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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0710 MDT Monday May 19 2025
This forecast is for Monday, May 19, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 53.2 F/11.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
Maximum rate of lift........................ 573 ft/min (2.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 13692 ft MSL (7365 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 62.0 F/17.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0930 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ More than 30 mph
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11854 ft MSL (5527 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 05/20...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:57:12 / 20:03:50 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 6 min 38 sec (846 min 38 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:00:31 MDT... 74.97 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/19/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 10254 ft MSL (3927 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14812 ft MSL (8485 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14354 ft MSL (8027 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.5
K index......................... -3.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -56.7 -70.1 250 47 24 2.6 1.4 97.3 207.1 47.1 M M
45000 -52.7 -62.9 250 57 30 2.5 1.4 80.1 176.1 39.6 M M
40000 -48.9 -56.0 240 64 33 2.5 1.4 63.2 145.7 31.0 M M
38000 -47.5 -53.5 240 66 34 2.0 1.1 56.4 133.5 27.2 M M
36000 -46.4 -51.5 240 67 35 2.0 1.1 49.6 121.3 23.2 M M
34000 -45.2 -49.4 235 70 36 2.2 1.2 43.5 110.3 19.3 M M
32000 -43.7 -46.7 235 78 40 2.2 1.2 36.2 97.2 14.5 M M
30000 -42.0 -43.6 235 79 41 5.1 2.8 30.9 87.6 10.8 M M
29000 -40.5 -40.9 235 70 36 5.2 2.8 29.0 84.1 9.5 M M
28000 -38.9 -38.0 235 60 31 5.2 2.8 27.2 81.0 8.2 M M
27000 -37.4 -35.3 240 50 26 6.1 3.3 25.6 78.1 7.1 M M
26000 -35.1 -31.2 240 47 24 7.6 4.1 24.6 76.4 6.4 M M
25000 -32.9 -27.2 240 45 23 7.6 4.1 23.8 74.9 5.8 M M
24000 -30.6 -23.1 245 42 22 7.6 4.2 23.1 73.6 5.3 M M
23000 -28.2 -18.8 245 39 20 8.3 4.6 22.5 72.5 4.8 M M
22000 -25.7 -14.3 245 37 19 8.3 4.6 22.0 71.6 4.4 M M
21000 -23.2 -9.8 245 34 17 8.4 4.6 21.6 70.8 4.1 M M
20000 -20.7 -5.3 250 34 17 8.4 4.6 21.0 69.8 3.7 M M
19500 -19.4 -2.9 250 34 17 8.4 4.6 20.8 69.4 3.5 M M
19000 -18.1 -0.6 250 34 17 8.4 4.6 20.6 69.0 3.4 M M
18500 -16.2 2.8 255 34 17 8.6 4.7 20.3 68.5 3.1 M M
18000 -14.9 5.2 255 34 18 8.7 4.8 20.1 68.2 3.0 M M
17500 -13.7 7.3 255 35 18 8.6 4.7 19.9 67.8 2.8 M M
17000 -12.4 9.7 260 36 18 8.5 4.6 19.7 67.4 2.7 M M
16500 -11.1 12.0 260 36 19 8.6 4.7 19.5 67.1 2.5 M M
16000 -9.9 14.2 265 37 19 7.5 4.1 19.2 66.6 2.2 M M
15500 -8.8 16.2 265 37 19 7.6 4.2 18.8 65.9 1.9 M M
15000 -7.7 18.1 270 36 19 6.5 3.6 18.5 65.2 1.6 M M
14500 -6.8 19.8 275 35 18 6.1 3.4 17.8 64.1 1.0 M M
14000 -5.9 21.4 275 35 18 5.5 3.0 17.3 63.1 0.4 M M
13500 -5.3 22.5 280 33 17 4.7 2.6 16.4 61.6 -0.4 557 2.8
13000 -4.6 23.7 285 32 17 4.8 2.6 15.6 60.1 -1.2 523 2.7
12500 -3.9 25.0 290 32 16 5.0 2.7 14.9 58.7 -2.0 488 2.5
12000 -3.3 26.1 295 31 16 5.1 2.8 14.1 57.4 -2.8 453 2.3
11500 -2.5 27.5 300 31 16 5.2 2.9 13.4 56.1 -3.5 415 2.1
11000 -1.6 29.1 305 31 16 8.0 4.4 12.9 55.3 -4.1 372 1.9
10500 -0.5 31.1 305 31 16 6.9 3.8 12.5 54.5 -4.5 326 1.7
10250 -0.0 32.0 305 31 16 6.8 3.7 12.3 54.1 -4.7 304 1.5
10000 0.5 32.9 305 31 16 6.1 3.3 12.0 53.7 -5.0 282 1.4
9750 0.9 33.6 305 31 16 6.1 3.4 11.7 53.1 -5.3 262 1.3
9500 1.3 34.3 305 31 16 6.6 3.6 11.5 52.7 -5.6 241 1.2
9250 1.8 35.2 305 30 15 6.1 3.4 11.2 52.2 -5.9 220 1.1
9000 2.3 36.1 305 30 15 7.6 4.1 11.0 51.8 -6.2 199 1.0
8750 2.9 37.2 300 28 15 7.5 4.1 10.9 51.5 -6.3 174 0.9
8500 3.3 37.9 295 27 14 6.2 3.4 10.6 51.1 -6.6 152 0.8
8250 3.8 38.8 295 26 14 6.5 3.5 10.3 50.6 -6.9 131 0.7
8000 4.3 39.7 290 26 13 7.4 4.1 10.1 50.2 -7.2 109 0.6
7750 4.9 40.8 290 25 13 8.4 4.6 10.0 50.0 -7.3 83 0.4
7500 5.5 41.9 290 24 12 8.3 4.6 9.9 49.8 -7.4 57 0.3
7250 6.1 43.0 285 23 12 8.0 4.4 9.8 49.6 -7.6 31 0.2
7000 6.7 44.1 285 21 11 7.5 4.1 9.6 49.3 -7.7 7 0.0
6750 7.2 45.0 285 19 10 5.9 3.3 9.4 49.0 -8.0 M M
6500 7.5 45.5 280 16 8 1.4 0.8 9.0 48.2 -8.4 M M
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/19/2025 at 0900 MDT | 05/19/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.0 | CAPE... +124.5 LI... -0.5
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +8.0 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... +23.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -56.5 -69.7 255 44 23 1.7 0.9 | -55.8 -68.4 260 32 17 3.5 1.9
45000 -53.7 -64.7 255 49 25 3.5 1.9 | -50.6 -59.1 265 33 17 2.3 1.2
40000 -48.4 -55.1 250 44 23 3.5 1.9 | -47.2 -53.0 275 46 24 2.3 1.2
38000 -46.4 -51.5 245 42 21 3.5 1.9 | -45.5 -49.9 280 48 24 3.2 1.8
36000 -44.3 -47.7 245 39 20 3.5 1.9 | -43.3 -45.9 280 47 24 3.2 1.8
34000 -42.4 -44.3 240 37 19 1.6 0.9 | -41.6 -42.9 285 46 24 1.9 1.0
32000 -41.2 -42.2 240 45 23 1.8 1.0 | -40.4 -40.7 290 45 23 1.9 1.1
30000 -40.1 -40.2 240 49 25 1.5 0.8 | -39.3 -38.7 290 45 23 1.5 0.8
29000 -39.7 -39.5 240 46 24 1.5 0.8 | -38.8 -37.8 285 44 23 1.6 0.9
28000 -39.2 -38.6 235 43 22 1.5 0.8 | -38.3 -36.9 280 44 23 1.6 0.9
27000 -38.8 -37.8 230 40 20 2.1 1.2 | -37.9 -36.2 280 44 23 1.3 0.7
26000 -36.8 -34.2 235 38 20 7.4 4.1 | -36.6 -33.9 275 41 21 5.1 2.8
25000 -34.6 -30.3 235 37 19 7.4 4.1 | -35.1 -31.2 275 38 20 5.1 2.8
24000 -32.4 -26.3 240 35 18 7.3 4.0 | -33.6 -28.5 275 35 18 4.8 2.6
23000 -30.0 -22.0 245 34 17 8.1 4.5 | -31.4 -24.5 275 35 18 8.3 4.5
22000 -27.6 -17.7 255 33 17 8.1 4.5 | -28.9 -20.0 275 38 20 8.3 4.5
21000 -25.2 -13.4 260 32 16 8.2 4.5 | -26.5 -15.7 275 41 21 8.2 4.5
20000 -22.7 -8.9 265 32 16 8.4 4.6 | -24.1 -11.4 275 43 22 7.9 4.3
19500 -21.4 -6.5 265 32 16 8.4 4.6 | -22.4 -8.3 275 43 22 7.9 4.3
19000 -20.1 -4.2 270 32 17 8.5 4.6 | -21.2 -6.2 275 44 23 8.0 4.4
18500 -18.2 -0.8 270 33 17 8.6 4.7 | -20.1 -4.2 275 44 23 6.7 3.7
18000 -17.0 1.4 275 33 17 8.6 4.7 | -19.1 -2.4 275 42 21 6.3 3.5
17500 -15.7 3.7 275 33 17 8.5 4.7 | -18.2 -0.8 275 39 20 6.6 3.6
17000 -14.4 6.1 275 33 17 8.1 4.4 | -17.1 1.2 280 37 19 8.2 4.5
16500 -13.2 8.2 280 33 17 8.2 4.5 | -15.9 3.4 280 35 18 8.1 4.4
16000 -12.1 10.2 280 33 17 7.3 4.0 | -14.7 5.5 280 34 17 8.9 4.9
15500 -11.0 12.2 280 33 17 7.3 4.0 | -13.4 7.9 280 33 17 8.9 4.9
15000 -9.9 14.2 285 32 17 6.8 3.7 | -12.1 10.2 285 32 16 8.9 4.9
14500 -9.0 15.8 285 32 17 6.5 3.6 | -10.7 12.7 285 31 16 8.9 4.9
14000 -8.0 17.6 290 32 16 6.3 3.5 | -9.4 15.1 285 30 16 8.9 4.9
13500 -7.1 19.2 290 32 16 6.1 3.3 | -8.1 17.4 285 30 16 8.9 4.9
13000 -6.3 20.7 295 32 16 5.7 3.1 | -6.7 19.9 285 30 15 9.0 4.9
12500 -5.6 21.9 295 32 17 4.5 2.5 | -5.4 22.3 285 30 15 9.0 5.0
12000 -4.9 23.2 295 32 17 4.8 2.6 | -4.0 24.8 285 30 15 9.0 5.0
11500 -4.2 24.4 295 31 16 5.5 3.0 | -2.7 27.1 290 30 15 9.0 5.0
11000 -3.3 26.1 295 30 16 7.5 4.1 | -1.3 29.7 290 30 15 9.4 5.2
10500 -2.0 28.4 295 30 15 9.6 5.3 | 0.1 32.2 290 30 15 9.4 5.1
10250 -1.3 29.7 295 30 15 9.4 5.2 | 0.8 33.4 290 30 16 9.4 5.2
10000 -0.6 30.9 295 30 15 9.3 5.1 | 1.5 34.7 290 30 16 9.7 5.3
9750 0.0 32.0 295 30 15 9.1 5.0 | 2.3 36.1 290 30 16 9.7 5.3
9500 0.7 33.3 295 30 15 9.3 5.1 | 3.0 37.4 290 30 16 9.7 5.3
9250 1.4 34.5 295 30 15 8.8 4.8 | 3.7 38.7 290 30 16 9.6 5.3
9000 2.1 35.8 295 29 15 10.6 5.8 | 4.5 40.1 290 30 16 11.1 6.1
8750 2.9 37.2 295 29 15 10.4 5.7 | 5.3 41.5 290 30 16 10.7 5.9
8500 3.6 38.5 295 29 15 8.5 4.7 | 6.0 42.8 290 30 16 9.2 5.1
8250 4.3 39.7 295 29 15 9.1 5.0 | 6.8 44.2 290 30 16 9.6 5.3
8000 5.0 41.0 295 29 15 10.2 5.6 | 7.5 45.5 290 30 16 9.7 5.3
7750 5.8 42.4 295 29 15 10.1 5.6 | 8.2 46.8 295 30 15 10.1 5.6
7500 6.5 43.7 295 28 15 9.1 5.0 | 9.0 48.2 295 30 15 10.1 5.5
7250 7.2 45.0 295 28 14 10.0 5.5 | 9.7 49.5 295 29 15 10.7 5.9
7000 8.0 46.4 295 27 14 11.4 6.2 | 10.6 51.1 295 29 15 12.0 6.6
6750 8.8 47.8 295 26 13 11.3 6.2 | 11.5 52.7 295 28 14 12.2 6.7
6500 9.7 49.5 295 23 12 14.8 8.1 | 12.6 54.7 295 25 13 19.6 10.7
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
05/19/2025 at 1500 MDT | 05/19/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +34.0 LI... +0.2 | CAPE... +2.9 LI... +3.7
CINH... -27.9 K Index... +17.0 | CINH... -0.3 K Index... +8.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -58.7 -73.7 260 39 20 2.3 1.3 | -59.9 -75.8 265 51 26 1.8 1.0
45000 -54.9 -66.8 275 57 29 4.2 2.3 | -57.2 -71.0 275 74 38 2.1 1.2
40000 -48.5 -55.3 295 65 33 4.3 2.3 | -53.9 -65.0 290 90 47 2.3 1.3
38000 -45.9 -50.6 300 75 38 3.6 2.0 | -50.4 -58.7 295 91 47 6.2 3.4
36000 -43.7 -46.7 305 86 44 3.6 2.0 | -46.7 -52.1 300 90 46 6.2 3.4
34000 -41.5 -42.7 310 95 49 3.8 2.1 | -42.6 -44.7 300 90 46 7.3 4.0
32000 -39.2 -38.6 310 97 50 3.8 2.1 | -38.2 -36.8 310 91 47 7.3 4.0
30000 -36.9 -34.4 310 96 50 3.9 2.1 | -33.8 -28.8 310 92 47 7.3 4.0
29000 -35.7 -32.3 310 91 47 3.9 2.1 | -31.6 -24.9 305 91 47 7.3 4.0
28000 -34.5 -30.1 310 87 45 3.9 2.1 | -29.5 -21.1 305 91 47 7.3 4.0
27000 -33.4 -28.1 305 82 42 3.7 2.1 | -27.3 -17.1 305 91 47 6.5 3.6
26000 -32.7 -26.9 300 71 37 2.1 1.1 | -25.4 -13.7 300 92 47 6.3 3.5
25000 -32.0 -25.6 295 61 31 2.1 1.2 | -23.5 -10.3 300 94 48 6.3 3.5
24000 -31.4 -24.5 285 52 27 1.7 0.9 | -21.6 -6.9 300 95 49 6.0 3.3
23000 -29.8 -21.6 280 47 24 7.0 3.8 | -20.1 -4.2 300 89 46 5.1 2.8
22000 -27.7 -17.9 275 44 23 7.0 3.8 | -18.5 -1.3 300 81 42 5.1 2.8
21000 -25.1 -13.2 275 40 21 8.2 4.5 | -17.0 1.4 305 74 38 3.4 1.9
20000 -22.6 -8.7 275 39 20 8.4 4.6 | -16.5 2.3 305 65 33 1.2 0.6
19500 -21.3 -6.3 275 39 20 8.4 4.6 | -16.4 2.5 300 61 31 1.2 0.6
19000 -20.1 -4.2 275 39 20 8.4 4.6 | -16.2 2.8 300 58 30 1.2 0.7
18500 -18.8 -1.8 275 38 20 8.2 4.5 | -16.0 3.2 295 54 28 1.2 0.7
18000 -17.6 0.3 275 38 19 8.1 4.4 | -15.9 3.4 295 53 27 1.4 0.8
17500 -16.4 2.5 280 37 19 8.0 4.4 | -15.7 3.7 290 51 26 2.1 1.2
17000 -15.3 4.5 280 37 19 7.7 4.2 | -15.3 4.5 290 48 25 4.3 2.4
16500 -14.1 6.6 280 37 19 7.7 4.2 | -14.7 5.5 295 44 23 3.9 2.1
16000 -12.9 8.8 280 36 19 8.0 4.4 | -13.9 7.0 295 41 21 8.0 4.4
15500 -11.8 10.8 280 36 19 8.0 4.4 | -12.7 9.1 300 39 20 8.0 4.4
15000 -10.6 12.9 280 36 19 8.1 4.4 | -11.4 11.5 300 38 19 9.0 4.9
14500 -9.4 15.1 285 36 18 8.1 4.4 | -10.0 14.0 300 38 19 9.4 5.2
14000 -8.2 17.2 285 36 18 8.2 4.5 | -8.6 16.5 305 38 19 9.4 5.2
13500 -7.0 19.4 285 35 18 8.3 4.6 | -7.2 19.0 305 38 20 9.4 5.1
13000 -5.7 21.7 285 35 18 8.3 4.6 | -5.8 21.6 305 38 20 9.5 5.2
12500 -4.5 23.9 290 35 18 8.3 4.6 | -4.3 24.3 305 39 20 9.6 5.3
12000 -3.3 26.1 290 34 18 8.1 4.4 | -2.9 26.8 305 39 20 9.3 5.1
11500 -2.2 28.0 295 34 17 6.5 3.6 | -1.6 29.1 305 40 20 7.9 4.3
11000 -0.8 30.6 295 33 17 11.1 6.1 | -0.0 32.0 305 40 21 11.9 6.6
10500 0.5 32.9 295 33 17 8.2 4.5 | 1.5 34.7 305 41 21 9.2 5.0
10250 1.2 34.2 300 32 17 8.6 4.7 | 2.2 36.0 305 41 21 9.5 5.2
10000 1.8 35.2 300 32 16 9.4 5.2 | 2.9 37.2 305 41 21 10.0 5.5
9750 2.6 36.7 300 32 16 9.8 5.4 | 3.6 38.5 305 41 21 9.9 5.4
9500 3.3 37.9 300 32 16 9.6 5.3 | 4.4 39.9 305 41 21 9.8 5.4
9250 4.0 39.2 300 32 16 10.0 5.5 | 5.1 41.2 305 41 21 9.7 5.3
9000 4.7 40.5 300 32 16 8.5 4.6 | 5.8 42.4 305 42 21 10.1 5.5
8750 5.3 41.5 300 32 16 8.2 4.5 | 6.6 43.9 305 41 21 9.9 5.5
8500 6.0 42.8 300 32 16 9.6 5.3 | 7.3 45.1 300 41 21 9.4 5.1
8250 6.7 44.1 300 32 16 9.2 5.0 | 8.0 46.4 300 41 21 9.5 5.2
8000 7.4 45.3 300 32 16 10.0 5.5 | 8.8 47.8 300 41 21 10.3 5.6
7750 8.2 46.8 300 32 16 9.8 5.4 | 9.6 49.3 300 40 21 10.5 5.8
7500 8.8 47.8 300 32 16 8.9 4.9 | 10.3 50.5 300 40 20 9.9 5.5
7250 9.5 49.1 300 32 16 9.8 5.4 | 11.1 52.0 300 39 20 10.4 5.7
7000 10.3 50.5 300 31 16 10.8 5.9 | 11.9 53.4 300 38 19 11.2 6.2
6750 11.2 52.2 300 29 15 14.7 8.1 | 12.7 54.9 300 35 18 11.8 6.5
6500 12.5 54.5 300 26 14 20.5 11.2 | 13.7 56.7 300 31 16 14.0 7.7
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0711 MDT Monday May 19 2025
This forecast is for Monday, May 19, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 57.9 F/14.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
Maximum rate of lift........................ 786 ft/min (4.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14722 ft MSL (9423 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 67.0 F/19.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1200 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ More than 30 mph
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12852 ft MSL (7554 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 05/20...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:59:34 / 20:06:28 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 6 min 54 sec (846 min 54 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:01 MDT... 74.89 degrees
Upper air data from rawinsonde observation taken on 05/19/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 10289 ft MSL (4990 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12518 ft MSL (7219 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 13986 ft MSL (8687 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.4
K index......................... +1.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -57.9 -72.2 250 44 23 6.2 3.4 100.0 212.0 46.5 M M
45000 -51.7 -61.1 255 58 30 6.1 3.3 85.8 186.5 41.0 M M
40000 -47.4 -53.3 245 65 33 -0.8 -0.5 69.7 157.4 33.1 M M
38000 -47.0 -52.6 250 71 36 -1.1 -0.6 61.7 143.0 28.5 M M
36000 -47.6 -53.7 240 62 32 2.8 1.6 52.1 125.8 22.7 M M
34000 -46.8 -52.2 235 69 36 1.1 0.6 43.9 111.0 17.5 M M
32000 -45.7 -50.3 230 86 44 3.7 2.0 37.3 99.2 13.1 M M
30000 -42.7 -44.9 235 65 34 5.0 2.7 33.5 92.3 10.6 M M
29000 -41.1 -42.0 235 60 31 5.2 2.8 31.6 88.9 9.3 M M
28000 -39.6 -39.3 240 50 26 5.0 2.7 29.9 85.8 8.0 M M
27000 -37.6 -35.7 245 42 22 7.0 3.9 28.7 83.6 7.2 M M
26000 -35.5 -31.9 245 43 22 7.0 3.9 27.6 81.8 6.5 M M
25000 -33.4 -28.1 250 46 24 7.2 3.9 26.6 80.0 5.8 M M
24000 -31.2 -24.2 255 36 18 7.2 4.0 25.7 78.2 5.0 M M
23000 -28.9 -20.0 260 36 18 9.4 5.1 25.1 77.1 4.6 M M
22000 -26.1 -15.0 250 37 19 9.3 5.1 24.9 76.9 4.5 M M
21000 -23.3 -9.9 260 38 19 9.3 5.1 24.8 76.6 4.5 M M
20000 -20.5 -4.9 255 38 20 9.3 5.1 24.6 76.3 4.4 M M
19500 -19.1 -2.4 255 38 20 9.3 5.1 24.5 76.1 4.3 M M
19000 -17.7 0.1 255 37 19 9.3 5.1 24.4 75.9 4.2 M M
18500 -16.3 2.7 255 37 19 9.3 5.1 24.3 75.7 4.1 M M
18000 -15.1 4.8 255 37 19 6.9 3.8 24.0 75.2 3.9 M M
17500 -13.6 7.5 260 40 21 7.0 3.8 23.2 73.8 3.3 M M
17000 -12.8 9.0 260 42 22 4.1 2.3 22.5 72.4 2.6 M M
16500 -11.9 10.6 260 46 24 9.2 5.0 21.8 71.3 2.1 M M
16000 -10.4 13.3 265 46 24 10.0 5.5 21.9 71.4 2.1 M M
15500 -9.0 15.8 270 43 22 7.3 4.0 21.8 71.2 2.0 M M
15000 -8.7 16.3 280 35 18 -2.9 -1.6 20.5 68.9 0.8 M M
14500 -9.2 15.4 285 36 18 2.2 1.2 18.5 65.3 -1.1 785 4.0
14000 -8.5 16.7 290 38 19 4.5 2.5 17.7 63.9 -1.9 749 3.8
13500 -7.6 18.3 290 37 19 8.1 4.5 17.1 62.8 -2.5 707 3.6
13000 -6.5 20.3 290 33 17 6.9 3.8 16.7 62.1 -2.9 660 3.4
12500 -5.5 22.1 290 30 16 7.0 3.8 16.3 61.3 -3.4 615 3.1
12000 -4.4 24.1 295 30 15 8.8 4.8 16.0 60.8 -3.7 565 2.9
11500 -3.1 26.4 300 28 14 8.7 4.7 15.8 60.5 -3.9 511 2.6
11000 -1.8 28.8 310 26 13 8.6 4.7 15.7 60.2 -4.1 458 2.3
10500 -0.5 31.1 310 25 13 8.6 4.7 15.5 59.9 -4.3 404 2.1
10250 0.2 32.4 315 23 12 8.7 4.8 15.4 59.7 -4.4 378 1.9
10000 0.8 33.4 315 23 12 8.5 4.7 15.3 59.5 -4.5 351 1.8
9750 1.4 34.5 315 25 13 8.3 4.6 15.2 59.3 -4.6 325 1.6
9500 2.0 35.6 320 23 12 8.6 4.7 15.1 59.1 -4.7 298 1.5
9250 2.6 36.7 320 22 11 6.3 3.5 14.9 58.9 -4.9 273 1.4
9000 3.0 37.4 325 21 11 4.8 2.6 14.6 58.2 -5.3 256 1.3
8750 3.4 38.1 325 22 11 7.4 4.1 14.3 57.7 -5.6 236 1.2
8500 4.0 39.2 320 23 12 8.6 4.7 14.2 57.5 -5.7 210 1.1
8250 4.6 40.3 320 24 12 8.1 4.4 14.1 57.3 -5.8 184 0.9
8000 5.2 41.4 320 23 12 7.2 3.9 13.9 57.0 -6.0 160 0.8
7750 5.7 42.3 315 23 12 7.0 3.9 13.7 56.6 -6.3 137 0.7
7500 6.3 43.3 315 22 11 9.3 5.1 13.6 56.4 -6.4 113 0.6
7250 7.0 44.6 315 21 11 9.3 5.1 13.6 56.4 -6.5 84 0.4
7000 7.5 45.5 320 18 9 5.0 2.7 13.4 56.1 -6.7 61 0.3
6750 7.7 45.9 325 18 9 3.0 1.7 12.9 55.2 -7.2 46 0.2
6500 8.0 46.4 330 18 9 3.6 2.0 12.4 54.4 -7.7 32 0.2
6250 8.2 46.8 335 18 9 3.4 1.9 11.9 53.5 -8.2 17 0.1
6000 8.5 47.3 345 16 8 3.4 1.9 11.5 52.7 -8.7 3 0.0
5750 8.7 47.7 360 16 8 3.6 2.0 11.0 51.8 -9.2 M M
5500 9.1 48.4 005 13 7 7.5 4.1 10.6 51.2 -9.6 M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/19/2025 at 0900 MDT | 05/19/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.3 | CAPE... +91.3 LI... -0.9
CINH... -0.2 K Index... +15.2 | CINH... -1.7 K Index... +24.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -56.8 -70.2 260 38 19 3.1 1.7 | -56.5 -69.7 265 38 20 3.0 1.7
45000 -52.2 -62.0 265 43 22 2.9 1.6 | -52.0 -61.6 275 48 25 2.9 1.6
40000 -47.8 -54.0 265 44 23 2.9 1.6 | -47.7 -53.9 285 45 23 2.9 1.6
38000 -46.1 -51.0 265 41 21 2.9 1.6 | -45.7 -50.3 295 48 25 2.9 1.6
36000 -44.2 -47.6 270 35 18 2.9 1.6 | -43.9 -47.0 300 53 27 2.9 1.6
34000 -42.6 -44.7 270 32 16 1.9 1.0 | -42.2 -44.0 305 57 29 3.1 1.7
32000 -41.4 -42.5 265 35 18 1.9 1.1 | -40.3 -40.5 305 58 30 3.1 1.7
30000 -40.3 -40.5 255 39 20 1.7 0.9 | -38.5 -37.3 310 59 30 1.8 1.0
29000 -39.8 -39.6 255 38 19 1.7 1.0 | -37.9 -36.2 305 56 29 2.0 1.1
28000 -39.3 -38.7 250 37 19 1.7 1.0 | -37.3 -35.1 295 53 27 2.0 1.1
27000 -38.7 -37.7 245 36 19 1.2 0.7 | -36.7 -34.1 290 51 26 1.7 0.9
26000 -37.2 -35.0 245 36 18 6.4 3.5 | -35.6 -32.1 290 48 24 4.4 2.4
25000 -35.3 -31.5 250 35 18 6.3 3.5 | -34.3 -29.7 290 43 22 4.4 2.4
24000 -33.4 -28.1 255 34 17 6.3 3.4 | -33.0 -27.4 290 38 20 4.3 2.3
23000 -31.2 -24.2 260 33 17 8.2 4.5 | -30.8 -23.4 285 37 19 6.6 3.6
22000 -28.1 -18.6 270 33 17 8.2 4.5 | -28.8 -19.8 280 37 19 6.7 3.7
21000 -25.7 -14.3 275 34 17 8.3 4.6 | -26.8 -16.2 275 37 19 7.9 4.3
20000 -23.2 -9.8 280 34 17 8.4 4.6 | -24.4 -11.9 275 37 19 8.4 4.6
19500 -22.0 -7.6 280 34 18 8.4 4.6 | -23.1 -9.6 275 37 19 8.4 4.6
19000 -20.7 -5.3 280 34 18 8.4 4.6 | -21.9 -7.4 275 37 19 8.4 4.6
18500 -19.5 -3.1 280 35 18 8.2 4.5 | -20.7 -5.3 275 37 19 8.6 4.7
18000 -18.3 -0.9 280 35 18 8.1 4.4 | -19.4 -2.9 275 36 19 8.8 4.8
17500 -17.1 1.2 285 35 18 8.1 4.4 | -18.1 -0.6 275 35 18 8.8 4.8
17000 -15.9 3.4 285 35 18 8.1 4.5 | -16.8 1.8 275 35 18 7.9 4.3
16500 -14.7 5.5 285 35 18 8.2 4.5 | -15.7 3.7 280 34 17 8.0 4.4
16000 -13.5 7.7 290 35 18 7.6 4.2 | -14.5 5.9 280 33 17 8.0 4.4
15500 -12.4 9.7 290 34 18 7.5 4.1 | -13.3 8.1 280 32 16 8.0 4.4
15000 -11.2 11.8 290 34 17 7.0 3.9 | -12.1 10.2 280 31 16 8.2 4.5
14500 -10.3 13.5 295 33 17 6.5 3.6 | -10.9 12.4 285 31 16 8.3 4.6
14000 -9.3 15.3 295 33 17 6.4 3.5 | -9.7 14.5 285 30 16 8.2 4.5
13500 -8.4 16.9 300 33 17 6.1 3.4 | -8.5 16.7 285 31 16 8.0 4.4
13000 -7.5 18.5 300 32 17 6.2 3.4 | -7.3 18.9 285 31 16 8.1 4.4
12500 -6.6 20.1 300 31 16 6.6 3.6 | -6.1 21.0 285 30 16 8.7 4.8
12000 -5.7 21.7 300 30 16 6.6 3.6 | -4.8 23.4 285 30 16 8.7 4.8
11500 -4.7 23.5 300 29 15 7.1 3.9 | -3.4 25.9 285 30 15 9.6 5.3
11000 -3.7 25.3 300 26 14 7.2 4.0 | -2.0 28.4 285 30 15 9.6 5.3
10500 -2.4 27.7 300 25 13 9.3 5.1 | -0.4 31.3 290 29 15 10.3 5.7
10250 -1.8 28.8 300 24 13 8.3 4.6 | 0.3 32.5 290 29 15 9.4 5.2
10000 -1.2 29.8 300 24 12 8.5 4.6 | 1.0 33.8 290 28 15 9.6 5.3
9750 -0.5 31.1 300 24 12 9.3 5.1 | 1.8 35.2 290 28 14 10.2 5.6
9500 0.2 32.4 300 23 12 9.7 5.3 | 2.5 36.5 290 28 14 10.5 5.8
9250 0.9 33.6 300 23 12 9.5 5.2 | 3.3 37.9 290 27 14 9.8 5.4
9000 1.6 34.9 300 23 12 9.3 5.1 | 4.0 39.2 290 27 14 9.4 5.1
8750 2.3 36.1 300 23 12 9.2 5.1 | 4.7 40.5 290 27 14 9.7 5.3
8500 3.7 38.7 300 23 12 9.3 5.1 | 6.2 43.2 295 26 13 10.1 5.5
8250 4.4 39.9 300 22 11 9.7 5.3 | 7.0 44.6 295 25 13 10.4 5.7
8000 5.1 41.2 300 22 11 9.9 5.4 | 7.7 45.9 295 25 13 10.0 5.5
7750 5.9 42.6 300 22 11 10.1 5.5 | 8.5 47.3 295 25 13 10.3 5.6
7500 6.6 43.9 300 21 11 9.1 5.0 | 9.2 48.6 295 24 12 9.4 5.1
7250 7.3 45.1 300 21 11 9.5 5.2 | 9.9 49.8 295 24 12 9.9 5.4
7000 8.0 46.4 300 21 11 10.6 5.8 | 10.7 51.3 295 23 12 11.0 6.0
6750 8.8 47.8 300 20 10 10.5 5.8 | 11.5 52.7 300 22 12 11.1 6.1
6500 9.6 49.3 300 20 10 9.8 5.4 | 12.3 54.1 300 22 11 9.5 5.2
6250 10.4 50.7 300 19 10 13.8 7.5 | 13.1 55.6 300 21 11 14.5 8.0
6000 11.7 53.1 300 17 9 22.6 12.4 | 14.7 58.5 300 19 10 27.9 15.3
5750 13.1 55.6 300 16 8 6.2 3.4 | 16.3 61.3 300 17 9 2.7 1.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
05/19/2025 at 1500 MDT | 05/19/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +64.6 LI... -0.5 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +6.5
CINH... -2.3 K Index... +20.0 | CINH... -0.7 K Index... +7.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -58.2 -72.8 280 37 19 2.1 1.2 | -59.7 -75.5 255 40 21 1.0 0.6
45000 -54.9 -66.8 285 58 30 3.6 2.0 | -57.9 -72.2 275 67 34 2.1 1.2
40000 -49.2 -56.6 305 70 36 3.6 2.0 | -54.6 -66.3 290 86 44 1.6 0.9
38000 -47.3 -53.1 310 82 42 3.0 1.7 | -51.0 -59.8 295 85 44 6.6 3.6
36000 -45.5 -49.9 310 96 50 3.0 1.7 | -47.0 -52.6 300 84 43 6.6 3.6
34000 -43.2 -45.8 315 107 55 5.7 3.1 | -42.9 -45.2 305 85 44 7.2 4.0
32000 -39.7 -39.5 315 109 56 5.8 3.2 | -38.6 -37.5 310 87 45 7.2 4.0
30000 -36.3 -33.3 315 110 56 5.6 3.1 | -34.2 -29.6 310 89 46 7.5 4.1
29000 -34.6 -30.3 315 108 56 5.6 3.1 | -31.9 -25.4 310 88 45 7.5 4.1
28000 -32.9 -27.2 310 106 55 5.6 3.1 | -29.7 -21.5 310 88 45 7.5 4.1
27000 -31.2 -24.2 310 105 54 5.3 2.9 | -27.4 -17.3 310 87 45 7.1 3.9
26000 -30.2 -22.4 310 94 48 2.8 1.5 | -25.3 -13.5 305 87 45 7.0 3.8
25000 -29.4 -20.9 305 81 42 2.8 1.5 | -22.7 -8.9 300 86 44 7.0 3.9
24000 -28.3 -18.9 300 66 34 3.0 1.6 | -20.6 -5.1 300 87 45 5.7 3.1
23000 -27.4 -17.3 295 56 29 3.4 1.9 | -19.0 -2.2 300 85 44 5.5 3.0
22000 -26.3 -15.3 290 47 24 3.5 1.9 | -17.4 0.7 305 84 43 5.5 3.0
21000 -25.2 -13.4 280 40 20 7.0 3.8 | -15.9 3.4 310 82 42 2.4 1.3
20000 -22.8 -9.0 275 39 20 8.1 4.4 | -15.1 4.8 310 74 38 2.5 1.4
19500 -21.6 -6.9 275 39 20 8.1 4.4 | -14.8 5.4 310 69 36 2.5 1.4
19000 -20.4 -4.7 270 38 20 8.1 4.5 | -14.4 6.1 310 65 34 2.5 1.4
18500 -19.3 -2.7 270 38 20 8.5 4.7 | -14.1 6.6 305 61 31 -0.2 -0.1
18000 -18.0 -0.4 270 38 19 8.8 4.8 | -14.4 6.1 305 57 30 -1.5 -0.8
17500 -16.7 1.9 270 37 19 8.8 4.8 | -14.7 5.5 300 54 28 -1.2 -0.6
17000 -15.5 4.1 275 36 18 7.6 4.2 | -14.5 5.9 295 52 27 3.6 2.0
16500 -14.3 6.3 275 35 18 7.8 4.3 | -14.1 6.6 295 49 25 3.2 1.8
16000 -13.2 8.2 280 34 17 7.2 4.0 | -13.5 7.7 290 47 24 6.2 3.4
15500 -12.2 10.0 280 33 17 7.2 3.9 | -12.5 9.5 295 44 23 6.6 3.6
15000 -11.1 12.0 285 32 16 7.7 4.2 | -11.5 11.3 295 42 22 7.3 4.0
14500 -9.9 14.2 285 31 16 8.2 4.5 | -10.3 13.5 300 41 21 7.9 4.3
14000 -8.7 16.3 285 31 16 8.1 4.5 | -9.2 15.4 300 39 20 8.2 4.5
13500 -7.5 18.5 290 31 16 7.7 4.2 | -7.8 18.0 305 38 20 9.0 5.0
13000 -6.4 20.5 290 31 16 7.9 4.3 | -6.5 20.3 305 38 19 9.1 5.0
12500 -5.1 22.8 290 31 16 9.0 4.9 | -5.1 22.8 310 37 19 9.5 5.2
12000 -3.8 25.2 295 30 16 8.9 4.9 | -3.7 25.3 310 37 19 9.5 5.2
11500 -2.4 27.7 295 30 16 9.7 5.3 | -2.2 28.0 310 37 19 9.6 5.3
11000 -0.9 30.4 295 30 15 9.7 5.3 | -0.8 30.6 310 37 19 9.6 5.3
10500 0.6 33.1 295 30 15 10.2 5.6 | 0.6 33.1 310 37 19 9.5 5.2
10250 1.3 34.3 295 30 15 9.4 5.1 | 1.4 34.5 310 37 19 9.6 5.3
10000 2.0 35.6 300 30 15 9.5 5.2 | 2.1 35.8 310 37 19 9.7 5.3
9750 2.7 36.9 300 30 15 9.9 5.4 | 2.8 37.0 310 37 19 9.8 5.4
9500 3.5 38.3 300 30 15 10.2 5.6 | 3.5 38.3 310 37 19 9.9 5.4
9250 4.2 39.6 300 30 15 9.5 5.2 | 4.3 39.7 310 37 19 9.5 5.2
9000 5.6 42.1 305 30 15 9.6 5.2 | 5.0 41.0 310 38 19 9.3 5.1
8750 6.3 43.3 305 30 15 9.5 5.2 | 6.4 43.5 310 38 19 9.2 5.1
8500 7.1 44.8 305 30 15 9.9 5.4 | 7.1 44.8 310 38 19 10.1 5.5
8250 7.8 46.0 305 30 15 10.0 5.5 | 7.9 46.2 310 38 19 10.4 5.7
8000 8.5 47.3 305 30 15 9.7 5.3 | 8.6 47.5 310 38 19 9.7 5.3
7750 9.3 48.7 305 30 15 9.7 5.3 | 9.4 48.9 310 37 19 10.1 5.5
7500 10.0 50.0 310 30 15 10.0 5.5 | 10.1 50.2 310 37 19 9.0 5.0
7250 10.8 51.4 310 29 15 10.4 5.7 | 10.7 51.3 310 37 19 9.5 5.2
7000 11.5 52.7 310 29 15 10.5 5.7 | 11.5 52.7 310 36 19 10.8 5.9
6750 12.3 54.1 310 29 15 10.4 5.7 | 12.3 54.1 310 35 18 10.6 5.8
6500 13.1 55.6 310 28 15 10.6 5.8 | 13.1 55.6 310 35 18 10.1 5.6
6250 14.0 57.2 310 27 14 16.1 8.9 | 13.9 57.0 310 33 17 13.1 7.2
6000 15.6 60.1 310 25 13 24.7 13.5 | 15.2 59.4 310 30 15 19.7 10.8
5750 17.1 62.8 310 22 11 9.7 5.3 | 16.4 61.5 310 26 13 7.5 4.1
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, at approximately 730 AM and 730 PM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0711 MDT Monday May 19 2025
This forecast is for Monday, May 19, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 52.2 F/11.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
Maximum rate of lift........................ 648 ft/min (3.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14674 ft MSL (8219 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 63.0 F/17.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0930 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ More than 30 mph
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12612 ft MSL (6157 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 05/20...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:56:07 / 20:05:42 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 9 min 34 sec (849 min 34 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:00:54 MDT... 74.33 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/19/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 10058 ft MSL (3603 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14049 ft MSL (7594 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14523 ft MSL (8068 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.3
K index......................... +1.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -56.1 -69.0 250 43 22 3.0 1.6 97.7 207.8 47.1 M M
45000 -51.5 -60.7 250 51 26 2.2 1.2 81.5 178.7 40.2 M M
40000 -48.1 -54.6 245 54 28 2.2 1.2 63.9 146.9 31.1 M M
38000 -47.2 -53.0 245 56 29 1.0 0.5 56.5 133.7 26.9 M M
36000 -46.6 -51.9 240 59 30 1.0 0.5 48.8 119.9 22.3 M M
34000 -46.0 -50.8 235 61 31 1.4 0.8 41.9 107.4 17.8 M M
32000 -45.2 -49.4 235 61 31 1.4 0.7 34.7 94.5 13.0 M M
30000 -44.1 -47.4 235 59 31 5.7 3.1 28.6 83.5 8.7 M M
29000 -42.0 -43.6 235 52 27 5.6 3.1 26.4 79.6 7.1 M M
28000 -40.3 -40.5 240 46 23 5.7 3.1 24.9 76.8 6.0 M M
27000 -38.6 -37.5 245 40 20 6.9 3.8 23.5 74.2 4.9 M M
26000 -36.2 -33.2 250 39 20 8.3 4.6 22.8 73.0 4.4 M M
25000 -33.7 -28.7 250 38 19 8.3 4.6 22.3 72.1 4.1 M M
24000 -31.2 -24.2 255 37 19 8.4 4.6 21.8 71.3 3.8 M M
23000 -28.5 -19.3 255 37 19 8.8 4.8 21.4 70.5 3.4 M M
22000 -25.9 -14.6 260 37 19 8.8 4.8 21.0 69.9 3.2 M M
21000 -23.3 -9.9 260 37 19 8.7 4.8 20.8 69.4 3.0 M M
20000 -20.7 -5.3 260 37 19 8.7 4.8 20.3 68.6 2.6 M M
19500 -19.4 -2.9 265 37 19 8.7 4.8 20.1 68.3 2.5 M M
19000 -18.1 -0.6 265 37 19 8.7 4.8 20.0 68.0 2.4 M M
18500 -16.8 1.8 265 38 19 8.6 4.7 19.9 67.8 2.3 M M
18000 -15.5 4.1 265 37 19 8.5 4.7 19.6 67.4 2.1 M M
17500 -14.2 6.4 265 36 19 8.5 4.7 19.4 67.0 1.9 M M
17000 -13.0 8.6 270 36 18 8.3 4.5 19.2 66.6 1.7 M M
16500 -11.7 10.9 270 35 18 8.3 4.6 19.0 66.1 1.5 M M
16000 -10.5 13.1 270 34 17 7.6 4.2 18.7 65.7 1.3 M M
15500 -9.4 15.1 270 33 17 7.2 4.0 18.3 64.9 0.9 M M
15000 -8.4 16.9 270 32 16 6.8 3.8 17.9 64.2 0.5 M M
14500 -7.5 18.5 275 31 16 5.7 3.1 17.3 63.1 -0.1 641 3.3
14000 -6.6 20.1 280 30 16 5.8 3.2 16.6 61.9 -0.7 601 3.1
13500 -5.9 21.4 285 30 15 4.6 2.5 15.9 60.5 -1.5 564 2.9
13000 -5.2 22.6 290 29 15 4.7 2.6 15.0 59.1 -2.3 529 2.7
12500 -4.5 23.9 295 29 15 6.1 3.3 14.3 57.8 -3.0 492 2.5
12000 -3.6 25.5 300 28 14 5.9 3.3 13.7 56.7 -3.6 451 2.3
11500 -2.2 28.0 305 27 14 6.1 3.3 13.0 55.3 -4.4 387 2.0
11000 -1.5 29.3 310 24 13 5.9 3.2 12.3 54.1 -5.2 350 1.8
10500 -0.6 30.9 315 22 11 6.5 3.5 11.7 53.1 -5.8 309 1.6
10250 -0.2 31.6 320 21 11 5.8 3.2 11.5 52.6 -6.1 288 1.5
10000 0.3 32.5 325 20 10 6.5 3.5 11.1 52.1 -6.5 269 1.4
9750 0.8 33.4 325 19 10 7.5 4.1 10.9 51.7 -6.7 246 1.2
9500 1.3 34.3 325 18 9 7.2 3.9 10.8 51.4 -6.9 223 1.1
9250 1.8 35.2 325 17 9 7.7 4.2 10.6 51.0 -7.1 200 1.0
9000 2.4 36.3 330 16 8 7.9 4.3 10.4 50.8 -7.3 175 0.9
8750 3.0 37.4 325 15 8 7.6 4.2 10.3 50.5 -7.5 150 0.8
8500 3.5 38.3 320 14 7 7.9 4.3 10.1 50.2 -7.7 126 0.6
8250 4.1 39.4 315 14 7 7.2 3.9 10.0 49.9 -7.9 102 0.5
8000 4.6 40.3 310 13 7 6.5 3.5 9.7 49.5 -8.1 80 0.4
7750 5.0 41.0 305 12 6 6.7 3.6 9.5 49.1 -8.4 58 0.3
7500 5.5 41.9 300 12 6 6.6 3.6 9.2 48.6 -8.7 36 0.2
7250 6.0 42.8 290 12 6 6.7 3.7 9.0 48.2 -8.9 15 0.1
7000 6.4 43.5 280 10 5 2.7 1.5 8.7 47.6 -9.3 M M
6750 6.3 43.3 275 9 4 -4.1 -2.3 7.9 46.2 -10.1 M M
6500 6.2 43.2 265 7 3 8.1 4.4 7.1 44.7 -11.0 M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/19/2025 at 0900 MDT | 05/19/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +9.8 LI... +1.3 | CAPE... +171.4 LI... -1.2
CINH... -8.7 K Index... +10.8 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... +21.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -55.7 -68.3 260 41 21 1.6 0.9 | -55.4 -67.7 265 33 17 3.2 1.8
45000 -53.0 -63.4 255 45 23 3.1 1.7 | -50.7 -59.3 275 43 22 2.0 1.1
40000 -48.4 -55.1 250 41 21 3.1 1.7 | -47.5 -53.5 275 45 23 2.1 1.2
38000 -46.7 -52.1 250 38 20 2.6 1.4 | -45.8 -50.4 280 44 23 2.9 1.6
36000 -45.1 -49.2 250 34 18 2.6 1.4 | -44.1 -47.4 285 42 22 2.9 1.6
34000 -43.6 -46.5 250 31 16 1.5 0.8 | -42.4 -44.3 290 40 21 2.3 1.3
32000 -42.6 -44.7 245 35 18 1.6 0.9 | -41.0 -41.8 290 38 19 2.3 1.3
30000 -41.7 -43.1 235 39 20 2.2 1.2 | -39.7 -39.5 290 35 18 1.5 0.8
29000 -41.0 -41.8 235 37 19 2.3 1.2 | -39.2 -38.6 285 34 18 1.5 0.8
28000 -40.1 -40.2 230 36 18 2.3 1.3 | -38.8 -37.8 280 34 18 1.5 0.8
27000 -39.5 -39.1 225 34 18 3.6 2.0 | -38.4 -37.1 275 34 18 1.2 0.7
26000 -37.2 -35.0 230 33 17 8.1 4.4 | -37.2 -35.0 275 32 17 5.3 2.9
25000 -34.8 -30.6 235 32 17 8.1 4.4 | -35.2 -31.4 275 28 14 5.4 2.9
24000 -32.4 -26.3 245 32 16 8.1 4.4 | -33.6 -28.5 275 24 12 5.4 3.0
23000 -30.0 -22.0 250 31 16 8.1 4.4 | -31.5 -24.7 280 23 12 7.6 4.1
22000 -27.5 -17.5 260 29 15 8.1 4.4 | -29.2 -20.6 285 23 12 7.6 4.2
21000 -25.1 -13.2 265 29 15 8.3 4.6 | -27.0 -16.6 290 24 12 7.7 4.2
20000 -22.6 -8.7 270 30 15 8.5 4.7 | -24.7 -12.5 290 25 13 7.8 4.3
19500 -21.3 -6.3 275 30 16 8.5 4.7 | -23.5 -10.3 290 25 13 7.8 4.3
19000 -20.0 -4.0 275 31 16 8.5 4.7 | -22.4 -8.3 290 25 13 7.8 4.3
18500 -18.8 -1.8 275 31 16 8.5 4.7 | -21.2 -6.2 290 26 13 7.8 4.3
18000 -17.5 0.5 280 32 16 8.5 4.7 | -20.1 -4.2 290 26 13 7.9 4.3
17500 -16.2 2.8 280 32 17 8.6 4.7 | -18.9 -2.0 290 26 13 7.8 4.3
17000 -15.0 5.0 280 32 17 7.9 4.3 | -17.7 0.1 290 25 13 8.8 4.8
16500 -13.8 7.2 280 32 16 7.9 4.3 | -16.4 2.5 290 25 13 8.7 4.8
16000 -12.6 9.3 280 32 16 7.2 4.0 | -15.2 4.6 290 25 13 9.0 4.9
15500 -11.6 11.1 285 31 16 6.8 3.7 | -13.8 7.2 290 25 13 9.1 5.0
15000 -10.6 12.9 285 30 15 6.5 3.6 | -12.5 9.5 290 25 13 9.0 4.9
14500 -9.8 14.4 290 29 15 5.5 3.0 | -11.2 11.8 290 25 13 8.7 4.8
14000 -9.0 15.8 295 29 15 5.5 3.0 | -9.9 14.2 290 25 13 8.8 4.8
13500 -8.2 17.2 300 28 14 5.2 2.8 | -8.5 16.7 290 25 13 9.3 5.1
13000 -7.5 18.5 305 27 14 5.2 2.8 | -7.1 19.2 290 25 13 9.3 5.1
12500 -6.7 19.9 305 25 13 5.5 3.0 | -5.7 21.7 285 25 13 9.4 5.2
12000 -6.0 21.2 310 23 12 5.5 3.0 | -4.3 24.3 285 25 13 9.5 5.2
11500 -4.7 23.5 305 21 11 7.2 3.9 | -3.0 26.6 285 26 13 8.9 4.9
11000 -3.5 25.7 310 19 10 8.5 4.6 | -1.5 29.3 285 26 13 10.0 5.5
10500 -2.2 28.0 305 19 10 8.9 4.9 | 0.5 32.9 280 27 14 9.3 5.1
10250 -1.5 29.3 305 18 9 9.6 5.2 | 1.3 34.3 280 27 14 10.3 5.6
10000 -0.8 30.6 310 18 9 9.7 5.3 | 2.0 35.6 280 28 14 10.0 5.5
9750 -0.1 31.8 305 18 9 9.5 5.2 | 2.7 36.9 280 28 14 9.4 5.2
9500 0.6 33.1 305 18 9 9.6 5.3 | 3.5 38.3 280 28 15 9.6 5.3
9250 1.3 34.3 305 17 9 9.3 5.1 | 4.2 39.6 280 29 15 9.5 5.2
9000 2.0 35.6 310 17 9 9.4 5.1 | 4.9 40.8 280 29 15 9.9 5.4
8750 2.7 36.9 310 17 9 9.7 5.3 | 5.6 42.1 280 29 15 10.1 5.5
8500 3.4 38.1 310 17 9 9.6 5.3 | 6.4 43.5 280 29 15 10.0 5.5
8250 4.2 39.6 305 17 9 9.9 5.4 | 7.1 44.8 275 29 15 10.0 5.5
8000 4.9 40.8 305 16 8 10.1 5.5 | 7.9 46.2 275 29 15 10.5 5.8
7750 5.7 42.3 305 16 8 10.0 5.5 | 8.7 47.7 275 29 15 10.9 6.0
7500 6.4 43.5 305 16 8 10.1 5.5 | 9.5 49.1 275 29 15 11.0 6.0
7250 7.2 45.0 305 15 8 9.9 5.4 | 10.3 50.5 275 28 15 10.2 5.6
7000 8.0 46.4 305 15 8 14.2 7.8 | 11.2 52.2 275 28 14 17.5 9.6
6750 9.3 48.7 305 13 7 21.8 11.9 | 13.1 55.6 275 26 13 32.0 17.6
6500 10.7 51.3 305 12 6 8.2 4.5 | 14.9 58.8 270 23 12 5.6 3.1
05/19/2025 at 1500 MDT | 05/19/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +80.0 LI... -0.9 | CAPE... +0.4 LI... +1.7
CINH... -0.6 K Index... +17.3 | CINH... -0.6 K Index... +5.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -57.3 -71.1 265 38 19 2.9 1.6 | -58.2 -72.8 275 43 22 1.3 0.7
45000 -52.9 -63.2 280 50 26 2.8 1.5 | -56.1 -69.0 280 62 32 2.7 1.5
40000 -48.8 -55.8 300 60 31 2.7 1.5 | -51.8 -61.2 300 85 44 2.6 1.4
38000 -46.3 -51.3 305 66 34 4.2 2.3 | -48.7 -55.7 300 89 46 5.6 3.1
36000 -43.8 -46.8 305 72 37 4.2 2.3 | -45.4 -49.7 300 91 47 5.6 3.1
34000 -41.4 -42.5 310 77 40 3.5 1.9 | -41.9 -43.4 305 93 48 6.3 3.5
32000 -39.3 -38.7 310 77 39 3.5 1.9 | -38.1 -36.6 315 96 49 6.3 3.5
30000 -37.3 -35.1 310 74 38 2.1 1.2 | -34.3 -29.7 315 98 51 6.3 3.5
29000 -36.6 -33.9 310 67 35 2.3 1.2 | -32.4 -26.3 315 98 50 6.3 3.5
28000 -35.9 -32.6 310 61 31 2.3 1.2 | -30.5 -22.9 315 98 50 6.3 3.5
27000 -35.2 -31.4 305 54 28 2.2 1.2 | -28.6 -19.5 310 98 50 5.9 3.2
26000 -34.3 -29.7 300 47 24 3.4 1.8 | -27.1 -16.8 310 91 47 4.9 2.7
25000 -33.3 -27.9 295 40 20 3.4 1.8 | -25.3 -13.5 310 81 42 4.9 2.7
24000 -32.1 -25.8 285 32 16 3.7 2.0 | -23.8 -10.8 315 73 38 4.1 2.2
23000 -30.4 -22.7 280 29 15 6.2 3.4 | -23.0 -9.4 310 59 30 2.6 1.4
22000 -28.6 -19.5 275 26 13 6.2 3.4 | -22.2 -8.0 310 44 23 2.6 1.4
21000 -26.7 -16.1 275 23 12 7.2 4.0 | -21.5 -6.7 305 30 16 2.6 1.4
20000 -24.4 -11.9 280 24 12 7.9 4.3 | -20.7 -5.3 300 28 14 2.6 1.4
19500 -23.2 -9.8 280 25 13 7.9 4.3 | -20.3 -4.5 300 26 14 2.7 1.5
19000 -22.1 -7.8 285 25 13 8.0 4.4 | -19.9 -3.8 295 25 13 2.9 1.6
18500 -20.9 -5.6 285 26 13 8.5 4.7 | -19.6 -3.3 290 24 12 4.1 2.3
18000 -19.5 -3.1 285 26 13 9.2 5.0 | -18.7 -1.7 295 25 13 6.0 3.3
17500 -18.2 -0.8 285 26 14 9.2 5.1 | -17.9 -0.2 295 26 14 6.0 3.3
17000 -16.8 1.8 285 27 14 9.0 4.9 | -16.9 1.6 295 27 14 7.1 3.9
16500 -15.5 4.1 285 27 14 9.0 5.0 | -15.9 3.4 300 28 14 6.9 3.8
16000 -14.1 6.6 290 27 14 9.1 5.0 | -14.8 5.4 300 28 14 8.6 4.7
15500 -12.8 9.0 290 27 14 9.1 5.0 | -13.4 7.9 300 28 15 9.3 5.1
15000 -11.4 11.5 290 27 14 9.1 5.0 | -12.0 10.4 300 29 15 9.4 5.2
14500 -10.1 13.8 290 28 14 9.1 5.0 | -10.6 12.9 305 29 15 9.5 5.2
14000 -8.7 16.3 290 28 14 9.1 5.0 | -9.1 15.6 305 30 15 9.6 5.2
13500 -7.3 18.9 290 28 14 9.4 5.2 | -7.7 18.1 305 30 15 9.7 5.3
13000 -5.9 21.4 290 28 15 9.4 5.1 | -6.2 20.8 305 31 16 9.7 5.3
12500 -4.5 23.9 290 29 15 9.6 5.3 | -4.8 23.4 305 31 16 9.6 5.3
12000 -3.1 26.4 290 29 15 9.7 5.3 | -3.3 26.1 305 32 16 9.7 5.3
11500 -1.7 28.9 290 29 15 8.9 4.9 | -1.9 28.6 305 32 17 9.4 5.2
11000 -0.2 31.6 290 29 15 10.1 5.5 | -0.5 31.1 305 33 17 9.9 5.4
10500 1.9 35.4 290 30 15 9.6 5.3 | 1.6 34.9 305 34 18 9.4 5.2
10250 2.6 36.7 295 30 15 10.2 5.6 | 2.4 36.3 305 35 18 10.1 5.5
10000 3.4 38.1 295 30 15 10.0 5.5 | 3.1 37.6 305 35 18 10.0 5.5
9750 4.1 39.4 295 30 16 9.7 5.3 | 3.9 39.0 305 35 18 9.6 5.3
9500 4.9 40.8 295 30 16 9.8 5.4 | 4.6 40.3 305 36 18 9.8 5.4
9250 5.6 42.1 295 30 16 9.8 5.4 | 5.3 41.5 300 36 19 9.4 5.2
9000 6.3 43.3 295 30 16 9.9 5.4 | 6.0 42.8 300 36 19 9.6 5.2
8750 7.1 44.8 295 30 15 10.0 5.5 | 6.8 44.2 300 36 19 10.0 5.5
8500 7.8 46.0 295 30 15 9.9 5.4 | 7.5 45.5 300 36 19 9.8 5.4
8250 8.6 47.5 295 30 15 10.2 5.6 | 8.2 46.8 300 36 19 10.1 5.6
8000 9.3 48.7 295 30 15 10.5 5.8 | 9.0 48.2 300 36 19 10.4 5.7
7750 10.1 50.2 295 29 15 10.5 5.8 | 9.8 49.6 300 36 18 10.3 5.7
7500 10.9 51.6 295 29 15 10.4 5.7 | 10.6 51.1 300 35 18 10.3 5.7
7250 11.7 53.1 295 28 14 10.7 5.8 | 11.3 52.3 300 34 18 10.4 5.7
7000 12.6 54.7 295 27 14 16.7 9.2 | 12.2 54.0 300 33 17 13.5 7.4
6750 14.2 57.6 295 25 13 25.9 14.2 | 13.4 56.1 300 29 15 18.1 9.9
6500 15.8 60.4 295 22 11 9.9 5.4 | 14.5 58.1 300 26 13 10.0 5.5
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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