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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0722 MDT Thursday July 16 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, July 16, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 73.5 F/23.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 967 ft/min (4.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17454 ft MSL (11124 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 86.0 F/30.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16087 ft MSL (9757 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 07/17....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:02:24 / 20:17:52 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 15 min 28 sec (855 min 28 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:08 MDT... 76.10 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/16/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14858 ft MSL (8528 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13158 ft MSL (6828 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15347 ft MSL (9017 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.4
K index......................... +23.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.0 -83.2 055 19 10 4.1 2.3 79.1 174.3 29.2 M M
45000 -56.1 -69.0 050 23 12 6.4 3.5 67.7 153.8 24.0 M M
40000 -46.8 -52.2 040 28 15 5.5 3.0 60.1 140.1 20.5 M M
38000 -43.5 -46.3 040 29 15 5.5 3.0 56.2 133.2 18.3 M M
36000 -40.2 -40.4 035 30 16 6.0 3.3 53.1 127.5 16.5 M M
34000 -36.0 -32.8 035 26 13 7.0 3.9 50.5 122.8 15.0 M M
32000 -31.8 -25.2 035 22 11 7.0 3.8 48.5 119.3 13.9 M M
30000 -26.5 -15.7 045 17 9 8.0 4.4 46.7 116.1 12.9 M M
29000 -24.1 -11.4 050 16 8 8.0 4.4 46.1 115.0 12.5 M M
28000 -21.9 -7.4 055 14 7 6.1 3.4 45.4 113.7 12.1 M M
27000 -20.0 -4.0 060 14 7 6.4 3.5 44.0 111.2 11.1 M M
26000 -18.1 -0.6 065 14 7 6.4 3.5 42.8 109.0 10.2 M M
25000 -16.2 2.8 065 13 7 6.3 3.5 41.7 107.0 9.4 M M
24000 -14.4 6.1 065 11 6 5.9 3.2 40.2 104.3 8.3 M M
23000 -12.6 9.3 065 9 4 5.9 3.3 38.8 101.9 7.3 M M
22000 -10.8 12.6 060 6 3 6.1 3.4 37.6 99.6 6.3 M M
21000 -8.9 16.0 080 5 2 6.4 3.5 36.3 97.4 5.3 M M
20000 -7.0 19.4 115 4 2 6.4 3.5 35.2 95.3 4.4 M M
19500 -6.0 21.2 135 5 2 6.6 3.6 34.6 94.3 3.9 M M
19000 -5.2 22.6 145 5 3 4.7 2.6 34.0 93.1 3.4 M M
18500 -4.5 23.9 150 6 3 4.6 2.5 33.1 91.6 2.6 M M
18000 -3.7 25.3 150 6 3 3.4 1.9 32.3 90.1 1.9 M M
17500 -3.7 25.3 145 4 2 1.1 0.6 30.0 86.1 -0.2 965 4.9
17000 -3.7 25.3 135 2 1 3.0 1.7 28.6 83.5 -1.7 950 4.8
16500 -3.0 26.6 075 1 1 5.6 3.1 27.8 82.1 -2.5 916 4.7
16000 -2.3 27.9 040 2 1 5.6 3.1 27.2 80.9 -3.3 879 4.5
15500 -1.3 29.7 030 3 1 8.4 4.6 26.7 80.1 -3.8 835 4.2
15000 -0.2 31.6 020 2 1 8.2 4.5 26.5 79.6 -4.1 786 4.0
14500 1.0 33.8 010 2 1 8.7 4.8 26.2 79.2 -4.4 735 3.7
14000 2.3 36.1 330 1 1 8.8 4.8 26.1 78.9 -4.6 683 3.5
13500 3.6 38.5 290 1 1 8.5 4.7 25.9 78.7 -4.8 630 3.2
13000 4.8 40.6 275 2 1 8.2 4.5 25.7 78.2 -5.1 579 2.9
12500 6.0 42.8 270 3 2 8.2 4.5 25.5 77.8 -5.3 528 2.7
12000 7.2 45.0 270 4 2 8.2 4.5 25.2 77.4 -5.6 477 2.4
11500 8.4 47.1 265 4 2 8.0 4.4 25.0 77.0 -5.9 426 2.2
11000 9.6 49.3 260 5 2 8.2 4.5 24.7 76.5 -6.2 376 1.9
10500 10.7 51.3 250 5 2 7.6 4.2 24.5 76.1 -6.5 326 1.7
10250 11.2 52.2 245 5 2 6.6 3.6 24.3 75.7 -6.7 303 1.5
10000 11.7 53.1 235 5 2 6.7 3.7 24.0 75.2 -7.0 282 1.4
9750 12.2 54.0 225 5 2 6.9 3.8 23.8 74.8 -7.3 260 1.3
9500 12.7 54.9 215 5 3 6.7 3.7 23.6 74.4 -7.5 238 1.2
9250 13.2 55.8 205 5 3 7.2 4.0 23.3 74.0 -7.8 217 1.1
9000 13.6 56.5 195 5 3 5.3 2.9 23.1 73.6 -8.1 196 1.0
8750 13.9 57.0 190 5 3 3.4 1.8 22.7 72.8 -8.6 181 0.9
8500 14.1 57.4 180 6 3 3.8 2.1 22.2 71.9 -9.1 167 0.8
8250 14.3 57.7 175 6 3 3.6 2.0 21.7 71.1 -9.7 153 0.8
8000 14.5 58.1 165 6 3 3.6 2.0 21.3 70.3 -10.2 139 0.7
7750 14.7 58.5 160 6 3 3.3 1.8 20.8 69.4 -10.8 126 0.6
7500 14.9 58.8 155 6 3 3.3 1.8 20.3 68.5 -11.3 113 0.6
7250 15.1 59.2 145 5 3 3.1 1.7 19.8 67.6 -11.9 99 0.5
7000 15.3 59.5 140 5 2 4.1 2.2 19.3 66.8 -12.4 85 0.4
6750 15.5 59.9 130 4 2 -0.4 -0.2 18.8 65.9 -13.0 72 0.4
6500 15.1 59.2 115 3 2 -12.4 -6.8 17.6 63.7 -14.2 79 0.4
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/16/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/16/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +65.6 LI... +0.1 | CAPE... +111.9 LI... 0.0
CINH... -45.8 K Index... +18.5 | CINH... -14.6 K Index... +24.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 055 20 10 3.6 2.0 | -63.9 -83.0 060 22 11 4.4 2.4
45000 -56.7 -70.1 045 24 12 6.9 3.8 | -56.0 -68.8 055 25 13 6.0 3.3
40000 -46.7 -52.1 040 26 13 5.7 3.1 | -47.1 -52.8 040 23 12 5.5 3.0
38000 -43.3 -45.9 040 24 12 5.7 3.1 | -43.8 -46.8 040 21 11 5.5 3.0
36000 -39.9 -39.8 040 22 11 6.0 3.3 | -40.5 -40.9 040 19 10 5.8 3.2
34000 -36.0 -32.8 040 19 10 6.4 3.5 | -36.7 -34.1 050 16 8 6.4 3.5
32000 -31.7 -25.1 040 15 8 7.1 3.9 | -32.4 -26.3 060 13 7 7.2 3.9
30000 -27.0 -16.6 045 13 7 8.0 4.4 | -27.5 -17.5 055 11 6 8.4 4.6
29000 -24.6 -12.3 050 12 6 8.0 4.4 | -25.0 -13.0 055 10 5 8.4 4.6
28000 -22.4 -8.3 055 12 6 6.3 3.4 | -22.6 -8.7 050 10 5 6.8 3.7
27000 -20.5 -4.9 050 12 6 6.5 3.6 | -20.5 -4.9 045 11 5 7.0 3.8
26000 -18.5 -1.3 045 11 6 6.5 3.6 | -18.4 -1.1 040 12 6 7.0 3.9
25000 -16.6 2.1 040 11 6 6.5 3.6 | -16.4 2.5 035 13 7 6.6 3.6
24000 -14.7 5.5 040 10 5 6.3 3.5 | -14.5 5.9 040 11 6 6.0 3.3
23000 -12.7 9.1 045 8 4 6.4 3.5 | -12.7 9.1 045 9 5 6.1 3.3
22000 -10.8 12.6 045 7 3 6.5 3.6 | -10.8 12.6 055 8 4 6.3 3.4
21000 -8.8 16.2 055 4 2 6.7 3.7 | -8.9 16.0 055 6 3 6.5 3.6
20000 -6.8 19.8 080 3 1 6.7 3.7 | -6.9 19.6 060 4 2 6.5 3.6
19500 -5.8 21.6 105 2 1 6.9 3.8 | -5.9 21.4 070 3 1 6.7 3.7
19000 -4.9 23.2 130 2 1 5.0 2.8 | -5.0 23.0 075 2 1 4.9 2.7
18500 -4.1 24.6 145 2 1 5.2 2.8 | -3.9 25.0 085 1 1 5.5 3.0
18000 -3.1 26.4 160 2 1 3.1 1.7 | -3.4 25.9 085 1 1 1.6 0.9
17500 -2.7 27.1 125 1 0 3.3 1.8 | -3.2 26.2 075 2 1 2.0 1.1
17000 -2.2 28.0 040 1 0 3.2 1.7 | -3.0 26.6 070 2 1 2.5 1.4
16500 -1.9 28.6 040 2 1 3.1 1.7 | -2.7 27.1 080 3 1 3.2 1.8
16000 -1.6 29.1 040 4 2 3.6 2.0 | -2.4 27.7 085 3 1 3.8 2.1
15500 -0.8 30.6 040 4 2 8.1 4.5 | -1.5 29.3 095 3 1 9.5 5.2
15000 0.3 32.5 045 4 2 7.8 4.3 | -0.3 31.5 100 3 1 9.1 5.0
14500 1.4 34.5 050 4 2 8.3 4.6 | 1.0 33.8 110 2 1 9.2 5.0
14000 2.6 36.7 050 3 1 8.4 4.6 | 2.3 36.1 120 2 1 9.2 5.0
13500 3.8 38.8 055 1 1 8.6 4.7 | 3.6 38.5 130 2 1 9.3 5.1
13000 5.1 41.2 045 1 0 8.7 4.8 | 5.0 41.0 140 2 1 9.3 5.1
12500 6.4 43.5 000 0 0 8.6 4.7 | 6.4 43.5 150 2 1 9.4 5.2
12000 7.6 45.7 275 1 1 8.4 4.6 | 7.8 46.0 160 3 1 9.5 5.2
11500 8.8 47.8 275 2 1 8.0 4.4 | 9.2 48.6 165 3 1 8.7 4.8
11000 10.0 50.0 270 2 1 8.2 4.5 | 10.6 51.1 170 3 2 10.0 5.5
10500 11.1 52.0 260 2 1 7.6 4.2 | 12.0 53.6 175 4 2 8.7 4.8
10250 11.6 52.9 250 2 1 6.9 3.8 | 12.6 54.7 175 4 2 8.7 4.8
10000 12.2 54.0 230 2 1 7.2 3.9 | 13.4 56.1 175 4 2 10.5 5.7
9750 12.7 54.9 215 2 1 7.6 4.2 | 14.1 57.4 175 4 2 10.3 5.6
9500 13.2 55.8 200 3 1 6.3 3.5 | 14.9 58.8 175 5 2 10.4 5.7
9250 13.6 56.5 185 3 2 5.3 2.9 | 15.7 60.3 175 5 2 10.6 5.8
9000 13.9 57.0 175 4 2 3.7 2.0 | 16.4 61.5 175 5 3 9.6 5.3
8750 14.0 57.2 165 4 2 1.0 0.5 | 17.1 62.8 175 5 3 8.7 4.8
8500 14.1 57.4 160 5 3 4.9 2.7 | 17.8 64.0 175 5 3 9.7 5.3
8250 14.6 58.3 155 5 3 7.9 4.3 | 18.5 65.3 175 6 3 10.4 5.7
8000 15.1 59.2 150 5 3 7.3 4.0 | 19.3 66.7 175 6 3 10.1 5.6
7750 15.6 60.1 150 5 3 8.3 4.5 | 20.0 68.0 175 6 3 10.1 5.6
7500 16.3 61.3 145 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 20.8 69.4 175 6 3 10.6 5.8
7250 17.0 62.6 150 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 21.6 70.9 175 6 3 11.3 6.2
7000 17.7 63.9 150 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 22.4 72.3 175 6 3 10.0 5.5
6750 18.5 65.3 150 5 3 12.0 6.6 | 23.2 73.8 175 6 3 13.3 7.3
6500 19.6 67.3 150 5 2 18.2 10.0 | 24.6 76.3 170 6 3 25.2 13.8
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/16/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/16/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +76.9 LI... -0.6 | CAPE... +44.1 LI... -0.4
CINH... -0.5 K Index... +28.7 | CINH... -1.3 K Index... +30.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.2 -83.6 060 23 12 4.3 2.4 | -64.2 -83.6 060 19 10 4.4 2.4
45000 -56.3 -69.3 045 26 13 6.3 3.5 | -56.2 -69.2 045 23 12 6.2 3.4
40000 -47.1 -52.8 030 22 11 5.4 3.0 | -47.2 -53.0 025 26 13 5.4 3.0
38000 -43.8 -46.8 030 20 10 5.4 3.0 | -43.9 -47.0 020 26 13 5.5 3.0
36000 -40.6 -41.1 035 17 9 5.7 3.1 | -40.6 -41.1 015 27 14 5.8 3.2
34000 -36.8 -34.2 045 13 7 6.4 3.5 | -36.7 -34.1 015 18 9 6.6 3.6
32000 -32.5 -26.5 070 9 5 7.1 3.9 | -32.3 -26.1 020 9 4 7.5 4.1
30000 -27.7 -17.9 040 10 5 8.1 4.5 | -27.2 -17.0 020 12 6 8.6 4.7
29000 -25.3 -13.5 030 11 6 8.1 4.5 | -24.6 -12.3 025 13 7 8.6 4.7
28000 -23.0 -9.4 025 12 6 7.0 3.8 | -22.2 -8.0 025 14 7 6.7 3.7
27000 -20.9 -5.6 035 12 6 7.1 3.9 | -20.2 -4.4 035 15 8 6.9 3.8
26000 -18.8 -1.8 045 13 7 7.2 3.9 | -18.1 -0.6 045 16 8 7.0 3.8
25000 -16.7 1.9 050 14 7 6.6 3.6 | -16.1 3.0 050 17 9 6.7 3.7
24000 -14.8 5.4 050 13 6 5.9 3.3 | -14.2 6.4 060 14 7 6.4 3.5
23000 -13.0 8.6 050 11 6 6.0 3.3 | -12.4 9.7 070 11 6 6.4 3.5
22000 -11.2 11.8 050 10 5 6.0 3.3 | -10.5 13.1 085 9 5 6.1 3.3
21000 -9.4 15.1 050 8 4 6.0 3.3 | -8.7 16.3 075 7 4 5.8 3.2
20000 -7.6 18.3 055 6 3 6.0 3.3 | -7.0 19.4 055 5 3 5.8 3.2
19500 -6.8 19.8 060 5 2 6.4 3.5 | -6.1 21.0 040 5 2 6.1 3.3
19000 -6.3 20.7 070 3 2 0.6 0.3 | -5.5 22.1 020 5 2 2.5 1.4
18500 -6.3 20.7 115 2 1 1.8 1.0 | -5.2 22.6 355 5 3 3.3 1.8
18000 -6.2 20.8 180 2 1 5.3 2.9 | -4.9 23.2 340 7 3 5.3 2.9
17500 -5.0 23.0 190 3 2 8.2 4.5 | -3.9 25.0 335 6 3 7.4 4.1
17000 -3.2 26.2 195 4 2 8.8 4.8 | -2.3 27.9 330 5 3 7.7 4.2
16500 -1.9 28.6 195 4 2 9.1 5.0 | -1.2 29.8 325 3 2 7.7 4.2
16000 -0.6 30.9 195 5 2 9.1 5.0 | -0.2 31.6 310 1 1 7.8 4.3
15500 0.8 33.4 190 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 1.1 34.0 185 1 0 9.2 5.0
15000 2.2 36.0 190 5 3 9.4 5.1 | 2.4 36.3 165 2 1 9.0 5.0
14500 3.6 38.5 190 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 3.8 38.8 160 4 2 9.3 5.1
14000 5.0 41.0 185 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 5.2 41.4 155 5 2 9.3 5.1
13500 6.4 43.5 185 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 6.6 43.9 155 6 3 9.7 5.3
13000 7.8 46.0 185 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 8.0 46.4 155 7 3 9.9 5.4
12500 9.2 48.6 185 6 3 9.2 5.0 | 9.5 49.1 150 7 4 9.6 5.2
12000 10.6 51.1 180 6 3 9.1 5.0 | 10.9 51.6 150 8 4 9.3 5.1
11500 11.9 53.4 180 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 12.3 54.1 150 9 5 10.4 5.7
11000 13.4 56.1 175 6 3 9.2 5.0 | 13.8 56.8 150 10 5 9.3 5.1
10500 14.9 58.8 175 6 3 8.4 4.6 | 15.3 59.5 150 10 5 8.5 4.6
10250 15.5 59.9 170 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 15.8 60.4 150 11 6 8.7 4.8
10000 16.2 61.2 170 6 3 10.6 5.8 | 16.6 61.9 150 11 6 10.4 5.7
9750 17.0 62.6 170 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 17.3 63.1 150 12 6 9.9 5.4
9500 17.7 63.9 165 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 18.1 64.6 150 12 6 10.1 5.5
9250 18.5 65.3 165 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 18.8 65.8 150 12 6 10.0 5.5
9000 19.3 66.7 165 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 19.6 67.3 150 13 7 9.7 5.3
8750 20.0 68.0 160 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 20.3 68.5 150 13 7 9.5 5.2
8500 20.7 69.3 160 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 21.0 69.8 150 14 7 9.5 5.2
8250 21.4 70.5 160 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 21.7 71.1 150 14 7 9.4 5.1
8000 22.1 71.8 155 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 22.4 72.3 150 14 7 9.6 5.2
7750 22.9 73.2 155 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 23.1 73.6 150 15 8 9.9 5.4
7500 23.7 74.7 155 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 23.9 75.0 150 15 8 9.9 5.4
7250 24.4 75.9 155 6 3 10.6 5.8 | 24.6 76.3 150 15 8 9.9 5.4
7000 25.2 77.4 150 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 25.3 77.5 150 15 8 9.8 5.4
6750 26.0 78.8 150 6 3 12.9 7.1 | 26.1 79.0 150 15 8 11.2 6.2
6500 27.3 81.1 150 5 3 23.0 12.6 | 27.1 80.8 150 15 8 16.1 8.8
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Thursday July 16 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, July 16, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 76.3 F/24.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1235 ft/min (6.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17453 ft MSL (11766 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 88.0 F/31.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14530 ft MSL (8843 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 07/17....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:04:45 / 20:20:31 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 15 min 46 sec (855 min 46 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:12:38 MDT... 75.95 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/16/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15098 ft MSL (9411 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13505 ft MSL (7818 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15161 ft MSL (9474 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.1
K index......................... +26.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.2 -83.6 060 18 9 3.7 2.0 80.9 177.6 29.4 M M
45000 -57.1 -70.8 050 22 11 6.6 3.6 69.3 156.8 24.1 M M
40000 -46.9 -52.4 030 25 13 5.9 3.2 61.8 143.2 20.7 M M
38000 -43.4 -46.1 025 25 13 5.9 3.2 58.2 136.8 18.8 M M
36000 -39.9 -39.8 015 25 13 6.4 3.5 55.3 131.6 17.2 M M
34000 -35.8 -32.4 020 24 12 6.9 3.8 52.6 126.7 15.6 M M
32000 -31.7 -25.1 030 23 12 6.9 3.8 50.5 122.9 14.4 M M
30000 -27.0 -16.6 030 19 10 7.9 4.3 48.8 119.8 13.4 M M
29000 -24.6 -12.3 035 16 8 7.9 4.3 48.1 118.6 13.1 M M
28000 -22.3 -8.1 040 14 7 7.3 4.0 47.5 117.5 12.8 M M
27000 -19.6 -3.3 050 13 7 7.1 3.9 46.1 115.0 11.8 M M
26000 -17.5 0.5 055 13 7 7.2 3.9 45.2 113.3 11.2 M M
25000 -15.4 4.3 065 13 6 6.7 3.7 44.3 111.8 10.6 M M
24000 -13.5 7.7 070 10 5 6.3 3.5 43.0 109.3 9.6 M M
23000 -11.5 11.3 075 8 4 6.4 3.5 41.7 107.1 8.7 M M
22000 -9.6 14.7 085 6 3 5.6 3.1 40.6 105.1 7.9 M M
21000 -8.1 17.4 095 4 2 5.1 2.8 38.9 101.9 6.5 M M
20000 -6.5 20.3 110 3 2 5.1 2.8 37.2 99.0 5.2 M M
19500 -5.8 21.6 120 3 2 5.0 2.7 36.5 97.7 4.6 M M
19000 -5.4 22.3 120 3 2 1.4 0.8 35.3 95.5 3.5 M M
18500 -5.2 22.6 115 3 2 1.9 1.0 33.9 93.1 2.3 M M
18000 -4.9 23.2 105 3 2 3.3 1.8 32.6 90.8 1.1 M M
17500 -4.4 24.1 105 4 2 4.3 2.4 31.7 89.0 0.1 M M
17000 -3.9 25.0 100 5 2 4.7 2.6 30.8 87.4 -0.8 1009 5.1
16500 -3.1 26.4 105 5 2 7.0 3.8 30.1 86.3 -1.5 970 4.9
16000 -2.1 28.2 115 5 2 6.7 3.7 29.6 85.4 -2.0 927 4.7
15500 -1.1 30.0 125 4 2 8.3 4.6 29.2 84.6 -2.5 881 4.5
15000 0.1 32.2 150 2 1 8.5 4.7 29.0 84.3 -2.7 830 4.2
14500 1.3 34.3 220 2 1 8.3 4.6 28.9 83.9 -3.0 778 4.0
14000 2.5 36.5 245 4 2 8.1 4.4 28.6 83.4 -3.3 729 3.7
13500 3.6 38.5 250 6 3 8.0 4.4 28.3 82.9 -3.7 680 3.5
13000 4.7 40.5 250 7 4 7.7 4.2 28.0 82.3 -4.0 632 3.2
12500 5.8 42.4 245 8 4 7.8 4.3 27.6 81.8 -4.4 584 3.0
12000 7.0 44.6 240 8 4 8.3 4.6 27.4 81.3 -4.7 535 2.7
11500 8.2 46.8 235 9 4 8.3 4.5 27.1 80.8 -5.0 484 2.5
11000 9.4 48.9 235 8 4 8.3 4.5 26.9 80.4 -5.3 432 2.2
10500 10.7 51.3 230 8 4 8.3 4.6 26.7 80.0 -5.5 380 1.9
10250 11.2 52.2 225 8 4 7.6 4.2 26.6 79.8 -5.7 355 1.8
10000 11.8 53.2 225 7 3 7.2 4.0 26.4 79.4 -5.9 332 1.7
9750 12.8 55.0 215 5 3 8.4 4.6 26.0 78.7 -6.3 285 1.4
9500 13.5 56.3 210 5 2 8.2 4.5 25.9 78.6 -6.4 258 1.3
9250 14.0 57.2 205 4 2 6.5 3.5 25.7 78.2 -6.6 236 1.2
9000 14.5 58.1 190 3 2 7.1 3.9 25.5 77.8 -6.9 213 1.1
8750 15.0 59.0 170 3 1 6.2 3.4 25.2 77.4 -7.1 191 1.0
8500 15.4 59.7 150 2 1 5.2 2.9 24.9 76.9 -7.5 172 0.9
8250 15.8 60.4 125 2 1 5.5 3.0 24.6 76.2 -7.8 153 0.8
8000 16.2 61.2 110 3 1 5.8 3.2 24.3 75.7 -8.2 134 0.7
7750 16.6 61.9 095 3 2 5.6 3.1 24.0 75.1 -8.5 115 0.6
7500 17.0 62.6 085 3 2 5.3 2.9 23.6 74.5 -8.9 95 0.5
7250 17.3 63.1 080 4 2 4.8 2.7 23.3 73.9 -9.3 77 0.4
7000 17.6 63.7 075 4 2 4.6 2.5 22.9 73.2 -9.7 60 0.3
6750 18.0 64.4 075 5 2 4.9 2.7 22.5 72.5 -10.1 43 0.2
6500 18.3 64.9 075 4 2 5.0 2.8 22.2 71.9 -10.5 24 0.1
6250 18.7 65.7 075 4 2 4.7 2.6 21.8 71.2 -10.9 6 0.0
6000 18.8 65.8 075 4 2 -1.4 -0.8 21.3 70.3 -11.5 M M
5750 17.8 64.0 080 4 2 -32.4 -17.8 19.5 67.1 -13.3 18 0.1
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/16/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/16/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +31.8 LI... +0.8 | CAPE... +109.1 LI... -0.5
CINH... -50.2 K Index... +24.3 | CINH... -14.9 K Index... +26.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 060 18 9 4.6 2.5 | -63.7 -82.7 065 21 11 4.2 2.3
45000 -56.2 -69.2 050 23 12 6.0 3.3 | -55.9 -68.6 050 23 12 6.0 3.3
40000 -47.1 -52.8 040 26 14 6.2 3.4 | -46.9 -52.4 045 22 12 6.2 3.4
38000 -43.4 -46.1 035 25 13 6.2 3.4 | -43.2 -45.8 040 21 11 6.2 3.4
36000 -39.6 -39.3 030 24 12 6.3 3.5 | -39.5 -39.1 035 21 11 6.1 3.3
34000 -35.8 -32.4 035 21 11 6.5 3.5 | -35.7 -32.3 035 17 9 5.6 3.1
32000 -31.9 -25.4 040 19 10 6.6 3.6 | -32.4 -26.3 030 13 7 6.4 3.5
30000 -27.4 -17.3 040 15 8 7.6 4.2 | -27.6 -17.7 040 13 7 8.1 4.4
29000 -25.1 -13.2 035 13 7 7.6 4.2 | -25.2 -13.4 045 13 7 8.1 4.4
28000 -22.8 -9.0 035 11 6 7.2 3.9 | -22.8 -9.0 045 13 7 7.3 4.0
27000 -20.2 -4.4 035 10 5 7.1 3.9 | -20.6 -5.1 045 13 6 7.4 4.1
26000 -18.1 -0.6 035 10 5 7.2 3.9 | -18.5 -1.3 040 12 6 7.4 4.1
25000 -16.0 3.2 035 9 5 6.9 3.8 | -16.3 2.7 035 12 6 7.2 4.0
24000 -13.9 7.0 035 7 4 6.7 3.7 | -14.2 6.4 035 10 5 6.6 3.6
23000 -11.9 10.6 030 5 3 6.8 3.7 | -12.2 10.0 045 8 4 6.6 3.6
22000 -9.8 14.4 020 3 2 6.1 3.4 | -9.8 14.4 055 6 3 5.5 3.0
21000 -8.1 17.4 050 2 1 5.8 3.2 | -8.2 17.2 075 4 2 5.4 2.9
20000 -6.3 20.7 100 2 1 5.8 3.2 | -6.6 20.1 125 3 1 5.3 2.9
19500 -5.4 22.3 120 3 1 5.6 3.1 | -5.8 21.6 150 4 2 5.0 2.7
19000 -4.7 23.5 110 3 1 4.3 2.3 | -5.2 22.6 150 3 2 4.2 2.3
18500 -4.1 24.6 095 3 1 4.4 2.4 | -4.6 23.7 140 2 1 4.2 2.3
18000 -3.5 25.7 075 3 1 3.7 2.0 | -4.0 24.8 120 2 1 4.3 2.3
17500 -3.0 26.6 065 3 1 3.6 2.0 | -3.4 25.9 090 2 1 4.5 2.5
17000 -2.6 27.3 060 3 2 3.9 2.1 | -2.9 26.8 075 3 1 5.0 2.8
16500 -2.0 28.4 070 3 2 4.9 2.7 | -2.1 28.2 085 3 1 5.9 3.2
16000 -1.4 29.5 085 4 2 4.8 2.6 | -1.3 29.7 095 3 2 5.9 3.2
15500 -0.7 30.7 095 4 2 7.0 3.8 | -0.5 31.1 105 4 2 7.1 3.9
15000 0.3 32.5 105 4 2 7.1 3.9 | 0.5 32.9 120 4 2 7.0 3.9
14500 1.3 34.3 115 5 2 7.9 4.3 | 1.5 34.7 130 4 2 7.8 4.3
14000 2.5 36.5 120 4 2 8.3 4.6 | 2.6 36.7 140 5 2 8.1 4.4
13500 3.7 38.7 130 4 2 8.1 4.4 | 3.8 38.8 145 5 3 8.3 4.5
13000 4.7 40.5 150 4 2 7.4 4.1 | 5.0 41.0 150 5 3 8.5 4.6
12500 5.8 42.4 170 4 2 7.6 4.2 | 6.2 43.2 160 5 3 8.6 4.7
12000 6.9 44.4 180 5 3 8.2 4.5 | 7.4 45.3 165 5 3 8.8 4.8
11500 8.1 46.6 190 7 3 8.1 4.5 | 8.7 47.7 170 6 3 8.9 4.9
11000 9.3 48.7 195 7 4 7.8 4.3 | 10.0 50.0 180 5 3 9.1 5.0
10500 10.4 50.7 195 8 4 8.1 4.5 | 11.4 52.5 185 5 3 9.7 5.3
10250 11.0 51.8 195 8 4 7.7 4.2 | 12.1 53.8 190 5 3 9.3 5.1
10000 11.6 52.9 195 8 4 7.0 3.8 | 12.8 55.0 190 5 3 9.0 4.9
9750 12.6 54.7 190 7 4 6.2 3.4 | 13.4 56.1 195 5 3 8.9 4.9
9500 13.0 55.4 190 6 3 5.9 3.2 | 14.1 57.4 200 5 3 9.7 5.3
9250 13.5 56.3 185 6 3 6.8 3.7 | 14.9 58.8 200 6 3 10.2 5.6
9000 13.9 57.0 185 5 3 6.8 3.7 | 15.6 60.1 205 6 3 9.5 5.2
8750 14.4 57.9 185 4 2 6.0 3.3 | 16.3 61.3 210 6 3 10.2 5.6
8500 14.8 58.6 185 3 2 5.8 3.2 | 17.0 62.6 210 6 3 8.2 4.5
8250 15.3 59.5 180 2 1 7.1 3.9 | 18.4 65.1 215 6 3 11.0 6.0
8000 15.8 60.4 175 1 1 6.9 3.8 | 19.1 66.4 215 6 3 10.8 5.9
7750 16.3 61.3 155 1 0 7.7 4.2 | 19.9 67.8 220 6 3 9.7 5.3
7500 16.9 62.4 000 0 0 8.8 4.8 | 20.6 69.1 220 6 3 9.0 4.9
7250 17.6 63.7 000 0 0 9.6 5.3 | 21.3 70.3 220 6 3 10.7 5.9
7000 18.3 64.9 005 1 0 10.2 5.6 | 22.1 71.8 225 6 3 11.2 6.1
6750 19.0 66.2 360 1 0 9.7 5.3 | 23.0 73.4 225 6 3 10.5 5.8
6500 19.8 67.6 350 1 0 9.7 5.3 | 23.7 74.7 225 6 3 10.5 5.8
6250 20.5 68.9 345 1 0 9.5 5.2 | 24.5 76.1 225 6 3 10.1 5.5
6000 21.3 70.3 345 1 1 12.8 7.0 | 25.4 77.7 230 6 3 16.0 8.8
5750 22.9 73.2 335 1 1 34.8 19.1 | 27.8 82.0 230 6 3 58.7 32.2
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/16/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/16/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +67.8 LI... -0.4 | CAPE... +52.3 LI... -2.1
CINH... -8.1 K Index... +30.6 | CINH... -3.3 K Index... +28.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.0 -83.2 060 19 10 4.2 2.3 | -64.3 -83.7 060 17 9 3.8 2.1
45000 -56.2 -69.2 040 22 11 6.2 3.4 | -56.7 -70.1 040 21 11 6.4 3.5
40000 -47.0 -52.6 030 21 11 5.8 3.2 | -47.2 -53.0 020 25 13 6.1 3.4
38000 -43.5 -46.3 030 20 10 5.8 3.2 | -43.5 -46.3 020 26 13 6.1 3.4
36000 -40.0 -40.0 025 19 10 5.9 3.2 | -39.9 -39.8 020 26 14 6.1 3.3
34000 -35.9 -32.6 035 12 6 6.1 3.3 | -35.8 -32.4 010 18 9 6.0 3.3
32000 -32.3 -26.1 060 6 3 6.8 3.7 | -32.2 -26.0 355 11 5 7.1 3.9
30000 -27.5 -17.5 055 8 4 8.2 4.5 | -27.1 -16.8 005 9 5 8.6 4.7
29000 -25.0 -13.0 055 9 5 8.2 4.5 | -24.6 -12.3 010 9 4 8.6 4.7
28000 -22.7 -8.9 055 11 5 6.5 3.6 | -22.1 -7.8 020 9 4 6.9 3.8
27000 -20.7 -5.3 050 11 6 6.7 3.7 | -20.0 -4.0 035 10 5 7.1 3.9
26000 -18.8 -1.8 050 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -17.9 -0.2 050 11 6 7.1 3.9
25000 -16.8 1.8 045 13 7 6.6 3.6 | -15.9 3.4 055 13 7 6.9 3.8
24000 -14.9 5.2 050 11 6 6.4 3.5 | -13.9 7.0 060 12 6 6.5 3.5
23000 -12.9 8.8 050 9 5 6.4 3.5 | -12.0 10.4 060 10 5 6.5 3.5
22000 -11.0 12.2 055 8 4 6.3 3.5 | -10.0 14.0 065 9 5 5.3 2.9
21000 -8.7 16.3 065 5 3 6.2 3.4 | -9.1 15.6 080 7 4 3.2 1.7
20000 -6.9 19.6 075 3 1 6.1 3.4 | -8.1 17.4 105 6 3 3.6 2.0
19500 -6.1 21.0 090 2 1 4.9 2.7 | -7.7 18.1 120 5 3 5.0 2.7
19000 -5.7 21.7 110 2 1 2.8 1.5 | -6.7 19.9 140 6 3 7.2 3.9
18500 -5.4 22.3 120 2 1 2.8 1.5 | -5.7 21.7 150 6 3 7.2 3.9
18000 -4.9 23.2 140 3 2 6.4 3.5 | -4.6 23.7 160 7 4 7.9 4.3
17500 -4.0 24.8 160 4 2 6.6 3.6 | -3.5 25.7 170 7 4 8.0 4.4
17000 -3.1 26.4 170 4 2 7.1 3.9 | -2.4 27.7 175 7 4 8.2 4.5
16500 -2.0 28.4 180 5 3 7.7 4.2 | -1.1 30.0 175 7 4 8.7 4.8
16000 -0.9 30.4 185 5 3 7.7 4.2 | 0.2 32.4 175 7 4 8.6 4.7
15500 0.3 32.5 190 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 1.5 34.7 175 7 4 9.6 5.3
15000 1.6 34.9 190 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 2.9 37.2 175 7 4 9.5 5.2
14500 2.9 37.2 190 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 4.4 39.9 175 7 4 9.5 5.2
14000 4.3 39.7 195 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 5.8 42.4 170 7 4 9.5 5.2
13500 5.7 42.3 195 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 7.2 45.0 170 7 3 9.5 5.2
13000 7.1 44.8 195 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 8.6 47.5 165 7 3 9.6 5.2
12500 8.5 47.3 200 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 10.0 50.0 160 6 3 9.6 5.2
12000 9.9 49.8 200 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 11.4 52.5 160 6 3 9.5 5.2
11500 11.3 52.3 200 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 12.9 55.2 155 6 3 9.4 5.2
11000 12.6 54.7 200 6 3 8.7 4.8 | 14.2 57.6 155 6 3 8.7 4.8
10500 14.0 57.2 195 6 3 10.3 5.6 | 15.7 60.3 150 6 3 10.9 6.0
10250 14.8 58.6 195 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 16.4 61.5 150 6 3 9.9 5.4
10000 15.5 59.9 195 5 3 9.3 5.1 | 17.1 62.8 145 6 3 9.2 5.0
9750 16.2 61.2 195 5 3 9.4 5.1 | 17.8 64.0 145 6 3 9.2 5.0
9500 16.9 62.4 190 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 18.5 65.3 145 6 3 9.8 5.4
9250 17.6 63.7 190 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 19.3 66.7 140 6 3 10.2 5.6
9000 18.3 64.9 190 5 2 9.5 5.2 | 20.0 68.0 140 6 3 9.5 5.2
8750 19.0 66.2 185 5 2 9.8 5.4 | 20.7 69.3 140 6 3 10.2 5.6
8500 19.7 67.5 185 5 2 8.7 4.8 | 21.4 70.5 135 6 3 7.9 4.3
8250 20.3 68.5 185 5 2 9.1 5.0 | 22.0 71.6 135 6 3 8.4 4.6
8000 21.1 70.0 180 5 2 10.4 5.7 | 22.7 72.9 135 6 3 10.9 6.0
7750 22.6 72.7 175 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 23.5 74.3 135 6 3 10.5 5.8
7500 23.3 73.9 170 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 24.3 75.7 130 6 3 9.5 5.2
7250 24.0 75.2 170 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 24.9 76.8 130 5 3 8.6 4.7
7000 24.7 76.5 165 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 25.6 78.1 130 5 3 10.1 5.5
6750 25.4 77.7 155 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 27.2 81.0 125 5 3 10.0 5.5
6500 26.2 79.2 155 4 2 10.9 6.0 | 27.9 82.2 125 5 3 9.6 5.3
6250 26.9 80.4 155 4 2 9.1 5.0 | 28.6 83.5 125 5 2 9.6 5.3
6000 27.6 81.7 150 3 2 12.4 6.8 | 29.4 84.9 120 4 2 12.7 7.0
5750 29.6 85.3 140 3 2 50.9 27.9 | 31.0 87.8 120 4 2 34.0 18.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0722 MDT Thursday July 16 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, July 16, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 72.6 F/22.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 970 ft/min (4.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17564 ft MSL (11109 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 85.0 F/29.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15226 ft MSL (8770 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 07/17....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:01:12 / 20:19:50 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 18 min 38 sec (858 min 38 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:31 MDT... 75.47 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/16/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15181 ft MSL (8726 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13262 ft MSL (6807 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15288 ft MSL (8833 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.9
K index......................... +24.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.2 -83.6 060 20 10 4.4 2.4 78.2 172.7 29.0 M M
45000 -56.5 -69.7 050 22 11 6.5 3.5 67.6 153.7 24.3 M M
40000 -46.5 -51.7 040 25 13 5.8 3.2 59.8 139.7 20.7 M M
38000 -43.0 -45.4 035 25 13 5.8 3.2 56.2 133.2 18.7 M M
36000 -39.6 -39.3 030 25 13 6.1 3.3 53.3 128.0 17.1 M M
34000 -35.8 -32.4 025 23 12 6.4 3.5 50.2 122.3 15.2 M M
32000 -32.0 -25.6 025 22 11 6.5 3.5 47.7 117.9 13.7 M M
30000 -27.3 -17.1 030 17 9 7.9 4.3 46.0 114.8 12.7 M M
29000 -25.0 -13.0 040 14 7 7.9 4.3 45.3 113.6 12.3 M M
28000 -22.1 -7.8 050 12 6 7.1 3.9 44.4 112.0 11.8 M M
27000 -19.9 -3.8 055 11 6 7.2 3.9 43.3 110.0 11.0 M M
26000 -17.8 -0.0 065 11 6 7.2 4.0 42.4 108.3 10.4 M M
25000 -15.7 3.7 070 11 6 6.9 3.8 41.6 106.9 9.8 M M
24000 -13.7 7.3 070 9 4 6.7 3.7 40.4 104.7 8.9 M M
23000 -11.6 11.1 075 6 3 6.7 3.7 39.3 102.7 8.1 M M
22000 -9.6 14.7 075 4 2 5.8 3.2 38.3 100.9 7.4 M M
21000 -8.0 17.6 110 2 1 5.2 2.8 36.6 97.9 6.0 M M
20000 -6.5 20.3 170 2 1 5.2 2.8 35.0 95.0 4.8 M M
19500 -5.7 21.7 190 3 2 5.2 2.9 34.3 93.7 4.1 M M
19000 -5.2 22.6 190 4 2 2.1 1.1 33.2 91.8 3.2 M M
18500 -4.9 23.2 180 4 2 2.4 1.3 31.9 89.5 2.1 M M
18000 -4.6 23.7 175 4 2 3.3 1.8 30.7 87.3 1.0 M M
17500 -4.1 24.6 140 3 2 4.2 2.3 29.7 85.5 -0.1 969 4.9
17000 -3.6 25.5 105 3 2 4.7 2.6 28.8 83.9 -1.0 939 4.8
16500 -2.8 27.0 080 4 2 7.4 4.1 28.2 82.8 -1.7 901 4.6
16000 -1.8 28.8 060 4 2 7.3 4.0 27.8 82.1 -2.2 857 4.4
15500 -0.8 30.6 050 4 2 7.3 4.0 27.4 81.3 -2.7 812 4.1
15000 0.2 32.4 040 3 2 7.3 4.0 27.0 80.6 -3.1 766 3.9
14500 1.3 34.3 015 2 1 7.4 4.0 26.6 79.9 -3.6 720 3.7
14000 2.3 36.1 310 2 1 7.5 4.1 26.2 79.2 -4.0 672 3.4
13500 3.4 38.1 270 3 2 7.6 4.2 25.8 78.5 -4.4 625 3.2
13000 4.6 40.3 260 4 2 8.0 4.4 25.5 78.0 -4.7 576 2.9
12500 5.7 42.3 255 5 3 8.0 4.4 25.3 77.5 -5.0 527 2.7
12000 6.9 44.4 250 5 3 8.2 4.5 25.0 77.0 -5.3 477 2.4
11500 8.7 47.7 245 5 2 7.7 4.2 24.6 76.3 -5.8 402 2.0
11000 9.7 49.5 235 4 2 7.5 4.1 24.3 75.7 -6.2 355 1.8
10500 10.8 51.4 215 3 2 5.8 3.2 23.9 75.0 -6.6 308 1.6
10250 11.1 52.0 200 3 2 5.1 2.8 23.5 74.3 -7.1 291 1.5
10000 11.5 52.7 185 3 2 6.1 3.3 23.2 73.8 -7.4 271 1.4
9750 12.0 53.6 170 4 2 5.9 3.2 22.9 73.2 -7.7 251 1.3
9500 12.4 54.3 160 4 2 5.1 2.8 22.6 72.7 -8.1 232 1.2
9250 12.7 54.9 155 5 3 5.4 3.0 22.2 72.0 -8.5 215 1.1
9000 13.1 55.6 150 5 3 6.3 3.5 21.9 71.5 -8.8 195 1.0
8750 13.5 56.3 145 5 3 6.1 3.3 21.7 71.0 -9.2 175 0.9
8500 13.9 57.0 140 6 3 6.0 3.3 21.4 70.5 -9.5 155 0.8
8250 14.4 57.9 135 6 3 5.9 3.2 21.1 70.0 -9.8 135 0.7
8000 14.8 58.6 135 6 3 5.8 3.2 20.8 69.4 -10.2 115 0.6
7750 15.2 59.4 130 6 3 5.8 3.2 20.5 68.9 -10.5 95 0.5
7500 15.6 60.1 130 6 3 5.9 3.3 20.2 68.4 -10.8 75 0.4
7250 16.1 61.0 125 6 3 5.9 3.2 19.9 67.8 -11.1 54 0.3
7000 16.5 61.7 120 5 3 5.6 3.1 19.6 67.3 -11.5 34 0.2
6750 16.7 62.1 120 5 3 -1.1 -0.6 19.1 66.4 -12.0 20 0.1
6500 15.7 60.3 115 4 2 -33.2 -18.2 17.4 63.2 -13.8 44 0.2
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/16/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/16/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +37.5 LI... +0.5 | CAPE... +116.6 LI... 0.0
CINH... -50.8 K Index... +20.4 | CINH... -23.8 K Index... +26.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.3 -83.7 060 21 11 3.9 2.2 | -64.2 -83.6 060 23 12 4.8 2.6
45000 -56.4 -69.5 050 24 12 6.5 3.6 | -55.9 -68.6 050 23 12 6.0 3.3
40000 -46.6 -51.9 040 25 13 6.4 3.5 | -46.8 -52.2 040 20 10 6.5 3.6
38000 -42.8 -45.0 040 24 12 6.4 3.5 | -42.9 -45.2 040 19 10 6.5 3.6
36000 -38.9 -38.0 035 24 12 5.9 3.3 | -39.0 -38.2 040 19 10 5.8 3.2
34000 -35.6 -32.1 040 21 11 5.5 3.0 | -36.0 -32.8 055 14 7 4.9 2.7
32000 -32.4 -26.3 040 18 9 5.5 3.0 | -33.1 -27.6 075 11 6 4.7 2.6
30000 -27.8 -18.0 040 14 7 8.0 4.4 | -28.2 -18.8 070 10 5 8.6 4.7
29000 -24.8 -12.6 045 11 6 7.9 4.4 | -25.0 -13.0 060 10 5 8.6 4.7
28000 -22.5 -8.5 045 10 5 7.4 4.0 | -22.5 -8.5 055 10 5 7.5 4.1
27000 -20.3 -4.5 045 10 5 7.4 4.1 | -20.3 -4.5 045 11 6 7.5 4.1
26000 -18.1 -0.6 045 9 5 7.4 4.1 | -18.0 -0.4 040 12 6 7.6 4.1
25000 -15.9 3.4 045 9 5 6.9 3.8 | -15.8 3.6 035 13 7 6.8 3.7
24000 -13.9 7.0 050 8 4 6.6 3.6 | -13.9 7.0 040 11 6 6.3 3.5
23000 -11.9 10.6 050 6 3 6.6 3.6 | -12.0 10.4 045 9 5 6.3 3.5
22000 -9.9 14.2 055 5 3 6.0 3.3 | -10.1 13.8 050 8 4 6.2 3.4
21000 -8.2 17.2 065 3 1 5.7 3.1 | -8.2 17.2 055 6 3 6.1 3.4
20000 -6.5 20.3 125 1 0 5.7 3.1 | -6.4 20.5 065 4 2 6.1 3.3
19500 -5.6 21.9 185 1 1 5.6 3.1 | -5.5 22.1 080 3 1 5.9 3.2
19000 -4.9 23.2 200 1 1 4.4 2.4 | -4.9 23.2 080 3 1 3.2 1.7
18500 -4.2 24.4 215 1 1 4.5 2.5 | -4.4 24.1 070 3 2 3.4 1.9
18000 -3.6 25.5 230 1 0 3.8 2.1 | -3.9 25.0 070 4 2 3.1 1.7
17500 -3.2 26.2 000 0 0 3.6 2.0 | -3.6 25.5 065 4 2 3.2 1.7
17000 -2.7 27.1 065 1 1 3.9 2.2 | -3.2 26.2 065 5 3 3.7 2.0
16500 -2.1 28.2 070 2 1 5.6 3.1 | -2.6 27.3 070 4 2 6.0 3.3
16000 -1.4 29.5 070 3 2 5.7 3.1 | -1.9 28.6 085 4 2 5.8 3.2
15500 -0.6 30.9 070 4 2 7.3 4.0 | -1.0 30.2 100 3 2 8.0 4.4
15000 0.4 32.7 070 4 2 7.5 4.1 | 0.1 32.2 120 3 2 8.2 4.5
14500 1.5 34.7 070 4 2 7.8 4.3 | 1.3 34.3 135 3 2 8.2 4.5
14000 2.7 36.9 075 3 1 8.0 4.4 | 2.5 36.5 150 4 2 8.3 4.5
13500 3.8 38.8 075 1 1 8.1 4.4 | 3.7 38.7 160 4 2 8.5 4.7
13000 5.0 41.0 000 0 0 8.3 4.5 | 5.0 41.0 165 4 2 9.2 5.0
12500 6.3 43.3 245 1 1 8.3 4.5 | 6.3 43.3 175 5 2 9.2 5.0
12000 7.5 45.5 240 2 1 8.1 4.4 | 7.7 45.9 175 5 3 9.4 5.2
11500 9.2 48.6 235 2 1 8.1 4.4 | 9.8 49.6 185 6 3 9.6 5.3
11000 10.4 50.7 225 2 1 7.8 4.3 | 11.2 52.2 185 6 3 9.6 5.3
10500 11.5 52.7 195 1 1 6.7 3.7 | 12.6 54.7 190 6 3 9.4 5.2
10250 11.9 53.4 170 1 1 5.8 3.2 | 13.4 56.1 190 6 3 9.7 5.3
10000 12.3 54.1 150 2 1 6.1 3.3 | 14.1 57.4 195 6 3 9.8 5.4
9750 12.7 54.9 140 2 1 5.9 3.3 | 14.8 58.6 195 7 3 9.7 5.3
9500 13.1 55.6 135 3 1 4.6 2.5 | 15.5 59.9 195 7 3 9.6 5.2
9250 13.4 56.1 130 3 2 4.8 2.6 | 16.2 61.2 200 7 3 9.9 5.4
9000 13.7 56.7 130 3 2 5.6 3.1 | 17.0 62.6 200 7 3 10.3 5.6
8750 14.1 57.4 130 3 2 5.9 3.2 | 17.8 64.0 200 7 4 10.1 5.6
8500 14.6 58.3 130 3 2 6.9 3.8 | 18.5 65.3 200 7 4 9.9 5.4
8250 15.1 59.2 125 3 2 8.0 4.4 | 19.3 66.7 205 7 4 10.1 5.5
8000 15.7 60.3 125 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 20.0 68.0 205 7 4 10.5 5.8
7750 16.4 61.5 130 3 2 10.0 5.5 | 20.8 69.4 205 7 4 10.6 5.8
7500 17.2 63.0 130 3 2 9.9 5.4 | 21.6 70.9 205 7 4 10.6 5.8
7250 17.9 64.2 130 3 2 9.9 5.4 | 22.4 72.3 205 7 4 10.9 6.0
7000 18.6 65.5 130 3 1 10.1 5.5 | 23.2 73.8 210 7 4 9.3 5.1
6750 19.5 67.1 135 3 1 14.5 7.9 | 23.9 75.0 210 7 3 14.8 8.1
6500 21.1 70.0 140 2 1 31.6 17.3 | 26.5 79.7 210 6 3 67.3 36.9
07/16/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/16/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +124.2 LI... -2.0 | CAPE... +73.8 LI... -1.3
CINH... -33.8 K Index... +30.2 | CINH... -72.9 K Index... +27.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.2 -83.6 070 23 12 4.3 2.4 | -64.2 -83.6 075 20 10 4.0 2.2
45000 -56.3 -69.3 050 25 13 6.1 3.3 | -56.4 -69.5 055 22 11 6.3 3.5
40000 -47.1 -52.8 030 20 10 6.2 3.4 | -47.0 -52.6 025 25 13 5.9 3.2
38000 -43.4 -46.1 025 20 10 6.2 3.4 | -43.5 -46.3 025 26 14 5.9 3.2
36000 -39.7 -39.5 025 19 10 6.0 3.3 | -39.9 -39.8 020 28 14 6.1 3.3
34000 -36.2 -33.2 035 12 6 5.7 3.1 | -36.2 -33.2 020 19 10 6.3 3.4
32000 -32.8 -27.0 075 8 4 5.6 3.1 | -32.4 -26.3 010 10 5 6.3 3.4
30000 -28.0 -18.4 060 8 4 8.4 4.6 | -27.6 -17.7 015 9 5 8.3 4.6
29000 -24.8 -12.6 050 9 5 8.4 4.6 | -24.5 -12.1 020 9 5 8.3 4.6
28000 -22.4 -8.3 045 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -22.1 -7.8 025 9 5 7.9 4.3
27000 -20.2 -4.4 045 12 6 7.4 4.1 | -19.7 -3.5 035 10 5 7.9 4.3
26000 -18.1 -0.6 045 13 7 7.5 4.1 | -17.4 0.7 045 11 5 7.9 4.4
25000 -15.9 3.4 045 14 7 6.5 3.6 | -15.1 4.8 055 11 6 6.2 3.4
24000 -14.1 6.6 050 12 6 5.9 3.2 | -13.5 7.7 055 7 4 5.3 2.9
23000 -12.4 9.7 055 9 5 5.9 3.2 | -12.0 10.4 050 3 1 5.3 2.9
22000 -10.6 12.9 060 7 3 5.0 2.8 | -10.5 13.1 250 1 1 5.3 2.9
21000 -9.3 15.3 075 4 2 4.7 2.6 | -8.9 16.0 245 1 1 5.3 2.9
20000 -8.0 17.6 125 2 1 4.7 2.6 | -7.3 18.9 245 2 1 5.3 2.9
19500 -7.3 18.9 160 3 1 4.9 2.7 | -6.6 20.1 245 2 1 5.3 2.9
19000 -6.6 20.1 190 3 2 5.6 3.1 | -5.8 21.6 220 2 1 5.4 2.9
18500 -5.8 21.6 205 5 2 5.6 3.1 | -5.0 23.0 200 4 2 5.4 2.9
18000 -5.0 23.0 215 6 3 7.0 3.8 | -4.3 24.3 195 6 3 6.3 3.5
17500 -4.0 24.8 215 7 3 7.5 4.1 | -3.3 26.1 195 8 4 6.8 3.7
17000 -2.9 26.8 215 7 4 7.6 4.1 | -2.4 27.7 195 10 5 6.9 3.8
16500 -1.8 28.8 215 7 4 7.6 4.2 | -1.3 29.7 195 11 6 8.0 4.4
16000 -0.7 30.7 215 7 4 7.6 4.2 | -0.2 31.6 195 12 6 8.0 4.4
15500 0.5 32.9 215 7 4 8.7 4.8 | 1.0 33.8 200 12 6 8.1 4.5
15000 1.8 35.2 215 7 4 8.7 4.8 | 2.2 36.0 205 12 6 8.2 4.5
14500 3.1 37.6 215 7 4 9.2 5.1 | 3.3 37.9 210 12 6 8.5 4.7
14000 4.5 40.1 210 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 4.7 40.5 210 11 6 8.8 4.8
13500 5.9 42.6 210 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 6.0 42.8 210 11 6 8.9 4.9
13000 7.3 45.1 210 7 3 9.5 5.2 | 7.3 45.1 210 10 5 9.2 5.1
12500 8.7 47.7 205 7 3 9.5 5.2 | 8.7 47.7 210 10 5 9.2 5.0
12000 10.1 50.2 205 7 4 9.3 5.1 | 10.0 50.0 210 9 5 9.0 4.9
11500 11.5 52.7 205 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 11.4 52.5 205 8 4 10.0 5.5
11000 12.9 55.2 200 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 13.5 56.3 190 7 3 9.0 5.0
10500 14.9 58.8 200 8 4 8.4 4.6 | 14.7 58.5 175 6 3 8.1 4.4
10250 15.5 59.9 195 7 4 9.3 5.1 | 15.3 59.5 165 5 3 8.6 4.7
10000 16.2 61.2 190 7 3 9.0 5.0 | 16.0 60.8 150 6 3 8.6 4.7
9750 16.9 62.4 185 6 3 9.1 5.0 | 16.6 61.9 140 6 3 8.8 4.8
9500 17.6 63.7 185 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 17.2 63.0 130 6 3 7.6 4.2
9250 18.2 64.8 190 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 17.7 63.9 120 7 4 7.5 4.1
9000 18.8 65.8 180 7 4 8.5 4.7 | 18.3 64.9 115 8 4 8.4 4.6
8750 19.5 67.1 175 6 3 8.5 4.7 | 18.9 66.0 110 9 4 8.1 4.5
8500 20.1 68.2 170 6 3 8.8 4.9 | 19.6 67.3 105 9 5 9.0 5.0
8250 20.8 69.4 175 7 4 8.4 4.6 | 20.2 68.4 100 10 5 8.2 4.5
8000 21.3 70.3 170 7 4 7.2 4.0 | 20.7 69.3 100 11 6 5.9 3.3
7750 21.8 71.2 165 7 3 7.5 4.1 | 21.1 70.0 095 12 6 5.8 3.2
7500 22.4 72.3 160 7 3 8.6 4.7 | 21.5 70.7 090 12 6 6.4 3.5
7250 23.1 73.6 160 7 4 9.2 5.1 | 22.0 71.6 090 13 7 6.9 3.8
7000 23.7 74.7 160 7 4 7.5 4.1 | 22.5 72.5 085 14 7 4.2 2.3
6750 24.3 75.7 165 7 4 10.7 5.9 | 22.6 72.7 085 13 7 5.0 2.7
6500 26.1 79.0 155 6 3 49.5 27.2 | 24.0 75.2 085 13 6 43.3 23.8
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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