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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0748 MDT Sunday July 20 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, July 20, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 77.9 F/25.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1136 ft/min (5.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17041 ft MSL (10713 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14442 ft MSL (8114 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/21....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:05:16 / 20:15:36 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 10 min 19 sec (850 min 19 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:26 MDT... 75.34 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/20/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16692 ft MSL (10364 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15278 ft MSL (8950 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16327 ft MSL (9999 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.1
K index......................... +28.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.7 -89.9 175 17 9 1.7 0.9 73.6 164.4 24.9 M M
45000 -61.8 -79.2 190 26 13 7.3 4.0 59.0 138.2 17.4 M M
40000 -50.7 -59.3 190 23 12 8.0 4.4 54.1 129.4 15.3 M M
38000 -45.9 -50.6 205 19 10 8.0 4.4 52.5 126.4 14.5 M M
36000 -41.1 -42.0 220 15 8 7.8 4.3 51.4 124.5 14.1 M M
34000 -36.5 -33.7 215 15 8 7.7 4.2 49.4 120.9 13.0 M M
32000 -31.4 -24.5 210 15 8 7.6 4.2 47.8 118.0 12.1 M M
30000 -26.8 -16.2 195 16 8 7.6 4.2 45.9 114.6 10.9 M M
29000 -24.5 -12.1 190 16 8 7.6 4.2 45.2 113.3 10.5 M M
28000 -22.4 -8.3 190 16 8 6.4 3.5 44.2 111.6 9.9 M M
27000 -20.5 -4.9 190 13 7 6.6 3.6 42.9 109.3 8.9 M M
26000 -18.6 -1.5 195 11 6 6.6 3.6 41.8 107.2 8.0 M M
25000 -16.6 2.1 205 9 5 7.2 3.9 40.8 105.4 7.2 M M
24000 -14.4 6.1 210 7 3 7.5 4.1 39.9 103.7 6.5 M M
23000 -12.2 10.0 220 5 2 7.5 4.1 39.1 102.3 5.9 M M
22000 -9.9 14.2 245 3 2 6.9 3.8 38.3 101.0 5.4 M M
21000 -8.0 17.6 240 5 3 6.6 3.6 37.1 98.8 4.3 M M
20000 -6.1 21.0 240 7 4 6.6 3.6 36.1 96.9 3.4 M M
19500 -5.2 22.6 235 8 4 6.6 3.6 35.6 96.0 2.9 M M
19000 -4.2 24.4 235 9 5 6.3 3.5 35.0 95.0 2.4 M M
18500 -3.3 26.1 235 9 5 6.4 3.5 34.4 94.0 1.9 M M
18000 -2.5 27.5 230 10 5 6.2 3.4 33.9 93.0 1.3 M M
17500 -1.2 29.8 225 10 5 6.1 3.4 32.9 91.3 0.4 M M
17000 -0.3 31.5 220 11 5 5.9 3.2 32.3 90.2 -0.2 924 4.7
16500 0.5 32.9 220 11 5 5.7 3.1 31.7 89.0 -0.9 886 4.5
16000 1.3 34.3 225 11 6 5.8 3.2 31.0 87.8 -1.5 847 4.3
15500 2.2 36.0 230 11 6 6.8 3.7 30.4 86.8 -2.1 805 4.1
15000 3.1 37.6 235 11 6 6.6 3.6 29.9 85.9 -2.6 761 3.9
14500 4.2 39.6 240 11 6 7.9 4.3 29.5 85.2 -3.0 715 3.6
14000 5.4 41.7 245 11 6 7.9 4.3 29.2 84.6 -3.3 665 3.4
13500 6.5 43.7 255 12 6 7.8 4.3 28.9 84.1 -3.6 616 3.1
13000 7.6 45.7 255 12 6 7.8 4.3 28.6 83.5 -4.0 568 2.9
12500 8.7 47.7 260 12 6 7.7 4.2 28.3 83.0 -4.3 520 2.6
12000 9.8 49.6 260 12 6 7.6 4.2 28.0 82.3 -4.7 472 2.4
11500 10.9 51.6 260 12 6 7.8 4.3 27.6 81.7 -5.1 425 2.2
11000 12.1 53.8 260 12 6 7.7 4.2 27.3 81.2 -5.5 376 1.9
10500 13.2 55.8 260 11 6 7.7 4.2 27.0 80.6 -5.8 327 1.7
10250 13.7 56.7 265 11 6 7.4 4.1 26.9 80.3 -6.0 303 1.5
10000 14.3 57.7 265 10 5 7.2 3.9 26.7 80.0 -6.2 280 1.4
9750 14.8 58.6 270 10 5 7.2 3.9 26.5 79.6 -6.4 256 1.3
9500 15.3 59.5 270 10 5 7.4 4.0 26.3 79.3 -6.6 233 1.2
9250 15.9 60.6 275 9 5 7.8 4.3 26.1 79.0 -6.8 209 1.1
9000 16.5 61.7 285 9 5 6.7 3.7 25.9 78.7 -7.0 185 0.9
8750 16.9 62.4 290 9 4 5.7 3.1 25.6 78.1 -7.3 164 0.8
8500 17.3 63.1 295 9 4 5.9 3.2 25.3 77.6 -7.6 144 0.7
8250 17.7 63.9 300 9 4 5.8 3.2 25.0 77.1 -7.9 124 0.6
8000 18.2 64.8 300 9 4 5.5 3.0 24.7 76.5 -8.3 104 0.5
7750 18.5 65.3 305 9 4 5.1 2.8 24.4 75.9 -8.6 86 0.4
7500 18.8 65.8 305 9 4 3.1 1.7 24.0 75.2 -9.1 69 0.4
7250 18.9 66.0 305 8 4 1.4 0.8 23.4 74.1 -9.7 59 0.3
7000 19.1 66.4 305 8 4 2.7 1.5 22.8 73.1 -10.4 48 0.2
6750 19.2 66.6 305 7 4 -0.2 -0.1 22.2 72.0 -11.0 37 0.2
6500 18.8 65.8 305 6 3 -9.9 -5.4 21.2 70.1 -12.1 41 0.2
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/20/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/20/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +12.3 LI... +0.6 | CAPE... +84.7 LI... -0.7
CINH... -129.6 K Index... +25.7 | CINH... -8.9 K Index... +26.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.2 -89.0 175 21 11 0.3 0.2 | -66.5 -87.7 190 19 10 0.1 0.1
45000 -62.4 -80.3 185 22 12 7.6 4.2 | -62.1 -79.8 180 24 13 7.3 4.0
40000 -50.9 -59.6 200 17 9 8.0 4.4 | -51.1 -60.0 175 23 12 7.7 4.2
38000 -46.1 -51.0 200 15 8 8.0 4.4 | -46.5 -51.7 185 19 10 7.7 4.3
36000 -41.4 -42.5 205 13 7 8.2 4.5 | -41.8 -43.2 200 15 8 8.2 4.5
34000 -36.4 -33.5 205 14 7 8.3 4.6 | -36.8 -34.2 200 14 7 8.4 4.6
32000 -30.8 -23.4 205 14 7 7.7 4.2 | -31.1 -24.0 205 13 7 8.0 4.4
30000 -26.4 -15.5 210 15 8 7.5 4.1 | -26.4 -15.5 195 15 8 7.8 4.3
29000 -24.1 -11.4 210 15 8 7.4 4.1 | -24.1 -11.4 195 16 8 7.8 4.3
28000 -22.1 -7.8 210 15 8 5.9 3.2 | -21.9 -7.4 195 15 8 6.2 3.4
27000 -20.3 -4.5 205 12 6 6.0 3.3 | -20.1 -4.2 200 13 7 6.3 3.5
26000 -18.5 -1.3 205 10 5 6.0 3.3 | -18.2 -0.8 210 11 6 6.3 3.5
25000 -16.7 1.9 205 7 4 7.0 3.9 | -16.3 2.7 220 10 5 6.5 3.6
24000 -14.5 5.9 190 6 3 7.6 4.2 | -14.4 6.1 210 9 5 6.6 3.6
23000 -12.3 9.9 170 6 3 7.6 4.2 | -12.4 9.7 195 8 4 6.7 3.7
22000 -10.1 13.8 155 6 3 7.1 3.9 | -10.5 13.1 185 8 4 6.6 3.6
21000 -8.1 17.4 170 7 3 6.9 3.8 | -8.6 16.5 190 10 5 6.6 3.6
20000 -6.0 21.2 180 8 4 6.9 3.8 | -6.6 20.1 200 12 6 6.7 3.7
19500 -5.0 23.0 185 8 4 6.9 3.8 | -5.6 21.9 200 12 6 6.7 3.7
19000 -4.1 24.6 190 9 4 6.4 3.5 | -4.7 23.5 200 13 7 6.8 3.7
18500 -3.1 26.4 195 9 5 6.4 3.5 | -3.7 25.3 205 13 6 6.8 3.7
18000 -2.2 28.0 200 9 5 6.1 3.4 | -2.7 27.1 210 12 6 6.7 3.7
17500 -1.0 30.2 210 9 5 6.0 3.3 | -1.3 29.7 215 12 6 6.7 3.7
17000 -0.2 31.6 220 9 5 5.6 3.1 | -0.3 31.5 220 11 6 6.7 3.7
16500 0.6 33.1 225 9 5 5.4 3.0 | 0.6 33.1 225 10 5 6.8 3.7
16000 1.3 34.3 235 10 5 5.6 3.0 | 1.5 34.7 230 10 5 6.5 3.6
15500 2.2 36.0 240 10 5 6.4 3.5 | 2.3 36.1 240 9 4 5.1 2.8
15000 3.1 37.6 250 10 5 6.3 3.4 | 2.9 37.2 250 7 4 4.9 2.7
14500 4.0 39.2 255 10 5 7.4 4.0 | 3.8 38.8 260 7 3 8.1 4.5
14000 5.1 41.2 265 9 5 7.3 4.0 | 5.0 41.0 270 6 3 7.9 4.3
13500 6.1 43.0 275 8 4 7.7 4.2 | 6.2 43.2 280 6 3 9.0 4.9
13000 7.3 45.1 285 7 3 7.8 4.3 | 7.5 45.5 280 6 3 9.2 5.0
12500 8.4 47.1 295 6 3 7.9 4.4 | 8.9 48.0 285 6 3 9.4 5.1
12000 9.6 49.3 300 6 3 8.0 4.4 | 10.3 50.5 285 5 3 9.4 5.2
11500 10.8 51.4 310 6 3 7.2 4.0 | 11.7 53.1 285 5 3 8.9 4.9
11000 11.9 53.4 305 6 3 8.2 4.5 | 13.1 55.6 290 5 3 10.0 5.5
10500 13.1 55.6 300 6 3 7.6 4.2 | 14.6 58.3 290 5 3 9.0 5.0
10250 13.6 56.5 300 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 15.2 59.4 290 5 3 9.1 5.0
10000 14.1 57.4 300 7 3 7.3 4.0 | 16.0 60.8 290 5 3 10.3 5.7
9750 14.7 58.5 295 7 4 7.4 4.1 | 16.7 62.1 290 5 3 9.9 5.4
9500 15.2 59.4 295 7 4 6.9 3.8 | 17.5 63.5 290 6 3 10.6 5.8
9250 15.7 60.3 295 7 4 6.2 3.4 | 18.3 64.9 290 6 3 11.2 6.1
9000 16.1 61.0 295 7 4 6.2 3.4 | 19.1 66.4 290 6 3 10.0 5.5
8750 16.5 61.7 290 7 4 5.7 3.2 | 19.8 67.6 290 6 3 9.3 5.1
8500 16.9 62.4 290 7 4 6.9 3.8 | 20.5 68.9 285 6 3 9.7 5.3
8250 17.5 63.5 290 7 4 7.8 4.3 | 21.2 70.2 285 6 3 9.9 5.4
8000 18.0 64.4 290 7 4 8.1 4.4 | 22.0 71.6 285 6 3 10.0 5.5
7750 18.7 65.7 290 7 4 9.4 5.1 | 22.7 72.9 285 6 3 10.3 5.7
7500 19.4 66.9 290 7 3 9.7 5.3 | 23.5 74.3 285 6 3 10.2 5.6
7250 20.1 68.2 285 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 24.3 75.7 285 5 3 10.3 5.6
7000 20.8 69.4 285 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 25.0 77.0 285 5 3 9.7 5.3
6750 21.5 70.7 285 6 3 11.3 6.2 | 25.8 78.4 285 5 3 13.4 7.4
6500 22.6 72.7 285 6 3 17.1 9.4 | 27.1 80.8 285 5 3 23.2 12.7
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/20/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/20/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +429.0 LI... -3.3 | CAPE... +261.3 LI... -1.7
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +33.2 | CINH... -16.3 K Index... +31.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.0 -88.6 205 15 8 0.5 0.3 | -66.9 -88.4 195 11 6 0.8 0.4
45000 -62.4 -80.3 190 24 12 7.3 4.0 | -62.1 -79.8 190 22 11 6.9 3.8
40000 -51.2 -60.2 185 25 13 7.9 4.4 | -51.5 -60.7 190 17 9 8.0 4.4
38000 -46.5 -51.7 190 20 10 7.9 4.4 | -46.7 -52.1 190 13 7 8.0 4.4
36000 -41.7 -43.1 190 15 8 8.3 4.5 | -41.9 -43.4 185 9 5 8.3 4.6
34000 -36.6 -33.9 200 13 7 8.5 4.7 | -36.8 -34.2 195 10 5 8.5 4.7
32000 -30.9 -23.6 215 11 6 7.6 4.2 | -31.1 -24.0 205 10 5 8.2 4.5
30000 -26.7 -16.1 205 12 6 7.2 3.9 | -26.3 -15.3 200 12 6 8.1 4.4
29000 -24.5 -12.1 205 13 7 7.2 3.9 | -23.8 -10.8 200 13 6 8.0 4.4
28000 -22.5 -8.5 205 13 7 6.5 3.6 | -21.6 -6.9 200 13 7 6.1 3.3
27000 -20.5 -4.9 200 12 6 6.6 3.6 | -19.8 -3.6 200 12 6 6.2 3.4
26000 -18.6 -1.5 200 12 6 6.6 3.6 | -18.0 -0.4 200 12 6 6.2 3.4
25000 -16.6 2.1 195 11 5 6.9 3.8 | -16.1 3.0 200 11 6 6.5 3.6
24000 -14.5 5.9 200 10 5 7.1 3.9 | -14.2 6.4 200 10 5 6.6 3.6
23000 -12.4 9.7 210 10 5 7.1 3.9 | -12.2 10.0 205 9 4 6.7 3.7
22000 -10.4 13.3 215 10 5 5.4 3.0 | -10.3 13.5 205 7 4 6.3 3.5
21000 -9.0 15.8 220 10 5 4.8 2.6 | -8.5 16.7 220 6 3 6.2 3.4
20000 -7.7 18.1 225 10 5 4.9 2.7 | -6.7 19.9 240 5 2 6.2 3.4
19500 -7.0 19.4 230 10 5 5.2 2.8 | -5.8 21.6 255 5 2 6.3 3.5
19000 -6.2 20.8 230 9 5 7.2 4.0 | -4.8 23.4 265 4 2 7.3 4.0
18500 -5.2 22.6 230 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -3.8 25.2 285 3 1 7.3 4.0
18000 -4.2 24.4 230 7 4 8.4 4.6 | -2.8 27.0 320 2 1 7.1 3.9
17500 -2.3 27.9 230 7 3 9.0 4.9 | -1.4 29.5 335 2 1 7.0 3.8
17000 -1.0 30.2 230 6 3 9.0 4.9 | -0.4 31.3 335 2 1 8.0 4.4
16500 0.3 32.5 230 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 0.8 33.4 310 2 1 8.5 4.6
16000 1.6 34.9 230 6 3 9.1 5.0 | 2.0 35.6 290 3 1 8.5 4.7
15500 3.0 37.4 230 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 3.3 37.9 280 3 2 8.5 4.7
15000 4.4 39.9 230 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 4.5 40.1 270 4 2 8.4 4.6
14500 5.8 42.4 230 6 3 9.4 5.1 | 5.8 42.4 265 5 3 9.3 5.1
14000 7.2 45.0 230 6 3 9.4 5.1 | 7.2 45.0 260 6 3 9.3 5.1
13500 8.6 47.5 230 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 8.6 47.5 255 6 3 9.5 5.2
13000 10.0 50.0 230 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 10.0 50.0 250 7 4 9.5 5.2
12500 11.4 52.5 230 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 11.4 52.5 245 8 4 9.4 5.2
12000 12.7 54.9 235 6 3 9.2 5.1 | 12.8 55.0 245 8 4 9.3 5.1
11500 14.2 57.6 235 6 3 10.3 5.6 | 14.2 57.6 240 8 4 9.4 5.1
11000 15.7 60.3 235 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 15.6 60.1 240 9 5 9.3 5.1
10500 17.1 62.8 235 7 3 8.3 4.6 | 17.0 62.6 235 10 5 9.0 4.9
10250 17.7 63.9 240 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 17.6 63.7 235 10 5 9.4 5.1
10000 18.5 65.3 240 7 4 10.7 5.9 | 18.4 65.1 235 10 5 10.2 5.6
9750 19.2 66.6 240 7 4 10.1 5.5 | 19.1 66.4 230 10 5 9.9 5.4
9500 20.0 68.0 240 8 4 10.4 5.7 | 19.9 67.8 230 11 6 10.3 5.6
9250 20.8 69.4 240 8 4 10.5 5.8 | 20.7 69.3 230 11 6 10.5 5.8
9000 21.5 70.7 245 8 4 10.0 5.5 | 21.4 70.5 230 11 6 9.5 5.2
8750 22.3 72.1 245 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 22.1 71.8 225 11 6 8.8 4.9
8500 23.0 73.4 245 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 22.8 73.0 225 12 6 9.3 5.1
8250 23.7 74.7 245 9 4 9.5 5.2 | 23.5 74.3 225 12 6 9.8 5.4
8000 24.4 75.9 245 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 24.2 75.6 225 12 6 9.6 5.3
7750 25.2 77.4 245 9 5 10.8 5.9 | 24.9 76.8 225 12 6 9.2 5.0
7500 26.0 78.8 245 9 5 10.5 5.8 | 25.6 78.1 220 12 6 9.2 5.0
7250 26.8 80.2 245 9 5 10.4 5.7 | 26.3 79.3 220 12 6 9.2 5.1
7000 27.5 81.5 245 9 5 9.9 5.4 | 27.0 80.6 220 12 6 9.3 5.1
6750 28.3 82.9 250 9 5 12.1 6.7 | 27.7 81.9 220 12 6 10.0 5.5
6500 29.5 85.1 250 9 5 22.7 12.5 | 28.4 83.1 215 12 6 10.2 5.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0723 MDT Sunday July 20 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, July 20, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 80.0 F/26.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1180 ft/min (6.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17022 ft MSL (11346 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 92.0 F/33.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14730 ft MSL (9055 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/21....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:07:37 / 20:18:13 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 10 min 37 sec (850 min 37 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:12:55 MDT... 75.19 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/20/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16455 ft MSL (10779 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14774 ft MSL (9098 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16139 ft MSL (10463 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.9
K index......................... +26.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.2 -89.0 175 20 10 1.3 0.7 76.7 170.1 25.6 M M
45000 -62.5 -80.5 190 27 14 6.8 3.7 61.3 142.4 17.7 M M
40000 -51.3 -60.3 200 18 9 8.2 4.5 55.2 131.4 14.8 M M
38000 -46.3 -51.3 210 16 8 8.3 4.5 53.8 128.9 14.2 M M
36000 -41.4 -42.5 215 15 8 8.2 4.5 52.9 127.3 13.9 M M
34000 -36.5 -33.7 210 16 8 8.2 4.5 51.3 124.4 13.1 M M
32000 -31.6 -24.9 205 16 8 8.1 4.4 50.3 122.5 12.6 M M
30000 -27.1 -16.8 200 17 9 7.5 4.1 48.4 119.1 11.5 M M
29000 -24.8 -12.6 195 18 9 7.5 4.1 47.6 117.7 11.0 M M
28000 -22.6 -8.7 195 18 9 6.5 3.6 46.8 116.2 10.5 M M
27000 -20.7 -5.3 200 16 8 6.5 3.6 45.4 113.7 9.5 M M
26000 -18.3 -0.9 205 14 7 6.6 3.6 43.9 111.1 8.3 M M
25000 -16.4 2.5 215 12 6 7.3 4.0 42.9 109.2 7.5 M M
24000 -14.1 6.6 220 11 5 7.4 4.0 41.9 107.5 6.8 M M
23000 -11.9 10.6 230 10 5 7.4 4.1 41.1 106.0 6.2 M M
22000 -9.8 14.4 240 9 5 6.4 3.5 40.3 104.5 5.5 M M
21000 -7.9 17.8 235 9 4 6.3 3.5 39.0 102.1 4.4 M M
20000 -6.1 21.0 235 9 4 6.3 3.5 37.8 100.0 3.4 M M
19500 -5.2 22.6 230 9 4 6.2 3.4 37.2 99.0 2.9 M M
19000 -4.3 24.3 230 8 4 6.0 3.3 36.6 97.8 2.3 M M
18500 -3.5 25.7 230 8 4 6.1 3.3 35.9 96.7 1.7 M M
18000 -2.6 27.3 230 7 4 6.2 3.4 35.3 95.6 1.1 M M
17500 -1.7 28.9 235 7 4 6.2 3.4 34.7 94.5 0.5 M M
17000 -0.8 30.6 240 7 4 6.0 3.3 34.1 93.4 -0.0 979 5.0
16500 -0.1 31.8 240 7 4 5.2 2.9 33.4 92.1 -0.7 941 4.8
16000 0.6 33.1 235 6 3 5.2 2.8 32.7 90.8 -1.5 905 4.6
15500 1.4 34.5 235 6 3 6.8 3.7 32.0 89.6 -2.1 866 4.4
15000 2.4 36.3 240 5 2 6.7 3.7 31.5 88.7 -2.7 823 4.2
14500 3.3 37.9 245 4 2 7.4 4.1 31.0 87.9 -3.2 779 4.0
14000 4.5 40.1 270 2 1 7.7 4.2 30.7 87.2 -3.6 731 3.7
13500 5.6 42.1 325 2 1 7.8 4.3 30.4 86.7 -3.9 683 3.5
13000 6.8 44.2 350 4 2 8.0 4.4 30.1 86.1 -4.2 631 3.2
12500 8.0 46.4 360 6 3 8.1 4.5 29.8 85.7 -4.4 580 2.9
12000 9.3 48.7 360 7 4 8.4 4.6 29.6 85.2 -4.6 527 2.7
11500 10.6 51.1 360 9 4 8.3 4.6 29.4 84.9 -4.8 474 2.4
11000 11.7 53.1 355 9 5 7.8 4.3 29.1 84.4 -5.1 424 2.2
10500 12.9 55.2 350 9 5 7.5 4.1 28.8 83.8 -5.5 375 1.9
10250 13.4 56.1 350 9 5 6.9 3.8 28.6 83.5 -5.7 351 1.8
10000 13.9 57.0 345 9 4 6.8 3.7 28.3 83.0 -5.9 329 1.7
9750 14.4 57.9 340 8 4 6.8 3.7 28.1 82.6 -6.2 307 1.6
9500 14.9 58.8 330 8 4 6.9 3.8 27.9 82.2 -6.5 285 1.4
9250 15.4 59.7 330 8 4 6.6 3.6 27.7 81.8 -6.7 262 1.3
9000 16.3 61.3 315 7 4 6.4 3.5 27.1 80.8 -7.3 222 1.1
8750 16.7 62.1 310 6 3 5.5 3.0 26.9 80.3 -7.6 201 1.0
8500 17.0 62.6 300 6 3 5.0 2.7 26.5 79.7 -8.0 184 0.9
8250 17.4 63.3 295 6 3 5.6 3.1 26.2 79.1 -8.4 165 0.8
8000 17.8 64.0 290 5 3 5.7 3.1 25.8 78.5 -8.8 146 0.7
7750 18.2 64.8 280 5 3 5.7 3.1 25.5 78.0 -9.1 127 0.6
7500 18.5 65.3 280 5 3 5.6 3.1 25.2 77.4 -9.5 109 0.6
7250 18.9 66.0 275 4 2 5.2 2.9 24.9 76.8 -9.9 91 0.5
7000 19.2 66.6 270 4 2 5.0 2.7 24.5 76.2 -10.3 73 0.4
6750 19.6 67.3 260 3 2 5.5 3.0 24.2 75.6 -10.8 56 0.3
6500 20.0 68.0 260 3 1 5.7 3.1 23.9 75.0 -11.1 36 0.2
6250 20.4 68.7 255 2 1 5.8 3.2 23.6 74.5 -11.5 17 0.1
6000 20.7 69.3 245 2 1 1.6 0.9 23.2 73.8 -11.9 0 0.0
5750 20.0 68.0 210 1 0 -25.2 -13.8 21.8 71.2 -13.4 14 0.1
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/20/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/20/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +33.9 LI... -0.1 | CAPE... +139.6 LI... -0.7
CINH... -103.1 K Index... +26.0 | CINH... -27.3 K Index... +27.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.5 -87.7 180 21 11 0.3 0.2 | -66.7 -88.1 195 19 10 0.4 0.2
45000 -62.6 -80.7 185 25 13 6.9 3.8 | -62.2 -80.0 190 24 12 7.2 3.9
40000 -51.3 -60.3 195 17 9 8.4 4.6 | -51.3 -60.3 190 17 9 7.8 4.3
38000 -46.2 -51.2 200 17 9 8.4 4.6 | -46.6 -51.9 195 17 9 7.9 4.3
36000 -41.2 -42.2 200 18 9 8.3 4.5 | -41.9 -43.4 195 16 8 8.1 4.5
34000 -36.3 -33.3 210 17 9 8.2 4.5 | -36.2 -33.2 205 17 9 8.4 4.6
32000 -31.3 -24.3 215 16 8 8.0 4.4 | -31.2 -24.2 210 17 9 7.9 4.3
30000 -27.0 -16.6 210 16 8 7.2 3.9 | -26.7 -16.1 205 17 9 7.5 4.1
29000 -24.8 -12.6 205 16 8 7.2 3.9 | -24.5 -12.1 205 17 9 7.5 4.1
28000 -22.7 -8.9 200 15 8 6.5 3.6 | -22.4 -8.3 205 16 8 6.0 3.3
27000 -20.8 -5.4 200 14 7 6.6 3.6 | -20.6 -5.1 200 15 7 6.2 3.4
26000 -18.4 -1.1 195 12 6 6.6 3.6 | -18.7 -1.7 200 13 7 6.2 3.4
25000 -16.4 2.5 195 11 6 7.1 3.9 | -16.9 1.6 200 11 6 6.7 3.7
24000 -14.3 6.3 185 11 6 7.2 3.9 | -14.8 5.4 195 12 6 7.1 3.9
23000 -12.1 10.2 175 11 6 7.2 4.0 | -12.7 9.1 190 12 6 7.2 3.9
22000 -10.1 13.8 170 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -10.6 12.9 190 12 6 6.9 3.8
21000 -8.1 17.4 180 11 6 6.7 3.7 | -8.2 17.2 195 13 7 6.8 3.7
20000 -6.2 20.8 190 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -6.2 20.8 200 13 7 6.8 3.7
19500 -5.2 22.6 195 12 6 6.5 3.6 | -5.2 22.6 200 14 7 6.7 3.7
19000 -4.3 24.3 195 11 6 6.1 3.4 | -4.3 24.3 200 13 7 6.6 3.6
18500 -3.4 25.9 200 11 6 6.2 3.4 | -3.3 26.1 205 13 7 6.7 3.6
18000 -2.5 27.5 205 10 5 5.9 3.2 | -2.4 27.7 210 12 6 6.3 3.5
17500 -1.7 28.9 210 9 5 5.9 3.2 | -1.5 29.3 210 11 5 6.4 3.5
17000 -0.8 30.6 220 9 4 6.0 3.3 | -0.7 30.7 215 9 5 6.6 3.6
16500 0.0 32.0 225 8 4 6.2 3.4 | 0.3 32.5 225 8 4 6.7 3.7
16000 0.9 33.6 235 7 4 6.2 3.4 | 1.3 34.3 230 6 3 6.7 3.7
15500 1.8 35.2 240 6 3 6.3 3.4 | 2.2 36.0 240 5 3 6.8 3.7
15000 2.6 36.7 255 5 2 6.3 3.4 | 3.2 37.8 255 4 2 6.7 3.7
14500 3.5 38.3 270 3 2 7.1 3.9 | 4.2 39.6 275 3 2 7.3 4.0
14000 4.6 40.3 295 2 1 7.3 4.0 | 5.2 41.4 290 2 1 7.3 4.0
13500 5.6 42.1 340 2 1 7.7 4.2 | 6.3 43.3 310 2 1 7.6 4.2
13000 6.9 44.4 005 4 2 8.0 4.4 | 7.4 45.3 325 2 1 7.7 4.3
12500 8.1 46.6 010 6 3 8.0 4.4 | 8.6 47.5 340 2 1 7.6 4.1
12000 9.3 48.7 005 7 4 7.8 4.3 | 9.7 49.5 335 3 2 7.3 4.0
11500 10.5 50.9 360 9 5 7.8 4.3 | 10.7 51.3 330 4 2 7.3 4.0
11000 11.6 52.9 350 10 5 7.6 4.2 | 11.7 53.1 325 4 2 7.4 4.0
10500 12.7 54.9 345 10 5 7.6 4.2 | 12.8 55.0 315 5 2 8.5 4.7
10250 13.2 55.8 340 11 6 7.4 4.1 | 13.4 56.1 310 5 2 9.1 5.0
10000 13.7 56.7 340 11 5 7.3 4.0 | 14.1 57.4 310 5 2 9.2 5.0
9750 14.2 57.6 335 10 5 7.5 4.1 | 14.8 58.6 310 5 2 9.0 4.9
9500 14.8 58.6 330 10 5 6.7 3.7 | 15.4 59.7 305 4 2 9.7 5.3
9250 15.2 59.4 325 9 5 6.5 3.6 | 16.2 61.2 305 5 2 10.1 5.5
9000 15.7 60.3 320 8 4 7.0 3.9 | 16.9 62.4 300 5 2 9.4 5.2
8750 16.2 61.2 315 8 4 7.3 4.0 | 17.6 63.7 300 5 2 10.1 5.5
8500 17.0 62.6 310 7 3 5.3 2.9 | 18.3 64.9 300 5 2 8.0 4.4
8250 17.5 63.5 300 6 3 7.0 3.8 | 18.9 66.0 295 4 2 8.7 4.8
8000 18.0 64.4 295 5 3 7.5 4.1 | 19.7 67.5 295 4 2 11.2 6.1
7750 18.5 65.3 280 4 2 5.4 3.0 | 21.3 70.3 290 5 2 9.5 5.2
7500 18.7 65.7 275 4 2 4.4 2.4 | 21.9 71.4 285 4 2 8.7 4.8
7250 19.2 66.6 260 3 2 8.2 4.5 | 22.6 72.7 285 4 2 11.0 6.0
7000 19.8 67.6 250 3 2 9.7 5.3 | 23.5 74.3 285 4 2 11.4 6.2
6750 20.5 68.9 240 3 1 9.1 5.0 | 24.3 75.7 280 4 2 10.1 5.6
6500 21.2 70.2 235 3 1 9.2 5.1 | 25.0 77.0 280 4 2 9.8 5.4
6250 21.9 71.4 230 3 1 9.4 5.2 | 25.7 78.3 275 4 2 9.8 5.4
6000 22.7 72.9 225 3 2 12.7 7.0 | 26.6 79.9 275 4 2 14.9 8.2
5750 24.1 75.4 220 3 2 28.2 15.5 | 28.6 83.5 270 4 2 48.8 26.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/20/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/20/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +172.6 LI... -1.2 | CAPE... +109.7 LI... -1.0
CINH... -6.8 K Index... +28.3 | CINH... -6.3 K Index... +29.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.7 -88.1 205 10 5 0.6 0.4 | -67.1 -88.8 200 10 5 1.0 0.6
45000 -62.1 -79.8 195 21 11 6.9 3.8 | -62.2 -80.0 195 22 11 6.7 3.7
40000 -51.5 -60.7 185 20 10 8.1 4.4 | -51.8 -61.2 190 18 9 8.2 4.5
38000 -46.7 -52.1 195 17 9 8.1 4.5 | -46.9 -52.4 195 15 8 8.2 4.5
36000 -41.8 -43.2 205 15 8 8.3 4.5 | -42.0 -43.6 200 12 6 8.4 4.6
34000 -36.2 -33.2 205 15 8 8.4 4.6 | -36.2 -33.2 200 13 7 8.6 4.7
32000 -31.1 -24.0 210 16 8 7.9 4.3 | -31.1 -24.0 200 14 7 8.1 4.4
30000 -26.7 -16.1 205 15 8 7.5 4.1 | -26.5 -15.7 205 14 7 7.7 4.2
29000 -24.4 -11.9 200 15 8 7.5 4.1 | -24.2 -11.6 210 14 7 7.7 4.2
28000 -22.3 -8.1 200 14 7 6.2 3.4 | -22.0 -7.6 210 14 7 6.3 3.5
27000 -20.5 -4.9 200 14 7 6.3 3.5 | -20.1 -4.2 210 14 7 6.4 3.5
26000 -18.6 -1.5 200 13 7 6.3 3.5 | -18.2 -0.8 205 14 7 6.4 3.5
25000 -16.7 1.9 205 12 6 6.6 3.6 | -16.3 2.7 205 14 7 6.6 3.6
24000 -14.7 5.5 200 12 6 6.9 3.8 | -14.4 6.1 210 13 7 6.7 3.7
23000 -12.7 9.1 200 12 6 6.9 3.8 | -12.4 9.7 210 11 6 6.7 3.7
22000 -10.6 12.9 200 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -10.5 13.1 215 10 5 6.6 3.6
21000 -8.3 17.1 205 13 7 6.5 3.6 | -8.1 17.4 220 9 4 6.4 3.5
20000 -6.4 20.5 210 13 7 6.5 3.6 | -6.3 20.7 220 8 4 6.5 3.5
19500 -5.5 22.1 210 13 7 6.6 3.6 | -5.3 22.5 225 7 4 6.6 3.6
19000 -4.5 23.9 210 13 6 6.6 3.6 | -4.4 24.1 225 6 3 6.7 3.7
18500 -3.6 25.5 215 12 6 6.5 3.6 | -3.4 25.9 225 5 3 6.7 3.7
18000 -2.6 27.3 215 11 5 7.2 4.0 | -2.4 27.7 225 5 2 7.0 3.8
17500 -1.5 29.3 215 9 5 7.2 4.0 | -1.4 29.5 230 4 2 7.0 3.9
17000 -0.5 31.1 220 8 4 7.3 4.0 | -0.4 31.3 235 3 2 7.4 4.0
16500 0.5 32.9 220 6 3 7.4 4.1 | 0.7 33.3 235 3 2 7.7 4.2
16000 1.6 34.9 230 4 2 7.5 4.1 | 1.7 35.1 235 3 2 7.8 4.3
15500 2.6 36.7 235 3 2 7.3 4.0 | 2.9 37.2 235 4 2 8.7 4.8
15000 3.6 38.5 245 2 1 7.4 4.0 | 4.1 39.4 235 4 2 8.7 4.7
14500 4.7 40.5 250 2 1 7.9 4.4 | 5.4 41.7 230 4 2 9.0 5.0
14000 5.8 42.4 250 2 1 8.0 4.4 | 6.7 44.1 230 4 2 9.1 5.0
13500 7.0 44.6 245 2 1 8.8 4.8 | 8.1 46.6 230 4 2 9.4 5.2
13000 8.4 47.1 245 3 1 9.3 5.1 | 9.5 49.1 225 5 2 9.7 5.3
12500 9.7 49.5 245 3 1 9.4 5.2 | 10.9 51.6 225 5 3 9.7 5.3
12000 11.2 52.2 245 3 2 9.6 5.3 | 12.4 54.3 220 5 3 9.6 5.3
11500 12.6 54.7 245 3 2 9.4 5.1 | 13.8 56.8 220 5 3 9.5 5.2
11000 13.9 57.0 240 3 2 8.5 4.7 | 15.2 59.4 220 6 3 8.8 4.8
10500 15.4 59.7 240 3 2 10.9 6.0 | 16.6 61.9 215 6 3 10.6 5.8
10250 16.1 61.0 240 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 17.4 63.3 215 6 3 9.8 5.4
10000 16.8 62.2 240 4 2 9.2 5.0 | 18.1 64.6 215 6 3 9.4 5.2
9750 17.5 63.5 240 4 2 9.0 5.0 | 18.8 65.8 215 6 3 9.5 5.2
9500 18.2 64.8 235 4 2 10.2 5.6 | 19.5 67.1 215 7 3 9.8 5.4
9250 19.0 66.2 240 4 2 10.6 5.8 | 20.2 68.4 215 7 3 10.0 5.5
9000 19.7 67.5 240 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 21.0 69.8 215 7 4 9.6 5.3
8750 20.5 68.9 240 4 2 10.3 5.6 | 21.7 71.1 215 7 4 10.2 5.6
8500 21.2 70.2 235 5 2 8.3 4.6 | 22.4 72.3 210 7 4 8.2 4.5
8250 21.8 71.2 235 5 2 8.8 4.8 | 23.0 73.4 210 8 4 8.8 4.8
8000 22.5 72.5 235 5 2 11.0 6.0 | 23.8 74.8 210 8 4 11.0 6.0
7750 23.3 73.9 235 5 3 10.6 5.8 | 24.5 76.1 210 8 4 10.6 5.8
7500 24.8 76.6 235 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 26.0 78.8 210 9 4 9.0 5.0
7250 25.6 78.1 230 5 3 10.8 5.9 | 26.7 80.1 210 9 5 10.3 5.6
7000 26.4 79.5 230 5 3 11.3 6.2 | 27.5 81.5 210 9 5 10.8 5.9
6750 27.2 81.0 230 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 28.3 82.9 210 9 5 10.2 5.6
6500 27.9 82.2 230 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 29.0 84.2 205 9 5 9.9 5.4
6250 28.7 83.7 230 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 29.8 85.6 205 9 5 9.3 5.1
6000 29.5 85.1 230 5 3 15.5 8.5 | 30.5 86.9 205 9 5 12.8 7.0
5750 31.8 89.2 230 6 3 55.5 30.5 | 32.3 90.1 205 9 5 42.1 23.1
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0751 MDT Sunday July 20 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, July 20, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 77.6 F/25.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1071 ft/min (5.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18544 ft MSL (12095 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16250 ft MSL (9800 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/21....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:04:08 / 20:17:30 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 13 min 22 sec (853 min 22 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:49 MDT... 74.70 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/20/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16302 ft MSL (9853 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15359 ft MSL (8910 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17137 ft MSL (10688 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.1
K index......................... +24.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.5 -89.5 180 18 9 1.5 0.8 73.5 164.2 24.2 M M
45000 -62.3 -80.1 190 25 13 7.2 4.0 58.9 138.0 16.6 M M
40000 -50.7 -59.3 200 21 11 8.0 4.4 53.5 128.3 14.1 M M
38000 -46.0 -50.8 205 19 10 8.0 4.4 51.8 125.3 13.3 M M
36000 -41.2 -42.2 215 18 9 8.9 4.4 50.7 123.3 12.8 M M
34000 -36.4 -33.5 210 18 9 7.9 4.4 48.9 120.1 11.8 M M
32000 -31.7 -25.1 205 19 10 7.9 4.3 47.7 117.9 11.2 M M
30000 -27.0 -16.6 205 20 10 7.8 4.3 46.0 114.9 10.2 M M
29000 -24.6 -12.3 205 21 11 7.8 4.3 45.4 113.6 9.8 M M
28000 -21.9 -7.4 205 20 10 6.5 3.6 44.3 111.7 9.1 M M
27000 -19.9 -3.8 215 17 9 6.6 3.6 43.0 109.4 8.1 M M
26000 -18.0 -0.4 225 15 8 6.6 3.6 41.9 107.4 7.2 M M
25000 -16.0 3.2 240 13 7 6.7 3.7 40.8 105.5 6.4 M M
24000 -14.1 6.6 250 13 7 6.7 3.7 39.6 103.3 5.5 M M
23000 -12.1 10.2 255 12 6 6.7 3.7 38.5 101.3 4.6 M M
22000 -10.1 13.8 260 12 6 6.6 3.6 37.5 99.5 3.7 M M
21000 -8.2 17.2 255 10 5 6.7 3.6 36.3 97.3 2.7 M M
20000 -6.3 20.7 250 8 4 6.7 3.7 35.3 95.5 1.7 M M
19500 -5.4 22.3 245 7 4 6.6 3.6 34.8 94.6 1.2 M M
19000 -4.5 23.9 240 7 3 5.7 3.1 34.1 93.5 0.6 M M
18500 -3.7 25.3 235 6 3 5.8 3.2 33.5 92.2 -0.0 1069 5.4
18000 -2.9 26.8 230 6 3 5.5 3.0 32.8 91.0 -0.7 1030 5.2
17500 -2.1 28.2 230 5 3 5.5 3.0 32.0 89.7 -1.4 992 5.0
17000 -1.3 29.7 235 4 2 5.7 3.1 31.3 88.4 -2.1 954 4.8
16500 -0.5 31.1 245 4 2 6.6 3.6 30.8 87.4 -2.7 913 4.6
16000 0.5 32.9 255 3 2 6.5 3.6 30.2 86.4 -3.2 870 4.4
15500 1.4 34.5 275 3 2 7.2 4.0 29.8 85.6 -3.7 827 4.2
15000 2.5 36.5 290 3 2 7.2 4.0 29.3 84.8 -4.2 780 4.0
14500 3.5 38.3 310 4 2 7.8 4.3 28.9 84.1 -4.6 734 3.7
14000 4.8 40.6 320 5 2 8.1 4.4 28.7 83.6 -4.8 683 3.5
13500 6.0 42.8 325 6 3 8.1 4.4 28.4 83.1 -5.1 631 3.2
13000 7.2 45.0 330 7 4 8.0 4.4 28.1 82.6 -5.4 580 2.9
12500 8.4 47.1 335 9 5 8.0 4.4 27.9 82.2 -5.6 528 2.7
12000 9.6 49.3 335 10 5 7.9 4.3 27.6 81.6 -5.9 478 2.4
11500 10.8 51.4 335 10 5 7.5 4.1 27.3 81.1 -6.2 427 2.2
11000 12.5 54.5 335 10 5 7.8 4.3 26.8 80.2 -6.8 355 1.8
10500 13.5 56.3 330 9 5 6.7 3.7 26.4 79.6 -7.2 308 1.6
10250 14.0 57.2 330 8 4 6.8 3.7 26.2 79.1 -7.5 288 1.5
10000 14.5 58.1 330 7 4 7.2 4.0 26.0 78.8 -7.8 266 1.3
9750 14.9 58.8 325 7 3 7.1 3.9 25.8 78.4 -8.0 244 1.2
9500 15.4 59.7 325 6 3 4.9 2.7 25.5 77.9 -8.4 223 1.1
9250 15.6 60.1 315 6 3 4.5 2.5 25.1 77.1 -8.8 208 1.1
9000 16.0 60.8 310 6 3 5.9 3.2 24.8 76.6 -9.2 189 1.0
8750 16.4 61.5 305 5 3 5.5 3.0 24.4 76.0 -9.6 171 0.9
8500 16.8 62.2 300 5 3 5.0 2.8 24.1 75.4 -10.0 152 0.8
8250 17.1 62.8 285 6 3 4.9 2.7 23.7 74.7 -10.4 134 0.7
8000 17.5 63.5 280 6 3 5.2 2.8 23.4 74.1 -10.8 116 0.6
7750 17.9 64.2 275 6 3 5.6 3.0 23.0 73.5 -11.1 97 0.5
7500 18.3 64.9 275 5 3 6.1 3.4 22.8 73.0 -11.5 77 0.4
7250 18.7 65.7 270 5 3 6.0 3.3 22.5 72.5 -11.8 57 0.3
7000 19.2 66.6 270 5 2 6.5 3.6 22.2 72.0 -12.1 36 0.2
6750 19.5 67.1 265 4 2 0.2 0.1 21.8 71.3 -12.5 19 0.1
6500 18.2 64.8 275 1 1 -42.5 -23.3 19.9 67.8 -14.6 50 0.3
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/20/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/20/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +14.8 LI... +0.9 | CAPE... +71.7 LI... -0.4
CINH... -136.6 K Index... +25.0 | CINH... -21.4 K Index... +27.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.8 -88.2 180 21 11 0.4 0.2 | -66.4 -87.5 195 19 10 0.0 0.0
45000 -62.3 -80.1 190 26 14 7.1 3.9 | -62.1 -79.8 195 25 13 7.4 4.1
40000 -51.2 -60.2 200 21 11 8.5 4.7 | -50.9 -59.6 200 19 10 7.7 4.2
38000 -46.1 -51.0 205 18 9 8.5 4.7 | -46.3 -51.3 200 19 10 7.7 4.2
36000 -41.1 -42.0 215 16 8 8.1 4.4 | -41.6 -42.9 200 19 10 8.2 4.5
34000 -36.3 -33.3 220 16 8 7.9 4.3 | -36.6 -33.9 205 19 10 8.4 4.6
32000 -31.6 -24.9 225 16 8 7.8 4.3 | -31.6 -24.9 210 18 9 8.3 4.5
30000 -27.3 -17.1 220 17 9 7.2 3.9 | -26.9 -16.4 210 18 9 7.8 4.3
29000 -25.1 -13.2 215 18 9 7.2 3.9 | -24.5 -12.1 210 17 9 7.8 4.3
28000 -22.5 -8.5 215 17 9 6.6 3.6 | -21.9 -7.4 210 16 8 6.0 3.3
27000 -20.5 -4.9 215 15 7 6.6 3.6 | -20.1 -4.2 205 14 7 6.0 3.3
26000 -18.6 -1.5 215 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -18.3 -0.9 200 13 7 6.1 3.3
25000 -16.6 2.1 210 10 5 7.6 4.2 | -16.5 2.3 195 11 6 6.6 3.6
24000 -14.3 6.3 215 9 5 7.8 4.3 | -14.6 5.7 195 11 6 6.7 3.7
23000 -11.9 10.6 220 9 4 7.8 4.3 | -12.6 9.3 190 11 6 6.7 3.7
22000 -9.6 14.7 220 8 4 7.0 3.9 | -10.6 12.9 190 11 5 7.0 3.8
21000 -7.6 18.3 220 8 4 7.0 3.8 | -8.6 16.5 200 11 6 7.0 3.9
20000 -5.5 22.1 215 8 4 7.0 3.8 | -6.5 20.3 210 12 6 7.1 3.9
19500 -4.5 23.9 215 8 4 6.6 3.6 | -5.5 22.1 215 12 6 7.0 3.8
19000 -3.7 25.3 215 9 4 5.7 3.1 | -4.5 23.9 220 12 6 6.7 3.7
18500 -2.9 26.8 215 9 5 5.8 3.2 | -3.5 25.7 225 11 6 6.8 3.7
18000 -2.1 28.2 215 9 5 5.1 2.8 | -2.6 27.3 230 10 5 5.9 3.3
17500 -1.4 29.5 220 8 4 5.0 2.8 | -1.8 28.8 240 9 4 5.9 3.2
17000 -0.8 30.6 225 7 4 5.2 2.8 | -0.9 30.4 250 7 4 6.0 3.3
16500 -0.0 32.0 230 5 3 5.6 3.1 | -0.0 32.0 265 5 3 6.5 3.6
16000 0.8 33.4 245 4 2 5.5 3.0 | 0.9 33.6 285 4 2 6.4 3.5
15500 1.7 35.1 275 3 2 7.6 4.2 | 1.9 35.4 310 4 2 8.1 4.4
15000 2.7 36.9 300 3 2 7.5 4.1 | 3.0 37.4 330 4 2 7.9 4.4
14500 3.8 38.8 320 4 2 7.9 4.3 | 4.2 39.6 340 4 2 8.4 4.6
14000 5.0 41.0 325 5 3 8.0 4.4 | 5.5 41.9 345 5 2 8.5 4.7
13500 6.2 43.2 330 6 3 8.1 4.4 | 6.8 44.2 345 5 3 8.3 4.6
13000 7.5 45.5 335 7 4 8.2 4.5 | 8.0 46.4 340 6 3 8.1 4.4
12500 8.7 47.7 335 8 4 8.0 4.4 | 9.2 48.6 335 6 3 7.9 4.4
12000 9.8 49.6 335 9 5 7.2 3.9 | 10.3 50.5 330 6 3 7.5 4.1
11500 10.9 51.6 335 10 5 7.2 3.9 | 11.3 52.3 325 7 3 7.4 4.0
11000 12.4 54.3 335 11 6 6.5 3.6 | 13.1 55.6 320 7 4 8.7 4.8
10500 13.4 56.1 330 11 6 7.2 3.9 | 14.3 57.7 320 7 3 8.8 4.8
10250 13.9 57.0 330 10 5 6.2 3.4 | 15.1 59.2 315 7 3 9.8 5.4
10000 14.3 57.7 330 10 5 6.0 3.3 | 15.8 60.4 315 7 3 9.6 5.3
9750 14.7 58.5 330 9 5 6.0 3.3 | 16.5 61.7 315 7 3 9.5 5.2
9500 15.1 59.2 330 9 4 5.3 2.9 | 17.2 63.0 315 7 3 9.0 4.9
9250 15.4 59.7 330 8 4 5.9 3.3 | 17.8 64.0 315 6 3 9.4 5.2
9000 15.9 60.6 330 7 4 6.9 3.8 | 18.6 65.5 315 6 3 10.0 5.5
8750 16.3 61.3 330 7 3 6.7 3.6 | 19.3 66.7 315 6 3 9.9 5.4
8500 16.8 62.2 325 6 3 6.1 3.4 | 20.0 68.0 310 6 3 9.8 5.4
8250 17.2 63.0 325 6 3 7.0 3.9 | 20.8 69.4 310 6 3 10.1 5.6
8000 17.8 64.0 320 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 21.6 70.9 310 6 3 10.7 5.9
7750 18.5 65.3 320 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 22.4 72.3 310 6 3 10.6 5.8
7500 19.3 66.7 315 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 23.1 73.6 310 6 3 10.3 5.6
7250 20.0 68.0 315 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 23.9 75.0 310 6 3 10.5 5.7
7000 20.7 69.3 315 5 3 10.1 5.5 | 24.7 76.5 310 5 3 10.2 5.6
6750 21.5 70.7 310 5 2 14.6 8.0 | 25.6 78.1 305 5 3 16.4 9.0
6500 23.1 73.6 310 4 2 30.0 16.5 | 27.9 82.2 305 5 2 55.0 30.2
07/20/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/20/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +150.4 LI... -1.1 | CAPE... +166.9 LI... -2.1
CINH... -4.6 K Index... +28.8 | CINH... -3.1 K Index... +30.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.2 -89.0 220 12 6 0.9 0.5 | -67.3 -89.1 205 9 5 1.3 0.7
45000 -62.2 -80.0 200 24 12 7.1 3.9 | -62.1 -79.8 205 21 11 6.8 3.7
40000 -51.2 -60.2 195 23 12 8.1 4.4 | -51.5 -60.7 200 20 10 8.0 4.4
38000 -46.3 -51.3 200 18 9 8.1 4.4 | -46.7 -52.1 200 16 8 8.1 4.4
36000 -41.5 -42.7 210 14 7 8.3 4.6 | -41.9 -43.4 200 13 7 8.6 4.7
34000 -36.4 -33.5 210 14 7 8.4 4.6 | -36.6 -33.9 205 13 7 8.8 4.8
32000 -31.4 -24.5 215 14 7 8.2 4.5 | -31.3 -24.3 210 13 7 8.6 4.7
30000 -26.9 -16.4 205 16 8 7.5 4.1 | -26.7 -16.1 210 14 7 7.7 4.2
29000 -24.6 -12.3 200 16 8 7.6 4.1 | -23.8 -10.8 215 15 8 7.7 4.2
28000 -22.0 -7.6 200 17 9 6.1 3.4 | -21.6 -6.9 215 15 8 6.3 3.5
27000 -20.1 -4.2 195 15 8 6.1 3.4 | -19.7 -3.5 215 15 8 6.4 3.5
26000 -18.3 -0.9 195 13 7 6.1 3.4 | -17.8 -0.0 215 14 7 6.4 3.5
25000 -16.5 2.3 195 12 6 6.5 3.6 | -16.0 3.2 215 14 7 6.2 3.4
24000 -14.5 5.9 195 12 6 6.6 3.6 | -14.2 6.4 220 13 7 6.2 3.4
23000 -12.6 9.3 195 12 6 6.6 3.6 | -12.3 9.9 220 13 6 6.2 3.4
22000 -10.7 12.7 195 11 6 6.9 3.8 | -10.6 12.9 225 12 6 5.9 3.2
21000 -8.6 16.5 205 10 5 6.9 3.8 | -8.9 16.0 225 9 5 5.9 3.2
20000 -6.6 20.1 215 10 5 6.9 3.8 | -7.2 19.0 230 7 4 6.1 3.3
19500 -5.6 21.9 220 9 5 7.0 3.8 | -6.4 20.5 230 6 3 6.9 3.8
19000 -4.6 23.7 225 9 5 7.2 4.0 | -5.2 22.6 230 5 3 8.7 4.8
18500 -3.6 25.5 230 8 4 7.3 4.0 | -4.0 24.8 230 4 2 8.7 4.8
18000 -2.5 27.5 235 7 4 7.4 4.1 | -2.8 27.0 235 4 2 7.9 4.3
17500 -1.5 29.3 240 6 3 7.4 4.1 | -1.7 28.9 235 4 2 7.8 4.3
17000 -0.4 31.3 255 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -0.6 30.9 240 4 2 8.1 4.4
16500 0.5 32.9 260 5 3 6.9 3.8 | 0.7 33.3 240 4 2 8.5 4.7
16000 1.5 34.7 270 5 2 6.7 3.7 | 1.9 35.4 240 4 2 8.4 4.6
15500 2.6 36.7 280 5 2 9.1 5.0 | 3.2 37.8 245 4 2 9.7 5.3
15000 3.9 39.0 280 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 4.7 40.5 245 5 2 9.7 5.3
14500 5.3 41.5 280 5 3 9.3 5.1 | 6.1 43.0 245 5 3 9.7 5.3
14000 6.7 44.1 280 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 7.6 45.7 245 5 3 9.7 5.3
13500 8.1 46.6 280 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 9.0 48.2 245 5 3 9.7 5.3
13000 9.5 49.1 280 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 10.5 50.9 245 6 3 9.7 5.3
12500 10.9 51.6 280 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 11.9 53.4 245 6 3 9.6 5.3
12000 12.3 54.1 280 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 13.3 55.9 245 6 3 9.3 5.1
11500 13.7 56.7 275 5 3 10.4 5.7 | 14.7 58.5 245 7 3 10.1 5.5
11000 15.2 59.4 275 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 16.2 61.2 240 7 4 9.5 5.2
10500 17.3 63.1 275 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 18.5 65.3 240 7 4 10.2 5.6
10250 18.0 64.4 275 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 19.2 66.6 240 8 4 9.6 5.3
10000 18.8 65.8 275 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 19.9 67.8 240 8 4 9.7 5.3
9750 19.6 67.3 270 6 3 10.1 5.6 | 20.6 69.1 240 8 4 9.8 5.4
9500 20.3 68.5 270 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 21.3 70.3 240 8 4 9.0 5.0
9250 21.0 69.8 270 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 22.0 71.6 240 8 4 9.4 5.2
9000 21.8 71.2 270 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 22.8 73.0 240 9 4 10.3 5.6
8750 22.5 72.5 270 7 3 10.0 5.5 | 23.5 74.3 240 9 5 10.1 5.5
8500 23.3 73.9 265 7 3 10.0 5.5 | 24.3 75.7 240 9 5 9.8 5.4
8250 24.0 75.2 265 7 3 10.3 5.6 | 25.0 77.0 240 9 5 9.7 5.3
8000 24.8 76.6 265 7 3 10.6 5.8 | 25.7 78.3 240 9 5 10.1 5.6
7750 25.6 78.1 265 7 3 10.6 5.8 | 26.5 79.7 240 9 5 10.1 5.5
7500 26.4 79.5 265 7 4 10.2 5.6 | 27.2 81.0 240 10 5 9.8 5.4
7250 27.1 80.8 265 7 4 10.5 5.8 | 28.0 82.4 240 10 5 9.8 5.4
7000 27.9 82.2 260 7 4 9.4 5.1 | 28.7 83.7 240 10 5 9.1 5.0
6750 28.7 83.7 260 7 3 14.8 8.1 | 29.4 84.9 240 10 5 11.6 6.4
6500 31.1 88.0 260 7 3 62.4 34.2 | 30.9 87.6 240 9 5 37.1 20.4
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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