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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0717 MDT Sunday April 5 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, April 5, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 56.2 F/13.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 618 ft/min (3.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14197 ft MSL (7868 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 66.0 F/19.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1100 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12373 ft MSL (6044 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 04/06....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:44:46 / 19:28:24 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 43 min 38 sec (763 min 38 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:06:35 MDT... 61.28 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 04/05/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11021 ft MSL (4692 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18424 ft MSL (12095 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17448 ft MSL (11119 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +2.5
K index......................... -21.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.7 -75.5 270 46 24 3.7 2.0 92.4 198.4 42.9 M M
45000 -55.0 -67.0 265 43 22 -1.2 -0.6 77.7 171.9 36.6 M M
40000 -57.0 -70.6 260 39 20 -1.2 -0.7 51.8 125.3 21.9 M M
38000 -55.7 -68.3 260 33 17 3.0 1.6 43.8 110.8 17.1 M M
36000 -53.9 -65.0 265 27 14 3.0 1.6 38.0 100.4 13.5 M M
34000 -50.7 -59.3 270 23 12 8.0 4.4 34.4 93.9 11.2 M M
32000 -45.9 -50.6 265 23 12 8.0 4.4 33.0 91.4 10.4 M M
30000 -41.2 -42.2 265 21 11 7.8 4.3 31.6 88.8 9.6 M M
29000 -38.8 -37.8 265 19 10 7.8 4.3 30.8 87.4 9.1 M M
28000 -36.5 -33.7 260 17 9 7.8 4.3 30.1 86.2 8.7 M M
27000 -34.2 -29.6 260 16 8 7.2 3.9 29.3 84.8 8.2 M M
26000 -32.0 -25.6 260 15 8 7.2 4.0 28.3 82.9 7.5 M M
25000 -29.9 -21.8 265 14 7 7.2 4.0 27.4 81.3 6.9 M M
24000 -27.7 -17.9 265 13 7 7.3 4.0 26.5 79.7 6.2 M M
23000 -25.5 -13.9 260 12 6 7.3 4.0 25.5 78.0 5.5 M M
22000 -23.3 -9.9 255 11 6 7.3 4.0 24.7 76.4 4.8 M M
21000 -21.1 -6.0 250 10 5 7.7 4.2 23.9 75.0 4.2 M M
20000 -18.2 -0.8 240 7 4 7.7 4.2 23.0 73.3 3.5 M M
19500 -17.0 1.4 235 6 3 7.7 4.2 22.6 72.7 3.2 M M
19000 -15.9 3.4 230 5 3 8.0 4.4 22.3 72.2 3.0 M M
18500 -14.6 5.7 225 4 2 8.1 4.4 22.0 71.6 2.7 M M
18000 -13.4 7.9 220 4 2 8.1 4.4 21.8 71.2 2.5 M M
17500 -12.2 10.0 210 4 2 8.1 4.4 21.5 70.6 2.3 M M
17000 -11.0 12.2 200 4 2 8.1 4.4 21.2 70.1 2.0 M M
16500 -9.8 14.4 190 4 2 8.0 4.4 20.9 69.6 1.8 M M
16000 -8.6 16.5 180 4 2 8.0 4.4 20.6 69.1 1.5 M M
15500 -7.4 18.7 170 5 2 7.3 4.0 20.3 68.6 1.3 M M
15000 -6.4 20.5 155 5 3 6.8 3.7 19.8 67.6 0.8 M M
14500 -5.4 22.3 140 6 3 6.2 3.4 19.3 66.8 0.4 M M
14000 -4.6 23.7 130 6 3 4.8 2.6 18.6 65.4 -0.4 601 3.1
13500 -3.9 25.0 115 6 3 4.9 2.7 17.8 64.0 -1.1 565 2.9
13000 -3.3 26.1 110 6 3 4.4 2.4 16.9 62.5 -2.0 531 2.7
12500 -2.7 27.1 110 5 3 4.6 2.5 16.1 61.0 -2.8 498 2.5
12000 -1.9 28.6 110 4 2 6.1 3.3 15.4 59.7 -3.5 460 2.3
11500 -1.1 30.0 115 3 1 6.3 3.4 14.8 58.6 -4.2 420 2.1
11000 0.0 32.0 125 2 1 7.5 4.1 14.4 58.0 -4.6 373 1.9
10500 1.0 33.8 140 3 1 6.9 3.8 14.0 57.1 -5.1 328 1.7
10250 1.6 34.9 145 3 1 8.4 4.6 13.8 56.8 -5.3 304 1.5
10000 2.2 36.0 145 3 2 7.4 4.0 13.7 56.6 -5.4 278 1.4
9750 2.6 36.7 145 4 2 5.5 3.0 13.4 56.1 -5.7 258 1.3
9500 3.1 37.6 145 4 2 5.9 3.2 13.1 55.6 -6.0 237 1.2
9250 3.5 38.3 145 5 3 5.9 3.2 12.8 55.0 -6.3 217 1.1
9000 3.9 39.0 145 6 3 5.5 3.0 12.5 54.5 -6.7 197 1.0
8750 4.3 39.7 145 6 3 4.6 2.5 12.1 53.8 -7.0 179 0.9
8500 4.6 40.3 145 7 4 3.3 1.8 11.7 53.0 -7.5 162 0.8
8250 4.8 40.6 145 8 4 2.4 1.3 11.1 52.0 -8.1 149 0.8
8000 5.0 41.0 145 9 5 2.6 1.4 10.6 51.0 -8.6 136 0.7
7750 5.1 41.2 145 10 5 2.4 1.3 10.0 50.0 -9.2 123 0.6
7500 5.3 41.5 145 10 5 2.2 1.2 9.5 49.0 -9.8 111 0.6
7250 5.5 41.9 140 10 5 1.6 0.9 8.9 48.0 -10.4 99 0.5
7000 5.6 42.1 135 9 4 3.4 1.9 8.3 46.9 -11.0 87 0.4
6750 5.8 42.4 130 8 4 -3.6 -2.0 7.7 45.8 -11.6 75 0.4
6500 4.8 40.6 125 6 3 -20.7 -11.4 6.0 42.8 -13.3 96 0.5
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/05/2026 at 0900 MDT | 04/05/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +6.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.9
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -23.3 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -21.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.5 -75.1 275 44 22 3.3 1.8 | -59.4 -74.9 275 43 22 3.2 1.8
45000 -55.2 -67.4 265 40 21 -1.0 -0.5 | -55.2 -67.4 265 41 21 -1.2 -0.7
40000 -56.9 -70.4 260 36 18 -1.0 -0.6 | -57.3 -71.1 270 32 16 -1.3 -0.7
38000 -55.5 -67.9 265 29 15 3.1 1.7 | -55.9 -68.6 270 26 13 3.2 1.8
36000 -53.6 -64.5 275 21 11 3.1 1.7 | -54.0 -65.2 270 20 10 3.2 1.8
34000 -50.5 -58.9 280 17 9 7.7 4.3 | -50.7 -59.3 275 17 9 8.0 4.4
32000 -45.8 -50.4 275 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -45.9 -50.6 270 18 9 8.0 4.4
30000 -41.3 -42.3 270 15 8 7.4 4.1 | -41.2 -42.2 270 17 9 7.8 4.3
29000 -39.1 -38.4 265 14 7 7.4 4.1 | -38.9 -38.0 270 15 8 7.8 4.3
28000 -36.9 -34.4 265 13 7 7.4 4.1 | -36.5 -33.7 270 14 7 7.8 4.3
27000 -34.6 -30.3 265 13 7 7.9 4.3 | -34.2 -29.6 270 13 7 7.7 4.2
26000 -32.2 -26.0 265 12 6 7.9 4.3 | -31.9 -25.4 270 13 7 7.7 4.2
25000 -29.8 -21.6 270 12 6 7.9 4.3 | -29.6 -21.3 265 12 6 7.7 4.2
24000 -27.5 -17.5 270 12 6 7.0 3.8 | -27.4 -17.3 265 11 6 6.9 3.8
23000 -25.4 -13.7 275 10 5 7.1 3.9 | -25.2 -13.4 265 9 4 7.0 3.9
22000 -23.3 -9.9 275 9 5 7.1 3.9 | -23.1 -9.6 270 6 3 7.1 3.9
21000 -20.5 -4.9 275 7 4 7.6 4.2 | -20.8 -5.4 275 4 2 7.9 4.3
20000 -18.2 -0.8 270 6 3 7.6 4.2 | -17.9 -0.2 285 4 2 7.9 4.3
19500 -17.0 1.4 270 5 3 7.7 4.2 | -16.7 1.9 290 3 2 7.9 4.3
19000 -15.9 3.4 265 4 2 7.3 4.0 | -15.5 4.1 290 3 2 7.5 4.1
18500 -14.8 5.4 270 3 2 7.2 4.0 | -14.4 6.1 295 2 1 7.3 4.0
18000 -13.7 7.3 280 2 1 7.2 4.0 | -13.3 8.1 310 1 1 7.3 4.0
17500 -12.6 9.3 275 2 1 7.3 4.0 | -12.2 10.0 335 1 1 7.2 4.0
17000 -11.5 11.3 255 1 1 7.3 4.0 | -11.2 11.8 360 1 1 7.2 4.0
16500 -10.4 13.3 220 1 1 7.1 3.9 | -10.1 13.8 015 1 1 7.0 3.8
16000 -9.4 15.1 180 2 1 7.0 3.9 | -9.0 15.8 005 1 0 6.9 3.8
15500 -8.3 17.1 165 3 2 6.5 3.6 | -8.0 17.6 000 0 0 6.3 3.5
15000 -7.4 18.7 155 5 2 6.1 3.3 | -7.1 19.2 230 1 1 6.0 3.3
14500 -6.5 20.3 145 7 3 5.8 3.2 | -6.2 20.8 220 2 1 5.6 3.1
14000 -5.7 21.7 140 8 4 5.3 2.9 | -5.5 22.1 205 3 2 5.0 2.7
13500 -4.9 23.2 130 9 5 5.4 2.9 | -4.8 23.4 200 4 2 4.9 2.7
13000 -4.1 24.6 125 9 5 5.5 3.0 | -4.1 24.6 185 5 3 4.3 2.3
12500 -3.3 26.1 115 9 5 5.7 3.1 | -3.5 25.7 170 7 3 4.2 2.3
12000 -2.5 27.5 115 9 5 6.4 3.5 | -3.1 26.4 155 9 5 3.1 1.7
11500 -1.6 29.1 110 9 4 6.8 3.7 | -2.7 27.1 150 13 7 5.0 2.8
11000 -0.5 31.1 115 9 4 6.1 3.4 | -1.4 29.5 145 15 7 9.1 5.0
10500 0.2 32.4 115 9 5 5.8 3.2 | -0.3 31.5 145 15 8 8.7 4.8
10250 0.7 33.3 120 9 5 7.3 4.0 | 0.5 32.9 145 15 8 11.3 6.2
10000 1.2 34.2 125 10 5 6.7 3.7 | 1.3 34.3 145 16 8 9.8 5.4
9750 1.7 35.1 130 11 6 5.5 3.0 | 1.9 35.4 145 16 8 7.2 3.9
9500 2.1 35.8 130 11 6 5.3 2.9 | 2.5 36.5 145 16 8 8.7 4.8
9250 2.4 36.3 135 12 6 4.6 2.5 | 3.2 37.8 145 16 8 9.9 5.4
9000 2.7 36.9 135 13 7 4.5 2.5 | 4.0 39.2 145 17 9 9.7 5.3
8750 3.1 37.6 140 14 7 4.6 2.5 | 4.7 40.5 145 17 9 9.1 5.0
8500 3.4 38.1 140 14 7 2.8 1.5 | 5.3 41.5 145 17 9 9.6 5.3
8250 3.5 38.3 140 14 7 1.4 0.8 | 6.1 43.0 145 17 9 10.2 5.6
8000 3.6 38.5 140 13 7 1.3 0.7 | 6.8 44.2 145 17 9 9.9 5.4
7750 3.7 38.7 140 13 7 3.6 2.0 | 7.6 45.7 145 18 9 9.8 5.4
7500 4.2 39.6 135 12 6 8.2 4.5 | 8.3 46.9 145 18 9 10.3 5.7
7250 4.9 40.8 135 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 9.1 48.4 145 17 9 11.4 6.2
7000 5.6 42.1 135 11 6 8.8 4.8 | 10.0 50.0 145 17 9 9.0 5.0
6750 6.3 43.3 135 11 6 12.0 6.6 | 10.7 51.3 140 17 9 15.4 8.4
6500 7.4 45.3 135 10 5 18.0 9.9 | 12.5 54.5 140 16 8 32.1 17.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
04/05/2026 at 1500 MDT | 04/05/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.3 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.1
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -19.5 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -9.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -58.7 -73.7 275 43 22 2.7 1.5 | -58.8 -73.8 285 43 22 2.4 1.3
45000 -55.3 -67.5 275 44 23 -1.6 -0.9 | -55.8 -68.4 285 49 25 -1.3 -0.7
40000 -57.8 -72.0 275 31 16 -1.6 -0.9 | -57.9 -72.2 285 37 19 -1.3 -0.7
38000 -56.5 -69.7 275 27 14 3.7 2.0 | -56.5 -69.7 285 33 17 3.7 2.0
36000 -54.0 -65.2 280 24 13 3.7 2.0 | -54.0 -65.2 285 28 14 3.7 2.0
34000 -50.6 -59.1 280 23 12 7.7 4.2 | -50.5 -58.9 290 25 13 8.2 4.5
32000 -46.0 -50.8 280 24 12 7.7 4.2 | -45.5 -49.9 290 25 13 8.2 4.5
30000 -41.3 -42.3 280 22 11 7.9 4.4 | -40.8 -41.4 295 23 12 7.5 4.1
29000 -38.9 -38.0 285 20 10 7.9 4.4 | -38.5 -37.3 300 20 10 7.5 4.1
28000 -36.5 -33.7 290 18 9 7.9 4.4 | -36.3 -33.3 300 18 9 7.5 4.1
27000 -34.2 -29.6 290 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -34.0 -29.2 300 16 8 7.8 4.3
26000 -31.9 -25.4 285 15 8 7.7 4.3 | -31.7 -25.1 300 16 8 7.8 4.3
25000 -29.6 -21.3 280 14 7 7.8 4.3 | -29.3 -20.7 300 15 8 7.8 4.3
24000 -27.4 -17.3 275 13 7 6.7 3.7 | -27.1 -16.8 300 14 7 7.2 3.9
23000 -25.3 -13.5 275 10 5 6.9 3.8 | -24.9 -12.8 295 12 6 7.2 4.0
22000 -23.2 -9.8 275 7 4 6.9 3.8 | -22.7 -8.9 295 10 5 7.3 4.0
21000 -21.0 -5.8 275 5 3 7.9 4.3 | -20.5 -4.9 300 9 4 7.4 4.1
20000 -18.0 -0.4 280 5 2 7.9 4.4 | -17.7 0.1 310 8 4 7.4 4.1
19500 -16.8 1.8 285 4 2 7.9 4.4 | -16.6 2.1 315 8 4 7.4 4.1
19000 -15.6 3.9 285 4 2 7.8 4.3 | -15.5 4.1 320 8 4 7.7 4.2
18500 -14.4 6.1 285 4 2 7.7 4.2 | -14.3 6.3 320 8 4 7.8 4.3
18000 -13.3 8.1 280 3 2 7.7 4.2 | -13.1 8.4 325 8 4 7.8 4.3
17500 -12.1 10.2 275 3 2 7.6 4.2 | -12.0 10.4 325 8 4 7.5 4.1
17000 -11.0 12.2 265 3 2 7.7 4.2 | -10.9 12.4 325 8 4 7.5 4.1
16500 -9.9 14.2 260 3 2 7.3 4.0 | -9.8 14.4 320 8 4 6.8 3.7
16000 -8.8 16.2 260 3 2 7.2 4.0 | -8.8 16.2 305 8 4 6.8 3.7
15500 -7.7 18.1 260 3 2 6.3 3.5 | -7.8 18.0 290 8 4 4.8 2.6
15000 -6.9 19.6 245 4 2 5.7 3.1 | -7.4 18.7 265 9 5 3.5 1.9
14500 -6.0 21.2 240 5 3 4.3 2.3 | -7.0 19.4 250 11 6 4.9 2.7
14000 -5.8 21.6 210 6 3 1.1 0.6 | -6.0 21.2 235 11 6 7.9 4.4
13500 -5.8 21.6 185 8 4 2.8 1.5 | -4.9 23.2 225 11 6 8.0 4.4
13000 -4.8 23.4 175 10 5 8.9 4.9 | -3.6 25.5 215 11 5 9.3 5.1
12500 -3.6 25.5 170 11 5 8.6 4.7 | -2.2 28.0 205 10 5 9.2 5.0
12000 -2.2 28.0 170 11 6 10.0 5.5 | -0.8 30.6 200 10 5 9.1 5.0
11500 -0.7 30.7 170 11 6 10.9 6.0 | 0.5 32.9 190 9 5 8.9 4.9
11000 0.8 33.4 165 11 6 8.8 4.8 | 1.9 35.4 180 9 5 9.2 5.1
10500 2.2 36.0 165 12 6 9.1 5.0 | 3.3 37.9 170 10 5 9.2 5.0
10250 2.9 37.2 165 12 6 10.5 5.7 | 4.0 39.2 165 10 5 9.1 5.0
10000 3.7 38.7 160 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 4.6 40.3 160 10 5 9.4 5.2
9750 4.3 39.7 160 12 6 8.2 4.5 | 5.4 41.7 155 11 6 9.6 5.2
9500 5.0 41.0 160 12 6 9.2 5.0 | 6.1 43.0 150 11 6 9.7 5.3
9250 5.7 42.3 155 12 6 10.5 5.8 | 6.8 44.2 150 12 6 10.3 5.7
9000 6.5 43.7 155 13 7 10.0 5.5 | 7.6 45.7 145 12 6 9.9 5.4
8750 7.2 45.0 150 13 7 8.5 4.7 | 8.3 46.9 145 13 7 9.0 4.9
8500 7.8 46.0 150 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 9.0 48.2 140 13 7 9.3 5.1
8250 8.6 47.5 150 13 7 10.7 5.8 | 9.7 49.5 140 14 7 9.6 5.3
8000 9.4 48.9 145 14 7 10.3 5.7 | 10.4 50.7 140 14 7 9.6 5.3
7750 10.2 50.4 145 14 7 10.1 5.5 | 11.1 52.0 140 15 8 9.4 5.1
7500 10.9 51.6 145 14 7 10.2 5.6 | 11.8 53.2 135 15 8 9.5 5.2
7250 11.7 53.1 140 14 7 10.9 6.0 | 12.5 54.5 135 15 8 9.9 5.4
7000 12.5 54.5 140 14 7 9.4 5.2 | 13.3 55.9 135 15 8 9.4 5.1
6750 13.3 55.9 140 14 7 14.3 7.8 | 14.0 57.2 135 16 8 11.0 6.0
6500 14.8 58.6 140 14 7 27.5 15.1 | 15.0 59.0 130 15 8 15.4 8.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0716 MDT Sunday April 5 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, April 5, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 59.0 F/15.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 734 ft/min (3.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14958 ft MSL (9282 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 71.0 F/22.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1115 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12718 ft MSL (7042 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 04/06....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:47:13 / 19:30:56 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 43 min 43 sec (763 min 43 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:05 MDT... 61.18 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 04/05/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11002 ft MSL (5326 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18263 ft MSL (12587 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17569 ft MSL (11893 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.5
K index......................... -18.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.8 -75.6 270 44 23 3.5 1.9 94.8 202.6 42.4 M M
45000 -55.2 -67.4 265 42 21 -1.0 -0.6 79.8 175.7 35.9 M M
40000 -56.9 -70.4 260 38 19 -1.1 -0.6 54.3 129.7 21.5 M M
38000 -55.7 -68.3 265 31 16 2.9 1.6 46.1 114.9 16.6 M M
36000 -53.9 -65.0 270 25 13 2.9 1.6 40.2 104.4 13.0 M M
34000 -50.8 -59.4 275 21 11 8.1 4.4 36.5 97.7 10.7 M M
32000 -45.9 -50.6 270 20 10 8.1 4.4 35.1 95.3 9.9 M M
30000 -41.2 -42.2 265 18 9 7.6 4.2 33.7 92.7 9.1 M M
29000 -38.9 -38.0 265 16 8 7.6 4.2 32.8 91.1 8.5 M M
28000 -36.6 -33.9 260 15 8 7.6 4.2 32.1 89.7 8.0 M M
27000 -34.4 -29.9 260 14 7 7.5 4.1 31.3 88.3 7.5 M M
26000 -32.1 -25.8 260 13 7 7.5 4.1 30.3 86.6 6.9 M M
25000 -29.9 -21.8 265 12 6 7.5 4.1 29.5 85.1 6.3 M M
24000 -27.2 -17.0 265 11 6 7.0 3.9 28.4 83.2 5.5 M M
23000 -25.1 -13.2 260 10 5 7.0 3.9 27.4 81.3 4.7 M M
22000 -22.9 -9.2 255 9 5 7.0 3.8 26.4 79.6 4.0 M M
21000 -20.6 -5.1 245 8 4 8.1 4.5 25.7 78.3 3.4 M M
20000 -18.2 -0.8 235 7 3 8.1 4.5 25.1 77.2 2.9 M M
19500 -17.0 1.4 225 6 3 8.1 4.5 24.9 76.8 2.7 M M
19000 -15.8 3.6 215 6 3 8.0 4.4 24.6 76.3 2.5 M M
18500 -14.6 5.7 210 5 3 7.8 4.3 24.3 75.7 2.3 M M
18000 -13.4 7.9 205 5 2 7.8 4.3 24.0 75.1 2.0 M M
17500 -12.2 10.0 205 4 2 7.7 4.2 23.6 74.5 1.7 M M
17000 -11.1 12.0 200 4 2 7.7 4.2 23.3 73.9 1.4 M M
16500 -9.9 14.2 200 3 2 7.5 4.1 22.9 73.3 1.1 M M
16000 -8.8 16.2 200 3 1 7.5 4.1 22.5 72.5 0.8 M M
15500 -7.7 18.1 205 2 1 7.4 4.1 22.2 71.9 0.4 M M
15000 -6.6 20.1 210 2 1 7.3 4.0 21.7 71.1 0.1 M M
14500 -5.5 22.1 210 1 1 7.2 3.9 21.3 70.4 -0.3 693 3.5
14000 -4.6 23.7 185 1 1 5.5 3.0 20.7 69.3 -0.9 651 3.3
13500 -3.8 25.2 165 2 1 5.9 3.2 20.1 68.1 -1.5 611 3.1
13000 -3.1 26.4 150 3 1 3.3 1.8 19.2 66.6 -2.3 577 2.9
12500 -2.6 27.3 145 3 2 3.5 1.9 18.2 64.8 -3.3 547 2.8
12000 -2.0 28.4 135 4 2 5.8 3.2 17.4 63.4 -4.2 513 2.6
11500 -1.2 29.8 135 4 2 5.6 3.1 16.8 62.2 -4.8 475 2.4
11000 -0.2 31.6 135 4 2 8.2 4.5 16.3 61.4 -5.4 431 2.2
10500 1.0 33.8 140 4 2 8.2 4.5 16.0 60.9 -5.7 381 1.9
10250 1.6 34.9 145 4 2 7.8 4.3 15.9 60.7 -5.8 356 1.8
10000 2.1 35.8 150 4 2 7.4 4.0 15.7 60.3 -6.0 332 1.7
9750 2.7 36.9 155 5 2 7.7 4.2 15.6 60.0 -6.2 308 1.6
9500 3.2 37.8 160 5 3 6.9 3.8 15.4 59.7 -6.4 284 1.4
9250 3.7 38.7 160 5 3 5.9 3.2 15.1 59.2 -6.7 263 1.3
9000 4.1 39.4 165 5 3 6.8 3.7 14.8 58.7 -7.0 242 1.2
8750 5.2 41.4 170 6 3 7.0 3.9 14.5 58.1 -7.4 195 1.0
8500 5.7 42.3 170 5 3 6.5 3.6 14.2 57.6 -7.7 173 0.9
8250 6.2 43.2 165 5 2 6.9 3.8 14.0 57.2 -7.9 150 0.8
8000 6.7 44.1 160 4 2 7.5 4.1 13.8 56.9 -8.1 126 0.6
7750 7.3 45.1 155 4 2 6.9 3.8 13.6 56.5 -8.3 103 0.5
7500 7.8 46.0 135 3 2 7.0 3.8 13.4 56.1 -8.6 80 0.4
7250 8.3 46.9 105 3 1 4.0 2.2 13.1 55.6 -8.9 59 0.3
7000 8.4 47.1 090 3 2 1.6 0.9 12.5 54.6 -9.5 47 0.2
6750 8.6 47.5 080 4 2 2.7 1.5 12.0 53.6 -10.1 35 0.2
6500 8.8 47.8 070 4 2 3.1 1.7 11.4 52.6 -10.6 21 0.1
6250 9.0 48.2 065 5 2 1.4 0.8 10.9 51.7 -11.2 8 0.0
6000 8.8 47.8 060 5 3 -7.5 -4.1 10.0 50.0 -12.1 6 0.0
5750 7.6 45.7 060 5 2 -24.8 -13.6 8.1 46.6 -14.0 33 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/05/2026 at 0900 MDT | 04/05/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.4 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.2
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -15.4 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -16.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.2 -74.6 270 44 22 3.3 1.8 | -59.0 -74.2 275 43 22 3.2 1.8
45000 -54.9 -66.8 265 41 21 -1.1 -0.6 | -54.9 -66.8 265 41 21 -1.5 -0.8
40000 -56.9 -70.4 265 35 18 -1.4 -0.8 | -57.4 -71.3 270 31 16 -1.9 -1.1
38000 -55.6 -68.1 270 28 14 3.0 1.6 | -56.0 -68.8 275 26 13 3.3 1.8
36000 -53.8 -64.8 280 20 11 3.0 1.6 | -54.0 -65.2 275 20 10 3.3 1.8
34000 -50.7 -59.3 290 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -50.8 -59.4 275 18 9 7.9 4.3
32000 -46.0 -50.8 280 16 8 7.8 4.3 | -46.1 -51.0 270 18 9 7.9 4.3
30000 -41.4 -42.5 270 15 8 7.5 4.1 | -41.3 -42.3 275 17 9 8.0 4.4
29000 -39.2 -38.6 270 13 7 7.5 4.1 | -38.9 -38.0 275 15 8 8.0 4.4
28000 -36.9 -34.4 270 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -36.5 -33.7 280 14 7 8.0 4.4
27000 -34.7 -30.5 265 11 6 7.7 4.2 | -34.1 -29.4 280 12 6 7.5 4.1
26000 -32.4 -26.3 265 11 6 7.7 4.2 | -31.9 -25.4 275 11 6 7.5 4.1
25000 -30.1 -22.2 265 11 6 7.7 4.2 | -29.7 -21.5 270 11 5 7.6 4.2
24000 -27.3 -17.1 265 10 5 7.0 3.9 | -26.9 -16.4 265 9 5 7.2 3.9
23000 -25.2 -13.4 270 8 4 7.0 3.9 | -24.7 -12.5 270 6 3 7.2 3.9
22000 -23.0 -9.4 275 6 3 7.0 3.8 | -22.5 -8.5 285 4 2 7.2 3.9
21000 -20.8 -5.4 270 5 2 7.8 4.3 | -20.3 -4.5 295 3 2 7.5 4.1
20000 -18.4 -1.1 260 4 2 7.9 4.3 | -18.1 -0.6 300 3 1 7.5 4.1
19500 -17.2 1.0 250 3 2 7.9 4.3 | -16.9 1.6 300 3 1 7.5 4.1
19000 -16.0 3.2 245 3 2 7.6 4.1 | -15.8 3.6 300 2 1 7.4 4.1
18500 -14.9 5.2 230 2 1 7.3 4.0 | -14.7 5.5 305 2 1 7.3 4.0
18000 -13.8 7.2 210 2 1 7.3 4.0 | -13.6 7.5 305 2 1 7.3 4.0
17500 -12.8 9.0 175 1 1 7.1 3.9 | -12.5 9.5 310 2 1 7.3 4.0
17000 -11.7 10.9 135 1 1 7.1 3.9 | -11.4 11.5 315 1 1 7.4 4.0
16500 -10.6 12.9 110 2 1 7.1 3.9 | -10.3 13.5 330 1 0 6.9 3.8
16000 -9.6 14.7 105 2 1 7.1 3.9 | -9.3 15.3 345 1 0 6.8 3.7
15500 -8.5 16.7 095 2 1 6.9 3.8 | -8.3 17.1 015 1 0 6.5 3.5
15000 -7.5 18.5 110 2 1 6.7 3.7 | -7.4 18.7 000 0 0 6.0 3.3
14500 -6.5 20.3 120 3 1 6.6 3.6 | -6.5 20.3 145 1 0 5.9 3.3
14000 -5.6 21.9 130 4 2 6.1 3.3 | -5.7 21.7 155 2 1 5.4 3.0
13500 -4.7 23.5 135 4 2 6.1 3.4 | -4.9 23.2 160 3 1 5.5 3.0
13000 -3.9 25.0 140 5 3 5.6 3.1 | -4.1 24.6 155 4 2 5.2 2.9
12500 -3.0 26.6 140 6 3 5.7 3.1 | -3.4 25.9 150 4 2 5.3 2.9
12000 -2.2 28.0 140 6 3 6.3 3.4 | -2.6 27.3 140 5 3 6.0 3.3
11500 -1.3 29.7 135 6 3 6.2 3.4 | -1.7 28.9 135 6 3 6.0 3.3
11000 -0.3 31.5 135 6 3 7.3 4.0 | -0.8 30.6 130 7 3 7.6 4.2
10500 0.7 33.3 135 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 0.3 32.5 125 7 3 7.8 4.3
10250 1.2 34.2 135 6 3 6.9 3.8 | 0.9 33.6 125 7 4 8.6 4.7
10000 1.7 35.1 140 6 3 6.8 3.8 | 1.6 34.9 125 7 4 8.8 4.8
9750 2.2 36.0 140 6 3 7.0 3.8 | 2.2 36.0 120 7 4 8.8 4.8
9500 2.7 36.9 145 6 3 6.5 3.6 | 2.9 37.2 120 7 4 8.7 4.7
9250 3.2 37.8 145 6 3 6.2 3.4 | 3.5 38.3 120 7 4 9.1 5.0
9000 3.6 38.5 150 6 3 6.7 3.7 | 5.0 41.0 120 7 4 9.8 5.4
8750 4.6 40.3 150 6 3 6.9 3.8 | 5.7 42.3 120 7 4 9.3 5.1
8500 5.1 41.2 150 5 3 6.8 3.8 | 6.4 43.5 120 7 3 9.1 5.0
8250 5.6 42.1 150 5 3 6.5 3.6 | 7.1 44.8 120 7 3 10.2 5.6
8000 6.1 43.0 145 5 3 6.4 3.5 | 7.9 46.2 120 7 3 10.6 5.8
7750 6.6 43.9 140 5 3 5.5 3.0 | 8.7 47.7 120 7 3 10.1 5.5
7500 7.0 44.6 125 5 2 4.8 2.6 | 9.4 48.9 120 6 3 9.7 5.3
7250 7.3 45.1 115 5 2 4.6 2.5 | 10.1 50.2 120 6 3 10.5 5.8
7000 7.7 45.9 105 5 3 4.9 2.7 | 10.9 51.6 120 6 3 10.6 5.8
6750 8.1 46.6 100 5 3 6.3 3.5 | 11.7 53.1 120 6 3 10.0 5.5
6500 8.5 47.3 095 5 2 5.9 3.2 | 12.5 54.5 120 6 3 9.6 5.3
6250 9.0 48.2 090 5 2 7.9 4.4 | 13.2 55.8 120 6 3 11.1 6.1
6000 9.8 49.6 085 5 2 14.7 8.1 | 14.3 57.7 120 5 3 18.4 10.1
5750 11.0 51.8 085 4 2 13.3 7.3 | 16.1 61.0 120 5 2 32.2 17.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
04/05/2026 at 1500 MDT | 04/05/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.8 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -12.9 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +2.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.0 -74.2 280 44 23 2.7 1.5 | -59.0 -74.2 285 43 22 2.3 1.3
45000 -55.5 -67.9 275 47 24 -1.5 -0.8 | -56.0 -68.8 285 50 26 -1.2 -0.6
40000 -57.8 -72.0 280 32 17 -1.4 -0.8 | -57.8 -72.0 285 38 20 -1.1 -0.6
38000 -56.3 -69.3 280 27 14 3.6 2.0 | -56.2 -69.2 285 33 17 3.6 2.0
36000 -54.1 -65.4 280 24 12 3.6 2.0 | -54.1 -65.4 285 29 15 3.6 2.0
34000 -50.7 -59.3 280 22 11 7.8 4.3 | -50.6 -59.1 290 26 14 8.4 4.6
32000 -46.0 -50.8 280 23 12 7.8 4.3 | -45.6 -50.1 290 26 14 8.4 4.6
30000 -41.3 -42.3 285 21 11 7.8 4.3 | -40.8 -41.4 295 24 12 7.5 4.1
29000 -39.0 -38.2 285 19 10 7.8 4.3 | -38.6 -37.5 295 21 11 7.5 4.1
28000 -36.7 -34.1 290 18 9 7.8 4.3 | -36.3 -33.3 300 18 9 7.5 4.1
27000 -34.3 -29.7 290 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -34.0 -29.2 300 16 8 7.8 4.3
26000 -32.0 -25.6 290 14 7 7.8 4.3 | -31.7 -25.1 300 16 8 7.8 4.3
25000 -29.7 -21.5 285 13 7 7.8 4.3 | -29.4 -20.9 300 15 8 7.8 4.3
24000 -27.4 -17.3 280 11 6 7.0 3.8 | -27.1 -16.8 300 14 7 6.9 3.8
23000 -24.8 -12.6 280 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -24.5 -12.1 300 11 6 7.0 3.8
22000 -22.6 -8.7 275 5 3 7.1 3.9 | -22.4 -8.3 295 9 5 7.0 3.8
21000 -20.4 -4.7 275 4 2 7.7 4.2 | -20.2 -4.4 295 7 4 7.5 4.1
20000 -18.1 -0.6 275 3 2 7.7 4.2 | -18.0 -0.4 305 6 3 7.6 4.1
19500 -16.9 1.6 280 3 1 7.7 4.2 | -16.8 1.8 310 6 3 7.5 4.1
19000 -15.7 3.7 280 2 1 7.5 4.1 | -15.7 3.7 315 5 3 7.4 4.1
18500 -14.6 5.7 280 2 1 7.4 4.1 | -14.6 5.7 315 5 3 7.3 4.0
18000 -13.5 7.7 285 2 1 7.4 4.1 | -13.5 7.7 320 5 3 7.3 4.0
17500 -12.4 9.7 285 2 1 7.4 4.1 | -12.4 9.7 320 4 2 6.7 3.7
17000 -11.3 11.7 280 2 1 7.4 4.1 | -11.4 11.5 320 4 2 6.8 3.7
16500 -10.2 13.6 275 2 1 7.1 3.9 | -10.5 13.1 315 3 2 6.5 3.6
16000 -9.1 15.6 265 2 1 6.9 3.8 | -9.5 14.9 300 1 1 6.6 3.6
15500 -8.1 17.4 255 2 1 6.2 3.4 | -8.6 16.5 175 1 1 7.0 3.9
15000 -7.3 18.9 220 2 1 5.3 2.9 | -7.5 18.5 155 3 2 7.6 4.2
14500 -6.6 20.1 190 2 1 5.7 3.1 | -6.4 20.5 150 5 3 7.8 4.3
14000 -5.7 21.7 170 3 2 6.7 3.7 | -5.2 22.6 150 6 3 8.5 4.7
13500 -4.7 23.5 160 4 2 6.7 3.7 | -3.9 25.0 150 7 4 8.5 4.7
13000 -3.7 25.3 155 5 3 7.7 4.2 | -2.7 27.1 150 7 4 8.8 4.8
12500 -2.6 27.3 155 6 3 7.5 4.1 | -1.4 29.5 155 7 3 8.7 4.8
12000 -1.4 29.5 155 6 3 9.5 5.2 | -0.0 32.0 160 6 3 9.5 5.2
11500 0.0 32.0 155 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 1.4 34.5 160 6 3 9.4 5.1
11000 1.4 34.5 155 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 2.8 37.0 165 5 3 9.6 5.2
10500 2.8 37.0 155 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 4.2 39.6 170 5 3 9.3 5.1
10250 3.6 38.5 155 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 4.9 40.8 170 5 3 9.4 5.1
10000 4.3 39.7 155 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 5.6 42.1 170 5 2 9.7 5.3
9750 5.0 41.0 155 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 6.3 43.3 175 5 2 9.6 5.3
9500 5.7 42.3 155 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 7.1 44.8 175 4 2 9.7 5.3
9250 6.4 43.5 155 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 7.8 46.0 180 4 2 9.8 5.4
9000 7.2 45.0 160 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 8.5 47.3 185 4 2 9.7 5.3
8750 7.9 46.2 160 5 3 10.3 5.6 | 10.0 50.0 190 4 2 9.2 5.1
8500 9.3 48.7 160 5 3 8.6 4.7 | 10.6 51.1 195 4 2 8.8 4.8
8250 10.0 50.0 165 5 3 10.3 5.6 | 11.3 52.3 195 4 2 9.9 5.4
8000 10.8 51.4 165 5 3 11.2 6.1 | 12.1 53.8 200 4 2 10.5 5.8
7750 11.7 53.1 165 5 2 9.9 5.4 | 12.9 55.2 200 4 2 9.8 5.4
7500 12.3 54.1 170 5 2 8.9 4.9 | 13.6 56.5 205 4 2 9.1 5.0
7250 13.1 55.6 170 5 2 10.7 5.8 | 14.3 57.7 210 3 2 10.0 5.5
7000 13.9 57.0 170 4 2 11.4 6.2 | 15.1 59.2 215 3 2 10.6 5.8
6750 14.7 58.5 175 4 2 10.1 5.6 | 15.8 60.4 220 3 2 10.0 5.5
6500 15.4 59.7 175 4 2 9.9 5.5 | 16.6 61.9 225 4 2 9.9 5.5
6250 16.2 61.2 180 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 17.3 63.1 225 4 2 9.1 5.0
6000 17.0 62.6 180 4 2 14.1 7.7 | 18.0 64.4 230 4 2 10.3 5.7
5750 19.0 66.2 185 4 2 50.0 27.4 | 19.3 66.7 235 3 2 31.8 17.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0718 MDT Sunday April 5 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, April 5, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 55.7 F/13.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 672 ft/min (3.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14806 ft MSL (8354 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 66.0 F/19.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12500 ft MSL (6048 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 04/06....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:44:42 / 19:29:14 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 44 min 33 sec (764 min 33 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:06:58 MDT... 60.64 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 04/05/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11088 ft MSL (4636 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18356 ft MSL (11904 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17643 ft MSL (11192 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.6
K index......................... -15.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.2 -74.6 275 43 22 3.3 1.8 92.8 199.1 43.2 M M
45000 -55.0 -67.0 265 41 21 -1.6 -0.9 77.3 171.2 36.4 M M
40000 -57.5 -71.5 260 41 21 -1.6 -0.9 50.7 123.3 21.2 M M
38000 -56.2 -69.2 265 36 18 3.4 1.9 42.8 109.1 16.4 M M
36000 -54.2 -65.6 270 30 15 3.5 1.9 37.5 99.5 13.1 M M
34000 -50.9 -59.6 275 26 13 8.1 4.4 34.0 93.2 10.9 M M
32000 -46.0 -50.8 270 25 13 8.1 4.4 32.6 90.7 10.2 M M
30000 -41.3 -42.3 265 23 12 7.6 4.2 31.2 88.2 9.4 M M
29000 -39.0 -38.2 270 22 11 7.6 4.2 30.3 86.6 8.8 M M
28000 -36.7 -34.1 275 21 11 7.6 4.2 29.6 85.3 8.4 M M
27000 -34.6 -30.3 275 20 10 6.5 3.6 28.7 83.7 7.7 M M
26000 -32.6 -26.7 275 19 10 6.6 3.6 27.4 81.3 6.8 M M
25000 -30.6 -23.1 275 19 10 6.6 3.6 26.3 79.3 6.0 M M
24000 -28.0 -18.4 275 17 9 8.0 4.4 25.1 77.1 5.1 M M
23000 -25.6 -14.1 265 15 8 8.0 4.4 24.4 75.9 4.5 M M
22000 -23.2 -9.8 260 13 7 8.0 4.4 23.8 74.8 4.1 M M
21000 -20.9 -5.6 255 11 6 7.7 4.2 23.1 73.6 3.6 M M
20000 -18.6 -1.5 255 9 4 7.7 4.2 22.3 72.2 2.9 M M
19500 -17.5 0.5 255 8 4 7.7 4.2 22.0 71.6 2.7 M M
19000 -16.3 2.7 255 6 3 7.9 4.3 21.7 71.1 2.4 M M
18500 -15.1 4.8 250 6 3 8.1 4.4 21.4 70.5 2.2 M M
18000 -13.9 7.0 250 6 3 8.1 4.5 21.1 70.0 2.0 M M
17500 -12.7 9.1 250 6 3 8.1 4.4 20.8 69.5 1.7 M M
17000 -11.5 11.3 250 5 3 8.1 4.4 20.6 69.0 1.5 M M
16500 -10.3 13.5 245 5 3 7.8 4.3 20.3 68.5 1.2 M M
16000 -9.1 15.6 245 4 2 7.7 4.2 19.9 67.9 0.9 M M
15500 -7.9 17.8 240 4 2 7.5 4.1 19.6 67.3 0.6 M M
15000 -6.9 19.6 235 3 2 6.9 3.8 19.2 66.5 0.2 M M
14500 -5.9 21.4 225 2 1 6.9 3.8 18.7 65.7 -0.2 649 3.3
14000 -5.0 23.0 210 2 1 5.7 3.1 18.1 64.6 -0.8 607 3.1
13500 -4.1 24.6 185 1 1 6.0 3.3 17.5 63.5 -1.4 567 2.9
13000 -3.3 26.1 160 1 1 4.9 2.7 16.8 62.2 -2.1 529 2.7
12500 -2.6 27.3 150 2 1 5.0 2.8 16.0 60.9 -2.9 493 2.5
12000 -1.9 28.6 150 2 1 5.8 3.2 15.4 59.6 -3.6 456 2.3
11500 -1.1 30.0 160 3 1 5.5 3.0 14.7 58.5 -4.2 416 2.1
11000 -0.1 31.8 165 3 2 7.4 4.1 14.3 57.7 -4.7 372 1.9
10500 1.3 34.3 165 5 2 6.8 3.7 13.5 56.3 -5.5 307 1.6
10250 1.9 35.4 160 6 3 6.6 3.6 13.3 55.9 -5.8 284 1.4
10000 2.3 36.1 160 6 3 6.0 3.3 13.0 55.4 -6.1 264 1.3
9750 2.8 37.0 155 7 4 6.2 3.4 12.7 54.9 -6.4 243 1.2
9500 3.2 37.8 155 8 4 5.7 3.1 12.4 54.4 -6.7 222 1.1
9250 3.6 38.5 155 8 4 5.2 2.9 12.1 53.8 -7.0 203 1.0
9000 4.0 39.2 150 9 5 5.3 2.9 11.8 53.2 -7.4 184 0.9
8750 4.4 39.9 150 10 5 4.9 2.7 11.4 52.5 -7.7 165 0.8
8500 4.7 40.5 150 10 5 3.8 2.1 11.0 51.8 -8.2 148 0.8
8250 4.9 40.8 145 10 5 3.3 1.8 10.5 50.9 -8.7 133 0.7
8000 5.2 41.4 140 10 5 4.4 2.4 10.1 50.1 -9.1 117 0.6
7750 5.6 42.1 140 10 5 4.6 2.5 9.7 49.4 -9.5 100 0.5
7500 5.9 42.6 135 9 5 3.9 2.1 9.3 48.7 -10.0 83 0.4
7250 6.2 43.2 130 8 4 4.8 2.7 8.8 47.9 -10.4 66 0.3
7000 6.5 43.7 125 7 4 1.2 0.7 8.4 47.1 -10.9 50 0.3
6750 6.1 43.0 120 6 3 -10.8 -5.9 7.3 45.2 -12.0 53 0.3
6500 5.1 41.2 115 4 2 -12.3 -6.7 5.6 42.1 -13.8 77 0.4
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/05/2026 at 0900 MDT | 04/05/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.7 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.4
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -14.1 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -14.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.6 -75.3 270 41 21 3.1 1.7 | -59.2 -74.6 275 43 22 2.8 1.6
45000 -55.5 -67.9 265 38 19 -1.0 -0.6 | -55.6 -68.1 270 40 20 -1.6 -0.9
40000 -57.1 -70.8 265 38 19 -1.0 -0.6 | -58.2 -72.8 275 31 16 -1.6 -0.9
38000 -55.8 -68.4 270 32 16 3.2 1.7 | -56.5 -69.7 275 27 14 4.2 2.3
36000 -53.9 -65.0 280 25 13 3.2 1.7 | -54.0 -65.2 275 23 12 4.2 2.3
34000 -50.9 -59.6 280 22 11 7.4 4.1 | -50.6 -59.1 280 20 10 7.2 3.9
32000 -46.5 -51.7 280 21 11 7.4 4.0 | -46.3 -51.3 280 19 10 7.2 3.9
30000 -41.9 -43.4 275 20 10 8.2 4.5 | -41.8 -43.2 280 17 9 8.1 4.4
29000 -39.4 -38.9 275 19 10 8.2 4.5 | -39.4 -38.9 275 17 9 8.1 4.4
28000 -37.0 -34.6 275 18 9 8.2 4.5 | -37.0 -34.6 275 17 9 8.1 4.4
27000 -34.6 -30.3 275 17 9 6.8 3.7 | -34.6 -30.3 275 16 8 7.9 4.3
26000 -32.6 -26.7 285 15 8 6.9 3.8 | -32.2 -26.0 275 14 7 7.9 4.3
25000 -30.0 -22.0 295 14 7 6.9 3.8 | -29.8 -21.6 275 12 6 7.9 4.3
24000 -27.9 -18.2 295 13 7 7.2 3.9 | -27.0 -16.6 280 10 5 6.9 3.8
23000 -25.7 -14.3 285 12 6 7.2 4.0 | -25.0 -13.0 290 10 5 6.8 3.8
22000 -23.6 -10.5 275 12 6 7.2 3.9 | -23.0 -9.4 295 10 5 6.8 3.7
21000 -21.3 -6.3 270 10 5 7.8 4.3 | -20.7 -5.3 300 9 5 7.8 4.3
20000 -19.0 -2.2 265 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -18.4 -1.1 295 9 5 7.8 4.3
19500 -17.8 -0.0 265 7 3 7.8 4.3 | -17.2 1.0 290 9 5 7.8 4.3
19000 -16.6 2.1 260 5 3 7.8 4.3 | -16.1 3.0 290 9 4 7.5 4.1
18500 -15.5 4.1 255 5 2 7.8 4.3 | -15.0 5.0 290 7 4 7.3 4.0
18000 -14.3 6.3 250 4 2 7.8 4.3 | -13.9 7.0 290 6 3 7.4 4.0
17500 -13.2 8.2 245 3 2 7.8 4.3 | -12.8 9.0 290 4 2 6.7 3.7
17000 -12.0 10.4 230 3 1 7.8 4.3 | -11.8 10.8 290 3 2 6.8 3.7
16500 -10.9 12.4 210 3 1 7.4 4.0 | -10.8 12.6 290 2 1 6.5 3.6
16000 -9.8 14.4 190 3 2 7.2 4.0 | -9.9 14.2 255 1 0 6.4 3.5
15500 -8.7 16.3 170 4 2 7.0 3.9 | -8.9 16.0 175 1 1 6.2 3.4
15000 -7.7 18.1 160 5 2 6.7 3.7 | -8.0 17.6 155 3 1 5.8 3.2
14500 -6.7 19.9 150 6 3 6.7 3.7 | -7.2 19.0 150 4 2 5.8 3.2
14000 -5.8 21.6 150 7 3 6.5 3.6 | -6.3 20.7 150 6 3 5.6 3.1
13500 -4.8 23.4 145 7 4 6.6 3.6 | -5.5 22.1 150 7 4 5.7 3.1
13000 -3.9 25.0 145 7 4 5.5 3.0 | -4.8 23.4 145 8 4 4.8 2.6
12500 -3.1 26.4 150 7 4 5.7 3.1 | -4.1 24.6 145 10 5 4.8 2.6
12000 -2.3 27.9 150 7 4 5.6 3.1 | -3.3 26.1 145 11 6 7.1 3.9
11500 -1.5 29.3 155 7 3 5.3 2.9 | -2.3 27.9 145 13 7 6.6 3.6
11000 -0.6 30.9 160 7 4 6.9 3.8 | -0.4 31.3 145 14 7 8.4 4.6
10500 0.7 33.3 160 8 4 6.5 3.6 | 0.9 33.6 145 14 7 9.6 5.3
10250 1.2 34.2 155 9 5 6.2 3.4 | 1.7 35.1 145 14 7 9.7 5.3
10000 1.6 34.9 155 10 5 5.2 2.8 | 2.3 36.1 150 15 8 8.8 4.8
9750 2.0 35.6 150 11 6 5.4 3.0 | 3.0 37.4 150 15 8 9.1 5.0
9500 2.4 36.3 150 12 6 4.6 2.5 | 3.7 38.7 150 15 8 9.7 5.3
9250 2.7 36.9 145 13 7 4.4 2.4 | 4.4 39.9 150 15 8 9.9 5.4
9000 3.0 37.4 145 13 7 5.0 2.7 | 5.2 41.4 150 15 8 9.5 5.2
8750 3.4 38.1 145 13 7 4.7 2.6 | 5.9 42.6 150 16 8 9.7 5.3
8500 3.7 38.7 145 13 7 4.0 2.2 | 6.6 43.9 150 16 8 10.1 5.5
8250 4.0 39.2 140 13 7 4.0 2.2 | 7.4 45.3 150 16 8 10.1 5.6
8000 4.4 39.9 140 13 7 7.9 4.3 | 8.1 46.6 150 16 8 10.2 5.6
7750 5.1 41.2 140 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 8.9 48.0 150 16 8 10.4 5.7
7500 5.8 42.4 140 12 6 8.5 4.7 | 9.7 49.5 150 15 8 11.0 6.0
7250 6.4 43.5 135 12 6 8.3 4.5 | 10.5 50.9 150 15 8 9.9 5.4
7000 7.1 44.8 135 11 6 10.5 5.7 | 11.3 52.3 150 15 8 13.8 7.6
6750 8.1 46.6 135 10 5 17.4 9.6 | 12.7 54.9 155 14 7 26.2 14.4
6500 9.4 48.9 135 9 5 12.9 7.1 | 14.8 58.6 155 13 7 22.6 12.4
04/05/2026 at 1500 MDT | 04/05/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.6
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -14.5 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -4.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.2 -74.6 275 44 23 2.5 1.4 | -59.1 -74.4 285 45 23 2.4 1.3
45000 -55.9 -68.6 270 41 21 -1.5 -0.8 | -56.1 -69.0 280 47 24 -1.5 -0.8
40000 -58.4 -73.1 275 29 15 -1.5 -0.8 | -58.5 -73.3 285 35 18 -1.4 -0.8
38000 -56.9 -70.4 280 25 13 4.1 2.3 | -56.9 -70.4 285 30 16 4.2 2.3
36000 -54.4 -65.9 280 22 11 4.1 2.3 | -54.4 -65.9 285 25 13 4.2 2.3
34000 -51.1 -60.0 285 20 10 7.7 4.2 | -51.0 -59.8 290 21 11 8.0 4.4
32000 -46.5 -51.7 285 19 10 7.7 4.2 | -46.2 -51.2 295 18 9 8.0 4.4
30000 -41.3 -42.3 285 18 9 7.7 4.2 | -40.9 -41.6 305 17 9 7.7 4.2
29000 -38.9 -38.0 290 18 9 7.7 4.2 | -38.6 -37.5 305 18 9 7.6 4.2
28000 -36.6 -33.9 290 18 9 7.7 4.2 | -36.3 -33.3 310 19 10 7.6 4.2
27000 -34.3 -29.7 290 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -34.0 -29.2 310 18 9 7.5 4.1
26000 -31.9 -25.4 285 16 8 7.8 4.3 | -31.8 -25.2 305 17 9 7.5 4.1
25000 -29.6 -21.3 285 14 7 7.8 4.3 | -29.5 -21.1 305 15 8 7.5 4.1
24000 -27.3 -17.1 285 13 6 7.2 3.9 | -27.3 -17.1 300 14 7 7.4 4.0
23000 -25.2 -13.4 290 11 6 7.2 3.9 | -25.1 -13.2 300 12 6 7.4 4.1
22000 -23.0 -9.4 295 9 5 7.2 3.9 | -22.9 -9.2 300 10 5 7.4 4.1
21000 -20.8 -5.4 300 9 4 7.6 4.2 | -20.6 -5.1 300 9 5 7.5 4.1
20000 -18.5 -1.3 300 9 4 7.6 4.2 | -18.4 -1.1 305 9 4 7.5 4.1
19500 -17.4 0.7 305 9 4 7.6 4.2 | -17.3 0.9 305 8 4 7.5 4.1
19000 -16.2 2.8 305 9 4 7.6 4.2 | -16.1 3.0 305 8 4 7.5 4.1
18500 -15.1 4.8 305 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -15.0 5.0 310 8 4 7.5 4.1
18000 -13.9 7.0 300 7 4 7.8 4.3 | -13.9 7.0 310 7 4 7.6 4.2
17500 -12.8 9.0 300 6 3 7.3 4.0 | -12.8 9.0 310 7 3 7.4 4.1
17000 -11.7 10.9 300 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -11.6 11.1 315 6 3 7.4 4.1
16500 -10.6 12.9 305 5 2 7.2 4.0 | -10.5 13.1 320 6 3 7.6 4.2
16000 -9.5 14.9 305 4 2 7.2 4.0 | -9.4 15.1 320 5 3 7.7 4.2
15500 -8.4 16.9 310 3 2 6.9 3.8 | -8.2 17.2 325 5 3 7.6 4.2
15000 -7.5 18.5 295 2 1 5.7 3.2 | -7.2 19.0 320 5 2 7.0 3.8
14500 -6.7 19.9 210 1 1 5.9 3.3 | -6.2 20.8 305 4 2 7.1 3.9
14000 -6.1 21.0 170 4 2 3.0 1.7 | -5.3 22.5 265 3 2 5.5 3.0
13500 -5.6 21.9 165 8 4 3.1 1.7 | -4.4 24.1 215 5 3 5.6 3.1
13000 -4.8 23.4 165 10 5 9.7 5.3 | -2.9 26.8 190 8 4 7.7 4.2
12500 -2.7 27.1 160 11 6 9.3 5.1 | -1.8 28.8 185 10 5 8.3 4.5
12000 -1.3 29.7 160 12 6 9.5 5.2 | -0.4 31.3 180 10 5 9.5 5.2
11500 0.1 32.2 160 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 1.0 33.8 175 10 5 9.8 5.4
11000 1.6 34.9 160 13 6 9.5 5.2 | 2.4 36.3 175 11 5 9.5 5.2
10500 3.0 37.4 160 13 7 10.1 5.5 | 3.9 39.0 170 11 6 10.0 5.5
10250 3.8 38.8 160 13 7 10.0 5.5 | 4.6 40.3 170 11 6 10.0 5.5
10000 4.5 40.1 160 13 7 9.2 5.1 | 5.3 41.5 170 11 6 9.4 5.2
9750 5.2 41.4 160 14 7 9.4 5.1 | 6.1 43.0 170 11 6 9.3 5.1
9500 5.9 42.6 160 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 6.8 44.2 170 11 6 10.2 5.6
9250 6.7 44.1 160 14 7 10.2 5.6 | 7.6 45.7 165 11 6 10.4 5.7
9000 7.4 45.3 160 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 8.3 46.9 165 12 6 9.4 5.1
8750 8.1 46.6 160 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 9.0 48.2 165 12 6 9.5 5.2
8500 8.9 48.0 160 14 7 9.9 5.5 | 9.7 49.5 165 12 6 9.6 5.3
8250 9.6 49.3 160 15 8 10.1 5.6 | 10.4 50.7 165 12 6 9.7 5.3
8000 10.4 50.7 160 15 8 10.7 5.9 | 11.2 52.2 160 12 6 9.6 5.3
7750 11.2 52.2 160 14 7 10.7 5.9 | 11.9 53.4 160 12 6 9.8 5.4
7500 12.0 53.6 160 14 7 10.6 5.8 | 12.6 54.7 160 12 6 10.2 5.6
7250 12.8 55.0 160 14 7 10.2 5.6 | 13.4 56.1 160 12 6 10.4 5.7
7000 13.6 56.5 160 14 7 11.8 6.5 | 14.2 57.6 160 12 6 9.4 5.1
6750 14.8 58.6 160 13 7 21.2 11.7 | 14.9 58.8 160 11 6 10.9 6.0
6500 17.0 62.6 160 12 6 41.5 22.8 | 16.3 61.3 155 10 5 32.3 17.7
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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