Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0714 MDT Tuesday June 10 2025
This forecast is for Tuesday, June 10, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 73.6 F/23.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1091 ft/min (5.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17724 ft MSL (11404 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 80.0 F/27.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10561 ft MSL (4240 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 06/11.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:49:35 / 20:17:35 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 28 min 0 sec (868 min 0 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:35 MDT... 78.07 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/10/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14868 ft MSL (8548 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15487 ft MSL (9167 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15915 ft MSL (9594 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.3
K index......................... +23.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.5 -80.5 270 25 13 1.6 0.9 85.5 185.9 34.6 M M
45000 -59.5 -75.1 260 23 12 3.2 1.7 66.5 151.6 25.1 M M
40000 -54.7 -66.5 270 14 7 3.6 2.0 51.8 125.3 16.9 M M
38000 -52.5 -62.5 270 10 5 3.7 2.0 46.0 114.8 13.4 M M
36000 -50.3 -58.5 275 6 3 3.7 2.0 41.1 106.0 10.2 M M
34000 -46.1 -51.0 330 3 1 8.7 4.7 38.7 101.7 8.8 M M
32000 -40.3 -40.5 040 6 3 8.7 4.8 37.9 100.2 8.4 M M
30000 -35.2 -31.4 035 5 3 8.6 4.7 36.9 98.3 7.8 M M
29000 -32.7 -26.9 025 4 2 8.6 4.7 36.4 97.6 7.5 M M
28000 -30.1 -22.2 005 2 1 8.4 4.6 36.1 97.0 7.3 M M
27000 -27.8 -18.0 335 2 1 7.9 4.3 35.3 95.6 6.8 M M
26000 -25.4 -13.7 315 3 2 7.9 4.3 34.6 94.3 6.2 M M
25000 -23.1 -9.6 300 4 2 8.1 4.4 34.0 93.2 5.8 M M
24000 -21.1 -6.0 305 4 2 6.4 3.5 32.9 91.2 4.9 M M
23000 -19.2 -2.6 320 4 2 6.4 3.5 31.7 89.0 3.9 M M
22000 -17.3 0.9 335 5 2 6.4 3.5 30.6 87.0 3.0 M M
21000 -15.2 4.6 325 6 3 7.2 4.0 29.6 85.2 2.1 M M
20000 -13.1 8.4 315 7 4 7.2 4.0 28.7 83.6 1.4 M M
19500 -12.0 10.4 315 8 4 7.2 4.0 28.3 82.9 1.0 M M
19000 -10.9 12.4 310 9 4 8.1 4.4 27.9 82.2 0.7 M M
18500 -9.7 14.5 315 9 4 8.3 4.5 27.6 81.8 0.4 M M
18000 -8.5 16.7 315 9 5 8.3 4.6 27.4 81.3 0.2 M M
17500 -6.7 19.9 315 9 5 8.4 4.6 27.0 80.7 -0.2 1055 5.4
17000 -5.4 22.3 310 9 5 8.5 4.7 26.8 80.3 -0.4 1004 5.1
16500 -4.1 24.6 310 9 5 9.0 4.9 26.7 80.0 -0.5 950 4.8
16000 -2.8 27.0 310 10 5 9.0 4.9 26.6 79.8 -0.7 896 4.5
15500 -1.5 29.3 310 10 5 9.0 4.9 26.4 79.6 -0.8 841 4.3
15000 -0.2 31.6 310 11 6 9.0 4.9 26.3 79.4 -1.0 787 4.0
14500 1.2 34.2 310 12 6 9.4 5.2 26.2 79.2 -1.1 732 3.7
14000 2.6 36.7 315 13 7 9.5 5.2 26.2 79.1 -1.1 674 3.4
13500 4.0 39.2 315 14 7 9.4 5.2 26.2 79.1 -1.2 617 3.1
13000 5.4 41.7 315 14 7 9.2 5.0 26.1 78.9 -1.3 561 2.8
12500 6.8 44.2 315 14 7 8.9 4.9 26.0 78.8 -1.3 504 2.6
12000 8.1 46.6 320 13 7 8.2 4.5 25.8 78.4 -1.5 452 2.3
11500 9.3 48.7 325 12 6 7.4 4.1 25.5 78.0 -1.7 400 2.0
11000 10.1 50.2 330 9 5 5.5 3.0 24.9 76.9 -2.4 360 1.8
10500 10.9 51.6 340 7 4 5.3 2.9 24.3 75.7 -3.1 322 1.6
10250 11.2 52.2 350 6 3 4.4 2.4 23.9 75.0 -3.5 305 1.5
10000 11.5 52.7 005 5 3 4.2 2.3 23.5 74.2 -4.0 290 1.5
9750 11.8 53.2 020 4 2 4.4 2.4 23.0 73.5 -4.4 274 1.4
9500 12.0 53.6 045 4 2 4.2 2.3 22.6 72.7 -4.9 258 1.3
9250 12.3 54.1 065 5 2 3.9 2.1 22.2 71.9 -5.4 243 1.2
9000 12.6 54.7 085 5 3 3.5 1.9 21.7 71.1 -5.9 228 1.2
8750 12.8 55.0 095 6 3 3.4 1.9 21.2 70.2 -6.4 214 1.1
8500 13.0 55.4 105 7 4 3.0 1.6 20.7 69.3 -6.9 200 1.0
8250 13.2 55.8 115 8 4 2.3 1.3 20.2 68.3 -7.5 187 0.9
8000 13.4 56.1 120 8 4 2.2 1.2 19.6 67.3 -8.0 175 0.9
7750 13.5 56.3 130 8 4 2.4 1.3 19.1 66.3 -8.6 163 0.8
7500 13.7 56.7 135 9 5 1.7 0.9 18.5 65.3 -9.2 151 0.8
7250 13.7 56.7 140 8 4 0.9 0.5 17.8 64.1 -9.9 142 0.7
7000 13.8 56.8 150 8 4 1.5 0.8 17.2 62.9 -10.6 132 0.7
6750 13.9 57.0 155 7 4 0.6 0.3 16.5 61.8 -11.3 123 0.6
6500 13.7 56.7 165 6 3 -3.4 -1.8 15.7 60.3 -12.2 120 0.6
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/10/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/10/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +37.0 LI... -0.5 | CAPE... +488.1 LI... -1.8
CINH... -292.9 K Index... +24.7 | CINH... -53.1 K Index... +25.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.3 -78.3 280 22 11 1.9 1.0 | -61.3 -78.3 280 20 10 1.6 0.9
45000 -58.3 -72.9 270 20 10 2.4 1.3 | -58.9 -74.0 275 18 9 1.7 0.9
40000 -54.8 -66.6 255 14 7 3.4 1.8 | -56.3 -69.3 260 9 4 4.3 2.3
38000 -52.5 -62.5 355 1 1 3.7 2.0 | -53.3 -63.9 070 4 2 5.0 2.7
36000 -50.3 -58.5 065 14 7 3.7 2.0 | -50.3 -58.5 075 17 9 5.0 2.7
34000 -45.5 -49.9 065 16 8 8.7 4.8 | -45.3 -49.5 075 16 8 8.6 4.7
32000 -40.3 -40.5 065 12 6 8.7 4.8 | -40.2 -40.4 065 9 5 8.6 4.7
30000 -35.4 -31.7 055 7 3 8.1 4.4 | -35.2 -31.4 040 5 3 8.3 4.6
29000 -33.0 -27.4 030 4 2 8.1 4.4 | -32.7 -26.9 010 5 2 8.3 4.6
28000 -30.6 -23.1 340 4 2 8.0 4.4 | -30.2 -22.4 345 5 3 8.0 4.4
27000 -28.3 -18.9 345 5 2 7.7 4.2 | -28.0 -18.4 355 6 3 7.3 4.0
26000 -26.0 -14.8 355 6 3 7.7 4.2 | -25.8 -14.4 005 8 4 7.3 4.0
25000 -23.7 -10.7 360 7 4 7.8 4.3 | -23.7 -10.7 010 9 5 7.4 4.0
24000 -21.7 -7.1 010 7 3 6.6 3.6 | -21.5 -6.7 020 9 5 7.4 4.0
23000 -19.7 -3.5 030 6 3 6.7 3.7 | -19.3 -2.7 030 8 4 7.4 4.0
22000 -17.7 0.1 045 6 3 6.6 3.6 | -17.1 1.2 045 8 4 7.4 4.0
21000 -15.4 4.3 020 5 3 8.2 4.5 | -14.8 5.4 035 5 3 7.8 4.3
20000 -13.0 8.6 340 6 3 8.2 4.5 | -12.5 9.5 335 3 2 7.8 4.3
19500 -11.7 10.9 325 7 4 8.2 4.5 | -11.4 11.5 300 4 2 7.9 4.3
19000 -10.5 13.1 315 8 4 8.2 4.5 | -10.3 13.5 290 6 3 7.1 3.9
18500 -8.7 16.3 315 7 3 8.3 4.5 | -8.8 16.2 290 8 4 7.0 3.8
18000 -7.5 18.5 315 6 3 7.9 4.3 | -7.7 18.1 295 9 5 7.9 4.3
17500 -6.4 20.5 310 7 3 7.8 4.3 | -6.6 20.1 300 9 5 8.0 4.4
17000 -5.3 22.5 310 7 4 8.0 4.4 | -5.4 22.3 310 9 5 8.2 4.5
16500 -4.0 24.8 315 8 4 8.6 4.7 | -4.1 24.6 320 9 5 8.6 4.7
16000 -2.7 27.1 315 8 4 8.6 4.7 | -2.8 27.0 335 9 5 8.5 4.7
15500 -1.4 29.5 320 9 5 9.2 5.1 | -1.5 29.3 345 10 5 9.1 5.0
15000 -0.1 31.8 325 10 5 9.2 5.1 | -0.2 31.6 350 11 6 9.0 4.9
14500 1.3 34.3 330 11 6 8.8 4.8 | 1.1 34.0 350 12 6 9.1 5.0
14000 2.6 36.7 340 11 6 8.6 4.7 | 2.5 36.5 350 12 6 9.1 5.0
13500 3.8 38.8 340 12 6 8.3 4.6 | 3.8 38.8 350 12 6 8.9 4.9
13000 5.0 41.0 345 11 6 8.0 4.4 | 5.1 41.2 350 12 6 8.8 4.8
12500 6.2 43.2 345 11 6 7.7 4.2 | 6.5 43.7 350 11 6 8.5 4.7
12000 7.2 45.0 345 10 5 7.1 3.9 | 7.6 45.7 355 9 5 8.0 4.4
11500 8.3 46.9 345 8 4 5.8 3.2 | 8.8 47.8 360 8 4 7.8 4.3
11000 9.1 48.4 335 7 3 7.0 3.8 | 9.9 49.8 355 6 3 7.1 3.9
10500 10.1 50.2 325 5 3 6.4 3.5 | 10.9 51.6 350 4 2 6.7 3.7
10250 10.5 50.9 315 5 2 6.0 3.3 | 11.3 52.3 340 3 2 6.1 3.3
10000 10.9 51.6 305 4 2 6.1 3.3 | 11.7 53.1 325 3 2 6.4 3.5
9750 11.3 52.3 295 4 2 6.3 3.5 | 12.2 54.0 310 3 1 6.5 3.6
9500 11.8 53.2 280 4 2 5.9 3.2 | 12.6 54.7 295 3 1 6.6 3.6
9250 12.2 54.0 270 3 2 5.6 3.1 | 13.1 55.6 285 3 1 6.7 3.7
9000 12.6 54.7 260 3 2 4.6 2.5 | 13.5 56.3 275 3 1 7.3 4.0
8750 12.9 55.2 245 3 1 4.2 2.3 | 14.1 57.4 270 2 1 7.5 4.1
8500 13.1 55.6 235 2 1 2.6 1.4 | 14.6 58.3 260 2 1 8.3 4.6
8250 13.2 55.8 220 2 1 0.8 0.4 | 15.3 59.5 255 2 1 9.4 5.2
8000 13.3 55.9 205 2 1 0.6 0.3 | 16.0 60.8 250 2 1 9.4 5.2
7750 13.2 55.8 175 1 1 -1.2 -0.6 | 16.7 62.1 245 2 1 9.9 5.4
7500 13.2 55.8 150 2 1 4.2 2.3 | 17.5 63.5 240 2 1 10.2 5.6
7250 13.7 56.7 135 2 1 8.9 4.9 | 18.2 64.8 235 2 1 10.4 5.7
7000 14.3 57.7 125 2 1 7.2 4.0 | 19.0 66.2 230 2 1 9.8 5.4
6750 14.9 58.8 120 2 1 9.5 5.2 | 19.8 67.6 220 2 1 12.1 6.6
6500 15.7 60.3 115 2 1 14.2 7.8 | 20.9 69.6 215 2 1 19.0 10.4
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/10/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/10/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +460.6 LI... -2.0 | CAPE... +322.3 LI... -1.9
CINH... -3.9 K Index... +27.2 | CINH... -6.4 K Index... +31.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.9 -81.2 280 23 12 0.8 0.4 | -62.7 -80.9 285 19 10 0.2 0.1
45000 -60.9 -77.6 275 17 9 3.2 1.8 | -61.5 -78.7 275 15 8 2.7 1.5
40000 -55.9 -68.6 005 7 3 5.4 3.0 | -57.0 -70.6 220 3 2 8.6 4.7
38000 -52.6 -62.7 040 11 6 5.4 3.0 | -52.2 -62.0 320 3 1 8.1 4.4
36000 -49.4 -56.9 055 17 9 5.5 3.0 | -46.7 -52.1 350 7 4 8.1 4.5
34000 -44.2 -47.6 055 13 7 8.6 4.7 | -42.2 -44.0 355 12 6 7.5 4.1
32000 -39.0 -38.2 060 7 4 8.6 4.7 | -37.7 -35.9 355 17 9 7.5 4.1
30000 -34.0 -29.2 035 5 2 8.4 4.6 | -33.1 -27.6 360 19 10 7.8 4.3
29000 -31.4 -24.5 015 5 3 8.4 4.6 | -30.8 -23.4 360 19 10 7.8 4.3
28000 -28.9 -20.0 360 5 3 8.2 4.5 | -28.5 -19.3 360 19 10 7.5 4.1
27000 -26.6 -15.9 355 5 2 7.8 4.3 | -26.5 -15.7 355 18 9 6.8 3.7
26000 -24.3 -11.7 345 4 2 7.8 4.3 | -24.4 -11.9 350 17 9 6.8 3.8
25000 -21.9 -7.4 335 3 2 8.0 4.4 | -22.4 -8.3 345 17 9 6.8 3.8
24000 -19.9 -3.8 010 4 2 6.4 3.5 | -20.3 -4.5 345 15 8 6.8 3.7
23000 -17.9 -0.2 030 8 4 6.4 3.5 | -18.3 -0.9 345 12 6 6.8 3.7
22000 -16.0 3.2 040 11 6 6.4 3.5 | -16.2 2.8 345 9 5 6.8 3.7
21000 -13.9 7.0 030 10 5 7.2 3.9 | -14.0 6.8 345 9 4 7.9 4.3
20000 -11.9 10.6 010 9 4 7.3 4.0 | -11.7 10.9 345 9 4 8.0 4.4
19500 -10.8 12.6 360 8 4 7.4 4.1 | -10.0 14.0 345 9 4 8.1 4.4
19000 -9.8 14.4 350 8 4 7.3 4.0 | -8.8 16.2 340 9 4 8.4 4.6
18500 -8.2 17.2 345 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -7.6 18.3 340 9 4 8.5 4.6
18000 -7.2 19.0 340 11 6 7.9 4.3 | -6.4 20.5 335 9 4 7.8 4.3
17500 -6.0 21.2 340 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -5.3 22.5 335 8 4 7.7 4.2
17000 -4.8 23.4 340 12 6 8.3 4.6 | -4.2 24.4 330 8 4 7.7 4.2
16500 -3.5 25.7 335 12 6 9.2 5.0 | -3.2 26.2 335 7 4 7.4 4.1
16000 -2.2 28.0 335 12 6 9.3 5.1 | -2.1 28.2 335 7 3 7.4 4.1
15500 -0.9 30.4 335 11 6 8.1 4.5 | -1.0 30.2 340 6 3 8.0 4.4
15000 0.2 32.4 335 11 6 8.2 4.5 | 0.2 32.4 345 5 2 7.9 4.3
14500 1.4 34.5 335 11 6 8.8 4.8 | 1.4 34.5 355 4 2 8.7 4.8
14000 2.8 37.0 335 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 2.7 36.9 005 3 2 9.0 5.0
13500 4.1 39.4 335 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 4.1 39.4 015 3 1 9.3 5.1
13000 5.4 41.7 335 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 5.5 41.9 025 2 1 9.6 5.3
12500 6.7 44.1 335 9 5 9.1 5.0 | 7.0 44.6 030 2 1 9.7 5.3
12000 8.1 46.6 340 9 4 9.5 5.2 | 8.4 47.1 035 2 1 9.7 5.3
11500 9.5 49.1 340 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 9.9 49.8 040 2 1 9.2 5.1
11000 11.0 51.8 340 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 11.2 52.2 045 2 1 9.5 5.2
10500 12.4 54.3 345 7 4 9.0 4.9 | 12.6 54.7 045 3 1 9.0 4.9
10250 13.1 55.6 345 7 4 8.8 4.8 | 13.3 55.9 045 3 2 9.3 5.1
10000 13.8 56.8 350 7 4 9.9 5.4 | 14.0 57.2 040 3 2 10.2 5.6
9750 14.5 58.1 355 7 3 9.7 5.3 | 14.8 58.6 040 4 2 10.1 5.5
9500 15.2 59.4 355 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 15.5 59.9 040 4 2 10.1 5.5
9250 16.0 60.8 360 6 3 10.6 5.8 | 16.3 61.3 040 5 2 10.0 5.5
9000 16.8 62.2 005 6 3 10.1 5.6 | 17.0 62.6 035 5 3 9.4 5.1
8750 17.5 63.5 010 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 17.7 63.9 035 5 3 8.8 4.8
8500 18.2 64.8 010 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 18.4 65.1 035 6 3 9.2 5.1
8250 18.9 66.0 015 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 19.1 66.4 030 6 3 9.8 5.4
8000 19.6 67.3 020 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 19.8 67.6 030 7 3 9.9 5.4
7750 20.4 68.7 025 6 3 10.5 5.7 | 20.5 68.9 030 7 4 9.9 5.4
7500 21.2 70.2 030 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 21.3 70.3 030 7 4 9.9 5.4
7250 21.9 71.4 030 6 3 10.3 5.6 | 22.0 71.6 030 8 4 9.9 5.4
7000 22.7 72.9 035 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 22.7 72.9 025 8 4 9.8 5.4
6750 23.5 74.3 040 6 3 10.9 6.0 | 23.5 74.3 025 8 4 9.9 5.4
6500 24.5 76.1 045 6 3 17.6 9.7 | 24.3 75.7 025 8 4 12.0 6.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0715 MDT Tuesday June 10 2025
This forecast is for Tuesday, June 10, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 75.7 F/24.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1326 ft/min (6.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19595 ft MSL (13917 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 85.0 F/29.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11112 ft MSL (5433 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 06/11.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:51:55 / 20:20:15 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 28 min 20 sec (868 min 20 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:06:05 MDT... 77.96 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/10/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15045 ft MSL (9367 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15504 ft MSL (9826 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16146 ft MSL (10467 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.7
K index......................... +22.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.0 -79.6 275 23 12 1.8 1.0 87.6 189.7 34.1 M M
45000 -58.9 -74.0 270 21 11 3.2 1.8 69.9 157.8 25.3 M M
40000 -54.0 -65.2 280 17 9 3.2 1.7 55.3 131.5 17.2 M M
38000 -52.2 -62.0 300 10 5 3.1 1.7 48.9 120.1 13.4 M M
36000 -50.1 -58.2 355 7 4 3.3 1.8 42.8 109.1 9.5 M M
34000 -45.9 -50.6 025 7 3 8.2 4.5 40.4 104.7 7.9 M M
32000 -41.0 -41.8 050 6 3 8.2 4.5 39.2 102.6 7.2 M M
30000 -36.0 -32.8 060 3 1 8.6 4.7 38.2 100.7 6.6 M M
29000 -33.4 -28.1 075 1 0 8.7 4.7 37.8 100.0 6.4 M M
28000 -30.8 -23.4 220 1 1 8.6 4.7 37.5 99.5 6.2 M M
27000 -28.5 -19.3 240 2 1 7.9 4.3 36.7 98.1 5.6 M M
26000 -26.1 -15.0 260 2 1 7.9 4.3 36.0 96.8 5.1 M M
25000 -23.8 -10.8 270 2 1 8.0 4.4 35.4 95.7 4.6 M M
24000 -21.7 -7.1 280 3 2 6.7 3.7 34.4 93.9 3.8 M M
23000 -19.7 -3.5 285 5 2 6.6 3.6 33.2 91.8 2.9 M M
22000 -17.3 0.9 290 6 3 6.9 3.8 31.9 89.5 1.8 M M
21000 -15.1 4.8 305 6 3 7.4 4.1 31.0 87.8 1.0 M M
20000 -13.0 8.6 320 5 3 7.5 4.1 30.2 86.3 0.2 M M
19500 -11.9 10.6 325 5 3 7.5 4.1 29.8 85.7 -0.1 1310 6.7
19000 -10.8 12.6 335 6 3 7.8 4.3 29.5 85.1 -0.5 1262 6.4
18500 -9.7 14.5 335 7 4 7.8 4.3 29.1 84.5 -0.8 1214 6.2
18000 -8.5 16.7 340 8 4 8.7 4.8 28.8 83.9 -1.1 1164 5.9
17500 -7.1 19.2 335 9 4 9.3 5.1 28.8 83.8 -1.2 1108 5.6
17000 -5.7 21.7 330 9 5 9.3 5.1 28.7 83.6 -1.2 1051 5.3
16500 -4.3 24.3 330 10 5 9.8 5.4 28.7 83.6 -1.3 994 5.0
16000 -2.8 27.0 325 10 5 9.7 5.3 28.7 83.6 -1.3 935 4.7
15500 -1.4 29.5 325 10 5 9.9 5.4 28.7 83.6 -1.3 876 4.5
15000 0.1 32.2 320 10 5 9.8 5.4 28.7 83.7 -1.2 817 4.2
14500 1.6 34.9 320 10 5 9.3 5.1 28.7 83.7 -1.2 758 3.9
14000 2.9 37.2 315 10 5 8.9 4.9 28.6 83.4 -1.4 704 3.6
13500 4.2 39.6 315 10 5 8.8 4.8 28.4 83.2 -1.5 649 3.3
13000 5.5 41.9 315 11 6 8.5 4.6 28.2 82.8 -1.7 596 3.0
12500 6.8 44.2 320 12 6 8.4 4.6 28.0 82.5 -1.9 544 2.8
12000 7.9 46.2 320 12 6 7.6 4.1 27.7 81.9 -2.2 494 2.5
11500 9.0 48.2 325 12 6 7.7 4.2 27.4 81.3 -2.6 446 2.3
11000 10.0 50.0 330 11 6 6.1 3.4 26.9 80.5 -3.0 402 2.0
10500 10.9 51.6 340 9 5 7.0 3.8 26.4 79.5 -3.6 360 1.8
10250 11.4 52.5 340 9 5 6.1 3.4 26.2 79.1 -3.8 338 1.7
10000 11.8 53.2 345 7 4 4.7 2.6 25.8 78.5 -4.3 320 1.6
9750 12.1 53.8 350 6 3 5.0 2.7 25.4 77.8 -4.7 303 1.5
9500 12.4 54.3 355 5 3 5.6 3.1 25.1 77.1 -5.1 285 1.4
9250 12.8 55.0 005 4 2 5.4 3.0 24.8 76.6 -5.4 266 1.4
9000 13.1 55.6 015 3 1 4.5 2.5 24.4 75.9 -5.8 249 1.3
8750 13.4 56.1 035 2 1 4.9 2.7 24.0 75.2 -6.3 233 1.2
8500 14.0 57.2 120 2 1 4.2 2.3 23.2 73.7 -7.2 200 1.0
8250 14.3 57.7 140 2 1 4.7 2.6 22.8 73.0 -7.6 184 0.9
8000 14.7 58.5 145 2 1 4.8 2.7 22.4 72.3 -8.0 166 0.8
7750 15.0 59.0 150 3 1 4.8 2.6 22.0 71.6 -8.4 149 0.8
7500 15.3 59.5 155 3 2 4.7 2.6 21.6 71.0 -8.8 132 0.7
7250 15.7 60.3 160 3 1 4.1 2.3 21.2 70.2 -9.3 115 0.6
7000 15.9 60.6 155 3 1 3.8 2.1 20.8 69.4 -9.8 100 0.5
6750 16.2 61.2 150 3 1 4.2 2.3 20.4 68.6 -10.3 84 0.4
6500 16.5 61.7 140 2 1 4.4 2.4 19.9 67.9 -10.7 67 0.3
6250 16.8 62.2 130 2 1 4.1 2.3 19.5 67.2 -11.1 51 0.3
6000 17.0 62.6 125 2 1 1.6 0.9 19.0 66.3 -11.7 37 0.2
5750 16.7 62.1 105 2 1 -9.5 -5.2 18.1 64.6 -12.7 38 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/10/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/10/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +158.1 LI... -1.1 | CAPE... +478.6 LI... -2.2
CINH... -185.2 K Index... +23.8 | CINH... -57.1 K Index... +24.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.2 -78.2 285 21 11 1.7 0.9 | -61.4 -78.5 280 21 11 1.4 0.8
45000 -58.3 -72.9 280 19 10 2.5 1.4 | -59.1 -74.4 285 19 10 1.9 1.0
40000 -54.6 -66.3 280 10 5 3.1 1.7 | -56.2 -69.2 320 9 5 4.0 2.2
38000 -52.6 -62.7 025 6 3 3.4 1.9 | -53.4 -64.1 040 6 3 4.8 2.6
36000 -50.3 -58.5 060 19 10 3.5 1.9 | -50.2 -58.4 080 16 8 4.7 2.6
34000 -45.7 -50.3 065 18 9 8.9 4.9 | -45.4 -49.7 075 14 7 8.9 4.9
32000 -40.4 -40.7 065 13 7 8.9 4.9 | -40.1 -40.2 060 10 5 8.9 4.9
30000 -35.6 -32.1 060 9 4 7.8 4.3 | -35.2 -31.4 035 9 5 8.1 4.5
29000 -33.3 -27.9 045 6 3 7.8 4.3 | -32.7 -26.9 025 10 5 8.1 4.5
28000 -31.0 -23.8 025 5 2 7.8 4.3 | -30.3 -22.5 020 10 5 8.0 4.4
27000 -28.7 -19.7 010 5 3 7.7 4.2 | -28.1 -18.6 015 10 5 7.4 4.1
26000 -26.4 -15.5 005 7 3 7.7 4.2 | -25.9 -14.6 020 11 6 7.4 4.1
25000 -24.1 -11.4 360 8 4 7.7 4.2 | -23.7 -10.7 020 11 6 7.5 4.1
24000 -21.9 -7.4 350 9 5 7.4 4.1 | -21.5 -6.7 015 11 6 7.5 4.1
23000 -19.7 -3.5 340 10 5 7.4 4.1 | -19.3 -2.7 015 11 6 7.6 4.2
22000 -16.9 1.6 335 12 6 7.4 4.1 | -16.5 2.3 010 11 5 7.3 4.0
21000 -14.8 5.4 325 12 6 7.4 4.1 | -14.4 6.1 360 11 5 7.0 3.8
20000 -12.6 9.3 310 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -12.4 9.7 355 11 6 7.0 3.8
19500 -11.5 11.3 305 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -11.4 11.5 350 11 6 7.0 3.8
19000 -10.4 13.3 305 12 6 7.4 4.0 | -10.3 13.5 345 12 6 7.1 3.9
18500 -9.4 15.1 310 12 6 7.4 4.0 | -9.3 15.3 345 12 6 7.1 3.9
18000 -8.3 17.1 310 12 6 8.3 4.5 | -8.2 17.2 345 13 7 8.1 4.4
17500 -7.0 19.4 315 12 6 8.7 4.8 | -7.0 19.4 345 13 7 8.5 4.7
17000 -5.7 21.7 315 11 6 8.8 4.8 | -5.7 21.7 345 13 7 8.6 4.7
16500 -4.4 24.1 325 11 6 8.8 4.8 | -4.4 24.1 345 13 7 9.2 5.0
16000 -3.0 26.6 330 11 6 8.8 4.8 | -3.0 26.6 345 13 7 9.1 5.0
15500 -1.7 28.9 335 11 6 9.0 5.0 | -1.6 29.1 345 13 7 9.3 5.1
15000 -0.4 31.3 345 11 6 9.0 5.0 | -0.3 31.5 345 13 7 9.3 5.1
14500 0.9 33.6 350 12 6 8.8 4.8 | 1.1 34.0 345 13 6 9.2 5.1
14000 2.2 36.0 355 12 6 8.7 4.8 | 2.5 36.5 345 12 6 9.2 5.1
13500 3.5 38.3 355 13 7 8.7 4.8 | 3.9 39.0 345 12 6 9.2 5.0
13000 4.8 40.6 360 13 7 8.7 4.8 | 5.2 41.4 350 11 6 9.1 5.0
12500 6.1 43.0 360 13 7 8.5 4.7 | 6.6 43.9 350 11 5 9.0 5.0
12000 7.2 45.0 360 12 6 7.5 4.1 | 7.9 46.2 350 10 5 8.9 4.9
11500 8.4 47.1 360 10 5 7.5 4.1 | 9.2 48.6 350 9 4 8.8 4.8
11000 9.4 48.9 355 8 4 6.6 3.6 | 10.4 50.7 345 7 3 7.6 4.2
10500 10.3 50.5 355 6 3 7.0 3.8 | 11.5 52.7 335 5 2 7.0 3.8
10250 10.8 51.4 355 5 2 6.6 3.6 | 11.9 53.4 335 4 2 5.8 3.2
10000 11.2 52.2 355 3 2 5.8 3.2 | 12.3 54.1 320 3 2 5.8 3.2
9750 11.7 53.1 350 2 1 6.0 3.3 | 12.7 54.9 305 3 1 5.2 2.8
9500 12.1 53.8 340 1 1 6.0 3.3 | 13.1 55.6 280 2 1 7.7 4.2
9250 12.5 54.5 315 1 0 5.6 3.1 | 13.7 56.7 265 2 1 7.8 4.3
9000 12.9 55.2 250 1 0 5.2 2.9 | 14.1 57.4 260 3 1 5.3 2.9
8750 13.2 55.8 210 1 1 5.4 3.0 | 14.5 58.1 250 3 1 6.4 3.5
8500 13.6 56.5 200 2 1 5.0 2.8 | 14.9 58.8 245 3 1 4.4 2.4
8250 13.9 57.0 195 2 1 4.9 2.7 | 15.2 59.4 240 3 1 6.2 3.4
8000 14.6 58.3 185 2 1 5.6 3.0 | 16.6 61.9 240 3 2 10.0 5.5
7750 15.0 59.0 185 3 1 4.7 2.6 | 17.3 63.1 240 3 2 9.3 5.1
7500 15.3 59.5 180 3 1 4.5 2.4 | 17.9 64.2 240 3 2 8.8 4.8
7250 15.7 60.3 175 2 1 7.4 4.1 | 18.6 65.5 240 3 2 10.4 5.7
7000 16.3 61.3 170 2 1 9.0 5.0 | 19.4 66.9 240 3 2 11.2 6.1
6750 17.0 62.6 165 2 1 8.8 4.8 | 20.2 68.4 240 4 2 10.3 5.6
6500 17.6 63.7 165 2 1 9.2 5.0 | 21.0 69.8 240 4 2 10.0 5.5
6250 18.3 64.9 165 2 1 9.0 4.9 | 21.7 71.1 245 4 2 9.6 5.3
6000 19.0 66.2 170 2 1 11.5 6.3 | 22.5 72.5 245 4 2 13.2 7.2
5750 20.3 68.5 170 2 1 26.0 14.3 | 24.3 75.7 245 4 2 42.3 23.2
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/10/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/10/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +296.1 LI... -1.2 | CAPE... +193.7 LI... -1.0
CINH... -18.0 K Index... +22.0 | CINH... -50.8 K Index... +26.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.4 -80.3 285 21 11 1.6 0.9 | -63.0 -81.4 290 19 10 0.2 0.1
45000 -59.8 -75.6 295 16 8 2.1 1.1 | -61.9 -79.4 290 15 8 2.5 1.4
40000 -56.6 -69.9 005 18 9 5.2 2.9 | -57.8 -72.0 060 10 5 7.9 4.3
38000 -53.1 -63.6 035 14 7 5.7 3.1 | -52.5 -62.5 050 10 5 7.9 4.3
36000 -49.3 -56.7 075 15 8 5.6 3.1 | -47.7 -53.9 040 9 5 8.0 4.4
34000 -44.5 -48.1 075 11 6 8.7 4.8 | -43.2 -45.8 360 8 4 7.5 4.1
32000 -39.3 -38.7 050 5 3 8.7 4.8 | -38.7 -37.7 320 11 6 7.6 4.1
30000 -34.2 -29.6 015 7 4 8.5 4.7 | -33.9 -29.0 320 14 7 8.3 4.5
29000 -31.6 -24.9 005 10 5 8.5 4.7 | -31.4 -24.5 330 16 8 8.3 4.5
28000 -29.1 -20.4 360 12 6 8.2 4.5 | -28.9 -20.0 330 17 9 8.1 4.5
27000 -26.8 -16.2 360 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -26.6 -15.9 335 17 9 7.8 4.3
26000 -24.6 -12.3 005 11 6 7.5 4.1 | -24.3 -11.7 335 17 9 7.8 4.3
25000 -22.4 -8.3 005 11 6 7.5 4.1 | -22.0 -7.6 340 16 8 7.9 4.3
24000 -20.2 -4.4 010 10 5 7.1 3.9 | -19.3 -2.7 340 14 7 7.1 3.9
23000 -17.5 0.5 030 9 5 7.1 3.9 | -17.1 1.2 345 12 6 7.1 3.9
22000 -15.4 4.3 045 9 5 7.2 4.0 | -15.0 5.0 345 11 5 7.1 3.9
21000 -13.3 8.1 025 9 5 7.3 4.0 | -12.9 8.8 340 11 6 7.2 4.0
20000 -11.1 12.0 010 10 5 7.4 4.1 | -10.8 12.6 330 12 6 7.3 4.0
19500 -10.1 13.8 360 11 6 7.5 4.1 | -9.8 14.4 330 12 6 7.3 4.0
19000 -9.0 15.8 360 12 6 7.4 4.0 | -8.6 16.5 325 12 6 7.9 4.3
18500 -7.9 17.8 360 12 6 7.4 4.1 | -7.5 18.5 325 13 7 7.9 4.3
18000 -6.8 19.8 005 13 7 7.7 4.2 | -6.4 20.5 325 13 7 8.2 4.5
17500 -5.7 21.7 005 13 7 7.9 4.3 | -5.1 22.8 320 13 7 8.4 4.6
17000 -4.5 23.9 005 13 7 8.0 4.4 | -3.9 25.0 320 13 7 8.5 4.6
16500 -3.3 26.1 360 13 7 8.5 4.6 | -2.7 27.1 320 12 6 8.3 4.5
16000 -2.1 28.2 360 13 6 8.4 4.6 | -1.5 29.3 320 12 6 8.3 4.5
15500 -0.8 30.6 355 12 6 8.6 4.7 | -0.3 31.5 320 11 6 8.9 4.9
15000 0.4 32.7 350 12 6 8.6 4.7 | 1.0 33.8 325 10 5 9.0 4.9
14500 1.7 35.1 345 12 6 8.7 4.8 | 2.3 36.1 325 9 5 8.9 4.9
14000 3.0 37.4 345 11 6 8.8 4.8 | 3.7 38.7 325 8 4 8.9 4.9
13500 4.3 39.7 345 11 5 9.0 4.9 | 5.0 41.0 330 7 3 8.9 4.9
13000 5.7 42.3 345 10 5 9.4 5.1 | 6.3 43.3 335 6 3 9.1 5.0
12500 7.1 44.8 345 9 5 9.4 5.1 | 7.6 45.7 345 4 2 9.1 5.0
12000 8.5 47.3 345 9 4 9.5 5.2 | 9.0 48.2 360 4 2 8.8 4.8
11500 9.9 49.8 345 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 025 3 2 8.8 4.8
11000 11.2 52.2 345 7 4 8.4 4.6 | 11.6 52.9 040 3 2 9.3 5.1
10500 12.5 54.5 340 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 13.0 55.4 050 4 2 9.0 5.0
10250 13.3 55.9 340 5 3 9.0 4.9 | 13.7 56.7 055 4 2 9.4 5.2
10000 13.8 56.8 335 5 2 7.3 4.0 | 14.4 57.9 055 5 2 9.8 5.4
9750 14.4 57.9 335 4 2 7.6 4.2 | 15.1 59.2 055 5 2 9.8 5.4
9500 14.9 58.8 330 3 2 8.3 4.5 | 15.8 60.4 055 5 2 9.4 5.1
9250 15.6 60.1 325 3 1 9.0 4.9 | 17.2 63.0 055 6 3 9.0 4.9
9000 16.2 61.2 320 3 1 8.6 4.7 | 17.8 64.0 060 6 3 9.2 5.0
8750 16.8 62.2 320 2 1 9.1 5.0 | 18.5 65.3 060 7 3 8.5 4.7
8500 17.4 63.3 315 2 1 7.5 4.1 | 19.1 66.4 055 7 3 8.4 4.6
8250 18.7 65.7 310 2 1 10.6 5.8 | 19.8 67.6 055 7 4 9.0 4.9
8000 19.5 67.1 305 2 1 10.2 5.6 | 20.4 68.7 055 8 4 8.9 4.9
7750 20.2 68.4 300 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 21.1 70.0 055 8 4 8.5 4.7
7500 20.9 69.6 300 2 1 9.2 5.0 | 21.7 71.1 055 9 4 7.9 4.4
7250 21.6 70.9 300 2 1 10.3 5.7 | 22.3 72.1 055 9 4 8.8 4.8
7000 22.4 72.3 300 2 1 11.1 6.1 | 23.4 74.1 055 9 5 9.4 5.1
6750 23.2 73.8 295 2 1 10.3 5.7 | 23.6 74.5 055 9 5 9.4 5.1
6500 24.0 75.2 295 3 1 9.9 5.4 | 24.3 75.7 050 9 5 9.9 5.4
6250 24.7 76.5 295 3 1 9.4 5.2 | 25.1 77.2 050 9 5 9.3 5.1
6000 25.5 77.9 295 3 1 13.4 7.4 | 25.8 78.4 050 9 5 11.7 6.4
5750 27.4 81.3 295 3 1 45.5 24.9 | 27.2 81.0 045 8 4 33.0 18.1
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0715 MDT Tuesday June 10 2025
This forecast is for Tuesday, June 10, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 73.0 F/22.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1171 ft/min (5.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18564 ft MSL (12113 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 80.0 F/27.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11180 ft MSL (4729 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 06/11.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:48:13 / 20:19:43 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 31 min 30 sec (871 min 30 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:58 MDT... 77.43 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/10/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14899 ft MSL (8448 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15624 ft MSL (9173 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16137 ft MSL (9686 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.0
K index......................... +24.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.3 -80.1 275 21 11 1.7 0.9 85.5 185.8 34.6 M M
45000 -59.2 -74.6 265 16 8 2.7 1.5 66.4 151.5 25.0 M M
40000 -55.1 -67.2 280 8 4 3.7 2.1 50.8 123.5 16.3 M M
38000 -52.8 -63.0 325 4 2 3.9 2.1 45.1 113.2 12.8 M M
36000 -50.4 -58.7 025 7 3 4.0 2.2 40.3 104.6 9.7 M M
34000 -45.8 -50.4 030 7 4 9.3 5.1 38.5 101.3 8.6 M M
32000 -40.2 -40.4 020 7 3 9.3 5.1 38.3 100.9 8.7 M M
30000 -35.2 -31.4 025 5 3 7.9 4.4 37.2 98.9 8.0 M M
29000 -32.2 -26.0 030 4 2 8.0 4.4 36.3 97.4 7.4 M M
28000 -29.9 -21.8 035 4 2 7.6 4.2 35.8 96.4 7.1 M M
27000 -27.8 -18.0 010 2 1 7.1 3.9 34.7 94.4 6.3 M M
26000 -25.6 -14.1 310 2 1 7.2 3.9 33.7 92.6 5.5 M M
25000 -23.5 -10.3 275 3 2 7.2 3.9 32.8 91.1 4.8 M M
24000 -21.4 -6.5 265 4 2 7.2 3.9 31.8 89.3 4.0 M M
23000 -19.3 -2.7 260 3 2 7.2 3.9 30.9 87.6 3.3 M M
22000 -17.2 1.0 250 3 2 7.2 4.0 30.1 86.1 2.6 M M
21000 -15.0 5.0 265 2 1 7.3 4.0 29.1 84.4 1.7 M M
20000 -12.9 8.8 305 1 1 7.3 4.0 28.3 82.9 1.0 M M
19500 -11.8 10.8 345 1 1 7.2 4.0 27.9 82.2 0.6 M M
19000 -10.7 12.7 360 2 1 7.9 4.4 27.5 81.5 0.3 M M
18500 -9.5 14.9 005 3 2 8.0 4.4 27.2 80.9 -0.0 1167 5.9
18000 -8.4 16.9 005 4 2 8.3 4.6 26.9 80.4 -0.3 1117 5.7
17500 -7.1 19.2 005 5 2 8.9 4.9 26.7 80.1 -0.5 1063 5.4
17000 -5.7 21.7 360 5 3 8.9 4.9 26.6 79.9 -0.6 1008 5.1
16500 -4.4 24.1 355 5 3 9.0 4.9 26.5 79.6 -0.7 954 4.8
16000 -3.1 26.4 350 5 2 9.0 4.9 26.3 79.4 -0.9 899 4.6
15500 -1.8 28.8 340 5 2 8.8 4.8 26.2 79.2 -1.0 844 4.3
15000 -0.5 31.1 330 5 2 8.7 4.8 26.0 78.8 -1.2 791 4.0
14500 0.8 33.4 320 5 3 8.7 4.8 25.9 78.5 -1.4 738 3.7
14000 2.1 35.8 315 5 3 8.7 4.8 25.7 78.2 -1.6 684 3.5
13500 3.4 38.1 315 6 3 8.7 4.8 25.5 77.9 -1.7 631 3.2
13000 4.7 40.5 315 6 3 8.8 4.8 25.3 77.6 -1.9 577 2.9
12500 6.0 42.8 315 6 3 8.9 4.9 25.2 77.3 -2.1 523 2.7
12000 7.2 45.0 320 6 3 7.5 4.1 24.9 76.9 -2.3 472 2.4
11500 8.9 48.0 335 6 3 7.9 4.3 24.5 76.1 -2.8 398 2.0
11000 9.9 49.8 345 6 3 6.9 3.8 24.1 75.3 -3.3 353 1.8
10500 10.9 51.6 360 6 3 5.9 3.3 23.6 74.5 -3.8 308 1.6
10250 11.3 52.3 010 6 3 5.4 3.0 23.3 73.9 -4.1 290 1.5
10000 11.7 53.1 015 6 3 6.0 3.3 23.0 73.4 -4.5 270 1.4
9750 12.1 53.8 020 7 3 6.7 3.7 22.7 72.8 -4.8 250 1.3
9500 12.6 54.7 025 7 4 3.4 1.9 22.4 72.3 -5.1 230 1.2
9250 12.6 54.7 035 7 4 2.1 1.1 21.8 71.2 -5.8 220 1.1
9000 12.9 55.2 040 7 4 4.5 2.5 21.3 70.4 -6.2 205 1.0
8750 13.2 55.8 045 7 4 4.0 2.2 20.9 69.6 -6.7 189 1.0
8500 13.5 56.3 045 8 4 3.3 1.8 20.4 68.8 -7.2 174 0.9
8250 13.6 56.5 050 7 4 2.6 1.4 19.9 67.8 -7.8 161 0.8
8000 13.8 56.8 055 7 4 2.8 1.5 19.4 66.9 -8.3 148 0.8
7750 14.0 57.2 060 7 4 2.8 1.5 18.8 65.9 -8.9 136 0.7
7500 14.2 57.6 065 7 3 2.9 1.6 18.3 65.0 -9.5 123 0.6
7250 14.4 57.9 065 6 3 2.7 1.5 17.8 64.0 -10.1 110 0.6
7000 14.5 58.1 070 5 3 3.6 2.0 17.3 63.1 -10.6 97 0.5
6750 14.7 58.5 075 5 2 1.1 0.6 16.8 62.2 -11.2 83 0.4
6500 14.0 57.2 085 3 2 -25.5 -14.0 15.4 59.7 -12.7 98 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/10/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/10/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +79.8 LI... -0.2 | CAPE... +512.7 LI... -2.1
CINH... -209.7 K Index... +24.4 | CINH... -53.2 K Index... +24.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.6 -78.9 290 17 9 1.6 0.9 | -61.7 -79.1 280 17 9 1.2 0.7
45000 -59.2 -74.6 275 12 6 1.3 0.7 | -59.7 -75.5 275 14 7 1.2 0.7
40000 -57.0 -70.6 040 1 1 5.0 2.7 | -57.6 -71.7 035 1 1 5.9 3.2
38000 -53.6 -64.5 075 8 4 5.6 3.1 | -53.9 -65.0 080 9 5 6.2 3.4
36000 -50.3 -58.5 080 15 8 5.6 3.1 | -50.2 -58.4 085 17 9 6.3 3.4
34000 -45.7 -50.3 075 15 8 8.6 4.7 | -45.4 -49.7 080 16 8 8.7 4.8
32000 -40.5 -40.9 070 13 7 8.6 4.7 | -40.1 -40.2 065 11 6 8.7 4.8
30000 -35.6 -32.1 065 11 6 7.9 4.3 | -35.3 -31.5 050 9 5 7.9 4.4
29000 -32.7 -26.9 060 10 5 7.9 4.3 | -32.3 -26.1 035 8 4 7.9 4.4
28000 -30.3 -22.5 055 9 5 7.7 4.2 | -29.9 -21.8 030 8 4 7.3 4.0
27000 -28.1 -18.6 055 8 4 7.5 4.1 | -27.9 -18.2 045 9 5 6.7 3.7
26000 -25.9 -14.6 050 7 4 7.5 4.1 | -25.9 -14.6 055 11 6 6.7 3.7
25000 -23.6 -10.5 045 6 3 7.6 4.1 | -23.9 -11.0 060 13 7 6.8 3.7
24000 -21.3 -6.3 045 6 3 7.8 4.3 | -21.5 -6.7 060 11 6 8.4 4.6
23000 -19.0 -2.2 050 5 2 7.8 4.3 | -19.0 -2.2 060 9 4 8.4 4.6
22000 -16.7 1.9 060 4 2 7.8 4.3 | -16.5 2.3 060 6 3 8.1 4.4
21000 -14.4 6.1 060 3 1 7.6 4.2 | -14.4 6.1 035 5 2 7.2 4.0
20000 -12.2 10.0 070 1 0 7.6 4.2 | -12.3 9.9 005 4 2 7.2 4.0
19500 -11.1 12.0 000 0 0 7.6 4.2 | -11.2 11.8 350 5 3 7.2 3.9
19000 -10.0 14.0 000 0 0 7.2 3.9 | -10.1 13.8 345 5 3 8.3 4.6
18500 -8.9 16.0 360 1 1 7.2 4.0 | -8.9 16.0 355 6 3 8.2 4.5
18000 -7.9 17.8 005 3 1 7.4 4.1 | -7.6 18.3 360 7 3 8.3 4.6
17500 -6.8 19.8 360 5 2 7.6 4.2 | -6.4 20.5 005 8 4 8.4 4.6
17000 -5.6 21.9 360 7 4 7.6 4.2 | -5.2 22.6 005 9 5 8.5 4.6
16500 -4.5 23.9 355 9 5 8.2 4.5 | -3.9 25.0 005 9 5 8.3 4.5
16000 -3.3 26.1 350 10 5 8.1 4.4 | -2.7 27.1 005 10 5 8.3 4.6
15500 -2.1 28.2 345 12 6 8.7 4.7 | -1.5 29.3 005 10 5 8.7 4.8
15000 -0.7 30.7 340 12 6 8.8 4.9 | -0.2 31.6 360 10 5 8.8 4.8
14500 0.6 33.1 335 13 7 8.9 4.9 | 1.1 34.0 360 10 5 8.9 4.9
14000 1.9 35.4 335 13 7 9.1 5.0 | 2.5 36.5 360 9 5 9.0 4.9
13500 3.3 37.9 330 13 7 9.0 4.9 | 3.8 38.8 360 9 4 8.9 4.9
13000 4.6 40.3 335 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 5.1 41.2 360 8 4 8.8 4.8
12500 5.8 42.4 335 12 6 8.5 4.7 | 6.4 43.5 360 7 4 8.8 4.8
12000 7.0 44.6 340 11 6 7.0 3.8 | 7.7 45.9 360 6 3 8.2 4.5
11500 8.0 46.4 355 10 5 8.0 4.4 | 9.4 48.9 355 5 3 7.2 3.9
11000 9.5 49.1 005 8 4 6.1 3.4 | 10.5 50.9 350 4 2 7.0 3.8
10500 10.3 50.5 020 7 4 4.4 2.4 | 11.4 52.5 345 2 1 4.5 2.5
10250 10.5 50.9 025 6 3 3.6 2.0 | 11.6 52.9 340 1 1 3.8 2.1
10000 10.9 51.6 035 5 3 4.9 2.7 | 11.9 53.4 295 1 0 5.6 3.1
9750 11.2 52.2 045 4 2 4.6 2.5 | 12.2 54.0 235 1 1 5.1 2.8
9500 11.5 52.7 060 4 2 4.8 2.6 | 12.6 54.7 215 2 1 6.6 3.6
9250 11.8 53.2 085 3 1 4.1 2.3 | 13.2 55.8 215 2 1 8.8 4.8
9000 12.0 53.6 105 3 1 3.4 1.9 | 13.8 56.8 210 2 1 9.3 5.1
8750 12.3 54.1 125 3 2 3.5 1.9 | 14.5 58.1 210 3 1 9.2 5.0
8500 12.5 54.5 135 4 2 2.8 1.5 | 15.2 59.4 210 3 1 9.2 5.0
8250 12.6 54.7 140 4 2 3.3 1.8 | 15.9 60.6 210 3 1 9.4 5.2
8000 12.9 55.2 145 4 2 5.5 3.0 | 16.6 61.9 210 3 1 10.0 5.5
7750 13.4 56.1 150 4 2 7.8 4.3 | 17.4 63.3 210 3 1 10.3 5.6
7500 14.0 57.2 150 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 18.1 64.6 210 3 1 10.2 5.6
7250 14.8 58.6 150 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 18.9 66.0 215 3 1 10.5 5.7
7000 15.5 59.9 150 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 19.7 67.5 215 3 1 9.7 5.3
6750 16.2 61.2 150 4 2 12.4 6.8 | 20.4 68.7 210 3 1 13.5 7.4
6500 17.5 63.5 155 4 2 27.0 14.8 | 22.3 72.1 215 3 1 45.3 24.8
06/10/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/10/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +249.8 LI... -0.1 | CAPE... +34.8 LI... +0.3
CINH... -89.4 K Index... +22.1 | CINH... -141.4 K Index... +16.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.5 -80.5 275 20 10 1.4 0.8 | -63.1 -81.6 285 17 9 0.3 0.2
45000 -60.2 -76.4 285 19 10 1.9 1.1 | -62.1 -79.8 285 15 8 1.8 1.0
40000 -57.1 -70.8 350 15 8 6.0 3.3 | -59.1 -74.4 360 17 9 8.0 4.4
38000 -52.7 -62.9 360 15 8 6.5 3.6 | -53.5 -64.3 345 15 8 8.4 4.6
36000 -48.8 -55.8 005 16 8 6.5 3.6 | -48.4 -55.1 330 15 8 8.4 4.6
34000 -43.9 -47.0 355 16 8 8.5 4.6 | -43.4 -46.1 315 15 8 8.5 4.7
32000 -38.9 -38.0 350 16 8 8.5 4.6 | -38.3 -36.9 305 17 9 8.5 4.7
30000 -34.0 -29.2 350 17 9 8.1 4.5 | -33.5 -28.3 315 16 8 7.8 4.3
29000 -31.6 -24.9 355 18 9 8.1 4.5 | -31.2 -24.2 325 15 8 7.8 4.3
28000 -29.1 -20.4 355 19 10 8.0 4.4 | -28.9 -20.0 335 15 8 7.7 4.2
27000 -26.9 -16.4 360 18 9 7.6 4.2 | -26.7 -16.1 335 13 7 7.1 3.9
26000 -24.6 -12.3 005 16 8 7.6 4.2 | -24.6 -12.3 335 10 5 7.1 3.9
25000 -22.3 -8.1 010 14 7 7.6 4.2 | -22.5 -8.5 335 8 4 7.1 3.9
24000 -19.6 -3.3 020 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -19.7 -3.5 325 6 3 7.6 4.1
23000 -17.4 0.7 025 9 5 7.3 4.0 | -17.5 0.5 310 5 3 7.6 4.1
22000 -15.2 4.6 040 7 4 7.5 4.1 | -15.2 4.6 290 5 2 7.6 4.2
21000 -12.9 8.8 040 6 3 7.9 4.3 | -12.9 8.8 300 4 2 7.7 4.2
20000 -10.5 13.1 030 6 3 7.9 4.3 | -10.6 12.9 315 3 1 7.7 4.2
19500 -9.4 15.1 030 5 3 8.0 4.4 | -9.5 14.9 325 2 1 7.7 4.2
19000 -8.3 17.1 025 5 3 7.0 3.8 | -8.3 17.1 350 2 1 8.2 4.5
18500 -7.3 18.9 025 5 2 7.1 3.9 | -7.1 19.2 020 2 1 8.2 4.5
18000 -6.2 20.8 020 4 2 7.3 4.0 | -5.9 21.4 050 2 1 8.2 4.5
17500 -5.2 22.6 020 4 2 7.5 4.1 | -4.7 23.5 060 2 1 8.2 4.5
17000 -4.1 24.6 020 3 2 7.6 4.2 | -3.5 25.7 065 2 1 8.2 4.5
16500 -3.0 26.6 020 3 1 7.7 4.2 | -2.3 27.9 065 2 1 8.1 4.4
16000 -1.8 28.8 020 2 1 7.8 4.3 | -1.1 30.0 055 2 1 8.2 4.5
15500 -0.7 30.7 015 1 1 7.7 4.2 | 0.0 32.0 045 1 1 7.9 4.3
15000 0.4 32.7 015 1 0 7.7 4.2 | 1.2 34.2 025 1 1 7.8 4.3
14500 1.5 34.7 000 0 0 8.0 4.4 | 2.3 36.1 005 1 1 7.7 4.2
14000 2.7 36.9 200 1 1 8.4 4.6 | 3.4 38.1 340 1 1 7.4 4.1
13500 3.9 39.0 200 2 1 8.4 4.6 | 4.4 39.9 315 1 1 7.5 4.1
13000 5.1 41.2 195 3 1 8.3 4.6 | 5.5 41.9 295 2 1 7.8 4.3
12500 6.3 43.3 195 4 2 8.3 4.6 | 6.6 43.9 280 3 1 7.7 4.2
12000 7.6 45.7 190 4 2 8.9 4.9 | 7.9 46.2 280 3 1 9.0 4.9
11500 8.9 48.0 185 4 2 8.1 4.4 | 9.2 48.6 290 2 1 8.1 4.5
11000 10.1 50.2 175 5 3 8.6 4.7 | 11.0 51.8 305 3 2 8.6 4.7
10500 11.3 52.3 165 6 3 8.3 4.6 | 12.2 54.0 325 3 2 8.5 4.7
10250 12.6 54.7 155 6 3 8.7 4.8 | 12.8 55.0 345 4 2 7.9 4.3
10000 13.2 55.8 150 6 3 7.9 4.4 | 13.4 56.1 350 4 2 7.7 4.2
9750 13.8 56.8 145 7 4 7.7 4.2 | 14.0 57.2 355 5 2 7.7 4.2
9500 14.4 57.9 140 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 14.5 58.1 355 5 3 7.9 4.3
9250 15.1 59.2 135 8 4 8.1 4.4 | 15.1 59.2 005 7 3 6.6 3.6
9000 15.5 59.9 125 9 4 5.4 3.0 | 15.5 59.9 005 8 4 5.5 3.0
8750 16.0 60.8 120 10 5 5.9 3.2 | 15.9 60.6 005 8 4 5.6 3.1
8500 16.4 61.5 120 11 6 8.1 4.5 | 16.4 61.5 005 9 5 6.9 3.8
8250 17.1 62.8 115 12 6 7.9 4.3 | 16.9 62.4 005 11 6 7.0 3.8
8000 17.4 63.3 110 13 6 3.0 1.6 | 17.3 63.1 005 12 6 4.8 2.6
7750 17.5 63.5 105 14 7 2.9 1.6 | 17.6 63.7 005 12 6 4.1 2.2
7500 17.8 64.0 100 14 7 6.3 3.4 | 17.8 64.0 010 13 7 3.0 1.7
7250 18.3 64.9 100 15 8 8.0 4.4 | 18.0 64.4 010 13 7 2.4 1.3
7000 18.9 66.0 095 16 8 5.7 3.1 | 18.1 64.6 010 14 7 3.6 2.0
6750 19.3 66.7 090 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 18.5 65.3 010 13 7 6.7 3.7
6500 21.1 70.0 090 14 7 52.5 28.8 | 19.1 66.4 015 11 6 14.8 8.1
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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