Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0736 MDT Monday June 30 2025
This forecast is for Monday, June 30, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 78.5 F/25.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1123 ft/min (5.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19958 ft MSL (13618 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 87.0 F/31.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1200 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12757 ft MSL (6417 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 07/01...... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:53:39 / 20:21:58 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 28 min 19 sec (868 min 19 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:49 MDT... 78.02 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/30/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15887 ft MSL (9547 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15522 ft MSL (9182 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16457 ft MSL (10117 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -6.0
K index......................... +25.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.6 -80.7 290 21 11 2.7 1.5 82.8 181.0 30.9 M M
45000 -56.8 -70.2 275 32 16 5.8 3.2 68.2 154.7 23.9 M M
40000 -48.6 -55.5 255 28 14 2.7 1.5 58.9 138.0 19.2 M M
38000 -47.0 -52.6 245 26 14 2.6 1.5 52.4 126.2 15.2 M M
36000 -45.4 -49.7 235 26 13 2.3 1.2 46.7 116.0 11.5 M M
34000 -41.2 -42.2 230 22 12 8.1 4.4 44.4 111.8 10.1 M M
32000 -35.8 -32.4 220 18 9 8.2 4.5 43.1 109.5 9.4 M M
30000 -31.4 -24.5 225 17 9 7.1 3.9 40.9 105.6 7.9 M M
29000 -29.3 -20.7 230 17 9 7.1 3.9 39.9 103.9 7.3 M M
28000 -27.2 -17.0 235 17 9 6.6 3.6 39.0 102.2 6.6 M M
27000 -25.3 -13.5 230 12 6 6.5 3.6 37.7 99.8 5.6 M M
26000 -23.3 -9.9 220 7 4 6.5 3.6 36.4 97.6 4.7 M M
25000 -21.4 -6.5 180 3 2 6.6 3.6 35.4 95.7 3.9 M M
24000 -19.3 -2.7 110 3 1 7.2 4.0 34.3 93.8 3.0 M M
23000 -17.2 1.0 075 5 3 7.3 4.0 33.4 92.1 2.2 M M
22000 -15.1 4.8 065 8 4 7.5 4.1 32.6 90.7 1.5 M M
21000 -12.8 9.0 045 9 5 7.6 4.2 31.8 89.2 0.8 M M
20000 -10.6 12.9 030 11 5 7.6 4.2 31.0 87.9 0.1 M M
19500 -9.5 14.9 025 12 6 7.5 4.1 30.7 87.3 -0.2 1289 6.6
19000 -8.3 17.1 020 12 6 8.9 4.9 30.5 86.8 -0.5 1239 6.3
18500 -6.4 20.5 020 12 6 8.7 4.8 30.2 86.4 -0.7 1158 5.9
18000 -5.1 22.8 020 12 6 8.8 4.8 30.0 86.1 -0.9 1105 5.6
17500 -3.8 25.2 020 11 6 8.8 4.8 29.9 85.8 -1.1 1052 5.3
17000 -2.5 27.5 020 10 5 8.6 4.7 29.7 85.5 -1.2 998 5.1
16500 -1.3 29.7 025 9 5 8.4 4.6 29.5 85.1 -1.5 947 4.8
16000 -0.1 31.8 025 8 4 8.5 4.6 29.3 84.7 -1.8 897 4.6
15500 1.2 34.2 025 7 4 8.9 4.9 29.1 84.4 -2.0 845 4.3
15000 2.4 36.3 025 6 3 8.9 4.9 28.9 84.1 -2.2 792 4.0
14500 3.7 38.7 020 6 3 8.8 4.8 28.8 83.9 -2.4 738 3.8
14000 5.0 41.0 020 5 2 8.8 4.8 28.7 83.6 -2.5 684 3.5
13500 6.3 43.3 015 4 2 8.7 4.8 28.5 83.3 -2.7 630 3.2
13000 7.6 45.7 020 2 1 8.6 4.7 28.3 83.0 -2.9 578 2.9
12500 8.9 48.0 000 0 0 8.3 4.6 28.2 82.7 -3.1 525 2.7
12000 10.0 50.0 165 1 1 8.0 4.4 27.9 82.2 -3.4 475 2.4
11500 11.2 52.2 175 2 1 8.6 4.7 27.6 81.7 -3.7 426 2.2
11000 12.4 54.3 165 3 2 7.7 4.2 27.4 81.3 -4.0 375 1.9
10500 13.5 56.3 155 4 2 7.2 3.9 27.1 80.8 -4.3 326 1.7
10250 14.0 57.2 150 4 2 6.5 3.6 26.8 80.3 -4.6 304 1.5
10000 14.5 58.1 145 5 2 7.1 3.9 26.6 79.9 -4.9 282 1.4
9750 15.0 59.0 140 5 3 7.3 4.0 26.4 79.6 -5.1 260 1.3
9500 15.5 59.9 135 6 3 6.8 3.7 26.2 79.2 -5.3 237 1.2
9250 16.0 60.8 135 6 3 6.5 3.6 26.0 78.8 -5.6 216 1.1
9000 16.4 61.5 135 7 3 4.9 2.7 25.7 78.3 -5.9 196 1.0
8750 16.7 62.1 135 7 4 3.8 2.1 25.2 77.4 -6.4 181 0.9
8500 16.9 62.4 140 7 4 3.0 1.6 24.8 76.6 -6.9 166 0.8
8250 17.0 62.6 140 7 4 1.5 0.8 24.2 75.5 -7.6 156 0.8
8000 17.0 62.6 145 7 4 1.4 0.8 23.6 74.4 -8.3 147 0.7
7750 17.0 62.6 145 7 4 0.6 0.3 22.9 73.2 -9.0 140 0.7
7500 17.0 62.6 145 7 3 0.9 0.5 22.2 72.0 -9.8 133 0.7
7250 17.1 62.8 150 5 3 1.2 0.7 21.6 70.8 -10.5 124 0.6
7000 17.2 63.0 150 4 2 1.8 1.0 20.9 69.7 -11.1 114 0.6
6750 17.2 63.0 155 3 2 -1.4 -0.7 20.3 68.5 -11.8 105 0.5
6500 16.8 62.2 170 2 1 -11.3 -6.2 19.1 66.4 -13.0 111 0.6
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/30/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/30/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +660.7 LI... -2.6 | CAPE... +1039.6 LI... -4.2
CINH... -105.0 K Index... +25.7 | CINH... -1.1 K Index... +30.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.1 -81.6 290 21 11 3.0 1.7 | -63.5 -82.3 290 19 10 4.2 2.3
45000 -57.4 -71.3 280 30 15 4.9 2.7 | -56.5 -69.7 285 23 12 4.8 2.6
40000 -50.1 -58.2 255 23 12 4.2 2.3 | -49.6 -57.3 265 17 9 3.7 2.0
38000 -47.6 -53.7 240 20 10 4.2 2.3 | -47.4 -53.3 245 14 7 3.6 2.0
36000 -45.1 -49.2 225 18 9 3.9 2.1 | -45.2 -49.4 215 14 7 3.2 1.8
34000 -40.7 -41.3 210 20 10 7.9 4.3 | -40.9 -41.6 210 16 8 7.8 4.3
32000 -35.4 -31.7 200 22 11 8.0 4.4 | -35.7 -32.3 205 19 10 7.9 4.3
30000 -31.4 -24.5 215 15 8 6.5 3.6 | -31.1 -24.0 210 14 7 7.6 4.2
29000 -29.4 -20.9 230 11 6 6.6 3.6 | -28.8 -19.8 210 11 6 7.6 4.2
28000 -27.5 -17.5 250 9 5 6.2 3.4 | -26.5 -15.7 215 8 4 6.2 3.4
27000 -25.6 -14.1 260 6 3 6.2 3.4 | -24.7 -12.5 230 4 2 6.0 3.3
26000 -23.8 -10.8 285 3 2 6.3 3.4 | -22.9 -9.2 310 2 1 6.1 3.3
25000 -21.9 -7.4 345 3 1 6.8 3.7 | -21.1 -6.0 360 5 3 6.5 3.6
24000 -19.6 -3.3 030 5 2 8.0 4.4 | -18.9 -2.0 020 7 4 7.7 4.2
23000 -17.3 0.9 045 8 4 8.1 4.4 | -16.7 1.9 030 9 5 7.8 4.3
22000 -14.9 5.2 050 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -14.4 6.1 040 11 6 7.5 4.1
21000 -12.6 9.3 045 13 7 7.9 4.4 | -12.4 9.7 040 11 6 6.9 3.8
20000 -10.2 13.6 040 15 8 7.9 4.4 | -10.3 13.5 035 12 6 6.9 3.8
19500 -9.1 15.6 035 16 8 7.9 4.4 | -9.3 15.3 035 12 6 6.9 3.8
19000 -7.9 17.8 035 16 8 8.0 4.4 | -8.2 17.2 040 11 6 7.8 4.3
18500 -6.7 19.9 040 15 8 8.0 4.4 | -7.1 19.2 040 11 6 7.8 4.3
18000 -4.9 23.2 040 13 7 8.0 4.4 | -6.0 21.2 045 10 5 8.1 4.4
17500 -3.8 25.2 045 12 6 8.1 4.4 | -4.2 24.4 045 9 5 8.3 4.6
17000 -2.6 27.3 050 10 5 8.4 4.6 | -3.0 26.6 050 8 4 8.3 4.5
16500 -1.3 29.7 055 9 5 8.6 4.7 | -1.8 28.8 050 8 4 8.3 4.6
16000 -0.1 31.8 060 8 4 8.7 4.8 | -0.6 30.9 050 7 4 8.3 4.6
15500 1.2 34.2 065 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 0.6 33.1 055 7 3 8.5 4.7
15000 2.4 36.3 065 6 3 8.7 4.7 | 1.8 35.2 060 6 3 8.6 4.7
14500 3.6 38.5 065 5 3 8.1 4.5 | 3.0 37.4 065 6 3 7.4 4.1
14000 4.8 40.6 065 5 2 8.1 4.5 | 4.0 39.2 080 6 3 7.6 4.2
13500 6.0 42.8 060 4 2 8.4 4.6 | 5.1 41.2 090 6 3 8.2 4.5
13000 7.2 45.0 060 3 1 8.5 4.7 | 6.3 43.3 100 6 3 8.4 4.6
12500 8.5 47.3 060 2 1 8.5 4.6 | 7.5 45.5 110 7 3 9.0 4.9
12000 9.7 49.5 075 1 1 8.4 4.6 | 8.8 47.8 110 7 4 9.3 5.1
11500 10.9 51.6 105 1 0 8.3 4.5 | 10.2 50.4 115 7 4 8.8 4.8
11000 12.1 53.8 130 1 1 7.9 4.4 | 11.6 52.9 115 8 4 9.8 5.4
10500 13.3 55.9 150 1 1 7.6 4.2 | 13.0 55.4 120 8 4 8.9 4.9
10250 13.8 56.8 155 2 1 7.3 4.0 | 13.6 56.5 120 8 4 9.1 5.0
10000 14.3 57.7 155 2 1 7.6 4.2 | 14.4 57.9 120 8 4 10.4 5.7
9750 14.9 58.8 160 2 1 7.8 4.3 | 15.1 59.2 125 9 4 10.3 5.6
9500 15.4 59.7 160 2 1 7.0 3.8 | 15.9 60.6 125 9 5 9.9 5.4
9250 15.9 60.6 160 3 1 6.4 3.5 | 16.6 61.9 125 9 5 9.4 5.1
9000 16.3 61.3 155 3 1 5.1 2.8 | 17.3 63.1 125 10 5 9.8 5.4
8750 16.6 61.9 150 3 2 4.3 2.4 | 18.0 64.4 130 10 5 9.9 5.4
8500 16.9 62.4 145 3 2 3.1 1.7 | 18.8 65.8 130 10 5 10.0 5.5
8250 16.9 62.4 140 3 2 1.4 0.8 | 19.5 67.1 130 10 5 10.1 5.5
8000 17.0 62.6 130 3 2 2.4 1.3 | 20.3 68.5 130 11 5 10.3 5.6
7750 17.1 62.8 120 3 2 4.2 2.3 | 21.0 69.8 130 11 6 10.6 5.8
7500 17.5 63.5 115 3 2 8.1 4.4 | 21.8 71.2 130 11 6 10.2 5.6
7250 18.2 64.8 115 3 2 10.3 5.6 | 22.6 72.7 130 11 6 10.3 5.7
7000 19.0 66.2 115 3 2 9.0 5.0 | 23.3 73.9 135 11 6 9.2 5.1
6750 19.6 67.3 115 3 2 10.8 5.9 | 24.1 75.4 135 11 6 15.0 8.3
6500 20.6 69.1 115 3 2 16.3 9.0 | 25.8 78.4 135 11 6 29.2 16.0
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/30/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/30/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +709.9 LI... -3.8 | CAPE... +0.1 LI... +0.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +33.4 | CINH... -1.1 K Index... +27.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.8 -81.0 290 20 10 4.0 2.2 | -62.9 -81.2 310 25 13 3.1 1.7
45000 -57.3 -71.1 285 21 11 3.0 1.6 | -58.4 -73.1 300 18 9 2.7 1.5
40000 -52.0 -61.6 315 16 8 7.2 4.0 | -53.2 -63.8 150 7 4 8.2 4.5
38000 -47.6 -53.7 320 12 6 7.2 4.0 | -48.3 -54.9 105 7 4 8.3 4.5
36000 -43.3 -45.9 330 9 5 7.3 4.0 | -43.3 -45.9 080 10 5 8.3 4.5
34000 -38.4 -37.1 265 5 3 7.2 3.9 | -37.8 -36.0 075 8 4 8.3 4.6
32000 -34.1 -29.4 215 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -32.8 -27.0 075 6 3 8.3 4.5
30000 -29.2 -20.6 225 13 7 8.4 4.6 | -28.3 -18.9 110 7 3 7.5 4.1
29000 -26.6 -15.9 230 15 8 8.4 4.6 | -26.1 -15.0 125 8 4 7.5 4.1
28000 -24.2 -11.6 235 16 8 6.3 3.5 | -23.8 -10.8 135 9 5 7.2 4.0
27000 -22.4 -8.3 240 11 6 6.2 3.4 | -21.7 -7.1 135 9 5 7.2 4.0
26000 -20.5 -4.9 250 7 3 6.2 3.4 | -19.6 -3.3 140 10 5 7.2 4.0
25000 -18.7 -1.7 295 3 2 6.1 3.3 | -17.4 0.7 140 10 5 7.1 3.9
24000 -17.0 1.4 335 4 2 5.7 3.1 | -15.5 4.1 145 9 5 6.5 3.6
23000 -15.3 4.5 360 5 3 5.7 3.1 | -13.6 7.5 145 9 5 6.6 3.6
22000 -13.6 7.5 010 7 4 6.1 3.4 | -11.7 10.9 145 8 4 6.4 3.5
21000 -11.7 10.9 020 7 4 6.8 3.7 | -10.0 14.0 145 8 4 5.6 3.1
20000 -9.7 14.5 025 7 4 6.9 3.8 | -8.0 17.6 150 7 4 5.6 3.1
19500 -8.7 16.3 030 7 4 7.0 3.9 | -7.2 19.0 150 7 4 5.8 3.2
19000 -7.8 18.0 040 7 4 6.1 3.3 | -6.4 20.5 145 5 3 6.1 3.3
18500 -6.6 20.1 055 7 4 6.1 3.4 | -5.5 22.1 135 4 2 6.1 3.4
18000 -5.6 21.9 065 7 4 8.0 4.4 | -4.7 23.5 110 2 1 5.7 3.1
17500 -4.5 23.9 070 8 4 8.0 4.4 | -3.9 25.0 015 2 1 5.6 3.1
17000 -3.4 25.9 075 8 4 8.6 4.7 | -3.0 26.6 350 4 2 5.4 3.0
16500 -2.1 28.2 080 8 4 9.1 5.0 | -2.3 27.9 340 7 3 4.9 2.7
16000 -0.8 30.6 085 9 4 9.1 5.0 | -1.6 29.1 335 9 5 5.0 2.7
15500 0.5 32.9 085 9 5 8.7 4.8 | -0.9 30.4 330 11 6 4.5 2.4
15000 1.8 35.2 090 10 5 8.7 4.8 | -0.3 31.5 330 13 7 4.5 2.5
14500 3.1 37.6 090 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 0.4 32.7 330 14 7 4.7 2.6
14000 4.5 40.1 095 11 5 9.5 5.2 | 1.1 34.0 330 15 8 4.9 2.7
13500 5.9 42.6 095 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 1.8 35.2 330 15 8 5.8 3.2
13000 7.3 45.1 095 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 2.7 36.9 330 15 8 6.7 3.7
12500 8.7 47.7 100 12 6 9.3 5.1 | 3.7 38.7 330 14 7 6.9 3.8
12000 10.1 50.2 100 13 7 9.2 5.0 | 4.7 40.5 330 13 7 7.2 4.0
11500 11.5 52.7 100 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 5.7 42.3 335 12 6 8.5 4.7
11000 12.9 55.2 105 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 6.8 44.2 340 11 6 5.3 2.9
10500 14.4 57.9 105 15 8 8.4 4.6 | 7.6 45.7 340 11 5 6.4 3.5
10250 14.9 58.8 105 16 8 8.6 4.7 | 8.1 46.6 345 10 5 7.0 3.9
10000 15.7 60.3 105 16 8 10.4 5.7 | 8.5 47.3 345 10 5 5.1 2.8
9750 16.4 61.5 105 17 9 9.9 5.4 | 8.8 47.8 345 10 5 3.9 2.2
9500 17.2 63.0 105 17 9 10.2 5.6 | 9.1 48.4 350 9 5 4.5 2.4
9250 17.9 64.2 110 18 9 10.3 5.7 | 9.4 48.9 350 9 5 4.9 2.7
9000 18.7 65.7 110 18 9 9.6 5.3 | 9.8 49.6 355 9 5 4.5 2.4
8750 19.4 66.9 110 18 9 9.1 5.0 | 10.0 50.0 355 9 5 3.8 2.1
8500 20.1 68.2 110 19 10 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 360 9 5 3.8 2.1
8250 20.8 69.4 110 19 10 9.9 5.4 | 10.6 51.1 360 9 5 3.8 2.1
8000 21.5 70.7 110 20 10 9.9 5.4 | 10.8 51.4 360 8 4 3.7 2.0
7750 22.2 72.0 110 20 10 9.9 5.5 | 11.1 52.0 355 8 4 3.2 1.8
7500 23.0 73.4 110 20 10 10.5 5.7 | 11.3 52.3 355 7 4 2.7 1.5
7250 23.8 74.8 110 20 10 11.2 6.1 | 11.5 52.7 340 7 3 3.1 1.7
7000 24.6 76.3 115 20 10 10.3 5.7 | 11.7 53.1 325 6 3 1.9 1.0
6750 25.4 77.7 115 20 10 12.9 7.1 | 11.9 53.4 310 6 3 4.9 2.7
6500 26.7 80.1 115 19 10 23.2 12.7 | 12.6 54.7 300 6 3 14.6 8.0
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0737 MDT Monday June 30 2025
This forecast is for Monday, June 30, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 80.1 F/26.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1165 ft/min (5.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18197 ft MSL (12507 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11317 ft MSL (5627 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 07/01...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:55:59 / 20:24:37 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 28 min 39 sec (868 min 39 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:18 MDT... 77.87 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/30/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16137 ft MSL (10447 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16007 ft MSL (10317 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16253 ft MSL (10562 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.3
K index......................... +21.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.5 -80.5 295 26 13 3.5 1.9 85.3 185.5 31.5 M M
45000 -55.9 -68.6 285 34 17 5.6 3.1 71.7 161.0 25.2 M M
40000 -48.0 -54.4 270 31 16 2.5 1.4 61.7 143.0 20.2 M M
38000 -46.6 -51.9 260 25 13 2.4 1.3 54.9 130.8 16.1 M M
36000 -45.1 -49.2 240 20 10 1.9 1.1 49.0 120.2 12.3 M M
34000 -41.1 -42.0 235 19 10 7.4 4.0 46.2 115.2 10.6 M M
32000 -36.7 -34.1 230 18 9 7.4 4.1 44.5 112.0 9.5 M M
30000 -32.6 -26.7 235 15 8 6.7 3.7 42.0 107.7 7.9 M M
29000 -30.6 -23.1 245 13 7 6.7 3.7 40.9 105.6 7.1 M M
28000 -28.0 -18.4 250 11 6 7.5 4.1 39.6 103.3 6.2 M M
27000 -25.7 -14.3 250 7 4 7.5 4.1 38.6 101.6 5.5 M M
26000 -23.5 -10.3 250 3 2 7.5 4.1 37.8 100.1 4.9 M M
25000 -21.2 -6.2 060 1 0 7.5 4.1 37.1 98.8 4.4 M M
24000 -19.0 -2.2 075 4 2 7.4 4.0 36.1 97.1 3.7 M M
23000 -16.8 1.8 080 7 4 7.4 4.1 35.3 95.5 3.0 M M
22000 -14.6 5.7 080 10 5 7.3 4.0 34.5 94.2 2.3 M M
21000 -12.5 9.5 055 8 4 7.2 4.0 33.6 92.4 1.5 M M
20000 -10.4 13.3 030 9 4 7.3 4.0 32.7 90.9 0.7 M M
19500 -9.3 15.3 020 9 5 7.6 4.2 32.3 90.2 0.4 M M
19000 -8.0 17.6 015 10 5 9.3 5.1 32.1 89.8 0.2 M M
18500 -6.7 19.9 015 10 5 9.2 5.1 32.0 89.7 0.1 M M
18000 -5.3 22.5 015 11 5 9.4 5.2 32.0 89.5 -0.0 1144 5.8
17500 -3.9 25.0 015 11 6 9.5 5.2 31.9 89.4 -0.1 1087 5.5
17000 -2.5 27.5 020 11 6 9.5 5.2 31.9 89.4 -0.2 1031 5.2
16500 -1.1 30.0 025 11 6 9.4 5.2 31.8 89.3 -0.2 974 4.9
16000 0.3 32.5 030 11 6 9.5 5.2 31.8 89.2 -0.3 918 4.7
15500 1.6 34.9 030 10 5 9.0 4.9 31.7 89.0 -0.4 863 4.4
15000 2.9 37.2 035 9 5 9.1 5.0 31.6 88.8 -0.6 809 4.1
14500 4.2 39.6 040 7 4 8.8 4.8 31.4 88.6 -0.8 755 3.8
14000 5.5 41.9 055 5 2 8.7 4.8 31.3 88.3 -1.0 703 3.6
13500 6.7 44.1 090 2 1 8.5 4.7 31.1 88.0 -1.2 651 3.3
13000 7.9 46.2 145 3 1 8.3 4.5 30.8 87.5 -1.5 601 3.1
12500 9.1 48.4 170 5 2 8.1 4.5 30.6 87.1 -1.8 550 2.8
12000 10.1 50.2 175 7 3 7.2 3.9 30.3 86.5 -2.2 504 2.6
11500 11.1 52.0 175 9 4 7.2 3.9 29.9 85.7 -2.7 458 2.3
11000 12.0 53.6 180 10 5 5.1 2.8 29.3 84.7 -3.3 418 2.1
10500 12.8 55.0 180 11 6 7.3 4.0 28.6 83.5 -4.0 380 1.9
10250 13.9 57.0 185 11 6 6.7 3.7 28.3 82.9 -4.3 331 1.7
10000 14.4 57.9 185 11 6 7.2 3.9 28.1 82.5 -4.6 308 1.6
9750 14.9 58.8 185 11 6 6.6 3.6 27.8 82.1 -4.8 286 1.5
9500 15.4 59.7 185 11 5 7.5 4.1 27.6 81.7 -5.0 264 1.3
9250 16.0 60.8 185 10 5 8.6 4.7 27.5 81.5 -5.2 238 1.2
9000 16.7 62.1 185 9 5 8.6 4.7 27.4 81.3 -5.3 212 1.1
8750 17.3 63.1 185 9 4 7.4 4.1 27.3 81.1 -5.4 186 0.9
8500 17.7 63.9 185 7 4 5.8 3.2 27.0 80.6 -5.7 165 0.8
8250 18.1 64.6 180 6 3 6.2 3.4 26.7 80.1 -6.0 145 0.7
8000 18.6 65.5 170 5 2 6.7 3.7 26.5 79.7 -6.3 124 0.6
7750 19.0 66.2 155 4 2 5.8 3.2 26.2 79.2 -6.6 103 0.5
7500 19.4 66.9 135 4 2 3.5 1.9 25.8 78.5 -7.0 86 0.4
7250 19.5 67.1 115 4 2 1.0 0.5 25.3 77.5 -7.7 74 0.4
7000 19.4 66.9 105 5 3 -0.5 -0.3 24.5 76.2 -8.5 69 0.3
6750 19.4 66.9 100 6 3 1.6 0.9 23.8 74.9 -9.3 63 0.3
6500 19.6 67.3 095 6 3 3.3 1.8 23.3 73.9 -9.8 49 0.3
6250 19.8 67.6 095 6 3 1.7 0.9 22.8 73.0 -10.4 36 0.2
6000 19.8 67.6 090 5 3 -1.7 -0.9 22.0 71.7 -11.1 29 0.1
5750 19.4 66.9 085 4 2 -9.5 -5.2 20.9 69.7 -12.3 34 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/30/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/30/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +544.6 LI... -2.3 | CAPE... +789.2 LI... -3.6
CINH... -134.9 K Index... +22.7 | CINH... -16.3 K Index... +28.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 300 25 13 3.3 1.8 | -62.7 -80.9 300 20 10 4.3 2.3
45000 -56.8 -70.2 290 31 16 4.7 2.6 | -56.2 -69.2 295 23 12 4.5 2.5
40000 -49.8 -57.6 270 21 11 3.9 2.1 | -49.5 -57.1 285 14 7 3.9 2.1
38000 -47.5 -53.5 255 16 8 3.9 2.1 | -47.2 -53.0 270 12 6 3.9 2.1
36000 -45.2 -49.4 230 13 7 3.4 1.9 | -44.6 -48.3 240 10 5 4.6 2.5
34000 -40.9 -41.6 230 10 5 7.5 4.1 | -40.4 -40.7 225 10 5 7.2 4.0
32000 -36.4 -33.5 245 7 4 7.6 4.2 | -36.0 -32.8 205 10 5 7.3 4.0
30000 -32.5 -26.5 275 6 3 6.3 3.4 | -31.8 -25.2 245 6 3 7.1 3.9
29000 -30.6 -23.1 295 6 3 6.3 3.4 | -29.7 -21.5 285 6 3 7.1 3.9
28000 -28.7 -19.7 315 6 3 6.7 3.7 | -27.6 -17.7 310 8 4 6.5 3.6
27000 -26.0 -14.8 340 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -25.7 -14.3 320 6 3 6.3 3.5
26000 -23.8 -10.8 010 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -23.8 -10.8 335 5 3 6.3 3.5
25000 -21.6 -6.9 035 6 3 7.5 4.1 | -21.9 -7.4 360 4 2 6.5 3.6
24000 -19.3 -2.7 055 6 3 7.8 4.3 | -19.8 -3.6 030 5 3 7.4 4.1
23000 -17.0 1.4 075 7 4 7.9 4.3 | -17.7 0.1 050 7 4 7.6 4.1
22000 -14.7 5.5 085 9 4 7.8 4.3 | -14.9 5.2 055 10 5 7.8 4.3
21000 -12.4 9.7 070 9 5 7.8 4.3 | -12.6 9.3 050 11 6 7.8 4.3
20000 -10.1 13.8 060 10 5 7.8 4.3 | -10.3 13.5 045 12 6 7.9 4.3
19500 -9.0 15.8 055 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -9.2 15.4 045 12 6 8.2 4.5
19000 -7.7 18.1 055 11 6 8.6 4.7 | -7.9 17.8 045 12 6 8.6 4.7
18500 -6.5 20.3 050 11 6 8.6 4.7 | -6.6 20.1 045 11 6 8.6 4.7
18000 -5.2 22.6 045 11 6 9.0 4.9 | -5.3 22.5 045 10 5 9.0 4.9
17500 -3.8 25.2 045 10 5 9.1 5.0 | -4.0 24.8 050 10 5 9.0 4.9
17000 -2.5 27.5 040 10 5 9.1 5.0 | -2.7 27.1 050 9 5 8.9 4.9
16500 -1.2 29.8 040 10 5 9.1 5.0 | -1.4 29.5 055 8 4 8.9 4.9
16000 0.2 32.4 035 9 5 9.1 5.0 | -0.1 31.8 055 8 4 8.9 4.9
15500 1.5 34.7 035 8 4 8.9 4.9 | 1.2 34.2 060 7 4 8.5 4.7
15000 2.8 37.0 040 7 4 8.9 4.9 | 2.4 36.3 065 7 3 8.6 4.7
14500 4.1 39.4 045 6 3 8.6 4.7 | 3.6 38.5 065 6 3 8.8 4.8
14000 5.3 41.5 055 4 2 8.5 4.7 | 4.9 40.8 075 5 3 8.9 4.9
13500 6.5 43.7 080 3 2 8.6 4.7 | 6.1 43.0 080 5 3 8.8 4.8
13000 7.8 46.0 105 3 2 8.7 4.8 | 7.4 45.3 090 5 3 8.7 4.8
12500 9.1 48.4 130 4 2 8.5 4.7 | 8.7 47.7 100 6 3 8.7 4.8
12000 10.2 50.4 140 4 2 7.7 4.2 | 9.9 49.8 100 6 3 8.8 4.8
11500 11.3 52.3 150 5 3 7.5 4.1 | 11.2 52.2 105 7 3 8.4 4.6
11000 12.2 54.0 150 6 3 5.6 3.1 | 12.3 54.1 110 7 3 7.1 3.9
10500 13.0 55.4 150 7 3 6.3 3.5 | 13.4 56.1 110 7 3 9.5 5.2
10250 13.5 56.3 155 6 3 6.0 3.3 | 14.1 57.4 110 7 3 8.9 4.9
10000 13.9 57.0 155 6 3 5.6 3.0 | 14.7 58.5 110 6 3 8.4 4.6
9750 14.7 58.5 155 6 3 6.8 3.7 | 15.4 59.7 110 6 3 8.1 4.4
9500 15.2 59.4 155 6 3 7.7 4.2 | 16.0 60.8 110 5 3 9.9 5.4
9250 15.7 60.3 160 5 3 6.8 3.7 | 16.8 62.2 115 5 3 10.7 5.9
9000 16.2 61.2 160 5 3 7.1 3.9 | 17.5 63.5 115 5 3 9.2 5.0
8750 16.8 62.2 160 5 2 6.7 3.7 | 18.2 64.8 115 5 2 10.1 5.5
8500 17.2 63.0 165 4 2 6.7 3.7 | 18.9 66.0 115 4 2 8.0 4.4
8250 17.7 63.9 160 3 1 7.0 3.9 | 19.5 67.1 120 4 2 8.7 4.8
8000 18.2 64.8 150 2 1 7.4 4.1 | 21.0 69.8 120 3 2 10.7 5.9
7750 18.7 65.7 135 2 1 6.1 3.3 | 21.8 71.2 125 3 2 9.7 5.3
7500 19.0 66.2 105 1 1 5.3 2.9 | 22.5 72.5 130 3 1 9.0 4.9
7250 19.5 67.1 070 1 1 8.0 4.4 | 23.2 73.8 130 3 1 10.5 5.8
7000 20.1 68.2 055 1 1 9.1 5.0 | 24.0 75.2 135 2 1 10.8 5.9
6750 20.8 69.4 050 2 1 9.2 5.1 | 24.8 76.6 140 2 1 10.2 5.6
6500 21.5 70.7 045 2 1 9.8 5.4 | 25.6 78.1 145 2 1 10.3 5.6
6250 22.2 72.0 040 2 1 9.0 5.0 | 26.3 79.3 155 2 1 9.5 5.2
6000 22.9 73.2 035 2 1 11.8 6.5 | 27.1 80.8 160 2 1 13.6 7.5
5750 24.5 76.1 025 1 1 34.4 18.9 | 29.1 84.4 185 2 1 50.5 27.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/30/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/30/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +308.3 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +1.1 LI... +1.0
CINH... -26.8 K Index... +32.4 | CINH... -67.0 K Index... +18.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.6 -82.5 300 22 11 4.1 2.2 | -62.9 -81.2 325 25 13 4.0 2.2
45000 -57.6 -71.7 285 13 7 3.3 1.8 | -57.6 -71.7 325 16 8 2.5 1.4
40000 -51.8 -61.2 125 12 6 7.3 4.0 | -52.9 -63.2 130 17 9 7.9 4.3
38000 -47.4 -53.3 135 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -48.1 -54.6 120 22 11 8.0 4.4
36000 -43.1 -45.6 140 16 8 7.3 4.0 | -42.7 -44.9 115 27 14 7.8 4.3
34000 -38.5 -37.3 150 13 7 7.7 4.2 | -38.1 -36.6 105 21 11 7.7 4.2
32000 -33.9 -29.0 165 10 5 7.8 4.3 | -33.6 -28.5 090 16 8 7.7 4.2
30000 -29.1 -20.4 180 7 4 7.0 3.8 | -29.2 -20.6 100 9 5 7.4 4.1
29000 -27.1 -16.8 185 5 3 7.0 3.8 | -27.0 -16.6 110 6 3 7.4 4.1
28000 -25.0 -13.0 200 4 2 6.8 3.7 | -24.8 -12.6 130 3 2 6.6 3.6
27000 -22.9 -9.2 205 3 2 6.8 3.7 | -22.9 -9.2 005 2 1 6.5 3.5
26000 -20.9 -5.6 220 2 1 6.8 3.8 | -21.0 -5.8 340 6 3 6.5 3.5
25000 -18.9 -2.0 245 1 1 7.0 3.8 | -19.1 -2.4 335 10 5 6.5 3.5
24000 -16.8 1.8 265 2 1 7.2 3.9 | -17.2 1.0 335 13 7 6.5 3.5
23000 -14.7 5.5 270 3 1 7.2 4.0 | -15.3 4.5 335 15 8 6.5 3.5
22000 -12.6 9.3 275 4 2 7.2 4.0 | -13.4 7.9 335 18 9 6.6 3.6
21000 -10.5 13.1 280 4 2 7.2 3.9 | -10.8 12.6 330 20 10 6.9 3.8
20000 -8.4 16.9 280 4 2 7.2 4.0 | -8.8 16.2 330 22 11 6.9 3.8
19500 -7.4 18.7 280 4 2 7.2 4.0 | -7.7 18.1 330 23 12 7.2 3.9
19000 -6.4 20.5 280 4 2 6.6 3.6 | -6.6 20.1 330 24 12 7.6 4.2
18500 -5.5 22.1 280 4 2 6.7 3.7 | -5.5 22.1 330 24 12 7.5 4.1
18000 -4.5 23.9 280 4 2 6.4 3.5 | -4.3 24.3 325 24 12 8.7 4.8
17500 -3.6 25.5 280 4 2 6.3 3.4 | -3.0 26.6 325 24 12 8.8 4.8
17000 -2.7 27.1 275 4 2 6.3 3.5 | -1.7 28.9 325 23 12 8.6 4.7
16500 -1.8 28.8 275 3 2 7.0 3.8 | -0.4 31.3 325 23 12 8.4 4.6
16000 -0.8 30.6 270 3 1 6.9 3.8 | 0.8 33.4 325 22 11 8.5 4.7
15500 0.3 32.5 265 2 1 7.3 4.0 | 1.9 35.4 325 21 11 7.0 3.8
15000 1.4 34.5 255 2 1 7.4 4.0 | 3.0 37.4 325 21 11 7.2 3.9
14500 2.4 36.3 245 1 1 7.7 4.2 | 4.0 39.2 325 20 10 6.9 3.8
14000 3.6 38.5 000 0 0 8.0 4.4 | 5.0 41.0 325 19 10 6.9 3.8
13500 4.8 40.6 105 1 0 8.1 4.5 | 5.9 42.6 325 17 9 6.9 3.8
13000 6.0 42.8 090 2 1 8.7 4.7 | 6.9 44.4 330 17 9 7.0 3.8
12500 7.3 45.1 080 3 1 8.6 4.7 | 7.9 46.2 330 16 8 6.9 3.8
12000 8.6 47.5 080 4 2 8.7 4.8 | 8.9 48.0 335 15 8 6.5 3.6
11500 10.5 50.9 075 5 3 8.3 4.6 | 9.8 49.6 340 14 7 6.6 3.6
11000 11.7 53.1 070 7 4 8.1 4.4 | 10.8 51.4 350 13 7 6.9 3.8
10500 12.9 55.2 070 8 4 8.4 4.6 | 11.8 53.2 360 13 7 7.6 4.2
10250 13.5 56.3 070 9 5 8.3 4.5 | 12.4 54.3 005 12 6 7.0 3.9
10000 14.1 57.4 065 10 5 8.5 4.7 | 12.8 55.0 010 12 6 5.5 3.0
9750 14.7 58.5 065 11 5 7.7 4.2 | 13.3 55.9 020 12 6 6.2 3.4
9500 15.2 59.4 065 11 5 7.6 4.1 | 13.7 56.7 025 12 6 4.7 2.6
9250 15.8 60.4 065 11 6 8.4 4.6 | 14.0 57.2 030 13 7 4.4 2.4
9000 16.4 61.5 060 12 6 8.1 4.4 | 14.4 57.9 035 13 7 5.4 2.9
8750 17.0 62.6 060 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 14.7 58.5 045 13 7 5.5 3.0
8500 17.6 63.7 060 13 7 8.7 4.8 | 15.1 59.2 055 13 7 4.1 2.2
8250 18.3 64.9 055 13 7 8.6 4.7 | 15.3 59.5 060 14 7 2.4 1.3
8000 18.9 66.0 055 14 7 8.5 4.7 | 15.5 59.9 065 15 8 2.8 1.5
7750 19.5 67.1 055 14 7 8.8 4.8 | 15.7 60.3 075 16 8 3.7 2.0
7500 20.2 68.4 050 15 7 9.1 5.0 | 15.9 60.6 080 17 9 0.6 0.4
7250 20.9 69.6 050 15 8 8.9 4.9 | 15.7 60.3 085 19 10 -2.1 -1.1
7000 21.5 70.7 050 15 8 8.3 4.5 | 15.6 60.1 090 20 11 0.5 0.3
6750 22.1 71.8 045 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 15.6 60.1 095 21 11 1.7 0.9
6500 22.9 73.2 045 15 8 11.8 6.5 | 15.7 60.3 095 22 11 2.8 1.5
6250 23.7 74.7 045 14 7 9.0 4.9 | 15.9 60.6 100 22 12 3.3 1.8
6000 24.4 75.9 040 14 7 13.2 7.2 | 16.6 61.9 100 22 11 10.5 5.7
5750 26.9 80.4 040 11 6 68.9 37.8 | 17.5 63.5 105 18 9 15.2 8.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0736 MDT Monday June 30 2025
This forecast is for Monday, June 30, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 76.8 F/24.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1046 ft/min (5.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19493 ft MSL (13031 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 86.0 F/30.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1200 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13242 ft MSL (6780 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 07/01...... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:52:17 / 20:24:06 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 31 min 49 sec (871 min 49 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:12 MDT... 77.38 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/30/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15999 ft MSL (9537 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16055 ft MSL (9593 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16705 ft MSL (10243 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.7
K index......................... +25.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.1 -79.8 285 22 11 3.1 1.7 83.2 181.8 31.5 M M
45000 -56.6 -69.9 275 29 15 4.3 2.4 68.1 154.5 24.2 M M
40000 -50.2 -58.4 265 25 13 4.0 2.2 56.1 133.0 17.7 M M
38000 -47.7 -53.9 255 20 11 4.0 2.2 50.8 123.5 14.5 M M
36000 -45.3 -49.5 245 17 9 3.6 2.0 46.3 115.3 11.6 M M
34000 -41.0 -41.8 230 18 9 7.7 4.2 44.0 111.1 10.2 M M
32000 -36.4 -33.5 220 20 11 7.8 4.3 42.5 108.5 9.4 M M
30000 -32.2 -26.0 220 17 9 6.7 3.7 40.2 104.3 7.8 M M
29000 -29.7 -21.5 225 14 7 6.7 3.7 38.8 101.8 6.9 M M
28000 -27.7 -17.9 230 12 6 6.7 3.7 37.7 99.9 6.1 M M
27000 -25.7 -14.3 220 7 4 6.7 3.7 36.5 97.7 5.2 M M
26000 -23.7 -10.7 190 3 2 6.8 3.7 35.4 95.7 4.3 M M
25000 -21.7 -7.1 115 4 2 7.3 4.0 34.4 94.0 3.5 M M
24000 -19.3 -2.7 085 5 2 7.9 4.3 33.6 92.5 2.9 M M
23000 -17.0 1.4 065 5 3 7.9 4.3 33.0 91.3 2.3 M M
22000 -14.6 5.7 055 7 4 7.6 4.2 32.4 90.3 1.8 M M
21000 -12.4 9.7 040 8 4 7.4 4.1 31.5 88.7 1.0 M M
20000 -10.3 13.5 025 9 5 7.5 4.1 30.7 87.3 0.3 M M
19500 -9.2 15.4 020 10 5 7.6 4.2 30.4 86.6 0.0 M M
19000 -8.0 17.6 020 10 5 8.6 4.7 30.1 86.2 -0.2 1198 6.1
18500 -6.7 19.9 020 10 5 8.6 4.7 29.9 85.8 -0.5 1146 5.8
18000 -5.4 22.3 025 10 5 8.9 4.9 29.7 85.5 -0.7 1093 5.6
17500 -4.1 24.6 025 10 5 9.0 4.9 29.6 85.3 -0.8 1039 5.3
17000 -2.8 27.0 030 9 5 9.0 4.9 29.5 85.0 -1.0 985 5.0
16500 -1.5 29.3 030 8 4 8.9 4.9 29.3 84.8 -1.1 931 4.7
16000 -0.2 31.6 035 7 4 8.9 4.9 29.2 84.5 -1.3 876 4.5
15500 1.1 34.0 035 5 3 8.4 4.6 29.0 84.2 -1.5 824 4.2
15000 2.3 36.1 040 4 2 8.4 4.6 28.8 83.8 -1.7 773 3.9
14500 3.5 38.3 060 2 1 8.1 4.4 28.6 83.4 -2.0 722 3.7
14000 4.6 40.3 110 1 0 8.0 4.4 28.3 82.9 -2.4 674 3.4
13500 5.7 42.3 185 2 1 8.0 4.4 28.0 82.3 -2.8 626 3.2
13000 6.9 44.4 200 3 1 8.1 4.4 27.7 81.8 -3.1 577 2.9
12500 8.0 46.4 205 4 2 8.1 4.4 27.4 81.4 -3.4 527 2.7
12000 9.8 49.6 205 4 2 8.3 4.5 27.0 80.7 -3.8 451 2.3
11500 11.0 51.8 200 5 2 7.5 4.1 26.8 80.2 -4.1 402 2.0
11000 12.0 53.6 180 4 2 7.5 4.1 26.4 79.5 -4.5 354 1.8
10500 13.1 55.6 165 5 3 6.2 3.4 26.0 78.8 -5.0 309 1.6
10250 13.5 56.3 155 5 3 6.1 3.3 25.7 78.3 -5.3 289 1.5
10000 14.0 57.2 150 6 3 6.6 3.6 25.4 77.8 -5.6 267 1.4
9750 14.4 57.9 145 6 3 6.5 3.5 25.2 77.3 -5.9 246 1.3
9500 14.9 58.8 140 6 3 5.8 3.2 24.9 76.9 -6.2 225 1.1
9250 15.3 59.5 135 7 4 6.3 3.4 24.6 76.3 -6.5 206 1.0
9000 15.8 60.4 130 6 3 7.2 4.0 24.4 75.9 -6.7 183 0.9
8750 16.3 61.3 125 6 3 6.7 3.7 24.2 75.6 -7.0 160 0.8
8500 16.8 62.2 115 6 3 5.5 3.0 23.9 75.1 -7.2 139 0.7
8250 17.1 62.8 110 5 3 4.9 2.7 23.6 74.4 -7.6 120 0.6
8000 17.5 63.5 100 5 3 5.5 3.0 23.2 73.8 -8.0 101 0.5
7750 17.9 64.2 090 5 3 5.2 2.9 22.9 73.2 -8.3 81 0.4
7500 18.3 64.9 085 5 3 4.7 2.6 22.5 72.6 -8.7 63 0.3
7250 18.7 65.7 075 4 2 4.4 2.4 22.1 71.9 -9.1 45 0.2
7000 19.0 66.2 065 4 2 4.5 2.5 21.7 71.1 -9.5 27 0.1
6750 19.2 66.6 070 4 2 -1.7 -0.9 21.2 70.2 -10.1 14 0.1
6500 17.9 64.2 060 3 2 -38.1 -20.9 19.3 66.7 -12.1 44 0.2
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/30/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/30/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +329.7 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +550.8 LI... -2.5
CINH... -132.2 K Index... +24.9 | CINH... -5.2 K Index... +27.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.3 -80.1 295 20 10 3.4 1.9 | -63.0 -81.4 285 17 9 3.4 1.8
45000 -56.6 -69.9 280 25 13 4.1 2.2 | -57.7 -71.9 300 14 7 3.5 1.9
40000 -50.5 -58.9 260 17 9 4.2 2.3 | -51.9 -61.4 060 5 3 6.0 3.3
38000 -47.9 -54.2 240 14 7 4.2 2.3 | -48.3 -54.9 090 7 4 6.0 3.3
36000 -45.4 -49.7 215 13 7 3.9 2.1 | -44.7 -48.5 105 10 5 6.0 3.3
34000 -41.2 -42.2 215 13 7 7.5 4.1 | -40.1 -40.2 120 11 6 7.8 4.3
32000 -36.7 -34.1 220 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -35.4 -31.7 140 12 6 7.8 4.3
30000 -32.7 -26.9 230 8 4 6.3 3.5 | -30.7 -23.3 115 10 5 7.9 4.3
29000 -30.8 -23.4 240 6 3 6.3 3.5 | -28.3 -18.9 100 9 5 7.9 4.3
28000 -28.4 -19.1 255 4 2 6.9 3.8 | -25.5 -13.9 080 10 5 6.3 3.5
27000 -26.3 -15.3 205 2 1 7.0 3.8 | -23.6 -10.5 070 9 5 6.5 3.6
26000 -24.3 -11.7 130 3 1 7.1 3.9 | -21.6 -6.9 060 9 5 6.5 3.6
25000 -22.2 -8.0 115 5 3 7.8 4.3 | -19.7 -3.5 050 9 5 6.6 3.6
24000 -19.7 -3.5 080 7 4 8.4 4.6 | -17.7 0.1 045 8 4 6.7 3.7
23000 -17.2 1.0 065 11 6 8.4 4.6 | -15.8 3.6 045 6 3 6.7 3.7
22000 -14.7 5.5 055 14 7 8.2 4.5 | -13.8 7.2 040 5 3 7.1 3.9
21000 -12.3 9.9 050 15 8 8.1 4.5 | -11.6 11.1 030 5 3 7.3 4.0
20000 -9.8 14.4 045 15 8 8.1 4.5 | -9.4 15.1 020 5 3 7.3 4.0
19500 -8.6 16.5 040 16 8 8.1 4.5 | -8.3 17.1 015 5 3 7.3 4.0
19000 -7.4 18.7 040 15 8 8.0 4.4 | -7.3 18.9 015 5 2 7.2 3.9
18500 -6.3 20.7 035 15 8 8.0 4.4 | -6.3 20.7 005 4 2 7.2 3.9
18000 -5.1 22.8 035 14 7 8.4 4.6 | -5.2 22.6 360 3 2 7.5 4.1
17500 -3.8 25.2 030 14 7 8.5 4.7 | -4.1 24.6 355 3 1 7.6 4.2
17000 -2.6 27.3 030 13 7 8.5 4.7 | -3.0 26.6 345 2 1 7.7 4.2
16500 -1.3 29.7 030 11 6 8.6 4.7 | -1.9 28.6 335 1 1 8.1 4.4
16000 -0.1 31.8 030 10 5 8.7 4.8 | -0.7 30.7 315 1 1 8.1 4.4
15500 1.2 34.2 035 8 4 8.5 4.7 | 0.5 32.9 285 1 1 8.4 4.6
15000 2.4 36.3 035 6 3 8.5 4.7 | 1.7 35.1 260 1 1 8.4 4.6
14500 3.7 38.7 035 5 2 8.3 4.6 | 2.9 37.2 240 1 1 8.8 4.8
14000 4.8 40.6 035 3 2 8.2 4.5 | 4.2 39.6 230 2 1 8.9 4.9
13500 6.0 42.8 025 2 1 8.2 4.5 | 5.5 41.9 220 2 1 9.0 5.0
13000 7.2 45.0 020 1 1 8.2 4.5 | 6.9 44.4 215 3 1 9.2 5.1
12500 8.3 46.9 000 0 0 8.1 4.5 | 8.2 46.8 210 3 2 9.1 5.0
12000 9.4 48.9 220 1 0 7.5 4.1 | 9.5 49.1 200 4 2 8.7 4.8
11500 11.1 52.0 190 2 1 7.9 4.3 | 10.7 51.3 195 5 2 9.7 5.3
11000 12.2 54.0 175 2 1 7.7 4.2 | 12.1 53.8 195 5 3 8.4 4.6
10500 13.3 55.9 155 2 1 7.0 3.8 | 13.4 56.1 195 6 3 8.1 4.5
10250 13.8 56.8 145 3 1 6.6 3.6 | 14.7 58.5 195 6 3 9.9 5.4
10000 14.3 57.7 140 3 1 6.8 3.7 | 15.4 59.7 195 6 3 9.7 5.3
9750 14.7 58.5 130 3 1 6.6 3.6 | 16.1 61.0 195 7 3 9.7 5.3
9500 15.2 59.4 120 3 2 5.5 3.0 | 16.8 62.2 195 7 3 9.4 5.1
9250 15.5 59.9 110 3 2 5.7 3.1 | 17.5 63.5 195 7 3 9.9 5.4
9000 16.0 60.8 100 3 2 6.6 3.6 | 18.3 64.9 195 7 3 10.4 5.7
8750 16.5 61.7 090 3 2 6.0 3.3 | 19.1 66.4 195 7 3 10.1 5.5
8500 16.9 62.4 080 3 2 4.6 2.5 | 19.8 67.6 195 7 3 9.5 5.2
8250 17.2 63.0 065 3 2 5.2 2.9 | 20.5 68.9 195 7 3 9.7 5.3
8000 17.7 63.9 055 3 2 7.2 4.0 | 21.2 70.2 195 7 3 10.4 5.7
7750 18.3 64.9 050 3 2 8.5 4.7 | 22.0 71.6 195 7 3 10.4 5.7
7500 18.9 66.0 045 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 22.8 73.0 195 6 3 10.3 5.7
7250 19.6 67.3 045 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 23.6 74.5 195 6 3 10.5 5.7
7000 20.4 68.7 040 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 24.3 75.7 195 6 3 10.3 5.6
6750 21.2 70.2 040 3 2 13.8 7.6 | 25.2 77.4 195 6 3 15.7 8.6
6500 22.7 72.9 035 3 2 29.6 16.2 | 27.3 81.1 200 5 3 47.3 25.9
06/30/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/30/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +152.7 LI... -1.5 | CAPE... +22.0 LI... -0.3
CINH... -57.4 K Index... +28.8 | CINH... -105.2 K Index... +25.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.9 -81.2 295 20 10 4.3 2.4 | -63.3 -81.9 320 22 11 3.0 1.7
45000 -57.3 -71.1 265 17 9 2.1 1.2 | -58.9 -74.0 295 10 5 2.8 1.5
40000 -52.9 -63.2 205 29 15 8.0 4.4 | -53.6 -64.5 170 24 12 8.2 4.5
38000 -48.1 -54.6 200 23 12 8.1 4.4 | -48.7 -55.7 160 24 12 8.3 4.5
36000 -43.2 -45.8 195 18 9 8.1 4.4 | -43.1 -45.6 145 26 13 8.5 4.6
34000 -38.6 -37.5 195 14 7 7.7 4.2 | -38.0 -36.4 140 24 12 8.6 4.7
32000 -34.0 -29.2 190 10 5 7.7 4.2 | -32.8 -27.0 140 23 12 8.6 4.7
30000 -29.2 -20.6 160 6 3 7.1 3.9 | -28.2 -18.8 135 19 10 7.7 4.2
29000 -27.1 -16.8 135 5 2 7.1 3.9 | -25.9 -14.6 135 17 9 7.7 4.2
28000 -25.0 -13.0 105 5 3 6.2 3.4 | -23.7 -10.7 135 15 8 6.7 3.7
27000 -23.1 -9.6 070 5 3 6.3 3.4 | -21.8 -7.2 125 12 6 6.4 3.5
26000 -21.3 -6.3 050 6 3 6.3 3.4 | -19.9 -3.8 115 8 4 6.5 3.5
25000 -19.5 -3.1 035 8 4 6.3 3.5 | -18.0 -0.4 090 5 3 6.5 3.5
24000 -17.6 0.3 025 9 4 6.4 3.5 | -16.3 2.7 035 5 3 5.7 3.2
23000 -15.6 3.9 020 9 5 6.4 3.5 | -14.1 6.6 005 9 5 5.8 3.2
22000 -13.7 7.3 015 9 5 6.4 3.5 | -12.4 9.7 355 13 7 5.9 3.2
21000 -11.9 10.6 015 8 4 6.4 3.5 | -10.7 12.7 005 13 7 5.9 3.2
20000 -10.0 14.0 015 7 4 6.5 3.5 | -9.0 15.8 010 14 7 5.9 3.3
19500 -9.1 15.6 015 7 4 6.5 3.6 | -8.2 17.2 015 15 7 6.0 3.3
19000 -8.1 17.4 015 6 3 6.4 3.5 | -7.3 18.9 015 15 8 6.2 3.4
18500 -7.2 19.0 015 6 3 6.5 3.6 | -6.4 20.5 020 16 8 6.2 3.4
18000 -6.3 20.7 015 6 3 6.9 3.8 | -5.5 22.1 020 16 8 6.6 3.6
17500 -5.2 22.6 015 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -4.5 23.9 020 17 9 6.7 3.7
17000 -4.2 24.4 020 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -3.5 25.7 020 17 9 6.7 3.7
16500 -3.1 26.4 020 5 2 7.2 4.0 | -2.6 27.3 020 16 8 6.7 3.7
16000 -2.1 28.2 025 5 2 7.2 4.0 | -1.6 29.1 025 15 8 6.6 3.6
15500 -1.0 30.2 030 4 2 7.4 4.0 | -0.6 30.9 025 14 7 7.3 4.0
15000 0.1 32.2 035 4 2 7.4 4.1 | 0.5 32.9 030 13 7 7.3 4.0
14500 1.6 34.9 045 4 2 6.9 3.8 | 1.6 34.9 030 12 6 6.9 3.8
14000 2.7 36.9 055 5 2 6.9 3.8 | 2.5 36.5 030 11 6 6.7 3.7
13500 3.7 38.7 055 5 3 7.5 4.1 | 3.5 38.3 035 11 5 6.9 3.8
13000 4.8 40.6 055 6 3 7.5 4.1 | 4.6 40.3 040 10 5 7.3 4.0
12500 5.9 42.6 050 6 3 8.2 4.5 | 5.6 42.1 045 10 5 7.0 3.9
12000 7.2 45.0 045 7 4 8.7 4.7 | 6.5 43.7 055 10 5 6.0 3.3
11500 8.3 46.9 040 8 4 7.6 4.2 | 7.4 45.3 065 11 6 7.2 4.0
11000 9.5 49.1 040 9 5 8.3 4.5 | 8.4 47.1 070 12 6 6.2 3.4
10500 10.8 51.4 040 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 9.4 48.9 075 13 7 6.2 3.4
10250 11.5 52.7 040 9 5 8.2 4.5 | 9.8 49.6 075 13 7 5.9 3.3
10000 12.0 53.6 040 10 5 7.3 4.0 | 10.2 50.4 080 14 7 6.7 3.7
9750 12.6 54.7 040 10 5 7.5 4.1 | 10.7 51.3 080 14 7 7.1 3.9
9500 13.2 55.8 040 11 5 8.7 4.8 | 11.7 53.1 085 14 7 6.5 3.6
9250 13.8 56.8 040 10 5 8.1 4.5 | 12.2 54.0 085 14 7 6.7 3.7
9000 14.3 57.7 040 11 6 6.6 3.6 | 12.7 54.9 085 14 7 7.4 4.0
8750 14.9 58.8 040 11 6 7.3 4.0 | 13.2 55.8 085 14 7 6.4 3.5
8500 15.4 59.7 040 12 6 9.1 5.0 | 13.6 56.5 090 14 7 4.9 2.7
8250 16.1 61.0 035 11 6 8.7 4.8 | 13.9 57.0 090 14 7 5.1 2.8
8000 16.6 61.9 035 12 6 5.1 2.8 | 14.3 57.7 095 13 7 7.3 4.0
7750 16.9 62.4 035 12 6 5.7 3.1 | 14.8 58.6 095 13 7 6.3 3.5
7500 17.5 63.5 030 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 15.2 59.4 100 12 6 4.5 2.5
7250 18.1 64.6 025 12 6 8.7 4.8 | 15.5 59.9 105 11 6 4.6 2.5
7000 18.7 65.7 025 12 6 8.1 4.5 | 15.8 60.4 110 11 5 7.5 4.1
6750 19.3 66.7 025 12 6 11.2 6.2 | 16.6 61.9 110 10 5 14.1 7.7
6500 20.7 69.3 015 10 5 32.6 17.9 | 17.5 63.5 115 9 4 8.0 4.4
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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