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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0712 MDT Saturday November 1 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, November 1, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 59.1 F/15.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 462 ft/min (2.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 12131 ft MSL (5792 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 63.0 F/17.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1330 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9737 ft MSL (3398 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 11/02....... Fair
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:25:32 / 18:09:31 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 43 min 59 sec (643 min 59 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:47:31 MDT... 40.24 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 11/01/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11976 ft MSL (5637 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 22168 ft MSL (15829 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17222 ft MSL (10883 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +9.6
K index......................... -10.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.9 -81.2 335 53 27 0.2 0.1 87.2 189.0 40.8 M M
45000 -62.2 -80.0 340 70 36 1.9 1.0 64.3 147.7 29.4 M M
40000 -59.4 -74.9 005 99 51 1.3 0.7 46.3 115.4 19.5 M M
38000 -55.8 -68.4 005 97 50 6.6 3.6 42.7 108.9 17.5 M M
36000 -51.9 -61.4 005 92 47 6.6 3.6 40.1 104.2 16.2 M M
34000 -47.6 -53.7 360 85 44 7.7 4.2 38.0 100.4 15.1 M M
32000 -42.4 -44.3 355 75 39 7.7 4.2 36.2 97.2 14.1 M M
30000 -37.3 -35.1 350 70 36 9.2 5.0 35.3 95.5 13.8 M M
29000 -34.5 -30.1 350 68 35 9.2 5.0 35.1 95.1 13.8 M M
28000 -31.7 -25.1 345 66 34 9.2 5.1 35.0 94.9 13.9 M M
27000 -29.1 -20.4 345 66 34 8.6 4.7 34.6 94.3 13.8 M M
26000 -26.5 -15.7 340 66 34 8.6 4.7 34.1 93.4 13.6 M M
25000 -23.9 -11.0 340 66 34 8.6 4.7 33.8 92.8 13.4 M M
24000 -21.5 -6.7 340 66 34 7.1 3.9 33.2 91.7 13.1 M M
23000 -19.4 -2.9 335 64 33 7.2 3.9 32.2 89.9 12.4 M M
22000 -17.2 1.0 335 62 32 7.2 3.9 31.3 88.3 11.8 M M
21000 -15.3 4.5 335 60 31 5.6 3.1 30.2 86.3 10.9 M M
20000 -13.7 7.3 335 58 30 5.6 3.1 28.7 83.6 9.7 M M
19500 -12.9 8.8 335 56 29 5.7 3.1 28.0 82.4 9.2 M M
19000 -12.0 10.4 335 55 28 5.7 3.1 27.3 81.2 8.6 M M
18500 -11.2 11.8 335 53 28 5.5 3.0 26.6 79.9 8.0 M M
18000 -10.0 14.0 335 51 26 5.5 3.0 25.5 77.9 7.2 M M
17500 -9.2 15.4 335 49 25 5.2 2.9 24.8 76.6 6.5 M M
17000 -8.4 16.9 335 47 24 5.2 2.9 24.0 75.2 5.9 M M
16500 -7.6 18.3 335 44 23 5.3 2.9 23.3 73.9 5.3 M M
16000 -6.8 19.8 340 41 21 5.4 3.0 22.5 72.6 4.7 M M
15500 -6.0 21.2 340 38 20 5.6 3.0 21.8 71.3 4.1 M M
15000 -5.1 22.8 340 35 18 5.9 3.2 21.2 70.1 3.5 M M
14500 -4.2 24.4 340 31 16 5.9 3.2 20.5 69.0 2.9 M M
14000 -3.4 25.9 340 28 14 5.0 2.7 19.8 67.7 2.3 M M
13500 -2.7 27.1 335 25 13 5.0 2.7 19.1 66.3 1.6 M M
13000 -1.8 28.8 335 23 12 6.3 3.4 18.4 65.1 0.9 M M
12500 -0.9 30.4 335 22 11 6.2 3.4 17.8 64.1 0.4 M M
12000 -0.0 32.0 330 21 11 6.5 3.6 17.3 63.1 -0.2 449 2.3
11500 0.9 33.6 330 20 10 6.7 3.7 16.8 62.2 -0.7 406 2.1
11000 1.8 35.2 325 20 10 5.6 3.0 16.2 61.1 -1.3 365 1.9
10500 2.7 36.9 320 20 10 5.9 3.2 15.6 60.0 -1.9 325 1.6
10250 3.1 37.6 320 20 10 5.9 3.2 15.3 59.5 -2.2 304 1.5
10000 3.5 38.3 315 18 9 4.9 2.7 15.0 58.9 -2.5 285 1.4
9750 3.8 38.8 315 17 9 4.0 2.2 14.5 58.1 -2.9 268 1.4
9500 4.1 39.4 310 16 8 4.7 2.6 14.1 57.4 -3.4 252 1.3
9250 4.4 39.9 305 14 7 2.6 1.4 13.7 56.6 -3.8 235 1.2
9000 4.5 40.1 295 11 6 -0.0 -0.0 13.0 55.4 -4.5 227 1.2
8750 4.4 39.9 280 9 4 -0.3 -0.1 12.2 54.0 -5.2 220 1.1
8500 4.4 39.9 260 7 4 -0.8 -0.4 11.4 52.6 -6.1 214 1.1
8250 4.3 39.7 235 6 3 -1.7 -0.9 10.6 51.1 -6.9 210 1.1
8000 4.1 39.4 210 6 3 -2.3 -1.2 9.7 49.5 -7.8 208 1.1
7750 3.9 39.0 185 6 3 -3.2 -1.7 8.8 47.8 -8.8 206 1.0
7500 3.6 38.5 165 7 4 -3.9 -2.1 7.7 45.9 -9.8 208 1.1
7250 3.3 37.9 160 7 4 -3.4 -1.9 6.7 44.1 -10.8 208 1.1
7000 3.1 37.6 155 7 4 -3.5 -1.9 5.7 42.3 -11.9 209 1.1
6750 2.8 37.0 150 7 4 -3.2 -1.7 4.7 40.5 -12.9 210 1.1
6500 2.6 36.7 150 7 3 -3.5 -1.9 3.8 38.8 -13.9 210 1.1
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
11/01/2025 at 0900 MDT | 11/01/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +8.9 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +10.1
CINH... -0.0 K Index... -28.5 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... -35.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 340 51 26 1.0 0.5 | -66.5 -87.7 350 50 26 0.6 0.4
45000 -62.6 -80.7 345 66 34 2.3 1.3 | -64.6 -84.3 355 60 31 4.1 2.2
40000 -59.1 -74.4 015 98 51 2.9 1.6 | -58.5 -73.3 015 79 41 4.9 2.7
38000 -55.3 -67.5 010 93 48 6.7 3.7 | -54.4 -65.9 010 78 40 7.1 3.9
36000 -51.2 -60.2 005 86 44 6.7 3.7 | -50.1 -58.2 005 78 40 7.1 3.9
34000 -46.2 -51.2 360 77 40 7.9 4.3 | -45.2 -49.4 360 70 36 7.3 4.0
32000 -41.5 -42.7 360 69 35 7.9 4.3 | -40.9 -41.6 355 60 31 7.3 4.0
30000 -36.5 -33.7 355 64 33 8.7 4.8 | -36.1 -33.0 350 55 28 8.4 4.6
29000 -33.9 -29.0 355 63 32 8.7 4.8 | -33.6 -28.5 350 53 27 8.4 4.6
28000 -31.3 -24.3 350 62 32 8.7 4.8 | -31.1 -24.0 350 52 27 8.4 4.6
27000 -28.6 -19.5 350 61 31 8.9 4.9 | -28.6 -19.5 350 50 26 8.4 4.6
26000 -25.9 -14.6 350 58 30 8.9 4.9 | -26.0 -14.8 350 48 24 8.4 4.6
25000 -23.3 -9.9 350 56 29 8.9 4.9 | -23.5 -10.3 345 45 23 8.4 4.6
24000 -20.7 -5.3 350 56 29 7.8 4.3 | -20.9 -5.6 345 44 23 8.5 4.7
23000 -18.4 -1.1 345 56 29 7.8 4.3 | -18.4 -1.1 345 44 23 8.5 4.7
22000 -16.1 3.0 340 56 29 7.8 4.3 | -15.8 3.6 345 44 22 8.6 4.7
21000 -14.1 6.6 340 56 29 5.7 3.1 | -13.4 7.9 345 44 23 7.5 4.1
20000 -12.4 9.7 340 54 28 5.7 3.1 | -11.2 11.8 345 44 23 7.5 4.1
19500 -11.6 11.1 340 53 27 5.7 3.1 | -10.1 13.8 345 44 23 7.4 4.1
19000 -10.3 13.5 345 51 26 5.2 2.9 | -8.5 16.7 350 44 23 5.1 2.8
18500 -9.6 14.7 345 50 25 5.1 2.8 | -7.8 18.0 350 44 23 4.8 2.6
18000 -8.8 16.2 345 48 25 5.0 2.8 | -7.1 19.2 350 43 22 4.4 2.4
17500 -8.1 17.4 345 46 24 4.7 2.6 | -6.6 20.1 350 41 21 2.8 1.6
17000 -7.3 18.9 345 44 23 4.7 2.6 | -6.1 21.0 350 39 20 2.9 1.6
16500 -6.7 19.9 350 42 21 4.4 2.4 | -5.7 21.7 355 37 19 3.2 1.7
16000 -6.0 21.2 350 39 20 4.3 2.4 | -5.2 22.6 355 34 18 3.2 1.8
15500 -5.4 22.3 350 37 19 4.3 2.4 | -4.7 23.5 355 32 16 4.0 2.2
15000 -4.7 23.5 350 34 18 4.3 2.3 | -4.0 24.8 355 30 15 4.6 2.5
14500 -4.1 24.6 350 32 16 4.5 2.5 | -3.3 26.1 355 28 14 4.7 2.6
14000 -3.4 25.9 345 29 15 5.5 3.0 | -2.6 27.3 355 26 13 5.0 2.7
13500 -2.6 27.3 345 27 14 5.5 3.0 | -1.8 28.8 350 24 12 5.1 2.8
13000 -1.6 29.1 345 24 12 7.0 3.8 | -1.0 30.2 350 21 11 6.5 3.6
12500 -0.6 30.9 345 21 11 7.0 3.8 | -0.0 32.0 345 19 10 6.5 3.6
12000 0.4 32.7 345 18 9 6.7 3.7 | 0.9 33.6 340 16 8 6.6 3.6
11500 1.3 34.3 345 16 8 6.9 3.8 | 1.9 35.4 335 14 7 6.7 3.7
11000 2.2 36.0 340 14 7 5.5 3.0 | 2.7 36.9 330 12 6 5.2 2.9
10500 3.1 37.6 340 12 6 6.0 3.3 | 3.5 38.3 320 11 6 5.7 3.1
10250 3.5 38.3 335 11 6 4.4 2.4 | 3.9 39.0 320 11 5 4.5 2.5
10000 3.7 38.7 335 11 6 3.4 1.9 | 4.2 39.6 315 10 5 4.1 2.3
9750 4.0 39.2 330 10 5 4.3 2.3 | 4.5 40.1 315 10 5 5.1 2.8
9500 4.3 39.7 325 10 5 3.8 2.1 | 4.8 40.6 310 9 5 4.1 2.3
9250 4.5 40.1 320 9 4 1.4 0.7 | 5.0 41.0 305 9 5 0.8 0.4
9000 4.5 40.1 310 7 4 -0.9 -0.5 | 4.9 40.8 295 8 4 -1.7 -0.9
8750 4.4 39.9 300 6 3 -1.6 -0.9 | 4.7 40.5 285 7 3 -3.9 -2.2
8500 4.2 39.6 280 5 3 -3.2 -1.7 | 4.4 39.9 270 6 3 -1.5 -0.8
8250 3.8 38.8 255 4 2 -4.8 -2.7 | 4.5 40.1 255 5 3 3.6 1.9
8000 3.4 38.1 220 4 2 -5.2 -2.8 | 4.8 40.6 240 5 2 4.2 2.3
7750 3.0 37.4 190 5 2 -5.7 -3.1 | 5.1 41.2 225 5 2 6.6 3.6
7500 2.6 36.7 175 6 3 -2.8 -1.5 | 5.7 42.3 215 5 3 9.7 5.3
7250 2.6 36.7 175 6 3 0.3 0.2 | 6.5 43.7 210 5 3 10.3 5.7
7000 2.5 36.5 175 6 3 -1.3 -0.7 | 7.3 45.1 205 5 3 9.6 5.2
6750 2.5 36.5 175 6 3 2.1 1.1 | 8.0 46.4 200 5 3 11.5 6.3
6500 3.0 37.4 175 6 3 11.6 6.4 | 9.1 48.4 195 5 2 17.9 9.8
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
11/01/2025 at 1500 MDT | 11/01/2025 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +9.5 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +8.5
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -9.4 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +1.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.7 -88.1 355 47 24 0.7 0.4 | -67.0 -88.6 350 46 24 0.8 0.4
45000 -64.7 -84.5 360 56 29 4.4 2.4 | -64.7 -84.5 355 51 26 4.6 2.5
40000 -58.1 -72.6 010 72 37 5.8 3.2 | -57.7 -71.9 010 63 33 6.5 3.6
38000 -53.7 -64.7 005 71 37 7.3 4.0 | -52.5 -62.5 005 66 34 7.8 4.3
36000 -49.3 -56.7 360 71 36 7.3 4.0 | -47.8 -54.0 005 69 35 7.7 4.3
34000 -44.3 -47.7 355 63 33 7.4 4.1 | -43.3 -45.9 360 62 32 7.5 4.1
32000 -39.9 -39.8 355 53 28 7.4 4.1 | -38.8 -37.8 360 51 26 7.5 4.1
30000 -35.1 -31.2 355 49 25 8.1 4.4 | -34.3 -29.7 355 47 24 7.7 4.2
29000 -32.7 -26.9 350 47 24 8.1 4.5 | -32.0 -25.6 350 47 24 7.7 4.2
28000 -30.3 -22.5 350 46 24 8.1 4.5 | -29.6 -21.3 345 47 24 7.7 4.2
27000 -27.8 -18.0 350 45 23 8.3 4.6 | -27.2 -17.0 345 46 24 8.2 4.5
26000 -25.4 -13.7 350 44 23 8.3 4.6 | -24.8 -12.6 345 45 23 8.2 4.5
25000 -22.9 -9.2 345 43 22 8.3 4.6 | -22.4 -8.3 345 45 23 8.2 4.5
24000 -20.4 -4.7 345 43 22 8.1 4.5 | -20.0 -4.0 345 43 22 7.8 4.3
23000 -18.0 -0.4 340 43 22 8.1 4.5 | -17.7 0.1 345 42 21 7.8 4.3
22000 -15.6 3.9 340 42 22 8.2 4.5 | -15.4 4.3 345 40 21 7.8 4.3
21000 -13.3 8.1 340 42 22 7.3 4.0 | -12.7 9.1 340 39 20 7.2 3.9
20000 -11.2 11.8 340 41 21 7.3 4.0 | -10.5 13.1 340 38 20 7.2 3.9
19500 -10.1 13.8 340 41 21 7.3 4.0 | -9.5 14.9 340 38 20 7.2 4.0
19000 -8.5 16.7 340 40 21 6.6 3.6 | -8.4 16.9 340 38 19 6.8 3.7
18500 -7.5 18.5 340 39 20 6.5 3.6 | -7.4 18.7 345 37 19 6.8 3.7
18000 -6.5 20.3 345 38 20 6.1 3.4 | -6.4 20.5 345 37 19 6.8 3.7
17500 -5.7 21.7 345 37 19 4.9 2.7 | -5.4 22.3 350 36 18 6.7 3.7
17000 -5.0 23.0 345 35 18 5.1 2.8 | -4.5 23.9 350 35 18 6.9 3.8
16500 -4.3 24.3 345 33 17 3.0 1.6 | -3.6 25.5 350 34 17 4.9 2.7
16000 -3.8 25.2 340 31 16 3.0 1.6 | -2.8 27.0 350 31 16 4.9 2.7
15500 -3.3 26.1 340 29 15 3.2 1.8 | -2.1 28.2 345 29 15 4.0 2.2
15000 -2.8 27.0 340 27 14 3.4 1.8 | -1.6 29.1 340 26 14 3.4 1.8
14500 -2.3 27.9 335 25 13 3.8 2.1 | -1.1 30.0 335 24 12 3.6 2.0
14000 -1.6 29.1 335 22 12 5.2 2.9 | -0.4 31.3 330 23 12 4.4 2.4
13500 -0.8 30.6 330 20 11 5.2 2.8 | 0.3 32.5 325 22 11 4.4 2.4
13000 -0.0 32.0 325 19 10 5.3 2.9 | 1.0 33.8 325 21 11 5.3 2.9
12500 0.7 33.3 320 17 9 5.5 3.0 | 1.8 35.2 320 20 10 5.3 2.9
12000 1.3 34.3 315 15 8 2.3 1.2 | 2.6 36.7 315 19 10 4.6 2.5
11500 1.6 34.9 305 13 7 2.4 1.3 | 3.2 37.8 315 18 9 4.7 2.6
11000 2.3 36.1 295 12 6 7.4 4.1 | 3.9 39.0 310 16 8 4.0 2.2
10500 3.3 37.9 290 11 6 6.9 3.8 | 4.5 40.1 305 13 7 3.9 2.1
10250 3.8 38.8 285 10 5 7.7 4.2 | 4.8 40.6 305 12 6 5.7 3.2
10000 4.4 39.9 280 10 5 8.6 4.7 | 5.3 41.5 305 11 6 7.7 4.2
9750 5.0 41.0 280 10 5 8.5 4.6 | 5.9 42.6 305 10 5 7.5 4.1
9500 5.6 42.1 275 9 5 8.5 4.7 | 6.5 43.7 305 9 5 7.6 4.2
9250 6.3 43.3 275 9 5 9.0 5.0 | 7.1 44.8 305 8 4 9.3 5.1
9000 7.0 44.6 270 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 7.8 46.0 305 8 4 9.3 5.1
8750 7.6 45.7 270 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 8.4 47.1 300 8 4 7.6 4.2
8500 8.3 46.9 265 7 4 8.9 4.9 | 9.0 48.2 300 8 4 8.1 4.4
8250 9.0 48.2 265 7 4 9.3 5.1 | 9.6 49.3 300 8 4 9.0 5.0
8000 9.7 49.5 260 7 3 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 300 9 4 9.2 5.1
7750 10.4 50.7 255 6 3 9.4 5.1 | 11.0 51.8 295 9 5 8.7 4.8
7500 11.1 52.0 255 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 11.6 52.9 295 9 5 8.5 4.6
7250 11.9 53.4 250 6 3 10.5 5.8 | 12.2 54.0 295 9 5 8.2 4.5
7000 12.6 54.7 245 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 12.9 55.2 290 9 5 9.1 5.0
6750 13.4 56.1 240 5 3 10.7 5.9 | 13.5 56.3 290 9 5 6.1 3.4
6500 14.3 57.7 235 5 2 14.2 7.8 | 13.5 56.3 290 9 4 -6.6 -3.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0711 MDT Saturday November 1 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, November 1, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 62.1 F/16.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 455 ft/min (2.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 11580 ft MSL (5899 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 66.0 F/19.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1245 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 8511 ft MSL (2829 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 11/02....... Fair
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:28:07 / 18:11:55 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 43 min 48 sec (643 min 48 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:50:01 MDT... 40.21 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 11/01/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12394 ft MSL (6713 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 22442 ft MSL (16761 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17138 ft MSL (11456 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +9.8
K index......................... -8.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.2 -83.6 335 54 28 0.9 0.5 87.0 188.7 39.5 M M
45000 -62.4 -80.3 340 65 34 2.2 1.2 65.7 150.3 29.1 M M
40000 -59.1 -74.4 010 100 51 2.9 1.6 48.6 119.5 19.8 M M
38000 -55.3 -67.5 005 95 49 6.5 3.6 45.1 113.1 17.9 M M
36000 -51.4 -60.5 360 88 45 6.5 3.6 42.4 108.4 16.5 M M
34000 -46.9 -52.4 355 81 42 8.2 4.5 40.5 105.0 15.6 M M
32000 -42.0 -43.6 355 72 37 8.2 4.5 39.3 102.8 15.1 M M
30000 -37.0 -34.6 350 67 35 8.3 4.5 38.1 100.7 14.6 M M
29000 -34.5 -30.1 350 66 34 8.3 4.5 37.5 99.6 14.3 M M
28000 -32.0 -25.6 345 65 33 8.3 4.6 37.1 98.7 14.1 M M
27000 -28.8 -19.8 345 63 32 8.9 4.9 36.5 97.8 13.9 M M
26000 -26.1 -15.0 345 61 31 8.9 4.9 36.2 97.2 13.8 M M
25000 -23.4 -10.1 340 59 31 8.9 4.9 36.0 96.7 13.7 M M
24000 -21.0 -5.8 340 58 30 7.5 4.1 35.4 95.6 13.4 M M
23000 -18.8 -1.8 335 57 29 7.4 4.1 34.5 94.0 12.8 M M
22000 -16.6 2.1 335 55 28 7.5 4.1 33.7 92.6 12.3 M M
21000 -14.7 5.5 335 53 27 5.5 3.0 32.4 90.3 11.3 M M
20000 -13.1 8.4 335 51 26 5.5 3.0 30.8 87.5 10.1 M M
19500 -12.3 9.9 335 50 26 5.5 3.0 30.1 86.2 9.5 M M
19000 -11.5 11.3 335 49 25 5.4 3.0 29.4 85.0 8.9 M M
18500 -10.7 12.7 340 48 25 5.3 2.9 28.7 83.6 8.3 M M
18000 -10.0 14.0 340 47 24 5.2 2.9 27.9 82.2 7.6 M M
17500 -9.1 15.6 340 46 23 5.6 3.1 27.1 80.9 7.0 M M
17000 -8.3 17.1 340 44 23 5.6 3.1 26.4 79.6 6.5 M M
16500 -7.4 18.7 340 43 22 5.8 3.2 25.7 78.3 5.9 M M
16000 -6.5 20.3 340 41 21 6.0 3.3 25.1 77.2 5.4 M M
15500 -5.6 21.9 340 39 20 6.0 3.3 24.5 76.1 4.9 M M
15000 -4.6 23.7 340 38 19 6.3 3.5 23.9 75.0 4.4 M M
14500 -3.7 25.3 340 36 18 6.3 3.5 23.3 74.0 3.9 M M
14000 -2.8 27.0 340 34 18 5.9 3.2 22.7 72.9 3.4 M M
13500 -1.9 28.6 335 33 17 6.0 3.3 22.1 71.8 2.8 M M
13000 -1.0 30.2 335 31 16 5.1 2.8 21.4 70.6 2.2 M M
12500 -0.3 31.5 330 30 16 5.1 2.8 20.7 69.2 1.5 M M
12000 0.4 32.7 330 30 15 5.0 2.7 19.9 67.8 0.8 M M
11500 1.2 34.2 330 30 15 4.9 2.7 19.1 66.4 0.0 M M
11000 1.9 35.4 330 30 15 6.4 3.5 18.4 65.2 -0.7 419 2.1
10500 2.9 37.2 330 30 15 6.3 3.5 18.0 64.4 -1.1 374 1.9
10250 3.4 38.1 330 30 15 5.5 3.0 17.7 63.8 -1.4 354 1.8
10000 3.8 38.8 330 30 15 6.9 3.8 17.4 63.3 -1.7 334 1.7
9750 4.4 39.9 325 29 15 7.8 4.3 17.2 63.0 -1.9 309 1.6
9500 5.5 41.9 325 28 14 7.2 4.0 16.9 62.4 -2.3 261 1.3
9250 6.0 42.8 325 27 14 7.0 3.9 16.7 62.0 -2.5 238 1.2
9000 6.5 43.7 325 25 13 7.4 4.0 16.5 61.6 -2.7 214 1.1
8750 7.1 44.8 325 24 12 7.6 4.2 16.3 61.3 -2.9 191 1.0
8500 7.6 45.7 325 22 12 6.3 3.4 16.1 61.0 -3.1 167 0.8
8250 8.0 46.4 325 21 11 5.5 3.0 15.8 60.4 -3.4 148 0.8
8000 8.5 47.3 325 19 10 6.4 3.5 15.5 59.9 -3.7 127 0.6
7750 8.9 48.0 325 16 8 6.1 3.3 15.2 59.4 -4.0 106 0.5
7500 9.3 48.7 325 15 8 5.7 3.1 14.9 58.9 -4.3 85 0.4
7250 9.7 49.5 325 14 7 4.1 2.3 14.6 58.2 -4.7 67 0.3
7000 10.0 50.0 330 11 6 3.3 1.8 14.1 57.3 -5.2 52 0.3
6750 10.2 50.4 335 9 5 3.5 1.9 13.6 56.5 -5.7 37 0.2
6500 10.5 50.9 340 7 4 2.9 1.6 13.1 55.6 -6.2 23 0.1
6250 10.7 51.3 345 6 3 4.2 2.3 12.6 54.7 -6.7 8 0.0
6000 10.8 51.4 355 4 2 -6.4 -3.5 12.0 53.6 -7.4 M M
5750 8.1 46.6 025 2 1 -79.5 -43.6 8.6 47.5 -10.8 70 0.4
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
11/01/2025 at 0900 MDT | 11/01/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +9.7 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +10.6
CINH... -0.0 K Index... -15.1 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... -16.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.1 -85.2 340 53 27 0.5 0.3 | -66.8 -88.2 350 47 24 0.9 0.5
45000 -63.8 -82.8 345 61 32 3.0 1.6 | -64.6 -84.3 355 53 27 4.1 2.3
40000 -59.3 -74.7 020 92 47 3.7 2.1 | -58.5 -73.3 015 76 39 5.1 2.8
38000 -55.2 -67.4 015 87 45 7.2 3.9 | -53.8 -64.8 010 73 38 7.0 3.9
36000 -50.3 -58.5 005 81 41 7.2 3.9 | -49.6 -57.3 005 71 37 7.0 3.9
34000 -45.7 -50.3 360 73 38 8.0 4.4 | -45.1 -49.2 005 64 33 7.7 4.2
32000 -40.9 -41.6 360 64 33 8.0 4.4 | -40.5 -40.9 360 56 29 7.7 4.2
30000 -35.9 -32.6 355 59 30 8.5 4.6 | -35.6 -32.1 355 52 27 8.5 4.7
29000 -33.4 -28.1 350 58 30 8.5 4.6 | -33.0 -27.4 355 51 26 8.5 4.7
28000 -30.9 -23.6 345 57 29 8.5 4.6 | -30.5 -22.9 350 50 26 8.5 4.7
27000 -28.3 -18.9 345 56 29 8.5 4.7 | -28.0 -18.4 350 48 25 8.4 4.6
26000 -25.8 -14.4 345 54 28 8.5 4.7 | -25.5 -13.9 350 47 24 8.4 4.6
25000 -23.2 -9.8 350 53 27 8.5 4.7 | -23.0 -9.4 350 45 23 8.4 4.6
24000 -20.7 -5.3 345 51 26 8.2 4.5 | -20.5 -4.9 350 43 22 8.1 4.5
23000 -18.2 -0.8 345 51 26 8.2 4.5 | -17.5 0.5 345 42 22 8.1 4.5
22000 -15.2 4.6 340 49 25 8.5 4.7 | -15.0 5.0 345 41 21 8.1 4.4
21000 -13.3 8.1 340 49 25 5.5 3.0 | -12.9 8.8 345 41 21 7.0 3.9
20000 -11.7 10.9 340 48 25 5.6 3.1 | -10.8 12.6 345 42 22 7.1 3.9
19500 -10.9 12.4 340 48 25 5.7 3.1 | -9.8 14.4 345 42 22 7.1 3.9
19000 -10.1 13.8 340 47 24 4.7 2.6 | -8.8 16.2 345 42 22 5.7 3.1
18500 -9.5 14.9 345 46 23 4.3 2.4 | -8.0 17.6 350 41 21 5.4 2.9
18000 -8.8 16.2 345 44 23 4.3 2.4 | -7.2 19.0 350 40 21 5.2 2.9
17500 -8.1 17.4 350 42 21 5.1 2.8 | -6.5 20.3 350 38 20 4.4 2.4
17000 -7.3 18.9 350 40 20 5.0 2.7 | -5.8 21.6 350 37 19 4.5 2.4
16500 -6.5 20.3 350 38 19 5.6 3.1 | -5.1 22.8 350 35 18 4.6 2.5
16000 -5.6 21.9 350 36 18 5.8 3.2 | -4.4 24.1 355 32 17 4.6 2.5
15500 -4.8 23.4 355 34 18 5.7 3.1 | -3.6 25.5 355 30 16 4.6 2.5
15000 -3.9 25.0 355 32 16 5.5 3.0 | -2.9 26.8 355 28 14 4.6 2.5
14500 -3.1 26.4 350 30 15 5.5 3.0 | -2.2 28.0 355 26 13 4.6 2.5
14000 -2.2 28.0 350 28 14 5.9 3.2 | -1.5 29.3 350 23 12 4.5 2.5
13500 -1.4 29.5 350 25 13 5.9 3.2 | -0.9 30.4 350 21 11 4.4 2.4
13000 -0.5 31.1 345 23 12 6.0 3.3 | -0.1 31.8 345 19 10 5.8 3.2
12500 0.4 32.7 340 22 11 6.2 3.4 | 0.7 33.3 340 18 9 5.9 3.2
12000 1.2 34.2 340 21 11 4.2 2.3 | 1.4 34.5 335 17 9 4.2 2.3
11500 1.8 35.2 335 21 11 4.2 2.3 | 2.0 35.6 330 17 9 4.3 2.4
11000 2.4 36.3 330 22 11 4.3 2.4 | 2.6 36.7 325 18 9 3.8 2.1
10500 3.0 37.4 330 22 11 4.3 2.4 | 3.2 37.8 325 19 10 3.7 2.0
10250 3.3 37.9 330 22 12 4.5 2.5 | 3.4 38.1 325 19 10 4.3 2.4
10000 3.6 38.5 330 22 11 4.8 2.6 | 3.8 38.8 325 19 10 5.1 2.8
9750 4.0 39.2 330 22 11 4.8 2.7 | 4.1 39.4 325 18 9 5.0 2.7
9500 4.3 39.7 330 21 11 4.6 2.5 | 4.5 40.1 325 17 9 5.0 2.7
9250 4.6 40.3 330 21 11 5.7 3.1 | 4.8 40.6 325 16 8 4.8 2.7
9000 5.1 41.2 330 19 10 5.7 3.1 | 5.2 41.4 325 14 7 4.7 2.6
8750 5.8 42.4 325 16 8 5.0 2.7 | 5.5 41.9 320 12 6 5.0 2.7
8500 6.2 43.2 325 15 8 5.1 2.8 | 6.2 43.2 320 9 5 3.7 2.0
8250 6.6 43.9 330 13 7 4.9 2.7 | 6.5 43.7 325 8 4 5.9 3.2
8000 6.9 44.4 330 11 6 4.4 2.4 | 7.0 44.6 320 7 3 7.3 4.0
7750 7.2 45.0 330 10 5 4.8 2.7 | 7.5 45.5 320 6 3 7.2 4.0
7500 7.6 45.7 335 8 4 5.6 3.0 | 8.1 46.6 320 5 3 7.6 4.2
7250 8.0 46.4 340 7 4 3.8 2.1 | 8.7 47.7 325 4 2 9.2 5.0
7000 8.2 46.8 350 6 3 2.3 1.3 | 9.4 48.9 320 4 2 10.4 5.7
6750 8.3 46.9 005 4 2 2.8 1.5 | 10.2 50.4 320 4 2 9.9 5.4
6500 8.5 47.3 020 4 2 2.7 1.5 | 10.9 51.6 320 4 2 10.0 5.5
6250 8.7 47.7 035 3 2 2.9 1.6 | 11.7 53.1 320 4 2 9.6 5.3
6000 9.0 48.2 045 4 2 4.4 2.4 | 12.4 54.3 320 3 2 12.8 7.0
5750 9.4 48.9 065 3 2 8.9 4.9 | 14.0 57.2 315 3 2 35.5 19.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
11/01/2025 at 1500 MDT | 11/01/2025 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +9.7 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +9.1
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -0.8 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +0.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.1 -88.8 350 45 23 1.4 0.8 | -67.7 -89.9 350 42 22 1.5 0.8
45000 -64.2 -83.6 355 47 24 4.2 2.3 | -64.6 -84.3 355 43 22 4.5 2.4
40000 -57.9 -72.2 010 68 35 5.6 3.1 | -57.3 -71.1 005 61 31 8.2 4.5
38000 -53.1 -63.6 005 67 34 7.2 4.0 | -52.6 -62.7 005 62 32 7.8 4.3
36000 -48.8 -55.8 360 66 34 7.2 4.0 | -47.9 -54.2 005 62 32 7.9 4.3
34000 -44.2 -47.6 355 59 31 7.7 4.2 | -43.1 -45.6 005 57 29 8.0 4.4
32000 -39.6 -39.3 355 50 26 7.7 4.2 | -38.3 -36.9 005 50 26 8.0 4.4
30000 -34.9 -30.8 355 45 23 8.0 4.4 | -33.7 -28.7 360 46 24 7.5 4.1
29000 -32.5 -26.5 350 45 23 8.1 4.4 | -31.5 -24.7 350 45 23 7.5 4.1
28000 -30.1 -22.2 350 44 22 8.0 4.4 | -29.2 -20.6 345 45 23 7.5 4.1
27000 -27.6 -17.7 350 43 22 8.4 4.6 | -26.9 -16.4 345 44 23 8.0 4.4
26000 -25.1 -13.2 345 43 22 8.4 4.6 | -24.5 -12.1 345 44 22 8.0 4.4
25000 -22.6 -8.7 345 43 22 8.4 4.6 | -21.5 -6.7 345 43 22 8.1 4.4
24000 -20.2 -4.4 345 42 22 7.9 4.3 | -19.2 -2.6 345 41 21 7.7 4.2
23000 -17.3 0.9 340 41 21 7.8 4.3 | -17.0 1.4 345 39 20 7.7 4.2
22000 -14.9 5.2 340 40 21 7.8 4.3 | -14.7 5.5 345 37 19 7.6 4.2
21000 -12.8 9.0 340 40 20 7.0 3.9 | -12.6 9.3 345 37 19 7.0 3.8
20000 -10.7 12.7 340 39 20 7.1 3.9 | -10.5 13.1 345 36 18 7.0 3.8
19500 -9.7 14.5 340 39 20 7.1 3.9 | -9.5 14.9 345 36 18 7.0 3.8
19000 -8.7 16.3 340 39 20 6.7 3.7 | -8.4 16.9 340 35 18 7.0 3.9
18500 -7.7 18.1 340 38 20 6.6 3.6 | -7.4 18.7 345 35 18 7.0 3.9
18000 -6.7 19.9 345 37 19 6.5 3.5 | -6.4 20.5 345 34 18 7.0 3.8
17500 -5.9 21.4 345 36 18 5.6 3.1 | -5.4 22.3 345 33 17 6.6 3.6
17000 -5.0 23.0 345 34 18 5.7 3.1 | -4.4 24.1 345 32 17 6.7 3.7
16500 -4.2 24.4 350 32 17 4.5 2.5 | -3.4 25.9 345 31 16 5.8 3.2
16000 -3.6 25.5 350 30 15 4.3 2.4 | -2.6 27.3 345 30 15 5.7 3.1
15500 -2.9 26.8 350 27 14 4.5 2.4 | -1.7 28.9 345 29 15 5.4 3.0
15000 -2.2 28.0 345 25 13 4.7 2.6 | -1.0 30.2 345 28 14 5.1 2.8
14500 -1.5 29.3 340 23 12 4.8 2.6 | -0.2 31.6 340 26 14 5.1 2.8
14000 -0.7 30.7 335 21 11 5.8 3.2 | 0.6 33.1 340 25 13 5.1 2.8
13500 0.2 32.4 330 19 10 5.8 3.2 | 1.4 34.5 330 25 13 5.4 2.9
13000 1.0 33.8 325 18 9 4.9 2.7 | 2.0 35.6 325 25 13 2.6 1.4
12500 1.8 35.2 320 18 9 5.2 2.9 | 2.4 36.3 320 26 13 3.0 1.6
12000 2.3 36.1 315 19 10 2.4 1.3 | 2.9 37.2 315 27 14 2.3 1.2
11500 2.7 36.9 315 20 10 2.2 1.2 | 3.2 37.8 310 27 14 2.0 1.1
11000 3.1 37.6 315 21 11 4.7 2.6 | 3.8 38.8 310 26 13 5.9 3.2
10500 3.8 38.8 315 20 10 4.4 2.4 | 4.7 40.5 310 23 12 4.3 2.4
10250 4.1 39.4 315 20 10 4.4 2.4 | 4.9 40.8 310 22 11 4.3 2.4
10000 4.5 40.1 315 18 9 5.0 2.7 | 5.4 41.7 310 21 11 7.7 4.2
9750 4.8 40.6 320 16 8 5.2 2.8 | 6.0 42.8 310 20 10 7.7 4.2
9500 5.2 41.4 320 14 7 4.7 2.6 | 7.2 45.0 315 18 9 8.3 4.6
9250 5.6 42.1 320 12 6 6.5 3.6 | 7.8 46.0 315 17 9 8.1 4.4
9000 6.1 43.0 320 12 6 7.6 4.2 | 8.4 47.1 315 16 8 8.1 4.4
8750 7.1 44.8 315 9 4 6.8 3.8 | 9.0 48.2 315 15 8 7.7 4.2
8500 7.7 45.9 315 7 4 8.1 4.4 | 9.5 49.1 310 14 7 6.9 3.8
8250 8.4 47.1 315 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 10.0 50.0 310 12 6 7.9 4.3
8000 9.1 48.4 310 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 10.7 51.3 305 11 6 8.9 4.9
7750 9.8 49.6 310 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 11.3 52.3 305 10 5 8.3 4.6
7500 10.5 50.9 310 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 11.9 53.4 300 9 5 7.6 4.2
7250 11.2 52.2 310 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 12.5 54.5 300 8 4 7.8 4.3
7000 12.0 53.6 305 5 2 10.8 5.9 | 13.1 55.6 295 7 3 8.0 4.4
6750 12.8 55.0 305 4 2 10.0 5.5 | 13.7 56.7 285 6 3 8.3 4.6
6500 13.5 56.3 305 4 2 9.8 5.4 | 14.3 57.7 275 5 2 8.7 4.8
6250 14.2 57.6 305 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 14.9 58.8 260 4 2 8.1 4.4
6000 15.0 59.0 300 4 2 12.1 6.6 | 15.4 59.7 250 3 2 3.7 2.0
5750 16.5 61.7 295 3 2 34.9 19.2 | 15.1 59.2 220 3 2 -12.6 -6.9
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0712 MDT Saturday November 1 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, November 1, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 58.1 F/14.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 470 ft/min (2.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 12427 ft MSL (5966 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 63.0 F/17.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1245 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10266 ft MSL (3806 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 11/02....... Fair
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:26:53 / 18:08:55 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 42 min 2 sec (642 min 2 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:47:54 MDT... 39.62 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 11/01/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12005 ft MSL (5544 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 22153 ft MSL (15692 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17380 ft MSL (10919 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +9.5
K index......................... -17.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.4 -82.1 340 57 29 0.3 0.2 85.7 186.3 40.0 M M
45000 -62.6 -80.7 345 69 36 2.1 1.2 64.2 147.6 29.3 M M
40000 -59.2 -74.6 010 106 55 2.4 1.3 46.0 114.8 19.3 M M
38000 -55.4 -67.7 005 102 53 6.7 3.7 42.6 108.7 17.5 M M
36000 -51.3 -60.3 005 97 50 6.7 3.7 40.1 104.3 16.2 M M
34000 -47.1 -52.8 360 88 45 7.5 4.1 38.0 100.4 15.1 M M
32000 -42.5 -44.5 355 78 40 7.6 4.2 36.2 97.2 14.2 M M
30000 -37.6 -35.7 355 71 37 9.0 4.9 35.1 95.2 13.7 M M
29000 -34.9 -30.8 350 70 36 9.0 4.9 34.8 94.6 13.6 M M
28000 -32.1 -25.8 350 68 35 9.0 4.9 34.6 94.3 13.6 M M
27000 -28.8 -19.8 350 67 34 8.8 4.8 34.2 93.6 13.5 M M
26000 -26.2 -15.2 345 66 34 8.8 4.8 33.8 92.8 13.3 M M
25000 -23.5 -10.3 345 66 34 8.7 4.8 33.5 92.3 13.3 M M
24000 -21.2 -6.2 340 65 33 6.8 3.7 32.8 91.1 12.8 M M
23000 -19.1 -2.4 340 64 33 6.8 3.7 31.7 89.1 12.1 M M
22000 -17.1 1.2 335 63 32 6.8 3.7 30.7 87.3 11.3 M M
21000 -15.3 4.5 335 60 31 5.3 2.9 29.4 84.9 10.3 M M
20000 -13.8 7.2 335 57 29 5.3 2.9 27.8 82.0 9.0 M M
19500 -13.0 8.6 340 55 28 5.3 2.9 27.0 80.7 8.4 M M
19000 -12.2 10.0 340 54 28 5.3 2.9 26.3 79.4 7.9 M M
18500 -11.4 11.5 340 52 27 5.5 3.0 25.6 78.1 7.3 M M
18000 -10.5 13.1 340 50 26 5.5 3.0 24.9 76.8 6.7 M M
17500 -9.7 14.5 340 48 25 5.5 3.0 24.2 75.5 6.1 M M
17000 -8.9 16.0 340 47 24 5.5 3.0 23.4 74.2 5.5 M M
16500 -8.0 17.6 340 45 23 5.4 2.9 22.7 72.9 4.9 M M
16000 -7.3 18.9 340 43 22 5.0 2.7 21.9 71.5 4.2 M M
15500 -6.5 20.3 340 41 21 5.0 2.7 21.2 70.1 3.5 M M
15000 -5.8 21.6 340 39 20 5.4 3.0 20.4 68.8 2.8 M M
14500 -5.0 23.0 340 36 19 5.3 2.9 19.7 67.5 2.2 M M
14000 -4.1 24.6 340 33 17 6.7 3.6 19.1 66.3 1.6 M M
13500 -3.1 26.4 340 29 15 6.8 3.7 18.6 65.4 1.1 M M
13000 -2.1 28.2 335 26 13 6.7 3.7 18.1 64.6 0.7 M M
12500 -1.1 30.0 335 22 11 6.6 3.6 17.6 63.7 0.2 M M
12000 -0.2 31.6 330 19 10 6.0 3.3 17.1 62.8 -0.3 443 2.3
11500 1.0 33.8 330 15 8 6.0 3.3 16.1 61.0 -1.3 384 2.0
11000 1.8 35.2 330 13 7 4.7 2.6 15.4 59.8 -2.0 345 1.8
10500 2.6 36.7 325 11 6 3.9 2.1 14.7 58.4 -2.7 309 1.6
10250 2.8 37.0 325 9 5 3.6 2.0 14.2 57.5 -3.2 295 1.5
10000 3.1 37.6 325 8 4 4.8 2.6 13.8 56.8 -3.7 278 1.4
9750 3.4 38.1 325 7 4 4.5 2.5 13.4 56.0 -4.1 261 1.3
9500 3.7 38.7 325 6 3 4.5 2.4 13.0 55.3 -4.5 244 1.2
9250 4.0 39.2 325 5 2 4.1 2.3 12.5 54.6 -4.9 227 1.2
9000 4.3 39.7 330 4 2 4.0 2.2 12.1 53.8 -5.4 211 1.1
8750 4.6 40.3 335 2 1 4.2 2.3 11.7 53.0 -5.8 195 1.0
8500 4.9 40.8 340 1 1 3.7 2.0 11.2 52.2 -6.3 179 0.9
8250 5.2 41.4 080 1 0 3.0 1.6 10.7 51.3 -6.8 164 0.8
8000 5.4 41.7 110 2 1 2.6 1.4 10.2 50.4 -7.3 151 0.8
7750 5.5 41.9 120 3 2 2.3 1.3 9.7 49.4 -7.9 138 0.7
7500 5.7 42.3 125 5 2 2.5 1.4 9.1 48.4 -8.5 126 0.6
7250 5.9 42.6 120 5 3 1.9 1.1 8.5 47.4 -9.1 113 0.6
7000 6.1 43.0 120 5 3 4.0 2.2 8.0 46.4 -9.6 101 0.5
6750 6.2 43.2 120 6 3 -3.7 -2.0 7.4 45.4 -10.2 88 0.4
6500 3.9 39.0 115 5 3 -77.3 -42.4 4.3 39.8 -13.4 152 0.8
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
11/01/2025 at 0900 MDT | 11/01/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +10.0 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +10.9
CINH... -0.0 K Index... -33.1 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... -30.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 345 54 28 -0.1 -0.0 | -65.9 -86.6 350 50 26 0.2 0.1
45000 -63.8 -82.8 350 69 36 2.9 1.6 | -64.6 -84.3 355 60 31 4.1 2.2
40000 -59.5 -75.1 015 97 50 3.9 2.2 | -58.6 -73.5 015 82 42 4.7 2.6
38000 -55.4 -67.7 010 91 47 7.0 3.8 | -54.5 -66.1 010 79 41 7.0 3.9
36000 -51.2 -60.2 005 84 43 7.0 3.8 | -49.8 -57.6 360 77 39 7.0 3.9
34000 -46.7 -52.1 360 76 39 8.0 4.4 | -45.4 -49.7 360 70 36 7.3 4.0
32000 -41.9 -43.4 360 68 35 8.0 4.4 | -41.1 -42.0 355 61 31 7.3 4.0
30000 -36.8 -34.2 355 63 33 8.8 4.8 | -36.2 -33.2 355 56 29 8.7 4.8
29000 -33.5 -28.3 350 63 32 8.8 4.8 | -33.5 -28.3 350 55 28 8.7 4.8
28000 -30.9 -23.6 350 62 32 8.8 4.8 | -30.9 -23.6 350 53 27 8.8 4.8
27000 -28.3 -18.9 350 60 31 8.5 4.7 | -28.4 -19.1 350 51 26 8.2 4.5
26000 -25.7 -14.3 350 57 29 8.5 4.7 | -26.0 -14.8 350 48 25 8.2 4.5
25000 -23.1 -9.6 350 54 28 8.5 4.7 | -23.6 -10.5 350 45 23 8.2 4.5
24000 -20.6 -5.1 345 54 28 8.2 4.5 | -20.4 -4.7 345 42 22 8.5 4.7
23000 -18.1 -0.6 345 55 28 8.2 4.5 | -17.8 -0.0 345 42 21 8.5 4.7
22000 -15.6 3.9 345 55 29 8.4 4.6 | -15.3 4.5 345 41 21 8.6 4.7
21000 -13.6 7.5 345 55 28 6.1 3.3 | -12.9 8.8 345 41 21 7.6 4.2
20000 -11.8 10.8 345 55 28 6.0 3.3 | -10.6 12.9 345 42 22 7.7 4.2
19500 -10.9 12.4 345 54 28 6.0 3.3 | -9.5 14.9 350 42 22 7.7 4.2
19000 -10.0 14.0 345 54 28 5.5 3.0 | -8.4 16.9 350 42 22 6.0 3.3
18500 -9.3 15.3 345 53 27 4.6 2.5 | -7.6 18.3 350 42 22 5.3 2.9
18000 -8.6 16.5 350 51 26 4.6 2.5 | -6.8 19.8 350 42 22 5.3 2.9
17500 -7.9 17.8 350 49 25 4.0 2.2 | -6.3 20.7 350 42 22 1.9 1.0
17000 -7.3 18.9 350 47 24 4.0 2.2 | -6.0 21.2 355 41 21 2.2 1.2
16500 -6.7 19.9 350 45 23 3.9 2.1 | -5.6 21.9 355 39 20 2.1 1.2
16000 -6.1 21.0 350 42 22 3.7 2.0 | -5.3 22.5 355 37 19 2.1 1.2
15500 -5.6 21.9 350 40 21 3.7 2.0 | -5.0 23.0 355 35 18 2.6 1.4
15000 -5.0 23.0 350 38 20 3.5 1.9 | -4.5 23.9 355 32 16 4.1 2.2
14500 -4.5 23.9 350 35 18 3.4 1.9 | -3.9 25.0 355 29 15 4.0 2.2
14000 -3.9 25.0 350 32 17 4.8 2.6 | -3.2 26.2 355 27 14 4.9 2.7
13500 -3.2 26.2 350 29 15 4.7 2.6 | -2.5 27.5 350 24 12 4.7 2.6
13000 -2.4 27.7 345 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -1.7 28.9 345 21 11 6.2 3.4
12500 -1.5 29.3 345 21 11 6.9 3.8 | -0.8 30.6 340 18 9 6.2 3.4
12000 -0.0 32.0 340 17 9 6.3 3.4 | 0.1 32.2 335 16 8 6.0 3.3
11500 0.9 33.6 340 15 8 6.5 3.6 | 0.9 33.6 330 14 7 5.9 3.2
11000 1.7 35.1 340 12 6 4.8 2.6 | 1.9 35.4 330 12 6 6.1 3.4
10500 2.4 36.3 340 9 5 3.7 2.0 | 3.0 37.4 325 9 5 4.1 2.2
10250 2.6 36.7 345 8 4 3.4 1.9 | 3.2 37.8 325 8 4 4.0 2.2
10000 3.0 37.4 350 8 4 5.0 2.7 | 3.6 38.5 325 7 4 5.1 2.8
9750 3.3 37.9 350 7 3 4.7 2.6 | 3.9 39.0 325 7 3 4.9 2.7
9500 3.6 38.5 355 6 3 4.2 2.3 | 4.2 39.6 325 6 3 4.4 2.4
9250 3.9 39.0 005 5 3 3.2 1.8 | 4.5 40.1 330 5 2 3.6 2.0
9000 4.1 39.4 010 5 3 3.0 1.6 | 4.8 40.6 325 4 2 3.7 2.0
8750 4.3 39.7 010 4 2 3.1 1.7 | 5.0 41.0 315 3 1 3.7 2.0
8500 4.5 40.1 015 3 2 2.2 1.2 | 5.3 41.5 300 2 1 4.0 2.2
8250 4.6 40.3 035 2 1 1.3 0.7 | 5.6 42.1 295 1 1 4.7 2.6
8000 4.7 40.5 065 2 1 2.3 1.3 | 6.0 42.8 270 1 0 7.7 4.2
7750 4.9 40.8 100 2 1 1.6 0.9 | 6.7 44.1 240 1 1 9.9 5.4
7500 4.9 40.8 115 2 1 -0.6 -0.3 | 7.4 45.3 230 1 1 9.9 5.4
7250 4.8 40.6 125 3 1 -2.3 -1.3 | 8.2 46.8 225 1 1 10.1 5.5
7000 4.7 40.5 130 3 2 2.5 1.4 | 8.9 48.0 220 1 1 10.1 5.5
6750 5.3 41.5 135 3 2 12.4 6.8 | 9.7 49.5 215 2 1 13.8 7.6
6500 5.8 42.4 135 3 1 -5.8 -3.2 | 11.3 52.3 215 2 1 30.3 16.6
11/01/2025 at 1500 MDT | 11/01/2025 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +9.3 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +7.7
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -2.0 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +5.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.1 -88.8 355 49 25 1.3 0.7 | -67.6 -89.7 350 46 24 1.5 0.8
45000 -64.3 -83.7 360 54 28 4.3 2.4 | -64.5 -84.1 360 49 25 4.5 2.5
40000 -57.9 -72.2 010 72 37 5.5 3.0 | -57.2 -71.0 005 65 33 7.9 4.3
38000 -53.6 -64.5 005 71 37 7.2 3.9 | -52.6 -62.7 005 66 34 7.5 4.1
36000 -48.8 -55.8 360 71 37 7.2 4.0 | -48.1 -54.6 005 67 35 7.5 4.1
34000 -44.4 -47.9 355 64 33 7.4 4.1 | -43.5 -46.3 005 62 32 7.9 4.3
32000 -39.9 -39.8 355 54 28 7.4 4.1 | -38.7 -37.7 005 56 29 7.9 4.3
30000 -35.2 -31.4 350 49 25 8.1 4.4 | -34.2 -29.6 355 51 26 7.5 4.1
29000 -32.8 -27.0 350 48 25 8.1 4.4 | -31.9 -25.4 350 50 26 7.5 4.1
28000 -30.4 -22.7 350 47 24 8.1 4.4 | -29.7 -21.5 345 50 26 7.5 4.1
27000 -28.0 -18.4 350 46 24 8.3 4.6 | -27.4 -17.3 340 49 25 8.1 4.4
26000 -25.5 -13.9 350 46 24 8.3 4.6 | -25.0 -13.0 340 48 25 8.1 4.4
25000 -23.0 -9.4 345 45 23 8.3 4.6 | -22.0 -7.6 345 46 24 8.1 4.5
24000 -20.0 -4.0 345 44 23 8.0 4.4 | -19.7 -3.5 345 45 23 7.8 4.3
23000 -17.6 0.3 340 43 22 8.0 4.4 | -17.4 0.7 345 43 22 7.8 4.3
22000 -15.2 4.6 340 43 22 8.1 4.4 | -15.1 4.8 345 41 21 7.8 4.3
21000 -13.0 8.6 340 43 22 7.3 4.0 | -12.9 8.8 345 39 20 7.1 3.9
20000 -10.8 12.6 340 43 22 7.4 4.0 | -10.8 12.6 345 38 20 7.2 3.9
19500 -9.7 14.5 340 43 22 7.4 4.0 | -9.7 14.5 345 37 19 7.2 3.9
19000 -8.7 16.3 340 43 22 6.8 3.7 | -8.7 16.3 345 37 19 6.8 3.7
18500 -7.7 18.1 345 42 22 6.6 3.6 | -7.7 18.1 345 36 19 6.6 3.6
18000 -6.7 19.9 345 41 21 6.6 3.6 | -6.8 19.8 345 36 18 6.6 3.6
17500 -5.9 21.4 350 40 21 5.3 2.9 | -5.8 21.6 345 35 18 6.4 3.5
17000 -5.1 22.8 350 38 19 5.4 3.0 | -4.9 23.2 350 35 18 6.4 3.5
16500 -4.3 24.3 350 36 18 3.3 1.8 | -3.9 25.0 350 34 17 6.0 3.3
16000 -3.9 25.0 350 32 17 2.5 1.4 | -3.1 26.4 350 32 17 5.9 3.2
15500 -3.5 25.7 350 29 15 2.5 1.4 | -2.2 28.0 350 31 16 5.6 3.1
15000 -3.1 26.4 345 27 14 2.7 1.5 | -1.4 29.5 350 28 15 4.8 2.7
14500 -2.7 27.1 345 24 12 2.6 1.4 | -0.7 30.7 345 26 13 4.9 2.7
14000 -2.1 28.2 340 22 11 4.7 2.6 | -0.1 31.8 340 24 12 2.9 1.6
13500 -1.5 29.3 335 20 10 4.3 2.4 | 0.4 32.7 335 22 11 3.0 1.7
13000 -0.7 30.7 325 18 9 6.1 3.3 | 0.9 33.6 330 21 11 3.6 1.9
12500 0.2 32.4 320 16 8 6.1 3.3 | 1.5 34.7 325 19 10 3.5 1.9
12000 1.0 33.8 315 15 7 5.7 3.1 | 2.0 35.6 315 17 9 4.3 2.4
11500 1.9 35.4 315 13 7 5.7 3.1 | 2.7 36.9 310 14 7 4.4 2.4
11000 2.6 36.7 310 11 6 5.6 3.1 | 3.9 39.0 295 12 6 5.9 3.2
10500 4.0 39.2 300 9 5 4.6 2.5 | 4.8 40.6 280 11 6 7.3 4.0
10250 4.2 39.6 300 9 5 4.4 2.4 | 5.4 41.7 280 12 6 8.5 4.7
10000 4.6 40.3 295 8 4 6.0 3.3 | 6.0 42.8 275 11 6 7.7 4.2
9750 5.1 41.2 290 7 4 5.8 3.2 | 6.6 43.9 270 11 6 7.7 4.2
9500 5.5 41.9 285 7 4 5.2 2.8 | 7.1 44.8 265 10 5 8.6 4.7
9250 5.8 42.4 280 6 3 6.5 3.6 | 7.8 46.0 265 10 5 8.8 4.8
9000 6.5 43.7 275 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 8.4 47.1 265 10 5 7.8 4.3
8750 7.1 44.8 270 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 9.0 48.2 265 9 4 7.8 4.3
8500 7.8 46.0 270 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 9.6 49.3 260 8 4 8.2 4.5
8250 8.4 47.1 265 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 10.2 50.4 260 7 4 8.3 4.5
8000 9.2 48.6 265 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 10.8 51.4 260 6 3 6.9 3.8
7750 9.9 49.8 260 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 11.3 52.3 255 5 3 6.5 3.6
7500 10.6 51.1 260 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 11.8 53.2 255 4 2 8.0 4.4
7250 11.4 52.5 260 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 12.4 54.3 245 3 2 8.1 4.5
7000 12.2 54.0 260 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 13.0 55.4 240 2 1 9.0 4.9
6750 12.9 55.2 260 6 3 11.9 6.6 | 13.5 56.3 240 2 1 0.4 0.2
6500 14.6 58.3 255 5 3 42.7 23.4 | 11.6 52.9 145 1 1 -64.0 -35.1
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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