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Latest Soaring Forecasts
 

Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0823 MDT Saturday October 11 2025

This forecast is for Saturday, October 11, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 68.7 F/20.4 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 98 ft/min (0.5 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 12357 ft MSL (6031 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 72.0 F/22.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1200 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1200 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 8733 ft MSL (2408 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/12....... Good


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:07:08 / 18:34:02 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 26 min 54 sec (686 min 54 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:50:35 MDT... 47.63 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/11/2025 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 16188 ft MSL (9862 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12946 ft MSL (6620 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 12655 ft MSL (6329 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.6
K index......................... +23.7

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -70.1 -94.2   265   34   18   4.4   2.4   70.4 158.7    28.5      M    M
 45000  -61.4 -78.5   260   41   21   7.6   4.2   60.2 140.4    24.2      M    M
 40000  -49.8 -57.6   265   47   24   8.6   4.7   56.1 133.0    23.0      M    M
 38000  -44.6 -48.3   260   45   23   8.6   4.7   54.9 130.9    22.8      M    M
 36000  -39.5 -39.1   260   44   23   8.6   4.7   54.3 129.8    22.9      M    M
 34000  -35.0 -31.0   255   40   21   7.3   4.0   52.1 125.8    21.9      M    M
 32000  -30.2 -22.4   250   35   18   7.3   4.0   50.2 122.3    21.0      M    M
 30000  -26.8 -16.2   245   31   16   5.5   3.0   46.7 116.1    18.8      M    M
 29000  -25.2 -13.4   240   29   15   5.6   3.1   45.2 113.3    17.7      M    M
 28000  -23.6 -10.5   240   27   14   6.4   3.5   43.8 110.8    16.8      M    M
 27000  -21.6  -6.9   240   31   16   6.6   3.6   42.5 108.4    15.9      M    M
 26000  -19.6  -3.3   240   34   18   6.6   3.6   41.3 106.3    15.2      M    M
 25000  -17.6   0.3   240   37   19   6.6   3.6   40.2 104.4    14.5      M    M
 24000  -15.6   3.9   240   37   19   6.7   3.7   39.1 102.3    13.6      M    M
 23000  -13.7   7.3   240   36   19   6.8   3.7   38.0 100.3    12.8      M    M
 22000  -11.8  10.8   240   35   18   6.9   3.8   37.0  98.6    12.0      M    M
 21000   -9.8  14.4   240   35   18   6.7   3.7   35.9  96.6    11.1      M    M
 20000   -7.9  17.8   240   35   18   6.7   3.7   34.8  94.6    10.2      M    M
 19500   -6.9  19.6   240   35   18   6.7   3.7   34.3  93.8     9.8      M    M
 19000   -6.0  21.2   240   34   18   6.5   3.6   33.8  92.9     9.4      M    M
 18500   -4.6  23.7   240   33   17   6.4   3.5   32.9  91.3     8.7      M    M
 18000   -3.6  25.5   240   33   17   7.3   4.0   32.4  90.4     8.2      M    M
 17500   -2.5  27.5   235   32   16   7.7   4.2   32.1  89.7     8.0      M    M
 17000   -1.3  29.7   235   30   16   7.5   4.1   31.7  89.1     7.7      M    M
 16500   -0.4  31.3   235   29   15   5.0   2.8   31.1  88.0     7.2      M    M
 16000    0.4  32.7   235   26   14   5.4   3.0   30.4  86.7     6.6      M    M
 15500    1.1  34.0   235   24   12   2.3   1.2   29.5  85.0     5.9      M    M
 15000    1.3  34.3   235   22   11   1.9   1.1   28.2  82.7     4.6      M    M
 14500    1.5  34.7   235   19   10   2.8   1.6   26.9  80.4     3.4      M    M
 14000    2.0  35.6   235   19   10   3.8   2.1   25.9  78.6     2.4      M    M
 13500    2.5  36.5   230   18    9   4.4   2.4   25.0  76.9     1.5      M    M
 13000    3.2  37.8   225   19   10   6.1   3.3   24.3  75.7     0.8      M    M
 12500    4.0  39.2   225   20   10   6.2   3.4   23.7  74.6     0.1      M    M
 12000    5.0  41.0   220   21   11   7.3   4.0   23.2  73.8    -0.4    464  2.4
 11500    6.0  42.8   215   22   11   7.3   4.0   22.8  73.1    -0.8    418  2.1
 11000    7.1  44.8   215   22   12   7.1   3.9   22.4  72.4    -1.2    372  1.9
 10500    8.1  46.6   215   23   12   7.1   3.9   22.0  71.6    -1.6    327  1.7
 10250    8.6  47.5   210   24   12   7.2   3.9   21.8  71.3    -1.8    304  1.5
 10000    9.2  48.6   210   24   12   7.4   4.0   21.6  70.9    -2.0    280  1.4
  9750    9.7  49.5   210   24   13   7.4   4.1   21.4  70.6    -2.2    257  1.3
  9500   10.2  50.4   210   25   13   7.4   4.1   21.3  70.3    -2.4    233  1.2
  9250   10.8  51.4   210   25   13   7.9   4.3   21.1  70.0    -2.6    209  1.1
  9000   11.4  52.5   210   25   13   7.2   4.0   21.0  69.7    -2.7    184  0.9
  8750   11.9  53.4   205   24   12   6.4   3.5   20.7  69.3    -3.0    161  0.8
  8500   12.4  54.3   205   24   12   6.4   3.5   20.5  68.8    -3.2    138  0.7
  8250   12.9  55.2   205   22   11   6.0   3.3   20.2  68.4    -3.4    116  0.6
  8000   13.4  56.1   205   20   10   5.7   3.1   19.9  67.8    -3.7     95  0.5
  7750   13.8  56.8   200   18    9   5.8   3.2   19.6  67.3    -4.0     74  0.4
  7500   14.3  57.7   195   16    8   4.1   2.3   19.3  66.7    -4.3     53  0.3
  7250   14.5  58.1   195   14    7   2.2   1.2   18.7  65.7    -4.8     40  0.2
  7000   14.6  58.3   190   12    6   2.5   1.4   18.2  64.7    -5.4     27  0.1
  6750   14.8  58.6   185   10    5   1.7   0.9   17.6  63.7    -5.9     15  0.1
  6500   14.8  58.6   180    8    4  -0.9  -0.5   16.9  62.5    -6.7      7  0.0
  6250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           10/11/2025 at 0900 MDT          |       10/11/2025 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...        0.0        | CAPE...    +0.2    LI...       -0.7
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +29.0        | CINH...    -6.5    K Index... +29.4
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -70.2 -94.4  255  30 15   4.5   2.5 | -70.3 -94.5  255  35 18   4.8   2.6
 45000 -61.4 -78.5  250  40 21   7.6   4.2 | -61.3 -78.3  255  45 23   7.5   4.1
 40000 -49.8 -57.6  255  48 25   8.5   4.6 | -49.8 -57.6  245  46 24   8.4   4.6
 38000 -44.7 -48.5  255  46 24   8.5   4.6 | -44.7 -48.5  250  47 24   8.4   4.6
 36000 -39.6 -39.3  255  45 23   8.5   4.6 | -39.7 -39.5  250  48 25   8.4   4.6
 34000 -34.2 -29.6  255  44 23   7.9   4.3 | -34.2 -29.6  250  48 25   8.1   4.5
 32000 -29.5 -21.1  260  44 23   7.9   4.3 | -29.3 -20.7  250  48 25   8.1   4.5
 30000 -26.4 -15.5  255  39 20   4.9   2.7 | -25.8 -14.4  250  47 24   5.7   3.1
 29000 -25.0 -13.0  250  37 19   5.1   2.8 | -24.1 -11.4  250  46 24   5.7   3.1
 28000 -23.5 -10.3  245  35 18   6.6   3.6 | -22.4  -8.3  250  45 23   6.2   3.4
 27000 -21.4  -6.5  240  36 18   7.1   3.9 | -20.6  -5.1  245  43 22   6.3   3.5
 26000 -19.3  -2.7  240  37 19   7.2   3.9 | -18.7  -1.7  245  41 21   6.4   3.5
 25000 -17.2   1.0  240  38 20   7.2   4.0 | -16.9   1.6  240  39 20   6.5   3.6
 24000 -15.3   4.5  240  38 20   6.2   3.4 | -15.1   4.8  235  38 20   5.9   3.3
 23000 -13.5   7.7  235  39 20   6.2   3.4 | -13.4   7.9  235  38 20   6.0   3.3
 22000 -11.7  10.9  235  39 20   6.2   3.4 | -11.7  10.9  235  38 19   6.0   3.3
 21000  -9.9  14.2  235  37 19   6.2   3.4 |  -9.9  14.2  230  37 19   6.1   3.3
 20000  -8.1  17.4  235  36 18   6.3   3.4 |  -8.2  17.2  230  37 19   6.1   3.4
 19500  -7.2  19.0  235  35 18   6.3   3.5 |  -7.3  18.9  230  37 19   6.1   3.4
 19000  -6.3  20.7  235  34 17   6.0   3.3 |  -6.4  20.5  230  36 19   5.8   3.2
 18500  -5.1  22.8  235  33 17   5.9   3.2 |  -5.3  22.5  230  37 19   5.6   3.1
 18000  -4.3  24.3  235  32 17   5.6   3.1 |  -4.5  23.9  230  37 19   5.7   3.1
 17500  -3.5  25.7  235  32 16   5.4   3.0 |  -3.7  25.3  235  37 19   5.7   3.1
 17000  -2.7  27.1  235  31 16   5.4   3.0 |  -2.9  26.8  235  36 19   5.7   3.1
 16500  -1.9  28.6  230  31 16   5.4   3.0 |  -2.0  28.4  235  36 19   6.1   3.3
 16000  -1.1  30.0  230  30 15   5.3   2.9 |  -1.2  29.8  235  35 18   6.0   3.3
 15500  -0.3  31.5  230  29 15   6.7   3.7 |  -0.3  31.5  235  35 18   6.8   3.7
 15000   0.7  33.3  235  28 14   6.9   3.8 |   0.7  33.3  235  34 18   6.9   3.8
 14500   1.7  35.1  235  26 14   7.2   4.0 |   1.7  35.1  235  34 17   7.2   3.9
 14000   2.8  37.0  235  25 13   7.4   4.1 |   2.8  37.0  235  34 17   7.4   4.1
 13500   3.9  39.0  235  23 12   7.1   3.9 |   3.9  39.0  235  33 17   7.2   4.0
 13000   4.8  40.6  235  23 12   5.8   3.2 |   4.9  40.8  235  33 17   6.5   3.5
 12500   5.6  42.1  230  23 12   5.9   3.2 |   5.8  42.4  235  33 17   6.5   3.6
 12000   6.5  43.7  225  24 12   6.6   3.6 |   6.6  43.9  230  33 17   4.9   2.7
 11500   7.5  45.5  220  25 13   6.4   3.5 |   7.3  45.1  225  33 17   6.0   3.3
 11000   8.3  46.9  215  26 13   5.4   2.9 |   7.8  46.0  220  32 16   1.0   0.6
 10500   9.1  48.4  215  27 14   5.4   3.0 |   8.0  46.4  215  30 15   1.2   0.7
 10250   9.4  48.9  215  28 14   4.1   2.3 |   8.1  46.6  215  29 15   4.9   2.7
 10000   9.7  49.5  210  28 14   4.2   2.3 |   8.7  47.7  215  28 14   7.7   4.2
  9750  10.0  50.0  210  28 14   5.2   2.9 |   9.2  48.6  215  27 14   6.5   3.6
  9500  10.4  50.7  210  28 14   4.9   2.7 |   9.7  49.5  210  26 13   6.7   3.7
  9250  10.8  51.4  210  28 14   6.0   3.3 |  10.2  50.4  210  25 13   9.3   5.1
  9000  11.2  52.2  205  28 14   5.6   3.1 |  11.0  51.8  210  24 13   9.8   5.4
  8750  11.6  52.9  205  27 14   4.5   2.4 |  11.6  52.9  210  24 12   8.0   4.4
  8500  12.0  53.6  205  27 14   4.6   2.5 |  12.3  54.1  210  23 12   8.7   4.8
  8250  12.3  54.1  205  25 13   4.1   2.3 |  12.9  55.2  210  23 12   9.5   5.2
  8000  12.6  54.7  200  23 12   4.0   2.2 |  13.7  56.7  210  22 11   9.8   5.4
  7750  12.9  55.2  200  21 11   2.5   1.4 |  14.3  57.7  210  22 11   9.0   5.0
  7500  13.1  55.6  195  18  9   5.0   2.7 |  15.0  59.0  210  21 11   9.2   5.0
  7250  13.7  56.7  195  16  8   9.0   4.9 |  15.7  60.3  210  20 11   9.7   5.3
  7000  14.4  57.9  190  15  8   8.9   4.9 |  16.5  61.7  210  20 10   9.7   5.3
  6750  15.0  59.0  190  14  7   8.6   4.7 |  17.2  63.0  205  19 10   9.9   5.4
  6500  15.7  60.3  185  13  7  10.5   5.8 |  18.0  64.4  205  18  9  11.6   6.3
  6250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           10/11/2025 at 1500 MDT          |       10/11/2025 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +164.4    LI...       -1.5        | CAPE...    +9.5    LI...       -0.2
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +28.2        | CINH...   -31.7    K Index... +27.6
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -69.2 -92.6  255  41 21   4.2   2.3 | -69.1 -92.4  250  44 22   3.6   2.0
 45000 -61.0 -77.8  255  49 25   7.3   4.0 | -61.5 -78.7  250  52 27   7.4   4.1
 40000 -49.8 -57.6  245  51 26   8.2   4.5 | -50.2 -58.4  240  52 27   8.3   4.5
 38000 -44.9 -48.8  245  50 26   8.2   4.5 | -45.3 -49.5  240  51 26   8.3   4.5
 36000 -40.0 -40.0  245  49 25   8.2   4.5 | -40.3 -40.5  245  51 26   8.2   4.5
 34000 -35.0 -31.0  245  51 26   8.4   4.6 | -35.3 -31.5  245  53 27   8.4   4.6
 32000 -29.3 -20.7  245  54 28   8.8   4.8 | -29.6 -21.3  245  55 28   8.7   4.8
 30000 -26.2 -15.2  245  52 27   4.9   2.7 | -25.8 -14.4  240  52 27   6.1   3.3
 29000 -24.7 -12.5  245  51 26   5.0   2.7 | -24.0 -11.2  240  51 26   6.2   3.4
 28000 -23.3  -9.9  245  50 26   6.2   3.4 | -22.2  -8.0  240  49 25   6.2   3.4
 27000 -21.2  -6.2  245  49 25   6.9   3.8 | -20.4  -4.7  240  47 24   6.1   3.4
 26000 -19.2  -2.6  240  48 25   6.9   3.8 | -18.6  -1.5  240  45 23   6.2   3.4
 25000 -17.1   1.2  240  47 24   7.0   3.8 | -16.7   1.9  235  43 22   6.2   3.4
 24000 -15.2   4.6  240  46 23   6.6   3.6 | -14.9   5.2  235  43 22   6.1   3.4
 23000 -13.3   8.1  240  44 23   6.6   3.6 | -13.2   8.2  240  42 22   6.2   3.4
 22000 -11.4  11.5  240  43 22   6.8   3.7 | -11.4  11.5  240  42 22   6.2   3.4
 21000  -9.7  14.5  240  42 22   5.6   3.1 |  -9.6  14.7  240  41 21   6.1   3.3
 20000  -8.1  17.4  240  41 21   5.6   3.1 |  -7.8  18.0  240  39 20   6.1   3.4
 19500  -7.3  18.9  240  41 21   5.6   3.1 |  -7.0  19.4  240  39 20   6.1   3.4
 19000  -6.4  20.5  240  40 21   5.6   3.1 |  -6.1  21.0  240  38 19   5.9   3.2
 18500  -5.6  21.9  240  39 20   5.6   3.1 |  -5.3  22.5  240  37 19   5.7   3.1
 18000  -4.8  23.4  240  39 20   5.5   3.0 |  -4.5  23.9  245  37 19   5.8   3.2
 17500  -3.5  25.7  240  38 19   6.2   3.4 |  -3.4  25.9  245  36 19   4.7   2.6
 17000  -2.6  27.3  245  37 19   6.2   3.4 |  -2.8  27.0  245  36 18   4.6   2.5
 16500  -1.7  28.9  245  37 19   6.3   3.5 |  -2.1  28.2  245  36 18   5.5   3.0
 16000  -0.8  30.6  245  36 19   6.3   3.5 |  -1.3  29.7  245  36 18   5.4   3.0
 15500   0.1  32.2  245  36 18   6.2   3.4 |  -0.5  31.1  245  36 18   5.8   3.2
 15000   0.9  33.6  250  35 18   6.1   3.4 |   0.3  32.5  250  36 18   6.0   3.3
 14500   1.8  35.2  250  34 18   5.9   3.2 |   1.2  34.2  250  35 18   6.0   3.3
 14000   2.5  36.5  250  32 17   5.3   2.9 |   2.0  35.6  255  34 17   6.1   3.3
 13500   3.2  37.8  250  30 16   5.4   3.0 |   2.9  37.2  260  32 16   6.1   3.3
 13000   4.0  39.2  245  28 15   5.9   3.3 |   3.7  38.7  260  29 15   5.6   3.1
 12500   4.8  40.6  240  26 14   5.7   3.1 |   4.5  40.1  265  27 14   5.5   3.0
 12000   5.8  42.4  235  25 13   8.9   4.9 |   5.4  41.7  265  24 12   6.9   3.8
 11500   7.1  44.8  235  24 12   8.8   4.8 |   6.3  43.3  265  22 11   6.9   3.8
 11000   8.4  47.1  230  24 12   9.4   5.2 |   7.4  45.3  265  19 10   8.0   4.4
 10500   9.8  49.6  230  24 12   9.3   5.1 |   8.6  47.5  265  18  9   8.0   4.4
 10250  10.5  50.9  230  24 12   9.6   5.3 |   9.2  48.6  265  17  9   7.8   4.3
 10000  11.2  52.2  225  24 12   9.6   5.3 |   9.7  49.5  270  16  8   7.5   4.1
  9750  11.9  53.4  225  24 12   9.4   5.1 |  10.3  50.5  270  15  8   7.5   4.1
  9500  12.6  54.7  225  24 12   9.3   5.1 |  10.8  51.4  270  14  7   7.5   4.1
  9250  13.3  55.9  225  24 12   9.8   5.4 |  11.4  52.5  270  14  7   7.3   4.0
  9000  14.1  57.4  225  24 12   9.6   5.3 |  11.9  53.4  270  12  6   6.1   3.3
  8750  14.7  58.5  225  24 12   9.0   4.9 |  12.2  54.0  275  11  6   5.2   2.9
  8500  15.4  59.7  225  24 12   9.0   5.0 |  12.6  54.7  275  10  5   5.7   3.1
  8250  16.1  61.0  220  24 12  10.0   5.5 |  13.0  55.4  275   9  5   4.1   2.2
  8000  16.9  62.4  220  24 12  10.4   5.7 |  13.2  55.8  280   8  4   2.6   1.5
  7750  17.6  63.7  220  24 12   9.4   5.1 |  13.4  56.1  285   7  4   3.0   1.6
  7500  18.3  64.9  220  24 12   9.5   5.2 |  13.6  56.5  295   6  3   2.7   1.5
  7250  19.0  66.2  220  24 12  10.4   5.7 |  13.7  56.7  305   5  3   2.4   1.3
  7000  19.8  67.6  220  23 12  11.1   6.1 |  13.9  57.0  325   4  2   2.3   1.2
  6750  20.6  69.1  220  22 12  10.0   5.5 |  14.0  57.2  350   4  2   3.1   1.7
  6500  21.4  70.5  215  21 11  12.8   7.0 |  14.3  57.7  020   4  2   6.2   3.4
  6250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local 
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial 
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude:  34.9781667 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
                   Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

042613

Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0817 MDT Saturday October 11 2025

This forecast is for Saturday, October 11, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 71.1 F/21.7 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 210 ft/min (1.1 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 11078 ft MSL (5408 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 74.0 F/23.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1200 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1100 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 8319 ft MSL (2649 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/12....... Good


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:09:40 / 18:36:29 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 26 min 49 sec (686 min 49 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:53:05 MDT... 47.60 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/11/2025 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 15637 ft MSL (9967 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12801 ft MSL (7131 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 12148 ft MSL (6477 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.7
K index......................... +25.2

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -70.0 -94.0   260   35   18   4.7   2.6   72.7 162.9    29.0      M    M
 45000  -61.3 -78.3   255   43   22   7.3   4.0   62.7 144.9    24.9      M    M
 40000  -50.0 -58.0   255   51   26   8.7   4.8   58.1 136.5    23.4      M    M
 38000  -44.8 -48.6   255   49   25   8.7   4.8   56.9 134.5    23.3      M    M
 36000  -39.6 -39.3   255   47   24   8.8   4.8   56.4 133.5    23.4      M    M
 34000  -34.5 -30.1   250   44   23   7.5   4.1   54.1 129.5    22.5      M    M
 32000  -30.0 -22.0   250   41   21   7.8   4.3   52.6 126.6    21.8      M    M
 30000  -26.7 -16.1   245   36   18   5.4   3.0   49.1 120.4    19.7      M    M
 29000  -25.1 -13.2   235   33   17   5.6   3.1   47.5 117.5    18.6      M    M
 28000  -23.5 -10.3   230   31   16   6.3   3.4   46.1 114.9    17.6      M    M
 27000  -21.6  -6.9   235   32   16   6.6   3.6   44.7 112.5    16.7      M    M
 26000  -19.6  -3.3   240   33   17   6.6   3.6   43.6 110.4    15.9      M    M
 25000  -17.7   0.1   240   34   17   6.6   3.6   42.5 108.5    15.2      M    M
 24000  -15.6   3.9   240   35   18   7.0   3.8   41.4 106.5    14.5      M    M
 23000  -13.6   7.5   240   36   19   7.0   3.8   40.4 104.7    13.8      M    M
 22000  -11.5  11.3   240   38   19   7.1   3.9   39.5 103.1    13.1      M    M
 21000   -9.2  15.4   240   37   19   6.3   3.5   37.9 100.3    11.9      M    M
 20000   -7.4  18.7   240   36   18   6.3   3.5   36.7  98.1    10.9      M    M
 19500   -6.5  20.3   240   35   18   6.4   3.5   36.2  97.2    10.5      M    M
 19000   -5.6  21.9   240   35   18   6.1   3.4   35.6  96.1    10.0      M    M
 18500   -4.7  23.5   240   35   18   6.1   3.4   35.0  95.0     9.4      M    M
 18000   -3.9  25.0   240   34   18   5.7   3.1   34.4  93.9     8.9      M    M
 17500   -3.1  26.4   235   33   17   5.2   2.8   33.6  92.5     8.2      M    M
 17000   -2.4  27.7   235   32   17   5.0   2.8   32.8  91.1     7.6      M    M
 16500   -1.5  29.3   230   31   16   6.0   3.3   32.1  89.8     7.0      M    M
 16000   -0.6  30.9   230   28   15   5.9   3.3   31.5  88.6     6.5      M    M
 15500    0.2  32.4   225   26   13   4.4   2.4   30.8  87.4     6.0      M    M
 15000    0.7  33.3   225   24   12   3.8   2.1   29.8  85.6     5.0      M    M
 14500    1.2  34.2   225   22   11   4.1   2.2   28.8  83.8     4.1      M    M
 14000    1.8  35.2   225   22   11   5.0   2.7   28.0  82.3     3.2      M    M
 13500    2.5  36.5   225   21   11   5.1   2.8   27.2  80.9     2.4      M    M
 13000    3.3  37.9   225   22   11   6.8   3.7   26.6  79.9     1.8      M    M
 12500    4.2  39.6   220   22   11   6.7   3.7   26.1  79.0     1.3      M    M
 12000    5.2  41.4   220   23   12   7.4   4.1   25.7  78.2     0.9      M    M
 11500    6.3  43.3   215   23   12   7.5   4.1   25.3  77.5     0.5      M    M
 11000    7.2  45.0   210   24   13   5.8   3.2   24.8  76.6    -0.0    410  2.1
 10500    8.1  46.6   210   25   13   7.3   4.0   24.2  75.5    -0.6    370  1.9
 10250    8.7  47.7   205   25   13   7.6   4.1   24.1  75.3    -0.8    345  1.8
 10000    9.1  48.4   205   26   13   5.6   3.1   23.8  74.8    -1.1    324  1.6
  9750    9.5  49.1   205   26   13   5.9   3.2   23.5  74.2    -1.4    304  1.5
  9500   10.0  50.0   200   26   13   6.0   3.3   23.2  73.7    -1.7    284  1.4
  9250   10.4  50.7   200   26   13   6.4   3.5   22.9  73.2    -1.9    264  1.3
  9000   10.9  51.6   200   26   13   6.4   3.5   22.6  72.8    -2.2    242  1.2
  8750   11.4  52.5   200   25   13   6.5   3.6   22.4  72.3    -2.4    220  1.1
  8500   11.9  53.4   195   25   13   6.0   3.3   22.1  71.8    -2.7    198  1.0
  8250   12.3  54.1   195   25   13   6.1   3.3   21.8  71.3    -3.0    177  0.9
  8000   13.4  56.1   190   24   12   8.1   4.4   21.5  70.7    -3.3    128  0.7
  7750   14.1  57.4   190   23   12   8.0   4.4   21.3  70.4    -3.4    103  0.5
  7500   14.7  58.5   185   23   12   8.1   4.4   21.2  70.2    -3.5     77  0.4
  7250   15.3  59.5   185   22   11   7.8   4.3   21.1  69.9    -3.7     52  0.3
  7000   15.8  60.4   180   20   10   7.7   4.2   20.9  69.7    -3.8     27  0.1
  6750   16.4  61.5   180   18   10   7.5   4.1   20.8  69.4    -4.0      2  0.0
  6500   17.0  62.6   175   16    8   7.2   4.0   20.6  69.1    -4.2      M    M
  6250   17.5  63.5   175   14    7   7.1   3.9   20.4  68.7    -4.4      M    M
  6000   17.9  64.2   170   12    6   2.9   1.6   20.1  68.2    -4.7      M    M
  5750   17.5  63.5   165    7    4 -18.2 -10.0   18.9  66.1    -5.8      M    M
  5500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           10/11/2025 at 0900 MDT          |       10/11/2025 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       -0.6        | CAPE...    +0.3    LI...       -1.1
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +30.3        | CINH...   -16.4    K Index... +29.1
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -70.0 -94.0  250  31 16   4.7   2.6 | -69.6 -93.3  255  37 19   4.5   2.5
 45000 -61.2 -78.2  250  44 23   7.4   4.1 | -61.0 -77.8  255  47 24   7.4   4.1
 40000 -50.0 -58.0  250  51 26   8.2   4.5 | -49.8 -57.6  245  50 26   8.2   4.5
 38000 -45.0 -49.0  255  50 26   8.2   4.5 | -44.9 -48.8  245  52 27   8.2   4.5
 36000 -39.5 -39.1  255  49 25   8.2   4.5 | -40.0 -40.0  245  54 28   8.2   4.5
 34000 -34.6 -30.3  255  48 25   8.2   4.5 | -34.5 -30.1  245  53 27   8.2   4.5
 32000 -29.6 -21.3  255  47 24   8.7   4.8 | -29.6 -21.3  245  52 27   8.5   4.7
 30000 -26.7 -16.1  250  43 22   4.6   2.5 | -26.2 -15.2  245  48 25   5.5   3.0
 29000 -25.4 -13.7  245  41 21   4.7   2.6 | -24.6 -12.3  245  46 23   5.6   3.1
 28000 -24.0 -11.2  240  40 20   6.7   3.7 | -22.9  -9.2  245  43 22   6.2   3.4
 27000 -21.7  -7.1  240  39 20   7.9   4.3 | -21.0  -5.8  245  43 22   6.6   3.6
 26000 -19.4  -2.9  235  38 20   7.9   4.3 | -19.1  -2.4  240  42 21   6.6   3.6
 25000 -17.0   1.4  235  38 19   8.1   4.5 | -17.2   1.0  240  41 21   6.7   3.7
 24000 -15.1   4.8  235  38 19   6.0   3.3 | -15.3   4.5  235  41 21   6.1   3.4
 23000 -13.4   7.9  230  37 19   6.0   3.3 | -13.5   7.7  235  40 21   6.2   3.4
 22000 -11.2  11.8  230  37 19   6.0   3.3 | -11.3  11.7  235  39 20   5.9   3.3
 21000  -9.4  15.1  230  38 19   6.1   3.3 |  -9.6  14.7  230  39 20   5.6   3.1
 20000  -7.7  18.1  235  38 20   6.1   3.4 |  -8.0  17.6  230  38 20   5.6   3.1
 19500  -6.8  19.8  235  39 20   6.2   3.4 |  -7.2  19.0  230  38 20   5.7   3.1
 19000  -6.0  21.2  235  38 20   4.9   2.7 |  -6.4  20.5  230  37 19   4.9   2.7
 18500  -5.3  22.5  235  38 19   5.1   2.8 |  -5.8  21.6  230  37 19   5.1   2.8
 18000  -4.6  23.7  235  37 19   5.4   3.0 |  -5.1  22.8  230  36 19   5.7   3.1
 17500  -3.8  25.2  235  36 18   5.7   3.1 |  -4.2  24.4  230  36 19   6.5   3.6
 17000  -3.0  26.6  240  34 18   5.8   3.2 |  -3.2  26.2  230  36 19   6.5   3.6
 16500  -2.2  28.0  240  33 17   5.7   3.1 |  -2.3  27.9  230  36 18   6.8   3.7
 16000  -1.4  29.5  240  32 17   5.7   3.1 |  -1.3  29.7  230  35 18   6.8   3.7
 15500  -0.6  30.9  235  31 16   6.3   3.5 |  -0.3  31.5  235  35 18   6.7   3.7
 15000   0.4  32.7  235  31 16   6.6   3.6 |   0.6  33.1  235  35 18   6.6   3.6
 14500   1.4  34.5  235  30 15   7.1   3.9 |   1.5  34.7  235  35 18   6.8   3.7
 14000   2.5  36.5  230  29 15   8.0   4.4 |   2.6  36.7  235  35 18   7.3   4.0
 13500   3.7  38.7  225  28 14   8.0   4.4 |   3.6  38.5  235  35 18   7.3   4.0
 13000   4.7  40.5  225  27 14   7.2   3.9 |   4.7  40.5  235  35 18   7.9   4.3
 12500   5.8  42.4  220  27 14   7.6   4.2 |   5.9  42.6  235  35 18   8.1   4.5
 12000   6.6  43.9  215  27 14   3.9   2.2 |   6.8  44.2  235  34 18   5.3   2.9
 11500   7.2  45.0  210  27 14   4.2   2.3 |   7.6  45.7  230  33 17   5.8   3.2
 11000   7.8  46.0  210  28 14   5.3   2.9 |   8.1  46.6  230  32 16   1.3   0.7
 10500   8.6  47.5  205  29 15   5.6   3.1 |   8.2  46.8  220  29 15   1.7   0.9
 10250   9.0  48.2  205  29 15   5.4   3.0 |   8.4  47.1  220  28 15   3.3   1.8
 10000   9.3  48.7  205  30 15   4.5   2.5 |   8.6  47.5  215  27 14   4.1   2.3
  9750   9.7  49.5  200  30 15   4.6   2.5 |   9.0  48.2  215  26 14   4.7   2.6
  9500  10.0  50.0  200  30 15   4.4   2.4 |   9.3  48.7  210  26 13   3.1   1.7
  9250  10.3  50.5  200  30 15   4.6   2.5 |   9.5  49.1  205  24 13   4.5   2.5
  9000  10.7  51.3  200  29 15   4.9   2.7 |  10.0  50.0  205  24 12   8.1   4.4
  8750  11.1  52.0  195  28 14   5.0   2.8 |  10.6  51.1  205  23 12   8.2   4.5
  8500  11.4  52.5  195  27 14   4.6   2.5 |  11.2  52.2  205  23 12   8.0   4.4
  8250  11.8  53.2  195  26 14   5.3   2.9 |  12.4  54.3  200  22 12   9.2   5.1
  8000  12.9  55.2  190  24 12   8.0   4.4 |  13.2  55.8  200  22 11   9.8   5.4
  7750  13.5  56.3  190  23 12   7.5   4.1 |  13.9  57.0  200  22 11   9.5   5.2
  7500  14.0  57.2  185  22 11   7.0   3.8 |  14.6  58.3  200  22 11   9.2   5.0
  7250  14.6  58.3  185  21 11   8.4   4.6 |  15.3  59.5  200  21 11   9.9   5.4
  7000  15.2  59.4  185  20 10   9.4   5.2 |  16.0  60.8  200  21 11  10.6   5.8
  6750  15.9  60.6  185  19 10   9.3   5.1 |  16.8  62.2  200  20 10  10.1   5.5
  6500  16.6  61.9  180  18  9   9.6   5.3 |  17.5  63.5  200  20 10   9.8   5.4
  6250  17.4  63.3  180  17  9   9.2   5.0 |  18.3  64.9  200  19 10   9.5   5.2
  6000  18.0  64.4  180  16  8  10.3   5.7 |  19.0  66.2  200  18  9  12.4   6.8
  5750  19.1  66.4  180  12  6  22.1  12.1 |  20.5  68.9  200  15  8  33.1  18.2
  5500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           10/11/2025 at 1500 MDT          |       10/11/2025 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...   +66.6    LI...       -0.8        | CAPE...   +12.4    LI...       -0.6
CINH...   -29.2    K Index... +30.7        | CINH...    -8.3    K Index... +28.6
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -69.1 -92.4  255  47 24   3.7   2.0 | -69.0 -92.2  250  47 24   3.8   2.1
 45000 -61.8 -79.2  255  57 29   7.4   4.1 | -61.6 -78.9  250  55 28   7.3   4.0
 40000 -49.9 -57.8  245  54 28   8.2   4.5 | -49.9 -57.8  240  55 29   8.3   4.5
 38000 -45.0 -49.0  245  54 28   8.2   4.5 | -45.0 -49.0  240  56 29   8.3   4.5
 36000 -40.0 -40.0  245  54 28   8.2   4.5 | -40.0 -40.0  240  56 29   8.3   4.5
 34000 -35.0 -31.0  245  56 29   8.3   4.6 | -34.9 -30.8  245  59 30   8.4   4.6
 32000 -30.0 -22.0  240  57 29   8.4   4.6 | -29.9 -21.8  245  61 32   8.4   4.6
 30000 -26.6 -15.9  240  52 27   5.0   2.8 | -26.4 -15.5  240  60 31   5.3   2.9
 29000 -25.1 -13.2  240  49 25   5.1   2.8 | -24.8 -12.6  240  59 31   5.3   2.9
 28000 -23.6 -10.5  240  46 23   5.5   3.0 | -23.2  -9.8  240  59 30   5.6   3.1
 27000 -21.7  -7.1  240  45 23   6.7   3.7 | -21.3  -6.3  240  55 28   6.8   3.7
 26000 -19.2  -2.6  235  45 23   6.7   3.7 | -18.8  -1.8  240  50 26   6.8   3.7
 25000 -17.2   1.0  235  45 23   6.8   3.7 | -16.8   1.8  240  46 24   6.9   3.8
 24000 -15.2   4.6  235  43 22   7.2   3.9 | -15.1   4.8  240  44 23   5.6   3.1
 23000 -13.1   8.4  235  41 21   7.2   4.0 | -13.4   7.9  240  43 22   5.6   3.1
 22000 -11.0  12.2  235  39 20   7.1   3.9 | -11.8  10.8  245  43 22   5.6   3.1
 21000  -9.3  15.3  235  37 19   5.8   3.2 | -10.1  13.8  245  41 21   5.8   3.2
 20000  -7.6  18.3  235  35 18   5.9   3.2 |  -8.5  16.7  245  40 20   5.9   3.2
 19500  -6.7  19.9  235  34 17   5.9   3.2 |  -7.6  18.3  245  39 20   6.0   3.3
 19000  -5.9  21.4  235  33 17   5.7   3.1 |  -6.8  19.8  245  38 20   5.5   3.0
 18500  -5.1  22.8  240  32 16   5.7   3.1 |  -6.1  21.0  245  37 19   5.4   3.0
 18000  -4.3  24.3  240  31 16   5.7   3.1 |  -5.3  22.5  245  37 19   5.5   3.0
 17500  -3.4  25.9  240  31 16   5.7   3.1 |  -4.4  24.1  245  36 18   6.6   3.6
 17000  -2.6  27.3  240  31 16   5.7   3.1 |  -3.5  25.7  245  35 18   6.5   3.6
 16500  -1.8  28.8  240  30 16   5.5   3.0 |  -2.6  27.3  245  34 17   6.2   3.4
 16000  -1.1  30.0  245  30 15   5.4   3.0 |  -1.7  28.9  245  33 17   6.1   3.4
 15500  -0.3  31.5  245  29 15   5.6   3.1 |  -0.8  30.6  250  33 17   6.1   3.3
 15000   0.6  33.1  245  29 15   6.1   3.3 |   0.1  32.2  250  32 17   6.0   3.3
 14500   1.4  34.5  245  28 15   6.1   3.3 |   0.9  33.6  250  32 16   6.0   3.3
 14000   2.3  36.1  245  28 14   5.8   3.2 |   1.9  35.4  250  31 16   7.4   4.1
 13500   3.1  37.6  245  27 14   5.8   3.2 |   2.9  37.2  250  30 16   7.3   4.0
 13000   3.9  39.0  245  26 13   5.7   3.1 |   4.0  39.2  250  29 15   7.2   4.0
 12500   4.7  40.5  245  25 13   5.7   3.1 |   5.0  41.0  250  28 14   7.3   4.0
 12000   5.5  41.9  245  24 12   6.0   3.3 |   6.0  42.8  255  26 13   6.4   3.5
 11500   6.4  43.5  245  23 12   6.1   3.4 |   6.9  44.4  260  24 12   6.3   3.5
 11000   7.2  45.0  245  21 11   5.9   3.3 |   7.8  46.0  270  22 11   5.5   3.0
 10500   8.1  46.6  245  19 10   5.8   3.2 |   8.6  47.5  280  21 11   5.9   3.2
 10250   8.5  47.3  245  19 10   5.8   3.2 |   9.0  48.2  285  20 10   6.5   3.6
 10000   8.9  48.0  245  18  9   6.1   3.3 |   9.5  49.1  285  19 10   5.8   3.2
  9750   9.3  48.7  245  17  9   6.2   3.4 |   9.9  49.8  290  18  9   5.4   3.0
  9500   9.8  49.6  245  17  9   6.3   3.4 |  10.3  50.5  290  16  8   6.0   3.3
  9250  10.3  50.5  250  16  8   6.5   3.5 |  10.7  51.3  290  15  8   7.3   4.0
  9000  10.7  51.3  250  16  8   6.2   3.4 |  11.3  52.3  295  14  7   6.4   3.5
  8750  11.6  52.9  255  14  7   5.5   3.0 |  11.7  53.1  295  12  6   5.5   3.0
  8500  12.1  53.8  255  13  7   8.5   4.7 |  12.1  53.8  300  10  5   5.1   2.8
  8250  12.8  55.0  260  13  7   8.9   4.9 |  12.5  54.5  300   9  4   7.6   4.2
  8000  13.3  55.9  265  13  6   6.0   3.3 |  13.5  56.3  315   5  3   5.1   2.8
  7750  13.8  56.8  270  12  6   7.0   3.8 |  13.9  57.0  330   4  2   5.7   3.1
  7500  14.2  57.6  275  12  6   5.2   2.8 |  14.4  57.9  355   4  2   5.8   3.2
  7250  14.6  58.3  285  11  6   6.4   3.5 |  14.9  58.8  010   4  2   7.8   4.3
  7000  15.2  59.4  285  11  6   8.6   4.7 |  15.5  59.9  020   4  2   8.7   4.8
  6750  15.8  60.4  290  11  6   7.9   4.4 |  16.1  61.0  025   4  2   8.6   4.7
  6500  16.3  61.3  295  11  6   7.1   3.9 |  16.7  62.1  035   4  2   9.0   5.0
  6250  16.9  62.4  300  12  6  10.2   5.6 |  17.4  63.3  035   4  2   9.8   5.4
  6000  17.9  64.2  300  11  6  17.4   9.6 |  18.2  64.8  040   4  2  10.8   5.9
  5750  18.9  66.0  300  10  5   4.1   2.3 |  18.9  66.0  045   4  2   9.1   5.0
  5500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude:  35.03806 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
                   Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of 
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

042613

Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0821 MDT Saturday October 11 2025

This forecast is for Saturday, October 11, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 66.7 F/19.3 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 37 ft/min (0.2 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 11796 ft MSL (5347 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 69.0 F/21.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1400 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1100 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 7794 ft MSL (1345 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/12....... Good


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:07:59 / 18:33:58 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 25 min 59 sec (685 min 59 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:50:58 MDT... 47.00 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/11/2025 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 16015 ft MSL (9566 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12583 ft MSL (6134 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 12225 ft MSL (5776 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +2.7
K index......................... +23.1

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -69.6 -93.3   265   36   18   4.5   2.5   70.7 159.3    29.7      M    M
 45000  -61.1 -78.0   260   46   23   7.1   3.9   60.3 140.6    25.3      M    M
 40000  -50.1 -58.2   255   53   27   8.8   4.8   55.2 131.4    23.6      M    M
 38000  -44.8 -48.6   255   52   27   8.7   4.8   54.2 129.5    23.5      M    M
 36000  -39.5 -39.1   255   51   26   8.6   4.7   53.7 128.6    23.7      M    M
 34000  -35.5 -31.9   250   45   23   6.6   3.6   51.0 123.8    22.3      M    M
 32000  -31.5 -24.7   245   39   20   6.7   3.7   48.7 119.7    21.1      M    M
 30000  -27.6 -17.7   240   35   18   6.5   3.6   46.1 114.9    19.5      M    M
 29000  -25.2 -13.4   240   32   16   6.6   3.6   44.6 112.2    18.6      M    M
 28000  -23.3  -9.9   240   30   15   6.7   3.7   43.5 110.2    17.9      M    M
 27000  -21.3  -6.3   240   29   15   6.7   3.7   42.2 107.9    17.0      M    M
 26000  -19.3  -2.7   240   29   15   6.7   3.7   41.0 105.9    16.3      M    M
 25000  -17.4   0.7   245   29   15   6.7   3.7   40.0 104.0    15.6      M    M
 24000  -15.5   4.1   245   30   16   6.4   3.5   38.7 101.7    14.7      M    M
 23000  -13.6   7.5   245   32   16   6.4   3.5   37.5  99.5    13.7      M    M
 22000  -11.8  10.8   245   34   17   6.5   3.6   36.4  97.5    12.9      M    M
 21000   -9.8  14.4   245   33   17   6.8   3.7   35.2  95.4    12.0      M    M
 20000   -7.8  18.0   250   32   16   6.8   3.7   34.2  93.6    11.2      M    M
 19500   -6.8  19.8   250   31   16   6.9   3.8   33.8  92.8    10.8      M    M
 19000   -5.9  21.4   250   31   16   6.1   3.3   33.2  91.8    10.4      M    M
 18500   -5.0  23.0   245   32   17   6.0   3.3   32.6  90.6     9.8      M    M
 18000   -4.2  24.4   245   33   17   6.2   3.4   32.0  89.5     9.3      M    M
 17500   -3.2  26.2   240   33   17   7.0   3.8   31.4  88.6     8.9      M    M
 17000   -2.1  28.2   235   32   17   7.0   3.8   31.0  87.7     8.5      M    M
 16500   -1.1  30.0   230   31   16   6.3   3.5   30.5  86.8     8.2      M    M
 16000   -0.1  31.8   230   29   15   6.1   3.4   29.9  85.8     7.7      M    M
 15500    0.9  33.6   225   26   14   3.9   2.2   29.3  84.8     7.3      M    M
 15000    1.0  33.8   220   25   13   1.0   0.6   27.9  82.2     6.0      M    M
 14500    1.0  33.8   220   23   12   1.1   0.6   26.5  79.6     4.6      M    M
 14000    1.3  34.3   220   22   12   3.2   1.7   25.2  77.4     3.4      M    M
 13500    1.6  34.9   220   22   11   2.7   1.5   24.2  75.5     2.3      M    M
 13000    2.3  36.1   215   22   11   6.8   3.7   23.3  74.0     1.4      M    M
 12500    3.2  37.8   215   23   12   6.5   3.6   22.8  73.1     0.9      M    M
 12000    4.1  39.4   215   23   12   6.5   3.5   22.3  72.2     0.4      M    M
 11500    5.4  41.7   215   24   12   6.5   3.6   21.5  70.7    -0.5    401  2.0
 11000    6.5  43.7   210   23   12   7.4   4.0   21.1  70.0    -0.9    355  1.8
 10500    7.6  45.7   210   22   11   7.5   4.1   20.7  69.3    -1.3    308  1.6
 10250    8.1  46.6   210   21   11   8.1   4.4   20.6  69.0    -1.4    283  1.4
 10000    8.8  47.8   210   20   10   8.4   4.6   20.5  68.8    -1.5    257  1.3
  9750    9.4  48.9   210   19   10   8.3   4.5   20.3  68.6    -1.6    231  1.2
  9500   10.0  50.0   210   18    9   8.4   4.6   20.2  68.4    -1.7    205  1.0
  9250   10.7  51.3   210   17    9   8.0   4.4   20.1  68.2    -1.8    178  0.9
  9000   11.2  52.2   210   16    8   7.6   4.2   20.0  68.0    -2.0    153  0.8
  8750   11.8  53.2   205   15    8   7.9   4.3   19.8  67.7    -2.1    128  0.7
  8500   12.4  54.3   205   15    8   7.1   3.9   19.7  67.4    -2.2    103  0.5
  8250   12.9  55.2   200   14    7   6.0   3.3   19.4  66.9    -2.5     81  0.4
  8000   13.3  55.9   195   12    6   5.3   2.9   19.1  66.4    -2.8     61  0.3
  7750   13.7  56.7   190   11    6   4.7   2.6   18.7  65.7    -3.2     42  0.2
  7500   14.0  57.2   180   10    5   4.1   2.2   18.3  65.0    -3.6     25  0.1
  7250   14.3  57.7   170    9    5   3.2   1.8   17.9  64.2    -4.0     10  0.0
  7000   14.6  58.3   160    9    4   5.9   3.2   17.4  63.4    -4.5      M    M
  6750   15.1  59.2   150    7    4   7.0   3.8   17.3  63.1    -4.7      M    M
  6500   14.9  58.8   135    5    3 -20.2 -11.1   16.3  61.4    -5.7      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           10/11/2025 at 0900 MDT          |       10/11/2025 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...        0.0        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       -0.7
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +27.8        | CINH...    -0.1    K Index... +27.9
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -69.6 -93.3  260  32 17   4.6   2.5 | -69.3 -92.7  255  39 20   4.0   2.2
 45000 -60.9 -77.6  255  47 24   7.3   4.0 | -61.2 -78.2  255  52 27   7.4   4.0
 40000 -49.8 -57.6  255  53 28   8.3   4.6 | -49.9 -57.8  250  50 26   8.5   4.7
 38000 -44.8 -48.6  255  53 27   8.3   4.5 | -44.8 -48.6  250  52 27   8.5   4.7
 36000 -39.8 -39.6  255  53 27   8.3   4.5 | -39.7 -39.5  250  54 28   8.5   4.6
 34000 -35.3 -31.5  255  51 26   7.4   4.1 | -34.8 -30.6  250  54 28   8.1   4.5
 32000 -30.9 -23.6  255  48 25   7.5   4.1 | -29.9 -21.8  250  55 28   8.2   4.5
 30000 -27.4 -17.3  250  43 22   5.4   3.0 | -26.6 -15.9  245  49 25   4.9   2.7
 29000 -25.4 -13.7  245  40 21   5.6   3.0 | -24.8 -12.6  245  44 23   5.1   2.8
 28000 -23.8 -10.8  240  38 20   7.4   4.1 | -23.2  -9.8  245  41 21   6.8   3.7
 27000 -21.5  -6.7  240  37 19   7.7   4.2 | -21.1  -6.0  240  41 21   7.2   4.0
 26000 -19.2  -2.6  235  36 19   7.7   4.2 | -18.9  -2.0  235  42 21   7.2   4.0
 25000 -16.9   1.6  235  36 18   7.5   4.1 | -16.8   1.8  235  42 22   7.2   3.9
 24000 -15.0   5.0  235  37 19   6.0   3.3 | -15.0   5.0  235  42 21   6.1   3.4
 23000 -13.2   8.2  235  38 20   6.0   3.3 | -13.2   8.2  235  41 21   6.2   3.4
 22000 -11.5  11.3  235  40 20   6.0   3.3 | -11.4  11.5  235  40 21   6.2   3.4
 21000  -9.7  14.5  235  39 20   6.3   3.5 |  -9.7  14.5  235  41 21   5.8   3.2
 20000  -7.8  18.0  235  39 20   6.3   3.5 |  -8.0  17.6  235  41 21   5.8   3.2
 19500  -6.9  19.6  235  39 20   6.4   3.5 |  -7.2  19.0  230  42 22   5.9   3.2
 19000  -6.1  21.0  235  39 20   5.7   3.1 |  -6.4  20.5  230  42 22   5.5   3.0
 18500  -5.3  22.5  235  38 19   5.6   3.1 |  -5.6  21.9  230  42 22   5.5   3.0
 18000  -4.5  23.9  235  37 19   5.7   3.1 |  -4.8  23.4  230  41 21   5.5   3.0
 17500  -3.7  25.3  235  36 19   5.8   3.2 |  -4.0  24.8  230  41 21   6.1   3.3
 17000  -2.9  26.8  235  36 18   5.8   3.2 |  -3.1  26.4  230  40 21   6.1   3.3
 16500  -2.1  28.2  235  35 18   5.8   3.2 |  -2.2  28.0  230  39 20   5.7   3.1
 16000  -1.2  29.8  235  35 18   5.8   3.2 |  -1.4  29.5  230  39 20   5.6   3.1
 15500  -0.4  31.3  235  34 17   5.9   3.2 |  -0.6  30.9  230  38 20   5.8   3.2
 15000   0.5  32.9  230  33 17   6.0   3.3 |   0.2  32.4  230  38 19   6.1   3.3
 14500   1.3  34.3  230  32 17   6.0   3.3 |   1.1  34.0  230  38 19   6.1   3.3
 14000   2.2  36.0  225  31 16   5.9   3.3 |   1.9  35.4  230  37 19   5.9   3.2
 13500   3.1  37.6  225  29 15   6.1   3.4 |   2.7  36.9  230  37 19   6.0   3.3
 13000   3.8  38.8  220  28 15   4.5   2.5 |   3.5  38.3  230  37 19   5.5   3.0
 12500   4.4  39.9  220  27 14   4.5   2.5 |   4.3  39.7  230  36 18   5.6   3.0
 12000   5.5  41.9  215  27 14   6.0   3.3 |   5.3  41.5  225  34 17   4.2   2.3
 11500   6.3  43.3  215  28 14   5.3   2.9 |   6.0  42.8  220  32 16   4.6   2.5
 11000   7.1  44.8  215  26 14   5.4   2.9 |   6.6  43.9  220  29 15   4.7   2.6
 10500   7.9  46.2  210  25 13   5.2   2.9 |   7.3  45.1  215  25 13   3.1   1.7
 10250   8.2  46.8  210  24 13   5.9   3.2 |   7.5  45.5  210  24 12   4.7   2.6
 10000   8.7  47.7  210  23 12   6.6   3.6 |   8.1  46.6  210  23 12   8.4   4.6
  9750   9.2  48.6  210  21 11   6.3   3.5 |   8.7  47.7  210  22 11   6.8   3.7
  9500   9.7  49.5  210  20 10   6.7   3.7 |   9.2  48.6  210  20 11   9.4   5.1
  9250  10.2  50.4  210  18  9   7.5   4.1 |  10.0  50.0  210  20 10   9.3   5.1
  9000  10.8  51.4  205  17  9   7.5   4.1 |  10.6  51.1  210  19 10   7.2   4.0
  8750  11.4  52.5  205  16  8   7.8   4.3 |  11.1  52.0  205  18  9   7.6   4.1
  8500  12.0  53.6  200  15  7   6.7   3.7 |  11.7  53.1  205  17  9   8.3   4.5
  8250  12.4  54.3  200  13  7   5.9   3.2 |  12.4  54.3  205  16  8   9.3   5.1
  8000  12.9  55.2  195  12  6   6.9   3.8 |  13.1  55.6  205  15  8   9.1   5.0
  7750  13.5  56.3  190  11  6   7.2   4.0 |  13.7  56.7  205  14  7   9.0   4.9
  7500  14.0  57.2  180  10  5   6.6   3.6 |  14.4  57.9  205  13  7   9.3   5.1
  7250  14.5  58.1  175   9  5   6.2   3.4 |  15.1  59.2  205  13  7   9.8   5.4
  7000  15.0  59.0  170   9  5   7.1   3.9 |  15.8  60.4  205  12  6   8.7   4.8
  6750  15.6  60.1  165   8  4  10.8   5.9 |  16.5  61.7  205  11  6   9.1   5.0
  6500  16.8  62.2  165   7  4  23.0  12.6 |  17.5  63.5  205   9  4  23.2  12.7

           10/11/2025 at 1500 MDT          |       10/11/2025 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...   +44.0    LI...       -0.3        | CAPE...    +6.4    LI...       +1.5
CINH...   -37.6    K Index... +28.2        | CINH...   -27.2    K Index... +23.1
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -69.2 -92.6  255  45 23   4.2   2.3 | -69.0 -92.2  250  45 23   4.0   2.2
 45000 -61.5 -78.7  255  55 28   7.3   4.0 | -61.5 -78.7  250  54 28   7.2   3.9
 40000 -49.8 -57.6  245  58 30   8.1   4.5 | -50.0 -58.0  240  58 30   8.4   4.6
 38000 -44.9 -48.8  245  58 30   8.1   4.5 | -45.0 -49.0  240  58 30   8.4   4.6
 36000 -40.0 -40.0  245  59 30   8.1   4.5 | -40.0 -40.0  240  59 30   8.4   4.6
 34000 -35.1 -31.2  245  60 31   8.3   4.5 | -34.9 -30.8  240  61 32   8.3   4.6
 32000 -30.1 -22.2  245  61 32   8.3   4.5 | -29.9 -21.8  240  64 33   8.3   4.5
 30000 -26.8 -16.2  245  57 29   4.8   2.6 | -26.5 -15.7  240  61 31   4.9   2.7
 29000 -25.3 -13.5  240  53 28   4.9   2.7 | -25.1 -13.2  240  58 30   5.0   2.7
 28000 -23.9 -11.0  240  50 26   5.3   2.9 | -23.6 -10.5  240  56 29   5.1   2.8
 27000 -21.1  -6.0  240  48 25   8.0   4.4 | -21.7  -7.1  240  53 27   7.0   3.8
 26000 -18.8  -1.8  240  47 24   8.0   4.4 | -19.1  -2.4  240  49 25   7.0   3.8
 25000 -16.4   2.5  240  46 24   8.2   4.5 | -17.1   1.2  235  47 24   7.1   3.9
 24000 -14.4   6.1  240  44 23   6.5   3.6 | -15.1   4.8  235  46 24   6.5   3.6
 23000 -12.5   9.5  240  42 22   6.6   3.6 | -13.2   8.2  240  46 24   6.5   3.6
 22000 -10.6  12.9  240  40 21   6.7   3.7 | -11.3  11.7  240  46 24   6.5   3.6
 21000  -9.0  15.8  240  39 20   5.2   2.8 |  -9.5  14.9  240  46 24   6.0   3.3
 20000  -7.5  18.5  240  39 20   5.2   2.9 |  -7.8  18.0  240  46 24   6.1   3.3
 19500  -6.8  19.8  240  38 20   5.2   2.9 |  -6.9  19.6  240  47 24   6.1   3.3
 19000  -6.0  21.2  240  38 20   5.2   2.8 |  -6.0  21.2  245  47 24   6.0   3.3
 18500  -5.3  22.5  240  38 19   5.1   2.8 |  -5.2  22.6  245  46 24   5.9   3.3
 18000  -4.6  23.7  240  37 19   5.2   2.8 |  -4.3  24.3  245  45 23   6.0   3.3
 17500  -3.9  25.0  240  37 19   4.8   2.7 |  -3.5  25.7  245  45 23   5.3   2.9
 17000  -3.2  26.2  240  36 18   4.9   2.7 |  -2.8  27.0  245  45 23   5.4   3.0
 16500  -2.5  27.5  240  35 18   5.1   2.8 |  -2.0  28.4  245  44 23   4.1   2.3
 16000  -1.7  28.9  240  34 18   5.2   2.8 |  -1.6  29.1  245  43 22   3.5   1.9
 15500  -1.0  30.2  240  33 17   5.3   2.9 |  -1.1  30.0  245  43 22   3.5   1.9
 15000  -0.2  31.6  240  31 16   5.7   3.1 |  -0.6  30.9  250  41 21   4.1   2.2
 14500   0.6  33.1  240  30 15   5.7   3.1 |  -0.0  32.0  250  39 20   3.9   2.1
 14000   1.4  34.5  240  28 15   6.2   3.4 |   0.6  33.1  255  37 19   5.6   3.1
 13500   2.3  36.1  240  27 14   6.1   3.4 |   1.4  34.5  260  35 18   5.4   3.0
 13000   3.1  37.6  240  26 13   6.0   3.3 |   2.3  36.1  265  34 17   6.5   3.6
 12500   4.0  39.2  240  25 13   6.0   3.3 |   3.3  37.9  270  33 17   6.7   3.7
 12000   4.8  40.6  240  24 12   5.9   3.3 |   4.4  39.9  275  32 16   7.2   3.9
 11500   5.7  42.3  245  23 12   5.8   3.2 |   5.5  41.9  275  31 16   7.6   4.2
 11000   6.9  44.4  245  22 11   6.1   3.4 |   6.7  44.1  280  29 15   7.7   4.2
 10500   7.7  45.9  250  22 11   5.8   3.2 |   7.7  45.9  285  25 13   6.9   3.8
 10250   8.2  46.8  250  21 11   6.0   3.3 |   8.2  46.8  285  24 12   7.6   4.2
 10000   8.6  47.5  255  21 11   6.4   3.5 |   8.8  47.8  285  23 12   7.3   4.0
  9750   9.1  48.4  255  21 11   6.4   3.5 |   9.7  49.5  290  19 10   6.6   3.6
  9500   9.5  49.1  260  20 11   6.2   3.4 |  10.2  50.4  295  17  9   6.5   3.6
  9250  10.0  50.0  260  21 11   7.0   3.8 |  10.7  51.3  295  16  8   7.1   3.9
  9000  10.5  50.9  265  21 11   7.7   4.2 |  11.2  52.2  295  14  7   7.5   4.1
  8750  11.1  52.0  265  21 11   7.8   4.3 |  11.7  53.1  300  12  6   7.5   4.1
  8500  11.6  52.9  265  20 11   6.8   3.7 |  12.3  54.1  305  10  5   7.2   3.9
  8250  12.1  53.8  270  20 10   5.8   3.2 |  12.7  54.9  310   9  5   6.8   3.8
  8000  12.6  54.7  270  20 10   7.6   4.2 |  13.3  55.9  310   8  4   7.6   4.2
  7750  13.2  55.8  270  20 10   8.9   4.9 |  13.8  56.8  320   7  3   7.9   4.3
  7500  13.8  56.8  275  20 10   7.7   4.2 |  14.4  57.9  330   6  3   8.0   4.4
  7250  14.3  57.7  275  19 10   6.9   3.8 |  15.0  59.0  340   5  3   8.4   4.6
  7000  14.8  58.6  275  18  9   7.7   4.2 |  15.6  60.1  345   4  2   8.2   4.5
  6750  15.5  59.9  275  17  9  12.3   6.7 |  16.1  61.0  350   4  2   7.8   4.3
  6500  16.9  62.4  275  14  7  30.7  16.8 |  16.6  61.9  005   3  1   6.4   3.5
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local 
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial 
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
                   Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

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Latest Upper Air Sounding from Albuquerque (Weather Balloon Data issued twice daily)


 
 

Latest Winds Aloft Over Albuquerque (Weather Balloon Data issued twice daily)

 


 

Albuquerque (KABX) Radar Velocity Azimuth Display Wind Profile (Observed)

Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profile (Forecast from Rapid Refresh Model)

Lowest 2000 ft Above Ground Level

Vertical Wind Profile (for lowest 2000 ft)

Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profiler at Double Eagle Airport (Real-time observations)

Note: The Wind Profiler is moved to Balloon Fiesta Park during Balloon Fiesta

Double Eagle (Albuquerque) Vertical Wind Profiler

Map of Surface Observations (Including Winds)
Once the map is loaded, click on an observation site for more details.

Phone Numbers for Up-to-the-Minute Airport Observations

  • Albuquerque International Sunport (KABQ): (505) 242-4044

  • Albuquerque Double Eagle II Airport (KAEG): (505) 842-2009

  • Grants-Milan Municipal Airport (KGNT): (505) 287-9890

  • Belen Regional Airport (KBRG): (505) 864-4375

Aviation Weather Services

This is a nationwide information resource from NOAA

 

Aviation Weather Center

AIRMETs, SIGMETs, TURBC, ICG, PIREPs, flight-level winds, CCFP/CAWS and more

 

Albuquerque (ZAB) Center Weather Service Unit

Regional perspective of aviation weather forecasts and data

 

Wind Roses for Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) Sites

Diagram showing the relative frequency of wind direction and speed each airport