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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0724 MDT Tuesday October 27 2026
This forecast is for Tuesday, October 27, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 60.7 F/15.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 591 ft/min (3.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 13523 ft MSL (7188 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 67.0 F/19.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11040 ft MSL (4705 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 10/28.... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:20:41 / 18:14:54 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 54 min 13 sec (654 min 13 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:47:48 MDT... 41.96 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/27/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12119 ft MSL (5784 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16739 ft MSL (10404 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15134 ft MSL (8799 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.1
K index......................... -8.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.2 -76.4 250 30 15 -0.2 -0.1 92.2 198.0 42.4 M M
45000 -60.4 -76.7 260 37 19 0.9 0.5 68.2 154.8 30.4 M M
40000 -58.9 -74.0 270 31 16 0.9 0.5 47.8 118.1 19.0 M M
38000 -56.4 -69.5 270 28 14 5.1 2.8 42.7 108.9 16.0 M M
36000 -53.3 -63.9 260 24 13 5.1 2.8 38.8 101.9 13.7 M M
34000 -50.0 -58.0 250 22 11 6.0 3.3 35.4 95.7 11.5 M M
32000 -45.9 -50.6 240 19 10 6.0 3.3 32.0 89.5 9.3 M M
30000 -41.5 -42.7 240 19 10 8.8 4.8 30.2 86.3 8.2 M M
29000 -38.8 -37.8 245 19 10 8.8 4.8 29.8 85.6 8.0 M M
28000 -36.2 -33.2 245 20 10 8.8 4.8 29.5 85.1 7.9 M M
27000 -33.6 -28.5 250 20 10 8.6 4.7 29.1 84.4 7.6 M M
26000 -31.0 -23.8 250 20 10 8.6 4.7 28.6 83.5 7.3 M M
25000 -28.5 -19.3 255 20 10 8.6 4.7 28.3 82.9 7.1 M M
24000 -25.9 -14.6 255 20 10 8.5 4.7 27.9 82.1 6.9 M M
23000 -23.3 -9.9 255 20 10 8.5 4.7 27.3 81.2 6.5 M M
22000 -20.8 -5.4 255 20 10 8.5 4.7 26.9 80.5 6.3 M M
21000 -18.3 -0.9 255 19 10 8.2 4.5 26.4 79.6 5.9 M M
20000 -15.9 3.4 255 19 10 8.2 4.5 25.9 78.5 5.5 M M
19500 -14.6 5.7 255 19 10 8.2 4.5 25.6 78.1 5.3 M M
19000 -13.4 7.9 255 19 10 8.2 4.5 25.4 77.7 5.1 M M
18500 -12.2 10.0 255 18 9 8.5 4.7 25.1 77.2 5.0 M M
18000 -10.3 13.5 255 18 9 8.4 4.6 24.8 76.7 4.7 M M
17500 -9.1 15.6 260 18 9 7.7 4.2 24.5 76.1 4.5 M M
17000 -7.9 17.8 260 17 9 7.8 4.3 24.2 75.5 4.2 M M
16500 -6.8 19.8 265 17 9 6.9 3.8 23.8 74.8 3.9 M M
16000 -5.8 21.6 265 17 9 6.8 3.7 23.3 73.9 3.4 M M
15500 -4.8 23.4 270 17 9 6.0 3.3 22.8 73.1 3.0 M M
15000 -4.0 24.8 270 17 9 5.1 2.8 22.1 71.7 2.3 M M
14500 -3.3 26.1 270 17 9 5.0 2.7 21.3 70.3 1.6 M M
14000 -2.7 27.1 270 17 9 4.2 2.3 20.4 68.8 0.8 M M
13500 -2.1 28.2 270 17 9 4.4 2.4 19.6 67.2 -0.1 587 3.0
13000 -1.4 29.5 270 17 9 5.6 3.1 18.8 65.8 -0.9 551 2.8
12500 -0.6 30.9 270 18 9 5.4 3.0 18.1 64.6 -1.6 513 2.6
12000 0.3 32.5 270 18 9 7.1 3.9 17.6 63.6 -2.2 472 2.4
11500 1.3 34.3 265 18 9 6.8 3.7 17.1 62.8 -2.6 427 2.2
11000 2.3 36.1 265 19 10 8.4 4.6 16.8 62.2 -3.0 380 1.9
10500 3.6 38.5 265 19 10 8.4 4.6 16.6 61.8 -3.3 328 1.7
10250 4.2 39.6 265 19 10 8.1 4.4 16.5 61.6 -3.4 303 1.5
10000 4.8 40.6 260 19 10 7.9 4.3 16.3 61.4 -3.6 278 1.4
9750 5.4 41.7 260 19 10 8.1 4.5 16.2 61.1 -3.7 253 1.3
9500 5.9 42.6 260 19 10 8.0 4.4 16.0 60.9 -3.9 228 1.2
9250 6.5 43.7 255 19 10 8.6 4.7 15.9 60.7 -4.0 203 1.0
9000 7.2 45.0 255 18 9 8.0 4.4 15.8 60.5 -4.1 177 0.9
8750 7.7 45.9 255 18 9 6.7 3.7 15.6 60.1 -4.4 154 0.8
8500 8.1 46.6 255 17 9 6.7 3.7 15.4 59.7 -4.6 133 0.7
8250 8.6 47.5 250 16 8 6.7 3.7 15.2 59.3 -4.9 112 0.6
8000 9.0 48.2 250 15 8 6.5 3.6 14.9 58.9 -5.2 91 0.5
7750 9.5 49.1 250 14 7 6.4 3.5 14.7 58.4 -5.5 71 0.4
7500 9.8 49.6 250 13 7 4.4 2.4 14.4 57.9 -5.9 52 0.3
7250 10.0 50.0 250 11 6 2.2 1.2 13.9 57.0 -6.4 38 0.2
7000 10.2 50.4 250 10 5 3.2 1.7 13.3 56.0 -7.0 26 0.1
6750 10.4 50.7 250 8 4 -0.2 -0.1 12.8 55.0 -7.6 14 0.1
6500 9.9 49.8 250 6 3 -15.3 -8.4 11.5 52.8 -8.8 22 0.1
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/27/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/27/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.4 | CAPE... +10.5 LI... +2.4
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -4.9 | CINH... -193.5 K Index... -1.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.7 -77.3 250 30 15 0.2 0.1 | -62.1 -79.8 255 33 17 -0.1 -0.1
45000 -60.3 -76.5 265 35 18 0.3 0.2 | -61.9 -79.4 265 41 21 1.9 1.0
40000 -59.8 -75.6 285 30 15 0.1 0.0 | -59.0 -74.2 265 33 17 1.6 0.9
38000 -56.6 -69.9 285 27 14 6.6 3.6 | -56.0 -68.8 265 31 16 5.6 3.1
36000 -52.6 -62.7 290 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -52.6 -62.7 270 29 15 5.6 3.1
34000 -48.7 -55.7 290 21 11 6.4 3.5 | -48.7 -55.7 270 25 13 7.6 4.2
32000 -44.3 -47.7 280 16 8 6.4 3.5 | -43.6 -46.5 280 20 10 7.6 4.2
30000 -40.4 -40.7 265 13 7 6.6 3.6 | -39.1 -38.4 285 17 9 7.3 4.0
29000 -38.5 -37.3 250 12 6 6.6 3.6 | -36.9 -34.4 285 16 8 7.3 4.0
28000 -36.5 -33.7 235 12 6 6.6 3.6 | -34.7 -30.5 285 15 8 7.4 4.0
27000 -34.2 -29.6 235 13 7 8.7 4.8 | -32.7 -26.9 280 13 7 6.2 3.4
26000 -31.6 -24.9 240 14 7 8.7 4.8 | -30.9 -23.6 265 12 6 6.2 3.4
25000 -29.0 -20.2 240 16 8 8.8 4.8 | -29.0 -20.2 250 12 6 6.3 3.4
24000 -26.3 -15.3 245 17 9 9.0 4.9 | -26.9 -16.4 240 13 7 8.9 4.9
23000 -23.6 -10.5 255 16 8 9.0 4.9 | -24.2 -11.6 245 15 7 8.8 4.9
22000 -20.9 -5.6 260 16 8 9.0 4.9 | -21.6 -6.9 245 17 9 8.9 4.9
21000 -18.3 -0.9 265 17 9 8.4 4.6 | -18.9 -2.0 250 17 9 9.2 5.1
20000 -15.8 3.6 265 18 9 8.3 4.6 | -16.1 3.0 255 18 9 9.2 5.1
19500 -14.6 5.7 265 18 9 8.3 4.6 | -14.7 5.5 260 18 9 9.2 5.1
19000 -13.3 8.1 270 19 10 8.3 4.5 | -13.4 7.9 260 18 9 9.0 5.0
18500 -11.5 11.3 270 19 10 8.1 4.4 | -12.1 10.2 265 18 9 8.4 4.6
18000 -10.3 13.5 270 19 10 7.9 4.3 | -10.2 13.6 265 18 9 8.3 4.6
17500 -9.2 15.4 270 19 10 7.4 4.0 | -9.0 15.8 265 18 9 7.9 4.4
17000 -8.1 17.4 270 19 10 7.4 4.1 | -7.8 18.0 265 18 9 8.0 4.4
16500 -7.0 19.4 270 19 10 6.9 3.8 | -6.6 20.1 265 18 9 7.5 4.1
16000 -6.0 21.2 270 18 9 6.9 3.8 | -5.5 22.1 265 18 9 7.5 4.1
15500 -4.9 23.2 275 18 9 6.6 3.6 | -4.4 24.1 265 18 9 7.3 4.0
15000 -4.0 24.8 275 18 9 6.3 3.4 | -3.3 26.1 265 18 9 7.2 4.0
14500 -3.1 26.4 275 17 9 5.9 3.2 | -2.2 28.0 265 18 9 7.0 3.8
14000 -2.4 27.7 275 17 9 4.8 2.6 | -1.2 29.8 265 18 9 6.4 3.5
13500 -1.7 28.9 275 17 9 4.9 2.7 | -0.3 31.5 265 17 9 6.3 3.4
13000 -1.0 30.2 275 17 9 4.6 2.5 | 0.5 32.9 265 17 9 5.0 2.7
12500 -0.4 31.3 275 16 8 4.7 2.6 | 1.2 34.2 265 16 8 5.3 2.9
12000 0.4 32.7 275 16 8 6.0 3.3 | 1.6 34.9 265 16 8 1.5 0.8
11500 1.2 34.2 275 17 9 5.5 3.0 | 1.8 35.2 260 15 8 0.9 0.5
11000 2.1 35.8 270 18 9 7.4 4.1 | 2.3 36.1 260 15 8 8.1 4.4
10500 3.1 37.6 265 19 10 7.3 4.0 | 3.3 37.9 255 14 7 7.3 4.0
10250 3.7 38.7 265 19 10 7.8 4.3 | 3.8 38.8 255 14 7 8.5 4.6
10000 4.2 39.6 260 19 10 8.5 4.7 | 4.5 40.1 255 14 7 9.9 5.4
9750 4.8 40.6 260 20 10 8.6 4.7 | 5.2 41.4 255 14 7 9.9 5.4
9500 5.5 41.9 260 20 10 8.6 4.7 | 5.9 42.6 255 14 7 9.9 5.4
9250 6.1 43.0 255 20 10 9.0 5.0 | 6.7 44.1 255 14 7 10.0 5.5
9000 6.8 44.2 255 20 10 8.6 4.7 | 7.4 45.3 255 14 7 9.6 5.3
8750 7.3 45.1 255 19 10 7.6 4.2 | 8.1 46.6 255 14 7 9.0 4.9
8500 7.9 46.2 255 19 10 7.5 4.1 | 8.8 47.8 255 15 7 9.2 5.1
8250 8.4 47.1 255 18 9 7.5 4.1 | 9.5 49.1 255 15 7 9.6 5.3
8000 9.0 48.2 255 16 8 7.1 3.9 | 10.2 50.4 255 14 7 9.8 5.4
7750 9.5 49.1 255 15 8 6.3 3.5 | 10.9 51.6 255 14 7 10.0 5.5
7500 9.9 49.8 260 14 7 4.0 2.2 | 11.7 53.1 255 14 7 10.2 5.6
7250 10.1 50.2 260 12 6 2.7 1.5 | 12.4 54.3 255 14 7 10.5 5.8
7000 10.2 50.4 260 10 5 2.9 1.6 | 13.2 55.8 255 14 7 10.0 5.5
6750 10.4 50.7 265 9 4 1.9 1.0 | 14.0 57.2 255 13 7 11.6 6.4
6500 10.5 50.9 265 7 3 3.5 1.9 | 15.0 59.0 255 13 7 18.0 9.9
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
10/27/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/27/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.9 LI... +2.1 | CAPE... +0.4 LI... +0.9
CINH... -15.6 K Index... -3.4 | CINH... -10.4 K Index... -2.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.6 -80.7 255 36 18 -0.5 -0.3 | -62.9 -81.2 255 37 19 -0.8 -0.4
45000 -63.0 -81.4 260 41 21 2.5 1.3 | -63.4 -82.1 260 41 21 2.6 1.4
40000 -59.1 -74.4 265 37 19 2.3 1.3 | -59.5 -75.1 270 40 20 2.1 1.2
38000 -55.8 -68.4 270 31 16 5.9 3.2 | -56.0 -68.8 275 33 17 6.4 3.5
36000 -52.3 -62.1 275 25 13 5.9 3.2 | -52.2 -62.0 280 26 13 6.4 3.5
34000 -48.4 -55.1 280 22 11 6.9 3.8 | -48.1 -54.6 280 21 11 7.4 4.1
32000 -44.3 -47.7 280 21 11 6.9 3.8 | -43.6 -46.5 280 17 9 7.4 4.1
30000 -39.6 -39.3 280 19 10 8.7 4.8 | -38.5 -37.3 275 15 8 7.8 4.3
29000 -37.0 -34.6 285 18 9 8.7 4.8 | -36.2 -33.2 275 15 8 7.8 4.3
28000 -34.3 -29.7 285 17 9 8.6 4.7 | -33.9 -29.0 275 15 8 7.8 4.3
27000 -31.9 -25.4 290 17 9 7.9 4.3 | -31.4 -24.5 275 15 8 8.5 4.7
26000 -29.5 -21.1 290 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -28.9 -20.0 275 15 8 8.5 4.7
25000 -27.2 -17.0 290 18 9 7.8 4.3 | -26.3 -15.3 275 15 8 8.5 4.7
24000 -25.0 -13.0 285 18 9 5.7 3.1 | -23.9 -11.0 275 16 8 7.1 3.9
23000 -23.3 -9.9 275 17 9 5.8 3.2 | -21.8 -7.2 275 17 9 7.1 3.9
22000 -21.5 -6.7 265 17 9 5.9 3.3 | -19.7 -3.5 275 17 9 7.1 3.9
21000 -18.7 -1.7 260 18 9 8.9 4.9 | -17.7 0.1 275 18 9 6.1 3.4
20000 -16.0 3.2 255 18 9 8.9 4.9 | -15.9 3.4 270 18 9 6.1 3.4
19500 -14.7 5.5 255 18 9 8.9 4.9 | -15.0 5.0 270 18 9 6.2 3.4
19000 -13.4 7.9 255 18 9 9.0 4.9 | -14.1 6.6 270 18 9 6.6 3.6
18500 -12.0 10.4 260 18 9 9.0 4.9 | -12.9 8.8 265 18 9 8.4 4.6
18000 -10.7 12.7 260 18 9 8.9 4.9 | -11.7 10.9 265 18 9 8.2 4.5
17500 -9.4 15.1 260 18 9 8.1 4.4 | -9.8 14.4 265 18 9 9.0 4.9
17000 -8.2 17.2 260 18 9 8.2 4.5 | -8.4 16.9 265 18 10 9.0 4.9
16500 -7.0 19.4 260 18 9 7.8 4.3 | -7.1 19.2 265 19 10 8.2 4.5
16000 -5.8 21.6 260 19 10 7.7 4.2 | -5.9 21.4 265 19 10 8.2 4.5
15500 -4.7 23.5 260 19 10 7.4 4.1 | -4.7 23.5 265 19 10 7.8 4.3
15000 -3.6 25.5 260 19 10 7.0 3.9 | -3.6 25.5 265 19 10 7.5 4.1
14500 -2.6 27.3 260 19 10 7.0 3.8 | -2.4 27.7 265 20 10 7.3 4.0
14000 -1.5 29.3 260 19 10 6.7 3.7 | -1.4 29.5 265 20 10 6.9 3.8
13500 -0.5 31.1 260 18 9 6.8 3.7 | -0.4 31.3 265 20 10 6.9 3.8
13000 0.3 32.5 260 18 9 5.1 2.8 | 0.5 32.9 265 20 10 6.3 3.4
12500 1.1 34.0 255 17 9 5.5 3.0 | 1.4 34.5 260 20 10 6.6 3.6
12000 1.8 35.2 255 16 8 5.2 2.8 | 2.3 36.1 260 19 10 5.9 3.3
11500 2.5 36.5 255 15 8 5.1 2.8 | 3.1 37.6 255 18 9 5.3 2.9
11000 3.3 37.9 250 14 7 8.5 4.7 | 3.9 39.0 250 17 9 7.9 4.3
10500 4.6 40.3 250 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 5.0 41.0 245 16 8 7.5 4.1
10250 5.2 41.4 250 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 5.5 41.9 245 15 8 8.2 4.5
10000 5.8 42.4 250 14 7 9.2 5.0 | 6.2 43.2 245 15 8 9.1 5.0
9750 6.5 43.7 255 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 6.8 44.2 240 14 7 9.1 5.0
9500 7.2 45.0 255 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 7.5 45.5 240 14 7 9.0 4.9
9250 8.0 46.4 255 14 7 10.7 5.9 | 8.1 46.6 240 13 7 9.9 5.4
9000 8.8 47.8 255 14 7 10.1 5.5 | 8.9 48.0 245 13 7 9.5 5.2
8750 9.5 49.1 255 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 9.5 49.1 245 12 6 8.3 4.6
8500 10.1 50.2 255 14 7 8.8 4.8 | 10.2 50.4 245 12 6 8.7 4.8
8250 10.8 51.4 255 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 10.8 51.4 250 12 6 9.5 5.2
8000 11.5 52.7 255 14 7 10.1 5.6 | 11.6 52.9 250 12 6 9.7 5.3
7750 12.3 54.1 260 14 7 10.0 5.5 | 12.3 54.1 255 12 6 8.8 4.8
7500 13.0 55.4 260 15 7 10.0 5.5 | 12.9 55.2 255 12 6 8.7 4.8
7250 13.8 56.8 260 14 7 10.2 5.6 | 13.6 56.5 260 11 6 9.0 4.9
7000 14.5 58.1 260 14 7 10.0 5.5 | 14.2 57.6 260 11 6 9.2 5.0
6750 15.3 59.5 260 14 7 10.3 5.7 | 14.9 58.8 265 11 5 8.1 4.5
6500 16.2 61.2 260 14 7 15.1 8.3 | 15.3 59.5 270 10 5 0.5 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Tuesday October 27 2026
This forecast is for Tuesday, October 27, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 63.4 F/17.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 571 ft/min (2.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 12649 ft MSL (6966 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 68.0 F/20.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1245 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9034 ft MSL (3351 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 10/28.... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:23:15 / 18:17:19 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 54 min 3 sec (654 min 3 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:50:17 MDT... 41.93 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/27/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12090 ft MSL (6407 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15845 ft MSL (10162 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14141 ft MSL (8459 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.3
K index......................... -3.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.3 -76.5 255 32 16 -0.4 -0.2 94.3 201.8 43.1 M M
45000 -60.8 -77.4 265 37 19 1.2 0.7 71.0 159.9 31.5 M M
40000 -59.0 -74.2 280 31 16 0.8 0.5 49.6 121.2 19.6 M M
38000 -56.2 -69.2 280 28 14 5.6 3.1 44.9 112.8 17.0 M M
36000 -52.8 -63.0 275 23 12 5.6 3.1 41.4 106.5 15.0 M M
34000 -49.3 -56.7 270 19 10 6.2 3.4 38.2 100.7 13.1 M M
32000 -45.6 -50.1 260 16 8 6.2 3.4 35.2 95.3 11.2 M M
30000 -41.5 -42.7 250 15 8 7.8 4.3 32.9 91.3 9.8 M M
29000 -39.1 -38.4 245 17 9 7.8 4.3 32.1 89.8 9.3 M M
28000 -36.8 -34.2 245 18 9 7.8 4.3 31.4 88.6 8.8 M M
27000 -34.3 -29.7 245 19 10 8.8 4.9 30.9 87.6 8.5 M M
26000 -31.0 -23.8 250 20 10 8.8 4.8 30.3 86.6 8.2 M M
25000 -28.4 -19.1 255 20 10 8.8 4.8 30.1 86.1 8.1 M M
24000 -25.8 -14.4 260 21 11 8.5 4.7 29.7 85.4 7.9 M M
23000 -23.2 -9.8 260 20 10 8.5 4.6 29.1 84.4 7.5 M M
22000 -20.7 -5.3 265 20 10 8.5 4.7 28.7 83.7 7.3 M M
21000 -18.2 -0.8 265 20 10 8.2 4.5 28.2 82.8 6.9 M M
20000 -15.8 3.6 260 19 10 8.2 4.5 27.6 81.7 6.5 M M
19500 -14.5 5.9 260 19 10 8.2 4.5 27.4 81.3 6.3 M M
19000 -13.3 8.1 260 19 10 8.1 4.4 27.1 80.9 6.2 M M
18500 -12.1 10.2 265 19 10 8.0 4.4 26.8 80.3 5.9 M M
18000 -10.9 12.4 265 19 10 8.0 4.4 26.5 79.8 5.7 M M
17500 -9.8 14.4 265 19 10 7.6 4.2 26.2 79.2 5.4 M M
17000 -8.6 16.5 270 18 9 7.6 4.2 25.8 78.5 5.1 M M
16500 -7.5 18.5 270 18 9 7.3 4.0 25.5 77.9 4.8 M M
16000 -6.4 20.5 275 18 9 7.1 3.9 25.0 77.0 4.4 M M
15500 -5.4 22.3 275 18 9 6.8 3.8 24.6 76.3 4.1 M M
15000 -4.5 23.9 275 17 9 5.6 3.1 24.0 75.1 3.5 M M
14500 -3.6 25.5 275 17 9 5.8 3.2 23.3 73.9 2.9 M M
14000 -2.9 26.8 275 16 8 4.8 2.6 22.6 72.6 2.2 M M
13500 -2.2 28.0 270 16 8 5.0 2.7 21.8 71.2 1.4 M M
13000 -1.5 29.3 270 15 8 5.1 2.8 21.0 69.8 0.6 M M
12500 -0.8 30.6 265 15 8 5.1 2.8 20.3 68.5 -0.1 566 2.9
12000 0.0 32.0 260 15 8 6.6 3.6 19.6 67.3 -0.8 527 2.7
11500 1.0 33.8 255 15 8 6.8 3.7 19.1 66.4 -1.3 483 2.5
11000 2.0 35.6 255 15 8 8.1 4.5 18.8 65.8 -1.7 437 2.2
10500 3.3 37.9 255 15 8 8.3 4.5 18.5 65.3 -1.9 385 2.0
10250 3.9 39.0 255 15 8 8.1 4.5 18.4 65.1 -2.1 360 1.8
10000 4.4 39.9 250 15 8 8.1 4.4 18.3 64.9 -2.2 335 1.7
9750 5.0 41.0 250 14 7 8.0 4.4 18.1 64.6 -2.4 310 1.6
9500 6.2 43.2 250 14 7 7.6 4.2 17.9 64.2 -2.6 259 1.3
9250 6.7 44.1 250 13 7 6.5 3.6 17.7 63.8 -2.9 237 1.2
9000 7.2 45.0 245 13 6 6.3 3.4 17.4 63.3 -3.2 216 1.1
8750 7.6 45.7 245 12 6 6.4 3.5 17.1 62.8 -3.5 195 1.0
8500 8.0 46.4 245 11 6 5.0 2.8 16.8 62.3 -3.8 175 0.9
8250 8.3 46.9 240 10 5 5.2 2.8 16.4 61.6 -4.2 159 0.8
8000 8.8 47.8 240 9 5 6.4 3.5 16.2 61.1 -4.5 139 0.7
7750 9.2 48.6 235 8 4 5.9 3.2 15.9 60.6 -4.9 119 0.6
7500 9.6 49.3 230 7 4 5.2 2.9 15.6 60.0 -5.2 100 0.5
7250 9.9 49.8 225 7 3 5.3 2.9 15.2 59.4 -5.6 81 0.4
7000 10.3 50.5 220 6 3 5.8 3.2 14.9 58.9 -5.9 62 0.3
6750 10.7 51.3 210 5 3 5.5 3.0 14.6 58.3 -6.3 42 0.2
6500 11.1 52.0 205 5 2 5.2 2.8 14.3 57.7 -6.6 23 0.1
6250 11.5 52.7 200 4 2 5.5 3.0 13.9 57.1 -7.0 4 0.0
6000 11.7 53.1 190 3 2 -2.6 -1.4 13.4 56.2 -7.5 M M
5750 10.2 50.4 170 3 1 -48.0 -26.3 11.2 52.1 -9.8 30 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/27/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/27/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.6 | CAPE... +2.2 LI... +3.0
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -1.1 | CINH... -24.2 K Index... -5.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.8 -77.4 250 30 15 -0.1 -0.1 | -62.5 -80.5 255 31 16 -1.1 -0.6
45000 -60.8 -77.4 265 38 19 0.8 0.4 | -63.7 -82.7 260 41 21 2.9 1.6
40000 -59.6 -75.3 275 32 17 0.4 0.2 | -59.5 -75.1 265 31 16 2.3 1.3
38000 -56.3 -69.3 280 30 15 6.3 3.5 | -56.3 -69.3 270 28 14 5.8 3.2
36000 -52.6 -62.7 280 26 14 6.3 3.5 | -52.8 -63.0 270 25 13 5.8 3.2
34000 -48.6 -55.5 285 22 12 7.1 3.9 | -48.8 -55.8 275 22 11 7.4 4.1
32000 -44.3 -47.7 300 18 9 7.1 3.9 | -44.3 -47.7 280 19 10 7.4 4.1
30000 -40.1 -40.2 305 15 8 6.9 3.8 | -39.7 -39.5 290 17 9 8.0 4.4
29000 -38.0 -36.4 295 13 7 6.9 3.8 | -37.3 -35.1 295 16 8 8.0 4.4
28000 -36.0 -32.8 285 11 6 6.9 3.8 | -34.9 -30.8 300 16 8 8.0 4.4
27000 -33.3 -27.9 270 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -32.6 -26.7 300 15 8 7.5 4.1
26000 -31.1 -24.0 255 13 6 7.3 4.0 | -29.8 -21.6 290 13 7 7.5 4.1
25000 -28.9 -20.0 245 14 7 7.4 4.1 | -27.5 -17.5 280 12 6 7.4 4.1
24000 -26.5 -15.7 245 16 8 9.0 4.9 | -25.5 -13.9 265 12 6 6.5 3.6
23000 -23.8 -10.8 255 16 8 9.1 5.0 | -23.5 -10.3 255 14 7 6.5 3.6
22000 -21.0 -5.8 260 17 9 9.1 5.0 | -21.6 -6.9 245 16 8 6.4 3.5
21000 -18.4 -1.1 265 17 9 8.6 4.7 | -19.0 -2.2 250 17 9 9.5 5.2
20000 -15.8 3.6 265 18 9 8.6 4.7 | -16.2 2.8 255 17 9 9.5 5.2
19500 -14.5 5.9 270 18 9 8.6 4.7 | -14.7 5.5 255 17 9 9.5 5.2
19000 -13.2 8.2 270 19 10 8.3 4.6 | -13.3 8.1 260 17 9 9.2 5.1
18500 -12.0 10.4 270 19 10 8.1 4.5 | -11.9 10.6 260 17 9 9.0 4.9
18000 -10.8 12.6 270 19 10 8.1 4.5 | -10.6 12.9 265 17 9 9.0 5.0
17500 -9.6 14.7 270 19 10 7.6 4.2 | -9.3 15.3 265 17 9 7.8 4.3
17000 -8.5 16.7 275 19 10 7.7 4.2 | -8.1 17.4 265 17 9 7.9 4.3
16500 -7.3 18.9 275 18 10 7.2 3.9 | -7.0 19.4 265 17 9 7.5 4.1
16000 -6.3 20.7 275 18 9 7.0 3.8 | -5.9 21.4 265 17 9 7.4 4.1
15500 -5.3 22.5 275 18 9 6.9 3.8 | -4.8 23.4 265 17 9 7.3 4.0
15000 -4.2 24.4 275 18 9 6.8 3.7 | -3.7 25.3 265 17 9 7.1 3.9
14500 -3.2 26.2 275 17 9 6.8 3.7 | -2.6 27.3 265 17 9 7.1 3.9
14000 -2.4 27.7 275 16 8 5.0 2.7 | -1.6 29.1 265 17 9 6.4 3.5
13500 -1.6 29.1 275 16 8 5.3 2.9 | -0.7 30.7 265 17 9 6.6 3.6
13000 -1.0 30.2 270 15 8 4.1 2.2 | 0.2 32.4 265 16 8 4.8 2.6
12500 -0.4 31.3 270 14 7 4.2 2.3 | 0.9 33.6 265 15 8 5.0 2.7
12000 0.2 32.4 270 13 7 5.8 3.2 | 1.6 34.9 265 14 7 4.2 2.3
11500 1.1 34.0 265 12 6 5.8 3.2 | 2.1 35.8 260 13 7 4.2 2.3
11000 2.0 35.6 260 12 6 7.2 4.0 | 2.8 37.0 255 12 6 6.0 3.3
10500 3.1 37.6 255 12 6 7.0 3.9 | 3.6 38.5 250 12 6 5.6 3.1
10250 3.6 38.5 255 12 6 7.0 3.9 | 4.0 39.2 250 11 6 5.5 3.0
10000 4.1 39.4 250 12 6 7.7 4.2 | 4.4 39.9 245 11 6 6.7 3.7
9750 4.7 40.5 250 12 6 7.8 4.3 | 4.9 40.8 245 11 6 6.9 3.8
9500 5.8 42.4 245 12 6 7.1 3.9 | 5.4 41.7 245 11 6 6.7 3.7
9250 6.3 43.3 245 12 6 7.0 3.8 | 6.4 43.5 240 11 6 7.3 4.0
9000 6.8 44.2 245 12 6 7.8 4.3 | 6.9 44.4 235 10 5 7.1 3.9
8750 7.4 45.3 245 11 6 7.4 4.1 | 7.4 45.3 235 10 5 6.6 3.6
8500 7.9 46.2 240 11 6 5.6 3.1 | 7.8 46.0 230 9 5 4.9 2.7
8250 8.2 46.8 240 10 5 5.4 2.9 | 8.1 46.6 230 8 4 7.1 3.9
8000 8.7 47.7 240 9 5 6.4 3.5 | 8.8 47.8 230 8 4 9.3 5.1
7750 9.1 48.4 235 8 4 5.8 3.2 | 9.4 48.9 225 7 4 8.6 4.7
7500 9.5 49.1 235 7 4 5.2 2.9 | 10.0 50.0 225 7 4 8.6 4.7
7250 9.8 49.6 235 6 3 5.1 2.8 | 10.7 51.3 225 7 3 9.8 5.4
7000 10.2 50.4 230 5 3 5.2 2.9 | 11.5 52.7 225 7 3 10.9 6.0
6750 10.5 50.9 220 4 2 5.0 2.7 | 12.3 54.1 225 6 3 10.1 5.6
6500 10.9 51.6 210 3 2 4.5 2.5 | 13.0 55.4 225 6 3 9.9 5.5
6250 11.2 52.2 200 3 1 5.7 3.1 | 13.8 56.8 225 6 3 9.6 5.3
6000 11.7 53.1 190 2 1 9.1 5.0 | 14.5 58.1 225 6 3 12.9 7.1
5750 12.4 54.3 180 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 16.2 61.2 230 5 3 37.3 20.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
10/27/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/27/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.5 LI... +2.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.3
CINH... -5.5 K Index... -4.4 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... -1.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 255 36 19 -0.8 -0.4 | -62.8 -81.0 255 38 20 -0.9 -0.5
45000 -63.5 -82.3 265 43 22 2.4 1.3 | -63.7 -82.7 260 43 22 2.7 1.5
40000 -59.8 -75.6 265 35 18 1.9 1.0 | -59.6 -75.3 270 38 19 2.5 1.4
38000 -56.4 -69.5 270 29 15 6.2 3.4 | -55.9 -68.6 270 32 17 6.5 3.5
36000 -52.6 -62.7 280 22 11 6.2 3.4 | -52.1 -61.8 275 26 13 6.5 3.5
34000 -48.6 -55.5 285 18 9 7.2 3.9 | -47.8 -54.0 275 22 11 7.6 4.2
32000 -44.3 -47.7 285 16 8 7.2 3.9 | -43.2 -45.8 275 18 9 7.6 4.2
30000 -39.6 -39.3 280 15 8 8.5 4.6 | -38.7 -37.7 270 16 8 7.4 4.1
29000 -37.1 -34.8 280 15 8 8.5 4.6 | -36.5 -33.7 270 15 8 7.4 4.1
28000 -34.6 -30.3 280 15 8 8.4 4.6 | -34.2 -29.6 270 14 7 7.5 4.1
27000 -32.1 -25.8 280 15 8 7.7 4.2 | -31.9 -25.4 270 13 7 8.4 4.6
26000 -29.8 -21.6 280 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -28.7 -19.7 265 14 7 8.4 4.6
25000 -27.0 -16.6 280 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -26.2 -15.2 265 14 7 8.4 4.6
24000 -24.7 -12.5 280 17 9 7.5 4.1 | -23.9 -11.0 265 14 7 6.8 3.8
23000 -22.4 -8.3 280 17 9 7.5 4.1 | -21.9 -7.4 270 15 8 6.8 3.7
22000 -20.2 -4.4 275 18 9 7.6 4.2 | -19.9 -3.8 275 15 8 6.7 3.7
21000 -18.0 -0.4 270 18 9 6.9 3.8 | -17.6 0.3 275 16 8 7.7 4.2
20000 -16.0 3.2 260 19 10 6.9 3.8 | -15.3 4.5 280 16 8 7.7 4.2
19500 -15.0 5.0 260 19 10 7.0 3.8 | -14.2 6.4 280 17 9 7.7 4.2
19000 -13.9 7.0 255 19 10 8.1 4.5 | -13.0 8.6 285 17 9 7.4 4.1
18500 -12.6 9.3 255 19 10 9.1 5.0 | -12.0 10.4 280 17 9 7.2 3.9
18000 -11.2 11.8 260 18 9 9.2 5.0 | -10.9 12.4 275 17 9 7.1 3.9
17500 -9.8 14.4 260 18 9 8.8 4.8 | -9.8 14.4 275 18 9 7.7 4.2
17000 -8.5 16.7 260 18 9 8.9 4.9 | -8.6 16.5 270 18 9 7.7 4.2
16500 -7.2 19.0 260 18 9 8.2 4.5 | -7.5 18.5 270 19 10 8.1 4.4
16000 -6.0 21.2 260 18 9 8.0 4.4 | -6.3 20.7 265 20 10 8.2 4.5
15500 -4.8 23.4 260 18 9 7.8 4.3 | -5.0 23.0 265 20 10 8.0 4.4
15000 -3.7 25.3 260 18 9 7.4 4.0 | -3.9 25.0 265 21 11 7.3 4.0
14500 -2.6 27.3 260 19 10 7.4 4.1 | -2.8 27.0 265 21 11 7.4 4.1
14000 -1.5 29.3 260 19 10 6.9 3.8 | -1.9 28.6 265 21 11 5.7 3.1
13500 -0.5 31.1 260 19 10 7.0 3.8 | -1.0 30.2 260 21 11 6.0 3.3
13000 0.5 32.9 260 19 10 6.4 3.5 | -0.2 31.6 260 21 11 6.4 3.5
12500 1.4 34.5 260 18 10 6.6 3.6 | 0.7 33.3 255 21 11 6.4 3.5
12000 2.3 36.1 260 18 9 4.3 2.4 | 1.7 35.1 250 20 11 7.8 4.3
11500 2.8 37.0 255 16 8 4.2 2.3 | 2.8 37.0 250 19 10 7.9 4.3
11000 3.4 38.1 255 15 8 5.2 2.9 | 4.0 39.2 245 18 9 8.6 4.7
10500 4.1 39.4 250 13 7 4.0 2.2 | 5.3 41.5 245 16 8 8.4 4.6
10250 4.3 39.7 245 12 6 4.3 2.4 | 5.9 42.6 240 16 8 8.2 4.5
10000 4.7 40.5 245 11 6 8.3 4.6 | 6.5 43.7 240 15 8 8.8 4.8
9750 5.4 41.7 240 11 5 9.1 5.0 | 7.2 45.0 240 14 7 8.9 4.9
9500 6.0 42.8 240 10 5 8.9 4.9 | 8.4 47.1 235 11 6 8.4 4.6
9250 6.7 44.1 240 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 9.1 48.4 235 10 5 8.5 4.6
9000 8.1 46.6 240 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 9.7 49.5 230 9 5 8.7 4.8
8750 8.8 47.8 240 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 10.3 50.5 230 8 4 8.7 4.7
8500 9.5 49.1 240 9 5 8.8 4.8 | 11.0 51.8 225 7 4 8.4 4.6
8250 10.1 50.2 240 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 11.6 52.9 220 7 4 8.9 4.9
8000 10.9 51.6 235 9 4 10.3 5.7 | 12.3 54.1 215 6 3 9.6 5.3
7750 11.7 53.1 235 8 4 10.0 5.5 | 13.0 55.4 210 5 3 9.2 5.1
7500 12.4 54.3 235 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 13.7 56.7 205 5 2 8.5 4.7
7250 13.1 55.6 235 8 4 9.9 5.5 | 14.3 57.7 195 4 2 8.8 4.8
7000 13.9 57.0 235 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 15.0 59.0 185 4 2 9.3 5.1
6750 14.6 58.3 235 7 4 10.2 5.6 | 15.7 60.3 175 4 2 9.4 5.2
6500 15.4 59.7 235 7 4 10.7 5.9 | 16.4 61.5 170 4 2 9.8 5.4
6250 16.2 61.2 235 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 17.1 62.8 160 4 2 9.5 5.2
6000 16.9 62.4 235 7 3 11.8 6.5 | 17.7 63.9 150 3 2 5.3 2.9
5750 18.5 65.3 240 6 3 38.1 20.9 | 17.4 63.3 140 3 2 -13.7 -7.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0724 MDT Tuesday October 27 2026
This forecast is for Tuesday, October 27, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 59.7 F/15.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 493 ft/min (2.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 12397 ft MSL (5939 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 63.0 F/17.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1300 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9239 ft MSL (2781 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 10/28.... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:21:55 / 18:14:26 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 10 hr 52 min 31 sec (652 min 31 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:48:11 MDT... 41.33 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/27/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 12064 ft MSL (5606 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16267 ft MSL (9809 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14160 ft MSL (7702 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.8
K index......................... -5.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.3 -76.5 255 31 16 -0.3 -0.2 91.5 196.7 43.4 M M
45000 -60.7 -77.3 260 38 20 0.9 0.5 68.5 155.3 31.9 M M
40000 -59.6 -75.3 280 28 14 0.6 0.3 46.3 115.4 19.5 M M
38000 -56.8 -70.2 275 25 13 5.6 3.1 41.6 106.8 16.7 M M
36000 -53.4 -64.1 265 21 11 5.6 3.1 38.1 100.6 14.8 M M
34000 -49.8 -57.6 255 20 10 6.4 3.5 35.0 95.1 12.9 M M
32000 -46.0 -50.8 245 20 10 6.4 3.5 32.2 90.0 11.2 M M
30000 -41.7 -43.1 245 20 10 8.2 4.5 30.2 86.4 9.9 M M
29000 -39.3 -38.7 245 20 10 8.2 4.5 29.6 85.2 9.5 M M
28000 -36.8 -34.2 250 19 10 8.2 4.5 29.0 84.2 9.2 M M
27000 -33.7 -28.7 250 19 10 8.6 4.7 28.4 83.1 8.9 M M
26000 -31.1 -24.0 255 18 10 8.6 4.7 27.9 82.3 8.6 M M
25000 -28.5 -19.3 255 18 9 8.6 4.7 27.6 81.6 8.4 M M
24000 -25.9 -14.6 260 18 9 8.6 4.7 27.2 80.9 8.2 M M
23000 -23.3 -9.9 260 18 9 8.6 4.7 26.7 80.1 7.9 M M
22000 -20.7 -5.3 260 18 9 8.6 4.7 26.4 79.5 7.7 M M
21000 -18.2 -0.8 260 18 9 8.4 4.6 25.9 78.7 7.4 M M
20000 -15.7 3.7 260 19 10 8.4 4.6 25.4 77.8 7.1 M M
19500 -14.4 6.1 255 19 10 8.4 4.6 25.2 77.4 6.9 M M
19000 -13.1 8.4 255 19 10 8.3 4.5 25.0 77.1 6.8 M M
18500 -11.9 10.6 255 19 10 8.0 4.4 24.7 76.5 6.6 M M
18000 -10.7 12.7 255 19 10 8.1 4.4 24.4 76.0 6.3 M M
17500 -9.6 14.7 260 19 10 7.4 4.1 24.1 75.4 6.1 M M
17000 -8.5 16.7 260 19 10 7.4 4.1 23.7 74.7 5.8 M M
16500 -7.3 18.9 265 19 10 7.2 4.0 23.3 74.0 5.5 M M
16000 -6.3 20.7 265 19 10 7.0 3.8 22.9 73.2 5.0 M M
15500 -5.3 22.5 265 18 9 6.8 3.7 22.4 72.3 4.7 M M
15000 -4.4 24.1 265 18 9 5.3 2.9 21.8 71.2 4.1 M M
14500 -3.6 25.5 270 18 9 5.5 3.0 21.1 69.9 3.4 M M
14000 -2.9 26.8 270 18 9 4.6 2.5 20.3 68.5 2.7 M M
13500 -2.2 28.0 270 18 9 4.7 2.6 19.5 67.0 1.9 M M
13000 -1.6 29.1 270 17 9 4.9 2.7 18.7 65.6 1.1 M M
12500 -0.9 30.4 270 17 9 5.0 2.8 17.9 64.2 0.3 M M
12000 -0.1 31.8 270 17 9 6.8 3.8 17.3 63.1 -0.4 471 2.4
11500 1.4 34.5 270 17 9 6.3 3.4 16.7 62.0 -1.0 402 2.0
11000 2.4 36.3 270 16 8 8.6 4.7 16.2 61.2 -1.5 358 1.8
10500 3.6 38.5 270 16 8 7.9 4.3 16.0 60.8 -1.8 307 1.6
10250 4.1 39.4 270 15 8 6.9 3.8 15.8 60.5 -2.0 284 1.4
10000 4.6 40.3 270 14 7 6.7 3.7 15.6 60.1 -2.2 262 1.3
9750 5.1 41.2 265 14 7 7.0 3.8 15.4 59.7 -2.5 241 1.2
9500 5.6 42.1 265 13 7 6.2 3.4 15.1 59.3 -2.8 219 1.1
9250 6.0 42.8 265 12 6 5.5 3.0 14.8 58.7 -3.1 200 1.0
9000 6.4 43.5 265 11 6 6.0 3.3 14.5 58.1 -3.4 180 0.9
8750 6.8 44.2 265 10 5 6.3 3.5 14.2 57.6 -3.7 160 0.8
8500 7.2 45.0 265 8 4 5.4 3.0 14.0 57.1 -4.0 139 0.7
8250 7.6 45.7 270 7 4 4.5 2.5 13.6 56.5 -4.4 121 0.6
8000 8.0 46.4 275 5 3 5.0 2.8 13.2 55.8 -4.8 102 0.5
7750 8.4 47.1 280 4 2 5.1 2.8 12.9 55.1 -5.1 83 0.4
7500 8.8 47.8 295 3 2 5.1 2.8 12.5 54.5 -5.5 64 0.3
7250 9.2 48.6 310 3 1 4.6 2.5 12.1 53.9 -5.8 44 0.2
7000 9.6 49.3 335 2 1 5.8 3.2 11.8 53.2 -6.2 26 0.1
6750 9.8 49.6 350 2 1 -4.4 -2.4 11.3 52.3 -6.7 11 0.1
6500 7.3 45.1 005 2 1 -77.2 -42.4 8.1 46.6 -9.9 78 0.4
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/27/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/27/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.8 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.2
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -2.3 | CINH... -0.1 K Index... -3.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.7 -77.3 250 28 15 -0.5 -0.3 | -62.3 -80.1 250 31 16 -0.7 -0.4
45000 -61.2 -78.2 265 32 16 1.1 0.6 | -63.0 -81.4 260 40 20 2.4 1.3
40000 -59.5 -75.1 280 31 16 0.8 0.5 | -59.5 -75.1 270 30 15 1.9 1.1
38000 -56.5 -69.7 285 27 14 6.0 3.3 | -56.5 -69.7 275 25 13 5.5 3.0
36000 -52.9 -63.2 290 22 11 6.0 3.3 | -53.2 -63.8 285 21 11 5.5 3.0
34000 -49.1 -56.4 290 19 10 6.6 3.6 | -49.2 -56.6 290 18 9 7.7 4.2
32000 -45.2 -49.4 290 16 8 6.6 3.6 | -44.6 -48.3 295 16 8 7.7 4.2
30000 -41.0 -41.8 275 13 7 7.4 4.1 | -40.0 -40.0 300 15 7 7.7 4.2
29000 -38.8 -37.8 265 13 7 7.4 4.1 | -37.7 -35.9 300 14 7 7.7 4.2
28000 -36.0 -32.8 245 14 7 7.4 4.0 | -35.4 -31.7 295 14 7 7.7 4.2
27000 -33.6 -28.5 245 15 8 8.3 4.6 | -32.6 -26.7 285 13 7 7.1 3.9
26000 -31.1 -24.0 245 16 8 8.4 4.6 | -30.5 -22.9 265 12 6 7.1 3.9
25000 -28.6 -19.5 250 16 8 8.4 4.6 | -28.3 -18.9 245 12 6 7.2 3.9
24000 -26.1 -15.0 255 16 8 8.6 4.7 | -26.0 -14.8 240 14 7 8.2 4.5
23000 -23.5 -10.3 260 16 8 8.6 4.7 | -23.6 -10.5 240 16 8 8.2 4.5
22000 -20.9 -5.6 270 16 8 8.6 4.7 | -21.1 -6.0 245 17 9 8.2 4.5
21000 -18.3 -0.9 270 16 8 8.7 4.8 | -18.5 -1.3 250 18 9 9.1 5.0
20000 -15.7 3.7 275 17 9 8.7 4.8 | -15.8 3.6 255 17 9 9.1 5.0
19500 -14.4 6.1 275 17 9 8.7 4.8 | -14.4 6.1 260 17 9 9.0 5.0
19000 -13.0 8.6 275 18 9 8.4 4.6 | -13.1 8.4 265 17 9 8.7 4.8
18500 -11.8 10.8 275 18 9 8.0 4.4 | -11.8 10.8 265 17 9 8.3 4.5
18000 -10.7 12.7 275 18 9 8.0 4.4 | -10.6 12.9 270 17 9 8.3 4.6
17500 -9.5 14.9 275 18 9 7.5 4.1 | -9.4 15.1 270 17 9 7.7 4.2
17000 -8.4 16.9 275 18 9 7.5 4.1 | -8.2 17.2 270 17 9 7.8 4.3
16500 -7.2 19.0 275 18 9 7.2 3.9 | -7.0 19.4 270 17 9 7.4 4.1
16000 -6.2 20.8 275 17 9 6.9 3.8 | -6.0 21.2 270 17 9 7.2 4.0
15500 -5.2 22.6 275 17 9 6.7 3.7 | -4.9 23.2 270 17 9 7.1 3.9
15000 -4.3 24.3 275 17 9 6.0 3.3 | -3.9 25.0 275 17 9 6.8 3.7
14500 -3.4 25.9 280 17 9 6.2 3.4 | -2.8 27.0 275 17 9 6.9 3.8
14000 -2.6 27.3 280 17 9 4.4 2.4 | -1.9 28.6 275 18 9 5.6 3.1
13500 -1.9 28.6 280 17 9 4.7 2.6 | -1.1 30.0 275 17 9 5.9 3.2
13000 -1.3 29.7 280 17 9 4.0 2.2 | -0.3 31.5 280 17 9 4.0 2.2
12500 -0.8 30.6 280 18 9 4.1 2.2 | 0.2 32.4 280 17 9 4.1 2.2
12000 -0.1 31.8 280 18 9 6.2 3.4 | 0.8 33.4 280 16 8 4.7 2.6
11500 1.2 34.2 280 17 9 5.9 3.2 | 1.4 34.5 275 16 8 5.1 2.8
11000 2.1 35.8 280 17 9 7.9 4.3 | 2.5 36.5 275 14 7 6.8 3.7
10500 3.2 37.8 280 16 8 7.9 4.3 | 3.4 38.1 270 13 7 7.2 3.9
10250 3.8 38.8 280 16 8 7.3 4.0 | 4.0 39.2 270 13 7 7.3 4.0
10000 4.3 39.7 280 14 7 6.5 3.6 | 4.5 40.1 270 12 6 6.7 3.7
9750 4.8 40.6 285 13 7 7.0 3.8 | 5.0 41.0 270 11 6 7.2 3.9
9500 5.2 41.4 285 12 6 5.8 3.2 | 5.4 41.7 270 11 5 5.9 3.2
9250 5.6 42.1 280 12 6 4.6 2.5 | 5.8 42.4 270 10 5 5.7 3.1
9000 5.9 42.6 280 11 5 5.2 2.9 | 6.3 43.3 265 9 5 7.2 4.0
8750 6.3 43.3 280 9 5 5.4 2.9 | 6.8 44.2 265 8 4 7.1 3.9
8500 6.7 44.1 280 8 4 4.8 2.7 | 7.3 45.1 265 7 4 7.8 4.3
8250 7.0 44.6 285 7 3 4.5 2.5 | 8.0 46.4 265 7 3 8.6 4.7
8000 7.4 45.3 285 6 3 5.6 3.1 | 8.6 47.5 265 6 3 9.2 5.0
7750 7.8 46.0 290 5 3 5.8 3.2 | 9.3 48.7 265 6 3 9.8 5.4
7500 8.2 46.8 295 4 2 4.4 2.4 | 10.0 50.0 265 6 3 9.9 5.4
7250 8.5 47.3 310 3 2 3.9 2.1 | 10.8 51.4 265 6 3 10.4 5.7
7000 8.9 48.0 330 3 2 4.8 2.6 | 11.5 52.7 265 5 3 9.0 5.0
6750 9.3 48.7 330 3 1 7.2 3.9 | 12.2 54.0 265 5 3 11.6 6.4
6500 9.9 49.8 345 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 14.0 57.2 265 5 2 44.0 24.1
10/27/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/27/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.5 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.4
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -3.9 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... -4.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 250 35 18 -1.1 -0.6 | -62.8 -81.0 255 37 19 -1.3 -0.7
45000 -63.8 -82.8 260 40 21 2.6 1.4 | -64.3 -83.7 260 43 22 2.7 1.5
40000 -59.9 -75.8 265 29 15 2.1 1.2 | -60.2 -76.4 270 32 16 2.1 1.2
38000 -56.7 -70.1 275 23 12 5.8 3.2 | -56.6 -69.9 275 27 14 6.6 3.6
36000 -53.2 -63.8 290 19 10 5.9 3.2 | -52.6 -62.7 275 22 12 6.6 3.6
34000 -49.1 -56.4 300 16 8 7.8 4.3 | -48.3 -54.9 280 19 10 7.8 4.3
32000 -44.4 -47.9 300 15 8 7.8 4.3 | -43.6 -46.5 280 17 9 7.8 4.3
30000 -39.6 -39.3 300 14 7 8.3 4.6 | -38.9 -38.0 280 15 8 7.9 4.3
29000 -37.1 -34.8 295 15 8 8.3 4.6 | -36.5 -33.7 280 14 7 7.9 4.3
28000 -34.6 -30.3 295 15 8 8.3 4.5 | -34.2 -29.6 280 13 7 7.9 4.3
27000 -32.2 -26.0 295 15 8 7.6 4.2 | -31.8 -25.2 280 13 7 8.0 4.4
26000 -29.4 -20.9 290 14 7 7.6 4.2 | -28.8 -19.8 275 12 6 8.0 4.4
25000 -27.1 -16.8 290 14 7 7.6 4.2 | -26.4 -15.5 275 12 6 8.0 4.4
24000 -24.9 -12.8 280 14 7 7.0 3.8 | -24.1 -11.4 275 12 6 7.4 4.1
23000 -22.8 -9.0 270 15 8 7.0 3.8 | -21.9 -7.4 275 14 7 7.4 4.0
22000 -20.7 -5.3 265 16 8 7.0 3.8 | -19.7 -3.5 280 15 8 7.4 4.1
21000 -18.5 -1.3 255 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -17.6 0.3 275 17 9 6.9 3.8
20000 -16.2 2.8 255 19 10 7.8 4.3 | -15.5 4.1 275 18 9 6.9 3.8
19500 -15.0 5.0 250 20 10 7.9 4.3 | -14.5 5.9 275 19 10 6.9 3.8
19000 -13.9 7.0 250 21 11 8.4 4.6 | -13.4 7.9 275 19 10 7.0 3.8
18500 -12.5 9.5 250 21 11 9.2 5.1 | -12.4 9.7 270 19 10 7.1 3.9
18000 -11.1 12.0 255 21 11 9.3 5.1 | -11.3 11.7 270 20 10 7.0 3.8
17500 -9.7 14.5 255 20 11 8.9 4.9 | -10.2 13.6 265 20 10 8.0 4.4
17000 -8.4 16.9 260 20 10 8.9 4.9 | -9.0 15.8 265 20 10 8.0 4.4
16500 -7.1 19.2 260 20 10 8.2 4.5 | -7.8 18.0 265 20 10 7.8 4.3
16000 -5.9 21.4 265 20 10 7.7 4.2 | -6.7 19.9 265 20 10 7.7 4.2
15500 -4.8 23.4 265 20 10 7.5 4.1 | -5.6 21.9 265 19 10 7.6 4.2
15000 -3.7 25.3 265 20 10 6.9 3.8 | -4.4 24.1 265 19 10 7.3 4.0
14500 -2.7 27.1 265 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -3.4 25.9 270 18 9 7.4 4.0
14000 -1.7 28.9 270 20 10 6.4 3.5 | -2.3 27.9 270 18 9 7.5 4.1
13500 -0.8 30.6 270 19 10 6.5 3.6 | -1.2 29.8 275 17 9 7.6 4.2
13000 0.1 32.2 275 18 9 5.5 3.0 | -0.1 31.8 275 16 8 7.3 4.0
12500 0.9 33.6 275 17 9 5.5 3.0 | 0.9 33.6 275 16 8 7.3 4.0
12000 1.6 34.9 280 16 8 5.4 2.9 | 2.0 35.6 280 16 8 6.8 3.8
11500 2.3 36.1 275 15 8 5.4 3.0 | 3.4 38.1 275 16 8 6.6 3.6
11000 3.5 38.3 270 13 7 5.9 3.2 | 4.3 39.7 270 15 8 6.1 3.3
10500 4.3 39.7 265 12 6 6.2 3.4 | 5.1 41.2 265 15 8 5.9 3.2
10250 4.8 40.6 260 11 6 7.8 4.3 | 5.5 41.9 265 14 7 6.4 3.5
10000 5.4 41.7 260 11 6 8.7 4.8 | 6.0 42.8 260 14 7 7.3 4.0
9750 6.0 42.8 255 11 6 8.4 4.6 | 6.5 43.7 260 14 7 6.8 3.7
9500 6.6 43.9 255 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 7.0 44.6 255 14 7 8.1 4.4
9250 7.3 45.1 250 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 7.7 45.9 255 14 7 9.3 5.1
9000 8.0 46.4 250 11 6 9.4 5.2 | 8.4 47.1 250 13 7 8.9 4.9
8750 8.7 47.7 250 11 6 9.3 5.1 | 9.0 48.2 250 13 7 8.8 4.8
8500 9.4 48.9 250 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 9.7 49.5 245 13 7 9.3 5.1
8250 10.1 50.2 250 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 10.4 50.7 245 13 7 9.7 5.3
8000 10.9 51.6 250 11 6 9.9 5.5 | 11.1 52.0 245 13 7 9.1 5.0
7750 11.6 52.9 245 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 11.8 53.2 245 13 6 8.8 4.9
7500 12.3 54.1 245 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 12.4 54.3 245 12 6 8.8 4.8
7250 13.1 55.6 245 11 6 10.4 5.7 | 13.1 55.6 240 11 6 8.6 4.7
7000 13.8 56.8 245 11 5 9.1 5.0 | 13.7 56.7 240 11 5 8.4 4.6
6750 14.5 58.1 245 10 5 12.0 6.6 | 14.1 57.4 240 9 5 2.9 1.6
6500 16.3 61.3 245 9 5 45.4 24.9 | 13.5 56.3 230 6 3 -23.8 -13.0
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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