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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0710 MDT Tuesday July 14 2026
This forecast is for Tuesday, July 14, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 75.1 F/23.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1198 ft/min (6.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17782 ft MSL (11446 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 88.0 F/31.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14381 ft MSL (8045 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 07/15.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:01:06 / 20:18:47 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 17 min 40 sec (857 min 40 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:57 MDT... 76.43 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/14/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16085 ft MSL (9749 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13621 ft MSL (7285 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15289 ft MSL (8953 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.7
K index......................... +25.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.9 -86.6 105 28 15 5.3 2.9 74.8 166.7 26.1 M M
45000 -56.9 -70.4 105 20 10 6.9 3.8 66.3 151.3 22.4 M M
40000 -46.4 -51.5 085 8 4 7.1 3.9 60.4 140.7 19.9 M M
38000 -41.6 -42.9 070 8 4 7.1 3.9 57.7 135.8 18.6 M M
36000 -37.4 -35.3 055 9 5 6.7 3.7 55.7 132.2 17.6 M M
34000 -33.3 -27.9 035 11 6 6.8 3.7 53.0 127.4 16.1 M M
32000 -29.2 -20.6 020 13 7 7.5 4.1 50.9 123.6 14.9 M M
30000 -24.5 -12.1 360 9 5 7.9 4.3 49.2 120.6 14.0 M M
29000 -22.1 -7.8 345 8 4 7.9 4.3 48.6 119.4 13.6 M M
28000 -20.1 -4.2 340 7 4 4.3 2.4 47.5 117.5 12.9 M M
27000 -18.7 -1.7 360 7 4 4.6 2.5 45.4 113.8 11.4 M M
26000 -17.4 0.7 015 8 4 4.7 2.6 43.6 110.4 10.0 M M
25000 -16.0 3.2 030 10 5 5.8 3.2 41.9 107.4 8.7 M M
24000 -14.0 6.8 035 9 5 6.7 3.7 40.6 105.1 7.8 M M
23000 -12.0 10.4 045 9 4 6.7 3.7 39.5 103.1 6.9 M M
22000 -10.0 14.0 050 8 4 5.6 3.1 38.5 101.3 6.2 M M
21000 -8.2 17.2 065 10 5 4.7 2.6 36.2 97.1 4.3 M M
20000 -6.8 19.8 075 11 6 4.7 2.6 34.5 94.0 2.9 M M
19500 -6.0 21.2 075 12 6 5.2 2.8 33.7 92.6 2.2 M M
19000 -5.3 22.5 070 12 6 5.5 3.0 32.9 91.2 1.5 M M
18500 -4.5 23.9 065 13 7 5.5 3.0 32.2 89.9 0.8 M M
18000 -3.7 25.3 060 14 7 6.3 3.5 31.5 88.7 0.2 M M
17500 -2.8 27.0 055 14 7 6.8 3.7 31.0 87.7 -0.5 969 4.9
17000 -2.0 28.4 045 14 7 7.9 4.3 30.5 87.0 -1.1 929 4.7
16500 -0.8 30.6 045 14 7 8.3 4.6 30.3 86.5 -1.4 879 4.5
16000 0.3 32.5 040 13 7 8.3 4.5 30.1 86.1 -1.7 830 4.2
15500 1.4 34.5 040 12 6 7.6 4.1 29.7 85.5 -2.1 782 4.0
15000 2.5 36.5 035 11 6 7.7 4.2 29.4 84.9 -2.5 735 3.7
14500 3.6 38.5 030 10 5 7.1 3.9 29.0 84.2 -2.9 688 3.5
14000 4.6 40.3 025 9 5 7.2 3.9 28.6 83.4 -3.4 643 3.3
13500 5.6 42.1 020 8 4 6.8 3.7 28.1 82.6 -3.8 598 3.0
13000 6.6 43.9 015 7 3 6.7 3.7 27.6 81.8 -4.4 554 2.8
12500 7.5 45.5 005 5 3 6.6 3.6 27.2 80.9 -4.9 511 2.6
12000 8.4 47.1 345 3 2 6.6 3.6 26.6 79.9 -5.5 469 2.4
11500 9.3 48.7 305 2 1 8.3 4.5 26.1 79.0 -6.0 427 2.2
11000 10.5 50.9 255 2 1 6.7 3.7 25.9 78.6 -6.4 376 1.9
10500 11.5 52.7 225 3 2 8.3 4.6 25.4 77.8 -6.8 331 1.7
10250 12.2 54.0 210 4 2 8.9 4.9 25.4 77.7 -6.9 304 1.5
10000 12.7 54.9 200 5 2 6.6 3.6 25.2 77.4 -7.1 280 1.4
9750 13.2 55.8 195 5 3 6.2 3.4 25.0 77.0 -7.4 259 1.3
9500 13.7 56.7 190 6 3 6.9 3.8 24.7 76.5 -7.7 237 1.2
9250 14.2 57.6 185 7 3 7.6 4.2 24.5 76.2 -7.9 214 1.1
9000 14.7 58.5 180 7 4 7.0 3.8 24.4 75.9 -8.1 191 1.0
8750 15.2 59.4 180 8 4 6.5 3.6 24.1 75.4 -8.4 170 0.9
8500 15.6 60.1 175 8 4 5.7 3.1 23.9 74.9 -8.7 150 0.8
8250 15.9 60.6 170 8 4 4.9 2.7 23.5 74.3 -9.2 132 0.7
8000 16.3 61.3 170 8 4 5.3 2.9 23.1 73.7 -9.6 115 0.6
7750 16.6 61.9 165 8 4 4.4 2.4 22.8 73.0 -10.0 98 0.5
7500 16.8 62.2 160 8 4 2.6 1.5 22.3 72.2 -10.5 84 0.4
7250 16.9 62.4 155 8 4 1.7 0.9 21.7 71.1 -11.2 73 0.4
7000 17.1 62.8 150 8 4 3.1 1.7 21.1 70.1 -11.8 62 0.3
6750 17.2 63.0 140 8 4 -0.2 -0.1 20.6 69.1 -12.4 50 0.3
6500 16.8 62.2 135 6 3 -9.4 -5.2 19.5 67.1 -13.5 54 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/14/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/14/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +211.6 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +295.5 LI... -2.1
CINH... -53.8 K Index... +25.6 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +27.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.1 -85.2 105 23 12 5.3 2.9 | -65.5 -85.9 095 23 12 5.2 2.8
45000 -56.3 -69.3 095 23 12 6.6 3.6 | -56.4 -69.5 090 23 12 7.1 3.9
40000 -46.3 -51.3 080 16 8 7.2 3.9 | -45.8 -50.4 085 17 9 7.3 4.0
38000 -41.4 -42.5 055 11 6 7.2 3.9 | -40.8 -41.4 070 13 7 7.3 4.0
36000 -37.1 -34.8 025 9 5 6.7 3.7 | -36.5 -33.7 050 11 6 6.2 3.4
34000 -33.1 -27.6 035 10 5 6.7 3.7 | -32.8 -27.0 035 10 5 6.3 3.4
32000 -29.0 -20.2 040 12 6 7.0 3.9 | -29.0 -20.2 015 11 5 6.7 3.7
30000 -24.7 -12.5 015 9 5 7.2 3.9 | -24.8 -12.6 010 11 6 6.9 3.8
29000 -22.6 -8.7 360 9 4 7.2 3.9 | -22.7 -8.9 005 11 6 6.9 3.8
28000 -20.6 -5.1 355 9 4 5.1 2.8 | -20.7 -5.3 005 11 6 5.9 3.2
27000 -19.0 -2.2 010 8 4 5.3 2.9 | -18.9 -2.0 015 11 5 6.0 3.3
26000 -17.5 0.5 025 9 5 5.3 2.9 | -17.2 1.0 025 11 5 6.0 3.3
25000 -15.9 3.4 040 10 5 5.9 3.2 | -15.4 4.3 040 11 6 5.5 3.0
24000 -14.0 6.8 035 10 5 6.3 3.5 | -13.8 7.2 035 11 6 5.1 2.8
23000 -12.1 10.2 030 10 5 6.3 3.5 | -12.3 9.9 035 11 5 5.1 2.8
22000 -10.2 13.6 030 10 5 6.0 3.3 | -10.8 12.6 035 10 5 5.8 3.2
21000 -8.4 16.9 030 10 5 5.9 3.2 | -8.9 16.0 030 11 6 6.3 3.4
20000 -6.2 20.8 030 11 6 5.9 3.2 | -6.6 20.1 025 13 7 6.3 3.4
19500 -5.3 22.5 030 11 6 4.6 2.5 | -5.7 21.7 025 13 7 5.1 2.8
19000 -4.8 23.4 030 12 6 4.3 2.3 | -5.1 22.8 020 13 7 4.6 2.5
18500 -4.2 24.4 030 13 6 4.6 2.5 | -4.4 24.1 015 14 7 4.7 2.6
18000 -3.6 25.5 030 13 7 4.8 2.6 | -3.7 25.3 020 13 7 5.6 3.0
17500 -3.0 26.6 030 13 7 5.1 2.8 | -3.0 26.6 020 13 7 5.8 3.2
17000 -2.3 27.9 035 14 7 7.5 4.1 | -2.2 28.0 025 12 6 7.3 4.0
16500 -1.1 30.0 040 14 7 8.4 4.6 | -1.2 29.8 030 12 6 8.0 4.4
16000 0.0 32.0 045 15 8 8.8 4.8 | -0.1 31.8 040 11 6 8.3 4.6
15500 1.4 34.5 045 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 1.2 34.2 040 10 5 9.0 4.9
15000 2.8 37.0 040 15 8 9.9 5.4 | 2.5 36.5 040 9 5 9.4 5.1
14500 4.1 39.4 035 14 7 7.9 4.3 | 3.5 38.3 040 7 4 5.4 2.9
14000 5.3 41.5 030 14 7 8.2 4.5 | 4.2 39.6 040 6 3 5.8 3.2
13500 6.4 43.5 020 12 6 6.7 3.7 | 5.1 41.2 040 4 2 7.3 4.0
13000 7.3 45.1 015 10 5 6.5 3.6 | 6.1 43.0 045 3 1 7.5 4.1
12500 8.2 46.8 005 8 4 5.6 3.1 | 7.2 45.0 060 2 1 8.8 4.9
12000 8.9 48.0 350 6 3 5.3 2.9 | 8.6 47.5 075 2 1 9.3 5.1
11500 9.6 49.3 320 4 2 6.8 3.7 | 10.0 50.0 090 1 1 10.3 5.7
11000 10.6 51.1 290 4 2 6.3 3.4 | 11.4 52.5 105 1 1 8.4 4.6
10500 11.5 52.7 265 5 2 7.7 4.2 | 12.7 54.9 120 2 1 10.7 5.9
10250 12.1 53.8 255 5 2 8.2 4.5 | 13.6 56.5 130 2 1 11.0 6.1
10000 12.7 54.9 245 5 3 6.7 3.7 | 14.3 57.7 135 2 1 8.7 4.8
9750 13.1 55.6 235 5 3 6.6 3.6 | 14.9 58.8 140 2 1 8.9 4.9
9500 13.6 56.5 225 5 3 6.2 3.4 | 15.6 60.1 140 2 1 9.5 5.2
9250 14.0 57.2 215 5 3 6.3 3.5 | 16.3 61.3 145 3 1 10.0 5.5
9000 14.4 57.9 205 6 3 4.9 2.7 | 17.1 62.8 145 3 1 9.7 5.3
8750 14.7 58.5 195 6 3 3.7 2.0 | 17.8 64.0 145 3 2 9.6 5.3
8500 15.0 59.0 185 6 3 5.9 3.2 | 18.5 65.3 150 3 2 9.8 5.4
8250 15.4 59.7 180 6 3 6.6 3.6 | 19.3 66.7 150 4 2 9.9 5.4
8000 15.9 60.6 175 7 3 7.0 3.8 | 20.0 68.0 150 4 2 10.1 5.5
7750 16.4 61.5 170 7 4 9.1 5.0 | 20.8 69.4 150 4 2 10.4 5.7
7500 17.1 62.8 165 7 4 9.9 5.4 | 21.5 70.7 150 4 2 10.2 5.6
7250 17.9 64.2 165 7 4 10.2 5.6 | 22.3 72.1 150 5 2 10.4 5.7
7000 18.6 65.5 165 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 23.1 73.6 150 5 2 9.2 5.1
6750 19.3 66.7 165 7 4 12.3 6.8 | 23.9 75.0 150 5 3 14.8 8.1
6500 20.6 69.1 165 7 4 23.2 12.7 | 25.5 77.9 155 5 3 28.1 15.4
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/14/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/14/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +308.3 LI... -1.6 | CAPE... +145.0 LI... -1.9
CINH... -0.6 K Index... +25.3 | CINH... -15.3 K Index... +31.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.9 -86.6 090 21 11 4.9 2.7 | -65.3 -85.5 090 20 10 4.8 2.7
45000 -57.2 -71.0 080 19 10 7.0 3.9 | -56.8 -70.2 070 18 9 6.9 3.8
40000 -45.9 -50.6 065 11 6 7.7 4.2 | -45.7 -50.3 025 14 7 7.3 4.0
38000 -41.3 -42.3 060 9 5 7.7 4.2 | -41.4 -42.5 015 10 5 7.3 4.0
36000 -36.7 -34.1 050 8 4 6.6 3.6 | -37.1 -34.8 360 8 4 6.4 3.5
34000 -32.7 -26.9 020 11 6 6.7 3.7 | -33.2 -27.8 005 13 6 6.5 3.6
32000 -28.8 -19.8 005 15 8 6.7 3.7 | -29.4 -20.9 005 18 9 6.7 3.7
30000 -24.9 -12.8 350 15 8 6.4 3.5 | -25.2 -13.4 355 19 10 7.1 3.9
29000 -22.6 -8.7 340 15 8 6.3 3.5 | -22.6 -8.7 350 21 11 7.1 3.9
28000 -20.8 -5.4 335 15 8 5.3 2.9 | -20.7 -5.3 350 22 11 5.6 3.1
27000 -19.2 -2.6 335 13 7 5.3 2.9 | -19.0 -2.2 345 22 12 5.6 3.1
26000 -17.7 0.1 335 11 5 5.4 2.9 | -17.4 0.7 340 23 12 5.6 3.1
25000 -16.1 3.0 330 9 5 5.9 3.3 | -15.7 3.7 340 24 12 5.7 3.1
24000 -14.2 6.4 330 9 4 6.1 3.3 | -14.1 6.6 340 24 12 5.7 3.1
23000 -12.3 9.9 330 8 4 6.1 3.3 | -12.4 9.7 345 24 13 5.7 3.1
22000 -10.5 13.1 330 8 4 6.9 3.8 | -10.8 12.6 345 24 12 6.2 3.4
21000 -8.4 16.9 345 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -8.9 16.0 345 19 10 6.4 3.5
20000 -6.2 20.8 360 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -7.1 19.2 345 13 7 6.4 3.5
19500 -5.2 22.6 005 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -6.1 21.0 345 10 5 6.4 3.5
19000 -4.2 24.4 010 9 4 7.0 3.8 | -5.2 22.6 350 8 4 6.4 3.5
18500 -3.2 26.2 010 9 4 7.0 3.9 | -4.3 24.3 010 5 3 6.4 3.5
18000 -2.2 28.0 010 9 4 6.7 3.7 | -3.4 25.9 045 4 2 6.2 3.4
17500 -1.2 29.8 005 8 4 6.7 3.7 | -2.5 27.5 080 4 2 6.2 3.4
17000 -0.3 31.5 360 8 4 6.5 3.6 | -1.6 29.1 105 5 2 6.2 3.4
16500 0.4 32.7 350 8 4 5.3 2.9 | -0.7 30.7 120 6 3 6.7 3.7
16000 1.1 34.0 340 8 4 5.5 3.0 | 0.7 33.3 125 9 5 6.5 3.6
15500 2.3 36.1 325 7 4 6.6 3.6 | 1.5 34.7 125 11 6 6.0 3.3
15000 3.2 37.8 315 6 3 6.6 3.6 | 2.4 36.3 125 12 6 6.0 3.3
14500 4.2 39.6 305 5 3 8.7 4.8 | 3.4 38.1 125 14 7 7.6 4.2
14000 5.4 41.7 295 4 2 8.5 4.7 | 4.5 40.1 125 15 8 7.4 4.1
13500 6.6 43.9 265 2 1 8.4 4.6 | 5.6 42.1 125 16 8 8.7 4.8
13000 7.8 46.0 190 2 1 8.4 4.6 | 6.9 44.4 125 16 8 8.8 4.8
12500 9.0 48.2 160 4 2 9.1 5.0 | 8.2 46.8 125 17 9 9.0 4.9
12000 10.4 50.7 155 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 9.6 49.3 125 18 9 9.1 5.0
11500 11.7 53.1 150 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 10.9 51.6 125 18 9 8.2 4.5
11000 13.1 55.6 145 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 12.2 54.0 125 18 9 9.8 5.4
10500 14.6 58.3 145 11 5 7.9 4.4 | 13.7 56.7 125 18 9 8.7 4.7
10250 15.1 59.2 145 11 6 8.3 4.5 | 14.2 57.6 125 18 9 8.5 4.7
10000 15.9 60.6 145 12 6 10.6 5.8 | 14.9 58.8 125 18 9 9.7 5.3
9750 16.6 61.9 140 13 7 10.0 5.5 | 15.6 60.1 125 18 9 9.5 5.2
9500 17.3 63.1 140 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 16.3 61.3 125 18 9 9.1 5.0
9250 18.0 64.4 140 15 8 9.2 5.1 | 17.0 62.6 120 17 9 8.6 4.7
9000 18.7 65.7 140 16 8 9.2 5.0 | 17.6 63.7 120 17 9 8.6 4.7
8750 19.4 66.9 140 17 9 9.0 4.9 | 18.2 64.8 120 17 9 8.5 4.7
8500 20.1 68.2 135 18 9 9.3 5.1 | 18.8 65.8 115 16 8 8.3 4.5
8250 20.8 69.4 135 19 10 9.3 5.1 | 19.4 66.9 115 16 8 8.0 4.4
8000 21.4 70.5 135 20 10 9.7 5.3 | 20.0 68.0 110 16 8 8.2 4.5
7750 22.2 72.0 135 20 11 10.4 5.7 | 20.7 69.3 110 15 8 8.6 4.7
7500 23.0 73.4 135 21 11 10.6 5.8 | 21.3 70.3 105 15 8 9.0 4.9
7250 23.8 74.8 135 21 11 11.1 6.1 | 22.0 71.6 105 14 7 9.2 5.0
7000 24.6 76.3 135 22 11 9.5 5.2 | 22.7 72.9 100 14 7 9.0 4.9
6750 25.4 77.7 135 22 11 15.3 8.4 | 23.3 73.9 100 13 7 9.7 5.3
6500 27.1 80.8 130 21 11 31.4 17.2 | 24.1 75.4 100 11 6 11.7 6.4
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0713 MDT Tuesday July 14 2026
This forecast is for Tuesday, July 14, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 78.0 F/25.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1232 ft/min (6.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17482 ft MSL (11796 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0930 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13602 ft MSL (7916 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 07/15.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:03:27 / 20:21:25 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 17 min 58 sec (857 min 58 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:12:26 MDT... 76.27 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/14/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16115 ft MSL (10429 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13713 ft MSL (8027 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15022 ft MSL (9336 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.7
K index......................... +27.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.6 -86.1 115 31 16 5.3 2.9 77.6 171.6 26.9 M M
45000 -56.9 -70.4 110 23 12 6.6 3.6 68.6 155.5 23.1 M M
40000 -46.4 -51.5 095 9 5 6.9 3.8 61.6 142.8 19.9 M M
38000 -42.2 -44.0 090 7 4 6.9 3.8 59.1 138.3 18.7 M M
36000 -38.0 -36.4 075 5 3 7.5 4.1 57.0 134.7 17.7 M M
34000 -33.6 -28.5 045 7 4 7.4 4.1 54.9 130.7 16.6 M M
32000 -29.1 -20.4 030 10 5 7.5 4.1 53.3 127.9 15.7 M M
30000 -24.6 -12.3 345 7 4 7.5 4.1 51.3 124.3 14.6 M M
29000 -22.4 -8.3 315 8 4 7.5 4.1 50.5 122.9 14.2 M M
28000 -20.3 -4.5 310 9 5 5.3 2.9 49.5 121.1 13.5 M M
27000 -18.7 -1.7 345 8 4 5.5 3.0 47.8 118.0 12.3 M M
26000 -17.0 1.4 020 10 5 5.6 3.0 46.2 115.2 11.2 M M
25000 -15.4 4.3 035 14 7 5.6 3.1 44.8 112.6 10.2 M M
24000 -13.2 8.2 040 13 7 5.7 3.1 42.8 109.0 8.7 M M
23000 -11.5 11.3 050 12 6 5.7 3.1 41.3 106.4 7.6 M M
22000 -9.9 14.2 055 11 6 4.8 2.6 39.9 103.8 6.4 M M
21000 -8.5 16.7 065 12 6 4.8 2.6 38.1 100.5 4.9 M M
20000 -7.0 19.4 075 12 6 4.8 2.6 36.4 97.5 3.5 M M
19500 -6.3 20.7 080 13 7 4.9 2.7 35.6 96.0 2.8 M M
19000 -5.6 21.9 075 13 7 5.1 2.8 34.7 94.5 2.0 M M
18500 -4.9 23.2 070 13 7 5.3 2.9 33.9 93.1 1.3 M M
18000 -4.2 24.4 065 14 7 6.9 3.8 33.3 92.0 0.6 M M
17500 -3.3 26.1 060 14 7 7.2 3.9 32.8 91.1 0.0 M M
17000 -2.4 27.7 055 14 7 8.2 4.5 32.4 90.4 -0.5 992 5.0
16500 -1.1 30.0 045 13 7 9.1 5.0 32.3 90.1 -0.7 938 4.8
16000 0.3 32.5 040 13 7 9.2 5.0 32.2 89.9 -0.9 884 4.5
15500 1.4 34.5 035 12 6 7.4 4.1 31.9 89.5 -1.1 833 4.2
15000 2.6 36.7 030 11 6 7.6 4.2 31.6 88.8 -1.5 785 4.0
14500 3.6 38.5 025 9 5 6.4 3.5 31.1 88.1 -1.9 739 3.8
14000 4.5 40.1 025 6 3 6.3 3.4 30.6 87.0 -2.5 697 3.5
13500 5.4 41.7 020 4 2 6.5 3.5 30.0 86.0 -3.0 656 3.3
13000 6.3 43.3 010 1 1 6.6 3.6 29.5 85.1 -3.6 614 3.1
12500 7.2 45.0 225 1 1 7.1 3.9 29.0 84.2 -4.2 573 2.9
12000 8.3 46.9 205 3 1 7.8 4.3 28.7 83.6 -4.6 526 2.7
11500 9.3 48.7 205 5 2 7.8 4.3 28.4 83.1 -5.0 478 2.4
11000 10.5 50.9 200 6 3 7.8 4.3 28.1 82.5 -5.4 430 2.2
10500 11.6 52.9 195 7 4 7.6 4.2 27.8 82.0 -5.8 382 1.9
10250 12.1 53.8 195 8 4 7.7 4.2 27.6 81.6 -6.0 358 1.8
10000 12.7 54.9 195 9 4 7.8 4.3 27.4 81.4 -6.1 333 1.7
9750 13.3 55.9 195 9 5 8.2 4.5 27.3 81.1 -6.3 309 1.6
9500 13.8 56.8 195 10 5 6.8 3.7 27.1 80.9 -6.5 284 1.4
9250 14.9 58.8 195 10 5 8.6 4.7 26.8 80.2 -6.9 237 1.2
9000 15.5 59.9 195 11 5 8.5 4.7 26.7 80.0 -7.0 211 1.1
8750 16.1 61.0 195 11 5 7.3 4.0 26.6 79.8 -7.1 185 0.9
8500 16.6 61.9 195 11 5 7.3 4.0 26.3 79.4 -7.4 163 0.8
8250 17.3 63.1 190 10 5 8.9 4.9 26.2 79.2 -7.5 137 0.7
8000 17.9 64.2 190 10 5 8.8 4.8 26.2 79.1 -7.6 110 0.6
7750 18.6 65.5 185 9 5 8.4 4.6 26.1 78.9 -7.7 84 0.4
7500 19.2 66.6 185 8 4 7.4 4.0 25.9 78.7 -7.8 58 0.3
7250 19.6 67.3 175 7 4 5.2 2.9 25.7 78.2 -8.1 37 0.2
7000 19.9 67.8 165 6 3 3.8 2.1 25.3 77.5 -8.6 21 0.1
6750 20.1 68.2 155 5 3 3.5 1.9 24.8 76.7 -9.1 7 0.0
6500 20.4 68.7 140 4 2 2.9 1.6 24.3 75.8 -9.6 M M
6250 20.6 69.1 120 4 2 3.8 2.1 23.8 74.9 -10.1 M M
6000 20.7 69.3 115 4 2 -0.9 -0.5 23.3 73.9 -10.8 M M
5750 19.6 67.3 100 3 2 -36.5 -20.0 21.5 70.6 -12.6 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/14/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/14/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +142.1 LI... -1.9 | CAPE... +350.1 LI... -3.0
CINH... -67.3 K Index... +27.6 | CINH... -1.5 K Index... +30.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.4 -85.7 120 24 13 5.0 2.8 | -65.2 -85.4 110 22 11 4.7 2.6
45000 -56.6 -69.9 110 21 11 7.0 3.8 | -56.5 -69.7 105 22 11 7.1 3.9
40000 -45.7 -50.3 090 13 7 6.6 3.6 | -45.5 -49.9 105 15 8 6.9 3.8
38000 -41.7 -43.1 085 9 5 6.6 3.6 | -41.4 -42.5 080 10 5 6.9 3.8
36000 -37.7 -35.9 065 7 3 7.1 3.9 | -37.2 -35.0 045 9 4 7.2 4.0
34000 -33.5 -28.3 055 8 4 7.0 3.9 | -32.9 -27.2 040 8 4 7.2 3.9
32000 -29.3 -20.7 045 10 5 7.1 3.9 | -28.6 -19.5 035 8 4 6.7 3.7
30000 -25.1 -13.2 010 9 5 7.1 3.9 | -24.9 -12.8 015 10 5 6.3 3.4
29000 -22.9 -9.2 355 10 5 7.1 3.9 | -23.0 -9.4 010 12 6 6.3 3.4
28000 -20.9 -5.6 350 11 6 6.1 3.4 | -21.1 -6.0 010 13 7 6.3 3.5
27000 -19.0 -2.2 010 11 6 6.2 3.4 | -19.2 -2.6 015 12 6 6.3 3.5
26000 -17.2 1.0 025 12 6 6.2 3.4 | -17.3 0.9 025 12 6 6.3 3.5
25000 -15.3 4.5 040 14 7 6.0 3.3 | -15.4 4.3 035 12 6 5.9 3.2
24000 -13.2 8.2 040 13 7 5.8 3.2 | -13.4 7.9 040 10 5 5.4 3.0
23000 -11.4 11.5 035 12 6 5.9 3.2 | -11.8 10.8 045 9 5 5.5 3.0
22000 -9.8 14.4 035 12 6 4.8 2.6 | -10.2 13.6 050 8 4 5.3 2.9
21000 -8.3 17.1 030 11 5 4.9 2.7 | -8.7 16.3 035 9 5 5.4 2.9
20000 -6.9 19.6 025 10 5 4.9 2.7 | -7.1 19.2 025 11 5 5.4 2.9
19500 -6.2 20.8 025 9 5 4.7 2.6 | -6.3 20.7 020 11 6 5.2 2.8
19000 -5.6 21.9 030 10 5 4.6 2.5 | -5.6 21.9 020 11 6 5.1 2.8
18500 -5.0 23.0 030 11 6 4.7 2.6 | -4.9 23.2 015 12 6 5.0 2.8
18000 -4.2 24.4 035 12 6 7.3 4.0 | -4.1 24.6 020 11 6 7.1 3.9
17500 -3.2 26.2 040 12 6 7.3 4.0 | -3.2 26.2 025 11 5 7.1 3.9
17000 -2.2 28.0 040 13 7 8.2 4.5 | -2.2 28.0 035 10 5 7.8 4.3
16500 -0.9 30.4 040 14 7 9.0 4.9 | -1.0 30.2 045 10 5 8.4 4.6
16000 0.3 32.5 035 14 7 9.0 5.0 | 0.2 32.4 050 10 5 8.5 4.7
15500 1.7 35.1 035 15 7 9.2 5.0 | 1.3 34.3 055 10 5 8.2 4.5
15000 3.0 37.4 035 15 8 9.4 5.1 | 2.5 36.5 055 10 5 8.4 4.6
14500 4.2 39.6 035 14 7 7.4 4.1 | 3.6 38.5 055 10 5 7.3 4.0
14000 5.3 41.5 035 13 7 7.4 4.1 | 4.6 40.3 055 8 4 7.3 4.0
13500 6.4 43.5 040 11 6 6.7 3.7 | 5.6 42.1 055 6 3 7.8 4.3
13000 7.3 45.1 035 8 4 6.4 3.5 | 6.8 44.2 055 4 2 8.0 4.4
12500 8.2 46.8 035 4 2 6.4 3.5 | 7.9 46.2 065 2 1 8.3 4.6
12000 9.1 48.4 360 1 1 6.5 3.6 | 9.2 48.6 095 2 1 8.6 4.7
11500 9.9 49.8 245 2 1 6.6 3.6 | 10.4 50.7 140 2 1 8.8 4.8
11000 10.9 51.6 225 4 2 6.7 3.7 | 11.7 53.1 160 2 1 8.9 4.9
10500 11.8 53.2 215 5 3 6.1 3.3 | 13.1 55.6 170 3 1 9.9 5.4
10250 12.2 54.0 215 6 3 6.0 3.3 | 13.8 56.8 175 3 1 9.5 5.2
10000 12.6 54.7 210 6 3 6.2 3.4 | 14.5 58.1 180 3 1 9.3 5.1
9750 13.0 55.4 205 6 3 6.2 3.4 | 15.2 59.4 180 3 2 9.5 5.2
9500 13.5 56.3 205 7 4 5.9 3.2 | 15.9 60.6 185 3 2 8.9 4.9
9250 13.9 57.0 200 7 4 6.7 3.7 | 16.6 61.9 185 3 2 9.4 5.2
9000 15.0 59.0 195 7 4 7.4 4.1 | 17.3 63.1 190 4 2 10.1 5.5
8750 15.5 59.9 190 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 18.1 64.6 190 4 2 10.5 5.8
8500 16.1 61.0 190 8 4 8.4 4.6 | 19.4 66.9 195 4 2 8.7 4.8
8250 16.8 62.2 190 7 4 9.3 5.1 | 20.2 68.4 195 4 2 11.4 6.3
8000 17.5 63.5 190 7 4 9.3 5.1 | 21.0 69.8 200 4 2 10.8 5.9
7750 18.1 64.6 190 7 4 9.4 5.1 | 21.8 71.2 200 5 2 9.6 5.3
7500 18.8 65.8 190 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 22.4 72.3 200 5 2 9.2 5.0
7250 19.6 67.3 190 7 3 9.7 5.3 | 23.2 73.8 200 5 2 11.0 6.1
7000 20.3 68.5 190 7 3 10.0 5.5 | 24.0 75.2 205 5 3 11.2 6.2
6750 21.0 69.8 190 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 24.8 76.6 205 5 3 10.1 5.5
6500 21.8 71.2 190 6 3 10.3 5.6 | 25.6 78.1 205 5 3 10.2 5.6
6250 22.5 72.5 190 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 26.3 79.3 205 5 3 9.3 5.1
6000 23.3 73.9 190 6 3 13.2 7.2 | 27.1 80.8 210 5 3 15.5 8.5
5750 25.1 77.2 195 5 3 39.1 21.5 | 29.7 85.5 210 5 3 66.2 36.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/14/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/14/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +193.9 LI... -2.8 | CAPE... +48.7 LI... -1.4
CINH... -33.9 K Index... +31.3 | CINH... -59.9 K Index... +31.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.4 -85.7 095 18 9 4.6 2.5 | -65.1 -85.2 100 18 9 4.7 2.6
45000 -56.9 -70.4 090 18 9 7.0 3.9 | -56.6 -69.9 085 15 8 7.0 3.8
40000 -45.8 -50.4 080 11 6 7.1 3.9 | -45.8 -50.4 030 12 6 6.7 3.7
38000 -41.6 -42.9 050 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -41.7 -43.1 005 12 6 6.7 3.7
36000 -37.3 -35.1 020 9 4 7.6 4.2 | -37.7 -35.9 345 14 7 7.2 4.0
34000 -32.7 -26.9 015 12 6 7.6 4.2 | -33.4 -28.1 350 15 8 7.2 3.9
32000 -28.2 -18.8 015 14 7 6.8 3.7 | -29.1 -20.4 355 16 8 7.1 3.9
30000 -24.4 -11.9 010 15 7 6.3 3.5 | -25.0 -13.0 005 17 9 6.9 3.8
29000 -22.5 -8.5 010 15 8 6.3 3.5 | -22.9 -9.2 010 17 9 6.9 3.8
28000 -20.7 -5.3 010 14 7 6.5 3.6 | -20.9 -5.6 010 17 9 6.2 3.4
27000 -18.7 -1.7 015 13 7 6.5 3.6 | -19.0 -2.2 010 17 9 6.3 3.4
26000 -16.8 1.8 020 12 6 6.5 3.6 | -17.1 1.2 010 18 9 6.3 3.4
25000 -14.8 5.4 030 10 5 5.8 3.2 | -15.3 4.5 010 18 9 6.1 3.3
24000 -13.0 8.6 030 8 4 5.0 2.8 | -13.1 8.4 015 18 9 5.9 3.2
23000 -11.5 11.3 035 7 3 5.0 2.8 | -11.4 11.5 020 18 9 6.0 3.3
22000 -10.0 14.0 040 6 3 4.8 2.6 | -9.8 14.4 025 18 9 5.7 3.1
21000 -8.6 16.5 040 7 3 4.9 2.7 | -8.1 17.4 035 17 9 5.8 3.2
20000 -7.2 19.0 040 7 4 5.1 2.8 | -6.5 20.3 040 16 8 5.9 3.3
19500 -6.6 20.1 040 8 4 5.7 3.1 | -5.7 21.7 045 16 8 6.1 3.4
19000 -5.7 21.7 040 7 4 6.2 3.4 | -4.8 23.4 040 15 8 6.3 3.5
18500 -4.9 23.2 040 7 4 6.2 3.4 | -3.8 25.2 035 13 7 6.3 3.4
18000 -3.9 25.0 040 7 3 8.2 4.5 | -2.9 26.8 025 12 6 6.7 3.7
17500 -2.7 27.1 035 6 3 8.1 4.4 | -2.0 28.4 015 11 5 6.7 3.7
17000 -1.6 29.1 030 6 3 8.2 4.5 | -1.0 30.2 360 10 5 7.0 3.8
16500 -0.4 31.3 030 5 3 8.3 4.5 | -0.0 32.0 355 9 4 7.3 4.0
16000 0.7 33.3 025 4 2 8.3 4.6 | 1.0 33.8 350 7 4 7.3 4.0
15500 2.0 35.6 025 4 2 8.9 4.9 | 2.1 35.8 350 6 3 7.9 4.3
15000 3.3 37.9 020 3 2 8.9 4.9 | 3.2 37.8 355 4 2 7.8 4.3
14500 4.6 40.3 020 3 1 8.9 4.9 | 4.4 39.9 005 3 2 8.2 4.5
14000 5.9 42.6 015 2 1 8.9 4.9 | 5.6 42.1 030 3 1 8.2 4.5
13500 7.2 45.0 015 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 6.8 44.2 065 3 1 8.3 4.6
13000 8.7 47.7 020 1 1 9.5 5.2 | 8.0 46.4 085 4 2 8.4 4.6
12500 10.1 50.2 030 1 0 9.4 5.2 | 9.3 48.7 095 5 2 8.2 4.5
12000 11.4 52.5 060 1 0 9.3 5.1 | 10.5 50.9 105 6 3 7.8 4.3
11500 12.8 55.0 100 1 0 9.3 5.1 | 11.6 52.9 110 8 4 7.8 4.3
11000 14.2 57.6 115 1 1 9.3 5.1 | 12.8 55.0 110 10 5 7.8 4.3
10500 15.5 59.9 130 2 1 9.1 5.0 | 14.0 57.2 110 11 6 8.4 4.6
10250 16.2 61.2 135 2 1 9.2 5.0 | 14.6 58.3 110 12 6 8.3 4.6
10000 16.9 62.4 130 2 1 9.2 5.0 | 15.2 59.4 110 13 7 8.0 4.4
9750 17.6 63.7 130 3 1 9.2 5.0 | 15.8 60.4 110 13 7 8.5 4.6
9500 18.2 64.8 130 3 2 9.2 5.1 | 16.4 61.5 110 14 7 6.9 3.8
9250 18.9 66.0 135 4 2 9.1 5.0 | 16.9 62.4 115 15 8 7.2 3.9
9000 19.6 67.3 135 4 2 8.9 4.9 | 17.5 63.5 115 16 8 8.6 4.7
8750 20.3 68.5 135 5 2 9.2 5.1 | 18.1 64.6 115 16 8 9.0 5.0
8500 20.9 69.6 135 5 3 8.1 4.4 | 18.8 65.8 115 16 8 6.0 3.3
8250 21.5 70.7 130 6 3 8.2 4.5 | 19.1 66.4 120 18 9 5.7 3.1
8000 22.1 71.8 130 6 3 9.4 5.1 | 19.7 67.5 120 18 9 8.7 4.8
7750 23.5 74.3 130 7 4 8.4 4.6 | 20.3 68.5 125 18 9 8.9 4.9
7500 24.1 75.4 125 8 4 7.9 4.3 | 21.0 69.8 125 18 9 5.9 3.2
7250 24.7 76.5 125 9 5 8.9 4.9 | 21.2 70.2 130 20 10 3.5 1.9
7000 25.3 77.5 125 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 22.1 71.8 130 20 10 7.4 4.1
6750 26.0 78.8 125 10 5 9.1 5.0 | 22.6 72.7 135 20 10 7.3 4.0
6500 26.7 80.1 120 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 23.2 73.8 135 20 10 7.6 4.2
6250 27.3 81.1 120 11 5 8.2 4.5 | 23.7 74.7 135 20 10 7.0 3.9
6000 28.0 82.4 120 10 5 12.9 7.1 | 24.2 75.6 135 19 10 10.5 5.8
5750 30.2 86.4 120 10 5 57.5 31.5 | 25.7 78.3 135 16 8 36.8 20.2
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0712 MDT Tuesday July 14 2026
This forecast is for Tuesday, July 14, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 75.3 F/24.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1214 ft/min (6.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17996 ft MSL (11536 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 88.0 F/31.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14273 ft MSL (7813 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 07/15.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:59:53 / 20:20:46 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 20 min 54 sec (860 min 54 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:20 MDT... 75.79 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/14/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16208 ft MSL (9748 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13973 ft MSL (7513 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15456 ft MSL (8996 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.9
K index......................... +25.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.9 -86.6 115 26 14 5.1 2.8 74.3 165.7 25.8 M M
45000 -56.9 -70.4 110 18 9 7.4 4.0 65.9 150.7 22.2 M M
40000 -45.6 -50.1 090 8 4 6.5 3.6 60.1 140.2 19.8 M M
38000 -41.7 -43.1 070 8 4 6.5 3.6 57.3 135.1 18.3 M M
36000 -37.8 -36.0 050 8 4 7.3 4.0 54.9 130.9 17.1 M M
34000 -33.4 -28.1 050 9 4 7.2 4.0 52.6 126.7 15.9 M M
32000 -29.1 -20.4 045 9 5 7.3 4.0 50.9 123.6 14.9 M M
30000 -24.6 -12.3 040 9 4 7.4 4.1 48.9 119.9 13.7 M M
29000 -22.4 -8.3 035 8 4 7.5 4.1 48.0 118.5 13.2 M M
28000 -20.4 -4.7 035 9 5 4.5 2.5 47.0 116.6 12.6 M M
27000 -18.9 -2.0 030 11 6 4.8 2.7 45.0 113.0 11.1 M M
26000 -17.1 1.2 030 14 7 4.9 2.7 42.8 109.0 9.5 M M
25000 -15.6 3.9 025 16 8 6.1 3.3 41.2 106.1 8.2 M M
24000 -13.8 7.2 025 12 6 6.1 3.4 39.8 103.6 7.1 M M
23000 -12.0 10.4 025 9 5 6.2 3.4 38.5 101.3 6.1 M M
22000 -10.2 13.6 025 6 3 5.8 3.2 37.2 99.0 5.1 M M
21000 -8.5 16.7 045 5 3 5.8 3.2 35.8 96.4 3.9 M M
20000 -6.8 19.8 065 5 2 5.8 3.2 34.4 94.0 2.7 M M
19500 -5.9 21.4 075 5 3 5.5 3.0 33.8 92.8 2.2 M M
19000 -5.2 22.6 070 6 3 5.3 2.9 33.0 91.4 1.4 M M
18500 -4.5 23.9 060 7 4 5.4 3.0 32.3 90.1 0.7 M M
18000 -3.7 25.3 055 8 4 6.5 3.6 31.6 88.9 0.0 M M
17500 -2.8 27.0 045 10 5 6.7 3.7 31.1 87.9 -0.6 974 4.9
17000 -1.9 28.6 040 11 6 7.4 4.1 30.6 87.0 -1.1 933 4.7
16500 -0.8 30.6 030 11 6 8.3 4.6 30.3 86.6 -1.5 884 4.5
16000 0.4 32.7 025 12 6 8.4 4.6 30.1 86.1 -1.8 834 4.2
15500 1.5 34.7 015 12 6 8.0 4.4 29.8 85.7 -2.1 784 4.0
15000 2.7 36.9 010 13 7 8.1 4.4 29.5 85.2 -2.4 735 3.7
14500 3.8 38.8 005 13 7 7.4 4.0 29.2 84.6 -2.7 687 3.5
14000 4.9 40.8 360 12 6 7.2 3.9 28.8 83.9 -3.2 640 3.3
13500 5.9 42.6 355 11 6 6.9 3.8 28.4 83.1 -3.6 594 3.0
13000 6.9 44.4 345 8 4 6.6 3.6 27.9 82.2 -4.1 550 2.8
12500 7.8 46.0 325 5 2 6.6 3.6 27.4 81.3 -4.6 507 2.6
12000 8.8 47.8 295 4 2 6.8 3.7 26.9 80.4 -5.1 463 2.4
11500 10.2 50.4 240 5 2 6.6 3.6 26.2 79.1 -5.9 399 2.0
11000 11.2 52.2 225 6 3 6.8 3.7 25.8 78.4 -6.4 355 1.8
10500 12.3 54.1 220 6 3 8.3 4.6 25.5 77.8 -6.8 307 1.6
10250 12.8 55.0 210 7 3 7.0 3.8 25.3 77.5 -7.0 283 1.4
10000 13.3 55.9 205 7 4 6.8 3.7 25.1 77.1 -7.3 262 1.3
9750 13.8 56.8 200 8 4 6.5 3.6 24.8 76.7 -7.6 240 1.2
9500 14.2 57.6 190 8 4 5.8 3.2 24.6 76.2 -7.9 220 1.1
9250 14.6 58.3 185 9 5 5.5 3.0 24.2 75.6 -8.3 202 1.0
9000 15.0 59.0 180 9 5 5.7 3.1 23.9 75.0 -8.6 183 0.9
8750 15.3 59.5 175 10 5 5.0 2.7 23.6 74.5 -9.0 164 0.8
8500 15.6 60.1 170 10 5 3.8 2.1 23.2 73.7 -9.5 149 0.8
8250 15.8 60.4 165 11 6 4.0 2.2 22.7 72.9 -10.0 134 0.7
8000 16.1 61.0 160 11 6 5.1 2.8 22.3 72.2 -10.5 118 0.6
7750 16.5 61.7 155 11 5 4.6 2.5 22.0 71.6 -10.9 100 0.5
7500 16.8 62.2 150 10 5 3.4 1.9 21.5 70.7 -11.3 84 0.4
7250 17.0 62.6 140 9 5 4.2 2.3 21.1 69.9 -11.8 69 0.4
7000 17.3 63.1 135 8 4 2.4 1.3 20.6 69.1 -12.3 54 0.3
6750 17.2 63.0 130 6 3 -4.8 -2.6 19.8 67.7 -13.1 48 0.2
6500 16.6 61.9 115 4 2 -11.8 -6.5 18.5 65.2 -14.5 60 0.3
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/14/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/14/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +201.4 LI... -1.9 | CAPE... +341.4 LI... -2.7
CINH... -60.8 K Index... +24.8 | CINH... -2.2 K Index... +24.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.1 -85.2 115 21 11 4.8 2.7 | -65.3 -85.5 100 21 11 5.1 2.8
45000 -56.5 -69.7 105 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -56.4 -69.5 100 20 10 7.1 3.9
40000 -45.5 -49.9 090 16 8 6.8 3.7 | -45.2 -49.4 095 15 8 7.1 3.9
38000 -41.5 -42.7 065 13 7 6.8 3.7 | -41.0 -41.8 075 15 8 7.1 3.9
36000 -37.4 -35.3 040 13 7 6.9 3.8 | -36.8 -34.2 060 15 8 6.2 3.4
34000 -33.3 -27.9 040 11 5 6.8 3.8 | -33.0 -27.4 035 12 6 6.3 3.5
32000 -29.2 -20.6 040 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -29.2 -20.6 005 11 6 6.8 3.7
30000 -24.8 -12.6 035 8 4 7.3 4.0 | -24.8 -12.6 015 10 5 7.2 4.0
29000 -22.6 -8.7 030 9 4 7.4 4.0 | -22.7 -8.9 015 10 5 7.3 4.0
28000 -20.5 -4.9 030 9 5 5.2 2.9 | -20.6 -5.1 020 11 5 5.2 2.9
27000 -18.9 -2.0 030 12 6 5.4 3.0 | -19.0 -2.2 030 12 6 5.4 3.0
26000 -16.9 1.6 035 14 7 5.4 3.0 | -17.0 1.4 040 14 7 5.5 3.0
25000 -15.3 4.5 035 16 8 5.1 2.8 | -15.4 4.3 040 16 8 5.0 2.7
24000 -13.8 7.2 035 13 7 5.1 2.8 | -13.9 7.0 040 14 7 5.0 2.7
23000 -12.3 9.9 040 11 6 5.2 2.9 | -12.4 9.7 040 13 7 5.0 2.7
22000 -10.7 12.7 040 9 5 6.4 3.5 | -10.8 12.6 040 12 6 6.5 3.6
21000 -8.8 16.2 030 8 4 6.4 3.5 | -8.9 16.0 040 12 6 6.5 3.6
20000 -6.9 19.6 020 8 4 6.4 3.5 | -7.0 19.4 035 13 7 6.5 3.6
19500 -5.9 21.4 015 8 4 6.0 3.3 | -6.0 21.2 030 13 7 6.1 3.4
19000 -5.1 22.8 020 8 4 5.6 3.1 | -5.2 22.6 030 13 7 5.8 3.2
18500 -4.3 24.3 020 8 4 5.6 3.1 | -4.4 24.1 030 13 7 5.8 3.2
18000 -3.5 25.7 025 8 4 6.1 3.3 | -3.5 25.7 030 13 7 6.7 3.7
17500 -2.7 27.1 030 9 5 6.3 3.4 | -2.6 27.3 030 12 6 6.8 3.7
17000 -1.9 28.6 035 10 5 7.2 4.0 | -1.7 28.9 025 12 6 7.5 4.1
16500 -0.8 30.6 035 11 6 8.3 4.6 | -0.5 31.1 025 11 6 8.1 4.5
16000 0.4 32.7 035 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 0.6 33.1 025 11 6 8.2 4.5
15500 1.6 34.9 035 13 7 9.2 5.0 | 1.7 35.1 030 11 6 8.0 4.4
15000 2.9 37.2 035 14 7 9.2 5.1 | 2.9 37.2 030 10 5 8.2 4.5
14500 4.2 39.6 030 14 7 7.8 4.3 | 3.9 39.0 030 10 5 7.0 3.9
14000 5.3 41.5 030 14 7 7.6 4.2 | 4.8 40.6 030 8 4 7.0 3.8
13500 6.4 43.5 025 13 7 6.6 3.6 | 5.7 42.3 030 6 3 7.6 4.2
13000 7.2 45.0 020 10 5 6.0 3.3 | 6.8 44.2 030 4 2 7.9 4.4
12500 8.1 46.6 005 8 4 6.0 3.3 | 7.9 46.2 020 2 1 8.3 4.5
12000 8.9 48.0 340 5 3 6.2 3.4 | 9.2 48.6 005 1 0 8.8 4.8
11500 9.8 49.6 295 5 2 7.0 3.9 | 10.5 50.9 250 1 0 9.4 5.1
11000 11.2 52.2 265 6 3 6.2 3.4 | 11.9 53.4 230 2 1 9.2 5.0
10500 12.1 53.8 255 6 3 7.2 4.0 | 14.0 57.2 225 2 1 9.7 5.3
10250 12.6 54.7 250 6 3 6.9 3.8 | 14.7 58.5 225 3 1 9.6 5.2
10000 13.1 55.6 245 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 15.4 59.7 220 3 2 9.6 5.3
9750 13.6 56.5 235 6 3 6.3 3.4 | 16.1 61.0 220 4 2 9.6 5.2
9500 13.9 57.0 225 5 3 4.5 2.5 | 16.8 62.2 220 4 2 9.5 5.2
9250 14.2 57.6 215 4 2 5.9 3.3 | 17.5 63.5 220 4 2 9.7 5.3
9000 14.7 58.5 200 4 2 7.4 4.1 | 18.3 64.9 220 5 2 9.7 5.3
8750 15.2 59.4 190 5 2 7.1 3.9 | 19.0 66.2 220 5 3 9.9 5.4
8500 15.8 60.4 180 5 2 7.0 3.8 | 19.7 67.5 220 5 3 10.1 5.6
8250 16.3 61.3 170 5 3 7.6 4.2 | 20.5 68.9 220 5 3 10.3 5.6
8000 16.9 62.4 165 5 3 9.2 5.1 | 21.3 70.3 220 6 3 10.6 5.8
7750 17.6 63.7 165 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 22.1 71.8 220 6 3 10.5 5.8
7500 18.3 64.9 165 5 3 10.0 5.5 | 22.8 73.0 220 6 3 10.6 5.8
7250 19.1 66.4 165 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 23.6 74.5 220 6 3 10.1 5.5
7000 19.8 67.6 165 5 3 11.8 6.5 | 24.4 75.9 220 6 3 12.7 7.0
6750 20.9 69.6 165 5 3 18.7 10.3 | 25.7 78.3 220 6 3 23.3 12.8
6500 22.4 72.3 165 5 3 17.8 9.8 | 27.9 82.2 220 6 3 35.9 19.7
07/14/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/14/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +214.7 LI... -2.7 | CAPE... +55.7 LI... -1.7
CINH... -71.9 K Index... +28.2 | CINH... -85.4 K Index... +30.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.9 -86.6 095 20 10 4.9 2.7 | -65.4 -85.7 090 20 10 4.5 2.5
45000 -56.9 -70.4 090 16 8 7.4 4.0 | -56.9 -70.4 080 16 8 7.3 4.0
40000 -45.3 -49.5 060 9 5 7.4 4.1 | -45.4 -49.7 025 10 5 7.2 3.9
38000 -40.8 -41.4 055 11 6 7.5 4.1 | -41.1 -42.0 020 10 5 7.2 3.9
36000 -36.5 -33.7 050 14 7 6.1 3.3 | -36.9 -34.4 015 11 6 6.0 3.3
34000 -32.7 -26.9 035 15 8 6.2 3.4 | -33.3 -27.9 010 16 8 6.1 3.4
32000 -29.0 -20.2 025 17 9 6.8 3.7 | -29.6 -21.3 005 21 11 6.7 3.7
30000 -24.6 -12.3 020 17 9 7.4 4.1 | -25.3 -13.5 360 20 10 7.4 4.0
29000 -22.4 -8.3 015 16 8 7.4 4.1 | -23.1 -9.6 355 20 10 7.4 4.1
28000 -20.3 -4.5 015 16 8 6.1 3.3 | -21.0 -5.8 350 19 10 6.3 3.5
27000 -18.4 -1.1 015 17 9 6.2 3.4 | -19.1 -2.4 355 18 9 6.5 3.5
26000 -16.1 3.0 020 18 9 6.2 3.4 | -16.8 1.8 355 17 9 6.5 3.6
25000 -14.3 6.3 020 19 10 4.6 2.5 | -15.0 5.0 360 16 8 4.8 2.6
24000 -13.0 8.6 020 19 10 4.6 2.5 | -13.5 7.7 005 18 9 4.8 2.6
23000 -11.6 11.1 015 20 10 4.6 2.5 | -12.1 10.2 005 21 11 4.8 2.6
22000 -10.2 13.6 015 20 10 4.8 2.6 | -10.6 12.9 010 22 12 6.2 3.4
21000 -8.8 16.2 010 19 10 4.8 2.6 | -8.8 16.2 010 22 11 6.2 3.4
20000 -7.4 18.7 005 18 9 4.9 2.7 | -7.0 19.4 010 22 11 6.2 3.4
19500 -6.7 19.9 360 18 9 5.5 3.0 | -6.1 21.0 010 22 11 6.6 3.6
19000 -5.9 21.4 355 16 8 6.5 3.5 | -5.1 22.8 010 19 10 7.0 3.9
18500 -5.0 23.0 345 14 7 6.5 3.6 | -4.1 24.6 005 17 9 7.1 3.9
18000 -4.0 24.8 335 12 6 8.4 4.6 | -3.1 26.4 005 14 7 7.0 3.8
17500 -2.8 27.0 325 11 6 8.5 4.6 | -2.2 28.0 010 12 6 7.0 3.8
17000 -1.6 29.1 310 10 5 8.6 4.7 | -1.2 29.8 010 9 5 7.1 3.9
16500 -0.4 31.3 305 10 5 8.8 4.8 | -0.2 31.6 015 7 3 7.2 4.0
16000 0.9 33.6 295 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 0.9 33.6 025 4 2 7.2 4.0
15500 2.2 36.0 285 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 1.9 35.4 045 2 1 7.4 4.1
15000 3.4 38.1 280 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 3.0 37.4 105 2 1 7.4 4.0
14500 4.7 40.5 270 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 4.1 39.4 145 3 1 8.3 4.6
14000 6.1 43.0 260 9 4 9.0 4.9 | 5.4 41.7 160 4 2 8.5 4.7
13500 7.4 45.3 250 9 4 8.9 4.9 | 6.6 43.9 165 5 3 8.4 4.6
13000 8.7 47.7 245 8 4 8.9 4.9 | 7.8 46.0 165 6 3 8.2 4.5
12500 10.0 50.0 235 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 9.0 48.2 165 7 4 8.2 4.5
12000 11.2 52.2 220 8 4 8.3 4.6 | 10.2 50.4 160 8 4 8.2 4.5
11500 12.4 54.3 205 7 4 9.3 5.1 | 11.4 52.5 155 9 4 9.5 5.2
11000 13.7 56.7 190 8 4 7.6 4.2 | 12.9 55.2 155 9 5 8.1 4.5
10500 14.9 58.8 180 9 4 7.0 3.8 | 14.1 57.4 150 9 5 7.0 3.8
10250 15.9 60.6 165 9 5 8.5 4.7 | 14.6 58.3 145 10 5 6.7 3.7
10000 16.6 61.9 155 10 5 8.3 4.6 | 15.2 59.4 140 10 5 8.8 4.8
9750 17.2 63.0 155 11 6 8.0 4.4 | 16.5 61.7 135 10 5 8.2 4.5
9500 17.7 63.9 145 12 6 6.4 3.5 | 17.0 62.6 130 9 5 6.8 3.8
9250 18.1 64.6 140 12 6 6.1 3.3 | 17.6 63.7 125 9 5 7.5 4.1
9000 18.6 65.5 135 14 7 6.5 3.5 | 18.2 64.8 125 9 5 9.0 4.9
8750 19.0 66.2 135 15 8 6.5 3.6 | 18.8 65.8 120 9 5 7.1 3.9
8500 19.5 67.1 130 16 8 7.2 3.9 | 19.2 66.6 120 9 4 3.9 2.1
8250 20.0 68.0 125 17 9 6.5 3.6 | 19.4 66.9 115 8 4 4.4 2.4
8000 20.4 68.7 120 18 9 4.6 2.5 | 19.8 67.6 110 8 4 6.9 3.8
7750 20.7 69.3 120 19 10 5.2 2.8 | 20.3 68.5 110 9 4 6.7 3.7
7500 21.1 70.0 115 20 10 6.5 3.5 | 20.8 69.4 115 9 4 5.8 3.2
7250 21.6 70.9 110 21 11 6.3 3.5 | 21.2 70.2 120 8 4 5.8 3.2
7000 22.0 71.6 110 21 11 7.6 4.2 | 21.6 70.9 120 8 4 8.4 4.6
6750 22.8 73.0 105 21 11 16.9 9.3 | 22.5 72.5 125 8 4 15.4 8.5
6500 25.0 77.0 110 18 9 47.2 25.9 | 23.8 74.8 130 7 3 18.7 10.3
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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