Major Hurricane Erin is tracking just north of the lower Bahamas today. Dangerous surf and rip current threats increase this week for most of the Atlantic coastline. Erin's outerbands may impact the Outer Banks later this week. Hot to extremely hot temperatures are forecast today and Tuesday from a part of the southern Plains into the central to lower Mississippi River Valley. Read More >
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Currently there is no Airport Weather Warning in effect for the Albuquerque International Sunport
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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0724 MDT Monday August 18 2025
This forecast is for Monday, August 18, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 78.5 F/25.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1304 ft/min (6.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18493 ft MSL (12159 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15985 ft MSL (9651 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 08/19...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:26:52 / 19:48:38 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 21 min 46 sec (801 min 46 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:45 MDT... 67.78 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/18/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16026 ft MSL (9692 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14393 ft MSL (8059 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16040 ft MSL (9705 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.0
K index......................... +29.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.2 -90.8 245 7 4 2.0 1.1 72.9 163.2 24.1 M M
45000 -61.7 -79.1 275 20 10 7.7 4.2 59.2 138.6 17.2 M M
40000 -50.0 -58.0 280 25 13 8.1 4.5 55.2 131.3 15.6 M M
38000 -45.1 -49.2 280 27 14 8.1 4.5 53.6 128.5 15.0 M M
36000 -40.3 -40.5 275 28 14 8.0 4.4 52.7 126.8 14.6 M M
34000 -35.5 -31.9 275 27 14 7.9 4.3 50.8 123.5 13.7 M M
32000 -30.2 -22.4 270 26 13 7.2 4.0 49.4 121.0 13.0 M M
30000 -26.2 -15.2 265 22 11 6.7 3.7 46.8 116.3 11.3 M M
29000 -24.2 -11.6 265 20 10 6.8 3.7 45.7 114.3 10.5 M M
28000 -22.3 -8.1 260 18 9 5.7 3.2 44.6 112.2 9.7 M M
27000 -20.6 -5.1 260 15 8 5.9 3.2 43.0 109.4 8.5 M M
26000 -18.9 -2.0 260 13 7 6.0 3.3 41.6 106.9 7.4 M M
25000 -17.2 1.0 260 11 5 6.4 3.5 40.4 104.6 6.3 M M
24000 -15.2 4.6 260 8 4 6.7 3.7 39.1 102.5 5.4 M M
23000 -13.1 8.4 255 5 2 6.7 3.7 38.1 100.5 4.6 M M
22000 -11.1 12.0 240 2 1 6.8 3.7 37.1 98.7 3.8 M M
21000 -9.1 15.6 150 3 2 6.9 3.8 36.0 96.8 2.9 M M
20000 -7.2 19.0 135 6 3 7.0 3.8 35.0 95.0 2.0 M M
19500 -6.2 20.8 130 8 4 7.1 3.9 34.6 94.3 1.5 M M
19000 -5.3 22.5 130 9 4 5.0 2.7 34.0 93.1 0.9 M M
18500 -4.2 24.4 130 9 5 5.3 2.9 32.8 91.0 -0.2 1096 5.6
18000 -3.5 25.7 125 9 5 4.9 2.7 32.0 89.6 -0.9 1059 5.4
17500 -2.8 27.0 120 9 4 5.0 2.8 31.2 88.1 -1.7 1023 5.2
17000 -2.1 28.2 110 8 4 6.7 3.7 30.4 86.8 -2.4 987 5.0
16500 -0.9 30.4 100 9 4 7.8 4.3 30.1 86.2 -2.7 937 4.8
16000 0.2 32.4 090 9 5 8.0 4.4 29.8 85.7 -3.0 888 4.5
15500 1.5 34.7 090 9 4 9.0 4.9 29.6 85.3 -3.3 836 4.2
15000 2.8 37.0 090 8 4 9.0 5.0 29.5 85.1 -3.4 782 4.0
14500 4.1 39.4 095 7 4 8.2 4.5 29.3 84.8 -3.6 729 3.7
14000 5.3 41.5 100 7 3 8.2 4.5 29.1 84.3 -3.9 678 3.4
13500 6.5 43.7 105 6 3 8.7 4.7 28.9 83.9 -4.2 627 3.2
13000 7.8 46.0 105 4 2 8.8 4.8 28.7 83.7 -4.4 573 2.9
12500 9.1 48.4 105 3 2 8.5 4.6 28.6 83.4 -4.5 520 2.6
12000 10.2 50.4 050 1 0 8.1 4.5 28.3 82.9 -4.9 470 2.4
11500 11.4 52.5 315 3 1 7.5 4.1 28.1 82.5 -5.2 420 2.1
11000 12.5 54.5 305 4 2 8.1 4.4 27.7 81.9 -5.6 374 1.9
10500 13.6 56.5 300 6 3 7.1 3.9 27.4 81.4 -5.9 325 1.7
10250 14.0 57.2 300 7 4 6.5 3.6 27.2 80.9 -6.2 304 1.5
10000 14.5 58.1 300 7 4 7.6 4.2 27.0 80.6 -6.5 282 1.4
9750 15.1 59.2 295 8 4 7.6 4.2 26.8 80.3 -6.7 258 1.3
9500 15.6 60.1 295 8 4 7.5 4.1 26.6 80.0 -6.9 235 1.2
9250 16.1 61.0 295 9 4 7.6 4.2 26.5 79.7 -7.1 212 1.1
9000 16.7 62.1 290 9 4 6.8 3.7 26.3 79.3 -7.3 189 1.0
8750 17.1 62.8 290 9 4 6.4 3.5 26.0 78.9 -7.6 168 0.9
8500 17.6 63.7 290 9 5 6.0 3.3 25.8 78.4 -7.9 147 0.7
8250 18.0 64.4 290 9 4 5.5 3.0 25.5 77.8 -8.3 128 0.6
8000 18.4 65.1 285 9 4 5.6 3.1 25.1 77.3 -8.6 108 0.6
7750 18.8 65.8 285 8 4 5.7 3.1 24.8 76.7 -9.0 89 0.5
7500 19.1 66.4 285 8 4 3.1 1.7 24.5 76.0 -9.4 72 0.4
7250 19.2 66.6 280 7 3 0.8 0.4 23.8 74.9 -10.0 61 0.3
7000 19.3 66.7 280 6 3 2.5 1.4 23.2 73.8 -10.7 51 0.3
6750 19.4 66.9 270 4 2 -2.2 -1.2 22.6 72.7 -11.3 41 0.2
6500 18.7 65.7 265 3 1 -16.1 -8.9 21.2 70.1 -12.8 54 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/18/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/18/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +165.1 LI... -0.8 | CAPE... +341.0 LI... -2.0
CINH... -86.4 K Index... +29.0 | CINH... -1.5 K Index... +30.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.7 -89.9 290 5 3 1.6 0.9 | -67.2 -89.0 280 3 1 1.7 0.9
45000 -61.7 -79.1 290 17 9 7.5 4.1 | -61.5 -78.7 295 14 7 7.1 3.9
40000 -50.3 -58.5 285 20 10 8.2 4.5 | -50.5 -58.9 290 19 10 8.2 4.5
38000 -45.4 -49.7 290 21 11 8.2 4.5 | -45.6 -50.1 290 18 9 8.2 4.5
36000 -40.5 -40.9 290 22 11 8.0 4.4 | -40.7 -41.3 285 17 9 8.2 4.5
34000 -35.1 -31.2 285 22 11 8.0 4.4 | -35.1 -31.2 285 16 8 8.2 4.5
32000 -30.4 -22.7 280 22 11 7.1 3.9 | -30.3 -22.5 280 16 8 7.6 4.2
30000 -26.4 -15.5 270 20 10 6.7 3.7 | -25.9 -14.6 275 18 9 7.3 4.0
29000 -24.4 -11.9 265 19 10 6.8 3.7 | -23.7 -10.7 275 19 10 7.3 4.0
28000 -22.4 -8.3 260 18 9 6.1 3.4 | -21.7 -7.1 270 18 9 5.6 3.1
27000 -20.6 -5.1 250 15 8 6.3 3.5 | -20.0 -4.0 260 15 8 5.8 3.2
26000 -18.8 -1.8 235 13 7 6.5 3.6 | -18.3 -0.9 245 11 6 6.0 3.3
25000 -16.9 1.6 220 12 6 7.2 3.9 | -16.6 2.1 225 9 5 6.7 3.7
24000 -14.7 5.5 230 9 5 7.4 4.1 | -14.5 5.9 225 7 4 6.8 3.7
23000 -12.4 9.7 240 6 3 7.4 4.1 | -12.5 9.5 220 5 3 6.8 3.7
22000 -10.2 13.6 265 4 2 6.9 3.8 | -10.5 13.1 205 3 2 6.6 3.6
21000 -8.3 17.1 245 4 2 6.7 3.7 | -8.6 16.5 215 2 1 6.5 3.6
20000 -6.4 20.5 215 4 2 6.7 3.7 | -6.7 19.9 260 1 0 6.6 3.6
19500 -5.4 22.3 200 4 2 6.6 3.6 | -5.8 21.6 320 1 0 6.3 3.5
19000 -4.8 23.4 180 4 2 3.4 1.9 | -4.7 23.5 065 1 1 4.7 2.6
18500 -4.0 24.8 145 5 2 3.8 2.1 | -4.1 24.6 080 3 1 4.8 2.6
18000 -3.4 25.9 130 5 3 5.0 2.7 | -3.3 26.1 085 4 2 5.7 3.1
17500 -2.7 27.1 115 6 3 4.9 2.7 | -2.5 27.5 085 5 2 5.6 3.1
17000 -2.0 28.4 105 7 4 6.7 3.7 | -1.7 28.9 085 6 3 6.9 3.8
16500 -0.9 30.4 100 7 4 7.5 4.1 | -0.6 30.9 080 6 3 7.3 4.0
16000 0.2 32.4 095 7 4 7.7 4.2 | 0.4 32.7 070 6 3 7.4 4.1
15500 1.4 34.5 095 7 4 8.2 4.5 | 1.5 34.7 065 5 3 7.8 4.3
15000 2.6 36.7 095 6 3 8.2 4.5 | 2.6 36.7 060 5 2 7.7 4.2
14500 3.8 38.8 095 6 3 8.6 4.7 | 3.8 38.8 060 4 2 8.9 4.9
14000 5.0 41.0 095 6 3 8.5 4.7 | 5.1 41.2 060 3 2 8.8 4.8
13500 6.3 43.3 095 6 3 9.0 5.0 | 6.4 43.5 055 3 2 9.2 5.0
13000 7.7 45.9 085 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 7.7 45.9 055 3 1 9.2 5.1
12500 9.0 48.2 075 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 9.1 48.4 050 2 1 9.1 5.0
12000 10.3 50.5 050 5 2 8.7 4.8 | 10.4 50.7 050 2 1 9.1 5.0
11500 11.6 52.9 030 5 3 7.8 4.3 | 11.7 53.1 050 2 1 8.5 4.7
11000 12.7 54.9 015 6 3 8.6 4.7 | 13.0 55.4 055 2 1 9.2 5.0
10500 13.9 57.0 360 6 3 7.2 3.9 | 14.3 57.7 055 2 1 8.3 4.6
10250 14.3 57.7 360 6 3 6.1 3.4 | 14.9 58.8 060 2 1 8.9 4.9
10000 14.8 58.6 355 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 15.6 60.1 065 2 1 10.3 5.7
9750 15.3 59.5 350 6 3 7.2 4.0 | 16.4 61.5 075 2 1 10.0 5.5
9500 15.8 60.4 345 6 3 6.5 3.6 | 17.1 62.8 080 2 1 10.1 5.5
9250 16.2 61.2 335 6 3 5.8 3.2 | 17.9 64.2 090 2 1 10.0 5.5
9000 16.6 61.9 330 6 3 5.7 3.1 | 18.6 65.5 100 2 1 9.4 5.2
8750 17.0 62.6 325 6 3 5.5 3.0 | 19.3 66.7 105 2 1 9.1 5.0
8500 17.4 63.3 320 5 3 4.4 2.4 | 20.0 68.0 105 2 1 9.9 5.4
8250 17.6 63.7 315 5 3 3.4 1.9 | 20.7 69.3 115 2 1 10.5 5.8
8000 17.9 64.2 310 4 2 3.5 1.9 | 21.5 70.7 120 2 1 10.0 5.5
7750 18.1 64.6 305 4 2 4.3 2.3 | 22.2 72.0 120 3 1 9.7 5.3
7500 18.5 65.3 295 3 2 7.4 4.1 | 23.0 73.4 125 3 1 10.1 5.6
7250 19.1 66.4 290 2 1 9.0 5.0 | 23.7 74.7 125 3 2 10.7 5.9
7000 19.7 67.5 275 2 1 8.3 4.5 | 24.5 76.1 125 3 2 9.6 5.3
6750 20.4 68.7 260 2 1 11.0 6.1 | 25.3 77.5 130 4 2 13.5 7.4
6500 21.4 70.5 250 2 1 16.5 9.1 | 26.7 80.1 130 4 2 23.8 13.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/18/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/18/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +225.7 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +59.3 LI... -1.4
CINH... -0.6 K Index... +33.0 | CINH... -98.6 K Index... +33.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.3 -89.1 015 3 1 1.6 0.9 | -67.5 -89.5 055 4 2 1.0 0.6
45000 -61.6 -78.9 310 11 5 7.2 4.0 | -62.0 -79.6 310 7 3 7.7 4.2
40000 -50.5 -58.9 290 16 8 8.2 4.5 | -50.3 -58.5 300 15 8 8.1 4.4
38000 -45.6 -50.1 290 17 9 8.2 4.5 | -45.4 -49.7 300 16 8 8.1 4.4
36000 -40.1 -40.2 285 17 9 8.3 4.5 | -40.0 -40.0 300 16 8 8.5 4.6
34000 -35.1 -31.2 285 15 8 8.3 4.5 | -34.9 -30.8 300 12 6 8.4 4.6
32000 -30.2 -22.4 290 12 6 7.7 4.2 | -29.9 -21.8 300 8 4 7.9 4.3
30000 -25.7 -14.3 280 14 7 7.5 4.1 | -25.3 -13.5 305 10 5 7.7 4.2
29000 -23.5 -10.3 280 15 8 7.5 4.1 | -23.0 -9.4 305 11 5 7.7 4.2
28000 -21.4 -6.5 275 15 8 5.9 3.2 | -20.9 -5.6 305 11 6 6.3 3.4
27000 -19.7 -3.5 265 13 7 6.0 3.3 | -19.1 -2.4 300 11 5 6.3 3.5
26000 -17.9 -0.2 250 11 6 6.2 3.4 | -17.2 1.0 295 10 5 6.4 3.5
25000 -16.2 2.8 230 11 5 6.8 3.7 | -15.3 4.5 290 10 5 6.9 3.8
24000 -14.1 6.6 235 8 4 7.0 3.8 | -13.2 8.2 290 8 4 7.3 4.0
23000 -12.0 10.4 235 6 3 7.0 3.9 | -11.1 12.0 290 6 3 7.3 4.0
22000 -9.9 14.2 245 4 2 6.2 3.4 | -9.0 15.8 290 5 2 6.2 3.4
21000 -8.2 17.2 320 2 1 5.9 3.2 | -7.1 19.2 275 4 2 5.5 3.0
20000 -6.5 20.3 005 5 3 5.9 3.2 | -5.5 22.1 250 3 2 5.5 3.0
19500 -5.3 22.5 015 8 4 3.5 1.9 | -4.7 23.5 240 4 2 5.6 3.1
19000 -5.0 23.0 020 7 4 2.9 1.6 | -3.9 25.0 225 5 3 5.7 3.1
18500 -4.7 23.5 025 7 4 3.2 1.8 | -3.1 26.4 220 7 3 5.7 3.1
18000 -3.8 25.2 035 7 4 8.9 4.9 | -2.3 27.9 215 7 4 6.4 3.5
17500 -2.6 27.3 040 7 4 8.5 4.7 | -1.4 29.5 210 7 4 6.4 3.5
17000 -1.4 29.5 045 7 4 8.5 4.7 | -0.5 31.1 210 7 4 6.2 3.4
16500 -0.2 31.6 050 6 3 8.5 4.7 | 0.4 32.7 200 6 3 6.1 3.3
16000 1.0 33.8 055 6 3 8.6 4.7 | 1.2 34.2 190 6 3 6.1 3.3
15500 2.3 36.1 060 5 2 8.9 4.9 | 2.1 35.8 190 6 3 6.4 3.5
15000 3.6 38.5 070 4 2 8.9 4.9 | 3.1 37.6 185 5 3 6.2 3.4
14500 5.0 41.0 075 4 2 9.6 5.2 | 4.1 39.4 185 5 3 8.6 4.7
14000 6.4 43.5 085 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 5.4 41.7 185 5 3 8.6 4.7
13500 7.8 46.0 090 3 2 9.6 5.2 | 6.6 43.9 190 5 2 8.8 4.8
13000 9.2 48.6 100 3 1 9.6 5.3 | 7.9 46.2 190 4 2 8.8 4.8
12500 10.7 51.3 110 3 1 9.7 5.3 | 9.2 48.6 190 4 2 8.9 4.9
12000 12.1 53.8 120 3 1 9.9 5.4 | 10.6 51.1 190 4 2 8.9 4.9
11500 13.5 56.3 125 3 2 9.1 5.0 | 11.9 53.4 190 3 1 8.3 4.5
11000 14.9 58.8 140 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 13.1 55.6 175 2 1 9.2 5.1
10500 16.4 61.5 150 3 2 8.9 4.9 | 14.5 58.1 165 2 1 9.0 4.9
10250 17.0 62.6 155 4 2 9.2 5.1 | 15.2 59.4 145 2 1 8.6 4.7
10000 17.8 64.0 160 4 2 10.4 5.7 | 15.8 60.4 130 2 1 8.5 4.6
9750 18.5 65.3 165 4 2 10.1 5.5 | 16.4 61.5 115 2 1 8.4 4.6
9500 19.3 66.7 165 4 2 10.3 5.6 | 17.0 62.6 095 2 1 8.9 4.9
9250 20.0 68.0 170 4 2 10.1 5.6 | 17.7 63.9 075 2 1 9.6 5.3
9000 20.8 69.4 175 5 2 9.4 5.2 | 18.4 65.1 060 3 1 8.0 4.4
8750 21.4 70.5 180 5 2 8.8 4.8 | 18.9 66.0 055 3 2 6.6 3.6
8500 22.1 71.8 185 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 19.4 66.9 050 4 2 7.5 4.1
8250 22.8 73.0 185 5 3 10.0 5.5 | 20.0 68.0 045 5 2 8.4 4.6
8000 23.6 74.5 190 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 20.6 69.1 040 6 3 7.6 4.2
7750 24.3 75.7 195 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 21.1 70.0 040 6 3 6.4 3.5
7500 25.0 77.0 195 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 21.5 70.7 035 7 4 4.9 2.7
7250 25.8 78.4 200 6 3 10.6 5.8 | 21.8 71.2 040 8 4 4.1 2.3
7000 26.5 79.7 200 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 22.1 71.8 040 8 4 4.1 2.3
6750 27.3 81.1 205 6 3 11.8 6.5 | 22.4 72.3 040 9 5 3.6 2.0
6500 28.4 83.1 205 6 3 19.5 10.7 | 22.6 72.7 040 9 4 4.8 2.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0725 MDT Monday August 18 2025
This forecast is for Monday, August 18, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 81.6 F/27.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1353 ft/min (6.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18258 ft MSL (12583 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 92.0 F/33.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14341 ft MSL (8666 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 08/19...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:29:16 / 19:51:12 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 21 min 56 sec (801 min 56 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:14 MDT... 67.67 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/18/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16054 ft MSL (10379 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14546 ft MSL (8871 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15873 ft MSL (10198 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.2
K index......................... +30.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.5 -89.5 240 8 4 1.7 0.9 76.4 169.5 25.4 M M
45000 -61.4 -78.5 265 20 10 7.6 4.2 61.9 143.5 18.1 M M
40000 -49.9 -57.8 270 25 13 8.2 4.5 57.5 135.6 16.4 M M
38000 -45.1 -49.2 270 26 14 8.2 4.5 56.0 132.8 15.7 M M
36000 -40.2 -40.4 270 28 14 8.1 4.4 55.1 131.1 15.4 M M
34000 -34.8 -30.6 270 28 14 8.0 4.4 53.1 127.6 14.5 M M
32000 -30.0 -22.0 265 27 14 7.2 4.0 52.0 125.6 14.0 M M
30000 -26.2 -15.2 255 24 12 6.3 3.5 49.1 120.3 12.1 M M
29000 -24.3 -11.7 250 23 12 6.4 3.5 47.9 118.1 11.2 M M
28000 -22.5 -8.5 245 21 11 6.0 3.3 46.7 116.0 10.4 M M
27000 -20.7 -5.3 245 19 10 6.2 3.4 45.2 113.3 9.3 M M
26000 -18.9 -2.0 245 16 8 6.3 3.4 43.8 110.9 8.2 M M
25000 -17.1 1.2 240 14 7 6.2 3.4 42.7 108.8 7.3 M M
24000 -15.3 4.5 250 10 5 5.9 3.3 41.2 106.1 6.2 M M
23000 -13.6 7.5 265 7 4 5.9 3.3 39.8 103.6 5.1 M M
22000 -11.8 10.8 295 5 3 6.4 3.5 38.5 101.4 4.1 M M
21000 -9.2 15.4 200 2 1 7.1 3.9 37.3 99.1 3.0 M M
20000 -7.2 19.0 155 5 3 7.1 3.9 36.4 97.5 2.2 M M
19500 -6.2 20.8 150 8 4 6.2 3.4 36.0 96.8 1.8 M M
19000 -5.5 22.1 140 9 5 5.1 2.8 35.2 95.3 1.0 M M
18500 -4.8 23.4 135 11 5 5.0 2.7 34.4 93.9 0.3 M M
18000 -4.0 24.8 130 12 6 6.5 3.6 33.7 92.6 -0.4 1127 5.7
17500 -3.0 26.6 125 12 6 6.5 3.6 33.1 91.6 -0.9 1084 5.5
17000 -2.1 28.2 120 12 6 7.1 3.9 32.6 90.6 -1.4 1042 5.3
16500 -1.0 30.2 115 12 6 7.8 4.3 32.2 90.0 -1.8 993 5.0
16000 0.2 32.4 115 11 5 7.9 4.3 31.9 89.5 -2.1 945 4.8
15500 1.3 34.3 115 9 5 8.4 4.6 31.6 89.0 -2.4 895 4.5
15000 2.5 36.5 115 8 4 8.3 4.6 31.4 88.5 -2.7 844 4.3
14500 3.8 38.8 115 6 3 8.6 4.7 31.2 88.2 -2.9 793 4.0
14000 5.0 41.0 120 5 2 8.7 4.8 31.0 87.8 -3.1 740 3.8
13500 6.3 43.3 125 3 2 8.6 4.7 30.9 87.6 -3.3 688 3.5
13000 7.5 45.5 140 2 1 8.6 4.7 30.7 87.2 -3.6 636 3.2
12500 8.7 47.7 170 2 1 8.6 4.7 30.5 86.9 -3.8 584 3.0
12000 10.0 50.0 210 1 1 8.8 4.8 30.3 86.6 -4.0 532 2.7
11500 11.3 52.3 250 2 1 8.6 4.7 30.2 86.3 -4.2 479 2.4
11000 12.5 54.5 255 2 1 8.2 4.5 29.9 85.9 -4.5 427 2.2
10500 13.7 56.7 260 3 2 8.4 4.6 29.7 85.5 -4.7 376 1.9
10250 14.3 57.7 260 4 2 7.4 4.0 29.6 85.2 -4.9 351 1.8
10000 14.8 58.6 255 5 2 6.8 3.8 29.4 84.8 -5.1 329 1.7
9750 15.3 59.5 250 5 3 6.8 3.7 29.1 84.4 -5.4 306 1.6
9500 15.8 60.4 245 6 3 7.6 4.2 28.9 84.1 -5.6 284 1.4
9250 16.4 61.5 245 6 3 7.1 3.9 28.8 83.8 -5.8 259 1.3
9000 16.8 62.2 240 7 4 5.5 3.0 28.5 83.3 -6.1 239 1.2
8750 17.2 63.0 235 7 4 6.6 3.6 28.2 82.7 -6.4 219 1.1
8500 17.7 63.9 230 8 4 3.7 2.0 27.9 82.2 -6.7 198 1.0
8250 18.1 64.6 220 9 5 5.2 2.9 26.9 80.5 -7.8 171 0.9
8000 18.4 65.1 220 9 5 5.3 2.9 26.6 79.8 -8.2 153 0.8
7750 18.8 65.8 215 10 5 4.1 2.3 26.2 79.2 -8.5 135 0.7
7500 19.0 66.2 205 10 5 2.9 1.6 25.7 78.3 -9.1 122 0.6
7250 19.2 66.6 200 10 5 3.7 2.1 25.2 77.4 -9.6 108 0.6
7000 19.4 66.9 195 10 5 4.0 2.2 24.8 76.6 -10.1 94 0.5
6750 19.7 67.5 190 10 5 3.8 2.1 24.4 75.8 -10.6 79 0.4
6500 20.0 68.0 185 10 5 3.5 1.9 23.9 75.0 -11.1 64 0.3
6250 20.2 68.4 185 9 5 4.2 2.3 23.4 74.2 -11.6 49 0.2
6000 20.4 68.7 180 9 5 1.3 0.7 23.0 73.4 -12.1 34 0.2
5750 19.8 67.6 175 5 3 -24.1 -13.2 21.6 70.9 -13.5 46 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/18/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/18/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +119.0 LI... -0.3 | CAPE... +293.0 LI... -1.5
CINH... -147.0 K Index... +29.3 | CINH... -15.2 K Index... +30.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.8 -90.0 255 6 3 1.7 0.9 | -67.5 -89.5 255 4 2 1.4 0.8
45000 -61.8 -79.2 285 17 9 7.6 4.2 | -61.9 -79.4 280 14 7 7.5 4.1
40000 -50.2 -58.4 280 21 11 8.0 4.4 | -50.5 -58.9 280 19 10 8.1 4.4
38000 -45.4 -49.7 280 22 11 8.0 4.4 | -45.6 -50.1 275 18 9 8.1 4.4
36000 -40.0 -40.0 280 22 11 7.9 4.3 | -40.2 -40.4 270 18 9 8.2 4.5
34000 -35.3 -31.5 275 21 11 7.9 4.3 | -35.2 -31.4 270 16 8 8.2 4.5
32000 -30.5 -22.9 275 21 11 7.5 4.1 | -30.4 -22.7 270 15 7 7.8 4.3
30000 -26.2 -15.2 265 21 11 7.2 4.0 | -25.9 -14.6 265 16 8 7.5 4.1
29000 -24.0 -11.2 260 21 11 7.2 4.0 | -23.6 -10.5 265 17 9 7.5 4.1
28000 -22.0 -7.6 255 20 10 5.1 2.8 | -21.6 -6.9 260 16 8 4.9 2.7
27000 -20.5 -4.9 245 17 9 5.4 2.9 | -20.1 -4.2 245 14 7 5.2 2.9
26000 -18.9 -2.0 235 13 7 5.6 3.1 | -18.6 -1.5 225 12 6 5.5 3.0
25000 -17.3 0.9 215 12 6 6.4 3.5 | -17.0 1.4 205 12 6 6.7 3.7
24000 -15.3 4.5 215 9 5 6.8 3.8 | -14.9 5.2 200 12 6 7.4 4.0
23000 -13.3 8.1 220 7 3 6.9 3.8 | -12.7 9.1 195 11 6 7.4 4.1
22000 -10.7 12.7 220 4 2 7.7 4.2 | -10.1 13.8 190 10 5 6.5 3.6
21000 -8.4 16.9 200 4 2 7.6 4.2 | -8.1 17.4 200 7 3 6.6 3.6
20000 -6.2 20.8 180 4 2 7.6 4.2 | -6.1 21.0 225 4 2 6.6 3.6
19500 -5.1 22.8 175 5 2 6.3 3.5 | -5.2 22.6 260 3 1 5.1 2.8
19000 -4.4 24.1 165 5 3 5.5 3.0 | -4.6 23.7 255 1 1 4.2 2.3
18500 -3.6 25.5 160 5 3 5.6 3.0 | -4.1 24.6 000 0 0 4.1 2.3
18000 -3.0 26.6 150 6 3 4.4 2.4 | -3.5 25.7 095 1 1 4.9 2.7
17500 -2.3 27.9 140 6 3 4.6 2.5 | -2.8 27.0 095 2 1 4.9 2.7
17000 -1.7 28.9 135 6 3 5.8 3.2 | -2.1 28.2 095 4 2 6.3 3.5
16500 -0.7 30.7 120 6 3 6.9 3.8 | -1.1 30.0 090 4 2 7.4 4.0
16000 0.3 32.5 110 7 4 7.0 3.9 | -0.0 32.0 090 5 3 7.5 4.1
15500 1.4 34.5 105 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 1.2 34.2 090 6 3 8.6 4.7
15000 2.7 36.9 105 7 4 8.5 4.7 | 2.4 36.3 090 6 3 8.5 4.7
14500 3.9 39.0 100 7 3 8.7 4.8 | 3.7 38.7 085 6 3 9.2 5.0
14000 5.2 41.4 095 6 3 8.7 4.8 | 5.1 41.2 085 6 3 9.2 5.0
13500 6.5 43.7 090 5 3 8.8 4.8 | 6.4 43.5 080 6 3 9.1 5.0
13000 7.7 45.9 080 4 2 8.8 4.8 | 7.8 46.0 080 6 3 9.1 5.0
12500 9.0 48.2 065 4 2 8.8 4.8 | 9.1 48.4 080 6 3 9.2 5.1
12000 10.3 50.5 055 3 2 8.9 4.9 | 10.5 50.9 080 6 3 9.3 5.1
11500 11.6 52.9 040 3 2 8.8 4.8 | 11.9 53.4 085 6 3 8.9 4.9
11000 12.9 55.2 040 3 1 8.5 4.7 | 13.0 55.4 090 5 3 7.9 4.4
10500 14.1 57.4 035 2 1 8.3 4.5 | 14.3 57.7 100 5 2 8.9 4.9
10250 14.7 58.5 035 2 1 7.3 4.0 | 14.9 58.8 105 4 2 7.3 4.0
10000 15.2 59.4 040 2 1 6.8 3.7 | 15.3 59.5 115 4 2 6.8 3.7
9750 15.7 60.3 055 1 1 7.7 4.3 | 15.8 60.4 125 4 2 7.4 4.1
9500 16.2 61.2 080 1 0 4.6 2.5 | 16.3 61.3 135 4 2 5.5 3.0
9250 16.4 61.5 125 1 0 2.9 1.6 | 16.6 61.9 150 4 2 6.8 3.7
9000 16.7 62.1 160 1 1 4.7 2.6 | 17.3 63.1 155 4 2 9.5 5.2
8750 17.0 62.6 175 2 1 4.7 2.6 | 18.0 64.4 160 4 2 9.4 5.1
8500 17.3 63.1 180 3 1 2.9 1.6 | 18.6 65.5 170 4 2 7.3 4.0
8250 17.4 63.3 185 3 2 2.2 1.2 | 19.9 67.8 175 4 2 11.0 6.0
8000 17.6 63.7 185 4 2 3.8 2.1 | 20.6 69.1 180 4 2 10.4 5.7
7750 18.1 64.6 190 5 3 2.3 1.3 | 21.4 70.5 185 4 2 9.3 5.1
7500 18.1 64.6 185 6 3 2.1 1.1 | 22.0 71.6 185 4 2 8.9 4.9
7250 18.4 65.1 185 6 3 6.9 3.8 | 22.8 73.0 190 4 2 11.1 6.1
7000 19.0 66.2 185 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 23.6 74.5 195 5 2 11.4 6.2
6750 19.6 67.3 185 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 24.4 75.9 200 5 2 10.2 5.6
6500 20.3 68.5 185 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 25.2 77.4 200 5 2 10.0 5.5
6250 21.0 69.8 185 6 3 9.1 5.0 | 25.9 78.6 200 5 2 9.5 5.2
6000 21.7 71.1 190 6 3 12.8 7.0 | 26.7 80.1 205 5 2 14.6 8.0
5750 23.4 74.1 190 6 3 35.5 19.5 | 28.9 84.0 210 5 2 54.2 29.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
08/18/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/18/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +220.5 LI... -1.6 | CAPE... +117.5 LI... -1.4
CINH... -5.3 K Index... +33.1 | CINH... -35.2 K Index... +30.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.1 -88.8 200 2 1 1.5 0.8 | -67.5 -89.5 110 4 2 1.5 0.8
45000 -61.5 -78.7 280 9 5 7.1 3.9 | -61.7 -79.1 300 6 3 7.5 4.1
40000 -50.6 -59.1 280 18 9 8.3 4.5 | -50.2 -58.4 295 20 10 8.1 4.4
38000 -45.0 -49.0 280 19 10 8.3 4.5 | -44.8 -48.6 290 20 10 8.1 4.4
36000 -40.1 -40.2 275 19 10 8.2 4.5 | -39.9 -39.8 285 19 10 8.3 4.6
34000 -35.2 -31.4 275 15 8 8.2 4.5 | -34.9 -30.8 280 14 7 8.3 4.6
32000 -30.3 -22.5 275 11 6 7.7 4.2 | -29.9 -21.8 280 8 4 7.8 4.3
30000 -25.8 -14.4 270 13 7 7.5 4.1 | -25.4 -13.7 285 9 5 7.5 4.1
29000 -23.6 -10.5 270 14 7 7.4 4.1 | -23.2 -9.8 290 10 5 7.5 4.1
28000 -21.5 -6.7 265 14 7 5.7 3.2 | -21.1 -6.0 290 10 5 6.3 3.4
27000 -19.8 -3.6 255 12 6 6.0 3.3 | -19.2 -2.6 280 9 5 6.4 3.5
26000 -18.0 -0.4 235 11 5 6.1 3.4 | -17.3 0.9 275 8 4 6.4 3.5
25000 -16.3 2.7 220 11 5 6.5 3.6 | -15.4 4.3 265 8 4 6.5 3.5
24000 -14.3 6.3 215 8 4 6.7 3.7 | -13.5 7.7 260 8 4 6.7 3.7
23000 -11.9 10.6 205 6 3 6.8 3.7 | -11.1 12.0 255 7 4 7.0 3.8
22000 -10.0 14.0 190 4 2 6.4 3.5 | -9.2 15.4 255 6 3 5.4 3.0
21000 -8.1 17.4 155 1 1 6.4 3.5 | -7.6 18.3 285 3 2 5.6 3.1
20000 -6.2 20.8 050 2 1 6.5 3.5 | -6.0 21.2 350 4 2 5.6 3.1
19500 -5.3 22.5 040 4 2 6.6 3.6 | -5.2 22.6 005 5 2 5.2 2.9
19000 -4.3 24.3 050 4 2 6.8 3.7 | -4.5 23.9 010 4 2 5.0 2.7
18500 -3.3 26.1 055 4 2 6.9 3.8 | -3.8 25.2 010 4 2 4.8 2.6
18000 -2.4 27.7 065 5 2 6.0 3.3 | -3.0 26.6 005 3 2 6.7 3.7
17500 -1.6 29.1 075 5 2 6.2 3.4 | -2.1 28.2 345 3 1 6.6 3.6
17000 -0.7 30.7 080 5 2 6.3 3.4 | -1.2 29.8 320 2 1 7.7 4.2
16500 0.2 32.4 090 4 2 6.4 3.5 | 0.1 32.2 305 2 1 8.7 4.8
16000 1.0 33.8 105 4 2 6.5 3.6 | 1.3 34.3 295 3 1 8.8 4.8
15500 2.0 35.6 115 4 2 7.8 4.3 | 2.6 36.7 280 3 1 8.8 4.8
15000 3.1 37.6 135 3 2 7.6 4.2 | 3.9 39.0 270 3 1 8.8 4.8
14500 4.3 39.7 145 3 2 9.1 5.0 | 5.2 41.4 255 3 1 8.8 4.8
14000 5.7 42.3 155 3 2 9.1 5.0 | 6.4 43.5 245 3 1 8.8 4.8
13500 7.0 44.6 165 3 2 9.2 5.1 | 7.7 45.9 235 3 2 9.1 5.0
13000 8.4 47.1 165 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 9.1 48.4 225 3 2 9.3 5.1
12500 9.8 49.6 170 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 10.5 50.9 220 3 2 9.1 5.0
12000 11.2 52.2 175 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 11.8 53.2 205 3 1 8.9 4.9
11500 12.6 54.7 175 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 13.1 55.6 195 2 1 8.9 4.9
11000 14.0 57.2 175 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 14.5 58.1 180 2 1 9.0 4.9
10500 15.4 59.7 175 4 2 8.7 4.7 | 15.8 60.4 160 2 1 8.7 4.8
10250 16.0 60.8 175 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 16.4 61.5 145 2 1 9.0 4.9
10000 16.8 62.2 175 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 17.1 62.8 135 3 1 9.0 4.9
9750 17.5 63.5 175 5 2 9.7 5.3 | 17.8 64.0 130 3 1 9.3 5.1
9500 18.2 64.8 175 5 2 9.4 5.2 | 18.4 65.1 130 3 2 7.9 4.3
9250 18.9 66.0 175 5 2 9.2 5.1 | 18.9 66.0 110 4 2 7.6 4.2
9000 20.3 68.5 175 5 3 9.3 5.1 | 19.6 67.3 105 4 2 8.8 4.8
8750 21.0 69.8 175 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 20.8 69.4 100 5 3 8.8 4.8
8500 21.7 71.1 175 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 21.5 70.7 105 5 3 8.8 4.8
8250 22.4 72.3 175 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 22.1 71.8 100 6 3 8.5 4.7
8000 23.1 73.6 175 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 22.7 72.9 100 6 3 8.6 4.7
7750 23.9 75.0 175 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 23.4 74.1 095 7 4 8.5 4.7
7500 24.6 76.3 175 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 24.0 75.2 095 7 4 8.6 4.7
7250 25.3 77.5 170 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 24.6 76.3 095 8 4 8.8 4.8
7000 26.1 79.0 170 6 3 10.1 5.6 | 25.3 77.5 095 8 4 8.9 4.9
6750 26.8 80.2 165 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 25.9 78.6 095 8 4 8.9 4.9
6500 27.6 81.7 165 6 3 11.0 6.1 | 26.6 79.9 090 8 4 9.2 5.0
6250 28.4 83.1 165 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 27.3 81.1 090 9 4 8.7 4.8
6000 29.1 84.4 165 5 3 13.2 7.3 | 27.9 82.2 090 8 4 11.2 6.1
5750 31.2 88.2 165 5 3 51.7 28.3 | 29.3 84.7 090 8 4 31.4 17.2
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0725 MDT Monday August 18 2025
This forecast is for Monday, August 18, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 78.8 F/26.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1416 ft/min (7.2 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19596 ft MSL (13133 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17113 ft MSL (10651 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 08/19...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:26:20 / 19:49:55 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 23 min 36 sec (803 min 36 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:08 MDT... 67.14 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/18/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16096 ft MSL (9633 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15308 ft MSL (8845 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17130 ft MSL (10667 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.8
K index......................... +27.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.1 -90.6 240 13 7 1.9 1.1 72.6 162.7 23.6 M M
45000 -61.7 -79.1 270 27 14 7.7 4.2 58.8 137.9 16.6 M M
40000 -50.0 -58.0 275 31 16 8.0 4.4 54.7 130.4 14.9 M M
38000 -45.3 -49.5 275 31 16 8.0 4.4 53.0 127.4 14.1 M M
36000 -40.5 -40.9 275 32 16 8.0 4.4 51.9 125.4 13.7 M M
34000 -35.6 -32.1 275 29 15 8.1 4.4 50.2 122.4 12.8 M M
32000 -30.7 -23.3 270 27 14 8.1 4.4 49.1 120.4 12.3 M M
30000 -26.5 -15.7 265 24 12 6.1 3.3 45.8 114.5 10.1 M M
29000 -24.7 -12.5 260 22 12 6.1 3.3 44.5 112.1 9.2 M M
28000 -22.8 -9.0 255 21 11 6.9 3.8 43.2 109.8 8.3 M M
27000 -20.8 -5.4 255 20 10 6.8 3.7 42.0 107.7 7.4 M M
26000 -18.8 -1.8 255 19 10 6.8 3.8 41.0 105.8 6.6 M M
25000 -16.7 1.9 255 17 9 6.2 3.4 40.0 104.0 5.8 M M
24000 -15.0 5.0 255 12 6 5.9 3.2 38.5 101.2 4.6 M M
23000 -13.3 8.1 260 6 3 6.0 3.3 37.1 98.8 3.5 M M
22000 -11.5 11.3 275 1 1 6.6 3.6 35.9 96.6 2.4 M M
21000 -9.6 14.7 165 2 1 6.8 3.8 34.8 94.6 1.3 M M
20000 -7.7 18.1 150 5 3 6.9 3.8 33.8 92.8 0.4 M M
19500 -6.7 19.9 150 7 3 6.8 3.7 33.4 92.0 -0.1 1210 6.1
19000 -5.8 21.6 140 8 4 5.9 3.2 32.7 90.9 -0.6 1169 5.9
18500 -4.9 23.2 135 10 5 5.9 3.2 32.1 89.7 -1.3 1128 5.7
18000 -4.1 24.6 130 11 6 6.0 3.3 31.4 88.6 -1.9 1088 5.5
17500 -3.2 26.2 125 11 6 6.0 3.3 30.8 87.4 -2.5 1046 5.3
17000 -2.3 27.9 120 12 6 6.5 3.6 30.2 86.3 -3.1 1005 5.1
16500 -1.2 29.8 115 11 6 8.5 4.6 29.8 85.7 -3.4 956 4.9
16000 0.0 32.0 115 9 5 8.4 4.6 29.6 85.3 -3.6 905 4.6
15500 1.3 34.3 110 7 4 8.5 4.6 29.4 84.9 -3.9 853 4.3
15000 2.5 36.5 110 5 3 8.5 4.7 29.2 84.5 -4.2 802 4.1
14500 3.7 38.7 100 3 1 8.6 4.7 29.0 84.2 -4.4 750 3.8
14000 5.0 41.0 105 1 1 8.6 4.7 28.8 83.8 -4.7 698 3.5
13500 6.2 43.2 000 0 0 8.7 4.8 28.6 83.5 -4.9 645 3.3
13000 7.5 45.5 265 1 1 8.7 4.8 28.5 83.2 -5.1 592 3.0
12500 9.4 48.9 270 3 2 8.6 4.7 28.2 82.8 -5.4 512 2.6
12000 10.7 51.3 275 4 2 8.6 4.7 28.0 82.5 -5.6 460 2.3
11500 11.9 53.4 275 5 3 8.3 4.5 27.8 82.1 -5.9 408 2.1
11000 13.1 55.6 275 6 3 8.3 4.6 27.6 81.7 -6.2 357 1.8
10500 14.2 57.6 275 6 3 7.0 3.8 27.3 81.2 -6.5 309 1.6
10250 14.7 58.5 270 6 3 6.7 3.7 27.1 80.7 -6.8 287 1.5
10000 15.2 59.4 270 6 3 7.0 3.8 26.8 80.3 -7.1 265 1.3
9750 15.7 60.3 270 6 3 6.8 3.8 26.6 79.9 -7.3 243 1.2
9500 16.1 61.0 270 6 3 5.4 2.9 26.4 79.5 -7.6 222 1.1
9250 16.5 61.7 270 6 3 5.5 3.0 26.0 78.8 -8.0 205 1.0
9000 16.9 62.4 270 6 3 6.7 3.7 25.7 78.3 -8.3 183 0.9
8750 17.4 63.3 270 5 3 6.2 3.4 25.5 77.9 -8.6 162 0.8
8500 17.9 64.2 270 5 2 5.9 3.2 25.2 77.4 -8.9 141 0.7
8250 18.3 64.9 270 4 2 5.5 3.0 24.9 76.8 -9.2 120 0.6
8000 18.7 65.7 270 4 2 5.2 2.8 24.6 76.2 -9.6 101 0.5
7750 19.1 66.4 265 3 2 5.0 2.8 24.2 75.6 -9.9 82 0.4
7500 19.5 67.1 260 2 1 5.2 2.9 23.8 74.9 -10.3 63 0.3
7250 19.8 67.6 245 2 1 4.9 2.7 23.5 74.3 -10.7 45 0.2
7000 20.2 68.4 230 1 1 5.3 2.9 23.1 73.6 -11.1 26 0.1
6750 20.4 68.7 215 1 1 -4.3 -2.4 22.6 72.6 -11.7 14 0.1
6500 18.2 64.8 170 1 1 -64.6 -35.4 19.7 67.5 -14.5 70 0.4
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/18/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/18/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +105.9 LI... -1.5 | CAPE... +326.9 LI... -2.3
CINH... -90.3 K Index... +27.5 | CINH... -5.9 K Index... +28.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.4 -89.3 260 8 4 1.5 0.8 | -67.0 -88.6 285 5 2 1.7 0.9
45000 -61.5 -78.7 280 20 10 7.5 4.1 | -61.3 -78.3 290 16 8 7.1 3.9
40000 -50.1 -58.2 280 23 12 8.1 4.4 | -50.5 -58.9 280 23 12 8.0 4.4
38000 -45.3 -49.5 280 25 13 8.1 4.4 | -45.1 -49.2 280 23 12 8.0 4.4
36000 -40.4 -40.7 285 27 14 8.0 4.4 | -40.3 -40.5 285 23 12 8.0 4.4
34000 -35.6 -32.1 280 25 13 8.0 4.4 | -35.5 -31.9 280 22 11 8.0 4.4
32000 -30.8 -23.4 280 23 12 7.8 4.3 | -30.7 -23.3 280 21 11 7.6 4.2
30000 -26.2 -15.2 270 20 10 6.6 3.6 | -26.4 -15.5 275 16 8 7.2 3.9
29000 -24.3 -11.7 265 19 10 6.6 3.6 | -24.3 -11.7 275 13 7 7.2 3.9
28000 -22.3 -8.1 260 18 9 6.3 3.5 | -22.3 -8.1 265 11 6 5.3 2.9
27000 -20.4 -4.7 255 17 9 6.4 3.5 | -20.6 -5.1 245 11 6 5.6 3.1
26000 -18.6 -1.5 250 17 9 6.4 3.5 | -19.0 -2.2 230 11 6 5.8 3.2
25000 -16.7 1.9 245 16 8 6.2 3.4 | -17.4 0.7 215 13 7 6.8 3.7
24000 -14.9 5.2 240 12 6 6.1 3.4 | -14.6 5.7 220 11 6 7.4 4.1
23000 -13.0 8.6 230 9 4 6.1 3.4 | -12.3 9.9 225 9 5 7.4 4.1
22000 -11.2 11.8 210 6 3 6.6 3.6 | -10.3 13.5 230 7 4 5.6 3.1
21000 -9.3 15.3 205 5 3 6.8 3.8 | -8.6 16.5 235 4 2 5.9 3.2
20000 -7.3 18.9 205 5 2 7.0 3.8 | -7.0 19.4 250 2 1 6.0 3.3
19500 -6.4 20.5 205 4 2 6.7 3.7 | -6.1 21.0 295 1 0 6.0 3.3
19000 -5.5 22.1 185 4 2 5.8 3.2 | -5.3 22.5 360 1 0 6.0 3.3
18500 -4.7 23.5 170 5 2 5.9 3.2 | -4.4 24.1 030 1 1 6.0 3.3
18000 -3.9 25.0 155 5 3 5.7 3.1 | -3.6 25.5 050 2 1 6.4 3.5
17500 -3.0 26.6 140 6 3 5.8 3.2 | -2.7 27.1 060 3 2 6.4 3.5
17000 -2.2 28.0 125 7 3 6.3 3.5 | -1.7 28.9 065 4 2 7.1 3.9
16500 -1.1 30.0 115 7 3 7.7 4.2 | -0.6 30.9 070 5 3 7.7 4.2
16000 -0.0 32.0 105 7 3 7.5 4.1 | 0.5 32.9 070 6 3 7.7 4.3
15500 1.2 34.2 095 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 1.7 35.1 070 6 3 8.6 4.7
15000 2.5 36.5 085 6 3 8.8 4.8 | 3.0 37.4 070 5 3 8.5 4.7
14500 3.8 38.8 075 5 3 9.0 4.9 | 4.2 39.6 070 5 3 9.1 5.0
14000 5.1 41.2 060 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 5.6 42.1 070 5 2 9.1 5.0
13500 6.5 43.7 045 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 6.9 44.4 065 4 2 9.1 5.0
13000 7.8 46.0 030 5 3 9.0 5.0 | 8.3 46.9 060 4 2 9.1 5.0
12500 9.1 48.4 020 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 9.6 49.3 055 4 2 8.9 4.9
12000 11.0 51.8 010 5 3 8.5 4.7 | 10.9 51.6 045 3 2 8.7 4.8
11500 12.3 54.1 005 5 3 8.6 4.7 | 12.1 53.8 035 3 1 9.7 5.3
11000 13.5 56.3 360 5 3 8.0 4.4 | 13.5 56.3 025 2 1 7.9 4.3
10500 14.6 58.3 350 5 2 6.5 3.6 | 14.6 58.3 005 2 1 7.3 4.0
10250 15.0 59.0 345 5 2 5.9 3.2 | 15.8 60.4 330 2 1 9.7 5.3
10000 15.4 59.7 345 4 2 6.1 3.4 | 16.5 61.7 315 2 1 9.3 5.1
9750 15.8 60.4 340 4 2 5.7 3.1 | 17.1 62.8 305 2 1 9.4 5.2
9500 16.1 61.0 335 4 2 4.1 2.3 | 17.8 64.0 300 2 1 9.5 5.2
9250 16.3 61.3 330 4 2 4.4 2.4 | 18.5 65.3 295 2 1 9.7 5.3
9000 16.7 62.1 325 4 2 5.4 3.4 | 19.3 66.7 285 2 1 9.8 5.4
8750 17.0 62.6 320 4 2 5.0 2.7 | 20.0 68.0 275 2 1 9.8 5.4
8500 17.4 63.3 315 4 2 4.3 2.3 | 20.7 69.3 270 2 1 9.8 5.4
8250 17.7 63.9 310 4 2 5.2 2.8 | 21.4 70.5 270 3 1 9.9 5.4
8000 18.2 64.8 305 4 2 7.3 4.0 | 22.2 72.0 265 3 1 9.9 5.4
7750 18.7 65.7 295 4 2 8.7 4.8 | 22.9 73.2 265 3 2 10.2 5.6
7500 19.4 66.9 295 4 2 9.6 5.2 | 23.7 74.7 260 3 2 10.7 5.8
7250 20.2 68.4 295 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 24.5 76.1 260 3 2 10.4 5.7
7000 20.9 69.6 290 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 25.2 77.4 260 3 2 11.0 6.0
6750 21.7 71.1 285 4 2 13.8 7.6 | 26.2 79.2 260 3 2 17.5 9.6
6500 23.1 73.6 285 4 2 25.1 13.8 | 28.2 82.8 255 4 2 39.4 21.6
08/18/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/18/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +242.5 LI... -2.4 | CAPE... +93.2 LI... -1.6
CINH... -29.7 K Index... +32.2 | CINH... -160.6 K Index... +28.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.2 -89.0 325 3 1 1.4 0.8 | -67.3 -89.1 050 1 1 1.6 0.9
45000 -61.6 -78.9 300 11 6 7.4 4.1 | -61.6 -78.9 295 9 4 7.4 4.1
40000 -50.3 -58.5 285 17 9 7.9 4.3 | -49.8 -57.6 290 19 10 7.8 4.3
38000 -45.0 -49.0 280 18 9 7.9 4.3 | -45.1 -49.2 285 18 9 7.8 4.3
36000 -40.3 -40.5 280 18 10 8.2 4.5 | -40.4 -40.7 280 17 9 8.7 4.8
34000 -35.4 -31.7 280 16 8 8.1 4.5 | -35.2 -31.4 275 13 7 8.6 4.7
32000 -30.5 -22.9 285 14 7 7.9 4.4 | -30.1 -22.2 260 10 5 8.2 4.5
30000 -25.9 -14.6 285 11 6 7.8 4.3 | -25.4 -13.7 255 9 5 7.9 4.3
29000 -23.5 -10.3 290 10 5 7.8 4.3 | -23.1 -9.6 250 9 4 7.9 4.4
28000 -21.4 -6.5 290 9 4 5.1 2.8 | -20.9 -5.6 245 8 4 6.2 3.4
27000 -19.9 -3.8 280 8 4 5.3 2.9 | -19.0 -2.2 250 8 4 6.4 3.5
26000 -18.3 -0.9 265 8 4 5.4 3.0 | -16.6 2.1 255 9 4 6.4 3.5
25000 -16.2 2.8 255 8 4 7.6 4.2 | -14.8 5.4 260 9 4 5.9 3.3
24000 -14.0 6.8 250 9 5 7.5 4.1 | -13.1 8.4 275 9 5 6.0 3.3
23000 -11.9 10.6 245 9 5 7.6 4.2 | -11.4 11.5 285 10 5 6.0 3.3
22000 -9.9 14.2 245 9 5 4.7 2.6 | -9.7 14.5 295 11 6 5.4 3.0
21000 -8.5 16.7 245 7 3 5.0 2.7 | -8.1 17.4 315 10 5 5.5 3.0
20000 -7.0 19.4 240 4 2 5.1 2.8 | -6.5 20.3 335 10 5 5.5 3.0
19500 -6.3 20.7 240 3 1 5.9 3.2 | -5.7 21.7 345 11 6 5.9 3.2
19000 -5.4 22.3 230 3 2 6.7 3.7 | -4.8 23.4 345 11 6 6.3 3.5
18500 -4.5 23.9 220 3 2 6.7 3.7 | -3.9 25.0 345 11 6 6.3 3.5
18000 -3.5 25.7 215 4 2 7.7 4.2 | -2.9 26.8 345 11 6 7.0 3.8
17500 -2.4 27.7 210 4 2 7.7 4.2 | -1.9 28.6 345 11 6 7.0 3.9
17000 -1.3 29.7 210 5 3 8.0 4.4 | -0.9 30.4 345 10 5 7.4 4.1
16500 -0.1 31.8 210 5 3 8.4 4.6 | 0.2 32.4 345 10 5 8.1 4.4
16000 1.1 34.0 210 6 3 8.4 4.6 | 1.4 34.5 340 9 5 8.1 4.4
15500 2.4 36.3 210 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 2.6 36.7 340 8 4 8.5 4.6
15000 3.8 38.8 210 6 3 9.4 5.1 | 3.8 38.8 335 7 4 8.4 4.6
14500 5.2 41.4 205 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 5.0 41.0 330 6 3 8.4 4.6
14000 6.6 43.9 205 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 6.3 43.3 325 4 2 8.4 4.6
13500 8.0 46.4 205 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 7.5 45.5 320 3 1 8.4 4.6
13000 9.4 48.9 205 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 8.7 47.7 300 1 1 8.3 4.6
12500 10.8 51.4 200 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 10.5 50.9 175 2 1 8.5 4.7
12000 12.2 54.0 200 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 11.8 53.2 155 3 2 8.8 4.8
11500 13.6 56.5 200 6 3 8.6 4.7 | 12.8 55.0 160 5 3 6.8 3.7
11000 14.9 58.8 190 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 14.0 57.2 155 7 4 7.5 4.1
10500 17.1 62.8 190 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 15.3 59.5 155 9 5 8.7 4.8
10250 17.7 63.9 185 5 2 8.7 4.8 | 15.8 60.4 155 9 5 6.6 3.6
10000 18.4 65.1 175 4 2 9.0 4.9 | 16.3 61.3 155 10 5 7.2 3.9
9750 19.0 66.2 165 4 2 9.1 5.0 | 16.8 62.2 155 10 5 7.1 3.9
9500 19.7 67.5 165 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 17.4 63.3 155 11 6 8.0 4.4
9250 20.4 68.7 160 4 2 8.6 4.7 | 17.9 64.2 155 12 6 7.5 4.1
9000 21.0 69.8 145 3 2 7.8 4.3 | 18.4 65.1 155 12 6 6.6 3.6
8750 21.6 70.9 130 3 2 8.4 4.6 | 18.9 66.0 160 13 7 6.7 3.7
8500 22.2 72.0 120 3 2 10.3 5.7 | 19.4 66.9 160 13 7 6.1 3.3
8250 23.0 73.4 115 3 2 9.2 5.0 | 19.8 67.6 160 14 7 6.1 3.4
8000 23.5 74.3 100 4 2 5.8 3.2 | 20.3 68.5 160 14 7 7.2 3.9
7750 23.9 75.0 090 4 2 6.9 3.8 | 20.8 69.4 160 14 7 6.0 3.3
7500 24.5 76.1 085 5 2 9.0 4.9 | 21.1 70.0 165 14 7 3.3 1.8
7250 25.2 77.4 080 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 21.2 70.2 165 14 7 2.7 1.5
7000 25.8 78.4 080 6 3 6.6 3.6 | 21.5 70.7 165 14 7 7.5 4.1
6750 26.3 79.3 080 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 22.3 72.1 165 13 7 12.5 6.9
6500 28.6 83.5 080 6 3 68.1 37.4 | 22.5 72.5 170 11 6 -12.8 -7.0
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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