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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0727 MDT Friday July 17 2026
This forecast is for Friday, July 17, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 74.5 F/23.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1173 ft/min (6.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17269 ft MSL (10944 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 85.0 F/29.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13808 ft MSL (7483 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 07/18..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:03:04 / 20:17:23 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 14 min 19 sec (854 min 19 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:13 MDT... 75.93 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/17/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15617 ft MSL (9292 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13339 ft MSL (7014 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14898 ft MSL (8573 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.3
K index......................... +27.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.2 -81.8 050 28 14 2.9 1.6 80.6 177.0 30.4 M M
45000 -57.3 -71.1 050 35 18 5.7 3.1 67.1 152.8 23.9 M M
40000 -48.3 -54.9 035 30 15 6.0 3.3 57.9 136.2 19.4 M M
38000 -44.7 -48.5 035 25 13 6.0 3.3 54.4 130.0 17.4 M M
36000 -41.2 -42.2 040 20 10 6.5 3.5 51.6 125.0 15.9 M M
34000 -36.8 -34.2 055 15 8 7.4 4.1 49.4 120.9 14.6 M M
32000 -32.3 -26.1 080 11 6 7.5 4.1 47.8 118.0 13.7 M M
30000 -27.2 -17.0 065 13 6 7.6 4.2 45.7 114.3 12.5 M M
29000 -24.9 -12.8 055 14 7 7.6 4.2 45.0 113.0 12.1 M M
28000 -22.8 -9.0 050 14 7 6.4 3.5 44.1 111.4 11.5 M M
27000 -20.8 -5.4 045 12 6 6.6 3.6 42.8 109.1 10.6 M M
26000 -18.9 -2.0 035 11 6 6.6 3.6 41.6 107.0 9.8 M M
25000 -16.9 1.6 025 9 5 6.9 3.8 40.6 105.1 9.0 M M
24000 -14.8 5.4 015 10 5 7.3 4.0 39.6 103.3 8.2 M M
23000 -12.7 9.1 010 10 5 7.3 4.0 38.7 101.7 7.5 M M
22000 -10.5 13.1 360 10 5 6.3 3.5 38.0 100.4 6.9 M M
21000 -9.0 15.8 005 9 5 4.9 2.7 36.2 97.2 5.6 M M
20000 -7.4 18.7 015 8 4 5.0 2.8 34.6 94.2 4.3 M M
19500 -6.6 20.1 020 7 4 5.2 2.9 33.8 92.8 3.7 M M
19000 -5.9 21.4 030 7 4 3.9 2.2 32.9 91.3 3.0 M M
18500 -5.4 22.3 045 7 3 4.2 2.3 32.0 89.5 2.1 M M
18000 -4.8 23.4 060 7 4 4.9 2.7 31.0 87.9 1.2 M M
17500 -4.0 24.8 065 8 4 6.1 3.3 30.3 86.6 0.5 M M
17000 -2.8 27.0 070 11 6 7.2 4.0 29.5 85.1 -0.5 943 4.8
16500 -1.8 28.8 060 11 6 8.1 4.4 29.2 84.5 -0.9 896 4.6
16000 -0.7 30.7 055 12 6 8.2 4.5 28.9 84.1 -1.3 848 4.3
15500 0.5 32.9 050 11 6 8.2 4.5 28.7 83.6 -1.6 799 4.1
15000 1.7 35.1 045 9 5 8.4 4.6 28.4 83.1 -1.9 748 3.8
14500 2.8 37.0 030 7 4 6.5 3.6 28.1 82.5 -2.2 701 3.6
14000 3.7 38.7 350 4 2 6.4 3.5 27.5 81.5 -2.8 660 3.4
13500 4.5 40.1 300 5 3 6.9 3.8 27.0 80.6 -3.4 619 3.1
13000 5.5 41.9 285 6 3 7.2 4.0 26.6 79.8 -3.9 574 2.9
12500 6.5 43.7 275 6 3 7.8 4.3 26.2 79.1 -4.4 529 2.7
12000 7.8 46.0 275 6 3 8.5 4.7 26.0 78.8 -4.6 477 2.4
11500 9.0 48.2 270 6 3 7.6 4.2 25.8 78.4 -4.8 425 2.2
11000 10.2 50.4 280 6 3 8.6 4.7 25.5 77.9 -5.2 377 1.9
10500 11.4 52.5 290 6 3 7.3 4.0 25.3 77.5 -5.4 325 1.7
10250 11.9 53.4 295 6 3 6.5 3.6 25.0 77.0 -5.7 303 1.5
10000 12.4 54.3 295 7 3 7.9 4.3 24.8 76.7 -5.9 280 1.4
9750 13.0 55.4 300 7 4 8.1 4.5 24.7 76.5 -6.0 255 1.3
9500 13.6 56.5 305 7 4 7.9 4.3 24.6 76.3 -6.2 230 1.2
9250 14.1 57.4 305 7 4 7.9 4.4 24.4 76.0 -6.4 205 1.0
9000 14.7 58.5 305 7 4 6.9 3.8 24.3 75.7 -6.5 181 0.9
8750 15.2 59.4 300 7 4 6.2 3.4 24.0 75.2 -6.8 160 0.8
8500 15.6 60.1 300 7 4 6.0 3.3 23.8 74.8 -7.1 139 0.7
8250 16.0 60.8 295 7 3 5.5 3.0 23.4 74.2 -7.5 120 0.6
8000 16.4 61.5 290 6 3 5.4 3.0 23.1 73.6 -7.8 102 0.5
7750 16.7 62.1 285 6 3 5.3 2.9 22.8 73.0 -8.2 83 0.4
7500 17.1 62.8 280 5 3 4.1 2.2 22.4 72.3 -8.6 66 0.3
7250 17.3 63.1 270 4 2 2.9 1.6 21.9 71.4 -9.2 52 0.3
7000 17.5 63.5 255 4 2 3.9 2.1 21.4 70.6 -9.7 39 0.2
6750 17.7 63.9 240 3 2 1.7 0.9 21.0 69.7 -10.2 25 0.1
6500 17.5 63.5 215 3 1 -5.9 -3.2 20.1 68.2 -11.2 22 0.1
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/17/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/17/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +150.9 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +442.5 LI... -2.2
CINH... -39.3 K Index... +29.3 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +30.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.3 -81.9 060 26 14 3.4 1.9 | -63.5 -82.3 060 23 12 3.8 2.1
45000 -56.8 -70.2 055 34 17 5.2 2.9 | -56.3 -69.3 055 28 14 5.8 3.2
40000 -48.9 -56.0 045 29 15 5.5 3.0 | -47.9 -54.2 055 27 14 4.8 2.7
38000 -45.6 -50.1 045 21 11 5.5 3.0 | -45.0 -49.0 055 22 11 4.9 2.7
36000 -42.3 -44.1 045 12 6 6.3 3.4 | -42.1 -43.8 055 17 9 5.9 3.3
34000 -37.6 -35.7 040 10 5 8.0 4.4 | -37.4 -35.3 050 15 7 8.1 4.4
32000 -32.2 -26.0 035 8 4 7.9 4.4 | -32.0 -25.6 040 12 6 7.9 4.3
30000 -27.6 -17.7 045 11 6 7.7 4.2 | -27.5 -17.5 035 11 6 7.6 4.2
29000 -25.3 -13.5 045 12 6 7.7 4.2 | -25.2 -13.4 035 11 6 7.6 4.2
28000 -23.0 -9.4 050 13 7 7.0 3.8 | -23.0 -9.4 030 11 6 7.2 4.0
27000 -20.9 -5.6 045 13 7 7.1 3.9 | -20.8 -5.4 030 12 6 7.3 4.0
26000 -18.8 -1.8 040 13 7 7.1 3.9 | -18.6 -1.5 030 13 7 7.3 4.0
25000 -16.7 1.9 035 12 6 6.9 3.8 | -16.5 2.3 035 14 7 6.8 3.7
24000 -14.7 5.5 035 13 7 6.7 3.7 | -14.6 5.7 030 14 7 6.3 3.4
23000 -12.7 9.1 035 13 7 6.7 3.7 | -12.7 9.1 030 14 7 6.3 3.4
22000 -10.8 12.6 035 14 7 6.0 3.3 | -10.9 12.4 030 14 7 6.0 3.3
21000 -9.2 15.4 035 12 6 5.1 2.8 | -9.2 15.4 035 13 7 5.7 3.1
20000 -7.6 18.3 035 10 5 5.2 2.8 | -7.5 18.5 040 12 6 5.7 3.1
19500 -6.8 19.8 030 10 5 5.4 2.9 | -6.7 19.9 045 11 6 5.8 3.2
19000 -6.2 20.8 030 8 4 3.3 1.8 | -5.9 21.4 045 10 5 4.5 2.5
18500 -5.7 21.7 025 6 3 3.7 2.0 | -4.9 23.2 040 8 4 4.7 2.6
18000 -4.9 23.2 020 5 2 5.5 3.0 | -4.3 24.3 035 7 3 4.7 2.6
17500 -4.2 24.4 030 5 3 5.7 3.1 | -3.7 25.3 035 5 3 4.9 2.7
17000 -3.6 25.5 035 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -3.1 26.4 035 4 2 6.2 3.4
16500 -2.3 27.9 045 6 3 8.6 4.7 | -2.1 28.2 045 3 2 7.2 4.0
16000 -1.1 30.0 055 7 4 8.7 4.8 | -1.1 30.0 065 2 1 7.5 4.1
15500 0.2 32.4 050 7 4 8.9 4.9 | 0.0 32.0 070 2 1 8.6 4.7
15000 1.5 34.7 045 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 1.2 34.2 080 1 1 8.6 4.7
14500 2.7 36.9 030 5 3 8.0 4.4 | 2.4 36.3 000 0 0 8.6 4.7
14000 3.9 39.0 355 4 2 8.0 4.4 | 3.6 38.5 275 2 1 8.6 4.7
13500 5.0 41.0 315 4 2 7.7 4.2 | 4.8 40.6 275 3 2 9.0 4.9
13000 6.1 43.0 295 5 3 7.6 4.2 | 6.2 43.2 275 4 2 9.1 5.0
12500 7.2 45.0 280 6 3 7.5 4.1 | 7.5 45.5 275 5 3 9.3 5.1
12000 8.2 46.8 280 7 4 7.3 4.0 | 8.9 48.0 275 5 3 9.5 5.2
11500 9.2 48.6 275 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 10.3 50.5 275 6 3 9.3 5.1
11000 10.3 50.5 280 8 4 7.0 3.8 | 11.7 53.1 275 6 3 9.5 5.2
10500 11.3 52.3 280 9 5 6.7 3.7 | 13.1 55.6 275 6 3 8.9 4.9
10250 11.8 53.2 280 9 5 5.9 3.2 | 13.7 56.7 275 7 3 9.1 5.0
10000 12.2 54.0 285 9 5 5.8 3.2 | 14.5 58.1 275 7 3 10.2 5.6
9750 12.6 54.7 285 10 5 5.4 3.0 | 15.2 59.4 275 7 3 9.9 5.4
9500 13.0 55.4 285 10 5 6.7 3.7 | 16.0 60.8 275 7 4 10.2 5.6
9250 13.5 56.3 290 10 5 8.2 4.5 | 16.7 62.1 275 7 4 10.5 5.8
9000 14.1 57.4 290 9 5 7.8 4.3 | 17.5 63.5 275 7 4 10.0 5.5
8750 14.7 58.5 290 9 5 7.2 4.0 | 18.2 64.8 275 7 4 9.6 5.3
8500 15.2 59.4 290 9 5 8.6 4.7 | 18.9 66.0 275 7 4 9.8 5.4
8250 15.9 60.6 290 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 19.7 67.5 275 7 4 10.0 5.5
8000 16.7 62.1 290 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 20.4 68.7 270 7 4 9.9 5.4
7750 17.3 63.1 295 9 5 8.8 4.8 | 21.2 70.2 270 7 4 9.7 5.3
7500 18.0 64.4 295 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 21.9 71.4 270 7 4 10.2 5.6
7250 18.8 65.8 295 9 4 10.5 5.8 | 22.7 72.9 270 7 4 10.9 6.0
7000 19.5 67.1 295 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 23.5 74.3 270 7 4 9.9 5.4
6750 20.3 68.5 295 8 4 12.2 6.7 | 24.3 75.7 270 7 4 13.2 7.3
6500 21.4 70.5 295 8 4 19.0 10.4 | 25.6 78.1 270 7 4 24.0 13.2
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/17/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/17/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +240.8 LI... -2.4 | CAPE... +8.5 LI... -0.3
CINH... -5.6 K Index... +31.5 | CINH... -3.6 K Index... +28.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.4 -82.1 060 26 14 3.5 1.9 | -63.6 -82.5 055 34 17 3.9 2.1
45000 -56.6 -69.9 060 30 15 5.5 3.0 | -56.9 -70.4 055 33 17 4.9 2.7
40000 -48.4 -55.1 060 26 14 5.5 3.0 | -49.2 -56.6 055 21 11 6.0 3.3
38000 -45.1 -49.2 055 24 13 5.5 3.0 | -45.6 -50.1 045 18 9 6.1 3.3
36000 -41.8 -43.2 045 23 12 6.6 3.6 | -42.0 -43.6 035 16 8 7.3 4.0
34000 -37.0 -34.6 045 21 11 8.1 4.4 | -36.9 -34.4 035 15 8 8.4 4.6
32000 -31.6 -24.9 045 18 9 7.8 4.3 | -31.3 -24.3 040 13 7 8.0 4.4
30000 -27.1 -16.8 045 15 8 7.5 4.1 | -26.7 -16.1 030 14 7 7.8 4.3
29000 -24.8 -12.6 045 14 7 7.6 4.1 | -24.4 -11.9 025 15 8 7.8 4.3
28000 -22.6 -8.7 045 13 7 7.3 4.0 | -22.2 -8.0 020 15 8 7.0 3.8
27000 -20.4 -4.7 050 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -20.1 -4.2 020 16 8 7.1 3.9
26000 -18.3 -0.9 050 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -18.0 -0.4 020 16 8 7.1 3.9
25000 -16.1 3.0 055 15 8 6.3 3.5 | -15.9 3.4 020 17 9 7.0 3.9
24000 -14.5 5.9 055 15 8 5.6 3.1 | -13.8 7.2 020 17 9 7.0 3.8
23000 -12.8 9.0 050 15 8 5.6 3.1 | -11.8 10.8 020 18 9 7.0 3.8
22000 -11.2 11.8 050 15 8 5.7 3.1 | -9.7 14.5 025 18 9 6.5 3.6
21000 -9.6 14.7 040 13 6 5.8 3.2 | -7.9 17.8 015 14 7 6.3 3.4
20000 -7.9 17.8 030 10 5 5.8 3.2 | -6.1 21.0 005 11 6 6.3 3.5
19500 -7.1 19.2 025 9 4 5.8 3.2 | -5.2 22.6 355 9 5 6.4 3.5
19000 -6.3 20.7 015 7 4 6.0 3.3 | -4.4 24.1 340 9 5 5.3 2.9
18500 -5.4 22.3 355 6 3 6.0 3.3 | -3.6 25.5 325 11 6 5.4 3.0
18000 -4.6 23.7 330 5 3 7.0 3.8 | -2.8 27.0 315 13 6 5.2 2.8
17500 -3.5 25.7 320 5 3 7.6 4.2 | -2.1 28.2 305 15 8 5.0 2.7
17000 -2.4 27.7 310 5 3 7.7 4.2 | -1.3 29.7 300 17 9 4.8 2.6
16500 -0.7 30.7 295 5 3 7.9 4.3 | 0.1 32.2 290 19 10 7.7 4.2
16000 0.4 32.7 290 5 3 8.1 4.4 | 1.2 34.2 290 20 10 7.9 4.3
15500 1.7 35.1 285 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 2.2 36.0 285 20 10 7.4 4.1
15000 3.0 37.4 275 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 3.3 37.9 285 19 10 7.4 4.0
14500 4.3 39.7 270 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 4.5 40.1 285 18 9 9.1 5.0
14000 5.8 42.4 270 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 5.8 42.4 280 17 9 9.2 5.0
13500 7.2 45.0 265 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 7.2 45.0 280 15 8 8.8 4.8
13000 8.6 47.5 265 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 8.5 47.3 280 14 7 8.6 4.7
12500 10.0 50.0 260 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 9.7 49.5 275 12 6 8.2 4.5
12000 11.4 52.5 260 7 3 9.4 5.1 | 10.9 51.6 270 10 5 7.9 4.3
11500 12.8 55.0 260 7 3 10.9 6.0 | 12.0 53.6 265 8 4 8.5 4.6
11000 14.3 57.7 260 7 3 8.9 4.9 | 13.1 55.6 245 6 3 6.5 3.6
10500 15.7 60.3 255 7 3 8.0 4.4 | 14.1 57.4 205 5 2 5.4 2.9
10250 16.3 61.3 255 7 3 8.6 4.7 | 14.5 58.1 190 5 2 5.1 2.8
10000 17.0 62.6 255 7 3 10.7 5.8 | 14.9 58.8 175 5 2 7.3 4.0
9750 17.8 64.0 255 7 3 10.2 5.6 | 15.4 59.7 160 5 3 7.1 3.9
9500 18.6 65.5 255 7 3 9.8 5.4 | 15.9 60.6 150 6 3 7.1 3.9
9250 19.3 66.7 255 6 3 9.2 5.0 | 16.5 61.7 140 6 3 7.0 3.8
9000 19.9 67.8 255 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 17.0 62.6 130 6 3 7.1 3.9
8750 20.6 69.1 260 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 17.5 63.5 115 6 3 7.4 4.0
8500 21.3 70.3 260 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 18.1 64.6 105 6 3 6.7 3.7
8250 22.0 71.6 260 6 3 8.3 4.6 | 18.5 65.3 090 7 3 6.0 3.3
8000 22.6 72.7 260 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 19.0 66.2 075 7 4 5.6 3.1
7750 23.3 73.9 265 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 19.3 66.7 065 9 4 4.5 2.4
7500 24.0 75.2 265 5 3 9.9 5.5 | 19.7 67.5 055 10 5 5.8 3.2
7250 24.8 76.6 265 5 2 10.1 5.6 | 20.2 68.4 055 10 5 7.4 4.0
7000 25.5 77.9 270 5 2 9.6 5.2 | 20.7 69.3 050 10 5 6.9 3.8
6750 26.2 79.2 270 4 2 11.3 6.2 | 21.3 70.3 050 11 5 9.0 4.9
6500 27.3 81.1 270 4 2 18.3 10.0 | 22.1 71.8 050 10 5 12.4 6.8
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0726 MDT Friday July 17 2026
This forecast is for Friday, July 17, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 77.2 F/25.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1260 ft/min (6.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17675 ft MSL (11994 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13916 ft MSL (8235 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 07/18..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:05:24 / 20:20:01 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 14 min 37 sec (854 min 37 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:12:43 MDT... 75.78 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/17/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15592 ft MSL (9911 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13175 ft MSL (7494 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14757 ft MSL (9077 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.4
K index......................... +30.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.5 -82.3 050 26 13 3.2 1.8 82.3 180.2 29.9 M M
45000 -57.4 -71.3 050 34 18 5.4 3.0 69.0 156.2 23.6 M M
40000 -48.6 -55.5 035 30 15 6.5 3.6 59.4 138.9 18.7 M M
38000 -44.7 -48.5 035 28 15 6.5 3.6 56.4 133.6 17.2 M M
36000 -40.7 -41.3 030 27 14 6.9 3.8 54.1 129.4 16.0 M M
34000 -36.4 -33.5 040 17 9 7.3 4.0 51.7 125.1 14.6 M M
32000 -32.0 -25.6 065 9 4 7.3 4.0 50.0 122.0 13.7 M M
30000 -27.5 -17.5 060 9 5 7.5 4.1 48.0 118.4 12.5 M M
29000 -25.3 -13.5 055 10 5 7.5 4.1 47.2 116.9 12.0 M M
28000 -23.0 -9.4 050 10 5 7.4 4.1 46.4 115.6 11.5 M M
27000 -20.9 -5.6 045 9 5 7.4 4.1 45.4 113.7 10.8 M M
26000 -18.1 -0.6 035 8 4 7.4 4.1 44.3 111.8 10.1 M M
25000 -16.0 3.2 025 8 4 6.5 3.6 43.6 110.4 9.5 M M
24000 -14.2 6.4 015 6 3 6.0 3.3 42.1 107.7 8.3 M M
23000 -12.5 9.5 005 5 3 6.0 3.3 40.7 105.3 7.2 M M
22000 -10.8 12.6 355 5 2 5.5 3.0 39.4 103.0 6.2 M M
21000 -9.2 15.4 020 6 3 5.2 2.9 37.8 100.0 4.8 M M
20000 -7.6 18.3 035 8 4 5.2 2.9 36.2 97.2 3.6 M M
19500 -6.8 19.8 040 9 5 5.1 2.8 35.5 95.8 3.0 M M
19000 -6.2 20.8 045 10 5 4.1 2.3 34.6 94.2 2.1 M M
18500 -5.6 21.9 045 10 5 4.3 2.4 33.6 92.5 1.2 M M
18000 -5.0 23.0 045 10 5 6.1 3.3 32.8 91.0 0.4 M M
17500 -4.1 24.6 045 9 4 6.8 3.7 32.2 90.0 -0.2 1045 5.3
17000 -3.1 26.4 040 8 4 7.0 3.8 31.7 89.1 -0.7 1002 5.1
16500 -2.1 28.2 040 6 3 7.8 4.3 31.4 88.4 -1.1 956 4.9
16000 -1.0 30.2 040 5 3 7.7 4.3 31.0 87.8 -1.5 908 4.6
15500 0.1 32.2 035 4 2 7.7 4.2 30.7 87.2 -1.8 860 4.4
15000 1.2 34.2 020 3 2 7.7 4.2 30.3 86.6 -2.2 812 4.1
14500 2.3 36.1 355 2 1 7.8 4.3 30.0 86.0 -2.6 764 3.9
14000 3.5 38.3 320 3 1 7.9 4.3 29.7 85.5 -2.9 715 3.6
13500 4.6 40.3 295 4 2 7.8 4.3 29.4 85.0 -3.2 666 3.4
13000 5.7 42.3 290 5 2 7.5 4.1 29.1 84.3 -3.6 619 3.1
12500 6.8 44.2 285 6 3 7.6 4.1 28.7 83.7 -4.0 571 2.9
12000 7.9 46.2 285 6 3 7.7 4.2 28.4 83.1 -4.4 523 2.7
11500 9.0 48.2 280 6 3 7.7 4.2 28.1 82.5 -4.8 475 2.4
11000 10.2 50.4 280 7 3 8.1 4.4 27.8 82.0 -5.1 426 2.2
10500 11.3 52.3 275 7 4 7.4 4.1 27.5 81.5 -5.4 376 1.9
10250 11.8 53.2 275 7 4 7.0 3.8 27.3 81.1 -5.7 354 1.8
10000 12.3 54.1 270 7 4 7.2 4.0 27.1 80.7 -5.9 331 1.7
9750 12.9 55.2 265 8 4 7.1 3.9 26.9 80.3 -6.1 308 1.6
9500 13.9 57.0 255 8 4 7.1 3.9 26.5 79.7 -6.5 261 1.3
9250 14.4 57.9 250 9 5 6.4 3.5 26.2 79.2 -6.8 239 1.2
9000 14.9 58.8 245 9 5 6.9 3.8 26.0 78.8 -7.1 218 1.1
8750 15.4 59.7 240 10 5 5.8 3.2 25.8 78.4 -7.3 196 1.0
8500 15.7 60.3 235 11 6 5.2 2.8 25.4 77.7 -7.7 178 0.9
8250 16.1 61.0 230 11 6 6.1 3.3 25.1 77.2 -8.0 158 0.8
8000 16.6 61.9 225 12 6 6.3 3.5 24.8 76.7 -8.3 137 0.7
7750 17.0 62.6 220 12 6 6.0 3.3 24.6 76.2 -8.6 117 0.6
7500 17.4 63.3 215 13 7 5.5 3.0 24.3 75.7 -9.0 97 0.5
7250 17.8 64.0 210 13 7 5.3 2.9 23.9 75.1 -9.4 79 0.4
7000 18.2 64.8 210 13 7 5.3 2.9 23.6 74.5 -9.8 60 0.3
6750 18.5 65.3 205 13 7 3.8 2.1 23.2 73.8 -10.2 43 0.2
6500 18.7 65.7 195 12 6 2.2 1.2 22.7 72.8 -10.7 30 0.2
6250 18.9 66.0 190 11 6 4.1 2.3 22.2 71.9 -11.3 16 0.1
6000 19.2 66.6 185 10 5 3.9 2.1 21.8 71.2 -11.7 M M
5750 18.9 66.0 175 7 3 -14.8 -8.1 20.8 69.5 -12.7 0 0.0
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/17/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/17/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +220.4 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +391.5 LI... -2.0
CINH... -64.0 K Index... +28.8 | CINH... -7.0 K Index... +29.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.4 -82.1 055 26 13 3.7 2.0 | -63.6 -82.5 060 25 13 3.9 2.1
45000 -56.4 -69.5 050 34 17 5.5 3.0 | -56.4 -69.5 055 31 16 5.7 3.1
40000 -48.1 -54.6 040 32 16 5.5 3.0 | -48.0 -54.4 045 29 15 5.6 3.0
38000 -44.8 -48.6 040 27 14 5.5 3.0 | -44.6 -48.3 045 23 12 5.6 3.1
36000 -41.5 -42.7 040 21 11 6.3 3.5 | -41.3 -42.3 050 18 9 6.0 3.3
34000 -37.1 -34.8 040 14 7 7.4 4.0 | -36.6 -33.9 045 12 6 7.1 3.9
32000 -32.7 -26.9 045 7 4 7.4 4.0 | -32.3 -26.1 030 7 4 7.4 4.1
30000 -28.1 -18.6 035 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -27.7 -17.9 025 9 5 7.9 4.3
29000 -25.7 -14.3 030 10 5 7.8 4.3 | -25.3 -13.5 025 11 6 7.9 4.3
28000 -22.9 -9.2 030 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -23.0 -9.4 030 12 6 7.2 4.0
27000 -20.7 -5.3 035 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -20.8 -5.4 030 12 6 7.3 4.0
26000 -18.5 -1.3 035 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -18.6 -1.5 035 13 7 7.3 4.0
25000 -16.4 2.5 040 11 6 7.1 3.9 | -16.5 2.3 040 13 7 7.0 3.8
24000 -14.3 6.3 040 10 5 7.0 3.8 | -14.6 5.7 040 12 6 6.4 3.5
23000 -12.3 9.9 040 9 5 7.0 3.8 | -12.7 9.1 040 11 6 6.4 3.5
22000 -10.3 13.5 035 8 4 5.7 3.1 | -10.4 13.3 045 9 5 5.8 3.2
21000 -8.7 16.3 040 7 4 5.2 2.9 | -8.7 16.3 040 8 4 5.8 3.2
20000 -7.1 19.2 050 7 3 5.2 2.9 | -7.1 19.2 040 7 3 5.7 3.2
19500 -6.4 20.5 055 6 3 4.8 2.7 | -6.2 20.8 035 6 3 5.0 2.7
19000 -5.9 21.4 060 6 3 2.8 1.5 | -5.7 21.7 040 5 2 3.8 2.1
18500 -5.5 22.1 070 7 3 2.9 1.6 | -5.1 22.8 045 4 2 3.7 2.0
18000 -5.0 23.0 080 7 4 4.9 2.7 | -4.5 23.9 055 3 1 5.2 2.8
17500 -4.3 24.3 080 7 4 5.6 3.1 | -3.8 25.2 085 2 1 5.4 3.0
17000 -3.6 25.5 085 8 4 6.3 3.5 | -3.2 26.2 115 2 1 6.5 3.6
16500 -2.4 27.7 085 7 4 9.1 5.0 | -2.0 28.4 130 3 2 8.3 4.5
16000 -1.1 30.0 085 7 4 9.0 4.9 | -0.8 30.6 135 4 2 8.3 4.6
15500 0.1 32.2 085 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 0.4 32.7 140 4 2 8.8 4.8
15000 1.4 34.5 085 5 3 9.0 4.9 | 1.7 35.1 145 4 2 8.8 4.8
14500 2.7 36.9 085 3 2 7.9 4.3 | 2.9 37.2 150 4 2 8.6 4.7
14000 3.8 38.8 065 1 0 7.4 4.0 | 4.2 39.6 170 3 2 8.6 4.7
13500 4.8 40.6 280 2 1 7.2 4.0 | 5.4 41.7 190 3 1 8.1 4.4
13000 5.8 42.4 280 5 2 7.1 3.9 | 6.5 43.7 220 3 2 7.7 4.2
12500 6.9 44.4 280 7 4 7.2 3.9 | 7.5 45.5 240 4 2 7.7 4.2
12000 7.9 46.2 280 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 8.6 47.5 245 5 2 7.7 4.2
11500 9.0 48.2 275 9 5 7.5 4.1 | 9.7 49.5 250 5 3 8.0 4.4
11000 10.1 50.2 275 9 5 7.6 4.2 | 10.9 51.6 255 6 3 9.0 4.9
10500 11.2 52.2 275 9 5 7.3 4.0 | 12.2 54.0 255 6 3 8.2 4.5
10250 11.7 53.1 275 9 5 7.0 3.8 | 12.8 55.0 250 6 3 8.8 4.8
10000 12.7 54.9 270 8 4 7.0 3.8 | 13.5 56.3 250 6 3 9.3 5.1
9750 13.2 55.8 270 8 4 7.4 4.1 | 14.1 57.4 250 6 3 9.1 5.0
9500 13.8 56.8 265 8 4 6.8 3.8 | 14.8 58.6 250 6 3 9.5 5.2
9250 14.2 57.6 260 8 4 6.0 3.3 | 15.5 59.9 250 6 3 9.9 5.4
9000 14.6 58.3 260 8 4 6.5 3.6 | 16.3 61.3 250 6 3 9.6 5.3
8750 15.1 59.2 255 8 4 5.5 3.0 | 17.0 62.6 250 6 3 10.1 5.5
8500 15.4 59.7 250 8 4 5.7 3.1 | 17.7 63.9 250 6 3 8.5 4.6
8250 15.9 60.6 245 8 4 7.0 3.8 | 19.1 66.4 250 5 3 10.9 6.0
8000 16.4 61.5 240 8 4 7.6 4.1 | 19.9 67.8 250 5 3 10.7 5.9
7750 16.9 62.4 235 8 4 5.5 3.0 | 20.6 69.1 250 5 3 9.8 5.4
7500 17.2 63.0 230 8 4 4.1 2.3 | 21.3 70.3 245 5 3 9.3 5.1
7250 17.6 63.7 225 7 4 7.9 4.3 | 22.1 71.8 245 5 3 10.9 6.0
7000 18.3 64.9 220 7 3 9.6 5.2 | 22.9 73.2 245 5 2 11.2 6.2
6750 18.9 66.0 220 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 23.7 74.7 245 5 2 10.2 5.6
6500 19.6 67.3 215 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 24.4 75.9 245 4 2 10.0 5.5
6250 20.4 68.7 210 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 25.2 77.4 245 4 2 9.7 5.3
6000 21.1 70.0 210 6 3 12.1 6.6 | 26.0 78.8 245 4 2 15.0 8.2
5750 22.7 72.9 210 5 3 38.9 21.4 | 28.2 82.8 240 4 2 54.2 29.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/17/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/17/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +177.2 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +54.7 LI... -0.6
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +31.6 | CINH... -37.4 K Index... +32.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.6 -82.5 055 28 15 4.1 2.2 | -63.5 -82.3 055 31 16 3.2 1.8
45000 -56.4 -69.5 055 33 17 5.4 3.0 | -57.1 -70.8 055 35 18 5.4 2.9
40000 -48.3 -54.9 055 29 15 5.6 3.0 | -48.9 -56.0 055 26 13 6.0 3.3
38000 -45.0 -49.0 055 23 12 5.6 3.0 | -45.3 -49.5 050 20 10 6.0 3.3
36000 -41.7 -43.1 055 18 9 6.3 3.5 | -41.7 -43.1 040 15 7 7.0 3.8
34000 -36.5 -33.7 055 14 7 7.8 4.3 | -36.2 -33.2 035 11 5 8.2 4.5
32000 -31.8 -25.2 050 10 5 7.7 4.2 | -31.4 -24.5 035 7 4 8.0 4.4
30000 -27.3 -17.1 035 11 5 7.6 4.2 | -26.7 -16.1 025 9 5 7.8 4.3
29000 -25.0 -13.0 025 11 6 7.6 4.2 | -24.4 -11.9 025 10 5 7.8 4.3
28000 -22.8 -9.0 020 12 6 7.2 3.9 | -22.1 -7.8 025 11 6 6.5 3.6
27000 -20.6 -5.1 025 12 6 7.2 4.0 | -20.2 -4.4 030 11 6 6.6 3.6
26000 -18.5 -1.3 030 12 6 7.2 4.0 | -18.2 -0.8 035 11 6 6.7 3.7
25000 -16.3 2.7 030 13 7 6.9 3.8 | -16.3 2.7 045 12 6 7.0 3.8
24000 -14.4 6.1 030 12 6 6.3 3.5 | -14.1 6.6 040 10 5 7.4 4.1
23000 -12.6 9.3 035 10 5 6.3 3.5 | -12.0 10.4 035 8 4 7.5 4.1
22000 -10.3 13.5 035 9 4 5.5 3.0 | -9.8 14.4 030 6 3 6.9 3.8
21000 -8.7 16.3 035 7 4 5.5 3.0 | -8.0 17.6 005 4 2 6.2 3.4
20000 -7.1 19.2 035 6 3 5.5 3.0 | -6.3 20.7 330 4 2 6.2 3.4
19500 -6.3 20.7 035 5 3 5.1 2.8 | -4.9 23.2 305 5 3 6.1 3.4
19000 -5.7 21.7 030 3 2 4.5 2.5 | -4.1 24.6 295 6 3 6.0 3.3
18500 -5.1 22.8 010 1 1 4.4 2.4 | -3.2 26.2 285 6 3 6.1 3.4
18000 -4.4 24.1 280 1 1 7.4 4.0 | -2.4 27.7 280 7 4 5.2 2.8
17500 -3.4 25.9 250 2 1 7.4 4.1 | -1.7 28.9 275 8 4 5.2 2.9
17000 -2.4 27.7 240 3 2 7.9 4.3 | -1.0 30.2 270 9 4 5.5 3.0
16500 -1.2 29.8 240 4 2 8.4 4.6 | -0.2 31.6 265 9 5 5.7 3.1
16000 -0.0 32.0 235 5 2 8.4 4.6 | 0.6 33.1 265 9 5 5.7 3.1
15500 1.3 34.3 235 5 3 9.0 4.9 | 1.7 35.1 260 9 5 8.5 4.7
15000 2.6 36.7 235 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 2.9 37.2 260 9 5 8.2 4.5
14500 3.9 39.0 235 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 4.2 39.6 260 9 5 9.5 5.2
14000 5.3 41.5 235 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 5.6 42.1 260 9 5 9.7 5.3
13500 6.7 44.1 235 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 260 9 4 9.6 5.3
13000 8.1 46.6 235 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 8.5 47.3 260 8 4 9.5 5.2
12500 9.5 49.1 240 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 9.9 49.8 265 8 4 9.5 5.2
12000 11.0 51.8 240 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 11.3 52.3 265 7 4 9.6 5.3
11500 12.4 54.3 240 7 3 9.6 5.2 | 12.7 54.9 265 6 3 9.4 5.1
11000 13.8 56.8 240 7 3 9.2 5.1 | 14.0 57.2 265 6 3 8.2 4.5
10500 15.2 59.4 240 7 3 10.0 5.5 | 15.4 59.7 270 5 2 10.5 5.8
10250 15.9 60.6 240 7 3 9.7 5.3 | 16.2 61.2 270 4 2 9.2 5.0
10000 16.7 62.1 240 7 3 9.5 5.2 | 16.8 62.2 275 4 2 8.4 4.6
9750 17.4 63.3 240 7 3 9.5 5.2 | 17.4 63.3 280 3 2 8.4 4.6
9500 18.1 64.6 235 7 3 9.8 5.4 | 18.0 64.4 285 3 1 9.2 5.0
9250 18.8 65.8 240 7 4 10.1 5.5 | 18.7 65.7 315 1 1 9.0 4.9
9000 19.6 67.3 240 7 3 9.8 5.4 | 19.3 66.7 360 1 1 7.8 4.3
8750 20.3 68.5 240 7 3 10.3 5.6 | 19.9 67.8 030 2 1 8.4 4.6
8500 21.0 69.8 240 7 3 8.7 4.8 | 20.5 68.9 045 2 1 7.1 3.9
8250 22.4 72.3 240 7 3 10.7 5.9 | 21.0 69.8 040 2 1 6.7 3.7
8000 23.2 73.8 240 7 3 10.5 5.7 | 21.5 70.7 050 3 2 7.7 4.2
7750 24.0 75.2 240 7 3 9.9 5.4 | 22.1 71.8 060 4 2 7.4 4.0
7500 24.7 76.5 240 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 22.6 72.7 065 5 3 7.8 4.3
7250 25.4 77.7 240 6 3 10.7 5.9 | 23.2 73.8 065 6 3 8.1 4.4
7000 26.2 79.2 240 6 3 11.2 6.1 | 23.8 74.8 065 6 3 7.7 4.2
6750 27.1 80.8 240 6 3 10.5 5.7 | 24.3 75.7 070 6 3 7.4 4.1
6500 27.8 82.0 240 6 3 10.3 5.6 | 24.9 76.8 070 7 4 8.2 4.5
6250 28.6 83.5 240 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 25.5 77.9 070 7 4 9.0 4.9
6000 29.4 84.9 240 6 3 15.1 8.3 | 26.2 79.2 070 7 4 9.2 5.1
5750 31.7 89.1 240 5 3 58.6 32.1 | 26.9 80.4 065 6 3 11.4 6.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0729 MDT Friday July 17 2026
This forecast is for Friday, July 17, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 73.6 F/23.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1154 ft/min (5.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17328 ft MSL (10876 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 85.0 F/29.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13450 ft MSL (6997 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 07/18..... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:01:53 / 20:19:20 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 17 min 27 sec (857 min 27 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:36 MDT... 75.30 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/17/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15695 ft MSL (9243 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13849 ft MSL (7397 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15077 ft MSL (8625 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.1
K index......................... +28.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.7 -82.7 060 27 14 3.5 1.9 79.1 174.5 29.6 M M
45000 -57.2 -71.0 055 33 17 5.7 3.1 66.6 152.0 23.7 M M
40000 -48.1 -54.6 040 29 15 6.3 3.5 57.6 135.7 19.2 M M
38000 -44.3 -47.7 040 27 14 6.3 3.5 54.5 130.1 17.5 M M
36000 -40.5 -40.9 040 24 13 6.7 3.7 52.0 125.6 16.2 M M
34000 -36.2 -33.2 050 15 8 7.1 3.9 49.5 121.1 14.8 M M
32000 -32.0 -25.6 085 8 4 7.1 3.9 47.6 117.7 13.7 M M
30000 -27.6 -17.7 070 9 4 7.3 4.0 45.5 113.9 12.4 M M
29000 -25.4 -13.7 060 9 5 7.3 4.0 44.6 112.3 11.8 M M
28000 -22.7 -8.9 050 10 5 7.0 3.8 43.5 110.3 11.1 M M
27000 -20.6 -5.1 045 10 5 7.0 3.9 42.4 108.3 10.3 M M
26000 -18.5 -1.3 035 11 5 7.1 3.9 41.4 106.5 9.6 M M
25000 -16.5 2.3 030 11 6 6.7 3.7 40.5 105.0 9.0 M M
24000 -14.5 5.9 020 9 5 6.5 3.5 39.2 102.6 7.9 M M
23000 -12.6 9.3 010 7 4 6.5 3.6 38.0 100.5 7.0 M M
22000 -10.7 12.7 350 6 3 6.2 3.4 37.0 98.5 6.1 M M
21000 -8.9 16.0 355 5 3 6.1 3.3 35.6 96.1 5.0 M M
20000 -7.1 19.2 360 4 2 6.1 3.3 34.3 93.8 3.9 M M
19500 -6.2 20.8 005 3 2 6.0 3.3 33.8 92.8 3.4 M M
19000 -5.5 22.1 020 4 2 4.5 2.5 33.0 91.3 2.7 M M
18500 -4.9 23.2 035 4 2 4.7 2.6 32.1 89.8 1.9 M M
18000 -4.2 24.4 045 5 3 4.9 2.7 31.2 88.2 1.2 M M
17500 -3.5 25.7 045 7 3 5.1 2.8 30.4 86.8 0.3 M M
17000 -2.9 26.8 045 8 4 5.4 3.0 29.7 85.4 -0.5 934 4.7
16500 -1.9 28.6 040 9 5 7.9 4.4 29.2 84.5 -1.0 891 4.5
16000 -0.8 30.6 035 10 5 7.8 4.3 28.9 83.9 -1.4 843 4.3
15500 0.3 32.5 030 11 6 8.3 4.6 28.6 83.4 -1.7 794 4.0
15000 1.5 34.7 025 10 5 8.4 4.6 28.3 83.0 -1.9 743 3.8
14500 2.7 36.9 015 10 5 8.1 4.4 28.1 82.7 -2.2 692 3.5
14000 3.9 39.0 010 8 4 7.8 4.3 27.8 82.1 -2.5 643 3.3
13500 5.0 41.0 355 6 3 7.6 4.2 27.5 81.5 -2.9 594 3.0
13000 6.0 42.8 320 4 2 7.1 3.9 27.1 80.8 -3.3 549 2.8
12500 7.0 44.6 275 5 3 7.1 3.9 26.7 80.0 -3.8 504 2.6
12000 8.0 46.4 260 7 3 6.4 3.5 26.2 79.1 -4.3 461 2.3
11500 9.3 48.7 250 9 5 7.1 3.9 25.5 77.8 -5.2 398 2.0
11000 10.3 50.5 250 9 5 7.0 3.8 25.0 77.0 -5.7 353 1.8
10500 11.3 52.3 255 9 5 6.2 3.4 24.6 76.3 -6.2 308 1.6
10250 11.7 53.1 255 8 4 5.9 3.3 24.3 75.7 -6.5 288 1.5
10000 12.2 54.0 255 8 4 6.3 3.5 24.0 75.2 -6.8 268 1.4
9750 12.6 54.7 260 7 4 6.4 3.5 23.7 74.7 -7.1 247 1.3
9500 13.1 55.6 260 7 4 4.9 2.7 23.5 74.2 -7.4 227 1.2
9250 13.4 56.1 270 6 3 5.7 3.1 23.1 73.5 -7.8 210 1.1
9000 13.9 57.0 265 6 3 7.5 4.1 22.9 73.1 -8.0 186 0.9
8750 14.4 57.9 260 5 3 7.1 3.9 22.7 72.8 -8.3 163 0.8
8500 15.0 59.0 255 4 2 7.6 4.2 22.5 72.5 -8.5 140 0.7
8250 15.6 60.1 250 4 2 7.6 4.2 22.3 72.2 -8.6 115 0.6
8000 16.1 61.0 235 3 2 7.3 4.0 22.1 71.9 -8.8 91 0.5
7750 16.6 61.9 215 3 1 6.8 3.7 22.0 71.5 -9.0 67 0.3
7500 17.1 62.8 200 3 1 6.2 3.4 21.7 71.1 -9.3 45 0.2
7250 17.6 63.7 185 3 1 5.8 3.2 21.4 70.6 -9.6 24 0.1
7000 18.0 64.4 175 3 1 6.2 3.4 21.1 70.0 -9.9 4 0.0
6750 18.3 64.9 155 2 1 -2.4 -1.3 20.7 69.2 -10.4 M M
6500 16.6 61.9 145 2 1 -55.7 -30.6 18.2 64.7 -12.9 32 0.2
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/17/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/17/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +207.6 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +525.0 LI... -2.4
CINH... -59.2 K Index... +27.3 | CINH... -2.3 K Index... +27.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.1 -81.6 060 29 15 3.7 2.0 | -63.7 -82.7 065 25 13 3.9 2.2
45000 -56.3 -69.3 055 36 18 5.3 2.9 | -56.3 -69.3 060 31 16 5.9 3.2
40000 -48.2 -54.8 045 30 15 5.7 3.1 | -47.5 -53.5 050 29 15 5.5 3.0
38000 -44.8 -48.6 045 24 12 5.7 3.1 | -44.2 -47.6 050 24 12 5.5 3.0
36000 -41.4 -42.5 045 18 10 6.5 3.6 | -40.9 -41.6 055 19 10 6.2 3.4
34000 -36.9 -34.4 050 11 5 7.5 4.1 | -36.7 -34.1 050 12 6 7.0 3.8
32000 -32.4 -26.3 085 3 2 7.5 4.1 | -32.6 -26.7 045 6 3 7.0 3.8
30000 -27.9 -18.2 055 5 3 7.6 4.2 | -27.4 -17.3 030 7 4 7.7 4.3
29000 -25.0 -13.0 050 8 4 7.6 4.2 | -25.1 -13.2 025 8 4 7.7 4.3
28000 -22.8 -9.0 045 9 5 7.4 4.0 | -22.7 -8.9 025 9 4 7.7 4.2
27000 -20.6 -5.1 040 11 5 7.4 4.0 | -20.4 -4.7 030 10 5 7.7 4.2
26000 -18.4 -1.1 040 12 6 7.4 4.1 | -18.1 -0.6 035 11 6 7.7 4.2
25000 -16.2 2.8 035 13 7 6.9 3.8 | -15.9 3.4 040 12 6 6.6 3.6
24000 -14.2 6.4 035 13 6 6.6 3.6 | -14.1 6.6 040 12 6 6.1 3.3
23000 -12.3 9.9 035 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -12.3 9.9 045 12 6 6.1 3.3
22000 -10.4 13.3 035 12 6 5.9 3.2 | -10.5 13.1 045 12 6 5.8 3.2
21000 -8.7 16.3 035 10 5 5.5 3.0 | -8.8 16.2 045 12 6 5.7 3.1
20000 -7.1 19.2 035 8 4 5.5 3.0 | -7.2 19.0 045 11 6 5.7 3.1
19500 -6.3 20.7 040 7 4 5.3 2.9 | -6.3 20.7 045 11 6 5.6 3.1
19000 -5.7 21.7 040 7 3 3.4 1.9 | -5.6 21.9 045 10 5 4.5 2.5
18500 -5.2 22.6 045 6 3 3.6 2.0 | -5.0 23.0 045 10 5 4.6 2.5
18000 -4.7 23.5 050 5 3 5.2 2.8 | -4.3 24.3 040 9 4 5.5 3.0
17500 -3.9 25.0 060 6 3 5.9 3.2 | -3.5 25.7 040 7 4 5.9 3.2
17000 -3.1 26.4 065 6 3 6.2 3.4 | -2.7 27.1 045 6 3 6.2 3.4
16500 -2.1 28.2 070 7 4 8.0 4.4 | -1.7 28.9 050 5 2 7.5 4.1
16000 -1.0 30.2 070 7 4 7.9 4.3 | -0.7 30.7 060 4 2 7.4 4.0
15500 0.2 32.4 065 8 4 8.2 4.5 | 0.4 32.7 075 3 2 8.6 4.7
15000 1.4 34.5 055 7 4 8.3 4.5 | 1.7 35.1 085 3 2 8.6 4.7
14500 2.5 36.5 045 7 4 8.2 4.5 | 2.9 37.2 095 3 2 8.7 4.8
14000 3.7 38.7 030 6 3 8.1 4.5 | 4.2 39.6 095 3 1 8.7 4.8
13500 4.9 40.8 015 6 3 8.2 4.5 | 5.4 41.7 095 2 1 8.3 4.6
13000 6.1 43.0 355 5 3 8.3 4.6 | 6.5 43.7 055 1 0 7.6 4.2
12500 7.3 45.1 330 5 3 8.2 4.5 | 7.6 45.7 315 1 1 7.8 4.3
12000 8.4 47.1 315 6 3 7.4 4.0 | 8.7 47.7 290 2 1 8.5 4.6
11500 10.0 50.0 295 7 4 7.7 4.2 | 10.6 51.1 280 4 2 9.7 5.3
11000 11.0 51.8 285 8 4 6.7 3.7 | 11.9 53.4 275 4 2 9.1 5.0
10500 11.9 53.4 275 8 4 5.5 3.0 | 13.3 55.9 270 5 3 9.4 5.1
10250 12.2 54.0 275 8 4 5.2 2.9 | 14.0 57.2 270 5 3 9.5 5.2
10000 12.6 54.7 270 8 4 5.6 3.1 | 14.7 58.5 265 6 3 9.5 5.2
9750 13.0 55.4 265 9 4 5.4 3.0 | 15.4 59.7 265 6 3 9.5 5.2
9500 13.3 55.9 260 8 4 3.7 2.1 | 16.1 61.0 265 6 3 9.6 5.3
9250 13.5 56.3 255 8 4 4.4 2.4 | 16.8 62.2 260 6 3 9.8 5.4
9000 13.9 57.0 250 7 4 5.8 3.2 | 17.6 63.7 260 7 3 9.8 5.4
8750 14.3 57.7 250 7 4 6.0 3.3 | 18.3 64.9 260 7 3 9.9 5.4
8500 14.8 58.6 250 7 3 8.0 4.4 | 19.0 66.2 260 7 4 10.0 5.5
8250 15.4 59.7 245 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 19.8 67.6 255 7 4 10.2 5.6
8000 16.1 61.0 245 6 3 9.2 5.0 | 20.6 69.1 255 7 4 10.4 5.7
7750 16.8 62.2 245 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 21.3 70.3 255 8 4 10.5 5.8
7500 17.5 63.5 245 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 22.1 71.8 255 8 4 10.4 5.7
7250 18.3 64.9 245 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 22.9 73.2 255 8 4 10.8 5.9
7000 19.1 66.4 245 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 23.7 74.7 255 8 4 9.7 5.3
6750 19.8 67.6 245 5 3 13.5 7.4 | 24.5 76.1 255 8 4 16.7 9.2
6500 21.6 70.9 245 5 2 37.8 20.7 | 27.3 81.1 250 8 4 71.7 39.3
07/17/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/17/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +188.1 LI... -2.0 | CAPE... +2.0 LI... -0.5
CINH... -68.1 K Index... +30.5 | CINH... -6.7 K Index... +27.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.7 -82.7 060 28 15 4.3 2.4 | -63.9 -83.0 060 31 16 3.7 2.0
45000 -56.3 -69.3 055 34 17 5.3 2.9 | -57.0 -70.6 055 34 18 5.4 2.9
40000 -48.2 -54.8 055 30 16 5.9 3.3 | -48.7 -55.7 040 27 14 6.2 3.4
38000 -44.6 -48.3 060 24 12 6.0 3.3 | -45.0 -49.0 035 19 10 6.3 3.4
36000 -41.0 -41.8 065 19 10 7.0 3.8 | -41.2 -42.2 020 11 6 7.8 4.3
34000 -36.4 -33.5 060 15 8 7.7 4.2 | -36.1 -33.0 025 13 7 8.5 4.7
32000 -31.8 -25.2 045 12 6 7.7 4.2 | -31.0 -23.8 025 16 8 8.4 4.6
30000 -27.3 -17.1 030 11 6 7.5 4.1 | -26.6 -15.9 030 17 9 7.3 4.0
29000 -24.5 -12.1 020 11 6 7.5 4.1 | -24.4 -11.9 030 17 9 7.3 4.0
28000 -22.3 -8.1 015 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -21.7 -7.1 030 17 9 7.4 4.0
27000 -20.1 -4.2 020 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -19.5 -3.1 030 17 9 7.4 4.0
26000 -17.9 -0.2 020 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -17.3 0.9 030 17 9 7.4 4.0
25000 -15.8 3.6 020 11 6 6.7 3.7 | -15.1 4.8 030 17 9 6.5 3.6
24000 -13.9 7.0 025 10 5 6.5 3.5 | -13.3 8.1 040 16 8 6.2 3.4
23000 -12.0 10.4 035 10 5 6.5 3.6 | -11.4 11.5 055 16 8 6.3 3.4
22000 -10.2 13.6 040 9 4 5.5 3.0 | -9.6 14.7 065 16 8 6.0 3.3
21000 -8.7 16.3 035 7 4 5.1 2.8 | -7.9 17.8 065 15 8 6.0 3.3
20000 -7.2 19.0 020 6 3 5.2 2.8 | -6.2 20.8 070 15 8 6.0 3.3
19500 -6.5 20.3 015 5 3 5.3 2.9 | -5.4 22.3 075 14 7 6.1 3.3
19000 -5.7 21.7 360 5 2 5.8 3.2 | -4.5 23.9 070 14 7 6.2 3.4
18500 -4.9 23.2 340 5 3 5.8 3.2 | -3.6 25.5 065 13 7 6.2 3.4
18000 -4.1 24.6 325 6 3 6.6 3.6 | -2.7 27.1 065 12 6 6.2 3.4
17500 -3.1 26.4 315 6 3 6.8 3.8 | -1.8 28.8 060 11 5 6.2 3.4
17000 -2.1 28.2 310 7 4 7.0 3.8 | -0.9 30.4 055 9 5 6.4 3.5
16500 -1.1 30.0 300 7 4 7.6 4.2 | 0.1 32.2 050 7 4 7.4 4.0
16000 0.0 32.0 295 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 1.2 34.2 045 5 3 7.3 4.0
15500 1.2 34.2 290 8 4 8.5 4.7 | 2.3 36.1 030 3 2 8.2 4.5
15000 2.4 36.3 285 9 4 8.5 4.7 | 3.5 38.3 355 2 1 8.2 4.5
14500 3.7 38.7 280 9 5 8.8 4.8 | 4.7 40.5 310 3 1 8.5 4.6
14000 5.0 41.0 275 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 6.0 42.8 285 5 2 8.6 4.7
13500 6.3 43.3 270 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 7.2 45.0 275 7 4 8.4 4.6
13000 7.7 45.9 270 9 5 9.0 5.0 | 8.4 47.1 275 8 4 7.9 4.3
12500 9.0 48.2 265 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 9.5 49.1 275 9 5 7.9 4.3
12000 10.3 50.5 265 9 5 8.9 4.9 | 10.7 51.3 280 9 4 7.6 4.2
11500 11.6 52.9 260 9 5 8.9 4.9 | 11.7 53.1 290 8 4 9.4 5.1
11000 13.6 56.5 255 7 4 8.7 4.8 | 13.1 55.6 290 8 4 7.1 3.9
10500 14.9 58.8 255 7 4 9.2 5.0 | 14.2 57.6 300 8 4 6.9 3.8
10250 15.6 60.1 255 7 3 8.6 4.7 | 15.3 59.5 310 7 4 8.5 4.7
10000 16.2 61.2 250 6 3 8.7 4.8 | 15.9 60.6 315 7 4 8.4 4.6
9750 16.9 62.4 245 5 3 8.7 4.8 | 16.5 61.7 315 7 3 8.6 4.7
9500 17.5 63.5 245 5 2 9.2 5.1 | 17.1 62.8 320 6 3 7.5 4.1
9250 18.2 64.8 240 4 2 8.6 4.7 | 17.7 63.9 320 6 3 7.7 4.2
9000 18.8 65.8 230 3 2 7.7 4.2 | 18.3 64.9 330 5 3 8.8 4.8
8750 19.4 66.9 215 2 1 7.9 4.3 | 19.0 66.2 335 5 3 8.4 4.6
8500 20.0 68.0 185 2 1 8.6 4.7 | 19.6 67.3 345 5 3 7.1 3.9
8250 20.6 69.1 150 2 1 7.5 4.1 | 20.0 68.0 350 5 3 6.1 3.3
8000 21.0 69.8 120 3 1 5.0 2.7 | 20.5 68.9 360 5 3 6.2 3.4
7750 21.3 70.3 105 4 2 4.5 2.4 | 20.9 69.6 015 5 3 6.2 3.4
7500 21.6 70.9 100 5 3 4.4 2.4 | 21.4 70.5 020 6 3 6.4 3.5
7250 21.9 71.4 095 7 4 4.7 2.6 | 21.9 71.4 025 6 3 6.6 3.6
7000 22.1 71.8 090 9 4 1.0 0.6 | 22.3 72.1 030 6 3 5.4 2.9
6750 22.0 71.6 090 10 5 1.7 0.9 | 22.7 72.9 040 6 3 6.9 3.8
6500 23.4 74.1 090 9 5 54.5 29.9 | 23.8 74.8 040 6 3 31.5 17.3
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Albuquerque (KABX) Radar Velocity Azimuth Display Wind Profile (Observed) |
Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profile (Forecast from Rapid Refresh Model)Lowest 2000 ft Above Ground LevelVertical Wind Profile (for lowest 2000 ft) |
Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profiler at Double Eagle Airport (Real-time observations)Note: The Wind Profiler is moved to Balloon Fiesta Park during Balloon FiestaDouble Eagle (Albuquerque) Vertical Wind Profiler |
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Map of Surface Observations (Including Winds) Once the map is loaded, click on an observation site for more details. |
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Phone Numbers for Up-to-the-Minute Airport Observations |
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