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Latest Drought Statement from NWS Gray, ME

 

AXUS71 KGYX 142111 CCA
DGTGYX

PWMDGTGYX
MEC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-023-025-027-031-NHC001-003-005-007-
009-011-013-015-017-019-152100-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
348 PM EST TUE DEC 13 2016

...DROUGHT CONTINUES IN MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE...

SYNOPSIS...

PRECIPITATION FOR OCTOBER WAS ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST SOUTHERN
LOCATIONS. DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL WERE AS HIGH AS 3 TO 4 INCHES
ABOVE NORMAL. IN NOVEMBER PRECIPITATION WAS GENERALLY BELOW
NORMAL WITH DEPARTURES RANGING FROM 0.5 TO 1.5 INCHES BELOW
NORMAL. EVEN THOUGH WE HAVE BEEN RECEIVING MORE PRECIPITATION IN
RECENT WEEKS ONLY SLOW IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT HAS OCCURRED.
SHORT TERM PRECIPITATION DEFICITS ARE STILL QUITE HIGH.
GROUNDWATER LEVELS REMAIN BELOW NORMAL BUT WE ARE SEEING AN
INCREASE IN GROUNDWATER DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL. ONCE THE GROUND
FREEZES AND PRECIPITATION FALLS MOSTLY AS SNOW THE INCREASE IN
GROUNDWATER LEVELS WILL STOP. THE DECEMBER 8 ISSUANCE OF THE US
DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWED A ONE CATEGORY IMPROVEMENT FOR NORTHERN
MAINE AND FOR SOME COASTAL LOCATIONS INCLUDING PORTLAND.

EXTREME /D3/ DROUGHT COVERS EXTREME SOUTHERN HILLSBOROUGH AND
ROCKINGHAM COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

SEVERE /D2/ DROUGHT CONTINUES OVER MOST OF SOUTHER NEW HAMPSHIRE
INCLUDING SOUTHERN GRAFTON... SULLIVAN... HILLSBOROUGH...
MERRIMACK... BELKNAP... CARROLL... STRAFFORD... AND ROCKINGHAM
COUNTIES. SEVERE DROUGHT DROUGHT ALSO EXISTS IN MAINE INCLUDING
YORK... INTERIOR CUMBERLAND... SAGADAHOC... LINCOLN... KNOX...
SOUTHERN ANDROSCOGGIN... KENNEBEC... AND WALDO COUNTIES.

MODERATE /D1/ AND ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ COVERS THE REMAINDER OF NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND THE REMAINDER OF WESTERN... SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
MAINE.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS...
IN NEW HAMPSHIRE THE DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL SERVICES IS
URGING WATER CONSERVATION INCLUDING IN THE USE OF PRIVATE WELLS.
THE MOST CURRENT INFORMATION ON WATER USE RESTRICTIONS IN NEW
HAMPSHIRE IS FROM NOVEMBER 10. MANY TOWNS IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEW HAMPSHIRE CONTINUE WITH WATER USE RESTRICTIONS OR BANS.
OUTDOOR WATER USE BANS INCLUDE PORTSMOUTH, ROCHESTER, AND PARTS OF
NASHUA. MANY PRIVATE WELLS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE HAVE BEEN GOING DRY,
THOUGH THIS HAS DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY AFTER RECENT RAINS.

IN MAINE THE PUBLIC IS BEING ENCOURAGED TO LIMIT WATER USE BY
STATE OFFICIALS. THERE HAVE BEEN 426 REPORTS OF PRIVATE WELLS
GOING DRY SINCE OCTOBER BUT ONLY 2 IN THE LAST 2 WEEKS. 

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS...
THE LATEST ANALYSIS OF SOIL MOISTURE FROM DECEMBER 12 INDICATES
THAT SOIL MOISTURE FROM RANGES FROM 0.78 INCHES BELOW NORMAL IN
NORTHERN AREAS TO AS MUCH AS 4 INCHES BELOW NORMAL IN SOUTHERN
NEW HAMPSHIRE.

GROUNDWATER AND STREAM FLOW CONDITIONS...
GROUNDWATER MEASURING WELLS OPERATED BY THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
INDICATE WIDESPREAD BELOW NORMAL LEVELS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
WESTERN MAINE. HOWEVER GROUNDWATER IS NOW INCREASING AS RECENT
RAINFALL IS STARTING THE FALL RECHARGE PROCESS. 

THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY IN MAINE REPORTS THAT MOST RIVERS AND
STREAMS ARE IN THE NORMAL RANGE FOR THE TIME OF YEAR.

IN NEW HAMPSHIRE THE USGS REPORTS THAT STREAMFLOW IS NEAR NORMAL
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF RIVERS AND STREAMS IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE WHERE FLOWS ARE BELOW NORMAL.

AGRICULTURE IMPACTS...
AGRICULTURE WAS HARD HIT BY THE DROUGHT THIS PAST SUMMER AND
FALL. AS MENTIONED EARLIER, THE HAY CROP IN PARTICULAR HAD MUCH
LOWER YIELD THAN USUAL. SOME FARMERS HAVE HAD TO SHIP IN HAY FROM
OUTSIDE THE REGION WHILE OTHERS HAVE RUN OUT OF WATER FOR
LIVESTOCK. WITH THE END OF THE GROWING SEASON WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT
FOR SPRING TO SEE HOW AGRICULTURE RESPONDS.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

OVERALL PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN WELL BELOW NORMAL SINCE APRIL.
A SAMPLING OF PRECIPITATION DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL THROUGH
NOVEMBER AT VARIOUS OBSERVING STATIONS IS LISTED BELOW.

NEW HAMPSHIRE...
LOCATION         DEPARTURE  PERCENT OF NORMAL
WEST HAMPSTEAD    -13.81         58%
NASHUA            -13.26         60%
MANCHESTER        -12.65         59%
WEARE             -12.60         62%
BRADFORD          -12.52         64%
HUDSON            -11.53         63%
SURRY MOUNTAIN    -11.45         65%
MEREDITH          -10.02         70%
NORTH CONWAY       -9.94         71%
DURHAM             -8.63         74%
PINKHAM NOTCH      -8.48         81%
HANOVER            -7.99         72%
CONCORD            -7.49         74%
BERLIN             -6.30         79%
NORTH HAMPTON      -5.87         83%
KEENE              -5.05         84%
LANCASTER          -3.45         88%
COLEBROOK          -3.25         89%

MAINE...
LOCATION         DEPARTURE  PERCENT OF NORMAL
SANFORD           -11.17         68%
NEWCASTLE         -10.07         69%
ANDOVER            -9.88         73%
WATERVILLE         -9.57         69%
RUMFORD            -9.26         73%
AUGUSTA            -8.81         71%
FARMINGTON         -8.58         76%
ELIOT              -8.48         75%
HOLLIS             -8.31         77%
TURNER             -8.23         75%
EUSTIS             -7.96         73%
PORTLAND           -7.46         77%
RANGELEY           -7.03         77%
KENNEBUNKPORT      -7.00         80%
BINGHAM            -6.98         79%
BELFAST            -6.54         80%
HARMONY            -5.94         81%
BATH               -5.85         82%
KINGFIELD          -5.73         83%
GRAY               -5.58         84%
JACKMAN            -4.83         84%
PITTSTON FARM      -3.94         88%

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE WEATHER PATTERN HAS BECOME MORE PROGRESSIVE, WITH STORM
SYSTEMS TRACKING ACROSS THE COUNTRY EVERY FEW DAYS WITH MORE
FREQUENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR PRECIPITATION IN NEW ENGLAND THAN HAS
BEEN SEEN IN PAST MONTHS. THE NEXT GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
WILL BE THIS WEEKEND. IT WILL TAKE SEVERAL MONTHS OF ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION TO COMPLETELY ALLEVIATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THE
OFFICIAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 6 TO 10 DAY FORECAST FROM THE
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/ CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE 8 TO 14 DAY
OUTLOOK INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION.

THE 3 MONTH OUTLOOK CALLS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND EQUAL
CHANCES FOR ABOVE/NEAR/BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED... GROUNDWATER LEVELS ARE BELOW NORMAL BUT 
ARE RISING DUE TO RECENT PRECIPITATION. STREAM FLOWS ARE IN THE
NORMAL RANGE FOR THE TIME OF YEAR IN MAINE AND IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
EXCEPT FOR RIVERS AND STREAMS IN SOUTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE
STATE. RESERVOIRS IN THE ANDROSCOGGIN RIVER BASIN ARE SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THE TIME OF YEAR AND RESERVOIRS IN THE KENNEBEC RIVER
BASIN FLAGSTAFF AND BRASSUA LAKE ARE ABOVE NORMAL AND MOOSEHEAD IS
BELOW NORMAL.

IN THE CONNECTICUT RIVER BASIN... FIRST CONNECTICUT LAKE IS BELOW
NORMAL AND LAKE FRANCIS IS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL AT THE END OF
NOVEMBER.
LAKE WINNIPESAUKEE WAS JUST 47 PERCENT OF NORMAL AT THE END OF
NOVEMBER.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED THE WEEK JANUARY 9 OR SOONER IF
NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES...

US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
NORTHEAST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://WWW.NRCC.CORNELL.EDU

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV
US GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS...HTTP://WWW.USACE.ARMY.MIL

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL
INFORMATION...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS
AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...
STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
1 WEATHER LANE
GRAY ME 04039
PHONE...207-688-3216

$$

BECKER/HAWLEY