Strong thunderstorms may bring excessive rainfall and flooding over parts of the northern Gulf Coast today and over parts of the southern Rockies into the High Plains today through the weekend. A refreshingly cool and dry air mass will continue to produce below average temperatures across the central and eastern U.S. through the weekend. Read More >
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Currently there is no Airport Weather Warning in effect for the Albuquerque International Sunport
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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0726 MDT Saturday August 30 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, August 30, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 73.9 F/23.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 859 ft/min (4.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 16513 ft MSL (10179 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 86.0 F/30.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15382 ft MSL (9048 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 08/31....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:35:46 / 19:33:12 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 57 min 26 sec (777 min 26 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:29 MDT... 63.70 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/30/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15154 ft MSL (8820 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13113 ft MSL (6779 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15323 ft MSL (8989 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.2
K index......................... +22.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.8 -90.0 260 23 12 1.8 1.0 73.5 164.3 25.8 M M
45000 -62.0 -79.6 250 32 17 7.7 4.2 59.9 139.8 19.0 M M
40000 -49.9 -57.8 250 36 18 7.6 4.2 55.4 131.7 17.3 M M
38000 -45.4 -49.7 245 36 19 7.6 4.2 53.4 128.0 16.3 M M
36000 -40.9 -41.6 245 37 19 7.9 4.3 52.0 125.5 15.7 M M
34000 -36.0 -32.8 240 37 19 8.2 4.5 50.4 122.7 14.9 M M
32000 -31.1 -24.0 240 37 19 8.3 4.6 49.3 120.8 14.4 M M
30000 -26.4 -15.5 240 35 18 7.0 3.9 46.9 116.4 12.9 M M
29000 -24.3 -11.7 245 33 17 7.0 3.9 45.9 114.7 12.3 M M
28000 -22.3 -8.1 245 31 16 5.8 3.2 44.9 112.7 11.6 M M
27000 -20.5 -4.9 250 29 15 6.0 3.3 43.3 110.0 10.5 M M
26000 -18.7 -1.7 255 27 14 6.0 3.3 41.9 107.5 9.5 M M
25000 -16.9 1.6 265 25 13 5.7 3.1 40.7 105.3 8.6 M M
24000 -15.3 4.5 280 21 11 5.2 2.9 39.0 102.1 7.3 M M
23000 -13.7 7.3 295 19 10 5.3 2.9 37.3 99.2 6.1 M M
22000 -12.1 10.2 315 20 10 6.9 3.8 35.8 96.5 4.9 M M
21000 -9.4 15.1 320 18 9 8.9 4.9 35.4 95.8 4.6 M M
20000 -6.8 19.8 325 16 8 8.9 4.9 35.2 95.3 4.4 M M
19500 -5.4 22.3 330 16 8 9.0 4.9 35.1 95.1 4.4 M M
19000 -4.1 24.6 330 15 8 8.4 4.6 34.9 94.8 4.2 M M
18500 -2.9 26.8 330 13 7 8.3 4.5 34.7 94.4 4.1 M M
18000 -1.6 29.1 325 11 6 6.0 3.3 34.5 94.1 3.9 M M
17500 -1.0 30.2 300 10 5 2.6 1.4 32.7 90.9 2.3 M M
17000 -0.7 30.7 285 10 5 2.0 1.1 31.6 88.8 1.1 M M
16500 -0.8 30.6 275 12 6 1.0 0.6 30.1 86.1 -0.4 856 4.3
16000 -0.8 30.6 265 14 7 1.4 0.8 28.7 83.6 -1.9 843 4.3
15500 -0.4 31.3 265 15 8 5.9 3.2 27.7 81.8 -2.9 816 4.1
15000 0.3 32.5 265 15 7 5.4 3.0 27.0 80.6 -3.7 779 4.0
14500 1.2 34.2 270 14 7 7.8 4.3 26.4 79.6 -4.3 738 3.8
14000 2.4 36.3 270 13 7 8.1 4.4 26.2 79.1 -4.6 689 3.5
13500 3.5 38.3 270 12 6 8.3 4.6 25.9 78.6 -4.9 639 3.2
13000 4.8 40.6 275 11 6 8.5 4.7 25.7 78.3 -5.2 587 3.0
12500 6.0 42.8 280 11 5 8.6 4.7 25.5 77.9 -5.4 535 2.7
12000 7.3 45.1 285 10 5 8.7 4.8 25.3 77.6 -5.6 483 2.5
11500 8.5 47.3 290 9 5 8.1 4.4 25.2 77.3 -5.8 430 2.2
11000 9.7 49.5 295 9 5 8.7 4.8 24.9 76.9 -6.1 380 1.9
10500 11.0 51.8 300 10 5 8.4 4.6 24.7 76.5 -6.4 328 1.7
10250 11.6 52.9 300 10 5 8.4 4.6 24.6 76.3 -6.5 302 1.5
10000 12.2 54.0 300 10 5 8.7 4.8 24.5 76.2 -6.6 276 1.4
9750 12.8 55.0 300 10 5 8.8 4.8 24.5 76.0 -6.7 250 1.3
9500 13.5 56.3 305 10 5 8.6 4.7 24.4 75.9 -6.8 223 1.1
9250 14.1 57.4 300 10 5 8.7 4.8 24.3 75.7 -7.0 197 1.0
9000 14.7 58.5 300 10 5 7.5 4.1 24.2 75.6 -7.1 172 0.9
8750 15.2 59.4 300 10 5 6.5 3.6 24.0 75.1 -7.4 150 0.8
8500 15.6 60.1 295 10 5 6.5 3.6 23.7 74.7 -7.6 129 0.7
8250 16.1 61.0 295 9 5 6.2 3.4 23.5 74.2 -8.0 108 0.6
8000 16.5 61.7 290 9 4 6.2 3.4 23.2 73.8 -8.3 88 0.4
7750 16.9 62.4 285 8 4 5.9 3.3 22.9 73.3 -8.6 68 0.3
7500 17.3 63.1 285 7 4 4.6 2.5 22.6 72.7 -9.0 50 0.3
7250 17.5 63.5 280 6 3 3.3 1.8 22.1 71.9 -9.5 35 0.2
7000 17.8 64.0 280 5 3 4.5 2.5 21.7 71.0 -10.0 20 0.1
6750 18.0 64.4 275 4 2 0.4 0.2 21.2 70.2 -10.5 6 0.0
6500 17.6 63.7 270 3 2 -11.3 -6.2 20.1 68.2 -11.6 11 0.1
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/30/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/30/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +135.1 LI... +0.2 | CAPE... +94.6 LI... +1.1
CINH... -62.1 K Index... +11.9 | CINH... -59.7 K Index... +18.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.1 -90.6 255 25 13 2.4 1.3 | -67.5 -89.5 245 26 13 2.0 1.1
45000 -61.3 -78.3 255 36 19 7.7 4.2 | -60.9 -77.6 250 39 20 7.8 4.3
40000 -49.7 -57.5 255 40 20 7.8 4.3 | -49.5 -57.1 260 47 24 7.0 3.8
38000 -45.1 -49.2 250 39 20 7.8 4.3 | -45.3 -49.5 255 46 24 7.0 3.8
36000 -40.4 -40.7 245 38 20 7.5 4.1 | -41.1 -42.0 245 45 23 7.4 4.0
34000 -36.2 -33.2 245 39 20 7.1 3.9 | -36.4 -33.5 245 44 23 8.0 4.4
32000 -32.0 -25.6 240 40 20 7.2 4.0 | -31.7 -25.1 240 42 22 8.2 4.5
30000 -27.4 -17.3 245 35 18 6.8 3.7 | -27.0 -16.6 250 36 19 6.8 3.7
29000 -25.3 -13.5 250 33 17 6.8 3.7 | -24.9 -12.8 255 33 17 6.8 3.7
28000 -23.3 -9.9 255 31 16 6.7 3.7 | -22.9 -9.2 260 31 16 5.8 3.2
27000 -21.3 -6.3 260 27 14 6.7 3.7 | -21.2 -6.2 260 28 14 5.9 3.2
26000 -19.2 -2.6 260 24 12 6.7 3.7 | -19.4 -2.9 260 25 13 5.9 3.2
25000 -17.2 1.0 265 21 11 6.3 3.4 | -17.6 0.3 260 23 12 5.9 3.2
24000 -15.5 4.1 275 19 10 5.7 3.1 | -15.9 3.4 265 20 10 5.8 3.2
23000 -13.8 7.2 290 18 9 5.7 3.1 | -14.2 6.4 270 17 9 5.8 3.2
22000 -12.2 10.0 305 19 10 7.3 4.0 | -12.4 9.7 275 14 7 7.6 4.2
21000 -9.5 14.9 305 14 7 8.9 4.9 | -9.7 14.5 265 13 7 9.1 5.0
20000 -6.8 19.8 300 10 5 8.9 4.9 | -7.0 19.4 250 12 6 9.1 5.0
19500 -5.5 22.1 295 8 4 8.9 4.9 | -5.6 21.9 245 12 6 9.1 5.0
19000 -4.2 24.4 290 6 3 8.9 4.9 | -4.3 24.3 245 12 6 8.5 4.7
18500 -2.8 27.0 285 5 3 8.8 4.8 | -3.1 26.4 245 12 6 8.5 4.6
18000 -1.5 29.3 275 5 2 7.7 4.2 | -1.8 28.8 250 12 6 7.2 3.9
17500 -0.1 31.8 275 7 3 6.2 3.4 | -0.5 31.1 260 12 6 5.6 3.1
17000 0.8 33.4 275 8 4 3.9 2.2 | 0.3 32.5 265 13 6 1.7 0.9
16500 0.9 33.6 270 10 5 1.7 0.9 | -0.1 31.8 270 12 6 -1.4 -0.8
16000 1.0 33.8 265 12 6 2.0 1.1 | -0.6 30.9 275 12 6 -0.8 -0.4
15500 1.1 34.0 265 13 7 1.8 1.0 | -0.4 31.3 275 11 6 4.6 2.5
15000 1.3 34.3 265 14 7 1.9 1.0 | 0.1 32.2 280 10 5 4.1 2.3
14500 1.6 34.9 265 14 7 5.6 3.1 | 0.8 33.4 280 9 5 8.9 4.9
14000 2.5 36.5 270 13 7 6.0 3.3 | 2.1 35.8 280 9 5 9.1 5.0
13500 3.5 38.3 280 13 7 7.3 4.0 | 3.5 38.3 280 9 4 9.1 5.0
13000 4.6 40.3 285 13 7 7.9 4.3 | 4.8 40.6 280 8 4 9.2 5.0
12500 5.8 42.4 290 12 6 8.1 4.4 | 6.2 43.2 285 8 4 9.4 5.1
12000 6.9 44.4 295 12 6 8.2 4.5 | 7.6 45.7 285 8 4 9.5 5.2
11500 8.1 46.6 300 12 6 8.3 4.6 | 9.0 48.2 285 8 4 9.2 5.1
11000 9.4 48.9 305 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 10.4 50.7 290 8 4 9.7 5.3
10500 10.6 51.1 310 11 6 8.5 4.6 | 11.8 53.2 290 8 4 9.1 5.0
10250 11.2 52.2 310 11 6 8.2 4.5 | 12.5 54.5 290 9 4 9.2 5.0
10000 11.9 53.4 310 11 6 8.8 4.8 | 13.2 55.8 290 9 4 10.1 5.5
9750 12.5 54.5 310 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 14.0 57.2 290 9 5 9.9 5.4
9500 13.2 55.8 310 11 6 8.4 4.6 | 14.7 58.5 295 9 5 10.1 5.5
9250 13.7 56.7 310 10 5 8.1 4.5 | 15.5 59.9 295 9 5 10.3 5.7
9000 14.3 57.7 310 10 5 6.9 3.8 | 16.2 61.2 295 9 5 9.6 5.3
8750 14.7 58.5 305 9 5 5.5 3.0 | 16.9 62.4 295 9 5 8.8 4.8
8500 15.0 59.0 305 8 4 6.4 3.5 | 17.6 63.7 295 9 5 9.9 5.4
8250 15.5 59.9 300 7 4 6.7 3.7 | 18.4 65.1 300 9 5 11.0 6.0
8000 15.9 60.6 295 7 3 6.9 3.8 | 19.1 66.4 300 9 5 10.3 5.6
7750 16.4 61.5 290 6 3 7.7 4.2 | 19.9 67.8 300 9 5 9.6 5.3
7500 17.0 62.6 285 5 3 9.2 5.1 | 20.6 69.1 300 10 5 10.1 5.5
7250 17.7 63.9 285 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 21.4 70.5 300 9 5 11.0 6.0
7000 18.4 65.1 280 5 2 9.4 5.2 | 22.2 72.0 300 9 5 9.7 5.3
6750 19.1 66.4 280 4 2 10.2 5.6 | 23.0 73.4 300 9 5 13.1 7.2
6500 20.0 68.0 275 4 2 14.2 7.8 | 24.3 75.7 300 9 5 23.8 13.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/30/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/30/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +90.3 LI... +1.0 | CAPE... +50.3 LI... +0.6
CINH... -30.9 K Index... +26.0 | CINH... -28.3 K Index... +25.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.3 -89.1 250 27 14 2.8 1.5 | -67.9 -90.2 250 31 16 2.9 1.6
45000 -61.0 -77.8 255 39 20 7.0 3.8 | -60.7 -77.3 250 44 23 7.5 4.1
40000 -49.8 -57.6 255 47 24 7.7 4.2 | -49.5 -57.1 245 46 24 7.3 4.0
38000 -45.3 -49.5 255 46 24 7.7 4.2 | -45.2 -49.4 250 45 23 7.3 4.0
36000 -40.7 -41.3 255 45 23 7.7 4.2 | -40.8 -41.4 250 43 22 7.5 4.1
34000 -36.2 -33.2 245 43 22 7.6 4.2 | -36.3 -33.3 245 42 21 7.7 4.2
32000 -31.6 -24.9 235 42 22 7.8 4.3 | -31.7 -25.1 235 41 21 7.7 4.2
30000 -26.8 -16.2 245 36 18 7.0 3.9 | -26.5 -15.7 245 36 19 7.8 4.3
29000 -24.6 -12.3 255 33 17 7.1 3.9 | -24.1 -11.4 255 35 18 7.8 4.3
28000 -22.6 -8.7 260 31 16 5.4 3.0 | -22.0 -7.6 260 33 17 5.4 3.0
27000 -21.0 -5.8 260 29 15 5.6 3.1 | -20.2 -4.4 265 31 16 5.7 3.1
26000 -19.3 -2.7 265 27 14 5.6 3.1 | -18.5 -1.3 270 29 15 5.7 3.2
25000 -17.6 0.3 270 25 13 5.6 3.1 | -16.7 1.9 275 28 14 5.3 2.9
24000 -15.9 3.4 270 23 12 5.7 3.2 | -15.4 4.3 275 25 13 4.5 2.5
23000 -14.2 6.4 265 21 11 5.8 3.2 | -14.0 6.8 275 22 11 4.6 2.5
22000 -12.5 9.5 265 19 10 7.3 4.0 | -12.7 9.1 270 20 10 6.4 3.5
21000 -9.9 14.2 260 18 9 8.8 4.8 | -10.2 13.6 275 18 9 8.4 4.6
20000 -7.3 18.9 260 18 9 8.8 4.8 | -7.6 18.3 280 16 8 8.4 4.6
19500 -6.0 21.2 260 18 9 8.8 4.8 | -6.4 20.5 285 16 8 8.5 4.7
19000 -4.7 23.5 260 17 9 7.6 4.1 | -5.2 22.6 290 14 7 7.6 4.2
18500 -3.6 25.5 265 17 9 7.5 4.1 | -4.0 24.8 295 13 6 7.5 4.1
18000 -2.4 27.7 270 16 8 4.7 2.6 | -2.7 27.1 300 10 5 2.0 1.1
17500 -2.2 28.0 270 14 7 2.3 1.3 | -2.4 27.7 305 9 4 3.2 1.7
17000 -1.9 28.6 275 11 6 3.0 1.6 | -2.1 28.2 310 7 4 4.9 2.7
16500 -1.6 29.1 275 10 5 3.3 1.8 | -1.4 29.5 310 6 3 5.9 3.2
16000 -1.3 29.7 275 9 5 4.2 2.3 | -0.7 30.7 305 5 3 6.3 3.5
15500 -0.4 31.3 275 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 0.4 32.7 305 5 3 9.1 5.0
15000 0.9 33.6 280 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 1.7 35.1 305 5 3 8.9 4.9
14500 2.3 36.1 280 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 3.0 37.4 305 5 3 9.2 5.1
14000 3.7 38.7 280 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 4.3 39.7 300 6 3 9.2 5.1
13500 5.1 41.2 280 9 4 9.4 5.2 | 5.7 42.3 300 6 3 9.3 5.1
13000 6.5 43.7 280 9 4 9.4 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 300 6 3 9.4 5.2
12500 7.9 46.2 280 9 4 9.5 5.2 | 8.5 47.3 300 7 3 9.7 5.3
12000 9.3 48.7 280 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 10.0 50.0 300 7 3 9.9 5.5
11500 10.7 51.3 280 9 5 10.1 5.5 | 11.4 52.5 300 7 4 9.6 5.3
11000 12.2 54.0 280 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 12.9 55.2 295 7 4 9.7 5.3
10500 13.6 56.5 280 10 5 8.4 4.6 | 14.3 57.7 295 8 4 8.9 4.9
10250 14.2 57.6 280 10 5 8.7 4.8 | 14.9 58.8 295 8 4 9.2 5.0
10000 14.9 58.8 285 11 5 10.5 5.7 | 15.7 60.3 295 8 4 10.4 5.7
9750 15.7 60.3 285 11 6 9.9 5.4 | 16.4 61.5 295 8 4 10.0 5.5
9500 16.4 61.5 285 11 6 10.5 5.8 | 17.2 63.0 295 8 4 10.3 5.6
9250 17.2 63.0 285 11 6 11.1 6.1 | 18.0 64.4 295 9 4 10.4 5.7
9000 18.0 64.4 285 12 6 9.9 5.4 | 18.7 65.7 295 9 4 9.3 5.1
8750 18.7 65.7 285 12 6 9.0 4.9 | 19.4 66.9 295 9 5 8.5 4.6
8500 19.4 66.9 285 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 20.0 68.0 295 9 5 9.3 5.1
8250 20.1 68.2 285 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 20.8 69.4 290 9 5 10.0 5.5
8000 20.9 69.6 285 13 7 9.9 5.5 | 21.5 70.7 290 9 5 9.9 5.5
7750 21.6 70.9 285 13 7 10.4 5.7 | 22.2 72.0 290 9 5 9.8 5.4
7500 22.4 72.3 285 13 7 10.4 5.7 | 23.0 73.4 290 10 5 9.8 5.4
7250 23.2 73.8 285 13 7 10.7 5.8 | 23.7 74.7 290 10 5 9.9 5.4
7000 23.9 75.0 285 13 7 9.9 5.4 | 24.4 75.9 290 10 5 9.7 5.3
6750 24.7 76.5 285 13 7 12.9 7.1 | 25.2 77.4 290 10 5 10.3 5.6
6500 26.0 78.8 285 13 7 22.9 12.6 | 26.0 78.8 290 9 5 13.0 7.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0726 MDT Saturday August 30 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, August 30, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 76.6 F/24.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1088 ft/min (5.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 16170 ft MSL (10491 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 88.0 F/31.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14863 ft MSL (9185 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 08/31....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:38:12 / 19:35:45 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 57 min 33 sec (777 min 33 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:06:58 MDT... 63.61 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/30/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15201 ft MSL (9522 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13016 ft MSL (7337 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14979 ft MSL (9301 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.8
K index......................... +27.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.0 -90.4 250 24 12 2.2 1.2 75.3 167.6 26.1 M M
45000 -61.8 -79.2 245 32 17 7.8 4.3 62.3 144.2 19.7 M M
40000 -49.6 -57.3 255 41 21 7.6 4.2 57.9 136.2 18.1 M M
38000 -45.0 -49.0 245 41 21 7.6 4.2 55.9 132.6 17.2 M M
36000 -40.5 -40.9 235 42 21 7.9 4.3 54.5 130.0 16.6 M M
34000 -35.7 -32.3 235 41 21 8.0 4.4 52.7 126.9 15.7 M M
32000 -30.9 -23.6 240 40 21 8.0 4.4 51.6 124.8 15.2 M M
30000 -26.7 -16.1 245 37 19 6.9 3.8 49.2 120.5 13.7 M M
29000 -24.7 -12.5 245 36 18 6.9 3.8 48.1 118.6 13.0 M M
28000 -22.7 -8.9 250 34 18 5.4 3.0 47.1 116.7 12.3 M M
27000 -21.2 -6.2 255 30 16 5.0 2.8 45.1 113.2 11.0 M M
26000 -19.6 -3.3 260 27 14 5.1 2.8 43.4 110.1 9.8 M M
25000 -17.6 0.3 275 24 12 5.8 3.2 41.4 106.5 8.3 M M
24000 -15.8 3.6 285 22 11 6.1 3.4 40.0 103.9 7.2 M M
23000 -14.0 6.8 300 22 11 6.1 3.4 38.7 101.6 6.2 M M
22000 -12.0 10.4 310 22 12 8.4 4.6 37.6 99.6 5.4 M M
21000 -9.3 15.3 310 18 9 9.2 5.0 37.3 99.1 5.2 M M
20000 -6.5 20.3 310 14 7 9.2 5.0 37.1 98.8 5.1 M M
19500 -5.1 22.8 310 12 6 9.0 4.9 37.0 98.7 5.1 M M
19000 -3.9 25.0 310 10 5 8.2 4.5 36.8 98.3 4.9 M M
18500 -2.6 27.3 305 9 5 8.4 4.6 36.6 97.8 4.7 M M
18000 -1.5 29.3 300 9 4 4.8 2.6 36.2 97.1 4.4 M M
17500 -1.1 30.0 285 9 5 3.7 2.0 35.1 95.2 3.4 M M
17000 -0.6 30.9 275 11 5 3.4 1.9 34.1 93.4 2.4 M M
16500 -0.5 31.1 270 12 6 0.6 0.3 32.7 90.8 1.1 M M
16000 -0.5 31.1 265 13 7 1.0 0.6 31.2 88.2 -0.5 884 4.5
15500 -0.4 31.3 265 14 7 4.2 2.3 30.0 86.0 -1.8 864 4.4
15000 0.2 32.4 270 14 7 4.4 2.4 29.1 84.4 -2.7 833 4.2
14500 0.8 33.4 275 13 7 6.4 3.5 28.3 82.9 -3.5 800 4.1
14000 2.0 35.6 280 13 7 7.8 4.3 27.9 82.3 -3.9 750 3.8
13500 3.1 37.6 285 13 7 8.0 4.4 27.6 81.8 -4.2 700 3.6
13000 4.3 39.7 295 12 6 8.2 4.5 27.4 81.3 -4.5 649 3.3
12500 5.5 41.9 300 11 6 8.3 4.6 27.1 80.8 -4.7 599 3.0
12000 6.8 44.2 300 10 5 8.9 4.9 27.0 80.5 -5.0 546 2.8
11500 8.1 46.6 300 9 5 8.9 4.9 26.8 80.3 -5.2 493 2.5
11000 9.3 48.7 305 7 4 8.8 4.8 26.7 80.0 -5.4 440 2.2
10500 10.6 51.1 305 6 3 9.0 4.9 26.5 79.8 -5.6 388 2.0
10250 11.2 52.2 310 6 3 8.6 4.7 26.5 79.7 -5.7 361 1.8
10000 11.8 53.2 315 6 3 8.2 4.5 26.3 79.4 -5.8 335 1.7
9750 12.5 54.5 320 6 3 8.1 4.5 26.2 79.2 -6.0 310 1.6
9500 13.1 55.6 325 6 3 8.7 4.8 26.1 79.0 -6.1 284 1.4
9250 13.7 56.7 325 6 3 8.6 4.7 26.1 78.9 -6.2 257 1.3
9000 14.9 58.8 330 7 3 8.3 4.6 25.8 78.4 -6.5 207 1.0
8750 15.5 59.9 330 7 4 7.3 4.0 25.7 78.2 -6.6 181 0.9
8500 16.0 60.8 330 7 4 6.4 3.5 25.4 77.8 -6.9 160 0.8
8250 16.4 61.5 330 7 4 6.8 3.7 25.2 77.3 -7.2 139 0.7
8000 16.9 62.4 330 7 3 7.2 4.0 25.0 77.0 -7.5 117 0.6
7750 17.4 63.3 330 6 3 6.2 3.4 24.8 76.6 -7.7 96 0.5
7500 17.7 63.9 325 6 3 5.0 2.8 24.4 76.0 -8.2 78 0.4
7250 18.0 64.4 320 5 3 5.3 2.9 24.1 75.4 -8.6 61 0.3
7000 18.4 65.1 315 4 2 5.5 3.0 23.8 74.8 -9.0 43 0.2
6750 18.7 65.7 305 3 2 5.3 2.9 23.4 74.2 -9.4 26 0.1
6500 19.1 66.4 290 2 1 4.9 2.7 23.1 73.6 -9.8 8 0.0
6250 19.4 66.9 260 2 1 5.9 3.2 22.7 72.9 -10.2 M M
6000 19.7 67.5 240 2 1 2.0 1.1 22.4 72.3 -10.6 M M
5750 18.9 66.0 210 2 1 -31.1 -17.1 20.9 69.5 -12.2 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/30/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/30/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +205.8 LI... +0.3 | CAPE... +134.1 LI... +0.6
CINH... -76.7 K Index... +16.8 | CINH... -56.7 K Index... +8.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.6 -89.7 255 24 12 2.1 1.2 | -66.9 -88.4 245 23 12 2.3 1.2
45000 -61.5 -78.7 255 35 18 7.7 4.2 | -60.9 -77.6 250 37 19 7.3 4.0
40000 -49.5 -57.1 255 43 22 7.4 4.1 | -49.5 -57.1 255 50 26 7.2 3.9
38000 -45.1 -49.2 250 43 22 7.4 4.1 | -45.2 -49.4 250 47 24 7.2 3.9
36000 -40.6 -41.1 240 43 22 7.5 4.1 | -40.9 -41.6 245 45 23 7.5 4.1
34000 -36.2 -33.2 235 44 22 7.5 4.1 | -36.2 -33.2 240 43 22 7.8 4.3
32000 -31.7 -25.1 235 44 23 7.5 4.1 | -31.6 -24.9 240 41 21 7.9 4.3
30000 -27.5 -17.5 240 38 19 6.8 3.7 | -27.5 -17.5 250 36 18 6.5 3.6
29000 -25.5 -13.9 245 34 18 6.8 3.7 | -25.6 -14.1 255 33 17 6.5 3.6
28000 -23.4 -10.1 255 32 16 6.5 3.6 | -23.6 -10.5 260 31 16 5.9 3.3
27000 -21.5 -6.7 260 29 15 6.4 3.5 | -21.9 -7.4 260 29 15 5.7 3.2
26000 -19.1 -2.4 265 26 14 6.4 3.5 | -19.7 -3.5 265 26 13 5.7 3.2
25000 -17.2 1.0 270 24 13 5.9 3.2 | -18.0 -0.4 270 24 12 6.2 3.4
24000 -15.5 4.1 280 22 11 5.7 3.1 | -16.1 3.0 270 21 11 6.4 3.5
23000 -13.8 7.2 290 20 10 5.7 3.1 | -14.2 6.4 265 17 9 6.4 3.5
22000 -12.0 10.4 300 18 9 8.3 4.6 | -12.2 10.0 265 14 7 8.3 4.6
21000 -9.3 15.3 290 15 8 9.0 5.0 | -9.5 14.9 260 14 7 8.8 4.8
20000 -6.6 20.1 280 13 7 9.0 5.0 | -6.9 19.6 255 13 7 8.8 4.8
19500 -5.2 22.6 275 12 6 9.0 4.9 | -5.5 22.1 250 13 7 8.7 4.8
19000 -3.9 25.0 270 11 6 8.6 4.7 | -4.3 24.3 250 13 7 8.2 4.5
18500 -2.6 27.3 270 10 5 8.7 4.8 | -3.0 26.6 255 13 7 8.3 4.6
18000 -1.4 29.5 265 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -1.9 28.6 260 13 7 7.1 3.9
17500 -0.3 31.5 260 10 5 6.9 3.8 | -0.8 30.6 265 13 7 6.8 3.7
17000 0.7 33.3 260 11 5 6.0 3.3 | 0.2 32.4 270 14 7 6.4 3.5
16500 1.0 33.8 260 11 6 1.0 0.6 | 1.0 33.8 275 14 7 4.8 2.6
16000 1.1 34.0 260 12 6 1.7 1.0 | 1.7 35.1 280 15 8 5.4 2.9
15500 1.2 34.2 260 12 6 -0.0 -0.0 | 2.1 35.8 280 16 8 0.4 0.2
15000 1.0 33.8 260 13 6 0.3 0.2 | 2.0 35.6 280 16 8 0.9 0.5
14500 0.9 33.6 260 13 7 3.7 2.0 | 2.0 35.6 275 16 8 2.5 1.4
14000 1.7 35.1 270 12 6 5.7 3.1 | 2.3 36.1 275 15 8 3.4 1.9
13500 2.4 36.3 280 12 6 6.7 3.7 | 2.6 36.7 275 14 7 5.5 3.0
13000 3.6 38.5 285 11 6 8.4 4.6 | 3.7 38.7 280 13 7 8.4 4.6
12500 4.9 40.8 295 11 6 8.5 4.7 | 4.8 40.6 280 11 6 8.5 4.7
12000 6.2 43.2 300 10 5 9.1 5.0 | 6.1 43.0 285 10 5 8.8 4.8
11500 7.5 45.5 305 9 5 9.1 5.0 | 7.4 45.3 285 9 5 8.8 4.8
11000 8.8 47.8 305 9 4 8.8 4.8 | 8.7 47.7 285 8 4 9.2 5.1
10500 10.1 50.2 310 8 4 9.0 5.0 | 10.1 50.2 290 7 4 9.8 5.4
10250 10.8 51.4 310 8 4 9.0 4.9 | 10.8 51.4 290 7 4 9.9 5.4
10000 11.4 52.5 310 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 11.5 52.7 290 7 4 9.4 5.2
9750 12.0 53.6 310 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 12.2 54.0 290 7 4 9.9 5.4
9500 12.7 54.9 315 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 12.9 55.2 290 7 3 8.7 4.8
9250 13.7 56.7 315 8 4 7.9 4.3 | 14.3 57.7 295 6 3 10.2 5.6
9000 14.3 57.7 315 8 4 8.0 4.4 | 15.0 59.0 295 6 3 10.1 5.5
8750 14.8 58.6 315 8 4 6.7 3.7 | 15.8 60.4 295 6 3 9.2 5.0
8500 15.3 59.5 320 8 4 5.7 3.1 | 16.4 61.5 295 6 3 9.2 5.0
8250 15.7 60.3 315 7 4 6.5 3.6 | 17.2 63.0 295 6 3 10.3 5.6
8000 16.1 61.0 315 6 3 6.9 3.8 | 17.9 64.2 295 6 3 10.3 5.7
7750 16.5 61.7 315 6 3 5.8 3.2 | 18.7 65.7 295 6 3 9.7 5.3
7500 16.9 62.4 310 5 2 5.2 2.8 | 19.4 66.9 295 6 3 9.4 5.1
7250 17.3 63.1 305 4 2 7.7 4.2 | 20.1 68.2 295 6 3 10.6 5.8
7000 17.9 64.2 300 3 2 8.9 4.9 | 20.9 69.6 295 6 3 11.0 6.0
6750 18.5 65.3 295 3 2 8.7 4.8 | 21.7 71.1 295 6 3 10.3 5.6
6500 19.1 66.4 285 3 1 9.0 4.9 | 22.5 72.5 295 6 3 10.2 5.6
6250 19.8 67.6 280 2 1 8.7 4.8 | 23.2 73.8 295 6 3 9.8 5.4
6000 20.5 68.9 275 2 1 11.3 6.2 | 24.0 75.2 295 5 3 14.6 8.0
5750 21.8 71.2 270 2 1 28.7 15.8 | 26.1 79.0 295 5 3 50.2 27.6
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/30/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/30/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +90.5 LI... +0.9 | CAPE... +17.1 LI... +1.3
CINH... -49.3 K Index... +28.5 | CINH... -36.3 K Index... +25.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.9 -88.4 255 27 14 2.6 1.4 | -67.5 -89.5 245 30 16 2.8 1.5
45000 -60.8 -77.4 255 40 20 6.9 3.8 | -61.1 -78.0 245 44 23 6.9 3.8
40000 -49.7 -57.5 250 47 24 7.5 4.1 | -50.0 -58.0 245 48 25 7.6 4.2
38000 -45.2 -49.4 250 46 24 7.5 4.1 | -45.4 -49.7 245 46 24 7.6 4.2
36000 -40.7 -41.3 250 45 23 7.6 4.1 | -40.9 -41.6 245 44 23 7.7 4.2
34000 -36.2 -33.2 245 43 22 7.6 4.2 | -36.2 -33.2 245 41 21 7.8 4.3
32000 -31.6 -24.9 240 41 21 7.6 4.2 | -31.6 -24.9 240 38 20 7.8 4.3
30000 -27.6 -17.7 250 35 18 6.5 3.6 | -27.3 -17.1 245 33 17 7.1 3.9
29000 -25.6 -14.1 255 32 17 6.6 3.6 | -25.1 -13.2 250 31 16 7.1 3.9
28000 -23.7 -10.7 260 30 15 6.0 3.3 | -23.0 -9.4 260 29 15 7.1 3.9
27000 -21.9 -7.4 260 28 14 5.8 3.2 | -20.8 -5.4 260 27 14 7.0 3.9
26000 -20.2 -4.4 265 26 14 5.8 3.2 | -18.2 -0.8 265 26 13 7.1 3.9
25000 -18.0 -0.4 270 24 12 6.1 3.3 | -16.1 3.0 265 25 13 5.0 2.7
24000 -16.1 3.0 265 22 11 6.2 3.4 | -15.0 5.0 270 23 12 3.9 2.1
23000 -14.2 6.4 265 20 11 6.2 3.4 | -13.8 7.2 270 21 11 3.9 2.2
22000 -12.3 9.9 260 19 10 8.3 4.5 | -12.5 9.5 275 20 10 7.4 4.1
21000 -9.6 14.7 260 18 9 8.8 4.8 | -9.9 14.2 280 18 9 8.6 4.7
20000 -7.0 19.4 260 17 9 8.8 4.8 | -7.3 18.9 285 17 9 8.6 4.7
19500 -5.7 21.7 260 16 8 8.6 4.7 | -6.0 21.2 290 16 8 8.5 4.6
19000 -4.4 24.1 265 16 8 8.1 4.4 | -4.8 23.4 290 15 8 7.9 4.3
18500 -3.2 26.2 270 15 8 8.2 4.5 | -3.6 25.5 295 14 7 8.0 4.4
18000 -2.1 28.2 275 14 7 6.3 3.4 | -2.5 27.5 300 13 7 6.2 3.4
17500 -1.2 29.8 280 14 7 5.9 3.2 | -1.7 28.9 305 13 7 5.8 3.2
17000 -0.4 31.3 285 13 7 4.5 2.5 | -0.9 30.4 305 13 7 5.4 3.0
16500 -0.4 31.3 285 12 6 -1.3 -0.7 | -0.5 31.1 305 12 6 3.0 1.6
16000 -0.8 30.6 285 12 6 -0.5 -0.3 | -0.2 31.6 300 11 5 3.5 1.9
15500 -0.6 30.9 280 11 6 7.0 3.8 | 0.4 32.7 295 9 5 6.9 3.8
15000 0.3 32.5 280 11 5 6.9 3.8 | 1.3 34.3 295 8 4 7.0 3.8
14500 1.3 34.3 280 10 5 8.5 4.6 | 2.3 36.1 290 7 4 8.3 4.5
14000 2.6 36.7 280 10 5 9.1 5.0 | 3.6 38.5 295 7 4 9.0 4.9
13500 4.0 39.2 280 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 4.9 40.8 300 7 3 9.2 5.1
13000 5.4 41.7 280 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 6.4 43.5 305 7 3 9.6 5.3
12500 6.8 44.2 280 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 7.8 46.0 310 7 4 9.7 5.3
12000 8.2 46.8 280 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 9.3 48.7 315 7 4 9.7 5.3
11500 9.7 49.5 280 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 10.7 51.3 315 7 4 9.7 5.3
11000 11.1 52.0 280 9 4 9.7 5.3 | 12.2 54.0 320 8 4 9.5 5.2
10500 12.6 54.7 280 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 13.6 56.5 325 8 4 9.8 5.4
10250 13.3 55.9 280 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 14.4 57.9 325 8 4 9.8 5.4
10000 14.0 57.2 280 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 15.8 60.4 330 9 4 9.7 5.3
9750 14.7 58.5 280 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 16.5 61.7 330 9 4 9.5 5.2
9500 15.4 59.7 285 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 17.2 63.0 330 9 5 9.6 5.2
9250 16.9 62.4 285 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 18.0 64.4 330 9 5 9.8 5.4
9000 17.6 63.7 285 8 4 10.1 5.5 | 18.7 65.7 330 9 5 10.0 5.5
8750 18.3 64.9 285 8 4 8.5 4.6 | 19.4 66.9 330 10 5 8.7 4.8
8500 18.9 66.0 285 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 20.0 68.0 335 10 5 8.9 4.9
8250 19.7 67.5 285 7 4 11.0 6.1 | 20.8 69.4 335 10 5 10.3 5.7
8000 20.5 68.9 285 7 4 10.8 5.9 | 21.5 70.7 335 10 5 10.0 5.5
7750 21.3 70.3 285 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 22.3 72.1 335 10 5 9.8 5.4
7500 21.9 71.4 285 7 4 8.8 4.8 | 23.0 73.4 335 11 6 9.5 5.2
7250 22.7 72.9 285 7 4 10.4 5.7 | 23.7 74.7 340 11 6 9.9 5.4
7000 23.5 74.3 285 7 3 11.0 6.0 | 24.5 76.1 340 11 6 10.1 5.5
6750 24.3 75.7 290 7 3 10.5 5.8 | 25.2 77.4 340 11 6 10.1 5.6
6500 25.1 77.2 290 6 3 10.7 5.9 | 26.0 78.8 340 11 6 10.4 5.7
6250 25.8 78.4 290 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 26.8 80.2 340 11 6 9.5 5.2
6000 26.6 79.9 290 6 3 13.7 7.5 | 27.5 81.5 340 11 6 11.4 6.3
5750 28.8 83.8 290 5 3 56.1 30.8 | 29.0 84.2 340 10 5 34.4 18.9
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0729 MDT Saturday August 30 2025
This forecast is for Saturday, August 30, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 72.7 F/22.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 783 ft/min (4.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 15863 ft MSL (9407 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 84.0 F/29.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14251 ft MSL (7795 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 08/31....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:35:32 / 19:34:12 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 58 min 40 sec (778 min 40 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:52 MDT... 63.06 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/30/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16516 ft MSL (10060 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14083 ft MSL (7627 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15543 ft MSL (9087 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.9
K index......................... +9.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.6 -89.7 255 23 12 1.8 1.0 73.3 164.0 26.4 M M
45000 -61.9 -79.4 250 33 17 7.6 4.2 59.6 139.2 19.5 M M
40000 -49.9 -57.8 250 45 23 8.2 4.5 55.0 131.0 17.8 M M
38000 -44.9 -48.8 250 49 25 8.2 4.5 53.5 128.3 17.2 M M
36000 -40.0 -40.0 245 52 27 7.8 4.3 52.6 126.6 16.9 M M
34000 -35.6 -32.1 245 47 24 7.4 4.1 50.3 122.6 15.7 M M
32000 -31.2 -24.2 240 43 22 7.4 4.1 48.7 119.6 14.8 M M
30000 -27.1 -16.8 245 40 21 6.9 3.8 46.3 115.4 13.3 M M
29000 -25.0 -13.0 245 39 20 7.0 3.8 45.3 113.5 12.7 M M
28000 -23.0 -9.4 250 38 20 5.6 3.1 44.3 111.8 12.0 M M
27000 -21.4 -6.5 255 34 18 5.0 2.8 42.4 108.3 10.7 M M
26000 -19.5 -3.1 265 30 15 5.1 2.8 40.2 104.4 9.2 M M
25000 -17.9 -0.2 270 27 14 5.7 3.1 38.7 101.6 8.0 M M
24000 -16.1 3.0 280 26 13 6.2 3.4 37.3 99.1 6.9 M M
23000 -14.2 6.4 290 25 13 6.3 3.4 36.0 96.9 6.0 M M
22000 -12.3 9.9 300 24 12 8.2 4.5 34.9 94.9 5.1 M M
21000 -9.5 14.9 300 20 10 9.3 5.1 34.7 94.5 4.9 M M
20000 -6.7 19.9 295 15 8 9.3 5.1 34.6 94.2 4.9 M M
19500 -5.3 22.5 295 13 6 9.1 5.0 34.5 94.1 4.9 M M
19000 -4.1 24.6 295 11 6 7.6 4.2 34.3 93.7 4.7 M M
18500 -2.9 26.8 290 11 5 7.7 4.2 33.9 93.0 4.4 M M
18000 -1.8 28.8 290 10 5 5.8 3.2 33.5 92.4 4.1 M M
17500 -1.2 29.8 285 11 5 4.7 2.6 32.7 90.8 3.3 M M
17000 -0.5 31.1 285 11 6 4.7 2.6 31.8 89.3 2.5 M M
16500 -0.0 32.0 285 12 6 2.8 1.5 30.8 87.4 1.5 M M
16000 0.3 32.5 280 13 7 3.1 1.7 29.7 85.4 0.4 M M
15500 0.8 33.4 280 14 7 3.9 2.1 28.6 83.5 -0.6 766 3.9
15000 1.3 34.3 280 14 7 4.2 2.3 27.7 81.8 -1.6 736 3.7
14500 1.8 35.2 280 14 7 5.0 2.7 26.8 80.2 -2.5 705 3.6
14000 2.6 36.7 280 14 7 5.9 3.2 26.1 79.0 -3.2 667 3.4
13500 3.4 38.1 285 14 7 6.2 3.4 25.5 77.9 -3.9 628 3.2
13000 4.3 39.7 290 14 7 7.2 3.9 25.0 77.0 -4.5 585 3.0
12500 5.3 41.5 295 13 7 7.2 4.0 24.6 76.3 -5.0 541 2.7
12000 6.5 43.7 300 13 7 8.9 4.9 24.4 75.9 -5.3 491 2.5
11500 7.8 46.0 300 13 7 7.9 4.3 24.2 75.6 -5.5 438 2.2
11000 9.6 49.3 310 13 6 8.9 4.9 23.9 75.0 -5.9 361 1.8
10500 10.9 51.6 310 12 6 8.7 4.8 23.8 74.8 -6.0 307 1.6
10250 11.6 52.9 310 12 6 8.9 4.9 23.7 74.7 -6.1 280 1.4
10000 12.2 54.0 310 12 6 9.2 5.0 23.7 74.6 -6.2 253 1.3
9750 12.9 55.2 310 11 6 9.1 5.0 23.6 74.5 -6.3 225 1.1
9500 13.5 56.3 315 11 5 9.0 4.9 23.6 74.4 -6.4 198 1.0
9250 14.2 57.6 310 10 5 8.1 4.4 23.5 74.3 -6.5 172 0.9
9000 14.7 58.5 310 10 5 7.7 4.2 23.3 74.0 -6.7 149 0.8
8750 15.2 59.4 310 9 5 7.5 4.1 23.2 73.7 -6.9 125 0.6
8500 15.7 60.3 310 8 4 5.4 3.0 22.9 73.3 -7.2 104 0.5
8250 16.0 60.8 305 7 4 4.5 2.5 22.5 72.6 -7.7 89 0.5
8000 16.3 61.3 300 6 3 5.2 2.9 22.2 71.9 -8.1 73 0.4
7750 16.6 61.9 300 5 3 5.0 2.7 21.8 71.3 -8.6 55 0.3
7500 16.9 62.4 300 4 2 4.6 2.5 21.5 70.6 -9.0 39 0.2
7250 17.2 63.0 295 3 2 4.2 2.3 21.1 69.9 -9.5 23 0.1
7000 17.4 63.3 295 2 1 5.0 2.7 20.6 69.2 -10.0 8 0.0
6750 17.7 63.9 295 2 1 -1.1 -0.6 20.2 68.3 -10.5 M M
6500 16.3 61.3 000 0 0 -45.1 -24.7 18.1 64.5 -12.6 27 0.1
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/30/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/30/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +112.5 LI... +0.9 | CAPE... +56.9 LI... +1.4
CINH... -87.0 K Index... +7.9 | CINH... -92.8 K Index... +4.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.1 -88.8 250 24 12 1.9 1.0 | -66.8 -88.2 245 24 13 2.9 1.6
45000 -61.5 -78.7 250 37 19 7.3 4.0 | -60.5 -76.9 250 39 20 6.7 3.7
40000 -49.9 -57.8 250 46 24 7.7 4.2 | -49.9 -57.8 255 54 28 7.4 4.0
38000 -45.3 -49.5 250 47 24 7.7 4.2 | -45.4 -49.7 250 52 27 7.4 4.0
36000 -40.7 -41.3 245 48 25 7.7 4.2 | -41.0 -41.8 245 51 26 7.5 4.1
34000 -36.1 -33.0 245 48 24 7.7 4.2 | -36.5 -33.7 250 49 25 7.7 4.2
32000 -31.6 -24.9 245 47 24 7.8 4.3 | -31.9 -25.4 250 47 24 7.8 4.3
30000 -27.3 -17.1 250 42 22 6.9 3.8 | -27.8 -18.0 255 42 22 6.6 3.6
29000 -25.2 -13.4 255 39 20 6.9 3.8 | -25.8 -14.4 255 39 20 6.6 3.6
28000 -23.2 -9.8 255 37 19 5.9 3.3 | -23.8 -10.8 260 37 19 5.7 3.1
27000 -21.2 -6.2 265 34 17 5.5 3.0 | -21.9 -7.4 260 34 17 5.2 2.9
26000 -19.5 -3.1 270 32 16 5.5 3.0 | -20.3 -4.5 265 31 16 5.2 2.9
25000 -17.9 -0.2 275 30 15 5.8 3.2 | -18.7 -1.7 270 29 15 6.3 3.4
24000 -16.1 3.0 275 27 14 6.1 3.4 | -16.6 2.1 265 25 13 7.0 3.9
23000 -14.2 6.4 280 23 12 6.1 3.4 | -14.5 5.9 260 22 11 7.0 3.9
22000 -12.3 9.9 285 20 10 8.1 4.4 | -12.4 9.7 255 19 10 8.1 4.4
21000 -9.6 14.7 280 18 9 9.0 4.9 | -9.8 14.4 255 18 9 8.5 4.7
20000 -6.9 19.6 270 16 8 9.0 4.9 | -7.3 18.9 260 17 8 8.5 4.7
19500 -5.6 21.9 265 15 8 8.9 4.9 | -6.0 21.2 260 16 8 8.5 4.6
19000 -4.3 24.3 265 14 7 8.4 4.6 | -4.7 23.5 265 16 8 8.1 4.5
18500 -3.0 26.6 260 14 7 8.5 4.6 | -3.5 25.7 265 15 8 8.2 4.5
18000 -1.9 28.6 260 14 7 6.5 3.6 | -2.3 27.9 270 15 8 7.2 4.0
17500 -1.0 30.2 265 14 7 5.7 3.1 | -1.3 29.7 270 15 8 6.9 3.8
17000 -0.2 31.6 265 13 7 5.4 3.0 | -0.3 31.5 270 15 8 6.4 3.5
16500 0.2 32.4 270 14 7 1.8 1.0 | 0.3 32.5 275 15 8 3.2 1.8
16000 0.5 32.9 275 14 7 2.2 1.2 | 0.8 33.4 275 15 8 3.8 2.1
15500 0.7 33.3 275 14 7 2.8 1.5 | 1.1 34.0 275 15 8 1.7 0.9
15000 1.1 34.0 275 14 7 3.0 1.7 | 1.2 34.2 280 15 8 2.0 1.1
14500 1.4 34.5 275 15 8 4.3 2.3 | 1.3 34.3 280 14 7 4.2 2.3
14000 2.1 35.8 280 15 8 5.4 3.0 | 2.0 35.6 280 14 7 5.6 3.1
13500 2.8 37.0 280 16 8 6.2 3.4 | 2.7 36.9 285 13 7 6.8 3.7
13000 3.9 39.0 285 16 8 8.0 4.4 | 4.0 39.2 285 12 6 9.3 5.1
12500 5.0 41.0 285 16 8 8.0 4.4 | 5.3 41.5 285 12 6 9.3 5.1
12000 6.2 43.2 290 16 8 8.5 4.7 | 6.7 44.1 285 11 6 9.4 5.2
11500 7.4 45.3 295 16 8 8.5 4.7 | 8.1 46.6 285 11 6 9.2 5.1
11000 9.3 48.7 300 15 8 8.5 4.7 | 10.2 50.4 285 11 5 9.7 5.3
10500 10.5 50.9 300 14 7 8.8 4.9 | 11.7 53.1 285 10 5 9.7 5.3
10250 11.2 52.2 300 13 7 9.0 5.0 | 12.4 54.3 285 10 5 9.6 5.3
10000 11.9 53.4 305 13 6 9.0 4.9 | 13.1 55.6 285 10 5 9.6 5.3
9750 12.5 54.5 305 12 6 8.9 4.9 | 13.8 56.8 285 10 5 9.7 5.3
9500 13.2 55.8 305 11 6 8.4 4.6 | 14.5 58.1 285 10 5 9.8 5.4
9250 13.7 56.7 305 10 5 7.7 4.2 | 15.3 59.5 285 9 5 9.9 5.4
9000 14.3 57.7 305 9 5 7.7 4.2 | 16.0 60.8 285 9 5 9.8 5.4
8750 14.8 58.6 305 9 4 7.1 3.9 | 16.7 62.1 285 9 5 9.9 5.4
8500 15.2 59.4 305 8 4 4.6 2.5 | 17.5 63.5 285 9 5 10.0 5.5
8250 15.4 59.7 305 6 3 4.8 2.6 | 18.2 64.8 285 9 4 10.1 5.5
8000 15.8 60.4 310 5 3 7.3 4.0 | 19.0 66.2 285 9 4 10.2 5.6
7750 16.4 61.5 310 5 3 8.5 4.6 | 19.7 67.5 285 8 4 10.4 5.7
7500 17.0 62.6 310 5 2 9.0 4.9 | 20.5 68.9 285 8 4 10.6 5.8
7250 17.7 63.9 310 4 2 9.0 4.9 | 21.3 70.3 280 8 4 10.7 5.8
7000 18.3 64.9 310 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 22.1 71.8 280 8 4 10.0 5.5
6750 19.1 66.4 310 3 2 12.8 7.0 | 22.9 73.2 280 7 4 15.7 8.6
6500 20.4 68.7 310 3 2 25.6 14.1 | 25.1 77.2 280 7 3 52.5 28.8
08/30/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/30/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +60.3 LI... +1.1 | CAPE... +6.5 LI... +1.2
CINH... -59.4 K Index... +20.1 | CINH... -2.5 K Index... +20.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.0 -88.6 255 28 14 2.8 1.5 | -67.4 -89.3 255 29 15 2.9 1.6
45000 -60.8 -77.4 255 43 22 6.9 3.8 | -61.0 -77.8 250 47 24 6.8 3.7
40000 -49.8 -57.6 255 54 28 7.3 4.0 | -50.1 -58.2 245 53 27 7.7 4.2
38000 -45.4 -49.7 255 51 26 7.3 4.0 | -45.5 -49.9 245 51 26 7.7 4.2
36000 -41.0 -41.8 255 48 25 7.4 4.1 | -40.9 -41.6 250 49 25 7.7 4.2
34000 -36.5 -33.7 250 47 24 7.5 4.1 | -36.3 -33.3 250 46 24 7.6 4.2
32000 -32.0 -25.6 250 46 24 7.7 4.2 | -31.8 -25.2 250 44 23 7.7 4.2
30000 -27.8 -18.0 255 41 21 6.9 3.8 | -27.6 -17.7 255 39 20 6.9 3.8
29000 -25.7 -14.3 260 38 20 6.9 3.8 | -25.5 -13.9 260 36 19 6.9 3.8
28000 -23.6 -10.5 260 36 19 5.7 3.1 | -23.4 -10.1 265 34 17 6.4 3.5
27000 -22.1 -7.8 265 32 17 5.0 2.8 | -21.1 -6.0 265 29 15 6.2 3.4
26000 -20.2 -4.4 265 28 14 5.0 2.8 | -19.2 -2.6 270 26 13 6.2 3.4
25000 -18.7 -1.7 270 25 13 6.0 3.3 | -17.4 0.7 275 23 12 5.9 3.3
24000 -16.7 1.9 265 24 12 6.8 3.7 | -15.6 3.9 275 22 11 5.8 3.2
23000 -14.7 5.5 260 24 12 6.8 3.7 | -13.9 7.0 275 21 11 5.8 3.2
22000 -12.6 9.3 260 23 12 7.9 4.3 | -12.2 10.0 275 20 10 6.9 3.8
21000 -10.1 13.8 260 20 10 8.4 4.6 | -9.9 14.2 280 20 10 7.5 4.1
20000 -7.6 18.3 265 17 9 8.4 4.6 | -7.7 18.1 280 20 10 7.5 4.1
19500 -6.4 20.5 270 16 8 8.4 4.6 | -6.6 20.1 280 19 10 7.5 4.1
19000 -5.1 22.8 275 15 8 8.3 4.6 | -5.5 22.1 285 19 10 7.7 4.2
18500 -3.9 25.0 280 14 7 8.4 4.6 | -4.3 24.3 290 18 9 7.7 4.2
18000 -2.7 27.1 285 14 7 6.1 3.3 | -3.3 26.1 295 17 9 6.2 3.4
17500 -2.0 28.4 290 13 7 5.3 2.9 | -2.5 27.5 300 15 8 5.8 3.2
17000 -1.3 29.7 295 12 6 5.2 2.9 | -1.7 28.9 310 14 7 5.9 3.2
16500 -0.9 30.4 300 12 6 3.0 1.7 | -1.0 30.2 320 12 6 5.3 2.9
16000 -0.5 31.1 300 11 6 3.3 1.8 | -0.4 31.3 330 10 5 5.6 3.1
15500 0.0 32.0 305 10 5 6.1 3.3 | 0.5 32.9 340 9 5 8.1 4.5
15000 0.9 33.6 300 10 5 6.4 3.5 | 1.7 35.1 340 8 4 8.3 4.6
14500 1.7 35.1 295 10 5 8.1 4.4 | 2.9 37.2 340 8 4 8.7 4.8
14000 3.1 37.6 295 10 5 9.2 5.1 | 4.2 39.6 330 8 4 9.0 4.9
13500 4.5 40.1 290 10 5 9.4 5.1 | 5.5 41.9 320 8 4 9.1 5.0
13000 5.9 42.6 290 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 6.9 44.4 315 8 4 9.3 5.1
12500 7.3 45.1 290 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 8.3 46.9 305 8 4 9.3 5.1
12000 8.7 47.7 285 10 5 9.9 5.4 | 9.7 49.5 300 8 4 9.4 5.2
11500 10.9 51.6 285 10 5 9.1 5.0 | 11.9 53.4 290 9 5 9.5 5.2
11000 12.3 54.1 285 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 13.3 55.9 285 9 5 9.5 5.2
10500 13.8 56.8 280 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 14.7 58.5 280 10 5 9.6 5.3
10250 14.5 58.1 280 10 5 9.6 5.2 | 15.4 59.7 280 10 5 9.8 5.4
10000 15.2 59.4 275 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 16.2 61.2 275 10 5 9.7 5.3
9750 15.9 60.6 275 10 5 9.6 5.3 | 16.9 62.4 275 11 5 9.7 5.3
9500 16.6 61.9 275 10 5 10.1 5.5 | 17.6 63.7 275 11 6 9.9 5.4
9250 17.4 63.3 270 11 6 10.1 5.5 | 18.4 65.1 275 11 6 9.8 5.4
9000 18.1 64.6 270 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 19.1 66.4 270 11 6 9.5 5.2
8750 18.9 66.0 270 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 19.8 67.6 270 12 6 9.6 5.3
8500 19.6 67.3 270 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 20.5 68.9 270 12 6 9.6 5.2
8250 20.3 68.5 265 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 21.2 70.2 270 12 6 9.7 5.3
8000 21.1 70.0 265 12 6 10.1 5.6 | 22.0 71.6 265 12 6 9.8 5.4
7750 21.8 71.2 265 12 6 10.3 5.7 | 22.7 72.9 265 12 6 9.9 5.4
7500 22.6 72.7 265 12 6 10.5 5.7 | 23.4 74.1 265 12 6 10.0 5.5
7250 23.4 74.1 265 12 6 10.9 6.0 | 24.2 75.6 265 13 6 10.2 5.6
7000 24.2 75.6 260 12 6 8.9 4.9 | 24.9 76.8 265 12 6 8.8 4.8
6750 24.9 76.8 260 12 6 13.4 7.4 | 25.6 78.1 260 12 6 9.7 5.3
6500 27.3 81.1 260 10 5 65.5 35.9 | 26.9 80.4 260 11 5 32.3 17.7
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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