Heat expands across the Desert Southwest, Plains, Mississippi Valley and Midwest into Monday. Fire weather concerns continue for portions of the Intermountain West. Active monsoonal moisture fuels thunderstorms over the Southwest with possible flash flooding. Tropical cyclone Fausto in the Pacific, should weaken as it approaches Hawaii; Dangerous surf, swells and rip currents are expected. Read More >
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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0723 MDT Sunday July 26 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, July 26, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 82.8 F/28.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1274 ft/min (6.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18328 ft MSL (12005 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 95.0 F/35.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15905 ft MSL (9582 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/27....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:09:23 / 20:11:44 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 2 min 22 sec (842 min 22 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:34 MDT... 74.15 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/26/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 17440 ft MSL (11117 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14918 ft MSL (8595 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16584 ft MSL (10261 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.9
K index......................... +31.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.5 -89.5 085 24 12 3.3 1.8 71.8 161.3 22.0 M M
45000 -59.7 -75.5 080 26 13 7.6 4.2 61.4 142.5 16.9 M M
40000 -47.6 -53.7 090 16 8 8.1 4.4 56.8 134.3 14.9 M M
38000 -42.8 -45.0 090 13 7 8.1 4.4 55.4 131.7 14.3 M M
36000 -37.9 -36.2 095 10 5 8.4 4.6 54.3 129.7 13.8 M M
34000 -32.9 -27.2 130 10 5 8.4 4.6 53.0 127.4 13.2 M M
32000 -27.9 -18.2 155 13 7 7.8 4.3 52.1 125.8 12.9 M M
30000 -22.8 -9.0 155 11 6 7.7 4.2 50.2 122.3 11.7 M M
29000 -20.5 -4.9 155 10 5 7.8 4.3 49.5 121.1 11.3 M M
28000 -18.3 -0.9 155 10 5 7.0 3.8 48.5 119.4 10.6 M M
27000 -16.2 2.8 155 9 5 7.0 3.8 47.4 117.4 9.9 M M
26000 -14.2 6.4 155 9 5 7.0 3.8 46.5 115.6 9.2 M M
25000 -12.2 10.0 155 8 4 5.6 3.1 45.4 113.7 8.4 M M
24000 -10.5 13.1 155 7 4 5.8 3.2 43.8 110.9 7.1 M M
23000 -8.9 16.0 160 6 3 5.9 3.2 42.5 108.4 5.9 M M
22000 -7.3 18.9 160 5 2 4.7 2.6 41.1 105.9 4.7 M M
21000 -6.0 21.2 155 4 2 5.0 2.7 39.3 102.7 3.1 M M
20000 -4.6 23.7 145 3 2 5.2 2.8 37.7 99.8 1.6 M M
19500 -4.0 24.8 135 3 1 6.4 3.5 36.9 98.5 0.9 M M
19000 -2.8 27.0 160 3 1 7.8 4.3 36.6 97.8 0.5 M M
18500 -1.7 28.9 180 4 2 8.2 4.5 36.3 97.3 0.2 M M
18000 -0.8 30.6 185 4 2 4.2 2.3 35.7 96.3 -0.3 1058 5.4
17500 -0.2 31.6 180 5 3 4.2 2.3 34.7 94.5 -1.2 1026 5.2
17000 0.9 33.6 170 6 3 8.0 4.4 33.6 92.5 -2.3 971 4.9
16500 2.0 35.6 160 6 3 8.0 4.4 33.3 91.9 -2.7 923 4.7
16000 3.1 37.6 150 6 3 7.9 4.3 33.0 91.4 -3.0 874 4.4
15500 4.2 39.6 145 5 3 7.7 4.2 32.7 90.8 -3.4 826 4.2
15000 5.3 41.5 140 5 2 7.8 4.3 32.3 90.2 -3.7 778 4.0
14500 6.5 43.7 130 4 2 8.6 4.7 32.1 89.8 -4.0 727 3.7
14000 7.8 46.0 115 3 2 8.5 4.7 31.9 89.4 -4.2 675 3.4
13500 9.1 48.4 100 3 2 8.9 4.9 31.7 89.1 -4.4 622 3.2
13000 10.4 50.7 085 3 2 8.9 4.9 31.6 88.9 -4.6 568 2.9
12500 11.7 53.1 075 3 2 8.1 4.4 31.4 88.6 -4.8 515 2.6
12000 12.8 55.0 055 2 1 8.0 4.4 31.1 88.0 -5.1 465 2.4
11500 13.9 57.0 025 2 1 7.2 4.0 30.8 87.5 -5.5 418 2.1
11000 15.0 59.0 330 2 1 7.4 4.1 30.4 86.8 -5.9 372 1.9
10500 16.0 60.8 310 4 2 7.0 3.9 30.1 86.1 -6.4 326 1.7
10250 16.5 61.7 310 4 2 8.1 4.4 29.9 85.8 -6.6 303 1.5
10000 17.2 63.0 305 5 2 9.3 5.1 29.8 85.7 -6.6 276 1.4
9750 17.9 64.2 305 5 3 9.0 4.9 29.8 85.6 -6.7 248 1.3
9500 18.5 65.3 305 5 3 8.7 4.8 29.7 85.5 -6.8 221 1.1
9250 19.1 66.4 305 6 3 8.2 4.5 29.6 85.3 -6.9 196 1.0
9000 19.7 67.5 300 7 4 6.9 3.8 29.4 85.0 -7.1 171 0.9
8750 20.1 68.2 300 8 4 6.0 3.3 29.2 84.5 -7.4 150 0.8
8500 20.6 69.1 300 9 4 5.7 3.1 28.9 84.0 -7.7 130 0.7
8250 20.9 69.6 295 10 5 5.2 2.9 28.5 83.4 -8.1 111 0.6
8000 21.3 70.3 295 11 5 5.5 3.0 28.2 82.8 -8.5 93 0.5
7750 21.7 71.1 290 11 6 5.0 2.8 27.9 82.2 -8.8 74 0.4
7500 21.9 71.4 290 12 6 2.9 1.6 27.5 81.4 -9.3 59 0.3
7250 22.1 71.8 290 12 6 1.9 1.0 26.9 80.4 -10.0 49 0.2
7000 22.2 72.0 290 11 6 2.0 1.1 26.3 79.3 -10.6 38 0.2
6750 22.3 72.1 290 11 6 1.6 0.9 25.7 78.3 -11.3 28 0.1
6500 22.3 72.1 290 9 5 2.0 1.1 25.1 77.2 -11.9 18 0.1
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/26/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/26/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +352.6 LI... -2.2 | CAPE... +604.2 LI... -1.9
CINH... -64.2 K Index... +31.0 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... +32.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.5 -89.5 085 25 13 3.1 1.7 | -67.8 -90.0 095 26 14 3.5 1.9
45000 -59.3 -74.7 085 26 14 7.7 4.2 | -59.1 -74.4 095 28 14 7.8 4.3
40000 -47.5 -53.5 085 17 9 8.3 4.6 | -47.4 -53.3 080 20 10 8.0 4.4
38000 -42.5 -44.5 090 16 8 8.3 4.6 | -42.6 -44.7 090 17 9 8.0 4.4
36000 -37.6 -35.7 100 14 7 7.9 4.3 | -37.8 -36.0 095 14 7 8.2 4.5
34000 -32.9 -27.2 115 11 6 7.9 4.4 | -32.9 -27.2 105 11 6 8.2 4.5
32000 -28.1 -18.6 140 10 5 8.0 4.4 | -28.0 -18.4 120 9 4 7.5 4.1
30000 -22.7 -8.9 135 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -23.0 -9.4 140 12 6 7.5 4.1
29000 -20.3 -4.5 135 12 6 8.1 4.4 | -20.7 -5.3 145 13 7 7.5 4.1
28000 -18.2 -0.8 140 11 6 6.8 3.7 | -18.4 -1.1 150 14 7 7.7 4.2
27000 -16.2 2.8 140 10 5 6.8 3.7 | -16.1 3.0 155 14 7 7.7 4.2
26000 -14.2 6.4 145 9 5 6.8 3.7 | -13.8 7.2 155 14 7 7.7 4.2
25000 -12.2 10.0 150 8 4 6.1 3.3 | -11.7 10.9 160 13 7 5.7 3.1
24000 -10.4 13.3 145 8 4 6.2 3.4 | -9.9 14.2 160 11 6 6.0 3.3
23000 -8.6 16.5 135 7 4 6.2 3.4 | -8.2 17.2 155 8 4 6.2 3.4
22000 -6.9 19.6 125 7 3 5.0 2.7 | -6.5 20.3 150 6 3 5.3 2.9
21000 -5.5 22.1 120 4 2 5.2 2.9 | -4.9 23.2 135 5 3 5.5 3.0
20000 -4.1 24.6 100 2 1 5.4 2.9 | -3.4 25.9 105 4 2 5.5 3.0
19500 -3.3 26.1 075 2 1 6.0 3.3 | -2.6 27.3 095 5 2 5.4 3.0
19000 -2.4 27.7 055 2 1 6.6 3.6 | -1.9 28.6 075 4 2 5.4 2.9
18500 -1.5 29.3 035 2 1 6.8 3.7 | -1.2 29.8 060 4 2 5.6 3.1
18000 -0.6 30.9 010 1 1 5.5 3.0 | -0.6 30.9 045 4 2 4.5 2.5
17500 0.1 32.2 305 1 1 5.6 3.1 | -0.0 32.0 035 4 2 4.7 2.6
17000 1.3 34.3 265 2 1 6.2 3.4 | 1.0 33.8 010 3 1 6.7 3.7
16500 2.2 36.0 250 2 1 6.2 3.4 | 1.9 35.4 340 2 1 6.7 3.7
16000 3.0 37.4 225 2 1 7.3 4.0 | 2.8 37.0 290 1 1 7.3 4.0
15500 4.2 39.6 185 1 1 8.3 4.5 | 3.9 39.0 270 2 1 7.9 4.3
15000 5.4 41.7 135 2 1 8.4 4.6 | 5.0 41.0 255 2 1 8.1 4.5
14500 6.7 44.1 115 2 1 8.8 4.8 | 6.3 43.3 255 3 1 9.3 5.1
14000 8.0 46.4 105 3 1 8.9 4.9 | 7.7 45.9 255 3 2 9.3 5.1
13500 9.2 48.6 100 3 2 8.1 4.5 | 9.0 48.2 255 3 2 9.2 5.0
13000 10.4 50.7 100 3 1 8.2 4.5 | 10.4 50.7 260 4 2 9.2 5.0
12500 11.5 52.7 095 2 1 7.5 4.1 | 11.8 53.2 260 4 2 9.4 5.2
12000 12.6 54.7 330 1 1 7.4 4.1 | 13.2 55.8 260 4 2 9.5 5.2
11500 13.6 56.5 310 3 2 7.7 4.2 | 14.5 58.1 260 4 2 9.3 5.1
11000 14.9 58.8 295 4 2 8.5 4.6 | 16.0 60.8 260 5 2 9.7 5.3
10500 16.1 61.0 290 6 3 6.7 3.7 | 17.4 63.3 260 5 3 8.7 4.8
10250 16.5 61.7 290 6 3 6.7 3.7 | 18.0 64.4 260 5 3 9.3 5.1
10000 17.1 62.8 285 6 3 8.3 4.5 | 18.8 65.8 260 5 3 10.5 5.8
9750 17.7 63.9 285 7 3 7.9 4.3 | 19.5 67.1 260 6 3 10.2 5.6
9500 18.2 64.8 280 7 4 6.7 3.7 | 20.3 68.5 260 6 3 10.7 5.9
9250 18.6 65.5 280 7 4 5.8 3.2 | 21.1 70.0 260 6 3 10.7 5.9
9000 19.0 66.2 280 7 4 5.1 2.8 | 21.9 71.4 260 6 3 9.8 5.4
8750 19.3 66.7 280 7 3 4.6 2.5 | 22.6 72.7 260 6 3 9.4 5.1
8500 19.7 67.5 280 7 3 6.1 3.3 | 23.3 73.9 260 6 3 9.8 5.4
8250 20.1 68.2 280 6 3 6.7 3.6 | 24.0 75.2 260 7 3 9.9 5.4
8000 20.6 69.1 280 6 3 7.0 3.8 | 24.8 76.6 255 7 3 10.0 5.5
7750 21.1 70.0 280 6 3 8.5 4.7 | 25.5 77.9 255 7 4 10.3 5.6
7500 21.8 71.2 280 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 26.3 79.3 255 7 4 10.3 5.6
7250 22.5 72.5 280 5 3 10.0 5.5 | 27.0 80.6 255 7 4 10.6 5.8
7000 23.3 73.9 280 5 3 9.4 5.1 | 27.8 82.0 255 7 4 9.5 5.2
6750 24.0 75.2 280 5 3 11.8 6.5 | 28.6 83.5 255 7 4 14.2 7.8
6500 25.1 77.2 280 5 2 18.0 9.9 | 30.1 86.2 255 7 4 26.4 14.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/26/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/26/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +413.1 LI... -2.4 | CAPE... +214.4 LI... -1.6
CINH... -4.9 K Index... +34.2 | CINH... -29.4 K Index... +32.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.8 -90.0 095 26 13 4.0 2.2 | -68.0 -90.4 090 27 14 4.5 2.4
45000 -58.9 -74.0 090 26 13 7.5 4.1 | -59.1 -74.4 080 23 12 7.6 4.2
40000 -47.4 -53.3 075 19 10 8.1 4.4 | -46.8 -52.2 055 18 9 8.3 4.6
38000 -42.6 -44.7 085 17 9 8.1 4.4 | -41.8 -43.2 065 16 8 8.3 4.6
36000 -37.7 -35.9 090 15 8 8.0 4.4 | -36.9 -34.4 075 15 8 7.7 4.2
34000 -33.0 -27.4 095 13 7 8.0 4.4 | -32.3 -26.1 075 14 7 7.7 4.2
32000 -28.2 -18.8 105 11 6 7.5 4.1 | -27.7 -17.9 080 13 7 7.9 4.3
30000 -23.1 -9.6 135 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -22.9 -9.2 120 12 6 7.9 4.3
29000 -20.9 -5.6 150 14 7 7.5 4.1 | -20.5 -4.9 140 13 7 7.9 4.3
28000 -18.6 -1.5 155 14 7 7.6 4.1 | -18.3 -0.9 150 15 8 7.2 4.0
27000 -16.3 2.7 165 13 7 7.6 4.1 | -16.1 3.0 160 15 8 7.2 4.0
26000 -14.1 6.6 175 13 7 7.6 4.1 | -13.9 7.0 170 17 9 7.2 4.0
25000 -11.9 10.6 180 13 6 6.6 3.6 | -11.9 10.6 175 17 9 4.9 2.7
24000 -9.9 14.2 175 10 5 6.7 3.7 | -10.5 13.1 175 14 7 5.0 2.7
23000 -8.0 17.6 165 8 4 6.8 3.8 | -9.1 15.6 170 11 6 5.3 2.9
22000 -6.2 20.8 155 6 3 4.0 2.2 | -7.1 19.2 165 7 4 7.0 3.8
21000 -5.0 23.0 130 6 3 4.5 2.5 | -5.2 22.6 140 4 2 7.1 3.9
20000 -3.8 25.2 110 7 4 4.8 2.7 | -3.2 26.2 075 4 2 7.4 4.1
19500 -3.2 26.2 105 8 4 5.5 3.0 | -2.3 27.9 055 4 2 5.7 3.1
19000 -2.5 27.5 105 7 4 6.0 3.3 | -1.5 29.3 060 4 2 5.6 3.0
18500 -1.7 28.9 105 7 4 6.0 3.3 | -0.8 30.6 060 4 2 5.6 3.1
18000 -0.8 30.6 105 6 3 8.0 4.4 | 0.1 32.2 055 4 2 6.1 3.3
17500 0.9 33.6 125 4 2 8.1 4.4 | 1.0 33.8 045 3 2 6.0 3.3
17000 1.9 35.4 140 3 1 6.9 3.8 | 1.9 35.4 035 2 1 7.1 3.9
16500 2.9 37.2 175 2 1 7.0 3.8 | 2.9 37.2 010 2 1 7.4 4.0
16000 3.9 39.0 230 2 1 7.2 4.0 | 4.0 39.2 340 2 1 7.6 4.1
15500 5.0 41.0 245 3 1 7.4 4.1 | 5.2 41.4 305 2 1 8.0 4.4
15000 6.0 42.8 250 4 2 7.5 4.1 | 6.3 43.3 290 3 2 8.0 4.4
14500 7.3 45.1 250 5 2 8.9 4.9 | 7.5 45.5 280 4 2 8.3 4.6
14000 8.6 47.5 250 5 3 8.8 4.8 | 8.8 47.8 270 5 2 8.3 4.5
13500 9.9 49.8 250 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 10.0 50.0 270 6 3 8.9 4.9
13000 11.2 52.2 250 6 3 9.0 5.0 | 11.4 52.5 265 6 3 9.0 4.9
12500 12.6 54.7 250 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 12.7 54.9 265 7 4 9.2 5.0
12000 14.0 57.2 250 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 14.1 57.4 260 8 4 9.3 5.1
11500 15.5 59.9 255 7 3 9.7 5.3 | 15.5 59.9 260 8 4 9.3 5.1
11000 16.9 62.4 255 7 3 9.7 5.3 | 16.8 62.2 255 8 4 9.2 5.1
10500 18.3 64.9 255 7 3 9.3 5.1 | 18.2 64.8 245 9 5 9.2 5.1
10250 19.0 66.2 255 7 3 9.4 5.2 | 18.9 66.0 245 9 5 9.6 5.3
10000 19.8 67.6 255 7 4 10.0 5.5 | 19.6 67.3 240 9 5 10.0 5.5
9750 20.5 68.9 255 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 20.4 68.7 240 9 5 9.8 5.4
9500 21.2 70.2 255 7 4 10.2 5.6 | 21.1 70.0 235 9 5 10.2 5.6
9250 22.0 71.6 255 7 4 10.3 5.6 | 21.9 71.4 235 9 5 10.5 5.8
9000 22.7 72.9 255 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 22.6 72.7 230 9 5 9.5 5.2
8750 23.4 74.1 255 7 4 9.1 5.0 | 23.3 73.9 225 9 5 8.8 4.8
8500 24.1 75.4 255 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 24.0 75.2 225 9 5 9.6 5.3
8250 24.9 76.8 255 7 4 10.3 5.7 | 24.8 76.6 220 9 5 10.7 5.9
8000 25.6 78.1 255 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 25.5 77.9 215 9 5 9.9 5.4
7750 26.3 79.3 255 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 26.2 79.2 210 9 5 9.1 5.0
7500 27.0 80.6 255 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 26.9 80.4 205 9 5 8.3 4.6
7250 27.8 82.0 260 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 27.5 81.5 200 8 4 7.6 4.2
7000 28.5 83.3 260 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 28.1 82.6 195 8 4 8.0 4.4
6750 29.2 84.6 260 8 4 10.3 5.7 | 28.6 83.5 185 7 4 7.1 3.9
6500 30.0 86.0 260 7 4 12.2 6.7 | 29.0 84.2 175 7 3 2.7 1.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0722 MDT Sunday July 26 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, July 26, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 86.3 F/30.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1308 ft/min (6.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17921 ft MSL (12260 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 97.0 F/36.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14552 ft MSL (8890 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/27....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:11:44 / 20:14:22 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 2 min 37 sec (842 min 37 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:13:03 MDT... 74.00 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/26/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 17540 ft MSL (11879 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14803 ft MSL (9142 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16099 ft MSL (10437 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.5
K index......................... +30.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.7 -89.9 080 20 10 3.5 1.9 73.7 164.7 22.3 M M
45000 -59.6 -75.3 085 23 12 7.7 4.2 63.6 146.5 17.5 M M
40000 -47.3 -53.1 090 14 7 8.1 4.5 59.3 138.8 15.8 M M
38000 -42.4 -44.3 085 12 6 8.1 4.5 57.9 136.3 15.2 M M
36000 -37.5 -35.5 090 10 5 8.4 4.6 56.9 134.3 14.8 M M
34000 -32.4 -26.3 125 10 5 8.4 4.6 55.6 132.1 14.3 M M
32000 -27.4 -17.3 150 12 6 7.2 4.0 54.7 130.4 13.9 M M
30000 -23.1 -9.6 155 13 7 7.3 4.0 52.6 126.6 12.6 M M
29000 -20.9 -5.6 155 13 7 7.3 4.0 51.7 125.1 12.0 M M
28000 -18.9 -2.0 160 13 6 6.5 3.6 50.6 123.2 11.3 M M
27000 -16.9 1.6 160 11 6 6.5 3.6 49.3 120.8 10.4 M M
26000 -15.0 5.0 160 10 5 6.6 3.6 48.2 118.7 9.5 M M
25000 -12.7 9.1 165 8 4 5.8 3.2 46.7 116.0 8.3 M M
24000 -11.0 12.2 175 7 4 5.9 3.2 45.2 113.3 7.1 M M
23000 -9.3 15.3 190 7 4 6.0 3.3 43.8 110.9 6.0 M M
22000 -7.6 18.3 200 7 4 5.9 3.3 42.5 108.5 4.8 M M
21000 -5.9 21.4 195 8 4 6.0 3.3 41.1 106.0 3.6 M M
20000 -4.2 24.4 190 9 5 6.0 3.3 39.8 103.7 2.4 M M
19500 -3.4 25.9 190 9 5 5.8 3.2 39.2 102.6 1.9 M M
19000 -2.5 27.5 190 10 5 5.8 3.2 38.5 101.3 1.2 M M
18500 -1.7 28.9 190 11 6 5.8 3.2 37.8 100.1 0.6 M M
18000 -0.8 30.6 185 11 6 6.4 3.5 37.2 99.0 0.1 M M
17500 0.1 32.2 185 11 6 6.3 3.5 36.6 98.0 -0.5 1070 5.4
17000 1.0 33.8 185 10 5 7.1 3.9 36.1 97.0 -1.0 1028 5.2
16500 2.1 35.8 180 9 5 7.4 4.1 35.7 96.3 -1.4 981 5.0
16000 3.2 37.8 180 8 4 7.4 4.1 35.3 95.6 -1.8 934 4.7
15500 4.2 39.6 175 7 4 7.3 4.0 34.9 94.8 -2.2 888 4.5
15000 5.3 41.5 165 6 3 7.2 3.9 34.5 94.1 -2.7 842 4.3
14500 6.4 43.5 155 5 3 8.4 4.6 34.2 93.5 -3.0 793 4.0
14000 7.6 45.7 145 4 2 8.3 4.6 33.9 93.1 -3.3 743 3.8
13500 8.8 47.8 130 3 2 8.4 4.6 33.7 92.7 -3.5 692 3.5
13000 10.0 50.0 120 3 1 8.4 4.6 33.5 92.3 -3.8 640 3.3
12500 11.2 52.2 105 2 1 8.3 4.6 33.3 91.9 -4.0 588 3.0
12000 12.5 54.5 100 1 1 8.2 4.5 33.0 91.5 -4.3 537 2.7
11500 13.7 56.7 000 0 0 8.2 4.5 32.8 91.1 -4.6 486 2.5
11000 14.9 58.8 290 1 0 8.1 4.4 32.6 90.6 -4.8 435 2.2
10500 16.1 61.0 275 2 1 8.7 4.8 32.4 90.3 -5.1 383 1.9
10250 16.7 62.1 270 2 1 8.0 4.4 32.3 90.1 -5.2 357 1.8
10000 17.3 63.1 270 2 1 7.7 4.2 32.1 89.8 -5.4 333 1.7
9750 17.9 64.2 270 3 1 8.3 4.5 32.0 89.5 -5.6 308 1.6
9500 18.4 65.1 270 3 2 6.4 3.5 31.8 89.3 -5.7 284 1.4
9250 18.8 65.8 280 3 2 5.8 3.2 31.5 88.6 -6.1 266 1.4
9000 19.3 66.7 280 3 2 7.0 3.8 31.2 88.2 -6.4 244 1.2
8750 19.8 67.6 285 4 2 7.4 4.1 31.0 87.8 -6.6 222 1.1
8500 20.3 68.5 285 4 2 4.5 2.5 30.8 87.5 -6.9 200 1.0
8250 20.5 68.9 295 3 2 3.3 1.8 30.3 86.5 -7.4 186 0.9
8000 21.2 70.2 310 3 2 5.2 2.8 29.6 85.2 -8.2 150 0.8
7750 21.5 70.7 315 3 2 4.8 2.6 29.2 84.6 -8.6 132 0.7
7500 21.8 71.2 320 3 2 4.1 2.2 28.8 83.8 -9.1 116 0.6
7250 22.1 71.8 330 3 1 3.8 2.1 28.4 83.1 -9.5 101 0.5
7000 22.3 72.1 340 2 1 4.0 2.2 27.9 82.2 -10.1 87 0.4
6750 22.6 72.7 350 2 1 5.2 2.9 27.5 81.5 -10.5 70 0.4
6500 23.0 73.4 005 2 1 5.8 3.2 27.2 81.0 -10.9 51 0.3
6250 23.4 74.1 020 1 1 5.4 3.0 26.9 80.4 -11.2 32 0.2
6000 23.7 74.7 035 2 1 3.7 2.1 26.5 79.7 -11.7 15 0.1
5750 23.7 74.7 060 2 1 -3.9 -2.2 25.8 78.5 -12.4 7 0.0
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/26/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/26/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +198.0 LI... -1.5 | CAPE... +459.9 LI... -2.0
CINH... -99.0 K Index... +30.1 | CINH... -27.4 K Index... +29.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.8 -90.0 090 23 12 3.4 1.9 | -68.0 -90.4 100 25 13 4.1 2.2
45000 -59.8 -75.6 095 25 13 7.7 4.2 | -59.5 -75.1 100 26 13 7.7 4.2
40000 -47.4 -53.3 100 16 8 8.2 4.5 | -47.2 -53.0 095 17 9 8.1 4.5
38000 -42.4 -44.3 105 13 7 8.2 4.5 | -42.3 -44.1 100 15 8 8.1 4.5
36000 -37.5 -35.5 110 11 5 8.1 4.5 | -37.5 -35.5 110 13 7 8.0 4.4
34000 -32.6 -26.7 135 10 5 8.1 4.5 | -32.7 -26.9 125 11 6 8.0 4.4
32000 -27.8 -18.0 155 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -27.9 -18.2 140 10 5 7.8 4.3
30000 -23.0 -9.4 145 10 5 8.0 4.4 | -23.2 -9.8 140 12 6 7.9 4.3
29000 -20.6 -5.1 135 10 5 8.0 4.4 | -20.8 -5.4 145 13 7 7.8 4.3
28000 -18.5 -1.3 135 10 5 6.3 3.4 | -18.5 -1.3 145 13 7 7.2 4.0
27000 -16.6 2.1 140 10 5 6.2 3.4 | -16.4 2.5 145 12 6 7.2 4.0
26000 -14.3 6.3 140 9 5 6.3 3.4 | -13.7 7.3 150 11 5 7.2 4.0
25000 -12.4 9.7 145 8 4 6.5 3.6 | -11.7 10.9 150 9 5 5.9 3.2
24000 -10.5 13.1 150 7 4 6.6 3.6 | -10.0 14.0 145 8 4 6.0 3.3
23000 -8.6 16.5 160 6 3 6.7 3.7 | -8.3 17.1 140 6 3 6.1 3.3
22000 -6.8 19.8 170 5 3 5.4 2.9 | -6.7 19.9 130 5 3 5.3 2.9
21000 -5.3 22.5 190 3 2 5.5 3.0 | -5.2 22.6 115 4 2 5.4 2.9
20000 -3.7 25.3 240 2 1 5.6 3.0 | -3.7 25.3 095 3 2 5.5 3.0
19500 -3.0 26.6 255 2 1 4.4 2.4 | -2.9 26.8 085 3 2 4.9 2.7
19000 -2.4 27.7 225 2 1 4.2 2.3 | -2.3 27.9 090 3 1 4.9 2.7
18500 -1.9 28.6 200 3 1 4.3 2.4 | -1.6 29.1 100 2 1 5.0 2.7
18000 -1.1 30.0 190 3 2 6.5 3.6 | -0.8 30.6 125 1 1 6.1 3.4
17500 -0.2 31.6 185 4 2 6.4 3.5 | 0.1 32.2 160 2 1 6.0 3.3
17000 0.7 33.3 185 4 2 7.1 3.9 | 1.0 33.8 180 2 1 7.2 4.0
16500 1.8 35.2 180 4 2 7.4 4.1 | 2.1 35.8 180 3 1 7.6 4.2
16000 2.9 37.2 180 3 2 7.5 4.1 | 3.2 37.8 180 3 2 7.8 4.3
15500 4.0 39.2 175 3 1 7.9 4.3 | 4.4 39.9 175 3 2 8.4 4.6
15000 5.1 41.2 165 3 1 7.8 4.3 | 5.6 42.1 165 3 1 8.4 4.6
14500 6.2 43.2 155 2 1 8.2 4.5 | 6.8 44.2 160 3 1 8.6 4.7
14000 7.4 45.3 155 2 1 8.1 4.5 | 8.1 46.6 145 2 1 8.6 4.7
13500 8.6 47.5 155 2 1 8.4 4.6 | 9.3 48.7 135 2 1 8.2 4.5
13000 9.8 49.6 170 2 1 8.4 4.6 | 10.5 50.9 145 2 1 8.1 4.4
12500 11.1 52.0 190 2 1 8.3 4.5 | 11.6 52.9 160 1 1 7.7 4.2
12000 12.3 54.1 205 3 1 8.2 4.5 | 12.7 54.9 200 2 1 7.5 4.1
11500 13.5 56.3 215 3 2 8.0 4.4 | 13.8 56.8 225 2 1 7.1 3.9
11000 14.6 58.3 225 3 2 7.7 4.2 | 14.7 58.5 235 3 2 6.5 3.6
10500 15.8 60.4 230 4 2 8.1 4.5 | 15.7 60.3 235 4 2 7.7 4.2
10250 16.3 61.3 235 4 2 7.3 4.0 | 16.2 61.2 235 5 2 8.0 4.4
10000 16.8 62.2 235 4 2 7.1 3.9 | 16.8 62.2 235 5 3 8.0 4.4
9750 17.4 63.3 240 4 2 7.8 4.3 | 17.4 63.3 235 5 3 7.9 4.4
9500 17.9 64.2 245 4 2 5.1 2.8 | 17.9 64.2 235 5 3 8.1 4.5
9250 18.1 64.6 250 3 2 4.2 2.3 | 18.5 65.3 235 5 3 9.2 5.0
9000 18.5 65.3 260 3 2 6.0 3.3 | 19.2 66.6 235 5 3 9.5 5.2
8750 18.9 66.0 265 3 1 6.0 3.3 | 20.7 69.3 235 6 3 8.0 4.4
8500 19.6 67.3 285 3 1 4.3 2.3 | 21.2 70.2 235 5 3 8.6 4.7
8250 19.9 67.8 290 2 1 6.1 3.3 | 22.0 71.6 235 6 3 11.0 6.0
8000 20.3 68.5 295 2 1 5.8 3.2 | 22.8 73.0 235 6 3 10.5 5.8
7750 20.7 69.3 295 2 1 5.5 3.0 | 23.5 74.3 235 6 3 9.3 5.1
7500 21.1 70.0 290 2 1 6.2 3.4 | 24.2 75.6 235 6 3 9.0 4.9
7250 21.6 70.9 290 2 1 8.8 4.8 | 24.9 76.8 235 6 3 11.0 6.1
7000 22.3 72.1 285 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 25.8 78.4 235 6 3 11.3 6.2
6750 23.0 73.4 280 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 26.6 79.9 235 6 3 10.4 5.7
6500 23.7 74.7 275 2 1 9.4 5.2 | 27.3 81.1 235 6 3 10.4 5.7
6250 24.4 75.9 270 2 1 9.5 5.2 | 28.1 82.6 235 6 3 9.9 5.4
6000 25.2 77.4 270 2 1 12.4 6.8 | 28.9 84.0 235 6 3 14.9 8.2
5750 26.6 79.9 260 2 1 28.5 15.6 | 31.1 88.0 235 6 3 53.6 29.4
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/26/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/26/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +433.6 LI... -1.8 | CAPE... +265.3 LI... -1.3
CINH... -6.0 K Index... +29.2 | CINH... -8.4 K Index... +31.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.1 -90.6 100 26 13 4.3 2.3 | -67.7 -89.9 090 25 13 4.2 2.3
45000 -59.5 -75.1 100 25 13 7.5 4.1 | -59.0 -74.2 085 23 12 7.7 4.2
40000 -47.3 -53.1 085 17 9 8.3 4.6 | -46.7 -52.1 070 18 9 7.9 4.3
38000 -42.3 -44.1 090 15 8 8.3 4.6 | -42.0 -43.6 080 17 9 7.9 4.3
36000 -37.4 -35.3 095 13 7 8.0 4.4 | -37.3 -35.1 090 16 8 7.8 4.3
34000 -32.6 -26.7 100 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -32.6 -26.7 090 13 7 7.8 4.3
32000 -27.8 -18.0 105 9 4 7.6 4.2 | -28.0 -18.4 090 10 5 7.6 4.2
30000 -23.2 -9.8 135 11 6 7.7 4.2 | -23.3 -9.9 140 11 6 7.7 4.2
29000 -20.9 -5.6 145 13 7 7.7 4.2 | -21.0 -5.8 155 13 7 7.7 4.2
28000 -18.6 -1.5 150 14 7 7.2 3.9 | -18.7 -1.7 165 15 8 7.8 4.3
27000 -16.5 2.3 155 13 7 7.2 3.9 | -16.3 2.7 165 14 7 7.8 4.3
26000 -14.3 6.3 165 12 6 7.2 3.9 | -14.0 6.8 170 14 7 7.8 4.3
25000 -11.8 10.8 165 11 6 6.3 3.5 | -11.3 11.7 175 13 7 6.2 3.4
24000 -9.9 14.2 155 8 4 6.5 3.6 | -9.4 15.1 175 11 6 6.3 3.5
23000 -8.1 17.4 140 6 3 6.7 3.7 | -7.6 18.3 175 9 5 6.5 3.6
22000 -6.4 20.5 120 5 3 5.2 2.8 | -5.9 21.4 175 7 4 5.0 2.7
21000 -4.9 23.2 110 4 2 5.3 2.9 | -4.5 23.9 175 6 3 5.2 2.9
20000 -3.4 25.9 090 3 2 5.4 2.9 | -3.1 26.4 170 5 3 5.4 2.9
19500 -2.6 27.3 080 3 2 6.0 3.3 | -2.4 27.7 175 5 3 5.5 3.0
19000 -1.7 28.9 075 4 2 6.1 3.4 | -1.6 29.1 185 5 3 5.5 3.0
18500 -0.9 30.4 070 4 2 6.2 3.4 | -0.8 30.6 190 6 3 5.6 3.1
18000 0.1 32.2 070 4 2 6.8 3.8 | 0.0 32.0 195 6 3 6.5 3.6
17500 1.1 34.0 075 4 2 6.8 3.7 | 0.9 33.6 205 6 3 6.5 3.5
17000 2.1 35.8 075 4 2 7.3 4.0 | 1.9 35.4 210 7 3 7.3 4.0
16500 3.2 37.8 080 4 2 7.5 4.1 | 2.9 37.2 215 7 4 7.7 4.2
16000 4.2 39.6 085 3 2 7.3 4.0 | 4.0 39.2 220 7 4 7.9 4.4
15500 5.2 41.4 105 2 1 6.8 3.7 | 5.2 41.4 225 7 4 8.8 4.8
15000 6.2 43.2 155 2 1 6.7 3.7 | 6.5 43.7 225 7 4 8.7 4.8
14500 7.2 45.0 190 3 1 8.2 4.5 | 7.8 46.0 230 7 4 9.4 5.2
14000 8.3 46.9 210 4 2 8.1 4.5 | 9.2 48.6 230 7 4 9.4 5.2
13500 9.5 49.1 215 5 3 8.8 4.8 | 10.6 51.1 230 8 4 9.6 5.2
13000 10.8 51.4 215 6 3 9.0 4.9 | 12.0 53.6 235 8 4 9.6 5.3
12500 12.1 53.8 220 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 13.4 56.1 235 7 4 9.6 5.3
12000 13.5 56.3 220 7 3 9.5 5.2 | 14.8 58.6 235 7 4 9.5 5.2
11500 14.9 58.8 220 7 4 9.3 5.1 | 16.3 61.3 235 7 4 9.3 5.1
11000 16.3 61.3 220 7 4 8.8 4.8 | 17.6 63.7 235 7 4 8.7 4.8
10500 17.7 63.9 225 7 4 10.6 5.8 | 19.0 66.2 235 7 3 10.5 5.8
10250 18.5 65.3 225 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 19.8 67.6 235 7 3 9.7 5.3
10000 19.2 66.6 225 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 20.5 68.9 235 6 3 9.6 5.3
9750 19.9 67.8 225 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 21.2 70.2 235 6 3 9.4 5.2
9500 20.6 69.1 225 8 4 10.5 5.7 | 21.9 71.4 235 6 3 10.2 5.6
9250 21.4 70.5 225 8 4 10.7 5.9 | 22.7 72.9 235 6 3 10.1 5.5
9000 22.1 71.8 225 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 23.4 74.1 235 6 3 9.0 4.9
8750 22.9 73.2 225 9 4 10.2 5.6 | 24.1 75.4 235 6 3 9.9 5.4
8500 23.6 74.5 225 9 4 8.2 4.5 | 24.8 76.6 240 6 3 7.6 4.2
8250 24.9 76.8 225 9 5 11.1 6.1 | 26.1 79.0 240 5 3 10.8 5.9
8000 25.7 78.3 225 9 5 10.8 5.9 | 26.8 80.2 240 5 2 10.5 5.8
7750 26.5 79.7 225 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 27.6 81.7 245 5 2 9.2 5.1
7500 27.2 81.0 225 9 5 9.1 5.0 | 28.2 82.8 245 4 2 8.2 4.5
7250 27.9 82.2 225 9 5 11.0 6.0 | 28.9 84.0 250 4 2 9.7 5.3
7000 28.8 83.8 225 9 5 11.3 6.2 | 29.6 85.3 255 4 2 10.1 5.5
6750 29.6 85.3 225 9 5 10.3 5.7 | 30.4 86.7 260 4 2 9.8 5.4
6500 30.3 86.5 225 9 5 10.1 5.6 | 31.1 88.0 260 3 2 9.9 5.4
6250 31.1 88.0 225 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 31.8 89.2 260 3 2 9.5 5.2
6000 31.9 89.4 225 9 5 16.0 8.8 | 32.6 90.7 265 3 2 12.3 6.8
5750 34.5 94.1 225 9 4 66.0 36.2 | 34.1 93.4 265 3 1 34.4 18.9
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0723 MDT Sunday July 26 2026
This forecast is for Sunday, July 26, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 82.6 F/28.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1308 ft/min (6.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18601 ft MSL (12156 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 94.0 F/34.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15273 ft MSL (8828 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/27....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:08:21 / 20:13:32 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 5 min 11 sec (845 min 11 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:57 MDT... 73.51 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/26/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 17387 ft MSL (10942 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15218 ft MSL (8773 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16588 ft MSL (10143 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.9
K index......................... +29.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.6 -89.7 080 18 9 3.5 1.9 71.1 159.9 21.9 M M
45000 -59.5 -75.1 080 19 10 7.8 4.3 61.1 142.0 17.1 M M
40000 -47.2 -53.0 100 10 5 8.1 4.4 56.9 134.5 15.4 M M
38000 -42.3 -44.1 095 10 5 8.1 4.4 55.5 131.9 14.8 M M
36000 -37.5 -35.5 100 9 5 8.3 4.5 54.3 129.8 14.3 M M
34000 -32.5 -26.5 130 9 5 8.3 4.5 53.0 127.4 13.7 M M
32000 -27.6 -17.7 150 10 5 7.5 4.1 52.0 125.5 13.2 M M
30000 -23.1 -9.6 165 9 5 7.6 4.2 50.1 122.2 12.0 M M
29000 -20.8 -5.4 175 9 5 7.6 4.2 49.4 120.9 11.6 M M
28000 -18.7 -1.7 175 9 5 6.7 3.7 48.4 119.2 10.9 M M
27000 -16.7 1.9 175 9 5 6.7 3.7 47.2 116.9 10.0 M M
26000 -14.3 6.3 170 9 5 6.7 3.7 45.8 114.5 9.0 M M
25000 -12.3 9.9 165 9 5 6.2 3.4 44.7 112.5 8.2 M M
24000 -10.5 13.1 160 8 4 6.3 3.4 43.4 110.1 7.1 M M
23000 -8.7 16.3 150 8 4 6.3 3.4 42.1 107.9 6.1 M M
22000 -7.1 19.2 145 7 3 4.5 2.5 40.8 105.4 4.9 M M
21000 -5.8 21.6 150 6 3 4.7 2.6 38.9 102.0 3.2 M M
20000 -4.5 23.9 155 5 2 4.7 2.6 37.2 98.9 1.7 M M
19500 -3.8 25.2 155 4 2 5.9 3.2 36.4 97.6 1.0 M M
19000 -2.9 26.8 145 4 2 6.3 3.5 35.8 96.5 0.4 M M
18500 -1.9 28.6 125 4 2 6.4 3.5 35.3 95.5 -0.1 1100 5.6
18000 -1.1 30.0 115 5 2 5.6 3.1 34.6 94.3 -0.7 1059 5.4
17500 -0.2 31.6 110 6 3 5.7 3.1 33.9 93.1 -1.3 1019 5.2
17000 0.6 33.1 105 7 4 7.1 3.9 33.3 91.9 -1.9 979 5.0
16500 1.7 35.1 105 7 4 7.9 4.4 33.0 91.4 -2.3 931 4.7
16000 2.9 37.2 100 7 4 8.1 4.5 32.7 90.9 -2.7 883 4.5
15500 4.1 39.4 095 7 4 9.0 4.9 32.5 90.5 -2.9 831 4.2
15000 5.4 41.7 085 7 3 9.0 4.9 32.4 90.3 -3.1 777 3.9
14500 6.7 44.1 075 6 3 8.6 4.7 32.2 90.0 -3.3 724 3.7
14000 7.9 46.2 060 6 3 8.6 4.7 32.1 89.7 -3.5 671 3.4
13500 9.2 48.6 045 6 3 8.0 4.4 31.9 89.4 -3.7 619 3.1
13000 10.3 50.5 025 5 3 7.7 4.2 31.5 88.7 -4.1 571 2.9
12500 11.4 52.5 005 5 3 7.7 4.2 31.2 88.2 -4.4 523 2.7
12000 12.5 54.5 345 5 3 7.8 4.3 30.9 87.6 -4.8 474 2.4
11500 13.7 56.7 330 6 3 7.2 4.0 30.6 87.0 -5.1 426 2.2
11000 14.7 58.5 320 6 3 7.9 4.3 30.2 86.3 -5.6 379 1.9
10500 16.4 61.5 310 6 3 6.8 3.7 29.7 85.4 -6.1 308 1.6
10250 16.8 62.2 310 6 3 6.5 3.5 29.4 85.0 -6.4 286 1.5
10000 17.3 63.1 310 6 3 6.7 3.7 29.2 84.5 -6.7 265 1.3
9750 17.8 64.0 310 6 3 6.1 3.3 28.9 84.1 -6.9 243 1.2
9500 18.1 64.6 305 6 3 4.8 2.6 28.6 83.5 -7.3 225 1.1
9250 18.4 65.1 300 6 3 4.7 2.6 28.2 82.8 -7.8 208 1.1
9000 18.8 65.8 300 6 3 5.0 2.7 27.8 82.1 -8.2 191 1.0
8750 19.1 66.4 300 6 3 4.9 2.7 27.5 81.5 -8.6 173 0.9
8500 19.5 67.1 295 6 3 4.7 2.6 27.1 80.8 -9.0 156 0.8
8250 19.8 67.6 295 7 4 5.1 2.8 26.7 80.1 -9.4 139 0.7
8000 20.2 68.4 290 7 4 5.8 3.2 26.4 79.5 -9.8 120 0.6
7750 20.6 69.1 290 7 4 5.7 3.1 26.1 79.0 -10.1 100 0.5
7500 21.0 69.8 295 6 3 5.1 2.8 25.8 78.4 -10.5 81 0.4
7250 21.3 70.3 295 6 3 5.6 3.1 25.4 77.8 -10.9 62 0.3
7000 21.7 71.1 295 6 3 4.3 2.4 25.1 77.2 -11.2 43 0.2
6750 21.8 71.2 300 5 2 -4.0 -2.2 24.5 76.0 -11.9 34 0.2
6500 20.9 69.6 325 3 2 -23.2 -12.7 22.8 73.0 -13.6 55 0.3
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/26/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/26/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +83.6 LI... -1.8 | CAPE... +527.5 LI... -2.2
CINH... -106.1 K Index... +28.5 | CINH... -13.4 K Index... +28.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.6 -89.7 095 20 10 3.5 1.9 | -67.8 -90.0 105 22 11 4.3 2.4
45000 -59.6 -75.3 100 20 11 7.7 4.2 | -58.8 -73.8 100 20 10 7.3 4.0
40000 -47.3 -53.1 100 11 6 8.3 4.5 | -47.4 -53.3 085 11 6 8.3 4.5
38000 -42.4 -44.3 105 12 6 8.3 4.5 | -42.4 -44.3 105 12 6 8.3 4.5
36000 -37.4 -35.3 115 12 6 8.0 4.4 | -37.5 -35.5 115 12 6 7.9 4.4
34000 -32.6 -26.7 150 8 4 8.0 4.4 | -32.7 -26.9 140 8 4 7.9 4.4
32000 -27.8 -18.0 185 9 5 7.7 4.2 | -28.0 -18.4 180 7 4 7.8 4.3
30000 -23.2 -9.8 170 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -23.3 -9.9 165 10 5 7.8 4.3
29000 -20.9 -5.6 165 8 4 7.8 4.3 | -20.9 -5.6 160 11 6 7.8 4.3
28000 -18.7 -1.7 160 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -18.1 -0.6 160 11 6 7.3 4.0
27000 -16.1 3.0 155 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -15.9 3.4 155 11 6 7.3 4.0
26000 -14.0 6.8 155 8 4 7.1 3.9 | -13.7 7.3 155 10 5 7.3 4.0
25000 -12.0 10.4 150 9 4 5.5 3.0 | -11.7 10.9 155 10 5 5.9 3.2
24000 -10.4 13.3 150 9 4 5.6 3.1 | -10.0 14.0 155 10 5 6.0 3.3
23000 -8.8 16.2 145 9 4 5.7 3.1 | -8.2 17.2 150 9 5 6.0 3.3
22000 -7.2 19.0 145 8 4 4.9 2.7 | -6.6 20.1 145 8 4 5.2 2.8
21000 -5.9 21.4 150 5 3 5.1 2.8 | -5.1 22.8 135 6 3 5.4 2.9
20000 -4.5 23.9 170 3 1 5.1 2.8 | -3.6 25.5 120 5 3 5.5 3.0
19500 -3.7 25.3 190 2 1 6.9 3.8 | -2.9 26.8 105 4 2 5.7 3.1
19000 -2.6 27.3 195 2 1 7.4 4.1 | -2.1 28.2 080 4 2 5.7 3.2
18500 -1.6 29.1 205 2 1 7.4 4.1 | -1.3 29.7 060 4 2 5.8 3.2
18000 -0.6 30.9 205 2 1 5.5 3.0 | -0.5 31.1 050 5 3 6.0 3.3
17500 0.2 32.4 200 1 1 5.7 3.1 | 0.4 32.7 045 5 3 6.0 3.3
17000 1.1 34.0 190 1 1 6.4 3.5 | 1.3 34.3 040 6 3 6.9 3.8
16500 2.1 35.8 155 2 1 6.8 3.7 | 2.4 36.3 045 5 3 7.4 4.1
16000 3.0 37.4 135 2 1 7.2 4.0 | 3.4 38.1 045 5 3 7.7 4.2
15500 4.2 39.6 125 3 2 9.0 4.9 | 4.6 40.3 050 5 3 8.7 4.8
15000 5.5 41.9 115 4 2 8.9 4.9 | 5.9 42.6 055 4 2 8.6 4.7
14500 6.8 44.2 105 5 2 9.3 5.1 | 7.1 44.8 060 4 2 9.1 5.0
14000 8.2 46.8 095 5 2 9.3 5.1 | 8.5 47.3 065 4 2 9.1 5.0
13500 9.6 49.3 085 5 3 8.8 4.8 | 9.8 49.6 065 3 2 8.6 4.7
13000 10.8 51.4 065 5 3 8.6 4.7 | 11.0 51.8 060 2 1 8.5 4.6
12500 12.1 53.8 050 5 3 8.2 4.5 | 12.3 54.1 050 2 1 8.2 4.5
12000 13.3 55.9 040 5 3 8.0 4.4 | 13.4 56.1 350 1 1 7.9 4.3
11500 14.4 57.9 025 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 14.6 58.3 310 2 1 8.7 4.8
11000 16.2 61.2 010 6 3 7.7 4.2 | 16.2 61.2 290 4 2 7.0 3.8
10500 17.1 62.8 360 6 3 6.0 3.3 | 17.3 63.1 285 5 3 8.9 4.9
10250 17.6 63.7 355 6 3 6.6 3.6 | 17.9 64.2 280 6 3 8.9 4.9
10000 18.0 64.4 355 7 3 6.7 3.7 | 18.6 65.5 280 6 3 8.8 4.9
9750 18.5 65.3 350 7 4 5.9 3.2 | 19.2 66.6 275 6 3 9.1 5.0
9500 18.8 65.8 350 7 4 4.3 2.4 | 19.9 67.8 275 6 3 9.6 5.2
9250 19.1 66.4 350 7 3 4.2 2.3 | 20.6 69.1 275 6 3 9.6 5.3
9000 19.4 66.9 350 7 4 4.4 2.4 | 21.3 70.3 270 7 3 9.5 5.2
8750 19.7 67.5 350 7 4 4.6 2.5 | 22.0 71.6 270 7 4 9.7 5.3
8500 20.0 68.0 350 7 3 4.5 2.4 | 22.8 73.0 270 7 4 9.8 5.4
8250 20.3 68.5 345 6 3 5.8 3.2 | 23.5 74.3 270 7 4 10.0 5.5
8000 20.9 69.6 340 6 3 8.0 4.4 | 24.2 75.6 265 7 4 10.1 5.6
7750 21.5 70.7 340 6 3 9.0 5.0 | 25.0 77.0 265 7 4 10.4 5.7
7500 22.2 72.0 335 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 25.8 78.4 265 7 4 10.7 5.9
7250 22.9 73.2 335 6 3 9.2 5.0 | 26.6 79.9 265 7 4 10.5 5.7
7000 23.6 74.5 330 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 27.4 81.3 265 7 4 11.2 6.1
6750 24.5 76.1 325 5 3 15.0 8.3 | 28.4 83.1 260 7 4 18.7 10.3
6500 25.9 78.6 320 5 2 23.3 12.8 | 30.6 87.1 260 7 4 45.7 25.1
07/26/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/26/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +468.9 LI... -1.9 | CAPE... +275.6 LI... -0.5
CINH... -7.5 K Index... +33.7 | CINH... -48.6 K Index... +30.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -68.2 -90.8 100 19 10 4.5 2.5 | -67.6 -89.7 090 19 10 4.1 2.2
45000 -59.4 -74.9 100 17 9 7.5 4.1 | -58.9 -74.0 080 15 8 7.9 4.3
40000 -47.2 -53.0 075 10 5 8.5 4.6 | -46.5 -51.7 050 12 6 7.9 4.3
38000 -42.1 -43.8 090 10 5 8.5 4.7 | -41.8 -43.2 070 12 6 7.9 4.3
36000 -37.2 -35.0 100 9 5 7.8 4.3 | -37.1 -34.8 085 12 6 7.5 4.1
34000 -32.5 -26.5 095 5 3 7.8 4.3 | -32.6 -26.7 080 9 5 7.5 4.1
32000 -27.8 -18.0 090 2 1 7.9 4.3 | -28.1 -18.6 075 6 3 8.0 4.4
30000 -23.0 -9.4 165 5 3 7.9 4.3 | -23.3 -9.9 130 3 2 8.0 4.4
29000 -20.7 -5.3 175 7 4 7.9 4.3 | -20.9 -5.6 165 4 2 8.0 4.4
28000 -18.4 -1.1 175 9 5 7.3 4.0 | -18.5 -1.3 180 5 3 7.9 4.3
27000 -15.6 3.9 180 10 5 7.3 4.0 | -15.6 3.9 190 6 3 7.9 4.3
26000 -13.5 7.7 185 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -13.2 8.2 195 7 4 7.8 4.3
25000 -11.4 11.5 185 11 6 6.0 3.3 | -11.0 12.2 200 8 4 7.1 3.9
24000 -9.6 14.7 175 10 5 6.1 3.4 | -8.9 16.0 200 8 4 7.1 3.9
23000 -7.9 17.8 160 9 4 6.2 3.4 | -6.7 19.9 200 8 4 7.1 3.9
22000 -6.2 20.8 145 8 4 5.1 2.8 | -4.9 23.2 195 7 4 4.9 2.7
21000 -4.8 23.4 125 8 4 5.3 2.9 | -3.4 25.9 170 5 3 5.3 2.9
20000 -3.3 26.1 105 8 4 5.5 3.0 | -2.0 28.4 125 5 3 5.6 3.1
19500 -2.6 27.3 100 8 4 5.1 2.8 | -1.3 29.7 110 6 3 5.0 2.8
19000 -2.0 28.4 095 7 4 5.0 2.8 | -0.7 30.7 110 6 3 4.7 2.6
18500 -1.4 29.5 095 6 3 5.2 2.8 | -0.1 31.8 110 7 3 4.6 2.5
18000 -0.6 30.9 095 4 2 7.3 4.0 | 0.7 33.3 115 6 3 7.5 4.1
17500 0.4 32.7 105 3 2 7.1 3.9 | 1.7 35.1 125 6 3 7.3 4.0
17000 1.4 34.5 120 2 1 7.4 4.1 | 2.7 36.9 140 6 3 7.0 3.8
16500 2.5 36.5 145 2 1 7.6 4.2 | 3.6 38.5 160 7 3 6.7 3.7
16000 3.6 38.5 175 2 1 7.8 4.3 | 4.6 40.3 175 8 4 6.7 3.7
15500 4.9 40.8 195 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 5.6 42.1 190 9 4 7.7 4.2
15000 6.2 43.2 210 3 1 9.2 5.0 | 6.7 44.1 200 10 5 7.6 4.2
14500 7.6 45.7 220 3 2 9.3 5.1 | 7.9 46.2 205 11 5 8.2 4.5
14000 9.0 48.2 225 3 2 9.3 5.1 | 9.1 48.4 210 11 6 8.3 4.6
13500 10.4 50.7 230 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 215 12 6 8.7 4.7
13000 11.8 53.2 230 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 11.6 52.9 220 12 6 8.9 4.9
12500 13.2 55.8 235 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 13.0 55.4 225 13 7 8.9 4.9
12000 14.6 58.3 235 5 2 9.4 5.1 | 14.3 57.7 225 13 7 8.9 4.9
11500 16.0 60.8 240 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 15.6 60.1 230 13 7 9.3 5.1
11000 18.2 64.8 245 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 17.7 63.9 230 13 7 9.4 5.1
10500 19.5 67.1 245 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 19.0 66.2 235 12 6 8.8 4.9
10250 20.3 68.5 250 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 19.7 67.5 240 12 6 9.5 5.2
10000 21.0 69.8 250 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 20.4 68.7 240 11 6 9.4 5.1
9750 21.7 71.1 250 7 3 9.7 5.3 | 21.1 70.0 245 11 6 9.2 5.1
9500 22.4 72.3 250 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 21.7 71.1 245 11 5 8.5 4.6
9250 23.1 73.6 255 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 22.3 72.1 250 10 5 8.8 4.8
9000 23.8 74.8 255 7 4 9.2 5.1 | 23.0 73.4 250 10 5 9.4 5.2
8750 24.5 76.1 255 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 23.7 74.7 255 9 5 9.2 5.1
8500 25.2 77.4 260 8 4 10.1 5.6 | 24.4 75.9 255 9 5 9.5 5.2
8250 26.0 78.8 260 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 25.1 77.2 260 9 4 9.3 5.1
8000 26.7 80.1 260 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 25.8 78.4 260 8 4 8.7 4.8
7750 27.3 81.1 265 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 26.4 79.5 265 7 4 8.8 4.8
7500 28.0 82.4 265 9 4 10.2 5.6 | 27.1 80.8 265 7 3 9.1 5.0
7250 28.8 83.8 270 9 5 10.7 5.9 | 27.8 82.0 270 6 3 9.2 5.1
7000 29.5 85.1 270 9 5 8.3 4.6 | 28.4 83.1 270 6 3 8.2 4.5
6750 30.2 86.4 270 9 4 12.5 6.9 | 29.0 84.2 270 5 3 9.0 4.9
6500 32.5 90.5 270 8 4 64.6 35.4 | 30.1 86.2 270 4 2 24.6 13.5
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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