Strong thunderstorms with damaging winds and heavy rain are expected across portions of the Southeast. Thunderstorms may produce large hail across portions of Montana. Heavy rainfall could produce flash flooding across Iowa and vulnerable areas in Utah. Lowell will bring heavy rain, dangerous swells and rip currents to portions of Hawaii. Sweltering heat persists across the South-Central US. Read More >
Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0808 MDT Sunday September 6 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, September 6, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 80.6 F/27.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1314 ft/min (6.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18297 ft MSL (11972 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14395 ft MSL (8071 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 09/07....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:40:42 / 19:23:52 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 43 min 10 sec (763 min 10 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:02:17 MDT... 61.23 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 09/06/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16320 ft MSL (9995 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17305 ft MSL (10980 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17929 ft MSL (11604 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.2
K index......................... +27.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.6 -89.7 280 24 12 4.2 2.3 72.5 162.5 24.0 M M
45000 -59.6 -75.3 275 29 15 7.0 3.8 62.3 144.1 19.2 M M
40000 -48.9 -56.0 270 31 16 7.5 4.1 56.6 133.9 16.6 M M
38000 -43.9 -47.0 265 31 16 7.6 4.1 54.3 129.8 15.5 M M
36000 -39.3 -38.7 260 30 15 8.3 4.5 52.8 127.1 14.7 M M
34000 -34.4 -29.9 250 26 14 8.2 4.5 51.3 124.4 14.0 M M
32000 -29.5 -21.1 240 24 12 7.2 4.0 50.3 122.6 13.6 M M
30000 -25.7 -14.3 240 20 10 6.5 3.6 47.5 117.6 11.7 M M
29000 -23.8 -10.8 240 19 10 6.5 3.6 46.4 115.4 10.8 M M
28000 -21.8 -7.2 240 17 9 7.2 4.0 45.3 113.5 10.1 M M
27000 -19.7 -3.5 235 14 7 7.2 3.9 44.2 111.5 9.3 M M
26000 -17.6 0.3 230 11 6 7.2 3.9 43.2 109.8 8.6 M M
25000 -15.5 4.1 220 8 4 7.3 4.0 42.4 108.4 7.9 M M
24000 -13.3 8.1 215 7 3 7.4 4.0 41.4 106.6 7.2 M M
23000 -11.1 12.0 205 5 3 7.4 4.0 40.6 105.1 6.6 M M
22000 -8.9 16.0 190 4 2 5.8 3.2 39.8 103.7 6.0 M M
21000 -7.7 18.1 210 4 2 4.4 2.4 37.9 100.1 4.3 M M
20000 -6.1 21.0 235 5 3 4.5 2.5 35.6 96.0 2.3 M M
19500 -5.4 22.3 240 6 3 5.0 2.7 34.7 94.5 1.5 M M
19000 -4.7 23.5 245 6 3 5.4 3.0 34.0 93.1 0.8 M M
18500 -3.9 25.0 250 6 3 5.4 2.9 33.2 91.8 0.1 M M
18000 -3.0 26.6 245 6 3 6.0 3.3 32.5 90.6 -0.5 1083 5.5
17500 -2.2 28.0 240 6 3 6.0 3.3 31.9 89.4 -1.1 1042 5.3
17000 -1.3 29.7 235 6 3 6.8 3.7 31.3 88.3 -1.7 1002 5.1
16500 -0.2 31.6 220 6 3 7.4 4.1 30.9 87.6 -2.1 955 4.8
16000 0.8 33.4 210 6 3 7.6 4.2 30.5 86.9 -2.5 907 4.6
15500 2.1 35.8 205 6 3 9.4 5.1 30.3 86.6 -2.7 855 4.3
15000 3.5 38.3 205 6 3 9.3 5.1 30.2 86.4 -2.8 799 4.1
14500 4.8 40.6 210 6 3 8.7 4.7 30.1 86.2 -3.0 745 3.8
14000 6.0 42.8 215 6 3 8.6 4.7 29.9 85.9 -3.2 692 3.5
13500 7.3 45.1 220 6 3 8.4 4.6 29.8 85.6 -3.4 639 3.2
13000 8.5 47.3 220 6 3 8.4 4.6 29.5 85.2 -3.7 588 3.0
12500 9.7 49.5 220 6 3 8.1 4.4 29.3 84.8 -3.9 537 2.7
12000 10.9 51.6 220 6 3 7.9 4.3 29.0 84.2 -4.2 487 2.5
11500 12.1 53.8 225 5 3 8.6 4.7 28.7 83.7 -4.5 437 2.2
11000 13.4 56.1 225 5 3 8.0 4.4 28.5 83.4 -4.7 382 1.9
10500 14.7 58.5 225 4 2 7.7 4.2 28.3 83.0 -4.9 329 1.7
10250 15.3 59.5 225 4 2 7.9 4.3 28.1 82.6 -5.0 304 1.5
10000 15.9 60.6 230 4 2 8.7 4.8 28.0 82.5 -5.1 277 1.4
9750 16.6 61.9 235 4 2 8.6 4.7 27.9 82.3 -5.2 250 1.3
9500 17.2 63.0 240 4 2 8.6 4.7 27.9 82.2 -5.3 223 1.1
9250 17.9 64.2 245 4 2 8.7 4.8 27.8 82.0 -5.4 196 1.0
9000 18.5 65.3 250 4 2 7.9 4.4 27.7 81.8 -5.5 170 0.9
8750 19.1 66.4 255 4 2 7.5 4.1 27.5 81.5 -5.7 146 0.7
8500 19.6 67.3 255 5 2 7.2 4.0 27.3 81.2 -5.9 122 0.6
8250 20.1 68.2 260 5 2 6.8 3.7 27.1 80.8 -6.1 100 0.5
8000 20.6 69.1 260 5 3 6.6 3.6 26.9 80.4 -6.4 78 0.4
7750 21.1 70.0 260 5 3 6.5 3.6 26.6 80.0 -6.7 56 0.3
7500 21.5 70.7 260 5 2 4.5 2.5 26.4 79.4 -7.0 36 0.2
7250 21.7 71.1 260 4 2 2.6 1.4 25.9 78.5 -7.5 22 0.1
7000 21.9 71.4 260 4 2 3.9 2.1 25.4 77.6 -8.1 9 0.0
6750 22.1 71.8 255 3 2 0.3 0.2 24.8 76.7 -8.6 M M
6500 21.7 71.1 255 2 1 -11.5 -6.3 23.7 74.7 -9.8 0 0.0
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
09/06/2026 at 0900 MDT | 09/06/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.1 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.1
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +27.4 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +27.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.2 -89.0 270 16 8 4.2 2.3 | -67.4 -89.3 265 14 7 4.8 2.6
45000 -59.5 -75.1 270 23 12 6.6 3.6 | -58.9 -74.0 265 22 11 6.3 3.4
40000 -48.8 -55.8 275 26 13 7.6 4.2 | -48.8 -55.8 265 24 12 8.2 4.5
38000 -44.2 -47.6 275 26 13 7.6 4.2 | -43.9 -47.0 260 25 13 8.2 4.5
36000 -39.6 -39.3 275 25 13 8.7 4.8 | -39.0 -38.2 260 25 13 8.3 4.6
34000 -34.3 -29.7 260 21 11 8.8 4.9 | -34.0 -29.2 245 24 13 8.3 4.6
32000 -29.0 -20.2 235 18 9 8.0 4.4 | -29.1 -20.4 230 25 13 7.7 4.2
30000 -25.3 -13.5 235 17 9 5.5 3.0 | -24.8 -12.6 230 21 11 6.4 3.5
29000 -23.7 -10.7 235 16 8 5.6 3.1 | -22.9 -9.2 235 19 10 6.4 3.5
28000 -21.9 -7.4 235 15 7 6.9 3.8 | -20.9 -5.6 235 17 9 6.7 3.7
27000 -19.9 -3.8 225 12 6 6.9 3.8 | -19.0 -2.2 235 14 7 6.8 3.7
26000 -17.9 -0.2 215 9 5 6.9 3.8 | -17.0 1.4 230 12 6 6.8 3.7
25000 -15.9 3.4 195 8 4 6.8 3.7 | -15.0 5.0 230 9 5 6.4 3.5
24000 -13.9 7.0 185 7 4 6.7 3.7 | -13.2 8.2 225 9 4 6.2 3.4
23000 -12.0 10.4 180 7 4 6.7 3.7 | -11.4 11.5 215 8 4 6.3 3.4
22000 -10.0 14.0 170 7 4 6.3 3.5 | -9.6 14.7 205 8 4 5.9 3.2
21000 -8.2 17.2 170 5 3 6.2 3.4 | -8.0 17.6 195 6 3 5.7 3.1
20000 -6.4 20.5 165 3 2 6.3 3.4 | -6.3 20.7 185 5 3 5.7 3.2
19500 -5.5 22.1 160 2 1 6.3 3.5 | -5.5 22.1 175 5 2 5.8 3.2
19000 -4.5 23.9 155 2 1 6.7 3.7 | -4.7 23.5 180 4 2 5.7 3.1
18500 -3.5 25.7 160 1 1 6.7 3.7 | -3.8 25.2 185 4 2 5.7 3.1
18000 -2.6 27.3 170 1 1 6.2 3.4 | -3.0 26.6 195 4 2 6.1 3.3
17500 -1.7 28.9 195 2 1 6.0 3.3 | -2.1 28.2 200 4 2 6.2 3.4
17000 -0.4 31.3 205 3 2 6.6 3.6 | -0.8 30.6 210 5 3 7.2 3.9
16500 0.6 33.1 200 4 2 6.8 3.7 | 0.3 32.5 205 5 3 7.5 4.1
16000 1.6 34.9 200 6 3 7.2 3.9 | 1.4 34.5 200 5 3 7.6 4.1
15500 2.7 36.9 195 6 3 8.3 4.6 | 2.5 36.5 195 5 3 7.7 4.2
15000 4.0 39.2 185 7 3 8.2 4.5 | 3.7 38.7 190 5 3 7.6 4.2
14500 5.2 41.4 185 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 4.8 40.6 185 5 3 8.4 4.6
14000 6.4 43.5 190 7 3 8.6 4.7 | 6.0 42.8 185 5 2 8.3 4.6
13500 7.7 45.9 190 6 3 8.3 4.6 | 7.3 45.1 185 4 2 8.4 4.6
13000 8.9 48.0 195 6 3 8.3 4.5 | 8.5 47.3 190 3 2 8.4 4.6
12500 10.0 50.0 205 6 3 7.9 4.3 | 9.7 49.5 190 2 1 8.5 4.7
12000 11.2 52.2 215 5 3 7.7 4.2 | 11.0 51.8 200 2 1 8.6 4.7
11500 12.3 54.1 225 5 3 7.8 4.3 | 12.3 54.1 215 1 1 8.6 4.7
11000 13.5 56.3 235 5 3 8.2 4.5 | 13.7 56.7 220 1 0 9.5 5.2
10500 14.8 58.6 245 5 3 7.7 4.2 | 15.1 59.2 245 1 0 9.1 5.0
10250 15.4 59.7 255 5 2 7.7 4.2 | 15.8 60.4 240 1 0 9.2 5.0
10000 16.0 60.8 260 5 2 8.3 4.6 | 16.5 61.7 000 0 0 9.8 5.4
9750 16.6 61.9 265 5 2 8.2 4.5 | 17.2 63.0 000 0 0 9.5 5.2
9500 17.3 63.1 275 5 2 8.2 4.5 | 17.9 64.2 000 0 0 10.2 5.6
9250 17.9 64.2 285 5 2 8.2 4.5 | 18.7 65.7 000 0 0 10.8 5.9
9000 18.5 65.3 295 5 2 7.4 4.0 | 19.5 67.1 000 0 0 9.9 5.4
8750 19.0 66.2 305 5 2 7.1 3.9 | 20.2 68.4 000 0 0 9.4 5.2
8500 19.5 67.1 310 5 3 6.2 3.4 | 20.9 69.6 000 0 0 9.6 5.3
8250 19.9 67.8 320 5 3 5.2 2.8 | 21.6 70.9 000 0 0 9.6 5.3
8000 20.3 68.5 330 5 3 5.1 2.8 | 22.4 72.3 000 0 0 9.8 5.4
7750 20.6 69.1 335 6 3 4.4 2.4 | 23.1 73.6 000 0 0 10.2 5.6
7500 20.9 69.6 340 6 3 5.8 3.2 | 23.9 75.0 040 1 0 10.3 5.6
7250 21.4 70.5 345 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 24.7 76.5 045 1 0 10.5 5.8
7000 21.9 71.4 345 6 3 6.4 3.5 | 25.4 77.7 050 1 0 9.8 5.4
6750 22.4 72.3 350 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 26.2 79.2 055 1 0 11.7 6.4
6500 23.3 73.9 350 5 3 15.1 8.3 | 27.3 81.1 070 1 0 19.7 10.8
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
09/06/2026 at 1500 MDT | 09/06/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +43.7 LI... -1.5 | CAPE... +119.9 LI... -1.5
CINH... -0.7 K Index... +31.0 | CINH... -6.8 K Index... +31.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.2 -89.0 250 16 8 4.7 2.6 | -67.0 -88.6 245 15 8 4.5 2.4
45000 -59.3 -74.7 260 22 12 6.1 3.4 | -58.6 -73.5 265 23 12 6.6 3.6
40000 -49.0 -56.2 270 25 13 8.3 4.5 | -48.5 -55.3 275 27 14 7.5 4.1
38000 -44.0 -47.2 265 25 13 8.3 4.6 | -44.0 -47.2 260 27 14 7.5 4.1
36000 -39.1 -38.4 260 26 13 7.9 4.3 | -39.4 -38.9 250 28 14 8.0 4.4
34000 -34.4 -29.9 245 26 13 7.8 4.3 | -34.6 -30.3 245 27 14 8.0 4.4
32000 -29.7 -21.5 235 26 14 7.6 4.2 | -29.8 -21.6 240 27 14 7.8 4.3
30000 -25.1 -13.2 235 25 13 7.0 3.8 | -25.0 -13.0 235 23 12 7.3 4.0
29000 -23.0 -9.4 235 25 13 7.0 3.8 | -22.8 -9.0 235 22 11 7.3 4.0
28000 -21.0 -5.8 230 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -20.7 -5.3 235 20 10 6.9 3.8
27000 -19.0 -2.2 225 19 10 7.0 3.8 | -18.7 -1.7 230 19 10 7.0 3.8
26000 -16.9 1.6 220 15 8 7.0 3.8 | -16.6 2.1 225 17 9 7.0 3.8
25000 -14.9 5.2 210 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -14.6 5.7 220 15 8 6.7 3.7
24000 -12.9 8.8 215 11 6 6.7 3.7 | -12.6 9.3 220 14 7 6.7 3.7
23000 -11.0 12.2 220 11 5 6.7 3.7 | -10.7 12.7 220 12 6 6.7 3.7
22000 -9.1 15.6 225 10 5 5.2 2.9 | -8.8 16.2 215 11 6 5.7 3.1
21000 -7.8 18.0 220 8 4 4.7 2.6 | -7.2 19.0 215 8 4 5.4 3.0
20000 -6.4 20.5 220 6 3 4.8 2.6 | -5.7 21.7 210 6 3 5.4 3.0
19500 -5.8 21.6 215 5 2 4.9 2.7 | -4.9 23.2 205 5 2 5.3 2.9
19000 -5.0 23.0 220 4 2 5.7 3.1 | -4.3 24.3 195 3 2 4.0 2.2
18500 -4.2 24.4 230 3 2 5.7 3.1 | -3.7 25.3 170 2 1 4.1 2.2
18000 -3.4 25.9 245 2 1 6.7 3.7 | -3.1 26.4 120 1 1 6.3 3.5
17500 -2.4 27.7 250 2 1 7.2 3.9 | -2.1 28.2 135 1 1 7.4 4.1
17000 -0.8 30.6 255 2 1 7.6 4.2 | -1.0 30.2 150 1 1 7.5 4.1
16500 0.3 32.5 235 2 1 7.8 4.3 | 0.7 33.3 190 3 2 8.1 4.4
16000 1.4 34.5 215 2 1 8.1 4.5 | 1.8 35.2 200 5 2 8.4 4.6
15500 2.8 37.0 210 2 1 9.6 5.3 | 3.2 37.8 205 6 3 9.4 5.1
15000 4.2 39.6 210 2 1 9.6 5.3 | 4.5 40.1 205 6 3 9.3 5.1
14500 5.6 42.1 210 2 1 9.4 5.2 | 5.9 42.6 205 7 4 9.7 5.3
14000 7.0 44.6 205 3 1 9.5 5.2 | 7.4 45.3 205 7 4 9.7 5.3
13500 8.4 47.1 205 3 1 9.6 5.3 | 8.8 47.8 205 8 4 9.4 5.2
13000 9.9 49.8 205 3 1 9.7 5.3 | 10.2 50.4 205 8 4 9.3 5.1
12500 11.3 52.3 200 3 2 9.6 5.3 | 11.6 52.9 205 8 4 9.3 5.1
12000 12.7 54.9 200 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 13.0 55.4 205 9 4 9.2 5.0
11500 14.1 57.4 195 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 14.4 57.9 205 9 5 10.1 5.5
11000 15.6 60.1 190 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 15.8 60.4 200 9 5 9.1 5.0
10500 17.0 62.6 190 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 17.2 63.0 200 10 5 8.6 4.7
10250 17.7 63.9 185 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 17.8 64.0 200 10 5 8.7 4.8
10000 18.5 65.3 185 5 2 9.9 5.5 | 18.5 65.3 200 10 5 9.6 5.3
9750 19.2 66.6 185 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 19.1 66.4 195 10 5 9.3 5.1
9500 19.9 67.8 185 5 3 10.4 5.7 | 19.8 67.6 195 11 5 9.7 5.3
9250 20.7 69.3 180 5 3 11.1 6.1 | 20.6 69.1 195 11 6 9.9 5.4
9000 21.5 70.7 180 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 21.3 70.3 195 11 6 8.9 4.9
8750 22.2 72.0 180 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 21.9 71.4 190 11 6 8.2 4.5
8500 22.9 73.2 180 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 22.5 72.5 190 12 6 8.9 4.9
8250 23.6 74.5 180 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 23.2 73.8 190 12 6 9.5 5.2
8000 24.4 75.9 180 7 3 10.2 5.6 | 23.9 75.0 185 12 6 9.6 5.3
7750 25.2 77.4 180 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 24.6 76.3 185 13 6 9.7 5.3
7500 25.9 78.6 180 7 4 10.2 5.6 | 25.3 77.5 185 13 7 9.4 5.2
7250 26.7 80.1 175 7 4 10.7 5.9 | 26.0 78.8 185 13 7 9.1 5.0
7000 27.5 81.5 175 7 4 10.4 5.7 | 26.7 80.1 185 13 7 9.2 5.1
6750 28.2 82.8 175 8 4 11.0 6.0 | 27.4 81.3 180 13 6 10.3 5.6
6500 29.2 84.6 175 8 4 17.7 9.7 | 28.3 82.9 180 12 6 12.7 6.9
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0807 MDT Sunday September 6 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, September 6, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 83.3 F/28.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1054 ft/min (5.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17114 ft MSL (11433 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12520 ft MSL (6839 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 09/07....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:43:08 / 19:26:24 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 43 min 15 sec (763 min 15 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:46 MDT... 61.16 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 09/06/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16467 ft MSL (10786 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17820 ft MSL (12139 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17656 ft MSL (11975 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.2
K index......................... +23.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.3 -89.1 275 25 13 4.0 2.2 75.2 167.3 25.1 M M
45000 -59.6 -75.3 270 31 16 6.9 3.8 64.5 148.2 20.1 M M
40000 -48.7 -55.7 265 32 17 7.4 4.1 58.2 136.7 17.2 M M
38000 -44.2 -47.6 260 30 16 7.4 4.1 56.1 132.9 16.2 M M
36000 -39.7 -39.5 250 29 15 9.2 5.0 54.6 130.2 15.5 M M
34000 -34.3 -29.7 240 27 14 9.1 5.0 53.8 128.8 15.3 M M
32000 -28.9 -20.0 235 25 13 7.7 4.2 53.5 128.3 15.4 M M
30000 -25.3 -13.5 235 24 12 6.0 3.3 50.3 122.5 13.3 M M
29000 -23.5 -10.3 235 24 12 6.0 3.3 48.9 120.0 12.4 M M
28000 -21.7 -7.1 235 22 12 6.9 3.8 47.6 117.7 11.5 M M
27000 -19.7 -3.5 230 19 10 6.8 3.7 46.4 115.5 10.6 M M
26000 -17.7 0.1 230 15 8 6.8 3.7 45.3 113.5 9.8 M M
25000 -15.7 3.7 220 12 6 6.8 3.8 44.3 111.7 9.1 M M
24000 -13.2 8.2 220 10 5 6.9 3.8 42.9 109.2 8.0 M M
23000 -11.1 12.0 215 8 4 7.0 3.8 41.9 107.4 7.2 M M
22000 -9.2 15.4 215 7 3 4.8 2.6 40.8 105.4 6.3 M M
21000 -7.9 17.8 230 8 4 4.8 2.6 39.0 102.1 4.7 M M
20000 -6.6 20.1 240 9 5 4.9 2.7 37.3 99.1 3.2 M M
19500 -5.9 21.4 245 10 5 5.3 2.9 36.5 97.7 2.5 M M
19000 -5.1 22.8 245 10 5 5.9 3.3 35.8 96.4 1.9 M M
18500 -4.2 24.4 245 9 5 5.9 3.2 35.1 95.3 1.3 M M
18000 -3.3 26.1 245 9 5 7.0 3.8 34.6 94.2 0.8 M M
17500 -2.2 28.0 245 8 4 7.1 3.9 34.1 93.4 0.3 M M
17000 -1.2 29.8 250 7 4 7.2 4.0 33.7 92.6 -0.1 1043 5.3
16500 -0.1 31.8 250 6 3 7.6 4.1 33.3 91.9 -0.4 995 5.1
16000 1.0 33.8 250 6 3 7.5 4.1 32.9 91.2 -0.8 946 4.8
15500 2.2 36.0 250 5 3 7.7 4.2 32.6 90.6 -1.1 898 4.6
15000 3.3 37.9 245 5 3 7.7 4.2 32.2 90.0 -1.4 849 4.3
14500 4.4 39.9 240 5 3 7.9 4.3 31.9 89.4 -1.7 800 4.1
14000 5.6 42.1 235 5 3 7.9 4.4 31.6 88.9 -2.1 751 3.8
13500 6.7 44.1 230 5 3 8.0 4.4 31.3 88.4 -2.4 702 3.6
13000 7.9 46.2 230 5 3 8.1 4.5 31.0 87.9 -2.7 652 3.3
12500 9.1 48.4 225 5 3 8.2 4.5 30.8 87.4 -3.0 602 3.1
12000 10.4 50.7 225 5 2 8.3 4.6 30.6 87.0 -3.2 549 2.8
11500 11.7 53.1 230 4 2 8.4 4.6 30.3 86.6 -3.4 495 2.5
11000 13.0 55.4 240 3 2 9.0 4.9 30.2 86.3 -3.5 441 2.2
10500 14.3 57.7 255 2 1 8.1 4.4 30.0 86.0 -3.6 386 2.0
10250 14.9 58.8 275 2 1 8.0 4.4 29.9 85.8 -3.8 360 1.8
10000 15.5 59.9 300 2 1 8.3 4.6 29.7 85.5 -3.9 335 1.7
9750 16.1 61.0 325 2 1 8.1 4.4 29.6 85.3 -4.0 309 1.6
9500 16.7 62.1 335 3 2 8.7 4.8 29.5 85.1 -4.2 284 1.4
9250 17.4 63.3 345 3 2 8.3 4.6 29.4 85.0 -4.2 257 1.3
9000 18.5 65.3 350 4 2 7.9 4.4 29.1 84.4 -4.6 208 1.1
8750 19.1 66.4 350 4 2 6.7 3.7 29.0 84.1 -4.8 184 0.9
8500 19.5 67.1 350 5 3 6.0 3.3 28.7 83.6 -5.1 164 0.8
8250 20.0 68.0 355 5 3 6.7 3.7 28.4 83.1 -5.4 142 0.7
8000 20.5 68.9 355 5 3 6.8 3.7 28.2 82.7 -5.6 120 0.6
7750 20.9 69.6 360 5 3 5.9 3.2 27.9 82.3 -5.9 99 0.5
7500 21.3 70.3 360 5 3 4.3 2.3 27.6 81.6 -6.3 81 0.4
7250 21.6 70.9 355 5 3 4.1 2.2 27.1 80.9 -6.7 64 0.3
7000 21.9 71.4 355 5 3 4.1 2.3 26.7 80.1 -7.1 47 0.2
6750 22.2 72.0 355 5 3 4.1 2.2 26.3 79.3 -7.6 31 0.2
6500 22.5 72.5 350 4 2 3.5 1.9 25.8 78.5 -8.0 15 0.1
6250 22.8 73.0 345 3 2 4.7 2.6 25.4 77.7 -8.5 M M
6000 23.0 73.4 345 3 2 -2.5 -1.4 24.9 76.8 -9.0 M M
5750 21.1 70.0 335 1 1 -59.3 -32.5 22.3 72.2 -11.6 33 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
09/06/2026 at 0900 MDT | 09/06/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.9 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.9
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +24.4 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +25.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.8 -88.2 260 17 9 4.5 2.4 | -67.1 -88.8 245 17 9 4.4 2.4
45000 -59.0 -74.2 260 27 14 6.4 3.5 | -59.3 -74.7 255 24 13 6.4 3.5
40000 -48.5 -55.3 265 30 15 7.5 4.1 | -48.7 -55.7 260 26 13 8.1 4.4
38000 -44.0 -47.2 260 29 15 7.6 4.1 | -43.9 -47.0 255 26 14 8.1 4.4
36000 -39.4 -38.9 250 29 15 8.2 4.5 | -39.0 -38.2 250 27 14 8.2 4.5
34000 -34.5 -30.1 245 26 13 8.2 4.5 | -34.1 -29.4 240 27 14 8.2 4.5
32000 -29.6 -21.3 235 23 12 7.3 4.0 | -29.2 -20.6 225 28 14 7.4 4.1
30000 -26.0 -14.8 235 19 10 6.0 3.3 | -25.3 -13.5 230 24 12 6.5 3.6
29000 -24.3 -11.7 235 17 9 6.0 3.3 | -23.4 -10.1 230 23 12 6.5 3.6
28000 -22.4 -8.3 230 15 8 7.4 4.1 | -21.5 -6.7 230 20 11 6.3 3.5
27000 -20.3 -4.5 225 13 7 7.3 4.0 | -19.6 -3.3 230 18 9 6.4 3.5
26000 -18.1 -0.6 220 12 6 7.3 4.0 | -17.3 0.9 220 14 7 6.5 3.5
25000 -15.4 4.3 210 10 5 7.2 3.9 | -15.4 4.3 215 12 6 7.0 3.8
24000 -13.3 8.1 205 9 5 7.2 3.9 | -13.3 8.1 210 11 6 7.0 3.9
23000 -11.2 11.8 200 9 5 7.2 4.0 | -11.3 11.7 210 10 5 7.1 3.9
22000 -9.2 15.4 195 9 4 5.2 2.9 | -9.3 15.3 205 9 5 5.5 3.0
21000 -7.7 18.1 195 8 4 5.3 2.9 | -7.7 18.1 200 8 4 5.5 3.0
20000 -6.2 20.8 195 7 4 5.3 2.9 | -6.1 21.0 190 8 4 5.5 3.0
19500 -5.5 22.1 195 7 4 5.4 3.0 | -5.4 22.3 185 8 4 5.4 3.0
19000 -4.7 23.5 200 6 3 5.5 3.0 | -4.6 23.7 180 7 4 5.2 2.9
18500 -3.9 25.0 205 6 3 5.5 3.0 | -3.8 25.2 175 7 4 5.1 2.8
18000 -3.0 26.6 210 5 3 6.4 3.5 | -3.0 26.6 175 7 4 6.5 3.6
17500 -2.1 28.2 210 5 3 6.4 3.5 | -2.1 28.2 180 8 4 6.6 3.6
17000 -1.2 29.8 210 5 2 6.8 3.7 | -1.1 30.0 180 8 4 7.0 3.9
16500 -0.1 31.8 210 5 3 7.4 4.1 | 0.0 32.0 180 7 4 7.7 4.2
16000 1.0 33.8 210 5 3 7.3 4.0 | 1.1 34.0 185 7 4 7.7 4.2
15500 2.1 35.8 210 5 3 8.2 4.5 | 2.3 36.1 185 7 3 7.7 4.2
15000 3.4 38.1 210 5 3 8.1 4.5 | 3.4 38.1 185 6 3 7.6 4.2
14500 4.5 40.1 210 5 3 8.0 4.4 | 4.6 40.3 185 5 3 8.0 4.4
14000 5.7 42.3 215 5 2 8.0 4.4 | 5.8 42.4 190 5 2 8.1 4.5
13500 6.9 44.4 220 5 2 7.9 4.3 | 7.0 44.6 190 4 2 8.2 4.5
13000 8.0 46.4 225 4 2 7.9 4.3 | 8.2 46.8 195 4 2 8.2 4.5
12500 9.2 48.6 235 4 2 8.0 4.4 | 9.4 48.9 195 3 2 8.3 4.6
12000 10.4 50.7 240 4 2 8.4 4.6 | 10.7 51.3 195 2 1 8.6 4.7
11500 11.7 53.1 245 4 2 8.4 4.6 | 12.0 53.6 200 2 1 8.5 4.7
11000 13.0 55.4 255 4 2 8.5 4.7 | 13.2 55.8 205 1 1 7.7 4.2
10500 14.3 57.7 270 3 2 8.2 4.5 | 14.4 57.9 220 1 0 8.7 4.8
10250 14.9 58.8 280 3 1 7.7 4.2 | 15.1 59.2 230 1 0 8.2 4.5
10000 15.5 59.9 300 3 1 7.7 4.2 | 15.7 60.3 000 0 0 7.8 4.3
9750 16.1 61.0 320 3 1 7.5 4.1 | 16.2 61.2 345 1 0 7.7 4.2
9500 16.6 61.9 335 3 2 8.1 4.4 | 16.8 62.2 360 1 1 8.8 4.8
9250 17.8 64.0 350 4 2 6.8 3.7 | 17.6 63.7 355 1 1 9.7 5.3
9000 18.3 64.9 355 4 2 7.5 4.1 | 18.9 66.0 355 2 1 9.8 5.4
8750 18.8 65.8 360 5 3 5.6 3.1 | 19.6 67.3 355 2 1 7.8 4.3
8500 19.1 66.4 360 5 3 4.6 2.5 | 20.2 68.4 355 2 1 8.5 4.7
8250 19.5 67.1 360 5 3 5.8 3.2 | 20.9 69.6 350 2 1 10.8 5.9
8000 19.9 67.8 005 5 3 6.0 3.3 | 21.7 71.1 345 2 1 10.3 5.7
7750 20.3 68.5 005 6 3 4.8 2.6 | 22.5 72.5 345 3 1 9.8 5.4
7500 20.6 69.1 005 6 3 3.9 2.1 | 23.2 73.8 340 3 1 9.4 5.1
7250 21.0 69.8 005 5 3 5.6 3.0 | 23.9 75.0 340 3 1 10.6 5.8
7000 21.4 70.5 005 5 3 6.2 3.4 | 24.7 76.5 335 3 2 11.0 6.0
6750 21.9 71.4 005 5 3 7.1 3.9 | 25.5 77.9 335 3 2 10.4 5.7
6500 22.5 72.5 005 5 3 8.1 4.5 | 26.3 79.3 335 3 2 10.3 5.7
6250 23.1 73.6 360 5 2 7.9 4.3 | 27.1 80.8 330 3 2 9.5 5.2
6000 23.7 74.7 360 5 2 11.3 6.2 | 27.8 82.0 330 3 2 13.4 7.4
5750 25.0 77.0 355 4 2 27.5 15.1 | 29.9 85.8 325 4 2 49.9 27.4
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
09/06/2026 at 1500 MDT | 09/06/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +1.1 LI... +0.7 | CAPE... +2.1 LI... +0.3
CINH... -0.8 K Index... +28.6 | CINH... -1.7 K Index... +29.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.3 -89.1 245 19 10 5.1 2.8 | -66.7 -88.1 245 19 10 4.6 2.5
45000 -59.2 -74.6 255 26 13 5.9 3.2 | -58.9 -74.0 255 26 13 6.2 3.4
40000 -49.0 -56.2 265 30 16 8.5 4.7 | -48.6 -55.5 265 29 15 7.8 4.3
38000 -43.9 -47.0 255 29 15 8.5 4.7 | -43.9 -47.0 255 30 15 7.8 4.3
36000 -38.9 -38.0 245 29 15 7.8 4.3 | -39.2 -38.6 245 32 17 8.0 4.4
34000 -34.2 -29.6 240 29 15 7.8 4.3 | -34.4 -29.9 240 31 16 8.0 4.4
32000 -29.5 -21.1 235 29 15 7.2 4.0 | -29.6 -21.3 240 29 15 7.7 4.2
30000 -25.6 -14.1 235 26 13 6.6 3.6 | -25.3 -13.5 235 26 13 7.3 4.0
29000 -23.7 -10.7 235 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -23.1 -9.6 235 24 12 7.3 4.0
28000 -21.7 -7.1 230 23 12 7.1 3.9 | -21.0 -5.8 235 23 12 6.6 3.6
27000 -19.6 -3.3 225 21 11 7.1 3.9 | -19.0 -2.2 230 21 11 6.7 3.7
26000 -17.0 1.4 220 18 9 7.1 3.9 | -16.5 2.3 225 20 10 6.8 3.7
25000 -15.0 5.0 215 16 8 6.5 3.6 | -14.6 5.7 220 18 9 6.4 3.5
24000 -13.1 8.4 215 14 7 6.5 3.6 | -12.7 9.1 220 16 8 6.4 3.5
23000 -11.2 11.8 210 12 6 6.5 3.6 | -10.8 12.6 215 15 8 6.4 3.5
22000 -9.3 15.3 205 10 5 6.2 3.4 | -9.0 15.8 215 13 7 5.8 3.2
21000 -7.5 18.5 200 10 5 6.2 3.4 | -7.3 18.9 210 12 6 5.8 3.2
20000 -5.7 21.7 200 9 5 6.2 3.4 | -5.7 21.7 200 10 5 5.8 3.2
19500 -4.8 23.4 195 9 5 5.9 3.2 | -4.8 23.4 195 10 5 5.6 3.1
19000 -4.1 24.6 190 9 5 5.4 3.0 | -4.1 24.6 185 9 5 5.3 2.9
18500 -3.3 26.1 185 9 5 5.4 3.0 | -3.3 26.1 175 9 5 5.3 2.9
18000 -2.5 27.5 180 9 5 6.0 3.3 | -2.5 27.5 165 9 5 6.0 3.3
17500 -1.7 28.9 175 8 4 6.0 3.3 | -1.7 28.9 160 9 5 6.1 3.4
17000 -0.8 30.6 175 8 4 6.3 3.5 | -0.8 30.6 155 9 5 6.5 3.6
16500 0.2 32.4 170 7 4 6.8 3.7 | 0.2 32.4 160 8 4 7.3 4.0
16000 1.2 34.2 165 7 4 6.7 3.7 | 1.3 34.3 160 8 4 7.1 3.9
15500 2.3 36.1 165 6 3 8.4 4.6 | 2.5 36.5 165 7 4 9.4 5.1
15000 3.5 38.3 165 5 3 8.2 4.5 | 3.9 39.0 165 7 3 9.2 5.0
14500 4.8 40.6 165 5 2 9.0 4.9 | 5.3 41.5 170 6 3 9.5 5.2
14000 6.2 43.2 165 4 2 9.2 5.0 | 6.7 44.1 170 6 3 9.7 5.3
13500 7.5 45.5 165 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 8.2 46.8 175 6 3 9.6 5.3
13000 8.9 48.0 170 3 2 9.4 5.1 | 9.6 49.3 180 6 3 9.4 5.2
12500 10.4 50.7 175 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 11.0 51.8 185 5 3 9.5 5.2
12000 11.8 53.2 180 3 1 9.5 5.2 | 12.4 54.3 190 5 3 9.7 5.3
11500 13.2 55.8 185 3 1 9.5 5.2 | 13.9 57.0 195 5 3 9.6 5.3
11000 14.6 58.3 190 2 1 9.2 5.0 | 15.3 59.5 200 5 3 9.5 5.2
10500 16.1 61.0 200 2 1 10.3 5.7 | 16.8 62.2 205 5 3 9.9 5.4
10250 16.8 62.2 205 2 1 9.9 5.4 | 17.5 63.5 210 5 3 9.8 5.4
10000 17.5 63.5 215 2 1 9.4 5.2 | 18.2 64.8 210 5 3 9.6 5.3
9750 18.2 64.8 220 2 1 9.6 5.3 | 19.0 66.2 215 5 3 9.6 5.3
9500 19.0 66.2 225 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 19.7 67.5 215 5 3 9.8 5.4
9250 20.4 68.7 235 3 1 9.9 5.4 | 21.1 70.0 220 5 3 9.6 5.3
9000 21.1 70.0 240 3 2 10.0 5.5 | 21.9 71.4 220 5 3 10.0 5.5
8750 21.9 71.4 245 3 2 9.1 5.0 | 22.6 72.7 225 5 3 8.7 4.8
8500 22.5 72.5 250 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 23.2 73.8 225 6 3 9.0 5.0
8250 23.3 73.9 255 3 2 10.5 5.8 | 24.0 75.2 225 6 3 10.4 5.7
8000 24.1 75.4 255 4 2 10.4 5.7 | 24.7 76.5 230 6 3 10.2 5.6
7750 24.8 76.6 260 4 2 9.8 5.4 | 25.5 77.9 230 6 3 9.6 5.3
7500 25.5 77.9 265 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 26.2 79.2 230 6 3 8.9 4.9
7250 26.3 79.3 265 4 2 10.3 5.7 | 26.9 80.4 235 6 3 9.8 5.4
7000 27.1 80.8 265 4 2 10.7 5.9 | 27.6 81.7 235 6 3 10.3 5.7
6750 27.8 82.0 270 5 2 10.4 5.7 | 28.4 83.1 235 6 3 10.0 5.5
6500 28.6 83.5 270 5 2 10.5 5.7 | 29.1 84.4 240 6 3 10.0 5.5
6250 29.4 84.9 270 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 29.9 85.8 240 6 3 9.3 5.1
6000 30.2 86.4 275 5 3 14.0 7.7 | 30.6 87.1 240 6 3 10.7 5.9
5750 32.3 90.1 275 5 3 52.6 28.8 | 31.8 89.2 245 6 3 27.5 15.1
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0808 MDT Sunday September 6 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, September 6, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 79.3 F/26.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1210 ft/min (6.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17570 ft MSL (11118 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14984 ft MSL (8532 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 09/07....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:40:38 / 19:24:42 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 44 min 4 sec (764 min 4 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:02:40 MDT... 60.60 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 09/06/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16450 ft MSL (9998 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18296 ft MSL (11844 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17984 ft MSL (11531 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.0
K index......................... +26.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.8 -88.2 270 27 14 3.8 2.1 73.5 164.3 24.9 M M
45000 -59.6 -75.3 265 35 18 6.4 3.5 62.2 143.9 19.4 M M
40000 -49.1 -56.4 265 37 19 7.5 4.1 55.1 131.2 16.0 M M
38000 -44.6 -48.3 260 35 18 7.5 4.1 53.1 127.6 15.0 M M
36000 -40.1 -40.2 255 32 17 8.8 4.8 51.7 125.0 14.3 M M
34000 -34.8 -30.6 245 29 15 8.8 4.8 50.7 123.2 13.9 M M
32000 -29.5 -21.1 240 26 14 7.9 4.3 50.2 122.3 13.9 M M
30000 -25.7 -14.3 240 23 12 6.4 3.5 47.4 117.3 12.0 M M
29000 -23.8 -10.8 240 22 11 6.5 3.5 46.2 115.2 11.2 M M
28000 -21.9 -7.4 240 20 10 6.5 3.6 45.1 113.1 10.4 M M
27000 -19.9 -3.8 235 16 8 6.5 3.6 43.7 110.7 9.4 M M
26000 -18.0 -0.4 230 12 6 6.5 3.6 42.5 108.6 8.5 M M
25000 -15.6 3.9 215 9 4 7.2 3.9 41.2 106.2 7.5 M M
24000 -13.4 7.9 210 7 4 7.2 4.0 40.2 104.4 6.8 M M
23000 -11.3 11.7 205 7 3 7.2 4.0 39.3 102.8 6.1 M M
22000 -9.2 15.4 205 6 3 6.1 3.3 38.4 101.2 5.4 M M
21000 -7.5 18.5 230 7 4 6.0 3.3 37.0 98.6 4.1 M M
20000 -5.8 21.6 245 9 5 6.0 3.3 35.8 96.4 3.0 M M
19500 -4.9 23.2 250 10 5 6.0 3.3 35.2 95.3 2.5 M M
19000 -4.0 24.8 255 11 6 6.0 3.3 34.5 94.1 1.9 M M
18500 -3.2 26.2 260 11 6 6.0 3.3 33.9 93.0 1.3 M M
18000 -2.4 27.7 260 11 6 5.2 2.9 33.2 91.8 0.7 M M
17500 -1.7 28.9 260 11 6 5.1 2.8 32.4 90.3 -0.1 1006 5.1
17000 -1.0 30.2 255 11 6 5.4 2.9 31.6 89.0 -0.8 970 4.9
16500 -0.1 31.8 250 11 6 6.0 3.3 31.0 87.8 -1.5 931 4.7
16000 0.7 33.3 240 11 6 5.8 3.2 30.4 86.6 -2.1 891 4.5
15500 1.7 35.1 235 12 6 8.0 4.4 29.9 85.8 -2.6 847 4.3
15000 2.8 37.0 230 12 6 7.9 4.4 29.6 85.2 -3.0 798 4.1
14500 4.0 39.2 225 12 6 8.5 4.7 29.3 84.8 -3.3 749 3.8
14000 5.3 41.5 225 12 6 8.8 4.8 29.2 84.5 -3.4 695 3.5
13500 6.6 43.9 230 12 6 8.6 4.7 29.0 84.3 -3.6 641 3.3
13000 7.8 46.0 230 11 6 8.2 4.5 28.8 83.8 -3.8 589 3.0
12500 9.1 48.4 235 10 5 8.2 4.5 28.6 83.4 -4.0 537 2.7
12000 10.3 50.5 240 9 5 8.2 4.5 28.3 83.0 -4.3 484 2.5
11500 11.6 52.9 245 8 4 8.2 4.5 28.1 82.6 -4.5 432 2.2
11000 13.4 56.1 255 5 3 7.9 4.3 27.7 81.8 -4.9 356 1.8
10500 14.5 58.1 260 4 2 7.6 4.2 27.4 81.3 -5.2 307 1.6
10250 15.1 59.2 275 3 2 7.5 4.1 27.2 81.0 -5.4 283 1.4
10000 15.6 60.1 295 3 1 7.5 4.1 27.0 80.6 -5.6 258 1.3
9750 16.2 61.2 320 3 1 7.5 4.1 26.9 80.3 -5.8 234 1.2
9500 16.8 62.2 340 3 2 6.5 3.6 26.7 80.0 -6.0 210 1.1
9250 17.2 63.0 350 3 2 6.4 3.5 26.4 79.5 -6.2 189 1.0
9000 17.7 63.9 005 4 2 7.0 3.8 26.2 79.1 -6.5 166 0.8
8750 18.2 64.8 010 5 3 6.7 3.7 25.9 78.7 -6.7 143 0.7
8500 18.7 65.7 020 6 3 6.2 3.4 25.7 78.3 -6.9 121 0.6
8250 19.2 66.6 020 6 3 5.8 3.2 25.4 77.7 -7.3 101 0.5
8000 19.6 67.3 025 7 3 5.8 3.2 25.1 77.2 -7.6 81 0.4
7750 20.0 68.0 030 7 3 5.5 3.0 24.8 76.6 -7.9 61 0.3
7500 20.4 68.7 030 6 3 5.1 2.8 24.5 76.0 -8.3 42 0.2
7250 20.7 69.3 030 6 3 4.5 2.5 24.1 75.4 -8.7 24 0.1
7000 21.1 70.0 030 6 3 5.7 3.1 23.7 74.7 -9.1 7 0.0
6750 21.3 70.3 035 5 3 -2.8 -1.5 23.2 73.8 -9.6 M M
6500 19.2 66.6 040 4 2 -67.3 -36.9 20.4 68.8 -12.5 48 0.2
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
09/06/2026 at 0900 MDT | 09/06/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +23.3 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +24.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.4 -87.5 270 19 10 4.5 2.5 | -66.8 -88.2 255 18 9 4.7 2.6
45000 -58.8 -73.8 265 28 14 6.1 3.3 | -59.0 -74.2 260 28 14 5.9 3.2
40000 -48.7 -55.7 265 32 16 7.4 4.0 | -48.9 -56.0 260 29 15 8.2 4.5
38000 -44.3 -47.7 265 32 17 7.4 4.1 | -44.0 -47.2 260 29 15 8.2 4.5
36000 -39.9 -39.8 260 32 17 8.4 4.6 | -39.1 -38.4 255 29 15 8.2 4.5
34000 -34.8 -30.6 255 28 14 8.5 4.6 | -34.2 -29.6 245 27 14 8.3 4.5
32000 -29.8 -21.6 245 24 12 7.4 4.1 | -29.2 -20.6 230 26 13 7.4 4.0
30000 -26.3 -15.3 240 19 10 5.7 3.2 | -25.6 -14.1 230 21 11 6.1 3.3
29000 -24.6 -12.3 240 17 9 5.7 3.1 | -23.8 -10.8 225 18 9 6.1 3.3
28000 -22.8 -9.0 235 14 7 7.7 4.2 | -22.0 -7.6 225 16 8 6.6 3.6
27000 -20.5 -4.9 235 14 7 7.5 4.1 | -19.5 -3.1 220 14 7 6.6 3.6
26000 -17.7 0.1 230 13 7 7.6 4.2 | -17.6 0.3 220 13 7 6.7 3.7
25000 -15.6 3.9 225 12 6 6.8 3.7 | -15.6 3.9 215 12 6 7.0 3.9
24000 -13.6 7.5 215 10 5 6.8 3.7 | -13.6 7.5 215 12 6 7.1 3.9
23000 -11.6 11.1 200 9 5 6.8 3.7 | -11.5 11.3 215 11 6 7.1 3.9
22000 -9.7 14.5 185 9 5 6.2 3.4 | -9.5 14.9 215 10 5 5.6 3.1
21000 -7.9 17.8 185 8 4 6.2 3.4 | -7.9 17.8 215 8 4 5.6 3.1
20000 -6.1 21.0 185 7 4 6.3 3.4 | -6.3 20.7 210 7 3 5.6 3.1
19500 -5.2 22.6 185 6 3 6.2 3.4 | -5.5 22.1 205 6 3 5.7 3.1
19000 -4.3 24.3 200 6 3 6.2 3.4 | -4.7 23.5 205 5 3 5.8 3.2
18500 -3.4 25.9 210 6 3 6.2 3.4 | -3.9 25.0 200 5 3 5.8 3.2
18000 -2.5 27.5 220 7 4 6.3 3.4 | -3.0 26.6 195 5 3 6.3 3.4
17500 -1.5 29.3 225 7 4 6.3 3.5 | -2.1 28.2 195 5 3 6.3 3.5
17000 -0.6 30.9 235 8 4 6.4 3.5 | -1.1 30.0 200 6 3 6.8 3.7
16500 0.4 32.7 235 8 4 6.7 3.7 | -0.0 32.0 200 6 3 7.7 4.2
16000 1.4 34.5 240 9 4 6.7 3.7 | 1.1 34.0 205 6 3 7.7 4.2
15500 2.4 36.3 240 9 5 7.4 4.1 | 2.3 36.1 205 6 3 8.3 4.5
15000 3.5 38.3 240 9 5 7.3 4.0 | 3.5 38.3 210 7 3 8.2 4.5
14500 4.6 40.3 240 9 5 7.8 4.3 | 4.8 40.6 215 7 3 8.4 4.6
14000 5.7 42.3 245 9 5 7.9 4.4 | 6.0 42.8 220 6 3 8.5 4.7
13500 6.9 44.4 245 10 5 8.0 4.4 | 7.3 45.1 230 6 3 8.4 4.6
13000 8.0 46.4 250 10 5 8.1 4.4 | 8.6 47.5 235 6 3 8.4 4.6
12500 9.2 48.6 250 10 5 8.1 4.4 | 9.8 49.6 245 6 3 8.3 4.5
12000 10.4 50.7 255 9 5 8.1 4.4 | 11.0 51.8 250 6 3 7.9 4.4
11500 11.6 52.9 260 9 5 8.6 4.7 | 12.2 54.0 260 6 3 9.2 5.0
11000 13.5 56.3 270 8 4 8.0 4.4 | 14.1 57.4 270 5 3 8.1 4.4
10500 14.5 58.1 280 7 3 6.7 3.7 | 15.2 59.4 275 5 2 8.0 4.4
10250 15.1 59.2 285 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 15.8 60.4 280 4 2 9.1 5.0
10000 15.6 60.1 295 5 3 7.3 4.0 | 16.5 61.7 285 4 2 8.8 4.8
9750 16.1 61.0 310 5 3 7.2 4.0 | 17.1 62.8 290 4 2 8.9 4.9
9500 16.7 62.1 320 5 3 6.4 3.5 | 17.8 64.0 295 4 2 9.4 5.2
9250 17.1 62.8 330 5 3 6.6 3.6 | 18.5 65.3 300 4 2 9.5 5.2
9000 17.7 63.9 340 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 19.2 66.6 300 4 2 9.3 5.1
8750 18.2 64.8 350 6 3 6.8 3.7 | 19.9 67.8 305 4 2 9.5 5.2
8500 18.7 65.7 355 7 4 5.5 3.0 | 20.7 69.3 305 4 2 9.8 5.4
8250 19.0 66.2 360 8 4 5.5 3.0 | 21.4 70.5 310 4 2 10.1 5.6
8000 19.5 67.1 360 8 4 6.6 3.6 | 22.2 72.0 310 4 2 10.3 5.6
7750 20.0 68.0 005 8 4 7.1 3.9 | 22.9 73.2 310 4 2 10.3 5.7
7500 20.5 68.9 005 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 23.7 74.7 315 4 2 10.3 5.7
7250 21.1 70.0 005 8 4 7.7 4.2 | 24.5 76.1 315 4 2 10.6 5.8
7000 21.6 70.9 005 7 4 7.9 4.4 | 25.2 77.4 315 4 2 9.3 5.1
6750 22.3 72.1 005 7 4 12.0 6.6 | 26.0 78.8 315 4 2 13.4 7.3
6500 23.8 74.8 360 6 3 30.8 16.9 | 28.1 82.6 315 4 2 53.9 29.6
09/06/2026 at 1500 MDT | 09/06/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.2 | CAPE... +2.6 LI... -0.4
CINH... -0.7 K Index... +26.3 | CINH... -2.5 K Index... +28.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.0 -88.6 245 20 10 5.1 2.8 | -66.4 -87.5 250 20 11 4.7 2.6
45000 -59.0 -74.2 255 28 14 5.8 3.2 | -58.7 -73.7 255 28 15 6.0 3.3
40000 -49.1 -56.4 260 32 16 8.3 4.5 | -48.6 -55.5 265 32 16 7.8 4.3
38000 -44.1 -47.4 255 31 16 8.3 4.6 | -44.0 -47.2 255 32 17 7.8 4.3
36000 -39.2 -38.6 245 31 16 7.9 4.3 | -39.3 -38.7 245 33 17 7.9 4.3
34000 -34.4 -29.9 245 30 15 7.9 4.3 | -34.6 -30.3 245 33 17 7.9 4.3
32000 -29.7 -21.5 245 29 15 7.4 4.1 | -29.9 -21.8 245 32 16 7.8 4.3
30000 -25.7 -14.3 240 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -25.4 -13.7 240 27 14 7.6 4.2
29000 -23.8 -10.8 235 24 12 6.6 3.6 | -23.1 -9.6 240 25 13 7.6 4.2
28000 -21.8 -7.2 230 22 11 7.0 3.8 | -20.9 -5.6 240 23 12 6.1 3.4
27000 -19.2 -2.6 225 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -18.6 -1.5 235 21 11 6.3 3.5
26000 -17.2 1.0 220 18 9 7.1 3.9 | -16.8 1.8 230 21 11 6.4 3.5
25000 -15.2 4.6 210 16 8 6.4 3.5 | -14.9 5.2 225 20 10 6.5 3.6
24000 -13.4 7.9 215 14 7 6.3 3.5 | -13.0 8.6 225 18 9 6.6 3.6
23000 -11.5 11.3 215 11 6 6.4 3.5 | -11.1 12.0 220 15 8 6.6 3.6
22000 -9.7 14.5 215 9 5 5.8 3.2 | -9.3 15.3 210 13 7 5.2 2.8
21000 -8.0 17.6 205 8 4 5.8 3.2 | -7.8 18.0 210 11 6 5.1 2.8
20000 -6.4 20.5 195 7 4 5.8 3.2 | -6.4 20.5 200 9 4 5.1 2.8
19500 -5.5 22.1 185 7 4 6.0 3.3 | -5.7 21.7 200 8 4 5.6 3.1
19000 -4.6 23.7 185 7 3 6.4 3.5 | -4.8 23.4 185 7 4 6.6 3.6
18500 -3.7 25.3 185 6 3 6.4 3.5 | -3.8 25.2 170 8 4 6.5 3.6
18000 -2.7 27.1 180 6 3 6.9 3.8 | -2.8 27.0 160 8 4 7.3 4.0
17500 -1.7 28.9 185 6 3 7.0 3.8 | -1.8 28.8 160 8 4 7.5 4.1
17000 -0.7 30.7 185 5 3 7.0 3.8 | -0.7 30.7 160 7 4 7.5 4.1
16500 0.4 32.7 195 5 3 6.9 3.8 | 0.5 32.9 165 6 3 7.7 4.2
16000 1.4 34.5 205 5 2 6.7 3.7 | 1.6 34.9 175 5 3 7.5 4.1
15500 2.5 36.5 215 5 2 9.1 5.0 | 2.9 37.2 185 5 2 9.4 5.2
15000 3.9 39.0 220 5 2 8.9 4.9 | 4.3 39.7 190 5 2 9.3 5.1
14500 5.2 41.4 225 5 2 9.3 5.1 | 5.7 42.3 195 5 2 9.7 5.3
14000 6.6 43.9 225 5 2 9.5 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 200 5 3 9.8 5.4
13500 8.0 46.4 230 5 2 9.5 5.2 | 8.6 47.5 205 5 3 9.7 5.3
13000 9.5 49.1 230 5 2 9.6 5.2 | 10.0 50.0 210 5 3 9.6 5.2
12500 10.9 51.6 230 5 3 9.6 5.2 | 11.5 52.7 215 6 3 9.6 5.3
12000 12.3 54.1 230 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 12.9 55.2 215 6 3 9.7 5.3
11500 13.7 56.7 230 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 14.4 57.9 220 6 3 9.8 5.4
11000 15.9 60.6 235 5 3 9.6 5.2 | 16.6 61.9 225 7 4 9.6 5.3
10500 17.3 63.1 235 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 18.0 64.4 225 7 4 9.9 5.4
10250 18.1 64.6 235 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 18.8 65.8 230 7 4 9.5 5.2
10000 18.8 65.8 235 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 19.5 67.1 230 8 4 9.6 5.3
9750 19.5 67.1 235 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 20.2 68.4 230 8 4 9.5 5.2
9500 20.3 68.5 235 6 3 10.3 5.6 | 20.9 69.6 230 8 4 10.0 5.5
9250 21.0 69.8 235 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 21.7 71.1 235 8 4 10.0 5.5
9000 21.8 71.2 235 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 22.4 72.3 235 8 4 9.5 5.2
8750 22.5 72.5 235 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 23.1 73.6 235 9 4 9.6 5.3
8500 23.2 73.8 235 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 23.8 74.8 235 9 5 9.8 5.4
8250 24.0 75.2 240 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 24.6 76.3 235 9 5 9.8 5.4
8000 24.8 76.6 240 6 3 10.1 5.6 | 25.3 77.5 235 9 5 9.6 5.3
7750 25.5 77.9 240 6 3 10.3 5.6 | 26.0 78.8 240 9 5 9.6 5.3
7500 26.3 79.3 240 6 3 10.5 5.7 | 26.8 80.2 240 9 5 10.0 5.5
7250 27.1 80.8 240 6 3 10.9 6.0 | 27.5 81.5 240 9 5 10.2 5.6
7000 27.9 82.2 240 6 3 9.1 5.0 | 28.3 82.9 240 10 5 9.2 5.0
6750 28.6 83.5 240 6 3 13.3 7.3 | 28.9 84.0 240 9 5 9.9 5.4
6500 30.9 87.6 240 6 3 60.1 33.0 | 30.1 86.2 240 9 4 25.6 14.1
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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