Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0724 MDT Thursday July 2 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, July 2, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 77.4 F/25.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1300 ft/min (6.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20351 ft MSL (14036 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18298 ft MSL (11983 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 07/03....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:54:26 / 20:21:52 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 27 min 25 sec (867 min 25 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:09 MDT... 77.88 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/02/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15170 ft MSL (8855 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 28054 ft MSL (21739 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 26038 ft MSL (19723 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +4.4
K index......................... +4.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.2 -81.8 230 36 18 1.7 0.9 83.0 181.3 29.6 M M
45000 -59.6 -75.3 240 48 25 3.8 2.1 64.8 148.7 20.3 M M
40000 -53.6 -64.5 240 53 27 6.0 3.3 51.9 125.5 12.9 M M
38000 -50.0 -58.0 235 52 27 6.0 3.3 48.3 119.0 10.8 M M
36000 -46.4 -51.5 235 52 27 6.0 3.3 45.5 113.8 9.0 M M
34000 -41.7 -43.1 235 48 25 8.2 4.5 43.7 110.6 7.9 M M
32000 -36.2 -33.2 245 44 22 8.2 4.5 42.5 108.4 7.3 M M
30000 -31.4 -24.5 245 39 20 8.0 4.4 40.9 105.7 6.3 M M
29000 -29.0 -20.2 250 36 18 8.0 4.4 40.3 104.5 5.8 M M
28000 -26.6 -15.9 250 33 17 7.9 4.4 39.8 103.6 5.5 M M
27000 -24.3 -11.7 255 32 17 7.9 4.4 38.9 102.1 4.9 M M
26000 -21.9 -7.4 255 31 16 7.9 4.4 38.3 100.9 4.4 M M
25000 -19.5 -3.1 255 30 15 7.9 4.4 37.7 99.9 4.0 M M
24000 -17.2 1.0 255 28 15 7.4 4.1 36.8 98.3 3.3 M M
23000 -15.0 5.0 255 27 14 7.4 4.1 36.0 96.8 2.7 M M
22000 -12.8 9.0 250 25 13 7.3 4.0 35.3 95.5 2.1 M M
21000 -11.0 12.2 245 23 12 5.7 3.1 33.9 93.0 0.9 M M
20000 -9.3 15.3 245 22 11 5.8 3.2 32.5 90.4 -0.3 1279 6.5
19500 -8.4 16.9 240 22 11 5.8 3.2 31.8 89.3 -0.9 1238 6.3
19000 -7.6 18.3 240 21 11 4.4 2.4 31.1 88.0 -1.5 1200 6.1
18500 -7.0 19.4 235 22 11 4.3 2.3 30.1 86.2 -2.4 1167 5.9
18000 -6.1 21.0 230 22 12 5.1 2.8 28.8 83.8 -3.7 1118 5.7
17500 -5.4 22.3 230 23 12 5.6 3.1 28.0 82.5 -4.5 1081 5.5
17000 -4.7 23.5 230 23 12 6.7 3.7 27.4 81.3 -5.3 1045 5.3
16500 -3.5 25.7 225 23 12 9.1 5.0 27.1 80.9 -5.6 995 5.1
16000 -2.2 28.0 225 23 12 9.0 4.9 27.0 80.7 -5.8 940 4.8
15500 -0.8 30.6 225 22 11 10.0 5.5 27.0 80.6 -5.8 883 4.5
15000 0.7 33.3 225 21 11 10.0 5.5 27.0 80.6 -5.8 824 4.2
14500 2.2 36.0 225 20 11 9.5 5.2 27.0 80.7 -5.8 764 3.9
14000 3.7 38.7 230 19 10 9.4 5.1 27.0 80.6 -5.9 706 3.6
13500 5.1 41.2 230 17 9 9.0 5.0 26.9 80.5 -5.9 647 3.3
13000 6.5 43.7 235 15 8 8.6 4.7 26.7 80.1 -6.0 592 3.0
12500 7.8 46.0 240 13 7 8.5 4.7 26.6 79.9 -6.2 537 2.7
12000 9.1 48.4 245 11 6 8.1 4.5 26.3 79.4 -6.4 483 2.5
11500 10.4 50.7 255 9 5 8.1 4.4 26.1 79.0 -6.6 431 2.2
11000 11.6 52.9 265 8 4 8.0 4.4 25.8 78.5 -6.9 379 1.9
10500 12.8 55.0 270 8 4 7.8 4.3 25.5 78.0 -7.1 328 1.7
10250 13.4 56.1 275 7 4 7.7 4.2 25.4 77.7 -7.3 303 1.5
10000 14.0 57.2 280 7 4 8.0 4.4 25.2 77.4 -7.5 278 1.4
9750 14.6 58.3 285 7 4 8.1 4.4 25.1 77.2 -7.6 252 1.3
9500 15.2 59.4 285 8 4 8.1 4.4 25.0 77.0 -7.7 227 1.2
9250 15.8 60.4 290 8 4 8.5 4.7 24.9 76.8 -7.9 201 1.0
9000 16.5 61.7 290 8 4 7.7 4.2 24.8 76.6 -8.0 175 0.9
8750 17.0 62.6 290 8 4 6.9 3.8 24.6 76.2 -8.2 151 0.8
8500 17.5 63.5 290 8 4 7.2 3.9 24.4 75.8 -8.4 128 0.7
8250 18.1 64.6 290 8 4 7.3 4.0 24.2 75.5 -8.7 105 0.5
8000 18.6 65.5 290 8 4 7.1 3.9 24.0 75.1 -8.9 81 0.4
7750 19.1 66.4 285 8 4 7.8 4.3 23.8 74.8 -9.1 57 0.3
7500 19.7 67.5 280 8 4 5.0 2.7 23.6 74.5 -9.3 34 0.2
7250 19.9 67.8 275 8 4 1.5 0.8 23.0 73.5 -9.9 22 0.1
7000 20.0 68.0 270 8 4 3.0 1.7 22.5 72.4 -10.5 10 0.0
6750 20.1 68.2 270 8 4 -1.6 -0.9 21.9 71.4 -11.1 M M
6500 19.3 66.7 270 7 4 -21.7 -11.9 20.4 68.7 -12.7 15 0.1
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/02/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/02/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.0 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.8
CINH... -0.2 K Index... +3.2 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +7.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.0 -79.6 230 36 19 1.7 0.9 | -62.8 -81.0 235 41 21 0.8 0.5
45000 -59.2 -74.6 240 43 22 2.5 1.3 | -60.5 -76.9 235 46 23 3.2 1.7
40000 -54.9 -66.8 240 50 26 7.0 3.8 | -55.2 -67.4 235 45 23 7.4 4.1
38000 -50.7 -59.3 235 50 26 7.0 3.8 | -50.7 -59.3 240 44 23 7.4 4.1
36000 -46.5 -51.7 235 50 26 6.9 3.8 | -46.2 -51.2 240 44 22 7.4 4.1
34000 -41.4 -42.5 235 46 24 7.9 4.3 | -41.4 -42.5 240 40 21 7.1 3.9
32000 -36.6 -33.9 240 40 21 7.9 4.3 | -37.2 -35.0 245 37 19 7.0 3.8
30000 -32.2 -26.0 240 34 18 7.4 4.1 | -32.4 -26.3 240 33 17 8.0 4.4
29000 -29.9 -21.8 245 31 16 7.4 4.1 | -30.0 -22.0 240 31 16 8.0 4.4
28000 -27.7 -17.9 250 28 15 8.3 4.6 | -27.6 -17.7 240 30 15 8.5 4.7
27000 -25.1 -13.2 245 27 14 8.6 4.7 | -25.0 -13.0 240 29 15 8.7 4.7
26000 -22.5 -8.5 245 26 13 8.6 4.7 | -22.4 -8.3 240 28 14 8.7 4.8
25000 -19.9 -3.8 245 25 13 8.6 4.7 | -19.8 -3.6 240 27 14 8.6 4.7
24000 -17.5 0.5 245 24 12 7.8 4.3 | -17.4 0.7 240 26 14 8.1 4.4
23000 -15.2 4.6 245 23 12 7.8 4.3 | -14.9 5.2 240 26 13 8.1 4.4
22000 -12.9 8.8 250 21 11 7.6 4.2 | -12.5 9.5 240 25 13 7.7 4.2
21000 -10.7 12.7 250 21 11 7.1 3.9 | -10.5 13.1 245 24 12 6.8 3.8
20000 -8.6 16.5 250 21 11 7.1 3.9 | -8.4 16.9 250 22 11 6.9 3.8
19500 -7.5 18.5 250 21 11 7.1 3.9 | -7.4 18.7 250 22 11 6.8 3.8
19000 -6.0 21.2 245 21 11 6.9 3.8 | -5.8 21.6 255 21 11 7.0 3.8
18500 -4.9 23.2 245 21 11 7.0 3.9 | -4.8 23.4 255 21 11 7.2 3.9
18000 -4.0 24.8 245 21 11 5.0 2.8 | -3.9 25.0 255 20 10 4.2 2.3
17500 -3.3 26.1 240 21 11 4.9 2.7 | -3.3 26.1 250 20 10 4.3 2.4
17000 -2.6 27.3 240 22 11 4.7 2.6 | -2.7 27.1 245 19 10 4.7 2.6
16500 -2.1 28.2 240 23 12 4.3 2.3 | -2.0 28.4 240 18 9 5.2 2.9
16000 -1.5 29.3 235 24 12 4.3 2.3 | -1.3 29.7 235 18 9 5.3 2.9
15500 -0.6 30.9 235 25 13 9.2 5.0 | -0.3 31.5 230 17 9 9.3 5.1
15000 0.6 33.1 235 25 13 8.7 4.8 | 1.0 33.8 230 17 9 9.0 4.9
14500 1.9 35.4 230 25 13 9.1 5.0 | 2.4 36.3 230 17 9 9.4 5.2
14000 3.3 37.9 230 24 12 9.2 5.1 | 3.8 38.8 225 17 9 9.4 5.2
13500 4.7 40.5 230 23 12 9.2 5.0 | 5.2 41.4 225 16 8 9.5 5.2
13000 6.1 43.0 230 21 11 9.1 5.0 | 6.6 43.9 225 16 8 9.5 5.2
12500 7.5 45.5 235 20 10 8.9 4.9 | 8.0 46.4 225 16 8 9.5 5.2
12000 8.8 47.8 235 18 9 8.4 4.6 | 9.5 49.1 225 16 8 9.6 5.3
11500 10.1 50.2 240 16 8 8.6 4.7 | 10.9 51.6 225 16 8 9.7 5.3
11000 11.3 52.3 245 15 8 7.9 4.3 | 12.4 54.3 225 15 8 9.8 5.4
10500 12.6 54.7 250 13 7 7.8 4.3 | 13.8 56.8 220 15 8 8.9 4.9
10250 13.2 55.8 255 13 7 7.9 4.3 | 14.5 58.1 220 14 7 9.0 4.9
10000 13.8 56.8 255 12 6 8.3 4.6 | 15.2 59.4 220 14 7 10.3 5.7
9750 14.4 57.9 260 11 6 8.5 4.6 | 16.0 60.8 220 14 7 10.0 5.5
9500 15.1 59.2 260 11 5 8.0 4.4 | 16.7 62.1 220 14 7 10.3 5.7
9250 15.7 60.3 260 10 5 7.6 4.1 | 17.5 63.5 220 13 7 10.6 5.8
9000 16.2 61.2 265 9 5 6.1 3.4 | 18.3 64.9 220 13 7 10.0 5.5
8750 16.6 61.9 265 8 4 4.6 2.5 | 19.0 66.2 220 13 7 9.6 5.2
8500 17.0 62.6 265 7 4 6.2 3.4 | 19.8 67.6 220 12 6 9.9 5.4
8250 17.5 63.5 265 7 3 7.7 4.2 | 20.5 68.9 220 12 6 10.1 5.6
8000 18.1 64.6 265 6 3 7.9 4.3 | 21.3 70.3 220 12 6 10.1 5.5
7750 18.7 65.7 265 6 3 8.1 4.5 | 22.0 71.6 220 12 6 9.8 5.4
7500 19.3 66.7 265 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 22.8 73.0 220 11 6 10.3 5.6
7250 20.1 68.2 265 5 3 10.0 5.5 | 23.6 74.5 220 11 6 11.0 6.0
7000 20.8 69.4 265 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 24.4 75.9 220 11 5 10.1 5.5
6750 21.5 70.7 265 5 2 10.3 5.7 | 25.1 77.2 220 10 5 12.4 6.8
6500 22.4 72.3 265 4 2 14.4 7.9 | 26.4 79.5 220 10 5 22.7 12.4
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/02/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/02/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.9 LI... +2.4 | CAPE... +11.0 LI... -0.4
CINH... -6.9 K Index... +13.7 | CINH... -27.8 K Index... +18.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.2 -80.0 235 42 22 -0.0 -0.0 | -60.9 -77.6 250 39 20 0.3 0.2
45000 -60.7 -77.3 235 49 25 3.4 1.8 | -59.4 -74.9 245 49 25 2.8 1.5
40000 -55.2 -67.4 240 46 24 7.5 4.1 | -54.7 -66.5 245 44 23 7.1 3.9
38000 -50.7 -59.3 240 46 24 7.5 4.1 | -50.0 -58.0 245 46 24 7.0 3.8
36000 -45.6 -50.1 240 46 23 7.4 4.1 | -45.8 -50.4 245 47 24 7.0 3.8
34000 -41.4 -42.5 245 43 22 7.0 3.9 | -41.7 -43.1 250 44 23 6.8 3.7
32000 -37.2 -35.0 250 40 21 7.0 3.8 | -37.6 -35.7 250 40 21 6.7 3.7
30000 -32.7 -26.9 250 36 18 7.5 4.1 | -32.9 -27.2 260 36 19 7.9 4.3
29000 -30.5 -22.9 250 34 17 7.5 4.1 | -30.6 -23.1 260 34 18 7.9 4.3
28000 -28.2 -18.8 250 32 16 8.5 4.6 | -28.2 -18.8 265 33 17 8.5 4.7
27000 -25.5 -13.9 250 31 16 8.7 4.8 | -25.6 -14.1 265 31 16 8.8 4.8
26000 -22.9 -9.2 250 31 16 8.7 4.8 | -22.9 -9.2 260 29 15 8.8 4.8
25000 -20.3 -4.5 250 30 15 8.6 4.7 | -20.3 -4.5 260 27 14 8.7 4.8
24000 -17.9 -0.2 250 28 15 8.0 4.4 | -17.9 -0.2 260 25 13 7.9 4.3
23000 -15.4 4.3 245 27 14 8.0 4.4 | -15.5 4.1 255 24 12 7.9 4.3
22000 -13.0 8.6 245 25 13 7.8 4.3 | -13.2 8.2 255 22 11 7.3 4.0
21000 -10.9 12.4 245 22 11 7.1 3.9 | -11.2 11.8 250 18 9 5.6 3.1
20000 -8.2 17.2 245 18 9 7.1 3.9 | -9.6 14.7 240 15 8 5.9 3.3
19500 -7.2 19.0 245 17 9 7.0 3.8 | -8.8 16.2 235 14 7 7.3 4.0
19000 -6.2 20.8 245 16 8 6.9 3.8 | -7.5 18.5 230 13 7 9.1 5.0
18500 -5.2 22.6 240 15 8 7.1 3.9 | -6.1 21.0 230 13 7 9.1 5.0
18000 -4.3 24.3 240 14 7 5.5 3.0 | -4.8 23.4 230 13 7 9.6 5.2
17500 -3.5 25.7 235 14 7 5.7 3.1 | -3.3 26.1 230 13 7 9.6 5.3
17000 -2.8 27.0 230 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -1.9 28.6 230 13 7 9.7 5.3
16500 -1.4 29.5 230 14 7 9.3 5.1 | -0.4 31.3 225 13 7 9.9 5.4
16000 -0.0 32.0 230 14 7 9.4 5.1 | 1.1 34.0 225 13 7 9.9 5.4
15500 1.4 34.5 230 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 2.5 36.5 225 13 6 9.7 5.3
15000 2.8 37.0 230 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 4.0 39.2 225 13 6 9.8 5.4
14500 4.2 39.6 225 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 5.5 41.9 220 12 6 9.7 5.3
14000 5.7 42.3 225 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 6.9 44.4 220 12 6 9.7 5.3
13500 7.1 44.8 225 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 8.4 47.1 220 12 6 9.8 5.4
13000 8.6 47.5 225 15 7 9.6 5.3 | 9.8 49.6 220 12 6 9.9 5.4
12500 10.0 50.0 225 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 11.3 52.3 215 12 6 9.8 5.4
12000 11.4 52.5 230 15 8 9.6 5.2 | 12.8 55.0 215 12 6 9.7 5.3
11500 12.9 55.2 230 15 8 9.4 5.2 | 14.2 57.6 215 12 6 9.6 5.3
11000 14.3 57.7 230 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 15.7 60.3 210 12 6 9.5 5.2
10500 15.7 60.3 230 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 17.1 62.8 210 12 6 9.5 5.2
10250 16.4 61.5 230 15 8 9.8 5.4 | 17.8 64.0 210 12 6 9.8 5.4
10000 17.2 63.0 235 16 8 10.0 5.5 | 18.6 65.5 210 12 6 10.0 5.5
9750 17.9 64.2 235 16 8 9.8 5.4 | 19.3 66.7 210 13 6 9.8 5.4
9500 18.7 65.7 235 16 8 10.3 5.6 | 20.0 68.0 205 13 6 10.2 5.6
9250 19.5 67.1 235 16 8 10.9 6.0 | 20.8 69.4 205 13 7 10.6 5.8
9000 20.3 68.5 235 16 8 9.8 5.4 | 21.6 70.9 205 13 7 9.7 5.3
8750 20.9 69.6 240 16 8 8.7 4.8 | 22.3 72.1 205 13 7 8.9 4.9
8500 21.6 70.9 240 16 8 9.5 5.2 | 23.0 73.4 205 13 7 9.4 5.1
8250 22.4 72.3 240 16 8 10.4 5.7 | 23.7 74.7 205 13 7 10.0 5.5
8000 23.2 73.8 240 16 8 10.5 5.7 | 24.5 76.1 200 13 7 10.0 5.5
7750 23.9 75.0 240 16 8 10.1 5.6 | 25.2 77.4 200 13 7 9.5 5.2
7500 24.7 76.5 245 17 8 10.5 5.7 | 25.9 78.6 200 13 7 9.9 5.5
7250 25.5 77.9 245 16 8 10.9 6.0 | 26.7 80.1 200 13 7 10.5 5.8
7000 26.3 79.3 245 16 8 10.6 5.8 | 27.5 81.5 200 13 7 10.7 5.8
6750 27.1 80.8 245 16 8 11.0 6.0 | 28.2 82.8 200 13 7 9.3 5.1
6500 28.1 82.6 245 16 8 19.5 10.7 | 28.9 84.0 200 13 7 11.1 6.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0724 MDT Thursday July 2 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, July 2, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 79.2 F/26.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1316 ft/min (6.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20018 ft MSL (14356 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 93.0 F/34.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17875 ft MSL (12213 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 07/03....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:56:46 / 20:24:31 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 27 min 45 sec (867 min 45 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:38 MDT... 77.73 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/02/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15093 ft MSL (9431 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 27297 ft MSL (21635 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 25283 ft MSL (19622 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +4.3
K index......................... +5.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.8 -81.0 225 33 17 1.4 0.8 86.0 186.8 30.5 M M
45000 -59.7 -75.5 235 45 23 3.5 1.9 67.0 152.6 20.8 M M
40000 -54.2 -65.6 235 51 26 6.6 3.6 53.4 128.2 13.1 M M
38000 -50.3 -58.5 235 51 26 6.5 3.6 50.3 122.5 11.3 M M
36000 -46.4 -51.5 235 51 26 6.5 3.6 47.8 118.0 9.8 M M
34000 -41.3 -42.3 235 49 25 7.9 4.4 45.7 114.2 8.6 M M
32000 -36.5 -33.7 240 47 24 7.9 4.4 44.4 111.9 7.8 M M
30000 -31.8 -25.2 245 43 22 7.8 4.3 42.7 108.9 6.7 M M
29000 -29.5 -21.1 250 40 21 7.8 4.3 42.0 107.6 6.3 M M
28000 -27.2 -17.0 255 38 20 7.9 4.3 41.4 106.6 5.9 M M
27000 -24.8 -12.6 255 37 19 8.0 4.4 40.6 105.2 5.3 M M
26000 -22.4 -8.3 255 35 18 8.0 4.4 40.0 104.0 4.9 M M
25000 -20.0 -4.0 255 34 17 8.1 4.5 39.4 103.0 4.5 M M
24000 -17.8 -0.0 255 32 16 7.1 3.9 38.5 101.3 3.8 M M
23000 -15.7 3.7 255 30 16 7.1 3.9 37.5 99.5 3.0 M M
22000 -13.5 7.7 250 29 15 7.2 3.9 36.7 98.0 2.3 M M
21000 -11.2 11.8 250 27 14 6.1 3.3 35.1 95.1 1.0 M M
20000 -9.4 15.1 245 26 13 6.1 3.3 33.8 92.8 -0.1 1306 6.6
19500 -8.5 16.7 245 25 13 6.1 3.3 33.2 91.8 -0.6 1264 6.4
19000 -7.7 18.1 240 25 13 4.6 2.5 32.4 90.4 -1.3 1226 6.2
18500 -7.0 19.4 235 26 13 4.7 2.6 31.6 88.8 -2.1 1191 6.1
18000 -6.3 20.7 230 27 14 5.1 2.8 30.7 87.3 -2.9 1156 5.9
17500 -5.6 21.9 225 28 14 5.6 3.1 30.0 86.0 -3.7 1120 5.7
17000 -4.9 23.2 220 29 15 6.2 3.4 29.3 84.7 -4.5 1084 5.5
16500 -3.8 25.2 220 29 15 9.3 5.1 29.0 84.2 -4.8 1035 5.3
16000 -2.4 27.7 215 28 14 9.1 5.0 28.9 84.0 -5.0 980 5.0
15500 -1.1 30.0 215 27 14 9.0 4.9 28.8 83.8 -5.1 925 4.7
15000 0.3 32.5 215 24 13 9.0 4.9 28.7 83.6 -5.2 869 4.4
14500 1.7 35.1 220 22 11 8.8 4.8 28.5 83.4 -5.3 813 4.1
14000 3.0 37.4 220 20 10 8.6 4.7 28.3 83.0 -5.5 760 3.9
13500 4.3 39.7 220 18 9 8.7 4.8 28.2 82.7 -5.7 706 3.6
13000 5.6 42.1 225 16 8 9.0 4.9 28.0 82.4 -5.8 651 3.3
12500 7.0 44.6 230 15 8 9.0 4.9 27.9 82.2 -5.9 595 3.0
12000 8.3 46.9 235 14 7 8.6 4.7 27.7 81.9 -6.1 541 2.7
11500 9.6 49.3 245 13 6 8.6 4.7 27.6 81.6 -6.3 487 2.5
11000 10.8 51.4 250 12 6 7.4 4.1 27.3 81.1 -6.6 436 2.2
10500 12.0 53.6 260 11 6 9.3 5.1 27.0 80.6 -6.9 386 2.0
10250 12.7 54.9 260 10 5 8.8 4.8 27.0 80.6 -6.9 357 1.8
10000 13.3 55.9 265 10 5 7.3 4.0 26.8 80.2 -7.1 332 1.7
9750 13.9 57.0 265 9 5 7.4 4.1 26.6 79.9 -7.2 307 1.6
9500 14.4 57.9 265 8 4 8.4 4.6 26.5 79.6 -7.4 283 1.4
9250 15.1 59.2 270 8 4 8.2 4.5 26.4 79.5 -7.5 255 1.3
9000 15.7 60.3 275 7 4 6.9 3.8 26.2 79.2 -7.7 231 1.2
8750 16.2 61.2 275 6 3 7.4 4.1 26.0 78.8 -7.9 208 1.1
8500 16.8 62.2 280 5 3 6.7 3.7 25.8 78.5 -8.1 184 0.9
8250 17.2 63.0 285 4 2 5.8 3.2 25.5 78.0 -8.4 162 0.8
8000 17.6 63.7 290 4 2 5.8 3.2 25.2 77.4 -8.7 142 0.7
7750 18.1 64.6 290 3 2 6.0 3.3 24.9 76.9 -9.0 121 0.6
7500 18.9 66.0 300 3 2 4.8 2.6 24.3 75.7 -9.7 81 0.4
7250 19.3 66.7 300 3 2 3.8 2.1 23.9 75.0 -10.1 64 0.3
7000 19.5 67.1 290 3 1 3.2 1.7 23.4 74.1 -10.6 50 0.3
6750 19.8 67.6 275 2 1 4.2 2.3 22.9 73.3 -11.1 35 0.2
6500 20.1 68.2 260 3 1 4.4 2.4 22.5 72.6 -11.5 17 0.1
6250 20.4 68.7 245 3 1 5.7 3.1 22.2 71.9 -11.9 M M
6000 20.7 69.3 225 2 1 -3.7 -2.0 21.7 71.0 -12.5 M M
5750 18.2 64.8 195 2 1 -79.4 -43.6 18.5 65.3 -15.7 52 0.3
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/02/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/02/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.3 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.3
CINH... -0.2 K Index... +5.5 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -10.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.9 -79.4 225 35 18 0.9 0.5 | -62.4 -80.3 230 40 21 0.8 0.5
45000 -59.9 -75.8 235 43 22 2.6 1.4 | -60.4 -76.7 240 47 24 2.6 1.4
40000 -55.5 -67.9 240 48 25 7.6 4.2 | -56.0 -68.8 240 47 24 7.8 4.3
38000 -51.1 -60.0 235 48 25 7.4 4.1 | -51.5 -60.7 240 46 24 7.6 4.2
36000 -46.1 -51.0 230 47 24 7.4 4.1 | -46.3 -51.3 240 44 23 7.6 4.2
34000 -41.5 -42.7 235 44 23 7.7 4.2 | -41.8 -43.2 240 42 22 7.5 4.1
32000 -36.9 -34.4 235 41 21 7.7 4.2 | -37.3 -35.1 245 39 20 7.5 4.1
30000 -32.3 -26.1 245 37 19 7.7 4.2 | -32.7 -26.9 245 36 19 7.6 4.2
29000 -30.0 -22.0 245 35 18 7.7 4.2 | -30.4 -22.7 245 35 18 7.6 4.2
28000 -27.7 -17.9 250 34 17 8.0 4.4 | -28.2 -18.8 245 33 17 8.2 4.5
27000 -25.3 -13.5 250 33 17 8.3 4.5 | -25.6 -14.1 245 32 16 8.5 4.7
26000 -22.8 -9.0 250 31 16 8.3 4.5 | -23.1 -9.6 240 31 16 8.5 4.7
25000 -20.3 -4.5 250 30 15 8.3 4.6 | -20.5 -4.9 240 29 15 8.5 4.7
24000 -18.0 -0.4 250 29 15 7.6 4.1 | -18.0 -0.4 240 28 14 8.2 4.5
23000 -15.7 3.7 250 27 14 7.6 4.2 | -14.9 5.2 240 27 14 8.2 4.5
22000 -12.9 8.8 250 26 13 7.1 3.9 | -12.5 9.5 240 26 13 7.5 4.1
21000 -10.9 12.4 250 25 13 6.9 3.8 | -10.3 13.5 240 24 12 7.2 4.0
20000 -8.8 16.2 250 25 13 6.9 3.8 | -8.2 17.2 240 23 12 7.2 4.0
19500 -7.8 18.0 250 24 13 6.9 3.8 | -7.1 19.2 240 22 11 7.2 3.9
19000 -6.8 19.8 250 24 12 7.0 3.8 | -6.0 21.2 245 21 11 7.1 3.9
18500 -5.7 21.7 250 23 12 7.0 3.8 | -5.0 23.0 245 21 11 7.1 3.9
18000 -4.7 23.5 245 23 12 6.3 3.4 | -3.9 25.0 245 21 11 7.4 4.0
17500 -3.8 25.2 240 22 12 6.0 3.3 | -2.8 27.0 245 20 11 7.4 4.1
17000 -2.9 26.8 235 22 12 5.7 3.2 | -1.7 28.9 245 20 10 7.2 4.0
16500 -2.2 28.0 230 24 13 4.4 2.4 | -0.7 30.7 240 20 10 6.5 3.5
16000 -1.6 29.1 225 27 14 4.7 2.6 | 0.3 32.5 240 21 11 6.6 3.6
15500 -0.8 30.6 225 30 15 8.5 4.7 | 1.2 34.2 235 21 11 5.3 2.9
15000 0.4 32.7 225 31 16 8.8 4.8 | 1.9 35.4 230 23 12 5.5 3.0
14500 1.6 34.9 225 33 17 9.0 5.0 | 2.7 36.9 230 25 13 6.8 3.7
14000 2.9 37.2 225 31 16 9.1 5.0 | 3.6 38.5 225 26 13 7.5 4.1
13500 4.3 39.7 225 30 16 8.6 4.7 | 4.6 40.3 225 26 14 8.0 4.4
13000 5.5 41.9 225 27 14 7.7 4.2 | 5.8 42.4 225 24 13 8.2 4.5
12500 6.7 44.1 225 24 12 7.8 4.3 | 7.1 44.8 220 22 11 8.1 4.4
12000 8.0 46.4 230 21 11 8.0 4.4 | 8.3 46.9 220 20 10 7.6 4.1
11500 9.2 48.6 230 19 10 8.0 4.4 | 9.5 49.1 220 17 9 7.7 4.2
11000 10.5 50.9 235 17 9 8.5 4.7 | 10.8 51.4 220 15 8 8.8 4.9
10500 11.7 53.1 235 16 8 7.7 4.2 | 12.1 53.8 220 14 7 8.7 4.8
10250 12.3 54.1 235 15 8 7.5 4.1 | 12.8 55.0 220 13 7 8.8 4.8
10000 12.9 55.2 240 14 7 8.0 4.4 | 13.4 56.1 220 13 7 8.9 4.9
9750 13.5 56.3 240 13 7 7.7 4.2 | 14.1 57.4 220 12 6 8.7 4.8
9500 14.1 57.4 240 12 6 8.5 4.6 | 14.8 58.6 225 12 6 9.6 5.3
9250 14.8 58.6 245 11 6 8.0 4.4 | 15.5 59.9 225 11 6 10.1 5.5
9000 15.3 59.5 245 10 5 7.0 3.8 | 16.2 61.2 225 11 6 9.3 5.1
8750 15.9 60.6 245 9 5 7.5 4.1 | 17.0 62.6 225 11 6 9.9 5.4
8500 16.4 61.5 250 8 4 6.4 3.5 | 18.2 64.8 230 10 5 8.7 4.8
8250 17.3 63.1 250 7 3 6.2 3.4 | 19.0 66.2 230 10 5 10.7 5.9
8000 17.8 64.0 250 6 3 6.8 3.7 | 19.8 67.6 230 10 5 10.4 5.7
7750 18.3 64.9 250 5 3 5.1 2.8 | 20.6 69.1 230 9 5 10.0 5.5
7500 18.6 65.5 250 5 2 3.6 2.0 | 21.3 70.3 235 9 5 9.7 5.3
7250 18.9 66.0 250 4 2 6.3 3.5 | 22.0 71.6 235 9 5 10.5 5.8
7000 19.5 67.1 250 4 2 7.6 4.2 | 22.9 73.2 235 9 5 10.9 6.0
6750 20.0 68.0 250 4 2 8.2 4.5 | 23.7 74.7 235 9 4 10.4 5.7
6500 20.7 69.3 250 3 2 9.2 5.0 | 24.4 75.9 240 8 4 10.4 5.7
6250 21.4 70.5 255 3 2 9.0 4.9 | 25.2 77.4 240 8 4 9.5 5.2
6000 22.1 71.8 255 3 2 12.9 7.1 | 26.0 78.8 240 8 4 14.7 8.1
5750 23.6 74.5 255 3 2 30.5 16.7 | 28.4 83.1 245 7 4 60.7 33.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/02/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/02/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.3 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.6
CINH... -0.2 K Index... +9.3 | CINH... -0.0 K Index... +4.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.4 -78.5 240 41 21 0.7 0.4 | -61.0 -77.8 250 38 20 0.2 0.1
45000 -59.8 -75.6 240 48 25 2.3 1.3 | -59.7 -75.5 250 47 24 2.9 1.6
40000 -55.8 -68.4 245 48 25 7.4 4.1 | -54.4 -65.9 250 40 21 6.9 3.8
38000 -51.0 -59.8 240 48 25 7.2 3.9 | -50.2 -58.4 250 42 22 7.0 3.8
36000 -46.7 -52.1 240 48 25 7.1 3.9 | -46.0 -50.8 250 44 23 7.0 3.8
34000 -42.3 -44.1 240 44 23 7.3 4.0 | -41.7 -43.1 250 43 22 7.3 4.0
32000 -38.0 -36.4 245 39 20 7.2 4.0 | -37.3 -35.1 255 41 21 7.2 4.0
30000 -33.2 -27.8 245 35 18 8.1 4.4 | -32.8 -27.0 255 39 20 7.7 4.2
29000 -30.8 -23.4 250 34 17 8.1 4.4 | -30.5 -22.9 260 38 19 7.7 4.2
28000 -28.4 -19.1 250 32 16 8.4 4.6 | -28.2 -18.8 265 37 19 8.1 4.5
27000 -25.8 -14.4 250 31 16 8.7 4.7 | -25.6 -14.1 260 35 18 8.5 4.6
26000 -23.2 -9.8 250 30 16 8.7 4.8 | -23.1 -9.6 260 34 17 8.5 4.6
25000 -20.6 -5.1 250 29 15 8.7 4.8 | -20.6 -5.1 260 32 17 8.5 4.7
24000 -18.0 -0.4 250 28 15 8.7 4.8 | -17.9 -0.2 255 29 15 6.9 3.8
23000 -14.8 5.4 245 27 14 8.7 4.8 | -15.9 3.4 245 26 14 6.9 3.8
22000 -12.2 10.0 240 26 13 7.9 4.3 | -13.8 7.2 240 24 12 6.9 3.8
21000 -9.9 14.2 245 25 13 7.7 4.2 | -11.8 10.8 235 22 11 6.9 3.8
20000 -7.6 18.3 245 24 12 7.7 4.2 | -9.8 14.4 230 20 10 7.1 3.9
19500 -6.4 20.5 245 23 12 7.3 4.0 | -8.8 16.2 225 19 10 7.7 4.2
19000 -5.5 22.1 245 23 12 5.7 3.1 | -7.4 18.7 225 19 10 9.8 5.4
18500 -4.7 23.5 245 23 12 5.8 3.2 | -5.9 21.4 225 18 9 9.7 5.3
18000 -3.9 25.0 245 23 12 5.0 2.8 | -4.5 23.9 225 18 9 9.6 5.3
17500 -3.2 26.2 245 23 12 4.9 2.7 | -3.1 26.4 225 18 9 9.6 5.2
17000 -2.5 27.5 240 22 12 5.4 3.0 | -1.6 29.1 225 17 9 9.6 5.3
16500 -1.6 29.1 240 21 11 7.2 3.9 | -0.2 31.6 225 17 9 9.9 5.4
16000 -0.6 30.9 235 20 10 7.0 3.8 | 1.3 34.3 225 17 9 9.9 5.4
15500 0.6 33.1 235 19 10 9.2 5.0 | 2.8 37.0 225 16 8 9.7 5.3
15000 1.9 35.4 230 18 9 9.1 5.0 | 4.2 39.6 225 16 8 9.7 5.3
14500 3.3 37.9 230 17 9 9.4 5.1 | 5.7 42.3 225 16 8 9.7 5.3
14000 4.7 40.5 230 16 8 9.5 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 225 15 8 9.6 5.3
13500 6.1 43.0 225 16 8 9.5 5.2 | 8.6 47.5 225 15 8 9.7 5.3
13000 7.6 45.7 225 16 8 9.6 5.3 | 10.0 50.0 225 15 8 9.9 5.4
12500 9.0 48.2 225 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 11.5 52.7 225 14 7 9.8 5.4
12000 10.4 50.7 225 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 13.0 55.4 225 14 7 9.5 5.2
11500 11.9 53.4 225 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 14.4 57.9 225 14 7 9.6 5.2
11000 13.3 55.9 220 14 7 9.2 5.0 | 15.8 60.4 220 13 7 9.6 5.3
10500 14.7 58.5 220 13 7 10.2 5.6 | 17.3 63.1 220 13 7 9.7 5.3
10250 15.5 59.9 220 13 7 9.9 5.4 | 18.0 64.4 220 13 7 9.7 5.3
10000 16.2 61.2 220 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 18.7 65.7 220 13 7 9.8 5.4
9750 16.9 62.4 220 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 19.5 67.1 220 13 7 9.6 5.3
9500 17.6 63.7 220 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 20.2 68.4 220 13 6 10.1 5.6
9250 18.3 64.9 220 12 6 9.9 5.5 | 21.0 69.8 220 12 6 9.9 5.4
9000 19.8 67.6 215 11 6 10.1 5.5 | 21.7 71.1 220 12 6 9.3 5.1
8750 20.5 68.9 215 11 6 8.5 4.7 | 22.4 72.3 220 12 6 9.3 5.1
8500 21.1 70.0 215 10 5 9.1 5.0 | 23.9 75.0 220 11 6 10.4 5.7
8250 21.9 71.4 210 10 5 11.0 6.0 | 24.6 76.3 220 11 6 9.7 5.3
8000 22.7 72.9 210 10 5 10.7 5.9 | 25.3 77.5 220 11 6 10.0 5.5
7750 23.5 74.3 210 9 5 10.1 5.5 | 26.1 79.0 215 11 6 9.5 5.2
7500 24.2 75.6 210 9 5 9.4 5.2 | 26.8 80.2 215 11 5 9.2 5.0
7250 25.0 77.0 210 9 5 10.5 5.8 | 27.5 81.5 215 10 5 9.9 5.5
7000 25.8 78.4 205 8 4 11.1 6.1 | 28.3 82.9 215 10 5 10.4 5.7
6750 26.6 79.9 205 8 4 10.5 5.8 | 29.0 84.2 215 10 5 10.2 5.6
6500 27.4 81.3 205 8 4 10.5 5.8 | 29.8 85.6 215 9 5 10.3 5.6
6250 28.1 82.6 205 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 30.6 87.1 215 9 5 13.0 7.2
6000 28.9 84.0 200 7 4 14.7 8.1 | 31.8 89.2 215 8 4 17.5 9.6
5750 31.4 88.5 200 6 3 62.1 34.1 | 32.9 91.2 215 8 4 9.7 5.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0725 MDT Thursday July 2 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, July 2, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 77.6 F/25.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1371 ft/min (7.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20625 ft MSL (14185 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 88.0 F/31.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18604 ft MSL (12164 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 07/03....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:53:05 / 20:23:59 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 30 min 54 sec (870 min 54 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:32 MDT... 77.24 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/02/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15169 ft MSL (8729 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 26770 ft MSL (20330 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 24640 ft MSL (18200 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +4.5
K index......................... +2.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.1 -81.6 225 31 16 1.0 0.5 82.7 180.8 30.4 M M
45000 -60.2 -76.4 230 44 23 3.9 2.1 63.3 146.0 20.4 M M
40000 -54.0 -65.2 230 48 25 6.7 3.7 50.9 123.6 13.4 M M
38000 -50.0 -58.0 230 48 25 6.7 3.7 47.9 118.2 11.7 M M
36000 -45.9 -50.6 235 49 25 6.7 3.7 45.6 114.1 10.3 M M
34000 -41.5 -42.7 235 46 24 7.6 4.2 43.5 110.4 9.1 M M
32000 -36.9 -34.4 240 43 22 7.6 4.2 42.0 107.5 8.1 M M
30000 -32.1 -25.8 245 41 21 8.0 4.4 40.4 104.7 7.1 M M
29000 -29.1 -20.4 250 39 20 8.0 4.4 39.6 103.3 6.6 M M
28000 -26.8 -16.2 255 38 20 8.0 4.4 39.1 102.3 6.3 M M
27000 -24.4 -11.9 255 37 19 8.0 4.4 38.3 100.9 5.7 M M
26000 -22.0 -7.6 255 36 19 8.0 4.4 37.6 99.7 5.2 M M
25000 -19.6 -3.3 260 35 18 7.8 4.3 37.0 98.7 4.8 M M
24000 -17.6 0.3 255 33 17 6.4 3.5 35.8 96.5 3.9 M M
23000 -15.7 3.7 255 31 16 6.4 3.5 34.6 94.3 2.9 M M
22000 -13.8 7.2 250 29 15 6.1 3.3 33.5 92.3 2.0 M M
21000 -12.2 10.0 245 27 14 5.0 2.8 31.8 89.2 0.5 M M
20000 -10.7 12.7 235 25 13 5.1 2.8 30.2 86.3 -0.9 1324 6.7
19500 -10.0 14.0 230 24 13 5.1 2.8 29.4 84.9 -1.6 1287 6.5
19000 -9.3 15.3 230 24 13 5.0 2.8 28.6 83.5 -2.3 1250 6.4
18500 -8.6 16.5 225 25 13 5.4 2.9 27.8 82.0 -3.1 1215 6.2
18000 -7.9 17.8 220 26 14 6.8 3.7 27.1 80.7 -3.9 1179 6.0
17500 -6.7 19.9 220 26 13 8.6 4.7 26.8 80.3 -4.2 1129 5.7
17000 -5.4 22.3 220 25 13 8.6 4.7 26.6 80.0 -4.4 1076 5.5
16500 -4.1 24.6 220 24 12 9.6 5.3 26.5 79.8 -4.6 1021 5.2
16000 -2.7 27.1 220 23 12 9.5 5.2 26.5 79.7 -4.6 963 4.9
15500 -1.2 29.8 225 21 11 9.7 5.3 26.5 79.6 -4.7 904 4.6
15000 0.3 32.5 225 20 10 9.8 5.4 26.5 79.6 -4.7 845 4.3
14500 1.8 35.2 225 18 9 9.7 5.3 26.5 79.7 -4.6 785 4.0
14000 3.3 37.9 225 17 9 9.5 5.2 26.4 79.6 -4.7 726 3.7
13500 4.7 40.5 230 15 8 9.5 5.2 26.4 79.5 -4.7 668 3.4
13000 6.2 43.2 235 13 7 9.3 5.1 26.3 79.4 -4.7 610 3.1
12500 7.6 45.7 240 12 6 9.4 5.1 26.3 79.3 -4.8 552 2.8
12000 8.9 48.0 245 11 6 8.3 4.6 26.1 79.0 -4.9 497 2.5
11500 10.2 50.4 255 11 5 9.0 4.9 25.9 78.6 -5.1 444 2.3
11000 12.2 54.0 270 9 5 8.6 4.7 25.7 78.3 -5.4 361 1.8
10500 13.5 56.3 280 9 5 7.8 4.3 25.5 78.0 -5.6 307 1.6
10250 14.1 57.4 285 10 5 7.8 4.3 25.4 77.6 -5.7 283 1.4
10000 14.7 58.5 290 10 5 8.6 4.7 25.3 77.5 -5.9 257 1.3
9750 15.4 59.7 290 10 5 8.8 4.8 25.2 77.3 -6.0 230 1.2
9500 16.0 60.8 295 10 5 7.4 4.1 25.1 77.1 -6.1 204 1.0
9250 16.5 61.7 300 11 6 6.0 3.3 24.8 76.6 -6.4 182 0.9
9000 16.9 62.4 300 11 6 6.3 3.5 24.5 76.1 -6.6 161 0.8
8750 17.4 63.3 300 11 6 6.5 3.5 24.3 75.7 -6.9 139 0.7
8500 17.8 64.0 300 11 6 4.9 2.7 24.0 75.2 -7.2 118 0.6
8250 18.1 64.6 295 9 5 3.0 1.6 23.5 74.3 -7.7 103 0.5
8000 18.3 64.9 290 8 4 2.6 1.4 23.0 73.4 -8.3 90 0.5
7750 18.4 65.1 285 7 4 2.3 1.3 22.4 72.3 -8.9 79 0.4
7500 18.6 65.5 280 5 3 3.1 1.7 21.9 71.4 -9.5 67 0.3
7250 18.8 65.8 265 4 2 2.5 1.4 21.4 70.5 -10.1 54 0.3
7000 18.9 66.0 240 3 1 4.9 2.7 20.9 69.5 -10.7 42 0.2
6750 18.9 66.0 225 2 1 -9.2 -5.0 20.2 68.4 -11.4 34 0.2
6500 14.9 58.8 145 1 1 -99.0 -54.3 15.5 59.9 -16.3 149 0.8
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/02/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/02/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.8 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.9
CINH... -0.2 K Index... -2.8 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -6.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.7 -79.1 230 35 18 0.8 0.4 | -61.5 -78.7 230 39 20 0.8 0.5
45000 -59.9 -75.8 235 43 22 2.5 1.4 | -59.7 -75.5 230 46 24 2.1 1.1
40000 -55.7 -68.3 240 48 25 7.6 4.1 | -56.1 -69.0 235 47 24 7.5 4.1
38000 -50.8 -59.4 235 48 25 7.2 4.0 | -51.7 -61.1 235 46 24 7.2 4.0
36000 -46.5 -51.7 230 48 25 7.2 3.9 | -46.9 -52.4 235 45 23 7.2 3.9
34000 -41.9 -43.4 235 44 23 7.8 4.3 | -42.2 -44.0 240 43 22 7.8 4.3
32000 -37.2 -35.0 235 40 21 7.7 4.3 | -37.5 -35.5 240 41 21 7.8 4.3
30000 -32.6 -26.7 245 38 19 7.8 4.3 | -32.9 -27.2 245 38 19 7.7 4.2
29000 -30.3 -22.5 245 37 19 7.8 4.3 | -30.7 -23.3 245 36 19 7.7 4.2
28000 -27.9 -18.2 250 36 18 8.0 4.4 | -28.4 -19.1 240 35 18 8.1 4.4
27000 -25.4 -13.7 250 34 18 8.3 4.6 | -25.8 -14.4 245 33 17 8.4 4.6
26000 -22.9 -9.2 250 33 17 8.3 4.6 | -23.3 -9.9 245 32 17 8.4 4.6
25000 -20.4 -4.7 250 31 16 8.4 4.6 | -20.8 -5.4 245 31 16 8.4 4.6
24000 -17.6 0.3 245 29 15 7.5 4.1 | -17.7 0.1 245 30 15 8.2 4.5
23000 -15.3 4.5 245 27 14 7.5 4.1 | -15.3 4.5 240 29 15 8.2 4.5
22000 -13.1 8.4 240 26 13 7.0 3.9 | -12.9 8.8 240 28 14 7.5 4.1
21000 -11.1 12.0 245 26 13 6.6 3.6 | -10.7 12.7 240 26 14 7.2 3.9
20000 -9.1 15.6 245 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -8.6 16.5 245 25 13 7.2 3.9
19500 -8.1 17.4 250 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -7.5 18.5 245 24 13 7.1 3.9
19000 -7.1 19.2 250 25 13 7.4 4.1 | -6.5 20.3 245 24 12 6.6 3.6
18500 -6.0 21.2 245 24 13 7.3 4.0 | -5.5 22.1 245 23 12 6.6 3.6
18000 -4.9 23.2 245 24 12 6.3 3.4 | -4.5 23.9 245 22 11 6.8 3.7
17500 -4.1 24.6 240 24 12 5.6 3.1 | -3.5 25.7 245 22 11 6.9 3.8
17000 -3.3 26.1 240 25 13 5.6 3.1 | -2.4 27.7 245 22 11 6.8 3.7
16500 -2.5 27.5 235 26 13 4.9 2.7 | -1.5 29.3 240 22 11 6.1 3.3
16000 -1.9 28.6 230 28 14 5.1 2.8 | -0.6 30.9 240 23 12 6.2 3.4
15500 -1.1 30.0 230 29 15 8.1 4.5 | 0.2 32.4 235 23 12 6.2 3.4
15000 0.2 32.4 230 30 15 8.6 4.7 | 1.1 34.0 235 24 12 6.4 3.5
14500 1.4 34.5 230 30 15 8.8 4.8 | 2.0 35.6 235 25 13 7.8 4.3
14000 2.8 37.0 230 27 14 8.9 4.9 | 3.2 37.8 235 24 13 8.6 4.7
13500 4.1 39.4 230 25 13 8.9 4.9 | 4.5 40.1 235 24 12 8.9 4.9
13000 5.5 41.9 230 23 12 8.8 4.8 | 5.9 42.6 235 23 12 9.3 5.1
12500 6.8 44.2 230 20 10 8.8 4.9 | 7.3 45.1 235 22 11 9.2 5.1
12000 8.2 46.8 230 18 9 8.8 4.8 | 8.6 47.5 235 21 11 9.0 4.9
11500 9.5 49.1 235 16 8 9.1 5.0 | 10.0 50.0 235 20 10 9.5 5.2
11000 10.9 51.6 235 15 8 8.5 4.7 | 11.4 52.5 235 19 10 9.3 5.1
10500 12.2 54.0 240 13 7 8.5 4.7 | 12.8 55.0 235 19 10 9.2 5.0
10250 12.8 55.0 240 13 6 7.5 4.1 | 14.2 57.6 235 18 9 9.7 5.3
10000 14.0 57.2 250 12 6 8.1 4.5 | 15.0 59.0 235 18 9 9.6 5.3
9750 14.6 58.3 250 11 6 7.9 4.4 | 15.7 60.3 235 17 9 9.6 5.3
9500 15.2 59.4 255 11 6 8.4 4.6 | 16.4 61.5 235 17 9 9.5 5.2
9250 15.8 60.4 260 11 6 7.3 4.0 | 17.1 62.8 235 17 9 9.7 5.3
9000 16.3 61.3 260 10 5 6.3 3.4 | 17.9 64.2 235 17 9 9.9 5.5
8750 16.7 62.1 260 9 5 6.4 3.5 | 18.6 65.5 235 16 8 9.9 5.4
8500 17.2 63.0 265 8 4 4.1 2.3 | 19.3 66.7 235 16 8 9.7 5.3
8250 17.4 63.3 260 7 4 4.5 2.5 | 20.1 68.2 235 16 8 10.0 5.5
8000 17.9 64.2 260 6 3 7.8 4.3 | 20.8 69.4 235 16 8 10.8 5.9
7750 18.5 65.3 260 6 3 8.6 4.7 | 21.6 70.9 235 15 8 10.9 6.0
7500 19.1 66.4 255 5 3 8.4 4.6 | 22.5 72.5 240 15 8 10.6 5.8
7250 19.8 67.6 255 5 2 8.7 4.8 | 23.3 73.9 240 15 8 11.1 6.1
7000 20.4 68.7 250 4 2 8.3 4.6 | 24.1 75.4 240 14 7 9.5 5.2
6750 21.1 70.0 250 4 2 11.9 6.5 | 24.9 76.8 240 14 7 16.9 9.2
6500 22.7 72.9 250 4 2 37.7 20.7 | 28.0 82.4 240 12 6 82.7 45.4
07/02/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/02/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.3 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.0
CINH... -0.2 K Index... -4.2 | CINH... -0.0 K Index... +7.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.0 -77.8 240 40 20 0.5 0.3 | -60.4 -76.7 250 36 18 1.2 0.6
45000 -59.6 -75.3 235 48 25 2.1 1.2 | -58.4 -73.1 240 46 24 1.6 0.9
40000 -55.9 -68.6 240 50 26 7.4 4.1 | -55.1 -67.2 245 46 24 6.5 3.6
38000 -51.1 -60.0 240 50 26 7.0 3.9 | -51.1 -60.0 250 47 24 6.7 3.7
36000 -46.9 -52.4 240 50 26 7.0 3.8 | -47.1 -52.8 250 47 24 6.5 3.6
34000 -42.5 -44.5 240 46 24 7.5 4.1 | -42.6 -44.7 250 44 22 7.7 4.2
32000 -38.0 -36.4 240 41 21 7.5 4.1 | -37.9 -36.2 255 40 20 7.7 4.2
30000 -33.3 -27.9 245 39 20 7.9 4.3 | -33.4 -28.1 255 37 19 7.7 4.2
29000 -31.0 -23.8 245 37 19 7.9 4.3 | -31.1 -24.0 255 36 19 7.7 4.2
28000 -28.6 -19.5 245 36 19 8.1 4.4 | -28.8 -19.8 255 35 18 8.2 4.5
27000 -26.1 -15.0 245 35 18 8.3 4.5 | -26.2 -15.2 255 34 18 8.7 4.8
26000 -23.7 -10.7 250 34 17 8.3 4.5 | -22.9 -9.2 255 32 17 8.7 4.8
25000 -20.6 -5.1 250 32 17 8.5 4.7 | -20.3 -4.5 250 31 16 8.3 4.6
24000 -17.9 -0.2 250 31 16 8.8 4.8 | -17.9 -0.2 250 30 15 8.0 4.4
23000 -15.3 4.5 245 30 16 8.8 4.8 | -15.5 4.1 250 28 14 8.0 4.4
22000 -12.7 9.1 245 29 15 7.7 4.2 | -13.2 8.2 245 27 14 7.1 3.9
21000 -10.6 12.9 245 27 14 7.2 4.0 | -11.2 11.8 250 25 13 6.6 3.6
20000 -8.4 16.9 245 25 13 7.2 4.0 | -9.3 15.3 250 24 12 6.6 3.6
19500 -7.3 18.9 245 24 12 7.2 4.0 | -8.4 16.9 250 23 12 6.7 3.7
19000 -6.3 20.7 245 22 12 7.1 3.9 | -7.4 18.7 245 22 11 6.5 3.6
18500 -5.2 22.6 245 21 11 7.1 3.9 | -6.5 20.3 245 20 10 6.5 3.6
18000 -4.1 24.6 245 20 10 7.3 4.0 | -5.5 22.1 240 18 9 8.4 4.6
17500 -3.0 26.6 245 19 10 7.4 4.1 | -4.1 24.6 240 18 9 9.1 5.0
17000 -1.9 28.6 245 19 10 7.2 4.0 | -2.8 27.0 240 17 9 9.2 5.0
16500 -1.0 30.2 245 18 9 5.9 3.3 | -1.3 29.7 235 16 8 9.7 5.3
16000 -0.1 31.8 240 17 9 6.0 3.3 | 0.1 32.2 235 16 8 9.6 5.3
15500 0.8 33.4 240 16 8 7.9 4.3 | 1.5 34.7 235 16 8 9.7 5.3
15000 2.0 35.6 235 16 8 8.1 4.4 | 3.0 37.4 235 16 8 9.7 5.3
14500 3.2 37.8 235 15 8 8.9 4.9 | 4.5 40.1 235 16 8 9.7 5.3
14000 4.6 40.3 235 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 5.9 42.6 235 15 8 9.7 5.3
13500 6.0 42.8 230 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 7.4 45.3 230 15 8 9.7 5.3
13000 7.4 45.3 230 15 8 9.4 5.2 | 8.8 47.8 230 15 8 9.8 5.3
12500 8.9 48.0 230 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 230 15 8 9.7 5.3
12000 10.3 50.5 230 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 11.7 53.1 230 15 8 9.6 5.3
11500 11.7 53.1 230 16 8 9.5 5.2 | 13.2 55.8 230 14 7 9.5 5.2
11000 13.1 55.6 230 16 8 9.5 5.2 | 15.3 59.5 230 14 7 9.6 5.3
10500 15.3 59.5 235 16 8 9.9 5.4 | 16.8 62.2 230 14 7 9.8 5.4
10250 16.0 60.8 235 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 17.5 63.5 230 14 7 9.7 5.3
10000 16.7 62.1 235 16 8 9.8 5.4 | 18.2 64.8 230 14 7 9.7 5.3
9750 17.5 63.5 235 17 9 9.8 5.4 | 19.0 66.2 225 13 7 9.6 5.3
9500 18.2 64.8 235 17 9 9.6 5.3 | 19.7 67.5 225 13 7 10.0 5.5
9250 18.9 66.0 235 17 9 9.7 5.3 | 20.4 68.7 225 13 7 10.0 5.5
9000 19.7 67.5 235 17 9 9.9 5.4 | 21.2 70.2 225 13 7 9.7 5.3
8750 20.4 68.7 235 17 9 9.9 5.4 | 21.9 71.4 225 13 6 9.8 5.4
8500 21.1 70.0 235 17 9 10.3 5.7 | 22.6 72.7 225 12 6 9.8 5.4
8250 21.9 71.4 240 17 9 10.6 5.8 | 23.4 74.1 225 12 6 9.9 5.4
8000 22.7 72.9 240 17 9 10.5 5.7 | 24.1 75.4 225 12 6 9.9 5.4
7750 23.5 74.3 240 17 9 10.6 5.8 | 24.9 76.8 225 11 6 9.9 5.5
7500 24.3 75.7 240 17 9 10.7 5.9 | 25.6 78.1 225 11 6 10.2 5.6
7250 25.1 77.2 240 17 9 11.3 6.2 | 26.4 79.5 225 11 6 10.6 5.8
7000 25.9 78.6 240 17 9 9.4 5.2 | 27.1 80.8 225 10 5 9.1 5.0
6750 26.7 80.1 240 16 8 16.4 9.0 | 27.8 82.0 225 10 5 11.7 6.4
6500 29.8 85.6 240 15 7 82.3 45.2 | 29.6 85.3 225 9 4 44.3 24.3
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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