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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0715 MDT Thursday August 6 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, August 6, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 85.4 F/29.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1494 ft/min (7.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21505 ft MSL (15179 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 95.0 F/35.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14178 ft MSL (7852 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 08/07....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:17:36 / 20:02:10 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 44 min 34 sec (824 min 34 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:53 MDT... 71.42 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/06/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 17159 ft MSL (10833 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17066 ft MSL (10740 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18186 ft MSL (11860 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.2
K index......................... +20.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.7 -86.3 330 20 10 3.2 1.8 76.1 169.0 24.4 M M
45000 -59.4 -74.9 315 34 17 5.8 3.2 63.3 145.9 18.0 M M
40000 -50.5 -58.9 310 38 20 6.6 3.6 54.9 130.9 13.5 M M
38000 -46.1 -51.0 300 35 18 6.6 3.6 51.7 125.1 11.7 M M
36000 -42.0 -43.6 295 32 16 7.6 4.2 49.5 121.1 10.4 M M
34000 -37.5 -35.5 300 26 13 7.6 4.2 47.5 117.5 9.1 M M
32000 -32.9 -27.2 315 21 11 7.2 4.0 46.1 114.9 8.3 M M
30000 -28.8 -19.8 315 15 8 6.8 3.8 43.6 110.4 6.6 M M
29000 -26.7 -16.1 320 12 6 6.8 3.8 42.5 108.6 5.8 M M
28000 -24.6 -12.3 320 9 5 7.6 4.2 41.6 106.8 5.2 M M
27000 -22.3 -8.1 320 8 4 7.6 4.2 40.7 105.2 4.5 M M
26000 -20.1 -4.2 320 7 4 7.6 4.2 39.9 103.8 3.9 M M
25000 -17.9 -0.2 315 6 3 7.0 3.9 39.2 102.5 3.3 M M
24000 -15.9 3.4 300 4 2 6.8 3.7 38.0 100.4 2.3 M M
23000 -13.9 7.0 245 2 1 6.8 3.7 36.9 98.4 1.4 M M
22000 -11.9 10.6 190 3 2 7.2 3.9 36.0 96.7 0.5 M M
21000 -9.7 14.5 190 2 1 7.3 4.0 35.0 95.0 -0.3 1458 7.4
20000 -7.1 19.2 195 1 1 7.3 4.0 34.0 93.3 -1.3 1341 6.8
19500 -6.0 21.2 235 1 0 8.0 4.4 33.7 92.6 -1.6 1293 6.6
19000 -4.8 23.4 300 2 1 8.1 4.5 33.4 92.1 -1.9 1242 6.3
18500 -3.6 25.5 310 3 2 8.4 4.6 33.1 91.6 -2.2 1192 6.1
18000 -2.2 28.0 310 4 2 9.7 5.3 33.0 91.5 -2.3 1136 5.8
17500 -0.8 30.6 310 5 3 9.7 5.3 33.0 91.4 -2.3 1077 5.5
17000 0.7 33.3 305 6 3 9.4 5.2 33.0 91.4 -2.4 1020 5.2
16500 2.1 35.8 305 6 3 9.4 5.2 32.9 91.3 -2.4 963 4.9
16000 3.5 38.3 300 7 3 9.3 5.1 32.9 91.2 -2.5 906 4.6
15500 4.8 40.6 295 7 4 9.0 4.9 32.8 91.0 -2.7 851 4.3
15000 6.1 43.0 290 8 4 9.0 4.9 32.7 90.8 -2.8 796 4.0
14500 7.5 45.5 285 8 4 9.3 5.1 32.5 90.6 -2.9 741 3.8
14000 8.8 47.8 285 9 5 9.3 5.1 32.5 90.4 -3.0 686 3.5
13500 10.2 50.4 280 10 5 8.9 4.9 32.4 90.3 -3.2 630 3.2
13000 11.5 52.7 280 10 5 8.9 4.9 32.2 90.0 -3.3 576 2.9
12500 12.8 55.0 280 10 5 8.6 4.7 32.1 89.8 -3.5 522 2.7
12000 14.1 57.4 275 11 6 8.5 4.7 31.9 89.4 -3.7 470 2.4
11500 15.3 59.5 270 12 6 7.7 4.2 31.7 89.0 -4.0 418 2.1
11000 16.4 61.5 265 12 6 7.7 4.2 31.3 88.4 -4.4 371 1.9
10500 17.5 63.5 260 13 6 6.3 3.5 31.0 87.8 -4.8 323 1.6
10250 17.8 64.0 255 12 6 4.9 2.7 30.6 87.1 -5.2 306 1.6
10000 18.2 64.8 250 12 6 5.7 3.1 30.3 86.5 -5.6 288 1.5
9750 18.5 65.3 245 12 6 5.7 3.1 30.0 86.0 -6.0 270 1.4
9500 18.9 66.0 240 12 6 5.5 3.0 29.7 85.4 -6.4 252 1.3
9250 19.2 66.6 235 12 6 5.3 2.9 29.3 84.8 -6.8 234 1.2
9000 19.6 67.3 230 12 6 5.3 2.9 29.0 84.2 -7.2 216 1.1
8750 19.9 67.8 225 12 6 5.3 2.9 28.6 83.5 -7.5 198 1.0
8500 20.3 68.5 220 11 6 4.8 2.7 28.3 82.9 -7.9 180 0.9
8250 20.6 69.1 220 11 6 4.6 2.5 27.9 82.2 -8.4 163 0.8
8000 20.9 69.6 215 11 6 4.2 2.3 27.5 81.5 -8.8 147 0.7
7750 21.1 70.0 210 11 5 2.8 1.5 27.0 80.6 -9.3 132 0.7
7500 21.2 70.2 210 10 5 0.0 0.0 26.4 79.5 -10.0 122 0.6
7250 21.1 70.0 200 9 5 -1.6 -0.9 25.6 78.0 -10.9 118 0.6
7000 21.0 69.8 195 8 4 -0.6 -0.3 24.7 76.5 -11.7 114 0.6
6750 20.9 69.6 185 7 4 -4.1 -2.2 23.9 75.0 -12.6 111 0.6
6500 20.2 68.4 175 6 3 -11.8 -6.5 22.6 72.6 -14.0 122 0.6
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/06/2026 at 0900 MDT | 08/06/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +370.8 LI... -2.0 | CAPE... +382.7 LI... -2.1
CINH... -153.0 K Index... +16.1 | CINH... -11.6 K Index... +21.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.8 -84.6 340 13 6 3.0 1.6 | -64.9 -84.8 360 11 5 3.8 2.1
45000 -58.6 -73.5 315 30 15 5.4 3.0 | -58.2 -72.8 330 23 12 5.1 2.8
40000 -50.1 -58.2 305 39 20 6.7 3.7 | -50.1 -58.2 305 37 19 6.8 3.7
38000 -46.1 -51.0 305 35 18 6.7 3.7 | -46.0 -50.8 305 33 17 6.8 3.7
36000 -42.1 -43.8 305 31 16 7.4 4.1 | -41.9 -43.4 300 30 15 6.9 3.8
34000 -37.5 -35.5 305 26 14 7.7 4.2 | -37.7 -35.9 300 23 12 7.0 3.8
32000 -32.9 -27.2 300 21 11 7.5 4.1 | -33.0 -27.4 295 16 8 7.0 3.8
30000 -28.3 -18.9 310 13 7 6.7 3.7 | -28.9 -20.0 305 11 6 7.0 3.8
29000 -26.3 -15.3 320 10 5 6.7 3.7 | -26.8 -16.2 310 9 5 7.0 3.8
28000 -24.3 -11.7 330 7 4 7.0 3.8 | -24.6 -12.3 320 7 3 7.6 4.2
27000 -22.2 -8.0 340 6 3 7.0 3.9 | -22.4 -8.3 320 4 2 7.6 4.2
26000 -20.1 -4.2 350 4 2 7.0 3.9 | -20.1 -4.2 335 2 1 7.6 4.2
25000 -18.0 -0.4 360 3 2 6.7 3.7 | -17.9 -0.2 360 1 1 6.8 3.7
24000 -16.1 3.0 340 3 1 6.8 3.7 | -15.9 3.4 315 2 1 6.8 3.7
23000 -14.1 6.6 310 3 1 6.9 3.8 | -14.0 6.8 300 4 2 7.0 3.8
22000 -12.1 10.2 285 2 1 7.4 4.1 | -12.0 10.4 295 5 3 7.0 3.8
21000 -10.0 14.0 210 2 1 7.4 4.1 | -10.0 14.0 275 4 2 7.0 3.9
20000 -7.8 18.0 175 4 2 7.5 4.1 | -7.9 17.8 245 4 2 7.2 3.9
19500 -6.7 19.9 170 6 3 8.2 4.5 | -6.9 19.6 235 4 2 8.1 4.5
19000 -5.4 22.3 175 5 2 9.0 4.9 | -5.5 22.1 240 4 2 9.3 5.1
18500 -4.1 24.6 180 4 2 9.0 4.9 | -4.1 24.6 245 4 2 9.3 5.1
18000 -2.7 27.1 195 3 1 9.3 5.1 | -2.1 28.2 270 4 2 9.3 5.1
17500 -1.3 29.7 235 2 1 9.3 5.1 | -0.7 30.7 290 4 2 9.2 5.1
17000 0.8 33.4 285 3 1 9.3 5.1 | 0.7 33.3 310 5 2 9.5 5.2
16500 2.2 36.0 300 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 2.2 36.0 320 6 3 9.5 5.2
16000 3.6 38.5 310 5 2 9.2 5.1 | 3.6 38.5 330 7 3 9.5 5.2
15500 5.0 41.0 315 5 3 9.2 5.0 | 5.0 41.0 335 7 3 9.5 5.2
15000 6.3 43.3 325 6 3 9.2 5.0 | 6.5 43.7 335 7 3 9.4 5.2
14500 7.7 45.9 325 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 7.8 46.0 335 6 3 8.5 4.7
14000 9.1 48.4 330 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 9.0 48.2 330 6 3 8.6 4.7
13500 10.5 50.9 330 6 3 9.0 5.0 | 10.2 50.4 325 5 3 8.2 4.5
13000 11.9 53.4 330 6 3 9.1 5.0 | 11.4 52.5 320 5 3 8.3 4.5
12500 13.2 55.8 325 6 3 8.4 4.6 | 12.6 54.7 310 5 3 8.1 4.4
12000 14.4 57.9 315 6 3 8.4 4.6 | 13.7 56.7 305 5 3 8.2 4.5
11500 15.5 59.9 310 7 4 7.0 3.8 | 14.8 58.6 300 5 3 8.6 4.7
11000 16.6 61.9 300 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 16.2 61.2 300 5 3 9.2 5.1
10500 17.6 63.7 295 9 5 5.6 3.1 | 17.5 63.5 295 5 2 8.4 4.6
10250 17.9 64.2 290 9 5 4.8 2.7 | 18.1 64.6 295 5 2 9.3 5.1
10000 18.2 64.8 290 10 5 6.0 3.3 | 18.9 66.0 295 4 2 10.6 5.8
9750 18.6 65.5 285 10 5 5.9 3.2 | 19.6 67.3 295 4 2 10.2 5.6
9500 18.9 66.0 285 11 6 5.3 2.9 | 20.4 68.7 295 4 2 10.3 5.7
9250 19.2 66.6 285 11 6 4.8 2.6 | 21.2 70.2 290 4 2 10.1 5.6
9000 19.5 67.1 285 11 6 4.4 2.4 | 21.9 71.4 290 4 2 9.6 5.3
8750 19.7 67.5 285 11 6 4.0 2.2 | 22.6 72.7 290 3 2 9.4 5.2
8500 20.0 68.0 285 10 5 4.2 2.3 | 23.3 73.9 290 3 2 9.8 5.4
8250 20.3 68.5 285 9 5 4.3 2.4 | 24.1 75.4 285 3 1 10.1 5.5
8000 20.5 68.9 290 8 4 4.0 2.2 | 24.8 76.6 285 2 1 9.8 5.4
7750 20.8 69.4 290 7 3 5.1 2.8 | 25.5 77.9 285 2 1 9.8 5.4
7500 21.3 70.3 295 6 3 8.2 4.5 | 26.3 79.3 280 2 1 10.3 5.6
7250 21.9 71.4 295 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 27.0 80.6 275 2 1 10.8 6.0
7000 22.6 72.7 300 4 2 8.7 4.8 | 27.8 82.0 270 1 1 9.7 5.3
6750 23.3 73.9 305 4 2 10.8 5.9 | 28.6 83.5 265 1 1 12.8 7.0
6500 24.3 75.7 310 3 2 15.9 8.7 | 29.9 85.8 250 1 0 22.2 12.2
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/06/2026 at 1500 MDT | 08/06/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +254.3 LI... -0.7 | CAPE... +155.2 LI... -0.5
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +25.1 | CINH... -28.9 K Index... +27.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 360 7 4 3.8 2.1 | -64.5 -84.1 010 6 3 3.2 1.7
45000 -58.0 -72.4 350 16 8 5.2 2.8 | -58.2 -72.8 325 10 5 5.4 3.0
40000 -49.9 -57.8 315 30 15 6.4 3.5 | -49.8 -57.6 310 20 10 6.3 3.4
38000 -46.0 -50.8 310 31 16 6.5 3.5 | -46.1 -51.0 305 23 12 6.3 3.4
36000 -42.2 -44.0 305 32 16 7.1 3.9 | -42.3 -44.1 300 26 14 7.0 3.9
34000 -37.8 -36.0 305 25 13 7.3 4.0 | -37.3 -35.1 305 22 11 7.4 4.1
32000 -32.9 -27.2 310 18 9 7.0 3.8 | -32.8 -27.0 305 19 10 7.4 4.0
30000 -28.7 -19.7 310 12 6 7.0 3.8 | -28.5 -19.3 315 17 9 7.4 4.0
29000 -26.6 -15.9 310 9 4 7.0 3.8 | -26.3 -15.3 315 17 9 7.4 4.1
28000 -24.4 -11.9 315 7 3 8.0 4.4 | -23.9 -11.0 320 15 8 8.8 4.8
27000 -22.0 -7.6 320 6 3 8.0 4.4 | -21.3 -6.3 320 12 6 8.9 4.9
26000 -19.6 -3.3 335 5 3 8.0 4.4 | -18.7 -1.7 325 10 5 8.9 4.9
25000 -17.3 0.9 340 5 2 6.1 3.3 | -16.2 2.8 325 7 4 7.2 4.0
24000 -15.6 3.9 330 5 3 6.1 3.3 | -14.2 6.4 310 6 3 7.0 3.9
23000 -13.8 7.2 320 6 3 6.3 3.4 | -12.1 10.2 295 6 3 7.1 3.9
22000 -12.0 10.4 315 7 3 8.3 4.6 | -10.2 13.6 285 6 3 6.4 3.5
21000 -9.6 14.7 305 9 4 8.4 4.6 | -8.3 17.1 285 7 3 6.3 3.5
20000 -7.2 19.0 300 11 6 8.5 4.6 | -6.5 20.3 285 7 3 6.4 3.5
19500 -6.0 21.2 295 12 6 8.7 4.8 | -5.1 22.8 285 7 3 6.7 3.7
19000 -4.7 23.5 295 11 6 9.0 4.9 | -4.1 24.6 285 7 3 6.7 3.7
18500 -3.4 25.9 290 11 5 9.0 4.9 | -3.1 26.4 285 7 3 6.9 3.8
18000 -1.3 29.7 290 10 5 9.5 5.2 | -2.1 28.2 285 6 3 7.5 4.1
17500 0.1 32.2 285 9 5 9.5 5.2 | -1.0 30.2 285 6 3 7.4 4.1
17000 1.5 34.7 285 9 4 9.3 5.1 | 0.2 32.4 285 6 3 8.9 4.9
16500 2.9 37.2 285 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 1.6 34.9 285 5 3 9.1 5.0
16000 4.3 39.7 280 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 2.9 37.2 285 5 2 9.3 5.1
15500 5.7 42.3 280 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 4.3 39.7 285 4 2 9.7 5.3
15000 7.2 45.0 275 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 5.8 42.4 285 4 2 9.7 5.3
14500 8.6 47.5 275 7 3 9.6 5.3 | 7.3 45.1 285 3 2 10.2 5.6
14000 10.0 50.0 270 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 8.8 47.8 290 2 1 10.2 5.6
13500 11.5 52.7 270 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 295 2 1 9.7 5.3
13000 12.9 55.2 265 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 11.7 53.1 305 2 1 9.6 5.3
12500 14.3 57.7 260 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 13.1 55.6 320 1 1 10.1 5.6
12000 15.8 60.4 255 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 14.7 58.5 350 1 1 10.5 5.7
11500 17.2 63.0 245 5 2 9.8 5.4 | 16.2 61.2 010 1 1 10.0 5.5
11000 18.7 65.7 240 5 2 9.6 5.3 | 17.7 63.9 025 2 1 10.3 5.6
10500 20.1 68.2 230 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 19.3 66.7 035 2 1 10.2 5.6
10250 20.8 69.4 220 4 2 9.8 5.4 | 20.0 68.0 040 2 1 10.2 5.6
10000 21.5 70.7 215 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 20.8 69.4 040 2 1 10.4 5.7
9750 22.3 72.1 210 4 2 9.6 5.2 | 21.6 70.9 045 3 1 10.0 5.5
9500 23.0 73.4 205 5 2 10.7 5.9 | 22.4 72.3 045 3 1 11.3 6.2
9250 23.9 75.0 200 5 2 11.2 6.2 | 23.3 73.9 045 3 2 12.0 6.6
9000 24.6 76.3 195 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 24.1 75.4 045 3 2 10.1 5.5
8750 25.3 77.5 190 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 24.8 76.6 045 3 2 9.1 5.0
8500 26.0 78.8 190 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 25.5 77.9 045 4 2 10.2 5.6
8250 26.7 80.1 185 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 26.3 79.3 045 4 2 11.4 6.3
8000 27.5 81.5 180 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 27.2 81.0 045 4 2 10.7 5.8
7750 28.2 82.8 180 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 27.9 82.2 045 4 2 9.7 5.3
7500 29.0 84.2 175 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 28.6 83.5 045 4 2 10.0 5.5
7250 29.8 85.6 175 7 3 10.9 6.0 | 29.4 84.9 045 4 2 10.4 5.7
7000 30.6 87.1 175 7 4 10.1 5.5 | 30.2 86.4 050 4 2 10.2 5.6
6750 31.3 88.3 170 7 4 12.3 6.8 | 30.9 87.6 050 4 2 9.9 5.4
6500 32.6 90.7 170 7 4 22.2 12.2 | 31.6 88.9 050 4 2 9.4 5.2
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0716 MDT Thursday August 6 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, August 6, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 87.9 F/31.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1523 ft/min (7.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21446 ft MSL (15774 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 99.0 F/37.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15283 ft MSL (9611 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 08/07....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:19:59 / 20:04:46 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 44 min 47 sec (824 min 47 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:12:22 MDT... 71.29 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/06/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 17100 ft MSL (11428 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17421 ft MSL (11749 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18710 ft MSL (13038 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.0
K index......................... +15.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.6 -86.1 335 19 10 2.7 1.5 78.5 173.3 24.4 M M
45000 -59.7 -75.5 310 33 17 6.0 3.3 65.0 149.0 17.6 M M
40000 -49.9 -57.8 305 37 19 6.9 3.8 56.8 134.3 13.3 M M
38000 -45.8 -50.4 300 34 17 6.9 3.8 54.2 129.6 11.8 M M
36000 -41.6 -42.9 295 31 16 7.5 4.1 52.2 126.0 10.7 M M
34000 -37.1 -34.8 300 27 14 7.5 4.1 50.1 122.2 9.4 M M
32000 -32.6 -26.7 310 23 12 7.3 4.0 48.6 119.5 8.5 M M
30000 -28.5 -19.3 315 15 8 6.9 3.8 46.1 115.0 6.8 M M
29000 -26.4 -15.5 320 11 5 6.9 3.8 45.1 113.2 6.1 M M
28000 -24.3 -11.7 330 8 4 7.6 4.2 44.2 111.5 5.4 M M
27000 -22.0 -7.6 335 7 4 7.5 4.1 43.2 109.8 4.7 M M
26000 -19.8 -3.6 345 7 3 7.6 4.1 42.4 108.3 4.1 M M
25000 -17.5 0.5 355 7 3 7.3 4.0 41.7 107.1 3.6 M M
24000 -15.0 5.0 315 6 3 7.1 3.9 40.3 104.6 2.4 M M
23000 -12.9 8.8 285 7 4 7.1 3.9 39.4 102.9 1.6 M M
22000 -11.0 12.2 270 8 4 5.5 3.0 38.4 101.1 0.7 M M
21000 -9.4 15.1 260 7 3 5.8 3.2 36.9 98.4 -0.7 1482 7.5
20000 -7.7 18.1 250 6 3 5.8 3.2 35.5 96.0 -2.0 1404 7.1
19500 -6.8 19.8 245 5 3 8.4 4.6 35.0 95.0 -2.5 1363 6.9
19000 -5.4 22.3 250 5 3 9.4 5.2 34.9 94.9 -2.6 1305 6.6
18500 -4.0 24.8 255 5 2 9.5 5.2 34.9 94.8 -2.6 1248 6.3
18000 -2.6 27.3 260 4 2 9.5 5.2 34.9 94.7 -2.7 1190 6.0
17500 -1.1 30.0 275 4 2 9.5 5.2 34.8 94.7 -2.7 1132 5.8
17000 0.3 32.5 290 4 2 9.4 5.2 34.8 94.6 -2.7 1075 5.5
16500 1.7 35.1 300 4 2 9.4 5.1 34.7 94.5 -2.8 1017 5.2
16000 3.1 37.6 310 5 2 9.3 5.1 34.7 94.4 -2.9 960 4.9
15500 4.5 40.1 315 5 3 9.2 5.0 34.6 94.2 -2.9 904 4.6
15000 5.9 42.6 320 6 3 9.2 5.0 34.5 94.0 -3.1 848 4.3
14500 7.3 45.1 325 6 3 9.2 5.0 34.4 93.9 -3.2 792 4.0
14000 8.6 47.5 325 6 3 9.2 5.0 34.3 93.7 -3.3 736 3.7
13500 10.0 50.0 320 7 3 9.0 5.0 34.2 93.5 -3.4 681 3.5
13000 11.3 52.3 320 7 3 9.0 4.9 34.1 93.3 -3.5 626 3.2
12500 12.6 54.7 315 7 4 8.7 4.8 33.9 93.1 -3.7 571 2.9
12000 13.9 57.0 310 7 3 8.4 4.6 33.7 92.7 -3.9 519 2.6
11500 15.1 59.2 305 7 3 8.2 4.5 33.5 92.3 -4.2 467 2.4
11000 16.3 61.3 305 6 3 7.8 4.3 33.2 91.8 -4.5 418 2.1
10500 17.4 63.3 305 6 3 7.4 4.1 32.9 91.2 -4.8 369 1.9
10250 17.9 64.2 300 5 3 6.5 3.6 32.7 90.8 -5.1 347 1.8
10000 18.4 65.1 295 5 3 6.4 3.5 32.4 90.3 -5.4 326 1.7
9750 18.8 65.8 290 4 2 6.5 3.6 32.1 89.9 -5.7 306 1.6
9500 19.2 66.6 280 4 2 6.2 3.4 31.9 89.4 -6.0 285 1.4
9250 19.6 67.3 265 4 2 5.2 2.9 31.6 88.8 -6.4 267 1.4
9000 19.9 67.8 245 4 2 5.0 2.7 31.2 88.2 -6.8 250 1.3
8750 20.2 68.4 230 4 2 5.0 2.7 30.8 87.5 -7.2 233 1.2
8500 20.9 69.6 215 7 3 6.2 3.4 30.2 86.3 -8.0 197 1.0
8250 21.4 70.5 215 7 4 6.2 3.4 29.9 85.9 -8.4 177 0.9
8000 21.8 71.2 210 8 4 6.4 3.5 29.7 85.4 -8.7 158 0.8
7750 22.2 72.0 210 9 5 5.9 3.2 29.4 84.9 -9.0 138 0.7
7500 22.6 72.7 210 10 5 5.6 3.1 29.1 84.3 -9.4 119 0.6
7250 23.0 73.4 210 10 5 6.3 3.4 28.8 83.8 -9.7 99 0.5
7000 23.4 74.1 210 10 5 6.4 3.5 28.5 83.4 -10.0 78 0.4
6750 23.9 75.0 205 9 5 6.0 3.3 28.3 82.9 -10.3 57 0.3
6500 24.3 75.7 205 9 5 5.4 3.0 28.0 82.3 -10.7 37 0.2
6250 24.7 76.5 205 8 4 6.1 3.3 27.7 81.8 -11.0 18 0.1
6000 25.0 77.0 200 7 4 -1.2 -0.6 27.2 81.0 -11.5 2 0.0
5750 23.4 74.1 185 5 2 -49.9 -27.4 25.0 77.0 -13.8 41 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/06/2026 at 0900 MDT | 08/06/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +316.0 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +323.3 LI... -1.6
CINH... -140.6 K Index... +17.3 | CINH... -20.0 K Index... +19.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.0 -85.0 345 14 7 3.2 1.8 | -65.1 -85.2 355 12 6 3.9 2.2
45000 -58.9 -74.0 320 28 14 5.5 3.0 | -58.6 -73.5 330 24 12 5.1 2.8
40000 -49.8 -57.6 305 37 19 6.7 3.7 | -50.0 -58.0 300 36 18 7.0 3.8
38000 -45.8 -50.4 305 34 18 6.7 3.7 | -45.8 -50.4 300 33 17 7.0 3.8
36000 -41.7 -43.1 305 31 16 7.4 4.1 | -41.5 -42.7 295 30 15 7.1 3.9
34000 -37.2 -35.0 300 26 13 7.6 4.2 | -37.3 -35.1 300 23 12 7.1 3.9
32000 -32.6 -26.7 295 21 11 7.2 4.0 | -33.0 -27.4 300 16 8 7.0 3.8
30000 -28.6 -19.5 305 15 8 6.6 3.6 | -29.0 -20.2 310 10 5 6.7 3.7
29000 -26.7 -16.1 310 12 6 6.6 3.6 | -27.0 -16.6 315 8 4 6.7 3.7
28000 -24.7 -12.5 320 9 5 6.8 3.7 | -24.9 -12.8 325 6 3 7.8 4.3
27000 -22.6 -8.7 320 6 3 6.8 3.7 | -22.5 -8.5 320 5 2 7.7 4.2
26000 -20.1 -4.2 335 3 1 6.8 3.7 | -19.6 -3.3 315 4 2 7.7 4.3
25000 -18.0 -0.4 360 1 0 7.5 4.1 | -17.5 0.5 305 4 2 5.9 3.3
24000 -15.9 3.4 280 2 1 7.5 4.1 | -15.7 3.7 300 5 3 6.3 3.4
23000 -13.7 7.3 265 3 2 7.5 4.1 | -13.9 7.0 295 7 4 6.5 3.6
22000 -11.6 11.1 255 4 2 6.9 3.8 | -11.9 10.6 290 7 4 7.7 4.2
21000 -9.5 14.9 235 4 2 7.1 3.9 | -9.7 14.5 270 6 3 7.6 4.2
20000 -7.5 18.5 215 5 2 7.1 3.9 | -7.5 18.5 245 5 3 7.6 4.2
19500 -6.4 20.5 215 5 2 7.9 4.3 | -6.3 20.7 235 5 3 8.5 4.6
19000 -5.2 22.6 225 4 2 8.2 4.5 | -5.0 23.0 235 4 2 8.7 4.8
18500 -4.0 24.8 240 3 1 8.2 4.5 | -3.7 25.3 235 4 2 8.7 4.8
18000 -2.7 27.1 260 2 1 9.5 5.2 | -2.4 27.7 250 3 1 9.0 4.9
17500 -1.2 29.8 280 2 1 9.4 5.2 | -1.1 30.0 275 2 1 8.9 4.9
17000 0.2 32.4 300 3 1 9.4 5.2 | 0.3 32.5 305 3 1 9.2 5.0
16500 1.6 34.9 315 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 1.7 35.1 325 4 2 9.2 5.1
16000 3.1 37.6 325 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 3.1 37.6 335 5 2 9.3 5.1
15500 4.5 40.1 335 5 2 9.3 5.1 | 4.5 40.1 340 5 3 9.6 5.3
15000 5.9 42.6 345 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 6.0 42.8 340 5 3 9.6 5.3
14500 7.3 45.1 350 6 3 9.4 5.1 | 7.4 45.3 345 5 3 9.5 5.2
14000 8.7 47.7 350 7 4 9.4 5.1 | 8.8 47.8 345 5 3 9.6 5.2
13500 10.1 50.2 350 7 4 9.0 5.0 | 10.2 50.4 345 5 3 9.0 4.9
13000 11.4 52.5 345 8 4 8.9 4.9 | 11.6 52.9 340 5 3 8.9 4.9
12500 12.7 54.9 345 8 4 8.4 4.6 | 12.9 55.2 330 5 3 8.3 4.6
12000 13.9 57.0 335 8 4 8.0 4.4 | 14.0 57.2 325 6 3 8.0 4.4
11500 15.1 59.2 325 8 4 7.8 4.3 | 15.2 59.4 320 6 3 7.7 4.2
11000 16.1 61.0 320 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 16.2 61.2 315 6 3 7.2 4.0
10500 17.2 63.0 315 8 4 7.4 4.1 | 17.3 63.1 310 5 3 8.8 4.8
10250 17.7 63.9 310 8 4 6.7 3.7 | 17.9 64.2 310 5 2 8.3 4.6
10000 18.2 64.8 310 8 4 6.5 3.6 | 18.5 65.3 310 4 2 8.2 4.5
9750 18.6 65.5 305 7 4 7.0 3.8 | 19.1 66.4 305 4 2 8.4 4.6
9500 19.1 66.4 305 7 4 5.4 3.0 | 19.7 67.5 305 3 2 8.0 4.4
9250 19.4 66.9 300 6 3 4.7 2.6 | 20.2 68.4 300 3 2 8.8 4.9
9000 19.7 67.5 295 6 3 5.8 3.2 | 21.0 69.8 300 3 2 9.8 5.4
8750 20.1 68.2 285 5 3 5.9 3.3 | 22.4 72.3 290 3 1 8.5 4.7
8500 20.7 69.3 265 5 3 4.9 2.7 | 23.0 73.4 290 3 1 9.0 4.9
8250 21.1 70.0 255 5 3 6.4 3.5 | 23.7 74.7 290 3 1 10.8 5.9
8000 21.5 70.7 250 5 2 6.2 3.4 | 24.5 76.1 285 3 1 10.4 5.7
7750 21.9 71.4 240 5 2 5.7 3.1 | 25.3 77.5 285 3 1 9.6 5.3
7500 22.3 72.1 240 4 2 6.0 3.3 | 26.0 78.8 280 3 1 9.4 5.2
7250 22.8 73.0 235 4 2 8.1 4.4 | 26.7 80.1 280 3 1 10.8 5.9
7000 23.4 74.1 235 4 2 9.0 4.9 | 27.5 81.5 280 3 1 11.0 6.0
6750 24.1 75.4 235 4 2 9.2 5.0 | 28.3 82.9 275 3 1 10.2 5.6
6500 24.8 76.6 235 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 29.1 84.4 275 3 1 10.3 5.6
6250 25.5 77.9 235 3 2 9.3 5.1 | 29.9 85.8 275 3 1 9.7 5.3
6000 26.2 79.2 235 3 2 12.0 6.6 | 30.7 87.3 275 3 1 14.4 7.9
5750 27.7 81.9 235 3 1 29.9 16.4 | 32.8 91.0 275 3 2 52.1 28.6
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/06/2026 at 1500 MDT | 08/06/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +51.9 LI... +0.6 | CAPE... +9.1 LI... 0.0
CINH... -15.0 K Index... +21.2 | CINH... -14.8 K Index... +18.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.0 -85.0 005 8 4 4.1 2.2 | -64.8 -84.6 345 8 4 2.8 1.5
45000 -57.8 -72.0 345 16 8 5.3 2.9 | -58.4 -73.1 325 10 5 5.9 3.3
40000 -49.5 -57.1 310 30 15 6.3 3.5 | -49.4 -56.9 310 20 10 6.2 3.4
38000 -45.7 -50.3 305 31 16 6.3 3.5 | -45.6 -50.1 305 24 13 6.2 3.4
36000 -41.9 -43.4 300 32 16 6.9 3.8 | -41.8 -43.2 300 28 14 7.1 3.9
34000 -37.7 -35.9 300 25 13 7.0 3.9 | -37.5 -35.5 295 24 12 7.3 4.0
32000 -33.5 -28.3 305 19 10 7.1 3.9 | -33.1 -27.6 295 20 10 7.3 4.0
30000 -29.1 -20.4 300 13 7 7.3 4.0 | -28.7 -19.7 315 16 8 7.4 4.0
29000 -27.0 -16.6 290 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -26.5 -15.7 325 15 8 7.4 4.0
28000 -24.7 -12.5 285 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -24.2 -11.6 330 14 7 8.1 4.5
27000 -21.8 -7.2 300 6 3 7.8 4.3 | -21.2 -6.2 330 12 6 8.1 4.4
26000 -19.4 -2.9 320 5 3 7.8 4.3 | -18.7 -1.7 330 10 5 8.1 4.4
25000 -17.2 1.0 335 5 2 6.8 3.7 | -16.4 2.5 330 8 4 6.7 3.7
24000 -15.1 4.8 335 5 3 7.0 3.8 | -14.4 6.1 340 7 3 6.9 3.8
23000 -13.1 8.4 335 6 3 7.1 3.9 | -12.3 9.9 360 5 3 6.9 3.8
22000 -11.0 12.2 335 6 3 7.8 4.3 | -10.3 13.5 020 5 2 7.2 3.9
21000 -8.7 16.3 330 6 3 7.9 4.3 | -8.2 17.2 030 4 2 7.3 4.0
20000 -6.5 20.3 330 6 3 8.0 4.4 | -6.1 21.0 045 4 2 7.5 4.1
19500 -5.3 22.5 330 6 3 8.0 4.4 | -5.0 23.0 050 4 2 8.4 4.6
19000 -4.2 24.4 325 5 3 8.0 4.4 | -3.8 25.2 035 4 2 8.7 4.8
18500 -3.0 26.6 320 4 2 8.1 4.4 | -2.5 27.5 020 4 2 8.7 4.8
18000 -1.8 28.8 310 4 2 8.7 4.7 | -1.2 29.8 010 4 2 9.4 5.1
17500 -0.5 31.1 305 4 2 8.6 4.7 | 0.2 32.4 005 4 2 9.3 5.1
17000 0.8 33.4 295 4 2 9.1 5.0 | 1.6 34.9 360 4 2 9.4 5.2
16500 2.2 36.0 290 3 2 9.3 5.1 | 3.0 37.4 355 5 2 9.5 5.2
16000 3.6 38.5 285 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 4.4 39.9 350 5 2 9.6 5.3
15500 5.0 41.0 285 3 2 9.7 5.3 | 5.9 42.6 350 5 3 9.9 5.4
15000 6.5 43.7 285 3 2 9.7 5.3 | 7.4 45.3 350 5 3 9.9 5.4
14500 7.9 46.2 285 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 8.8 47.8 345 5 3 9.6 5.3
14000 9.3 48.7 280 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 345 5 3 9.6 5.3
13500 10.7 51.3 280 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 11.7 53.1 345 5 3 9.7 5.3
13000 12.2 54.0 280 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 13.2 55.8 345 5 3 9.7 5.3
12500 13.6 56.5 280 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 14.6 58.3 345 5 3 9.7 5.3
12000 15.1 59.2 280 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 16.1 61.0 345 5 3 9.6 5.3
11500 16.5 61.7 285 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 17.5 63.5 345 5 3 9.6 5.2
11000 17.9 64.2 285 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 18.9 66.0 345 5 3 9.3 5.1
10500 19.3 66.7 285 4 2 10.0 5.5 | 20.4 68.7 345 5 3 10.4 5.7
10250 20.1 68.2 285 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 21.1 70.0 340 5 3 9.8 5.4
10000 20.8 69.4 285 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 21.9 71.4 340 5 3 9.7 5.3
9750 21.5 70.7 285 5 2 9.4 5.2 | 22.6 72.7 340 5 3 9.6 5.3
9500 22.2 72.0 285 5 2 10.2 5.6 | 23.3 73.9 340 5 3 10.2 5.6
9250 23.7 74.7 285 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 24.8 76.6 340 5 3 9.4 5.2
9000 24.5 76.1 285 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 25.5 77.9 340 5 3 9.8 5.4
8750 25.2 77.4 285 5 3 9.0 4.9 | 26.3 79.3 340 5 3 8.9 4.9
8500 25.8 78.4 285 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 26.9 80.4 340 5 2 9.3 5.1
8250 26.6 79.9 285 5 3 10.6 5.8 | 27.7 81.9 340 5 2 10.3 5.6
8000 27.4 81.3 285 5 3 10.5 5.8 | 28.4 83.1 340 5 2 10.2 5.6
7750 28.2 82.8 285 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 29.2 84.6 340 5 2 9.4 5.2
7500 28.9 84.0 285 5 3 9.6 5.2 | 29.9 85.8 340 4 2 9.1 5.0
7250 29.6 85.3 285 5 3 10.7 5.9 | 30.6 87.1 340 4 2 10.2 5.6
7000 30.4 86.7 285 6 3 10.9 6.0 | 31.4 88.5 340 4 2 10.5 5.8
6750 31.3 88.3 285 6 3 10.5 5.7 | 32.1 89.8 340 4 2 10.1 5.6
6500 32.0 89.6 285 6 3 10.6 5.8 | 32.9 91.2 340 4 2 10.0 5.5
6250 32.8 91.0 285 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 33.6 92.5 335 4 2 9.4 5.1
6000 33.6 92.5 285 5 3 15.0 8.2 | 34.4 93.9 335 3 2 11.8 6.5
5750 36.0 96.8 285 5 3 60.1 33.0 | 35.9 96.6 335 3 2 35.9 19.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0716 MDT Thursday August 6 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, August 6, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 83.3 F/28.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1381 ft/min (7.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20812 ft MSL (14365 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 94.0 F/34.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12232 ft MSL (5785 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 08/07....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:16:48 / 20:03:44 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 46 min 57 sec (826 min 57 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:16 MDT... 70.78 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/06/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 17129 ft MSL (10682 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16897 ft MSL (10450 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17982 ft MSL (11535 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.2
K index......................... +15.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.5 -85.9 320 17 9 3.5 1.9 76.2 169.1 24.8 M M
45000 -59.3 -74.7 305 33 17 5.2 2.9 63.3 145.9 18.4 M M
40000 -50.4 -58.7 300 42 21 7.2 4.0 53.8 128.9 13.2 M M
38000 -46.1 -51.0 300 39 20 7.2 4.0 51.5 124.8 12.0 M M
36000 -41.8 -43.2 295 36 19 7.0 3.8 49.8 121.6 11.0 M M
34000 -37.6 -35.7 295 27 14 6.9 3.8 47.2 116.9 9.4 M M
32000 -33.5 -28.3 300 19 10 7.0 3.9 45.2 113.3 8.1 M M
30000 -29.1 -20.4 305 14 7 7.2 4.0 43.0 109.4 6.6 M M
29000 -27.0 -16.6 310 12 6 7.2 4.0 42.1 107.8 6.0 M M
28000 -24.8 -12.6 315 9 5 7.5 4.1 41.2 106.2 5.4 M M
27000 -22.6 -8.7 330 7 4 7.5 4.1 40.3 104.5 4.6 M M
26000 -19.8 -3.6 355 5 3 7.5 4.1 39.3 102.7 3.9 M M
25000 -17.5 0.5 020 5 2 7.8 4.3 38.5 101.4 3.3 M M
24000 -15.2 4.6 005 4 2 7.8 4.3 37.7 99.9 2.7 M M
23000 -12.8 9.0 340 3 2 7.9 4.3 37.1 98.8 2.1 M M
22000 -10.7 12.7 310 4 2 5.7 3.1 36.3 97.3 1.4 M M
21000 -9.0 15.8 270 6 3 6.1 3.3 34.9 94.8 0.2 M M
20000 -7.2 19.0 255 10 5 6.3 3.4 33.7 92.6 -1.0 1313 6.7
19500 -6.3 20.7 255 11 6 7.8 4.3 33.2 91.7 -1.5 1271 6.5
19000 -5.0 23.0 255 11 6 8.7 4.8 33.0 91.4 -1.7 1217 6.2
18500 -3.7 25.3 255 11 6 8.7 4.8 32.8 91.1 -1.9 1164 5.9
18000 -2.4 27.7 260 11 6 9.2 5.0 32.7 90.8 -2.0 1109 5.6
17500 -1.1 30.0 265 12 6 9.2 5.0 32.6 90.6 -2.1 1054 5.4
17000 0.3 32.5 270 12 6 9.5 5.2 32.5 90.5 -2.3 998 5.1
16500 1.7 35.1 275 12 6 9.7 5.3 32.5 90.5 -2.3 940 4.8
16000 3.2 37.8 280 12 6 9.7 5.3 32.5 90.5 -2.3 882 4.5
15500 4.6 40.3 280 11 6 9.7 5.3 32.5 90.4 -2.3 824 4.2
15000 6.1 43.0 285 10 5 9.7 5.3 32.5 90.4 -2.3 765 3.9
14500 7.5 45.5 290 10 5 9.6 5.3 32.4 90.4 -2.4 707 3.6
14000 9.0 48.2 300 10 5 9.6 5.2 32.4 90.3 -2.4 649 3.3
13500 10.4 50.7 305 10 5 9.3 5.1 32.4 90.3 -2.4 591 3.0
13000 11.8 53.2 310 10 5 9.0 5.0 32.3 90.1 -2.5 535 2.7
12500 13.2 55.8 315 11 6 8.1 4.4 32.2 89.9 -2.6 479 2.4
12000 14.1 57.4 310 10 5 6.5 3.6 31.7 89.0 -3.1 436 2.2
11500 15.0 59.0 305 9 5 7.3 4.0 31.2 88.1 -3.7 394 2.0
11000 15.8 60.4 300 8 4 3.9 2.1 30.5 87.0 -4.4 356 1.8
10500 16.6 61.9 270 6 3 5.0 2.7 29.3 84.8 -5.8 309 1.6
10250 16.9 62.4 260 6 3 4.9 2.7 28.9 84.1 -6.3 293 1.5
10000 17.2 63.0 245 6 3 4.9 2.7 28.6 83.4 -6.7 277 1.4
9750 17.5 63.5 235 6 3 5.4 2.9 28.2 82.8 -7.2 261 1.3
9500 17.9 64.2 225 7 3 6.6 3.6 27.9 82.3 -7.6 242 1.2
9250 18.3 64.9 220 7 4 5.8 3.2 27.7 81.8 -7.9 221 1.1
9000 18.6 65.5 215 7 4 4.8 2.6 27.3 81.2 -8.3 205 1.0
8750 18.9 66.0 205 8 4 5.1 2.8 26.9 80.5 -8.7 188 1.0
8500 19.3 66.7 195 8 4 5.0 2.8 26.6 79.9 -9.2 171 0.9
8250 19.6 67.3 190 8 4 4.9 2.7 26.2 79.2 -9.6 154 0.8
8000 19.9 67.8 180 8 4 5.0 2.7 25.9 78.5 -10.0 137 0.7
7750 20.2 68.4 175 8 4 4.0 2.2 25.5 77.9 -10.5 120 0.6
7500 20.4 68.7 165 8 4 2.8 1.5 25.0 77.0 -11.0 106 0.5
7250 20.6 69.1 155 8 4 3.0 1.6 24.5 76.0 -11.6 94 0.5
7000 20.8 69.4 145 7 4 2.7 1.5 23.9 75.1 -12.2 81 0.4
6750 20.8 69.4 140 6 3 -3.7 -2.0 23.2 73.8 -12.9 73 0.4
6500 19.7 67.5 125 4 2 -30.2 -16.6 21.4 70.6 -14.8 99 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/06/2026 at 0900 MDT | 08/06/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +585.8 LI... -2.5 | CAPE... +421.2 LI... -0.8
CINH... -170.4 K Index... +14.2 | CINH... -16.9 K Index... +16.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.6 -84.3 345 15 8 4.1 2.2 | -64.6 -84.3 345 9 5 3.9 2.1
45000 -58.0 -72.4 320 28 14 4.8 2.6 | -57.6 -71.7 330 21 11 5.3 2.9
40000 -49.9 -57.8 305 43 22 6.7 3.7 | -49.5 -57.1 310 32 16 6.1 3.3
38000 -45.9 -50.6 305 41 21 6.7 3.7 | -45.8 -50.4 305 33 17 6.1 3.3
36000 -41.9 -43.4 300 39 20 6.4 3.5 | -42.2 -44.0 300 34 18 6.4 3.5
34000 -38.1 -36.6 305 29 15 6.4 3.5 | -38.3 -36.9 300 25 13 6.5 3.6
32000 -34.3 -29.7 310 19 10 6.6 3.6 | -34.4 -29.9 295 16 8 6.7 3.7
30000 -29.9 -21.8 315 14 7 7.4 4.0 | -30.0 -22.0 300 11 5 7.3 4.0
29000 -27.7 -17.9 320 11 6 7.4 4.0 | -27.8 -18.0 305 8 4 7.3 4.0
28000 -25.4 -13.7 330 9 4 7.6 4.2 | -25.0 -13.0 310 5 3 7.9 4.4
27000 -22.6 -8.7 345 5 2 7.6 4.2 | -22.6 -8.7 310 4 2 8.0 4.4
26000 -20.3 -4.5 040 3 1 7.6 4.2 | -20.2 -4.4 305 2 1 8.0 4.4
25000 -18.0 -0.4 090 3 2 7.5 4.1 | -17.9 -0.2 295 2 1 7.2 3.9
24000 -15.8 3.6 110 3 2 7.5 4.1 | -15.7 3.7 280 2 1 7.3 4.0
23000 -13.6 7.5 130 3 1 7.6 4.1 | -13.5 7.7 275 3 1 7.3 4.0
22000 -11.4 11.5 165 2 1 6.6 3.6 | -11.3 11.7 270 3 2 7.6 4.2
21000 -9.5 14.9 240 4 2 6.8 3.8 | -9.1 15.6 275 4 2 7.6 4.2
20000 -7.5 18.5 260 8 4 6.9 3.8 | -6.9 19.6 280 5 2 7.6 4.2
19500 -6.5 20.3 265 9 5 8.1 4.4 | -5.8 21.6 285 5 3 7.7 4.2
19000 -5.2 22.6 270 10 5 8.6 4.7 | -4.7 23.5 290 6 3 7.8 4.3
18500 -4.0 24.8 270 10 5 8.6 4.7 | -3.5 25.7 300 6 3 7.8 4.3
18000 -2.6 27.3 275 10 5 9.5 5.2 | -2.3 27.9 305 7 3 8.9 4.9
17500 -1.2 29.8 280 9 5 9.5 5.2 | -1.0 30.2 310 7 4 8.8 4.8
17000 0.2 32.4 285 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 0.3 32.5 310 7 4 9.3 5.1
16500 1.7 35.1 290 9 4 9.6 5.3 | 1.7 35.1 315 7 4 9.6 5.2
16000 3.1 37.6 295 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 3.2 37.8 315 7 4 9.6 5.3
15500 4.6 40.3 300 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 4.6 40.3 320 7 3 9.5 5.2
15000 6.0 42.8 305 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 6.0 42.8 325 7 3 9.5 5.2
14500 7.5 45.5 315 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 7.4 45.3 330 7 3 9.4 5.1
14000 8.9 48.0 320 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 8.9 48.0 335 7 3 9.4 5.2
13500 10.3 50.5 325 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 10.3 50.5 340 7 4 9.2 5.0
13000 11.7 53.1 335 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 11.6 52.9 350 7 4 9.1 5.0
12500 13.1 55.6 340 9 5 8.3 4.5 | 13.0 55.4 355 8 4 8.7 4.8
12000 14.1 57.4 335 9 4 7.2 4.0 | 14.2 57.6 350 8 4 8.3 4.6
11500 15.2 59.4 335 9 4 8.1 4.4 | 16.1 61.0 350 8 4 8.4 4.6
11000 16.5 61.7 325 7 4 5.4 3.0 | 17.2 63.0 345 7 3 7.9 4.3
10500 17.1 62.8 310 7 4 4.7 2.6 | 18.1 64.6 335 6 3 7.4 4.1
10250 17.4 63.3 300 7 4 4.2 2.3 | 18.7 65.7 335 5 3 9.2 5.0
10000 17.6 63.7 295 7 4 4.3 2.4 | 19.3 66.7 330 5 3 8.7 4.8
9750 17.9 64.2 290 7 3 4.8 2.6 | 19.9 67.8 330 5 2 8.9 4.9
9500 18.2 64.8 285 7 4 5.7 3.2 | 20.6 69.1 325 4 2 9.2 5.0
9250 18.6 65.5 280 7 4 5.2 2.9 | 21.3 70.3 320 4 2 9.6 5.3
9000 18.9 66.0 280 7 4 4.8 2.7 | 22.0 71.6 320 4 2 9.9 5.4
8750 19.1 66.4 280 7 3 4.6 2.5 | 22.7 72.9 315 4 2 9.7 5.3
8500 19.4 66.9 280 6 3 3.3 1.8 | 23.4 74.1 310 4 2 9.5 5.2
8250 19.6 67.3 285 4 2 4.8 2.6 | 24.1 75.4 310 4 2 9.9 5.4
8000 20.0 68.0 290 4 2 7.7 4.2 | 24.9 76.8 305 4 2 10.6 5.8
7750 20.6 69.1 285 3 2 8.6 4.7 | 25.7 78.3 300 4 2 10.5 5.8
7500 21.2 70.2 290 3 1 8.7 4.8 | 26.5 79.7 300 4 2 10.4 5.7
7250 21.8 71.2 295 2 1 8.5 4.7 | 27.2 81.0 295 4 2 10.3 5.6
7000 22.5 72.5 305 2 1 9.8 5.4 | 28.0 82.4 295 4 2 10.8 5.9
6750 23.3 73.9 305 1 1 14.4 7.9 | 29.0 84.2 290 4 2 18.1 9.9
6500 24.6 76.3 300 1 1 18.9 10.4 | 31.1 88.0 285 4 2 43.5 23.9
08/06/2026 at 1500 MDT | 08/06/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +84.3 LI... -0.1 | CAPE... +37.5 LI... +0.6
CINH... -13.8 K Index... +19.7 | CINH... -44.7 K Index... +14.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.8 -84.6 345 11 6 3.3 1.8 | -64.5 -84.1 345 14 7 2.4 1.3
45000 -58.5 -73.3 355 17 9 5.7 3.1 | -58.7 -73.7 340 11 6 6.3 3.5
40000 -49.5 -57.1 320 24 12 6.0 3.3 | -49.0 -56.2 320 12 6 5.5 3.0
38000 -45.9 -50.6 310 28 14 6.0 3.3 | -45.7 -50.3 300 16 8 5.5 3.0
36000 -42.3 -44.1 305 31 16 6.5 3.6 | -42.3 -44.1 290 20 10 6.7 3.7
34000 -38.3 -36.9 305 24 12 6.7 3.7 | -38.1 -36.6 285 15 8 7.1 3.9
32000 -34.3 -29.7 310 16 8 7.1 3.9 | -33.9 -29.0 275 10 5 7.2 4.0
30000 -29.6 -21.3 310 13 7 7.9 4.3 | -29.5 -21.1 300 11 5 7.3 4.0
29000 -27.2 -17.0 315 11 6 7.9 4.3 | -27.4 -17.3 310 12 6 7.3 4.0
28000 -24.3 -11.7 320 9 5 7.8 4.3 | -24.4 -11.9 315 12 6 8.5 4.6
27000 -22.0 -7.6 325 7 3 7.8 4.3 | -21.9 -7.4 315 10 5 8.5 4.7
26000 -19.6 -3.3 335 5 2 7.8 4.3 | -19.3 -2.7 315 8 4 8.5 4.7
25000 -17.3 0.9 350 3 2 7.4 4.1 | -16.9 1.6 320 7 3 7.0 3.8
24000 -15.1 4.8 355 4 2 7.5 4.1 | -14.8 5.4 335 8 4 7.2 3.9
23000 -12.9 8.8 360 5 2 7.5 4.1 | -12.6 9.3 350 10 5 7.2 3.9
22000 -10.7 12.7 360 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -10.4 13.3 355 12 6 8.5 4.7
21000 -8.5 16.7 355 6 3 7.4 4.1 | -8.0 17.6 360 13 7 8.4 4.6
20000 -6.4 20.5 350 6 3 7.5 4.1 | -5.5 22.1 360 15 8 8.4 4.6
19500 -5.3 22.5 345 6 3 8.1 4.4 | -4.2 24.4 360 16 8 8.8 4.8
19000 -4.1 24.6 340 6 3 8.3 4.6 | -2.9 26.8 360 15 7 9.0 4.9
18500 -2.9 26.8 330 5 3 8.3 4.6 | -1.6 29.1 360 14 7 9.0 4.9
18000 -1.6 29.1 325 5 3 9.4 5.2 | -0.2 31.6 360 12 6 9.2 5.1
17500 -0.2 31.6 320 5 3 9.3 5.1 | 1.1 34.0 360 11 6 9.2 5.0
17000 1.1 34.0 315 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 2.5 36.5 355 10 5 9.1 5.0
16500 2.5 36.5 315 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 3.9 39.0 355 8 4 9.1 5.0
16000 4.0 39.2 310 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 5.2 41.4 355 7 3 9.1 5.0
15500 5.4 41.7 305 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 6.6 43.9 355 5 3 9.2 5.0
15000 6.8 44.2 305 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 7.9 46.2 355 4 2 9.2 5.0
14500 8.3 46.9 305 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 9.3 48.7 345 2 1 9.2 5.0
14000 9.7 49.5 300 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 10.7 51.3 325 2 1 9.2 5.0
13500 11.1 52.0 300 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 12.0 53.6 275 1 1 9.2 5.0
13000 12.6 54.7 295 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 13.4 56.1 255 2 1 9.2 5.0
12500 14.0 57.2 295 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 14.7 58.5 245 3 2 9.2 5.1
12000 16.2 61.2 290 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 16.1 61.0 245 4 2 9.3 5.1
11500 17.6 63.7 285 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 18.1 64.6 245 6 3 9.3 5.1
11000 19.1 66.4 280 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 19.5 67.1 250 6 3 9.5 5.2
10500 20.6 69.1 275 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 20.9 69.6 250 7 4 9.0 4.9
10250 21.3 70.3 275 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 21.6 70.9 255 7 4 9.3 5.1
10000 22.0 71.6 275 7 3 9.7 5.3 | 22.3 72.1 255 8 4 9.2 5.0
9750 22.8 73.0 270 7 3 9.8 5.4 | 22.9 73.2 255 8 4 9.3 5.1
9500 23.5 74.3 270 7 3 10.3 5.6 | 23.6 74.5 255 8 4 9.6 5.3
9250 24.3 75.7 270 7 4 10.1 5.6 | 24.4 75.9 260 8 4 9.3 5.1
9000 25.0 77.0 265 7 4 9.9 5.4 | 25.0 77.0 260 8 4 9.0 4.9
8750 25.8 78.4 265 7 4 10.0 5.5 | 25.7 78.3 260 9 4 9.1 5.0
8500 26.5 79.7 265 7 4 10.0 5.5 | 26.4 79.5 265 9 5 9.4 5.2
8250 27.3 81.1 260 7 4 10.1 5.6 | 27.1 80.8 265 9 5 9.5 5.2
8000 28.0 82.4 260 7 4 10.2 5.6 | 27.8 82.0 265 9 5 9.3 5.1
7750 28.8 83.8 260 7 4 10.4 5.7 | 28.5 83.3 270 9 5 9.4 5.2
7500 29.6 85.3 255 8 4 10.6 5.8 | 29.2 84.6 270 9 5 9.6 5.3
7250 30.4 86.7 255 8 4 11.1 6.1 | 29.9 85.8 270 9 4 9.9 5.4
7000 31.2 88.2 255 8 4 9.2 5.0 | 30.7 87.3 270 8 4 9.0 4.9
6750 31.9 89.4 255 8 4 14.6 8.0 | 31.4 88.5 275 8 4 11.3 6.2
6500 34.6 94.3 250 7 4 71.1 39.0 | 32.9 91.2 275 7 4 36.3 19.9
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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