° 63° 62° 59° 58°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16%
Low Temp
Range
45-49° 45-48° 48-52° 43-47° 43-46° 44-47° 38-42°
Low Temp
Forecast
46° 46° 50° 45° 45° 45° 40°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 78% 17% 13% 13% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
7-9 mph 10-16 mph 33-41 mph 13-25 mph 15-24 mph 15-25 mph 12-20 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
8 mph 13 mph 36 mph 18 mph 18 mph 19 mph 16 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 37% 79% 79% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 95% 32% 53% 63% 11%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 58% 16% 32% 47% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.75-1.54" 0.02-0.92" 0.34-1.39" 0.39-1.51" 0.00-0.16"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.13" 0.42" 0.74" 0.91" 0.16"
Sac Intl WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
71-73° 70-73° 60-66° 61-63° 59-62° 56-59° 55-59°
High Temp
Forecast
72° 71° 63° 62° 60° 57° 56°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Range
45-48° 45-48° 48-52° 44-47° 43-47° 44-47° 39-42°
Low Temp
Forecast
46° 46° 49° 45° 45° 45° 40°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 78% 13% 9% 13% 4%
Wind Gust
Range
8-10 mph 10-14 mph 31-42 mph 13-25 mph 15-23 mph 15-24 mph 12-20 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 12 mph 35 mph 18 mph 18 mph 19 mph 16 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 37% 84% 79% 16%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 95% 26% 63% 63% 11%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 53% 16% 37% 47% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.74-1.48" 0.00-0.77" 0.45-1.38" 0.36-1.47" 0.00-0.19"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.09" 0.36" 0.77" 0.88" 0.18"
Sacramento WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
72-75° 72-75° 62-69° 62-64° 61-64° 57-60° 56-59°
High Temp
Forecast
73° 73° 65° 63° 61° 58° 57°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11%
Low Temp
Range
46-51° 46-50° 50-54° 46-50° 45-48° 46-49° 40-44°
Low Temp
Forecast
48° 48° 52° 47° 47° 47° 41°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 78% 9% 4% 13% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
7-9 mph 10-14 mph 30-37 mph 12-23 mph 14-22 mph 14-24 mph 12-17 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 12 mph 33 mph 17 mph 17 mph 18 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 42% 74% 79% 16%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 95% 37% 53% 63% 11%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 63% 21% 32% 47% 5%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.86-1.6" 0.06-1.04" 0.31-1.39" 0.43-1.53" 0.00-0.16"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.2" 0.47" 0.74" 0.94" 0.16"
Walnut Grove WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
14% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
73-76° 72-75° 64-70° 63-65° 62-65° 59-61° 58-61°
High Temp
Forecast
74° 73° 66° 64° 63° 59° 59°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16%
Low Temp
Range
45-48° 44-47° 48-50° 44-47° 43-45° 44-47° 38-41°
Low Temp
Forecast
46° 45° 48° 45° 44° 45° 39°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 74% 9% 9% 13% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
8-11 mph 13-19 mph 28-37 mph 13-22 mph 15-23 mph 16-23 mph 12-19 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
9 mph 16 mph 32 mph 17 mph 18 mph 19 mph 15 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 95% 37% 74% 74% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 74% 26% 42% 58% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 42% 11% 26% 42% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.53-1.28" 0.03-0.71" 0.27-1.13" 0.3-1.24" 0.00-0.12"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 0.87" 0.34" 0.58" 0.74" 0.12"
Wilton WednesdayNov. 11 ThursdayNov. 12 FridayNov. 13 SaturdayNov. 14 SundayNov. 15 MondayNov. 16 TuesdayNov. 17
HeatRisk
Forecast
Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
HeatRisk
Prob Minor+
17% 46% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Moderate+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Major+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
HeatRisk
Prob Extreme+
<10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10% <10%
High Temp
Prob 105°
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Temp
Range
74-76° 74-79° 63-69° 62-64° 61-65° 56-60° 56-59°
High Temp
Forecast
75° 75° 66° 62° 62° 58° 57°
Low Temp
Prob 30°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Low Temp
Prob 32°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Low Temp
Prob 37°
or Lower
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16%
Low Temp
Range
45-48° 46-49° 49-52° 45-48° 43-46° 45-48° 39-42°
Low Temp
Forecast
46° 47° 50° 46° 45° 46° 40°
Wind Gust
Prob 25 mph
0% 0% 78% 13% 13% 17% 0%
Wind Gust
Range
10-12 mph 12-18 mph 31-39 mph 13-24 mph 15-24 mph 15-26 mph 13-19 mph
Wind Gust
Forecast
11 mph 15 mph 34 mph 18 mph 19 mph 20 mph 16 mph
Rain
Prob 0.25"
0% 0% 100% 58% 68% 84% 11%
Rain
Prob 0.5"
0% 0% 95% 42% 53% 68% 5%
Rain
Prob 1.0"
0% 0% 68% 26% 32% 53% 0%
Rain
Range
0.00" 0.00" 0.98-1.7" 0.19-1.34" 0.19-1.3" 0.48-1.5" 0.00-0.13"
Rain
Forecast
0.0" 0.0" 1.3" 0.65" 0.7" 0.98" 0.13"

Legend

HeatRisk

Low Minor Moderate Major Extreme

High Temperature

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Low Temperature / Cold

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Snow

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Wind

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Rain

< <10% 10-39% 40-69% >70%

Updated: 11/11 02:34 AM

Source: NBM (11/11/2026 01z)

Sacramento County Point Summaries

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User Defined Threshold Probabilities

Calculates real-time exceedance probability (%) across all NBM distribution curves using your custom thresholds.

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Emergency Management Threshold Highlights

High Temp ≥ °F
Low Temp ≤ °F
Wind Gust ≥ mph
24-Hr Rain ≥ in
6-Hr Rain ≥ in