Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Friday July 25 2025
This forecast is for Friday, July 25, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 75.5 F/24.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1281 ft/min (6.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18415 ft MSL (12081 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 88.0 F/31.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1015 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15989 ft MSL (9655 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 07/26..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:08:50 / 20:12:18 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 3 min 28 sec (843 min 28 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:34 MDT... 74.31 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/25/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15452 ft MSL (9118 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14565 ft MSL (8231 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16381 ft MSL (10047 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.5
K index......................... +26.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.6 -80.7 225 7 4 2.9 1.6 81.6 178.9 30.0 M M
45000 -57.5 -71.5 215 18 9 4.3 2.3 66.9 152.5 22.7 M M
40000 -50.8 -59.4 195 39 20 6.0 3.3 55.4 131.7 16.5 M M
38000 -47.2 -53.0 195 43 22 6.0 3.3 51.9 125.4 14.5 M M
36000 -43.2 -45.8 190 46 24 6.8 3.7 48.8 119.8 12.6 M M
34000 -38.6 -37.5 200 31 16 7.6 4.2 46.7 116.1 11.4 M M
32000 -34.0 -29.2 225 19 10 7.6 4.2 45.3 113.5 10.6 M M
30000 -30.2 -22.4 240 18 9 6.3 3.5 42.5 108.4 8.7 M M
29000 -28.3 -18.9 240 18 9 6.3 3.4 41.2 106.2 7.9 M M
28000 -26.3 -15.3 245 18 9 7.8 4.3 40.1 104.2 7.1 M M
27000 -23.9 -11.0 255 17 9 8.0 4.4 39.3 102.8 6.5 M M
26000 -21.5 -6.7 260 16 8 8.0 4.4 38.7 101.7 6.1 M M
25000 -19.1 -2.4 270 15 8 7.9 4.3 38.2 100.7 5.7 M M
24000 -16.9 1.6 270 13 7 7.4 4.0 37.2 99.0 5.0 M M
23000 -14.7 5.5 265 11 6 7.4 4.1 36.4 97.5 4.3 M M
22000 -12.5 9.5 255 9 4 7.1 3.9 35.6 96.1 3.7 M M
21000 -10.6 12.9 255 7 4 6.6 3.6 34.5 94.0 2.7 M M
20000 -8.6 16.5 250 6 3 6.7 3.7 33.4 92.1 1.7 M M
19500 -7.2 19.0 250 5 3 6.6 3.6 32.7 90.8 1.0 M M
19000 -6.3 20.7 255 4 2 6.5 3.6 32.1 89.8 0.5 M M
18500 -5.3 22.5 265 4 2 6.6 3.6 31.6 88.8 -0.0 1079 5.5
18000 -4.4 24.1 285 3 2 6.1 3.3 31.0 87.8 -0.6 1038 5.3
17500 -3.6 25.5 310 4 2 6.1 3.4 30.4 86.6 -1.2 997 5.1
17000 -2.7 27.1 325 4 2 6.1 3.4 29.8 85.6 -1.8 957 4.9
16500 -1.9 28.6 335 6 3 6.1 3.4 29.1 84.4 -2.4 917 4.7
16000 -1.0 30.2 345 7 4 6.1 3.4 28.5 83.4 -3.1 876 4.5
15500 0.0 32.0 345 8 4 8.1 4.5 28.1 82.6 -3.5 830 4.2
15000 1.2 34.2 345 9 5 7.9 4.3 27.8 82.1 -3.8 781 4.0
14500 2.4 36.3 340 10 5 8.7 4.8 27.6 81.6 -4.1 729 3.7
14000 3.7 38.7 335 10 5 8.8 4.8 27.4 81.4 -4.2 675 3.4
13500 5.0 41.0 330 11 6 8.5 4.7 27.3 81.1 -4.4 621 3.2
13000 6.2 43.2 320 11 6 8.4 4.6 27.0 80.7 -4.7 571 2.9
12500 7.4 45.3 315 11 6 8.4 4.6 26.8 80.3 -5.0 520 2.6
12000 8.6 47.5 305 11 5 8.3 4.6 26.6 79.9 -5.3 469 2.4
11500 9.8 49.6 295 10 5 7.1 3.9 26.4 79.5 -5.6 418 2.1
11000 10.8 51.4 290 10 5 7.7 4.2 25.9 78.7 -6.1 374 1.9
10500 11.9 53.4 280 10 5 7.3 4.0 25.6 78.1 -6.5 327 1.7
10250 12.4 54.3 280 9 5 7.0 3.9 25.4 77.7 -6.7 304 1.5
10000 12.9 55.2 275 9 5 7.0 3.8 25.2 77.3 -7.0 282 1.4
9750 13.4 56.1 275 9 4 7.1 3.9 25.0 76.9 -7.2 260 1.3
9500 13.9 57.0 270 8 4 6.7 3.7 24.7 76.5 -7.5 238 1.2
9250 14.3 57.7 265 8 4 6.3 3.5 24.5 76.1 -7.8 217 1.1
9000 14.7 58.5 255 7 3 5.6 3.0 24.2 75.6 -8.1 197 1.0
8750 15.1 59.2 245 6 3 5.0 2.7 23.8 74.9 -8.5 178 0.9
8500 15.5 59.9 235 5 3 4.7 2.6 23.5 74.3 -8.9 160 0.8
8250 15.8 60.4 225 5 3 4.2 2.3 23.1 73.5 -9.3 143 0.7
8000 16.1 61.0 215 5 2 4.1 2.3 22.6 72.8 -9.7 126 0.6
7750 16.4 61.5 205 4 2 3.3 1.8 22.2 71.9 -10.2 110 0.6
7500 16.6 61.9 195 4 2 3.1 1.7 21.7 71.0 -10.7 96 0.5
7250 16.8 62.2 200 4 2 2.8 1.5 21.2 70.1 -11.3 84 0.4
7000 17.0 62.6 200 3 2 3.8 2.1 20.7 69.2 -11.9 71 0.4
6750 17.1 62.8 205 3 2 0.2 0.1 20.2 68.3 -12.5 58 0.3
6500 16.7 62.1 210 3 1 -10.4 -5.7 19.1 66.3 -13.6 63 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/25/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/25/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +244.5 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +368.7 LI... -1.8
CINH... -86.3 K Index... +25.1 | CINH... -0.8 K Index... +27.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.0 -81.4 170 9 5 3.0 1.7 | -63.3 -81.9 180 19 10 3.0 1.6
45000 -57.3 -71.1 195 16 8 5.2 2.8 | -57.6 -71.7 200 24 12 5.3 2.9
40000 -49.6 -57.3 200 33 17 5.0 2.7 | -49.8 -57.6 220 35 18 4.9 2.7
38000 -46.6 -51.9 200 34 18 5.0 2.7 | -46.9 -52.4 215 32 17 4.9 2.7
36000 -43.3 -45.9 200 36 18 6.1 3.3 | -43.6 -46.5 215 30 15 6.3 3.4
34000 -39.0 -38.2 215 29 15 7.2 4.0 | -39.2 -38.6 220 29 15 7.3 4.0
32000 -34.6 -30.3 235 24 12 7.3 4.0 | -34.8 -30.6 230 28 15 7.5 4.1
30000 -29.7 -21.5 240 21 11 8.3 4.5 | -29.8 -21.6 230 24 12 8.3 4.6
29000 -27.2 -17.0 245 20 10 8.3 4.5 | -27.3 -17.1 230 22 11 8.3 4.6
28000 -24.8 -12.6 250 18 9 6.5 3.5 | -24.9 -12.8 230 20 10 6.6 3.6
27000 -22.9 -9.2 255 15 8 6.4 3.5 | -22.9 -9.2 230 16 8 6.7 3.7
26000 -21.0 -5.8 260 13 6 6.4 3.5 | -20.9 -5.6 230 12 6 6.7 3.7
25000 -19.1 -2.4 270 10 5 6.8 3.7 | -18.9 -2.0 225 8 4 7.2 3.9
24000 -16.8 1.8 270 8 4 7.9 4.3 | -16.5 2.3 215 7 4 8.1 4.4
23000 -14.5 5.9 265 7 3 7.9 4.3 | -14.1 6.6 210 7 3 8.1 4.4
22000 -12.1 10.2 255 5 2 7.0 3.8 | -11.7 10.9 200 6 3 6.9 3.8
21000 -10.5 13.1 250 5 3 5.6 3.1 | -10.1 13.8 210 6 3 5.5 3.0
20000 -8.5 16.7 250 6 3 5.9 3.2 | -8.5 16.7 220 7 3 5.6 3.1
19500 -7.7 18.1 250 7 4 6.3 3.5 | -7.3 18.9 230 7 4 5.8 3.2
19000 -6.7 19.9 250 6 3 6.7 3.7 | -6.5 20.3 240 7 4 6.0 3.3
18500 -5.7 21.7 255 6 3 6.8 3.7 | -5.7 21.7 245 7 4 6.2 3.4
18000 -4.7 23.5 260 5 3 7.2 3.9 | -4.8 23.4 255 7 4 7.0 3.9
17500 -3.7 25.3 270 5 2 7.1 3.9 | -3.8 25.2 260 7 4 7.0 3.8
17000 -2.7 27.1 280 4 2 7.1 3.9 | -2.8 27.0 265 7 4 7.4 4.0
16500 -1.7 28.9 295 4 2 7.1 3.9 | -1.7 28.9 270 7 4 7.6 4.2
16000 -0.6 30.9 310 4 2 7.2 3.9 | -0.6 30.9 275 7 4 7.6 4.1
15500 0.5 32.9 320 5 2 7.6 4.2 | 0.4 32.7 275 7 4 7.0 3.9
15000 1.6 34.9 325 5 3 7.5 4.1 | 1.4 34.5 280 8 4 7.0 3.8
14500 2.8 37.0 325 6 3 8.5 4.6 | 2.5 36.5 280 8 4 8.8 4.8
14000 4.1 39.4 325 7 4 8.5 4.7 | 3.8 38.8 285 8 4 8.8 4.8
13500 5.3 41.5 325 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 5.1 41.2 285 9 4 9.0 5.0
13000 6.6 43.9 320 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 6.4 43.5 285 9 5 9.1 5.0
12500 7.9 46.2 315 9 4 8.5 4.7 | 7.8 46.0 285 9 5 9.3 5.1
12000 9.0 48.2 305 9 5 8.4 4.6 | 9.2 48.6 285 9 5 9.4 5.2
11500 10.2 50.4 295 9 5 7.3 4.0 | 10.6 51.1 285 9 5 9.2 5.0
11000 11.3 52.3 285 10 5 8.5 4.6 | 12.0 53.6 285 9 5 10.0 5.5
10500 12.4 54.3 275 10 5 6.8 3.7 | 13.4 56.1 285 9 5 8.9 4.9
10250 12.8 55.0 270 11 5 5.4 3.0 | 14.1 57.4 285 9 5 8.8 4.8
10000 13.2 55.8 270 11 6 6.9 3.8 | 14.8 58.6 285 9 5 10.2 5.6
9750 13.7 56.7 265 11 6 7.2 3.9 | 15.5 59.9 285 9 5 10.0 5.5
9500 14.2 57.6 265 11 6 6.4 3.5 | 16.3 61.3 285 9 5 10.2 5.6
9250 14.6 58.3 265 11 6 5.7 3.1 | 17.0 62.6 285 9 5 10.3 5.6
9000 15.0 59.0 260 11 5 5.6 3.1 | 17.8 64.0 285 9 5 9.9 5.4
8750 15.4 59.7 260 10 5 5.5 3.0 | 18.5 65.3 285 9 5 9.6 5.3
8500 15.8 60.4 260 10 5 4.8 2.7 | 19.2 66.6 285 9 5 9.9 5.4
8250 16.0 60.8 260 9 5 4.2 2.3 | 20.0 68.0 285 9 5 10.0 5.5
8000 16.3 61.3 260 8 4 4.4 2.4 | 20.7 69.3 285 9 5 10.0 5.5
7750 16.7 62.1 255 7 4 5.5 3.0 | 21.4 70.5 285 9 5 10.0 5.5
7500 17.1 62.8 255 6 3 8.3 4.5 | 22.2 72.0 285 9 5 10.1 5.6
7250 17.8 64.0 255 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 23.0 73.4 285 9 5 10.5 5.8
7000 18.5 65.3 255 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 23.7 74.7 285 9 4 9.5 5.2
6750 19.2 66.6 250 5 2 10.9 6.0 | 24.5 76.1 280 9 4 13.7 7.5
6500 20.2 68.4 250 4 2 16.1 8.8 | 25.9 78.6 280 8 4 24.8 13.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/25/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/25/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +256.6 LI... -1.6 | CAPE... +24.3 LI... -0.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +29.4 | CINH... -11.7 K Index... +27.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.8 -82.8 190 25 13 3.2 1.7 | -63.8 -82.8 200 23 12 2.7 1.5
45000 -57.9 -72.2 210 30 15 5.5 3.0 | -58.4 -73.1 205 30 15 5.1 2.8
40000 -49.7 -57.5 220 34 18 4.9 2.7 | -50.6 -59.1 215 29 15 6.2 3.4
38000 -46.8 -52.2 225 32 17 4.9 2.7 | -46.9 -52.4 240 25 13 6.2 3.4
36000 -43.4 -46.1 230 30 15 6.0 3.3 | -43.2 -45.8 265 27 14 6.2 3.4
34000 -39.2 -38.6 235 28 15 7.0 3.8 | -38.6 -37.5 260 25 13 6.9 3.8
32000 -35.1 -31.2 240 27 14 7.2 3.9 | -34.4 -29.9 255 23 12 7.2 3.9
30000 -30.0 -22.0 240 25 13 8.5 4.7 | -29.5 -21.1 245 22 11 8.3 4.6
29000 -27.5 -17.5 245 24 12 8.6 4.7 | -27.0 -16.6 240 22 11 8.4 4.6
28000 -25.0 -13.0 245 23 12 6.8 3.7 | -24.6 -12.3 235 21 11 7.2 3.9
27000 -22.9 -9.2 240 19 10 6.9 3.8 | -22.4 -8.3 235 18 9 7.2 4.0
26000 -20.9 -5.6 235 16 8 6.9 3.8 | -20.3 -4.5 235 16 8 7.2 4.0
25000 -18.8 -1.8 220 12 6 7.1 3.9 | -18.1 -0.6 235 13 7 7.3 4.0
24000 -16.6 2.1 220 13 6 7.6 4.2 | -15.9 3.4 235 13 7 7.4 4.1
23000 -14.3 6.3 215 13 7 7.6 4.2 | -13.6 7.5 235 13 7 7.4 4.1
22000 -12.0 10.4 215 13 7 6.6 3.6 | -11.4 11.5 230 13 7 6.5 3.6
21000 -10.5 13.1 220 12 6 5.4 3.0 | -9.8 14.4 235 12 6 5.5 3.0
20000 -8.9 16.0 230 11 6 5.6 3.1 | -8.2 17.2 240 11 6 5.6 3.0
19500 -8.1 17.4 235 11 6 5.7 3.1 | -7.4 18.7 245 10 5 5.7 3.1
19000 -7.1 19.2 240 9 5 5.0 2.7 | -6.4 20.5 240 8 4 4.9 2.7
18500 -6.5 20.3 245 7 4 4.8 2.6 | -5.8 21.6 235 7 4 4.9 2.7
18000 -5.5 22.1 250 6 3 9.3 5.1 | -4.9 23.2 230 6 3 8.7 4.7
17500 -4.3 24.3 250 6 3 8.9 4.9 | -3.7 25.3 235 6 3 8.5 4.6
17000 -3.0 26.6 255 5 3 9.2 5.0 | -2.5 27.5 235 5 3 9.0 4.9
16500 -1.6 29.1 255 5 3 9.3 5.1 | -1.1 30.0 240 5 3 9.4 5.2
16000 -0.2 31.6 260 5 3 9.4 5.1 | 0.3 32.5 240 6 3 9.4 5.2
15500 1.2 34.2 260 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 1.7 35.1 245 6 3 9.7 5.3
15000 2.6 36.7 260 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 3.1 37.6 245 6 3 9.7 5.3
14500 4.0 39.2 265 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 4.6 40.3 245 6 3 9.6 5.3
14000 5.4 41.7 265 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 6.0 42.8 245 6 3 9.6 5.3
13500 6.8 44.2 265 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 7.4 45.3 245 6 3 9.8 5.4
13000 8.2 46.8 265 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 8.9 48.0 250 7 3 9.9 5.4
12500 9.7 49.5 265 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 10.4 50.7 250 7 4 9.8 5.4
12000 11.0 51.8 265 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 11.8 53.2 250 7 4 9.7 5.3
11500 12.4 54.3 270 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 13.3 55.9 250 7 4 9.5 5.2
11000 13.9 57.0 270 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 14.7 58.5 250 8 4 9.7 5.3
10500 15.4 59.7 270 7 4 9.0 4.9 | 16.2 61.2 250 8 4 8.9 4.9
10250 16.0 60.8 270 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 16.8 62.2 250 8 4 9.1 5.0
10000 16.8 62.2 270 8 4 10.4 5.7 | 17.6 63.7 250 8 4 10.4 5.7
9750 17.5 63.5 270 8 4 10.1 5.5 | 18.3 64.9 250 9 4 10.0 5.5
9500 18.3 64.9 270 9 4 10.3 5.7 | 19.1 66.4 250 9 4 10.4 5.7
9250 19.1 66.4 270 9 5 10.5 5.8 | 19.9 67.8 255 9 5 10.6 5.8
9000 19.8 67.6 270 9 5 9.9 5.4 | 20.7 69.3 255 9 5 9.8 5.4
8750 20.5 68.9 270 9 5 9.4 5.1 | 21.4 70.5 255 9 5 9.3 5.1
8500 21.2 70.2 270 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 22.1 71.8 255 9 5 9.4 5.2
8250 22.0 71.6 270 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 22.8 73.0 255 10 5 9.3 5.1
8000 22.7 72.9 270 10 5 9.9 5.4 | 23.5 74.3 255 10 5 9.6 5.2
7750 23.5 74.3 270 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 24.2 75.6 255 10 5 10.0 5.5
7500 24.2 75.6 270 11 5 10.1 5.5 | 24.9 76.8 255 10 5 10.1 5.5
7250 25.0 77.0 270 11 5 10.7 5.9 | 25.7 78.3 255 10 5 10.1 5.6
7000 25.7 78.3 270 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 26.5 79.7 255 10 5 10.0 5.5
6750 26.5 79.7 270 11 6 12.7 6.9 | 27.2 81.0 255 10 5 10.6 5.8
6500 27.8 82.0 270 11 5 23.3 12.8 | 28.1 82.6 255 10 5 13.9 7.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Friday July 25 2025
This forecast is for Friday, July 25, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 78.1 F/25.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1368 ft/min (6.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18719 ft MSL (13036 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15384 ft MSL (9701 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 07/26..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:11:11 / 20:14:55 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 3 min 44 sec (843 min 44 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:13:03 MDT... 74.16 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/25/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15588 ft MSL (9905 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14058 ft MSL (8375 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15821 ft MSL (10138 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.1
K index......................... +27.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 220 10 5 2.6 1.4 83.9 183.0 30.2 M M
45000 -57.6 -71.7 210 19 10 4.9 2.7 69.2 156.6 23.0 M M
40000 -50.2 -58.4 200 38 19 5.2 2.9 58.8 137.8 17.5 M M
38000 -47.0 -52.6 200 34 18 5.2 2.9 54.5 130.1 15.0 M M
36000 -43.5 -46.3 200 30 16 5.9 3.2 50.5 123.0 12.6 M M
34000 -39.2 -38.6 215 25 13 7.3 4.0 48.2 118.7 11.2 M M
32000 -34.8 -30.6 235 22 11 7.3 4.0 46.4 115.5 10.2 M M
30000 -30.6 -23.1 240 20 10 7.1 3.9 44.2 111.5 8.7 M M
29000 -28.4 -19.1 240 19 10 7.1 3.9 43.2 109.8 8.1 M M
28000 -26.3 -15.3 240 18 9 7.7 4.2 42.4 108.3 7.5 M M
27000 -23.9 -11.0 245 17 9 7.9 4.3 41.5 106.8 6.9 M M
26000 -21.6 -6.9 250 16 8 7.9 4.3 40.8 105.5 6.4 M M
25000 -19.2 -2.6 255 15 8 7.8 4.3 40.2 104.4 6.0 M M
24000 -17.1 1.2 255 13 7 7.1 3.9 39.2 102.6 5.2 M M
23000 -14.4 6.1 255 11 6 7.1 3.9 38.0 100.4 4.3 M M
22000 -12.4 9.7 255 9 5 6.3 3.5 37.1 98.8 3.6 M M
21000 -10.6 12.9 255 9 5 6.2 3.4 35.7 96.3 2.4 M M
20000 -8.8 16.2 250 9 5 6.4 3.5 34.6 94.2 1.3 M M
19500 -7.9 17.8 245 9 5 6.5 3.6 34.0 93.2 0.8 M M
19000 -7.0 19.4 245 8 4 6.9 3.8 33.5 92.3 0.3 M M
18500 -6.0 21.2 245 6 3 7.0 3.8 33.0 91.4 -0.3 1146 5.8
18000 -5.1 22.8 245 4 2 7.1 3.9 32.5 90.6 -0.8 1102 5.6
17500 -4.0 24.8 250 3 2 7.1 3.9 32.1 89.8 -1.2 1056 5.4
17000 -3.0 26.6 265 2 1 7.2 3.9 31.7 89.0 -1.6 1010 5.1
16500 -1.9 28.6 290 2 1 7.3 4.0 31.2 88.2 -2.1 964 4.9
16000 -0.9 30.4 310 3 1 7.3 4.0 30.8 87.5 -2.5 918 4.7
15500 0.2 32.4 315 3 2 7.3 4.0 30.4 86.7 -2.9 871 4.4
15000 1.2 34.2 315 4 2 7.3 4.0 30.0 86.0 -3.3 825 4.2
14500 2.3 36.1 315 5 3 8.2 4.5 29.6 85.4 -3.7 778 4.0
14000 3.6 38.5 310 6 3 8.5 4.7 29.4 85.0 -3.9 725 3.7
13500 4.8 40.6 305 6 3 8.7 4.8 29.2 84.6 -4.1 673 3.4
13000 6.1 43.0 295 6 3 8.9 4.9 29.1 84.4 -4.3 619 3.1
12500 7.4 45.3 285 6 3 8.8 4.8 29.0 84.1 -4.5 566 2.9
12000 8.6 47.5 270 7 4 8.4 4.6 28.8 83.8 -4.8 515 2.6
11500 9.8 49.6 255 8 4 8.3 4.5 28.6 83.4 -5.1 464 2.4
11000 10.9 51.6 250 9 5 7.2 4.0 28.2 82.8 -5.4 417 2.1
10500 12.0 53.6 245 10 5 7.3 4.0 27.9 82.1 -5.9 370 1.9
10250 12.5 54.5 240 10 5 6.8 3.7 27.6 81.8 -6.1 348 1.8
10000 12.9 55.2 235 10 5 6.4 3.5 27.4 81.3 -6.4 327 1.7
9750 13.4 56.1 235 10 5 7.0 3.8 27.1 80.8 -6.7 306 1.6
9500 13.8 56.8 230 10 5 5.1 2.8 26.9 80.4 -7.0 285 1.4
9250 14.1 57.4 225 10 5 5.0 2.8 26.5 79.6 -7.5 269 1.4
9000 15.0 59.0 215 9 5 6.6 3.6 25.9 78.7 -8.1 228 1.2
8750 15.4 59.7 210 9 5 5.6 3.1 25.7 78.2 -8.4 207 1.1
8500 15.8 60.4 205 9 5 6.0 3.3 25.3 77.6 -8.7 189 1.0
8250 16.3 61.3 200 9 4 7.9 4.3 25.2 77.3 -9.0 165 0.8
8000 16.9 62.4 195 8 4 7.9 4.3 25.0 77.0 -9.1 141 0.7
7750 17.5 63.5 195 7 4 7.6 4.2 24.9 76.8 -9.3 116 0.6
7500 18.0 64.4 190 6 3 6.9 3.8 24.7 76.4 -9.5 92 0.5
7250 18.5 65.3 185 5 2 5.9 3.3 24.4 76.0 -9.8 70 0.4
7000 18.9 66.0 170 4 2 5.3 2.9 24.1 75.4 -10.1 51 0.3
6750 19.3 66.7 155 3 2 4.6 2.5 23.8 74.8 -10.5 33 0.2
6500 19.6 67.3 135 3 1 3.8 2.1 23.3 74.0 -11.0 16 0.1
6250 19.8 67.6 115 3 1 4.2 2.3 22.9 73.2 -11.4 1 0.0
6000 20.0 68.0 105 3 2 -0.6 -0.3 22.4 72.3 -12.0 M M
5750 19.1 66.4 100 3 1 -27.6 -15.2 20.8 69.5 -13.6 7 0.0
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/25/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/25/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +356.3 LI... -2.3 | CAPE... +379.2 LI... -1.7
CINH... -94.9 K Index... +25.7 | CINH... -16.2 K Index... +26.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 175 12 6 2.8 1.5 | -63.1 -81.6 175 20 10 2.8 1.5
45000 -57.0 -70.6 200 18 9 5.7 3.1 | -57.8 -72.0 200 25 13 5.0 2.8
40000 -48.8 -55.8 210 32 16 4.2 2.3 | -50.2 -58.4 220 39 20 5.1 2.8
38000 -46.0 -50.8 205 32 17 4.2 2.3 | -46.7 -52.1 220 34 18 5.1 2.8
36000 -43.4 -46.1 205 33 17 5.1 2.8 | -43.7 -46.7 220 30 16 5.9 3.2
34000 -39.5 -39.1 215 29 15 6.8 3.7 | -39.5 -39.1 220 30 15 7.0 3.8
32000 -35.4 -31.7 230 27 14 6.7 3.7 | -35.4 -31.7 225 29 15 7.0 3.9
30000 -30.6 -23.1 235 24 12 8.2 4.5 | -30.3 -22.5 230 27 14 8.5 4.7
29000 -28.1 -18.6 240 22 11 8.2 4.5 | -27.8 -18.0 230 26 13 8.5 4.7
28000 -25.7 -14.3 245 20 11 7.3 4.0 | -25.3 -13.5 230 24 12 7.3 4.0
27000 -23.6 -10.5 245 17 9 7.0 3.9 | -23.2 -9.8 230 20 10 7.2 3.9
26000 -21.5 -6.7 250 14 7 7.0 3.9 | -21.0 -5.8 225 16 8 7.2 3.9
25000 -19.4 -2.9 255 11 6 7.1 3.9 | -18.9 -2.0 220 13 6 7.2 4.0
24000 -17.2 1.0 255 9 5 7.5 4.1 | -16.7 1.9 215 11 5 7.4 4.1
23000 -14.4 6.1 250 8 4 7.5 4.1 | -13.9 7.0 205 9 4 7.4 4.1
22000 -12.3 9.9 245 7 4 5.8 3.2 | -11.7 10.9 200 7 4 5.9 3.2
21000 -10.6 12.9 245 7 3 5.5 3.0 | -10.0 14.0 210 8 4 5.8 3.2
20000 -9.0 15.8 240 6 3 5.6 3.1 | -8.3 17.1 215 8 4 5.9 3.2
19500 -8.2 17.2 235 6 3 6.0 3.3 | -7.5 18.5 215 8 4 5.9 3.2
19000 -7.3 18.9 235 6 3 6.8 3.7 | -6.6 20.1 220 8 4 5.9 3.3
18500 -6.4 20.5 235 6 3 7.0 3.8 | -5.8 21.6 225 7 4 5.9 3.2
18000 -5.4 22.3 235 6 3 7.3 4.0 | -4.9 23.2 235 7 4 6.9 3.8
17500 -4.4 24.1 230 6 3 7.4 4.1 | -3.9 25.0 235 7 4 7.1 3.9
17000 -3.4 25.9 230 6 3 7.6 4.1 | -2.9 26.8 240 8 4 7.3 4.0
16500 -2.3 27.9 235 5 3 7.7 4.2 | -1.9 28.6 240 8 4 7.4 4.1
16000 -1.2 29.8 245 5 3 7.7 4.2 | -0.9 30.4 240 9 4 7.5 4.1
15500 -0.0 32.0 250 6 3 8.0 4.4 | 0.2 32.4 245 9 5 8.3 4.5
15000 1.2 34.2 260 6 3 7.9 4.3 | 1.4 34.5 245 9 5 8.2 4.5
14500 2.3 36.1 265 6 3 8.4 4.6 | 2.6 36.7 250 10 5 8.7 4.8
14000 3.6 38.5 270 7 3 8.5 4.7 | 3.9 39.0 255 10 5 8.8 4.8
13500 4.9 40.8 270 7 4 8.8 4.8 | 5.2 41.4 260 10 5 9.0 4.9
13000 6.2 43.2 270 8 4 9.0 5.0 | 6.6 43.9 265 10 5 9.2 5.0
12500 7.5 45.5 270 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 8.0 46.4 270 10 5 9.1 5.0
12000 8.9 48.0 270 9 4 9.1 5.0 | 9.3 48.7 270 9 5 8.9 4.9
11500 10.2 50.4 270 9 5 8.8 4.8 | 10.7 51.3 275 9 4 8.5 4.6
11000 11.5 52.7 270 9 4 7.9 4.3 | 11.7 53.1 275 8 4 6.9 3.8
10500 12.7 54.9 270 8 4 8.2 4.5 | 12.7 54.9 270 6 3 7.0 3.9
10250 13.2 55.8 265 8 4 6.3 3.4 | 13.1 55.6 270 6 3 7.3 4.0
10000 13.6 56.5 265 7 4 4.9 2.7 | 13.6 56.5 265 6 3 7.4 4.1
9750 13.9 57.0 260 7 4 5.9 3.2 | 14.1 57.4 265 5 3 7.3 4.0
9500 14.3 57.7 255 6 3 3.4 1.8 | 14.6 58.3 260 5 3 7.9 4.3
9250 14.3 57.7 245 6 3 2.9 1.6 | 15.3 59.5 260 5 3 9.1 5.0
9000 14.6 58.3 240 6 3 5.0 2.8 | 15.9 60.6 255 5 3 9.4 5.1
8750 15.1 59.2 225 6 3 4.6 2.5 | 16.6 61.9 255 5 2 9.6 5.3
8500 15.4 59.7 220 6 3 5.9 3.2 | 17.9 64.2 250 5 2 9.0 4.9
8250 15.9 60.6 215 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 18.6 65.5 250 5 2 10.5 5.8
8000 16.4 61.5 215 5 3 7.2 3.9 | 19.4 66.9 250 5 2 10.4 5.7
7750 16.9 62.4 215 5 3 7.3 4.0 | 20.2 68.4 250 5 2 9.5 5.2
7500 17.5 63.5 220 5 2 7.8 4.3 | 20.8 69.4 250 5 2 9.2 5.0
7250 18.1 64.6 220 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 21.6 70.9 250 4 2 10.9 6.0
7000 18.8 65.8 225 4 2 10.0 5.5 | 22.4 72.3 250 4 2 11.2 6.2
6750 19.5 67.1 225 3 2 9.7 5.3 | 23.2 73.8 250 4 2 10.1 5.5
6500 20.3 68.5 230 3 2 9.9 5.4 | 23.9 75.0 245 4 2 9.8 5.4
6250 21.0 69.8 230 3 2 9.0 4.9 | 24.7 76.5 245 4 2 9.7 5.3
6000 21.7 71.1 235 3 1 10.7 5.9 | 25.5 77.9 245 4 2 14.5 8.0
5750 23.1 73.6 240 3 1 33.0 18.1 | 27.5 81.5 245 4 2 48.5 26.6
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/25/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/25/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +143.0 LI... -0.5 | CAPE... +0.6 LI... +0.7
CINH... -6.7 K Index... +27.3 | CINH... -0.5 K Index... +20.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.3 -81.9 190 24 12 2.8 1.5 | -63.4 -82.1 200 23 12 2.5 1.4
45000 -58.0 -72.4 210 32 16 5.0 2.7 | -58.5 -73.3 210 31 16 4.8 2.6
40000 -50.5 -58.9 220 41 21 5.2 2.9 | -51.1 -60.0 225 35 18 6.2 3.4
38000 -47.4 -53.3 230 37 19 5.2 2.9 | -47.4 -53.3 240 32 16 6.2 3.4
36000 -43.9 -47.0 240 34 18 6.0 3.3 | -43.2 -45.8 260 33 17 6.7 3.7
34000 -39.7 -39.5 240 31 16 6.9 3.8 | -38.9 -38.0 255 29 15 7.2 3.9
32000 -35.6 -32.1 240 28 14 7.0 3.8 | -34.6 -30.3 250 24 12 7.3 4.0
30000 -30.4 -22.7 240 25 13 8.8 4.8 | -29.8 -21.6 240 23 12 8.2 4.5
29000 -27.8 -18.0 235 24 13 8.9 4.9 | -27.3 -17.1 230 22 11 8.2 4.5
28000 -25.2 -13.4 235 23 12 7.1 3.9 | -25.0 -13.0 225 22 11 7.2 4.0
27000 -23.1 -9.6 230 20 10 6.9 3.8 | -22.8 -9.0 225 19 10 7.2 3.9
26000 -21.1 -6.0 225 17 9 6.9 3.8 | -20.7 -5.3 230 16 8 7.2 3.9
25000 -19.0 -2.2 215 15 8 7.1 3.9 | -18.6 -1.5 230 14 7 7.2 4.0
24000 -16.8 1.8 215 14 7 7.5 4.1 | -16.4 2.5 230 13 7 7.3 4.0
23000 -14.5 5.9 210 13 7 7.5 4.1 | -14.1 6.6 225 13 6 7.4 4.0
22000 -11.7 10.9 210 13 6 6.1 3.4 | -11.5 11.3 225 12 6 5.3 2.9
21000 -10.0 14.0 215 13 7 6.1 3.3 | -10.0 14.0 240 11 6 5.2 2.8
20000 -8.2 17.2 220 13 7 6.2 3.4 | -8.5 16.7 255 11 6 5.4 3.0
19500 -7.3 18.9 225 14 7 6.0 3.3 | -7.8 18.0 260 11 6 5.6 3.1
19000 -6.5 20.3 225 13 7 5.8 3.2 | -7.0 19.4 265 11 6 5.9 3.2
18500 -5.7 21.7 230 13 6 5.8 3.2 | -6.2 20.8 265 11 5 5.8 3.2
18000 -4.8 23.4 235 12 6 6.9 3.8 | -5.2 22.6 270 10 5 8.8 4.8
17500 -3.9 25.0 235 11 6 7.1 3.9 | -3.9 25.0 270 10 5 9.0 4.9
17000 -2.9 26.8 240 10 5 7.5 4.1 | -2.6 27.3 265 10 5 9.2 5.1
16500 -1.8 28.8 240 10 5 8.1 4.4 | -1.2 29.8 265 10 5 9.6 5.3
16000 -0.6 30.9 245 9 5 8.1 4.4 | 0.3 32.5 265 9 5 9.6 5.3
15500 0.6 33.1 245 9 4 8.8 4.8 | 1.7 35.1 265 9 5 9.7 5.3
15000 1.8 35.2 245 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 3.1 37.6 265 9 5 9.7 5.3
14500 3.1 37.6 245 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 4.6 40.3 260 9 5 9.8 5.4
14000 4.6 40.3 245 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 6.0 42.8 260 9 4 9.8 5.4
13500 6.0 42.8 245 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 7.5 45.5 260 8 4 9.7 5.3
13000 7.4 45.3 245 7 3 9.6 5.3 | 8.9 48.0 260 8 4 9.6 5.3
12500 8.8 47.8 245 7 3 9.7 5.3 | 10.4 50.7 255 8 4 9.6 5.3
12000 10.3 50.5 245 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 11.8 53.2 255 8 4 9.6 5.3
11500 11.7 53.1 250 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 13.3 55.9 255 7 4 9.6 5.3
11000 13.1 55.6 250 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 14.7 58.5 250 7 4 9.4 5.2
10500 14.5 58.1 250 6 3 10.6 5.8 | 16.2 61.2 250 7 4 10.7 5.9
10250 15.3 59.5 250 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 17.0 62.6 250 7 3 9.8 5.4
10000 16.0 60.8 250 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 17.7 63.9 250 7 3 9.3 5.1
9750 16.7 62.1 250 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 18.4 65.1 245 6 3 9.3 5.1
9500 17.4 63.3 250 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 19.1 66.4 245 6 3 9.6 5.3
9250 18.2 64.8 250 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 19.8 67.6 245 6 3 10.0 5.5
9000 18.9 66.0 245 5 2 9.4 5.2 | 20.5 68.9 240 6 3 9.8 5.4
8750 19.6 67.3 245 5 2 9.9 5.4 | 21.3 70.3 240 6 3 10.3 5.6
8500 20.4 68.7 245 4 2 8.7 4.8 | 22.0 71.6 240 6 3 8.7 4.7
8250 21.0 69.8 245 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 22.6 72.7 235 6 3 9.1 5.0
8000 22.6 72.7 245 4 2 10.9 6.0 | 24.2 75.6 230 5 3 10.7 5.9
7750 23.4 74.1 245 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 25.0 77.0 230 5 3 9.5 5.2
7500 24.0 75.2 245 3 2 8.8 4.8 | 25.6 78.1 230 5 3 8.6 4.7
7250 24.7 76.5 245 3 2 10.8 5.9 | 26.3 79.3 225 5 3 10.2 5.6
7000 25.6 78.1 245 3 2 11.4 6.2 | 27.1 80.8 225 5 2 11.0 6.0
6750 26.4 79.5 240 3 2 10.4 5.7 | 27.9 82.2 220 5 2 10.1 5.6
6500 27.1 80.8 240 3 1 10.0 5.5 | 28.6 83.5 220 5 2 9.6 5.3
6250 27.9 82.2 240 3 1 9.5 5.2 | 29.4 84.9 215 4 2 9.2 5.1
6000 28.7 83.7 240 3 1 14.1 7.7 | 30.1 86.2 215 4 2 11.7 6.4
5750 30.8 87.4 240 2 1 53.4 29.3 | 31.6 88.9 205 4 2 33.7 18.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0725 MDT Friday July 25 2025
This forecast is for Friday, July 25, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 74.8 F/23.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1184 ft/min (6.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19588 ft MSL (13130 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16699 ft MSL (10242 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 07/26..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:07:47 / 20:14:07 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 6 min 20 sec (846 min 20 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:57 MDT... 73.68 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/25/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15521 ft MSL (9063 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14938 ft MSL (8480 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16940 ft MSL (10482 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.6
K index......................... +24.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.5 -80.5 235 11 6 2.6 1.4 81.5 178.8 29.6 M M
45000 -57.6 -71.7 220 21 11 4.5 2.5 66.6 151.9 22.2 M M
40000 -50.6 -59.1 195 41 21 5.7 3.1 55.6 132.1 16.2 M M
38000 -46.7 -52.1 195 41 21 5.8 3.2 51.4 124.5 13.8 M M
36000 -43.3 -45.9 195 41 21 6.2 3.4 48.4 119.2 12.0 M M
34000 -39.0 -38.2 205 31 16 7.3 4.0 46.1 115.0 10.6 M M
32000 -34.6 -30.3 230 24 12 7.5 4.1 44.3 111.8 9.5 M M
30000 -31.0 -23.8 235 20 10 5.9 3.3 41.3 106.4 7.4 M M
29000 -29.2 -20.6 240 19 10 5.9 3.3 39.9 103.9 6.4 M M
28000 -27.4 -17.3 245 17 9 8.0 4.4 38.7 101.7 5.5 M M
27000 -24.7 -12.5 250 16 8 8.9 4.9 38.3 100.9 5.2 M M
26000 -22.0 -7.6 255 15 8 8.9 4.9 38.0 100.3 5.0 M M
25000 -19.4 -2.9 260 15 8 8.9 4.9 37.8 100.0 4.9 M M
24000 -16.6 2.1 255 13 7 7.2 3.9 36.6 97.9 4.0 M M
23000 -14.5 5.9 245 12 6 7.2 3.9 35.7 96.3 3.3 M M
22000 -12.4 9.7 235 10 5 6.5 3.6 34.8 94.7 2.6 M M
21000 -10.5 13.1 240 9 4 6.4 3.5 33.6 92.4 1.4 M M
20000 -8.7 16.3 250 7 4 6.5 3.6 32.4 90.4 0.4 M M
19500 -7.8 18.0 255 6 3 6.6 3.6 31.9 89.5 -0.1 1174 6.0
19000 -6.8 19.8 265 6 3 6.9 3.8 31.4 88.5 -0.6 1130 5.7
18500 -5.9 21.4 275 6 3 6.9 3.8 30.9 87.6 -1.1 1086 5.5
18000 -4.9 23.2 290 6 3 6.7 3.7 30.4 86.8 -1.6 1042 5.3
17500 -4.0 24.8 305 7 4 6.6 3.6 29.9 85.8 -2.1 999 5.1
17000 -3.0 26.6 315 8 4 6.6 3.6 29.4 84.9 -2.7 956 4.9
16500 -2.1 28.2 320 9 5 6.6 3.6 28.8 83.9 -3.2 913 4.6
16000 -1.1 30.0 325 10 5 6.5 3.6 28.3 83.0 -3.7 870 4.4
15500 -0.1 31.8 325 11 6 8.2 4.5 27.9 82.3 -4.1 823 4.2
15000 1.2 34.2 325 12 6 8.2 4.5 27.7 81.8 -4.4 771 3.9
14500 2.4 36.3 320 13 6 8.3 4.6 27.4 81.4 -4.6 719 3.7
14000 3.7 38.7 315 13 7 8.3 4.6 27.2 81.0 -4.8 667 3.4
13500 4.9 40.8 310 14 7 8.4 4.6 27.0 80.6 -5.0 614 3.1
13000 6.2 43.2 305 14 7 8.5 4.7 26.8 80.2 -5.3 562 2.9
12500 7.5 45.5 300 14 7 8.4 4.6 26.6 79.9 -5.5 509 2.6
12000 8.6 47.5 295 14 7 7.8 4.3 26.3 79.3 -5.9 461 2.3
11500 9.6 49.3 285 13 6 8.3 4.6 26.0 78.8 -6.3 415 2.1
11000 11.1 52.0 275 11 6 6.9 3.8 25.4 77.7 -7.1 348 1.8
10500 12.0 53.6 270 10 5 6.1 3.3 24.9 76.9 -7.7 308 1.6
10250 12.4 54.3 270 9 5 6.1 3.4 24.6 76.3 -8.0 288 1.5
10000 12.8 55.0 265 8 4 6.4 3.5 24.4 75.8 -8.3 267 1.4
9750 13.3 55.9 265 7 4 6.3 3.5 24.1 75.4 -8.6 247 1.3
9500 13.7 56.7 260 6 3 6.4 3.5 23.8 74.9 -8.9 226 1.1
9250 14.2 57.6 260 5 3 5.7 3.1 23.6 74.4 -9.2 204 1.0
9000 14.6 58.3 255 4 2 5.2 2.8 23.2 73.8 -9.6 185 0.9
8750 15.0 59.0 255 3 2 5.3 2.9 22.9 73.2 -9.9 166 0.8
8500 15.4 59.7 250 3 1 5.4 2.9 22.6 72.6 -10.3 147 0.7
8250 15.7 60.3 245 2 1 5.2 2.9 22.2 72.0 -10.6 128 0.7
8000 16.1 61.0 230 1 1 4.8 2.6 21.9 71.3 -11.0 110 0.6
7750 16.4 61.5 210 1 0 4.5 2.5 21.5 70.6 -11.5 93 0.5
7500 16.7 62.1 185 1 0 4.4 2.4 21.1 69.9 -11.9 76 0.4
7250 17.0 62.6 150 1 0 4.4 2.4 20.7 69.2 -12.4 60 0.3
7000 17.4 63.3 125 1 0 4.5 2.5 20.3 68.5 -12.8 43 0.2
6750 17.5 63.5 110 1 1 -2.6 -1.4 19.7 67.5 -13.4 32 0.2
6500 16.2 61.2 105 1 1 -38.5 -21.1 17.7 63.9 -15.5 64 0.3
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/25/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/25/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +88.9 LI... -1.9 | CAPE... +403.1 LI... -1.8
CINH... -122.6 K Index... +24.0 | CINH... -13.0 K Index... +24.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.8 -81.0 185 10 5 2.9 1.6 | -63.1 -81.6 180 19 10 2.5 1.4
45000 -57.0 -70.6 200 15 8 5.8 3.2 | -57.7 -71.9 200 23 12 5.6 3.1
40000 -48.5 -55.3 205 34 17 4.2 2.3 | -49.5 -57.1 220 36 18 4.5 2.4
38000 -45.7 -50.3 200 36 19 4.2 2.3 | -46.5 -51.7 215 33 17 4.4 2.4
36000 -43.2 -45.8 200 39 20 5.0 2.7 | -43.8 -46.8 215 31 16 5.4 2.9
34000 -39.2 -38.6 210 32 16 6.8 3.7 | -39.6 -39.3 220 30 15 7.1 3.9
32000 -35.2 -31.4 230 26 14 6.7 3.7 | -35.4 -31.7 230 29 15 7.0 3.9
30000 -30.7 -23.3 240 23 12 7.7 4.2 | -30.5 -22.9 230 27 14 8.3 4.6
29000 -28.4 -19.1 245 21 11 7.7 4.2 | -28.0 -18.4 230 25 13 8.4 4.6
28000 -26.1 -15.0 250 20 10 7.4 4.1 | -25.5 -13.9 230 23 12 7.2 4.0
27000 -23.9 -11.0 250 16 8 7.4 4.0 | -23.5 -10.3 230 18 9 6.9 3.8
26000 -21.7 -7.1 255 13 6 7.4 4.0 | -21.4 -6.5 225 14 7 6.9 3.8
25000 -18.9 -2.0 260 9 4 7.7 4.2 | -18.8 -1.8 210 8 4 7.6 4.2
24000 -16.6 2.1 255 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -16.5 2.3 210 8 4 7.8 4.3
23000 -14.2 6.4 250 7 3 7.9 4.3 | -14.1 6.6 205 8 4 7.8 4.3
22000 -12.0 10.4 245 6 3 5.8 3.2 | -11.8 10.8 205 7 4 6.1 3.3
21000 -10.5 13.1 250 7 4 5.2 2.9 | -10.2 13.6 220 7 4 5.7 3.1
20000 -9.0 15.8 250 8 4 5.4 3.0 | -8.5 16.7 235 7 4 5.8 3.2
19500 -8.2 17.2 250 9 4 6.0 3.3 | -7.7 18.1 240 7 4 5.8 3.2
19000 -7.2 19.0 255 9 5 7.7 4.2 | -6.8 19.8 250 8 4 6.0 3.3
18500 -6.1 21.0 255 10 5 7.7 4.2 | -6.0 21.2 255 8 4 6.0 3.3
18000 -5.0 23.0 260 10 5 7.5 4.1 | -5.1 22.8 260 9 5 7.1 3.9
17500 -4.0 24.8 265 9 5 7.5 4.1 | -4.1 24.6 265 10 5 7.3 4.0
17000 -2.9 26.8 270 9 5 7.4 4.1 | -3.1 26.4 270 11 6 7.6 4.2
16500 -1.9 28.6 275 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -2.0 28.4 275 11 6 8.0 4.4
16000 -0.8 30.6 285 7 4 7.1 3.9 | -0.9 30.4 280 12 6 8.0 4.4
15500 0.2 32.4 300 7 4 7.8 4.3 | 0.3 32.5 280 12 6 8.5 4.7
15000 1.4 34.5 305 7 4 7.8 4.3 | 1.6 34.9 285 12 6 8.4 4.6
14500 2.5 36.5 315 7 4 8.2 4.5 | 2.8 37.0 290 11 6 8.6 4.7
14000 3.8 38.8 310 8 4 8.3 4.6 | 4.1 39.4 290 11 6 8.6 4.7
13500 5.0 41.0 310 9 4 8.3 4.6 | 5.4 41.7 290 11 6 8.8 4.8
13000 6.3 43.3 305 9 5 8.3 4.5 | 6.7 44.1 295 11 6 8.9 4.9
12500 7.5 45.5 295 10 5 8.2 4.5 | 8.0 46.4 295 11 5 8.7 4.8
12000 8.6 47.5 290 11 6 8.0 4.4 | 9.2 48.6 290 10 5 8.2 4.5
11500 9.7 49.5 280 11 6 8.1 4.4 | 10.4 50.7 290 10 5 9.3 5.1
11000 10.7 51.3 275 12 6 6.9 3.8 | 12.1 53.8 285 9 5 7.6 4.2
10500 12.1 53.8 265 12 6 5.5 3.0 | 13.1 55.6 285 8 4 8.2 4.5
10250 12.4 54.3 265 11 6 5.6 3.1 | 13.8 56.8 285 8 4 8.8 4.8
10000 12.8 55.0 265 11 5 5.9 3.2 | 14.4 57.9 285 8 4 8.6 4.7
9750 13.2 55.8 260 10 5 5.9 3.2 | 15.0 59.0 280 7 4 8.9 4.9
9500 13.6 56.5 260 9 5 6.0 3.3 | 15.7 60.3 280 7 4 9.6 5.3
9250 14.0 57.2 265 8 4 5.9 3.2 | 16.4 61.5 280 7 4 9.6 5.3
9000 14.5 58.1 265 7 4 5.8 3.2 | 17.1 62.8 280 7 4 9.3 5.1
8750 14.9 58.8 265 6 3 5.7 3.1 | 17.8 64.0 275 7 3 9.6 5.2
8500 15.3 59.5 270 5 2 5.2 2.8 | 18.5 65.3 275 7 3 9.9 5.5
8250 15.7 60.3 280 3 2 5.8 3.2 | 19.2 66.6 275 6 3 10.1 5.5
8000 16.2 61.2 295 3 1 7.2 4.0 | 20.0 68.0 275 6 3 10.0 5.5
7750 16.8 62.2 305 2 1 8.3 4.6 | 20.7 69.3 275 6 3 10.2 5.6
7500 17.4 63.3 310 2 1 9.1 5.0 | 21.5 70.7 270 6 3 10.5 5.7
7250 18.1 64.6 325 2 1 8.9 4.9 | 22.3 72.1 270 6 3 10.5 5.7
7000 18.7 65.7 335 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 23.0 73.4 270 6 3 10.4 5.7
6750 19.6 67.3 335 2 1 13.6 7.4 | 23.9 75.0 270 6 3 16.8 9.2
6500 20.8 69.4 335 2 1 21.3 11.7 | 26.1 79.0 270 6 3 49.9 27.4
07/25/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/25/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +184.8 LI... -1.0 | CAPE... +3.9 LI... 0.0
CINH... -3.9 K Index... +23.9 | CINH... -5.0 K Index... +20.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.0 -81.4 190 25 13 2.8 1.5 | -63.4 -82.1 205 22 11 2.4 1.3
45000 -57.5 -71.5 205 30 16 5.4 3.0 | -58.3 -72.9 210 30 16 5.2 2.9
40000 -49.6 -57.3 225 39 20 4.6 2.5 | -50.4 -58.7 220 35 18 5.8 3.2
38000 -46.5 -51.7 225 36 18 4.6 2.5 | -46.5 -51.7 245 31 16 5.8 3.2
36000 -43.7 -46.7 230 33 17 5.4 2.9 | -43.1 -45.6 265 32 17 6.3 3.4
34000 -39.7 -39.5 235 31 16 6.8 3.7 | -38.9 -38.0 260 29 15 7.0 3.8
32000 -35.6 -32.1 235 28 14 6.7 3.7 | -34.8 -30.6 255 26 13 6.9 3.8
30000 -30.6 -23.1 240 27 14 8.6 4.7 | -30.1 -22.2 245 25 13 8.0 4.4
29000 -28.1 -18.6 240 26 14 8.6 4.7 | -27.7 -17.9 245 24 12 8.0 4.4
28000 -25.6 -14.1 245 26 13 7.2 4.0 | -25.3 -13.5 240 23 12 7.4 4.1
27000 -23.5 -10.3 235 22 11 6.9 3.8 | -23.2 -9.8 240 21 11 7.3 4.0
26000 -21.5 -6.7 230 19 10 6.9 3.8 | -21.0 -5.8 235 18 9 7.3 4.0
25000 -19.4 -2.9 215 17 9 6.9 3.8 | -18.8 -1.8 230 16 8 7.3 4.0
24000 -16.7 1.9 215 15 8 7.3 4.0 | -16.1 3.0 225 15 8 7.2 4.0
23000 -14.5 5.9 215 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -13.9 7.0 225 14 7 7.3 4.0
22000 -12.4 9.7 215 13 6 6.4 3.5 | -11.8 10.8 220 13 7 5.8 3.2
21000 -10.6 12.9 225 10 5 6.3 3.5 | -10.2 13.6 230 9 5 5.6 3.1
20000 -8.7 16.3 240 8 4 6.5 3.5 | -8.6 16.5 250 6 3 5.8 3.2
19500 -7.8 18.0 250 8 4 6.8 3.7 | -7.8 18.0 270 5 2 6.5 3.6
19000 -6.8 19.8 260 7 4 7.5 4.1 | -6.6 20.1 290 5 2 8.1 4.4
18500 -5.7 21.7 270 7 4 7.5 4.1 | -5.5 22.1 305 5 3 8.1 4.4
18000 -4.6 23.7 280 7 3 8.0 4.4 | -4.3 24.3 310 6 3 8.5 4.7
17500 -3.4 25.9 285 7 4 8.2 4.5 | -3.0 26.6 305 7 4 8.6 4.7
17000 -2.3 27.9 290 7 4 8.2 4.5 | -1.8 28.8 305 8 4 8.6 4.7
16500 -1.1 30.0 290 7 4 8.2 4.5 | -0.6 30.9 290 8 4 8.4 4.6
16000 0.1 32.2 290 7 4 8.2 4.5 | 0.6 33.1 280 8 4 8.3 4.6
15500 1.3 34.3 290 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 1.9 35.4 275 9 4 9.8 5.4
15000 2.6 36.7 285 8 4 9.0 4.9 | 3.3 37.9 270 9 5 9.7 5.3
14500 3.9 39.0 280 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 4.8 40.6 265 9 5 9.6 5.3
14000 5.3 41.5 280 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 6.2 43.2 260 9 5 9.6 5.2
13500 6.7 44.1 275 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 7.6 45.7 260 10 5 9.6 5.3
13000 8.1 46.6 275 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 9.1 48.4 255 10 5 9.8 5.4
12500 9.6 49.3 270 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 10.5 50.9 255 10 5 9.7 5.3
12000 11.0 51.8 270 9 4 9.5 5.2 | 12.0 53.6 250 11 5 9.5 5.2
11500 12.4 54.3 265 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 13.4 56.1 250 11 6 9.9 5.4
11000 13.8 56.8 260 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 14.8 58.6 245 11 6 9.5 5.2
10500 15.9 60.6 260 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 16.3 61.3 245 12 6 9.5 5.2
10250 16.7 62.1 255 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 17.7 63.9 245 12 6 9.8 5.4
10000 17.4 63.3 255 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 18.4 65.1 245 12 6 9.7 5.3
9750 18.1 64.6 255 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 19.1 66.4 240 13 6 9.7 5.3
9500 18.9 66.0 250 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 19.9 67.8 240 13 7 10.1 5.5
9250 19.6 67.3 250 10 5 9.9 5.4 | 20.6 69.1 240 13 7 10.0 5.5
9000 20.3 68.5 250 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 21.4 70.5 240 13 7 9.5 5.2
8750 21.1 70.0 245 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 22.1 71.8 240 13 7 9.7 5.3
8500 21.8 71.2 245 11 6 9.9 5.4 | 22.8 73.0 235 14 7 9.7 5.3
8250 22.5 72.5 245 11 6 10.1 5.5 | 23.5 74.3 235 14 7 9.9 5.4
8000 23.3 73.9 245 11 6 10.5 5.8 | 24.3 75.7 235 14 7 10.0 5.5
7750 24.1 75.4 245 11 6 10.5 5.8 | 25.0 77.0 235 14 7 10.0 5.5
7500 24.9 76.8 240 12 6 10.3 5.6 | 25.8 78.4 235 14 7 9.9 5.5
7250 25.6 78.1 240 12 6 10.6 5.8 | 26.5 79.7 235 14 7 10.1 5.6
7000 26.4 79.5 240 11 6 9.1 5.0 | 27.2 81.0 235 14 7 9.3 5.1
6750 27.2 81.0 240 11 6 15.0 8.2 | 28.0 82.4 235 13 7 12.0 6.6
6500 29.8 85.6 240 11 5 70.5 38.7 | 29.6 85.3 230 12 6 38.6 21.2
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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