Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0754 MDT Saturday October 31 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, October 31, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 58.7 F/14.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
Maximum rate of lift........................ 367 ft/min (1.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 13323 ft MSL (6995 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 65.0 F/18.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10642 ft MSL (4314 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 11/01....... Poor
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:24:22 / 18:10:44 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 46 min 22 sec (646 min 22 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:47:33 MDT... 40.64 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/31/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11835 ft MSL (5507 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12178 ft MSL (5850 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 12822 ft MSL (6494 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.1
K index......................... +18.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.3 -81.9 260 55 28 1.6 0.9 85.1 185.3 39.2 M M
45000 -60.6 -77.1 270 75 39 2.8 1.6 66.8 152.3 30.3 M M
40000 -56.4 -69.5 270 80 41 2.7 1.5 51.0 123.7 21.8 M M
38000 -53.9 -65.0 270 83 43 4.3 2.4 45.6 114.1 18.8 M M
36000 -51.3 -60.3 275 86 44 4.3 2.4 41.0 105.8 16.0 M M
34000 -46.9 -52.4 275 83 43 8.6 4.7 38.0 100.4 14.3 M M
32000 -41.8 -43.2 280 75 39 8.6 4.7 37.1 98.8 14.0 M M
30000 -36.6 -33.9 280 69 36 8.6 4.7 36.2 97.2 13.7 M M
29000 -34.0 -29.2 280 67 34 8.6 4.7 35.8 96.4 13.5 M M
28000 -31.4 -24.5 275 64 33 8.6 4.7 35.5 95.8 13.4 M M
27000 -29.3 -20.7 275 60 31 5.9 3.3 34.5 94.1 12.8 M M
26000 -27.5 -17.5 270 53 27 5.8 3.2 32.9 91.3 11.7 M M
25000 -25.8 -14.4 270 46 24 5.9 3.2 31.5 88.7 10.7 M M
24000 -23.7 -10.7 270 41 21 9.3 5.1 30.5 87.0 10.0 M M
23000 -21.0 -5.8 265 40 20 9.0 5.0 30.2 86.4 9.9 M M
22000 -18.3 -0.9 265 38 19 9.0 4.9 30.0 86.0 9.8 M M
21000 -16.0 3.2 265 36 19 5.5 3.0 29.2 84.6 9.3 M M
20000 -14.4 6.1 260 36 18 5.6 3.1 27.7 81.9 8.0 M M
19500 -13.6 7.5 255 35 18 5.7 3.2 27.0 80.7 7.5 M M
19000 -12.8 9.0 255 35 18 5.9 3.2 26.4 79.5 6.9 M M
18500 -11.5 11.3 250 35 18 5.9 3.2 25.4 77.7 6.0 M M
18000 -10.7 12.7 250 35 18 6.0 3.3 24.8 76.6 5.4 M M
17500 -9.8 14.4 250 34 18 6.5 3.5 24.2 75.5 4.8 M M
17000 -8.9 16.0 255 33 17 6.5 3.5 23.6 74.5 4.3 M M
16500 -8.0 17.6 255 33 17 6.2 3.4 23.1 73.5 3.8 M M
16000 -7.1 19.2 255 31 16 6.0 3.3 22.4 72.3 3.2 M M
15500 -6.2 20.8 260 30 15 5.9 3.2 21.8 71.2 2.7 M M
15000 -5.4 22.3 260 29 15 5.7 3.1 21.1 70.0 2.0 M M
14500 -4.6 23.7 265 27 14 5.7 3.1 20.5 68.9 1.4 M M
14000 -3.7 25.3 265 26 13 5.7 3.1 19.8 67.7 0.8 M M
13500 -2.9 26.8 270 25 13 5.7 3.1 19.2 66.5 0.2 M M
13000 -2.1 28.2 270 24 12 5.8 3.2 18.5 65.3 -0.4 539 2.7
12500 -1.2 29.8 270 24 12 5.8 3.2 17.9 64.2 -1.0 498 2.5
12000 -0.3 31.5 275 23 12 6.5 3.6 17.3 63.1 -1.6 456 2.3
11500 0.7 33.3 275 23 12 6.4 3.5 16.8 62.2 -2.1 413 2.1
11000 1.7 35.1 275 23 12 6.8 3.7 16.3 61.4 -2.6 368 1.9
10500 2.6 36.7 270 23 12 6.3 3.5 15.8 60.4 -3.1 326 1.7
10250 3.0 37.4 270 22 12 6.9 3.8 15.5 60.0 -3.4 304 1.5
10000 3.6 38.5 270 22 11 7.1 3.9 15.4 59.6 -3.6 282 1.4
9750 4.0 39.2 270 22 11 6.7 3.7 15.1 59.2 -3.9 260 1.3
9500 4.5 40.1 270 22 11 6.6 3.6 14.9 58.8 -4.2 239 1.2
9250 5.0 41.0 270 22 11 7.6 4.2 14.7 58.4 -4.5 217 1.1
9000 5.5 41.9 265 21 11 8.3 4.5 14.5 58.2 -4.6 193 1.0
8750 6.1 43.0 265 21 11 7.6 4.2 14.4 57.9 -4.8 169 0.9
8500 6.6 43.9 260 21 11 7.6 4.2 14.2 57.6 -5.0 146 0.7
8250 7.2 45.0 260 21 11 7.7 4.2 14.1 57.3 -5.2 122 0.6
8000 7.7 45.9 260 20 10 7.5 4.1 13.9 57.1 -5.4 98 0.5
7750 8.2 46.8 255 19 10 6.8 3.7 13.7 56.7 -5.7 76 0.4
7500 8.6 47.5 255 18 9 5.1 2.8 13.5 56.2 -6.0 55 0.3
7250 8.9 48.0 255 16 8 3.0 1.6 13.0 55.4 -6.5 40 0.2
7000 9.1 48.4 255 14 7 2.5 1.4 12.5 54.4 -7.0 28 0.1
6750 9.2 48.6 250 12 6 2.3 1.3 11.9 53.5 -7.6 16 0.1
6500 9.2 48.6 250 10 5 -2.2 -1.2 11.2 52.2 -8.4 8 0.0
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/31/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/31/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.7 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.6
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +14.2 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +5.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.5 -84.1 265 63 33 1.1 0.6 | -66.3 -87.3 265 60 31 0.9 0.5
45000 -62.5 -80.5 275 84 43 2.8 1.6 | -64.2 -83.6 275 84 43 4.1 2.3
40000 -58.3 -72.9 270 82 42 2.9 1.6 | -58.0 -72.4 275 116 60 5.8 3.2
38000 -54.9 -66.8 275 75 39 5.9 3.2 | -53.0 -63.4 280 114 59 8.4 4.6
36000 -50.9 -59.6 275 68 35 5.9 3.2 | -47.4 -53.3 280 112 58 8.4 4.6
34000 -46.2 -51.2 275 63 33 9.0 5.0 | -43.2 -45.8 285 93 48 6.3 3.5
32000 -40.8 -41.4 270 60 31 9.1 5.0 | -39.4 -38.9 285 67 35 6.3 3.5
30000 -35.5 -31.9 275 55 28 8.6 4.7 | -35.0 -31.0 280 50 26 8.0 4.4
29000 -32.9 -27.2 280 52 27 8.6 4.7 | -32.6 -26.7 275 45 23 8.0 4.4
28000 -30.3 -22.5 280 50 26 8.6 4.7 | -30.2 -22.4 265 41 21 7.9 4.4
27000 -27.8 -18.0 280 48 25 8.4 4.6 | -27.6 -17.7 260 38 19 8.8 4.8
26000 -25.3 -13.5 275 46 24 8.4 4.6 | -25.0 -13.0 260 35 18 8.8 4.8
25000 -22.8 -9.0 270 45 23 8.3 4.6 | -22.3 -8.1 255 32 16 8.8 4.8
24000 -20.6 -5.1 265 43 22 5.9 3.2 | -19.9 -3.8 255 31 16 6.7 3.7
23000 -18.8 -1.8 265 40 21 5.9 3.2 | -17.9 -0.2 260 34 17 6.7 3.7
22000 -17.0 1.4 270 38 20 6.0 3.3 | -15.9 3.4 260 36 18 6.7 3.7
21000 -15.1 4.8 270 36 18 7.1 3.9 | -14.0 6.8 260 36 18 6.1 3.3
20000 -12.4 9.7 270 34 17 7.2 3.9 | -11.7 10.9 260 33 17 6.1 3.3
19500 -11.3 11.7 265 33 17 7.2 4.0 | -10.8 12.6 260 33 17 6.1 3.3
19000 -10.3 13.5 265 32 17 5.1 2.8 | -9.9 14.2 260 32 16 5.9 3.3
18500 -9.7 14.5 265 32 16 4.2 2.3 | -9.0 15.8 255 32 17 5.9 3.2
18000 -9.1 15.6 260 32 16 4.2 2.3 | -8.1 17.4 255 33 17 5.8 3.2
17500 -8.6 16.5 260 31 16 3.5 1.9 | -7.4 18.7 255 33 17 4.1 2.3
17000 -8.2 17.2 255 31 16 3.7 2.0 | -6.8 19.8 255 33 17 4.4 2.4
16500 -7.7 18.1 255 30 16 4.9 2.7 | -6.2 20.8 255 33 17 4.2 2.3
16000 -6.9 19.6 255 29 15 5.2 2.8 | -5.7 21.7 255 33 17 4.3 2.4
15500 -6.2 20.8 255 28 15 5.6 3.1 | -5.1 22.8 255 32 17 4.7 2.6
15000 -5.3 22.5 255 27 14 6.2 3.4 | -4.4 24.1 255 31 16 5.0 2.7
14500 -4.4 24.1 260 26 14 6.3 3.4 | -3.7 25.3 255 30 15 5.1 2.8
14000 -3.5 25.7 265 26 13 6.4 3.5 | -2.9 26.8 260 28 15 5.4 3.0
13500 -2.5 27.5 265 25 13 6.5 3.5 | -2.1 28.2 260 27 14 5.4 2.9
13000 -1.7 28.9 270 25 13 5.8 3.2 | -1.3 29.7 260 25 13 6.2 3.4
12500 -0.8 30.6 270 24 12 5.9 3.2 | -0.4 31.3 265 24 12 6.1 3.4
12000 0.1 32.2 275 24 12 6.0 3.3 | 0.5 32.9 270 23 12 5.8 3.2
11500 0.9 33.6 275 23 12 6.1 3.3 | 1.3 34.3 270 22 11 6.0 3.3
11000 1.8 35.2 275 23 12 5.7 3.1 | 2.1 35.8 275 20 10 5.0 2.7
10500 2.6 36.7 275 23 12 5.8 3.2 | 2.7 36.9 275 18 9 4.4 2.4
10250 3.0 37.4 275 23 12 6.3 3.4 | 2.9 37.2 275 17 9 6.9 3.8
10000 3.5 38.3 275 23 12 7.1 3.9 | 3.6 38.5 275 17 9 9.4 5.2
9750 4.0 39.2 275 23 12 7.4 4.1 | 4.2 39.6 275 17 9 8.8 4.8
9500 4.6 40.3 275 22 11 7.2 4.0 | 4.9 40.8 275 16 8 8.9 4.9
9250 5.1 41.2 270 22 11 8.3 4.6 | 5.6 42.1 275 16 8 9.7 5.3
9000 5.7 42.3 270 22 11 8.4 4.6 | 6.3 43.3 275 16 8 9.7 5.3
8750 6.3 43.3 270 21 11 7.1 3.9 | 7.0 44.6 275 16 8 8.7 4.8
8500 6.8 44.2 270 20 10 7.1 3.9 | 7.6 45.7 275 16 8 9.0 4.9
8250 7.3 45.1 270 20 10 7.4 4.0 | 8.3 46.9 275 15 8 9.9 5.4
8000 7.8 46.0 270 19 10 7.3 4.0 | 9.1 48.4 275 15 8 10.2 5.6
7750 8.3 46.9 265 18 9 6.5 3.5 | 9.8 49.6 275 15 8 9.7 5.3
7500 8.7 47.7 265 17 9 5.5 3.0 | 10.5 50.9 275 15 8 9.9 5.4
7250 9.1 48.4 265 16 8 5.1 2.8 | 11.3 52.3 275 15 8 10.5 5.7
7000 9.4 48.9 260 15 8 5.0 2.7 | 12.1 53.8 275 15 8 10.1 5.5
6750 9.7 49.5 260 13 7 4.9 2.7 | 12.8 55.0 275 14 7 11.2 6.2
6500 10.1 50.2 260 12 6 7.5 4.1 | 13.8 56.8 275 14 7 17.2 9.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
10/31/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/31/2026 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.4 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.6
CINH... -0.0 K Index... +7.7 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +10.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.7 -88.1 260 64 33 -0.1 -0.0 | -67.3 -89.1 265 55 28 -0.1 -0.1
45000 -65.6 -86.1 265 85 44 4.6 2.5 | -66.1 -87.0 265 74 38 5.2 2.9
40000 -58.7 -73.7 270 86 44 7.1 3.9 | -57.7 -71.9 280 79 41 9.5 5.2
38000 -53.2 -63.8 270 87 45 9.2 5.0 | -52.3 -62.1 275 78 40 9.0 4.9
36000 -47.0 -52.6 270 88 45 9.2 5.0 | -46.9 -52.4 270 77 40 9.0 4.9
34000 -42.0 -43.6 275 86 44 7.9 4.4 | -41.7 -43.1 270 76 39 8.6 4.7
32000 -37.3 -35.1 285 86 44 7.9 4.4 | -36.6 -33.9 265 74 38 8.6 4.7
30000 -32.7 -26.9 285 70 36 7.5 4.1 | -31.1 -24.0 265 67 34 8.0 4.4
29000 -30.4 -22.7 285 58 30 7.5 4.1 | -28.7 -19.7 265 62 32 8.1 4.4
28000 -28.2 -18.8 280 46 24 7.5 4.1 | -26.3 -15.3 265 58 30 8.0 4.4
27000 -26.0 -14.8 275 41 21 7.2 4.0 | -24.1 -11.4 265 50 26 7.4 4.0
26000 -23.8 -10.8 265 38 20 7.2 4.0 | -21.8 -7.2 260 42 22 7.4 4.1
25000 -21.7 -7.1 255 37 19 7.3 4.0 | -19.6 -3.3 260 34 17 7.4 4.1
24000 -19.6 -3.3 250 37 19 7.0 3.8 | -17.7 0.1 255 32 17 5.7 3.1
23000 -17.5 0.5 250 37 19 7.0 3.8 | -16.0 3.2 250 35 18 5.7 3.1
22000 -15.4 4.3 250 37 19 7.0 3.8 | -14.4 6.1 245 38 20 5.7 3.1
21000 -13.4 7.9 250 36 18 6.3 3.5 | -12.7 9.1 245 38 19 5.4 3.0
20000 -11.0 12.2 255 34 17 6.3 3.5 | -11.1 12.0 245 35 18 5.4 3.0
19500 -10.0 14.0 255 33 17 6.3 3.5 | -10.3 13.5 245 33 17 5.5 3.0
19000 -9.1 15.6 260 32 17 5.6 3.0 | -9.5 14.9 245 32 16 5.6 3.1
18500 -8.3 17.1 255 32 16 5.3 2.9 | -8.6 16.5 245 31 16 5.9 3.2
18000 -7.5 18.5 255 32 16 5.2 2.9 | -7.8 18.0 245 29 15 5.9 3.3
17500 -6.9 19.6 255 32 16 4.0 2.2 | -6.5 20.3 245 28 14 5.5 3.0
17000 -6.3 20.7 255 31 16 4.2 2.3 | -5.7 21.7 245 27 14 5.7 3.1
16500 -5.7 21.7 255 31 16 4.0 2.2 | -5.0 23.0 250 26 13 4.0 2.2
16000 -5.2 22.6 255 30 16 4.1 2.2 | -4.4 24.1 250 25 13 4.0 2.2
15500 -4.7 23.5 255 30 15 4.3 2.4 | -3.9 25.0 255 24 12 3.9 2.1
15000 -4.0 24.8 255 29 15 4.6 2.5 | -3.4 25.9 255 23 12 3.8 2.1
14500 -3.4 25.9 255 27 14 4.6 2.5 | -2.9 26.8 260 22 11 4.0 2.2
14000 -2.6 27.3 260 26 13 5.4 3.0 | -2.3 27.9 265 21 11 4.5 2.5
13500 -1.8 28.8 260 24 12 5.3 2.9 | -1.6 29.1 265 20 10 4.5 2.5
13000 -0.9 30.4 260 23 12 6.5 3.6 | -0.9 30.4 265 19 10 5.9 3.2
12500 0.0 32.0 260 21 11 6.5 3.5 | -0.0 32.0 265 18 9 5.7 3.1
12000 0.9 33.6 265 19 10 5.3 2.9 | 0.9 33.6 260 17 9 7.1 3.9
11500 1.6 34.9 265 16 8 5.2 2.8 | 1.9 35.4 260 16 8 7.5 4.1
11000 2.4 36.3 260 14 7 7.1 3.9 | 3.0 37.4 255 15 8 7.1 3.9
10500 3.4 38.1 260 13 7 7.4 4.1 | 4.0 39.2 250 14 7 7.0 3.9
10250 3.9 39.0 260 12 6 8.0 4.4 | 4.5 40.1 245 13 7 7.5 4.1
10000 4.5 40.1 260 12 6 9.2 5.0 | 5.1 41.2 245 12 6 8.2 4.5
9750 5.2 41.4 260 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 5.7 42.3 240 12 6 8.2 4.5
9500 5.9 42.6 260 12 6 9.3 5.1 | 6.2 43.2 240 12 6 8.1 4.4
9250 6.6 43.9 255 12 6 10.4 5.7 | 6.9 44.4 240 11 6 9.7 5.3
9000 7.4 45.3 260 12 6 10.2 5.6 | 7.6 45.7 240 11 6 9.9 5.4
8750 8.1 46.6 260 12 6 8.8 4.8 | 8.3 46.9 240 11 6 8.5 4.6
8500 8.8 47.8 260 12 6 9.0 4.9 | 8.9 48.0 240 11 5 8.9 4.9
8250 9.5 49.1 260 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 9.6 49.3 240 11 5 9.6 5.3
8000 10.2 50.4 260 12 6 10.1 5.5 | 10.3 50.5 245 10 5 9.8 5.4
7750 11.0 51.8 260 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 11.0 51.8 245 10 5 8.8 4.8
7500 11.7 53.1 260 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 11.6 52.9 250 11 5 8.8 4.8
7250 12.4 54.3 260 12 6 10.3 5.7 | 12.3 54.1 250 10 5 9.2 5.1
7000 13.2 55.8 260 12 6 10.3 5.6 | 13.0 55.4 250 10 5 9.4 5.2
6750 14.0 57.2 260 12 6 10.8 5.9 | 13.7 56.7 255 10 5 8.8 4.8
6500 14.9 58.8 260 11 6 14.7 8.0 | 14.2 57.6 255 9 5 3.5 1.9
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0753 MDT Saturday October 31 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, October 31, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 60.6 F/15.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
Maximum rate of lift........................ 188 ft/min (1.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 10691 ft MSL (5016 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 62.0 F/17.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1245 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1600 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 7265 ft MSL (1590 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 11/01....... Fair
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:26:57 / 18:13:08 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 46 min 11 sec (646 min 11 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:50:02 MDT... 40.61 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/31/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11495 ft MSL (5820 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 10913 ft MSL (5238 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 10863 ft MSL (5188 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.6
K index......................... +22.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.6 -82.5 260 55 28 1.1 0.6 88.3 190.9 41.5 M M
45000 -61.5 -78.7 270 78 40 3.2 1.8 67.9 154.2 31.8 M M
40000 -56.6 -69.9 265 78 40 3.1 1.7 52.9 127.2 24.1 M M
38000 -54.1 -65.4 270 79 41 4.4 2.4 47.6 117.7 21.1 M M
36000 -51.1 -60.0 275 81 42 4.4 2.4 42.6 108.6 18.2 M M
34000 -46.8 -52.2 275 81 42 9.4 5.1 40.5 104.9 17.2 M M
32000 -41.2 -42.2 280 80 41 9.4 5.1 40.2 104.4 17.4 M M
30000 -35.9 -32.6 280 75 38 8.4 4.6 39.5 103.1 17.3 M M
29000 -33.4 -28.1 280 70 36 8.4 4.6 38.9 102.1 17.1 M M
28000 -30.9 -23.6 275 65 34 8.3 4.6 38.5 101.3 17.0 M M
27000 -28.8 -19.8 275 60 31 5.2 2.8 37.4 99.3 16.3 M M
26000 -27.3 -17.1 270 55 28 5.1 2.8 35.6 96.0 15.1 M M
25000 -25.7 -14.3 270 49 25 5.1 2.8 33.9 93.0 13.9 M M
24000 -23.9 -11.0 265 45 23 9.4 5.1 32.6 90.8 13.0 M M
23000 -21.3 -6.3 265 43 22 8.9 4.9 32.3 90.1 12.9 M M
22000 -17.9 -0.2 265 40 21 9.0 5.0 31.9 89.5 12.8 M M
21000 -16.0 3.2 260 38 20 4.9 2.7 30.7 87.3 11.9 M M
20000 -14.6 5.7 255 36 18 5.0 2.7 29.0 84.2 10.5 M M
19500 -13.9 7.0 255 35 18 5.1 2.8 28.2 82.8 9.8 M M
19000 -13.2 8.2 250 34 17 5.3 2.9 27.5 81.5 9.2 M M
18500 -12.4 9.7 250 33 17 5.7 3.1 26.7 80.1 8.5 M M
18000 -11.6 11.1 250 32 17 5.7 3.1 26.0 78.9 7.9 M M
17500 -10.8 12.6 250 32 16 6.5 3.6 25.4 77.8 7.3 M M
17000 -9.8 14.4 255 31 16 6.6 3.6 24.9 76.8 6.8 M M
16500 -8.9 16.0 255 30 15 6.4 3.5 24.3 75.8 6.4 M M
16000 -8.0 17.6 260 29 15 6.3 3.5 23.8 74.8 5.8 M M
15500 -7.1 19.2 260 28 14 6.3 3.4 23.2 73.7 5.3 M M
15000 -6.2 20.8 265 27 14 5.6 3.1 22.5 72.6 4.7 M M
14500 -5.4 22.3 265 25 13 5.7 3.1 21.9 71.4 4.1 M M
14000 -4.6 23.7 270 24 13 5.6 3.1 21.2 70.2 3.5 M M
13500 -3.8 25.2 270 23 12 5.6 3.1 20.5 68.9 2.9 M M
13000 -2.9 26.8 270 22 12 5.9 3.3 19.9 67.8 2.3 M M
12500 -2.0 28.4 270 22 11 6.0 3.3 19.3 66.7 1.7 M M
12000 -1.1 30.0 270 21 11 6.5 3.6 18.7 65.6 1.2 M M
11500 -0.1 31.8 270 21 11 6.6 3.6 18.2 64.8 0.7 M M
11000 0.9 33.6 270 20 10 7.3 4.0 17.7 63.9 0.3 M M
10500 1.9 35.4 265 20 10 7.3 4.0 17.4 63.3 -0.1 378 1.9
10250 2.5 36.5 265 20 10 7.0 3.9 17.2 63.0 -0.3 356 1.8
10000 3.0 37.4 265 19 10 7.7 4.2 17.0 62.6 -0.5 332 1.7
9750 3.6 38.5 265 19 10 8.1 4.4 16.9 62.3 -0.7 308 1.6
9500 4.1 39.4 265 18 9 8.0 4.4 16.7 62.1 -0.8 283 1.4
9250 4.7 40.5 265 18 9 8.0 4.4 16.6 61.9 -1.0 258 1.3
9000 5.2 41.4 265 17 9 7.9 4.3 16.4 61.6 -1.2 235 1.2
8750 5.8 42.4 260 16 8 7.8 4.3 16.3 61.3 -1.3 211 1.1
8500 6.4 43.5 260 16 8 8.1 4.5 16.2 61.1 -1.5 187 0.9
8250 7.4 45.3 260 14 7 6.4 3.5 15.7 60.3 -2.0 142 0.7
8000 7.9 46.2 255 14 7 7.3 4.0 15.5 60.0 -2.2 120 0.6
7750 8.3 46.9 250 13 7 6.8 3.7 15.3 59.6 -2.5 98 0.5
7500 8.8 47.8 245 12 6 5.1 2.8 15.1 59.1 -2.8 78 0.4
7250 9.0 48.2 235 11 6 4.0 2.2 14.6 58.3 -3.2 62 0.3
7000 9.3 48.7 230 11 5 4.4 2.4 14.2 57.6 -3.7 46 0.2
6750 9.6 49.3 220 10 5 4.0 2.2 13.8 56.8 -4.1 31 0.2
6500 9.8 49.6 210 9 5 3.1 1.7 13.3 56.0 -4.6 16 0.1
6250 10.1 50.2 205 9 5 4.4 2.4 12.9 55.1 -5.1 2 0.0
6000 10.4 50.7 195 8 4 4.8 2.6 12.5 54.5 -5.5 M M
5750 10.3 50.5 185 6 3 -11.6 -6.4 11.7 53.1 -6.4 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/31/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/31/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +11.3 LI... +3.6 | CAPE... +6.2 LI... +3.5
CINH... -24.2 K Index... +18.4 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +11.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.2 -85.4 265 64 33 0.9 0.5 | -66.7 -88.1 265 60 31 0.5 0.3
45000 -63.3 -81.9 270 88 45 3.7 2.0 | -64.9 -84.8 270 83 43 4.5 2.5
40000 -57.8 -72.0 270 85 44 3.7 2.0 | -58.2 -72.8 270 111 57 5.8 3.2
38000 -54.5 -66.1 270 79 41 5.7 3.1 | -52.8 -63.0 275 108 55 8.2 4.5
36000 -50.6 -59.1 275 71 37 5.7 3.1 | -47.9 -54.2 280 105 54 8.2 4.5
34000 -46.0 -50.8 275 65 33 8.8 4.8 | -43.3 -45.9 285 91 47 7.4 4.1
32000 -40.8 -41.4 275 60 31 8.8 4.8 | -38.8 -37.8 285 71 37 7.4 4.1
30000 -35.5 -31.9 275 55 28 8.9 4.9 | -34.4 -29.9 285 53 27 7.3 4.0
29000 -32.9 -27.2 280 53 27 8.9 4.9 | -32.3 -26.1 275 45 23 7.3 4.0
28000 -30.2 -22.4 280 51 26 8.9 4.9 | -30.1 -22.2 265 38 19 7.2 4.0
27000 -27.7 -17.9 280 49 25 8.0 4.4 | -27.7 -17.9 260 34 17 8.5 4.7
26000 -25.3 -13.5 275 45 23 8.0 4.4 | -25.1 -13.2 255 31 16 8.5 4.7
25000 -22.9 -9.2 265 43 22 8.0 4.4 | -22.6 -8.7 250 29 15 8.5 4.7
24000 -20.7 -5.3 260 41 21 5.9 3.2 | -20.1 -4.2 245 29 15 7.3 4.0
23000 -18.4 -1.1 265 38 20 6.0 3.3 | -17.4 0.7 255 33 17 7.3 4.0
22000 -16.6 2.1 265 36 19 6.0 3.3 | -15.2 4.6 255 37 19 7.5 4.1
21000 -14.6 5.7 265 35 18 7.0 3.9 | -13.4 7.9 255 37 19 5.7 3.1
20000 -12.5 9.5 265 34 17 7.0 3.9 | -11.7 10.9 255 35 18 5.7 3.1
19500 -11.4 11.5 265 33 17 6.9 3.8 | -10.8 12.6 255 35 18 5.7 3.1
19000 -10.4 13.3 265 33 17 5.3 2.9 | -9.9 14.2 255 34 18 5.7 3.1
18500 -9.9 14.2 260 32 17 3.5 1.9 | -9.1 15.6 255 34 18 5.7 3.1
18000 -9.4 15.1 260 32 17 3.7 2.0 | -8.3 17.1 250 35 18 5.9 3.2
17500 -9.0 15.8 255 32 16 2.3 1.2 | -7.6 18.3 250 35 18 3.4 1.9
17000 -8.8 16.2 255 31 16 2.7 1.5 | -7.1 19.2 250 35 18 3.8 2.1
16500 -8.5 16.7 255 31 16 4.0 2.2 | -6.6 20.1 250 35 18 3.5 1.9
16000 -7.8 18.0 255 30 15 4.8 2.6 | -6.1 21.0 250 34 17 3.5 1.9
15500 -7.1 19.2 255 29 15 5.1 2.8 | -5.7 21.7 250 33 17 3.8 2.1
15000 -6.3 20.7 255 28 14 6.4 3.5 | -5.1 22.8 255 31 16 4.6 2.5
14500 -5.3 22.5 260 27 14 6.3 3.5 | -4.5 23.9 255 30 15 4.5 2.5
14000 -4.4 24.1 260 26 14 6.1 3.4 | -3.7 25.3 255 28 14 5.7 3.1
13500 -3.5 25.7 265 25 13 6.2 3.4 | -2.9 26.8 260 26 13 5.6 3.0
13000 -2.6 27.3 270 24 12 6.0 3.3 | -2.0 28.4 260 24 13 6.2 3.4
12500 -1.8 28.8 270 23 12 6.0 3.3 | -1.1 30.0 260 23 12 6.2 3.4
12000 -0.9 30.4 270 22 11 5.9 3.2 | -0.2 31.6 260 21 11 6.4 3.5
11500 -0.1 31.8 270 21 11 5.8 3.2 | 0.7 33.3 265 19 10 6.4 3.5
11000 0.8 33.4 270 20 10 7.1 3.9 | 1.7 35.1 265 18 9 6.8 3.7
10500 1.9 35.4 270 19 10 6.8 3.7 | 2.6 36.7 270 16 8 6.4 3.5
10250 2.3 36.1 270 18 9 6.4 3.5 | 3.0 37.4 270 15 8 5.5 3.0
10000 2.8 37.0 270 18 9 7.7 4.2 | 3.4 38.1 270 14 7 5.6 3.1
9750 3.4 38.1 270 17 9 8.1 4.4 | 3.8 38.8 270 13 7 6.0 3.3
9500 4.0 39.2 270 17 9 8.1 4.4 | 4.2 39.6 265 12 6 5.3 2.9
9250 4.6 40.3 265 16 8 7.7 4.2 | 4.6 40.3 265 11 6 7.7 4.2
9000 5.7 42.3 265 15 7 7.7 4.2 | 5.6 42.1 260 9 5 6.0 3.3
8750 6.2 43.2 265 14 7 7.8 4.3 | 6.0 42.8 255 8 4 6.4 3.5
8500 6.7 44.1 265 13 7 6.5 3.6 | 6.5 43.7 250 7 3 7.2 3.9
8250 7.2 45.0 260 12 6 5.9 3.3 | 7.1 44.8 250 6 3 9.3 5.1
8000 7.6 45.7 260 11 6 6.8 3.7 | 7.8 46.0 245 6 3 10.1 5.5
7750 8.1 46.6 255 10 5 6.1 3.3 | 8.5 47.3 245 6 3 9.7 5.3
7500 8.4 47.1 250 9 5 4.8 2.6 | 9.2 48.6 240 6 3 9.3 5.1
7250 8.7 47.7 240 9 4 5.1 2.8 | 9.9 49.8 240 6 3 9.9 5.5
7000 9.1 48.4 230 8 4 5.9 3.2 | 10.7 51.3 235 6 3 10.7 5.9
6750 9.5 49.1 220 8 4 5.4 3.0 | 11.5 52.7 235 5 3 10.1 5.5
6500 9.9 49.8 215 8 4 5.0 2.7 | 12.2 54.0 235 5 3 9.9 5.4
6250 10.2 50.4 205 7 4 6.1 3.4 | 13.0 55.4 230 5 3 9.6 5.3
6000 10.8 51.4 205 7 4 10.4 5.7 | 13.7 56.7 230 5 3 12.6 6.9
5750 11.8 53.2 200 6 3 16.1 8.9 | 15.3 59.5 230 5 2 35.4 19.4
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
10/31/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/31/2026 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... +1.4 LI... +4.0 | CAPE... +5.2 LI... +3.0
CINH... -0.0 K Index... +15.2 | CINH... -7.4 K Index... +16.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.1 -88.8 260 62 32 -0.2 -0.1 | -67.2 -89.0 265 57 29 -0.5 -0.3
45000 -66.1 -87.0 265 80 41 4.8 2.7 | -66.3 -87.3 265 73 38 5.2 2.9
40000 -58.8 -73.8 270 87 45 7.3 4.0 | -57.7 -71.9 275 83 43 9.6 5.3
38000 -52.4 -62.3 270 87 45 9.5 5.2 | -52.1 -61.8 270 80 41 9.3 5.1
36000 -46.8 -52.2 265 87 45 9.5 5.2 | -46.6 -51.9 270 76 39 9.3 5.1
34000 -41.8 -43.2 270 84 43 7.9 4.3 | -41.3 -42.3 265 74 38 8.6 4.7
32000 -37.0 -34.6 280 81 42 7.9 4.4 | -36.2 -33.2 265 72 37 8.6 4.7
30000 -32.5 -26.5 280 70 36 7.4 4.1 | -31.3 -24.3 260 67 35 8.0 4.4
29000 -30.3 -22.5 285 61 32 7.4 4.1 | -28.9 -20.0 260 64 33 8.0 4.4
28000 -28.0 -18.4 285 53 27 7.4 4.1 | -26.5 -15.7 260 61 31 8.2 4.5
27000 -25.9 -14.6 280 46 23 7.3 4.0 | -24.3 -11.7 260 54 28 7.2 3.9
26000 -23.7 -10.7 270 40 21 7.3 4.0 | -22.1 -7.8 255 45 23 7.2 3.9
25000 -21.5 -6.7 255 36 19 7.3 4.0 | -20.0 -4.0 255 36 18 7.1 3.9
24000 -19.4 -2.9 245 36 18 6.6 3.6 | -17.5 0.5 250 33 17 6.0 3.3
23000 -17.0 1.4 245 37 19 6.6 3.6 | -15.8 3.6 245 35 18 6.0 3.3
22000 -15.0 5.0 245 38 20 6.7 3.7 | -14.0 6.8 240 38 19 6.1 3.4
21000 -13.1 8.4 250 38 19 6.2 3.4 | -12.5 9.5 240 37 19 4.7 2.6
20000 -11.2 11.8 250 36 19 6.2 3.4 | -11.1 12.0 245 35 18 4.7 2.6
19500 -10.3 13.5 250 35 18 6.2 3.4 | -10.4 13.3 245 34 17 4.8 2.6
19000 -9.3 15.3 250 35 18 5.7 3.1 | -9.7 14.5 245 32 17 5.1 2.8
18500 -8.5 16.7 250 34 18 5.3 2.9 | -8.9 16.0 245 31 16 5.4 3.0
18000 -7.8 18.0 250 34 18 5.5 3.0 | -8.1 17.4 245 30 15 5.4 3.0
17500 -7.1 19.2 250 34 17 3.3 1.8 | -7.3 18.9 245 29 15 5.4 3.0
17000 -6.6 20.1 250 34 17 3.6 2.0 | -6.5 20.3 245 28 14 5.5 3.0
16500 -6.2 20.8 250 34 17 3.6 2.0 | -5.8 21.6 250 27 14 4.8 2.7
16000 -5.7 21.7 250 33 17 3.7 2.0 | -5.1 22.8 250 27 14 4.5 2.5
15500 -5.2 22.6 250 32 16 4.0 2.2 | -4.5 23.9 250 26 14 4.3 2.4
15000 -4.6 23.7 250 31 16 4.7 2.6 | -4.0 24.8 255 26 13 3.5 1.9
14500 -3.9 25.0 255 29 15 4.6 2.5 | -3.5 25.7 255 25 13 3.6 2.0
14000 -3.2 26.2 255 28 14 5.8 3.2 | -3.0 26.6 255 24 12 4.0 2.2
13500 -2.3 27.9 255 26 13 5.7 3.1 | -2.4 27.7 255 23 12 3.8 2.1
13000 -1.4 29.5 260 24 12 5.9 3.2 | -1.7 28.9 255 22 11 6.6 3.6
12500 -0.6 30.9 260 21 11 5.9 3.2 | -0.7 30.7 255 21 11 6.5 3.6
12000 0.3 32.5 260 19 10 5.6 3.1 | 0.3 32.5 255 19 10 7.6 4.2
11500 1.0 33.8 260 16 8 5.6 3.1 | 1.4 34.5 250 17 9 7.7 4.2
11000 1.8 35.2 260 13 7 6.1 3.4 | 2.5 36.5 250 15 8 7.9 4.3
10500 2.6 36.7 250 10 5 5.5 3.0 | 3.7 38.7 245 13 6 7.7 4.2
10250 2.9 37.2 245 9 5 5.7 3.1 | 4.3 39.7 245 12 6 7.4 4.1
10000 3.4 38.1 245 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 4.8 40.6 240 11 5 7.7 4.2
9750 4.1 39.4 240 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 5.4 41.7 235 9 5 7.8 4.3
9500 4.8 40.6 240 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 5.9 42.6 230 9 4 7.8 4.3
9250 5.4 41.7 235 7 4 8.9 4.9 | 6.5 43.7 225 8 4 8.4 4.6
9000 6.8 44.2 230 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 7.7 45.9 205 7 4 8.2 4.5
8750 7.5 45.5 230 7 3 9.6 5.2 | 8.3 46.9 200 7 4 8.2 4.5
8500 8.2 46.8 230 7 3 9.2 5.0 | 8.9 48.0 190 7 3 8.4 4.6
8250 8.9 48.0 225 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 9.6 49.3 185 7 3 9.2 5.0
8000 9.6 49.3 225 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 10.3 50.5 180 7 3 9.5 5.2
7750 10.4 50.7 225 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 11.0 51.8 180 7 4 9.3 5.1
7500 11.1 52.0 220 6 3 9.2 5.0 | 11.7 53.1 175 7 4 9.0 5.0
7250 11.8 53.2 220 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 12.3 54.1 170 7 4 9.4 5.1
7000 12.6 54.7 220 6 3 10.6 5.8 | 13.1 55.6 170 7 4 9.8 5.4
6750 13.3 55.9 220 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 13.8 56.8 165 7 3 9.7 5.3
6500 14.1 57.4 215 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 14.5 58.1 165 7 3 9.9 5.4
6250 14.8 58.6 215 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 15.2 59.4 160 6 3 9.3 5.1
6000 15.6 60.1 215 5 3 11.9 6.5 | 15.8 60.4 160 6 3 7.1 3.9
5750 17.1 62.8 210 5 3 34.7 19.1 | 16.2 61.2 155 5 3 3.2 1.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0754 MDT Saturday October 31 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, October 31, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 56.3 F/13.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
Maximum rate of lift........................ 310 ft/min (1.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 12730 ft MSL (6276 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 61.0 F/16.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9928 ft MSL (3475 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 11/01....... Poor
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:25:42 / 18:10:10 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 44 min 28 sec (644 min 28 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:47:56 MDT... 40.01 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/31/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11270 ft MSL (4816 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 10616 ft MSL (4162 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 11610 ft MSL (5156 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.1
K index......................... +22.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 260 54 28 2.2 1.2 86.8 188.3 41.4 M M
45000 -59.3 -74.7 270 68 35 1.6 0.9 68.5 155.3 32.8 M M
40000 -56.8 -70.2 270 70 36 1.4 0.8 49.9 121.8 22.6 M M
38000 -54.4 -65.9 275 78 40 4.6 2.5 44.5 112.2 19.6 M M
36000 -51.6 -60.9 280 87 45 4.6 2.5 40.2 104.3 17.0 M M
34000 -47.7 -53.9 280 86 44 8.6 4.7 37.5 99.6 15.6 M M
32000 -42.5 -44.5 280 74 38 8.6 4.7 36.6 97.9 15.3 M M
30000 -37.9 -36.2 280 63 32 6.4 3.5 35.0 95.1 14.5 M M
29000 -35.5 -31.9 275 58 30 6.4 3.5 33.4 92.1 13.4 M M
28000 -33.6 -28.5 270 53 27 6.4 3.5 32.2 90.0 12.6 M M
27000 -31.3 -24.3 265 50 26 8.3 4.5 31.3 88.4 12.1 M M
26000 -28.8 -19.8 265 47 24 8.3 4.6 30.7 87.3 11.8 M M
25000 -26.3 -15.3 265 43 22 8.3 4.6 30.3 86.5 11.5 M M
24000 -23.7 -10.7 265 40 21 9.2 5.1 29.9 85.8 11.3 M M
23000 -21.0 -5.8 260 38 19 9.2 5.0 29.6 85.3 11.3 M M
22000 -18.2 -0.8 260 35 18 9.1 5.0 29.5 85.1 11.3 M M
21000 -16.0 3.2 260 34 17 5.4 3.0 28.6 83.5 10.6 M M
20000 -14.5 5.9 255 33 17 5.4 3.0 27.0 80.7 9.4 M M
19500 -13.7 7.3 255 33 17 5.5 3.0 26.3 79.4 8.8 M M
19000 -12.9 8.8 250 33 17 5.6 3.1 25.7 78.2 8.2 M M
18500 -12.2 10.0 250 33 17 5.0 2.7 24.9 76.8 7.5 M M
18000 -11.5 11.3 250 33 17 5.1 2.8 24.1 75.3 6.7 M M
17500 -10.8 12.6 250 33 17 5.6 3.1 23.3 74.0 6.0 M M
17000 -9.9 14.2 255 31 16 5.7 3.1 22.6 72.7 5.4 M M
16500 -9.1 15.6 255 30 15 5.7 3.1 22.0 71.6 4.8 M M
16000 -8.3 17.1 260 28 14 5.3 2.9 21.2 70.2 4.1 M M
15500 -7.6 18.3 265 26 13 5.2 2.9 20.5 68.9 3.5 M M
15000 -6.8 19.8 265 24 12 6.2 3.4 19.8 67.7 2.8 M M
14500 -5.9 21.4 270 23 12 6.1 3.4 19.2 66.6 2.3 M M
14000 -5.0 23.0 270 22 11 5.9 3.3 18.6 65.5 1.7 M M
13500 -4.2 24.4 275 21 11 5.9 3.2 18.0 64.4 1.1 M M
13000 -3.3 26.1 275 20 10 5.9 3.2 17.4 63.3 0.5 M M
12500 -2.5 27.5 275 19 10 5.8 3.2 16.8 62.2 -0.1 501 2.5
12000 -1.6 29.1 280 19 10 6.2 3.4 16.1 61.1 -0.8 461 2.3
11500 -0.2 31.6 280 18 9 6.7 3.7 15.3 59.6 -1.6 397 2.0
11000 0.8 33.4 280 18 9 6.7 3.7 14.9 58.8 -2.1 352 1.8
10500 1.7 35.1 275 17 9 6.7 3.7 14.4 57.9 -2.6 309 1.6
10250 2.2 36.0 275 17 9 7.1 3.9 14.2 57.5 -2.8 287 1.5
10000 2.7 36.9 270 17 9 7.5 4.1 14.0 57.2 -3.0 263 1.3
9750 3.3 37.9 270 17 9 7.3 4.0 13.8 56.9 -3.2 240 1.2
9500 3.8 38.8 265 17 9 7.7 4.2 13.6 56.5 -3.4 217 1.1
9250 4.4 39.9 265 17 9 8.2 4.5 13.5 56.3 -3.6 192 1.0
9000 5.0 41.0 260 16 8 7.8 4.3 13.4 56.1 -3.7 167 0.8
8750 5.5 41.9 260 16 8 7.6 4.2 13.2 55.8 -3.9 143 0.7
8500 6.1 43.0 255 15 8 7.6 4.2 13.1 55.5 -4.1 119 0.6
8250 6.6 43.9 255 14 7 7.4 4.1 12.9 55.2 -4.3 95 0.5
8000 7.2 45.0 255 13 7 7.3 4.0 12.7 54.9 -4.5 72 0.4
7750 7.7 45.9 250 12 6 7.4 4.0 12.5 54.5 -4.7 49 0.2
7500 8.2 46.8 250 10 5 6.2 3.4 12.3 54.2 -5.0 26 0.1
7250 8.5 47.3 250 9 4 4.8 2.6 12.0 53.6 -5.3 8 0.0
7000 8.9 48.0 245 7 4 6.4 3.5 11.6 53.0 -5.7 M M
6750 9.4 48.9 240 6 3 4.0 2.2 11.4 52.5 -6.0 M M
6500 8.8 47.8 240 3 2 -24.3 -13.3 10.1 50.2 -7.3 M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/31/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/31/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +11.9 LI... +3.6 | CAPE... +13.0 LI... +3.8
CINH... -9.3 K Index... +11.9 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +3.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.3 -83.7 265 61 31 0.7 0.4 | -66.6 -87.9 265 62 32 0.4 0.2
45000 -62.6 -80.7 275 78 40 3.2 1.8 | -65.0 -85.0 275 85 44 4.8 2.6
40000 -57.8 -72.0 270 75 38 3.2 1.8 | -57.9 -72.2 275 115 59 5.2 2.9
38000 -54.8 -66.6 275 69 35 5.1 2.8 | -53.6 -64.5 275 113 58 7.3 4.0
36000 -51.7 -61.1 280 62 32 5.1 2.8 | -48.7 -55.7 280 110 57 7.3 4.0
34000 -47.3 -53.1 280 61 31 9.2 5.1 | -44.4 -47.9 280 91 47 7.1 3.9
32000 -41.8 -43.2 280 63 32 9.2 5.1 | -40.2 -40.4 280 63 33 7.1 3.9
30000 -35.7 -32.3 280 59 30 8.8 4.8 | -35.4 -31.7 275 49 25 8.7 4.8
29000 -33.1 -27.6 280 55 28 8.8 4.8 | -32.8 -27.0 275 46 24 8.7 4.8
28000 -30.5 -22.9 285 51 26 8.8 4.8 | -30.2 -22.4 275 44 22 8.7 4.8
27000 -28.0 -18.4 280 48 25 8.1 4.4 | -27.7 -17.9 270 40 21 8.2 4.5
26000 -25.5 -13.9 275 46 24 8.1 4.4 | -25.2 -13.4 270 36 18 8.1 4.5
25000 -23.1 -9.6 270 45 23 8.0 4.4 | -22.8 -9.0 265 32 16 8.1 4.5
24000 -21.0 -5.8 265 43 22 6.0 3.3 | -20.0 -4.0 260 31 16 6.6 3.6
23000 -19.2 -2.6 270 40 21 5.9 3.3 | -18.1 -0.6 260 33 17 6.6 3.6
22000 -17.4 0.7 270 37 19 5.9 3.3 | -16.1 3.0 260 35 18 6.5 3.6
21000 -15.3 4.5 270 35 18 7.7 4.2 | -14.1 6.6 260 35 18 6.9 3.8
20000 -13.0 8.6 270 34 17 7.7 4.2 | -12.0 10.4 260 34 18 6.9 3.8
19500 -11.8 10.8 270 33 17 7.7 4.2 | -10.9 12.4 255 34 17 6.9 3.8
19000 -10.7 12.7 265 32 17 6.8 3.7 | -9.9 14.2 255 33 17 6.6 3.6
18500 -10.1 13.8 265 32 17 3.1 1.7 | -9.0 15.8 255 33 17 6.3 3.5
18000 -9.6 14.7 265 32 17 3.5 1.9 | -8.0 17.6 255 33 17 6.6 3.6
17500 -9.1 15.6 265 32 17 2.9 1.6 | -7.3 18.9 255 33 17 3.2 1.8
17000 -8.8 16.2 260 32 17 3.0 1.7 | -6.8 19.8 255 33 17 3.5 1.9
16500 -8.4 16.9 260 32 16 3.9 2.2 | -6.3 20.7 260 33 17 2.9 1.6
16000 -7.7 18.1 260 31 16 5.5 3.0 | -6.0 21.2 260 32 17 2.6 1.4
15500 -6.9 19.6 260 30 16 5.5 3.0 | -5.7 21.7 260 32 16 2.9 1.6
15000 -6.1 21.0 265 29 15 6.4 3.5 | -5.3 22.5 260 31 16 4.3 2.3
14500 -5.2 22.6 265 28 15 6.4 3.5 | -4.7 23.5 265 30 15 4.1 2.3
14000 -4.3 24.3 265 27 14 6.0 3.3 | -4.0 24.8 265 29 15 5.6 3.1
13500 -3.4 25.9 270 26 13 6.0 3.3 | -3.3 26.1 270 27 14 5.5 3.0
13000 -2.6 27.3 270 25 13 5.3 2.9 | -2.5 27.5 275 26 13 5.7 3.2
12500 -1.5 29.3 275 23 12 5.0 2.8 | -1.7 28.9 275 24 12 5.8 3.2
12000 -0.7 30.7 280 22 11 5.6 3.1 | -0.9 30.4 280 22 11 5.8 3.2
11500 0.1 32.2 280 21 11 5.0 2.7 | -0.0 32.0 280 20 10 5.7 3.1
11000 0.9 33.6 285 19 10 6.4 3.5 | 0.9 33.6 285 18 9 6.7 3.7
10500 1.7 35.1 285 17 9 7.3 4.0 | 1.8 35.2 290 16 8 6.7 3.7
10250 2.3 36.1 285 17 9 8.1 4.4 | 2.7 36.9 290 14 7 7.4 4.1
10000 2.9 37.2 285 16 8 7.4 4.0 | 3.3 37.9 290 13 7 8.5 4.7
9750 3.4 38.1 290 15 8 7.5 4.1 | 3.9 39.0 290 13 6 8.2 4.5
9500 3.9 39.0 290 15 8 7.8 4.3 | 4.5 40.1 290 12 6 8.6 4.7
9250 4.5 40.1 290 14 7 8.0 4.4 | 5.2 41.4 290 11 6 9.3 5.1
9000 5.1 41.2 290 13 7 7.6 4.2 | 5.9 42.6 290 11 6 9.5 5.2
8750 5.6 42.1 285 13 7 7.7 4.2 | 6.6 43.9 290 11 6 9.5 5.2
8500 6.2 43.2 285 12 6 7.2 3.9 | 7.3 45.1 290 10 5 9.5 5.2
8250 6.6 43.9 280 12 6 6.4 3.5 | 8.0 46.4 285 10 5 9.6 5.3
8000 7.0 44.6 275 12 6 5.7 3.1 | 8.7 47.7 285 10 5 9.8 5.4
7750 7.4 45.3 270 11 6 5.2 2.9 | 9.4 48.9 285 10 5 10.0 5.5
7500 7.8 46.0 270 10 5 5.2 2.9 | 10.2 50.4 285 9 5 10.1 5.6
7250 8.1 46.6 265 8 4 4.9 2.7 | 10.9 51.6 280 9 5 10.6 5.8
7000 8.5 47.3 260 7 4 6.2 3.4 | 11.7 53.1 280 9 4 9.1 5.0
6750 9.0 48.2 260 7 3 10.6 5.8 | 12.4 54.3 280 8 4 11.7 6.4
6500 10.0 50.0 260 4 2 16.9 9.3 | 14.1 57.4 275 7 4 46.0 25.2
10/31/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/31/2026 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... +7.8 LI... +4.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.1
CINH... -0.6 K Index... +0.2 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +4.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.0 -86.8 260 58 30 0.3 0.1 | -67.1 -88.8 260 51 26 0.1 0.0
45000 -64.7 -84.5 265 77 40 4.1 2.2 | -65.8 -86.4 265 68 35 4.7 2.6
40000 -58.7 -73.7 270 98 51 6.2 3.4 | -58.1 -72.6 275 84 43 9.9 5.4
38000 -52.6 -62.7 270 99 51 9.2 5.0 | -52.6 -62.7 270 82 42 9.3 5.1
36000 -47.1 -52.8 270 99 51 9.1 5.0 | -47.0 -52.6 270 79 41 9.3 5.1
34000 -42.4 -44.3 275 92 48 7.4 4.0 | -41.7 -43.1 270 76 39 8.6 4.7
32000 -38.0 -36.4 285 85 44 7.4 4.0 | -36.5 -33.7 270 74 38 8.7 4.8
30000 -33.6 -28.5 285 65 34 7.3 4.0 | -31.9 -25.4 270 65 33 7.2 4.0
29000 -31.4 -24.5 280 52 27 7.3 4.0 | -29.8 -21.6 270 59 30 7.2 4.0
28000 -29.2 -20.6 270 40 21 7.2 4.0 | -27.6 -17.7 270 53 27 7.2 4.0
27000 -26.9 -16.4 260 36 18 8.1 4.5 | -25.4 -13.7 270 47 24 7.5 4.1
26000 -24.5 -12.1 255 35 18 8.2 4.5 | -22.6 -8.7 260 40 21 7.5 4.1
25000 -22.0 -7.6 245 35 18 8.2 4.5 | -20.3 -4.5 250 36 18 7.6 4.2
24000 -19.3 -2.7 245 35 18 6.9 3.8 | -18.5 -1.3 245 35 18 5.7 3.1
23000 -17.2 1.0 245 37 19 6.9 3.8 | -16.8 1.8 245 36 19 5.7 3.1
22000 -15.2 4.6 250 38 20 6.9 3.8 | -15.1 4.8 245 37 19 5.7 3.1
21000 -13.2 8.2 250 38 19 6.5 3.6 | -13.3 8.1 245 36 18 6.1 3.4
20000 -11.2 11.8 255 36 19 6.5 3.6 | -11.4 11.5 245 32 17 6.2 3.4
19500 -10.2 13.6 255 35 18 6.5 3.6 | -10.5 13.1 245 31 16 6.2 3.4
19000 -9.2 15.4 255 35 18 6.2 3.4 | -9.6 14.7 245 29 15 6.2 3.4
18500 -8.3 17.1 260 34 18 6.0 3.3 | -8.6 16.5 250 29 15 6.3 3.4
18000 -7.5 18.5 260 34 17 6.1 3.3 | -7.7 18.1 250 28 15 6.3 3.5
17500 -6.7 19.9 260 34 17 4.5 2.5 | -6.8 19.8 250 28 14 5.6 3.1
17000 -6.0 21.2 260 33 17 4.5 2.5 | -6.0 21.2 250 28 14 5.7 3.1
16500 -5.3 22.5 260 33 17 3.5 1.9 | -5.1 22.8 250 28 14 5.1 2.8
16000 -5.0 23.0 260 32 17 2.6 1.4 | -4.5 23.9 255 28 14 4.7 2.6
15500 -4.7 23.5 260 31 16 2.7 1.5 | -3.8 25.2 255 27 14 4.6 2.5
15000 -4.4 24.1 260 30 15 2.9 1.6 | -3.3 26.1 260 26 14 3.7 2.0
14500 -4.0 24.8 265 28 14 2.8 1.5 | -2.8 27.0 265 25 13 3.9 2.1
14000 -3.5 25.7 265 25 13 5.2 2.9 | -2.3 27.9 265 24 12 2.9 1.6
13500 -2.8 27.0 270 22 12 5.1 2.8 | -2.0 28.4 270 21 11 2.9 1.6
13000 -2.0 28.4 275 20 10 6.4 3.5 | -1.5 29.3 275 19 10 4.7 2.6
12500 -1.1 30.0 280 18 9 6.7 3.7 | -0.8 30.6 280 16 8 4.9 2.7
12000 -0.1 31.8 285 16 8 6.9 3.8 | -0.1 31.8 290 14 7 6.8 3.7
11500 0.9 33.6 285 14 7 7.0 3.8 | 1.5 34.7 295 12 6 7.2 3.9
11000 2.0 35.6 285 13 7 7.8 4.3 | 2.7 36.9 295 10 5 8.6 4.7
10500 3.5 38.3 280 11 6 8.1 4.4 | 3.9 39.0 295 10 5 8.7 4.8
10250 4.2 39.6 280 11 6 9.0 4.9 | 4.6 40.3 290 10 5 8.8 4.8
10000 4.8 40.6 275 11 5 8.8 4.8 | 5.2 41.4 285 10 5 8.6 4.7
9750 5.5 41.9 275 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 5.9 42.6 280 10 5 8.7 4.8
9500 6.1 43.0 270 10 5 9.1 5.0 | 6.5 43.7 280 10 5 8.6 4.7
9250 6.8 44.2 270 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 270 10 5 8.7 4.8
9000 7.5 45.5 265 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 7.8 46.0 265 10 5 9.0 4.9
8750 8.2 46.8 265 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 8.4 47.1 260 11 5 8.9 4.9
8500 9.0 48.2 265 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 9.1 48.4 260 11 6 9.2 5.1
8250 9.7 49.5 260 10 5 9.4 5.1 | 9.8 49.6 255 11 6 9.4 5.1
8000 10.4 50.7 260 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 10.5 50.9 250 11 6 8.7 4.8
7750 11.1 52.0 260 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 11.1 52.0 250 11 6 8.4 4.6
7500 11.8 53.2 255 10 5 9.9 5.5 | 11.7 53.1 245 11 6 9.0 5.0
7250 12.6 54.7 255 9 5 10.4 5.7 | 12.4 54.3 240 11 6 9.5 5.2
7000 13.3 55.9 250 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 13.1 55.6 240 10 5 8.0 4.4
6750 14.0 57.2 250 9 5 10.8 5.9 | 13.5 56.3 235 9 5 3.0 1.6
6500 15.5 59.9 250 8 4 39.5 21.6 | 13.3 55.9 230 7 3 -7.2 -3.9
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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