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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0741 MDT Sunday March 15 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, March 15, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 58.5 F/14.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
Maximum rate of lift........................ 381 ft/min (1.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 10993 ft MSL (4663 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 59.0 F/15.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1345 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ More than 30 mph
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 6394 ft MSL (64 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 03/16....... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:14:04 / 19:11:32 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 57 min 28 sec (717 min 28 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:12:48 MDT... 53.00 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 03/15/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11482 ft MSL (5152 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 19260 ft MSL (12930 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15821 ft MSL (9491 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +5.0
K index......................... -4.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 290 59 30 1.6 0.9 89.2 192.5 43.1 M M
45000 -60.2 -76.4 285 74 38 0.2 0.1 69.7 157.5 34.0 M M
40000 -60.3 -76.5 295 83 43 -0.1 -0.1 46.4 115.6 20.9 M M
38000 -58.8 -73.8 305 82 42 4.5 2.5 40.1 104.1 17.2 M M
36000 -56.1 -69.0 315 79 41 4.6 2.5 35.5 96.0 14.4 M M
34000 -52.2 -62.0 325 80 41 8.4 4.6 31.9 89.5 12.3 M M
32000 -47.2 -53.0 325 83 43 8.4 4.6 30.7 87.3 11.7 M M
30000 -42.1 -43.8 325 85 44 8.6 4.7 29.8 85.7 11.3 M M
29000 -39.5 -39.1 320 84 43 8.6 4.7 29.3 84.8 11.1 M M
28000 -36.9 -34.4 320 83 43 8.7 4.7 29.0 84.1 10.9 M M
27000 -34.4 -29.9 320 82 42 7.9 4.3 28.6 83.5 10.7 M M
26000 -32.0 -25.6 315 79 41 7.8 4.3 27.8 82.0 10.2 M M
25000 -29.7 -21.5 315 75 39 7.8 4.3 27.1 80.7 9.8 M M
24000 -27.3 -17.1 315 72 37 8.3 4.5 26.5 79.7 9.4 M M
23000 -24.7 -12.5 310 69 35 8.6 4.7 26.0 78.8 9.1 M M
22000 -22.2 -8.0 310 66 34 8.6 4.7 25.6 78.1 8.9 M M
21000 -19.6 -3.3 305 64 33 8.5 4.7 25.2 77.4 8.7 M M
20000 -17.0 1.4 305 63 32 8.5 4.7 24.8 76.6 8.3 M M
19500 -15.8 3.6 305 63 32 8.5 4.7 24.5 76.2 8.2 M M
19000 -13.8 7.2 305 62 32 8.6 4.7 24.3 75.7 8.0 M M
18500 -12.7 9.1 305 62 32 7.3 4.0 24.0 75.2 7.8 M M
18000 -11.5 11.3 305 62 32 7.4 4.1 23.6 74.5 7.5 M M
17500 -10.4 13.3 305 62 32 7.0 3.8 23.2 73.8 7.2 M M
17000 -9.4 15.1 305 61 32 6.7 3.7 22.7 72.8 6.8 M M
16500 -8.5 16.7 305 61 31 6.6 3.6 22.1 71.9 6.3 M M
16000 -7.5 18.5 305 60 31 6.3 3.5 21.6 70.9 5.9 M M
15500 -6.5 20.3 305 59 30 6.3 3.5 21.0 69.9 5.4 M M
15000 -5.6 21.9 305 58 30 6.8 3.7 20.5 68.9 4.9 M M
14500 -4.6 23.7 305 58 30 6.8 3.7 20.0 68.0 4.5 M M
14000 -3.6 25.5 305 58 30 5.3 2.9 19.5 67.1 4.1 M M
13500 -2.9 26.8 305 59 30 4.6 2.5 18.7 65.6 3.3 M M
13000 -2.3 27.9 305 60 31 4.4 2.4 17.8 64.1 2.5 M M
12500 -1.7 28.9 300 60 31 4.3 2.4 16.9 62.5 1.6 M M
12000 -1.1 30.0 300 60 31 5.7 3.1 16.1 60.9 0.7 M M
11500 -0.0 32.0 300 59 30 8.3 4.5 15.7 60.3 0.3 M M
11000 1.1 34.0 300 58 30 7.9 4.3 15.4 59.8 0.0 M M
10500 2.4 36.3 300 57 29 8.7 4.8 15.2 59.4 -0.2 330 1.7
10250 3.0 37.4 300 56 29 8.8 4.8 15.2 59.3 -0.3 303 1.5
10000 3.7 38.7 300 56 29 8.4 4.6 15.1 59.2 -0.4 276 1.4
9750 4.3 39.7 300 55 28 8.0 4.4 15.0 58.9 -0.5 251 1.3
9500 4.9 40.8 300 54 28 8.1 4.5 14.8 58.7 -0.6 226 1.1
9250 5.5 41.9 300 53 27 7.7 4.2 14.7 58.4 -0.8 200 1.0
9000 6.1 43.0 300 51 26 9.6 5.3 14.6 58.2 -0.9 175 0.9
8750 6.8 44.2 300 50 26 9.4 5.1 14.6 58.3 -0.8 144 0.7
8500 7.4 45.3 300 49 25 7.2 4.0 14.5 58.0 -1.0 119 0.6
8250 8.0 46.4 295 47 24 8.0 4.4 14.3 57.7 -1.1 94 0.5
8000 8.6 47.5 295 46 24 9.0 4.9 14.2 57.6 -1.2 68 0.3
7750 9.3 48.7 295 44 23 8.6 4.7 14.2 57.5 -1.3 40 0.2
7500 9.9 49.8 295 43 22 7.8 4.3 14.0 57.2 -1.4 15 0.1
7250 10.5 50.9 295 41 21 7.8 4.3 13.9 57.0 -1.6 M M
7000 11.1 52.0 295 39 20 7.4 4.1 13.7 56.7 -1.7 M M
6750 11.6 52.9 295 35 18 6.4 3.5 13.5 56.3 -1.9 M M
6500 11.9 53.4 295 30 15 2.2 1.2 13.1 55.7 -2.3 M M
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
03/15/2026 at 0900 MDT | 03/15/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +6.3 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +7.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -9.8 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -2.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.7 -82.7 290 59 30 2.5 1.3 | -62.5 -80.5 300 47 24 2.0 1.1
45000 -60.0 -76.0 290 57 29 -0.1 -0.0 | -59.4 -74.9 295 45 23 0.6 0.3
40000 -60.5 -76.9 295 84 43 -0.3 -0.2 | -58.6 -73.5 300 83 43 0.5 0.3
38000 -59.0 -74.2 300 83 43 4.4 2.4 | -57.6 -71.7 310 91 47 2.7 1.5
36000 -56.4 -69.5 315 76 39 4.4 2.4 | -56.0 -68.8 320 97 50 2.7 1.5
34000 -53.2 -63.8 325 75 38 8.7 4.8 | -53.5 -64.3 330 103 53 9.3 5.1
32000 -47.2 -53.0 320 79 40 8.8 4.8 | -47.3 -53.1 325 99 51 9.2 5.1
30000 -41.8 -43.2 315 81 42 9.2 5.0 | -41.9 -43.4 325 94 48 8.5 4.7
29000 -39.1 -38.4 315 82 42 9.2 5.0 | -39.3 -38.7 320 91 47 8.5 4.7
28000 -36.3 -33.3 315 82 42 9.2 5.0 | -36.8 -34.2 315 88 45 8.5 4.7
27000 -33.7 -28.7 315 82 42 7.6 4.2 | -34.3 -29.7 310 86 44 7.8 4.3
26000 -31.4 -24.5 310 79 41 7.7 4.2 | -31.9 -25.4 310 84 43 7.8 4.3
25000 -29.1 -20.4 310 77 40 7.7 4.3 | -29.6 -21.3 305 83 43 7.8 4.3
24000 -26.7 -16.1 310 75 38 8.1 4.5 | -27.2 -17.0 300 82 42 7.7 4.2
23000 -24.2 -11.6 310 74 38 8.3 4.6 | -25.0 -13.0 300 80 41 7.5 4.1
22000 -21.8 -7.2 305 74 38 8.3 4.6 | -22.7 -8.9 300 79 41 7.6 4.1
21000 -19.3 -2.7 305 74 38 7.5 4.1 | -20.5 -4.9 300 77 40 7.7 4.2
20000 -17.1 1.2 305 72 37 7.5 4.1 | -18.2 -0.8 300 75 39 7.8 4.3
19500 -16.0 3.2 305 71 37 7.5 4.1 | -17.0 1.4 300 74 38 7.8 4.3
19000 -14.8 5.4 300 71 36 7.5 4.1 | -15.8 3.6 300 73 37 7.8 4.3
18500 -13.7 7.3 300 70 36 7.7 4.2 | -14.7 5.5 305 72 37 7.4 4.1
18000 -12.0 10.4 300 69 35 7.8 4.3 | -13.1 8.4 305 70 36 7.2 4.0
17500 -10.8 12.6 305 68 35 7.9 4.3 | -12.0 10.4 305 70 36 7.1 3.9
17000 -9.6 14.7 305 68 35 7.9 4.4 | -11.0 12.2 310 69 36 7.0 3.8
16500 -8.4 16.9 305 68 35 7.8 4.3 | -9.9 14.2 310 69 35 6.8 3.7
16000 -7.3 18.9 305 68 35 7.1 3.9 | -9.0 15.8 310 68 35 5.9 3.2
15500 -6.3 20.7 305 68 35 7.3 4.0 | -8.1 17.4 315 68 35 6.0 3.3
15000 -5.3 22.5 310 68 35 5.0 2.7 | -7.3 18.9 315 67 34 4.9 2.7
14500 -4.6 23.7 310 68 35 5.0 2.8 | -6.5 20.3 315 66 34 5.0 2.8
14000 -3.9 25.0 310 67 34 4.3 2.3 | -5.9 21.4 320 64 33 3.5 1.9
13500 -3.3 26.1 310 65 34 4.0 2.2 | -5.4 22.3 315 61 31 3.1 1.7
13000 -2.7 27.1 310 64 33 4.4 2.4 | -5.0 23.0 315 58 30 3.0 1.6
12500 -2.0 28.4 310 61 31 4.8 2.6 | -4.6 23.7 315 50 26 3.0 1.7
12000 -1.3 29.7 305 59 30 5.3 2.9 | -4.1 24.6 315 43 22 5.9 3.2
11500 -0.5 31.1 305 56 29 6.0 3.3 | -2.9 26.8 310 41 21 8.1 4.5
11000 0.3 32.5 300 54 28 4.9 2.7 | -1.7 28.9 310 39 20 8.3 4.6
10500 0.9 33.6 300 50 26 4.6 2.5 | -0.4 31.3 310 38 20 8.6 4.7
10250 1.2 34.2 300 48 25 4.5 2.5 | 0.3 32.5 310 38 19 9.7 5.3
10000 1.5 34.7 300 46 24 4.8 2.6 | 1.0 33.8 310 37 19 9.9 5.4
9750 1.9 35.4 300 44 23 5.2 2.9 | 1.7 35.1 310 37 19 9.0 4.9
9500 2.3 36.1 300 41 21 5.1 2.8 | 2.4 36.3 310 36 19 9.2 5.0
9250 2.7 36.9 305 39 20 5.4 3.0 | 3.1 37.6 310 36 18 9.4 5.2
9000 3.1 37.6 305 37 19 8.0 4.4 | 3.8 38.8 310 35 18 9.7 5.3
8750 3.8 38.8 305 35 18 8.7 4.8 | 4.5 40.1 310 35 18 9.4 5.2
8500 4.4 39.9 305 34 18 7.7 4.2 | 5.2 41.4 310 34 18 9.3 5.1
8250 5.0 41.0 305 33 17 8.2 4.5 | 5.9 42.6 310 34 17 9.5 5.2
8000 5.6 42.1 305 32 16 8.8 4.8 | 6.7 44.1 310 33 17 9.8 5.4
7750 6.3 43.3 310 31 16 9.1 5.0 | 7.4 45.3 310 33 17 10.0 5.5
7500 6.9 44.4 310 30 16 8.8 4.8 | 8.1 46.6 310 32 16 10.1 5.6
7250 7.6 45.7 310 30 15 9.6 5.2 | 8.9 48.0 305 31 16 10.6 5.8
7000 8.4 47.1 310 28 14 10.5 5.8 | 9.7 49.5 305 30 15 11.3 6.2
6750 9.1 48.4 310 26 14 10.1 5.5 | 10.6 51.1 305 29 15 10.4 5.7
6500 9.9 49.8 310 24 12 11.6 6.4 | 11.5 52.7 305 27 14 16.5 9.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
03/15/2026 at 1500 MDT | 03/15/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +8.3 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +9.1
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -1.5 | CINH... -0.7 K Index... -7.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.8 -79.2 310 45 23 2.7 1.5 | -63.4 -82.1 320 62 32 1.1 0.6
45000 -57.9 -72.2 305 57 29 -2.9 -1.6 | -61.8 -79.2 320 79 41 -0.1 -0.1
40000 -63.8 -82.8 330 93 48 -4.0 -2.2 | -62.4 -80.3 330 86 44 -0.4 -0.2
38000 -62.0 -79.6 330 102 53 8.1 4.4 | -60.0 -76.0 335 89 46 6.7 3.7
36000 -57.1 -70.8 335 106 55 8.1 4.4 | -55.9 -68.6 335 93 48 6.7 3.7
34000 -52.2 -62.0 335 107 55 8.6 4.7 | -50.9 -59.6 340 94 48 8.6 4.7
32000 -46.4 -51.5 330 100 52 8.6 4.7 | -45.8 -50.4 335 90 46 8.6 4.7
30000 -41.3 -42.3 325 94 49 8.3 4.6 | -40.7 -41.3 330 86 44 8.4 4.6
29000 -38.9 -38.0 320 91 47 8.3 4.6 | -38.2 -36.8 330 84 43 8.4 4.6
28000 -36.4 -33.5 320 88 45 8.3 4.6 | -35.7 -32.3 325 81 42 8.4 4.6
27000 -33.9 -29.0 315 86 44 8.5 4.7 | -33.2 -27.8 320 79 41 8.2 4.5
26000 -31.3 -24.3 310 83 43 8.5 4.7 | -30.7 -23.3 320 76 39 8.3 4.5
25000 -28.8 -19.8 310 81 42 8.5 4.7 | -28.2 -18.8 315 74 38 8.3 4.5
24000 -26.2 -15.2 305 79 41 8.5 4.7 | -25.7 -14.3 315 72 37 8.6 4.7
23000 -23.7 -10.7 305 79 40 8.5 4.7 | -23.1 -9.6 310 71 37 8.6 4.7
22000 -21.1 -6.0 305 78 40 8.5 4.7 | -20.5 -4.9 310 70 36 8.6 4.7
21000 -18.7 -1.7 300 78 40 7.0 3.9 | -18.0 -0.4 310 69 36 8.6 4.7
20000 -16.6 2.1 300 78 40 7.0 3.9 | -15.4 4.3 310 69 35 8.6 4.7
19500 -15.6 3.9 300 79 40 7.0 3.9 | -14.1 6.6 310 69 35 8.6 4.7
19000 -14.5 5.9 300 79 40 7.0 3.9 | -12.8 9.0 310 68 35 8.6 4.7
18500 -13.5 7.7 300 78 40 6.5 3.6 | -11.0 12.2 310 68 35 7.3 4.0
18000 -12.5 9.5 300 77 40 6.3 3.4 | -9.9 14.2 310 68 35 7.5 4.1
17500 -11.2 11.8 305 76 39 5.7 3.1 | -8.8 16.2 315 68 35 6.0 3.3
17000 -10.4 13.3 305 75 38 5.5 3.0 | -8.0 17.6 315 67 35 5.4 3.0
16500 -9.6 14.7 310 74 38 5.4 3.0 | -7.2 19.0 315 67 34 5.1 2.8
16000 -8.8 16.2 310 72 37 4.9 2.7 | -6.6 20.1 315 66 34 3.8 2.1
15500 -8.1 17.4 310 71 37 5.0 2.7 | -6.0 21.2 320 65 33 3.9 2.2
15000 -7.4 18.7 315 70 36 4.2 2.3 | -5.5 22.1 320 64 33 3.3 1.8
14500 -6.8 19.8 315 68 35 4.2 2.3 | -5.0 23.0 320 62 32 3.4 1.8
14000 -6.1 21.0 315 66 34 4.2 2.3 | -4.5 23.9 325 60 31 3.7 2.0
13500 -5.5 22.1 315 64 33 4.2 2.3 | -3.9 25.0 325 59 30 3.8 2.1
13000 -4.9 23.2 315 61 31 3.7 2.0 | -3.4 25.9 325 57 29 3.8 2.1
12500 -4.4 24.1 315 54 28 3.5 1.9 | -2.8 27.0 325 56 29 3.9 2.1
12000 -3.9 25.0 310 48 25 6.0 3.3 | -2.2 28.0 320 55 28 4.2 2.3
11500 -2.6 27.3 310 46 24 7.9 4.3 | -1.5 29.3 320 55 28 4.7 2.6
11000 -1.3 29.7 310 45 23 9.2 5.0 | -1.0 30.2 315 55 28 3.5 1.9
10500 0.0 32.0 310 44 23 8.9 4.9 | -0.3 31.5 315 52 27 4.1 2.3
10250 0.7 33.3 310 44 23 9.2 5.0 | 0.0 32.0 310 51 26 4.7 2.6
10000 1.4 34.5 310 44 22 9.2 5.1 | 0.4 32.7 310 50 26 6.1 3.3
9750 2.1 35.8 310 43 22 9.1 5.0 | 0.9 33.6 310 49 25 6.7 3.7
9500 2.7 36.9 310 43 22 9.0 4.9 | 1.4 34.5 310 47 24 6.2 3.4
9250 3.4 38.1 310 43 22 9.5 5.2 | 1.9 35.4 305 46 24 7.4 4.1
9000 4.2 39.6 310 43 22 9.9 5.4 | 2.5 36.5 305 45 23 9.8 5.4
8750 4.9 40.8 310 42 22 9.1 5.0 | 3.3 37.9 305 45 23 9.6 5.2
8500 5.5 41.9 310 42 22 8.8 4.8 | 3.9 39.0 305 44 23 8.5 4.7
8250 6.2 43.2 310 42 22 9.1 5.0 | 4.6 40.3 305 44 23 9.4 5.1
8000 6.9 44.4 310 42 21 9.6 5.3 | 5.4 41.7 305 43 22 10.3 5.6
7750 7.6 45.7 310 41 21 9.9 5.4 | 6.1 43.0 305 43 22 10.2 5.6
7500 8.4 47.1 310 41 21 10.0 5.5 | 6.9 44.4 305 42 22 10.0 5.5
7250 9.2 48.6 310 40 21 10.6 5.8 | 7.6 45.7 305 41 21 10.2 5.6
7000 10.0 50.0 310 39 20 11.2 6.1 | 8.4 47.1 305 39 20 10.3 5.6
6750 10.8 51.4 310 37 19 11.1 6.1 | 9.2 48.6 305 37 19 10.6 5.8
6500 11.8 53.2 310 35 18 17.0 9.3 | 10.0 50.0 305 34 17 11.8 6.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0741 MDT Sunday March 15 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, March 15, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 62.1 F/16.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
Maximum rate of lift........................ 414 ft/min (2.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 10837 ft MSL (5167 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 63.0 F/17.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1345 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ More than 30 mph
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 6019 ft MSL (350 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 03/16....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:16:34 / 19:14:01 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 57 min 27 sec (717 min 27 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:15:17 MDT... 52.88 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 03/15/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11684 ft MSL (6014 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 19365 ft MSL (13695 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16038 ft MSL (10369 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +5.7
K index......................... -3.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.4 -82.1 295 63 33 1.1 0.6 90.5 194.8 42.3 M M
45000 -61.7 -79.1 285 68 35 0.4 0.2 69.6 157.3 32.3 M M
40000 -61.2 -78.2 295 82 42 0.3 0.1 47.2 117.0 19.9 M M
38000 -59.2 -74.6 305 79 41 5.4 3.0 41.5 106.7 16.5 M M
36000 -56.0 -68.8 315 73 38 5.4 3.0 37.7 99.9 14.3 M M
34000 -51.7 -61.1 325 73 38 8.2 4.5 34.6 94.4 12.5 M M
32000 -46.8 -52.2 325 78 40 8.2 4.5 33.3 92.0 11.9 M M
30000 -41.8 -43.2 325 81 41 8.8 4.8 32.4 90.2 11.4 M M
29000 -39.1 -38.4 320 80 41 8.8 4.8 31.9 89.5 11.3 M M
28000 -36.5 -33.7 320 79 41 8.8 4.8 31.6 88.9 11.2 M M
27000 -33.9 -29.0 320 79 41 8.2 4.5 31.3 88.3 11.0 M M
26000 -31.5 -24.7 315 77 40 8.2 4.5 30.6 87.1 10.6 M M
25000 -29.0 -20.2 315 75 39 8.2 4.5 30.0 86.0 10.3 M M
24000 -26.6 -15.9 315 73 38 8.0 4.4 29.6 85.2 10.0 M M
23000 -24.2 -11.6 315 70 36 7.9 4.3 28.8 83.8 9.5 M M
22000 -21.9 -7.4 310 68 35 7.9 4.3 28.1 82.7 9.1 M M
21000 -18.9 -2.0 310 65 34 8.0 4.4 27.4 81.3 8.6 M M
20000 -16.5 2.3 305 64 33 8.0 4.4 26.7 80.1 8.1 M M
19500 -15.3 4.5 305 64 33 8.0 4.4 26.5 79.6 7.9 M M
19000 -14.1 6.6 305 63 32 8.1 4.5 26.2 79.2 7.7 M M
18500 -12.9 8.8 305 63 32 7.2 4.0 25.9 78.5 7.5 M M
18000 -11.9 10.6 305 62 32 7.3 4.0 25.4 77.8 7.1 M M
17500 -10.8 12.6 305 62 32 7.0 3.8 25.0 77.1 6.8 M M
17000 -9.8 14.4 305 61 31 6.7 3.7 24.5 76.1 6.4 M M
16500 -8.8 16.2 305 60 31 6.7 3.7 24.0 75.2 5.9 M M
16000 -7.8 18.0 310 59 30 6.4 3.5 23.4 74.2 5.5 M M
15500 -6.8 19.8 310 58 30 6.5 3.5 22.9 73.2 5.0 M M
15000 -5.9 21.4 310 57 29 6.2 3.4 22.3 72.2 4.5 M M
14500 -5.0 23.0 310 56 29 6.2 3.4 21.7 71.1 4.0 M M
14000 -4.1 24.6 310 55 28 6.0 3.3 21.2 70.1 3.5 M M
13500 -3.2 26.2 305 55 28 5.9 3.2 20.5 69.0 2.9 M M
13000 -2.4 27.7 305 55 28 5.9 3.2 19.9 67.9 2.3 M M
12500 -1.5 29.3 305 54 28 5.8 3.2 19.3 66.7 1.7 M M
12000 -0.7 30.7 305 54 28 6.2 3.4 18.6 65.5 1.0 M M
11500 0.3 32.5 305 53 27 7.2 4.0 18.2 64.7 0.6 M M
11000 1.3 34.3 300 52 27 7.5 4.1 17.8 64.0 0.1 M M
10500 2.5 36.5 300 52 27 8.5 4.7 17.5 63.6 -0.1 387 2.0
10250 3.1 37.6 300 51 26 8.3 4.6 17.4 63.4 -0.2 361 1.8
10000 3.7 38.7 300 50 26 8.4 4.6 17.3 63.2 -0.3 335 1.7
9750 4.4 39.9 300 50 26 8.6 4.7 17.2 63.0 -0.4 309 1.6
9500 5.0 41.0 300 49 25 8.6 4.7 17.1 62.9 -0.5 282 1.4
9250 5.6 42.1 300 49 25 8.7 4.8 17.1 62.7 -0.6 256 1.3
9000 6.3 43.3 300 48 25 8.5 4.7 17.0 62.6 -0.7 229 1.2
8750 6.9 44.4 300 47 24 8.2 4.5 16.9 62.4 -0.8 203 1.0
8500 7.5 45.5 300 46 24 8.1 4.4 16.7 62.1 -0.9 177 0.9
8250 8.1 46.6 300 45 23 8.8 4.8 16.6 61.9 -1.0 151 0.8
8000 9.4 48.9 300 42 21 7.7 4.3 16.4 61.6 -1.2 98 0.5
7750 10.0 50.0 300 40 21 8.2 4.5 16.3 61.3 -1.3 73 0.4
7500 10.6 51.1 300 39 20 7.4 4.0 16.2 61.1 -1.5 47 0.2
7250 11.1 52.0 295 38 19 7.2 3.9 16.0 60.7 -1.7 25 0.1
7000 11.7 53.1 295 35 18 7.8 4.3 15.8 60.4 -1.9 0 0.0
6750 12.3 54.1 295 33 17 7.6 4.2 15.6 60.2 -2.0 M M
6500 12.8 55.0 295 30 16 7.6 4.2 15.5 59.9 -2.2 M M
6250 13.3 55.9 295 27 14 2.3 1.3 15.2 59.3 -2.5 M M
6000 13.1 55.6 290 21 11 -6.2 -3.4 14.3 57.7 -3.4 M M
5750 12.9 55.2 290 16 8 8.7 4.8 13.4 56.1 -4.3 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
03/15/2026 at 0900 MDT | 03/15/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +6.4 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +7.4
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -8.1 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -6.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.7 -82.7 295 63 33 2.0 1.1 | -61.4 -78.5 300 62 32 0.1 0.0
45000 -60.7 -77.3 295 60 31 -0.6 -0.3 | -61.3 -78.3 310 63 32 -0.3 -0.2
40000 -61.9 -79.4 295 79 41 -0.9 -0.5 | -62.7 -80.9 315 76 39 -0.9 -0.5
38000 -60.1 -76.2 305 78 40 5.6 3.1 | -60.5 -76.9 320 83 43 6.1 3.3
36000 -56.8 -70.2 320 75 39 5.6 3.1 | -56.8 -70.2 330 91 47 6.1 3.3
34000 -52.2 -62.0 330 77 40 8.9 4.9 | -52.5 -62.5 335 97 50 9.2 5.0
32000 -46.9 -52.4 325 79 41 8.9 4.9 | -47.0 -52.6 335 94 48 9.2 5.1
30000 -41.5 -42.7 320 81 42 9.2 5.0 | -41.5 -42.7 330 90 46 8.8 4.9
29000 -38.8 -37.8 320 81 41 9.2 5.0 | -38.9 -38.0 330 87 45 8.8 4.9
28000 -36.0 -32.8 320 80 41 9.2 5.0 | -36.2 -33.2 330 84 43 8.8 4.9
27000 -33.4 -28.1 315 80 41 7.6 4.2 | -33.6 -28.5 325 81 42 8.7 4.7
26000 -31.1 -24.0 315 77 40 7.8 4.3 | -30.3 -22.5 320 78 40 8.6 4.7
25000 -28.7 -19.7 315 75 38 7.8 4.3 | -27.7 -17.9 315 76 39 8.6 4.7
24000 -26.4 -15.5 310 72 37 7.9 4.3 | -25.3 -13.5 310 75 39 7.1 3.9
23000 -24.0 -11.2 310 72 37 8.0 4.4 | -23.1 -9.6 310 75 39 7.3 4.0
22000 -21.6 -6.9 305 72 37 8.0 4.4 | -20.9 -5.6 305 75 38 7.3 4.0
21000 -18.7 -1.7 305 71 37 7.4 4.1 | -18.7 -1.7 300 74 38 7.4 4.1
20000 -16.5 2.3 305 70 36 7.4 4.1 | -16.5 2.3 300 73 37 7.4 4.1
19500 -15.4 4.3 305 69 35 7.4 4.1 | -15.4 4.3 300 72 37 7.4 4.1
19000 -14.3 6.3 305 68 35 7.4 4.1 | -14.3 6.3 300 71 37 7.4 4.1
18500 -13.1 8.4 305 67 34 8.2 4.5 | -13.2 8.2 300 70 36 7.4 4.1
18000 -11.9 10.6 305 66 34 8.1 4.5 | -12.0 10.4 305 69 35 7.4 4.1
17500 -10.7 12.7 305 65 33 8.0 4.4 | -10.9 12.4 305 67 35 7.3 4.0
17000 -9.5 14.9 305 64 33 7.9 4.4 | -9.9 14.2 305 66 34 7.1 3.9
16500 -8.3 17.1 305 63 32 7.9 4.3 | -8.8 16.2 305 65 33 7.1 3.9
16000 -7.2 19.0 305 62 32 7.1 3.9 | -7.8 18.0 305 64 33 6.6 3.6
15500 -6.2 20.8 310 61 32 7.2 4.0 | -6.8 19.8 305 63 33 6.7 3.7
15000 -5.2 22.6 310 61 31 6.0 3.3 | -5.8 21.6 310 63 32 5.9 3.2
14500 -4.3 24.3 310 60 31 6.0 3.3 | -5.0 23.0 310 62 32 5.8 3.2
14000 -3.4 25.9 310 59 31 5.0 2.7 | -4.1 24.6 310 62 32 5.3 2.9
13500 -2.8 27.0 310 58 30 4.5 2.5 | -3.3 26.1 315 61 31 5.0 2.8
13000 -2.1 28.2 310 56 29 4.6 2.5 | -2.6 27.3 315 60 31 4.9 2.7
12500 -1.4 29.5 310 54 28 4.8 2.7 | -1.9 28.6 315 58 30 4.6 2.5
12000 -0.7 30.7 305 51 26 5.2 2.8 | -1.2 29.8 315 56 29 4.3 2.4
11500 0.1 32.2 305 49 25 5.8 3.2 | -0.7 30.7 315 52 27 3.7 2.0
11000 0.9 33.6 300 47 24 5.7 3.2 | -0.1 31.8 310 48 25 3.5 1.9
10500 1.7 35.1 300 46 23 5.4 3.0 | 0.3 32.5 310 44 23 3.5 1.9
10250 2.1 35.8 300 45 23 5.0 2.7 | 0.6 33.1 310 42 22 5.3 2.9
10000 2.4 36.3 300 44 22 4.7 2.6 | 1.0 33.8 310 40 21 6.2 3.4
9750 2.7 36.9 300 43 22 4.5 2.5 | 1.5 34.7 310 39 20 6.4 3.5
9500 3.0 37.4 300 43 22 4.6 2.5 | 1.9 35.4 310 39 20 6.1 3.3
9250 3.4 38.1 300 42 22 4.4 2.4 | 2.4 36.3 305 38 19 7.3 4.0
9000 3.7 38.7 305 40 21 4.4 2.4 | 3.0 37.4 305 37 19 8.7 4.8
8750 4.0 39.2 305 40 20 4.7 2.6 | 3.7 38.7 310 37 19 8.6 4.7
8500 4.4 39.9 310 39 20 4.1 2.3 | 4.3 39.7 310 37 19 8.2 4.5
8250 4.7 40.5 310 39 20 6.3 3.5 | 5.0 41.0 310 37 19 9.8 5.4
8000 5.3 41.5 315 37 19 7.7 4.2 | 5.8 42.4 310 36 19 10.4 5.7
7750 5.8 42.4 315 36 19 6.5 3.6 | 6.5 43.7 310 36 19 9.0 4.9
7500 6.8 44.2 315 34 18 5.3 2.9 | 7.9 46.2 310 36 18 7.7 4.2
7250 7.1 44.8 320 33 17 6.9 3.8 | 8.4 47.1 310 36 19 8.7 4.8
7000 7.8 46.0 320 32 16 9.8 5.4 | 9.2 48.6 310 35 18 11.5 6.3
6750 8.5 47.3 320 30 16 9.2 5.0 | 10.0 50.0 310 34 18 10.9 6.0
6500 9.2 48.6 320 29 15 9.3 5.1 | 10.8 51.4 310 33 17 9.3 5.1
6250 9.9 49.8 320 27 14 11.2 6.2 | 11.6 52.9 310 33 17 14.9 8.2
6000 10.9 51.6 315 23 12 15.3 8.4 | 13.2 55.8 310 29 15 28.2 15.5
5750 11.9 53.4 315 19 10 7.8 4.3 | 14.9 58.8 315 25 13 3.3 1.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
03/15/2026 at 1500 MDT | 03/15/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +8.6 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +10.4
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -0.7 | CINH... -0.7 K Index... -4.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.5 -76.9 320 52 27 0.1 0.1 | -61.3 -78.3 325 58 30 -1.1 -0.6
45000 -60.5 -76.9 315 76 39 -2.2 -1.2 | -62.9 -81.2 325 89 46 -0.5 -0.3
40000 -65.2 -85.4 340 102 52 -3.3 -1.8 | -63.4 -82.1 335 91 47 -0.4 -0.2
38000 -62.8 -81.0 340 105 54 9.0 4.9 | -60.7 -77.3 340 93 48 7.6 4.2
36000 -56.8 -70.2 340 102 52 9.0 4.9 | -55.5 -67.9 340 96 50 7.6 4.2
34000 -51.5 -60.7 335 98 50 8.7 4.8 | -50.7 -59.3 340 97 50 8.6 4.7
32000 -46.2 -51.2 330 93 48 8.7 4.8 | -45.6 -50.1 335 94 48 8.6 4.7
30000 -41.1 -42.0 325 89 46 8.5 4.6 | -40.6 -41.1 330 89 46 8.2 4.5
29000 -38.6 -37.5 325 87 45 8.5 4.7 | -38.1 -36.6 325 85 44 8.2 4.5
28000 -36.0 -32.8 320 85 44 8.5 4.7 | -35.7 -32.3 325 82 42 8.2 4.5
27000 -33.5 -28.3 320 83 43 8.5 4.7 | -33.3 -27.9 320 78 40 8.1 4.4
26000 -31.0 -23.8 315 81 42 8.5 4.7 | -30.9 -23.6 320 76 39 8.1 4.5
25000 -28.4 -19.1 315 78 40 8.5 4.7 | -28.4 -19.1 315 73 38 8.1 4.5
24000 -25.9 -14.6 310 76 39 8.5 4.7 | -26.0 -14.8 315 71 37 8.3 4.6
23000 -23.3 -9.9 310 76 39 8.6 4.7 | -23.5 -10.3 315 70 36 8.4 4.6
22000 -20.1 -4.2 305 75 39 8.5 4.7 | -20.4 -4.7 315 67 35 8.4 4.6
21000 -17.8 -0.0 305 75 39 7.2 3.9 | -17.9 -0.2 315 66 34 8.3 4.5
20000 -15.6 3.9 305 75 39 7.2 3.9 | -15.4 4.3 315 66 34 8.3 4.5
19500 -14.5 5.9 300 76 39 7.2 4.0 | -14.2 6.4 315 66 34 8.3 4.5
19000 -13.5 7.7 300 76 39 7.3 4.0 | -12.9 8.8 315 66 34 8.4 4.6
18500 -12.5 9.5 300 75 39 6.3 3.5 | -11.9 10.6 315 66 34 6.3 3.5
18000 -11.5 11.3 305 75 38 6.4 3.5 | -10.9 12.4 315 65 34 6.5 3.6
17500 -10.6 12.9 305 74 38 5.9 3.3 | -9.9 14.2 315 65 33 5.5 3.0
17000 -9.8 14.4 305 72 37 5.6 3.1 | -9.3 15.3 315 64 33 4.7 2.6
16500 -8.9 16.0 305 71 37 5.5 3.0 | -8.6 16.5 315 63 32 4.6 2.5
16000 -8.2 17.2 310 69 36 4.2 2.3 | -8.0 17.6 315 62 32 3.5 1.9
15500 -7.6 18.3 310 67 35 4.3 2.4 | -7.5 18.5 315 61 31 3.7 2.0
15000 -7.0 19.4 310 65 34 4.1 2.3 | -7.0 19.4 315 59 31 3.0 1.7
14500 -6.4 20.5 310 63 33 4.1 2.3 | -6.5 20.3 315 58 30 3.0 1.6
14000 -5.7 21.7 315 61 31 4.7 2.6 | -6.1 21.0 315 56 29 3.2 1.7
13500 -5.0 23.0 310 58 30 5.0 2.7 | -5.6 21.9 315 54 28 3.3 1.8
13000 -4.3 24.3 310 54 28 5.0 2.7 | -5.1 22.8 315 52 27 3.7 2.0
12500 -3.5 25.7 310 50 26 5.0 2.7 | -4.5 23.9 315 50 26 4.1 2.2
12000 -2.8 27.0 310 46 23 5.0 2.7 | -3.9 25.0 315 47 24 4.4 2.4
11500 -2.1 28.2 305 42 22 5.0 2.8 | -3.1 26.4 315 43 22 5.0 2.7
11000 -1.3 29.7 305 38 20 5.6 3.0 | -2.4 27.7 315 39 20 6.0 3.3
10500 -0.4 31.3 305 36 19 6.8 3.7 | -1.3 29.7 315 36 19 7.4 4.1
10250 0.2 32.4 305 36 18 8.1 4.4 | -0.8 30.6 315 35 18 6.9 3.8
10000 0.8 33.4 310 35 18 9.0 4.9 | -0.2 31.6 315 33 17 8.1 4.5
9750 1.5 34.7 310 35 18 9.5 5.2 | 0.5 32.9 315 32 17 9.5 5.2
9500 2.2 36.0 310 35 18 9.5 5.2 | 1.2 34.2 315 32 16 9.1 5.0
9250 2.9 37.2 310 35 18 9.2 5.0 | 1.8 35.2 315 31 16 9.1 5.0
9000 3.6 38.5 310 34 18 8.9 4.9 | 2.5 36.5 320 31 16 9.2 5.0
8750 4.2 39.6 310 34 18 9.1 5.0 | 3.2 37.8 320 30 15 9.4 5.1
8500 4.9 40.8 310 35 18 8.8 4.8 | 4.6 40.3 320 29 15 8.8 4.8
8250 5.6 42.1 310 35 18 9.8 5.4 | 5.3 41.5 320 29 15 9.2 5.1
8000 7.1 44.8 310 34 18 9.2 5.0 | 6.0 42.8 320 29 15 10.2 5.6
7750 7.8 46.0 310 34 18 9.6 5.3 | 6.8 44.2 320 28 14 10.2 5.6
7500 8.5 47.3 315 34 18 8.7 4.8 | 7.5 45.5 320 27 14 9.0 5.1
7250 9.1 48.4 315 34 17 9.4 5.2 | 8.1 46.6 325 27 14 9.2 5.1
7000 9.9 49.8 315 33 17 10.7 5.9 | 8.9 48.0 325 26 14 10.7 5.9
6750 10.7 51.3 315 33 17 10.5 5.8 | 9.7 49.5 325 25 13 10.2 5.6
6500 11.4 52.5 315 32 16 9.6 5.3 | 10.5 50.9 325 25 13 10.0 5.5
6250 12.2 54.0 315 31 16 14.6 8.0 | 11.2 52.2 325 24 12 9.4 5.1
6000 13.8 56.8 320 28 14 25.6 14.0 | 11.9 53.4 325 22 11 11.0 6.1
5750 15.3 59.5 320 24 12 5.3 2.9 | 13.1 55.6 325 18 9 25.6 14.0
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0741 MDT Sunday March 15 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, March 15, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 56.6 F/13.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
Maximum rate of lift........................ 412 ft/min (2.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 11590 ft MSL (5140 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 59.0 F/15.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1100 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ More than 30 mph
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 8003 ft MSL (1553 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 03/16....... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:14:32 / 19:11:49 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 57 min 17 sec (717 min 17 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:13:11 MDT... 52.36 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 03/15/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11364 ft MSL (4914 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18527 ft MSL (12077 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15763 ft MSL (9313 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +4.2
K index......................... -3.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.9 -79.4 290 46 24 1.2 0.7 90.1 194.2 43.7 M M
45000 -60.0 -76.0 290 76 39 -0.0 -0.0 69.7 157.5 34.0 M M
40000 -60.9 -77.6 300 85 44 -0.6 -0.3 45.2 113.4 20.1 M M
38000 -59.5 -75.1 310 86 44 4.7 2.6 38.7 101.6 16.2 M M
36000 -56.7 -70.1 320 88 45 4.7 2.6 34.3 93.7 13.6 M M
34000 -53.3 -63.9 330 93 48 8.6 4.7 31.0 87.8 11.6 M M
32000 -48.2 -54.8 325 93 48 8.6 4.7 29.9 85.8 11.1 M M
30000 -43.0 -45.4 320 94 48 8.7 4.8 29.2 84.5 10.8 M M
29000 -40.4 -40.7 320 92 48 8.7 4.8 28.7 83.6 10.5 M M
28000 -37.1 -34.8 320 91 47 8.7 4.8 28.2 82.8 10.3 M M
27000 -34.6 -30.3 320 89 46 7.8 4.3 27.8 82.1 10.1 M M
26000 -32.2 -26.0 315 86 44 7.8 4.3 27.0 80.6 9.6 M M
25000 -29.9 -21.8 315 83 43 7.8 4.3 26.3 79.3 9.1 M M
24000 -27.5 -17.5 310 79 41 8.0 4.4 25.7 78.2 8.7 M M
23000 -25.1 -13.2 310 76 39 8.1 4.4 25.0 77.0 8.3 M M
22000 -22.7 -8.9 305 73 38 8.1 4.4 24.4 75.9 7.9 M M
21000 -20.3 -4.5 305 71 36 8.4 4.6 23.9 75.0 7.5 M M
20000 -17.7 0.1 305 69 36 8.4 4.6 23.3 74.0 7.1 M M
19500 -16.5 2.3 305 69 35 8.4 4.6 23.1 73.6 7.0 M M
19000 -15.2 4.6 305 68 35 8.4 4.6 22.9 73.2 6.8 M M
18500 -14.0 6.8 305 68 35 7.7 4.2 22.7 72.8 6.7 M M
18000 -12.9 8.8 305 67 35 7.4 4.1 22.3 72.1 6.4 M M
17500 -11.8 10.8 305 67 34 7.4 4.0 21.9 71.4 6.0 M M
17000 -10.7 12.7 305 66 34 6.8 3.8 21.4 70.6 5.7 M M
16500 -9.7 14.5 305 65 34 6.9 3.8 20.9 69.7 5.2 M M
16000 -8.7 16.3 305 64 33 6.7 3.7 20.5 68.8 4.8 M M
15500 -7.7 18.1 305 64 33 6.7 3.7 19.9 67.9 4.4 M M
15000 -6.7 19.9 305 63 32 6.6 3.6 19.4 67.0 3.9 M M
14500 -5.7 21.7 305 62 32 6.5 3.6 18.9 66.0 3.5 M M
14000 -4.8 23.4 305 61 31 6.4 3.5 18.4 65.1 3.0 M M
13500 -3.9 25.0 305 60 31 6.1 3.3 17.8 64.0 2.4 M M
13000 -3.0 26.6 300 59 30 6.1 3.3 17.2 62.9 1.9 M M
12500 -2.1 28.2 300 57 29 6.1 3.3 16.6 61.9 1.3 M M
12000 -1.2 29.8 300 55 28 6.2 3.4 16.0 60.8 0.7 M M
11500 -0.0 32.0 300 52 27 6.3 3.4 15.1 59.1 -0.3 395 2.0
11000 0.9 33.6 300 48 25 6.6 3.6 14.6 58.3 -0.8 351 1.8
10500 1.9 35.4 300 46 23 6.6 3.6 14.1 57.3 -1.3 308 1.6
10250 2.4 36.3 300 44 23 6.9 3.8 13.8 56.9 -1.6 286 1.5
10000 2.9 37.2 300 41 21 7.4 4.0 13.6 56.5 -1.8 263 1.3
9750 3.4 38.1 300 40 21 7.5 4.1 13.5 56.2 -2.0 239 1.2
9500 4.0 39.2 300 39 20 7.4 4.0 13.3 55.9 -2.1 215 1.1
9250 4.6 40.3 300 38 19 7.9 4.3 13.1 55.6 -2.3 191 1.0
9000 5.2 41.4 300 35 18 8.2 4.5 13.0 55.4 -2.4 165 0.8
8750 5.8 42.4 300 34 18 7.8 4.3 12.8 55.1 -2.6 140 0.7
8500 6.4 43.5 300 33 17 8.0 4.4 12.7 54.9 -2.7 115 0.6
8250 7.0 44.6 300 31 16 7.7 4.2 12.6 54.6 -2.9 89 0.5
8000 7.5 45.5 300 30 15 7.0 3.8 12.4 54.3 -3.1 66 0.3
7750 8.0 46.4 300 28 15 7.0 3.9 12.2 53.9 -3.3 43 0.2
7500 8.5 47.3 300 26 14 6.5 3.5 11.9 53.5 -3.5 20 0.1
7250 9.1 48.4 295 24 13 9.3 5.1 11.8 53.2 -3.7 M M
7000 9.7 49.5 295 22 11 4.4 2.4 11.7 53.0 -3.8 M M
6750 9.5 49.1 295 17 9 -11.3 -6.2 10.7 51.2 -4.8 M M
6500 9.2 48.6 290 13 7 18.9 10.4 9.7 49.4 -5.8 M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
03/15/2026 at 0900 MDT | 03/15/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.8 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +6.4
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -9.2 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -5.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.3 -74.7 305 42 21 -0.3 -0.1 | -61.3 -78.3 305 30 15 1.1 0.6
45000 -59.8 -75.6 295 70 36 -1.2 -0.6 | -59.6 -75.3 310 68 35 -0.4 -0.2
40000 -62.6 -80.7 305 79 40 -1.9 -1.0 | -61.5 -78.7 310 85 44 -1.2 -0.7
38000 -61.4 -78.5 310 80 41 5.2 2.9 | -60.1 -76.2 315 91 47 5.0 2.7
36000 -58.3 -72.9 320 80 41 5.3 2.9 | -57.2 -71.0 325 99 51 5.0 2.7
34000 -54.5 -66.1 325 81 42 9.5 5.2 | -53.7 -64.7 330 105 54 8.8 4.8
32000 -48.8 -55.8 320 83 43 9.5 5.2 | -48.4 -55.1 330 98 51 8.8 4.8
30000 -43.2 -45.8 315 84 43 8.7 4.8 | -43.1 -45.6 325 92 47 8.6 4.7
29000 -40.6 -41.1 315 83 43 8.7 4.8 | -40.6 -41.1 320 89 46 8.6 4.7
28000 -37.4 -35.3 315 82 42 8.7 4.8 | -37.3 -35.1 315 85 44 8.6 4.7
27000 -34.8 -30.6 310 81 42 8.1 4.4 | -34.8 -30.6 310 83 43 8.2 4.5
26000 -32.4 -26.3 310 79 40 8.2 4.5 | -32.3 -26.1 310 82 42 8.3 4.5
25000 -29.9 -21.8 310 77 39 8.2 4.5 | -29.8 -21.6 305 81 42 8.3 4.5
24000 -27.5 -17.5 310 75 39 8.3 4.5 | -27.4 -17.3 300 81 41 7.9 4.3
23000 -25.0 -13.0 305 74 38 8.3 4.6 | -25.1 -13.2 300 79 41 7.7 4.2
22000 -22.5 -8.5 305 73 38 8.3 4.6 | -22.7 -8.9 300 78 40 7.7 4.2
21000 -20.0 -4.0 305 73 37 8.2 4.5 | -20.5 -4.9 300 77 40 7.4 4.1
20000 -17.5 0.5 305 73 37 8.2 4.5 | -18.2 -0.8 300 77 39 7.5 4.1
19500 -16.3 2.7 305 73 37 8.2 4.5 | -17.1 1.2 305 76 39 7.5 4.1
19000 -15.1 4.8 305 73 37 8.2 4.5 | -16.0 3.2 305 76 39 7.5 4.1
18500 -13.9 7.0 305 72 37 7.8 4.3 | -14.9 5.2 305 76 39 7.1 3.9
18000 -12.7 9.1 305 72 37 7.6 4.2 | -13.9 7.0 305 75 39 7.0 3.9
17500 -11.6 11.1 305 72 37 7.5 4.1 | -12.8 9.0 310 75 38 6.8 3.7
17000 -10.5 13.1 305 72 37 6.9 3.8 | -11.9 10.6 310 74 38 5.8 3.2
16500 -9.5 14.9 310 72 37 7.0 3.8 | -11.0 12.2 310 73 37 5.8 3.2
16000 -8.5 16.7 310 71 37 6.4 3.5 | -10.1 13.8 315 71 37 6.2 3.4
15500 -7.5 18.5 310 71 37 6.3 3.5 | -9.2 15.4 315 69 36 6.2 3.4
15000 -6.6 20.1 310 71 36 6.0 3.3 | -8.2 17.2 315 67 35 6.2 3.4
14500 -5.7 21.7 310 70 36 5.7 3.1 | -7.3 18.9 315 65 33 6.2 3.4
14000 -4.9 23.2 310 69 36 5.7 3.1 | -6.4 20.5 320 63 32 6.0 3.3
13500 -4.0 24.8 310 68 35 5.6 3.1 | -5.5 22.1 320 60 31 5.5 3.0
13000 -3.2 26.2 310 66 34 5.6 3.1 | -4.7 23.5 320 57 29 5.6 3.1
12500 -2.4 27.7 310 65 33 5.4 2.9 | -3.8 25.2 315 55 28 5.6 3.1
12000 -1.6 29.1 310 62 32 5.4 3.0 | -3.0 26.6 315 53 27 5.6 3.1
11500 -0.6 30.9 305 59 30 4.9 2.7 | -2.2 28.0 315 51 26 4.9 2.7
11000 0.1 32.2 305 56 29 5.0 2.7 | -1.3 29.7 315 49 25 7.6 4.2
10500 0.8 33.4 305 53 27 5.0 2.7 | 0.5 32.9 310 48 24 7.9 4.3
10250 1.3 34.3 305 51 26 6.6 3.6 | 1.1 34.0 310 47 24 9.0 5.0
10000 1.8 35.2 305 50 26 6.7 3.7 | 1.8 35.2 310 47 24 9.1 5.0
9750 2.2 36.0 305 48 25 6.1 3.3 | 2.5 36.5 310 46 24 8.8 4.8
9500 2.7 36.9 305 47 24 5.8 3.2 | 3.1 37.6 310 46 24 8.7 4.7
9250 3.1 37.6 305 46 23 7.5 4.1 | 3.8 38.8 310 45 23 9.5 5.2
9000 3.8 38.8 305 44 23 7.8 4.3 | 4.5 40.1 310 45 23 9.9 5.4
8750 4.3 39.7 305 42 22 6.3 3.4 | 5.2 41.4 310 44 23 9.3 5.1
8500 4.7 40.5 305 41 21 6.6 3.6 | 5.9 42.6 310 44 22 9.5 5.2
8250 5.2 41.4 305 39 20 6.8 3.7 | 6.6 43.9 310 43 22 9.1 5.0
8000 5.8 42.4 310 38 20 8.2 4.5 | 7.3 45.1 310 42 22 9.9 5.4
7750 6.5 43.7 310 36 19 8.9 4.9 | 8.1 46.6 310 41 21 10.7 5.9
7500 7.1 44.8 310 34 18 8.8 4.8 | 8.9 48.0 310 40 20 10.6 5.8
7250 7.8 46.0 310 33 17 9.2 5.0 | 9.7 49.5 310 39 20 9.9 5.5
7000 8.5 47.3 310 30 16 10.9 6.0 | 10.5 50.9 310 37 19 15.0 8.2
6750 9.4 48.9 310 26 13 13.2 7.2 | 12.1 53.8 310 32 17 25.0 13.7
6500 10.3 50.5 310 21 11 9.2 5.0 | 13.6 56.5 310 28 14 6.8 3.7
03/15/2026 at 1500 MDT | 03/15/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +7.7 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +8.9
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -0.9 | CINH... -0.7 K Index... -5.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.8 -77.4 310 52 27 1.9 1.0 | -60.8 -77.4 320 58 30 0.8 0.5
45000 -57.8 -72.0 310 74 38 -1.3 -0.7 | -59.5 -75.1 315 85 44 -1.0 -0.5
40000 -63.1 -81.6 325 99 51 -3.5 -1.9 | -62.3 -80.1 330 98 50 -1.9 -1.0
38000 -61.6 -78.9 330 108 56 7.5 4.1 | -60.5 -76.9 335 102 52 6.7 3.7
36000 -57.1 -70.8 330 115 59 7.6 4.1 | -56.4 -69.5 335 103 53 6.7 3.7
34000 -52.4 -62.3 335 119 61 8.3 4.5 | -52.1 -61.8 335 103 53 8.6 4.7
32000 -47.5 -53.5 330 111 57 8.3 4.6 | -46.9 -52.4 330 100 52 8.7 4.7
30000 -41.9 -43.4 320 103 53 8.3 4.6 | -41.2 -42.2 330 96 50 8.3 4.6
29000 -39.4 -38.9 320 100 52 8.3 4.6 | -38.7 -37.7 325 94 48 8.3 4.6
28000 -36.9 -34.4 320 98 50 8.3 4.6 | -36.2 -33.2 325 92 47 8.3 4.6
27000 -34.4 -29.9 315 95 49 8.4 4.6 | -33.7 -28.7 325 90 46 8.4 4.6
26000 -31.9 -25.4 315 92 47 8.4 4.6 | -31.2 -24.2 320 88 45 8.4 4.6
25000 -29.4 -20.9 310 90 46 8.4 4.6 | -28.7 -19.7 320 86 44 8.4 4.6
24000 -26.9 -16.4 310 87 45 8.1 4.4 | -26.2 -15.2 320 84 43 8.2 4.5
23000 -24.5 -12.1 305 86 44 7.9 4.3 | -23.8 -10.8 315 82 42 8.1 4.5
22000 -22.1 -7.8 305 85 44 7.9 4.4 | -21.3 -6.3 315 81 42 8.1 4.5
21000 -19.8 -3.6 305 84 43 6.4 3.5 | -19.0 -2.2 315 79 41 7.0 3.9
20000 -18.0 -0.4 305 83 43 6.3 3.5 | -16.8 1.8 315 77 40 7.1 3.9
19500 -17.0 1.4 305 82 42 6.3 3.5 | -15.8 3.6 315 76 39 7.1 3.9
19000 -16.1 3.0 310 82 42 6.3 3.5 | -14.7 5.5 315 75 39 7.2 3.9
18500 -15.2 4.6 310 81 42 5.9 3.3 | -13.7 7.3 315 74 38 6.0 3.3
18000 -14.3 6.3 310 79 41 5.8 3.2 | -12.8 9.0 315 72 37 5.7 3.1
17500 -13.5 7.7 310 77 40 5.7 3.1 | -12.0 10.4 315 70 36 5.6 3.0
17000 -12.7 9.1 315 75 38 5.2 2.8 | -11.2 11.8 315 67 35 4.9 2.7
16500 -11.9 10.6 315 71 37 5.3 2.9 | -10.5 13.1 320 64 33 5.0 2.7
16000 -11.2 11.8 315 68 35 4.2 2.3 | -9.8 14.4 320 60 31 4.4 2.4
15500 -10.6 12.9 320 64 33 4.0 2.2 | -9.2 15.4 320 56 29 4.3 2.4
15000 -10.0 14.0 320 60 31 4.2 2.3 | -8.5 16.7 320 51 26 3.9 2.1
14500 -9.3 15.3 320 56 29 4.4 2.4 | -8.0 17.6 320 45 23 3.6 2.0
14000 -8.6 16.5 320 52 27 4.9 2.7 | -7.4 18.7 325 40 20 3.6 2.0
13500 -7.7 18.1 320 49 25 6.1 3.4 | -6.9 19.6 325 36 18 3.7 2.0
13000 -6.8 19.8 315 47 24 6.3 3.5 | -6.3 20.7 330 32 16 4.0 2.2
12500 -5.7 21.7 315 46 23 7.5 4.1 | -5.6 21.9 330 30 16 5.7 3.1
12000 -4.6 23.7 315 44 23 7.5 4.1 | -4.3 24.3 330 29 15 6.4 3.5
11500 -2.7 27.1 310 43 22 8.9 4.9 | -3.3 26.1 325 29 15 6.7 3.7
11000 -1.3 29.7 310 43 22 9.2 5.0 | -2.2 28.0 325 30 16 7.6 4.2
10500 0.0 32.0 310 42 22 9.2 5.1 | -1.0 30.2 320 30 15 7.7 4.2
10250 0.7 33.3 310 42 22 9.5 5.2 | -0.5 31.1 320 30 16 7.0 3.8
10000 1.5 34.7 310 42 22 9.5 5.2 | 0.1 32.2 320 31 16 8.1 4.4
9750 2.2 36.0 310 42 22 9.3 5.1 | 0.7 33.3 315 31 16 9.2 5.0
9500 2.9 37.2 310 42 21 9.3 5.1 | 1.4 34.5 315 30 16 8.9 4.9
9250 3.6 38.5 310 41 21 9.4 5.2 | 2.1 35.8 315 30 15 9.1 5.0
9000 4.3 39.7 310 41 21 9.6 5.3 | 2.8 37.0 315 30 15 9.5 5.2
8750 5.0 41.0 310 41 21 9.7 5.3 | 3.5 38.3 315 29 15 9.6 5.3
8500 5.7 42.3 310 40 21 9.7 5.3 | 4.2 39.6 315 29 15 9.6 5.2
8250 6.5 43.7 305 40 20 9.6 5.3 | 5.0 41.0 315 29 15 9.6 5.3
8000 7.2 45.0 305 39 20 10.1 5.6 | 5.7 42.3 310 28 14 9.7 5.3
7750 8.0 46.4 305 38 19 10.5 5.7 | 6.4 43.5 310 27 14 9.6 5.3
7500 8.8 47.8 305 37 19 10.5 5.8 | 7.1 44.8 310 26 13 9.8 5.4
7250 9.5 49.1 305 36 18 9.9 5.4 | 7.9 46.2 310 25 13 10.5 5.7
7000 10.4 50.7 305 34 18 15.4 8.4 | 8.7 47.7 310 24 12 9.6 5.2
6750 12.0 53.6 305 30 16 26.1 14.3 | 9.3 48.7 310 22 12 9.3 5.1
6500 13.5 56.3 305 26 14 6.6 3.6 | 10.4 50.7 310 18 9 24.2 13.3
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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