Lala, may become a hurricane, is expected to impact Hawaii this weekend. Heavy rainfall, strong winds, dangerous surf and localized flooding are expected. Heavy rainfall and flash flooding concerns from the mid-Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians continues, with the threat shifting toward the mid-Atlantic later this weekend. Record heat continues for areas of the South. Read More >
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Currently there is no Airport Weather Warning in effect for the Albuquerque International Sunport
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Albuquerque (KABX) Radar Velocity Azimuth Display Wind Profile (Observed) |
Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profile (Forecast from Rapid Refresh Model)Lowest 2000 ft Above Ground Level Vertical Wind Profile (for lowest 2000 ft) |
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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0730 MDT Saturday August 15 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, August 15, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 75.9 F/24.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1239 ft/min (6.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18285 ft MSL (11954 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15859 ft MSL (9528 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 08/16....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:24:25 / 19:52:28 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 28 min 3 sec (808 min 3 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:27 MDT... 68.80 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/15/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16037 ft MSL (9706 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14774 ft MSL (8443 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16527 ft MSL (10196 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.1
K index......................... +27.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.8 -86.4 190 7 3 1.4 0.8 76.2 169.2 26.1 M M
45000 -61.2 -78.2 195 13 7 6.1 3.3 60.8 141.5 18.2 M M
40000 -51.6 -60.9 210 18 9 8.0 4.4 53.5 128.3 14.4 M M
38000 -46.2 -51.2 205 18 9 8.0 4.4 51.6 124.9 13.6 M M
36000 -41.4 -42.5 205 18 9 8.3 4.6 50.5 122.9 13.1 M M
34000 -36.4 -33.5 210 17 9 8.3 4.6 49.1 120.3 12.4 M M
32000 -31.4 -24.5 210 16 8 8.1 4.4 48.2 118.8 12.0 M M
30000 -26.8 -16.2 200 16 8 7.8 4.3 46.4 115.6 10.9 M M
29000 -24.5 -12.1 200 16 8 7.8 4.3 45.8 114.4 10.5 M M
28000 -22.3 -8.1 195 17 8 6.5 3.6 45.0 112.9 9.9 M M
27000 -20.3 -4.5 195 17 9 6.6 3.6 43.7 110.6 9.0 M M
26000 -18.3 -0.9 195 18 9 6.6 3.6 42.5 108.5 8.1 M M
25000 -16.4 2.5 190 19 10 6.6 3.6 41.5 106.7 7.3 M M
24000 -14.4 6.1 190 19 10 6.5 3.6 40.2 104.4 6.3 M M
23000 -12.5 9.5 190 19 10 6.5 3.6 39.1 102.3 5.4 M M
22000 -10.5 13.1 190 19 10 6.5 3.6 38.0 100.4 4.6 M M
21000 -8.1 17.4 195 18 9 6.6 3.6 36.5 97.7 3.3 M M
20000 -6.2 20.8 200 18 9 6.6 3.6 35.5 95.8 2.4 M M
19500 -5.3 22.5 200 18 9 5.4 3.0 34.9 94.9 1.9 M M
19000 -4.7 23.5 205 18 9 4.6 2.5 34.0 93.2 1.0 M M
18500 -4.0 24.8 210 18 9 4.5 2.5 33.1 91.6 0.2 M M
18000 -3.4 25.9 215 18 9 5.5 3.0 32.3 90.2 -0.6 1013 5.1
17500 -2.6 27.3 215 17 9 5.4 3.0 31.6 88.8 -1.3 975 5.0
17000 -1.8 28.8 220 16 8 6.4 3.5 30.9 87.6 -2.0 938 4.8
16500 -0.8 30.6 230 15 8 7.1 3.9 30.4 86.7 -2.5 893 4.5
16000 0.2 32.4 235 15 8 7.2 3.9 30.0 86.0 -2.9 848 4.3
15500 1.3 34.3 240 15 8 7.5 4.1 29.6 85.3 -3.3 801 4.1
15000 2.3 36.1 245 15 8 7.4 4.1 29.2 84.6 -3.7 753 3.8
14500 3.5 38.3 245 15 8 8.1 4.4 28.9 84.0 -4.1 704 3.6
14000 4.6 40.3 245 14 7 8.1 4.4 28.6 83.5 -4.4 654 3.3
13500 5.8 42.4 245 14 7 7.8 4.3 28.3 83.0 -4.7 605 3.1
13000 6.9 44.4 250 12 6 7.7 4.2 28.0 82.4 -5.1 556 2.8
12500 8.0 46.4 250 11 6 7.4 4.1 27.7 81.8 -5.4 508 2.6
12000 9.1 48.4 255 10 5 7.1 3.9 27.3 81.1 -5.9 462 2.3
11500 10.1 50.2 265 8 4 7.3 4.0 26.8 80.3 -6.3 417 2.1
11000 11.1 52.0 275 7 4 6.7 3.7 26.4 79.5 -6.8 371 1.9
10500 12.1 53.8 285 6 3 6.9 3.8 26.0 78.7 -7.3 328 1.7
10250 12.6 54.7 290 6 3 6.9 3.8 25.7 78.3 -7.6 305 1.5
10000 13.1 55.6 295 6 3 6.9 3.8 25.5 77.9 -7.8 282 1.4
9750 13.6 56.5 300 6 3 6.6 3.6 25.3 77.5 -8.1 260 1.3
9500 14.1 57.4 305 6 3 7.5 4.1 25.1 77.1 -8.3 238 1.2
9250 14.7 58.5 310 7 3 8.8 4.8 24.9 76.9 -8.5 212 1.1
9000 15.3 59.5 315 8 4 7.4 4.1 24.8 76.7 -8.6 186 0.9
8750 15.8 60.4 320 9 5 6.4 3.5 24.6 76.3 -8.8 163 0.8
8500 16.3 61.3 320 10 5 6.1 3.4 24.3 75.8 -9.1 142 0.7
8250 16.7 62.1 325 10 5 5.6 3.1 24.0 75.3 -9.5 122 0.6
8000 17.1 62.8 325 11 5 5.6 3.1 23.7 74.7 -9.8 102 0.5
7750 17.5 63.5 325 11 6 4.7 2.6 23.4 74.1 -10.2 84 0.4
7500 17.8 64.0 330 11 5 3.6 2.0 23.0 73.3 -10.7 68 0.3
7250 18.0 64.4 330 10 5 2.9 1.6 22.5 72.4 -11.2 54 0.3
7000 18.2 64.8 330 9 5 4.4 2.4 22.0 71.5 -11.8 41 0.2
6750 18.4 65.1 330 8 4 -0.1 -0.1 21.5 70.7 -12.3 27 0.1
6500 17.9 64.2 330 7 3 -12.8 -7.0 20.3 68.5 -13.6 35 0.2
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/15/2026 at 0900 MDT | 08/15/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +12.8 LI... -0.6 | CAPE... +133.4 LI... -1.3
CINH... -69.2 K Index... +26.3 | CINH... -1.8 K Index... +29.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.3 -85.5 195 7 3 0.6 0.4 | -65.6 -86.1 205 7 4 0.8 0.4
45000 -61.3 -78.3 195 15 8 6.3 3.5 | -60.8 -77.4 225 15 8 6.7 3.7
40000 -50.9 -59.6 210 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -50.5 -58.9 240 18 9 7.8 4.3
38000 -46.1 -51.0 210 17 9 8.0 4.4 | -45.8 -50.4 230 20 10 7.8 4.3
36000 -41.4 -42.5 210 15 8 7.7 4.2 | -41.2 -42.2 225 21 11 7.9 4.3
34000 -36.9 -34.4 210 17 9 7.6 4.1 | -36.4 -33.5 225 19 10 7.9 4.3
32000 -32.4 -26.3 205 19 10 7.6 4.2 | -31.2 -24.2 230 17 9 7.2 4.0
30000 -27.1 -16.8 215 20 10 7.9 4.3 | -26.9 -16.4 220 18 9 7.1 3.9
29000 -24.8 -12.6 220 21 11 7.9 4.3 | -24.8 -12.6 215 18 9 7.1 3.9
28000 -22.5 -8.5 220 21 11 7.4 4.1 | -22.8 -9.0 215 19 10 6.9 3.8
27000 -20.3 -4.5 220 21 11 7.5 4.1 | -20.7 -5.3 215 19 10 6.9 3.8
26000 -18.1 -0.6 220 22 11 7.5 4.1 | -18.7 -1.7 215 20 10 7.0 3.8
25000 -16.0 3.2 215 22 11 6.3 3.5 | -16.7 1.9 215 21 11 6.8 3.7
24000 -14.2 6.4 210 21 11 6.1 3.3 | -14.7 5.5 210 20 10 6.8 3.7
23000 -12.4 9.7 205 21 11 6.1 3.3 | -12.6 9.3 210 19 10 6.8 3.7
22000 -10.6 12.9 200 21 11 6.1 3.3 | -10.7 12.7 210 19 10 6.1 3.4
21000 -8.9 16.0 195 19 10 6.1 3.3 | -8.9 16.0 205 18 9 6.1 3.3
20000 -7.1 19.2 195 18 9 6.1 3.4 | -7.2 19.0 205 17 9 6.1 3.4
19500 -6.2 20.8 195 18 9 6.1 3.3 | -6.3 20.7 205 16 8 6.1 3.4
19000 -5.4 22.3 195 16 8 5.9 3.2 | -5.4 22.3 205 15 8 6.0 3.3
18500 -4.5 23.9 200 15 8 5.9 3.2 | -4.5 23.9 200 14 7 6.1 3.3
18000 -3.7 25.3 205 14 7 6.1 3.4 | -3.7 25.3 200 13 7 5.4 2.9
17500 -2.8 27.0 210 11 6 6.2 3.4 | -2.5 27.5 195 10 5 5.1 2.8
17000 -1.9 28.6 215 8 4 6.3 3.5 | -1.7 28.9 195 8 4 7.0 3.9
16500 -0.5 31.1 235 5 3 6.9 3.8 | -0.7 30.7 190 7 3 7.2 3.9
16000 0.5 32.9 255 4 2 7.1 3.9 | 0.3 32.5 190 5 2 7.2 3.9
15500 1.6 34.9 265 4 2 7.4 4.0 | 1.3 34.3 190 4 2 7.1 3.9
15000 2.7 36.9 275 4 2 7.4 4.0 | 2.3 36.1 200 3 1 7.1 3.9
14500 3.8 38.8 280 4 2 7.9 4.3 | 3.3 37.9 230 2 1 7.2 3.9
14000 4.9 40.8 280 4 2 7.9 4.4 | 4.4 39.9 275 2 1 7.1 3.9
13500 6.0 42.8 285 5 2 7.1 3.9 | 5.5 41.9 290 3 1 8.8 4.8
13000 7.0 44.6 295 5 2 7.1 3.9 | 6.7 44.1 300 3 2 8.6 4.7
12500 8.0 46.4 305 5 3 7.1 3.9 | 8.0 46.4 305 4 2 9.3 5.1
12000 9.1 48.4 320 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 9.4 48.9 305 4 2 9.2 5.1
11500 10.2 50.4 330 7 3 8.0 4.4 | 10.9 51.6 305 4 2 10.6 5.8
11000 11.3 52.3 340 8 4 7.0 3.8 | 12.3 54.1 305 4 2 8.6 4.7
10500 12.3 54.1 345 9 4 7.9 4.4 | 13.7 56.7 305 4 2 10.9 6.0
10250 12.9 55.2 345 9 5 8.0 4.4 | 14.5 58.1 305 4 2 10.6 5.8
10000 13.5 56.3 350 9 5 7.0 3.8 | 15.2 59.4 305 4 2 8.9 4.9
9750 14.0 57.2 350 10 5 7.0 3.8 | 15.9 60.6 305 4 2 9.3 5.1
9500 14.5 58.1 345 10 5 6.7 3.7 | 16.6 61.9 305 4 2 9.7 5.3
9250 14.9 58.8 345 10 5 6.7 3.7 | 17.3 63.1 305 4 2 10.1 5.5
9000 15.4 59.7 345 10 5 5.9 3.2 | 18.1 64.6 305 4 2 9.5 5.2
8750 15.7 60.3 340 10 5 5.4 3.0 | 18.8 65.8 305 4 2 9.5 5.2
8500 16.2 61.2 335 10 5 6.6 3.6 | 19.5 67.1 305 4 2 10.0 5.5
8250 16.6 61.9 335 9 5 7.0 3.9 | 20.2 68.4 305 4 2 10.2 5.6
8000 17.1 62.8 330 9 5 6.9 3.8 | 21.0 69.8 305 4 2 10.1 5.5
7750 17.6 63.7 325 9 4 8.2 4.5 | 21.8 71.2 305 4 2 10.2 5.6
7500 18.3 64.9 325 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 22.5 72.5 300 4 2 10.2 5.6
7250 19.0 66.2 325 8 4 9.9 5.5 | 23.3 73.9 300 4 2 10.6 5.8
7000 19.7 67.5 320 8 4 9.0 4.9 | 24.1 75.4 300 4 2 9.4 5.1
6750 20.4 68.7 320 7 4 11.7 6.4 | 24.8 76.6 300 4 2 14.1 7.7
6500 21.6 70.9 320 7 3 18.6 10.2 | 26.3 79.3 300 4 2 25.2 13.8
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/15/2026 at 1500 MDT | 08/15/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +77.0 LI... -1.3 | CAPE... +31.2 LI... -1.3
CINH... -1.3 K Index... +31.4 | CINH... -1.1 K Index... +29.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.2 -85.4 240 10 5 1.3 0.7 | -65.4 -85.7 270 10 5 0.5 0.3
45000 -60.6 -77.1 250 18 9 5.7 3.1 | -61.1 -78.0 255 15 8 6.3 3.4
40000 -51.3 -60.3 275 22 11 8.2 4.5 | -51.0 -59.8 250 11 6 8.5 4.7
38000 -46.3 -51.3 270 24 12 8.2 4.5 | -45.9 -50.6 250 13 7 8.5 4.7
36000 -41.4 -42.5 265 24 13 8.2 4.5 | -40.9 -41.6 255 15 8 7.9 4.3
34000 -36.5 -33.7 250 19 10 8.2 4.5 | -36.2 -33.2 245 12 6 7.8 4.3
32000 -31.0 -23.8 225 17 9 7.5 4.1 | -31.0 -23.8 230 10 5 7.9 4.3
30000 -26.6 -15.9 215 18 9 7.4 4.1 | -26.2 -15.2 225 11 6 7.9 4.3
29000 -24.4 -11.9 210 18 9 7.4 4.1 | -23.9 -11.0 225 11 6 7.9 4.3
28000 -22.1 -7.8 210 18 9 7.5 4.1 | -21.6 -6.9 230 12 6 6.9 3.8
27000 -19.9 -3.8 215 17 9 7.5 4.1 | -19.6 -3.3 235 12 6 7.0 3.8
26000 -17.7 0.1 215 17 9 7.6 4.2 | -17.5 0.5 240 12 6 7.0 3.8
25000 -15.5 4.1 220 16 8 6.2 3.4 | -15.5 4.1 250 12 6 6.0 3.3
24000 -13.7 7.3 225 15 8 5.9 3.3 | -13.8 7.2 250 12 6 5.9 3.2
23000 -12.0 10.4 230 15 8 6.0 3.3 | -12.1 10.2 250 12 6 5.9 3.2
22000 -10.2 13.6 230 14 7 5.5 3.0 | -10.4 13.3 245 11 6 4.9 2.7
21000 -8.7 16.3 230 12 6 5.4 3.0 | -9.0 15.8 240 9 5 4.8 2.6
20000 -7.1 19.2 235 9 5 5.4 3.0 | -7.6 18.3 235 6 3 4.8 2.6
19500 -6.3 20.7 235 8 4 4.9 2.7 | -6.9 19.6 225 5 3 5.1 2.8
19000 -5.9 21.4 235 7 3 3.5 1.9 | -6.1 21.0 210 4 2 6.1 3.4
18500 -5.4 22.3 240 5 3 3.4 1.9 | -5.3 22.5 180 3 2 6.2 3.4
18000 -4.1 24.6 245 4 2 9.0 4.9 | -3.8 25.2 155 3 1 8.4 4.6
17500 -2.9 26.8 250 4 2 9.0 4.9 | -2.7 27.1 145 2 1 8.3 4.6
17000 -1.7 28.9 250 4 2 7.8 4.3 | -1.5 29.3 140 1 1 8.7 4.8
16500 -0.6 30.9 250 5 2 7.8 4.3 | -0.2 31.6 175 1 0 8.8 4.8
16000 0.5 32.9 250 5 3 8.3 4.5 | 1.1 34.0 255 1 0 9.2 5.0
15500 1.8 35.2 250 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 2.5 36.5 265 1 1 9.6 5.3
15000 3.1 37.6 245 5 3 9.0 4.9 | 4.0 39.2 270 2 1 9.6 5.3
14500 4.6 40.3 245 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 5.4 41.7 275 3 1 9.4 5.2
14000 6.0 42.8 245 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 6.8 44.2 275 3 2 9.4 5.2
13500 7.5 45.5 245 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 8.2 46.8 275 4 2 9.7 5.3
13000 8.9 48.0 245 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 9.7 49.5 275 4 2 9.7 5.3
12500 10.3 50.5 245 5 3 9.6 5.2 | 11.1 52.0 270 5 2 9.8 5.4
12000 11.7 53.1 245 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 12.6 54.7 270 5 3 9.9 5.4
11500 13.1 55.6 245 6 3 9.0 5.0 | 14.0 57.2 270 6 3 9.3 5.1
11000 14.6 58.3 245 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 15.5 59.9 270 6 3 9.7 5.3
10500 16.1 61.0 245 6 3 8.5 4.7 | 16.9 62.4 270 7 3 8.9 4.9
10250 16.7 62.1 245 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 17.6 63.7 270 7 4 9.3 5.1
10000 17.4 63.3 245 6 3 10.5 5.7 | 18.3 64.9 270 7 4 10.3 5.7
9750 18.2 64.8 245 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 19.1 66.4 270 7 4 10.1 5.5
9500 19.0 66.2 245 7 3 10.3 5.7 | 19.8 67.6 270 8 4 10.1 5.6
9250 19.7 67.5 245 7 3 10.3 5.7 | 20.6 69.1 270 8 4 10.0 5.5
9000 20.5 68.9 245 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 21.3 70.3 270 8 4 9.4 5.1
8750 21.2 70.2 245 7 4 9.4 5.1 | 22.0 71.6 270 8 4 9.0 5.0
8500 21.9 71.4 245 7 4 9.9 5.4 | 22.7 72.9 270 9 4 9.6 5.2
8250 22.6 72.7 245 7 4 10.2 5.6 | 23.4 74.1 270 9 5 9.8 5.4
8000 23.4 74.1 245 7 4 10.1 5.5 | 24.1 75.4 270 9 5 9.8 5.4
7750 24.2 75.6 245 7 4 10.1 5.5 | 24.9 76.8 270 9 5 10.0 5.5
7500 24.9 76.8 245 8 4 10.1 5.5 | 25.6 78.1 270 9 5 9.9 5.5
7250 25.7 78.3 245 8 4 10.3 5.7 | 26.4 79.5 270 10 5 10.1 5.5
7000 26.4 79.5 245 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 27.1 80.8 270 10 5 9.5 5.2
6750 27.2 81.0 245 8 4 12.5 6.8 | 27.8 82.0 270 10 5 10.5 5.8
6500 28.4 83.1 245 7 4 20.9 11.5 | 28.7 83.7 270 9 5 14.8 8.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0729 MDT Saturday August 15 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, August 15, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 77.6 F/25.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1225 ft/min (6.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17475 ft MSL (11798 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13864 ft MSL (8187 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 08/16....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:26:49 / 19:55:03 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 28 min 14 sec (808 min 14 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:56 MDT... 68.68 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/15/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15869 ft MSL (10192 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14631 ft MSL (8954 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15772 ft MSL (10095 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.8
K index......................... +26.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.5 -84.1 205 11 6 1.6 0.9 80.9 177.6 28.7 M M
45000 -60.3 -76.5 200 17 9 4.9 2.7 64.6 148.2 20.4 M M
40000 -51.5 -60.7 200 22 12 8.6 4.7 54.9 130.8 15.3 M M
38000 -46.4 -51.5 215 21 11 8.6 4.7 53.8 128.8 15.0 M M
36000 -41.2 -42.2 225 21 11 8.1 4.4 53.1 127.6 14.8 M M
34000 -36.4 -33.5 215 19 10 8.0 4.4 51.4 124.6 14.0 M M
32000 -31.6 -24.9 205 18 9 7.8 4.3 50.3 122.5 13.5 M M
30000 -27.3 -17.1 205 20 10 7.2 3.9 48.1 118.6 12.1 M M
29000 -25.2 -13.4 205 21 11 7.2 3.9 47.2 116.9 11.5 M M
28000 -23.0 -9.4 205 22 11 7.5 4.1 46.3 115.3 10.9 M M
27000 -20.8 -5.4 200 22 11 7.5 4.1 45.3 113.6 10.3 M M
26000 -18.6 -1.5 200 22 11 7.5 4.1 44.5 112.1 9.7 M M
25000 -16.4 2.5 195 22 11 7.3 4.0 43.8 110.9 9.2 M M
24000 -13.8 7.2 195 22 11 6.9 3.8 42.4 108.3 8.1 M M
23000 -11.8 10.8 195 22 11 6.9 3.8 41.4 106.5 7.3 M M
22000 -9.8 14.4 195 21 11 5.7 3.2 40.3 104.6 6.5 M M
21000 -8.2 17.2 200 20 10 5.8 3.2 38.9 101.9 5.2 M M
20000 -6.5 20.3 200 19 10 5.7 3.1 37.5 99.5 4.0 M M
19500 -5.7 21.7 205 19 10 4.6 2.5 36.9 98.3 3.5 M M
19000 -5.3 22.5 215 17 9 2.9 1.6 35.7 96.2 2.4 M M
18500 -4.9 23.2 225 16 8 2.5 1.4 34.5 94.1 1.3 M M
18000 -4.3 24.3 235 16 8 6.9 3.8 33.6 92.5 0.5 M M
17500 -3.3 26.1 245 16 8 7.0 3.9 33.1 91.6 0.0 M M
17000 -2.3 27.9 250 16 8 7.0 3.8 32.7 90.8 -0.4 982 5.0
16500 -1.3 29.7 250 16 8 6.9 3.8 32.2 89.9 -0.9 937 4.8
16000 -0.3 31.5 255 16 8 6.8 3.7 31.7 89.1 -1.4 892 4.5
15500 0.8 33.4 255 15 8 7.6 4.1 31.3 88.3 -1.8 846 4.3
15000 1.9 35.4 260 13 7 7.5 4.1 30.9 87.6 -2.1 798 4.1
14500 3.0 37.4 265 11 6 7.6 4.2 30.6 87.0 -2.5 750 3.8
14000 4.1 39.4 270 10 5 7.6 4.2 30.2 86.4 -2.9 702 3.6
13500 5.2 41.4 275 8 4 7.0 3.8 29.9 85.8 -3.2 655 3.3
13000 6.1 43.0 290 8 4 6.5 3.6 29.3 84.8 -3.8 612 3.1
12500 7.0 44.6 305 7 4 6.7 3.7 28.8 83.8 -4.4 570 2.9
12000 8.0 46.4 320 8 4 7.0 3.8 28.3 83.0 -4.8 525 2.7
11500 9.1 48.4 335 10 5 7.2 3.9 27.9 82.2 -5.3 479 2.4
11000 10.2 50.4 340 11 6 7.7 4.2 27.6 81.6 -5.6 430 2.2
10500 11.3 52.3 345 12 6 7.3 4.0 27.2 81.0 -6.0 382 1.9
10250 11.8 53.2 345 12 6 7.5 4.1 27.0 80.6 -6.2 358 1.8
10000 12.4 54.3 345 13 7 7.9 4.3 26.9 80.4 -6.4 334 1.7
9750 13.0 55.4 345 13 7 8.0 4.4 26.7 80.1 -6.5 309 1.6
9500 13.6 56.5 345 13 7 7.4 4.1 26.6 79.9 -6.7 284 1.4
9250 14.1 57.4 345 13 7 6.8 3.7 26.4 79.5 -6.9 262 1.3
9000 14.6 58.3 345 13 6 7.0 3.8 26.1 79.1 -7.2 240 1.2
8750 15.6 60.1 345 12 6 6.6 3.6 25.7 78.3 -7.7 195 1.0
8500 16.0 60.8 345 12 6 6.7 3.7 25.5 77.8 -8.0 174 0.9
8250 16.5 61.7 345 11 6 7.5 4.1 25.3 77.5 -8.2 151 0.8
8000 17.1 62.8 345 10 5 7.5 4.1 25.1 77.2 -8.4 128 0.6
7750 17.6 63.7 340 9 5 7.3 4.0 24.9 76.9 -8.6 104 0.5
7500 18.1 64.6 340 8 4 7.0 3.8 24.7 76.5 -8.9 82 0.4
7250 18.6 65.5 340 8 4 7.1 3.9 24.5 76.1 -9.1 59 0.3
7000 19.1 66.4 340 7 3 7.0 3.8 24.3 75.8 -9.4 37 0.2
6750 19.6 67.3 335 6 3 6.7 3.7 24.1 75.4 -9.6 15 0.1
6500 20.1 68.2 335 4 2 6.3 3.5 23.9 75.0 -9.9 M M
6250 20.5 68.9 330 3 2 7.0 3.8 23.6 74.5 -10.2 M M
6000 20.9 69.6 330 3 1 2.0 1.1 23.3 74.0 -10.6 M M
5750 20.0 68.0 325 1 0 -33.0 -18.1 21.7 71.1 -12.3 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/15/2026 at 0900 MDT | 08/15/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +1.9 LI... +0.4 | CAPE... +2.1 LI... +0.1
CINH... -13.2 K Index... +23.3 | CINH... -0.2 K Index... +22.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 210 10 5 1.4 0.8 | -64.0 -83.2 215 9 5 1.1 0.6
45000 -60.2 -76.4 210 19 10 5.2 2.9 | -59.6 -75.3 235 18 9 5.6 3.0
40000 -51.2 -60.2 215 29 15 7.7 4.2 | -50.7 -59.3 250 28 15 7.4 4.1
38000 -46.6 -51.9 210 26 13 7.7 4.2 | -46.2 -51.2 245 29 15 7.4 4.1
36000 -42.0 -43.6 210 23 12 8.1 4.4 | -41.7 -43.1 235 29 15 8.1 4.4
34000 -37.1 -34.8 215 22 11 8.1 4.5 | -36.8 -34.2 230 26 13 8.2 4.5
32000 -32.2 -26.0 220 20 11 8.1 4.4 | -31.9 -25.4 215 23 12 7.9 4.3
30000 -27.4 -17.3 215 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -27.5 -17.5 215 22 11 7.4 4.0
29000 -25.0 -13.0 215 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -25.2 -13.4 210 21 11 7.4 4.0
28000 -22.7 -8.9 215 21 11 6.8 3.7 | -23.0 -9.4 210 21 11 7.3 4.0
27000 -20.6 -5.1 210 21 11 7.0 3.8 | -20.3 -4.5 215 22 11 7.3 4.0
26000 -18.5 -1.3 210 22 11 7.0 3.8 | -18.1 -0.6 215 22 12 7.3 4.0
25000 -16.0 3.2 205 23 12 6.7 3.7 | -16.0 3.2 215 23 12 5.8 3.2
24000 -14.0 6.8 210 23 12 6.8 3.7 | -14.3 6.3 215 21 11 5.9 3.2
23000 -12.0 10.4 210 22 11 6.8 3.7 | -12.5 9.5 215 20 10 5.9 3.2
22000 -10.1 13.8 210 22 11 5.3 2.9 | -10.7 12.7 215 18 9 6.1 3.3
21000 -8.5 16.7 210 19 10 5.5 3.0 | -9.0 15.8 215 16 8 6.1 3.3
20000 -6.9 19.6 210 17 9 5.5 3.0 | -7.2 19.0 215 13 7 6.1 3.3
19500 -6.1 21.0 210 16 8 5.5 3.0 | -6.3 20.7 215 12 6 6.1 3.4
19000 -5.3 22.5 210 14 7 5.5 3.0 | -5.5 22.1 215 10 5 6.2 3.4
18500 -4.6 23.7 215 11 6 5.5 3.0 | -4.6 23.7 210 9 5 6.3 3.4
18000 -3.8 25.2 220 10 5 5.8 3.2 | -3.7 25.3 210 8 4 6.7 3.7
17500 -2.9 26.8 230 9 5 5.9 3.2 | -2.7 27.1 215 6 3 6.7 3.7
17000 -2.1 28.2 240 8 4 6.5 3.6 | -1.8 28.8 215 5 3 6.8 3.7
16500 -1.0 30.2 245 8 4 7.2 3.9 | -0.7 30.7 215 5 2 6.9 3.8
16000 0.0 32.0 255 8 4 7.2 4.0 | 0.3 32.5 220 4 2 6.9 3.8
15500 1.1 34.0 260 8 4 6.8 3.7 | 1.4 34.5 225 4 2 7.1 3.9
15000 2.0 35.6 265 7 4 6.8 3.7 | 2.4 36.3 230 3 2 7.1 3.9
14500 3.1 37.6 275 7 4 7.3 4.0 | 3.4 38.1 235 3 1 7.4 4.0
14000 4.1 39.4 280 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 4.5 40.1 245 2 1 7.4 4.1
13500 5.2 41.4 290 6 3 7.6 4.2 | 5.5 41.9 260 2 1 7.3 4.0
13000 6.3 43.3 300 5 3 7.7 4.2 | 6.6 43.9 290 2 1 7.3 4.0
12500 7.4 45.3 315 5 3 7.5 4.1 | 7.6 45.7 310 3 1 7.1 3.9
12000 8.4 47.1 330 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 8.5 47.3 325 4 2 7.0 3.9
11500 9.5 49.1 340 7 4 7.3 4.0 | 9.5 49.1 330 6 3 8.1 4.4
11000 10.6 51.1 345 8 4 7.2 4.0 | 10.9 51.6 330 6 3 9.1 5.0
10500 11.7 53.1 345 9 5 8.0 4.4 | 12.2 54.0 330 7 3 9.5 5.2
10250 12.3 54.1 350 10 5 7.4 4.1 | 13.0 55.4 330 7 4 9.6 5.3
10000 12.8 55.0 350 10 5 6.6 3.6 | 13.7 56.7 330 7 4 9.4 5.2
9750 13.3 55.9 350 11 6 7.1 3.9 | 14.4 57.9 330 7 4 9.9 5.4
9500 13.8 56.8 350 11 6 5.8 3.2 | 15.1 59.2 330 7 4 8.2 4.5
9250 14.2 57.6 350 11 6 5.5 3.0 | 15.7 60.3 330 8 4 8.6 4.7
9000 14.6 58.3 345 11 6 6.6 3.6 | 16.4 61.5 330 8 4 10.5 5.8
8750 15.1 59.2 345 11 6 6.3 3.4 | 17.9 64.2 330 8 4 8.8 4.8
8500 16.0 60.8 345 10 5 7.2 3.9 | 18.5 65.3 330 8 4 9.1 5.0
8250 16.5 61.7 345 9 5 7.6 4.2 | 19.3 66.7 330 8 4 10.8 5.9
8000 17.0 62.6 340 9 5 7.7 4.2 | 20.1 68.2 325 9 4 10.4 5.7
7750 17.6 63.7 340 8 4 8.2 4.5 | 20.9 69.6 325 9 5 9.8 5.4
7500 18.2 64.8 340 8 4 8.8 4.8 | 21.6 70.9 325 9 5 9.8 5.4
7250 18.9 66.0 340 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 22.3 72.1 325 9 5 11.0 6.0
7000 19.6 67.3 335 7 4 10.1 5.5 | 23.2 73.8 325 9 5 10.9 6.0
6750 20.4 68.7 335 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 24.0 75.2 325 9 5 10.1 5.6
6500 21.1 70.0 335 7 3 9.5 5.2 | 24.7 76.5 325 9 5 9.9 5.4
6250 21.8 71.2 335 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 25.5 77.9 325 9 5 11.3 6.2
6000 22.7 72.9 335 6 3 14.3 7.8 | 26.6 79.9 325 9 5 20.3 11.2
5750 24.1 75.4 330 5 3 27.3 15.0 | 28.9 84.0 320 8 4 46.2 25.4
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/15/2026 at 1500 MDT | 08/15/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +1.4 LI... +0.5 | CAPE... +1.7 LI... +0.6
CINH... -0.3 K Index... +27.1 | CINH... -0.7 K Index... +27.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.8 -84.6 240 11 6 1.3 0.7 | -65.6 -86.1 260 13 7 1.0 0.5
45000 -60.4 -76.7 250 20 10 5.4 3.0 | -60.7 -77.3 240 18 9 6.4 3.5
40000 -51.4 -60.5 270 25 13 8.4 4.6 | -50.5 -58.9 225 16 8 8.2 4.5
38000 -46.4 -51.5 265 26 14 8.4 4.6 | -45.6 -50.1 235 19 10 8.2 4.5
36000 -41.4 -42.5 255 27 14 7.9 4.3 | -40.7 -41.3 240 21 11 7.5 4.1
34000 -36.3 -33.3 240 22 12 7.6 4.2 | -36.2 -33.2 240 19 10 7.5 4.1
32000 -31.7 -25.1 225 20 10 7.9 4.3 | -31.7 -25.1 240 17 9 7.7 4.2
30000 -26.9 -16.4 220 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -27.0 -16.6 240 17 9 7.9 4.4
29000 -24.5 -12.1 215 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -24.7 -12.5 240 17 9 8.0 4.4
28000 -22.3 -8.1 215 20 10 7.2 3.9 | -22.4 -8.3 240 18 9 7.2 4.0
27000 -20.1 -4.2 215 20 10 7.2 3.9 | -19.6 -3.3 240 17 9 7.3 4.0
26000 -18.0 -0.4 220 20 10 7.2 3.9 | -17.4 0.7 240 17 9 7.3 4.0
25000 -15.9 3.4 220 20 10 6.2 3.4 | -15.3 4.5 245 17 9 5.4 2.9
24000 -14.2 6.4 220 19 10 5.7 3.1 | -13.7 7.3 245 17 9 5.5 3.0
23000 -12.5 9.5 220 19 10 5.7 3.1 | -12.0 10.4 250 17 9 5.5 3.0
22000 -10.8 12.6 220 18 9 6.1 3.3 | -10.3 13.5 250 16 8 6.4 3.5
21000 -8.5 16.7 225 15 8 6.2 3.4 | -8.4 16.9 245 12 6 6.3 3.4
20000 -6.6 20.1 225 12 6 6.2 3.4 | -6.6 20.1 240 9 5 6.3 3.4
19500 -5.7 21.7 225 11 6 6.0 3.3 | -5.6 21.9 235 8 4 6.1 3.3
19000 -4.9 23.2 225 10 5 6.0 3.3 | -4.8 23.4 225 6 3 6.1 3.3
18500 -4.0 24.8 220 8 4 6.1 3.3 | -3.9 25.0 210 5 3 6.3 3.5
18000 -3.2 26.2 220 7 4 6.2 3.4 | -3.2 26.2 200 5 2 4.2 2.3
17500 -2.4 27.7 215 6 3 6.3 3.5 | -2.7 27.1 195 4 2 4.7 2.6
17000 -1.6 29.1 215 5 3 5.9 3.2 | -2.1 28.2 190 4 2 6.4 3.5
16500 -0.8 30.6 220 4 2 5.7 3.1 | -1.1 30.0 210 3 1 7.4 4.1
16000 -0.0 32.0 230 4 2 6.2 3.4 | -0.1 31.8 235 2 1 7.7 4.2
15500 1.0 33.8 250 3 2 7.5 4.1 | 1.2 34.2 255 3 1 9.2 5.1
15000 2.0 35.6 270 4 2 7.2 4.0 | 2.6 36.7 265 3 2 9.0 5.0
14500 3.3 37.9 275 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 3.9 39.0 270 3 2 9.8 5.4
14000 4.7 40.5 280 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 5.4 41.7 275 4 2 9.8 5.4
13500 6.1 43.0 285 5 2 9.5 5.2 | 6.9 44.4 275 4 2 9.6 5.3
13000 7.5 45.5 285 5 2 9.5 5.2 | 8.3 46.9 280 4 2 9.5 5.2
12500 9.0 48.2 285 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 9.7 49.5 280 4 2 9.7 5.3
12000 10.4 50.7 290 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 11.2 52.2 285 4 2 9.8 5.4
11500 11.8 53.2 290 5 3 9.4 5.1 | 12.7 54.9 285 5 2 9.8 5.4
11000 13.2 55.8 290 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 14.1 57.4 285 5 3 9.7 5.3
10500 14.7 58.5 290 6 3 10.5 5.8 | 15.6 60.1 285 5 3 9.6 5.3
10250 15.4 59.7 290 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 16.3 61.3 285 5 3 9.8 5.4
10000 16.1 61.0 290 7 3 9.6 5.3 | 17.0 62.6 290 6 3 9.7 5.3
9750 16.8 62.2 295 7 3 9.6 5.3 | 17.8 64.0 290 6 3 10.0 5.5
9500 17.5 63.5 295 7 4 9.0 5.0 | 18.5 65.3 290 6 3 8.9 4.9
9250 18.2 64.8 295 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 19.9 67.8 290 6 3 10.2 5.6
9000 19.0 66.2 295 7 4 10.4 5.7 | 20.6 69.1 290 6 3 10.2 5.6
8750 19.7 67.5 295 8 4 10.5 5.7 | 21.4 70.5 290 7 3 9.1 5.0
8500 20.5 68.9 295 8 4 8.5 4.7 | 22.0 71.6 290 7 4 9.3 5.1
8250 21.1 70.0 295 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 22.8 73.0 290 7 4 10.6 5.8
8000 21.9 71.4 295 8 4 11.3 6.2 | 23.6 74.5 290 7 4 10.4 5.7
7750 23.4 74.1 295 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 24.3 75.7 295 7 4 9.2 5.0
7500 24.1 75.4 295 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 25.0 77.0 290 8 4 8.9 4.9
7250 24.9 76.8 295 9 5 11.4 6.3 | 25.7 78.3 290 8 4 10.9 6.0
7000 25.7 78.3 295 9 5 11.4 6.2 | 26.6 79.9 295 8 4 11.1 6.1
6750 26.5 79.7 295 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 27.3 81.1 295 8 4 9.9 5.4
6500 27.3 81.1 295 9 5 10.1 5.6 | 28.1 82.6 295 8 4 9.6 5.3
6250 28.0 82.4 295 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 28.8 83.8 290 8 4 9.2 5.0
6000 28.9 84.0 300 9 5 16.3 8.9 | 29.5 85.1 295 8 4 12.0 6.6
5750 31.5 88.7 295 9 5 65.6 36.0 | 31.1 88.0 290 7 4 38.0 20.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0730 MDT Saturday August 15 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, August 15, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 75.0 F/23.9 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1223 ft/min (6.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18228 ft MSL (11774 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15539 ft MSL (9084 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 08/16....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:23:49 / 19:53:50 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 30 min 1 sec (810 min 1 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:50 MDT... 68.16 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/15/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16165 ft MSL (9711 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14501 ft MSL (8047 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16415 ft MSL (9961 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.3
K index......................... +26.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 190 11 6 1.4 0.8 77.4 171.4 27.2 M M
45000 -60.7 -77.3 190 17 9 5.4 3.0 61.4 142.6 18.9 M M
40000 -51.4 -60.5 210 24 12 8.1 4.4 52.6 126.7 14.3 M M
38000 -46.5 -51.7 210 24 12 8.1 4.4 51.0 123.9 13.5 M M
36000 -41.7 -43.1 215 24 12 8.4 4.6 50.0 122.0 13.1 M M
34000 -36.6 -33.9 210 22 11 8.5 4.7 48.7 119.7 12.5 M M
32000 -31.5 -24.7 205 20 10 8.2 4.5 48.0 118.4 12.3 M M
30000 -27.2 -17.0 200 22 11 7.2 4.0 45.8 114.5 10.9 M M
29000 -25.1 -13.2 200 23 12 7.3 4.0 44.9 112.9 10.3 M M
28000 -22.9 -9.2 195 24 12 6.9 3.8 44.1 111.3 9.7 M M
27000 -20.9 -5.6 195 24 12 6.9 3.8 42.9 109.2 8.8 M M
26000 -18.4 -1.1 190 24 12 7.0 3.8 41.6 106.9 7.8 M M
25000 -16.3 2.7 190 23 12 6.8 3.8 40.7 105.2 7.1 M M
24000 -14.3 6.3 190 22 12 6.8 3.8 39.5 103.1 6.2 M M
23000 -12.3 9.9 190 22 11 6.9 3.8 38.5 101.3 5.3 M M
22000 -10.3 13.5 195 21 11 5.9 3.2 37.5 99.4 4.5 M M
21000 -8.7 16.3 200 19 10 5.8 3.2 36.0 96.8 3.2 M M
20000 -7.0 19.4 205 18 9 5.9 3.2 34.7 94.4 2.0 M M
19500 -6.2 20.8 210 17 9 6.0 3.3 34.0 93.3 1.4 M M
19000 -5.3 22.5 215 17 9 6.2 3.4 33.4 92.1 0.9 M M
18500 -4.4 24.1 220 17 9 6.2 3.4 32.8 91.1 0.3 M M
18000 -3.5 25.7 230 17 9 6.4 3.5 32.2 90.0 -0.2 1005 5.1
17500 -2.5 27.5 235 17 9 6.4 3.5 31.7 89.0 -0.8 962 4.9
17000 -1.6 29.1 240 17 9 6.4 3.5 31.1 88.0 -1.3 919 4.7
16500 -0.7 30.7 245 16 8 6.4 3.5 30.5 87.0 -1.8 877 4.5
16000 0.2 32.4 250 14 7 6.4 3.5 30.0 86.0 -2.4 834 4.2
15500 1.1 34.0 255 13 7 6.1 3.3 29.4 84.9 -3.0 793 4.0
15000 2.0 35.6 260 12 6 6.1 3.4 28.8 83.8 -3.6 753 3.8
14500 2.8 37.0 265 11 5 6.7 3.7 28.2 82.8 -4.2 711 3.6
14000 3.8 38.8 270 10 5 6.9 3.8 27.8 82.0 -4.7 667 3.4
13500 4.8 40.6 275 9 5 7.0 3.8 27.3 81.2 -5.2 622 3.2
13000 5.9 42.6 285 9 5 7.1 3.9 26.9 80.4 -5.6 577 2.9
12500 6.9 44.4 295 9 5 7.2 3.9 26.5 79.6 -6.1 531 2.7
12000 8.0 46.4 305 9 5 7.6 4.2 26.1 79.0 -6.5 484 2.5
11500 9.1 48.4 310 9 5 8.0 4.4 25.8 78.4 -6.9 436 2.2
11000 11.0 51.8 325 9 5 8.5 4.7 25.4 77.8 -7.2 357 1.8
10500 12.1 53.8 330 8 4 7.5 4.1 25.2 77.3 -7.5 307 1.6
10250 12.7 54.9 335 8 4 7.7 4.2 25.0 77.0 -7.7 284 1.4
10000 13.2 55.8 340 8 4 7.9 4.3 24.9 76.8 -7.9 259 1.3
9750 13.8 56.8 340 8 4 7.6 4.2 24.7 76.5 -8.1 235 1.2
9500 14.3 57.7 345 8 4 7.0 3.8 24.5 76.2 -8.3 211 1.1
9250 14.8 58.6 350 8 4 6.8 3.7 24.3 75.7 -8.6 189 1.0
9000 15.3 59.5 355 8 4 7.0 3.8 24.1 75.3 -8.8 167 0.8
8750 15.8 60.4 360 9 5 6.6 3.6 23.9 75.0 -9.1 145 0.7
8500 16.3 61.3 360 9 5 5.9 3.3 23.6 74.5 -9.4 124 0.6
8250 16.7 62.1 005 9 5 5.7 3.1 23.3 73.9 -9.7 105 0.5
8000 17.1 62.8 005 9 5 5.5 3.0 23.0 73.4 -10.1 86 0.4
7750 17.4 63.3 010 9 5 5.1 2.8 22.6 72.8 -10.5 67 0.3
7500 17.8 64.0 010 8 4 4.8 2.6 22.3 72.1 -10.9 50 0.3
7250 18.1 64.6 010 7 4 5.2 2.8 21.9 71.4 -11.3 32 0.2
7000 18.4 65.1 010 6 3 3.0 1.6 21.5 70.7 -11.7 16 0.1
6750 18.4 65.1 015 5 3 -4.2 -2.3 20.8 69.4 -12.6 10 0.1
6500 17.8 64.0 015 3 1 -9.1 -5.0 19.5 67.1 -13.9 20 0.1
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/15/2026 at 0900 MDT | 08/15/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +15.7 LI... -0.3 | CAPE... +51.5 LI... -0.9
CINH... -42.1 K Index... +23.0 | CINH... -14.7 K Index... +23.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 200 12 6 0.9 0.5 | -64.8 -84.6 215 13 7 0.6 0.3
45000 -60.9 -77.6 195 21 11 5.9 3.2 | -60.5 -76.9 220 23 12 6.0 3.3
40000 -51.0 -59.8 205 27 14 7.9 4.4 | -50.9 -59.6 230 28 14 7.8 4.3
38000 -46.2 -51.2 200 23 12 8.0 4.4 | -46.2 -51.2 225 28 14 7.8 4.3
36000 -41.5 -42.7 200 19 10 7.8 4.3 | -41.5 -42.7 215 28 14 8.1 4.4
34000 -36.8 -34.2 205 21 11 7.7 4.2 | -36.7 -34.1 215 25 13 8.1 4.5
32000 -32.2 -26.0 210 22 12 7.8 4.3 | -31.8 -25.2 220 23 12 7.8 4.3
30000 -27.4 -17.3 215 23 12 8.0 4.4 | -27.5 -17.5 220 23 12 7.2 4.0
29000 -25.0 -13.0 220 24 12 8.0 4.4 | -25.3 -13.5 220 23 12 7.2 4.0
28000 -22.7 -8.9 220 24 12 6.7 3.7 | -22.6 -8.7 220 23 12 7.1 3.9
27000 -20.7 -5.3 220 25 13 6.8 3.7 | -20.5 -4.9 220 23 12 7.1 3.9
26000 -18.2 -0.8 215 26 13 6.9 3.8 | -18.4 -1.1 220 24 12 7.1 3.9
25000 -16.2 2.8 215 27 14 6.2 3.4 | -16.4 2.5 220 24 12 6.0 3.3
24000 -14.4 6.1 210 26 13 6.3 3.4 | -14.6 5.7 220 23 12 6.1 3.3
23000 -12.6 9.3 210 25 13 6.3 3.5 | -12.8 9.0 215 21 11 6.1 3.3
22000 -10.8 12.6 205 23 12 6.4 3.5 | -11.0 12.2 215 20 10 6.1 3.3
21000 -8.9 16.0 205 22 11 6.4 3.5 | -9.3 15.3 215 18 9 6.1 3.4
20000 -7.0 19.4 210 20 10 6.4 3.5 | -7.5 18.5 210 16 8 6.2 3.4
19500 -6.0 21.2 210 19 10 6.1 3.4 | -6.6 20.1 210 15 8 6.4 3.5
19000 -5.2 22.6 210 17 9 5.7 3.1 | -5.7 21.7 210 13 7 6.5 3.6
18500 -4.4 24.1 215 15 8 5.7 3.1 | -4.7 23.5 210 12 6 6.4 3.5
18000 -3.5 25.7 220 13 7 6.1 3.3 | -3.7 25.3 210 11 5 7.2 3.9
17500 -2.6 27.3 225 12 6 6.1 3.3 | -2.7 27.1 210 9 5 7.1 3.9
17000 -1.7 28.9 235 11 6 6.2 3.4 | -1.6 29.1 210 8 4 7.2 3.9
16500 -0.8 30.6 245 10 5 6.4 3.5 | -0.5 31.1 210 7 4 7.2 4.0
16000 0.1 32.2 250 9 5 6.5 3.5 | 0.6 33.1 210 6 3 7.2 3.9
15500 1.1 34.0 260 8 4 6.7 3.7 | 1.6 34.9 210 5 2 6.8 3.8
15000 2.0 35.6 265 7 4 6.7 3.7 | 2.5 36.5 205 4 2 6.9 3.8
14500 3.0 37.4 275 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 3.5 38.3 205 3 1 7.2 3.9
14000 4.0 39.2 290 5 3 7.2 3.9 | 4.5 40.1 215 2 1 7.2 4.0
13500 5.0 41.0 310 4 2 7.4 4.1 | 5.5 41.9 240 1 1 7.5 4.1
13000 6.1 43.0 330 5 2 7.6 4.2 | 6.6 43.9 305 2 1 7.7 4.2
12500 7.3 45.1 350 6 3 7.6 4.2 | 7.7 45.9 320 3 2 8.3 4.6
12000 8.4 47.1 355 7 3 7.6 4.2 | 9.0 48.2 325 4 2 9.0 4.9
11500 9.5 49.1 360 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 10.4 50.7 325 4 2 8.3 4.6
11000 11.3 52.3 360 9 4 8.0 4.4 | 12.4 54.3 325 5 2 9.5 5.2
10500 12.4 54.3 360 9 5 7.0 3.8 | 13.8 56.8 325 5 3 9.5 5.2
10250 12.9 55.2 360 9 5 7.1 3.9 | 14.5 58.1 325 5 3 9.5 5.2
10000 13.4 56.1 355 9 5 7.2 4.0 | 15.2 59.4 325 5 3 9.4 5.2
9750 13.9 57.0 355 9 5 7.0 3.9 | 15.9 60.6 325 6 3 9.7 5.3
9500 14.4 57.9 355 9 5 6.7 3.7 | 16.6 61.9 320 6 3 10.0 5.5
9250 14.8 58.6 355 9 5 6.8 3.7 | 17.4 63.3 320 6 3 9.8 5.4
9000 15.3 59.5 355 9 5 7.0 3.9 | 18.1 64.6 320 6 3 9.6 5.3
8750 15.8 60.4 350 9 5 6.8 3.7 | 18.8 65.8 320 6 3 9.9 5.4
8500 16.2 61.2 350 9 4 6.2 3.4 | 19.6 67.3 315 6 3 10.0 5.5
8250 16.7 62.1 350 8 4 7.2 4.0 | 20.3 68.5 315 6 3 10.0 5.5
8000 17.3 63.1 345 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 21.1 70.0 315 6 3 10.0 5.5
7750 18.0 64.4 345 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 21.8 71.2 310 6 3 10.3 5.7
7500 18.7 65.7 340 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 22.6 72.7 310 6 3 10.8 5.9
7250 19.4 66.9 340 7 4 9.2 5.1 | 23.4 74.1 310 6 3 9.9 5.4
7000 20.1 68.2 340 7 4 11.1 6.1 | 24.2 75.6 305 6 3 13.7 7.5
6750 21.2 70.2 335 6 3 17.3 9.5 | 25.6 78.1 305 5 3 24.7 13.5
6500 22.5 72.5 330 6 3 16.7 9.2 | 27.5 81.5 300 5 3 21.5 11.8
08/15/2026 at 1500 MDT | 08/15/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +33.8 LI... -0.6 | CAPE... +14.5 LI... -0.5
CINH... -0.3 K Index... +28.3 | CINH... -0.2 K Index... +26.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.6 -84.3 240 12 6 1.3 0.7 | -65.2 -85.4 260 11 6 1.0 0.6
45000 -60.1 -76.2 250 21 11 5.3 2.9 | -60.6 -77.1 250 18 9 5.9 3.2
40000 -51.2 -60.2 270 30 15 8.2 4.5 | -51.1 -60.0 260 20 11 8.0 4.4
38000 -46.3 -51.3 265 30 15 8.2 4.5 | -46.2 -51.2 260 23 12 8.1 4.4
36000 -41.4 -42.5 260 29 15 7.8 4.3 | -41.4 -42.5 255 25 13 7.8 4.3
34000 -36.7 -34.1 245 23 12 7.8 4.3 | -36.8 -34.2 245 21 11 7.8 4.3
32000 -32.0 -25.6 220 20 10 7.9 4.3 | -32.1 -25.8 225 18 9 7.9 4.3
30000 -27.3 -17.1 220 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -27.3 -17.1 230 20 10 8.1 4.5
29000 -24.9 -12.8 215 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -24.2 -11.6 230 21 11 8.1 4.5
28000 -22.1 -7.8 215 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -21.9 -7.4 230 21 11 7.5 4.1
27000 -20.0 -4.0 215 20 10 6.9 3.8 | -19.6 -3.3 230 20 10 7.5 4.1
26000 -17.9 -0.2 220 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -17.4 0.7 230 20 10 7.5 4.1
25000 -15.9 3.4 220 20 10 6.2 3.4 | -15.2 4.6 230 19 10 5.7 3.1
24000 -14.0 6.8 220 19 10 6.2 3.4 | -13.5 7.7 235 18 9 5.8 3.2
23000 -12.2 10.0 220 18 9 6.2 3.4 | -11.8 10.8 240 18 9 5.8 3.2
22000 -10.4 13.3 220 17 9 5.6 3.1 | -10.1 13.8 245 17 9 4.7 2.6
21000 -8.7 16.3 225 15 7 5.7 3.1 | -8.8 16.2 240 12 6 4.9 2.7
20000 -7.0 19.4 230 12 6 5.8 3.2 | -7.4 18.7 240 8 4 5.0 2.8
19500 -6.2 20.8 230 11 6 5.4 3.0 | -6.7 19.9 235 6 3 6.0 3.3
19000 -5.5 22.1 235 10 5 5.3 2.9 | -5.7 21.7 230 4 2 6.9 3.8
18500 -4.9 23.2 235 8 4 5.2 2.9 | -4.8 23.4 220 3 1 7.1 3.9
18000 -4.0 24.8 240 7 4 7.5 4.1 | -3.8 25.2 215 2 1 7.2 3.9
17500 -3.0 26.6 235 7 3 7.3 4.0 | -2.8 27.0 225 2 1 7.3 4.0
17000 -1.9 28.6 235 6 3 7.6 4.2 | -1.8 28.8 240 2 1 7.9 4.3
16500 -0.8 30.6 235 6 3 7.9 4.3 | -0.5 31.1 255 2 1 8.4 4.6
16000 0.3 32.5 240 6 3 8.0 4.4 | 0.7 33.3 265 3 2 8.5 4.7
15500 1.6 34.9 240 7 3 9.3 5.1 | 2.0 35.6 265 4 2 9.1 5.0
15000 3.0 37.4 240 7 3 9.2 5.0 | 3.4 38.1 265 5 2 9.1 5.0
14500 4.3 39.7 240 7 3 9.4 5.2 | 4.7 40.5 265 6 3 9.6 5.3
14000 5.8 42.4 245 7 3 9.4 5.2 | 6.2 43.2 265 6 3 9.6 5.3
13500 7.2 45.0 245 7 3 9.6 5.3 | 7.6 45.7 265 7 3 9.7 5.3
13000 8.6 47.5 245 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 9.1 48.4 260 7 4 9.7 5.3
12500 10.0 50.0 245 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 10.5 50.9 260 8 4 9.7 5.3
12000 11.5 52.7 245 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 12.0 53.6 260 8 4 9.6 5.3
11500 12.9 55.2 240 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 14.1 57.4 260 9 5 9.6 5.3
11000 14.4 57.9 240 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 15.6 60.1 260 10 5 9.7 5.3
10500 16.5 61.7 240 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 17.0 62.6 260 10 5 9.6 5.3
10250 17.3 63.1 240 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 17.7 63.9 260 10 5 9.7 5.3
10000 18.0 64.4 240 9 4 9.7 5.3 | 18.5 65.3 260 11 6 9.7 5.3
9750 18.7 65.7 240 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 19.2 66.6 260 11 6 9.8 5.4
9500 19.4 66.9 240 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 19.9 67.8 260 11 6 9.9 5.4
9250 20.2 68.4 240 9 5 9.9 5.4 | 20.7 69.3 255 12 6 9.7 5.3
9000 20.9 69.6 240 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 21.4 70.5 255 12 6 9.5 5.2
8750 21.7 71.1 240 10 5 9.9 5.4 | 22.1 71.8 255 12 6 9.6 5.3
8500 22.4 72.3 240 10 5 10.0 5.5 | 22.8 73.0 255 13 7 9.7 5.3
8250 23.2 73.8 240 10 5 10.2 5.6 | 23.6 74.5 255 13 7 9.7 5.3
8000 23.9 75.0 240 10 5 10.4 5.7 | 24.3 75.7 255 13 7 9.6 5.3
7750 24.7 76.5 235 11 5 10.5 5.8 | 25.0 77.0 255 13 7 9.9 5.4
7500 25.5 77.9 235 11 6 10.7 5.9 | 25.8 78.4 255 14 7 10.3 5.6
7250 26.3 79.3 235 11 6 10.1 5.5 | 26.5 79.7 255 14 7 10.1 5.6
7000 27.1 80.8 235 11 6 12.9 7.1 | 27.3 81.1 255 14 7 10.2 5.6
6750 28.4 83.1 235 10 5 24.4 13.4 | 28.1 82.6 255 13 7 14.0 7.7
6500 30.8 87.4 235 10 5 37.7 20.7 | 29.7 85.5 255 13 6 29.8 16.4
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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