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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0723 MDT Monday July 14 2025
This forecast is for Monday, July 14, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 76.5 F/24.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1010 ft/min (5.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17442 ft MSL (11117 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 86.0 F/30.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1100 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13538 ft MSL (7213 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 07/15...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:01:15 / 20:18:41 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 17 min 25 sec (857 min 25 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:58 MDT... 76.39 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/14/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15847 ft MSL (9522 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14686 ft MSL (8361 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15726 ft MSL (9402 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.4
K index......................... +23.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.6 -84.3 310 9 5 1.5 0.8 79.8 175.7 29.5 M M
45000 -61.4 -78.5 320 16 8 3.8 2.1 62.3 144.2 20.4 M M
40000 -54.4 -65.9 315 13 6 8.3 4.6 49.7 121.5 13.4 M M
38000 -49.5 -57.1 310 10 5 8.3 4.5 48.2 118.8 12.7 M M
36000 -44.6 -48.3 305 7 4 8.2 4.5 47.4 117.2 12.4 M M
34000 -39.7 -39.5 005 5 3 8.1 4.5 45.8 114.4 11.5 M M
32000 -34.9 -30.8 045 10 5 8.2 4.5 44.7 112.4 11.0 M M
30000 -29.7 -21.5 065 12 6 7.6 4.2 42.7 108.9 9.7 M M
29000 -27.4 -17.3 070 14 7 7.6 4.2 42.0 107.6 9.3 M M
28000 -25.2 -13.4 075 15 7 6.9 3.8 41.2 106.2 8.8 M M
27000 -23.1 -9.6 075 14 7 7.0 3.8 40.1 104.1 7.9 M M
26000 -21.1 -6.0 075 14 7 7.0 3.8 39.1 102.3 7.2 M M
25000 -19.0 -2.2 075 14 7 6.9 3.8 38.2 100.7 6.5 M M
24000 -17.0 1.4 075 13 7 6.8 3.7 37.0 98.6 5.6 M M
23000 -15.0 5.0 070 12 6 6.9 3.8 35.9 96.7 4.7 M M
22000 -13.0 8.6 070 12 6 7.0 3.8 35.0 95.0 4.0 M M
21000 -10.9 12.4 065 11 6 7.1 3.9 34.0 93.2 3.1 M M
20000 -8.8 16.2 060 11 6 7.1 3.9 33.1 91.5 2.3 M M
19500 -7.8 18.0 055 11 6 7.1 3.9 32.7 90.8 1.9 M M
19000 -6.8 19.8 050 11 5 6.8 3.7 32.2 89.9 1.5 M M
18500 -5.8 21.6 050 10 5 6.8 3.7 31.7 89.0 1.0 M M
18000 -4.8 23.4 045 10 5 6.9 3.8 31.2 88.1 0.6 M M
17500 -3.8 25.2 045 10 5 7.0 3.8 30.7 87.3 0.2 M M
17000 -2.2 28.0 045 9 5 7.2 3.9 30.0 86.1 -0.5 957 4.9
16500 -1.2 29.8 050 9 5 7.2 4.0 29.6 85.3 -0.9 911 4.6
16000 -0.1 31.8 050 9 5 7.3 4.0 29.2 84.5 -1.3 865 4.4
15500 1.0 33.8 050 9 4 7.6 4.2 28.8 83.9 -1.7 818 4.2
15000 2.1 35.8 055 8 4 7.5 4.1 28.5 83.2 -2.1 770 3.9
14500 3.2 37.8 055 8 4 8.0 4.4 28.1 82.6 -2.4 722 3.7
14000 4.3 39.7 065 7 4 8.0 4.4 27.8 82.1 -2.7 673 3.4
13500 5.5 41.9 075 6 3 8.1 4.4 27.6 81.6 -3.1 624 3.2
13000 6.6 43.9 085 6 3 8.1 4.5 27.3 81.2 -3.4 574 2.9
12500 7.8 46.0 095 6 3 8.1 4.4 27.1 80.7 -3.7 524 2.7
12000 8.9 48.0 105 6 3 8.1 4.4 26.8 80.2 -4.0 475 2.4
11500 10.1 50.2 115 7 3 8.2 4.5 26.5 79.8 -4.3 427 2.2
11000 11.3 52.3 120 7 4 8.5 4.6 26.3 79.4 -4.6 376 1.9
10500 12.5 54.5 125 7 4 7.5 4.1 26.1 79.0 -4.9 326 1.7
10250 13.0 55.4 130 7 4 7.4 4.0 25.9 78.7 -5.1 303 1.5
10000 13.6 56.5 130 7 4 8.8 4.8 25.8 78.5 -5.3 277 1.4
9750 14.2 57.6 135 8 4 9.0 4.9 25.7 78.3 -5.4 251 1.3
9500 14.8 58.6 135 8 4 7.9 4.3 25.7 78.2 -5.5 225 1.1
9250 15.4 59.7 140 8 4 7.0 3.9 25.5 77.8 -5.7 202 1.0
9000 15.9 60.6 140 8 4 6.7 3.7 25.3 77.5 -6.0 180 0.9
8750 16.3 61.3 145 8 4 6.1 3.4 25.0 77.0 -6.3 159 0.8
8500 16.7 62.1 145 8 4 5.9 3.2 24.7 76.5 -6.6 140 0.7
8250 17.1 62.8 150 8 4 5.5 3.0 24.4 75.9 -7.0 121 0.6
8000 17.4 63.3 150 8 4 5.6 3.1 24.1 75.3 -7.4 103 0.5
7750 17.8 64.0 150 7 4 4.7 2.6 23.7 74.7 -7.8 85 0.4
7500 18.0 64.4 155 7 4 3.1 1.7 23.3 73.9 -8.2 70 0.4
7250 18.2 64.8 160 6 3 2.0 1.1 22.7 72.9 -8.8 57 0.3
7000 18.4 65.1 160 5 3 3.8 2.1 22.2 72.0 -9.4 44 0.2
6750 18.6 65.5 170 5 2 -1.5 -0.8 21.7 71.0 -9.9 30 0.2
6500 17.9 64.2 175 4 2 -15.9 -8.7 20.3 68.5 -11.3 43 0.2
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/14/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/14/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +462.1 LI... -1.6 | CAPE... +443.7 LI... -1.5
CINH... -55.7 K Index... +22.4 | CINH... -0.5 K Index... +22.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.5 -82.3 350 10 5 1.4 0.8 | -64.1 -83.4 005 8 4 0.8 0.4
45000 -60.6 -77.1 360 13 6 3.3 1.8 | -61.6 -78.9 005 9 4 3.7 2.0
40000 -54.3 -65.7 310 3 2 8.3 4.5 | -54.8 -66.6 235 2 1 8.5 4.7
38000 -49.4 -56.9 295 5 2 8.2 4.5 | -49.7 -57.5 270 5 3 8.5 4.6
36000 -44.5 -48.1 285 6 3 8.2 4.5 | -44.7 -48.5 280 9 4 8.4 4.6
34000 -39.8 -39.6 010 3 1 7.9 4.3 | -39.7 -39.5 300 3 1 8.2 4.5
32000 -35.1 -31.2 060 8 4 7.9 4.3 | -34.8 -30.6 075 5 2 8.2 4.5
30000 -29.8 -21.6 065 11 6 7.9 4.3 | -29.3 -20.7 065 8 4 8.1 4.4
29000 -27.5 -17.5 070 13 6 7.9 4.3 | -26.9 -16.4 065 10 5 8.1 4.4
28000 -25.2 -13.4 070 13 7 6.4 3.5 | -24.7 -12.5 065 11 6 6.1 3.4
27000 -23.3 -9.9 070 14 7 6.6 3.6 | -22.8 -9.0 070 12 6 6.3 3.5
26000 -21.4 -6.5 070 14 7 6.6 3.6 | -20.9 -5.6 075 13 6 6.3 3.5
25000 -19.4 -2.9 070 14 7 7.1 3.9 | -19.0 -2.2 080 13 7 6.8 3.7
24000 -17.2 1.0 065 14 7 7.5 4.1 | -16.9 1.6 075 14 7 7.2 3.9
23000 -15.0 5.0 060 14 7 7.5 4.1 | -14.8 5.4 075 15 8 7.2 3.9
22000 -12.7 9.1 060 14 7 7.5 4.1 | -12.7 9.1 070 16 8 7.3 4.0
21000 -10.5 13.1 055 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -10.5 13.1 065 14 7 7.3 4.0
20000 -8.3 17.1 050 11 6 7.5 4.1 | -8.4 16.9 055 13 7 7.3 4.0
19500 -7.2 19.0 050 10 5 7.5 4.1 | -7.3 18.9 050 13 7 7.3 4.0
19000 -6.1 21.0 050 10 5 7.2 3.9 | -6.2 20.8 045 13 7 6.8 3.7
18500 -5.1 22.8 045 9 5 7.2 3.9 | -5.2 22.6 040 13 7 6.8 3.7
18000 -4.1 24.6 045 8 4 6.8 3.7 | -4.2 24.4 035 13 6 6.6 3.6
17500 -3.1 26.4 040 8 4 6.6 3.6 | -2.8 27.0 030 12 6 6.5 3.6
17000 -1.7 28.9 040 7 4 6.7 3.7 | -1.9 28.6 030 11 6 6.3 3.5
16500 -0.7 30.7 040 7 3 6.7 3.7 | -1.0 30.2 030 10 5 6.3 3.5
16000 0.3 32.5 040 6 3 6.7 3.7 | -0.1 31.8 035 8 4 6.2 3.4
15500 1.2 34.2 040 6 3 6.8 3.7 | 0.7 33.3 040 7 4 5.7 3.1
15000 2.2 36.0 045 6 3 6.8 3.7 | 1.4 34.5 050 5 3 5.7 3.1
14500 3.2 37.8 050 6 3 6.9 3.8 | 2.3 36.1 060 4 2 7.9 4.3
14000 4.2 39.6 060 6 3 6.8 3.8 | 3.3 37.9 075 3 2 7.7 4.3
13500 5.2 41.4 065 6 3 8.3 4.5 | 4.4 39.9 095 3 1 9.0 4.9
13000 6.4 43.5 070 5 3 8.4 4.6 | 5.8 42.4 105 2 1 9.1 5.0
12500 7.7 45.9 080 5 3 8.4 4.6 | 7.1 44.8 120 2 1 9.4 5.1
12000 8.9 48.0 095 5 2 8.4 4.6 | 8.5 47.3 125 2 1 9.4 5.2
11500 10.1 50.2 110 5 2 9.1 5.0 | 9.9 49.8 135 2 1 10.3 5.7
11000 11.3 52.3 120 5 3 7.9 4.3 | 11.4 52.5 140 2 1 9.1 5.0
10500 12.5 54.5 130 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 12.7 54.9 145 3 1 10.0 5.5
10250 13.2 55.8 130 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 13.5 56.3 150 3 1 10.2 5.6
10000 13.7 56.7 130 7 3 7.8 4.3 | 14.2 57.6 150 3 1 9.4 5.1
9750 14.3 57.7 130 7 4 7.9 4.3 | 14.9 58.8 155 3 2 9.5 5.2
9500 14.9 58.8 130 7 4 8.0 4.4 | 15.6 60.1 155 3 2 9.7 5.3
9250 15.5 59.9 130 7 4 8.3 4.6 | 16.4 61.5 160 3 2 10.0 5.5
9000 16.0 60.8 135 7 4 7.2 3.9 | 17.1 62.8 160 3 2 9.8 5.4
8750 16.5 61.7 135 7 3 5.9 3.2 | 17.8 64.0 160 4 2 9.8 5.4
8500 16.9 62.4 135 6 3 3.9 2.1 | 18.6 65.5 165 4 2 9.7 5.3
8250 17.0 62.6 135 5 3 2.5 1.4 | 19.3 66.7 165 4 2 9.6 5.3
8000 17.1 62.8 135 4 2 2.5 1.4 | 20.0 68.0 165 4 2 9.8 5.4
7750 17.3 63.1 140 3 2 4.1 2.3 | 20.7 69.3 165 4 2 10.3 5.6
7500 17.7 63.9 140 2 1 8.0 4.4 | 21.5 70.7 165 4 2 10.5 5.8
7250 18.3 64.9 140 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 22.3 72.1 165 4 2 10.9 6.0
7000 19.0 66.2 145 2 1 8.5 4.6 | 23.1 73.6 165 4 2 9.7 5.3
6750 19.7 67.5 145 2 1 11.2 6.2 | 23.9 75.0 170 4 2 13.4 7.3
6500 20.7 69.3 145 1 1 17.0 9.3 | 25.2 77.4 170 5 2 23.7 13.0
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/14/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/14/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +238.9 LI... -0.1 | CAPE... +108.6 LI... +0.5
CINH... -1.0 K Index... +31.4 | CINH... -9.2 K Index... +29.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 020 8 4 0.4 0.2 | -64.5 -84.1 015 11 6 0.4 0.2
45000 -61.9 -79.4 335 5 3 4.9 2.7 | -61.6 -78.9 350 11 6 4.8 2.6
40000 -53.9 -65.0 260 13 6 8.1 4.4 | -53.6 -64.5 275 12 6 8.2 4.5
38000 -49.1 -56.4 275 9 4 8.0 4.4 | -48.7 -55.7 290 9 5 8.2 4.5
36000 -44.3 -47.7 310 6 3 8.0 4.4 | -43.9 -47.0 305 7 4 8.0 4.4
34000 -39.5 -39.1 310 5 2 8.0 4.4 | -39.2 -38.6 330 10 5 7.7 4.2
32000 -34.7 -30.5 305 3 2 8.0 4.4 | -34.6 -30.3 340 13 7 7.7 4.2
30000 -29.2 -20.6 040 5 3 8.1 4.4 | -29.2 -20.6 005 11 6 8.1 4.5
29000 -26.8 -16.2 050 8 4 8.1 4.4 | -26.7 -16.1 020 11 6 8.1 4.5
28000 -24.5 -12.1 055 10 5 6.3 3.5 | -24.4 -11.9 030 11 6 7.3 4.0
27000 -22.6 -8.7 055 9 5 6.5 3.6 | -22.2 -8.0 030 11 6 7.4 4.0
26000 -20.7 -5.3 060 8 4 6.6 3.6 | -20.0 -4.0 030 11 6 7.4 4.0
25000 -18.8 -1.8 070 7 4 7.0 3.9 | -17.8 -0.0 030 11 6 7.3 4.0
24000 -16.6 2.1 070 9 5 7.4 4.0 | -15.6 3.9 035 9 5 7.2 4.0
23000 -14.3 6.3 075 10 5 7.4 4.0 | -13.5 7.7 045 8 4 7.2 4.0
22000 -12.1 10.2 075 12 6 7.7 4.3 | -11.3 11.7 060 6 3 7.4 4.1
21000 -9.8 14.4 070 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -9.1 15.6 065 7 4 7.6 4.2
20000 -7.4 18.7 065 11 5 8.0 4.4 | -6.8 19.8 070 8 4 7.6 4.2
19500 -6.3 20.7 060 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -5.7 21.7 070 8 4 7.4 4.1
19000 -5.9 21.4 055 10 5 0.5 0.3 | -5.0 23.0 060 7 4 3.7 2.0
18500 -5.8 21.6 055 9 5 1.2 0.7 | -4.5 23.9 040 7 4 4.4 2.4
18000 -5.7 21.7 050 8 4 5.7 3.1 | -4.0 24.8 025 7 4 5.3 2.9
17500 -4.6 23.7 055 7 4 7.7 4.2 | -3.3 26.1 015 5 2 5.6 3.1
17000 -2.9 26.8 055 6 3 8.6 4.7 | -2.1 28.2 320 2 1 7.7 4.2
16500 -1.6 29.1 055 5 3 8.9 4.9 | -0.8 30.6 290 1 1 8.6 4.7
16000 -0.3 31.5 060 4 2 9.0 5.0 | 0.4 32.7 220 1 1 8.9 4.9
15500 1.0 33.8 070 3 2 9.4 5.1 | 1.8 35.2 195 2 1 9.8 5.4
15000 2.4 36.3 080 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 3.3 37.9 185 2 1 9.7 5.3
14500 3.8 38.8 095 2 1 9.6 5.3 | 4.7 40.5 180 3 1 9.6 5.3
14000 5.2 41.4 105 2 1 9.6 5.3 | 6.1 43.0 175 3 2 9.6 5.3
13500 6.7 44.1 120 2 1 9.4 5.2 | 7.6 45.7 170 4 2 9.7 5.3
13000 8.1 46.6 130 2 1 9.4 5.1 | 9.0 48.2 170 4 2 9.7 5.3
12500 9.5 49.1 140 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 10.5 50.9 165 5 2 9.6 5.3
12000 10.9 51.6 145 2 1 9.9 5.4 | 11.9 53.4 165 5 3 9.5 5.2
11500 12.3 54.1 150 2 1 8.7 4.8 | 13.3 55.9 165 5 3 10.0 5.5
11000 13.7 56.7 155 3 1 10.0 5.5 | 14.8 58.6 165 6 3 9.5 5.2
10500 15.2 59.4 155 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 16.2 61.2 160 6 3 9.3 5.1
10250 15.9 60.6 155 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 16.9 62.4 160 6 3 9.3 5.1
10000 16.6 61.9 160 3 2 9.9 5.4 | 17.6 63.7 160 7 3 9.8 5.4
9750 17.3 63.1 160 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 18.3 64.9 160 7 4 9.5 5.2
9500 18.0 64.4 160 4 2 10.2 5.6 | 19.0 66.2 160 7 4 10.0 5.5
9250 18.8 65.8 160 4 2 10.7 5.9 | 19.8 67.6 160 7 4 10.5 5.7
9000 19.6 67.3 165 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 20.6 69.1 160 8 4 9.9 5.4
8750 20.3 68.5 165 5 2 9.4 5.2 | 21.3 70.3 160 8 4 9.5 5.2
8500 21.0 69.8 165 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 22.0 71.6 160 8 4 9.7 5.3
8250 21.8 71.2 165 5 3 9.9 5.5 | 22.7 72.9 160 8 4 9.9 5.4
8000 22.5 72.5 165 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 23.5 74.3 160 9 4 9.9 5.4
7750 23.2 73.8 165 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 24.2 75.6 160 9 5 9.8 5.4
7500 24.0 75.2 165 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 24.9 76.8 160 9 5 10.0 5.5
7250 24.8 76.6 165 6 3 11.0 6.0 | 25.7 78.3 160 9 5 10.3 5.6
7000 25.6 78.1 165 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 26.4 79.5 160 9 5 9.9 5.4
6750 26.3 79.3 165 6 3 12.6 6.9 | 27.2 81.0 160 9 5 10.5 5.7
6500 27.6 81.7 165 6 3 21.4 11.8 | 28.1 82.6 160 9 5 14.7 8.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0722 MDT Monday July 14 2025
This forecast is for Monday, July 14, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 79.2 F/26.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1092 ft/min (5.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17941 ft MSL (12267 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1115 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13710 ft MSL (8035 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 07/15...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:03:36 / 20:21:19 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 17 min 43 sec (857 min 43 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:12:27 MDT... 76.24 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/14/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16127 ft MSL (10453 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15349 ft MSL (9675 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16243 ft MSL (10569 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.6
K index......................... +23.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.0 -85.0 350 6 3 1.6 0.9 81.4 178.5 28.6 M M
45000 -61.6 -78.9 340 13 7 3.8 2.1 64.0 147.3 19.6 M M
40000 -54.5 -66.1 340 11 5 8.4 4.6 51.6 124.8 12.7 M M
38000 -49.5 -57.1 335 7 4 8.4 4.6 50.2 122.3 12.0 M M
36000 -44.4 -47.9 325 3 2 8.3 4.5 49.4 120.9 11.8 M M
34000 -39.6 -39.3 030 5 3 8.0 4.4 47.7 117.9 10.8 M M
32000 -34.8 -30.6 045 9 5 8.1 4.4 46.6 115.8 10.2 M M
30000 -30.3 -22.5 065 10 5 7.6 4.2 44.7 112.5 9.0 M M
29000 -28.0 -18.4 075 11 6 7.6 4.2 43.9 111.1 8.5 M M
28000 -25.8 -14.4 080 12 6 7.2 3.9 43.2 109.7 8.0 M M
27000 -23.7 -10.7 085 12 6 7.1 3.9 42.0 107.7 7.2 M M
26000 -21.6 -6.9 085 12 6 7.1 3.9 41.0 105.8 6.4 M M
25000 -19.0 -2.2 085 12 6 7.0 3.8 39.9 103.8 5.6 M M
24000 -16.9 1.6 080 11 5 7.0 3.8 38.8 101.8 4.7 M M
23000 -14.8 5.4 070 10 5 7.0 3.8 37.8 100.0 3.9 M M
22000 -12.8 9.0 060 9 5 7.0 3.9 36.9 98.3 3.1 M M
21000 -10.7 12.7 050 10 5 7.0 3.9 35.8 96.5 2.3 M M
20000 -8.6 16.5 040 11 5 7.0 3.9 34.9 94.8 1.5 M M
19500 -7.5 18.5 035 11 6 7.1 3.9 34.5 94.1 1.2 M M
19000 -6.4 20.5 035 11 6 7.3 4.0 34.0 93.3 0.8 M M
18500 -5.4 22.3 035 11 5 7.2 4.0 33.6 92.5 0.4 M M
18000 -4.3 24.3 035 10 5 7.6 4.2 33.2 91.8 0.0 M M
17500 -3.1 26.4 040 10 5 7.7 4.2 32.9 91.1 -0.3 1048 5.3
17000 -2.0 28.4 045 10 5 7.7 4.2 32.5 90.5 -0.6 1000 5.1
16500 -0.9 30.4 050 9 5 7.8 4.3 32.2 89.9 -1.0 951 4.8
16000 0.3 32.5 055 9 5 7.9 4.3 31.9 89.3 -1.3 902 4.6
15500 1.4 34.5 060 9 5 7.7 4.2 31.5 88.7 -1.7 854 4.3
15000 2.5 36.5 065 9 5 7.7 4.2 31.2 88.1 -2.0 806 4.1
14500 3.6 38.5 070 9 4 7.8 4.3 30.9 87.5 -2.4 758 3.8
14000 4.7 40.5 080 8 4 7.8 4.3 30.5 86.9 -2.8 709 3.6
13500 5.8 42.4 085 8 4 7.9 4.3 30.2 86.4 -3.1 661 3.4
13000 7.0 44.6 095 8 4 8.0 4.4 29.9 85.9 -3.5 612 3.1
12500 8.1 46.6 105 9 4 8.0 4.4 29.7 85.4 -3.8 563 2.9
12000 9.2 48.6 110 9 5 8.0 4.4 29.4 84.9 -4.1 514 2.6
11500 10.4 50.7 115 9 5 7.8 4.3 29.1 84.4 -4.5 466 2.4
11000 11.4 52.5 120 10 5 7.0 3.8 28.7 83.7 -5.0 421 2.1
10500 12.4 54.3 120 10 5 8.2 4.5 28.3 83.0 -5.4 376 1.9
10250 13.0 55.4 125 10 5 7.8 4.3 28.2 82.8 -5.6 351 1.8
10000 13.5 56.3 125 10 5 6.6 3.6 28.0 82.4 -5.9 329 1.7
9750 13.9 57.0 125 9 5 7.5 4.1 27.8 82.0 -6.1 307 1.6
9500 14.4 57.9 130 9 5 5.2 2.9 27.6 81.6 -6.4 285 1.4
9250 14.7 58.5 130 9 4 4.8 2.6 27.1 80.8 -6.8 268 1.4
9000 15.2 59.4 135 8 4 6.6 3.6 26.8 80.3 -7.1 247 1.3
8750 16.1 61.0 140 7 4 5.3 2.9 26.3 79.4 -7.7 205 1.0
8500 16.4 61.5 140 7 4 4.8 2.6 25.9 78.7 -8.1 187 1.0
8250 16.9 62.4 145 7 3 5.9 3.2 25.6 78.1 -8.4 167 0.8
8000 17.3 63.1 145 6 3 6.0 3.3 25.3 77.5 -8.7 147 0.7
7750 17.7 63.9 150 6 3 5.3 2.9 25.0 77.0 -9.0 126 0.6
7500 18.1 64.6 150 5 3 4.8 2.6 24.6 76.3 -9.4 108 0.5
7250 18.5 65.3 155 5 3 5.5 3.0 24.3 75.7 -9.8 89 0.5
7000 18.9 66.0 160 5 3 5.6 3.1 24.0 75.1 -10.1 70 0.4
6750 19.3 66.7 160 5 3 5.3 2.9 23.6 74.5 -10.5 50 0.3
6500 19.7 67.5 160 5 2 4.8 2.6 23.3 73.9 -10.9 32 0.2
6250 20.0 68.0 155 5 2 6.3 3.4 22.9 73.3 -11.2 13 0.1
6000 20.4 68.7 155 4 2 2.5 1.4 22.6 72.7 -11.6 M M
5750 19.4 66.9 145 3 2 -38.5 -21.1 20.9 69.7 -13.4 17 0.1
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/14/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/14/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +86.6 LI... -1.0 | CAPE... +426.0 LI... -1.7
CINH... -130.7 K Index... +22.2 | CINH... -17.4 K Index... +24.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.7 -82.7 355 9 4 1.6 0.9 | -64.1 -83.4 005 9 5 0.9 0.5
45000 -60.6 -77.1 005 10 5 3.3 1.8 | -61.4 -78.5 005 8 4 3.8 2.1
40000 -54.3 -65.7 005 2 1 8.2 4.5 | -54.4 -65.9 205 5 2 8.1 4.4
38000 -49.4 -56.9 315 3 2 8.1 4.5 | -49.6 -57.3 260 3 2 8.1 4.4
36000 -44.5 -48.1 300 5 3 8.2 4.5 | -44.7 -48.5 305 5 3 8.2 4.5
34000 -39.6 -39.3 010 2 1 8.2 4.5 | -39.6 -39.3 325 2 1 8.5 4.7
32000 -34.7 -30.5 075 6 3 8.2 4.5 | -34.6 -30.3 095 2 1 8.5 4.7
30000 -30.2 -22.4 070 9 5 7.6 4.1 | -29.8 -21.6 075 6 3 7.8 4.3
29000 -27.9 -18.2 070 10 5 7.6 4.2 | -27.5 -17.5 070 8 4 7.8 4.3
28000 -25.7 -14.3 070 12 6 7.1 3.9 | -25.2 -13.4 070 10 5 6.8 3.8
27000 -23.6 -10.5 070 13 7 7.0 3.9 | -23.2 -9.8 070 11 5 6.7 3.7
26000 -21.5 -6.7 075 14 7 7.0 3.9 | -20.8 -5.4 070 12 6 6.7 3.7
25000 -18.9 -2.0 075 15 8 7.2 4.0 | -18.7 -1.7 070 13 7 7.1 3.9
24000 -16.7 1.9 075 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -16.6 2.1 070 13 7 7.2 4.0
23000 -14.6 5.7 070 13 7 7.3 4.0 | -14.4 6.1 070 14 7 7.2 4.0
22000 -12.4 9.7 070 13 6 6.9 3.8 | -12.3 9.9 070 14 7 6.9 3.8
21000 -10.4 13.3 065 12 6 6.9 3.8 | -10.3 13.5 065 14 7 6.9 3.8
20000 -8.3 17.1 055 12 6 6.9 3.8 | -8.2 17.2 060 13 7 6.9 3.8
19500 -7.3 18.9 055 12 6 6.8 3.7 | -7.2 19.0 060 12 6 6.8 3.7
19000 -6.3 20.7 045 12 6 6.8 3.7 | -6.2 20.8 055 12 6 6.6 3.6
18500 -5.3 22.5 040 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -5.3 22.5 045 12 6 6.5 3.6
18000 -4.3 24.3 035 12 6 7.4 4.0 | -4.3 24.3 040 12 6 7.0 3.9
17500 -3.2 26.2 035 12 6 7.4 4.1 | -3.3 26.1 035 12 6 7.1 3.9
17000 -2.1 28.2 030 11 6 7.5 4.1 | -2.2 28.0 030 12 6 7.1 3.9
16500 -1.0 30.2 035 10 5 7.7 4.2 | -1.2 29.8 030 10 5 7.2 4.0
16000 0.1 32.2 040 9 5 7.7 4.2 | -0.2 31.6 025 9 5 7.2 4.0
15500 1.2 34.2 045 8 4 7.3 4.0 | 0.9 33.6 030 8 4 7.4 4.0
15000 2.3 36.1 055 7 4 7.3 4.0 | 1.9 35.4 035 6 3 7.4 4.0
14500 3.3 37.9 065 7 4 7.6 4.2 | 3.0 37.4 040 5 2 7.8 4.3
14000 4.4 39.9 080 7 3 7.7 4.2 | 4.1 39.4 055 3 2 7.9 4.3
13500 5.5 41.9 095 7 3 8.1 4.4 | 5.2 41.4 080 2 1 8.3 4.5
13000 6.7 44.1 105 7 3 8.3 4.6 | 6.5 43.7 105 2 1 8.5 4.7
12500 7.9 46.2 115 7 4 8.3 4.6 | 7.7 45.9 130 3 1 8.6 4.7
12000 9.1 48.4 120 7 4 8.2 4.5 | 8.9 48.0 135 3 2 8.6 4.7
11500 10.2 50.4 125 8 4 7.8 4.3 | 10.2 50.4 140 4 2 8.3 4.6
11000 11.2 52.2 130 8 4 6.8 3.7 | 11.3 52.3 140 5 2 7.6 4.2
10500 12.2 54.0 130 8 4 7.7 4.2 | 12.4 54.3 145 5 3 8.7 4.8
10250 12.7 54.9 135 7 4 7.0 3.8 | 13.0 55.4 145 5 2 8.5 4.6
10000 13.2 55.8 135 7 4 5.9 3.2 | 13.6 56.5 145 5 2 7.9 4.4
9750 13.6 56.5 135 6 3 6.4 3.5 | 14.2 57.6 145 4 2 8.4 4.6
9500 14.0 57.2 140 6 3 5.4 3.0 | 15.3 59.5 145 4 2 7.9 4.3
9250 14.8 58.6 150 5 2 6.1 3.4 | 15.9 60.6 150 4 2 9.8 5.4
9000 15.2 59.4 155 4 2 6.0 3.3 | 16.6 61.9 150 3 2 9.6 5.3
8750 15.7 60.3 160 3 2 5.8 3.2 | 17.3 63.1 155 3 2 8.3 4.6
8500 16.1 61.0 165 3 2 6.0 3.3 | 17.9 64.2 155 3 2 8.6 4.7
8250 16.6 61.9 170 3 1 6.4 3.5 | 18.7 65.7 155 3 2 10.5 5.8
8000 17.0 62.6 175 2 1 6.5 3.6 | 19.4 66.9 160 3 1 10.3 5.6
7750 17.5 63.5 185 2 1 5.8 3.2 | 20.2 68.4 165 3 1 9.5 5.2
7500 17.9 64.2 190 2 1 5.8 3.2 | 20.8 69.4 165 3 1 9.3 5.1
7250 18.4 65.1 200 1 1 8.1 4.4 | 21.6 70.9 170 3 1 10.8 5.9
7000 19.0 66.2 210 1 1 9.3 5.1 | 22.4 72.3 175 3 1 11.1 6.1
6750 19.7 67.5 215 1 1 9.4 5.1 | 23.2 73.8 175 2 1 10.2 5.6
6500 20.4 68.7 220 1 1 9.7 5.3 | 24.0 75.2 175 2 1 10.2 5.6
6250 21.1 70.0 225 1 1 9.3 5.1 | 24.7 76.5 180 2 1 9.3 5.1
6000 21.9 71.4 230 1 1 11.5 6.3 | 25.5 77.9 180 2 1 13.3 7.3
5750 23.2 73.8 240 1 1 26.9 14.8 | 27.5 81.5 190 2 1 50.5 27.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/14/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/14/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +254.2 LI... -0.3 | CAPE... +301.9 LI... -0.2
CINH... -11.4 K Index... +28.5 | CINH... -9.9 K Index... +30.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.6 -84.3 015 9 5 0.9 0.5 | -64.4 -83.9 015 11 6 0.8 0.5
45000 -61.5 -78.7 360 7 4 4.5 2.5 | -61.4 -78.5 010 11 6 4.4 2.4
40000 -53.7 -64.7 260 9 4 7.7 4.2 | -53.6 -64.5 305 7 3 8.0 4.4
38000 -49.1 -56.4 265 6 3 7.7 4.2 | -48.7 -55.7 290 7 4 8.0 4.4
36000 -44.5 -48.1 275 3 2 7.9 4.3 | -43.9 -47.0 280 8 4 7.9 4.3
34000 -39.6 -39.3 290 2 1 8.2 4.5 | -39.4 -38.9 315 7 4 7.6 4.2
32000 -34.6 -30.3 315 2 1 8.2 4.5 | -34.8 -30.6 350 10 5 7.6 4.2
30000 -29.8 -21.6 040 4 2 8.1 4.4 | -29.8 -21.6 005 10 5 8.4 4.6
29000 -27.3 -17.1 050 6 3 8.1 4.4 | -27.3 -17.1 010 10 5 8.4 4.6
28000 -25.0 -13.0 055 8 4 6.8 3.7 | -24.8 -12.6 015 10 5 7.4 4.1
27000 -23.0 -9.4 050 9 4 6.6 3.6 | -22.6 -8.7 020 11 6 7.3 4.0
26000 -20.5 -4.9 050 9 5 6.6 3.6 | -19.9 -3.8 020 12 6 7.3 4.0
25000 -18.5 -1.3 050 10 5 7.4 4.1 | -17.7 0.1 025 12 6 7.3 4.0
24000 -16.2 2.8 055 10 5 7.6 4.2 | -15.5 4.1 025 11 6 7.4 4.0
23000 -14.0 6.8 060 10 5 7.6 4.2 | -13.3 8.1 025 9 5 7.4 4.0
22000 -11.7 10.9 060 11 5 7.4 4.1 | -11.1 12.0 030 8 4 7.4 4.1
21000 -9.5 14.9 055 10 5 7.4 4.1 | -8.9 16.0 035 7 4 7.5 4.1
20000 -7.3 18.9 050 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -6.7 19.9 045 7 3 7.5 4.1
19500 -6.2 20.8 050 10 5 6.7 3.7 | -5.6 21.9 050 6 3 7.1 3.9
19000 -5.4 22.3 045 10 5 5.9 3.2 | -4.7 23.5 055 6 3 6.3 3.4
18500 -4.6 23.7 045 10 5 5.9 3.2 | -3.9 25.0 060 7 3 6.6 3.6
18000 -3.7 25.3 050 11 6 6.5 3.6 | -3.1 26.4 070 7 3 5.6 3.1
17500 -2.8 27.0 050 11 6 6.6 3.6 | -2.4 27.7 080 7 3 5.6 3.1
17000 -1.9 28.6 055 12 6 7.0 3.9 | -1.6 29.1 095 7 4 6.3 3.5
16500 -0.8 30.6 060 12 6 7.6 4.2 | -0.6 30.9 110 6 3 7.6 4.2
16000 0.2 32.4 070 11 6 7.7 4.2 | 0.5 32.9 125 6 3 7.4 4.1
15500 1.3 34.3 075 10 5 8.4 4.6 | 1.7 35.1 135 6 3 8.9 4.9
15000 2.5 36.5 080 9 5 8.3 4.6 | 3.0 37.4 140 6 3 8.7 4.8
14500 3.7 38.7 085 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 4.3 39.7 145 6 3 9.4 5.2
14000 5.0 41.0 095 7 4 8.8 4.8 | 5.7 42.3 150 6 3 9.6 5.3
13500 6.3 43.3 100 6 3 9.0 5.0 | 7.2 45.0 150 6 3 9.7 5.3
13000 7.7 45.9 110 5 3 9.2 5.0 | 8.6 47.5 155 6 3 9.7 5.3
12500 9.0 48.2 120 5 2 9.3 5.1 | 10.1 50.2 160 6 3 9.7 5.3
12000 10.4 50.7 125 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 11.5 52.7 160 5 3 9.6 5.3
11500 11.9 53.4 135 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 12.9 55.2 160 5 3 9.6 5.3
11000 13.3 55.9 145 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 14.3 57.7 165 5 3 9.2 5.0
10500 14.7 58.5 155 3 2 9.6 5.2 | 15.8 60.4 165 5 3 10.2 5.6
10250 15.4 59.7 160 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 16.5 61.7 165 5 3 9.9 5.4
10000 16.1 61.0 165 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 17.3 63.1 165 5 3 9.6 5.3
9750 16.8 62.2 170 3 2 9.4 5.1 | 18.0 64.4 165 5 3 9.6 5.3
9500 17.5 63.5 175 3 2 9.9 5.4 | 18.7 65.7 165 5 3 9.7 5.3
9250 18.3 64.9 180 4 2 10.1 5.5 | 19.4 66.9 170 5 3 9.8 5.4
9000 19.0 66.2 185 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 20.9 69.6 170 5 3 9.9 5.4
8750 20.5 68.9 195 4 2 8.2 4.5 | 21.6 70.9 170 5 2 8.7 4.8
8500 21.0 69.8 195 4 2 8.8 4.8 | 22.2 72.0 170 5 3 9.0 4.9
8250 21.8 71.2 200 4 2 11.0 6.1 | 23.0 73.4 170 5 2 10.4 5.7
8000 22.6 72.7 200 4 2 10.7 5.9 | 23.7 74.7 170 5 2 10.1 5.5
7750 23.4 74.1 205 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 24.5 76.1 175 5 2 9.8 5.4
7500 24.1 75.4 205 5 2 9.1 5.0 | 25.2 77.4 175 5 2 9.6 5.2
7250 24.8 76.6 205 5 2 10.5 5.8 | 25.9 78.6 170 4 2 10.0 5.5
7000 25.6 78.1 210 5 2 10.9 6.0 | 26.7 80.1 170 4 2 10.3 5.7
6750 26.4 79.5 210 5 2 10.3 5.6 | 27.4 81.3 170 4 2 9.9 5.4
6500 27.2 81.0 210 5 2 10.3 5.6 | 28.1 82.6 170 4 2 9.7 5.3
6250 27.9 82.2 210 5 2 9.5 5.2 | 28.9 84.0 170 4 2 9.3 5.1
6000 28.7 83.7 210 5 2 14.5 8.0 | 29.6 85.3 170 4 2 11.9 6.5
5750 31.0 87.8 215 5 2 57.1 31.3 | 31.1 88.0 170 3 2 33.8 18.6
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0723 MDT Monday July 14 2025
This forecast is for Monday, July 14, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 76.3 F/24.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1134 ft/min (5.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18853 ft MSL (12407 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 88.0 F/31.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14757 ft MSL (8311 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 07/15...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:00:02 / 20:20:40 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 20 min 38 sec (860 min 38 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:21 MDT... 75.75 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/14/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16065 ft MSL (9619 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15338 ft MSL (8892 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16549 ft MSL (10104 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.7
K index......................... +21.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.6 -84.3 040 4 2 0.5 0.3 79.3 174.8 28.6 M M
45000 -62.3 -80.1 360 11 6 4.1 2.2 60.4 140.8 18.6 M M
40000 -54.8 -66.6 315 12 6 8.8 4.8 48.7 119.6 11.9 M M
38000 -49.6 -57.3 320 7 4 8.7 4.8 47.6 117.7 11.5 M M
36000 -44.4 -47.9 325 2 1 8.4 4.6 47.1 116.8 11.4 M M
34000 -39.7 -39.5 020 4 2 7.7 4.2 45.2 113.3 10.3 M M
32000 -35.1 -31.2 035 7 4 7.8 4.3 43.8 110.8 9.4 M M
30000 -30.6 -23.1 055 9 5 7.6 4.2 41.9 107.4 8.2 M M
29000 -28.3 -18.9 060 11 5 7.6 4.2 41.1 106.0 7.7 M M
28000 -26.1 -15.0 065 12 6 7.6 4.1 40.4 104.7 7.2 M M
27000 -23.8 -10.8 065 12 6 7.6 4.1 39.5 103.0 6.5 M M
26000 -21.0 -5.8 070 12 6 7.6 4.2 38.5 101.2 5.8 M M
25000 -18.8 -1.8 070 12 6 7.1 3.9 37.7 99.9 5.2 M M
24000 -16.7 1.9 065 11 5 6.9 3.8 36.6 97.9 4.4 M M
23000 -14.7 5.5 055 9 5 7.0 3.8 35.6 96.1 3.6 M M
22000 -12.6 9.3 045 8 4 6.8 3.7 34.7 94.5 2.8 M M
21000 -10.6 12.9 040 8 4 6.7 3.7 33.6 92.4 1.8 M M
20000 -8.6 16.5 035 8 4 6.7 3.7 32.5 90.6 0.9 M M
19500 -7.6 18.3 030 8 4 6.9 3.8 32.1 89.7 0.5 M M
19000 -6.6 20.1 035 8 4 7.3 4.0 31.6 88.9 0.1 M M
18500 -5.5 22.1 040 7 4 7.3 4.0 31.2 88.2 -0.3 1101 5.6
18000 -4.4 24.1 045 7 3 7.4 4.1 30.8 87.4 -0.7 1054 5.4
17500 -3.3 26.1 050 6 3 7.5 4.1 30.4 86.7 -1.0 1006 5.1
17000 -2.2 28.0 055 6 3 7.6 4.2 30.0 86.1 -1.4 958 4.9
16500 -1.1 30.0 060 7 3 7.8 4.3 29.7 85.4 -1.7 910 4.6
16000 0.0 32.0 060 7 4 7.8 4.3 29.4 84.9 -2.1 861 4.4
15500 1.2 34.2 060 7 4 7.7 4.2 29.0 84.3 -2.4 812 4.1
15000 2.3 36.1 060 8 4 7.8 4.3 28.7 83.7 -2.8 764 3.9
14500 3.4 38.1 060 8 4 8.1 4.4 28.4 83.1 -3.1 716 3.6
14000 4.6 40.3 060 8 4 8.2 4.5 28.1 82.6 -3.5 666 3.4
13500 5.7 42.3 060 8 4 8.1 4.4 27.9 82.2 -3.8 617 3.1
13000 6.8 44.2 065 7 4 7.9 4.3 27.6 81.7 -4.2 569 2.9
12500 8.0 46.4 075 7 3 7.8 4.3 27.3 81.2 -4.5 520 2.6
12000 9.0 48.2 095 6 3 7.4 4.0 26.9 80.5 -4.9 473 2.4
11500 10.1 50.2 120 6 3 7.2 3.9 26.6 79.8 -5.3 427 2.2
11000 11.2 52.2 135 7 4 8.1 4.4 26.2 79.2 -5.8 380 1.9
10500 12.8 55.0 150 9 4 7.8 4.3 25.8 78.5 -6.3 307 1.6
10250 13.4 56.1 155 9 5 7.9 4.3 25.7 78.2 -6.5 283 1.4
10000 14.0 57.2 155 9 5 8.0 4.4 25.5 77.9 -6.7 259 1.3
9750 14.5 58.1 155 9 5 7.8 4.3 25.4 77.7 -6.9 235 1.2
9500 15.0 59.0 155 9 5 7.2 4.0 25.2 77.4 -7.1 211 1.1
9250 15.6 60.1 155 8 4 6.9 3.8 25.0 77.0 -7.3 189 1.0
9000 16.1 61.0 155 8 4 7.0 3.9 24.8 76.6 -7.6 166 0.8
8750 16.6 61.9 155 7 4 6.4 3.5 24.6 76.2 -7.8 144 0.7
8500 17.0 62.6 150 6 3 5.2 2.8 24.3 75.7 -8.1 124 0.6
8250 17.3 63.1 145 5 3 5.0 2.7 23.9 75.0 -8.5 106 0.5
8000 17.7 63.9 140 5 2 5.4 3.0 23.6 74.4 -8.9 87 0.4
7750 18.1 64.6 135 4 2 4.5 2.5 23.2 73.8 -9.3 68 0.3
7500 18.4 65.1 125 3 2 3.3 1.8 22.7 72.9 -9.7 53 0.3
7250 18.6 65.5 115 3 1 4.2 2.3 22.3 72.1 -10.2 37 0.2
7000 18.9 66.0 095 2 1 1.1 0.6 21.8 71.3 -10.7 22 0.1
6750 18.5 65.3 080 2 1 -11.9 -6.5 20.7 69.3 -11.8 26 0.1
6500 16.9 62.4 075 2 1 -29.6 -16.2 18.4 65.2 -14.2 67 0.3
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/14/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/14/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +218.2 LI... -1.0 | CAPE... +554.0 LI... -1.6
CINH... -95.3 K Index... +18.6 | CINH... -4.0 K Index... +21.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 350 12 6 1.3 0.7 | -63.6 -82.5 025 10 5 0.8 0.4
45000 -61.6 -78.9 360 16 8 3.4 1.8 | -61.2 -78.2 030 11 5 3.5 1.9
40000 -55.0 -67.0 360 6 3 8.8 4.8 | -54.6 -66.3 165 1 1 8.1 4.4
38000 -49.8 -57.6 335 5 3 8.8 4.8 | -49.8 -57.6 305 3 2 8.0 4.4
36000 -44.5 -48.1 310 5 3 8.4 4.6 | -45.0 -49.0 310 7 4 8.1 4.4
34000 -39.8 -39.6 005 2 1 7.8 4.3 | -40.1 -40.2 360 3 2 8.1 4.5
32000 -35.2 -31.4 075 5 3 7.8 4.3 | -35.2 -31.4 065 6 3 8.1 4.4
30000 -30.5 -22.9 085 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -30.3 -22.5 085 8 4 8.3 4.6
29000 -28.2 -18.8 090 9 5 7.8 4.3 | -27.8 -18.0 090 9 5 8.3 4.6
28000 -25.9 -14.6 090 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -25.3 -13.5 095 10 5 7.2 3.9
27000 -23.2 -9.8 085 11 6 7.2 3.9 | -22.7 -8.9 085 10 5 7.0 3.8
26000 -21.1 -6.0 080 11 6 7.2 4.0 | -20.7 -5.3 080 11 5 7.0 3.8
25000 -18.9 -2.0 075 12 6 7.4 4.1 | -18.6 -1.5 075 11 6 7.3 4.0
24000 -16.7 1.9 070 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -16.4 2.5 075 12 6 7.4 4.0
23000 -14.4 6.1 070 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -14.2 6.4 070 12 6 7.4 4.0
22000 -12.2 10.0 065 12 6 7.1 3.9 | -12.0 10.4 070 13 7 6.9 3.8
21000 -10.1 13.8 060 12 6 7.1 3.9 | -10.0 14.0 065 13 7 6.9 3.8
20000 -8.0 17.6 050 12 6 7.1 3.9 | -7.9 17.8 060 13 7 6.9 3.8
19500 -6.9 19.6 045 12 6 7.0 3.9 | -6.9 19.6 055 13 7 6.7 3.7
19000 -5.9 21.4 045 11 6 6.9 3.8 | -5.9 21.4 055 13 6 6.5 3.6
18500 -4.9 23.2 040 10 5 6.9 3.8 | -5.0 23.0 050 12 6 6.5 3.6
18000 -3.9 25.0 035 9 5 6.9 3.8 | -4.0 24.8 045 12 6 6.6 3.6
17500 -2.8 27.0 030 8 4 7.0 3.8 | -3.1 26.4 040 12 6 6.7 3.7
17000 -1.8 28.8 025 7 4 7.0 3.8 | -2.1 28.2 035 11 6 6.8 3.7
16500 -0.8 30.6 025 6 3 7.1 3.9 | -1.1 30.0 030 11 5 7.0 3.9
16000 0.2 32.4 030 6 3 7.1 3.9 | -0.1 31.8 025 10 5 7.1 3.9
15500 1.3 34.3 035 5 3 7.3 4.0 | 0.9 33.6 025 9 5 7.4 4.1
15000 2.3 36.1 045 5 3 7.3 4.0 | 1.9 35.4 025 8 4 7.5 4.1
14500 3.3 37.9 060 5 3 7.5 4.1 | 2.9 37.2 030 7 3 7.5 4.1
14000 4.4 39.9 065 6 3 7.5 4.1 | 3.9 39.0 035 5 3 7.7 4.2
13500 5.5 41.9 075 6 3 7.7 4.2 | 5.0 41.0 050 4 2 8.1 4.5
13000 6.6 43.9 080 7 3 7.9 4.3 | 6.2 43.2 065 3 1 8.5 4.7
12500 7.7 45.9 085 7 3 7.8 4.3 | 7.4 45.3 090 2 1 8.6 4.7
12000 8.8 47.8 095 6 3 7.6 4.2 | 8.6 47.5 110 2 1 8.7 4.8
11500 9.8 49.6 105 6 3 7.8 4.3 | 9.9 49.8 130 2 1 8.9 4.9
11000 11.5 52.7 130 5 3 7.6 4.2 | 11.9 53.4 155 2 1 9.2 5.0
10500 12.6 54.7 140 5 3 8.0 4.4 | 13.4 56.1 165 3 1 9.9 5.5
10250 13.1 55.6 145 5 3 7.5 4.1 | 14.1 57.4 170 3 1 9.1 5.0
10000 13.7 56.7 150 5 2 7.6 4.1 | 14.8 58.6 175 3 1 9.1 5.0
9750 14.2 57.6 155 5 2 7.2 4.0 | 15.4 59.7 180 3 2 9.4 5.2
9500 14.6 58.3 155 4 2 6.5 3.6 | 16.2 61.2 185 3 2 10.2 5.6
9250 15.1 59.2 155 4 2 6.6 3.6 | 16.9 62.4 190 3 2 9.9 5.4
9000 15.6 60.1 155 3 2 7.1 3.9 | 17.6 63.7 190 3 2 9.4 5.2
8750 16.1 61.0 155 3 2 6.1 3.3 | 18.3 64.9 195 4 2 9.8 5.4
8500 16.4 61.5 145 2 1 4.4 2.4 | 19.1 66.4 200 4 2 10.1 5.5
8250 16.7 62.1 125 1 1 5.3 2.9 | 19.8 67.6 200 4 2 10.1 5.5
8000 17.2 63.0 090 1 1 7.3 4.0 | 20.6 69.1 205 4 2 9.8 5.4
7750 17.8 64.0 060 1 1 8.5 4.7 | 21.3 70.3 205 4 2 10.2 5.6
7500 18.5 65.3 050 1 1 9.1 5.0 | 22.1 71.8 205 4 2 10.9 6.0
7250 19.1 66.4 040 1 1 8.6 4.7 | 22.9 73.2 210 4 2 10.4 5.7
7000 19.8 67.6 030 1 1 10.1 5.6 | 23.7 74.7 210 4 2 11.7 6.4
6750 20.7 69.3 020 1 1 14.8 8.1 | 24.8 76.6 210 4 2 19.0 10.4
6500 21.9 71.4 010 1 1 15.9 8.7 | 26.6 79.9 215 4 2 32.8 18.0
07/14/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/14/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +312.5 LI... -0.8 | CAPE... +335.2 LI... -0.7
CINH... -23.9 K Index... +29.8 | CINH... -19.6 K Index... +27.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.8 -82.8 015 8 4 0.9 0.5 | -64.1 -83.4 020 10 5 0.6 0.3
45000 -61.2 -78.2 005 9 5 3.7 2.0 | -61.2 -78.2 015 11 6 4.4 2.4
40000 -54.3 -65.7 285 6 3 8.0 4.4 | -53.7 -64.7 315 7 4 8.1 4.5
38000 -49.5 -57.1 325 4 2 8.0 4.4 | -48.8 -55.8 310 6 3 8.1 4.4
36000 -44.7 -48.5 005 5 3 8.2 4.5 | -44.0 -47.2 305 5 2 8.0 4.4
34000 -39.6 -39.3 030 5 3 8.6 4.7 | -39.3 -38.7 340 5 3 7.9 4.3
32000 -34.4 -29.9 050 6 3 8.6 4.7 | -34.6 -30.3 005 8 4 7.9 4.3
30000 -29.5 -21.1 065 7 4 8.2 4.5 | -29.8 -21.6 020 9 4 8.0 4.4
29000 -27.0 -16.6 070 8 4 8.2 4.5 | -27.4 -17.3 025 9 5 8.0 4.4
28000 -24.6 -12.3 070 9 4 7.2 4.0 | -24.4 -11.9 030 9 5 7.9 4.4
27000 -22.0 -7.6 070 9 4 7.1 3.9 | -22.1 -7.8 035 9 5 8.0 4.4
26000 -19.9 -3.8 070 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -19.7 -3.5 040 8 4 8.0 4.4
25000 -17.8 -0.0 070 8 4 7.4 4.0 | -17.4 0.7 040 8 4 7.0 3.8
24000 -15.6 3.9 070 8 4 7.5 4.1 | -15.4 4.3 050 8 4 6.6 3.6
23000 -13.4 7.9 075 7 4 7.5 4.1 | -13.4 7.9 055 7 4 6.6 3.6
22000 -11.2 11.8 080 7 4 6.6 3.6 | -11.4 11.5 060 7 4 7.0 3.8
21000 -9.3 15.3 080 6 3 6.5 3.6 | -9.3 15.3 065 6 3 7.2 3.9
20000 -7.5 18.5 080 5 3 6.5 3.6 | -7.3 18.9 065 5 3 7.2 4.0
19500 -6.5 20.3 080 5 3 6.1 3.4 | -6.2 20.8 065 5 2 7.0 3.8
19000 -5.8 21.6 080 4 2 5.2 2.8 | -5.3 22.5 075 3 2 6.0 3.3
18500 -5.1 22.8 075 4 2 5.2 2.8 | -4.5 23.9 100 1 1 6.1 3.3
18000 -4.3 24.3 075 3 2 6.6 3.6 | -3.6 25.5 205 1 1 6.7 3.7
17500 -3.3 26.1 075 3 1 6.8 3.7 | -2.7 27.1 225 3 2 6.8 3.8
17000 -2.4 27.7 080 2 1 7.0 3.9 | -1.7 28.9 230 5 3 7.3 4.0
16500 -1.3 29.7 105 2 1 7.5 4.1 | -0.5 31.1 230 6 3 8.7 4.8
16000 -0.3 31.5 140 2 1 7.4 4.1 | 0.7 33.3 230 7 4 8.6 4.7
15500 0.9 33.6 165 2 1 8.7 4.8 | 2.0 35.6 230 8 4 8.9 4.9
15000 2.2 36.0 175 2 1 8.6 4.7 | 3.3 37.9 225 8 4 8.9 4.9
14500 3.5 38.3 180 3 1 9.2 5.1 | 4.6 40.3 220 8 4 8.9 4.9
14000 4.9 40.8 180 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 5.9 42.6 215 8 4 8.9 4.9
13500 6.3 43.3 180 3 2 9.6 5.2 | 7.2 45.0 210 8 4 8.9 4.9
13000 7.7 45.9 180 3 2 9.7 5.3 | 8.5 47.3 205 8 4 8.9 4.9
12500 9.2 48.6 180 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 10.5 50.9 195 7 4 9.3 5.1
12000 10.6 51.1 180 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 11.9 53.4 185 7 3 9.5 5.2
11500 12.7 54.9 180 4 2 8.9 4.9 | 13.3 55.9 185 7 4 9.3 5.1
11000 14.1 57.4 180 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 14.7 58.5 175 7 3 9.3 5.1
10500 15.6 60.1 185 4 2 9.8 5.4 | 16.1 61.0 160 6 3 9.3 5.1
10250 16.3 61.3 185 4 2 8.9 4.9 | 16.8 62.2 160 6 3 9.4 5.2
10000 16.9 62.4 180 4 2 9.1 5.0 | 17.5 63.5 155 6 3 9.4 5.1
9750 17.6 63.7 180 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 18.2 64.8 155 6 3 9.4 5.1
9500 18.3 64.9 180 4 2 10.4 5.7 | 18.9 66.0 150 6 3 10.1 5.5
9250 19.1 66.4 185 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 19.6 67.3 145 6 3 9.6 5.3
9000 19.8 67.6 175 4 2 8.5 4.7 | 20.3 68.5 145 6 3 8.7 4.8
8750 20.4 68.7 170 3 2 9.1 5.0 | 21.0 69.8 140 6 3 8.9 4.9
8500 21.1 70.0 170 3 2 10.3 5.7 | 21.6 70.9 135 6 3 9.7 5.3
8250 21.9 71.4 175 3 2 9.9 5.4 | 22.4 72.3 135 6 3 9.3 5.1
8000 22.5 72.5 170 3 2 7.8 4.3 | 23.0 73.4 125 6 3 7.7 4.2
7750 23.1 73.6 165 3 2 8.8 4.8 | 23.5 74.3 115 6 3 8.0 4.4
7500 23.9 75.0 165 3 2 10.7 5.9 | 24.2 75.6 110 6 3 9.5 5.2
7250 24.7 76.5 165 3 2 11.3 6.2 | 24.9 76.8 105 6 3 10.3 5.6
7000 25.5 77.9 165 3 2 8.8 4.8 | 25.6 78.1 100 6 3 7.6 4.1
6750 26.1 79.0 170 3 2 12.2 6.7 | 26.1 79.0 095 6 3 8.3 4.5
6500 28.3 82.9 160 3 1 62.7 34.4 | 27.5 81.5 090 6 3 41.2 22.6
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Albuquerque (KABX) Radar Velocity Azimuth Display Wind Profile (Observed) |
Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profile (Forecast from Rapid Refresh Model)Lowest 2000 ft Above Ground LevelVertical Wind Profile (for lowest 2000 ft) |
Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profiler at Double Eagle Airport (Real-time observations)Note: The Wind Profiler is moved to Balloon Fiesta Park during Balloon FiestaDouble Eagle (Albuquerque) Vertical Wind Profiler |
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