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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0719 MDT Tuesday April 22 2025
This forecast is for Tuesday, April 22, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 63.5 F/17.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1428 ft/min (7.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21163 ft MSL (14835 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 75.0 F/24.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16710 ft MSL (10381 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 04/23.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:22:34 / 19:42:15 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 19 min 41 sec (799 min 41 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:02:24 MDT... 67.49 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 04/22/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12372 ft MSL (6044 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 20005 ft MSL (13677 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 20504 ft MSL (14176 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.6
K index......................... +2.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.5 -78.7 265 67 34 2.3 1.3 90.6 195.1 38.8 M M
45000 -58.2 -72.8 265 72 37 -1.5 -0.8 72.2 161.9 30.0 M M
40000 -60.1 -76.2 270 59 30 -1.2 -0.7 46.4 115.6 15.0 M M
38000 -58.2 -72.8 270 51 26 5.4 3.0 40.6 105.0 11.4 M M
36000 -55.0 -67.0 265 41 21 5.4 3.0 36.8 98.3 9.1 M M
34000 -51.2 -60.2 265 34 17 8.3 4.6 34.1 93.5 7.4 M M
32000 -45.5 -49.9 265 31 16 8.4 4.6 32.8 91.1 6.6 M M
30000 -40.8 -41.4 265 30 16 7.4 4.1 31.4 88.6 5.7 M M
29000 -38.5 -37.3 265 31 16 7.4 4.1 30.5 86.9 5.1 M M
28000 -36.3 -33.3 265 31 16 7.4 4.1 29.7 85.4 4.5 M M
27000 -34.1 -29.4 260 31 16 6.9 3.8 28.8 83.8 3.9 M M
26000 -32.0 -25.6 260 30 15 7.0 3.8 27.7 81.8 3.0 M M
25000 -30.0 -22.0 255 29 15 7.0 3.8 26.7 80.0 2.2 M M
24000 -27.8 -18.0 250 28 15 8.0 4.4 25.8 78.4 1.5 M M
23000 -25.4 -13.7 250 27 14 8.0 4.4 25.1 77.1 1.0 M M
22000 -23.0 -9.4 245 27 14 8.0 4.4 24.5 76.0 0.5 M M
21000 -20.7 -5.3 245 26 13 7.9 4.3 23.9 75.0 -0.1 1419 7.2
20000 -18.3 -0.9 245 25 13 7.9 4.3 23.2 73.7 -0.7 1319 6.7
19500 -17.1 1.2 245 24 12 7.9 4.3 22.9 73.2 -0.9 1269 6.4
19000 -15.9 3.4 245 23 12 8.0 4.4 22.6 72.7 -1.2 1218 6.2
18500 -14.8 5.4 245 23 12 7.0 3.9 22.2 72.0 -1.5 1170 5.9
18000 -13.2 8.2 250 22 11 7.0 3.9 21.5 70.8 -2.1 1100 5.6
17500 -12.1 10.2 250 22 11 7.7 4.2 21.1 70.0 -2.5 1053 5.3
17000 -11.0 12.2 245 23 12 7.7 4.2 20.8 69.4 -2.9 1004 5.1
16500 -9.9 14.2 245 23 12 7.7 4.2 20.4 68.8 -3.2 956 4.9
16000 -8.8 16.2 245 23 12 7.8 4.3 20.1 68.2 -3.6 907 4.6
15500 -7.6 18.3 245 24 12 7.9 4.3 19.8 67.6 -3.9 858 4.4
15000 -6.4 20.5 245 23 12 8.5 4.7 19.5 67.1 -4.2 807 4.1
14500 -5.2 22.6 250 22 11 8.5 4.7 19.3 66.8 -4.4 755 3.8
14000 -3.9 25.0 255 21 11 8.4 4.6 19.1 66.4 -4.7 703 3.6
13500 -2.7 27.1 260 19 10 8.5 4.7 18.9 66.0 -4.9 651 3.3
13000 -1.4 29.5 270 17 9 8.0 4.4 18.7 65.6 -5.2 599 3.0
12500 -0.2 31.6 280 16 8 7.9 4.4 18.4 65.1 -5.5 549 2.8
12000 1.0 33.8 290 15 8 9.0 4.9 18.2 64.7 -5.7 497 2.5
11500 2.4 36.3 295 14 7 9.0 4.9 18.1 64.5 -5.8 441 2.2
11000 3.6 38.5 300 13 7 9.0 4.9 17.9 64.2 -6.0 388 2.0
10500 5.1 41.2 305 12 6 9.6 5.3 17.8 64.1 -6.1 331 1.7
10250 5.8 42.4 305 11 6 8.9 4.9 17.8 64.1 -6.1 302 1.5
10000 6.4 43.5 310 11 6 8.2 4.5 17.7 63.9 -6.3 276 1.4
9750 7.0 44.6 315 11 6 8.6 4.7 17.6 63.7 -6.4 250 1.3
9500 7.6 45.7 315 11 6 8.1 4.5 17.5 63.5 -6.5 224 1.1
9250 8.3 46.9 320 11 5 9.6 5.2 17.4 63.4 -6.6 197 1.0
9000 9.0 48.2 325 10 5 9.1 5.0 17.4 63.4 -6.6 168 0.9
8750 9.6 49.3 325 10 5 6.9 3.8 17.3 63.1 -6.8 143 0.7
8500 10.1 50.2 330 10 5 7.2 3.9 17.1 62.7 -7.0 120 0.6
8250 10.6 51.1 335 9 5 7.0 3.8 16.9 62.4 -7.2 97 0.5
8000 11.1 52.0 335 8 4 6.5 3.6 16.6 62.0 -7.5 74 0.4
7750 11.6 52.9 340 8 4 5.5 3.0 16.4 61.4 -7.8 54 0.3
7500 12.0 53.6 345 7 3 4.6 2.5 16.0 60.8 -8.2 35 0.2
7250 12.3 54.1 350 6 3 2.9 1.6 15.6 60.0 -8.6 19 0.1
7000 12.4 54.3 355 6 3 0.8 0.5 15.0 58.9 -9.2 8 0.0
6750 12.5 54.5 355 5 3 4.2 2.3 14.4 57.8 -9.9 M M
6500 12.6 54.7 355 5 2 -9.7 -5.3 13.7 56.6 -10.6 M M
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/22/2025 at 0900 MDT | 04/22/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.6 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.7
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +1.1 | CINH... -0.5 K Index... +9.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.6 -78.9 265 65 33 2.4 1.3 | -61.2 -78.2 265 64 33 1.9 1.0
45000 -58.1 -72.6 265 64 33 -1.0 -0.5 | -58.5 -73.3 265 62 32 -1.0 -0.5
40000 -59.3 -74.7 260 55 28 -0.8 -0.4 | -59.7 -75.5 260 52 27 -0.7 -0.4
38000 -57.5 -71.5 260 50 26 4.8 2.6 | -58.0 -72.4 260 47 24 4.7 2.6
36000 -54.6 -66.3 260 44 23 4.8 2.6 | -55.2 -67.4 260 43 22 4.7 2.6
34000 -51.3 -60.3 260 40 20 7.5 4.1 | -51.7 -61.1 260 39 20 8.0 4.4
32000 -46.2 -51.2 260 36 19 7.6 4.2 | -46.3 -51.3 255 37 19 8.1 4.4
30000 -41.4 -42.5 260 34 17 8.3 4.5 | -41.4 -42.5 260 34 18 8.4 4.6
29000 -39.0 -38.2 260 32 17 8.3 4.5 | -38.9 -38.0 260 33 17 8.4 4.6
28000 -36.5 -33.7 260 31 16 8.3 4.5 | -36.3 -33.3 260 32 16 8.4 4.6
27000 -34.1 -29.4 260 30 15 7.5 4.1 | -33.9 -29.0 260 30 15 8.1 4.4
26000 -31.8 -25.2 255 28 14 7.6 4.1 | -31.4 -24.5 260 28 14 8.1 4.4
25000 -29.5 -21.1 255 25 13 7.6 4.2 | -29.0 -20.2 260 25 13 8.1 4.4
24000 -27.3 -17.1 255 23 12 7.4 4.1 | -26.6 -15.9 260 23 12 6.8 3.7
23000 -25.1 -13.2 250 23 12 7.4 4.1 | -24.6 -12.3 250 22 11 6.9 3.8
22000 -22.8 -9.0 245 22 11 7.4 4.1 | -22.5 -8.5 245 21 11 6.9 3.8
21000 -20.6 -5.1 245 21 11 7.9 4.3 | -20.4 -4.7 245 21 11 7.6 4.2
20000 -18.2 -0.8 250 21 11 7.9 4.3 | -18.1 -0.6 245 20 10 7.6 4.2
19500 -17.1 1.2 250 21 11 7.9 4.3 | -17.0 1.4 250 20 10 7.6 4.2
19000 -15.9 3.4 255 21 11 7.9 4.3 | -15.8 3.6 250 19 10 7.6 4.2
18500 -14.2 6.4 255 22 11 7.6 4.2 | -14.2 6.4 255 20 10 7.2 3.9
18000 -13.0 8.6 255 22 11 7.7 4.2 | -13.2 8.2 255 20 10 7.4 4.0
17500 -11.9 10.6 255 23 12 6.8 3.7 | -12.2 10.0 255 21 11 5.4 3.0
17000 -10.9 12.4 255 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -11.4 11.5 255 20 11 5.7 3.1
16500 -9.9 14.2 255 23 12 6.8 3.7 | -10.6 12.9 255 20 10 6.5 3.5
16000 -8.9 16.0 255 23 12 6.8 3.7 | -9.6 14.7 255 18 9 6.9 3.8
15500 -7.9 17.8 255 22 12 6.9 3.8 | -8.6 16.5 255 17 9 7.4 4.1
15000 -6.9 19.6 255 21 11 7.3 4.0 | -7.4 18.7 255 15 8 8.8 4.8
14500 -5.8 21.6 255 20 10 7.3 4.0 | -6.1 21.0 255 14 7 8.8 4.8
14000 -4.7 23.5 255 18 9 8.3 4.6 | -4.7 23.5 255 12 6 9.3 5.1
13500 -3.4 25.9 260 15 8 8.2 4.5 | -3.3 26.1 255 11 6 9.3 5.1
13000 -2.2 28.0 265 13 7 8.5 4.7 | -1.9 28.6 255 10 5 9.5 5.2
12500 -1.0 30.2 275 11 6 8.5 4.7 | -0.5 31.1 255 10 5 9.5 5.2
12000 0.3 32.5 280 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 0.9 33.6 250 9 5 9.8 5.4
11500 1.7 35.1 290 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 2.4 36.3 250 9 4 9.7 5.3
11000 3.0 37.4 295 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 3.8 38.8 250 8 4 9.4 5.2
10500 4.4 39.9 300 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 5.2 41.4 250 7 4 9.4 5.2
10250 5.1 41.2 305 8 4 8.8 4.8 | 5.9 42.6 245 7 3 9.9 5.4
10000 5.8 42.4 305 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 6.7 44.1 245 6 3 9.9 5.4
9750 6.4 43.5 310 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 7.4 45.3 245 6 3 9.6 5.3
9500 7.1 44.8 315 7 4 8.9 4.9 | 8.1 46.6 240 6 3 9.1 5.0
9250 7.8 46.0 315 7 4 9.9 5.4 | 8.8 47.8 240 5 3 11.3 6.2
9000 8.6 47.5 320 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 9.7 49.5 235 5 2 11.2 6.2
8750 9.2 48.6 320 6 3 7.6 4.2 | 10.5 50.9 235 4 2 8.9 4.9
8500 9.8 49.6 320 5 3 7.9 4.3 | 11.1 52.0 230 4 2 9.3 5.1
8250 10.3 50.5 320 5 3 6.6 3.6 | 11.8 53.2 225 4 2 9.8 5.4
8000 10.8 51.4 320 4 2 5.3 2.9 | 12.6 54.7 225 4 2 10.3 5.6
7750 11.1 52.0 320 4 2 4.5 2.4 | 13.4 56.1 220 3 2 9.8 5.4
7500 11.4 52.5 320 3 2 4.1 2.3 | 14.1 57.4 215 3 2 10.0 5.5
7250 11.8 53.2 325 3 1 5.1 2.8 | 14.9 58.8 210 3 2 10.4 5.7
7000 12.2 54.0 335 2 1 5.2 2.9 | 15.7 60.3 205 3 1 10.9 6.0
6750 12.6 54.7 345 2 1 6.6 3.6 | 16.4 61.5 195 3 1 9.7 5.3
6500 13.2 55.8 355 2 1 11.5 6.3 | 17.2 63.0 190 3 1 12.6 6.9
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
04/22/2025 at 1500 MDT | 04/22/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +1.8 LI... 0.0 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.0
CINH... -0.4 K Index... +10.6 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +9.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.1 -78.0 270 65 33 2.1 1.1 | -60.3 -76.5 270 60 31 2.8 1.5
45000 -58.1 -72.6 260 64 33 -1.4 -0.8 | -56.7 -70.1 265 68 35 -2.9 -1.6
40000 -59.9 -75.8 260 52 27 -1.1 -0.6 | -60.3 -76.5 270 58 30 -2.5 -1.4
38000 -58.2 -72.8 260 48 25 4.7 2.6 | -58.8 -73.8 270 53 27 5.2 2.9
36000 -55.4 -67.7 265 44 23 4.7 2.6 | -55.7 -68.3 270 49 25 5.2 2.9
34000 -51.3 -60.3 265 41 21 8.2 4.5 | -51.5 -60.7 270 44 23 8.1 4.5
32000 -46.4 -51.5 260 39 20 8.2 4.5 | -46.6 -51.9 265 41 21 8.1 4.5
30000 -41.4 -42.5 260 36 19 8.4 4.6 | -41.7 -43.1 260 37 19 8.1 4.5
29000 -38.9 -38.0 260 36 18 8.4 4.6 | -39.3 -38.7 260 35 18 8.1 4.5
28000 -36.4 -33.5 255 35 18 8.4 4.6 | -36.9 -34.4 260 34 17 8.1 4.5
27000 -33.9 -29.0 255 33 17 8.1 4.4 | -34.4 -29.9 260 32 16 8.2 4.5
26000 -31.4 -24.5 255 32 16 8.1 4.5 | -32.0 -25.6 260 29 15 8.2 4.5
25000 -29.0 -20.2 250 30 16 8.1 4.5 | -29.5 -21.1 255 27 14 8.2 4.5
24000 -26.6 -15.9 250 29 15 6.9 3.8 | -27.1 -16.8 255 25 13 7.0 3.8
23000 -24.6 -12.3 255 27 14 6.9 3.8 | -25.0 -13.0 255 22 11 7.0 3.8
22000 -22.5 -8.5 255 26 13 6.9 3.8 | -22.9 -9.2 255 19 10 7.0 3.8
21000 -20.5 -4.9 255 23 12 5.8 3.2 | -20.8 -5.4 255 18 9 8.0 4.4
20000 -18.8 -1.8 250 19 10 6.0 3.3 | -17.8 -0.0 260 17 9 8.0 4.4
19500 -17.9 -0.2 245 17 9 6.1 3.3 | -16.7 1.9 260 16 8 8.0 4.4
19000 -17.1 1.2 245 15 8 5.9 3.3 | -15.5 4.1 260 16 8 8.3 4.5
18500 -15.3 4.5 240 14 7 8.8 4.8 | -14.2 6.4 260 16 8 8.6 4.7
18000 -14.0 6.8 235 13 7 8.8 4.8 | -12.9 8.8 255 15 8 8.6 4.7
17500 -12.7 9.1 235 12 6 9.5 5.2 | -11.6 11.1 255 15 8 8.9 4.9
17000 -11.3 11.7 235 12 6 9.4 5.2 | -10.3 13.5 250 15 7 8.9 4.9
16500 -9.8 14.4 235 12 6 9.7 5.3 | -9.0 15.8 245 14 7 9.0 4.9
16000 -8.4 16.9 230 11 6 9.8 5.4 | -7.6 18.3 240 14 7 9.0 5.0
15500 -6.9 19.6 230 11 6 9.7 5.3 | -6.3 20.7 235 13 7 9.1 5.0
15000 -5.5 22.1 230 11 6 9.4 5.2 | -4.9 23.2 230 13 7 9.3 5.1
14500 -4.1 24.6 230 11 6 9.5 5.2 | -3.5 25.7 230 13 7 9.3 5.1
14000 -2.6 27.3 230 11 6 9.8 5.4 | -2.1 28.2 225 13 7 9.4 5.2
13500 -1.2 29.8 230 11 6 9.8 5.4 | -0.7 30.7 225 13 6 9.4 5.1
13000 0.3 32.5 230 11 5 9.7 5.3 | 0.7 33.3 225 12 6 9.8 5.4
12500 1.8 35.2 230 11 5 9.6 5.3 | 2.2 36.0 225 12 6 9.8 5.4
12000 3.2 37.8 230 11 5 9.9 5.5 | 3.7 38.7 225 12 6 10.1 5.5
11500 4.7 40.5 230 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 5.2 41.4 230 12 6 9.8 5.4
11000 6.1 43.0 230 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 6.6 43.9 230 11 6 9.5 5.2
10500 7.6 45.7 235 10 5 10.0 5.5 | 8.0 46.4 230 11 6 9.9 5.4
10250 8.3 46.9 235 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 8.8 47.8 230 11 6 9.0 4.9
10000 9.0 48.2 235 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 9.4 48.9 235 11 6 9.1 5.0
9750 9.7 49.5 235 10 5 10.3 5.6 | 10.2 50.4 235 11 6 10.3 5.7
9500 10.5 50.9 235 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 10.9 51.6 235 11 6 9.6 5.3
9250 11.2 52.2 235 10 5 11.5 6.3 | 11.7 53.1 235 11 6 11.4 6.2
9000 12.1 53.8 235 10 5 10.7 5.9 | 12.5 54.5 240 11 5 10.5 5.8
8750 12.8 55.0 235 10 5 8.5 4.7 | 13.2 55.8 240 11 5 8.4 4.6
8500 13.5 56.3 235 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 13.9 57.0 240 10 5 8.6 4.7
8250 14.1 57.4 235 10 5 9.9 5.4 | 14.5 58.1 240 10 5 9.7 5.3
8000 15.0 59.0 235 10 5 10.9 6.0 | 15.3 59.5 245 10 5 10.7 5.9
7750 15.7 60.3 235 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 16.1 61.0 245 10 5 9.6 5.3
7500 16.4 61.5 235 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 16.8 62.2 245 10 5 9.1 5.0
7250 17.2 63.0 235 10 5 10.4 5.7 | 17.5 63.5 250 10 5 10.2 5.6
7000 18.0 64.4 235 10 5 11.2 6.2 | 18.3 64.9 250 10 5 11.2 6.2
6750 18.8 65.8 235 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 19.1 66.4 250 10 5 9.4 5.2
6500 19.6 67.3 235 9 5 14.1 7.7 | 19.7 67.5 255 9 5 9.3 5.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0720 MDT Tuesday April 22 2025
This forecast is for Tuesday, April 22, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 68.0 F/20.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1223 ft/min (6.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18366 ft MSL (13067 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 77.0 F/25.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14650 ft MSL (9352 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 04/23.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:24:58 / 19:44:49 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 19 min 51 sec (799 min 51 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:54 MDT... 67.41 degrees
Upper air data from rawinsonde observation taken on 04/22/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12403 ft MSL (7104 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18430 ft MSL (13131 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18554 ft MSL (13256 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.1
K index......................... +8.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.5 -80.5 260 69 35 1.0 0.5 94.7 202.4 39.9 M M
45000 -58.4 -73.1 270 69 36 1.0 0.5 75.7 168.3 31.2 M M
40000 -59.5 -75.1 270 60 31 -4.7 -2.6 51.1 123.9 17.2 M M
38000 -58.7 -73.7 260 44 22 4.6 2.5 43.5 110.3 12.5 M M
36000 -55.9 -68.6 265 37 19 6.1 3.4 39.0 102.2 9.7 M M
34000 -51.2 -60.2 270 37 19 7.7 4.2 37.4 99.4 8.9 M M
32000 -45.7 -50.3 265 34 18 8.6 4.7 35.8 96.5 8.0 M M
30000 -40.7 -41.3 260 33 17 8.5 4.7 34.8 94.6 7.4 M M
29000 -38.2 -36.8 260 32 16 8.3 4.6 34.2 93.6 7.0 M M
28000 -35.9 -32.6 260 36 19 7.7 4.2 33.4 92.0 6.4 M M
27000 -33.7 -28.7 260 35 18 7.2 3.9 32.5 90.4 5.8 M M
26000 -31.4 -24.5 265 34 18 6.1 3.3 31.6 88.9 5.2 M M
25000 -29.4 -20.9 255 34 17 6.8 3.7 30.4 86.8 4.4 M M
24000 -27.3 -17.1 250 32 16 8.0 4.4 29.4 84.9 3.5 M M
23000 -24.8 -12.6 250 32 16 8.7 4.8 28.9 84.0 3.2 M M
22000 -22.5 -8.5 255 30 16 7.3 4.0 28.1 82.6 2.6 M M
21000 -20.4 -4.7 255 28 14 7.3 4.0 27.3 81.1 1.9 M M
20000 -18.1 -0.6 255 30 15 8.1 4.4 26.5 79.7 1.2 M M
19500 -16.9 1.6 255 27 14 8.0 4.4 26.2 79.1 1.0 M M
19000 -15.7 3.7 255 28 14 8.2 4.5 25.9 78.6 0.7 M M
18500 -14.6 5.7 250 28 14 5.5 3.0 25.5 77.8 0.3 M M
18000 -13.9 7.0 250 25 13 4.8 2.6 24.6 76.3 -0.4 1203 6.1
17500 -13.2 8.2 250 24 12 6.8 3.7 23.8 74.9 -1.1 1166 5.9
17000 -12.0 10.4 240 29 15 7.8 4.3 23.5 74.3 -1.4 1116 5.7
16500 -10.8 12.6 245 27 14 7.9 4.3 23.2 73.7 -1.7 1067 5.4
16000 -9.1 15.6 240 25 13 8.0 4.4 22.7 72.9 -2.2 992 5.0
15500 -7.9 17.8 245 22 11 8.0 4.4 22.4 72.3 -2.5 942 4.8
15000 -6.8 19.8 250 20 10 8.0 4.4 22.1 71.8 -2.8 893 4.5
14500 -5.5 22.1 250 17 9 8.9 4.9 21.9 71.4 -3.1 841 4.3
14000 -4.2 24.4 245 14 7 9.0 4.9 21.8 71.2 -3.2 786 4.0
13500 -2.8 27.0 255 15 8 9.0 5.0 21.7 71.0 -3.3 730 3.7
13000 -1.5 29.3 265 17 9 9.0 5.0 21.5 70.8 -3.4 674 3.4
12500 -0.1 31.8 275 16 8 9.1 5.0 21.4 70.5 -3.6 619 3.1
12000 1.2 34.2 280 14 7 8.3 4.5 21.2 70.2 -3.8 565 2.9
11500 2.4 36.3 295 13 7 8.6 4.7 21.0 69.8 -4.1 516 2.6
11000 3.7 38.7 305 12 6 8.9 4.9 20.9 69.6 -4.2 461 2.3
10500 5.0 41.0 310 12 6 9.0 4.9 20.7 69.3 -4.4 406 2.1
10250 5.7 42.3 300 14 7 8.8 4.8 20.7 69.2 -4.5 378 1.9
10000 6.3 43.3 300 13 7 8.6 4.7 20.6 69.1 -4.6 352 1.8
9750 7.0 44.6 300 10 5 8.6 4.7 20.5 68.9 -4.7 325 1.7
9500 7.6 45.7 300 10 5 8.6 4.7 20.4 68.8 -4.8 299 1.5
9250 8.3 46.9 295 10 5 8.6 4.7 20.4 68.6 -4.8 272 1.4
9000 8.9 48.0 300 11 6 8.6 4.7 20.3 68.5 -4.9 246 1.2
8750 9.5 49.1 310 11 6 8.6 4.7 20.2 68.3 -5.0 219 1.1
8500 10.2 50.4 315 10 5 8.6 4.7 20.1 68.2 -5.2 193 1.0
8250 10.8 51.4 330 8 4 8.6 4.7 20.0 68.0 -5.3 166 0.8
8000 11.4 52.5 345 7 4 8.6 4.7 19.9 67.9 -5.4 140 0.7
7750 12.1 53.8 350 8 4 8.6 4.7 19.8 67.7 -5.5 113 0.6
7500 12.7 54.9 355 9 5 8.6 4.7 19.7 67.5 -5.6 87 0.4
7250 13.4 56.1 350 10 5 9.2 5.0 19.7 67.4 -5.7 59 0.3
7000 14.1 57.4 360 12 6 8.4 4.6 19.6 67.3 -5.7 31 0.2
6750 14.6 58.3 360 12 6 6.5 3.6 19.4 67.0 -5.9 8 0.0
6500 15.0 59.0 005 11 6 5.2 2.8 19.2 66.5 -6.2 M M
6250 15.4 59.7 010 10 5 8.2 4.5 18.9 66.0 -6.6 M M
6000 15.8 60.4 010 11 6 -2.2 -1.2 18.6 65.5 -6.9 M M
5750 14.7 58.5 010 13 6 -24.1 -13.2 16.8 62.2 -8.8 M M
5500 12.6 54.7 010 13 7 -29.2 -16.0 13.9 57.0 -11.7 32 0.2
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/22/2025 at 0900 MDT | 04/22/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.4 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.2
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +4.5 | CINH... -0.5 K Index... +3.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.3 -78.3 265 65 34 2.1 1.1 | -61.2 -78.2 265 63 32 1.9 1.0
45000 -58.4 -73.1 265 64 33 -1.0 -0.6 | -58.5 -73.3 265 60 31 -1.0 -0.5
40000 -59.7 -75.5 260 51 26 -0.8 -0.4 | -59.8 -75.6 260 49 25 -0.7 -0.4
38000 -57.8 -72.0 260 47 24 5.2 2.8 | -57.9 -72.2 260 45 23 4.9 2.7
36000 -54.7 -66.5 260 43 22 5.2 2.8 | -54.9 -66.8 260 42 22 4.9 2.7
34000 -51.0 -59.8 255 39 20 7.6 4.2 | -51.4 -60.5 260 40 20 7.8 4.3
32000 -46.4 -51.5 260 36 18 7.6 4.2 | -46.7 -52.1 255 38 19 7.8 4.3
30000 -41.7 -43.1 260 33 17 8.4 4.6 | -41.9 -43.4 255 36 18 8.4 4.6
29000 -39.2 -38.6 260 33 17 8.4 4.6 | -39.3 -38.7 255 35 18 8.4 4.6
28000 -36.6 -33.9 260 32 17 8.4 4.6 | -36.2 -33.2 260 33 17 8.4 4.6
27000 -33.6 -28.5 260 31 16 7.7 4.2 | -33.7 -28.7 260 32 16 7.9 4.3
26000 -31.3 -24.3 260 29 15 7.7 4.2 | -31.3 -24.3 255 29 15 7.9 4.3
25000 -28.9 -20.0 255 27 14 7.7 4.2 | -28.9 -20.0 255 26 13 7.9 4.3
24000 -26.7 -16.1 255 25 13 6.7 3.7 | -26.6 -15.9 255 24 12 7.0 3.9
23000 -24.7 -12.5 255 24 13 6.8 3.7 | -24.5 -12.1 250 23 12 7.1 3.9
22000 -22.6 -8.7 255 24 12 6.8 3.7 | -22.4 -8.3 245 22 11 7.1 3.9
21000 -20.5 -4.9 250 23 12 7.5 4.1 | -20.2 -4.4 240 21 11 7.3 4.0
20000 -18.2 -0.8 255 23 12 7.5 4.1 | -18.0 -0.4 245 20 10 7.3 4.0
19500 -17.1 1.2 255 23 12 7.5 4.1 | -16.9 1.6 245 19 10 7.3 4.0
19000 -16.0 3.2 255 23 12 7.5 4.1 | -15.8 3.6 245 19 10 7.3 4.0
18500 -14.9 5.2 255 23 12 7.3 4.0 | -14.7 5.5 245 18 9 7.2 4.0
18000 -13.8 7.2 250 23 12 7.3 4.0 | -13.6 7.5 250 18 9 7.3 4.0
17500 -12.7 9.1 250 23 12 7.1 3.9 | -12.6 9.3 250 18 10 7.0 3.9
17000 -11.7 10.9 250 23 12 7.1 3.9 | -11.5 11.3 250 19 10 7.0 3.8
16500 -10.6 12.9 250 23 12 7.1 3.9 | -10.5 13.1 245 19 10 7.1 3.9
16000 -9.6 14.7 250 22 11 7.2 4.0 | -9.4 15.1 245 18 9 7.3 4.0
15500 -8.5 16.7 250 21 11 7.2 4.0 | -8.3 17.1 245 18 9 7.3 4.0
15000 -7.4 18.7 255 20 10 7.6 4.2 | -7.2 19.0 245 18 9 8.3 4.6
14500 -6.3 20.7 255 18 9 7.5 4.1 | -6.0 21.2 245 17 9 8.3 4.5
14000 -5.1 22.8 255 17 9 8.1 4.5 | -4.7 23.5 245 16 8 8.3 4.6
13500 -3.9 25.0 260 14 7 8.2 4.5 | -3.5 25.7 240 15 7 8.3 4.6
13000 -2.7 27.1 260 12 6 8.5 4.7 | -2.2 28.0 240 13 7 8.8 4.8
12500 -1.5 29.3 265 10 5 8.6 4.7 | -0.9 30.4 240 12 6 8.9 4.9
12000 -0.2 31.6 275 8 4 9.2 5.0 | 0.4 32.7 235 10 5 9.1 5.0
11500 1.3 34.3 280 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 1.8 35.2 235 9 5 9.1 5.0
11000 2.7 36.9 285 6 3 9.2 5.0 | 3.1 37.6 230 8 4 9.0 4.9
10500 4.0 39.2 285 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 4.5 40.1 225 6 3 9.2 5.0
10250 4.7 40.5 290 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 5.2 41.4 220 6 3 9.7 5.3
10000 5.4 41.7 290 5 3 9.0 4.9 | 5.9 42.6 220 6 3 9.3 5.1
9750 6.1 43.0 295 5 2 8.4 4.6 | 7.2 45.0 220 5 2 9.1 5.0
9500 6.7 44.1 300 5 2 8.6 4.7 | 7.9 46.2 220 4 2 9.6 5.3
9250 8.0 46.4 310 4 2 8.8 4.8 | 8.7 47.7 220 4 2 9.6 5.3
9000 8.7 47.7 310 3 2 8.3 4.5 | 9.4 48.9 220 4 2 9.2 5.1
8750 9.3 48.7 315 3 1 9.1 5.0 | 10.1 50.2 225 3 2 9.7 5.3
8500 10.0 50.0 325 3 1 6.4 3.5 | 10.8 51.4 225 3 1 8.2 4.5
8250 10.3 50.5 330 3 1 5.7 3.1 | 11.3 52.3 230 3 1 8.6 4.7
8000 10.9 51.6 330 2 1 7.7 4.2 | 12.1 53.8 235 3 1 10.3 5.7
7750 11.4 52.5 335 2 1 7.4 4.1 | 12.8 55.0 240 2 1 9.9 5.4
7500 11.9 53.4 345 1 1 4.6 2.5 | 13.6 56.5 245 2 1 9.4 5.1
7250 12.2 54.0 355 1 1 3.6 2.0 | 14.3 57.7 250 2 1 9.8 5.4
7000 12.5 54.5 360 1 1 5.4 3.0 | 15.0 59.0 255 2 1 10.8 5.9
6750 12.9 55.2 010 1 0 5.0 2.7 | 15.8 60.4 260 2 1 10.4 5.7
6500 13.3 55.9 015 1 0 4.9 2.7 | 16.6 61.9 260 2 1 10.6 5.8
6250 13.6 56.5 020 1 0 6.2 3.4 | 17.4 63.3 265 2 1 9.4 5.1
6000 14.3 57.7 015 1 0 12.2 6.7 | 18.1 64.6 270 2 1 12.7 7.0
5750 15.5 59.9 005 1 0 21.8 11.9 | 20.1 68.2 275 3 1 47.5 26.1
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
04/22/2025 at 1500 MDT | 04/22/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.7 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.8
CINH... -0.4 K Index... +9.7 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +10.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.7 -77.3 265 64 33 1.6 0.9 | -60.3 -76.5 270 65 33 0.7 0.4
45000 -58.3 -72.9 260 66 34 -1.6 -0.9 | -59.4 -74.9 265 73 38 -1.5 -0.8
40000 -60.2 -76.4 260 51 26 -1.3 -0.7 | -61.5 -78.7 265 48 25 -1.2 -0.7
38000 -58.6 -73.5 260 47 24 5.0 2.8 | -59.0 -74.2 265 43 22 6.4 3.5
36000 -55.6 -68.1 265 44 23 5.0 2.8 | -55.1 -67.2 270 39 20 6.4 3.5
34000 -51.4 -60.5 265 41 21 8.1 4.4 | -51.0 -59.8 270 37 19 7.7 4.2
32000 -46.6 -51.9 260 39 20 8.1 4.4 | -46.4 -51.5 265 36 18 7.7 4.2
30000 -41.7 -43.1 255 36 19 8.3 4.6 | -41.6 -42.9 260 34 18 8.5 4.7
29000 -39.2 -38.6 255 35 18 8.4 4.6 | -39.0 -38.2 260 33 17 8.5 4.7
28000 -36.8 -34.2 255 34 17 8.4 4.6 | -35.9 -32.6 260 31 16 8.5 4.7
27000 -34.3 -29.7 255 32 16 8.3 4.6 | -33.3 -27.9 260 30 15 8.5 4.7
26000 -31.7 -25.1 255 30 15 8.3 4.6 | -30.8 -23.4 260 29 15 8.5 4.7
25000 -29.2 -20.6 250 28 14 8.4 4.6 | -28.2 -18.8 260 28 15 8.5 4.7
24000 -26.8 -16.2 250 26 13 7.4 4.1 | -25.8 -14.4 260 28 14 6.3 3.4
23000 -24.6 -12.3 250 23 12 7.3 4.0 | -23.9 -11.0 260 28 14 6.5 3.5
22000 -21.8 -7.2 250 21 11 7.3 4.0 | -22.0 -7.6 260 28 15 6.5 3.6
21000 -19.6 -3.3 255 19 10 7.5 4.1 | -20.1 -4.2 260 28 14 6.6 3.6
20000 -17.4 0.7 255 19 10 7.6 4.1 | -18.1 -0.6 260 27 14 6.7 3.7
19500 -16.2 2.8 255 19 10 7.6 4.1 | -17.2 1.0 260 26 14 6.7 3.7
19000 -15.1 4.8 255 18 9 7.4 4.1 | -16.2 2.8 265 26 13 6.9 3.8
18500 -14.1 6.6 255 18 9 7.0 3.8 | -15.0 5.0 260 24 13 9.1 5.0
18000 -13.1 8.4 255 17 9 7.1 3.9 | -13.6 7.5 260 23 12 8.9 4.9
17500 -12.0 10.4 255 16 8 7.1 3.9 | -12.3 9.9 260 21 11 9.3 5.1
17000 -11.0 12.2 250 16 8 7.1 3.9 | -10.9 12.4 260 19 10 9.3 5.1
16500 -10.0 14.0 250 15 8 7.3 4.0 | -9.5 14.9 255 18 9 9.2 5.1
16000 -8.9 16.0 245 14 7 7.6 4.2 | -8.1 17.4 250 16 8 9.2 4.9
15500 -7.8 18.0 240 13 7 7.7 4.2 | -6.8 19.8 245 15 8 8.9 4.9
15000 -6.5 20.3 240 12 6 8.6 4.7 | -5.4 22.3 240 14 7 9.2 5.1
14500 -5.3 22.5 235 11 6 8.4 4.6 | -4.0 24.8 235 12 6 9.2 5.0
14000 -4.0 24.8 230 10 5 9.3 5.1 | -2.6 27.3 225 12 6 9.3 5.1
13500 -2.6 27.3 230 10 5 9.3 5.1 | -1.3 29.7 220 11 6 9.3 5.1
13000 -1.2 29.8 230 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 0.1 32.2 210 11 6 9.4 5.2
12500 0.2 32.4 225 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 1.6 34.9 205 10 5 9.5 5.2
12000 1.7 35.1 225 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 3.0 37.4 195 10 5 9.6 5.3
11500 3.1 37.6 225 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 4.4 39.9 190 10 5 9.6 5.3
11000 4.6 40.3 225 9 4 9.7 5.3 | 5.9 42.6 185 11 5 9.5 5.2
10500 6.0 42.8 220 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 7.3 45.1 180 11 5 9.5 5.2
10250 6.7 44.1 225 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 8.0 46.4 180 11 5 9.4 5.2
10000 7.5 45.5 225 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 9.5 49.1 175 11 6 10.3 5.6
9750 8.2 46.8 225 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 10.2 50.4 170 11 6 9.9 5.4
9500 8.9 48.0 220 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 11.0 51.8 170 11 6 9.0 4.9
9250 9.6 49.3 220 7 4 9.4 5.2 | 11.6 52.9 170 11 6 9.0 4.9
9000 10.3 50.5 225 7 4 9.4 5.2 | 12.3 54.1 170 11 6 9.6 5.3
8750 11.8 53.2 220 7 4 9.3 5.1 | 13.0 55.4 165 11 6 9.2 5.0
8500 12.5 54.5 220 7 3 10.4 5.7 | 13.7 56.7 165 11 6 10.3 5.7
8250 13.3 55.9 225 7 3 10.6 5.8 | 14.6 58.3 165 11 6 10.5 5.8
8000 14.0 57.2 225 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 15.3 59.5 165 11 6 9.4 5.2
7750 14.8 58.6 225 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 16.0 60.8 160 11 6 9.8 5.4
7500 15.5 59.9 225 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 16.7 62.1 160 11 6 9.2 5.1
7250 16.2 61.2 220 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 17.4 63.3 160 11 6 9.4 5.2
7000 17.0 62.6 225 5 3 10.6 5.8 | 18.2 64.8 160 11 6 10.1 5.5
6750 17.7 63.9 225 5 3 10.5 5.7 | 18.9 66.0 155 11 6 9.9 5.4
6500 18.5 65.3 225 5 2 9.9 5.4 | 19.6 67.3 155 11 6 10.1 5.6
6250 19.3 66.7 225 4 2 13.8 7.6 | 20.5 68.9 155 11 5 12.2 6.7
6000 20.7 69.3 225 4 2 21.7 11.9 | 21.5 70.7 150 10 5 15.2 8.3
5750 22.0 71.6 225 4 2 7.3 4.0 | 22.5 72.5 150 9 5 10.1 5.6
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, at approximately 730 AM and 730 PM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0720 MDT Tuesday April 22 2025
This forecast is for Tuesday, April 22, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 61.3 F/16.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1376 ft/min (7.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20972 ft MSL (14517 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 74.0 F/23.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1015 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17390 ft MSL (10935 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 04/23.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:22:03 / 19:43:31 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 21 min 28 sec (801 min 28 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:02:47 MDT... 66.86 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 04/22/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12036 ft MSL (5581 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 20253 ft MSL (13798 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 20737 ft MSL (14282 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.0
K index......................... +6.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.7 -77.3 265 62 32 1.8 1.0 91.4 196.6 39.7 M M
45000 -58.2 -72.8 265 70 36 -1.1 -0.6 73.1 163.6 30.9 M M
40000 -61.2 -78.2 265 55 28 -1.8 -1.0 44.4 111.9 14.1 M M
38000 -59.0 -74.2 265 49 25 6.2 3.4 38.9 102.0 10.7 M M
36000 -55.3 -67.5 260 44 22 6.2 3.4 35.8 96.5 8.8 M M
34000 -51.2 -60.2 260 39 20 8.0 4.4 33.5 92.3 7.4 M M
32000 -46.4 -51.5 260 37 19 8.0 4.4 32.0 89.6 6.4 M M
30000 -41.7 -43.1 265 36 19 7.6 4.2 30.7 87.2 5.5 M M
29000 -39.4 -38.9 260 36 18 7.6 4.2 29.7 85.5 4.9 M M
28000 -37.1 -34.8 260 36 18 7.6 4.2 29.0 84.2 4.4 M M
27000 -34.3 -29.7 260 35 18 7.6 4.2 28.0 82.4 3.7 M M
26000 -32.0 -25.6 260 34 18 7.6 4.2 27.1 80.8 3.0 M M
25000 -29.7 -21.5 260 33 17 7.6 4.2 26.4 79.5 2.4 M M
24000 -27.4 -17.3 260 32 17 7.7 4.2 25.6 78.2 1.9 M M
23000 -25.1 -13.2 260 32 16 7.7 4.2 24.8 76.7 1.2 M M
22000 -22.8 -9.0 260 31 16 7.7 4.2 24.1 75.5 0.7 M M
21000 -20.6 -5.1 260 31 16 7.2 4.0 23.4 74.1 0.0 M M
20000 -18.4 -1.1 260 30 15 7.2 4.0 22.4 72.4 -0.8 1282 6.5
19500 -17.3 0.9 255 29 15 7.2 4.0 22.0 71.7 -1.2 1235 6.3
19000 -16.2 2.8 255 29 15 7.3 4.0 21.6 71.0 -1.5 1188 6.0
18500 -15.2 4.6 255 28 15 6.8 3.7 21.2 70.1 -2.0 1142 5.8
18000 -14.2 6.4 255 28 15 6.8 3.8 20.7 69.2 -2.4 1097 5.6
17500 -13.2 8.2 250 28 15 7.0 3.9 20.2 68.4 -2.9 1052 5.3
17000 -12.1 10.2 250 28 14 7.1 3.9 19.7 67.5 -3.3 1006 5.1
16500 -11.1 12.0 250 28 14 7.2 4.0 19.3 66.8 -3.7 959 4.9
16000 -10.0 14.0 250 27 14 7.5 4.1 18.9 66.0 -4.2 912 4.6
15500 -8.9 16.0 250 26 13 7.5 4.1 18.5 65.4 -4.6 865 4.4
15000 -7.8 18.0 255 24 12 7.8 4.3 18.2 64.7 -4.9 817 4.2
14500 -6.7 19.9 255 22 11 7.8 4.3 17.9 64.2 -5.3 768 3.9
14000 -5.5 22.1 260 20 11 8.6 4.7 17.6 63.7 -5.6 718 3.6
13500 -4.2 24.4 265 19 10 8.7 4.8 17.4 63.4 -5.8 664 3.4
13000 -2.9 26.8 275 18 9 8.9 4.9 17.3 63.1 -6.0 611 3.1
12500 -1.6 29.1 280 18 9 8.9 4.9 17.1 62.9 -6.2 556 2.8
12000 -0.2 31.6 285 17 9 9.0 5.0 17.0 62.6 -6.3 501 2.5
11500 1.2 34.2 290 17 9 9.1 5.0 16.9 62.5 -6.4 445 2.3
11000 3.2 37.8 300 16 8 8.9 4.9 16.8 62.2 -6.6 362 1.8
10500 4.5 40.1 305 15 8 8.6 4.7 16.6 61.9 -6.8 307 1.6
10250 5.2 41.4 305 15 8 8.7 4.8 16.5 61.8 -6.9 280 1.4
10000 5.8 42.4 305 14 7 9.2 5.0 16.5 61.6 -7.0 252 1.3
9750 6.5 43.7 305 13 7 9.0 4.9 16.4 61.5 -7.0 225 1.1
9500 7.2 45.0 305 12 6 9.2 5.1 16.4 61.5 -7.1 197 1.0
9250 7.9 46.2 305 11 6 8.5 4.7 16.3 61.4 -7.2 169 0.9
9000 8.5 47.3 310 10 5 7.5 4.1 16.2 61.1 -7.3 144 0.7
8750 9.0 48.2 310 8 4 7.7 4.2 16.0 60.8 -7.5 119 0.6
8500 9.6 49.3 315 7 4 7.1 3.9 15.8 60.5 -7.7 95 0.5
8250 10.1 50.2 320 6 3 4.9 2.7 15.6 60.0 -8.0 74 0.4
8000 10.4 50.7 330 6 3 3.1 1.7 15.1 59.2 -8.4 57 0.3
7750 10.6 51.1 345 5 3 3.1 1.7 14.6 58.3 -8.9 43 0.2
7500 10.8 51.4 360 5 3 2.2 1.2 14.1 57.4 -9.5 29 0.1
7250 10.9 51.6 005 5 3 0.0 0.0 13.4 56.2 -10.1 19 0.1
7000 11.0 51.8 010 5 3 2.6 1.4 12.7 54.9 -10.9 10 0.1
6750 11.0 51.8 015 5 3 -8.6 -4.7 12.0 53.6 -11.6 3 0.0
6500 7.6 45.7 025 5 2 -99.0 -54.3 7.9 46.2 -15.7 97 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
04/22/2025 at 0900 MDT | 04/22/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.5 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.6
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -0.8 | CINH... -0.5 K Index... +3.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.8 -77.4 265 62 32 1.9 1.1 | -60.8 -77.4 265 61 31 1.7 0.9
45000 -58.1 -72.6 265 65 34 -0.7 -0.4 | -58.4 -73.1 265 60 31 -0.7 -0.4
40000 -60.7 -77.3 265 50 26 -1.6 -0.9 | -60.9 -77.6 265 46 24 -1.5 -0.8
38000 -58.7 -73.7 260 47 24 5.7 3.1 | -58.8 -73.8 260 45 23 5.7 3.1
36000 -55.2 -67.4 260 46 23 5.7 3.1 | -55.4 -67.7 260 45 23 5.7 3.1
34000 -51.4 -60.5 260 43 22 7.7 4.3 | -51.5 -60.7 260 44 23 7.7 4.2
32000 -46.8 -52.2 260 39 20 7.8 4.3 | -46.9 -52.4 255 41 21 7.7 4.2
30000 -42.0 -43.6 260 35 18 8.1 4.5 | -42.2 -44.0 255 37 19 8.1 4.5
29000 -39.6 -39.3 260 35 18 8.1 4.5 | -39.8 -39.6 255 35 18 8.1 4.5
28000 -37.2 -35.0 260 34 18 8.2 4.5 | -36.8 -34.2 255 33 17 8.1 4.5
27000 -34.2 -29.6 260 33 17 7.3 4.0 | -34.3 -29.7 255 31 16 8.0 4.4
26000 -32.0 -25.6 260 31 16 7.4 4.0 | -31.9 -25.4 255 30 15 8.0 4.4
25000 -29.8 -21.6 260 29 15 7.4 4.0 | -29.6 -21.3 255 28 15 8.0 4.4
24000 -27.5 -17.5 260 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -27.2 -17.0 255 27 14 7.5 4.1
23000 -25.2 -13.4 260 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -24.9 -12.8 255 26 13 7.5 4.1
22000 -22.9 -9.2 255 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -22.6 -8.7 255 25 13 7.5 4.1
21000 -20.6 -5.1 255 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -20.4 -4.7 255 24 12 7.2 4.0
20000 -18.3 -0.9 255 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -18.3 -0.9 255 24 12 7.2 4.0
19500 -17.1 1.2 260 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -17.2 1.0 255 23 12 7.2 4.0
19000 -16.0 3.2 260 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -16.1 3.0 255 23 12 7.2 4.0
18500 -14.8 5.4 260 28 14 7.4 4.1 | -15.0 5.0 260 23 12 7.3 4.0
18000 -13.7 7.3 260 27 14 7.4 4.1 | -13.9 7.0 260 23 12 7.3 4.0
17500 -12.6 9.3 260 27 14 7.1 3.9 | -12.9 8.8 260 23 12 7.3 4.0
17000 -11.6 11.1 260 27 14 7.0 3.8 | -11.8 10.8 260 22 11 7.3 4.0
16500 -10.5 13.1 260 26 13 6.9 3.8 | -10.7 12.7 265 21 11 7.4 4.0
16000 -9.6 14.7 260 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -9.6 14.7 265 20 10 7.6 4.1
15500 -8.6 16.5 260 24 13 6.6 3.6 | -8.5 16.7 265 19 10 7.6 4.1
15000 -7.6 18.3 260 23 12 7.2 4.0 | -7.4 18.7 265 18 9 7.8 4.3
14500 -6.5 20.3 260 22 11 7.2 3.9 | -6.2 20.8 265 16 8 7.8 4.3
14000 -5.5 22.1 260 20 11 7.7 4.2 | -5.1 22.8 265 15 8 8.3 4.5
13500 -4.3 24.3 265 18 9 7.8 4.3 | -3.9 25.0 265 13 7 8.3 4.6
13000 -3.2 26.2 275 16 8 8.6 4.7 | -2.6 27.3 265 12 6 8.9 4.9
12500 -1.8 28.8 280 15 8 9.0 4.9 | -1.2 29.8 265 11 6 9.1 5.0
12000 -0.5 31.1 290 14 7 9.2 5.0 | 0.1 32.2 265 10 5 9.5 5.2
11500 0.9 33.6 300 14 7 9.3 5.1 | 2.3 36.1 265 9 5 8.9 4.9
11000 2.9 37.2 305 13 7 8.8 4.8 | 3.6 38.5 265 8 4 9.7 5.3
10500 4.3 39.7 310 12 6 9.0 4.9 | 5.1 41.2 260 8 4 9.9 5.4
10250 5.0 41.0 315 11 6 9.1 5.0 | 5.8 42.4 260 8 4 10.0 5.5
10000 5.6 42.1 315 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 6.5 43.7 260 7 4 9.7 5.3
9750 6.3 43.3 320 10 5 9.1 5.0 | 7.3 45.1 260 7 4 9.8 5.4
9500 7.0 44.6 320 10 5 8.7 4.8 | 8.0 46.4 260 7 4 9.6 5.3
9250 7.6 45.7 320 9 4 7.7 4.2 | 8.7 47.7 260 7 3 9.6 5.3
9000 8.1 46.6 325 8 4 7.3 4.0 | 9.5 49.1 260 7 3 9.9 5.4
8750 8.7 47.7 330 7 4 7.9 4.3 | 10.2 50.4 260 7 3 9.8 5.4
8500 9.3 48.7 335 7 4 6.3 3.5 | 10.9 51.6 260 6 3 9.9 5.4
8250 9.6 49.3 345 6 3 4.0 2.2 | 11.7 53.1 260 6 3 10.3 5.6
8000 10.0 50.0 355 6 3 5.3 2.9 | 12.5 54.5 255 6 3 10.4 5.7
7750 10.4 50.7 355 6 3 6.7 3.7 | 13.2 55.8 255 6 3 10.5 5.8
7500 10.9 51.6 360 5 3 5.3 2.9 | 14.0 57.2 255 6 3 10.3 5.7
7250 11.2 52.2 360 5 3 4.1 2.2 | 14.8 58.6 255 6 3 10.6 5.8
7000 11.6 52.9 360 5 2 6.0 3.3 | 15.6 60.1 255 6 3 9.2 5.0
6750 12.2 54.0 360 4 2 12.2 6.7 | 16.3 61.3 255 5 3 13.5 7.4
6500 13.6 56.5 355 4 2 27.2 14.9 | 18.6 65.5 255 5 3 58.9 32.3
04/22/2025 at 1500 MDT | 04/22/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.9 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.5
CINH... -0.4 K Index... +7.3 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +12.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.0 -77.8 270 63 33 1.7 0.9 | -60.8 -77.4 275 58 30 2.3 1.3
45000 -58.6 -73.5 265 63 33 -0.6 -0.3 | -57.5 -71.5 265 64 33 -2.2 -1.2
40000 -60.6 -77.1 260 44 23 -1.2 -0.7 | -60.3 -76.5 265 54 28 -1.8 -1.0
38000 -58.6 -73.5 265 42 22 5.5 3.0 | -58.7 -73.7 265 51 26 4.9 2.7
36000 -55.4 -67.7 265 43 22 5.5 3.0 | -55.7 -68.3 265 47 24 4.9 2.7
34000 -51.6 -60.9 265 44 23 7.7 4.2 | -52.2 -62.0 265 44 23 7.8 4.3
32000 -47.0 -52.6 260 43 22 7.7 4.2 | -47.5 -53.5 265 42 22 7.8 4.3
30000 -42.3 -44.1 255 41 21 8.2 4.5 | -42.7 -44.9 260 39 20 8.2 4.5
29000 -39.8 -39.6 260 39 20 8.2 4.5 | -39.7 -39.5 260 36 19 8.2 4.5
28000 -36.7 -34.1 260 37 19 8.2 4.5 | -37.2 -35.0 260 34 17 8.2 4.5
27000 -34.3 -29.7 260 35 18 7.9 4.3 | -34.7 -30.5 260 31 16 8.2 4.5
26000 -31.9 -25.4 255 32 17 7.9 4.3 | -32.2 -26.0 260 29 15 8.2 4.5
25000 -29.6 -21.3 255 30 15 7.9 4.3 | -29.8 -21.6 260 26 13 8.2 4.5
24000 -27.3 -17.1 255 27 14 7.1 3.9 | -27.3 -17.1 265 23 12 7.6 4.2
23000 -25.1 -13.2 255 25 13 7.2 4.0 | -25.0 -13.0 265 20 10 7.7 4.2
22000 -22.9 -9.2 255 24 12 7.2 4.0 | -22.8 -9.0 265 17 9 7.7 4.2
21000 -20.7 -5.3 255 22 11 8.0 4.4 | -20.4 -4.7 265 15 8 8.0 4.4
20000 -18.3 -0.9 255 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -18.1 -0.6 265 15 8 8.0 4.4
19500 -17.1 1.2 255 19 10 8.0 4.4 | -16.9 1.6 265 15 8 8.0 4.4
19000 -15.9 3.4 260 18 9 8.0 4.4 | -15.7 3.7 270 15 8 8.0 4.4
18500 -14.7 5.5 260 17 9 7.9 4.4 | -14.5 5.9 270 15 8 7.8 4.3
18000 -13.6 7.5 260 16 8 8.0 4.4 | -13.4 7.9 270 15 8 7.8 4.3
17500 -12.4 9.7 260 15 8 7.6 4.2 | -12.2 10.0 270 15 8 8.4 4.6
17000 -11.3 11.7 260 14 7 7.6 4.2 | -10.9 12.4 270 14 7 8.7 4.8
16500 -10.2 13.6 260 13 7 7.8 4.3 | -9.6 14.7 270 13 7 8.8 4.8
16000 -9.0 15.8 255 12 6 8.3 4.5 | -8.3 17.1 270 13 6 9.0 4.9
15500 -7.8 18.0 255 11 6 8.2 4.5 | -6.9 19.6 270 12 6 9.0 4.9
15000 -6.5 20.3 250 11 6 9.1 5.0 | -5.6 21.9 265 11 6 8.8 4.8
14500 -5.2 22.6 250 11 5 9.0 4.9 | -4.3 24.3 260 11 6 8.8 4.8
14000 -3.8 25.2 245 11 5 9.5 5.2 | -3.0 26.6 255 11 6 8.9 4.9
13500 -2.4 27.7 245 11 5 9.5 5.2 | -1.7 28.9 250 10 5 8.9 4.9
13000 -1.0 30.2 245 11 5 9.6 5.3 | -0.3 31.5 245 10 5 9.2 5.0
12500 0.5 32.9 245 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 1.8 35.2 240 10 5 9.4 5.1
12000 1.9 35.4 240 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 3.2 37.8 240 10 5 9.6 5.3
11500 4.1 39.4 240 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 4.6 40.3 235 9 5 9.3 5.1
11000 5.5 41.9 240 11 6 9.9 5.4 | 6.1 43.0 235 10 5 9.9 5.4
10500 7.0 44.6 240 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 7.6 45.7 235 9 5 9.7 5.3
10250 7.7 45.9 240 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 8.3 46.9 235 10 5 9.7 5.3
10000 8.4 47.1 240 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 9.0 48.2 235 10 5 10.0 5.5
9750 9.2 48.6 240 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 9.8 49.6 230 10 5 10.1 5.6
9500 9.9 49.8 240 12 6 9.9 5.5 | 10.5 50.9 230 10 5 9.3 5.1
9250 10.6 51.1 240 12 6 9.9 5.5 | 11.2 52.2 230 10 5 9.0 5.0
9000 11.4 52.5 240 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 11.9 53.4 230 10 5 9.8 5.4
8750 12.1 53.8 240 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 12.6 54.7 230 10 5 9.5 5.2
8500 12.9 55.2 240 13 7 9.9 5.4 | 13.3 55.9 230 10 5 9.8 5.4
8250 13.6 56.5 240 13 7 10.2 5.6 | 14.1 57.4 230 10 5 10.3 5.7
8000 14.4 57.9 240 13 7 10.4 5.7 | 14.9 58.8 230 10 5 10.1 5.5
7750 15.2 59.4 240 13 7 10.4 5.7 | 15.6 60.1 230 10 5 9.6 5.2
7500 15.9 60.6 240 13 7 10.3 5.7 | 16.3 61.3 230 10 5 9.9 5.5
7250 16.7 62.1 240 13 7 10.7 5.9 | 17.1 62.8 230 9 5 10.4 5.7
7000 17.5 63.5 240 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 17.9 64.2 230 9 5 12.3 6.8
6750 18.3 64.9 240 13 6 15.5 8.5 | 18.9 66.0 230 9 4 15.1 8.3
6500 20.9 69.6 240 12 6 67.7 37.2 | 19.9 67.8 230 8 4 10.3 5.6
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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