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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0845 MDT Sunday August 10 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, August 10, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 81.7 F/27.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1410 ft/min (7.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20639 ft MSL (14312 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17445 ft MSL (11118 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 08/11....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:20:49 / 19:57:47 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 36 min 58 sec (816 min 58 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:18 MDT... 70.22 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/10/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16011 ft MSL (9684 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17518 ft MSL (11191 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18840 ft MSL (12513 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.6
K index......................... +26.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.2 -87.2 275 22 11 -1.1 -0.6 77.6 171.8 26.8 M M
45000 -64.4 -83.9 270 37 19 6.5 3.5 56.7 134.0 15.5 M M
40000 -54.5 -66.1 270 34 17 7.3 4.0 49.8 121.6 11.9 M M
38000 -50.2 -58.4 275 29 15 7.3 4.0 47.4 117.3 10.6 M M
36000 -45.8 -50.4 275 24 13 7.2 3.9 45.7 114.2 9.6 M M
34000 -40.9 -41.6 280 20 11 8.4 4.6 44.2 111.5 8.7 M M
32000 -35.3 -31.5 285 16 8 8.4 4.6 43.2 109.7 8.2 M M
30000 -30.4 -22.7 275 16 8 8.2 4.5 41.8 107.2 7.3 M M
29000 -28.0 -18.4 270 16 8 8.3 4.5 41.3 106.3 7.0 M M
28000 -25.6 -14.1 270 17 9 6.6 3.6 40.7 105.2 6.5 M M
27000 -23.7 -10.7 270 20 10 6.7 3.7 39.4 102.9 5.6 M M
26000 -21.7 -7.1 270 22 11 6.7 3.7 38.3 100.9 4.7 M M
25000 -19.7 -3.5 270 25 13 6.9 3.8 37.3 99.1 3.9 M M
24000 -17.6 0.3 270 22 11 7.3 4.0 36.2 97.2 3.0 M M
23000 -15.5 4.1 270 18 9 7.3 4.0 35.4 95.6 2.3 M M
22000 -13.3 8.1 270 15 8 6.9 3.8 34.6 94.3 1.6 M M
21000 -11.5 11.3 270 11 6 6.5 3.5 33.3 92.0 0.5 M M
20000 -9.6 14.7 265 8 4 6.5 3.6 32.2 90.0 -0.6 1362 6.9
19500 -8.6 16.5 260 6 3 6.5 3.6 31.7 89.1 -1.0 1319 6.7
19000 -7.7 18.1 255 5 2 6.3 3.4 31.1 88.0 -1.6 1277 6.5
18500 -6.8 19.8 250 4 2 6.3 3.5 30.5 87.0 -2.1 1235 6.3
18000 -5.3 22.5 240 3 1 8.7 4.7 29.9 85.8 -2.8 1166 5.9
17500 -4.0 24.8 250 2 1 8.4 4.6 29.6 85.4 -3.0 1114 5.7
17000 -2.7 27.1 260 2 1 9.5 5.2 29.5 85.0 -3.2 1061 5.4
16500 -1.2 29.8 275 3 2 10.1 5.5 29.5 85.1 -3.2 1001 5.1
16000 0.3 32.5 290 4 2 10.1 5.5 29.6 85.3 -3.1 941 4.8
15500 1.7 35.1 290 5 3 9.5 5.2 29.6 85.3 -3.2 883 4.5
15000 3.2 37.8 295 7 3 9.6 5.3 29.6 85.2 -3.2 825 4.2
14500 4.6 40.3 295 8 4 9.3 5.1 29.5 85.1 -3.3 768 3.9
14000 5.9 42.6 290 10 5 9.3 5.1 29.4 85.0 -3.4 712 3.6
13500 7.3 45.1 290 12 6 9.0 4.9 29.4 84.9 -3.5 656 3.3
13000 8.6 47.5 290 14 7 8.9 4.9 29.2 84.6 -3.6 602 3.1
12500 10.0 50.0 285 15 8 8.9 4.9 29.1 84.4 -3.8 548 2.8
12000 11.3 52.3 285 17 9 8.9 4.9 29.0 84.1 -3.9 493 2.5
11500 12.6 54.7 285 18 9 8.9 4.9 28.8 83.9 -4.1 439 2.2
11000 13.9 57.0 280 19 10 9.1 5.0 28.7 83.7 -4.2 384 2.0
10500 15.3 59.5 280 20 10 8.8 4.8 28.6 83.5 -4.4 329 1.7
10250 15.9 60.6 280 21 11 8.6 4.7 28.5 83.3 -4.5 303 1.5
10000 16.6 61.9 280 21 11 8.9 4.9 28.4 83.2 -4.5 276 1.4
9750 17.2 63.0 280 22 11 8.7 4.8 28.4 83.1 -4.6 249 1.3
9500 17.9 64.2 275 22 11 9.2 5.0 28.3 83.0 -4.7 222 1.1
9250 18.6 65.5 275 22 12 9.7 5.3 28.3 82.9 -4.7 193 1.0
9000 19.3 66.7 275 23 12 8.5 4.7 28.3 82.9 -4.8 165 0.8
8750 19.8 67.6 275 23 12 7.5 4.1 28.1 82.6 -5.0 140 0.7
8500 20.4 68.7 275 23 12 8.1 4.5 28.0 82.3 -5.1 116 0.6
8250 21.0 69.8 275 23 12 8.6 4.7 27.9 82.2 -5.2 90 0.5
8000 21.7 71.1 270 23 12 8.1 4.5 27.8 82.0 -5.4 64 0.3
7750 22.2 72.0 270 23 12 7.7 4.2 27.6 81.7 -5.5 39 0.2
7500 22.7 72.9 265 23 12 5.4 3.0 27.4 81.3 -5.8 17 0.1
7250 23.0 73.4 265 21 11 3.4 1.9 27.0 80.6 -6.2 1 0.0
7000 23.3 73.9 260 20 10 4.8 2.6 26.5 79.8 -6.7 M M
6750 23.6 74.5 260 18 9 1.8 1.0 26.1 79.0 -7.1 M M
6500 23.3 73.9 255 15 8 -8.8 -4.8 25.2 77.3 -8.1 M M
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/10/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/10/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +194.3 LI... -0.9 | CAPE... +340.5 LI... -1.6
CINH... -9.3 K Index... +26.7 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... +29.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.0 -85.0 285 23 12 -0.1 -0.1 | -63.9 -83.0 275 17 9 -0.6 -0.3
45000 -62.8 -81.0 280 31 16 4.9 2.7 | -62.6 -80.7 265 24 13 4.3 2.3
40000 -55.0 -67.0 275 29 15 7.2 3.9 | -55.6 -68.1 265 30 15 7.9 4.4
38000 -50.7 -59.3 270 26 14 7.2 4.0 | -50.8 -59.4 270 26 14 8.0 4.4
36000 -46.4 -51.5 260 24 13 7.2 3.9 | -46.0 -50.8 280 23 12 8.1 4.4
34000 -41.1 -42.0 255 20 11 7.9 4.3 | -40.7 -41.3 265 22 11 7.8 4.3
32000 -36.4 -33.5 250 17 9 8.0 4.4 | -36.0 -32.8 250 23 12 7.8 4.3
30000 -31.5 -24.7 255 17 8 8.2 4.5 | -31.5 -24.7 245 22 11 7.4 4.1
29000 -29.1 -20.4 255 17 9 8.2 4.5 | -29.3 -20.7 245 22 11 7.5 4.1
28000 -26.7 -16.1 260 17 9 8.4 4.6 | -27.1 -16.8 240 22 11 7.7 4.2
27000 -24.2 -11.6 255 17 9 8.4 4.6 | -24.8 -12.6 245 21 11 7.7 4.2
26000 -21.7 -7.1 255 17 9 8.4 4.6 | -22.5 -8.5 250 20 10 7.7 4.2
25000 -19.2 -2.6 250 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -20.2 -4.4 255 19 10 7.6 4.2
24000 -17.1 1.2 250 16 8 7.0 3.8 | -18.0 -0.4 255 18 9 7.6 4.2
23000 -15.1 4.8 255 16 8 7.0 3.9 | -15.8 3.6 250 18 9 7.7 4.2
22000 -13.0 8.6 255 15 8 6.6 3.6 | -13.6 7.5 250 18 9 7.2 3.9
21000 -11.2 11.8 250 13 7 6.2 3.4 | -11.6 11.1 260 17 9 6.9 3.8
20000 -9.4 15.1 250 12 6 6.3 3.4 | -9.6 14.7 270 17 9 6.9 3.8
19500 -8.5 16.7 245 11 6 6.3 3.4 | -8.6 16.5 275 17 9 6.9 3.8
19000 -7.6 18.3 245 11 6 6.5 3.6 | -7.6 18.3 280 17 9 7.6 4.2
18500 -6.2 20.8 240 10 5 6.5 3.6 | -6.0 21.2 280 15 8 7.6 4.1
18000 -5.1 22.8 240 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -4.9 23.2 275 14 7 7.6 4.2
17500 -4.1 24.6 245 10 5 7.2 4.0 | -3.8 25.2 275 13 7 7.6 4.2
17000 -3.0 26.6 245 9 5 8.1 4.5 | -2.6 27.3 270 13 6 8.7 4.8
16500 -1.7 28.9 255 9 5 8.5 4.7 | -1.3 29.7 270 12 6 9.1 5.0
16000 -0.5 31.1 260 9 5 8.8 4.8 | 0.1 32.2 270 12 6 9.3 5.1
15500 0.9 33.6 265 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 1.5 34.7 265 11 6 9.6 5.3
15000 2.4 36.3 270 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 2.9 37.2 265 11 6 9.6 5.3
14500 3.8 38.8 275 10 5 10.0 5.5 | 4.4 39.9 265 11 6 9.5 5.2
14000 5.3 41.5 280 11 5 10.0 5.5 | 5.8 42.4 265 11 6 9.5 5.2
13500 6.8 44.2 280 11 6 9.3 5.1 | 7.2 45.0 265 11 6 9.6 5.3
13000 8.2 46.8 280 11 6 9.2 5.1 | 8.6 47.5 265 11 6 9.6 5.3
12500 9.6 49.3 280 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 10.1 50.2 260 11 6 9.8 5.4
12000 11.0 51.8 280 12 6 9.6 5.2 | 11.6 52.9 260 11 6 9.9 5.4
11500 12.4 54.3 280 13 6 8.9 4.9 | 13.0 55.4 260 11 6 9.3 5.1
11000 13.7 56.7 280 13 7 9.6 5.2 | 14.4 57.9 260 12 6 9.6 5.2
10500 15.2 59.4 280 13 7 7.9 4.4 | 15.9 60.6 260 12 6 8.7 4.8
10250 15.7 60.3 280 13 7 8.0 4.4 | 16.5 61.7 260 12 6 9.3 5.1
10000 16.4 61.5 280 13 7 10.1 5.6 | 17.3 63.1 260 12 6 10.8 5.9
9750 17.1 62.8 280 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 18.0 64.4 260 13 7 10.4 5.7
9500 17.8 64.0 280 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 18.8 65.8 260 13 7 10.4 5.7
9250 18.6 65.5 280 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 19.6 67.3 260 13 7 10.2 5.6
9000 19.3 66.7 280 14 7 9.0 4.9 | 20.3 68.5 260 13 7 9.7 5.3
8750 19.9 67.8 280 14 7 8.3 4.6 | 21.0 69.8 255 14 7 9.2 5.1
8500 20.5 68.9 275 14 7 9.0 4.9 | 21.7 71.1 255 14 7 9.8 5.4
8250 21.2 70.2 275 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 22.5 72.5 255 14 7 10.1 5.6
8000 21.9 71.4 275 14 7 9.2 5.0 | 23.2 73.8 255 14 7 10.0 5.5
7750 22.6 72.7 275 15 8 8.8 4.8 | 24.0 75.2 255 14 7 10.0 5.5
7500 23.2 73.8 275 15 8 8.9 4.9 | 24.7 76.5 255 14 7 10.1 5.5
7250 23.9 75.0 275 16 8 9.1 5.0 | 25.5 77.9 255 14 7 10.4 5.7
7000 24.5 76.1 275 16 8 8.8 4.8 | 26.3 79.3 255 14 7 9.4 5.2
6750 25.2 77.4 275 17 9 9.7 5.3 | 27.0 80.6 255 14 7 13.1 7.2
6500 26.0 78.8 270 16 8 12.3 6.7 | 28.4 83.1 255 14 7 23.9 13.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/10/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/10/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +250.4 LI... -1.1 | CAPE... +113.4 LI... -1.2
CINH... -20.4 K Index... +27.1 | CINH... -170.3 K Index... +27.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.0 -83.2 280 14 7 -1.0 -0.5 | -64.3 -83.7 285 14 7 0.1 0.0
45000 -63.3 -81.9 260 24 12 3.8 2.1 | -62.4 -80.3 255 25 13 4.1 2.2
40000 -56.7 -70.1 250 26 13 8.7 4.8 | -55.6 -68.1 225 36 19 8.2 4.5
38000 -51.4 -60.5 245 22 12 8.9 4.9 | -50.6 -59.1 240 28 14 8.4 4.6
36000 -46.1 -51.0 240 19 10 8.9 4.9 | -44.9 -48.8 265 23 12 8.5 4.7
34000 -40.2 -40.4 260 21 11 8.8 4.8 | -39.6 -39.3 270 26 13 8.8 4.8
32000 -34.9 -30.8 270 25 13 8.6 4.7 | -34.4 -29.9 275 29 15 8.8 4.8
30000 -30.5 -22.9 265 26 13 7.2 4.0 | -29.7 -21.5 280 32 16 7.7 4.2
29000 -28.4 -19.1 260 26 14 7.2 4.0 | -27.4 -17.3 280 33 17 7.8 4.3
28000 -26.2 -15.2 260 27 14 6.9 3.8 | -25.2 -13.4 285 34 18 6.4 3.5
27000 -24.1 -11.4 260 26 14 7.0 3.8 | -23.3 -9.9 285 34 18 6.2 3.4
26000 -22.0 -7.6 265 26 13 7.0 3.8 | -21.5 -6.7 285 35 18 6.2 3.4
25000 -19.9 -3.8 270 26 13 6.6 3.6 | -19.6 -3.3 290 35 18 6.4 3.5
24000 -18.1 -0.6 270 24 12 5.9 3.3 | -17.6 0.3 290 31 16 7.0 3.9
23000 -16.4 2.5 270 22 11 6.1 3.4 | -15.6 3.9 290 27 14 7.1 3.9
22000 -14.7 5.5 270 20 11 7.7 4.2 | -13.5 7.7 295 23 12 7.3 4.0
21000 -12.1 10.2 275 20 10 8.9 4.9 | -11.4 11.5 300 22 11 7.5 4.1
20000 -9.6 14.7 275 20 10 9.0 4.9 | -8.6 16.5 300 21 11 7.5 4.1
19500 -8.3 17.1 280 20 10 9.0 4.9 | -7.5 18.5 305 21 11 7.0 3.8
19000 -6.6 20.1 280 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -6.6 20.1 305 20 11 6.3 3.5
18500 -5.6 21.9 280 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -5.7 21.7 305 20 11 6.0 3.3
18000 -4.4 24.1 280 20 10 8.7 4.8 | -4.6 23.7 305 20 10 9.5 5.2
17500 -3.1 26.4 280 20 10 8.6 4.7 | -3.2 26.2 305 20 10 9.4 5.2
17000 -1.8 28.8 280 19 10 9.5 5.2 | -1.8 28.8 305 20 10 9.7 5.3
16500 -0.3 31.5 280 19 10 10.0 5.5 | -0.3 31.5 305 20 10 10.0 5.5
16000 1.2 34.2 280 19 10 10.0 5.5 | 1.2 34.2 305 19 10 10.1 5.5
15500 2.6 36.7 280 19 10 9.9 5.4 | 2.7 36.9 305 19 10 10.0 5.5
15000 4.1 39.4 280 18 9 9.9 5.4 | 4.2 39.6 305 18 9 10.0 5.5
14500 5.6 42.1 280 18 9 9.5 5.2 | 5.7 42.3 310 17 9 9.4 5.1
14000 7.0 44.6 280 18 9 9.5 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 310 16 8 9.3 5.1
13500 8.4 47.1 280 17 9 9.5 5.2 | 8.4 47.1 310 15 8 9.0 4.9
13000 9.8 49.6 280 17 8 9.4 5.2 | 9.7 49.5 310 14 7 8.8 4.8
12500 11.2 52.2 280 16 8 9.2 5.1 | 11.0 51.8 310 12 6 8.8 4.8
12000 12.6 54.7 275 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 12.3 54.1 305 10 5 8.7 4.8
11500 13.9 57.0 275 14 7 8.9 4.9 | 13.6 56.5 300 8 4 7.9 4.3
11000 15.2 59.4 270 13 7 8.7 4.8 | 14.6 58.3 290 6 3 7.6 4.2
10500 16.5 61.7 260 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 15.7 60.3 265 4 2 7.0 3.9
10250 17.1 62.8 260 12 6 8.3 4.5 | 16.2 61.2 235 3 2 6.8 3.7
10000 17.7 63.9 255 11 6 8.6 4.7 | 16.7 62.1 210 4 2 7.3 4.0
9750 18.4 65.1 250 11 5 8.4 4.6 | 17.3 63.1 195 5 3 7.2 4.0
9500 19.0 66.2 240 10 5 8.9 4.9 | 17.8 64.0 185 6 3 7.3 4.0
9250 19.7 67.5 235 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 18.3 64.9 175 8 4 7.3 4.0
9000 20.3 68.5 230 10 5 8.6 4.7 | 18.8 65.8 170 10 5 6.2 3.4
8750 20.9 69.6 220 10 5 7.9 4.3 | 19.2 66.6 170 11 6 5.4 2.9
8500 21.5 70.7 215 10 5 8.5 4.7 | 19.6 67.3 165 13 7 5.7 3.1
8250 22.2 72.0 210 10 5 9.1 5.0 | 20.1 68.2 165 15 8 6.0 3.3
8000 22.9 73.2 205 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 20.5 68.9 165 16 8 6.2 3.4
7750 23.5 74.3 195 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 21.0 69.8 160 18 9 6.7 3.7
7500 24.2 75.6 190 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 21.4 70.5 160 19 10 5.7 3.1
7250 24.9 76.8 190 10 5 9.9 5.5 | 21.7 71.1 160 19 10 4.4 2.4
7000 25.6 78.1 185 10 5 9.4 5.1 | 22.0 71.6 160 19 10 4.4 2.4
6750 26.4 79.5 180 11 5 10.8 5.9 | 22.3 72.1 160 19 10 3.1 1.7
6500 27.3 81.1 175 11 5 16.9 9.3 | 22.5 72.5 160 18 9 5.3 2.9
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0844 MDT Sunday August 10 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, August 10, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 84.0 F/28.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1343 ft/min (6.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19657 ft MSL (13982 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 93.0 F/34.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16711 ft MSL (11035 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 08/11....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:23:12 / 20:00:22 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 37 min 10 sec (817 min 10 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:11:47 MDT... 70.10 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/10/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15676 ft MSL (10001 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16895 ft MSL (11220 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18188 ft MSL (12513 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.0
K index......................... +28.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.9 -86.6 280 23 12 -0.7 -0.4 80.5 176.9 27.3 M M
45000 -63.9 -83.0 275 39 20 6.0 3.3 59.7 139.5 16.2 M M
40000 -54.8 -66.6 270 33 17 7.3 4.0 51.7 125.1 12.0 M M
38000 -50.4 -58.7 275 28 15 7.4 4.0 49.4 120.9 10.7 M M
36000 -46.0 -50.8 275 23 12 7.2 4.0 47.7 117.8 9.8 M M
34000 -40.5 -40.9 275 20 10 8.3 4.6 46.0 114.8 8.8 M M
32000 -35.5 -31.9 275 18 9 8.3 4.6 45.1 113.2 8.3 M M
30000 -30.6 -23.1 275 18 10 8.3 4.5 43.8 110.8 7.5 M M
29000 -28.2 -18.8 275 19 10 8.3 4.6 43.3 109.9 7.2 M M
28000 -25.8 -14.4 275 19 10 7.0 3.8 42.7 108.9 6.8 M M
27000 -23.7 -10.7 270 19 10 6.9 3.8 41.5 106.8 5.9 M M
26000 -21.7 -7.1 265 19 10 7.0 3.8 40.5 104.9 5.1 M M
25000 -19.6 -3.3 260 20 10 7.1 3.9 39.6 103.2 4.4 M M
24000 -17.5 0.5 260 19 10 7.3 4.0 38.6 101.4 3.5 M M
23000 -15.4 4.3 260 17 9 7.3 4.0 37.7 99.8 2.8 M M
22000 -13.3 8.1 265 16 8 7.3 4.0 36.9 98.4 2.1 M M
21000 -10.7 12.7 265 15 8 7.2 3.9 35.6 96.1 1.0 M M
20000 -8.6 16.5 270 14 7 7.2 3.9 34.8 94.6 0.2 M M
19500 -7.6 18.3 270 13 7 7.0 3.8 34.4 93.9 -0.2 1321 6.7
19000 -6.6 20.1 275 14 7 6.7 3.7 33.8 92.9 -0.7 1277 6.5
18500 -5.6 21.9 280 14 7 6.7 3.7 33.3 92.0 -1.2 1233 6.3
18000 -4.7 23.5 285 15 8 6.3 3.5 32.8 91.0 -1.7 1190 6.0
17500 -3.8 25.2 285 16 8 6.4 3.5 32.2 89.9 -2.2 1148 5.8
17000 -2.8 27.0 290 16 8 6.7 3.7 31.6 88.9 -2.8 1105 5.6
16500 -1.8 28.8 295 17 9 7.3 4.0 31.2 88.1 -3.2 1059 5.4
16000 -0.7 30.7 295 17 9 7.2 4.0 30.8 87.4 -3.6 1012 5.1
15500 0.5 32.9 295 17 9 9.0 4.9 30.5 86.9 -3.9 961 4.9
15000 1.8 35.2 295 17 9 8.8 4.8 30.4 86.7 -4.0 907 4.6
14500 3.1 37.6 295 16 8 9.6 5.3 30.3 86.5 -4.2 852 4.3
14000 4.6 40.3 290 16 8 9.8 5.4 30.3 86.5 -4.2 794 4.0
13500 6.1 43.0 290 15 8 9.7 5.3 30.3 86.5 -4.2 735 3.7
13000 7.5 45.5 285 14 7 9.6 5.3 30.3 86.5 -4.2 678 3.4
12500 8.9 48.0 280 14 7 9.6 5.3 30.2 86.4 -4.3 620 3.2
12000 10.3 50.5 275 13 7 9.5 5.2 30.2 86.4 -4.4 563 2.9
11500 11.7 53.1 265 13 7 9.6 5.2 30.2 86.3 -4.4 506 2.6
11000 13.2 55.8 260 13 7 9.6 5.3 30.2 86.3 -4.5 449 2.3
10500 14.5 58.1 250 14 7 8.8 4.8 30.1 86.2 -4.6 393 2.0
10250 15.2 59.4 245 14 7 9.1 5.0 30.0 86.0 -4.7 366 1.9
10000 15.9 60.6 245 15 8 9.4 5.1 30.0 85.9 -4.7 338 1.7
9750 16.6 61.9 240 15 8 9.2 5.1 29.9 85.9 -4.8 310 1.6
9500 17.2 63.0 235 16 8 9.6 5.2 29.9 85.8 -4.8 282 1.4
9250 18.0 64.4 235 16 8 9.5 5.2 29.9 85.8 -4.8 253 1.3
9000 18.6 65.5 230 17 9 8.9 4.9 29.8 85.7 -4.9 226 1.1
8750 19.3 66.7 230 17 9 9.4 5.2 29.8 85.6 -5.0 198 1.0
8500 20.0 68.0 225 18 9 8.1 4.4 29.8 85.6 -5.0 171 0.9
8250 21.1 70.0 220 20 10 8.8 4.8 29.5 85.1 -5.4 121 0.6
8000 21.8 71.2 220 20 10 8.9 4.9 29.4 84.9 -5.5 95 0.5
7750 22.4 72.3 215 20 10 7.4 4.1 29.3 84.8 -5.6 69 0.3
7500 22.8 73.0 215 20 11 5.8 3.2 29.1 84.3 -5.9 49 0.2
7250 23.3 73.9 210 20 10 6.7 3.7 28.8 83.8 -6.2 28 0.1
7000 23.8 74.8 205 19 10 6.9 3.8 28.6 83.4 -6.4 5 0.0
6750 24.2 75.6 205 18 9 6.2 3.4 28.3 83.0 -6.7 M M
6500 24.7 76.5 200 16 8 5.2 2.9 28.0 82.4 -7.0 M M
6250 25.1 77.2 195 14 7 6.3 3.5 27.7 81.9 -7.3 M M
6000 25.4 77.7 190 12 6 1.2 0.7 27.4 81.2 -7.7 M M
5750 24.4 75.9 175 7 4 -38.0 -20.8 25.6 78.1 -9.5 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/10/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/10/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +197.2 LI... -0.8 | CAPE... +206.8 LI... -1.0
CINH... -48.8 K Index... +26.0 | CINH... -7.1 K Index... +26.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.3 -85.5 285 22 11 0.0 0.0 | -64.6 -84.3 285 22 11 -0.3 -0.2
45000 -63.0 -81.4 285 33 17 5.0 2.7 | -63.1 -81.6 275 31 16 4.4 2.4
40000 -55.2 -67.4 275 30 15 7.3 4.0 | -55.9 -68.6 270 34 18 7.9 4.3
38000 -50.8 -59.4 275 29 15 7.3 4.0 | -51.1 -60.0 280 28 14 8.0 4.4
36000 -45.9 -50.6 275 27 14 7.7 4.2 | -45.8 -50.4 295 22 12 8.1 4.4
34000 -41.0 -41.8 270 24 12 8.2 4.5 | -40.9 -41.6 280 22 11 8.2 4.5
32000 -36.1 -33.0 265 21 11 8.2 4.5 | -36.0 -32.8 265 24 12 8.2 4.5
30000 -31.6 -24.9 265 20 11 7.5 4.1 | -31.8 -25.2 255 21 11 6.9 3.8
29000 -29.4 -20.9 265 20 10 7.5 4.1 | -29.7 -21.5 250 20 10 6.9 3.8
28000 -27.1 -16.8 265 20 10 7.9 4.3 | -27.6 -17.7 250 18 9 8.3 4.5
27000 -24.8 -12.6 265 20 10 7.9 4.3 | -25.1 -13.2 255 18 9 8.3 4.6
26000 -22.4 -8.3 265 19 10 7.9 4.3 | -22.6 -8.7 260 17 9 8.3 4.6
25000 -20.1 -4.2 260 19 10 7.7 4.2 | -20.1 -4.2 265 17 9 8.1 4.5
24000 -18.0 -0.4 260 17 9 7.2 4.0 | -17.8 -0.0 265 17 9 7.8 4.3
23000 -15.9 3.4 255 15 8 7.3 4.0 | -15.5 4.1 265 16 8 7.8 4.3
22000 -13.2 8.2 250 14 7 7.2 3.9 | -12.7 9.1 265 16 8 5.9 3.2
21000 -11.1 12.0 250 14 7 7.2 4.0 | -10.9 12.4 270 17 9 6.1 3.4
20000 -9.0 15.8 255 15 8 7.2 4.0 | -9.1 15.6 270 18 9 6.2 3.4
19500 -8.0 17.6 255 15 8 7.0 3.9 | -8.2 17.2 275 19 10 7.1 3.9
19000 -7.0 19.4 260 15 8 6.9 3.8 | -7.2 19.0 270 19 10 7.8 4.3
18500 -6.0 21.2 260 16 8 6.8 3.7 | -6.1 21.0 270 19 10 8.0 4.4
18000 -5.0 23.0 265 15 8 7.4 4.1 | -5.0 23.0 270 19 10 8.6 4.7
17500 -3.9 25.0 265 15 8 7.4 4.1 | -3.7 25.3 270 18 9 8.5 4.7
17000 -2.8 27.0 270 14 7 8.2 4.5 | -2.5 27.5 270 17 9 8.6 4.7
16500 -1.5 29.3 275 14 7 8.8 4.8 | -1.2 29.8 270 16 8 8.7 4.8
16000 -0.2 31.6 275 13 7 8.9 4.9 | 0.1 32.2 270 16 8 8.7 4.8
15500 1.2 34.2 275 12 6 9.2 5.0 | 1.4 34.5 270 15 7 8.8 4.8
15000 2.5 36.5 275 12 6 9.1 5.0 | 2.7 36.9 270 13 7 8.7 4.8
14500 3.9 39.0 275 11 6 9.2 5.0 | 4.0 39.2 270 12 6 9.3 5.1
14000 5.3 41.5 275 11 6 9.2 5.1 | 5.4 41.7 265 11 6 9.3 5.1
13500 6.6 43.9 270 11 6 9.2 5.0 | 6.8 44.2 265 11 5 9.5 5.2
13000 8.0 46.4 270 11 5 9.2 5.0 | 8.2 46.8 265 10 5 9.6 5.3
12500 9.3 48.7 265 11 5 9.1 5.0 | 9.6 49.3 260 10 5 9.6 5.3
12000 10.7 51.3 260 11 6 9.1 5.0 | 11.1 52.0 260 9 5 9.6 5.3
11500 12.0 53.6 255 11 6 9.0 5.0 | 12.5 54.5 260 9 5 9.4 5.2
11000 13.3 55.9 255 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 13.9 57.0 260 9 5 9.1 5.0
10500 14.7 58.5 250 12 6 9.0 5.0 | 15.3 59.5 260 9 4 10.0 5.5
10250 15.3 59.5 250 12 6 9.2 5.0 | 16.0 60.8 260 8 4 9.5 5.2
10000 16.0 60.8 250 12 6 9.2 5.0 | 16.7 62.1 260 8 4 9.4 5.2
9750 16.7 62.1 245 12 6 9.3 5.1 | 17.4 63.3 260 8 4 9.2 5.1
9500 17.4 63.3 245 12 6 9.0 4.9 | 18.1 64.6 260 8 4 10.1 5.5
9250 18.0 64.4 245 12 6 8.7 4.8 | 18.9 66.0 260 8 4 10.3 5.7
9000 18.6 65.5 245 13 6 8.5 4.7 | 19.6 67.3 260 8 4 9.6 5.2
8750 19.3 66.7 245 13 7 9.2 5.0 | 20.4 68.7 260 8 4 10.3 5.6
8500 20.3 68.5 245 13 7 6.0 3.3 | 21.1 70.0 260 8 4 8.2 4.5
8250 20.8 69.4 245 13 7 7.8 4.3 | 21.7 71.1 265 8 4 8.9 4.9
8000 21.4 70.5 245 13 6 7.7 4.2 | 22.5 72.5 265 7 4 11.3 6.2
7750 21.9 71.4 245 12 6 6.2 3.4 | 24.1 75.4 265 7 4 9.4 5.2
7500 22.3 72.1 240 11 6 5.3 2.9 | 24.7 76.5 265 7 4 8.7 4.7
7250 22.7 72.9 235 11 6 7.6 4.2 | 25.4 77.7 265 7 4 10.7 5.9
7000 23.3 73.9 230 10 5 8.2 4.5 | 26.2 79.2 265 7 3 11.0 6.0
6750 23.9 75.0 230 9 5 8.6 4.7 | 27.0 80.6 265 7 3 10.2 5.6
6500 24.6 76.3 225 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 27.8 82.0 265 6 3 10.0 5.5
6250 25.2 77.4 225 9 4 8.7 4.8 | 28.5 83.3 270 6 3 9.8 5.4
6000 25.9 78.6 220 8 4 11.9 6.5 | 29.3 84.7 270 6 3 14.4 7.9
5750 27.4 81.3 220 7 4 33.9 18.6 | 31.4 88.5 270 6 3 48.2 26.4
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/10/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/10/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +48.3 LI... -0.5 | CAPE... +17.0 LI... +0.4
CINH... -1.7 K Index... +21.9 | CINH... -5.0 K Index... +21.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.3 -81.9 305 16 8 -0.4 -0.2 | -63.5 -82.3 310 13 7 0.2 0.1
45000 -62.5 -80.5 285 21 11 2.8 1.5 | -61.8 -79.2 305 17 9 3.2 1.8
40000 -57.4 -71.3 265 27 14 8.7 4.8 | -56.2 -69.2 335 24 12 8.2 4.5
38000 -52.1 -61.8 280 25 13 8.9 4.9 | -50.5 -58.9 305 19 10 8.3 4.6
36000 -46.1 -51.0 290 25 13 8.8 4.9 | -45.5 -49.9 275 20 10 8.6 4.7
34000 -40.8 -41.4 290 24 12 8.8 4.8 | -40.2 -40.4 275 23 12 8.9 4.9
32000 -35.6 -32.1 285 23 12 8.7 4.8 | -34.9 -30.8 275 25 13 8.9 4.9
30000 -30.7 -23.3 285 20 10 8.3 4.5 | -30.2 -22.4 275 25 13 7.8 4.3
29000 -28.2 -18.8 285 19 10 8.3 4.6 | -27.9 -18.2 270 25 13 7.9 4.3
28000 -25.9 -14.6 285 17 9 6.5 3.6 | -25.6 -14.1 270 25 13 7.1 3.9
27000 -23.9 -11.0 275 19 10 6.4 3.5 | -23.5 -10.3 275 26 13 7.0 3.8
26000 -22.0 -7.6 265 20 10 6.4 3.5 | -21.5 -6.7 275 27 14 7.0 3.8
25000 -20.0 -4.0 260 22 11 6.7 3.7 | -19.4 -2.9 280 28 14 7.0 3.8
24000 -17.9 -0.2 265 22 11 7.2 4.0 | -17.3 0.9 275 26 14 6.9 3.8
23000 -15.8 3.6 270 22 11 7.3 4.0 | -15.3 4.5 275 25 13 6.9 3.8
22000 -13.2 8.2 280 22 11 6.7 3.7 | -12.7 9.1 275 23 12 7.3 4.0
21000 -11.2 11.8 280 20 10 6.8 3.7 | -10.6 12.9 270 22 11 7.4 4.1
20000 -9.3 15.3 285 18 9 7.0 3.8 | -8.5 16.7 265 21 11 7.5 4.1
19500 -8.3 17.1 285 17 9 8.0 4.4 | -7.4 18.7 265 21 11 7.7 4.3
19000 -7.0 19.4 285 17 9 8.8 4.8 | -6.2 20.8 265 20 10 8.1 4.4
18500 -5.7 21.7 280 16 8 8.9 4.9 | -5.0 23.0 265 20 10 8.1 4.4
18000 -4.4 24.1 280 16 8 8.9 4.9 | -3.8 25.2 265 19 10 8.7 4.8
17500 -3.1 26.4 280 16 8 8.9 4.9 | -2.5 27.5 270 18 9 8.7 4.8
17000 -1.8 28.8 280 15 8 9.3 5.1 | -1.2 29.8 270 18 9 8.9 4.9
16500 -0.3 31.5 280 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 0.1 32.2 275 17 9 9.2 5.1
16000 1.1 34.0 280 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 1.5 34.7 280 17 9 9.2 5.1
15500 2.6 36.7 280 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 2.9 37.2 285 16 8 9.4 5.1
15000 4.0 39.2 280 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 4.3 39.7 290 16 8 9.4 5.1
14500 5.5 41.9 280 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 5.7 42.3 295 16 8 9.4 5.2
14000 6.9 44.4 280 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 7.1 44.8 295 16 8 9.5 5.2
13500 8.4 47.1 280 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 8.5 47.3 300 16 8 9.4 5.2
13000 9.8 49.6 280 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 9.9 49.8 300 16 8 9.4 5.2
12500 11.3 52.3 280 15 7 9.7 5.3 | 11.4 52.5 305 17 9 9.5 5.2
12000 12.7 54.9 280 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 12.8 55.0 305 17 9 9.7 5.3
11500 14.2 57.6 280 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 14.2 57.6 310 17 9 9.5 5.2
11000 15.6 60.1 275 14 7 9.1 5.0 | 15.6 60.1 310 17 9 8.5 4.7
10500 17.1 62.8 275 14 7 10.7 5.9 | 17.0 62.6 310 17 9 10.5 5.7
10250 17.8 64.0 275 14 7 9.8 5.3 | 17.8 64.0 315 17 9 9.8 5.4
10000 18.6 65.5 275 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 18.5 65.3 315 17 9 9.4 5.2
9750 19.3 66.7 275 14 7 9.4 5.1 | 19.2 66.6 315 17 9 9.3 5.1
9500 20.0 68.0 275 14 7 10.1 5.6 | 19.9 67.8 315 17 9 10.0 5.5
9250 20.8 69.4 275 13 7 10.4 5.7 | 20.7 69.3 315 17 9 10.2 5.6
9000 21.5 70.7 275 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 21.4 70.5 315 17 9 9.3 5.1
8750 22.2 72.0 275 13 7 10.4 5.7 | 22.1 71.8 315 17 9 10.2 5.6
8500 23.0 73.4 275 13 7 8.2 4.5 | 22.8 73.0 315 17 9 7.7 4.2
8250 23.5 74.3 275 13 7 8.8 4.8 | 23.3 73.9 315 17 9 8.3 4.6
8000 24.3 75.7 275 13 7 11.2 6.2 | 24.1 75.4 315 17 9 11.0 6.1
7750 25.1 77.2 275 13 7 11.0 6.0 | 24.9 76.8 315 17 9 10.7 5.9
7500 26.0 78.8 275 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 25.7 78.3 315 16 8 9.4 5.2
7250 27.4 81.3 275 12 6 10.8 5.9 | 27.0 80.6 320 16 8 10.0 5.5
7000 28.2 82.8 275 12 6 11.4 6.2 | 27.8 82.0 320 16 8 10.9 6.0
6750 29.0 84.2 275 12 6 10.4 5.7 | 28.6 83.5 320 15 8 10.1 5.5
6500 29.8 85.6 270 12 6 10.1 5.5 | 29.3 84.7 320 15 8 9.5 5.2
6250 30.5 86.9 270 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 30.0 86.0 320 14 7 9.4 5.2
6000 31.3 88.3 270 11 6 15.6 8.5 | 30.7 87.3 320 14 7 11.9 6.5
5750 33.8 92.8 270 10 5 62.1 34.0 | 32.1 89.8 320 12 6 29.8 16.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0845 MDT Sunday August 10 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, August 10, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 80.6 F/27.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1243 ft/min (6.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21130 ft MSL (14688 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18392 ft MSL (11950 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 08/11....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:20:06 / 19:59:16 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 39 min 10 sec (819 min 10 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:41 MDT... 69.59 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/10/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16108 ft MSL (9666 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17962 ft MSL (11520 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 19418 ft MSL (12976 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.0
K index......................... +23.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.3 -85.5 275 19 10 -0.9 -0.5 78.6 173.6 27.4 M M
45000 -63.4 -82.1 270 33 17 6.0 3.3 57.7 135.8 16.1 M M
40000 -54.2 -65.6 275 31 16 7.2 3.9 49.8 121.6 11.9 M M
38000 -49.9 -57.8 275 30 15 7.2 3.9 47.3 117.1 10.5 M M
36000 -45.6 -50.1 270 29 15 7.2 4.0 45.5 113.9 9.5 M M
34000 -40.8 -41.4 265 26 13 7.9 4.4 43.7 110.7 8.4 M M
32000 -36.1 -33.0 260 23 12 7.9 4.4 42.5 108.4 7.6 M M
30000 -31.1 -24.0 260 21 11 8.4 4.6 41.2 106.1 6.8 M M
29000 -28.6 -19.5 265 21 11 8.4 4.6 40.7 105.2 6.5 M M
28000 -25.6 -14.1 265 20 11 6.8 3.7 40.0 103.9 6.0 M M
27000 -23.6 -10.5 265 21 11 6.9 3.8 38.8 101.8 5.2 M M
26000 -21.5 -6.7 260 21 11 6.9 3.8 37.8 100.0 4.4 M M
25000 -19.5 -3.1 260 22 11 7.0 3.8 36.9 98.4 3.6 M M
24000 -17.4 0.7 260 23 12 7.1 3.9 35.8 96.4 2.7 M M
23000 -15.3 4.5 260 24 12 7.1 3.9 34.8 94.7 1.9 M M
22000 -13.3 8.1 255 25 13 6.4 3.5 33.9 93.1 1.1 M M
21000 -11.6 11.1 260 21 11 6.1 3.4 32.6 90.6 -0.2 1430 7.3
20000 -9.8 14.4 265 18 9 6.2 3.4 31.3 88.4 -1.3 1348 6.8
19500 -8.9 16.0 270 16 8 6.3 3.4 30.8 87.4 -1.9 1307 6.6
19000 -8.0 17.6 275 15 8 6.8 3.7 30.2 86.4 -2.4 1263 6.4
18500 -7.0 19.4 275 15 7 6.6 3.6 29.7 85.5 -2.9 1218 6.2
18000 -5.9 21.4 280 14 7 9.2 5.1 29.3 84.8 -3.2 1170 5.9
17500 -4.4 24.1 285 14 7 9.9 5.4 29.3 84.8 -3.2 1111 5.6
17000 -2.9 26.8 285 15 8 9.9 5.5 29.4 84.9 -3.2 1051 5.3
16500 -1.3 29.7 290 15 8 10.1 5.5 29.4 85.0 -3.2 991 5.0
16000 0.2 32.4 290 16 8 10.1 5.6 29.5 85.1 -3.1 930 4.7
15500 1.7 35.1 295 17 9 9.6 5.3 29.5 85.1 -3.1 871 4.4
15000 3.1 37.6 295 18 9 9.6 5.3 29.5 85.1 -3.1 813 4.1
14500 4.5 40.1 295 19 10 9.3 5.1 29.5 85.0 -3.2 755 3.8
14000 5.9 42.6 295 20 10 9.1 5.0 29.3 84.8 -3.3 700 3.6
13500 7.2 45.0 295 20 10 8.9 4.9 29.2 84.6 -3.4 644 3.3
13000 8.5 47.3 295 20 10 8.7 4.8 29.1 84.3 -3.6 591 3.0
12500 9.8 49.6 295 20 10 8.6 4.7 28.9 84.1 -3.8 537 2.7
12000 11.0 51.8 295 19 10 8.1 4.4 28.7 83.6 -4.1 486 2.5
11500 12.2 54.0 290 18 10 8.5 4.7 28.4 83.2 -4.4 436 2.2
11000 14.0 57.2 285 16 8 8.0 4.4 28.1 82.5 -4.8 359 1.8
10500 15.3 59.5 275 16 8 8.7 4.8 27.9 82.2 -5.0 307 1.6
10250 15.9 60.6 275 16 8 8.3 4.5 27.8 82.0 -5.1 281 1.4
10000 16.5 61.7 270 15 8 8.3 4.6 27.7 81.8 -5.3 255 1.3
9750 17.1 62.8 265 15 8 8.4 4.6 27.6 81.6 -5.4 229 1.2
9500 17.8 64.0 260 16 8 10.0 5.5 27.5 81.5 -5.5 202 1.0
9250 18.6 65.5 260 16 8 9.5 5.2 27.5 81.6 -5.4 171 0.9
9000 19.2 66.6 255 16 8 8.1 4.5 27.4 81.4 -5.6 145 0.7
8750 19.8 67.6 250 16 8 8.3 4.6 27.3 81.2 -5.7 119 0.6
8500 20.4 68.7 250 16 8 7.5 4.1 27.2 81.0 -5.8 94 0.5
8250 20.9 69.6 250 16 8 6.5 3.6 27.0 80.6 -6.1 71 0.4
8000 21.4 70.5 245 15 7 5.9 3.2 26.7 80.1 -6.4 51 0.3
7750 21.8 71.2 240 13 7 4.5 2.5 26.4 79.5 -6.7 31 0.2
7500 22.0 71.6 240 11 6 2.3 1.3 25.9 78.6 -7.2 16 0.1
7250 22.2 72.0 240 8 4 1.3 0.7 25.3 77.5 -7.8 5 0.0
7000 22.3 72.1 235 6 3 4.3 2.4 24.7 76.5 -8.4 M M
6750 22.6 72.7 220 4 2 -0.5 -0.3 24.3 75.7 -8.9 M M
6500 20.8 69.4 150 1 1 -63.8 -35.0 21.7 71.1 -11.4 24 0.1
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/10/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/10/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +119.2 LI... -0.7 | CAPE... +144.4 LI... -0.8
CINH... -57.3 K Index... +25.1 | CINH... -9.2 K Index... +25.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 275 19 10 -0.0 -0.0 | -63.3 -81.9 275 19 10 -0.6 -0.3
45000 -62.8 -81.0 275 32 16 4.6 2.5 | -62.4 -80.3 260 29 15 3.5 1.9
40000 -55.4 -67.7 270 32 16 7.3 4.0 | -56.5 -69.7 255 35 18 7.7 4.2
38000 -51.0 -59.8 265 31 16 7.4 4.0 | -51.8 -61.2 260 30 15 7.8 4.3
36000 -46.6 -51.9 265 30 15 7.3 4.0 | -46.6 -51.9 265 23 12 8.1 4.5
34000 -41.7 -43.1 260 29 15 8.3 4.5 | -41.3 -42.3 270 25 13 8.9 4.9
32000 -36.7 -34.1 260 28 14 8.3 4.6 | -36.1 -33.0 275 26 14 9.0 4.9
30000 -31.6 -24.9 255 25 13 7.5 4.1 | -31.6 -24.9 260 24 13 7.3 4.0
29000 -29.3 -20.7 250 23 12 7.5 4.1 | -29.4 -20.9 250 24 12 7.4 4.0
28000 -27.0 -16.6 250 22 11 7.6 4.2 | -27.2 -17.0 245 24 12 7.0 3.8
27000 -24.8 -12.6 255 21 11 7.6 4.2 | -25.2 -13.4 245 23 12 6.9 3.8
26000 -22.5 -8.5 260 20 10 7.6 4.2 | -23.1 -9.6 250 23 12 6.9 3.8
25000 -20.2 -4.4 260 19 10 7.5 4.1 | -21.0 -5.8 250 23 12 7.1 3.9
24000 -18.1 -0.6 260 20 10 7.4 4.1 | -18.9 -2.0 255 22 11 7.5 4.1
23000 -15.9 3.4 260 20 10 7.5 4.1 | -16.1 3.0 255 20 11 7.5 4.1
22000 -13.7 7.3 260 20 10 7.2 4.0 | -13.9 7.0 260 20 10 7.2 4.0
21000 -11.7 10.9 260 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -11.8 10.8 265 21 11 7.3 4.0
20000 -9.6 14.7 265 19 10 7.2 3.9 | -9.7 14.5 270 22 11 7.3 4.0
19500 -8.5 16.7 265 19 10 7.1 3.9 | -8.6 16.5 270 22 11 7.7 4.2
19000 -7.6 18.3 265 18 9 6.7 3.7 | -7.4 18.7 270 22 11 8.1 4.5
18500 -6.6 20.1 270 17 9 6.7 3.7 | -6.3 20.7 275 22 12 8.1 4.4
18000 -5.5 22.1 270 16 8 8.2 4.5 | -5.0 23.0 275 22 11 8.8 4.8
17500 -4.3 24.3 275 15 8 8.4 4.6 | -3.7 25.3 275 22 11 8.8 4.8
17000 -3.0 26.6 275 15 8 8.9 4.9 | -2.4 27.7 275 22 11 8.8 4.8
16500 -1.6 29.1 275 15 8 9.9 5.4 | -1.2 29.8 275 21 11 8.7 4.8
16000 -0.1 31.8 275 15 8 9.9 5.4 | 0.1 32.2 275 20 10 8.7 4.8
15500 1.4 34.5 275 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 1.4 34.5 275 19 10 9.1 5.0
15000 2.9 37.2 275 15 7 9.7 5.3 | 2.8 37.0 275 18 10 9.0 5.0
14500 4.3 39.7 280 14 7 8.8 4.8 | 4.1 39.4 275 18 9 9.4 5.1
14000 5.5 41.9 275 14 7 8.5 4.6 | 5.5 41.9 270 17 9 9.4 5.2
13500 6.8 44.2 275 14 7 8.3 4.5 | 6.9 44.4 270 16 8 9.5 5.2
13000 8.0 46.4 265 14 7 8.1 4.4 | 8.3 46.9 270 16 8 9.5 5.2
12500 9.2 48.6 255 14 7 8.3 4.6 | 9.7 49.5 265 15 8 9.3 5.1
12000 10.5 50.9 250 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 11.1 52.0 265 14 7 9.0 4.9
11500 12.6 54.7 245 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 12.4 54.3 260 14 7 9.9 5.4
11000 14.0 57.2 245 16 8 9.5 5.2 | 13.9 57.0 260 13 7 9.3 5.1
10500 15.3 59.5 245 17 9 8.3 4.5 | 15.3 59.5 260 13 7 9.0 5.0
10250 15.9 60.6 245 17 9 8.1 4.4 | 16.0 60.8 255 13 7 9.2 5.1
10000 16.5 61.7 245 16 8 8.3 4.6 | 16.7 62.1 255 13 7 9.9 5.4
9750 17.1 62.8 240 16 8 7.8 4.3 | 18.1 64.6 255 13 7 9.7 5.3
9500 17.6 63.7 240 15 8 6.0 3.3 | 18.9 66.0 255 13 7 9.4 5.2
9250 17.9 64.2 240 14 7 6.1 3.3 | 19.6 67.3 255 13 7 9.7 5.3
9000 18.4 65.1 240 13 7 7.0 3.8 | 20.3 68.5 255 13 7 9.9 5.4
8750 18.9 66.0 235 12 6 7.0 3.9 | 21.0 69.8 255 13 7 9.7 5.3
8500 19.5 67.1 235 11 6 7.7 4.2 | 21.7 71.1 250 13 7 9.3 5.1
8250 20.0 68.0 235 10 5 8.4 4.6 | 22.4 72.3 250 13 7 9.7 5.3
8000 20.7 69.3 235 10 5 9.4 5.1 | 23.2 73.8 250 13 7 10.5 5.8
7750 21.4 70.5 235 9 5 9.4 5.2 | 24.0 75.2 250 13 7 10.4 5.7
7500 22.1 71.8 235 9 4 9.1 5.0 | 24.7 76.5 250 13 7 10.2 5.6
7250 22.8 73.0 235 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 25.5 77.9 250 13 7 10.2 5.6
7000 23.5 74.3 235 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 26.2 79.2 250 13 6 10.0 5.5
6750 24.3 75.7 235 7 4 13.1 7.2 | 27.1 80.8 250 12 6 16.3 8.9
6500 25.7 78.3 235 6 3 27.3 15.0 | 29.3 84.7 250 11 6 49.1 26.9
08/10/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/10/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +55.9 LI... -0.5 | CAPE... +2.5 LI... -0.5
CINH... -4.3 K Index... +22.0 | CINH... -2.8 K Index... +16.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.1 -81.6 290 12 6 -0.6 -0.3 | -62.9 -81.2 290 11 6 0.5 0.3
45000 -62.6 -80.7 270 20 10 2.7 1.5 | -61.4 -78.5 285 19 10 2.4 1.3
40000 -57.6 -71.7 265 23 12 8.6 4.7 | -57.0 -70.6 305 24 13 8.4 4.6
38000 -52.4 -62.3 260 22 11 8.8 4.8 | -51.3 -60.3 285 28 14 8.5 4.6
36000 -46.5 -51.7 260 21 11 8.8 4.8 | -46.2 -51.2 275 33 17 8.6 4.7
34000 -41.3 -42.3 270 22 11 8.7 4.8 | -40.9 -41.6 270 32 16 9.0 4.9
32000 -36.1 -33.0 275 22 11 8.8 4.8 | -35.5 -31.9 260 31 16 9.1 5.0
30000 -31.0 -23.8 275 21 11 8.4 4.6 | -30.8 -23.4 260 30 16 7.8 4.3
29000 -28.6 -19.5 275 20 10 8.4 4.6 | -28.5 -19.3 260 29 15 7.8 4.3
28000 -26.1 -15.0 270 20 10 6.6 3.6 | -26.2 -15.2 260 29 15 7.5 4.1
27000 -24.3 -11.7 265 21 11 6.1 3.4 | -24.1 -11.4 260 29 15 7.4 4.1
26000 -22.5 -8.5 255 23 12 6.1 3.4 | -21.9 -7.4 260 29 15 7.4 4.1
25000 -20.7 -5.3 250 25 13 6.4 3.5 | -19.7 -3.5 260 29 15 7.3 4.0
24000 -17.8 -0.0 260 24 12 7.8 4.3 | -17.9 -0.2 265 26 14 5.8 3.2
23000 -15.5 4.1 270 24 12 7.8 4.3 | -15.8 3.6 265 22 12 5.8 3.2
22000 -13.3 8.1 275 24 13 6.6 3.6 | -14.0 6.8 265 19 10 7.5 4.1
21000 -11.4 11.5 280 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -11.7 10.9 270 17 9 7.8 4.3
20000 -9.5 14.9 285 25 13 6.8 3.7 | -9.4 15.1 280 15 8 7.9 4.3
19500 -8.6 16.5 285 26 13 7.6 4.2 | -8.2 17.2 285 14 7 8.4 4.6
19000 -7.3 18.9 285 25 13 8.9 4.9 | -6.8 19.8 285 13 7 9.5 5.2
18500 -6.0 21.2 285 23 12 8.8 4.8 | -5.4 22.3 290 13 7 9.5 5.2
18000 -4.7 23.5 285 22 12 9.4 5.1 | -4.0 24.8 290 13 7 9.7 5.3
17500 -3.3 26.1 285 22 11 9.4 5.1 | -2.5 27.5 290 13 7 9.8 5.4
17000 -1.9 28.6 280 21 11 9.4 5.2 | -1.0 30.2 290 13 7 9.7 5.3
16500 -0.5 31.1 280 20 11 9.5 5.2 | 0.4 32.7 290 13 7 9.7 5.3
16000 0.9 33.6 280 20 10 9.5 5.2 | 1.8 35.2 295 13 7 9.7 5.3
15500 2.4 36.3 280 20 10 9.8 5.4 | 3.3 37.9 290 13 7 9.7 5.3
15000 3.8 38.8 280 19 10 9.8 5.4 | 4.7 40.5 290 14 7 9.7 5.3
14500 5.3 41.5 275 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 6.2 43.2 290 14 7 9.8 5.3
14000 6.7 44.1 275 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 7.7 45.9 290 14 7 9.8 5.4
13500 8.1 46.6 275 18 9 9.7 5.3 | 9.1 48.4 290 15 8 9.7 5.3
13000 9.6 49.3 275 18 9 9.8 5.4 | 10.5 50.9 290 15 8 9.5 5.2
12500 11.0 51.8 275 18 9 9.7 5.3 | 12.0 53.6 290 16 8 9.5 5.2
12000 12.4 54.3 275 17 9 9.5 5.2 | 13.4 56.1 290 16 8 9.5 5.2
11500 13.9 57.0 270 17 9 9.4 5.2 | 14.8 58.6 290 17 9 10.3 5.6
11000 15.3 59.5 270 17 9 9.8 5.4 | 16.3 61.3 290 17 9 9.2 5.1
10500 16.7 62.1 270 16 8 9.0 4.9 | 17.7 63.9 290 18 9 10.2 5.6
10250 18.1 64.6 265 16 8 10.1 5.6 | 18.5 65.3 290 18 9 10.4 5.7
10000 18.9 66.0 265 15 8 9.9 5.4 | 19.2 66.6 290 18 9 9.4 5.2
9750 19.6 67.3 265 15 8 9.9 5.5 | 20.0 68.0 290 19 10 9.7 5.3
9500 20.3 68.5 265 15 8 9.9 5.5 | 20.7 69.3 290 19 10 9.6 5.3
9250 21.1 70.0 265 15 8 9.9 5.4 | 21.4 70.5 290 19 10 9.3 5.1
9000 21.8 71.2 260 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 22.8 73.0 290 19 10 10.1 5.5
8750 22.6 72.7 260 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 23.6 74.5 290 20 10 10.0 5.5
8500 23.3 73.9 260 14 7 9.9 5.5 | 24.3 75.7 290 20 10 9.3 5.1
8250 24.0 75.2 260 14 7 10.1 5.5 | 25.0 77.0 290 20 10 9.4 5.1
8000 24.8 76.6 255 13 7 10.2 5.6 | 25.7 78.3 290 20 10 10.2 5.6
7750 25.6 78.1 255 13 7 10.3 5.6 | 26.5 79.7 290 20 10 10.1 5.6
7500 26.3 79.3 255 13 7 10.2 5.6 | 27.2 81.0 290 20 10 9.7 5.3
7250 27.1 80.8 255 12 6 10.6 5.8 | 27.9 82.2 290 20 10 9.5 5.2
7000 27.9 82.2 255 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 28.7 83.7 290 20 10 9.5 5.2
6750 28.7 83.7 250 11 6 15.3 8.4 | 29.4 84.9 285 18 9 11.0 6.0
6500 31.2 88.2 250 10 5 66.0 36.2 | 30.5 86.9 285 16 8 23.5 12.9
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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