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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0722 MDT Wednesday October 7 2026
This forecast is for Wednesday, October 7, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 72.9 F/22.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 703 ft/min (3.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14443 ft MSL (8110 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 79.0 F/26.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10586 ft MSL (4253 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 10/08..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:03:44 / 18:39:45 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 36 min 0 sec (696 min 0 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:51:44 MDT... 49.25 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/07/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15242 ft MSL (8909 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18266 ft MSL (11933 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17582 ft MSL (11249 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.1
K index......................... -6.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.2 -83.6 305 53 27 4.2 2.3 81.2 178.1 32.5 M M
45000 -57.1 -70.8 300 64 33 5.5 3.0 68.7 155.7 26.9 M M
40000 -48.9 -56.0 295 63 33 5.2 2.8 59.3 138.8 22.4 M M
38000 -45.8 -50.4 295 63 32 5.2 2.8 55.0 131.0 20.0 M M
36000 -42.7 -44.9 295 62 32 5.2 2.8 51.4 124.5 18.0 M M
34000 -39.8 -39.6 295 52 27 4.5 2.5 47.1 116.8 15.3 M M
32000 -36.8 -34.2 295 36 18 4.5 2.5 42.5 108.5 12.3 M M
30000 -33.9 -29.0 290 23 12 5.0 2.7 38.5 101.3 9.5 M M
29000 -32.4 -26.3 285 17 9 5.0 2.7 36.7 98.1 8.2 M M
28000 -30.9 -23.6 275 11 6 5.8 3.2 35.0 95.1 7.0 M M
27000 -28.7 -19.7 275 9 5 7.7 4.2 34.1 93.3 6.3 M M
26000 -26.4 -15.5 275 7 4 7.8 4.3 33.3 91.9 5.7 M M
25000 -24.1 -11.4 275 6 3 7.8 4.3 32.6 90.8 5.2 M M
24000 -21.8 -7.2 290 4 2 7.5 4.1 31.8 89.3 4.6 M M
23000 -19.6 -3.3 315 4 2 7.5 4.1 31.0 87.8 3.9 M M
22000 -17.4 0.7 345 4 2 7.5 4.1 30.3 86.5 3.4 M M
21000 -14.9 5.2 350 4 2 8.4 4.6 29.7 85.4 2.9 M M
20000 -12.4 9.7 355 3 2 8.4 4.6 29.2 84.5 2.5 M M
19500 -11.2 11.8 355 3 1 8.4 4.6 29.0 84.2 2.3 M M
19000 -9.9 14.2 360 2 1 8.5 4.7 28.8 83.8 2.2 M M
18500 -8.0 17.6 020 1 0 8.5 4.7 28.5 83.2 1.9 M M
18000 -6.7 19.9 100 1 0 8.7 4.8 28.3 82.9 1.7 M M
17500 -5.4 22.3 120 1 1 8.8 4.8 28.1 82.6 1.6 M M
17000 -4.0 24.8 130 2 1 8.6 4.7 28.0 82.3 1.5 M M
16500 -2.8 27.0 115 3 2 8.0 4.4 27.7 81.8 1.3 M M
16000 -1.6 29.1 105 5 2 8.1 4.5 27.4 81.3 1.1 M M
15500 -0.4 31.3 100 6 3 7.1 3.9 27.1 80.7 0.8 M M
15000 0.7 33.3 095 8 4 7.2 3.9 26.6 80.0 0.4 M M
14500 1.7 35.1 090 9 5 7.6 4.1 26.2 79.2 0.0 M M
14000 2.9 37.2 090 10 5 7.7 4.2 25.9 78.6 -0.3 655 3.3
13500 4.0 39.2 085 11 6 7.9 4.3 25.6 78.1 -0.6 606 3.1
13000 5.2 41.4 085 11 6 8.0 4.4 25.3 77.5 -0.9 555 2.8
12500 6.4 43.5 080 11 6 7.8 4.3 25.0 77.1 -1.2 505 2.6
12000 7.5 45.5 080 11 6 7.3 4.0 24.7 76.4 -1.6 457 2.3
11500 8.6 47.5 075 11 6 6.8 3.7 24.3 75.7 -2.0 410 2.1
11000 9.5 49.1 070 10 5 6.7 3.7 23.8 74.8 -2.5 368 1.9
10500 10.4 50.7 060 10 5 6.9 3.8 23.3 73.9 -3.1 326 1.7
10250 10.9 51.6 060 10 5 7.3 4.0 23.1 73.5 -3.3 304 1.5
10000 11.4 52.5 060 10 5 7.5 4.1 22.9 73.2 -3.6 282 1.4
9750 11.9 53.4 055 10 5 7.5 4.1 22.7 72.9 -3.8 259 1.3
9500 12.4 54.3 055 10 5 7.8 4.3 22.6 72.6 -4.0 236 1.2
9250 13.0 55.4 055 9 5 8.7 4.8 22.4 72.4 -4.2 212 1.1
9000 13.6 56.5 055 9 5 7.9 4.3 22.3 72.2 -4.4 187 0.9
8750 14.1 57.4 055 9 4 6.9 3.8 22.1 71.9 -4.6 165 0.8
8500 14.5 58.1 055 8 4 6.9 3.8 21.9 71.5 -4.9 143 0.7
8250 15.0 59.0 055 8 4 6.5 3.6 21.7 71.1 -5.2 122 0.6
8000 15.4 59.7 055 7 4 6.2 3.4 21.4 70.6 -5.5 101 0.5
7750 15.9 60.6 055 7 4 6.0 3.3 21.2 70.1 -5.8 81 0.4
7500 16.2 61.2 055 7 4 3.9 2.1 20.8 69.5 -6.2 63 0.3
7250 16.4 61.5 050 6 3 1.6 0.9 20.3 68.5 -6.8 51 0.3
7000 16.5 61.7 045 6 3 3.8 2.1 19.7 67.5 -7.3 39 0.2
6750 16.7 62.1 040 5 3 -3.3 -1.8 19.1 66.5 -7.9 27 0.1
6500 15.6 60.1 035 4 2 -26.2 -14.4 17.4 63.2 -9.8 52 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/07/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/07/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.1 LI... +1.9 | CAPE... +9.3 LI... +1.5
CINH... -3.3 K Index... -7.5 | CINH... -72.0 K Index... +0.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.6 -82.5 300 52 27 3.5 1.9 | -63.1 -81.6 300 55 28 3.5 1.9
45000 -57.2 -71.0 295 66 34 5.3 2.9 | -57.1 -70.8 300 71 36 4.8 2.7
40000 -49.4 -56.9 295 66 34 4.7 2.6 | -49.9 -57.8 295 70 36 3.9 2.2
38000 -46.5 -51.7 295 62 32 4.7 2.6 | -47.5 -53.5 295 59 30 4.0 2.2
36000 -43.7 -46.7 295 57 30 4.7 2.6 | -45.1 -49.2 295 48 25 4.0 2.2
34000 -40.4 -40.7 295 45 23 4.8 2.6 | -42.3 -44.1 295 36 19 5.1 2.8
32000 -37.6 -35.7 295 32 17 4.8 2.6 | -38.8 -37.8 300 24 12 5.1 2.8
30000 -34.5 -30.1 290 21 11 5.2 2.9 | -35.4 -31.7 290 14 7 6.0 3.3
29000 -32.9 -27.2 285 16 8 5.3 2.9 | -33.6 -28.5 280 11 5 6.1 3.3
28000 -31.4 -24.5 275 11 6 5.9 3.2 | -31.8 -25.2 260 7 4 6.5 3.6
27000 -29.2 -20.6 270 9 4 7.5 4.1 | -29.6 -21.3 250 7 4 7.5 4.1
26000 -27.0 -16.6 260 7 3 7.6 4.1 | -27.4 -17.3 240 7 4 7.5 4.1
25000 -24.7 -12.5 245 5 3 7.6 4.2 | -25.2 -13.4 235 7 3 7.4 4.1
24000 -22.4 -8.3 230 4 2 7.8 4.3 | -22.9 -9.2 230 6 3 8.0 4.4
23000 -20.1 -4.2 215 2 1 7.8 4.3 | -20.5 -4.9 225 4 2 8.0 4.4
22000 -17.7 0.1 175 1 1 7.8 4.3 | -18.1 -0.6 210 3 1 8.0 4.4
21000 -15.3 4.5 130 1 1 8.4 4.6 | -15.5 4.1 185 2 1 8.6 4.7
20000 -12.8 9.0 090 1 1 8.4 4.6 | -13.0 8.6 145 2 1 8.6 4.7
19500 -11.5 11.3 075 2 1 8.4 4.6 | -11.7 10.9 135 3 1 8.6 4.7
19000 -9.6 14.7 075 2 1 8.7 4.8 | -10.4 13.3 125 3 2 8.4 4.6
18500 -8.3 17.1 085 2 1 8.7 4.8 | -9.1 15.6 130 4 2 8.4 4.6
18000 -7.0 19.4 095 3 1 8.5 4.7 | -7.2 19.0 130 5 3 8.0 4.4
17500 -5.7 21.7 100 4 2 8.5 4.7 | -6.0 21.2 125 7 3 8.0 4.4
17000 -4.4 24.1 105 5 3 8.4 4.6 | -4.9 23.2 125 8 4 8.0 4.4
16500 -3.2 26.2 105 6 3 8.0 4.4 | -3.6 25.5 120 9 5 8.1 4.5
16000 -2.0 28.4 100 8 4 8.0 4.4 | -2.4 27.7 115 10 5 8.1 4.5
15500 -0.8 30.6 100 9 5 7.6 4.1 | -1.2 29.8 110 11 6 8.1 4.5
15000 0.3 32.5 100 10 5 7.6 4.2 | -0.0 32.0 110 12 6 8.1 4.5
14500 1.5 34.7 095 11 6 8.0 4.4 | 1.2 34.2 105 13 7 8.3 4.6
14000 2.6 36.7 095 12 6 8.1 4.4 | 2.4 36.3 100 14 7 8.4 4.6
13500 3.8 38.8 090 12 6 8.1 4.4 | 3.7 38.7 100 15 8 8.4 4.6
13000 5.1 41.2 090 13 6 8.1 4.4 | 4.9 40.8 095 15 8 8.4 4.6
12500 6.3 43.3 085 13 7 7.9 4.3 | 6.2 43.2 095 16 8 7.6 4.2
12000 7.4 45.3 085 13 7 7.4 4.1 | 7.1 44.8 095 15 8 6.4 3.5
11500 8.5 47.3 080 13 6 6.7 3.7 | 8.0 46.4 090 14 7 6.3 3.4
11000 9.4 48.9 075 12 6 6.8 3.7 | 8.9 48.0 090 13 7 7.3 4.0
10500 10.3 50.5 070 12 6 6.3 3.4 | 9.8 49.6 085 11 6 7.4 4.0
10250 10.7 51.3 065 12 6 6.0 3.3 | 10.4 50.7 085 10 5 8.4 4.6
10000 11.1 52.0 065 11 6 7.3 4.0 | 11.1 52.0 085 10 5 9.5 5.2
9750 11.6 52.9 060 11 6 7.7 4.2 | 11.7 53.1 085 10 5 9.5 5.2
9500 12.2 54.0 055 11 5 7.7 4.2 | 12.4 54.3 085 9 5 9.7 5.3
9250 12.7 54.9 055 10 5 8.1 4.4 | 13.2 55.8 085 9 5 10.1 5.5
9000 13.3 55.9 055 10 5 7.5 4.1 | 13.9 57.0 085 9 4 9.5 5.2
8750 13.8 56.8 055 9 5 7.2 3.9 | 14.6 58.3 085 8 4 8.8 4.9
8500 14.3 57.7 050 9 4 6.7 3.7 | 15.3 59.5 085 8 4 9.5 5.2
8250 14.7 58.5 050 8 4 6.0 3.3 | 16.0 60.8 085 8 4 10.2 5.6
8000 15.1 59.2 050 7 4 5.8 3.2 | 16.7 62.1 090 8 4 9.9 5.4
7750 15.5 59.9 050 7 4 5.1 2.8 | 17.5 63.5 090 7 4 9.4 5.2
7500 15.8 60.4 045 6 3 3.7 2.0 | 18.2 64.8 090 7 4 9.8 5.4
7250 16.0 60.8 045 6 3 3.2 1.8 | 18.9 66.0 090 7 3 10.5 5.7
7000 16.2 61.2 040 5 3 2.7 1.5 | 19.7 67.5 090 6 3 9.8 5.4
6750 16.4 61.5 035 4 2 3.6 2.0 | 20.4 68.7 090 6 3 11.6 6.4
6500 16.8 62.2 030 3 2 8.8 4.8 | 21.5 70.7 095 6 3 17.4 9.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
10/07/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/07/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +14.7 LI... +1.2 | CAPE... +162.3 LI... +0.1
CINH... -66.9 K Index... +6.2 | CINH... -73.4 K Index... +8.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.9 -81.2 305 46 24 3.4 1.9 | -62.0 -79.6 315 38 20 3.2 1.7
45000 -57.4 -71.3 305 55 28 4.3 2.4 | -57.1 -70.8 315 43 22 3.7 2.0
40000 -50.7 -59.3 305 48 25 3.8 2.1 | -51.2 -60.2 320 35 18 5.1 2.8
38000 -48.3 -54.9 305 39 20 3.9 2.1 | -48.3 -54.9 315 33 17 4.9 2.7
36000 -46.0 -50.8 305 30 16 3.9 2.2 | -45.3 -49.5 310 31 16 4.9 2.7
34000 -43.0 -45.4 305 22 12 5.5 3.0 | -42.7 -44.9 310 23 12 4.2 2.3
32000 -39.6 -39.3 310 15 8 5.6 3.0 | -40.2 -40.4 315 13 6 4.2 2.3
30000 -36.0 -32.8 305 11 5 6.3 3.4 | -36.2 -33.2 330 9 4 6.8 3.7
29000 -34.2 -29.6 305 9 5 6.3 3.5 | -34.2 -29.6 335 9 4 6.8 3.8
28000 -32.3 -26.1 300 8 4 6.2 3.4 | -32.2 -26.0 340 9 5 7.1 3.9
27000 -30.0 -22.0 285 7 4 8.2 4.5 | -29.8 -21.6 335 8 4 8.0 4.4
26000 -27.5 -17.5 270 7 4 8.2 4.5 | -27.5 -17.5 325 7 4 8.0 4.4
25000 -25.1 -13.2 255 7 4 8.3 4.5 | -25.1 -13.2 310 7 3 8.1 4.4
24000 -22.8 -9.0 250 6 3 7.1 3.9 | -22.8 -9.0 300 7 3 7.8 4.3
23000 -20.7 -5.3 255 3 2 7.0 3.9 | -20.5 -4.9 290 7 3 7.8 4.3
22000 -18.6 -1.5 270 1 1 6.9 3.8 | -18.2 -0.8 285 7 4 7.8 4.3
21000 -15.5 4.1 000 0 0 8.8 4.8 | -15.7 3.7 290 5 2 8.2 4.5
20000 -12.8 9.0 150 1 1 8.8 4.8 | -13.3 8.1 335 2 1 8.2 4.5
19500 -11.5 11.3 145 2 1 8.8 4.8 | -12.0 10.4 015 2 1 8.1 4.5
19000 -10.2 13.6 140 2 1 8.0 4.4 | -10.8 12.6 035 3 2 9.0 4.9
18500 -9.0 15.8 130 3 2 8.1 4.4 | -9.3 15.3 035 3 2 9.2 5.1
18000 -7.8 18.0 125 4 2 8.1 4.5 | -7.9 17.8 035 4 2 9.1 5.0
17500 -6.5 20.3 120 5 3 8.1 4.5 | -6.1 21.0 045 4 2 8.0 4.4
17000 -5.3 22.5 115 6 3 8.1 4.5 | -4.9 23.2 055 5 3 7.9 4.3
16500 -4.1 24.6 110 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -3.7 25.3 065 6 3 7.5 4.1
16000 -3.0 26.6 105 9 5 7.9 4.3 | -2.6 27.3 075 7 4 7.4 4.1
15500 -1.8 28.8 105 10 5 7.9 4.3 | -1.5 29.3 080 8 4 8.3 4.5
15000 -0.6 30.9 105 11 5 7.9 4.3 | -0.2 31.6 085 9 5 8.3 4.5
14500 0.5 32.9 100 11 6 7.5 4.1 | 1.0 33.8 090 10 5 7.9 4.3
14000 1.5 34.7 100 11 6 7.5 4.1 | 2.1 35.8 090 11 5 7.8 4.3
13500 2.5 36.5 100 10 5 8.3 4.6 | 3.2 37.8 090 11 6 7.7 4.2
13000 3.9 39.0 100 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 4.2 39.6 095 10 5 7.6 4.2
12500 5.3 41.5 100 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 5.2 41.4 095 9 5 8.2 4.5
12000 6.7 44.1 105 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 6.5 43.7 100 9 5 9.3 5.1
11500 8.2 46.8 105 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 7.9 46.2 105 9 5 8.9 4.9
11000 9.6 49.3 105 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 9.2 48.6 105 9 5 9.9 5.4
10500 11.1 52.0 105 10 5 9.2 5.0 | 10.7 51.3 105 10 5 9.6 5.3
10250 11.7 53.1 105 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 11.4 52.5 105 10 5 9.5 5.2
10000 12.4 54.3 105 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 12.1 53.8 110 10 5 9.6 5.3
9750 13.1 55.6 105 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 12.8 55.0 110 10 5 9.6 5.3
9500 13.9 57.0 105 10 5 10.0 5.5 | 13.5 56.3 110 11 5 9.9 5.4
9250 14.6 58.3 105 10 5 10.8 5.9 | 14.3 57.7 110 11 6 10.6 5.8
9000 15.4 59.7 105 10 5 10.2 5.6 | 15.1 59.2 110 11 6 9.9 5.4
8750 16.2 61.2 110 10 5 9.4 5.1 | 15.7 60.3 110 12 6 8.9 4.9
8500 16.9 62.4 110 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 16.4 61.5 110 12 6 9.5 5.2
8250 17.6 63.7 110 11 5 9.8 5.4 | 17.2 63.0 110 12 6 9.9 5.4
8000 18.3 64.9 110 11 5 9.9 5.4 | 17.9 64.2 115 12 6 9.8 5.4
7750 19.1 66.4 110 11 5 9.7 5.3 | 18.6 65.5 115 13 7 9.7 5.3
7500 19.8 67.6 110 11 5 10.1 5.5 | 19.3 66.7 115 13 7 9.2 5.1
7250 20.6 69.1 110 11 5 10.6 5.8 | 20.0 68.0 115 13 7 8.7 4.8
7000 21.4 70.5 110 10 5 10.1 5.6 | 20.6 69.1 115 13 6 9.2 5.0
6750 22.1 71.8 110 10 5 10.7 5.9 | 21.3 70.3 115 12 6 8.2 4.5
6500 23.0 73.4 110 10 5 15.3 8.4 | 21.7 71.1 115 11 6 3.0 1.7
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Wednesday October 7 2026
This forecast is for Wednesday, October 7, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 74.9 F/23.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 646 ft/min (3.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 13459 ft MSL (7779 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 81.0 F/27.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1200 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10026 ft MSL (4346 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 10/08..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:06:16 / 18:42:12 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 35 min 56 sec (695 min 56 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:54:14 MDT... 49.21 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/07/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15244 ft MSL (9564 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16409 ft MSL (10729 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15680 ft MSL (10001 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.0
K index......................... +5.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.3 -83.7 300 53 27 4.2 2.3 83.4 182.1 32.9 M M
45000 -57.1 -70.8 300 64 33 5.4 3.0 70.9 159.7 27.5 M M
40000 -49.0 -56.2 295 63 33 5.5 3.0 61.5 142.6 22.9 M M
38000 -45.7 -50.3 300 63 32 5.5 3.0 57.3 135.2 20.7 M M
36000 -42.1 -43.8 300 63 32 5.5 3.0 53.5 128.4 18.6 M M
34000 -39.2 -38.6 295 53 27 4.7 2.6 49.2 120.6 16.0 M M
32000 -36.4 -33.5 295 42 22 4.7 2.6 45.3 113.5 13.4 M M
30000 -33.7 -28.7 295 29 15 4.4 2.4 41.0 105.7 10.5 M M
29000 -32.4 -26.3 290 22 11 4.4 2.4 38.9 102.0 9.0 M M
28000 -31.1 -24.0 285 15 8 4.9 2.7 37.0 98.6 7.6 M M
27000 -28.9 -20.0 285 12 6 7.9 4.3 36.0 96.8 6.9 M M
26000 -26.6 -15.9 280 10 5 7.9 4.3 35.3 95.5 6.4 M M
25000 -24.2 -11.6 280 8 4 7.9 4.4 34.7 94.4 6.0 M M
24000 -22.1 -7.8 280 6 3 7.2 3.9 33.8 92.8 5.3 M M
23000 -20.0 -4.0 290 4 2 7.2 4.0 32.8 91.1 4.5 M M
22000 -17.3 0.9 320 2 1 7.9 4.4 31.8 89.2 3.6 M M
21000 -14.7 5.5 330 3 1 8.7 4.8 31.4 88.4 3.3 M M
20000 -12.1 10.2 335 3 2 8.8 4.8 31.0 87.8 3.1 M M
19500 -10.7 12.7 335 4 2 8.8 4.8 30.9 87.6 3.0 M M
19000 -9.4 15.1 340 4 2 8.7 4.8 30.7 87.3 2.8 M M
18500 -8.1 17.4 345 3 2 8.7 4.8 30.5 87.0 2.7 M M
18000 -6.8 19.8 350 3 1 8.4 4.6 30.4 86.7 2.6 M M
17500 -5.6 21.9 020 1 1 8.3 4.5 30.1 86.2 2.4 M M
17000 -4.3 24.3 085 1 1 8.3 4.5 29.9 85.8 2.2 M M
16500 -3.1 26.4 110 3 1 8.3 4.6 29.6 85.3 2.0 M M
16000 -1.8 28.8 115 4 2 8.3 4.6 29.4 84.9 1.8 M M
15500 -0.6 30.9 115 5 3 7.7 4.3 29.1 84.4 1.6 M M
15000 0.5 32.9 110 7 4 7.6 4.2 28.8 83.8 1.3 M M
14500 1.7 35.1 105 9 5 7.2 4.0 28.4 83.2 1.0 M M
14000 2.7 36.9 100 10 5 6.9 3.8 27.9 82.3 0.5 M M
13500 3.7 38.7 095 11 6 6.9 3.8 27.5 81.5 0.1 M M
13000 4.7 40.5 090 11 6 7.1 3.9 27.0 80.6 -0.4 608 3.1
12500 5.7 42.3 085 12 6 7.1 3.9 26.6 79.9 -0.8 563 2.9
12000 6.7 44.1 080 11 6 7.2 3.9 26.2 79.1 -1.3 519 2.6
11500 7.7 45.9 075 10 5 7.4 4.1 25.8 78.4 -1.8 475 2.4
11000 8.8 47.8 070 9 5 8.5 4.6 25.5 77.9 -2.2 428 2.2
10500 9.9 49.8 060 8 4 7.9 4.3 25.3 77.5 -2.5 379 1.9
10250 10.4 50.7 055 7 4 7.6 4.2 25.1 77.2 -2.8 357 1.8
10000 11.0 51.8 055 7 3 8.1 4.4 25.0 77.0 -3.0 332 1.7
9750 11.5 52.7 055 6 3 7.8 4.3 24.8 76.7 -3.1 308 1.6
9500 12.1 53.8 055 6 3 8.6 4.7 24.7 76.5 -3.3 283 1.4
9250 12.7 54.9 050 5 3 8.1 4.5 24.6 76.4 -3.4 258 1.3
9000 13.2 55.8 050 5 3 6.9 3.8 24.4 76.0 -3.6 235 1.2
8750 13.8 56.8 050 5 3 7.4 4.1 24.2 75.6 -3.9 212 1.1
8500 14.7 58.5 050 4 2 6.2 3.4 23.8 74.8 -4.4 169 0.9
8250 15.2 59.4 050 4 2 7.1 3.9 23.5 74.4 -4.6 147 0.7
8000 15.7 60.3 050 4 2 7.4 4.1 23.3 74.0 -4.9 124 0.6
7750 16.2 61.2 050 3 2 6.7 3.7 23.1 73.7 -5.1 101 0.5
7500 16.6 61.9 050 3 1 5.6 3.1 22.9 73.2 -5.4 81 0.4
7250 17.1 62.8 050 3 1 5.5 3.0 22.5 72.6 -5.7 62 0.3
7000 17.5 63.5 050 2 1 5.5 3.0 22.2 72.0 -6.1 42 0.2
6750 17.9 64.2 055 2 1 4.9 2.7 21.9 71.4 -6.4 23 0.1
6500 18.2 64.8 055 2 1 3.7 2.0 21.5 70.7 -6.8 6 0.0
6250 18.5 65.3 055 2 1 5.6 3.1 21.1 69.9 -7.3 M M
6000 18.7 65.7 065 2 1 -4.2 -2.3 20.6 69.0 -7.8 M M
5750 16.1 61.0 070 2 1 -80.5 -44.2 17.3 63.1 -11.1 45 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/07/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/07/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +27.8 LI... +0.5 | CAPE... +125.1 LI... +0.2
CINH... -189.4 K Index... +2.9 | CINH... -114.5 K Index... +2.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.6 -82.5 300 53 27 3.6 2.0 | -63.3 -81.9 300 55 28 3.4 1.9
45000 -57.4 -71.3 300 66 34 5.3 2.9 | -57.2 -71.0 300 72 37 5.0 2.7
40000 -49.4 -56.9 300 66 34 5.2 2.9 | -49.8 -57.6 300 70 36 4.5 2.5
38000 -46.3 -51.3 300 63 32 5.2 2.9 | -47.1 -52.8 295 61 31 4.5 2.5
36000 -42.8 -45.0 300 59 30 5.3 2.9 | -44.3 -47.7 295 51 26 4.6 2.5
34000 -39.9 -39.8 295 50 25 4.6 2.5 | -41.4 -42.5 295 42 22 5.0 2.7
32000 -37.2 -35.0 295 38 20 4.6 2.5 | -38.4 -37.1 300 33 17 5.0 2.7
30000 -34.5 -30.1 290 25 13 4.5 2.5 | -35.2 -31.4 295 22 11 5.6 3.1
29000 -33.2 -27.8 285 17 9 4.6 2.5 | -33.6 -28.5 295 15 8 5.7 3.1
28000 -31.8 -25.2 270 11 5 5.1 2.8 | -31.9 -25.4 280 9 4 5.5 3.0
27000 -29.6 -21.3 265 9 4 7.9 4.4 | -29.3 -20.7 265 6 3 7.2 3.9
26000 -27.2 -17.0 260 8 4 7.9 4.4 | -27.2 -17.0 250 6 3 7.2 3.9
25000 -24.9 -12.8 255 7 3 8.0 4.4 | -25.1 -13.2 235 6 3 7.2 4.0
24000 -22.6 -8.7 245 5 3 7.5 4.1 | -22.7 -8.9 230 6 3 8.1 4.5
23000 -20.4 -4.7 240 3 2 7.5 4.1 | -20.3 -4.5 220 5 2 8.1 4.5
22000 -17.6 0.3 210 2 1 8.2 4.5 | -17.9 -0.2 215 4 2 8.2 4.5
21000 -15.0 5.0 185 1 0 8.8 4.8 | -15.3 4.5 195 3 1 8.4 4.6
20000 -12.3 9.9 075 1 0 8.8 4.8 | -12.8 9.0 165 2 1 8.4 4.6
19500 -11.0 12.2 060 1 1 8.8 4.8 | -11.5 11.3 145 2 1 8.4 4.6
19000 -9.7 14.5 065 2 1 8.4 4.6 | -10.2 13.6 130 3 1 8.9 4.9
18500 -8.4 16.9 070 2 1 8.5 4.6 | -8.9 16.0 120 4 2 8.8 4.8
18000 -7.2 19.0 070 3 2 8.3 4.6 | -7.5 18.5 110 5 2 8.4 4.6
17500 -5.9 21.4 080 3 2 8.3 4.5 | -6.3 20.7 110 6 3 8.1 4.4
17000 -4.7 23.5 090 4 2 8.3 4.5 | -5.0 23.0 110 7 3 8.1 4.4
16500 -3.4 25.9 095 5 3 8.2 4.5 | -3.8 25.2 110 8 4 7.8 4.3
16000 -2.2 28.0 095 6 3 8.2 4.5 | -2.7 27.1 110 9 5 7.9 4.3
15500 -1.0 30.2 095 8 4 7.6 4.2 | -1.5 29.3 110 10 5 8.1 4.4
15000 0.1 32.2 095 9 5 7.6 4.1 | -0.3 31.5 110 12 6 8.1 4.5
14500 1.3 34.3 095 11 6 7.7 4.2 | 1.0 33.8 105 13 7 8.2 4.5
14000 2.4 36.3 090 12 6 7.8 4.3 | 2.2 36.0 105 14 7 8.3 4.5
13500 3.6 38.5 090 12 6 7.7 4.2 | 3.4 38.1 105 15 8 8.2 4.5
13000 4.7 40.5 085 13 7 7.5 4.1 | 4.6 40.3 100 15 8 7.9 4.3
12500 5.8 42.4 080 13 7 7.5 4.1 | 5.8 42.4 100 15 8 7.9 4.3
12000 6.8 44.2 075 12 6 7.5 4.1 | 6.8 44.2 095 15 8 7.2 3.9
11500 7.9 46.2 070 12 6 7.6 4.1 | 7.8 46.0 095 14 7 7.3 4.0
11000 8.9 48.0 065 11 6 7.6 4.2 | 8.9 48.0 090 13 7 7.3 4.0
10500 9.9 49.8 060 10 5 6.9 3.8 | 9.8 49.6 090 11 6 7.4 4.1
10250 10.4 50.7 060 9 5 7.1 3.9 | 10.4 50.7 090 10 5 7.4 4.1
10000 10.9 51.6 055 9 5 8.2 4.5 | 10.9 51.6 090 9 5 7.5 4.1
9750 11.5 52.7 055 8 4 8.2 4.5 | 11.4 52.5 090 8 4 7.3 4.0
9500 12.0 53.6 055 8 4 7.2 3.9 | 12.6 54.7 085 7 4 8.7 4.8
9250 12.5 54.5 055 7 4 6.8 3.7 | 13.2 55.8 085 6 3 7.6 4.2
9000 13.0 55.4 050 7 4 7.6 4.2 | 13.7 56.7 085 6 3 8.3 4.6
8750 14.0 57.2 050 6 3 6.6 3.6 | 14.3 57.7 080 5 3 6.6 3.6
8500 14.4 57.9 050 5 3 5.5 3.0 | 14.7 58.5 080 5 2 6.5 3.6
8250 14.9 58.8 050 5 3 6.3 3.5 | 15.3 59.5 075 4 2 9.1 5.0
8000 15.3 59.5 050 5 2 6.6 3.6 | 15.9 60.6 070 4 2 9.4 5.1
7750 15.8 60.4 050 4 2 6.0 3.3 | 16.6 61.9 065 3 2 9.0 4.9
7500 16.2 61.2 050 4 2 5.3 2.9 | 17.3 63.1 065 3 2 8.9 4.9
7250 16.6 61.9 050 3 2 5.7 3.1 | 18.0 64.4 060 3 1 10.2 5.6
7000 17.0 62.6 050 3 2 5.8 3.2 | 18.8 65.8 055 3 1 10.9 6.0
6750 17.4 63.3 050 3 1 5.0 2.7 | 19.5 67.1 050 2 1 10.0 5.5
6500 17.8 64.0 050 3 1 4.4 2.4 | 20.3 68.5 045 2 1 9.7 5.3
6250 18.1 64.6 050 2 1 5.4 3.0 | 21.0 69.8 040 2 1 9.2 5.1
6000 18.6 65.5 045 2 1 8.5 4.7 | 21.7 71.1 030 2 1 12.0 6.6
5750 19.4 66.9 050 2 1 14.3 7.9 | 23.3 73.9 015 2 1 37.6 20.6
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
10/07/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/07/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +69.7 LI... +0.1 | CAPE... +84.8 LI... +0.6
CINH... -53.7 K Index... +10.1 | CINH... -62.6 K Index... +11.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.0 -81.4 305 48 25 3.3 1.8 | -62.2 -80.0 320 40 20 3.1 1.7
45000 -57.5 -71.5 305 59 30 4.7 2.6 | -57.3 -71.1 315 46 23 4.0 2.2
40000 -50.1 -58.2 305 56 29 4.0 2.2 | -50.8 -59.4 320 39 20 5.1 2.8
38000 -47.7 -53.9 305 47 24 4.1 2.2 | -47.8 -54.0 315 37 19 5.0 2.8
36000 -45.3 -49.5 305 37 19 4.1 2.2 | -44.8 -48.6 315 35 18 5.0 2.7
34000 -42.4 -44.3 305 30 16 5.1 2.8 | -42.2 -44.0 315 27 14 4.2 2.3
32000 -39.3 -38.7 310 24 12 5.1 2.8 | -39.7 -39.5 325 17 9 4.2 2.3
30000 -35.8 -32.4 310 16 8 6.2 3.4 | -36.2 -33.2 340 12 6 6.8 3.7
29000 -34.0 -29.2 310 12 6 6.2 3.4 | -34.2 -29.6 345 11 6 6.8 3.7
28000 -32.1 -25.8 305 8 4 6.1 3.4 | -32.1 -25.8 355 10 5 6.7 3.7
27000 -30.0 -22.0 295 6 3 7.5 4.1 | -29.9 -21.8 355 9 5 7.8 4.3
26000 -27.2 -17.0 280 6 3 7.5 4.1 | -27.0 -16.6 355 8 4 7.8 4.3
25000 -25.0 -13.0 265 6 3 7.5 4.1 | -24.7 -12.5 350 7 3 7.8 4.3
24000 -22.7 -8.9 250 6 3 7.8 4.3 | -22.4 -8.3 330 5 3 7.6 4.2
23000 -20.4 -4.7 240 7 4 7.8 4.3 | -20.2 -4.4 295 5 3 7.6 4.2
22000 -18.1 -0.6 235 8 4 7.9 4.3 | -17.9 -0.2 265 7 4 7.8 4.3
21000 -15.7 3.7 225 5 2 7.8 4.3 | -15.4 4.3 275 4 2 8.4 4.6
20000 -13.3 8.1 170 1 1 7.8 4.3 | -12.9 8.8 325 2 1 8.4 4.6
19500 -12.2 10.0 100 2 1 7.6 4.2 | -11.6 11.1 020 2 1 8.5 4.6
19000 -10.9 12.4 090 3 2 9.5 5.2 | -10.4 13.3 045 3 2 8.2 4.5
18500 -9.4 15.1 090 4 2 9.3 5.1 | -9.1 15.6 055 4 2 8.2 4.5
18000 -8.0 17.6 090 4 2 9.1 5.0 | -7.9 17.8 065 5 3 8.3 4.6
17500 -6.7 19.9 100 5 2 8.8 4.8 | -6.6 20.1 070 6 3 8.4 4.6
17000 -5.3 22.5 105 5 3 8.8 4.8 | -5.3 22.5 075 6 3 8.5 4.6
16500 -4.1 24.6 105 7 3 7.6 4.2 | -4.1 24.6 080 7 4 7.6 4.2
16000 -3.0 26.6 110 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -3.0 26.6 085 7 4 7.7 4.2
15500 -1.8 28.8 110 10 5 7.6 4.1 | -1.8 28.8 090 7 4 7.4 4.0
15000 -0.8 30.6 110 11 6 7.6 4.2 | -0.8 30.6 095 8 4 7.3 4.0
14500 0.3 32.5 105 12 6 7.9 4.3 | 0.2 32.4 095 8 4 7.8 4.3
14000 1.5 34.7 105 12 6 8.3 4.6 | 1.4 34.5 100 9 4 8.4 4.6
13500 2.7 36.9 100 13 7 8.5 4.6 | 2.6 36.7 100 9 5 8.6 4.7
13000 4.0 39.2 100 13 7 8.9 4.9 | 4.0 39.2 105 9 5 9.4 5.1
12500 5.3 41.5 100 13 7 8.9 4.9 | 5.3 41.5 105 9 5 9.4 5.1
12000 6.6 43.9 100 13 7 9.2 5.0 | 6.7 44.1 110 9 5 9.6 5.3
11500 7.9 46.2 100 12 6 9.2 5.0 | 8.2 46.8 110 9 5 9.7 5.3
11000 9.3 48.7 100 11 5 8.9 4.9 | 9.5 49.1 110 9 5 9.1 5.0
10500 10.6 51.1 100 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 10.9 51.6 115 9 5 10.3 5.6
10250 11.4 52.5 100 9 5 9.9 5.4 | 11.7 53.1 115 9 5 10.1 5.5
10000 12.1 53.8 100 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 12.4 54.3 115 9 5 9.2 5.0
9750 12.8 55.0 100 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 13.1 55.6 115 9 5 9.2 5.0
9500 13.5 56.3 100 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 14.6 58.3 120 9 5 10.2 5.6
9250 14.9 58.8 100 7 3 9.5 5.2 | 15.3 59.5 120 9 5 9.4 5.2
9000 15.6 60.1 105 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 16.0 60.8 120 9 5 9.8 5.4
8750 16.3 61.3 105 6 3 9.1 5.0 | 16.7 62.1 120 9 5 9.1 5.0
8500 17.0 62.6 105 5 3 9.3 5.1 | 17.4 63.3 125 9 4 9.3 5.1
8250 17.7 63.9 105 5 2 10.2 5.6 | 18.1 64.6 125 8 4 10.0 5.5
8000 18.5 65.3 105 4 2 10.2 5.6 | 18.9 66.0 125 8 4 10.0 5.5
7750 19.2 66.6 110 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 19.6 67.3 125 8 4 9.7 5.3
7500 19.9 67.8 110 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 20.3 68.5 130 8 4 9.2 5.1
7250 20.7 69.3 110 3 2 9.9 5.4 | 21.0 69.8 130 8 4 9.4 5.1
7000 21.4 70.5 115 3 1 10.2 5.6 | 21.7 71.1 130 7 4 9.5 5.2
6750 22.2 72.0 120 2 1 10.0 5.5 | 22.4 72.3 135 7 4 9.6 5.3
6500 22.9 73.2 125 2 1 10.3 5.6 | 23.1 73.6 135 7 4 9.9 5.4
6250 23.7 74.7 130 2 1 9.2 5.1 | 23.9 75.0 140 7 3 8.8 4.9
6000 24.4 75.9 135 1 1 11.1 6.1 | 24.4 75.9 145 6 3 6.7 3.7
5750 25.9 78.6 175 1 1 36.2 19.9 | 24.8 76.6 145 5 2 7.9 4.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0723 MDT Wednesday October 7 2026
This forecast is for Wednesday, October 7, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 73.7 F/23.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 788 ft/min (4.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 15007 ft MSL (8550 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 78.0 F/26.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1200 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9681 ft MSL (3224 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 10/08..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:04:28 / 18:39:47 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 35 min 18 sec (695 min 18 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:52:07 MDT... 48.62 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/07/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14983 ft MSL (8526 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18282 ft MSL (11825 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17676 ft MSL (11219 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.1
K index......................... +1.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.7 -82.7 300 54 28 4.1 2.3 81.7 179.0 33.2 M M
45000 -56.7 -70.1 295 68 35 5.2 2.8 68.9 156.0 27.4 M M
40000 -49.1 -56.4 295 67 35 4.2 2.3 58.7 137.7 22.4 M M
38000 -46.5 -51.7 295 58 30 4.2 2.3 53.5 128.4 19.4 M M
36000 -44.0 -47.2 295 49 25 4.2 2.3 49.1 120.5 16.8 M M
34000 -41.5 -42.7 295 37 19 4.1 2.3 44.4 111.9 13.7 M M
32000 -39.0 -38.2 290 25 13 4.1 2.3 39.9 103.9 10.7 M M
30000 -35.5 -31.9 280 15 8 6.8 3.7 36.8 98.3 8.6 M M
29000 -33.5 -28.3 270 11 5 6.8 3.7 35.7 96.2 7.8 M M
28000 -30.9 -23.6 250 6 3 7.1 3.9 34.4 94.0 6.9 M M
27000 -28.7 -19.7 230 4 2 7.4 4.1 33.4 92.1 6.2 M M
26000 -26.5 -15.7 190 3 1 7.4 4.1 32.5 90.5 5.5 M M
25000 -24.3 -11.7 150 4 2 7.4 4.1 31.8 89.2 5.0 M M
24000 -22.1 -7.8 135 4 2 7.4 4.0 30.8 87.5 4.2 M M
23000 -19.9 -3.8 115 4 2 7.4 4.0 29.9 85.9 3.5 M M
22000 -17.7 0.1 100 4 2 7.6 4.2 29.2 84.5 2.9 M M
21000 -15.2 4.6 100 4 2 8.7 4.8 28.7 83.6 2.5 M M
20000 -12.6 9.3 105 4 2 8.7 4.8 28.3 83.0 2.2 M M
19500 -11.2 11.8 105 4 2 8.7 4.8 28.2 82.7 2.1 M M
19000 -10.0 14.0 105 4 2 8.2 4.5 28.0 82.3 2.0 M M
18500 -8.7 16.3 105 6 3 8.2 4.5 27.7 81.9 1.8 M M
18000 -7.5 18.5 105 7 3 8.2 4.5 27.5 81.4 1.6 M M
17500 -6.3 20.7 105 8 4 8.1 4.5 27.2 80.9 1.3 M M
17000 -5.0 23.0 105 9 5 8.1 4.5 26.9 80.4 1.1 M M
16500 -3.8 25.2 100 10 5 8.1 4.4 26.6 79.9 0.8 M M
16000 -2.6 27.3 100 11 6 8.1 4.4 26.3 79.4 0.6 M M
15500 -1.4 29.5 100 12 6 8.1 4.5 26.1 79.0 0.3 M M
15000 -0.2 31.6 100 13 6 8.1 4.5 25.8 78.5 0.0 M M
14500 1.0 33.8 100 13 7 8.2 4.5 25.6 78.0 -0.2 745 3.8
14000 2.2 36.0 100 13 7 8.3 4.5 25.3 77.5 -0.5 694 3.5
13500 3.4 38.1 100 13 7 8.3 4.6 25.1 77.1 -0.7 642 3.3
13000 4.7 40.5 095 13 6 8.7 4.8 24.9 76.8 -0.9 589 3.0
12500 6.0 42.8 095 12 6 8.7 4.8 24.7 76.5 -1.1 536 2.7
12000 7.2 45.0 090 11 6 8.2 4.5 24.5 76.1 -1.3 484 2.5
11500 9.1 48.4 075 10 5 8.8 4.8 24.2 75.6 -1.6 405 2.1
11000 10.2 50.4 065 9 5 8.0 4.4 23.9 75.1 -2.0 357 1.8
10500 11.4 52.5 050 8 4 7.2 3.9 23.7 74.6 -2.3 308 1.6
10250 11.8 53.2 050 8 4 7.0 3.8 23.4 74.2 -2.6 287 1.5
10000 12.3 54.1 040 7 4 7.9 4.3 23.3 73.9 -2.8 264 1.3
9750 12.9 55.2 035 7 4 7.8 4.3 23.1 73.6 -3.0 240 1.2
9500 13.4 56.1 030 7 4 7.1 3.9 23.0 73.3 -3.2 217 1.1
9250 13.9 57.0 030 7 4 6.0 3.3 22.7 72.9 -3.5 196 1.0
9000 14.3 57.7 025 8 4 5.9 3.2 22.4 72.3 -3.8 176 0.9
8750 14.7 58.5 020 8 4 5.8 3.2 22.1 71.8 -4.2 156 0.8
8500 15.1 59.2 015 8 4 5.0 2.8 21.8 71.2 -4.5 137 0.7
8250 15.4 59.7 015 8 4 4.0 2.2 21.4 70.5 -4.9 119 0.6
8000 15.7 60.3 015 8 4 2.8 1.6 20.9 69.6 -5.4 104 0.5
7750 15.8 60.4 015 8 4 2.2 1.2 20.4 68.6 -6.0 92 0.5
7500 16.0 60.8 015 8 4 2.5 1.4 19.8 67.6 -6.5 79 0.4
7250 16.2 61.2 020 7 4 2.0 1.1 19.2 66.6 -7.1 66 0.3
7000 16.4 61.5 020 7 3 2.9 1.6 18.7 65.6 -7.7 54 0.3
6750 16.3 61.3 025 6 3 -8.1 -4.4 17.9 64.2 -8.5 48 0.2
6500 13.5 56.3 030 4 2 -83.1 -45.6 14.4 57.9 -12.0 125 0.6
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/07/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/07/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +3.3 LI... +2.1 | CAPE... +10.4 LI... +1.2
CINH... -17.7 K Index... +1.6 | CINH... -77.6 K Index... +9.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.9 -81.2 300 55 28 3.7 2.0 | -62.5 -80.5 305 45 23 3.3 1.8
45000 -56.6 -69.9 295 68 35 4.7 2.6 | -57.2 -71.0 305 53 27 4.1 2.3
40000 -49.7 -57.5 295 65 34 3.6 2.0 | -50.8 -59.4 300 47 24 3.9 2.2
38000 -47.4 -53.3 295 52 27 3.7 2.0 | -48.4 -55.1 300 38 20 4.0 2.2
36000 -45.2 -49.4 295 38 19 3.7 2.0 | -46.0 -50.8 300 29 15 4.0 2.2
34000 -42.6 -44.7 295 27 14 4.7 2.6 | -43.3 -45.9 300 18 9 4.8 2.6
32000 -39.8 -39.6 300 17 9 4.7 2.6 | -40.5 -40.9 300 6 3 4.8 2.6
30000 -36.1 -33.0 290 10 5 6.9 3.8 | -36.6 -33.9 260 3 1 7.3 4.0
29000 -33.5 -28.3 275 7 4 6.9 3.8 | -34.4 -29.9 250 4 2 7.3 4.0
28000 -31.4 -24.5 255 6 3 7.1 3.9 | -32.2 -26.0 240 5 2 7.4 4.0
27000 -29.3 -20.7 230 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -29.6 -21.3 230 5 2 7.0 3.8
26000 -27.1 -16.8 205 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -27.5 -17.5 220 5 3 7.0 3.9
25000 -24.9 -12.8 185 7 3 7.3 4.0 | -25.5 -13.9 215 5 3 7.1 3.9
24000 -22.7 -8.9 170 6 3 7.6 4.2 | -23.1 -9.6 190 5 2 8.3 4.5
23000 -20.4 -4.7 150 5 3 7.6 4.2 | -20.6 -5.1 165 4 2 8.3 4.5
22000 -18.1 -0.6 130 6 3 7.9 4.3 | -18.1 -0.6 140 5 3 8.3 4.5
21000 -15.5 4.1 120 6 3 8.5 4.7 | -15.6 3.9 130 7 4 8.3 4.5
20000 -13.0 8.6 115 6 3 8.5 4.7 | -13.1 8.4 125 8 4 8.3 4.5
19500 -11.7 10.9 115 7 3 8.6 4.7 | -11.9 10.6 120 9 5 8.3 4.6
19000 -10.4 13.3 110 7 4 8.3 4.6 | -10.7 12.7 120 11 5 7.8 4.3
18500 -9.2 15.4 110 9 4 8.3 4.6 | -9.5 14.9 115 12 6 7.9 4.3
18000 -7.9 17.8 110 10 5 8.3 4.5 | -8.3 17.1 115 14 7 8.1 4.4
17500 -6.7 19.9 105 11 6 8.2 4.5 | -7.1 19.2 110 15 8 8.2 4.5
17000 -5.5 22.1 105 13 7 8.1 4.5 | -5.9 21.4 110 17 9 8.2 4.5
16500 -4.2 24.4 105 14 7 8.5 4.6 | -4.7 23.5 105 18 9 8.7 4.8
16000 -3.0 26.6 105 15 8 8.4 4.6 | -3.4 25.9 105 18 9 8.6 4.7
15500 -1.7 28.9 100 15 8 8.5 4.7 | -2.1 28.2 105 19 10 8.9 4.9
15000 -0.5 31.1 100 16 8 8.5 4.7 | -0.8 30.6 105 19 10 9.0 4.9
14500 0.8 33.4 100 16 8 8.6 4.7 | 0.6 33.1 100 19 10 9.1 5.0
14000 2.1 35.8 100 16 8 8.8 4.8 | 1.9 35.4 100 19 10 9.2 5.0
13500 3.4 38.1 100 16 8 8.8 4.8 | 3.3 37.9 100 19 10 9.2 5.0
13000 4.7 40.5 100 15 8 8.8 4.8 | 4.6 40.3 100 19 10 9.1 5.0
12500 6.0 42.8 095 15 8 8.8 4.8 | 6.0 42.8 100 18 9 9.1 5.0
12000 7.9 46.2 095 14 7 8.5 4.6 | 7.3 45.1 100 18 9 8.6 4.7
11500 9.2 48.6 090 13 7 8.9 4.9 | 9.2 48.6 100 16 8 8.7 4.8
11000 10.5 50.9 090 12 6 8.5 4.7 | 10.4 50.7 100 15 7 8.1 4.4
10500 11.7 53.1 085 11 6 7.7 4.2 | 11.5 52.7 100 13 7 6.4 3.5
10250 12.2 54.0 075 10 5 7.6 4.2 | 11.9 53.4 100 11 6 7.1 3.9
10000 12.8 55.0 075 10 5 8.0 4.4 | 12.5 54.5 100 10 5 8.1 4.5
9750 13.4 56.1 070 10 5 7.9 4.3 | 13.1 55.6 105 10 5 8.0 4.4
9500 13.9 57.0 065 10 5 6.3 3.4 | 13.6 56.5 105 9 4 5.9 3.2
9250 14.3 57.7 055 10 5 5.3 2.9 | 14.0 57.2 105 8 4 7.0 3.8
9000 14.7 58.5 050 10 5 6.1 3.3 | 14.7 58.5 105 7 4 9.5 5.2
8750 15.1 59.2 045 10 5 5.3 2.9 | 15.3 59.5 105 6 3 8.9 4.9
8500 15.4 59.7 040 10 5 2.6 1.4 | 16.0 60.8 105 6 3 8.9 4.9
8250 15.5 59.9 040 10 5 1.4 0.8 | 16.6 61.9 100 5 3 9.1 5.0
8000 15.6 60.1 035 10 5 2.4 1.3 | 17.3 63.1 100 5 2 9.8 5.4
7750 15.8 60.4 030 10 5 2.0 1.1 | 18.1 64.6 100 4 2 10.1 5.5
7500 15.8 60.4 030 9 5 1.1 0.6 | 18.8 65.8 100 4 2 10.0 5.5
7250 15.9 60.6 030 8 4 0.9 0.5 | 19.6 67.3 100 3 2 10.2 5.6
7000 16.0 60.8 030 6 3 3.5 1.9 | 20.3 68.5 100 3 2 9.0 5.0
6750 16.5 61.7 030 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 21.0 69.8 105 3 1 11.9 6.5
6500 17.2 63.0 030 4 2 8.2 4.5 | 22.7 72.9 110 2 1 42.9 23.5
10/07/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/07/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +63.7 LI... +0.1 | CAPE... +133.6 LI... 0.0
CINH... -10.7 K Index... +19.3 | CINH... -42.0 K Index... +14.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.2 -80.0 310 39 20 2.9 1.6 | -62.2 -80.0 325 33 17 3.1 1.7
45000 -57.5 -71.5 310 44 22 3.9 2.2 | -57.4 -71.3 325 34 17 3.5 1.9
40000 -51.2 -60.2 310 32 16 4.7 2.6 | -51.7 -61.1 330 27 14 5.9 3.3
38000 -48.5 -55.3 310 28 15 4.6 2.5 | -48.3 -54.9 325 25 13 5.7 3.1
36000 -45.7 -50.3 305 25 13 4.6 2.5 | -44.9 -48.8 315 24 12 5.7 3.1
34000 -43.3 -45.9 305 16 8 3.8 2.1 | -42.7 -44.9 320 17 9 2.7 1.5
32000 -41.0 -41.8 290 6 3 3.9 2.1 | -41.1 -42.0 340 9 5 2.7 1.5
30000 -37.2 -35.0 275 3 2 7.8 4.3 | -37.4 -35.3 360 7 3 8.2 4.5
29000 -34.9 -30.8 280 3 2 7.8 4.3 | -34.9 -30.8 360 6 3 8.2 4.5
28000 -32.5 -26.5 290 3 2 7.8 4.3 | -32.4 -26.3 360 6 3 8.3 4.5
27000 -30.3 -22.5 290 4 2 7.6 4.2 | -30.0 -22.0 005 7 3 7.9 4.3
26000 -27.5 -17.5 285 4 2 7.6 4.2 | -27.1 -16.8 010 7 4 7.9 4.3
25000 -25.2 -13.4 280 4 2 7.6 4.2 | -24.8 -12.6 015 7 4 7.9 4.3
24000 -22.9 -9.2 275 3 1 7.8 4.3 | -22.5 -8.5 030 7 4 7.6 4.2
23000 -20.5 -4.9 225 1 0 7.8 4.3 | -20.2 -4.4 045 7 4 7.6 4.2
22000 -18.2 -0.8 120 2 1 7.8 4.3 | -17.9 -0.2 060 8 4 7.7 4.2
21000 -15.9 3.4 105 4 2 7.8 4.3 | -15.6 3.9 065 7 4 8.0 4.4
20000 -13.6 7.5 100 6 3 7.8 4.3 | -13.1 8.4 065 7 4 8.0 4.4
19500 -12.4 9.7 100 7 4 7.8 4.3 | -11.9 10.6 070 7 4 8.0 4.4
19000 -11.3 11.7 100 8 4 8.0 4.4 | -10.7 12.7 070 7 4 8.1 4.5
18500 -10.1 13.8 100 10 5 8.0 4.4 | -9.5 14.9 070 7 3 8.2 4.5
18000 -8.9 16.0 100 11 6 8.2 4.5 | -8.4 16.9 075 6 3 8.2 4.5
17500 -7.7 18.1 100 12 6 8.4 4.6 | -7.1 19.2 075 6 3 8.2 4.5
17000 -6.5 20.3 100 12 6 8.4 4.6 | -5.9 21.4 080 6 3 8.2 4.5
16500 -5.2 22.6 100 13 7 9.2 5.1 | -4.7 23.5 085 6 3 8.9 4.9
16000 -3.8 25.2 100 13 7 9.1 5.0 | -3.3 26.1 090 7 4 8.9 4.9
15500 -2.5 27.5 105 13 7 9.3 5.1 | -2.0 28.4 095 8 4 8.9 4.9
15000 -1.1 30.0 105 13 7 9.4 5.1 | -0.7 30.7 100 9 5 9.0 4.9
14500 0.3 32.5 105 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 0.6 33.1 105 10 5 8.8 4.8
14000 1.7 35.1 105 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 1.9 35.4 105 11 6 8.5 4.6
13500 3.2 37.8 105 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 3.1 37.6 105 13 7 8.5 4.7
13000 4.6 40.3 110 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 4.3 39.7 105 14 7 8.8 4.8
12500 6.1 43.0 110 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 5.6 42.1 105 15 8 8.8 4.8
12000 7.5 45.5 110 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 6.9 44.4 110 15 8 9.1 5.0
11500 9.0 48.2 110 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 8.9 48.0 110 16 8 9.5 5.2
11000 11.1 52.0 115 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 115 16 8 9.4 5.2
10500 12.5 54.5 115 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 11.7 53.1 120 16 8 9.4 5.1
10250 13.3 55.9 115 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 12.4 54.3 120 16 8 9.5 5.2
10000 14.0 57.2 115 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 13.2 55.8 120 17 9 9.6 5.3
9750 14.7 58.5 115 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 13.9 57.0 120 17 9 9.6 5.2
9500 15.4 59.7 115 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 14.6 58.3 125 17 9 9.5 5.2
9250 16.2 61.2 120 14 7 10.0 5.5 | 15.3 59.5 125 17 9 9.4 5.2
9000 16.9 62.4 120 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 16.0 60.8 125 17 9 9.4 5.1
8750 17.6 63.7 120 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 16.7 62.1 125 18 9 9.4 5.2
8500 18.3 64.9 120 14 7 10.0 5.5 | 17.4 63.3 130 18 9 9.6 5.3
8250 19.1 66.4 120 14 7 10.2 5.6 | 18.1 64.6 130 18 9 9.6 5.3
8000 19.9 67.8 125 14 7 9.9 5.5 | 18.8 65.8 130 18 9 9.2 5.1
7750 20.6 69.1 125 14 7 10.0 5.5 | 19.5 67.1 130 17 9 9.2 5.0
7500 21.3 70.3 125 14 7 10.2 5.6 | 20.2 68.4 135 17 9 9.3 5.1
7250 22.1 71.8 125 13 7 10.6 5.8 | 20.8 69.4 135 16 8 9.1 5.0
7000 22.9 73.2 125 13 7 9.1 5.0 | 21.5 70.7 135 16 8 8.4 4.6
6750 23.6 74.5 130 12 6 11.9 6.5 | 22.0 71.6 135 14 7 4.6 2.5
6500 25.4 77.7 130 11 5 47.5 26.0 | 21.8 71.2 140 10 5 -9.1 -5.0
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
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DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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