Heavy to excessive rainfall is expected over the weekend across eastern Iowa, northern Missouri, northwest Illinois and southern Wisconsin. Numerous flash floods, some with significant impacts, are expected in these areas. Heaviest rainfall will occur overnight Saturday and Sunday, so be sure to have multiple ways to receive warnings. Read More >
Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0727 MDT Friday August 8 2025
This forecast is for Friday, August 8, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 85.0 F/29.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1704 ft/min (8.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21625 ft MSL (15312 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 95.0 F/35.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17211 ft MSL (10897 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 08/09..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:19:18 / 19:59:53 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 40 min 35 sec (820 min 35 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:36 MDT... 70.80 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/08/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16837 ft MSL (10524 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 20463 ft MSL (14150 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 20877 ft MSL (14564 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.2
K index......................... +26.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.2 -90.8 280 27 14 1.1 0.6 72.9 163.2 22.4 M M
45000 -63.3 -81.9 280 33 17 7.4 4.1 57.8 136.1 14.5 M M
40000 -52.3 -62.1 275 26 13 6.6 3.6 52.6 126.6 11.9 M M
38000 -48.4 -55.1 270 23 12 6.6 3.6 49.6 121.3 10.2 M M
36000 -43.9 -47.0 265 20 10 8.1 4.5 47.1 116.7 8.6 M M
34000 -38.9 -38.0 270 19 10 8.3 4.6 45.7 114.2 7.8 M M
32000 -33.9 -29.0 270 18 9 8.1 4.5 44.8 112.7 7.3 M M
30000 -29.1 -20.4 280 17 9 7.9 4.4 43.2 109.7 6.2 M M
29000 -26.8 -16.2 290 16 8 7.9 4.4 42.6 108.6 5.8 M M
28000 -24.5 -12.1 290 15 8 7.3 4.0 41.8 107.3 5.3 M M
27000 -22.3 -8.1 285 12 6 7.4 4.1 40.8 105.5 4.5 M M
26000 -20.1 -4.2 280 9 5 7.4 4.1 40.0 104.0 3.8 M M
25000 -17.9 -0.2 265 7 4 6.9 3.8 39.2 102.6 3.2 M M
24000 -16.0 3.2 255 5 3 6.6 3.6 38.0 100.3 2.1 M M
23000 -14.1 6.6 240 4 2 6.6 3.6 36.8 98.3 1.2 M M
22000 -12.1 10.2 220 3 2 7.7 4.2 35.9 96.5 0.3 M M
21000 -9.7 14.5 205 4 2 8.0 4.4 35.2 95.3 -0.3 1450 7.4
20000 -7.3 18.9 200 4 2 8.0 4.4 34.6 94.2 -0.8 1349 6.9
19500 -5.5 22.1 200 4 2 7.7 4.2 34.2 93.5 -1.2 1274 6.5
19000 -4.4 24.1 225 3 2 7.7 4.2 33.8 92.8 -1.6 1225 6.2
18500 -3.3 26.1 260 3 2 7.6 4.2 33.5 92.2 -1.9 1177 6.0
18000 -2.3 27.9 280 4 2 7.1 3.9 33.0 91.5 -2.4 1131 5.7
17500 -1.2 29.8 285 6 3 7.1 3.9 32.6 90.7 -2.8 1086 5.5
17000 -0.2 31.6 290 7 4 7.9 4.3 32.2 90.0 -3.2 1039 5.3
16500 1.0 33.8 285 10 5 8.1 4.4 31.9 89.4 -3.6 990 5.0
16000 2.1 35.8 285 12 6 8.4 4.6 31.6 89.0 -3.9 940 4.8
15500 3.5 38.3 285 14 7 9.0 4.9 31.5 88.7 -4.1 886 4.5
15000 4.8 40.6 280 15 8 9.0 4.9 31.4 88.5 -4.2 831 4.2
14500 6.1 43.0 280 16 8 9.3 5.1 31.3 88.3 -4.3 776 3.9
14000 7.5 45.5 280 17 9 9.3 5.1 31.2 88.2 -4.4 720 3.7
13500 8.9 48.0 280 18 9 9.4 5.1 31.1 88.0 -4.5 663 3.4
13000 10.3 50.5 280 19 10 9.4 5.1 31.1 87.9 -4.6 607 3.1
12500 11.7 53.1 280 19 10 9.3 5.1 31.0 87.8 -4.7 550 2.8
12000 13.1 55.6 280 19 10 9.4 5.1 30.9 87.7 -4.8 494 2.5
11500 14.4 57.9 280 19 10 8.2 4.5 30.8 87.4 -5.0 439 2.2
11000 15.8 60.4 275 19 10 9.4 5.2 30.7 87.2 -5.1 384 1.9
10500 17.2 63.0 275 19 10 7.6 4.2 30.6 87.2 -5.2 327 1.7
10250 17.7 63.9 270 19 10 7.1 3.9 30.4 86.7 -5.4 304 1.5
10000 18.3 64.9 270 19 10 9.0 4.9 30.3 86.5 -5.5 278 1.4
9750 19.0 66.2 265 19 10 8.4 4.6 30.2 86.3 -5.6 251 1.3
9500 19.6 67.3 260 19 10 8.8 4.8 30.1 86.2 -5.7 224 1.1
9250 20.3 68.5 255 20 10 8.9 4.9 30.0 86.1 -5.7 196 1.0
9000 21.0 69.8 255 20 11 8.1 4.4 30.0 85.9 -5.8 168 0.9
8750 21.6 70.9 250 21 11 7.6 4.2 29.8 85.6 -6.0 143 0.7
8500 22.2 72.0 245 22 11 7.3 4.0 29.6 85.3 -6.1 118 0.6
8250 22.7 72.9 245 23 12 6.8 3.7 29.4 85.0 -6.3 93 0.5
8000 23.3 73.9 240 24 13 7.1 3.9 29.2 84.6 -6.5 69 0.4
7750 23.9 75.0 235 26 13 6.5 3.6 29.0 84.2 -6.6 44 0.2
7500 24.3 75.7 235 26 13 2.7 1.5 28.6 83.6 -7.0 25 0.1
7250 24.3 75.7 235 25 13 -0.1 -0.0 28.0 82.3 -7.7 16 0.1
7000 24.4 75.9 235 23 12 2.3 1.3 27.3 81.1 -8.4 7 0.0
6750 24.4 75.9 230 21 11 -4.3 -2.4 26.6 79.9 -9.0 M M
6500 23.4 74.1 230 16 8 -22.6 -12.4 24.9 76.8 -10.9 22 0.1
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/08/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/08/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.3 | CAPE... +129.8 LI... -0.5
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +24.6 | CINH... -5.8 K Index... +25.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.6 -89.7 290 26 14 1.0 0.5 | -67.3 -89.1 290 26 13 1.5 0.8
45000 -63.1 -81.6 280 33 17 6.8 3.7 | -63.0 -81.4 285 35 18 5.7 3.1
40000 -52.8 -63.0 275 29 15 7.0 3.9 | -54.0 -65.2 275 28 14 7.8 4.3
38000 -48.6 -55.5 270 27 14 7.0 3.9 | -48.8 -55.8 265 25 13 7.8 4.3
36000 -43.8 -46.8 265 24 12 7.9 4.3 | -44.1 -47.4 255 24 12 8.1 4.4
34000 -39.0 -38.2 260 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -39.2 -38.6 260 22 11 8.1 4.4
32000 -34.3 -29.7 255 17 9 7.9 4.4 | -34.4 -29.9 260 20 10 8.0 4.4
30000 -29.5 -21.1 270 15 7 7.9 4.3 | -29.6 -21.3 260 17 9 8.0 4.4
29000 -27.1 -16.8 280 14 7 7.9 4.3 | -27.2 -17.0 255 16 8 8.0 4.4
28000 -24.7 -12.5 285 13 7 8.3 4.5 | -24.7 -12.5 255 14 7 8.2 4.5
27000 -22.3 -8.1 285 11 6 8.3 4.5 | -22.3 -8.1 255 12 6 8.2 4.5
26000 -19.8 -3.6 285 9 5 8.3 4.5 | -19.8 -3.6 255 11 5 8.2 4.5
25000 -17.4 0.7 280 8 4 7.5 4.1 | -17.4 0.7 250 9 5 6.9 3.8
24000 -15.3 4.5 260 7 3 7.2 3.9 | -15.5 4.1 240 9 5 6.5 3.6
23000 -13.2 8.2 240 7 3 7.3 4.0 | -13.6 7.5 230 10 5 6.6 3.6
22000 -11.1 12.0 220 8 4 6.4 3.5 | -11.8 10.8 220 11 6 6.7 3.7
21000 -9.4 15.1 225 8 4 6.2 3.4 | -9.8 14.4 220 13 7 6.8 3.7
20000 -7.6 18.3 230 9 5 6.3 3.5 | -7.4 18.7 215 16 8 6.8 3.7
19500 -6.7 19.9 235 9 5 6.6 3.6 | -6.3 20.7 215 16 8 7.9 4.3
19000 -5.1 22.8 230 11 6 7.4 4.1 | -5.2 22.6 215 17 8 8.0 4.4
18500 -4.0 24.8 225 12 6 7.6 4.2 | -4.0 24.8 220 17 9 8.0 4.4
18000 -2.8 27.0 230 13 7 8.3 4.6 | -2.9 26.8 225 15 8 7.8 4.3
17500 -1.6 29.1 230 15 8 8.3 4.6 | -1.7 28.9 240 14 7 7.8 4.3
17000 -0.4 31.3 240 15 8 8.0 4.4 | -0.5 31.1 250 13 7 9.2 5.0
16500 0.8 33.4 250 15 8 8.0 4.4 | 0.9 33.6 260 12 6 9.3 5.1
16000 1.9 35.4 265 16 8 8.2 4.5 | 2.3 36.1 270 12 6 9.4 5.2
15500 3.2 37.8 275 17 9 8.7 4.8 | 3.7 38.7 270 12 6 9.5 5.2
15000 4.5 40.1 285 18 9 8.7 4.8 | 5.1 41.2 275 12 6 9.5 5.2
14500 5.9 42.6 290 19 10 9.4 5.2 | 6.5 43.7 280 11 6 9.7 5.3
14000 7.3 45.1 290 19 10 9.4 5.2 | 8.0 46.4 280 11 6 9.7 5.3
13500 8.7 47.7 290 19 10 9.3 5.1 | 9.4 48.9 285 11 6 9.3 5.1
13000 10.1 50.2 290 19 10 9.3 5.1 | 10.8 51.4 285 12 6 9.3 5.1
12500 11.5 52.7 290 19 10 9.5 5.2 | 12.2 54.0 290 12 6 9.6 5.2
12000 12.9 55.2 295 19 10 9.8 5.4 | 13.6 56.5 290 12 6 9.7 5.3
11500 14.2 57.6 295 19 10 7.9 4.4 | 15.0 59.0 290 12 6 9.2 5.1
11000 15.6 60.1 295 18 9 9.8 5.4 | 16.5 61.7 295 12 6 9.7 5.3
10500 17.0 62.6 300 17 9 7.9 4.3 | 18.0 64.4 295 12 6 9.3 5.1
10250 17.6 63.7 300 17 9 8.1 4.5 | 18.6 65.5 295 12 6 9.6 5.3
10000 18.3 64.9 300 17 9 10.2 5.6 | 19.4 66.9 295 12 6 10.3 5.7
9750 19.0 66.2 300 17 9 9.7 5.3 | 20.2 68.4 295 12 6 10.1 5.5
9500 19.7 67.5 300 17 9 8.9 4.9 | 20.9 69.6 295 12 6 10.5 5.7
9250 20.3 68.5 295 16 8 8.0 4.4 | 21.7 71.1 295 11 6 10.6 5.8
9000 20.9 69.6 295 16 8 7.9 4.3 | 22.5 72.5 295 11 6 9.7 5.3
8750 21.5 70.7 290 16 8 7.6 4.2 | 23.2 73.8 295 11 6 9.3 5.1
8500 22.1 71.8 285 16 8 6.6 3.6 | 23.9 75.0 295 11 6 9.8 5.4
8250 22.5 72.5 280 15 8 5.9 3.2 | 24.6 76.3 295 11 6 10.1 5.5
8000 23.0 73.4 270 15 8 5.8 3.2 | 25.4 77.7 295 11 6 10.2 5.6
7750 23.4 74.1 265 14 7 6.3 3.4 | 26.2 79.2 295 11 6 10.6 5.8
7500 24.0 75.2 260 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 27.0 80.6 295 11 6 10.3 5.7
7250 24.7 76.5 255 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 27.7 81.9 295 11 6 10.5 5.8
7000 25.3 77.5 255 14 7 8.8 4.8 | 28.5 83.3 295 11 6 9.4 5.1
6750 26.0 78.8 250 13 7 11.5 6.3 | 29.3 84.7 295 11 6 13.6 7.5
6500 27.1 80.8 250 12 6 17.6 9.6 | 30.7 87.3 295 10 5 26.1 14.3
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/08/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/08/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +269.9 LI... -1.0 | CAPE... +124.3 LI... -0.9
CINH... -0.5 K Index... +24.8 | CINH... -5.4 K Index... +23.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.8 -90.0 285 23 12 2.2 1.2 | -67.9 -90.2 290 21 11 2.6 1.4
45000 -62.7 -80.9 285 32 16 5.6 3.0 | -62.5 -80.5 285 27 14 5.7 3.1
40000 -54.0 -65.2 280 31 16 7.6 4.1 | -53.6 -64.5 285 33 17 7.6 4.2
38000 -49.4 -56.9 275 28 14 7.6 4.1 | -49.0 -56.2 280 31 16 7.6 4.2
36000 -44.3 -47.7 265 25 13 7.9 4.4 | -43.8 -46.8 280 28 15 8.1 4.5
34000 -39.5 -39.1 260 24 12 8.0 4.4 | -38.9 -38.0 275 27 14 8.2 4.5
32000 -34.7 -30.5 260 22 11 8.1 4.4 | -34.0 -29.2 270 26 13 8.1 4.4
30000 -29.8 -21.6 255 21 11 8.2 4.5 | -29.2 -20.6 265 24 12 8.0 4.4
29000 -27.3 -17.1 250 20 10 8.2 4.5 | -26.8 -16.2 260 24 12 8.0 4.4
28000 -24.9 -12.8 250 19 10 8.2 4.5 | -24.3 -11.7 260 23 12 8.0 4.4
27000 -22.4 -8.3 250 18 9 8.2 4.5 | -21.9 -7.4 255 22 11 8.0 4.4
26000 -19.9 -3.8 255 16 8 8.2 4.5 | -19.5 -3.1 255 21 11 8.0 4.4
25000 -17.6 0.3 260 15 8 6.2 3.4 | -17.1 1.2 250 20 10 7.0 3.9
24000 -16.0 3.2 250 13 7 5.5 3.0 | -15.2 4.6 250 18 9 6.5 3.6
23000 -14.4 6.1 240 12 6 5.7 3.1 | -13.3 8.1 255 15 8 6.6 3.6
22000 -12.7 9.1 230 11 6 7.5 4.1 | -11.4 11.5 255 13 7 6.3 3.5
21000 -10.4 13.3 235 10 5 8.0 4.4 | -9.6 14.7 265 11 6 6.4 3.5
20000 -7.6 18.3 235 10 5 8.0 4.4 | -7.9 17.8 275 10 5 6.7 3.7
19500 -6.4 20.5 240 10 5 8.8 4.8 | -6.4 20.5 280 9 5 8.9 4.9
19000 -5.1 22.8 245 10 5 8.9 4.9 | -5.0 23.0 280 9 5 9.3 5.1
18500 -3.8 25.2 250 10 5 9.0 5.0 | -3.6 25.5 280 9 4 9.3 5.1
18000 -2.3 27.9 255 10 5 9.7 5.3 | -2.2 28.0 280 9 5 9.6 5.2
17500 -0.9 30.4 255 10 5 9.7 5.3 | -0.8 30.6 280 9 5 9.5 5.2
17000 0.5 32.9 260 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 0.7 33.3 280 9 5 9.8 5.4
16500 1.9 35.4 260 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 2.1 35.8 280 9 5 9.8 5.4
16000 3.3 37.9 265 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 3.6 38.5 280 10 5 9.8 5.4
15500 4.8 40.6 265 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 5.1 41.2 280 10 5 9.8 5.4
15000 6.2 43.2 265 11 5 9.7 5.3 | 6.5 43.7 285 10 5 9.8 5.4
14500 7.6 45.7 265 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 8.0 46.4 285 10 5 9.7 5.3
14000 9.1 48.4 265 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 9.5 49.1 285 10 5 9.7 5.3
13500 10.5 50.9 270 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 10.9 51.6 285 11 5 9.7 5.3
13000 12.0 53.6 270 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 12.4 54.3 285 11 6 9.7 5.3
12500 13.4 56.1 270 11 6 9.4 5.2 | 13.8 56.8 285 11 6 9.4 5.2
12000 14.8 58.6 270 12 6 9.1 5.0 | 15.2 59.4 290 12 6 9.1 5.0
11500 16.3 61.3 270 12 6 10.3 5.6 | 16.7 62.1 290 12 6 10.2 5.6
11000 17.8 64.0 275 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 18.1 64.6 290 13 7 9.4 5.1
10500 19.2 66.6 275 13 7 8.3 4.6 | 19.5 67.1 290 14 7 8.7 4.8
10250 19.8 67.6 275 13 7 8.7 4.8 | 20.1 68.2 290 14 7 8.8 4.8
10000 20.6 69.1 275 13 7 10.8 5.9 | 20.8 69.4 295 14 7 9.8 5.4
9750 21.3 70.3 275 13 7 10.2 5.6 | 21.6 70.9 295 15 8 9.5 5.2
9500 22.1 71.8 275 13 7 10.6 5.8 | 22.3 72.1 295 15 8 9.8 5.4
9250 22.9 73.2 275 14 7 10.5 5.8 | 23.0 73.4 295 16 8 9.8 5.4
9000 23.7 74.7 280 14 7 9.6 5.2 | 23.7 74.7 295 17 9 9.2 5.0
8750 24.3 75.7 280 14 7 9.0 4.9 | 24.4 75.9 295 17 9 8.8 4.8
8500 25.0 77.0 280 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 25.0 77.0 295 18 9 9.1 5.0
8250 25.8 78.4 280 14 7 10.5 5.7 | 25.7 78.3 300 18 9 9.2 5.1
8000 26.6 79.9 280 15 7 10.1 5.5 | 26.4 79.5 300 19 10 9.4 5.2
7750 27.3 81.1 280 15 8 9.9 5.4 | 27.1 80.8 300 20 10 9.9 5.4
7500 28.1 82.6 280 15 8 10.3 5.6 | 27.9 82.2 300 20 10 9.6 5.3
7250 28.9 84.0 280 15 8 10.8 5.9 | 28.6 83.5 300 20 11 9.4 5.1
7000 29.7 85.5 280 15 8 9.8 5.4 | 29.3 84.7 300 21 11 9.3 5.1
6750 30.4 86.7 280 15 7 13.0 7.1 | 30.0 86.0 300 21 11 10.4 5.7
6500 31.8 89.2 280 14 7 24.2 13.3 | 30.9 87.6 300 20 10 14.6 8.0
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0726 MDT Friday August 8 2025
This forecast is for Friday, August 8, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 88.3 F/31.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1663 ft/min (8.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20750 ft MSL (15096 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 98.0 F/37.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17878 ft MSL (12224 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 08/09..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:21:41 / 20:02:29 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 40 min 48 sec (820 min 48 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:12:05 MDT... 70.67 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/08/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16458 ft MSL (10804 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 19668 ft MSL (14014 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 20193 ft MSL (14539 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.4
K index......................... +26.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.2 -90.8 280 26 14 1.4 0.8 75.1 167.2 22.6 M M
45000 -63.0 -81.4 275 34 17 7.3 4.0 60.5 140.8 15.0 M M
40000 -52.2 -62.0 270 29 15 6.5 3.5 55.0 130.9 12.3 M M
38000 -47.9 -54.2 270 26 13 6.5 3.6 51.5 124.8 10.3 M M
36000 -44.0 -47.2 270 23 12 7.7 4.2 49.2 120.6 8.9 M M
34000 -39.2 -38.6 270 20 10 8.0 4.4 47.5 117.5 7.9 M M
32000 -34.3 -29.7 270 16 8 8.1 4.5 46.4 115.5 7.2 M M
30000 -29.4 -20.9 270 17 9 8.3 4.5 45.0 113.0 6.4 M M
29000 -26.9 -16.4 270 17 9 8.3 4.5 44.5 112.2 6.1 M M
28000 -24.5 -12.1 270 16 8 7.5 4.1 44.0 111.1 5.7 M M
27000 -22.2 -8.0 265 15 8 7.6 4.2 43.0 109.5 5.0 M M
26000 -20.0 -4.0 255 13 7 7.7 4.2 42.3 108.1 4.4 M M
25000 -17.7 0.1 245 12 6 7.3 4.0 41.6 106.9 3.9 M M
24000 -15.7 3.7 230 12 6 7.0 3.8 40.5 104.8 2.9 M M
23000 -13.2 8.2 215 13 7 7.0 3.9 39.2 102.6 1.8 M M
22000 -11.1 12.0 210 13 7 7.2 4.0 38.3 101.0 1.0 M M
21000 -9.0 15.8 220 12 6 7.2 4.0 37.4 99.3 0.1 M M
20000 -6.9 19.6 235 12 6 7.3 4.0 36.5 97.8 -0.7 1386 7.0
19500 -5.9 21.4 240 12 6 6.4 3.5 36.1 97.0 -1.1 1341 6.8
19000 -5.0 23.0 245 13 7 6.0 3.3 35.5 95.8 -1.7 1301 6.6
18500 -4.2 24.4 250 13 7 6.0 3.3 34.8 94.7 -2.3 1261 6.4
18000 -3.3 26.1 255 14 7 6.6 3.6 34.2 93.6 -2.9 1219 6.2
17500 -2.4 27.7 265 14 7 6.5 3.6 33.7 92.6 -3.5 1176 6.0
17000 -1.4 29.5 270 15 7 8.1 4.4 33.2 91.8 -3.9 1132 5.8
16500 -0.1 31.8 275 15 8 8.8 4.8 33.0 91.5 -4.1 1078 5.5
16000 1.2 34.2 280 16 8 9.0 4.9 32.9 91.2 -4.3 1024 5.2
15500 2.7 36.9 285 16 8 9.9 5.4 32.9 91.2 -4.3 966 4.9
15000 4.2 39.6 285 17 9 9.8 5.4 32.9 91.2 -4.3 907 4.6
14500 5.6 42.1 290 17 9 10.1 5.5 32.9 91.3 -4.3 847 4.3
14000 7.1 44.8 290 17 9 10.1 5.5 33.0 91.3 -4.3 787 4.0
13500 8.6 47.5 290 17 9 9.7 5.3 33.0 91.4 -4.3 728 3.7
13000 10.1 50.2 290 17 9 9.6 5.3 33.0 91.4 -4.3 670 3.4
12500 11.5 52.7 290 17 9 9.4 5.1 33.0 91.4 -4.3 612 3.1
12000 12.9 55.2 285 16 8 9.1 5.0 32.9 91.2 -4.5 556 2.8
11500 14.2 57.6 285 16 8 8.9 4.9 32.8 91.0 -4.6 501 2.5
11000 15.5 59.9 280 15 8 8.6 4.7 32.6 90.7 -4.8 447 2.3
10500 16.9 62.4 275 15 8 9.4 5.2 32.5 90.5 -4.9 392 2.0
10250 17.6 63.7 275 15 8 8.9 4.9 32.5 90.4 -4.9 364 1.8
10000 18.2 64.8 270 15 8 8.6 4.7 32.4 90.3 -5.0 337 1.7
9750 18.9 66.0 265 15 8 9.1 5.0 32.3 90.2 -5.1 310 1.6
9500 19.5 67.1 260 15 8 7.6 4.2 32.2 90.0 -5.2 283 1.4
9250 20.1 68.2 260 15 8 7.6 4.2 32.0 89.6 -5.4 260 1.3
9000 20.7 69.3 255 15 8 8.9 4.9 31.9 89.5 -5.5 233 1.2
8750 21.4 70.5 250 15 8 9.0 5.0 31.8 89.3 -5.6 206 1.0
8500 22.0 71.6 245 15 8 7.1 3.9 31.8 89.2 -5.7 179 0.9
8250 22.4 72.3 240 15 8 6.0 3.3 31.5 88.7 -6.0 159 0.8
8000 23.0 73.4 235 16 8 7.1 3.9 31.3 88.3 -6.2 135 0.7
7750 23.5 74.3 230 16 8 7.1 3.9 31.0 87.9 -6.4 112 0.6
7500 24.4 75.9 220 17 9 4.2 2.3 30.4 86.8 -7.0 71 0.4
7250 24.7 76.5 215 17 9 3.9 2.2 30.0 86.0 -7.5 54 0.3
7000 25.0 77.0 210 17 9 3.4 1.9 29.6 85.2 -7.9 38 0.2
6750 25.2 77.4 205 16 8 2.7 1.5 29.1 84.3 -8.4 24 0.1
6500 25.4 77.7 200 16 8 1.9 1.1 28.5 83.3 -9.0 11 0.1
6250 25.6 78.1 195 15 8 2.5 1.3 27.9 82.2 -9.6 M M
6000 25.6 78.1 190 12 6 -4.0 -2.2 27.2 81.0 -10.4 M M
5750 24.0 75.2 170 8 4 -44.5 -24.4 25.0 77.0 -12.7 30 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/08/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/08/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.0 | CAPE... +20.3 LI... +0.5
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +24.4 | CINH... -36.3 K Index... +23.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.7 -89.9 285 28 14 1.3 0.7 | -67.1 -88.8 290 27 14 1.4 0.8
45000 -63.1 -81.6 280 36 19 6.5 3.6 | -62.9 -81.2 285 35 18 5.5 3.0
40000 -53.2 -63.8 275 31 16 7.0 3.8 | -53.6 -64.5 270 30 15 7.7 4.2
38000 -48.5 -55.3 265 27 14 7.0 3.8 | -49.0 -56.2 265 27 14 7.7 4.2
36000 -44.3 -47.7 260 24 12 8.1 4.5 | -44.3 -47.7 255 25 13 8.0 4.4
34000 -39.2 -38.6 260 22 11 8.4 4.6 | -39.5 -39.1 255 22 11 8.2 4.5
32000 -34.2 -29.6 255 19 10 8.2 4.5 | -34.6 -30.3 255 20 10 8.1 4.4
30000 -29.5 -21.1 265 16 8 7.8 4.3 | -29.7 -21.5 250 18 9 8.0 4.4
29000 -27.1 -16.8 265 15 8 7.8 4.3 | -27.3 -17.1 250 17 9 8.0 4.4
28000 -24.8 -12.6 270 14 7 8.2 4.5 | -24.9 -12.8 250 16 8 8.2 4.5
27000 -22.3 -8.1 270 13 7 8.1 4.5 | -22.5 -8.5 250 17 9 8.1 4.5
26000 -19.9 -3.8 270 13 7 8.1 4.5 | -20.0 -4.0 255 17 9 8.1 4.5
25000 -17.4 0.7 270 12 6 7.0 3.8 | -17.6 0.3 260 17 9 7.4 4.0
24000 -15.7 3.7 250 12 6 6.2 3.4 | -15.1 4.8 240 14 7 6.8 3.8
23000 -13.4 7.9 230 13 7 6.4 3.5 | -13.1 8.4 220 14 7 6.9 3.8
22000 -11.5 11.3 220 15 8 7.8 4.3 | -11.1 12.0 210 14 7 6.8 3.7
21000 -9.2 15.4 215 17 9 7.7 4.2 | -9.1 15.6 210 16 8 6.9 3.8
20000 -7.0 19.4 215 18 9 7.7 4.2 | -7.1 19.2 215 17 9 7.0 3.8
19500 -5.8 21.6 215 19 10 7.8 4.3 | -6.1 21.0 215 18 9 7.5 4.1
19000 -4.7 23.5 220 19 10 7.9 4.3 | -5.0 23.0 220 17 9 7.7 4.2
18500 -3.6 25.5 220 19 10 7.9 4.3 | -3.9 25.0 225 17 9 7.8 4.3
18000 -2.5 27.5 225 19 10 6.8 3.8 | -2.7 27.1 230 17 9 8.4 4.6
17500 -1.5 29.3 230 18 9 7.0 3.8 | -1.5 29.3 240 16 8 8.4 4.6
17000 -0.5 31.1 235 17 9 7.2 4.0 | -0.3 31.5 250 15 8 8.2 4.5
16500 0.5 32.9 245 16 8 7.3 4.0 | 0.9 33.6 255 15 8 8.1 4.4
16000 1.6 34.9 260 15 8 7.7 4.2 | 2.1 35.8 260 14 7 8.2 4.5
15500 2.9 37.2 265 15 8 9.2 5.1 | 3.3 37.9 265 14 7 8.8 4.8
15000 4.2 39.6 270 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 4.6 40.3 270 14 7 8.8 4.8
14500 5.6 42.1 275 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 6.0 42.8 280 14 7 9.1 5.0
14000 7.1 44.8 275 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 7.3 45.1 285 14 7 9.1 5.0
13500 8.5 47.3 275 16 8 9.3 5.1 | 8.7 47.7 290 14 7 9.0 4.9
13000 9.9 49.8 280 16 8 9.3 5.1 | 10.0 50.0 295 13 7 8.9 4.9
12500 11.3 52.3 285 17 9 9.2 5.1 | 11.4 52.5 300 12 6 8.9 4.9
12000 12.7 54.9 290 16 8 9.2 5.0 | 12.7 54.9 305 11 6 8.9 4.9
11500 14.0 57.2 295 16 8 9.0 4.9 | 14.0 57.2 310 10 5 8.7 4.8
11000 15.4 59.7 300 16 8 8.7 4.8 | 15.3 59.5 310 9 5 8.4 4.6
10500 16.7 62.1 305 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 16.6 61.9 310 9 4 9.6 5.3
10250 17.4 63.3 305 15 8 8.5 4.7 | 17.3 63.1 310 8 4 9.4 5.1
10000 18.0 64.4 310 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 18.0 64.4 310 8 4 9.3 5.1
9750 18.6 65.5 310 14 7 8.8 4.8 | 18.7 65.7 310 8 4 9.5 5.2
9500 19.3 66.7 315 13 7 7.4 4.1 | 19.4 66.9 315 7 4 8.7 4.8
9250 19.8 67.6 315 13 7 7.1 3.9 | 20.0 68.0 315 7 4 9.2 5.1
9000 20.4 68.7 315 12 6 8.0 4.4 | 20.8 69.4 315 7 4 10.1 5.5
8750 20.9 69.6 310 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 21.5 70.7 310 7 4 10.5 5.8
8500 21.5 70.7 310 11 6 5.9 3.3 | 22.3 72.1 310 7 3 8.0 4.4
8250 21.8 71.2 310 11 5 4.9 2.7 | 22.8 73.0 315 6 3 8.3 4.6
8000 22.3 72.1 300 9 5 6.6 3.6 | 23.6 74.5 310 6 3 11.2 6.1
7750 22.8 73.0 295 8 4 6.4 3.5 | 25.1 77.2 310 6 3 9.4 5.1
7500 23.4 74.1 270 7 3 3.8 2.1 | 25.8 78.4 310 6 3 9.1 5.0
7250 23.8 74.8 255 6 3 6.6 3.6 | 26.6 79.9 310 6 3 11.3 6.2
7000 24.4 75.9 240 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 27.4 81.3 310 5 3 11.5 6.3
6750 24.9 76.8 225 7 3 6.9 3.8 | 28.2 82.8 310 5 3 10.1 5.5
6500 25.4 77.7 220 7 4 6.9 3.8 | 29.0 84.2 305 5 3 9.8 5.4
6250 26.0 78.8 215 7 4 8.1 4.5 | 29.7 85.5 305 5 3 9.3 5.1
6000 26.7 80.1 210 7 4 13.6 7.5 | 30.5 86.9 305 5 2 14.5 7.9
5750 28.2 82.8 205 7 3 28.5 15.6 | 32.7 90.9 305 4 2 55.3 30.4
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/08/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/08/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +104.0 LI... -0.0 | CAPE... +61.4 LI... -0.1
CINH... -8.4 K Index... +23.6 | CINH... -89.9 K Index... +23.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.4 -89.3 285 24 12 2.1 1.1 | -67.3 -89.1 285 25 13 2.3 1.3
45000 -62.7 -80.9 285 33 17 5.4 2.9 | -62.5 -80.5 280 34 17 5.0 2.7
40000 -53.6 -64.5 275 33 17 7.5 4.1 | -53.7 -64.7 280 34 18 8.1 4.5
38000 -49.1 -56.4 270 30 15 7.5 4.1 | -48.8 -55.8 275 31 16 8.1 4.5
36000 -44.6 -48.3 265 27 14 8.2 4.5 | -43.9 -47.0 275 28 15 8.0 4.4
34000 -39.6 -39.3 260 25 13 8.4 4.6 | -39.1 -38.4 270 26 14 8.0 4.4
32000 -34.5 -30.1 260 22 11 8.2 4.5 | -34.4 -29.9 270 25 13 8.3 4.6
30000 -29.7 -21.5 255 23 12 8.0 4.4 | -29.1 -20.4 260 20 10 8.9 4.9
29000 -27.3 -17.1 250 23 12 8.0 4.4 | -26.5 -15.7 260 18 9 8.9 4.9
28000 -24.9 -12.8 250 23 12 7.5 4.1 | -23.9 -11.0 255 17 9 7.4 4.0
27000 -22.7 -8.9 250 21 11 7.6 4.1 | -21.7 -7.1 255 17 9 7.5 4.1
26000 -20.4 -4.7 250 19 10 7.6 4.1 | -19.5 -3.1 255 18 9 7.6 4.1
25000 -18.2 -0.8 245 18 9 7.5 4.1 | -17.3 0.9 255 18 9 7.1 3.9
24000 -15.4 4.3 245 17 9 7.4 4.1 | -14.8 5.4 260 20 11 6.6 3.6
23000 -13.2 8.2 240 16 8 7.5 4.1 | -12.9 8.8 265 22 11 6.6 3.6
22000 -11.1 12.0 240 16 8 6.7 3.7 | -11.0 12.2 270 24 12 6.8 3.7
21000 -9.1 15.6 250 18 9 6.9 3.8 | -9.0 15.8 270 24 13 6.8 3.7
20000 -7.2 19.0 260 20 10 7.0 3.9 | -7.0 19.4 275 25 13 6.9 3.8
19500 -6.2 20.8 260 20 10 7.3 4.0 | -6.0 21.2 275 25 13 7.6 4.2
19000 -5.1 22.8 265 18 9 7.4 4.0 | -4.8 23.4 275 25 13 8.0 4.4
18500 -4.1 24.6 265 16 8 7.5 4.1 | -3.7 25.3 275 24 12 8.0 4.4
18000 -2.9 26.8 270 15 8 9.1 5.0 | -2.4 27.7 280 23 12 8.6 4.7
17500 -1.6 29.1 270 13 7 9.0 4.9 | -1.2 29.8 280 22 12 8.6 4.7
17000 -0.2 31.6 270 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 0.1 32.2 285 22 11 8.8 4.8
16500 1.2 34.2 270 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 1.4 34.5 285 21 11 8.9 4.9
16000 2.6 36.7 270 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 2.8 37.0 290 20 10 8.9 4.9
15500 4.1 39.4 275 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 4.1 39.4 290 20 10 8.9 4.9
15000 5.5 41.9 275 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 5.4 41.7 290 19 10 8.9 4.9
14500 7.0 44.6 275 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 6.8 44.2 295 19 10 9.1 5.0
14000 8.4 47.1 275 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 8.1 46.6 295 18 9 9.1 5.0
13500 9.8 49.6 275 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 9.5 49.1 295 18 9 9.0 4.9
13000 11.3 52.3 275 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 10.8 51.4 300 17 9 8.9 4.9
12500 12.7 54.9 275 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 12.1 53.8 300 17 9 8.9 4.9
12000 14.2 57.6 275 9 4 9.7 5.3 | 13.4 56.1 300 16 8 8.9 4.9
11500 15.6 60.1 280 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 14.8 58.6 300 15 8 8.8 4.8
11000 17.0 62.6 280 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 16.0 60.8 305 14 7 8.4 4.6
10500 18.5 65.3 280 8 4 11.1 6.1 | 17.3 63.1 305 13 7 9.3 5.1
10250 19.2 66.6 280 7 4 9.6 5.2 | 18.0 64.4 305 13 7 8.8 4.8
10000 19.9 67.8 280 7 4 9.4 5.2 | 18.7 65.7 310 12 6 8.6 4.7
9750 20.6 69.1 280 7 4 9.2 5.1 | 19.3 66.7 310 11 6 8.5 4.7
9500 21.3 70.3 280 7 3 10.2 5.6 | 19.9 67.8 315 11 5 9.1 5.0
9250 22.2 72.0 280 7 3 10.5 5.8 | 20.7 69.3 315 11 6 9.4 5.2
9000 22.9 73.2 285 7 3 9.5 5.2 | 21.3 70.3 320 11 5 8.9 4.9
8750 23.6 74.5 285 6 3 10.1 5.6 | 22.0 71.6 320 10 5 9.5 5.2
8500 24.3 75.7 285 6 3 8.7 4.8 | 23.2 73.8 330 9 5 8.0 4.4
8250 25.0 77.0 285 6 3 9.2 5.1 | 23.9 75.0 335 9 5 10.1 5.5
8000 26.5 79.7 285 5 3 10.8 5.9 | 24.6 76.3 340 10 5 9.7 5.3
7750 27.3 81.1 285 5 3 9.4 5.1 | 25.3 77.5 345 10 5 9.0 5.0
7500 28.0 82.4 290 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 26.0 78.8 350 10 5 8.6 4.7
7250 28.7 83.7 290 5 2 10.9 6.0 | 26.7 80.1 355 10 5 9.7 5.3
7000 29.6 85.3 290 5 2 11.3 6.2 | 27.4 81.3 355 10 5 10.1 5.5
6750 30.4 86.7 290 4 2 10.2 5.6 | 28.1 82.6 360 11 6 9.5 5.2
6500 31.1 88.0 290 4 2 9.8 5.4 | 28.8 83.8 005 11 6 9.2 5.0
6250 31.9 89.4 290 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 29.5 85.1 005 12 6 8.7 4.8
6000 32.7 90.9 290 4 2 14.7 8.1 | 30.1 86.2 010 12 6 9.8 5.4
5750 34.8 94.6 295 3 2 51.1 28.0 | 31.2 88.2 010 11 6 25.1 13.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0727 MDT Friday August 8 2025
This forecast is for Friday, August 8, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 84.3 F/29.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1634 ft/min (8.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21322 ft MSL (14884 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 96.0 F/36.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1100 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18341 ft MSL (11903 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 08/09..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:18:32 / 20:01:25 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 42 min 53 sec (822 min 53 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:59 MDT... 70.16 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/08/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16520 ft MSL (10082 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18554 ft MSL (12116 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 19895 ft MSL (13457 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.7
K index......................... +27.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.7 -89.9 275 27 14 1.7 0.9 73.3 163.9 22.4 M M
45000 -62.7 -80.9 275 34 17 6.7 3.7 58.6 137.4 14.6 M M
40000 -52.7 -62.9 270 34 17 6.5 3.6 51.9 125.4 11.1 M M
38000 -48.3 -54.9 270 30 16 6.5 3.6 48.5 119.3 9.0 M M
36000 -44.4 -47.9 275 28 14 7.5 4.1 46.2 115.2 7.6 M M
34000 -39.7 -39.5 270 25 13 7.9 4.3 44.4 112.0 6.5 M M
32000 -34.9 -30.8 265 22 11 8.0 4.4 43.2 109.8 5.7 M M
30000 -30.0 -22.0 265 23 12 8.2 4.5 41.8 107.3 4.8 M M
29000 -27.5 -17.5 265 23 12 8.2 4.5 41.3 106.4 4.5 M M
28000 -25.0 -13.0 265 23 12 8.6 4.7 40.9 105.6 4.2 M M
27000 -22.5 -8.5 265 21 11 8.5 4.7 40.3 104.6 3.8 M M
26000 -19.9 -3.8 265 19 10 8.5 4.7 39.9 103.8 3.5 M M
25000 -17.3 0.9 265 18 9 7.9 4.3 39.6 103.2 3.2 M M
24000 -14.7 5.5 255 14 7 7.2 4.0 38.3 100.9 2.2 M M
23000 -12.6 9.3 240 11 6 7.3 4.0 37.4 99.4 1.4 M M
22000 -10.5 13.1 230 10 5 6.8 3.7 36.6 97.8 0.6 M M
21000 -8.5 16.7 235 10 5 6.9 3.8 35.5 95.9 -0.4 1399 7.1
20000 -6.5 20.3 240 10 5 7.0 3.8 34.6 94.2 -1.3 1310 6.7
19500 -5.6 21.9 245 10 5 6.7 3.7 34.1 93.4 -1.7 1266 6.4
19000 -4.6 23.7 245 10 5 6.6 3.6 33.6 92.4 -2.3 1224 6.2
18500 -3.7 25.3 245 9 5 6.7 3.7 33.0 91.5 -2.8 1181 6.0
18000 -2.8 27.0 250 9 5 5.7 3.1 32.4 90.4 -3.5 1140 5.8
17500 -2.0 28.4 255 10 5 5.9 3.2 31.8 89.2 -4.1 1101 5.6
17000 -1.2 29.8 260 10 5 7.1 3.9 31.2 88.1 -4.7 1061 5.4
16500 0.0 32.0 265 12 6 8.1 4.4 30.9 87.6 -5.1 1010 5.1
16000 1.2 34.2 270 14 7 8.2 4.5 30.6 87.1 -5.3 960 4.9
15500 2.5 36.5 275 16 8 9.4 5.2 30.5 86.9 -5.5 906 4.6
15000 3.9 39.0 275 17 9 9.3 5.1 30.4 86.8 -5.6 849 4.3
14500 5.3 41.5 275 18 9 9.8 5.4 30.4 86.7 -5.7 792 4.0
14000 6.8 44.2 275 19 10 9.8 5.4 30.4 86.7 -5.7 733 3.7
13500 8.2 46.8 275 20 10 9.7 5.3 30.4 86.8 -5.7 675 3.4
13000 9.7 49.5 275 21 11 9.6 5.3 30.4 86.7 -5.8 617 3.1
12500 11.1 52.0 275 22 11 9.5 5.2 30.4 86.7 -5.8 559 2.8
12000 12.5 54.5 275 22 11 9.5 5.2 30.3 86.6 -5.9 502 2.5
11500 13.9 57.0 275 23 12 9.6 5.3 30.3 86.5 -5.9 445 2.3
11000 15.4 59.7 270 22 11 9.2 5.0 30.2 86.4 -6.0 388 2.0
10500 16.7 62.1 270 22 11 8.8 4.8 30.2 86.3 -6.1 332 1.7
10250 17.3 63.1 270 22 11 8.0 4.4 30.1 86.1 -6.3 306 1.6
10000 18.5 65.3 265 21 11 8.1 4.4 29.8 85.6 -6.6 256 1.3
9750 19.1 66.4 265 21 11 7.8 4.3 29.7 85.4 -6.7 231 1.2
9500 19.6 67.3 260 20 10 7.2 3.9 29.5 85.1 -6.9 207 1.1
9250 20.2 68.4 260 19 10 6.8 3.7 29.3 84.7 -7.2 185 0.9
9000 20.7 69.3 260 18 9 6.8 3.7 29.0 84.3 -7.4 163 0.8
8750 21.1 70.0 255 17 9 6.6 3.6 28.8 83.9 -7.7 140 0.7
8500 21.6 70.9 255 16 8 6.1 3.4 28.6 83.4 -7.9 119 0.6
8250 22.1 71.8 255 15 8 6.2 3.4 28.3 82.9 -8.2 98 0.5
8000 22.5 72.5 250 13 7 6.8 3.7 28.0 82.4 -8.5 76 0.4
7750 23.0 73.4 250 11 6 5.8 3.2 27.8 82.0 -8.8 54 0.3
7500 23.4 74.1 245 9 4 4.3 2.4 27.4 81.3 -9.2 36 0.2
7250 23.7 74.7 245 6 3 4.5 2.4 27.0 80.6 -9.6 19 0.1
7000 24.0 75.2 245 5 2 2.9 1.6 26.6 79.8 -10.0 3 0.0
6750 23.8 74.8 240 3 2 -11.2 -6.2 25.7 78.2 -11.0 1 0.0
6500 21.3 70.3 200 1 0 -64.3 -35.3 22.5 72.4 -14.2 69 0.3
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/08/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/08/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +5.1 LI... +0.8 | CAPE... +135.9 LI... 0.0
CINH... -39.3 K Index... +23.8 | CINH... -23.6 K Index... +24.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.4 -89.3 280 26 13 1.0 0.6 | -67.2 -89.0 290 24 13 1.6 0.9
45000 -63.3 -81.9 275 36 18 6.3 3.4 | -62.8 -81.0 285 36 18 5.7 3.1
40000 -53.1 -63.6 270 33 17 7.3 4.0 | -53.4 -64.1 270 34 18 7.5 4.1
38000 -48.7 -55.7 270 29 15 7.3 4.0 | -48.9 -56.0 265 32 16 7.5 4.1
36000 -44.4 -47.9 265 25 13 8.0 4.4 | -44.4 -47.9 260 29 15 7.9 4.3
34000 -39.4 -38.9 260 24 12 8.3 4.5 | -39.6 -39.3 260 26 13 8.1 4.4
32000 -34.5 -30.1 255 23 12 8.1 4.4 | -34.8 -30.6 255 23 12 8.0 4.4
30000 -29.8 -21.6 260 21 11 7.8 4.3 | -30.0 -22.0 255 22 11 8.0 4.4
29000 -27.5 -17.5 260 20 10 7.8 4.3 | -27.6 -17.7 250 21 11 8.0 4.4
28000 -25.1 -13.2 265 19 10 7.7 4.2 | -25.2 -13.4 250 20 10 7.7 4.2
27000 -22.8 -9.0 265 17 9 7.7 4.2 | -22.9 -9.2 250 18 9 7.7 4.2
26000 -20.6 -5.1 270 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -20.6 -5.1 250 17 9 7.7 4.2
25000 -18.3 -0.9 275 15 8 7.4 4.1 | -17.8 -0.0 250 16 8 6.8 3.7
24000 -15.7 3.7 255 14 7 7.2 4.0 | -15.8 3.6 245 16 8 7.0 3.9
23000 -13.6 7.5 240 15 7 7.4 4.1 | -13.7 7.3 240 17 9 7.2 4.0
22000 -11.4 11.5 230 15 8 7.7 4.2 | -11.6 11.1 235 17 9 7.7 4.2
21000 -9.2 15.4 235 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -9.4 15.1 240 19 10 7.7 4.2
20000 -6.9 19.6 235 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -7.2 19.0 240 20 10 7.7 4.2
19500 -5.8 21.6 240 16 8 7.9 4.3 | -6.1 21.0 245 21 11 7.9 4.3
19000 -4.6 23.7 240 17 9 8.0 4.4 | -4.9 23.2 250 20 11 8.0 4.4
18500 -3.5 25.7 245 17 9 8.1 4.4 | -3.7 25.3 255 20 11 8.0 4.4
18000 -2.3 27.9 250 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -2.6 27.3 260 20 10 7.9 4.3
17500 -1.2 29.8 255 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -1.5 29.3 265 20 10 7.9 4.3
17000 -0.1 31.8 260 17 9 7.5 4.1 | -0.3 31.5 270 20 10 8.2 4.5
16500 1.0 33.8 270 18 9 7.4 4.0 | 0.9 33.6 275 19 10 8.4 4.6
16000 2.1 35.8 275 18 9 7.4 4.1 | 2.2 36.0 280 19 10 8.5 4.6
15500 3.2 37.8 275 18 9 7.9 4.3 | 3.5 38.3 285 18 9 8.8 4.8
15000 4.4 39.9 280 18 9 7.7 4.2 | 4.8 40.6 285 17 9 8.8 4.8
14500 5.6 42.1 285 18 9 9.1 5.0 | 6.1 43.0 290 16 8 9.1 5.0
14000 6.9 44.4 285 18 9 9.1 5.0 | 7.4 45.3 290 16 8 9.1 5.0
13500 8.3 46.9 290 17 9 9.3 5.1 | 8.8 47.8 290 15 8 9.3 5.1
13000 9.7 49.5 290 17 9 9.4 5.2 | 10.2 50.4 290 14 7 9.4 5.1
12500 11.1 52.0 295 16 8 9.1 5.0 | 11.6 52.9 290 13 7 9.2 5.1
12000 12.5 54.5 300 16 8 8.8 4.8 | 12.9 55.2 285 12 6 9.0 4.9
11500 13.8 56.8 305 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 14.3 57.7 285 12 6 10.2 5.6
11000 15.1 59.2 310 14 7 8.0 4.4 | 15.8 60.4 285 11 6 9.1 5.0
10500 16.4 61.5 315 14 7 7.8 4.3 | 17.2 63.0 285 10 5 8.8 4.8
10250 16.9 62.4 315 13 7 7.5 4.1 | 17.8 64.0 285 10 5 9.2 5.0
10000 17.5 63.5 310 13 7 8.0 4.4 | 19.3 66.7 280 9 5 9.8 5.4
9750 18.7 65.7 310 11 6 7.9 4.3 | 20.0 68.0 280 9 5 9.6 5.3
9500 19.2 66.6 305 11 6 7.7 4.2 | 20.7 69.3 280 9 4 9.3 5.1
9250 19.8 67.6 300 10 5 7.2 3.9 | 21.4 70.5 280 8 4 9.8 5.4
9000 20.3 68.5 295 10 5 7.3 4.0 | 22.2 72.0 280 8 4 10.1 5.5
8750 20.8 69.4 295 9 4 5.9 3.2 | 22.9 73.2 275 8 4 10.0 5.5
8500 21.1 70.0 290 8 4 3.0 1.6 | 23.7 74.7 275 7 4 9.9 5.4
8250 21.3 70.3 285 6 3 4.5 2.5 | 24.4 75.9 275 7 4 10.1 5.5
8000 21.8 71.2 280 5 3 7.6 4.2 | 25.2 77.4 275 7 4 10.5 5.8
7750 22.4 72.3 280 5 2 8.2 4.5 | 26.0 78.8 270 7 3 10.4 5.7
7500 23.0 73.4 280 4 2 8.3 4.5 | 26.7 80.1 270 6 3 10.3 5.6
7250 23.6 74.5 280 3 2 8.2 4.5 | 27.5 81.5 270 6 3 10.2 5.6
7000 24.2 75.6 285 3 1 9.5 5.2 | 28.3 82.9 270 6 3 10.5 5.7
6750 25.1 77.2 280 3 1 13.8 7.6 | 29.2 84.6 270 6 3 17.4 9.5
6500 26.3 79.3 285 2 1 17.7 9.7 | 31.4 88.5 265 5 3 48.3 26.5
08/08/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/08/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +225.7 LI... -0.4 | CAPE... +190.1 LI... +0.2
CINH... -0.3 K Index... +23.0 | CINH... -27.5 K Index... +22.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.3 -89.1 275 24 12 2.1 1.1 | -67.2 -89.0 280 25 13 2.2 1.2
45000 -62.6 -80.7 280 33 17 5.4 2.9 | -62.2 -80.0 285 29 15 5.6 3.0
40000 -54.1 -65.4 275 33 17 7.5 4.1 | -52.9 -63.2 275 28 15 7.5 4.1
38000 -49.0 -56.2 270 32 17 7.6 4.1 | -48.5 -55.3 260 29 15 7.5 4.1
36000 -44.5 -48.1 260 32 16 8.0 4.4 | -44.0 -47.2 250 31 16 7.8 4.3
34000 -39.6 -39.3 260 30 15 8.2 4.5 | -39.2 -38.6 255 30 15 8.0 4.4
32000 -34.7 -30.5 260 29 15 8.1 4.5 | -34.5 -30.1 260 28 15 8.0 4.4
30000 -29.9 -21.8 255 28 14 8.0 4.4 | -29.8 -21.6 265 27 14 7.9 4.3
29000 -27.5 -17.5 250 28 14 8.0 4.4 | -27.4 -17.3 265 27 14 7.9 4.4
28000 -25.3 -13.5 250 27 14 6.3 3.4 | -25.1 -13.2 265 26 13 7.5 4.1
27000 -23.3 -9.9 250 25 13 6.5 3.6 | -22.9 -9.2 270 24 12 7.5 4.1
26000 -21.4 -6.5 250 23 12 6.5 3.6 | -20.7 -5.3 270 21 11 7.6 4.1
25000 -18.9 -2.0 255 20 10 7.8 4.3 | -17.9 -0.2 275 18 9 7.3 4.0
24000 -16.7 1.9 255 18 9 7.8 4.3 | -15.7 3.7 270 16 8 7.3 4.0
23000 -14.4 6.1 255 16 8 7.9 4.3 | -13.6 7.5 270 13 7 7.3 4.0
22000 -12.1 10.2 255 14 7 7.9 4.4 | -11.4 11.5 270 12 6 7.7 4.2
21000 -9.8 14.4 260 13 7 8.0 4.4 | -9.1 15.6 290 12 6 7.7 4.2
20000 -7.5 18.5 265 12 6 8.1 4.4 | -6.9 19.6 300 13 7 7.7 4.2
19500 -6.4 20.5 270 12 6 8.9 4.9 | -5.8 21.6 305 14 7 8.0 4.4
19000 -5.0 23.0 270 12 6 9.2 5.1 | -4.6 23.7 305 14 7 8.2 4.5
18500 -3.6 25.5 275 12 6 9.3 5.1 | -3.4 25.9 310 15 8 8.1 4.5
18000 -2.2 28.0 275 12 6 9.5 5.2 | -2.1 28.2 310 15 8 9.2 5.1
17500 -0.8 30.6 275 13 6 9.5 5.2 | -0.8 30.6 305 16 8 9.1 5.0
17000 0.6 33.1 280 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 0.6 33.1 305 16 8 9.1 5.0
16500 2.1 35.8 280 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 1.9 35.4 305 16 8 9.2 5.0
16000 3.5 38.3 280 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 3.3 37.9 305 16 8 9.2 5.0
15500 4.9 40.8 280 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 4.7 40.5 300 16 8 9.3 5.1
15000 6.4 43.5 280 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 6.0 42.8 300 17 9 9.3 5.1
14500 7.8 46.0 280 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 7.4 45.3 300 17 9 9.4 5.1
14000 9.3 48.7 280 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 8.8 47.8 295 17 9 9.4 5.2
13500 10.7 51.3 280 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 10.2 50.4 295 18 9 9.4 5.2
13000 12.1 53.8 280 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 11.6 52.9 295 18 9 9.5 5.2
12500 13.6 56.5 280 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 13.0 55.4 290 19 10 9.4 5.2
12000 15.0 59.0 280 15 8 9.6 5.2 | 14.4 57.9 290 19 10 9.2 5.0
11500 16.4 61.5 280 15 8 9.9 5.4 | 15.8 60.4 290 20 10 9.5 5.2
11000 17.9 64.2 275 16 8 9.6 5.3 | 17.8 64.0 285 21 11 8.9 4.9
10500 20.0 68.0 275 17 9 9.4 5.2 | 19.2 66.6 285 23 12 9.6 5.3
10250 20.8 69.4 275 17 9 10.1 5.6 | 19.9 67.8 280 23 12 9.0 4.9
10000 21.5 70.7 275 17 9 10.0 5.5 | 20.6 69.1 280 24 12 9.2 5.0
9750 22.2 72.0 275 17 9 9.8 5.4 | 21.3 70.3 280 24 12 9.1 5.0
9500 23.0 73.4 275 18 9 9.5 5.2 | 21.9 71.4 280 25 13 9.2 5.0
9250 23.7 74.7 275 18 9 9.9 5.4 | 22.6 72.7 280 25 13 9.1 5.0
9000 24.4 75.9 275 18 9 10.2 5.6 | 23.3 73.9 275 26 13 9.0 5.0
8750 25.2 77.4 270 18 9 10.1 5.5 | 24.0 75.2 275 26 14 9.1 5.0
8500 25.9 78.6 270 19 10 9.8 5.4 | 24.6 76.3 275 27 14 8.5 4.7
8250 26.7 80.1 270 19 10 10.0 5.5 | 25.2 77.4 270 27 14 8.9 4.9
8000 27.4 81.3 270 19 10 10.4 5.7 | 25.9 78.6 270 28 14 9.9 5.4
7750 28.2 82.8 270 19 10 10.6 5.8 | 26.7 80.1 270 28 14 9.8 5.4
7500 29.0 84.2 270 19 10 10.7 5.9 | 27.4 81.3 270 28 14 9.2 5.0
7250 29.8 85.6 270 19 10 11.2 6.1 | 28.0 82.4 265 28 14 9.1 5.0
7000 30.6 87.1 270 19 10 9.4 5.1 | 28.7 83.7 265 28 14 9.5 5.2
6750 31.4 88.5 270 18 9 15.4 8.5 | 29.5 85.1 260 26 13 12.4 6.8
6500 34.2 93.6 265 16 8 74.5 40.9 | 30.8 87.4 255 23 12 27.8 15.2
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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