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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 0823 MDT Saturday October 11 2025 This forecast is for Saturday, October 11, 2025: If the trigger temperature of 68.7 F/20.4 C is reached...then Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor Maximum rate of lift........................ 98 ft/min (0.5 m/s) Maximum height of thermals.................. 12357 ft MSL (6031 ft AGL) Forecast maximum temperature................... 72.0 F/22.7 C Time of trigger temperature.................... 1200 MDT Time of overdevelopment........................ 1200 MDT Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less Height of the -3 thermal index................. 8733 ft MSL (2408 ft AGL) Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/12....... Good Remarks... Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:07:08 / 18:34:02 MDT Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 26 min 54 sec (686 min 54 sec) Altitude of sun at 12:50:35 MDT... 47.63 degrees Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/11/2025 at 0600 MDT Freezing level.................. 16188 ft MSL (9862 ft AGL) Convective condensation level... 12946 ft MSL (6620 ft AGL) Lifted condensation level....... 12655 ft MSL (6329 ft AGL) Lifted index.................... +1.6 K index......................... +23.7 Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -70.1 -94.2 265 34 18 4.4 2.4 70.4 158.7 28.5 M M 45000 -61.4 -78.5 260 41 21 7.6 4.2 60.2 140.4 24.2 M M 40000 -49.8 -57.6 265 47 24 8.6 4.7 56.1 133.0 23.0 M M 38000 -44.6 -48.3 260 45 23 8.6 4.7 54.9 130.9 22.8 M M 36000 -39.5 -39.1 260 44 23 8.6 4.7 54.3 129.8 22.9 M M 34000 -35.0 -31.0 255 40 21 7.3 4.0 52.1 125.8 21.9 M M 32000 -30.2 -22.4 250 35 18 7.3 4.0 50.2 122.3 21.0 M M 30000 -26.8 -16.2 245 31 16 5.5 3.0 46.7 116.1 18.8 M M 29000 -25.2 -13.4 240 29 15 5.6 3.1 45.2 113.3 17.7 M M 28000 -23.6 -10.5 240 27 14 6.4 3.5 43.8 110.8 16.8 M M 27000 -21.6 -6.9 240 31 16 6.6 3.6 42.5 108.4 15.9 M M 26000 -19.6 -3.3 240 34 18 6.6 3.6 41.3 106.3 15.2 M M 25000 -17.6 0.3 240 37 19 6.6 3.6 40.2 104.4 14.5 M M 24000 -15.6 3.9 240 37 19 6.7 3.7 39.1 102.3 13.6 M M 23000 -13.7 7.3 240 36 19 6.8 3.7 38.0 100.3 12.8 M M 22000 -11.8 10.8 240 35 18 6.9 3.8 37.0 98.6 12.0 M M 21000 -9.8 14.4 240 35 18 6.7 3.7 35.9 96.6 11.1 M M 20000 -7.9 17.8 240 35 18 6.7 3.7 34.8 94.6 10.2 M M 19500 -6.9 19.6 240 35 18 6.7 3.7 34.3 93.8 9.8 M M 19000 -6.0 21.2 240 34 18 6.5 3.6 33.8 92.9 9.4 M M 18500 -4.6 23.7 240 33 17 6.4 3.5 32.9 91.3 8.7 M M 18000 -3.6 25.5 240 33 17 7.3 4.0 32.4 90.4 8.2 M M 17500 -2.5 27.5 235 32 16 7.7 4.2 32.1 89.7 8.0 M M 17000 -1.3 29.7 235 30 16 7.5 4.1 31.7 89.1 7.7 M M 16500 -0.4 31.3 235 29 15 5.0 2.8 31.1 88.0 7.2 M M 16000 0.4 32.7 235 26 14 5.4 3.0 30.4 86.7 6.6 M M 15500 1.1 34.0 235 24 12 2.3 1.2 29.5 85.0 5.9 M M 15000 1.3 34.3 235 22 11 1.9 1.1 28.2 82.7 4.6 M M 14500 1.5 34.7 235 19 10 2.8 1.6 26.9 80.4 3.4 M M 14000 2.0 35.6 235 19 10 3.8 2.1 25.9 78.6 2.4 M M 13500 2.5 36.5 230 18 9 4.4 2.4 25.0 76.9 1.5 M M 13000 3.2 37.8 225 19 10 6.1 3.3 24.3 75.7 0.8 M M 12500 4.0 39.2 225 20 10 6.2 3.4 23.7 74.6 0.1 M M 12000 5.0 41.0 220 21 11 7.3 4.0 23.2 73.8 -0.4 464 2.4 11500 6.0 42.8 215 22 11 7.3 4.0 22.8 73.1 -0.8 418 2.1 11000 7.1 44.8 215 22 12 7.1 3.9 22.4 72.4 -1.2 372 1.9 10500 8.1 46.6 215 23 12 7.1 3.9 22.0 71.6 -1.6 327 1.7 10250 8.6 47.5 210 24 12 7.2 3.9 21.8 71.3 -1.8 304 1.5 10000 9.2 48.6 210 24 12 7.4 4.0 21.6 70.9 -2.0 280 1.4 9750 9.7 49.5 210 24 13 7.4 4.1 21.4 70.6 -2.2 257 1.3 9500 10.2 50.4 210 25 13 7.4 4.1 21.3 70.3 -2.4 233 1.2 9250 10.8 51.4 210 25 13 7.9 4.3 21.1 70.0 -2.6 209 1.1 9000 11.4 52.5 210 25 13 7.2 4.0 21.0 69.7 -2.7 184 0.9 8750 11.9 53.4 205 24 12 6.4 3.5 20.7 69.3 -3.0 161 0.8 8500 12.4 54.3 205 24 12 6.4 3.5 20.5 68.8 -3.2 138 0.7 8250 12.9 55.2 205 22 11 6.0 3.3 20.2 68.4 -3.4 116 0.6 8000 13.4 56.1 205 20 10 5.7 3.1 19.9 67.8 -3.7 95 0.5 7750 13.8 56.8 200 18 9 5.8 3.2 19.6 67.3 -4.0 74 0.4 7500 14.3 57.7 195 16 8 4.1 2.3 19.3 66.7 -4.3 53 0.3 7250 14.5 58.1 195 14 7 2.2 1.2 18.7 65.7 -4.8 40 0.2 7000 14.6 58.3 190 12 6 2.5 1.4 18.2 64.7 -5.4 27 0.1 6750 14.8 58.6 185 10 5 1.7 0.9 17.6 63.7 -5.9 15 0.1 6500 14.8 58.6 180 8 4 -0.9 -0.5 16.9 62.5 -6.7 7 0.0 6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 10/11/2025 at 0900 MDT | 10/11/2025 at 1200 MDT | CAPE... 0.0 LI... 0.0 | CAPE... +0.2 LI... -0.7 CINH... 0.0 K Index... +29.0 | CINH... -6.5 K Index... +29.4 | Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -70.2 -94.4 255 30 15 4.5 2.5 | -70.3 -94.5 255 35 18 4.8 2.6 45000 -61.4 -78.5 250 40 21 7.6 4.2 | -61.3 -78.3 255 45 23 7.5 4.1 40000 -49.8 -57.6 255 48 25 8.5 4.6 | -49.8 -57.6 245 46 24 8.4 4.6 38000 -44.7 -48.5 255 46 24 8.5 4.6 | -44.7 -48.5 250 47 24 8.4 4.6 36000 -39.6 -39.3 255 45 23 8.5 4.6 | -39.7 -39.5 250 48 25 8.4 4.6 34000 -34.2 -29.6 255 44 23 7.9 4.3 | -34.2 -29.6 250 48 25 8.1 4.5 32000 -29.5 -21.1 260 44 23 7.9 4.3 | -29.3 -20.7 250 48 25 8.1 4.5 30000 -26.4 -15.5 255 39 20 4.9 2.7 | -25.8 -14.4 250 47 24 5.7 3.1 29000 -25.0 -13.0 250 37 19 5.1 2.8 | -24.1 -11.4 250 46 24 5.7 3.1 28000 -23.5 -10.3 245 35 18 6.6 3.6 | -22.4 -8.3 250 45 23 6.2 3.4 27000 -21.4 -6.5 240 36 18 7.1 3.9 | -20.6 -5.1 245 43 22 6.3 3.5 26000 -19.3 -2.7 240 37 19 7.2 3.9 | -18.7 -1.7 245 41 21 6.4 3.5 25000 -17.2 1.0 240 38 20 7.2 4.0 | -16.9 1.6 240 39 20 6.5 3.6 24000 -15.3 4.5 240 38 20 6.2 3.4 | -15.1 4.8 235 38 20 5.9 3.3 23000 -13.5 7.7 235 39 20 6.2 3.4 | -13.4 7.9 235 38 20 6.0 3.3 22000 -11.7 10.9 235 39 20 6.2 3.4 | -11.7 10.9 235 38 19 6.0 3.3 21000 -9.9 14.2 235 37 19 6.2 3.4 | -9.9 14.2 230 37 19 6.1 3.3 20000 -8.1 17.4 235 36 18 6.3 3.4 | -8.2 17.2 230 37 19 6.1 3.4 19500 -7.2 19.0 235 35 18 6.3 3.5 | -7.3 18.9 230 37 19 6.1 3.4 19000 -6.3 20.7 235 34 17 6.0 3.3 | -6.4 20.5 230 36 19 5.8 3.2 18500 -5.1 22.8 235 33 17 5.9 3.2 | -5.3 22.5 230 37 19 5.6 3.1 18000 -4.3 24.3 235 32 17 5.6 3.1 | -4.5 23.9 230 37 19 5.7 3.1 17500 -3.5 25.7 235 32 16 5.4 3.0 | -3.7 25.3 235 37 19 5.7 3.1 17000 -2.7 27.1 235 31 16 5.4 3.0 | -2.9 26.8 235 36 19 5.7 3.1 16500 -1.9 28.6 230 31 16 5.4 3.0 | -2.0 28.4 235 36 19 6.1 3.3 16000 -1.1 30.0 230 30 15 5.3 2.9 | -1.2 29.8 235 35 18 6.0 3.3 15500 -0.3 31.5 230 29 15 6.7 3.7 | -0.3 31.5 235 35 18 6.8 3.7 15000 0.7 33.3 235 28 14 6.9 3.8 | 0.7 33.3 235 34 18 6.9 3.8 14500 1.7 35.1 235 26 14 7.2 4.0 | 1.7 35.1 235 34 17 7.2 3.9 14000 2.8 37.0 235 25 13 7.4 4.1 | 2.8 37.0 235 34 17 7.4 4.1 13500 3.9 39.0 235 23 12 7.1 3.9 | 3.9 39.0 235 33 17 7.2 4.0 13000 4.8 40.6 235 23 12 5.8 3.2 | 4.9 40.8 235 33 17 6.5 3.5 12500 5.6 42.1 230 23 12 5.9 3.2 | 5.8 42.4 235 33 17 6.5 3.6 12000 6.5 43.7 225 24 12 6.6 3.6 | 6.6 43.9 230 33 17 4.9 2.7 11500 7.5 45.5 220 25 13 6.4 3.5 | 7.3 45.1 225 33 17 6.0 3.3 11000 8.3 46.9 215 26 13 5.4 2.9 | 7.8 46.0 220 32 16 1.0 0.6 10500 9.1 48.4 215 27 14 5.4 3.0 | 8.0 46.4 215 30 15 1.2 0.7 10250 9.4 48.9 215 28 14 4.1 2.3 | 8.1 46.6 215 29 15 4.9 2.7 10000 9.7 49.5 210 28 14 4.2 2.3 | 8.7 47.7 215 28 14 7.7 4.2 9750 10.0 50.0 210 28 14 5.2 2.9 | 9.2 48.6 215 27 14 6.5 3.6 9500 10.4 50.7 210 28 14 4.9 2.7 | 9.7 49.5 210 26 13 6.7 3.7 9250 10.8 51.4 210 28 14 6.0 3.3 | 10.2 50.4 210 25 13 9.3 5.1 9000 11.2 52.2 205 28 14 5.6 3.1 | 11.0 51.8 210 24 13 9.8 5.4 8750 11.6 52.9 205 27 14 4.5 2.4 | 11.6 52.9 210 24 12 8.0 4.4 8500 12.0 53.6 205 27 14 4.6 2.5 | 12.3 54.1 210 23 12 8.7 4.8 8250 12.3 54.1 205 25 13 4.1 2.3 | 12.9 55.2 210 23 12 9.5 5.2 8000 12.6 54.7 200 23 12 4.0 2.2 | 13.7 56.7 210 22 11 9.8 5.4 7750 12.9 55.2 200 21 11 2.5 1.4 | 14.3 57.7 210 22 11 9.0 5.0 7500 13.1 55.6 195 18 9 5.0 2.7 | 15.0 59.0 210 21 11 9.2 5.0 7250 13.7 56.7 195 16 8 9.0 4.9 | 15.7 60.3 210 20 11 9.7 5.3 7000 14.4 57.9 190 15 8 8.9 4.9 | 16.5 61.7 210 20 10 9.7 5.3 6750 15.0 59.0 190 14 7 8.6 4.7 | 17.2 63.0 205 19 10 9.9 5.4 6500 15.7 60.3 185 13 7 10.5 5.8 | 18.0 64.4 205 18 9 11.6 6.3 6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M 10/11/2025 at 1500 MDT | 10/11/2025 at 1800 MDT | CAPE... +164.4 LI... -1.5 | CAPE... +9.5 LI... -0.2 CINH... 0.0 K Index... +28.2 | CINH... -31.7 K Index... +27.6 | Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -69.2 -92.6 255 41 21 4.2 2.3 | -69.1 -92.4 250 44 22 3.6 2.0 45000 -61.0 -77.8 255 49 25 7.3 4.0 | -61.5 -78.7 250 52 27 7.4 4.1 40000 -49.8 -57.6 245 51 26 8.2 4.5 | -50.2 -58.4 240 52 27 8.3 4.5 38000 -44.9 -48.8 245 50 26 8.2 4.5 | -45.3 -49.5 240 51 26 8.3 4.5 36000 -40.0 -40.0 245 49 25 8.2 4.5 | -40.3 -40.5 245 51 26 8.2 4.5 34000 -35.0 -31.0 245 51 26 8.4 4.6 | -35.3 -31.5 245 53 27 8.4 4.6 32000 -29.3 -20.7 245 54 28 8.8 4.8 | -29.6 -21.3 245 55 28 8.7 4.8 30000 -26.2 -15.2 245 52 27 4.9 2.7 | -25.8 -14.4 240 52 27 6.1 3.3 29000 -24.7 -12.5 245 51 26 5.0 2.7 | -24.0 -11.2 240 51 26 6.2 3.4 28000 -23.3 -9.9 245 50 26 6.2 3.4 | -22.2 -8.0 240 49 25 6.2 3.4 27000 -21.2 -6.2 245 49 25 6.9 3.8 | -20.4 -4.7 240 47 24 6.1 3.4 26000 -19.2 -2.6 240 48 25 6.9 3.8 | -18.6 -1.5 240 45 23 6.2 3.4 25000 -17.1 1.2 240 47 24 7.0 3.8 | -16.7 1.9 235 43 22 6.2 3.4 24000 -15.2 4.6 240 46 23 6.6 3.6 | -14.9 5.2 235 43 22 6.1 3.4 23000 -13.3 8.1 240 44 23 6.6 3.6 | -13.2 8.2 240 42 22 6.2 3.4 22000 -11.4 11.5 240 43 22 6.8 3.7 | -11.4 11.5 240 42 22 6.2 3.4 21000 -9.7 14.5 240 42 22 5.6 3.1 | -9.6 14.7 240 41 21 6.1 3.3 20000 -8.1 17.4 240 41 21 5.6 3.1 | -7.8 18.0 240 39 20 6.1 3.4 19500 -7.3 18.9 240 41 21 5.6 3.1 | -7.0 19.4 240 39 20 6.1 3.4 19000 -6.4 20.5 240 40 21 5.6 3.1 | -6.1 21.0 240 38 19 5.9 3.2 18500 -5.6 21.9 240 39 20 5.6 3.1 | -5.3 22.5 240 37 19 5.7 3.1 18000 -4.8 23.4 240 39 20 5.5 3.0 | -4.5 23.9 245 37 19 5.8 3.2 17500 -3.5 25.7 240 38 19 6.2 3.4 | -3.4 25.9 245 36 19 4.7 2.6 17000 -2.6 27.3 245 37 19 6.2 3.4 | -2.8 27.0 245 36 18 4.6 2.5 16500 -1.7 28.9 245 37 19 6.3 3.5 | -2.1 28.2 245 36 18 5.5 3.0 16000 -0.8 30.6 245 36 19 6.3 3.5 | -1.3 29.7 245 36 18 5.4 3.0 15500 0.1 32.2 245 36 18 6.2 3.4 | -0.5 31.1 245 36 18 5.8 3.2 15000 0.9 33.6 250 35 18 6.1 3.4 | 0.3 32.5 250 36 18 6.0 3.3 14500 1.8 35.2 250 34 18 5.9 3.2 | 1.2 34.2 250 35 18 6.0 3.3 14000 2.5 36.5 250 32 17 5.3 2.9 | 2.0 35.6 255 34 17 6.1 3.3 13500 3.2 37.8 250 30 16 5.4 3.0 | 2.9 37.2 260 32 16 6.1 3.3 13000 4.0 39.2 245 28 15 5.9 3.3 | 3.7 38.7 260 29 15 5.6 3.1 12500 4.8 40.6 240 26 14 5.7 3.1 | 4.5 40.1 265 27 14 5.5 3.0 12000 5.8 42.4 235 25 13 8.9 4.9 | 5.4 41.7 265 24 12 6.9 3.8 11500 7.1 44.8 235 24 12 8.8 4.8 | 6.3 43.3 265 22 11 6.9 3.8 11000 8.4 47.1 230 24 12 9.4 5.2 | 7.4 45.3 265 19 10 8.0 4.4 10500 9.8 49.6 230 24 12 9.3 5.1 | 8.6 47.5 265 18 9 8.0 4.4 10250 10.5 50.9 230 24 12 9.6 5.3 | 9.2 48.6 265 17 9 7.8 4.3 10000 11.2 52.2 225 24 12 9.6 5.3 | 9.7 49.5 270 16 8 7.5 4.1 9750 11.9 53.4 225 24 12 9.4 5.1 | 10.3 50.5 270 15 8 7.5 4.1 9500 12.6 54.7 225 24 12 9.3 5.1 | 10.8 51.4 270 14 7 7.5 4.1 9250 13.3 55.9 225 24 12 9.8 5.4 | 11.4 52.5 270 14 7 7.3 4.0 9000 14.1 57.4 225 24 12 9.6 5.3 | 11.9 53.4 270 12 6 6.1 3.3 8750 14.7 58.5 225 24 12 9.0 4.9 | 12.2 54.0 275 11 6 5.2 2.9 8500 15.4 59.7 225 24 12 9.0 5.0 | 12.6 54.7 275 10 5 5.7 3.1 8250 16.1 61.0 220 24 12 10.0 5.5 | 13.0 55.4 275 9 5 4.1 2.2 8000 16.9 62.4 220 24 12 10.4 5.7 | 13.2 55.8 280 8 4 2.6 1.5 7750 17.6 63.7 220 24 12 9.4 5.1 | 13.4 56.1 285 7 4 3.0 1.6 7500 18.3 64.9 220 24 12 9.5 5.2 | 13.6 56.5 295 6 3 2.7 1.5 7250 19.0 66.2 220 24 12 10.4 5.7 | 13.7 56.7 305 5 3 2.4 1.3 7000 19.8 67.6 220 23 12 11.1 6.1 | 13.9 57.0 325 4 2 2.3 1.2 6750 20.6 69.1 220 22 12 10.0 5.5 | 14.0 57.2 350 4 2 3.1 1.7 6500 21.4 70.5 215 21 11 12.8 7.0 | 14.3 57.7 020 4 2 6.2 3.4 6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M ________________________________________________________________________________ This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance. The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters) and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should not be used. The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page. DEFINITIONS: CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the energy available for convective development, also known as the positive area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should convective activity develop. CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft, lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.) Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass, if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are produced by surface heating only. Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a "trigger temperature" for that level. Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius. Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain waves. K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 and is reproduced in the following table: below -10 no or weak thermals -10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals 5 to 15 good soaring conditions 15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers 20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing probability of showers and thunderstorms above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate inversions. Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation. Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with positive values showing stable conditions. Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation. Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index are applied to these calculations. Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature. Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment. Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus) or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud. Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests that little sunlight is reaching the ground. Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more 2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind speed no longer increases with height PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA) on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring. Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached and the time of overdevelopment. Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values are indicative of thermal lift. Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following: Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating >= 800 fpm Excellent >= 400 and < 800 fpm Good >= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair < 200 fpm Poor Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena, which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur: 1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover 2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts 3. initiation of widespread precipitation Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to reach the trigger temperature. Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000 feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic. Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough movements. 042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 0817 MDT Saturday October 11 2025 This forecast is for Saturday, October 11, 2025: If the trigger temperature of 71.1 F/21.7 C is reached...then Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair Maximum rate of lift........................ 210 ft/min (1.1 m/s) Maximum height of thermals.................. 11078 ft MSL (5408 ft AGL) Forecast maximum temperature................... 74.0 F/23.8 C Time of trigger temperature.................... 1200 MDT Time of overdevelopment........................ 1100 MDT Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less Height of the -3 thermal index................. 8319 ft MSL (2649 ft AGL) Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/12....... Good Remarks... Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:09:40 / 18:36:29 MDT Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 26 min 49 sec (686 min 49 sec) Altitude of sun at 12:53:05 MDT... 47.60 degrees Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/11/2025 at 0600 MDT Freezing level.................. 15637 ft MSL (9967 ft AGL) Convective condensation level... 12801 ft MSL (7131 ft AGL) Lifted condensation level....... 12148 ft MSL (6477 ft AGL) Lifted index.................... +1.7 K index......................... +25.2 Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -70.0 -94.0 260 35 18 4.7 2.6 72.7 162.9 29.0 M M 45000 -61.3 -78.3 255 43 22 7.3 4.0 62.7 144.9 24.9 M M 40000 -50.0 -58.0 255 51 26 8.7 4.8 58.1 136.5 23.4 M M 38000 -44.8 -48.6 255 49 25 8.7 4.8 56.9 134.5 23.3 M M 36000 -39.6 -39.3 255 47 24 8.8 4.8 56.4 133.5 23.4 M M 34000 -34.5 -30.1 250 44 23 7.5 4.1 54.1 129.5 22.5 M M 32000 -30.0 -22.0 250 41 21 7.8 4.3 52.6 126.6 21.8 M M 30000 -26.7 -16.1 245 36 18 5.4 3.0 49.1 120.4 19.7 M M 29000 -25.1 -13.2 235 33 17 5.6 3.1 47.5 117.5 18.6 M M 28000 -23.5 -10.3 230 31 16 6.3 3.4 46.1 114.9 17.6 M M 27000 -21.6 -6.9 235 32 16 6.6 3.6 44.7 112.5 16.7 M M 26000 -19.6 -3.3 240 33 17 6.6 3.6 43.6 110.4 15.9 M M 25000 -17.7 0.1 240 34 17 6.6 3.6 42.5 108.5 15.2 M M 24000 -15.6 3.9 240 35 18 7.0 3.8 41.4 106.5 14.5 M M 23000 -13.6 7.5 240 36 19 7.0 3.8 40.4 104.7 13.8 M M 22000 -11.5 11.3 240 38 19 7.1 3.9 39.5 103.1 13.1 M M 21000 -9.2 15.4 240 37 19 6.3 3.5 37.9 100.3 11.9 M M 20000 -7.4 18.7 240 36 18 6.3 3.5 36.7 98.1 10.9 M M 19500 -6.5 20.3 240 35 18 6.4 3.5 36.2 97.2 10.5 M M 19000 -5.6 21.9 240 35 18 6.1 3.4 35.6 96.1 10.0 M M 18500 -4.7 23.5 240 35 18 6.1 3.4 35.0 95.0 9.4 M M 18000 -3.9 25.0 240 34 18 5.7 3.1 34.4 93.9 8.9 M M 17500 -3.1 26.4 235 33 17 5.2 2.8 33.6 92.5 8.2 M M 17000 -2.4 27.7 235 32 17 5.0 2.8 32.8 91.1 7.6 M M 16500 -1.5 29.3 230 31 16 6.0 3.3 32.1 89.8 7.0 M M 16000 -0.6 30.9 230 28 15 5.9 3.3 31.5 88.6 6.5 M M 15500 0.2 32.4 225 26 13 4.4 2.4 30.8 87.4 6.0 M M 15000 0.7 33.3 225 24 12 3.8 2.1 29.8 85.6 5.0 M M 14500 1.2 34.2 225 22 11 4.1 2.2 28.8 83.8 4.1 M M 14000 1.8 35.2 225 22 11 5.0 2.7 28.0 82.3 3.2 M M 13500 2.5 36.5 225 21 11 5.1 2.8 27.2 80.9 2.4 M M 13000 3.3 37.9 225 22 11 6.8 3.7 26.6 79.9 1.8 M M 12500 4.2 39.6 220 22 11 6.7 3.7 26.1 79.0 1.3 M M 12000 5.2 41.4 220 23 12 7.4 4.1 25.7 78.2 0.9 M M 11500 6.3 43.3 215 23 12 7.5 4.1 25.3 77.5 0.5 M M 11000 7.2 45.0 210 24 13 5.8 3.2 24.8 76.6 -0.0 410 2.1 10500 8.1 46.6 210 25 13 7.3 4.0 24.2 75.5 -0.6 370 1.9 10250 8.7 47.7 205 25 13 7.6 4.1 24.1 75.3 -0.8 345 1.8 10000 9.1 48.4 205 26 13 5.6 3.1 23.8 74.8 -1.1 324 1.6 9750 9.5 49.1 205 26 13 5.9 3.2 23.5 74.2 -1.4 304 1.5 9500 10.0 50.0 200 26 13 6.0 3.3 23.2 73.7 -1.7 284 1.4 9250 10.4 50.7 200 26 13 6.4 3.5 22.9 73.2 -1.9 264 1.3 9000 10.9 51.6 200 26 13 6.4 3.5 22.6 72.8 -2.2 242 1.2 8750 11.4 52.5 200 25 13 6.5 3.6 22.4 72.3 -2.4 220 1.1 8500 11.9 53.4 195 25 13 6.0 3.3 22.1 71.8 -2.7 198 1.0 8250 12.3 54.1 195 25 13 6.1 3.3 21.8 71.3 -3.0 177 0.9 8000 13.4 56.1 190 24 12 8.1 4.4 21.5 70.7 -3.3 128 0.7 7750 14.1 57.4 190 23 12 8.0 4.4 21.3 70.4 -3.4 103 0.5 7500 14.7 58.5 185 23 12 8.1 4.4 21.2 70.2 -3.5 77 0.4 7250 15.3 59.5 185 22 11 7.8 4.3 21.1 69.9 -3.7 52 0.3 7000 15.8 60.4 180 20 10 7.7 4.2 20.9 69.7 -3.8 27 0.1 6750 16.4 61.5 180 18 10 7.5 4.1 20.8 69.4 -4.0 2 0.0 6500 17.0 62.6 175 16 8 7.2 4.0 20.6 69.1 -4.2 M M 6250 17.5 63.5 175 14 7 7.1 3.9 20.4 68.7 -4.4 M M 6000 17.9 64.2 170 12 6 2.9 1.6 20.1 68.2 -4.7 M M 5750 17.5 63.5 165 7 4 -18.2 -10.0 18.9 66.1 -5.8 M M 5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 10/11/2025 at 0900 MDT | 10/11/2025 at 1200 MDT | CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.6 | CAPE... +0.3 LI... -1.1 CINH... 0.0 K Index... +30.3 | CINH... -16.4 K Index... +29.1 | Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -70.0 -94.0 250 31 16 4.7 2.6 | -69.6 -93.3 255 37 19 4.5 2.5 45000 -61.2 -78.2 250 44 23 7.4 4.1 | -61.0 -77.8 255 47 24 7.4 4.1 40000 -50.0 -58.0 250 51 26 8.2 4.5 | -49.8 -57.6 245 50 26 8.2 4.5 38000 -45.0 -49.0 255 50 26 8.2 4.5 | -44.9 -48.8 245 52 27 8.2 4.5 36000 -39.5 -39.1 255 49 25 8.2 4.5 | -40.0 -40.0 245 54 28 8.2 4.5 34000 -34.6 -30.3 255 48 25 8.2 4.5 | -34.5 -30.1 245 53 27 8.2 4.5 32000 -29.6 -21.3 255 47 24 8.7 4.8 | -29.6 -21.3 245 52 27 8.5 4.7 30000 -26.7 -16.1 250 43 22 4.6 2.5 | -26.2 -15.2 245 48 25 5.5 3.0 29000 -25.4 -13.7 245 41 21 4.7 2.6 | -24.6 -12.3 245 46 23 5.6 3.1 28000 -24.0 -11.2 240 40 20 6.7 3.7 | -22.9 -9.2 245 43 22 6.2 3.4 27000 -21.7 -7.1 240 39 20 7.9 4.3 | -21.0 -5.8 245 43 22 6.6 3.6 26000 -19.4 -2.9 235 38 20 7.9 4.3 | -19.1 -2.4 240 42 21 6.6 3.6 25000 -17.0 1.4 235 38 19 8.1 4.5 | -17.2 1.0 240 41 21 6.7 3.7 24000 -15.1 4.8 235 38 19 6.0 3.3 | -15.3 4.5 235 41 21 6.1 3.4 23000 -13.4 7.9 230 37 19 6.0 3.3 | -13.5 7.7 235 40 21 6.2 3.4 22000 -11.2 11.8 230 37 19 6.0 3.3 | -11.3 11.7 235 39 20 5.9 3.3 21000 -9.4 15.1 230 38 19 6.1 3.3 | -9.6 14.7 230 39 20 5.6 3.1 20000 -7.7 18.1 235 38 20 6.1 3.4 | -8.0 17.6 230 38 20 5.6 3.1 19500 -6.8 19.8 235 39 20 6.2 3.4 | -7.2 19.0 230 38 20 5.7 3.1 19000 -6.0 21.2 235 38 20 4.9 2.7 | -6.4 20.5 230 37 19 4.9 2.7 18500 -5.3 22.5 235 38 19 5.1 2.8 | -5.8 21.6 230 37 19 5.1 2.8 18000 -4.6 23.7 235 37 19 5.4 3.0 | -5.1 22.8 230 36 19 5.7 3.1 17500 -3.8 25.2 235 36 18 5.7 3.1 | -4.2 24.4 230 36 19 6.5 3.6 17000 -3.0 26.6 240 34 18 5.8 3.2 | -3.2 26.2 230 36 19 6.5 3.6 16500 -2.2 28.0 240 33 17 5.7 3.1 | -2.3 27.9 230 36 18 6.8 3.7 16000 -1.4 29.5 240 32 17 5.7 3.1 | -1.3 29.7 230 35 18 6.8 3.7 15500 -0.6 30.9 235 31 16 6.3 3.5 | -0.3 31.5 235 35 18 6.7 3.7 15000 0.4 32.7 235 31 16 6.6 3.6 | 0.6 33.1 235 35 18 6.6 3.6 14500 1.4 34.5 235 30 15 7.1 3.9 | 1.5 34.7 235 35 18 6.8 3.7 14000 2.5 36.5 230 29 15 8.0 4.4 | 2.6 36.7 235 35 18 7.3 4.0 13500 3.7 38.7 225 28 14 8.0 4.4 | 3.6 38.5 235 35 18 7.3 4.0 13000 4.7 40.5 225 27 14 7.2 3.9 | 4.7 40.5 235 35 18 7.9 4.3 12500 5.8 42.4 220 27 14 7.6 4.2 | 5.9 42.6 235 35 18 8.1 4.5 12000 6.6 43.9 215 27 14 3.9 2.2 | 6.8 44.2 235 34 18 5.3 2.9 11500 7.2 45.0 210 27 14 4.2 2.3 | 7.6 45.7 230 33 17 5.8 3.2 11000 7.8 46.0 210 28 14 5.3 2.9 | 8.1 46.6 230 32 16 1.3 0.7 10500 8.6 47.5 205 29 15 5.6 3.1 | 8.2 46.8 220 29 15 1.7 0.9 10250 9.0 48.2 205 29 15 5.4 3.0 | 8.4 47.1 220 28 15 3.3 1.8 10000 9.3 48.7 205 30 15 4.5 2.5 | 8.6 47.5 215 27 14 4.1 2.3 9750 9.7 49.5 200 30 15 4.6 2.5 | 9.0 48.2 215 26 14 4.7 2.6 9500 10.0 50.0 200 30 15 4.4 2.4 | 9.3 48.7 210 26 13 3.1 1.7 9250 10.3 50.5 200 30 15 4.6 2.5 | 9.5 49.1 205 24 13 4.5 2.5 9000 10.7 51.3 200 29 15 4.9 2.7 | 10.0 50.0 205 24 12 8.1 4.4 8750 11.1 52.0 195 28 14 5.0 2.8 | 10.6 51.1 205 23 12 8.2 4.5 8500 11.4 52.5 195 27 14 4.6 2.5 | 11.2 52.2 205 23 12 8.0 4.4 8250 11.8 53.2 195 26 14 5.3 2.9 | 12.4 54.3 200 22 12 9.2 5.1 8000 12.9 55.2 190 24 12 8.0 4.4 | 13.2 55.8 200 22 11 9.8 5.4 7750 13.5 56.3 190 23 12 7.5 4.1 | 13.9 57.0 200 22 11 9.5 5.2 7500 14.0 57.2 185 22 11 7.0 3.8 | 14.6 58.3 200 22 11 9.2 5.0 7250 14.6 58.3 185 21 11 8.4 4.6 | 15.3 59.5 200 21 11 9.9 5.4 7000 15.2 59.4 185 20 10 9.4 5.2 | 16.0 60.8 200 21 11 10.6 5.8 6750 15.9 60.6 185 19 10 9.3 5.1 | 16.8 62.2 200 20 10 10.1 5.5 6500 16.6 61.9 180 18 9 9.6 5.3 | 17.5 63.5 200 20 10 9.8 5.4 6250 17.4 63.3 180 17 9 9.2 5.0 | 18.3 64.9 200 19 10 9.5 5.2 6000 18.0 64.4 180 16 8 10.3 5.7 | 19.0 66.2 200 18 9 12.4 6.8 5750 19.1 66.4 180 12 6 22.1 12.1 | 20.5 68.9 200 15 8 33.1 18.2 5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M 10/11/2025 at 1500 MDT | 10/11/2025 at 1800 MDT | CAPE... +66.6 LI... -0.8 | CAPE... +12.4 LI... -0.6 CINH... -29.2 K Index... +30.7 | CINH... -8.3 K Index... +28.6 | Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -69.1 -92.4 255 47 24 3.7 2.0 | -69.0 -92.2 250 47 24 3.8 2.1 45000 -61.8 -79.2 255 57 29 7.4 4.1 | -61.6 -78.9 250 55 28 7.3 4.0 40000 -49.9 -57.8 245 54 28 8.2 4.5 | -49.9 -57.8 240 55 29 8.3 4.5 38000 -45.0 -49.0 245 54 28 8.2 4.5 | -45.0 -49.0 240 56 29 8.3 4.5 36000 -40.0 -40.0 245 54 28 8.2 4.5 | -40.0 -40.0 240 56 29 8.3 4.5 34000 -35.0 -31.0 245 56 29 8.3 4.6 | -34.9 -30.8 245 59 30 8.4 4.6 32000 -30.0 -22.0 240 57 29 8.4 4.6 | -29.9 -21.8 245 61 32 8.4 4.6 30000 -26.6 -15.9 240 52 27 5.0 2.8 | -26.4 -15.5 240 60 31 5.3 2.9 29000 -25.1 -13.2 240 49 25 5.1 2.8 | -24.8 -12.6 240 59 31 5.3 2.9 28000 -23.6 -10.5 240 46 23 5.5 3.0 | -23.2 -9.8 240 59 30 5.6 3.1 27000 -21.7 -7.1 240 45 23 6.7 3.7 | -21.3 -6.3 240 55 28 6.8 3.7 26000 -19.2 -2.6 235 45 23 6.7 3.7 | -18.8 -1.8 240 50 26 6.8 3.7 25000 -17.2 1.0 235 45 23 6.8 3.7 | -16.8 1.8 240 46 24 6.9 3.8 24000 -15.2 4.6 235 43 22 7.2 3.9 | -15.1 4.8 240 44 23 5.6 3.1 23000 -13.1 8.4 235 41 21 7.2 4.0 | -13.4 7.9 240 43 22 5.6 3.1 22000 -11.0 12.2 235 39 20 7.1 3.9 | -11.8 10.8 245 43 22 5.6 3.1 21000 -9.3 15.3 235 37 19 5.8 3.2 | -10.1 13.8 245 41 21 5.8 3.2 20000 -7.6 18.3 235 35 18 5.9 3.2 | -8.5 16.7 245 40 20 5.9 3.2 19500 -6.7 19.9 235 34 17 5.9 3.2 | -7.6 18.3 245 39 20 6.0 3.3 19000 -5.9 21.4 235 33 17 5.7 3.1 | -6.8 19.8 245 38 20 5.5 3.0 18500 -5.1 22.8 240 32 16 5.7 3.1 | -6.1 21.0 245 37 19 5.4 3.0 18000 -4.3 24.3 240 31 16 5.7 3.1 | -5.3 22.5 245 37 19 5.5 3.0 17500 -3.4 25.9 240 31 16 5.7 3.1 | -4.4 24.1 245 36 18 6.6 3.6 17000 -2.6 27.3 240 31 16 5.7 3.1 | -3.5 25.7 245 35 18 6.5 3.6 16500 -1.8 28.8 240 30 16 5.5 3.0 | -2.6 27.3 245 34 17 6.2 3.4 16000 -1.1 30.0 245 30 15 5.4 3.0 | -1.7 28.9 245 33 17 6.1 3.4 15500 -0.3 31.5 245 29 15 5.6 3.1 | -0.8 30.6 250 33 17 6.1 3.3 15000 0.6 33.1 245 29 15 6.1 3.3 | 0.1 32.2 250 32 17 6.0 3.3 14500 1.4 34.5 245 28 15 6.1 3.3 | 0.9 33.6 250 32 16 6.0 3.3 14000 2.3 36.1 245 28 14 5.8 3.2 | 1.9 35.4 250 31 16 7.4 4.1 13500 3.1 37.6 245 27 14 5.8 3.2 | 2.9 37.2 250 30 16 7.3 4.0 13000 3.9 39.0 245 26 13 5.7 3.1 | 4.0 39.2 250 29 15 7.2 4.0 12500 4.7 40.5 245 25 13 5.7 3.1 | 5.0 41.0 250 28 14 7.3 4.0 12000 5.5 41.9 245 24 12 6.0 3.3 | 6.0 42.8 255 26 13 6.4 3.5 11500 6.4 43.5 245 23 12 6.1 3.4 | 6.9 44.4 260 24 12 6.3 3.5 11000 7.2 45.0 245 21 11 5.9 3.3 | 7.8 46.0 270 22 11 5.5 3.0 10500 8.1 46.6 245 19 10 5.8 3.2 | 8.6 47.5 280 21 11 5.9 3.2 10250 8.5 47.3 245 19 10 5.8 3.2 | 9.0 48.2 285 20 10 6.5 3.6 10000 8.9 48.0 245 18 9 6.1 3.3 | 9.5 49.1 285 19 10 5.8 3.2 9750 9.3 48.7 245 17 9 6.2 3.4 | 9.9 49.8 290 18 9 5.4 3.0 9500 9.8 49.6 245 17 9 6.3 3.4 | 10.3 50.5 290 16 8 6.0 3.3 9250 10.3 50.5 250 16 8 6.5 3.5 | 10.7 51.3 290 15 8 7.3 4.0 9000 10.7 51.3 250 16 8 6.2 3.4 | 11.3 52.3 295 14 7 6.4 3.5 8750 11.6 52.9 255 14 7 5.5 3.0 | 11.7 53.1 295 12 6 5.5 3.0 8500 12.1 53.8 255 13 7 8.5 4.7 | 12.1 53.8 300 10 5 5.1 2.8 8250 12.8 55.0 260 13 7 8.9 4.9 | 12.5 54.5 300 9 4 7.6 4.2 8000 13.3 55.9 265 13 6 6.0 3.3 | 13.5 56.3 315 5 3 5.1 2.8 7750 13.8 56.8 270 12 6 7.0 3.8 | 13.9 57.0 330 4 2 5.7 3.1 7500 14.2 57.6 275 12 6 5.2 2.8 | 14.4 57.9 355 4 2 5.8 3.2 7250 14.6 58.3 285 11 6 6.4 3.5 | 14.9 58.8 010 4 2 7.8 4.3 7000 15.2 59.4 285 11 6 8.6 4.7 | 15.5 59.9 020 4 2 8.7 4.8 6750 15.8 60.4 290 11 6 7.9 4.4 | 16.1 61.0 025 4 2 8.6 4.7 6500 16.3 61.3 295 11 6 7.1 3.9 | 16.7 62.1 035 4 2 9.0 5.0 6250 16.9 62.4 300 12 6 10.2 5.6 | 17.4 63.3 035 4 2 9.8 5.4 6000 17.9 64.2 300 11 6 17.4 9.6 | 18.2 64.8 040 4 2 10.8 5.9 5750 18.9 66.0 300 10 5 4.1 2.3 | 18.9 66.0 045 4 2 9.1 5.0 5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M ________________________________________________________________________________ This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance. The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at North Latitude: 35.03806 deg West Longitude: 106.62194 deg Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters) and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should not be used. The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page. DEFINITIONS: CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the energy available for convective development, also known as the positive area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should convective activity develop. CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft, lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.) Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass, if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are produced by surface heating only. Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a "trigger temperature" for that level. Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius. Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain waves. K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 and is reproduced in the following table: below -10 no or weak thermals -10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals 5 to 15 good soaring conditions 15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers 20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing probability of showers and thunderstorms above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate inversions. Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation. Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with positive values showing stable conditions. Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation. Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index are applied to these calculations. Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature. Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment. Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus) or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud. Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests that little sunlight is reaching the ground. Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more 2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind speed no longer increases with height PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA) on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring. Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached and the time of overdevelopment. Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values are indicative of thermal lift. Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following: Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating >= 800 fpm Excellent >= 400 and < 800 fpm Good >= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair < 200 fpm Poor Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena, which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur: 1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover 2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts 3. initiation of widespread precipitation Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to reach the trigger temperature. Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000 feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic. Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough movements. 042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 0821 MDT Saturday October 11 2025 This forecast is for Saturday, October 11, 2025: If the trigger temperature of 66.7 F/19.3 C is reached...then Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor Maximum rate of lift........................ 37 ft/min (0.2 m/s) Maximum height of thermals.................. 11796 ft MSL (5347 ft AGL) Forecast maximum temperature................... 69.0 F/21.0 C Time of trigger temperature.................... 1400 MDT Time of overdevelopment........................ 1100 MDT Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less Height of the -3 thermal index................. 7794 ft MSL (1345 ft AGL) Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/12....... Good Remarks... Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:07:59 / 18:33:58 MDT Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 25 min 59 sec (685 min 59 sec) Altitude of sun at 12:50:58 MDT... 47.00 degrees Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/11/2025 at 0600 MDT Freezing level.................. 16015 ft MSL (9566 ft AGL) Convective condensation level... 12583 ft MSL (6134 ft AGL) Lifted condensation level....... 12225 ft MSL (5776 ft AGL) Lifted index.................... +2.7 K index......................... +23.1 Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -69.6 -93.3 265 36 18 4.5 2.5 70.7 159.3 29.7 M M 45000 -61.1 -78.0 260 46 23 7.1 3.9 60.3 140.6 25.3 M M 40000 -50.1 -58.2 255 53 27 8.8 4.8 55.2 131.4 23.6 M M 38000 -44.8 -48.6 255 52 27 8.7 4.8 54.2 129.5 23.5 M M 36000 -39.5 -39.1 255 51 26 8.6 4.7 53.7 128.6 23.7 M M 34000 -35.5 -31.9 250 45 23 6.6 3.6 51.0 123.8 22.3 M M 32000 -31.5 -24.7 245 39 20 6.7 3.7 48.7 119.7 21.1 M M 30000 -27.6 -17.7 240 35 18 6.5 3.6 46.1 114.9 19.5 M M 29000 -25.2 -13.4 240 32 16 6.6 3.6 44.6 112.2 18.6 M M 28000 -23.3 -9.9 240 30 15 6.7 3.7 43.5 110.2 17.9 M M 27000 -21.3 -6.3 240 29 15 6.7 3.7 42.2 107.9 17.0 M M 26000 -19.3 -2.7 240 29 15 6.7 3.7 41.0 105.9 16.3 M M 25000 -17.4 0.7 245 29 15 6.7 3.7 40.0 104.0 15.6 M M 24000 -15.5 4.1 245 30 16 6.4 3.5 38.7 101.7 14.7 M M 23000 -13.6 7.5 245 32 16 6.4 3.5 37.5 99.5 13.7 M M 22000 -11.8 10.8 245 34 17 6.5 3.6 36.4 97.5 12.9 M M 21000 -9.8 14.4 245 33 17 6.8 3.7 35.2 95.4 12.0 M M 20000 -7.8 18.0 250 32 16 6.8 3.7 34.2 93.6 11.2 M M 19500 -6.8 19.8 250 31 16 6.9 3.8 33.8 92.8 10.8 M M 19000 -5.9 21.4 250 31 16 6.1 3.3 33.2 91.8 10.4 M M 18500 -5.0 23.0 245 32 17 6.0 3.3 32.6 90.6 9.8 M M 18000 -4.2 24.4 245 33 17 6.2 3.4 32.0 89.5 9.3 M M 17500 -3.2 26.2 240 33 17 7.0 3.8 31.4 88.6 8.9 M M 17000 -2.1 28.2 235 32 17 7.0 3.8 31.0 87.7 8.5 M M 16500 -1.1 30.0 230 31 16 6.3 3.5 30.5 86.8 8.2 M M 16000 -0.1 31.8 230 29 15 6.1 3.4 29.9 85.8 7.7 M M 15500 0.9 33.6 225 26 14 3.9 2.2 29.3 84.8 7.3 M M 15000 1.0 33.8 220 25 13 1.0 0.6 27.9 82.2 6.0 M M 14500 1.0 33.8 220 23 12 1.1 0.6 26.5 79.6 4.6 M M 14000 1.3 34.3 220 22 12 3.2 1.7 25.2 77.4 3.4 M M 13500 1.6 34.9 220 22 11 2.7 1.5 24.2 75.5 2.3 M M 13000 2.3 36.1 215 22 11 6.8 3.7 23.3 74.0 1.4 M M 12500 3.2 37.8 215 23 12 6.5 3.6 22.8 73.1 0.9 M M 12000 4.1 39.4 215 23 12 6.5 3.5 22.3 72.2 0.4 M M 11500 5.4 41.7 215 24 12 6.5 3.6 21.5 70.7 -0.5 401 2.0 11000 6.5 43.7 210 23 12 7.4 4.0 21.1 70.0 -0.9 355 1.8 10500 7.6 45.7 210 22 11 7.5 4.1 20.7 69.3 -1.3 308 1.6 10250 8.1 46.6 210 21 11 8.1 4.4 20.6 69.0 -1.4 283 1.4 10000 8.8 47.8 210 20 10 8.4 4.6 20.5 68.8 -1.5 257 1.3 9750 9.4 48.9 210 19 10 8.3 4.5 20.3 68.6 -1.6 231 1.2 9500 10.0 50.0 210 18 9 8.4 4.6 20.2 68.4 -1.7 205 1.0 9250 10.7 51.3 210 17 9 8.0 4.4 20.1 68.2 -1.8 178 0.9 9000 11.2 52.2 210 16 8 7.6 4.2 20.0 68.0 -2.0 153 0.8 8750 11.8 53.2 205 15 8 7.9 4.3 19.8 67.7 -2.1 128 0.7 8500 12.4 54.3 205 15 8 7.1 3.9 19.7 67.4 -2.2 103 0.5 8250 12.9 55.2 200 14 7 6.0 3.3 19.4 66.9 -2.5 81 0.4 8000 13.3 55.9 195 12 6 5.3 2.9 19.1 66.4 -2.8 61 0.3 7750 13.7 56.7 190 11 6 4.7 2.6 18.7 65.7 -3.2 42 0.2 7500 14.0 57.2 180 10 5 4.1 2.2 18.3 65.0 -3.6 25 0.1 7250 14.3 57.7 170 9 5 3.2 1.8 17.9 64.2 -4.0 10 0.0 7000 14.6 58.3 160 9 4 5.9 3.2 17.4 63.4 -4.5 M M 6750 15.1 59.2 150 7 4 7.0 3.8 17.3 63.1 -4.7 M M 6500 14.9 58.8 135 5 3 -20.2 -11.1 16.3 61.4 -5.7 M M * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 10/11/2025 at 0900 MDT | 10/11/2025 at 1200 MDT | CAPE... 0.0 LI... 0.0 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.7 CINH... 0.0 K Index... +27.8 | CINH... -0.1 K Index... +27.9 | Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -69.6 -93.3 260 32 17 4.6 2.5 | -69.3 -92.7 255 39 20 4.0 2.2 45000 -60.9 -77.6 255 47 24 7.3 4.0 | -61.2 -78.2 255 52 27 7.4 4.0 40000 -49.8 -57.6 255 53 28 8.3 4.6 | -49.9 -57.8 250 50 26 8.5 4.7 38000 -44.8 -48.6 255 53 27 8.3 4.5 | -44.8 -48.6 250 52 27 8.5 4.7 36000 -39.8 -39.6 255 53 27 8.3 4.5 | -39.7 -39.5 250 54 28 8.5 4.6 34000 -35.3 -31.5 255 51 26 7.4 4.1 | -34.8 -30.6 250 54 28 8.1 4.5 32000 -30.9 -23.6 255 48 25 7.5 4.1 | -29.9 -21.8 250 55 28 8.2 4.5 30000 -27.4 -17.3 250 43 22 5.4 3.0 | -26.6 -15.9 245 49 25 4.9 2.7 29000 -25.4 -13.7 245 40 21 5.6 3.0 | -24.8 -12.6 245 44 23 5.1 2.8 28000 -23.8 -10.8 240 38 20 7.4 4.1 | -23.2 -9.8 245 41 21 6.8 3.7 27000 -21.5 -6.7 240 37 19 7.7 4.2 | -21.1 -6.0 240 41 21 7.2 4.0 26000 -19.2 -2.6 235 36 19 7.7 4.2 | -18.9 -2.0 235 42 21 7.2 4.0 25000 -16.9 1.6 235 36 18 7.5 4.1 | -16.8 1.8 235 42 22 7.2 3.9 24000 -15.0 5.0 235 37 19 6.0 3.3 | -15.0 5.0 235 42 21 6.1 3.4 23000 -13.2 8.2 235 38 20 6.0 3.3 | -13.2 8.2 235 41 21 6.2 3.4 22000 -11.5 11.3 235 40 20 6.0 3.3 | -11.4 11.5 235 40 21 6.2 3.4 21000 -9.7 14.5 235 39 20 6.3 3.5 | -9.7 14.5 235 41 21 5.8 3.2 20000 -7.8 18.0 235 39 20 6.3 3.5 | -8.0 17.6 235 41 21 5.8 3.2 19500 -6.9 19.6 235 39 20 6.4 3.5 | -7.2 19.0 230 42 22 5.9 3.2 19000 -6.1 21.0 235 39 20 5.7 3.1 | -6.4 20.5 230 42 22 5.5 3.0 18500 -5.3 22.5 235 38 19 5.6 3.1 | -5.6 21.9 230 42 22 5.5 3.0 18000 -4.5 23.9 235 37 19 5.7 3.1 | -4.8 23.4 230 41 21 5.5 3.0 17500 -3.7 25.3 235 36 19 5.8 3.2 | -4.0 24.8 230 41 21 6.1 3.3 17000 -2.9 26.8 235 36 18 5.8 3.2 | -3.1 26.4 230 40 21 6.1 3.3 16500 -2.1 28.2 235 35 18 5.8 3.2 | -2.2 28.0 230 39 20 5.7 3.1 16000 -1.2 29.8 235 35 18 5.8 3.2 | -1.4 29.5 230 39 20 5.6 3.1 15500 -0.4 31.3 235 34 17 5.9 3.2 | -0.6 30.9 230 38 20 5.8 3.2 15000 0.5 32.9 230 33 17 6.0 3.3 | 0.2 32.4 230 38 19 6.1 3.3 14500 1.3 34.3 230 32 17 6.0 3.3 | 1.1 34.0 230 38 19 6.1 3.3 14000 2.2 36.0 225 31 16 5.9 3.3 | 1.9 35.4 230 37 19 5.9 3.2 13500 3.1 37.6 225 29 15 6.1 3.4 | 2.7 36.9 230 37 19 6.0 3.3 13000 3.8 38.8 220 28 15 4.5 2.5 | 3.5 38.3 230 37 19 5.5 3.0 12500 4.4 39.9 220 27 14 4.5 2.5 | 4.3 39.7 230 36 18 5.6 3.0 12000 5.5 41.9 215 27 14 6.0 3.3 | 5.3 41.5 225 34 17 4.2 2.3 11500 6.3 43.3 215 28 14 5.3 2.9 | 6.0 42.8 220 32 16 4.6 2.5 11000 7.1 44.8 215 26 14 5.4 2.9 | 6.6 43.9 220 29 15 4.7 2.6 10500 7.9 46.2 210 25 13 5.2 2.9 | 7.3 45.1 215 25 13 3.1 1.7 10250 8.2 46.8 210 24 13 5.9 3.2 | 7.5 45.5 210 24 12 4.7 2.6 10000 8.7 47.7 210 23 12 6.6 3.6 | 8.1 46.6 210 23 12 8.4 4.6 9750 9.2 48.6 210 21 11 6.3 3.5 | 8.7 47.7 210 22 11 6.8 3.7 9500 9.7 49.5 210 20 10 6.7 3.7 | 9.2 48.6 210 20 11 9.4 5.1 9250 10.2 50.4 210 18 9 7.5 4.1 | 10.0 50.0 210 20 10 9.3 5.1 9000 10.8 51.4 205 17 9 7.5 4.1 | 10.6 51.1 210 19 10 7.2 4.0 8750 11.4 52.5 205 16 8 7.8 4.3 | 11.1 52.0 205 18 9 7.6 4.1 8500 12.0 53.6 200 15 7 6.7 3.7 | 11.7 53.1 205 17 9 8.3 4.5 8250 12.4 54.3 200 13 7 5.9 3.2 | 12.4 54.3 205 16 8 9.3 5.1 8000 12.9 55.2 195 12 6 6.9 3.8 | 13.1 55.6 205 15 8 9.1 5.0 7750 13.5 56.3 190 11 6 7.2 4.0 | 13.7 56.7 205 14 7 9.0 4.9 7500 14.0 57.2 180 10 5 6.6 3.6 | 14.4 57.9 205 13 7 9.3 5.1 7250 14.5 58.1 175 9 5 6.2 3.4 | 15.1 59.2 205 13 7 9.8 5.4 7000 15.0 59.0 170 9 5 7.1 3.9 | 15.8 60.4 205 12 6 8.7 4.8 6750 15.6 60.1 165 8 4 10.8 5.9 | 16.5 61.7 205 11 6 9.1 5.0 6500 16.8 62.2 165 7 4 23.0 12.6 | 17.5 63.5 205 9 4 23.2 12.7 10/11/2025 at 1500 MDT | 10/11/2025 at 1800 MDT | CAPE... +44.0 LI... -0.3 | CAPE... +6.4 LI... +1.5 CINH... -37.6 K Index... +28.2 | CINH... -27.2 K Index... +23.1 | Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50000 -69.2 -92.6 255 45 23 4.2 2.3 | -69.0 -92.2 250 45 23 4.0 2.2 45000 -61.5 -78.7 255 55 28 7.3 4.0 | -61.5 -78.7 250 54 28 7.2 3.9 40000 -49.8 -57.6 245 58 30 8.1 4.5 | -50.0 -58.0 240 58 30 8.4 4.6 38000 -44.9 -48.8 245 58 30 8.1 4.5 | -45.0 -49.0 240 58 30 8.4 4.6 36000 -40.0 -40.0 245 59 30 8.1 4.5 | -40.0 -40.0 240 59 30 8.4 4.6 34000 -35.1 -31.2 245 60 31 8.3 4.5 | -34.9 -30.8 240 61 32 8.3 4.6 32000 -30.1 -22.2 245 61 32 8.3 4.5 | -29.9 -21.8 240 64 33 8.3 4.5 30000 -26.8 -16.2 245 57 29 4.8 2.6 | -26.5 -15.7 240 61 31 4.9 2.7 29000 -25.3 -13.5 240 53 28 4.9 2.7 | -25.1 -13.2 240 58 30 5.0 2.7 28000 -23.9 -11.0 240 50 26 5.3 2.9 | -23.6 -10.5 240 56 29 5.1 2.8 27000 -21.1 -6.0 240 48 25 8.0 4.4 | -21.7 -7.1 240 53 27 7.0 3.8 26000 -18.8 -1.8 240 47 24 8.0 4.4 | -19.1 -2.4 240 49 25 7.0 3.8 25000 -16.4 2.5 240 46 24 8.2 4.5 | -17.1 1.2 235 47 24 7.1 3.9 24000 -14.4 6.1 240 44 23 6.5 3.6 | -15.1 4.8 235 46 24 6.5 3.6 23000 -12.5 9.5 240 42 22 6.6 3.6 | -13.2 8.2 240 46 24 6.5 3.6 22000 -10.6 12.9 240 40 21 6.7 3.7 | -11.3 11.7 240 46 24 6.5 3.6 21000 -9.0 15.8 240 39 20 5.2 2.8 | -9.5 14.9 240 46 24 6.0 3.3 20000 -7.5 18.5 240 39 20 5.2 2.9 | -7.8 18.0 240 46 24 6.1 3.3 19500 -6.8 19.8 240 38 20 5.2 2.9 | -6.9 19.6 240 47 24 6.1 3.3 19000 -6.0 21.2 240 38 20 5.2 2.8 | -6.0 21.2 245 47 24 6.0 3.3 18500 -5.3 22.5 240 38 19 5.1 2.8 | -5.2 22.6 245 46 24 5.9 3.3 18000 -4.6 23.7 240 37 19 5.2 2.8 | -4.3 24.3 245 45 23 6.0 3.3 17500 -3.9 25.0 240 37 19 4.8 2.7 | -3.5 25.7 245 45 23 5.3 2.9 17000 -3.2 26.2 240 36 18 4.9 2.7 | -2.8 27.0 245 45 23 5.4 3.0 16500 -2.5 27.5 240 35 18 5.1 2.8 | -2.0 28.4 245 44 23 4.1 2.3 16000 -1.7 28.9 240 34 18 5.2 2.8 | -1.6 29.1 245 43 22 3.5 1.9 15500 -1.0 30.2 240 33 17 5.3 2.9 | -1.1 30.0 245 43 22 3.5 1.9 15000 -0.2 31.6 240 31 16 5.7 3.1 | -0.6 30.9 250 41 21 4.1 2.2 14500 0.6 33.1 240 30 15 5.7 3.1 | -0.0 32.0 250 39 20 3.9 2.1 14000 1.4 34.5 240 28 15 6.2 3.4 | 0.6 33.1 255 37 19 5.6 3.1 13500 2.3 36.1 240 27 14 6.1 3.4 | 1.4 34.5 260 35 18 5.4 3.0 13000 3.1 37.6 240 26 13 6.0 3.3 | 2.3 36.1 265 34 17 6.5 3.6 12500 4.0 39.2 240 25 13 6.0 3.3 | 3.3 37.9 270 33 17 6.7 3.7 12000 4.8 40.6 240 24 12 5.9 3.3 | 4.4 39.9 275 32 16 7.2 3.9 11500 5.7 42.3 245 23 12 5.8 3.2 | 5.5 41.9 275 31 16 7.6 4.2 11000 6.9 44.4 245 22 11 6.1 3.4 | 6.7 44.1 280 29 15 7.7 4.2 10500 7.7 45.9 250 22 11 5.8 3.2 | 7.7 45.9 285 25 13 6.9 3.8 10250 8.2 46.8 250 21 11 6.0 3.3 | 8.2 46.8 285 24 12 7.6 4.2 10000 8.6 47.5 255 21 11 6.4 3.5 | 8.8 47.8 285 23 12 7.3 4.0 9750 9.1 48.4 255 21 11 6.4 3.5 | 9.7 49.5 290 19 10 6.6 3.6 9500 9.5 49.1 260 20 11 6.2 3.4 | 10.2 50.4 295 17 9 6.5 3.6 9250 10.0 50.0 260 21 11 7.0 3.8 | 10.7 51.3 295 16 8 7.1 3.9 9000 10.5 50.9 265 21 11 7.7 4.2 | 11.2 52.2 295 14 7 7.5 4.1 8750 11.1 52.0 265 21 11 7.8 4.3 | 11.7 53.1 300 12 6 7.5 4.1 8500 11.6 52.9 265 20 11 6.8 3.7 | 12.3 54.1 305 10 5 7.2 3.9 8250 12.1 53.8 270 20 10 5.8 3.2 | 12.7 54.9 310 9 5 6.8 3.8 8000 12.6 54.7 270 20 10 7.6 4.2 | 13.3 55.9 310 8 4 7.6 4.2 7750 13.2 55.8 270 20 10 8.9 4.9 | 13.8 56.8 320 7 3 7.9 4.3 7500 13.8 56.8 275 20 10 7.7 4.2 | 14.4 57.9 330 6 3 8.0 4.4 7250 14.3 57.7 275 19 10 6.9 3.8 | 15.0 59.0 340 5 3 8.4 4.6 7000 14.8 58.6 275 18 9 7.7 4.2 | 15.6 60.1 345 4 2 8.2 4.5 6750 15.5 59.9 275 17 9 12.3 6.7 | 16.1 61.0 350 4 2 7.8 4.3 6500 16.9 62.4 275 14 7 30.7 16.8 | 16.6 61.9 005 3 1 6.4 3.5 ________________________________________________________________________________ This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance. The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at North Latitude: 35.61097 deg West Longitude: 106.61097 deg Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters) and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should not be used. The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page. DEFINITIONS: CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the energy available for convective development, also known as the positive area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should convective activity develop. CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft, lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.) Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass, if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are produced by surface heating only. Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a "trigger temperature" for that level. Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius. Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain waves. K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 and is reproduced in the following table: below -10 no or weak thermals -10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals 5 to 15 good soaring conditions 15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers 20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing probability of showers and thunderstorms above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate inversions. Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation. Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with positive values showing stable conditions. Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation. Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index are applied to these calculations. Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature. Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment. Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus) or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud. Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests that little sunlight is reaching the ground. Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more 2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists) where the wind speed no longer increases with height PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA) on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring. Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached and the time of overdevelopment. Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values are indicative of thermal lift. Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following: Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating >= 800 fpm Excellent >= 400 and < 800 fpm Good >= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair < 200 fpm Poor Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena, which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur: 1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover 2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts 3. initiation of widespread precipitation Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to reach the trigger temperature. Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000 feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic. Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough movements. 042613
Albuquerque (KABX) Radar Velocity Azimuth Display Wind Profile (Observed)![]() |
Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profile (Forecast from Rapid Refresh Model)Lowest 2000 ft Above Ground Level![]() Vertical Wind Profile (for lowest 2000 ft) |
Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profiler at Double Eagle Airport (Real-time observations)Note: The Wind Profiler is moved to Balloon Fiesta Park during Balloon Fiesta![]() Double Eagle (Albuquerque) Vertical Wind Profiler |
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This is a nationwide information resource from NOAA
AIRMETs, SIGMETs, TURBC, ICG, PIREPs, flight-level winds, CCFP/CAWS and more
Regional perspective of aviation weather forecasts and data
Diagram showing the relative frequency of wind direction and speed each airport