Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0726 MDT Thursday July 3 2025
This forecast is for Thursday, July 3, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 72.1 F/22.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 556 ft/min (2.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 15387 ft MSL (9053 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 82.0 F/28.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12641 ft MSL (6307 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 07/04....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:55:01 / 20:21:44 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 26 min 42 sec (866 min 42 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:22 MDT... 77.77 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/03/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15677 ft MSL (9343 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12083 ft MSL (5749 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 13647 ft MSL (7313 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.9
K index......................... +25.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.6 -86.1 180 13 7 4.5 2.5 77.0 170.6 29.2 M M
45000 -58.2 -72.8 220 18 9 5.2 2.8 64.8 148.7 23.6 M M
40000 -49.9 -57.8 230 28 14 7.7 4.2 55.7 132.3 19.0 M M
38000 -45.3 -49.5 220 25 13 7.6 4.2 53.7 128.6 18.1 M M
36000 -40.7 -41.3 210 22 11 7.7 4.2 52.3 126.1 17.5 M M
34000 -36.2 -33.2 215 19 10 7.6 4.2 50.3 122.5 16.4 M M
32000 -31.1 -24.0 220 16 8 7.7 4.2 48.6 119.5 15.6 M M
30000 -26.6 -15.9 215 17 9 7.6 4.2 46.8 116.2 14.5 M M
29000 -24.3 -11.7 210 17 9 7.7 4.2 46.0 114.8 14.0 M M
28000 -22.1 -7.8 210 18 9 6.8 3.7 45.3 113.5 13.6 M M
27000 -20.1 -4.2 205 17 9 6.7 3.7 44.0 111.2 12.7 M M
26000 -18.2 -0.8 205 16 8 6.8 3.7 42.9 109.2 11.9 M M
25000 -16.2 2.8 200 15 8 6.7 3.7 41.9 107.4 11.2 M M
24000 -14.3 6.3 200 14 7 6.4 3.5 40.6 105.1 10.2 M M
23000 -12.4 9.7 200 12 6 6.4 3.5 39.4 102.9 9.3 M M
22000 -10.6 12.9 200 10 5 6.3 3.5 38.3 100.9 8.4 M M
21000 -8.8 16.2 205 9 5 5.9 3.2 36.8 98.3 7.2 M M
20000 -7.1 19.2 210 8 4 5.9 3.2 35.5 95.9 6.1 M M
19500 -6.3 20.7 210 8 4 6.0 3.3 34.9 94.8 5.6 M M
19000 -5.4 22.3 215 7 4 4.8 2.6 34.2 93.5 5.0 M M
18500 -4.5 23.9 220 5 3 4.5 2.5 32.8 91.1 3.8 M M
18000 -3.8 25.2 220 4 2 4.6 2.5 32.0 89.5 3.0 M M
17500 -3.1 26.4 215 3 1 4.6 2.5 31.1 87.9 2.2 M M
17000 -2.4 27.7 190 1 1 4.9 2.7 30.2 86.4 1.5 M M
16500 -1.5 29.3 110 1 1 7.1 3.9 29.6 85.3 1.0 M M
16000 -0.5 31.1 080 3 2 7.1 3.9 29.2 84.5 0.5 M M
15500 0.5 32.9 075 4 2 6.4 3.5 28.7 83.6 0.1 M M
15000 1.4 34.5 065 4 2 6.4 3.5 28.1 82.6 -0.5 718 3.6
14500 2.3 36.1 060 4 2 6.5 3.6 27.6 81.7 -1.1 676 3.4
14000 3.2 37.8 060 3 1 6.6 3.6 27.1 80.7 -1.6 634 3.2
13500 4.1 39.4 055 2 1 6.7 3.7 26.6 79.8 -2.1 591 3.0
13000 5.1 41.2 000 0 0 6.8 3.7 26.1 79.0 -2.7 547 2.8
12500 6.0 42.8 265 1 1 6.9 3.8 25.6 78.1 -3.2 504 2.6
12000 7.0 44.6 250 2 1 7.3 4.0 25.2 77.4 -3.7 459 2.3
11500 8.0 46.4 240 4 2 7.4 4.1 24.8 76.7 -4.1 415 2.1
11000 9.0 48.2 235 5 3 6.9 3.8 24.4 75.9 -4.6 370 1.9
10500 10.0 50.0 230 7 3 7.0 3.8 24.0 75.2 -5.1 326 1.7
10250 10.5 50.9 225 7 4 7.0 3.8 23.8 74.8 -5.4 304 1.5
10000 11.0 51.8 225 8 4 6.9 3.8 23.5 74.4 -5.6 282 1.4
9750 11.5 52.7 220 8 4 6.9 3.8 23.3 74.0 -5.9 260 1.3
9500 11.9 53.4 220 8 4 6.8 3.7 23.1 73.6 -6.1 238 1.2
9250 12.4 54.3 215 8 4 7.3 4.0 22.9 73.2 -6.4 216 1.1
9000 12.9 55.2 215 8 4 6.0 3.3 22.7 72.8 -6.6 194 1.0
8750 13.3 55.9 215 8 4 4.6 2.5 22.3 72.2 -7.0 176 0.9
8500 13.6 56.5 210 8 4 4.8 2.6 21.9 71.5 -7.4 159 0.8
8250 13.9 57.0 210 7 4 4.2 2.3 21.5 70.8 -7.9 143 0.7
8000 14.2 57.6 205 7 3 3.7 2.0 21.1 70.0 -8.4 128 0.6
7750 14.4 57.9 200 6 3 2.7 1.5 20.6 69.1 -8.9 114 0.6
7500 14.5 58.1 195 5 3 2.7 1.5 20.0 68.1 -9.5 102 0.5
7250 14.7 58.5 190 5 2 3.3 1.8 19.5 67.2 -10.1 89 0.5
7000 14.9 58.8 180 4 2 3.4 1.9 19.1 66.3 -10.6 75 0.4
6750 15.1 59.2 170 4 2 3.3 1.8 18.6 65.5 -11.1 61 0.3
6500 15.3 59.5 155 3 2 0.1 0.1 18.0 64.4 -11.8 50 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/03/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/03/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +120.0 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +282.9 LI... -1.8
CINH... -40.2 K Index... +25.3 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +29.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.9 -86.6 180 17 9 3.9 2.1 | -65.4 -85.7 180 17 9 3.2 1.7
45000 -58.8 -73.8 205 19 10 5.5 3.0 | -59.0 -74.2 200 22 11 5.6 3.1
40000 -50.0 -58.0 225 26 14 7.7 4.2 | -50.0 -58.0 215 30 15 7.6 4.2
38000 -45.4 -49.7 225 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -45.5 -49.9 215 31 16 7.6 4.2
36000 -40.8 -41.4 225 29 15 7.7 4.2 | -40.9 -41.6 215 32 16 7.6 4.2
34000 -36.1 -33.0 220 25 13 7.9 4.3 | -36.4 -33.5 210 31 16 7.4 4.1
32000 -30.8 -23.4 210 21 11 7.8 4.3 | -31.5 -24.7 210 30 16 7.6 4.2
30000 -26.3 -15.3 205 19 10 7.6 4.2 | -26.8 -16.2 220 26 13 7.8 4.3
29000 -24.1 -11.4 205 17 9 7.6 4.2 | -24.5 -12.1 225 24 12 7.9 4.3
28000 -21.8 -7.2 200 16 8 7.4 4.1 | -22.2 -8.0 225 22 11 7.3 4.0
27000 -19.6 -3.3 200 16 8 7.4 4.1 | -20.0 -4.0 220 19 10 7.4 4.0
26000 -17.4 0.7 195 16 8 7.4 4.1 | -17.8 -0.0 215 17 9 7.4 4.0
25000 -15.2 4.6 190 16 8 7.0 3.9 | -15.6 3.9 205 15 8 7.1 3.9
24000 -13.5 7.7 190 15 8 5.5 3.0 | -13.7 7.3 205 15 8 6.2 3.4
23000 -11.9 10.6 190 13 7 5.5 3.0 | -11.9 10.6 205 14 7 6.2 3.4
22000 -10.3 13.5 190 11 6 5.6 3.1 | -10.0 14.0 205 13 7 6.1 3.3
21000 -8.7 16.3 190 11 6 5.9 3.2 | -8.4 16.9 205 13 6 5.7 3.1
20000 -7.0 19.4 195 11 6 5.9 3.3 | -6.7 19.9 210 12 6 5.7 3.1
19500 -6.2 20.8 195 11 6 6.0 3.3 | -5.9 21.4 210 11 6 5.9 3.2
19000 -5.4 22.3 200 11 6 5.5 3.0 | -5.2 22.6 215 11 6 4.8 2.7
18500 -4.2 24.4 210 9 5 5.4 3.0 | -4.2 24.4 220 10 5 4.8 2.6
18000 -3.5 25.7 215 8 4 4.8 2.7 | -3.5 25.7 225 10 5 4.9 2.7
17500 -2.8 27.0 220 6 3 4.7 2.6 | -2.9 26.8 225 10 5 5.0 2.7
17000 -2.1 28.2 230 5 3 4.8 2.6 | -2.2 28.0 225 10 5 5.4 3.0
16500 -1.3 29.7 230 4 2 5.3 2.9 | -1.3 29.7 230 9 5 6.7 3.7
16000 -0.5 31.1 215 3 2 5.2 2.9 | -0.3 31.5 230 9 4 6.7 3.7
15500 0.3 32.5 205 3 1 6.7 3.7 | 0.6 33.1 235 8 4 6.2 3.4
15000 1.3 34.3 210 3 1 6.7 3.7 | 1.5 34.7 240 8 4 6.2 3.4
14500 2.3 36.1 210 3 1 7.3 4.0 | 2.4 36.3 245 8 4 6.8 3.8
14000 3.3 37.9 220 3 2 7.6 4.2 | 3.4 38.1 245 8 4 7.1 3.9
13500 4.4 39.9 225 4 2 7.6 4.2 | 4.4 39.9 250 7 4 6.7 3.7
13000 5.5 41.9 225 4 2 7.6 4.2 | 5.2 41.4 255 7 3 6.1 3.4
12500 6.6 43.9 230 4 2 7.4 4.1 | 6.0 42.8 260 6 3 6.7 3.7
12000 7.6 45.7 235 4 2 6.8 3.7 | 7.2 45.0 260 6 3 8.6 4.7
11500 8.5 47.3 235 4 2 6.9 3.8 | 8.4 47.1 265 6 3 8.5 4.7
11000 9.4 48.9 245 4 2 6.5 3.5 | 9.7 49.5 265 6 3 9.5 5.2
10500 10.3 50.5 255 4 2 6.4 3.5 | 11.1 52.0 265 6 3 9.1 5.0
10250 10.8 51.4 260 4 2 5.7 3.1 | 11.8 53.2 265 6 3 9.0 4.9
10000 11.1 52.0 265 4 2 5.6 3.1 | 12.5 54.5 260 6 3 9.6 5.3
9750 11.6 52.9 270 4 2 5.9 3.2 | 13.2 55.8 260 6 3 9.6 5.3
9500 12.0 53.6 275 4 2 5.8 3.2 | 13.9 57.0 260 6 3 9.8 5.4
9250 12.4 54.3 280 4 2 6.1 3.3 | 14.6 58.3 260 6 3 10.5 5.7
9000 12.8 55.0 285 4 2 4.6 2.5 | 15.4 59.7 260 6 3 10.0 5.5
8750 13.0 55.4 290 4 2 3.0 1.6 | 16.1 61.0 260 6 3 9.2 5.1
8500 13.2 55.8 295 4 2 4.4 2.4 | 16.8 62.2 260 6 3 9.7 5.3
8250 13.5 56.3 300 3 2 6.3 3.5 | 17.6 63.7 255 6 3 10.4 5.7
8000 14.0 57.2 305 3 1 7.3 4.0 | 18.3 64.9 255 6 3 10.3 5.6
7750 14.5 58.1 310 2 1 7.5 4.1 | 19.1 66.4 255 6 3 9.3 5.1
7500 15.1 59.2 315 2 1 9.1 5.0 | 19.8 67.6 255 5 3 10.0 5.5
7250 15.9 60.6 315 2 1 10.6 5.8 | 20.6 69.1 255 5 3 11.0 6.0
7000 16.6 61.9 320 2 1 10.2 5.6 | 21.4 70.5 250 5 3 10.9 6.0
6750 17.4 63.3 325 1 1 10.6 5.8 | 22.2 72.0 250 5 3 10.8 5.9
6500 18.3 64.9 330 1 1 13.9 7.6 | 23.1 73.6 250 5 3 16.2 8.9
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/03/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/03/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +129.4 LI... -1.5 | CAPE... +106.9 LI... -0.7
CINH... -6.0 K Index... +31.3 | CINH... -86.0 K Index... +31.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.0 -85.0 190 19 10 2.5 1.4 | -65.5 -85.9 205 19 10 2.6 1.4
45000 -59.3 -74.7 205 28 14 5.9 3.2 | -59.6 -75.3 215 34 17 6.1 3.3
40000 -50.0 -58.0 220 36 19 7.6 4.2 | -50.1 -58.2 225 45 23 7.5 4.1
38000 -45.4 -49.7 220 36 18 7.6 4.2 | -45.6 -50.1 225 43 22 7.5 4.1
36000 -40.9 -41.6 220 35 18 7.7 4.2 | -41.1 -42.0 220 41 21 7.8 4.3
34000 -35.6 -32.1 215 33 17 7.9 4.3 | -35.4 -31.7 220 39 20 8.5 4.6
32000 -30.9 -23.6 210 31 16 7.9 4.3 | -30.3 -22.5 225 37 19 8.1 4.4
30000 -26.3 -15.3 205 30 15 7.9 4.3 | -26.1 -15.0 215 33 17 7.1 3.9
29000 -24.0 -11.2 205 29 15 7.9 4.4 | -24.0 -11.2 215 31 16 7.1 3.9
28000 -21.7 -7.1 200 28 14 7.3 4.0 | -21.9 -7.4 210 29 15 7.5 4.1
27000 -19.5 -3.1 205 25 13 7.3 4.0 | -19.7 -3.5 215 28 14 7.5 4.1
26000 -17.4 0.7 210 22 11 7.3 4.0 | -17.5 0.5 215 27 14 7.5 4.1
25000 -15.2 4.6 220 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -15.3 4.5 220 27 14 7.3 4.0
24000 -13.4 7.9 220 19 10 6.1 3.4 | -13.4 7.9 220 24 13 6.4 3.5
23000 -11.6 11.1 225 19 10 6.1 3.4 | -11.6 11.1 220 22 11 6.4 3.5
22000 -9.8 14.4 225 18 9 5.9 3.3 | -9.7 14.5 225 19 10 6.5 3.6
21000 -8.3 17.1 225 17 9 5.2 2.9 | -7.8 18.0 225 16 8 6.6 3.6
20000 -6.7 19.9 225 15 8 5.3 2.9 | -6.0 21.2 220 13 7 6.6 3.6
19500 -6.0 21.2 225 14 7 5.3 2.9 | -4.5 23.9 220 10 5 6.3 3.5
19000 -4.9 23.2 225 13 7 4.8 2.6 | -3.8 25.2 215 10 5 4.8 2.7
18500 -4.2 24.4 230 13 7 4.8 2.6 | -3.1 26.4 210 10 5 4.9 2.7
18000 -3.6 25.5 235 12 6 4.0 2.2 | -2.4 27.7 205 10 5 4.7 2.6
17500 -3.1 26.4 235 11 6 4.0 2.2 | -1.8 28.8 205 11 6 4.7 2.6
17000 -2.5 27.5 240 10 5 5.1 2.8 | -1.1 30.0 200 12 6 4.7 2.6
16500 -1.5 29.3 240 10 5 8.9 4.9 | -0.4 31.3 200 13 7 4.5 2.4
16000 -0.2 31.6 240 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 0.2 32.4 205 15 8 4.4 2.4
15500 0.9 33.6 240 9 5 7.4 4.1 | 0.9 33.6 205 16 8 5.9 3.3
15000 1.9 35.4 245 9 5 7.5 4.1 | 1.8 35.2 205 17 9 6.1 3.3
14500 3.0 37.4 245 10 5 6.6 3.6 | 2.6 36.7 205 18 9 6.9 3.8
14000 3.8 38.8 245 10 5 6.3 3.4 | 3.7 38.7 210 19 10 7.5 4.1
13500 4.7 40.5 245 10 5 7.3 4.0 | 4.8 40.6 210 20 10 7.6 4.2
13000 6.0 42.8 245 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 6.0 42.8 210 20 10 7.7 4.2
12500 7.3 45.1 245 10 5 9.1 5.0 | 7.1 44.8 210 20 10 7.8 4.3
12000 8.7 47.7 245 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 8.3 46.9 215 20 10 8.6 4.7
11500 10.1 50.2 245 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 9.6 49.3 215 20 10 8.3 4.6
11000 11.6 52.9 245 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 10.7 51.3 220 20 10 8.4 4.6
10500 13.1 55.6 245 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 12.0 53.6 225 19 10 8.4 4.6
10250 13.8 56.8 245 11 5 9.4 5.1 | 12.6 54.7 225 19 10 8.0 4.4
10000 14.5 58.1 245 11 5 9.7 5.3 | 13.1 55.6 230 19 10 7.6 4.1
9750 15.2 59.4 245 11 5 9.6 5.3 | 13.7 56.7 230 18 9 7.7 4.2
9500 15.9 60.6 245 11 5 9.8 5.4 | 14.2 57.6 235 18 9 7.6 4.1
9250 16.7 62.1 245 11 5 10.9 6.0 | 14.8 58.6 235 18 9 8.9 4.9
9000 17.5 63.5 245 11 6 9.9 5.4 | 15.5 59.9 240 17 9 7.8 4.3
8750 18.2 64.8 245 11 6 8.5 4.7 | 15.9 60.6 245 16 8 6.0 3.3
8500 18.8 65.8 245 11 6 9.2 5.0 | 16.4 61.5 245 16 8 6.3 3.5
8250 19.6 67.3 245 11 6 10.3 5.7 | 16.8 62.2 250 15 8 5.5 3.0
8000 20.3 68.5 245 11 6 10.5 5.7 | 17.1 62.8 260 15 8 4.6 2.5
7750 21.1 70.0 245 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 17.4 63.3 270 15 8 3.6 2.0
7500 21.8 71.2 245 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 17.6 63.7 275 15 8 3.1 1.7
7250 22.5 72.5 245 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 17.8 64.0 285 16 8 3.0 1.6
7000 23.3 73.9 245 11 5 9.7 5.3 | 18.0 64.4 290 16 8 3.0 1.6
6750 24.0 75.2 240 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 18.2 64.8 295 17 9 3.6 2.0
6500 24.7 76.5 240 10 5 10.6 5.8 | 18.5 65.3 300 17 9 7.4 4.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0725 MDT Thursday July 3 2025
This forecast is for Thursday, July 3, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 74.5 F/23.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 649 ft/min (3.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 15890 ft MSL (10203 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 86.0 F/30.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12945 ft MSL (7258 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 07/04....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:57:21 / 20:24:23 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 27 min 2 sec (867 min 2 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:52 MDT... 77.62 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/03/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15511 ft MSL (9824 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12358 ft MSL (6671 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 13919 ft MSL (8232 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.9
K index......................... +28.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.6 -86.1 190 15 8 4.3 2.4 79.4 174.9 29.1 M M
45000 -58.2 -72.8 220 21 11 5.3 2.9 66.9 152.5 23.4 M M
40000 -49.7 -57.5 225 30 16 7.7 4.2 57.9 136.3 18.9 M M
38000 -45.2 -49.4 220 30 16 7.6 4.2 55.9 132.6 18.0 M M
36000 -40.6 -41.1 215 30 16 7.6 4.2 54.5 130.1 17.4 M M
34000 -36.1 -33.0 215 27 14 7.5 4.1 52.4 126.2 16.2 M M
32000 -31.6 -24.9 215 23 12 7.6 4.2 50.8 123.4 15.4 M M
30000 -27.1 -16.8 210 20 10 7.5 4.1 48.8 119.9 14.3 M M
29000 -24.9 -12.8 210 18 9 7.5 4.1 48.0 118.4 13.8 M M
28000 -22.2 -8.0 205 17 9 6.8 3.7 47.0 116.5 13.1 M M
27000 -20.1 -4.2 200 17 9 6.9 3.8 45.8 114.4 12.3 M M
26000 -18.0 -0.4 200 16 8 6.9 3.8 44.7 112.4 11.6 M M
25000 -16.0 3.2 195 16 8 6.5 3.6 43.7 110.7 11.0 M M
24000 -14.3 6.3 195 15 8 5.8 3.2 42.2 108.0 9.8 M M
23000 -12.6 9.3 190 14 7 5.9 3.2 40.8 105.4 8.6 M M
22000 -10.9 12.4 190 13 7 5.9 3.2 39.5 103.1 7.5 M M
21000 -9.2 15.4 190 12 6 5.9 3.2 38.0 100.4 6.3 M M
20000 -7.6 18.3 190 10 5 5.9 3.3 36.6 98.0 5.1 M M
19500 -6.7 19.9 190 9 5 6.1 3.3 36.0 96.8 4.5 M M
19000 -6.0 21.2 190 8 4 5.0 2.7 35.3 95.6 3.9 M M
18500 -5.2 22.6 185 7 4 5.1 2.8 34.5 94.1 3.2 M M
18000 -4.5 23.9 180 6 3 5.4 3.0 33.7 92.7 2.5 M M
17500 -3.7 25.3 170 5 3 6.0 3.3 33.0 91.4 1.9 M M
17000 -2.8 27.0 160 5 2 6.0 3.3 32.4 90.3 1.3 M M
16500 -1.9 28.6 145 5 2 6.2 3.4 31.8 89.2 0.7 M M
16000 -1.0 30.2 140 5 3 6.2 3.4 31.2 88.1 0.2 M M
15500 -0.1 31.8 135 5 3 6.4 3.5 30.6 87.1 -0.4 820 4.2
15000 0.9 33.6 135 6 3 6.5 3.6 30.0 86.0 -0.9 777 3.9
14500 1.8 35.2 140 6 3 6.6 3.6 29.5 85.1 -1.4 735 3.7
14000 2.8 37.0 145 5 3 7.0 3.8 29.0 84.2 -1.9 691 3.5
13500 3.8 38.8 150 5 3 7.0 3.8 28.6 83.4 -2.4 646 3.3
13000 4.8 40.6 155 5 2 7.4 4.1 28.1 82.7 -2.9 601 3.1
12500 5.8 42.4 165 4 2 7.4 4.1 27.8 82.0 -3.3 555 2.8
12000 6.9 44.4 180 4 2 7.5 4.1 27.4 81.3 -3.7 508 2.6
11500 7.9 46.2 195 4 2 7.6 4.2 27.0 80.7 -4.1 462 2.3
11000 8.9 48.0 205 4 2 6.5 3.6 26.6 79.9 -4.6 416 2.1
10500 9.9 49.8 210 5 3 7.1 3.9 26.1 79.0 -5.2 374 1.9
10250 10.4 50.7 215 5 3 7.1 3.9 25.9 78.7 -5.4 351 1.8
10000 11.4 52.5 215 6 3 6.3 3.4 25.4 77.7 -5.9 307 1.6
9750 11.8 53.2 215 6 3 6.4 3.5 25.1 77.2 -6.2 286 1.5
9500 12.3 54.1 215 6 3 5.6 3.1 24.9 76.8 -6.5 265 1.3
9250 12.6 54.7 215 6 3 4.7 2.6 24.5 76.1 -6.9 247 1.3
9000 13.0 55.4 215 7 3 4.9 2.7 24.1 75.4 -7.3 229 1.2
8750 13.3 55.9 215 7 3 4.7 2.6 23.7 74.7 -7.7 211 1.1
8500 13.7 56.7 215 7 3 4.8 2.6 23.3 74.0 -8.1 194 1.0
8250 14.0 57.2 210 7 3 5.8 3.2 23.0 73.4 -8.5 176 0.9
8000 14.4 57.9 210 7 3 6.2 3.4 22.7 72.9 -8.8 156 0.8
7750 14.9 58.8 210 7 3 6.1 3.3 22.4 72.4 -9.1 136 0.7
7500 15.3 59.5 205 7 4 6.1 3.4 22.2 71.9 -9.5 116 0.6
7250 15.7 60.3 200 7 4 6.3 3.4 21.9 71.4 -9.8 96 0.5
7000 16.1 61.0 195 7 3 6.4 3.5 21.6 70.9 -10.1 76 0.4
6750 16.5 61.7 190 7 3 6.3 3.4 21.4 70.5 -10.5 56 0.3
6500 17.0 62.6 185 6 3 6.0 3.3 21.1 70.0 -10.8 35 0.2
6250 17.4 63.3 180 6 3 6.7 3.7 20.8 69.5 -11.1 15 0.1
6000 17.9 64.2 175 6 3 7.6 4.2 20.6 69.2 -11.4 M M
5750 18.3 64.9 170 4 2 2.1 1.2 20.4 68.6 -11.7 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/03/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/03/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +86.3 LI... -1.5 | CAPE... +229.8 LI... -2.0
CINH... -56.2 K Index... +28.2 | CINH... -6.8 K Index... +29.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.5 -85.9 185 18 9 3.8 2.1 | -65.4 -85.7 195 19 10 2.9 1.6
45000 -58.6 -73.5 205 22 11 5.4 3.0 | -59.2 -74.6 205 25 13 6.0 3.3
40000 -50.0 -58.0 220 30 15 7.7 4.2 | -49.9 -57.8 210 32 17 7.4 4.1
38000 -45.4 -49.7 220 31 16 7.7 4.2 | -45.5 -49.9 215 33 17 7.4 4.1
36000 -40.8 -41.4 220 31 16 7.7 4.2 | -41.0 -41.8 215 34 17 7.4 4.1
34000 -35.8 -32.4 215 30 16 7.5 4.1 | -35.9 -32.6 215 33 17 7.7 4.2
32000 -31.4 -24.5 210 30 15 7.6 4.1 | -31.3 -24.3 210 32 17 7.8 4.3
30000 -26.8 -16.2 205 22 12 7.8 4.3 | -26.8 -16.2 215 28 15 7.7 4.2
29000 -24.5 -12.1 205 19 10 7.8 4.3 | -24.5 -12.1 215 26 13 7.7 4.2
28000 -22.2 -8.0 200 15 8 7.4 4.1 | -22.3 -8.1 220 24 12 7.2 4.0
27000 -20.0 -4.0 200 16 8 7.3 4.0 | -20.2 -4.4 215 21 11 7.2 3.9
26000 -17.9 -0.2 195 17 9 7.3 4.0 | -18.1 -0.6 210 18 9 7.2 3.9
25000 -15.7 3.7 195 18 9 7.3 4.0 | -15.9 3.4 205 15 8 7.1 3.9
24000 -13.9 7.0 195 17 9 5.8 3.2 | -14.1 6.6 205 15 8 6.3 3.4
23000 -12.2 10.0 195 17 9 5.8 3.2 | -12.2 10.0 205 15 8 6.3 3.4
22000 -10.0 14.0 190 16 8 5.3 2.9 | -9.9 14.2 200 15 8 5.5 3.0
21000 -8.6 16.5 195 15 8 5.1 2.8 | -8.5 16.7 200 15 8 5.1 2.8
20000 -7.2 19.0 195 14 7 5.1 2.8 | -7.0 19.4 205 15 8 5.1 2.8
19500 -6.5 20.3 195 13 7 5.2 2.8 | -6.2 20.8 205 15 8 5.1 2.8
19000 -5.8 21.6 195 12 6 4.8 2.6 | -5.5 22.1 205 14 7 5.3 2.9
18500 -5.1 22.8 195 10 5 4.9 2.7 | -4.7 23.5 200 13 7 5.3 2.9
18000 -4.4 24.1 195 9 4 6.0 3.3 | -3.9 25.0 200 12 6 5.6 3.0
17500 -3.5 25.7 195 8 4 6.7 3.7 | -3.1 26.4 200 12 6 5.7 3.1
17000 -2.5 27.5 190 7 4 6.7 3.7 | -2.3 27.9 200 11 6 5.8 3.2
16500 -1.6 29.1 185 6 3 5.4 3.0 | -1.5 29.3 200 10 5 6.3 3.4
16000 -0.8 30.6 180 6 3 5.5 3.0 | -0.6 30.9 205 10 5 6.2 3.4
15500 0.0 32.0 170 5 3 6.8 3.7 | 0.3 32.5 205 9 5 6.7 3.7
15000 1.1 34.0 175 5 3 7.1 3.9 | 1.3 34.3 210 9 5 6.8 3.7
14500 2.1 35.8 175 5 3 7.2 3.9 | 2.2 36.0 220 8 4 6.9 3.8
14000 3.1 37.6 185 5 3 7.3 4.0 | 3.3 37.9 225 8 4 7.1 3.9
13500 4.2 39.6 190 5 3 7.2 4.0 | 4.3 39.7 230 8 4 7.2 3.9
13000 5.2 41.4 200 5 3 6.7 3.7 | 5.3 41.5 235 9 4 7.3 4.0
12500 6.1 43.0 215 5 3 6.8 3.7 | 6.3 43.3 240 9 5 7.3 4.0
12000 7.1 44.8 225 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 7.4 45.3 240 9 5 7.8 4.3
11500 8.1 46.6 235 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 8.5 47.3 245 9 5 7.9 4.3
11000 9.2 48.6 240 7 4 7.1 3.9 | 9.5 49.1 240 9 4 6.1 3.4
10500 10.2 50.4 245 8 4 7.3 4.0 | 10.4 50.7 240 8 4 7.8 4.3
10250 10.7 51.3 245 8 4 6.4 3.5 | 11.0 51.8 240 7 4 8.5 4.6
10000 11.1 52.0 245 8 4 5.6 3.1 | 11.6 52.9 235 7 4 8.3 4.5
9750 11.6 52.9 245 7 4 5.6 3.0 | 12.2 54.0 235 7 3 8.2 4.5
9500 12.0 53.6 240 7 4 6.5 3.6 | 12.8 55.0 230 6 3 8.7 4.7
9250 12.5 54.5 240 7 4 5.5 3.0 | 13.4 56.1 230 6 3 9.4 5.1
9000 12.7 54.9 240 7 3 3.7 2.0 | 14.1 57.4 230 6 3 9.3 5.1
8750 13.2 55.8 230 5 3 3.7 2.0 | 14.8 58.6 225 6 3 9.6 5.3
8500 13.5 56.3 225 5 2 5.2 2.9 | 16.1 61.0 225 6 3 9.0 4.9
8250 13.9 57.0 220 4 2 7.4 4.0 | 16.9 62.4 225 6 3 10.6 5.8
8000 14.4 57.9 215 4 2 7.3 4.0 | 17.6 63.7 225 6 3 10.4 5.7
7750 14.9 58.8 210 3 2 7.5 4.1 | 18.4 65.1 225 6 3 10.0 5.5
7500 15.5 59.9 205 3 2 8.1 4.5 | 19.1 66.4 225 6 3 9.4 5.2
7250 16.1 61.0 200 3 1 8.8 4.8 | 19.8 67.6 225 5 3 10.3 5.7
7000 16.8 62.2 195 3 1 8.9 4.9 | 20.6 69.1 225 5 3 11.0 6.1
6750 17.4 63.3 185 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 21.4 70.5 225 5 3 10.4 5.7
6500 18.1 64.6 185 2 1 9.9 5.5 | 22.2 72.0 225 5 3 10.3 5.7
6250 18.9 66.0 180 2 1 9.1 5.0 | 22.9 73.2 225 5 3 9.6 5.3
6000 19.5 67.1 180 2 1 11.1 6.1 | 23.7 74.7 225 5 3 14.5 8.0
5750 20.9 69.6 175 2 1 30.8 16.9 | 25.9 78.6 225 5 3 54.3 29.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/03/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/03/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +271.6 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +33.7 LI... -0.5
CINH... -1.7 K Index... +32.3 | CINH... -86.6 K Index... +29.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 195 20 10 2.5 1.4 | -65.8 -86.4 205 21 11 2.4 1.3
45000 -59.2 -74.6 205 31 16 5.9 3.3 | -60.0 -76.0 210 36 19 6.5 3.6
40000 -50.0 -58.0 215 42 22 7.6 4.2 | -50.1 -58.2 220 48 25 7.6 4.1
38000 -45.4 -49.7 215 42 22 7.6 4.2 | -45.6 -50.1 220 46 24 7.5 4.1
36000 -40.3 -40.5 215 42 21 7.5 4.1 | -40.5 -40.9 215 45 23 7.9 4.3
34000 -35.9 -32.6 210 37 19 7.5 4.1 | -35.7 -32.3 215 42 22 8.0 4.4
32000 -31.4 -24.5 205 33 17 7.6 4.2 | -30.9 -23.6 215 39 20 7.9 4.3
30000 -26.9 -16.4 205 32 16 7.7 4.2 | -26.6 -15.9 210 33 17 7.3 4.0
29000 -24.6 -12.3 205 31 16 7.7 4.3 | -24.4 -11.9 210 30 16 7.4 4.1
28000 -22.4 -8.3 200 30 15 7.2 3.9 | -22.2 -8.0 205 27 14 7.4 4.0
27000 -20.3 -4.5 200 27 14 7.1 3.9 | -20.1 -4.2 210 27 14 7.4 4.0
26000 -18.2 -0.8 200 23 12 7.1 3.9 | -17.9 -0.2 215 26 13 7.4 4.0
25000 -16.1 3.0 205 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -15.7 3.7 215 25 13 7.4 4.1
24000 -14.2 6.4 205 19 10 6.6 3.6 | -13.7 7.3 220 24 13 6.8 3.7
23000 -12.3 9.9 215 18 9 6.6 3.6 | -11.2 11.8 220 23 12 6.8 3.7
22000 -9.9 14.2 220 17 9 5.9 3.2 | -9.2 15.4 225 22 11 5.9 3.3
21000 -8.3 17.1 220 16 8 5.6 3.1 | -7.6 18.3 225 20 10 5.5 3.0
20000 -6.7 19.9 225 16 8 5.6 3.1 | -6.1 21.0 225 18 10 5.6 3.0
19500 -5.9 21.4 225 15 8 5.6 3.1 | -5.3 22.5 225 18 9 5.6 3.1
19000 -5.1 22.8 225 15 8 5.1 2.8 | -4.5 23.9 230 17 9 5.6 3.1
18500 -4.4 24.1 230 14 7 5.1 2.8 | -3.7 25.3 230 16 8 5.6 3.1
18000 -3.7 25.3 230 13 7 5.1 2.8 | -3.0 26.6 230 16 8 5.5 3.0
17500 -3.0 26.6 235 12 6 5.0 2.8 | -2.2 28.0 230 16 8 5.5 3.0
17000 -2.2 28.0 240 11 6 5.0 2.8 | -1.4 29.5 235 17 9 5.5 3.0
16500 -1.5 29.3 240 10 5 4.8 2.7 | -0.6 30.9 235 17 9 5.5 3.0
16000 -0.8 30.6 235 9 5 4.7 2.6 | 0.1 32.2 240 18 9 5.5 3.0
15500 -0.1 31.8 230 8 4 7.3 4.0 | 1.0 33.8 240 19 10 6.2 3.4
15000 1.0 33.8 225 8 4 7.8 4.3 | 1.9 35.4 245 19 10 6.4 3.5
14500 2.1 35.8 225 8 4 7.9 4.4 | 2.8 37.0 245 20 10 6.6 3.6
14000 3.3 37.9 220 8 4 8.1 4.4 | 3.8 38.8 245 19 10 6.8 3.7
13500 4.4 39.9 220 8 4 8.3 4.5 | 4.8 40.6 245 19 10 6.9 3.8
13000 5.7 42.3 220 9 4 8.8 4.8 | 5.8 42.4 240 19 10 7.6 4.2
12500 7.0 44.6 215 9 5 8.8 4.8 | 6.9 44.4 240 18 9 7.5 4.1
12000 8.3 46.9 215 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 8.0 46.4 235 17 9 7.7 4.2
11500 9.7 49.5 215 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 9.2 48.6 235 17 9 7.6 4.2
11000 11.1 52.0 215 10 5 8.7 4.8 | 10.3 50.5 235 16 8 8.1 4.5
10500 12.5 54.5 215 10 5 9.9 5.5 | 11.5 52.7 235 16 8 7.8 4.3
10250 13.2 55.8 215 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 12.0 53.6 230 15 8 7.7 4.2
10000 13.9 57.0 215 11 5 9.3 5.1 | 12.6 54.7 230 15 8 7.8 4.3
9750 14.6 58.3 215 11 6 9.3 5.1 | 13.2 55.8 230 14 7 8.2 4.5
9500 15.3 59.5 215 11 6 9.9 5.4 | 14.1 57.4 230 12 6 5.1 2.8
9250 16.1 61.0 215 11 6 10.1 5.5 | 14.5 58.1 235 11 6 6.4 3.5
9000 16.8 62.2 220 12 6 9.3 5.1 | 15.0 59.0 235 10 5 6.5 3.6
8750 17.5 63.5 220 12 6 10.1 5.5 | 15.5 59.9 240 8 4 6.5 3.6
8500 18.2 64.8 220 12 6 7.7 4.2 | 15.9 60.6 245 7 4 6.7 3.7
8250 19.5 67.1 220 13 7 11.0 6.0 | 16.4 61.5 255 6 3 5.9 3.2
8000 20.2 68.4 220 13 7 10.4 5.7 | 16.8 62.2 270 5 3 5.3 2.9
7750 21.0 69.8 220 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 17.1 62.8 290 5 3 5.1 2.8
7500 21.7 71.1 220 14 7 8.6 4.7 | 17.4 63.3 310 5 3 3.6 2.0
7250 22.3 72.1 220 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 17.7 63.9 325 6 3 5.6 3.1
7000 23.1 73.6 225 15 8 11.0 6.0 | 18.2 64.8 335 6 3 7.5 4.1
6750 23.9 75.0 225 15 8 9.9 5.4 | 18.7 65.7 340 7 4 7.3 4.0
6500 24.6 76.3 225 15 8 9.2 5.0 | 19.2 66.6 345 8 4 8.3 4.5
6250 25.3 77.5 225 16 8 8.9 4.9 | 19.8 67.6 350 8 4 7.7 4.2
6000 26.1 79.0 225 16 8 16.7 9.2 | 20.4 68.7 350 8 4 10.2 5.6
5750 28.7 83.7 225 15 8 63.7 34.9 | 21.8 71.2 355 8 4 34.9 19.1
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0727 MDT Thursday July 3 2025
This forecast is for Thursday, July 3, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 71.4 F/21.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 440 ft/min (2.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 16530 ft MSL (10074 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 84.0 F/29.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14057 ft MSL (7601 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 07/04....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:53:41 / 20:23:50 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 30 min 10 sec (870 min 10 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:45 MDT... 77.14 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/03/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15556 ft MSL (9100 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12463 ft MSL (6007 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14412 ft MSL (7956 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.3
K index......................... +24.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.5 -85.9 195 15 8 3.7 2.0 76.8 170.2 28.4 M M
45000 -58.6 -73.5 220 21 11 5.6 3.1 63.8 146.9 22.3 M M
40000 -49.7 -57.5 220 32 17 7.6 4.2 55.5 131.8 18.1 M M
38000 -45.1 -49.2 220 31 16 7.6 4.2 53.4 128.2 17.1 M M
36000 -40.6 -41.1 220 30 16 7.6 4.2 52.0 125.6 16.5 M M
34000 -36.1 -33.0 225 28 14 7.5 4.1 49.9 121.8 15.4 M M
32000 -31.6 -24.9 235 26 13 7.5 4.1 48.3 118.9 14.5 M M
30000 -27.1 -16.8 225 21 11 7.6 4.2 46.4 115.6 13.4 M M
29000 -24.2 -11.6 220 18 9 7.6 4.2 45.5 113.9 12.8 M M
28000 -22.0 -7.6 210 16 8 6.6 3.6 44.7 112.4 12.3 M M
27000 -20.0 -4.0 205 15 8 6.7 3.7 43.4 110.2 11.5 M M
26000 -18.0 -0.4 205 14 7 6.7 3.7 42.3 108.2 10.7 M M
25000 -16.0 3.2 200 13 7 6.6 3.6 41.3 106.4 9.9 M M
24000 -14.2 6.4 200 13 7 6.2 3.4 39.9 103.9 8.9 M M
23000 -12.4 9.7 200 13 6 6.2 3.4 38.6 101.5 7.8 M M
22000 -10.6 12.9 200 12 6 5.9 3.3 37.5 99.4 6.9 M M
21000 -9.0 15.8 200 11 6 5.4 3.0 35.9 96.5 5.5 M M
20000 -7.4 18.7 200 10 5 5.4 3.0 34.3 93.8 4.2 M M
19500 -6.7 19.9 200 10 5 5.3 2.9 33.6 92.6 3.6 M M
19000 -5.8 21.6 195 9 4 6.0 3.3 33.0 91.3 3.1 M M
18500 -4.9 23.2 185 7 4 6.0 3.3 32.3 90.1 2.5 M M
18000 -4.0 24.8 170 6 3 5.9 3.2 31.7 89.0 2.0 M M
17500 -3.2 26.2 150 5 2 5.7 3.1 31.0 87.8 1.3 M M
17000 -2.3 27.9 120 4 2 5.8 3.2 30.3 86.6 0.7 M M
16500 -1.6 29.1 095 4 2 5.5 3.0 29.6 85.3 0.0 M M
16000 -0.8 30.6 080 4 2 5.6 3.1 28.9 84.1 -0.7 806 4.1
15500 -0.0 32.0 065 3 2 6.2 3.4 28.3 82.9 -1.4 768 3.9
15000 0.9 33.6 045 3 1 6.7 3.7 27.7 81.9 -1.9 726 3.7
14500 1.8 35.2 025 2 1 6.8 3.8 27.2 81.0 -2.5 683 3.5
14000 2.8 37.0 355 2 1 7.3 4.0 26.8 80.3 -3.0 638 3.2
13500 3.8 38.8 315 2 1 7.3 4.0 26.4 79.5 -3.4 593 3.0
13000 4.9 40.8 290 3 1 7.3 4.0 26.0 78.8 -3.9 547 2.8
12500 5.9 42.6 275 3 2 7.4 4.1 25.6 78.1 -4.3 501 2.5
12000 7.3 45.1 260 4 2 6.3 3.5 24.9 76.8 -5.1 436 2.2
11500 8.3 46.9 250 4 2 6.9 3.8 24.4 76.0 -5.6 393 2.0
11000 9.2 48.6 240 4 2 6.4 3.5 23.9 75.0 -6.2 351 1.8
10500 10.1 50.2 225 4 2 6.4 3.5 23.4 74.1 -6.8 309 1.6
10250 10.5 50.9 215 5 2 6.5 3.6 23.1 73.6 -7.1 288 1.5
10000 11.0 51.8 205 5 3 6.5 3.6 22.9 73.2 -7.4 267 1.4
9750 11.5 52.7 195 5 3 6.8 3.7 22.6 72.7 -7.7 245 1.2
9500 11.9 53.4 190 6 3 5.5 3.0 22.4 72.3 -7.9 224 1.1
9250 12.3 54.1 185 6 3 5.1 2.8 22.0 71.6 -8.3 206 1.0
9000 12.7 54.9 175 6 3 6.0 3.3 21.7 71.1 -8.7 187 0.9
8750 13.1 55.6 170 7 3 5.9 3.2 21.4 70.5 -9.0 167 0.8
8500 13.5 56.3 165 7 4 5.4 3.0 21.1 70.0 -9.4 147 0.7
8250 13.8 56.8 160 8 4 4.8 2.6 20.7 69.3 -9.8 130 0.7
8000 14.2 57.6 155 8 4 4.6 2.5 20.4 68.6 -10.2 112 0.6
7750 14.5 58.1 150 7 4 4.6 2.5 20.0 67.9 -10.6 95 0.5
7500 14.8 58.6 145 7 3 5.7 3.2 19.6 67.3 -11.0 77 0.4
7250 15.3 59.5 145 6 3 6.5 3.6 19.4 66.8 -11.3 56 0.3
7000 15.7 60.3 140 5 3 5.1 2.8 19.1 66.3 -11.7 36 0.2
6750 15.9 60.6 140 5 2 1.3 0.7 18.6 65.5 -12.2 22 0.1
6500 15.8 60.4 130 3 1 -6.2 -3.4 17.7 63.9 -13.1 20 0.1
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/03/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/03/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +136.2 LI... -1.3 | CAPE... +368.6 LI... -2.0
CINH... -34.2 K Index... +22.8 | CINH... -1.6 K Index... +26.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.4 -85.7 185 18 9 4.1 2.2 | -65.0 -85.0 190 19 10 3.0 1.6
45000 -58.3 -72.9 205 22 11 5.2 2.9 | -58.7 -73.7 205 25 13 5.7 3.1
40000 -50.0 -58.0 225 32 16 7.4 4.0 | -49.7 -57.5 215 30 16 7.3 4.0
38000 -45.6 -50.1 220 31 16 7.4 4.0 | -45.4 -49.7 215 32 16 7.3 4.0
36000 -41.2 -42.2 215 30 16 7.5 4.1 | -41.0 -41.8 215 34 17 7.4 4.1
34000 -36.5 -33.7 210 25 13 7.8 4.3 | -36.4 -33.5 215 32 17 7.6 4.2
32000 -31.9 -25.4 195 20 10 7.9 4.3 | -31.9 -25.4 215 31 16 7.7 4.2
30000 -26.6 -15.9 195 17 9 7.9 4.4 | -26.6 -15.9 210 26 13 8.0 4.4
29000 -24.2 -11.6 200 15 8 7.9 4.4 | -24.2 -11.6 210 23 12 8.0 4.4
28000 -21.9 -7.4 200 14 7 7.1 3.9 | -22.0 -7.6 210 21 11 6.7 3.7
27000 -19.7 -3.5 200 15 8 7.2 4.0 | -19.9 -3.8 210 20 10 6.8 3.7
26000 -17.6 0.3 200 15 8 7.2 4.0 | -17.9 -0.2 205 19 10 6.8 3.7
25000 -15.4 4.3 200 16 8 6.8 3.7 | -15.8 3.6 205 18 9 6.7 3.7
24000 -13.6 7.5 200 15 8 6.0 3.3 | -13.9 7.0 205 17 9 6.5 3.6
23000 -11.9 10.6 195 14 7 6.1 3.3 | -11.9 10.6 200 15 8 6.5 3.6
22000 -10.2 13.6 195 14 7 6.0 3.3 | -10.0 14.0 195 14 7 6.1 3.4
21000 -8.5 16.7 200 12 6 5.7 3.1 | -8.4 16.9 200 13 7 5.7 3.1
20000 -6.8 19.8 205 10 5 5.8 3.2 | -6.8 19.8 205 12 6 5.7 3.2
19500 -6.0 21.2 210 9 5 5.9 3.2 | -6.0 21.2 205 11 6 5.9 3.2
19000 -5.2 22.6 215 8 4 4.5 2.4 | -5.2 22.6 210 11 5 4.9 2.7
18500 -4.5 23.9 215 7 4 4.6 2.5 | -4.5 23.9 215 10 5 5.0 2.7
18000 -3.8 25.2 215 6 3 4.8 2.6 | -3.8 25.2 215 9 5 5.3 2.9
17500 -3.1 26.4 205 5 3 5.2 2.9 | -3.0 26.6 215 8 4 5.7 3.1
17000 -2.3 27.9 195 4 2 5.1 2.8 | -2.1 28.2 215 7 4 5.8 3.2
16500 -1.5 29.3 185 4 2 5.9 3.2 | -1.3 29.7 215 6 3 5.3 2.9
16000 -0.6 30.9 175 3 1 5.9 3.2 | -0.5 31.1 210 6 3 5.3 2.9
15500 0.2 32.4 165 2 1 6.1 3.3 | 0.3 32.5 205 5 3 6.4 3.5
15000 1.0 33.8 180 1 1 6.3 3.4 | 1.3 34.3 205 5 2 7.0 3.8
14500 1.9 35.4 240 1 0 6.5 3.6 | 2.3 36.1 200 4 2 7.1 3.9
14000 2.8 37.0 280 1 1 7.1 3.9 | 3.3 37.9 205 4 2 7.3 4.0
13500 3.8 38.8 285 2 1 7.1 3.9 | 4.3 39.7 215 4 2 7.3 4.0
13000 4.9 40.8 280 3 2 7.4 4.1 | 5.4 41.7 220 4 2 7.4 4.0
12500 5.9 42.6 275 4 2 7.4 4.1 | 6.4 43.5 230 4 2 7.5 4.1
12000 7.5 45.5 265 5 3 7.2 4.0 | 7.8 46.0 235 5 2 6.4 3.5
11500 8.5 47.3 260 5 3 7.0 3.8 | 8.8 47.8 240 5 3 8.4 4.6
11000 9.5 49.1 255 5 3 6.5 3.5 | 10.0 50.0 240 5 3 8.5 4.6
10500 10.4 50.7 250 5 3 6.1 3.3 | 11.2 52.2 240 6 3 9.0 4.9
10250 10.8 51.4 250 5 2 5.9 3.2 | 11.9 53.4 240 6 3 9.6 5.3
10000 11.2 52.2 245 4 2 6.1 3.3 | 12.6 54.7 240 6 3 9.3 5.1
9750 11.6 52.9 240 4 2 6.9 3.8 | 13.2 55.8 240 6 3 9.4 5.2
9500 12.0 53.6 235 4 2 3.3 1.8 | 13.9 57.0 240 6 3 9.3 5.1
9250 12.1 53.8 235 3 2 2.7 1.5 | 14.6 58.3 240 6 3 9.5 5.2
9000 12.5 54.5 225 3 2 6.1 3.3 | 15.4 59.7 240 6 3 9.8 5.4
8750 12.8 55.0 215 3 2 5.0 2.7 | 16.1 61.0 240 6 3 9.6 5.3
8500 13.2 55.8 205 3 2 6.7 3.7 | 16.8 62.2 240 7 3 10.0 5.5
8250 13.7 56.7 200 3 2 8.5 4.7 | 17.6 63.7 245 7 3 10.4 5.7
8000 14.4 57.9 195 3 2 9.3 5.1 | 18.3 64.9 245 7 3 10.3 5.7
7750 15.1 59.2 195 3 2 9.8 5.4 | 19.1 66.4 245 7 3 10.4 5.7
7500 15.8 60.4 195 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 19.9 67.8 245 7 4 10.5 5.8
7250 16.5 61.7 195 4 2 10.0 5.5 | 20.7 69.3 245 7 4 11.0 6.1
7000 17.3 63.1 195 4 2 9.1 5.0 | 21.5 70.7 245 7 4 9.2 5.1
6750 18.0 64.4 195 3 2 11.7 6.4 | 22.2 72.0 245 7 3 13.9 7.6
6500 19.6 67.3 200 3 2 38.5 21.1 | 24.6 76.3 245 7 3 63.9 35.1
07/03/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/03/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +250.7 LI... -1.6 | CAPE... +210.9 LI... -1.4
CINH... -0.2 K Index... +29.5 | CINH... -50.0 K Index... +30.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.5 -84.1 190 19 10 2.5 1.4 | -65.0 -85.0 205 18 9 2.9 1.6
45000 -58.9 -74.0 200 29 15 5.7 3.1 | -58.7 -73.7 210 31 16 6.2 3.4
40000 -50.0 -58.0 215 39 20 7.5 4.1 | -49.3 -56.7 220 44 22 6.8 3.7
38000 -45.4 -49.7 215 38 19 7.5 4.1 | -45.2 -49.4 220 44 23 6.8 3.7
36000 -40.9 -41.6 215 36 19 7.5 4.1 | -41.1 -42.0 220 45 23 7.1 3.9
34000 -36.4 -33.5 210 35 18 7.7 4.2 | -36.4 -33.5 215 42 22 7.9 4.3
32000 -31.8 -25.2 205 33 17 7.7 4.2 | -31.7 -25.1 210 39 20 8.0 4.4
30000 -26.6 -15.9 210 29 15 7.9 4.3 | -26.6 -15.9 205 36 19 7.5 4.1
29000 -24.3 -11.7 210 28 14 7.9 4.3 | -24.4 -11.9 205 35 18 7.5 4.1
28000 -22.0 -7.6 210 25 13 6.9 3.8 | -22.2 -8.0 200 33 17 7.0 3.8
27000 -19.9 -3.8 210 22 12 7.1 3.9 | -20.2 -4.4 205 30 15 7.0 3.9
26000 -17.8 -0.0 210 19 10 7.1 3.9 | -18.1 -0.6 205 27 14 7.1 3.9
25000 -15.7 3.7 205 16 8 6.7 3.7 | -16.0 3.2 205 24 12 6.8 3.7
24000 -13.9 7.0 205 15 8 6.2 3.4 | -14.2 6.4 210 22 11 6.2 3.4
23000 -12.0 10.4 205 15 8 6.2 3.4 | -12.4 9.7 220 19 10 6.3 3.4
22000 -10.2 13.6 210 14 7 6.1 3.3 | -10.5 13.1 225 17 9 6.4 3.5
21000 -8.5 16.7 210 13 7 5.9 3.2 | -8.6 16.5 230 16 8 6.7 3.7
20000 -6.7 19.9 210 13 7 5.9 3.2 | -6.7 19.9 230 15 8 6.7 3.7
19500 -5.9 21.4 215 13 7 6.0 3.3 | -5.7 21.7 230 14 7 6.8 3.8
19000 -5.1 22.8 215 13 7 5.4 3.0 | -4.8 23.4 230 13 7 5.2 2.9
18500 -4.3 24.3 210 13 6 5.5 3.0 | -4.0 24.8 230 12 6 5.3 2.9
18000 -3.5 25.7 210 12 6 5.8 3.2 | -3.3 26.1 230 11 6 5.3 2.9
17500 -2.6 27.3 210 12 6 6.3 3.5 | -2.5 27.5 225 10 5 5.4 2.9
17000 -1.8 28.8 210 11 6 6.5 3.6 | -1.7 28.9 225 9 5 5.2 2.9
16500 -0.9 30.4 210 11 6 5.4 3.0 | -0.9 30.4 220 9 4 7.0 3.8
16000 -0.2 31.6 210 11 5 5.5 3.0 | 0.1 32.2 220 8 4 6.9 3.8
15500 0.6 33.1 215 10 5 6.1 3.3 | 1.1 34.0 220 7 3 6.9 3.8
15000 1.5 34.7 220 10 5 6.5 3.5 | 2.0 35.6 220 6 3 6.8 3.7
14500 2.4 36.3 230 10 5 6.9 3.8 | 3.0 37.4 225 6 3 6.9 3.8
14000 3.5 38.3 230 10 5 8.3 4.6 | 4.0 39.2 225 6 3 7.2 3.9
13500 4.7 40.5 235 11 5 8.3 4.5 | 5.1 41.2 230 7 3 7.1 3.9
13000 5.9 42.6 240 11 6 9.0 4.9 | 6.1 43.0 230 8 4 8.0 4.4
12500 7.9 46.2 240 11 6 9.2 5.1 | 7.9 46.2 230 10 5 7.7 4.2
12000 9.3 48.7 240 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 8.9 48.0 235 12 6 7.2 3.9
11500 10.7 51.3 240 11 6 9.2 5.0 | 10.0 50.0 230 14 7 7.8 4.3
11000 12.2 54.0 240 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 11.1 52.0 235 17 9 7.0 3.8
10500 13.6 56.5 240 12 6 9.2 5.0 | 12.1 53.8 240 19 10 7.2 4.0
10250 14.3 57.7 240 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 12.6 54.7 240 20 10 7.2 3.9
10000 15.0 59.0 240 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 13.1 55.6 240 21 11 6.8 3.7
9750 15.7 60.3 240 13 6 9.8 5.4 | 13.6 56.5 240 22 11 6.9 3.8
9500 16.5 61.7 240 13 7 9.9 5.4 | 14.1 57.4 245 23 12 6.8 3.7
9250 17.2 63.0 240 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 14.6 58.3 245 24 12 6.8 3.7
9000 17.9 64.2 245 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 15.1 59.2 245 24 12 6.7 3.7
8750 18.6 65.5 245 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 15.6 60.1 245 25 13 6.9 3.8
8500 19.4 66.9 245 14 7 10.0 5.5 | 16.1 61.0 245 26 13 6.2 3.4
8250 20.1 68.2 245 14 7 10.6 5.8 | 16.5 61.7 245 26 13 6.5 3.5
8000 20.9 69.6 245 14 7 10.4 5.7 | 17.0 62.6 245 26 13 8.3 4.6
7750 21.7 71.1 245 14 7 10.5 5.7 | 17.7 63.9 245 26 13 8.8 4.8
7500 22.5 72.5 245 14 7 10.3 5.6 | 18.3 64.9 245 25 13 8.9 4.9
7250 23.2 73.8 245 14 7 10.5 5.8 | 19.0 66.2 245 25 13 9.4 5.2
7000 24.0 75.2 245 14 7 9.4 5.2 | 19.7 67.5 245 25 13 8.6 4.7
6750 24.8 76.6 245 13 7 14.7 8.1 | 20.3 68.5 245 23 12 11.0 6.0
6500 27.2 81.0 240 12 6 61.3 33.6 | 21.8 71.2 240 19 10 33.2 18.2
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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