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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0734 MDT Sunday June 29 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, June 29, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 81.6 F/27.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1596 ft/min (8.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 22308 ft MSL (15972 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17615 ft MSL (11279 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 06/30....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:53:14 / 20:22:00 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 28 min 45 sec (868 min 45 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:37 MDT... 78.09 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/29/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15969 ft MSL (9633 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16494 ft MSL (10158 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18118 ft MSL (11781 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.0
K index......................... +17.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.5 -84.1 275 20 10 3.5 1.9 79.3 174.8 27.6 M M
45000 -59.0 -74.2 270 30 15 4.3 2.3 65.5 149.9 20.7 M M
40000 -51.5 -60.7 250 39 20 7.4 4.1 53.7 128.7 14.2 M M
38000 -47.1 -52.8 250 36 18 7.4 4.1 51.5 124.7 13.1 M M
36000 -42.6 -44.7 250 33 17 7.2 4.0 49.9 121.8 12.2 M M
34000 -39.4 -38.9 255 28 14 5.2 2.9 46.0 114.8 9.7 M M
32000 -36.2 -33.2 260 24 12 5.0 2.8 42.6 108.7 7.4 M M
30000 -31.9 -25.4 265 20 10 7.6 4.2 40.5 104.8 5.9 M M
29000 -29.6 -21.3 270 18 9 7.6 4.2 39.7 103.4 5.4 M M
28000 -27.3 -17.1 275 16 8 7.5 4.1 39.0 102.1 4.9 M M
27000 -25.1 -13.2 280 13 7 7.5 4.1 38.0 100.4 4.2 M M
26000 -22.8 -9.0 280 10 5 7.5 4.1 37.1 98.8 3.5 M M
25000 -20.6 -5.1 285 7 4 7.4 4.1 36.4 97.5 2.9 M M
24000 -18.7 -1.7 285 6 3 6.2 3.4 35.1 95.2 1.9 M M
23000 -16.8 1.8 290 6 3 6.2 3.4 33.8 92.8 0.8 M M
22000 -14.4 6.1 290 5 3 7.6 4.2 32.4 90.3 -0.4 1556 7.9
21000 -12.1 10.2 285 3 2 7.9 4.3 31.7 89.0 -1.1 1457 7.4
20000 -9.8 14.4 275 2 1 8.0 4.4 31.1 87.9 -1.7 1358 6.9
19500 -8.6 16.5 260 1 1 8.1 4.4 30.8 87.5 -2.0 1308 6.6
19000 -7.4 18.7 280 1 1 8.2 4.5 30.5 86.9 -2.2 1258 6.4
18500 -6.2 20.8 300 2 1 8.2 4.5 30.2 86.4 -2.5 1206 6.1
18000 -5.0 23.0 310 3 1 8.0 4.4 30.0 85.9 -2.8 1156 5.9
17500 -3.9 25.0 320 5 2 8.1 4.4 29.7 85.4 -3.1 1106 5.6
17000 -2.7 27.1 320 6 3 8.6 4.7 29.4 84.9 -3.4 1057 5.4
16500 -1.4 29.5 330 8 4 9.4 5.1 29.3 84.7 -3.6 1001 5.1
16000 0.0 32.0 335 10 5 9.4 5.2 29.2 84.6 -3.6 944 4.8
15500 1.4 34.5 335 12 6 9.2 5.1 29.2 84.5 -3.7 888 4.5
15000 2.8 37.0 340 13 7 9.2 5.1 29.1 84.4 -3.8 831 4.2
14500 4.2 39.6 340 14 7 9.7 5.3 29.0 84.3 -3.9 774 3.9
14000 5.7 42.3 345 15 7 9.7 5.3 29.0 84.3 -3.9 715 3.6
13500 7.1 44.8 345 15 8 9.6 5.3 29.0 84.3 -3.9 657 3.3
13000 8.6 47.5 345 13 7 9.5 5.2 29.0 84.2 -4.0 600 3.0
12500 10.0 50.0 345 12 6 9.3 5.1 29.0 84.1 -4.1 542 2.8
12000 11.3 52.3 340 10 5 9.0 4.9 28.8 83.9 -4.2 488 2.5
11500 12.6 54.7 335 8 4 9.1 5.0 28.7 83.7 -4.4 434 2.2
11000 13.9 57.0 330 7 3 8.7 4.8 28.6 83.5 -4.6 380 1.9
10500 15.2 59.4 320 6 3 8.2 4.5 28.5 83.2 -4.8 328 1.7
10250 15.7 60.3 315 6 3 6.6 3.6 28.3 82.9 -5.1 305 1.6
10000 16.1 61.0 310 6 3 6.1 3.4 28.0 82.4 -5.4 285 1.4
9750 16.5 61.7 300 6 3 6.5 3.5 27.7 81.9 -5.7 265 1.3
9500 16.9 62.4 295 6 3 5.9 3.2 27.5 81.4 -6.1 245 1.2
9250 17.2 63.0 290 7 3 4.9 2.7 27.1 80.8 -6.5 228 1.2
9000 17.5 63.5 290 7 3 4.0 2.2 26.7 80.1 -7.0 213 1.1
8750 17.7 63.9 285 7 3 3.5 1.9 26.2 79.2 -7.5 200 1.0
8500 17.9 64.2 280 7 3 3.7 2.1 25.8 78.4 -8.1 186 0.9
8250 18.2 64.8 280 6 3 3.9 2.1 25.3 77.6 -8.6 171 0.9
8000 18.4 65.1 275 6 3 3.6 2.0 24.9 76.8 -9.1 156 0.8
7750 18.6 65.5 275 5 3 3.4 1.9 24.4 75.9 -9.6 142 0.7
7500 18.8 65.8 270 4 2 2.2 1.2 23.9 75.0 -10.2 129 0.7
7250 18.9 66.0 250 3 2 1.0 0.5 23.2 73.8 -10.8 119 0.6
7000 19.0 66.2 220 3 1 2.1 1.2 22.6 72.7 -11.5 109 0.6
6750 19.1 66.4 190 3 1 -0.8 -0.4 22.0 71.6 -12.1 98 0.5
6500 18.6 65.5 170 3 2 -13.2 -7.3 20.8 69.4 -13.4 106 0.5
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/29/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/29/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +438.7 LI... -2.1 | CAPE... +29.8 LI... +0.2
CINH... -102.8 K Index... +10.7 | CINH... -2.3 K Index... +17.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.5 -82.3 275 20 10 3.7 2.0 | -63.0 -81.4 290 22 11 3.8 2.1
45000 -57.9 -72.2 265 27 14 3.3 1.8 | -57.3 -71.1 270 30 15 3.2 1.7
40000 -52.2 -62.0 250 34 17 7.0 3.8 | -52.0 -61.6 240 33 17 6.5 3.6
38000 -48.0 -54.4 250 29 15 7.0 3.9 | -48.1 -54.6 240 29 15 6.5 3.6
36000 -43.7 -46.7 250 25 13 7.1 3.9 | -44.1 -47.4 240 25 13 6.6 3.6
34000 -40.0 -40.0 250 22 11 6.0 3.3 | -40.6 -41.1 245 20 10 5.9 3.2
32000 -36.0 -32.8 245 17 9 6.1 3.3 | -36.6 -33.9 255 14 7 5.9 3.2
30000 -31.8 -25.2 260 13 7 7.0 3.8 | -32.0 -25.6 260 11 6 7.9 4.3
29000 -29.7 -21.5 275 12 6 7.0 3.8 | -29.6 -21.3 260 10 5 7.9 4.3
28000 -27.6 -17.7 285 11 6 8.4 4.6 | -27.2 -17.0 265 9 5 7.6 4.2
27000 -25.0 -13.0 290 10 5 8.5 4.6 | -25.0 -13.0 275 7 3 7.6 4.2
26000 -22.5 -8.5 290 9 5 8.4 4.6 | -22.7 -8.9 295 5 3 7.6 4.2
25000 -20.0 -4.0 295 8 4 7.7 4.2 | -20.4 -4.7 325 5 2 7.2 4.0
24000 -18.1 -0.6 290 6 3 6.0 3.3 | -18.5 -1.3 310 5 3 6.3 3.5
23000 -16.4 2.5 275 4 2 6.0 3.3 | -16.6 2.1 290 6 3 6.3 3.5
22000 -14.6 5.7 250 3 2 6.8 3.7 | -14.7 5.5 280 7 4 6.9 3.8
21000 -12.4 9.7 260 3 2 7.6 4.2 | -12.5 9.5 285 7 3 7.6 4.2
20000 -10.1 13.8 275 4 2 7.7 4.2 | -10.2 13.6 290 6 3 7.6 4.2
19500 -9.0 15.8 275 4 2 7.7 4.2 | -9.1 15.6 295 6 3 7.7 4.2
19000 -7.8 18.0 280 5 3 8.3 4.6 | -8.0 17.6 310 6 3 7.0 3.9
18500 -6.6 20.1 285 7 3 8.3 4.5 | -7.0 19.4 330 7 4 7.3 4.0
18000 -4.8 23.4 295 8 4 8.2 4.5 | -5.4 22.3 345 9 4 9.4 5.1
17500 -3.6 25.5 300 9 5 8.2 4.5 | -4.0 24.8 350 9 5 9.2 5.1
17000 -2.4 27.7 310 10 5 8.4 4.6 | -2.7 27.1 355 10 5 9.3 5.1
16500 -1.1 30.0 325 11 6 8.6 4.7 | -1.3 29.7 355 10 5 9.4 5.1
16000 0.1 32.2 335 13 7 8.7 4.8 | 0.1 32.2 355 10 5 9.4 5.2
15500 1.5 34.7 340 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 1.5 34.7 350 11 5 9.8 5.4
15000 2.9 37.2 345 15 7 9.5 5.2 | 3.0 37.4 350 11 6 9.8 5.4
14500 4.4 39.9 345 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 4.4 39.9 350 11 6 9.6 5.3
14000 5.8 42.4 345 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 5.8 42.4 350 12 6 9.6 5.3
13500 7.3 45.1 345 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 7.3 45.1 350 12 6 9.5 5.2
13000 8.7 47.7 345 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 8.7 47.7 345 12 6 9.5 5.2
12500 10.2 50.4 345 16 8 9.4 5.1 | 10.1 50.2 345 12 6 9.6 5.2
12000 11.5 52.7 345 16 8 9.1 5.0 | 11.5 52.7 345 13 6 9.6 5.3
11500 12.9 55.2 340 16 8 8.4 4.6 | 13.0 55.4 345 13 7 9.9 5.4
11000 14.1 57.4 340 15 8 8.8 4.8 | 14.4 57.9 340 13 7 9.7 5.3
10500 15.3 59.5 335 14 7 8.2 4.5 | 15.9 60.6 340 13 7 9.3 5.1
10250 15.8 60.4 330 13 7 6.7 3.7 | 16.5 61.7 340 14 7 9.2 5.1
10000 16.2 61.2 330 12 6 6.1 3.4 | 17.3 63.1 340 14 7 9.8 5.4
9750 16.6 61.9 325 11 6 6.7 3.7 | 18.0 64.4 340 14 7 9.5 5.2
9500 17.0 62.6 320 10 5 5.3 2.9 | 18.7 65.7 340 14 7 10.3 5.6
9250 17.2 63.0 315 10 5 3.4 1.8 | 19.5 67.1 340 14 7 10.9 6.0
9000 17.4 63.3 310 9 5 3.4 1.9 | 20.3 68.5 340 14 7 9.8 5.4
8750 17.5 63.5 305 9 5 3.4 1.9 | 21.0 69.8 340 14 7 9.0 5.0
8500 17.7 63.9 300 9 4 3.5 1.9 | 21.7 71.1 340 14 7 9.9 5.4
8250 17.9 64.2 295 8 4 3.4 1.9 | 22.4 72.3 340 14 7 10.6 5.8
8000 18.1 64.6 295 7 4 3.9 2.1 | 23.2 73.8 340 15 7 10.2 5.6
7750 18.4 65.1 290 7 3 4.7 2.6 | 23.9 75.0 340 15 7 9.8 5.4
7500 18.8 65.8 290 6 3 7.8 4.3 | 24.7 76.5 340 15 7 10.2 5.6
7250 19.5 67.1 285 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 25.5 77.9 340 14 7 10.9 6.0
7000 20.2 68.4 285 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 26.3 79.3 340 14 7 9.9 5.4
6750 20.9 69.6 285 5 3 10.9 6.0 | 27.0 80.6 340 14 7 13.0 7.1
6500 21.9 71.4 285 5 2 15.7 8.6 | 28.4 83.1 340 13 7 24.2 13.3
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/29/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/29/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +5.7 LI... -0.7 | CAPE... +25.3 LI... -0.7
CINH... -0.2 K Index... +12.3 | CINH... -2.8 K Index... +15.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.1 -81.6 290 26 13 3.9 2.2 | -62.5 -80.5 300 26 13 2.4 1.3
45000 -57.1 -70.8 280 29 15 3.6 2.0 | -58.0 -72.4 280 30 16 3.8 2.1
40000 -51.2 -60.2 245 27 14 6.1 3.3 | -51.8 -61.2 235 24 13 6.2 3.4
38000 -47.6 -53.7 240 26 13 6.1 3.4 | -48.1 -54.6 235 23 12 6.2 3.4
36000 -43.9 -47.0 235 24 12 6.1 3.3 | -44.4 -47.9 235 22 11 6.1 3.4
34000 -40.1 -40.2 235 20 10 6.4 3.5 | -40.4 -40.7 240 18 9 6.7 3.7
32000 -35.7 -32.3 240 16 8 6.4 3.5 | -35.8 -32.4 255 15 8 6.7 3.7
30000 -31.7 -25.1 255 13 7 6.9 3.8 | -31.7 -25.1 265 12 6 6.9 3.8
29000 -29.6 -21.3 265 12 6 6.8 3.8 | -29.6 -21.3 270 11 5 6.9 3.8
28000 -27.5 -17.5 275 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -27.5 -17.5 280 10 5 8.2 4.5
27000 -25.1 -13.2 280 10 5 8.1 4.4 | -25.0 -13.0 290 10 5 8.2 4.5
26000 -22.7 -8.9 290 9 5 8.1 4.4 | -22.6 -8.7 300 10 5 8.2 4.5
25000 -20.2 -4.4 300 8 4 7.3 4.0 | -20.1 -4.2 315 10 5 7.3 4.0
24000 -18.5 -1.3 320 7 4 5.8 3.2 | -18.4 -1.1 320 9 5 5.9 3.2
23000 -16.8 1.8 345 7 4 5.9 3.2 | -16.7 1.9 335 8 4 6.2 3.4
22000 -15.1 4.8 005 9 5 7.0 3.9 | -15.0 5.0 345 7 4 7.9 4.3
21000 -12.7 9.1 360 9 4 8.2 4.5 | -12.3 9.9 350 7 3 9.1 5.0
20000 -10.3 13.5 355 8 4 8.3 4.5 | -9.6 14.7 350 6 3 9.1 5.0
19500 -9.2 15.4 355 8 4 8.4 4.6 | -8.2 17.2 350 6 3 9.1 5.0
19000 -7.8 18.0 355 8 4 10.0 5.5 | -6.8 19.8 350 6 3 9.6 5.3
18500 -6.3 20.7 350 8 4 9.8 5.4 | -5.4 22.3 350 6 3 9.6 5.2
18000 -4.1 24.6 350 8 4 9.6 5.3 | -4.0 24.8 345 6 3 9.6 5.3
17500 -2.7 27.1 350 8 4 9.7 5.3 | -1.8 28.8 345 6 3 9.6 5.3
17000 -1.3 29.7 350 8 4 9.6 5.3 | -0.4 31.3 345 6 3 9.8 5.4
16500 0.2 32.4 350 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 1.1 34.0 345 5 3 9.9 5.4
16000 1.6 34.9 350 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 2.6 36.7 345 5 3 9.9 5.4
15500 3.1 37.6 350 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 4.0 39.2 345 5 3 9.6 5.3
15000 4.5 40.1 350 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 5.5 41.9 345 5 3 9.6 5.3
14500 6.0 42.8 345 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 6.9 44.4 345 5 3 9.7 5.3
14000 7.4 45.3 345 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 8.4 47.1 345 5 2 9.7 5.3
13500 8.8 47.8 345 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 9.8 49.6 345 5 2 9.7 5.3
13000 10.3 50.5 345 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 11.3 52.3 345 4 2 9.6 5.3
12500 11.8 53.2 345 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 12.7 54.9 345 4 2 9.7 5.3
12000 13.2 55.8 345 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 14.2 57.6 345 4 2 9.8 5.4
11500 14.7 58.5 345 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 15.6 60.1 345 4 2 9.6 5.3
11000 16.1 61.0 340 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 17.1 62.8 345 4 2 9.7 5.3
10500 17.6 63.7 340 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 18.5 65.3 350 4 2 9.7 5.3
10250 18.2 64.8 340 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 19.2 66.6 350 4 2 9.6 5.3
10000 19.0 66.2 340 8 4 10.3 5.6 | 20.0 68.0 350 4 2 9.8 5.4
9750 19.7 67.5 340 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 20.7 69.3 350 4 2 9.6 5.2
9500 20.5 68.9 340 8 4 10.7 5.9 | 21.4 70.5 350 4 2 10.2 5.6
9250 21.3 70.3 335 8 4 11.5 6.3 | 22.2 72.0 350 4 2 11.1 6.1
9000 22.1 71.8 335 8 4 10.1 5.5 | 23.0 73.4 350 4 2 9.9 5.4
8750 22.8 73.0 335 8 4 9.2 5.0 | 23.7 74.7 350 3 2 8.9 4.9
8500 23.5 74.3 335 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 24.4 75.9 355 3 2 9.4 5.2
8250 24.3 75.7 335 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 25.1 77.2 355 3 2 10.0 5.5
8000 25.0 77.0 335 8 4 10.0 5.5 | 25.9 78.6 355 3 2 10.0 5.5
7750 25.7 78.3 335 8 4 10.0 5.5 | 26.6 79.9 355 3 2 9.6 5.3
7500 26.5 79.7 335 8 4 10.4 5.7 | 27.3 81.1 360 3 2 9.8 5.4
7250 27.3 81.1 335 8 4 10.9 6.0 | 28.1 82.6 360 3 2 9.9 5.4
7000 28.1 82.6 335 8 4 10.7 5.8 | 28.8 83.8 360 3 2 10.1 5.5
6750 28.9 84.0 330 8 4 10.4 5.7 | 29.5 85.1 360 3 2 9.8 5.4
6500 29.8 85.6 330 7 4 16.6 9.1 | 30.3 86.5 360 3 2 11.9 6.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0735 MDT Sunday June 29 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, June 29, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 85.3 F/29.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1688 ft/min (8.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 22613 ft MSL (16932 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 95.0 F/35.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18853 ft MSL (13172 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 06/30....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:55:34 / 20:24:39 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 29 min 5 sec (869 min 5 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:06 MDT... 77.94 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/29/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15937 ft MSL (10256 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16428 ft MSL (10747 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18198 ft MSL (12517 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.1
K index......................... +15.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.8 -82.8 275 21 11 3.2 1.8 83.0 181.4 28.2 M M
45000 -58.6 -73.5 265 32 16 4.0 2.2 68.4 155.2 21.0 M M
40000 -51.7 -61.1 250 40 21 7.3 4.0 55.9 132.6 14.1 M M
38000 -47.3 -53.1 250 37 19 7.3 4.0 53.5 128.4 12.8 M M
36000 -42.9 -45.2 250 34 18 7.4 4.1 51.8 125.2 11.9 M M
34000 -40.0 -40.0 255 28 14 4.5 2.5 47.4 117.4 9.1 M M
32000 -37.3 -35.1 265 21 11 4.3 2.4 43.4 110.2 6.3 M M
30000 -32.7 -26.9 275 17 9 8.3 4.6 41.6 106.9 5.1 M M
29000 -30.2 -22.4 280 17 8 8.3 4.6 41.1 106.0 4.7 M M
28000 -27.7 -17.9 285 16 8 8.2 4.5 40.7 105.3 4.5 M M
27000 -25.3 -13.5 290 13 7 8.1 4.5 40.0 103.9 3.9 M M
26000 -22.8 -9.0 300 11 6 8.1 4.5 39.3 102.8 3.5 M M
25000 -19.8 -3.6 310 9 4 6.7 3.7 38.7 101.7 3.0 M M
24000 -18.1 -0.6 315 9 4 5.5 3.0 37.0 98.7 1.7 M M
23000 -16.5 2.3 315 9 4 5.6 3.1 35.5 95.9 0.4 M M
22000 -14.8 5.4 320 8 4 7.0 3.8 34.2 93.5 -0.8 1632 8.3
21000 -12.6 9.3 315 7 4 7.6 4.2 33.3 92.0 -1.6 1537 7.8
20000 -10.4 13.3 310 5 3 7.7 4.2 32.6 90.7 -2.3 1441 7.3
19500 -9.3 15.3 305 5 2 7.9 4.3 32.3 90.2 -2.7 1393 7.1
19000 -8.1 17.4 310 5 2 8.3 4.6 32.0 89.7 -2.9 1342 6.8
18500 -6.9 19.6 320 5 3 8.3 4.6 31.8 89.2 -3.2 1290 6.6
18000 -5.6 21.9 325 5 3 8.8 4.8 31.6 88.9 -3.4 1238 6.3
17500 -4.3 24.3 330 6 3 8.9 4.9 31.4 88.6 -3.6 1183 6.0
17000 -3.0 26.6 335 7 4 9.0 4.9 31.3 88.4 -3.7 1129 5.7
16500 -1.6 29.1 340 8 4 9.2 5.1 31.2 88.2 -3.8 1073 5.5
16000 -0.2 31.6 345 10 5 9.2 5.1 31.1 88.0 -4.0 1017 5.2
15500 1.1 34.0 345 11 6 9.5 5.2 31.1 87.9 -4.0 961 4.9
15000 2.6 36.7 350 12 6 9.5 5.2 31.0 87.8 -4.1 903 4.6
14500 4.0 39.2 350 13 6 9.7 5.3 31.0 87.8 -4.2 846 4.3
14000 5.5 41.9 350 13 7 9.8 5.4 31.0 87.8 -4.2 787 4.0
13500 6.9 44.4 350 13 7 9.8 5.4 31.0 87.8 -4.2 728 3.7
13000 8.4 47.1 355 13 7 9.8 5.4 31.0 87.8 -4.2 669 3.4
12500 9.9 49.8 355 13 6 9.8 5.4 31.0 87.8 -4.2 611 3.1
12000 11.3 52.3 355 12 6 9.7 5.3 31.0 87.8 -4.2 552 2.8
11500 12.8 55.0 360 12 6 9.7 5.3 31.0 87.8 -4.3 494 2.5
11000 14.2 57.6 360 12 6 9.4 5.2 31.0 87.7 -4.3 436 2.2
10500 15.6 60.1 360 11 6 8.8 4.8 30.9 87.6 -4.4 380 1.9
10250 16.2 61.2 360 10 5 7.8 4.3 30.8 87.4 -4.6 355 1.8
10000 16.7 62.1 360 9 5 7.6 4.1 30.6 87.1 -4.8 331 1.7
9750 17.2 63.0 360 9 4 7.2 4.0 30.4 86.8 -5.0 308 1.6
9500 17.8 64.0 360 8 4 9.0 4.9 30.3 86.5 -5.2 285 1.4
9250 18.5 65.3 360 5 3 1.8 1.0 29.6 85.3 -6.0 248 1.3
9000 18.6 65.5 005 4 2 3.6 2.0 29.1 84.4 -6.6 237 1.2
8750 18.7 65.7 005 2 1 1.5 0.8 28.6 83.5 -7.2 226 1.1
8500 18.7 65.7 035 1 0 1.0 0.6 27.9 82.2 -8.0 221 1.1
8250 18.8 65.8 175 1 1 3.2 1.7 27.3 81.2 -8.7 210 1.1
8000 18.9 66.0 185 3 1 2.9 1.6 26.8 80.2 -9.3 198 1.0
7750 19.1 66.4 190 4 2 4.0 2.2 26.3 79.3 -9.9 186 0.9
7500 19.4 66.9 190 6 3 5.7 3.1 25.9 78.7 -10.3 169 0.9
7250 19.8 67.6 190 6 3 6.0 3.3 25.7 78.2 -10.6 149 0.8
7000 20.3 68.5 190 6 3 6.0 3.3 25.4 77.7 -11.0 128 0.7
6750 20.7 69.3 190 6 3 6.2 3.4 25.1 77.2 -11.3 108 0.5
6500 21.2 70.2 185 5 2 6.1 3.3 24.8 76.7 -11.6 86 0.4
6250 21.6 70.9 175 3 2 6.7 3.7 24.6 76.2 -11.9 65 0.3
6000 22.0 71.6 155 3 1 -0.1 -0.0 24.2 75.5 -12.3 47 0.2
5750 20.5 68.9 105 1 1 -49.0 -26.9 22.0 71.6 -14.5 84 0.4
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/29/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/29/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +515.5 LI... -2.3 | CAPE... +455.1 LI... -2.0
CINH... -115.5 K Index... +10.2 | CINH... -11.5 K Index... +12.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.0 -81.4 280 21 11 3.9 2.1 | -62.7 -80.9 290 23 12 3.9 2.1
45000 -57.5 -71.5 275 28 15 3.2 1.8 | -57.0 -70.6 275 30 15 3.1 1.7
40000 -51.8 -61.2 250 34 17 6.9 3.8 | -51.8 -61.2 250 33 17 6.2 3.4
38000 -47.6 -53.7 250 32 16 6.9 3.8 | -48.0 -54.4 245 28 15 6.3 3.4
36000 -43.4 -46.1 250 29 15 7.0 3.9 | -44.3 -47.7 240 23 12 6.3 3.5
34000 -40.1 -40.2 255 25 13 5.3 2.9 | -40.6 -41.1 250 19 10 6.1 3.3
32000 -37.0 -34.6 260 20 10 5.2 2.8 | -36.9 -34.4 260 15 8 6.0 3.3
30000 -32.7 -26.9 270 15 8 7.5 4.1 | -32.6 -26.7 270 14 7 7.5 4.1
29000 -30.5 -22.9 275 13 7 7.5 4.1 | -30.3 -22.5 270 13 7 7.5 4.1
28000 -28.2 -18.8 285 11 5 7.6 4.2 | -28.1 -18.6 275 13 7 7.7 4.2
27000 -25.3 -13.5 300 11 5 7.7 4.2 | -25.1 -13.2 285 10 5 7.8 4.3
26000 -23.0 -9.4 315 11 6 7.7 4.2 | -22.8 -9.0 300 7 4 7.8 4.3
25000 -20.6 -5.1 325 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -20.4 -4.7 325 6 3 6.9 3.8
24000 -18.4 -1.1 325 10 5 7.4 4.1 | -18.6 -1.5 325 7 4 6.2 3.4
23000 -16.2 2.8 330 8 4 7.4 4.1 | -16.7 1.9 320 8 4 6.2 3.4
22000 -14.0 6.8 335 7 3 7.0 3.9 | -14.8 5.4 320 9 5 7.3 4.0
21000 -12.0 10.4 330 7 4 6.9 3.8 | -12.5 9.5 310 10 5 7.8 4.3
20000 -9.9 14.2 330 8 4 7.0 3.8 | -10.2 13.6 305 11 6 7.9 4.3
19500 -8.9 16.0 330 8 4 7.3 4.0 | -9.1 15.6 300 11 6 8.0 4.4
19000 -7.7 18.1 330 9 4 8.2 4.5 | -7.9 17.8 310 11 5 8.3 4.5
18500 -6.5 20.3 335 9 5 8.2 4.5 | -6.6 20.1 320 10 5 8.2 4.5
18000 -5.3 22.5 335 10 5 8.4 4.6 | -5.4 22.3 335 10 5 8.5 4.7
17500 -4.0 24.8 340 10 5 8.5 4.6 | -4.2 24.4 345 10 5 8.6 4.7
17000 -2.8 27.0 345 11 5 8.6 4.7 | -2.9 26.8 355 10 5 8.9 4.9
16500 -1.5 29.3 345 11 6 8.8 4.8 | -1.5 29.3 360 11 5 9.5 5.2
16000 -0.2 31.6 345 12 6 8.8 4.8 | -0.1 31.8 360 11 6 9.5 5.2
15500 1.1 34.0 350 13 7 9.3 5.1 | 1.3 34.3 360 11 6 9.5 5.2
15000 2.5 36.5 345 13 7 9.3 5.1 | 2.7 36.9 360 11 6 9.5 5.2
14500 3.9 39.0 345 14 7 9.6 5.2 | 4.1 39.4 355 12 6 9.4 5.2
14000 5.3 41.5 345 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 5.5 41.9 355 12 6 9.4 5.2
13500 6.7 44.1 345 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 6.9 44.4 350 13 7 9.5 5.2
13000 8.2 46.8 345 15 8 9.8 5.4 | 8.3 46.9 350 13 7 9.6 5.3
12500 9.7 49.5 345 15 8 9.8 5.4 | 9.8 49.6 345 14 7 9.6 5.3
12000 11.1 52.0 345 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 11.2 52.2 345 14 7 9.5 5.2
11500 12.6 54.7 345 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 12.6 54.7 345 15 8 9.4 5.2
11000 13.9 57.0 350 15 8 9.0 4.9 | 14.0 57.2 345 15 8 9.1 5.0
10500 15.3 59.5 350 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 15.3 59.5 345 15 8 9.2 5.1
10250 15.9 60.6 350 14 7 7.8 4.3 | 15.9 60.6 345 14 7 7.4 4.1
10000 16.4 61.5 350 13 7 7.0 3.9 | 16.4 61.5 345 13 7 6.8 3.7
9750 16.9 62.4 350 12 6 7.0 3.8 | 16.8 62.2 345 12 6 6.5 3.5
9500 17.4 63.3 350 11 6 8.1 4.4 | 18.0 64.4 345 11 6 10.0 5.5
9250 18.0 64.4 350 8 4 1.1 0.6 | 18.6 65.5 345 10 5 8.0 4.4
9000 18.0 64.4 350 6 3 2.6 1.4 | 19.2 66.6 345 9 5 9.0 4.9
8750 18.0 64.4 350 4 2 1.3 0.7 | 19.8 67.6 340 8 4 7.3 4.0
8500 18.0 64.4 350 3 2 2.2 1.2 | 20.3 68.5 345 8 4 8.5 4.6
8250 18.2 64.8 350 2 1 4.3 2.3 | 21.0 69.8 340 7 4 10.8 5.9
8000 18.4 65.1 340 1 0 4.1 2.2 | 21.8 71.2 340 7 4 10.4 5.7
7750 18.7 65.7 000 0 0 4.6 2.5 | 22.6 72.7 335 7 3 9.6 5.2
7500 19.0 66.2 195 1 1 6.1 3.4 | 23.2 73.8 335 6 3 9.0 4.9
7250 19.6 67.3 195 1 1 8.9 4.9 | 23.9 75.0 335 6 3 10.5 5.7
7000 20.3 68.5 190 1 1 10.2 5.6 | 24.7 76.5 330 6 3 11.0 6.0
6750 21.0 69.8 190 1 1 9.7 5.3 | 25.5 77.9 330 5 3 10.1 5.5
6500 21.7 71.1 195 2 1 9.8 5.4 | 26.2 79.2 330 5 3 9.7 5.3
6250 22.5 72.5 200 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 27.0 80.6 325 5 3 9.7 5.3
6000 23.2 73.8 200 2 1 11.9 6.5 | 27.8 82.0 325 5 2 14.6 8.0
5750 24.7 76.5 205 2 1 34.5 18.9 | 29.8 85.6 315 4 2 48.6 26.6
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/29/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/29/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +2.0 LI... -0.4 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.4
CINH... -0.2 K Index... +11.5 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +9.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.4 -80.3 295 27 14 4.1 2.3 | -62.9 -81.2 295 27 14 3.2 1.8
45000 -56.4 -69.5 285 33 17 3.2 1.7 | -57.7 -71.9 285 29 15 4.0 2.2
40000 -51.2 -60.2 255 29 15 5.3 2.9 | -51.1 -60.0 250 22 11 5.4 3.0
38000 -48.0 -54.4 250 25 13 5.4 2.9 | -47.8 -54.0 245 21 11 5.4 3.0
36000 -44.7 -48.5 240 22 11 5.2 2.9 | -44.6 -48.3 240 20 10 5.3 2.9
34000 -40.8 -41.4 245 18 9 6.8 3.7 | -40.6 -41.1 245 17 9 6.9 3.8
32000 -36.7 -34.1 250 14 7 6.8 3.7 | -36.4 -33.5 255 14 7 6.8 3.8
30000 -32.5 -26.5 260 11 6 6.9 3.8 | -32.2 -26.0 270 13 7 7.1 3.9
29000 -30.5 -22.9 270 10 5 6.9 3.8 | -30.1 -22.2 280 13 6 7.1 3.9
28000 -27.8 -18.0 280 8 4 8.4 4.6 | -27.9 -18.2 285 13 6 7.6 4.1
27000 -25.3 -13.5 285 8 4 8.3 4.5 | -25.5 -13.9 295 11 6 7.9 4.3
26000 -22.8 -9.0 295 7 4 8.3 4.5 | -22.6 -8.7 315 10 5 7.9 4.3
25000 -20.3 -4.5 305 6 3 7.7 4.2 | -20.2 -4.4 330 10 5 7.4 4.1
24000 -18.1 -0.6 320 6 3 7.3 4.0 | -18.1 -0.6 325 10 5 7.2 3.9
23000 -15.9 3.4 335 6 3 7.3 4.0 | -16.0 3.2 325 11 6 7.2 4.0
22000 -13.7 7.3 350 6 3 6.8 3.7 | -13.8 7.2 325 12 6 7.8 4.3
21000 -11.8 10.8 345 7 4 6.7 3.7 | -11.5 11.3 320 12 6 8.0 4.4
20000 -9.9 14.2 345 9 5 7.1 3.9 | -9.2 15.4 320 11 6 8.2 4.5
19500 -8.9 16.0 340 10 5 7.8 4.3 | -8.0 17.6 315 11 6 8.5 4.7
19000 -7.6 18.3 340 10 5 9.5 5.2 | -6.6 20.1 315 11 6 9.3 5.1
18500 -6.2 20.8 340 10 5 9.4 5.2 | -5.3 22.5 315 11 5 9.2 5.1
18000 -4.8 23.4 340 10 5 9.6 5.2 | -3.9 25.0 315 10 5 9.7 5.3
17500 -3.3 26.1 340 10 5 9.6 5.3 | -2.4 27.7 315 10 5 9.8 5.4
17000 -1.9 28.6 340 10 5 9.6 5.3 | -0.9 30.4 315 10 5 9.7 5.3
16500 -0.5 31.1 335 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 0.5 32.9 315 10 5 9.6 5.3
16000 1.0 33.8 335 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 2.0 35.6 315 10 5 9.6 5.3
15500 2.4 36.3 335 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 3.4 38.1 315 10 5 9.8 5.4
15000 3.9 39.0 335 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 4.9 40.8 315 10 5 9.8 5.4
14500 5.3 41.5 335 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 6.3 43.3 315 10 5 9.7 5.3
14000 6.8 44.2 335 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 7.8 46.0 320 10 5 9.7 5.3
13500 8.2 46.8 330 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 9.3 48.7 320 9 5 9.7 5.3
13000 9.7 49.5 330 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 10.7 51.3 320 9 5 9.7 5.3
12500 11.2 52.2 330 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 12.2 54.0 320 9 5 9.7 5.3
12000 12.6 54.7 330 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 13.6 56.5 320 9 5 9.7 5.3
11500 14.1 57.4 325 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 15.1 59.2 320 9 5 9.7 5.3
11000 15.5 59.9 325 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 16.5 61.7 320 9 5 9.5 5.2
10500 16.9 62.4 325 9 5 10.2 5.6 | 18.0 64.4 320 9 4 10.0 5.5
10250 17.7 63.9 325 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 18.7 65.7 320 9 4 9.8 5.4
10000 18.4 65.1 320 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 19.5 67.1 320 9 4 9.7 5.3
9750 19.2 66.6 320 9 4 10.0 5.5 | 20.2 68.4 320 8 4 9.7 5.3
9500 20.6 69.1 320 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 20.9 69.6 325 8 4 10.0 5.5
9250 21.4 70.5 315 9 4 9.9 5.4 | 21.7 71.1 320 8 4 9.7 5.3
9000 22.1 71.8 315 9 4 10.2 5.6 | 23.1 73.6 320 8 4 9.0 4.9
8750 22.8 73.0 315 9 4 8.7 4.8 | 23.8 74.8 325 8 4 10.5 5.7
8500 23.5 74.3 315 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 24.6 76.3 320 8 4 10.7 5.9
8250 24.2 75.6 315 8 4 10.8 6.0 | 25.3 77.5 320 8 4 9.4 5.2
8000 25.0 77.0 310 8 4 10.6 5.8 | 26.1 79.0 320 8 4 9.9 5.4
7750 25.8 78.4 310 8 4 9.9 5.5 | 26.8 80.2 320 8 4 9.3 5.1
7500 26.5 79.7 310 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 27.5 81.5 325 8 4 9.2 5.0
7250 27.3 81.1 310 8 4 10.5 5.7 | 28.2 82.8 325 8 4 10.1 5.6
7000 28.1 82.6 305 8 4 11.0 6.0 | 29.0 84.2 325 7 4 10.6 5.8
6750 28.9 84.0 305 8 4 10.5 5.7 | 29.8 85.6 325 7 4 10.3 5.6
6500 29.7 85.5 305 8 4 10.4 5.7 | 30.5 86.9 325 7 4 9.9 5.4
6250 30.4 86.7 305 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 31.3 88.3 325 7 4 12.8 7.0
6000 31.2 88.2 305 7 4 14.7 8.0 | 32.5 90.5 325 6 3 17.7 9.7
5750 33.5 92.3 300 7 3 55.4 30.4 | 33.6 92.5 325 6 3 9.1 5.0
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0734 MDT Sunday June 29 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, June 29, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 80.7 F/27.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1738 ft/min (8.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 23939 ft MSL (17478 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 93.0 F/34.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 19918 ft MSL (13457 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 06/30....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:51:52 / 20:24:08 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 32 min 16 sec (872 min 16 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:00 MDT... 77.45 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/29/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15944 ft MSL (9483 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16750 ft MSL (10289 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18974 ft MSL (12513 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -6.0
K index......................... +12.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.9 -83.0 275 20 10 2.9 1.6 80.0 176.0 27.3 M M
45000 -58.8 -73.8 265 27 14 4.7 2.6 65.6 150.1 20.1 M M
40000 -50.9 -59.6 250 37 19 6.6 3.6 54.5 130.1 14.0 M M
38000 -47.0 -52.6 255 38 20 6.6 3.6 51.5 124.8 12.3 M M
36000 -43.0 -45.4 255 39 20 6.8 3.7 49.2 120.6 11.0 M M
34000 -39.9 -39.8 260 33 17 4.9 2.7 45.2 113.3 8.3 M M
32000 -37.0 -34.6 260 27 14 4.8 2.7 41.5 106.7 5.7 M M
30000 -32.6 -26.7 265 22 12 7.9 4.3 39.4 102.9 4.3 M M
29000 -30.3 -22.5 270 21 11 7.9 4.3 38.7 101.7 3.8 M M
28000 -27.9 -18.2 275 19 10 7.5 4.1 38.1 100.7 3.4 M M
27000 -25.2 -13.4 280 14 7 7.2 3.9 36.8 98.2 2.3 M M
26000 -23.1 -9.6 295 10 5 7.2 3.9 35.8 96.5 1.6 M M
25000 -20.9 -5.6 315 7 4 7.1 3.9 35.0 95.0 0.9 M M
24000 -18.9 -2.0 315 5 3 6.9 3.8 33.9 93.0 -0.0 1737 8.8
23000 -16.8 1.8 310 2 1 7.0 3.8 32.9 91.2 -0.9 1645 8.4
22000 -14.7 5.5 000 0 0 7.5 4.1 32.0 89.6 -1.7 1553 7.9
21000 -12.4 9.7 260 1 1 7.9 4.3 31.2 88.2 -2.3 1454 7.4
20000 -10.1 13.8 265 2 1 7.9 4.3 30.6 87.1 -3.0 1355 6.9
19500 -8.9 16.0 265 2 1 7.9 4.3 30.3 86.6 -3.2 1305 6.6
19000 -7.7 18.1 290 3 2 7.9 4.4 30.0 86.0 -3.6 1256 6.4
18500 -6.6 20.1 310 5 2 8.0 4.4 29.7 85.5 -3.9 1206 6.1
18000 -5.4 22.3 320 6 3 8.2 4.5 29.4 85.0 -4.2 1156 5.9
17500 -4.2 24.4 325 8 4 8.3 4.5 29.2 84.5 -4.5 1106 5.6
17000 -3.0 26.6 330 11 6 8.5 4.6 28.9 84.1 -4.8 1055 5.4
16500 -1.7 28.9 335 12 6 9.4 5.2 28.8 83.8 -4.9 1000 5.1
16000 -0.3 31.5 335 13 7 9.3 5.1 28.7 83.7 -5.0 944 4.8
15500 1.1 34.0 335 14 7 9.6 5.3 28.7 83.6 -5.1 887 4.5
15000 2.5 36.5 335 15 8 9.6 5.3 28.7 83.6 -5.2 829 4.2
14500 4.0 39.2 335 15 8 9.7 5.3 28.7 83.6 -5.2 772 3.9
14000 5.4 41.7 335 15 8 9.7 5.3 28.7 83.6 -5.2 713 3.6
13500 6.9 44.4 335 16 8 9.6 5.3 28.7 83.6 -5.3 654 3.3
13000 8.3 46.9 335 15 8 9.4 5.2 28.6 83.5 -5.3 597 3.0
12500 9.7 49.5 335 15 8 9.4 5.1 28.6 83.4 -5.4 540 2.7
12000 11.1 52.0 335 14 7 9.1 5.0 28.5 83.2 -5.5 484 2.5
11500 13.0 55.4 325 12 6 7.8 4.3 28.2 82.8 -5.8 404 2.1
11000 14.1 57.4 320 10 5 8.0 4.4 28.0 82.3 -6.2 356 1.8
10500 15.2 59.4 305 9 5 7.3 4.0 27.7 81.9 -6.6 308 1.6
10250 15.7 60.3 300 8 4 6.5 3.6 27.4 81.4 -6.9 288 1.5
10000 16.1 61.0 295 8 4 6.7 3.7 27.2 81.0 -7.2 267 1.4
9750 16.5 61.7 290 7 4 7.1 3.9 27.0 80.6 -7.5 247 1.3
9500 16.9 62.4 290 7 4 3.3 1.8 26.7 80.1 -7.9 228 1.2
9250 16.9 62.4 285 7 3 2.4 1.3 26.1 78.9 -8.6 220 1.1
9000 17.2 63.0 285 6 3 4.9 2.7 25.7 78.2 -9.1 205 1.0
8750 17.5 63.5 285 5 3 4.3 2.4 25.2 77.4 -9.6 189 1.0
8500 17.7 63.9 290 5 2 4.1 2.2 24.8 76.7 -10.1 174 0.9
8250 18.0 64.4 295 4 2 3.7 2.0 24.4 75.9 -10.6 160 0.8
8000 18.2 64.8 300 3 1 3.8 2.1 23.9 75.1 -11.1 145 0.7
7750 18.5 65.3 310 2 1 3.5 1.9 23.5 74.2 -11.6 130 0.7
7500 18.7 65.7 320 1 1 3.2 1.8 23.0 73.4 -12.2 115 0.6
7250 18.9 66.0 340 1 0 2.5 1.3 22.5 72.4 -12.7 102 0.5
7000 19.1 66.4 025 1 0 5.0 2.8 22.0 71.5 -13.3 88 0.4
6750 19.4 66.9 050 1 1 -2.5 -1.4 21.5 70.7 -13.8 73 0.4
6500 16.9 62.4 070 1 1 -80.2 -44.0 18.4 65.1 -17.0 140 0.7
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/29/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/29/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +287.0 LI... -1.1 | CAPE... +104.2 LI... -0.2
CINH... -116.5 K Index... +11.1 | CINH... -11.4 K Index... +13.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 275 20 10 3.6 2.0 | -62.6 -80.7 280 21 11 3.9 2.1
45000 -57.4 -71.3 265 32 16 2.8 1.5 | -57.0 -70.6 265 31 16 2.8 1.6
40000 -52.4 -62.3 245 37 19 7.1 3.9 | -52.1 -61.8 245 37 19 6.2 3.4
38000 -48.1 -54.6 250 34 17 7.2 3.9 | -48.3 -54.9 245 32 16 6.3 3.4
36000 -43.8 -46.8 255 31 16 7.4 4.1 | -44.6 -48.3 240 27 14 6.4 3.5
34000 -40.5 -40.9 255 26 13 5.3 2.9 | -41.1 -42.0 245 22 11 5.7 3.1
32000 -37.3 -35.1 260 20 10 5.2 2.9 | -37.7 -35.9 255 16 8 5.6 3.1
30000 -33.0 -27.4 265 15 8 7.7 4.2 | -33.2 -27.8 260 13 7 8.0 4.4
29000 -30.7 -23.3 275 13 7 7.7 4.2 | -30.8 -23.4 265 11 6 8.0 4.4
28000 -27.8 -18.0 280 11 6 8.1 4.4 | -27.8 -18.0 270 9 5 7.6 4.2
27000 -25.3 -13.5 290 9 5 8.1 4.4 | -25.5 -13.9 275 7 4 7.6 4.2
26000 -22.9 -9.2 300 8 4 8.1 4.4 | -23.2 -9.8 285 6 3 7.6 4.2
25000 -20.5 -4.9 310 7 4 7.5 4.1 | -20.9 -5.6 305 5 2 7.1 3.9
24000 -18.4 -1.1 305 5 3 7.0 3.8 | -19.0 -2.2 310 5 3 6.7 3.7
23000 -16.3 2.7 295 3 2 7.0 3.8 | -17.0 1.4 315 5 3 6.7 3.7
22000 -14.2 6.4 265 2 1 7.0 3.8 | -15.0 5.0 320 6 3 7.4 4.0
21000 -12.1 10.2 295 2 1 7.0 3.9 | -12.7 9.1 330 6 3 7.7 4.2
20000 -10.1 13.8 320 2 1 7.1 3.9 | -10.4 13.3 345 7 3 7.8 4.3
19500 -9.0 15.8 330 2 1 7.3 4.0 | -9.3 15.3 350 7 4 8.1 4.5
19000 -7.9 17.8 345 4 2 7.9 4.3 | -8.0 17.6 350 7 3 9.2 5.0
18500 -6.7 19.9 355 6 3 7.9 4.3 | -6.7 19.9 355 7 3 9.2 5.0
18000 -5.6 21.9 355 7 4 8.4 4.6 | -5.3 22.5 360 7 3 9.1 5.0
17500 -4.3 24.3 360 9 5 8.6 4.7 | -4.0 24.8 005 7 4 9.1 5.0
17000 -3.1 26.4 360 11 5 8.8 4.8 | -2.6 27.3 005 8 4 9.1 5.0
16500 -1.7 28.9 360 12 6 9.5 5.2 | -1.3 29.7 005 8 4 9.3 5.1
16000 -0.3 31.5 355 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 0.1 32.2 005 9 5 9.3 5.1
15500 1.1 34.0 355 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 1.5 34.7 360 10 5 9.3 5.1
15000 2.6 36.7 355 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 2.9 37.2 360 10 5 9.3 5.1
14500 4.0 39.2 350 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 4.3 39.7 355 11 6 9.4 5.2
14000 5.5 41.9 350 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 5.7 42.3 355 11 6 9.4 5.2
13500 6.9 44.4 350 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 7.1 44.8 355 11 6 9.4 5.1
13000 8.3 46.9 350 14 7 9.4 5.1 | 8.5 47.3 350 12 6 9.3 5.1
12500 9.7 49.5 345 14 7 9.2 5.1 | 9.9 49.8 350 12 6 9.3 5.1
12000 11.1 52.0 345 15 7 8.6 4.7 | 11.2 52.2 350 12 6 9.4 5.2
11500 13.0 55.4 340 16 8 8.2 4.5 | 13.3 55.9 350 12 6 9.3 5.1
11000 14.2 57.6 340 15 8 7.7 4.2 | 14.7 58.5 350 12 6 9.5 5.2
10500 15.1 59.2 335 14 7 5.7 3.1 | 16.1 61.0 355 11 6 9.1 5.0
10250 15.5 59.9 335 13 7 5.9 3.2 | 16.8 62.2 355 11 6 9.4 5.2
10000 15.9 60.6 340 13 7 6.3 3.5 | 17.5 63.5 350 11 6 9.4 5.2
9750 16.4 61.5 340 12 6 6.1 3.4 | 18.2 64.8 350 11 6 9.2 5.0
9500 16.7 62.1 340 11 6 4.2 2.3 | 18.8 65.8 350 11 6 7.6 4.2
9250 16.9 62.4 340 10 5 4.1 2.2 | 19.3 66.7 350 10 5 8.4 4.6
9000 17.2 63.0 340 9 5 5.4 2.9 | 20.0 68.0 350 10 5 9.8 5.4
8750 17.5 63.5 345 9 4 4.8 2.6 | 20.7 69.3 350 10 5 9.5 5.2
8500 17.7 63.9 345 8 4 3.2 1.7 | 21.4 70.5 350 10 5 9.5 5.2
8250 17.9 64.2 345 7 4 3.6 2.0 | 22.1 71.8 345 10 5 9.7 5.3
8000 18.2 64.8 345 7 3 6.0 3.3 | 22.8 73.0 345 9 5 10.0 5.5
7750 18.6 65.5 345 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 23.6 74.5 345 9 5 10.2 5.6
7500 19.2 66.6 345 6 3 8.5 4.7 | 24.3 75.7 340 9 5 10.4 5.7
7250 19.8 67.6 345 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 25.1 77.2 340 9 4 10.9 6.0
7000 20.5 68.9 340 6 3 8.6 4.7 | 25.9 78.6 340 8 4 9.5 5.2
6750 21.2 70.2 340 5 3 12.7 6.9 | 26.7 80.1 335 8 4 14.5 8.0
6500 22.8 73.0 335 5 2 36.1 19.8 | 29.1 84.4 330 7 3 62.1 34.1
06/29/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/29/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +39.6 LI... -0.3 | CAPE... +32.2 LI... -0.7
CINH... -4.5 K Index... +16.1 | CINH... -1.2 K Index... +15.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.5 -80.5 290 25 13 3.4 1.9 | -61.9 -79.4 290 26 13 2.4 1.3
45000 -57.4 -71.3 275 29 15 3.1 1.7 | -57.8 -72.0 275 30 16 3.6 2.0
40000 -52.2 -62.0 255 29 15 6.1 3.3 | -51.7 -61.1 245 21 11 5.5 3.0
38000 -48.5 -55.3 250 25 13 6.1 3.4 | -48.4 -55.1 240 20 10 5.6 3.1
36000 -44.8 -48.6 240 21 11 6.1 3.3 | -45.0 -49.0 235 19 10 5.4 3.0
34000 -40.8 -41.4 245 17 9 6.8 3.7 | -40.8 -41.4 235 15 8 7.2 4.0
32000 -36.7 -34.1 250 14 7 6.8 3.7 | -36.5 -33.7 245 10 5 7.2 4.0
30000 -32.5 -26.5 255 10 5 7.0 3.8 | -32.3 -26.1 255 9 5 6.9 3.8
29000 -30.4 -22.7 255 9 5 7.0 3.8 | -30.3 -22.5 260 9 5 6.9 3.8
28000 -27.7 -17.9 260 7 4 8.2 4.5 | -27.6 -17.7 265 9 4 7.8 4.3
27000 -25.3 -13.5 265 5 3 8.1 4.4 | -25.3 -13.5 275 8 4 7.7 4.2
26000 -22.9 -9.2 275 4 2 8.1 4.4 | -23.0 -9.4 285 8 4 7.8 4.3
25000 -20.5 -4.9 305 2 1 7.3 4.0 | -20.7 -5.3 290 9 4 7.4 4.1
24000 -18.5 -1.3 315 4 2 6.7 3.7 | -18.6 -1.5 300 8 4 7.2 3.9
23000 -16.5 2.3 320 6 3 6.9 3.8 | -16.6 2.1 305 8 4 7.4 4.0
22000 -14.5 5.9 325 8 4 7.7 4.2 | -14.4 6.1 310 8 4 8.5 4.7
21000 -12.1 10.2 320 9 5 8.1 4.5 | -11.8 10.8 305 8 4 8.9 4.9
20000 -9.8 14.4 315 10 5 8.3 4.5 | -9.2 15.4 295 7 4 8.9 4.9
19500 -8.6 16.5 315 11 6 8.5 4.7 | -7.8 18.0 290 7 4 9.1 5.0
19000 -7.3 18.9 310 10 5 9.2 5.0 | -6.4 20.5 285 7 4 9.8 5.4
18500 -5.9 21.4 310 10 5 9.1 5.0 | -4.9 23.2 285 7 4 9.8 5.4
18000 -4.5 23.9 310 9 5 9.5 5.2 | -3.5 25.7 280 7 4 9.8 5.4
17500 -3.1 26.4 310 9 5 9.6 5.2 | -2.0 28.4 280 7 4 9.8 5.4
17000 -1.7 28.9 305 8 4 9.6 5.2 | -0.5 31.1 280 7 4 9.8 5.3
16500 -0.2 31.6 305 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 0.9 33.6 275 7 4 9.7 5.3
16000 1.2 34.2 305 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 2.4 36.3 275 8 4 9.7 5.3
15500 2.7 36.9 305 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 3.8 38.8 275 8 4 9.7 5.3
15000 4.1 39.4 305 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 5.3 41.5 270 8 4 9.7 5.3
14500 5.6 42.1 300 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 6.7 44.1 270 8 4 9.7 5.3
14000 7.0 44.6 300 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 8.2 46.8 270 8 4 9.7 5.3
13500 8.5 47.3 300 7 3 9.7 5.3 | 9.6 49.3 265 8 4 9.7 5.3
13000 9.9 49.8 300 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 11.1 52.0 265 8 4 9.8 5.4
12500 11.3 52.3 295 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 12.6 54.7 260 8 4 9.8 5.4
12000 13.5 56.3 295 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 14.0 57.2 260 8 4 9.7 5.3
11500 14.9 58.8 290 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 16.2 61.2 255 8 4 9.7 5.3
11000 16.4 61.5 290 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 17.7 63.9 255 9 4 9.8 5.4
10500 17.9 64.2 285 4 2 9.9 5.5 | 19.1 66.4 255 9 4 9.6 5.3
10250 18.6 65.5 285 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 19.8 67.6 250 9 4 9.6 5.3
10000 19.3 66.7 280 4 2 9.8 5.4 | 20.6 69.1 250 9 5 9.7 5.3
9750 20.1 68.2 280 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 21.3 70.3 250 9 5 9.6 5.3
9500 20.8 69.4 275 4 2 10.1 5.6 | 22.0 71.6 250 9 5 10.0 5.5
9250 21.6 70.9 275 3 2 10.0 5.5 | 22.8 73.0 250 9 5 10.0 5.5
9000 22.3 72.1 275 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 23.5 74.3 250 9 5 9.6 5.3
8750 23.0 73.4 270 3 1 9.6 5.3 | 24.2 75.6 245 9 5 9.7 5.3
8500 23.7 74.7 265 3 1 10.1 5.5 | 25.0 77.0 245 9 5 9.7 5.3
8250 24.5 76.1 265 3 1 10.4 5.7 | 25.7 78.3 245 9 5 9.8 5.4
8000 25.3 77.5 260 2 1 10.1 5.6 | 26.4 79.5 245 9 5 9.9 5.4
7750 26.0 78.8 255 2 1 10.2 5.6 | 27.2 81.0 245 9 5 9.9 5.4
7500 26.8 80.2 250 2 1 10.4 5.7 | 27.9 82.2 240 9 5 10.2 5.6
7250 27.6 81.7 245 2 1 10.9 6.0 | 28.7 83.7 240 9 5 10.6 5.8
7000 28.4 83.1 240 2 1 9.1 5.0 | 29.5 85.1 240 9 5 9.0 4.9
6750 29.1 84.4 240 1 1 13.3 7.3 | 30.1 86.2 240 9 5 10.8 5.9
6500 31.4 88.5 215 1 1 59.7 32.8 | 31.7 89.1 235 8 4 39.6 21.7
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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