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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0804 MDT Monday June 9 2025
This forecast is for Monday, June 9, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 73.2 F/22.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
Maximum rate of lift........................ 0 ft/min (0.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 11732 ft MSL (5394 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 78.0 F/26.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10165 ft MSL (3827 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 06/10...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:49:39 / 20:17:08 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 27 min 29 sec (867 min 29 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:23 MDT... 78.00 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/09/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15360 ft MSL (9022 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14482 ft MSL (8144 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14001 ft MSL (7663 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.4
K index......................... +24.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 275 44 23 2.8 1.5 83.9 183.0 34.4 M M
45000 -58.7 -73.7 275 60 31 2.3 1.3 67.6 153.7 26.5 M M
40000 -55.1 -67.2 275 79 41 5.9 3.2 51.1 124.0 17.2 M M
38000 -51.4 -60.5 275 68 35 6.1 3.4 47.5 117.6 15.2 M M
36000 -47.2 -53.0 280 56 29 6.1 3.4 44.4 111.9 13.4 M M
34000 -43.2 -45.8 280 49 25 6.9 3.8 41.7 107.1 11.8 M M
32000 -39.0 -38.2 280 43 22 6.9 3.8 39.6 103.2 10.5 M M
30000 -34.5 -30.1 280 40 21 7.7 4.2 37.7 99.9 9.4 M M
29000 -32.2 -26.0 280 39 20 7.7 4.2 36.9 98.5 8.9 M M
28000 -29.9 -21.8 280 38 19 7.7 4.2 36.3 97.4 8.5 M M
27000 -27.6 -17.7 280 35 18 7.5 4.1 35.4 95.7 7.8 M M
26000 -25.4 -13.7 275 32 17 7.5 4.1 34.5 94.1 7.2 M M
25000 -23.1 -9.6 275 29 15 7.6 4.2 33.8 92.8 6.7 M M
24000 -20.9 -5.6 280 26 13 7.5 4.1 32.9 91.3 6.1 M M
23000 -18.6 -1.5 285 22 11 7.5 4.1 32.1 89.8 5.4 M M
22000 -16.4 2.5 295 18 9 7.6 4.1 31.4 88.5 4.8 M M
21000 -14.3 6.3 295 17 9 7.2 4.0 30.5 86.8 4.1 M M
20000 -11.7 10.9 285 17 9 7.4 4.0 29.4 84.9 3.1 M M
19500 -10.6 12.9 280 18 9 7.5 4.1 29.0 84.2 2.7 M M
19000 -9.4 15.1 280 17 9 8.8 4.8 28.8 83.8 2.5 M M
18500 -8.1 17.4 280 16 8 8.7 4.8 28.6 83.4 2.3 M M
18000 -6.9 19.6 280 14 7 8.8 4.9 28.4 83.1 2.1 M M
17500 -5.6 21.9 285 13 7 8.9 4.9 28.3 82.9 1.9 M M
17000 -4.3 24.3 295 12 6 9.0 4.9 28.1 82.6 1.8 M M
16500 -3.0 26.6 300 11 6 8.9 4.9 28.0 82.4 1.7 M M
16000 -1.6 29.1 310 12 6 8.9 4.9 27.9 82.1 1.5 M M
15500 -0.3 31.5 320 12 6 9.3 5.1 27.7 81.9 1.5 M M
15000 1.1 34.0 325 11 6 9.3 5.1 27.7 81.8 1.4 M M
14500 2.5 36.5 330 10 5 9.2 5.0 27.6 81.7 1.4 M M
14000 3.9 39.0 340 10 5 9.1 5.0 27.5 81.5 1.3 M M
13500 5.3 41.5 345 9 5 8.9 4.9 27.4 81.3 1.2 M M
13000 6.5 43.7 350 9 4 8.5 4.7 27.2 81.0 1.0 M M
12500 7.8 46.0 355 8 4 8.2 4.5 27.0 80.6 0.8 M M
12000 8.8 47.8 360 5 3 6.6 3.6 26.6 79.9 0.3 M M
11500 9.7 49.5 030 3 1 6.5 3.6 26.1 79.0 -0.3 382 1.9
11000 10.3 50.5 105 3 2 3.8 2.1 25.4 77.6 -1.1 349 1.8
10500 10.8 51.4 125 6 3 3.9 2.1 24.5 76.0 -2.1 320 1.6
10250 10.9 51.6 130 8 4 1.9 1.0 24.0 75.1 -2.7 307 1.6
10000 11.0 51.8 130 10 5 1.1 0.6 23.3 73.9 -3.4 299 1.5
9750 11.0 51.8 130 12 6 1.9 1.0 22.6 72.8 -4.0 289 1.5
9500 11.1 52.0 130 14 7 1.7 1.0 22.0 71.6 -4.7 279 1.4
9250 11.2 52.2 130 15 8 2.3 1.2 21.4 70.6 -5.3 269 1.4
9000 11.3 52.3 130 16 8 2.0 1.1 20.9 69.5 -6.0 258 1.3
8750 11.5 52.7 125 17 9 1.6 0.9 20.2 68.4 -6.6 247 1.3
8500 11.6 52.9 125 18 9 1.4 0.8 19.6 67.3 -7.2 237 1.2
8250 11.6 52.9 125 18 9 0.8 0.5 18.9 66.1 -7.9 227 1.2
8000 11.7 53.1 120 18 9 0.9 0.5 18.3 64.9 -8.6 219 1.1
7750 11.7 53.1 120 18 9 0.4 0.2 17.6 63.6 -9.3 210 1.1
7500 11.7 53.1 115 17 9 2.4 1.3 16.9 62.4 -10.1 202 1.0
7250 12.0 53.6 115 15 8 4.7 2.6 16.5 61.6 -10.5 186 0.9
7000 12.3 54.1 115 13 7 4.2 2.3 16.1 60.9 -11.0 170 0.9
6750 12.6 54.7 115 11 6 5.2 2.9 15.7 60.2 -11.4 153 0.8
6500 13.0 55.4 115 8 4 5.8 3.2 15.4 59.7 -11.8 134 0.7
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/09/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/09/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +427.8 LI... -2.0 | CAPE... +1144.2 LI... -4.1
CINH... -252.7 K Index... +21.3 | CINH... -52.9 K Index... +21.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.8 -81.0 275 42 21 2.3 1.3 | -62.9 -81.2 275 42 22 2.0 1.1
45000 -59.2 -74.6 270 56 29 2.9 1.6 | -59.5 -75.1 270 54 28 3.3 1.8
40000 -54.7 -66.5 275 76 39 5.6 3.0 | -54.3 -65.7 270 71 36 5.7 3.1
38000 -51.3 -60.3 275 66 34 5.7 3.1 | -50.8 -59.4 270 63 33 5.8 3.2
36000 -47.4 -53.3 275 55 28 5.7 3.1 | -46.9 -52.4 270 55 28 5.8 3.2
34000 -43.7 -46.7 275 48 25 6.3 3.5 | -43.3 -45.9 275 47 24 6.1 3.4
32000 -39.9 -39.8 280 42 22 6.4 3.5 | -39.6 -39.3 275 40 20 6.1 3.4
30000 -35.4 -31.7 280 40 20 7.8 4.3 | -35.5 -31.9 275 34 17 7.0 3.8
29000 -33.1 -27.6 275 39 20 7.8 4.3 | -33.5 -28.3 275 31 16 7.0 3.8
28000 -30.7 -23.3 275 38 20 8.1 4.4 | -31.4 -24.5 275 29 15 7.5 4.1
27000 -28.1 -18.6 280 35 18 8.7 4.8 | -28.8 -19.8 275 27 14 8.7 4.8
26000 -25.5 -13.9 280 33 17 8.7 4.8 | -26.2 -15.2 275 25 13 8.7 4.8
25000 -22.9 -9.2 280 30 15 8.8 4.9 | -23.6 -10.5 275 24 12 8.8 4.8
24000 -20.6 -5.1 285 27 14 7.1 3.9 | -21.2 -6.2 275 23 12 7.7 4.2
23000 -18.5 -1.3 285 23 12 7.2 3.9 | -18.9 -2.0 275 22 11 7.7 4.2
22000 -16.4 2.5 285 20 10 7.2 4.0 | -16.6 2.1 280 21 11 7.7 4.2
21000 -14.3 6.3 285 19 10 7.2 4.0 | -14.4 6.1 280 20 10 7.5 4.1
20000 -11.7 10.9 290 19 10 7.3 4.0 | -11.7 10.9 285 18 9 7.7 4.2
19500 -10.6 12.9 290 19 10 7.5 4.1 | -10.6 12.9 285 17 9 7.8 4.3
19000 -9.4 15.1 290 18 9 8.2 4.5 | -9.3 15.3 285 17 9 8.5 4.7
18500 -8.2 17.2 290 18 9 8.2 4.5 | -8.1 17.4 285 16 8 8.5 4.7
18000 -7.0 19.4 285 17 9 8.8 4.8 | -6.8 19.8 285 16 8 8.7 4.8
17500 -5.7 21.7 285 16 8 9.0 4.9 | -5.5 22.1 290 16 8 8.8 4.8
17000 -4.4 24.1 285 14 7 9.1 5.0 | -4.2 24.4 290 15 8 8.8 4.8
16500 -3.0 26.6 285 13 7 9.4 5.2 | -2.9 26.8 290 14 7 8.7 4.8
16000 -1.6 29.1 285 13 6 9.5 5.2 | -1.6 29.1 295 13 7 8.6 4.7
15500 -0.3 31.5 285 12 6 8.9 4.9 | -0.3 31.5 295 13 6 9.5 5.2
15000 1.1 34.0 290 10 5 8.9 4.9 | 1.1 34.0 290 12 6 9.4 5.2
14500 2.4 36.3 295 9 5 8.8 4.8 | 2.5 36.5 285 11 6 9.3 5.1
14000 3.7 38.7 300 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 3.8 38.8 280 10 5 9.3 5.1
13500 5.0 41.0 315 4 2 8.9 4.9 | 5.2 41.4 275 9 5 9.2 5.0
13000 6.4 43.5 330 3 2 9.1 5.0 | 6.5 43.7 265 8 4 8.9 4.9
12500 7.7 45.9 350 3 1 8.9 4.9 | 7.9 46.2 255 6 3 7.8 4.3
12000 9.0 48.2 360 2 1 8.3 4.6 | 8.6 47.5 240 5 3 4.7 2.6
11500 10.2 50.4 010 1 0 7.7 4.2 | 9.2 48.6 220 4 2 7.2 3.9
11000 11.0 51.8 155 2 1 5.0 2.7 | 9.6 49.3 175 4 2 -0.1 -0.1
10500 11.6 52.9 160 4 2 4.6 2.5 | 9.5 49.1 140 6 3 2.4 1.3
10250 11.8 53.2 155 5 3 1.1 0.6 | 9.8 49.6 135 7 3 7.3 4.0
10000 11.7 53.1 150 7 3 -0.5 -0.3 | 10.4 50.7 135 7 4 9.5 5.2
9750 11.6 52.9 145 8 4 0.4 0.2 | 11.1 52.0 135 7 4 9.0 4.9
9500 11.5 52.7 145 9 5 -0.9 -0.5 | 11.8 53.2 135 8 4 9.4 5.2
9250 11.2 52.2 140 10 5 -5.6 -3.1 | 12.5 54.5 130 8 4 10.2 5.6
9000 10.7 51.3 140 10 5 -3.9 -2.1 | 13.2 55.8 130 8 4 9.7 5.3
8750 10.5 50.9 135 10 5 -1.0 -0.5 | 13.9 57.0 130 8 4 8.8 4.8
8500 10.4 50.7 135 10 5 2.3 1.3 | 14.6 58.3 130 9 4 9.5 5.2
8250 10.9 51.6 130 10 5 8.3 4.6 | 15.3 59.5 130 9 5 10.0 5.5
8000 11.5 52.7 130 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 16.1 61.0 130 9 5 10.1 5.5
7750 12.2 54.0 130 10 5 9.2 5.0 | 16.8 62.2 130 9 5 10.1 5.5
7500 12.9 55.2 130 10 5 10.0 5.5 | 17.6 63.7 130 9 5 10.4 5.7
7250 13.7 56.7 130 9 5 10.6 5.8 | 18.4 65.1 130 9 5 10.9 6.0
7000 14.4 57.9 130 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 19.2 66.6 130 9 5 10.0 5.5
6750 15.2 59.4 130 9 5 11.4 6.3 | 20.0 68.0 130 9 5 12.8 7.0
6500 16.3 61.3 130 9 4 18.2 10.0 | 21.3 70.3 130 9 5 23.8 13.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/09/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/09/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +1002.2 LI... -3.4 | CAPE... +331.1 LI... -2.2
CINH... -0.0 K Index... +33.6 | CINH... -18.3 K Index... +28.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.7 -82.7 280 42 21 0.4 0.2 | -64.2 -83.6 285 33 17 -0.2 -0.1
45000 -61.6 -78.9 275 50 26 4.4 2.4 | -62.8 -81.0 285 33 17 4.2 2.3
40000 -54.9 -66.8 275 54 28 6.9 3.8 | -56.1 -69.0 285 30 15 8.2 4.5
38000 -50.9 -59.6 275 54 28 6.6 3.6 | -51.4 -60.5 285 22 11 7.9 4.3
36000 -47.0 -52.6 275 53 27 6.6 3.6 | -46.7 -52.1 285 14 7 7.9 4.3
34000 -42.3 -44.1 280 46 24 7.0 3.8 | -41.5 -42.7 275 14 7 7.6 4.2
32000 -38.1 -36.6 280 38 19 7.0 3.8 | -36.9 -34.4 265 17 9 7.6 4.2
30000 -33.5 -28.3 280 31 16 7.8 4.3 | -31.8 -25.2 260 19 10 8.7 4.8
29000 -31.2 -24.2 280 28 15 7.8 4.3 | -29.2 -20.6 260 19 10 8.7 4.8
28000 -28.8 -19.8 275 25 13 7.5 4.1 | -26.6 -15.9 255 20 10 7.4 4.1
27000 -26.8 -16.2 275 24 12 6.7 3.7 | -24.8 -12.6 265 19 10 6.1 3.3
26000 -24.8 -12.6 270 22 12 6.7 3.7 | -23.0 -9.4 275 19 10 6.1 3.3
25000 -22.8 -9.0 270 21 11 6.5 3.6 | -21.2 -6.2 285 19 10 6.1 3.4
24000 -20.4 -4.7 270 21 11 8.4 4.6 | -19.5 -3.1 285 19 10 5.7 3.1
23000 -17.9 -0.2 270 21 11 8.4 4.6 | -17.9 -0.2 275 19 10 5.7 3.2
22000 -15.3 4.5 270 21 11 8.5 4.7 | -16.2 2.8 270 19 10 6.0 3.3
21000 -13.2 8.2 275 21 11 6.9 3.8 | -13.9 7.0 265 18 9 8.4 4.6
20000 -11.2 11.8 275 20 10 7.0 3.9 | -11.5 11.3 260 17 9 8.4 4.6
19500 -10.1 13.8 275 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -10.3 13.5 260 17 9 8.5 4.6
19000 -8.8 16.2 275 19 10 5.1 2.8 | -9.1 15.6 255 16 8 8.0 4.4
18500 -8.1 17.4 275 18 9 5.3 2.9 | -7.9 17.8 260 16 8 7.9 4.3
18000 -7.3 18.9 275 17 9 7.3 4.0 | -6.8 19.8 260 16 8 8.1 4.4
17500 -6.2 20.8 275 16 8 8.0 4.4 | -4.9 23.2 260 15 8 8.6 4.7
17000 -5.1 22.8 275 16 8 8.3 4.6 | -3.6 25.5 265 15 8 8.7 4.8
16500 -3.8 25.2 275 15 8 9.3 5.1 | -2.3 27.9 265 15 8 9.1 5.0
16000 -2.5 27.5 270 14 7 9.3 5.1 | -1.0 30.2 265 14 7 9.1 5.0
15500 -1.2 29.8 270 13 7 9.1 5.0 | 0.4 32.7 265 14 7 9.0 4.9
15000 0.1 32.2 265 12 6 9.1 5.0 | 1.7 35.1 270 14 7 9.0 4.9
14500 1.4 34.5 265 11 5 9.3 5.1 | 3.0 37.4 270 14 7 9.1 5.0
14000 2.8 37.0 260 9 5 9.4 5.1 | 4.4 39.9 270 14 7 9.2 5.0
13500 4.2 39.6 255 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 5.8 42.4 270 13 7 9.3 5.1
13000 5.6 42.1 250 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 7.2 45.0 270 13 7 9.4 5.2
12500 7.0 44.6 240 7 4 9.6 5.2 | 8.6 47.5 275 13 7 9.2 5.1
12000 8.4 47.1 235 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 9.9 49.8 275 13 7 8.8 4.8
11500 9.8 49.6 225 6 3 9.2 5.1 | 11.2 52.2 270 13 7 9.6 5.3
11000 11.2 52.2 215 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 12.7 54.9 275 13 7 9.3 5.1
10500 12.6 54.7 205 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 14.1 57.4 275 13 7 8.4 4.6
10250 13.3 55.9 200 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 14.6 58.3 270 13 7 8.7 4.8
10000 14.0 57.2 195 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 15.4 59.7 270 13 7 10.2 5.6
9750 14.7 58.5 185 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 16.1 61.0 270 13 7 9.8 5.4
9500 15.4 59.7 180 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 16.8 62.2 270 13 6 10.0 5.5
9250 16.2 61.2 175 6 3 10.7 5.9 | 17.6 63.7 270 12 6 10.4 5.7
9000 16.9 62.4 170 7 3 10.0 5.5 | 18.4 65.1 270 12 6 9.6 5.3
8750 17.6 63.7 165 7 4 9.1 5.0 | 19.0 66.2 270 12 6 8.9 4.9
8500 18.3 64.9 165 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 19.7 67.5 270 12 6 9.1 5.0
8250 19.0 66.2 160 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 20.4 68.7 270 11 6 9.2 5.1
8000 19.8 67.6 160 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 21.1 70.0 270 11 6 9.3 5.1
7750 20.5 68.9 155 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 21.8 71.2 270 11 5 9.4 5.2
7500 21.2 70.2 155 9 4 10.2 5.6 | 22.5 72.5 270 10 5 9.4 5.2
7250 22.0 71.6 150 9 5 10.6 5.8 | 23.1 73.6 270 9 5 9.3 5.1
7000 22.8 73.0 150 9 5 10.7 5.9 | 23.8 74.8 270 8 4 9.3 5.1
6750 23.6 74.5 150 9 5 10.7 5.9 | 24.5 76.1 270 8 4 9.4 5.1
6500 24.6 76.3 145 9 5 17.7 9.7 | 25.2 77.4 270 7 3 8.8 4.9
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0802 MDT Monday June 9 2025
This forecast is for Monday, June 9, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 80.2 F/26.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 633 ft/min (3.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 13025 ft MSL (7726 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 86.0 F/30.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9330 ft MSL (4031 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 06/10...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:51:58 / 20:19:47 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 27 min 48 sec (867 min 48 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:05:53 MDT... 77.89 degrees
Upper air data from rawinsonde observation taken on 06/09/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15527 ft MSL (10228 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15259 ft MSL (9960 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15115 ft MSL (9816 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.2
K index......................... +19.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.4 -80.3 275 46 24 2.8 1.6 89.9 193.9 34.8 M M
45000 -60.2 -76.4 275 61 31 -2.9 -1.6 69.3 156.7 24.4 M M
40000 -54.0 -65.2 275 83 43 4.7 2.6 55.1 131.2 16.8 M M
38000 -50.7 -59.3 275 75 39 6.5 3.6 51.3 124.4 14.6 M M
36000 -46.8 -52.2 280 62 32 6.4 3.5 48.5 119.2 13.0 M M
34000 -43.2 -45.8 270 43 22 6.4 3.5 45.3 113.5 11.1 M M
32000 -39.4 -38.9 275 35 18 6.2 3.4 42.5 108.6 9.3 M M
30000 -34.9 -30.8 275 42 22 9.2 5.1 40.7 105.3 8.2 M M
29000 -32.5 -26.5 280 46 24 7.6 4.2 40.1 104.1 7.8 M M
28000 -29.6 -21.3 275 46 24 7.9 4.3 39.1 102.3 7.1 M M
27000 -27.2 -17.0 280 41 21 8.1 4.5 38.4 101.1 6.6 M M
26000 -24.8 -12.6 285 36 18 8.6 4.7 37.8 100.0 6.2 M M
25000 -22.3 -8.1 285 26 13 7.3 4.0 37.4 99.2 5.9 M M
24000 -19.8 -3.6 290 28 14 7.6 4.2 36.8 98.2 5.5 M M
23000 -17.5 0.5 280 26 13 8.1 4.5 36.2 97.2 5.0 M M
22000 -15.2 4.6 265 21 11 6.1 3.4 35.3 95.6 4.4 M M
21000 -14.4 6.1 270 23 12 4.5 2.5 32.9 91.3 2.3 M M
20000 -12.6 9.3 255 15 8 6.4 3.5 31.8 89.2 1.2 M M
19500 -11.5 11.3 255 16 8 9.2 5.1 31.5 88.6 0.9 M M
19000 -10.1 13.8 265 16 8 9.6 5.3 31.4 88.5 0.8 M M
18500 -8.7 16.3 265 16 8 9.5 5.2 31.3 88.4 0.8 M M
18000 -7.2 19.0 280 17 9 9.5 5.2 31.3 88.4 0.8 M M
17500 -5.8 21.6 285 15 8 9.6 5.2 31.3 88.3 0.8 M M
17000 -4.4 24.1 280 15 8 9.8 5.4 31.2 88.2 0.7 M M
16500 -2.9 26.8 295 15 8 9.7 5.3 31.3 88.4 0.7 M M
16000 -1.6 29.1 305 14 7 9.1 5.0 31.2 88.2 0.6 M M
15500 -0.2 31.6 310 13 7 9.0 5.0 31.1 88.0 0.6 M M
15000 1.1 34.0 330 10 5 9.0 5.0 31.0 87.9 0.5 M M
14500 3.1 37.6 340 10 5 9.0 5.0 30.9 87.6 0.3 M M
14000 4.5 40.1 355 10 5 9.0 5.0 30.8 87.4 0.2 M M
13500 5.8 42.4 355 11 6 9.0 5.0 30.6 87.1 0.1 M M
13000 7.2 45.0 355 10 5 9.0 5.0 30.5 86.9 -0.0 620 3.1
12500 8.5 47.3 010 8 4 9.0 5.0 30.4 86.6 -0.2 564 2.9
12000 9.9 49.8 355 9 5 9.0 5.0 30.2 86.4 -0.3 509 2.6
11500 11.1 52.0 010 10 5 8.1 4.4 30.0 86.0 -0.5 458 2.3
11000 12.2 54.0 360 7 4 8.2 4.5 29.8 85.6 -0.9 409 2.1
10500 13.4 56.1 345 8 4 8.1 4.4 29.5 85.1 -1.2 359 1.8
10250 13.9 57.0 350 5 3 7.2 3.9 29.4 84.8 -1.4 336 1.7
10000 14.4 57.9 010 2 1 8.3 4.6 29.2 84.5 -1.6 314 1.6
9750 14.9 58.8 035 2 1 4.0 2.2 29.0 84.2 -1.9 292 1.5
9500 14.9 58.8 055 4 2 -0.5 -0.2 28.3 82.9 -2.6 285 1.4
9250 14.9 58.8 055 6 3 3.0 1.6 27.6 81.7 -3.3 276 1.4
9000 15.2 59.4 055 11 6 4.2 2.3 27.2 80.9 -3.8 261 1.3
8750 15.5 59.9 060 11 6 7.1 3.9 26.8 80.2 -4.2 244 1.2
8500 16.2 61.2 070 11 6 9.8 5.4 26.8 80.2 -4.2 217 1.1
8250 16.8 62.2 075 12 6 9.2 5.0 26.7 80.1 -4.3 190 1.0
8000 17.5 63.5 080 9 5 9.2 5.0 26.7 80.1 -4.4 162 0.8
7750 18.2 64.8 085 9 5 9.9 5.4 26.7 80.0 -4.5 135 0.7
7500 18.8 65.8 095 11 6 7.0 3.9 26.6 80.0 -4.5 108 0.5
7250 19.1 66.4 100 12 6 1.3 0.7 26.2 79.1 -5.0 93 0.5
7000 19.2 66.6 105 14 7 4.9 2.7 25.6 78.1 -5.7 83 0.4
6750 19.6 67.3 100 16 8 2.6 1.4 25.3 77.6 -6.0 63 0.3
6500 19.5 67.1 095 18 9 1.2 0.7 24.5 76.2 -6.8 60 0.3
6250 19.7 67.5 085 20 10 3.5 1.9 24.1 75.4 -7.4 45 0.2
6000 19.6 67.3 080 23 12 -4.5 -2.5 23.3 74.0 -8.2 41 0.2
5750 19.1 66.4 080 21 11 -2.3 -1.3 22.2 72.0 -9.4 47 0.2
5500 19.4 66.9 080 17 9 10.9 6.0 21.8 71.3 -9.9 32 0.2
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/09/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/09/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +680.5 LI... -2.8 | CAPE... +1176.1 LI... -4.3
CINH... -199.3 K Index... +21.0 | CINH... -43.1 K Index... +22.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 275 41 21 1.8 1.0 | -62.7 -80.9 275 40 21 2.0 1.1
45000 -59.6 -75.3 270 55 28 3.1 1.7 | -59.3 -74.7 270 51 26 3.3 1.8
40000 -54.8 -66.6 275 76 39 5.5 3.0 | -54.3 -65.7 270 68 35 5.2 2.9
38000 -50.9 -59.6 275 64 33 5.8 3.2 | -50.5 -58.9 270 61 31 5.6 3.1
36000 -47.4 -53.3 275 54 28 5.8 3.2 | -47.2 -53.0 270 54 28 5.6 3.1
34000 -43.7 -46.7 275 47 24 6.2 3.4 | -43.6 -46.5 270 46 24 6.0 3.3
32000 -40.0 -40.0 275 40 21 6.2 3.4 | -40.0 -40.0 270 38 19 6.1 3.3
30000 -35.6 -32.1 280 37 19 7.7 4.2 | -35.9 -32.6 270 31 16 7.1 3.9
29000 -33.3 -27.9 280 36 19 7.7 4.3 | -33.8 -28.8 275 28 15 7.1 3.9
28000 -31.0 -23.8 280 35 18 8.0 4.4 | -31.7 -25.1 275 25 13 7.3 4.0
27000 -28.4 -19.1 280 33 17 8.9 4.9 | -29.1 -20.4 275 24 12 8.6 4.7
26000 -25.7 -14.3 280 30 16 8.9 4.9 | -26.6 -15.9 275 23 12 8.6 4.7
25000 -23.0 -9.4 280 28 14 9.0 4.9 | -24.0 -11.2 275 22 11 8.7 4.8
24000 -20.1 -4.2 280 25 13 7.6 4.2 | -20.9 -5.6 275 21 11 8.0 4.4
23000 -17.8 -0.0 280 23 12 7.6 4.2 | -18.6 -1.5 275 21 11 8.0 4.4
22000 -15.6 3.9 280 21 11 7.2 3.9 | -16.2 2.8 275 20 11 7.7 4.2
21000 -13.6 7.5 285 20 10 6.7 3.7 | -14.0 6.8 280 19 10 7.3 4.0
20000 -11.7 10.9 285 20 10 6.8 3.7 | -11.9 10.6 280 18 9 7.3 4.0
19500 -10.7 12.7 285 19 10 6.8 3.7 | -10.8 12.6 285 17 9 7.3 4.0
19000 -9.6 14.7 285 19 10 8.5 4.6 | -9.6 14.7 285 16 8 9.0 4.9
18500 -8.4 16.9 285 19 10 8.3 4.6 | -8.3 17.1 285 16 8 8.9 4.9
18000 -7.1 19.2 280 19 10 8.6 4.7 | -7.0 19.4 285 16 8 8.9 4.9
17500 -5.9 21.4 285 17 9 8.8 4.8 | -5.7 21.7 285 15 8 8.9 4.9
17000 -4.6 23.7 285 16 8 8.8 4.8 | -4.4 24.1 285 15 8 8.9 4.9
16500 -3.3 26.1 290 15 8 9.1 5.0 | -3.1 26.4 290 14 7 8.9 4.9
16000 -1.9 28.6 290 14 7 9.0 5.0 | -1.8 28.8 295 13 7 8.9 4.9
15500 -0.6 30.9 295 12 6 9.2 5.0 | -0.5 31.1 295 12 6 9.0 5.0
15000 0.8 33.4 295 11 6 9.2 5.0 | 0.9 33.6 295 10 5 9.1 5.0
14500 2.1 35.8 295 10 5 9.2 5.0 | 2.2 36.0 300 9 5 9.0 5.0
14000 3.5 38.3 295 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 3.5 38.3 295 9 4 9.0 5.0
13500 4.8 40.6 295 7 4 9.1 5.0 | 4.8 40.6 285 8 4 9.1 5.0
13000 6.1 43.0 295 5 3 8.7 4.8 | 6.1 43.0 280 7 4 9.1 5.0
12500 7.4 45.3 305 3 2 8.7 4.8 | 7.5 45.5 270 6 3 9.0 4.9
12000 8.7 47.7 310 2 1 8.8 4.8 | 8.6 47.5 260 5 3 7.3 4.0
11500 10.0 50.0 300 1 1 8.9 4.9 | 9.7 49.5 245 4 2 7.5 4.1
11000 11.1 52.0 240 1 0 6.4 3.5 | 10.5 50.9 230 3 2 5.5 3.0
10500 12.0 53.6 210 2 1 6.7 3.7 | 11.3 52.3 200 3 1 7.9 4.3
10250 12.4 54.3 200 3 1 4.0 2.2 | 11.9 53.4 180 3 1 6.4 3.5
10000 12.5 54.5 190 3 2 2.0 1.1 | 12.1 53.8 170 3 1 3.9 2.2
9750 12.6 54.7 185 3 2 2.2 1.2 | 12.4 54.3 160 3 2 4.3 2.4
9500 12.7 54.9 180 4 2 3.7 2.0 | 12.6 54.7 150 3 2 5.7 3.1
9250 12.9 55.2 175 4 2 2.3 1.2 | 13.1 55.6 140 4 2 8.8 4.8
9000 12.8 55.0 160 4 2 0.3 0.2 | 14.5 58.1 140 4 2 9.5 5.2
8750 12.8 55.0 155 4 2 0.4 0.2 | 15.2 59.4 140 4 2 8.4 4.6
8500 12.8 55.0 150 4 2 3.1 1.7 | 15.8 60.4 140 4 2 8.6 4.7
8250 13.1 55.6 145 4 2 5.1 2.8 | 16.5 61.7 140 4 2 10.3 5.6
8000 13.4 56.1 135 5 2 4.5 2.5 | 17.2 63.0 140 4 2 10.3 5.7
7750 13.7 56.7 130 5 3 5.9 3.3 | 18.0 64.4 140 4 2 9.8 5.4
7500 14.3 57.7 125 5 3 8.5 4.7 | 18.7 65.7 145 4 2 9.3 5.1
7250 15.0 59.0 125 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 19.4 66.9 145 4 2 10.4 5.7
7000 15.7 60.3 125 5 3 10.3 5.7 | 20.2 68.4 145 3 2 11.1 6.1
6750 16.5 61.7 125 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 21.0 69.8 145 3 2 10.5 5.8
6500 17.2 63.0 125 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 21.8 71.2 150 3 2 10.5 5.8
6250 17.9 64.2 125 5 2 9.2 5.1 | 22.6 72.7 150 3 2 9.5 5.2
6000 18.6 65.5 125 5 2 12.7 7.0 | 23.4 74.1 155 3 2 14.1 7.7
5750 20.3 68.5 125 4 2 39.3 21.6 | 25.6 78.1 160 3 1 56.0 30.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/09/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/09/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +582.6 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +100.3 LI... -0.4
CINH... -4.6 K Index... +23.5 | CINH... -178.7 K Index... +23.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.2 -81.8 280 39 20 1.6 0.9 | -63.0 -81.4 285 33 17 2.4 1.3
45000 -60.1 -76.2 270 47 24 3.7 2.0 | -59.7 -75.5 280 37 19 1.7 0.9
40000 -54.5 -66.1 265 58 30 5.7 3.1 | -56.8 -70.2 260 41 21 7.5 4.1
38000 -50.6 -59.1 270 54 28 5.7 3.1 | -51.8 -61.2 260 36 19 7.4 4.0
36000 -47.2 -53.0 270 51 26 5.7 3.1 | -47.4 -53.3 255 32 16 7.3 4.0
34000 -43.3 -45.9 270 46 23 6.8 3.7 | -42.4 -44.3 260 30 16 8.5 4.7
32000 -39.2 -38.6 275 39 20 6.8 3.7 | -37.3 -35.1 260 29 15 8.5 4.7
30000 -34.6 -30.3 275 34 18 8.1 4.4 | -32.5 -26.5 260 25 13 7.9 4.3
29000 -32.2 -26.0 275 32 16 8.1 4.4 | -30.2 -22.4 265 23 12 7.9 4.3
28000 -29.7 -21.5 275 30 15 7.9 4.3 | -27.8 -18.0 265 20 11 7.7 4.2
27000 -27.5 -17.5 275 27 14 7.4 4.1 | -25.8 -14.4 280 19 10 6.7 3.7
26000 -25.3 -13.5 275 25 13 7.4 4.1 | -23.8 -10.8 295 19 10 6.7 3.7
25000 -23.1 -9.6 270 23 12 7.3 4.0 | -21.8 -7.2 305 19 10 6.7 3.7
24000 -20.6 -5.1 270 22 11 8.5 4.7 | -19.2 -2.6 315 20 10 7.1 3.9
23000 -17.5 0.5 275 21 11 8.5 4.7 | -17.1 1.2 315 21 11 7.2 3.9
22000 -14.9 5.2 275 21 11 8.2 4.5 | -15.0 5.0 315 21 11 7.3 4.0
21000 -12.6 9.3 275 20 10 7.8 4.3 | -12.8 9.0 315 21 11 7.5 4.1
20000 -10.3 13.5 280 19 10 7.9 4.3 | -10.6 12.9 310 21 11 7.5 4.1
19500 -9.2 15.4 280 19 10 8.0 4.4 | -9.5 14.9 310 21 11 7.5 4.1
19000 -8.1 17.4 285 18 9 7.0 3.9 | -8.4 16.9 310 21 11 7.3 4.0
18500 -7.1 19.2 285 16 8 7.2 3.9 | -7.4 18.7 305 20 11 7.3 4.0
18000 -6.1 21.0 290 15 8 7.6 4.2 | -6.3 20.7 305 20 10 7.6 4.1
17500 -4.9 23.2 290 13 7 7.8 4.3 | -5.1 22.8 305 20 10 7.8 4.3
17000 -3.8 25.2 295 12 6 7.9 4.3 | -4.0 24.8 305 19 10 7.8 4.3
16500 -2.6 27.3 295 10 5 8.5 4.7 | -2.8 27.0 305 19 10 8.7 4.8
16000 -1.3 29.7 295 9 5 8.5 4.6 | -1.5 29.3 300 18 9 8.6 4.7
15500 -0.1 31.8 295 8 4 8.6 4.7 | -0.2 31.6 300 17 9 9.0 5.0
15000 1.2 34.2 295 7 3 8.7 4.8 | 1.2 34.2 300 16 8 9.2 5.0
14500 2.4 36.3 290 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 2.5 36.5 300 15 8 9.0 5.0
14000 3.7 38.7 290 5 2 8.9 4.9 | 3.8 38.8 300 14 7 8.8 4.8
13500 5.0 41.0 285 4 2 9.0 4.9 | 5.1 41.2 295 13 7 8.8 4.8
13000 6.3 43.3 280 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 6.3 43.3 295 13 6 8.5 4.6
12500 7.7 45.9 275 3 1 9.4 5.2 | 7.6 45.7 290 12 6 8.5 4.7
12000 9.1 48.4 265 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 8.8 47.8 285 11 6 8.3 4.6
11500 10.4 50.7 255 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 10.0 50.0 280 11 6 8.5 4.6
11000 11.8 53.2 240 2 1 9.4 5.1 | 11.2 52.2 270 11 6 7.2 4.0
10500 13.2 55.8 230 2 1 9.9 5.4 | 12.2 54.0 265 11 6 7.9 4.3
10250 13.9 57.0 225 2 1 9.8 5.4 | 12.8 55.0 260 12 6 7.8 4.3
10000 14.7 58.5 220 2 1 9.6 5.3 | 13.4 56.1 255 12 6 7.2 3.9
9750 15.4 59.7 220 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 13.9 57.0 255 13 7 7.0 3.9
9500 16.1 61.0 215 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 14.4 57.9 250 14 7 7.6 4.2
9250 16.8 62.2 215 2 1 9.8 5.4 | 15.5 59.9 250 15 8 6.9 3.8
9000 17.5 63.5 215 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 16.0 60.8 245 16 8 7.0 3.9
8750 18.3 64.9 215 2 1 10.1 5.6 | 16.5 61.7 245 17 9 6.9 3.8
8500 19.6 67.3 210 3 1 8.9 4.9 | 16.9 62.4 245 18 9 5.3 2.9
8250 20.3 68.5 210 3 1 10.9 6.0 | 17.3 63.1 240 20 10 5.8 3.2
8000 21.1 70.0 210 3 2 10.4 5.7 | 17.8 64.0 240 20 11 7.5 4.1
7750 21.9 71.4 210 3 2 10.3 5.7 | 18.3 64.9 240 21 11 6.5 3.5
7500 22.6 72.7 210 3 2 9.8 5.4 | 18.7 65.7 240 22 11 4.3 2.4
7250 23.4 74.1 210 3 2 10.2 5.6 | 19.0 66.2 235 23 12 5.6 3.1
7000 24.1 75.4 210 3 2 10.7 5.9 | 19.5 67.1 235 24 12 8.1 4.4
6750 24.9 76.8 210 3 2 10.4 5.7 | 20.0 68.0 235 24 13 6.1 3.4
6500 25.7 78.3 210 4 2 10.7 5.8 | 20.3 68.5 235 25 13 3.7 2.0
6250 26.5 79.7 210 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 20.6 69.1 235 26 13 5.6 3.0
6000 27.2 81.0 210 4 2 13.9 7.6 | 21.3 70.3 235 24 13 14.3 7.8
5750 29.4 84.9 215 4 2 56.7 31.1 | 22.7 72.9 235 21 11 27.0 14.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0805 MDT Monday June 9 2025
This forecast is for Monday, June 9, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 74.0 F/23.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 963 ft/min (4.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20569 ft MSL (14100 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 84.0 F/29.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1015 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12971 ft MSL (6502 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 06/10...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:48:17 / 20:19:15 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 30 min 58 sec (870 min 58 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:46 MDT... 77.36 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/09/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15231 ft MSL (8762 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14214 ft MSL (7745 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15490 ft MSL (9021 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -7.7
K index......................... +22.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.3 -80.1 275 41 21 2.6 1.4 84.1 183.4 32.6 M M
45000 -58.6 -73.5 275 53 27 2.3 1.2 67.5 153.6 24.4 M M
40000 -55.1 -67.2 275 67 35 4.3 2.4 50.9 123.7 14.9 M M
38000 -51.6 -60.9 275 54 28 5.2 2.9 46.0 114.8 11.9 M M
36000 -48.5 -55.3 270 42 22 5.3 2.9 42.4 108.4 9.7 M M
34000 -44.5 -48.1 270 33 17 7.3 4.0 39.9 103.7 8.0 M M
32000 -40.1 -40.2 275 25 13 7.3 4.0 38.0 100.4 6.9 M M
30000 -35.5 -31.9 285 21 11 7.8 4.3 36.3 97.4 5.7 M M
29000 -33.2 -27.8 285 20 10 7.8 4.3 35.6 96.1 5.2 M M
28000 -30.8 -23.4 290 19 10 7.9 4.3 35.0 95.0 4.8 M M
27000 -28.4 -19.1 290 19 10 8.2 4.5 34.3 93.7 4.3 M M
26000 -26.0 -14.8 285 19 10 8.2 4.5 33.7 92.6 3.8 M M
25000 -22.9 -9.2 280 20 10 8.1 4.4 33.1 91.5 3.4 M M
24000 -20.8 -5.4 285 21 11 7.1 3.9 32.1 89.8 2.6 M M
23000 -18.7 -1.7 285 22 11 7.1 3.9 31.1 88.0 1.8 M M
22000 -16.6 2.1 285 23 12 7.3 4.0 30.3 86.6 1.0 M M
21000 -14.4 6.1 285 23 12 7.6 4.2 29.5 85.0 0.3 M M
20000 -12.1 10.2 280 24 12 7.7 4.2 28.7 83.7 -0.4 1304 6.6
19500 -11.0 12.2 275 24 12 7.6 4.2 28.4 83.2 -0.7 1256 6.4
19000 -9.8 14.4 275 23 12 8.8 4.8 28.2 82.7 -1.0 1206 6.1
18500 -8.6 16.5 275 22 12 8.7 4.8 28.0 82.4 -1.2 1153 5.9
18000 -7.3 18.9 275 21 11 8.8 4.8 27.8 82.1 -1.3 1100 5.6
17500 -6.0 21.2 280 20 10 8.9 4.9 27.7 81.8 -1.5 1045 5.3
17000 -4.7 23.5 280 19 10 9.0 4.9 27.5 81.5 -1.7 991 5.0
16500 -3.4 25.9 285 18 10 8.6 4.7 27.4 81.2 -1.8 938 4.8
16000 -2.1 28.2 290 17 9 8.6 4.7 27.2 80.9 -2.0 885 4.5
15500 -0.8 30.6 295 16 8 8.7 4.8 27.0 80.6 -2.2 832 4.2
15000 0.4 32.7 300 15 8 8.7 4.8 26.8 80.3 -2.4 779 4.0
14500 1.7 35.1 305 13 7 8.9 4.9 26.7 80.0 -2.6 727 3.7
14000 3.1 37.6 310 12 6 9.2 5.0 26.5 79.8 -2.8 671 3.4
13500 4.4 39.9 315 11 6 9.2 5.0 26.5 79.6 -2.9 616 3.1
13000 5.8 42.4 315 10 5 9.2 5.0 26.4 79.4 -3.0 560 2.8
12500 7.1 44.8 315 10 5 9.4 5.2 26.3 79.3 -3.1 505 2.6
12000 8.3 46.9 310 7 4 7.0 3.8 26.0 78.8 -3.4 454 2.3
11500 9.8 49.6 285 4 2 6.2 3.4 25.4 77.7 -4.1 388 2.0
11000 10.6 51.1 220 3 1 6.3 3.4 24.8 76.7 -4.7 348 1.8
10500 11.5 52.7 180 6 3 5.0 2.7 24.3 75.8 -5.4 308 1.6
10250 11.7 53.1 170 7 4 3.9 2.1 23.8 74.9 -5.9 294 1.5
10000 12.0 53.6 165 9 4 4.7 2.6 23.4 74.2 -6.4 278 1.4
9750 12.3 54.1 160 10 5 5.6 3.0 23.1 73.5 -6.8 262 1.3
9500 12.6 54.7 160 11 6 1.5 0.8 22.7 72.8 -7.3 246 1.2
9250 12.4 54.3 155 13 7 -0.6 -0.3 21.8 71.3 -8.2 243 1.2
9000 12.5 54.5 150 14 7 2.0 1.1 21.2 70.2 -8.9 234 1.2
8750 12.5 54.5 150 14 7 1.6 0.9 20.6 69.0 -9.5 225 1.1
8500 12.6 54.7 145 15 8 0.7 0.4 19.9 67.9 -10.2 216 1.1
8250 12.5 54.5 145 15 7 -0.2 -0.1 19.2 66.5 -11.1 211 1.1
8000 12.5 54.5 145 14 7 -0.1 -0.0 18.5 65.2 -11.9 205 1.0
7750 12.4 54.3 145 14 7 0.6 0.4 17.7 63.9 -12.7 199 1.0
7500 12.6 54.7 145 13 7 4.6 2.5 17.2 62.9 -13.3 188 1.0
7250 13.0 55.4 150 11 6 6.8 3.8 16.9 62.4 -13.6 167 0.8
7000 13.4 56.1 155 9 5 5.1 2.8 16.6 61.9 -14.0 147 0.7
6750 13.7 56.7 155 9 4 2.4 1.3 16.2 61.1 -14.5 132 0.7
6500 13.6 56.5 165 5 2 -4.6 -2.5 15.4 59.8 -15.3 126 0.6
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/09/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/09/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +706.4 LI... -2.7 | CAPE... +1179.2 LI... -4.0
CINH... -150.1 K Index... +20.6 | CINH... -22.1 K Index... +24.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.4 -80.3 275 39 20 2.1 1.2 | -62.4 -80.3 275 38 19 2.0 1.1
45000 -59.0 -74.2 275 47 24 2.8 1.5 | -59.1 -74.4 270 44 23 2.9 1.6
40000 -54.8 -66.6 280 62 32 4.6 2.5 | -54.7 -66.5 275 57 29 4.6 2.5
38000 -51.4 -60.5 275 52 27 5.1 2.8 | -51.3 -60.3 275 45 23 5.1 2.8
36000 -48.3 -54.9 275 42 22 5.2 2.8 | -48.2 -54.8 275 35 18 5.2 2.8
34000 -44.5 -48.1 275 33 17 6.8 3.7 | -44.4 -47.9 275 28 15 6.8 3.7
32000 -40.4 -40.7 275 24 12 6.9 3.8 | -40.3 -40.5 275 22 12 6.8 3.7
30000 -35.9 -32.6 275 20 10 7.8 4.3 | -36.0 -32.8 275 19 10 7.5 4.1
29000 -33.5 -28.3 280 19 10 7.8 4.3 | -33.7 -28.7 280 18 9 7.6 4.1
28000 -31.2 -24.2 280 19 10 7.9 4.3 | -31.4 -24.5 280 17 9 7.7 4.2
27000 -28.6 -19.5 280 18 9 8.9 4.9 | -28.9 -20.0 280 18 9 8.7 4.8
26000 -26.0 -14.8 280 18 9 8.8 4.9 | -26.3 -15.3 280 18 9 8.7 4.8
25000 -23.3 -9.9 280 18 9 8.9 4.9 | -23.7 -10.7 280 19 10 8.7 4.8
24000 -20.6 -5.1 285 17 9 6.7 3.7 | -20.9 -5.6 280 18 9 7.3 4.0
23000 -18.6 -1.5 290 17 9 6.8 3.7 | -18.7 -1.7 280 17 9 7.4 4.0
22000 -16.6 2.1 295 17 9 7.2 3.9 | -16.6 2.1 280 15 8 7.5 4.1
21000 -14.3 6.3 290 18 9 7.8 4.3 | -14.4 6.1 280 16 8 7.6 4.2
20000 -12.0 10.4 290 19 10 7.8 4.3 | -12.1 10.2 285 16 8 7.7 4.2
19500 -10.9 12.4 285 19 10 7.8 4.3 | -11.0 12.2 285 16 8 7.7 4.2
19000 -9.7 14.5 285 19 10 8.2 4.5 | -9.8 14.4 285 16 8 8.2 4.5
18500 -8.5 16.7 290 19 10 8.2 4.5 | -8.6 16.5 290 15 8 8.1 4.5
18000 -7.3 18.9 290 19 10 8.4 4.6 | -7.4 18.7 295 14 7 8.3 4.5
17500 -6.0 21.2 290 18 9 8.7 4.7 | -6.2 20.8 295 14 7 8.4 4.6
17000 -4.7 23.5 290 18 9 8.7 4.8 | -5.0 23.0 295 14 7 8.4 4.6
16500 -3.5 25.7 290 17 9 8.9 4.9 | -3.7 25.3 295 13 7 8.8 4.9
16000 -2.2 28.0 290 16 8 8.9 4.9 | -2.4 27.7 295 12 6 8.8 4.8
15500 -0.9 30.4 290 15 8 8.9 4.9 | -1.1 30.0 295 12 6 9.0 4.9
15000 0.4 32.7 285 14 7 9.0 4.9 | 0.2 32.4 290 11 6 9.1 5.0
14500 1.7 35.1 285 13 7 8.9 4.9 | 1.5 34.7 290 11 5 9.2 5.0
14000 3.0 37.4 280 12 6 8.8 4.8 | 2.9 37.2 285 11 5 9.3 5.1
13500 4.3 39.7 275 11 6 8.7 4.8 | 4.2 39.6 285 11 6 9.3 5.1
13000 5.5 41.9 270 10 5 7.9 4.3 | 5.6 42.1 280 11 5 8.9 4.9
12500 6.6 43.9 260 9 4 8.0 4.4 | 6.9 44.4 275 10 5 9.0 4.9
12000 7.6 45.7 245 8 4 6.7 3.7 | 7.9 46.2 265 9 5 6.4 3.5
11500 8.6 47.5 230 8 4 7.8 4.3 | 8.8 47.8 245 8 4 9.0 4.9
11000 9.4 48.9 210 8 4 4.4 2.4 | 9.8 49.6 225 7 4 3.7 2.0
10500 10.3 50.5 185 9 5 4.1 2.3 | 10.6 51.1 185 9 5 7.5 4.1
10250 10.6 51.1 180 10 5 2.8 1.6 | 11.3 52.3 185 9 5 9.9 5.4
10000 10.7 51.3 175 10 5 2.4 1.3 | 12.0 53.6 185 10 5 8.4 4.6
9750 10.9 51.6 170 11 6 4.0 2.2 | 12.6 54.7 180 10 5 8.7 4.8
9500 11.0 51.8 165 11 6 -2.6 -1.4 | 13.2 55.8 180 11 5 8.8 4.8
9250 10.6 51.1 155 12 6 -0.9 -0.5 | 13.9 57.0 175 11 5 9.5 5.2
9000 10.9 51.6 155 12 6 6.9 3.8 | 14.6 58.3 175 11 6 9.8 5.4
8750 11.3 52.3 155 11 6 4.9 2.7 | 15.3 59.5 175 11 6 9.7 5.3
8500 11.7 53.1 150 11 6 7.4 4.1 | 16.0 60.8 175 12 6 10.0 5.5
8250 12.3 54.1 150 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 16.8 62.2 175 12 6 10.2 5.6
8000 13.0 55.4 150 11 6 9.2 5.1 | 17.5 63.5 175 12 6 10.2 5.6
7750 13.7 56.7 150 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 18.3 64.9 175 12 6 10.4 5.7
7500 14.4 57.9 150 11 5 10.0 5.5 | 19.1 66.4 175 12 6 10.7 5.8
7250 15.2 59.4 155 10 5 10.4 5.7 | 19.9 67.8 170 12 6 11.3 6.2
7000 15.9 60.6 155 10 5 9.2 5.1 | 20.7 69.3 170 12 6 9.6 5.3
6750 16.6 61.9 155 10 5 12.9 7.1 | 21.5 70.7 170 11 6 16.1 8.8
6500 18.6 65.5 155 8 4 49.5 27.2 | 24.3 75.7 170 11 6 74.8 41.0
06/09/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/09/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +546.3 LI... -2.7 | CAPE... +100.1 LI... -1.6
CINH... -113.0 K Index... +31.5 | CINH... -72.0 K Index... +27.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 280 39 20 1.5 0.8 | -63.8 -82.8 275 28 14 0.0 0.0
45000 -60.0 -76.0 270 44 23 2.9 1.6 | -62.5 -80.5 250 26 13 3.6 2.0
40000 -55.5 -67.9 270 42 22 5.7 3.1 | -56.8 -70.2 240 12 6 8.9 4.9
38000 -51.4 -60.5 270 22 11 6.1 3.4 | -51.9 -61.4 235 7 4 8.3 4.5
36000 -47.7 -53.9 270 4 2 6.1 3.4 | -46.3 -51.3 195 2 1 8.3 4.6
34000 -43.3 -45.9 300 2 1 7.6 4.2 | -41.5 -42.7 225 6 3 8.0 4.4
32000 -38.8 -37.8 305 5 2 7.6 4.2 | -36.8 -34.2 230 13 6 8.0 4.4
30000 -34.4 -29.9 295 8 4 7.2 3.9 | -32.0 -25.6 240 19 10 8.1 4.5
29000 -32.3 -26.1 290 9 5 7.2 3.9 | -29.6 -21.3 240 22 11 8.1 4.5
28000 -30.1 -22.2 285 11 6 7.2 4.0 | -27.1 -16.8 240 25 13 8.0 4.4
27000 -27.8 -18.0 285 13 6 7.8 4.3 | -25.0 -13.0 240 24 12 7.3 4.0
26000 -25.5 -13.9 290 14 7 7.8 4.3 | -22.8 -9.0 240 22 12 7.3 4.0
25000 -23.2 -9.8 290 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -20.6 -5.1 240 21 11 7.4 4.0
24000 -20.1 -4.2 285 18 9 8.8 4.8 | -18.7 -1.7 240 20 11 6.0 3.3
23000 -17.5 0.5 285 19 10 8.8 4.8 | -16.5 2.3 240 21 11 6.0 3.3
22000 -14.9 5.2 285 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -14.7 5.5 240 22 11 6.3 3.4
21000 -13.0 8.6 275 19 10 6.3 3.5 | -12.8 9.0 240 22 11 6.9 3.8
20000 -11.2 11.8 270 19 10 6.4 3.5 | -10.8 12.6 245 22 11 7.0 3.8
19500 -10.3 13.5 265 19 10 6.3 3.5 | -9.8 14.4 245 22 11 7.0 3.8
19000 -9.3 15.3 260 19 10 7.4 4.1 | -8.7 16.3 245 21 11 7.2 4.0
18500 -8.2 17.2 260 18 9 7.4 4.1 | -7.7 18.1 245 21 11 7.2 4.0
18000 -7.2 19.0 255 18 9 7.9 4.3 | -6.7 19.9 245 21 11 7.4 4.0
17500 -6.0 21.2 255 18 9 8.4 4.6 | -5.6 21.9 245 20 10 7.6 4.2
17000 -4.8 23.4 250 17 9 8.5 4.7 | -4.5 23.9 245 20 10 7.6 4.1
16500 -3.6 25.5 250 17 9 8.3 4.6 | -3.4 25.9 250 19 10 7.9 4.3
16000 -2.4 27.7 245 16 8 8.4 4.6 | -2.2 28.0 250 19 10 7.9 4.3
15500 -1.2 29.8 245 16 8 8.7 4.8 | -1.1 30.0 250 18 9 8.1 4.4
15000 0.1 32.2 240 15 8 8.8 4.8 | 0.1 32.2 250 18 9 8.2 4.5
14500 1.4 34.5 240 15 8 9.0 5.0 | 1.3 34.3 250 17 9 8.3 4.6
14000 2.8 37.0 240 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 2.6 36.7 255 16 8 8.6 4.7
13500 4.2 39.6 235 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 3.8 38.8 255 16 8 8.6 4.7
13000 5.6 42.1 235 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 5.0 41.0 260 15 8 8.2 4.5
12500 7.0 44.6 230 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 6.2 43.2 265 14 7 8.3 4.5
12000 8.4 47.1 230 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 7.4 45.3 270 13 7 8.0 4.4
11500 9.8 49.6 225 11 6 9.0 4.9 | 8.5 47.3 275 13 7 8.3 4.6
11000 11.8 53.2 225 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 9.7 49.5 290 12 6 7.0 3.9
10500 13.2 55.8 220 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 10.7 51.3 300 12 6 6.8 3.7
10250 13.7 56.7 220 7 4 7.9 4.3 | 11.2 52.2 310 12 6 8.1 4.4
10000 14.3 57.7 215 6 3 8.4 4.6 | 11.8 53.2 315 12 6 7.7 4.2
9750 14.9 58.8 215 5 3 8.1 4.5 | 12.7 54.9 330 13 7 7.0 3.8
9500 15.5 59.9 210 5 2 8.8 4.8 | 13.2 55.8 335 14 7 4.1 2.3
9250 16.2 61.2 210 4 2 8.1 4.4 | 13.4 56.1 345 16 8 3.7 2.0
9000 16.7 62.1 200 3 1 7.1 3.9 | 13.8 56.8 350 17 9 5.8 3.2
8750 17.2 63.0 190 2 1 7.1 3.9 | 14.1 57.4 355 19 10 5.8 3.2
8500 17.8 64.0 155 1 1 8.2 4.5 | 14.5 58.1 355 20 10 3.8 2.1
8250 18.4 65.1 115 1 0 7.7 4.2 | 14.7 58.5 360 22 11 2.3 1.3
8000 18.8 65.8 075 1 1 4.8 2.6 | 14.9 58.8 005 23 12 4.3 2.3
7750 19.1 66.4 060 2 1 4.3 2.3 | 15.2 59.4 005 24 12 4.5 2.5
7500 19.4 66.9 055 3 2 5.9 3.2 | 15.5 59.9 005 24 12 3.5 1.9
7250 19.9 67.8 050 4 2 7.4 4.1 | 15.7 60.3 005 24 12 2.9 1.6
7000 20.4 68.7 050 5 2 5.0 2.8 | 15.9 60.6 005 24 12 5.1 2.8
6750 20.7 69.3 050 5 2 8.2 4.5 | 16.5 61.7 005 23 12 10.8 5.9
6500 22.4 72.3 045 5 3 48.8 26.8 | 17.5 63.5 005 18 10 18.7 10.3
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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