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Tracking Major Hurricane Erin; Hot in the Mid-Mississippi Valley

Major Hurricane Erin is tracking just north of the lower Bahamas today. Dangerous surf and rip current threats increase this week for most of the Atlantic coastline. Erin's outerbands may impact the Outer Banks later this week. Hot to extremely hot temperatures are forecast today and Tuesday from a part of the southern Plains into the central to lower Mississippi River Valley. Read More >

 

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Latest Soaring Forecasts
 

Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0724 MDT Monday August 18 2025

This forecast is for Monday, August 18, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 78.5 F/25.8 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1304 ft/min (6.6 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 18493 ft MSL (12159 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15985 ft MSL (9651 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 08/19...... Excellent


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:26:52 / 19:48:38 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 21 min 46 sec (801 min 46 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:45 MDT... 67.78 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/18/2025 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 16026 ft MSL (9692 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14393 ft MSL (8059 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16040 ft MSL (9705 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.0
K index......................... +29.3

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -68.2 -90.8   245    7    4   2.0   1.1   72.9 163.2    24.1      M    M
 45000  -61.7 -79.1   275   20   10   7.7   4.2   59.2 138.6    17.2      M    M
 40000  -50.0 -58.0   280   25   13   8.1   4.5   55.2 131.3    15.6      M    M
 38000  -45.1 -49.2   280   27   14   8.1   4.5   53.6 128.5    15.0      M    M
 36000  -40.3 -40.5   275   28   14   8.0   4.4   52.7 126.8    14.6      M    M
 34000  -35.5 -31.9   275   27   14   7.9   4.3   50.8 123.5    13.7      M    M
 32000  -30.2 -22.4   270   26   13   7.2   4.0   49.4 121.0    13.0      M    M
 30000  -26.2 -15.2   265   22   11   6.7   3.7   46.8 116.3    11.3      M    M
 29000  -24.2 -11.6   265   20   10   6.8   3.7   45.7 114.3    10.5      M    M
 28000  -22.3  -8.1   260   18    9   5.7   3.2   44.6 112.2     9.7      M    M
 27000  -20.6  -5.1   260   15    8   5.9   3.2   43.0 109.4     8.5      M    M
 26000  -18.9  -2.0   260   13    7   6.0   3.3   41.6 106.9     7.4      M    M
 25000  -17.2   1.0   260   11    5   6.4   3.5   40.4 104.6     6.3      M    M
 24000  -15.2   4.6   260    8    4   6.7   3.7   39.1 102.5     5.4      M    M
 23000  -13.1   8.4   255    5    2   6.7   3.7   38.1 100.5     4.6      M    M
 22000  -11.1  12.0   240    2    1   6.8   3.7   37.1  98.7     3.8      M    M
 21000   -9.1  15.6   150    3    2   6.9   3.8   36.0  96.8     2.9      M    M
 20000   -7.2  19.0   135    6    3   7.0   3.8   35.0  95.0     2.0      M    M
 19500   -6.2  20.8   130    8    4   7.1   3.9   34.6  94.3     1.5      M    M
 19000   -5.3  22.5   130    9    4   5.0   2.7   34.0  93.1     0.9      M    M
 18500   -4.2  24.4   130    9    5   5.3   2.9   32.8  91.0    -0.2   1096  5.6
 18000   -3.5  25.7   125    9    5   4.9   2.7   32.0  89.6    -0.9   1059  5.4
 17500   -2.8  27.0   120    9    4   5.0   2.8   31.2  88.1    -1.7   1023  5.2
 17000   -2.1  28.2   110    8    4   6.7   3.7   30.4  86.8    -2.4    987  5.0
 16500   -0.9  30.4   100    9    4   7.8   4.3   30.1  86.2    -2.7    937  4.8
 16000    0.2  32.4   090    9    5   8.0   4.4   29.8  85.7    -3.0    888  4.5
 15500    1.5  34.7   090    9    4   9.0   4.9   29.6  85.3    -3.3    836  4.2
 15000    2.8  37.0   090    8    4   9.0   5.0   29.5  85.1    -3.4    782  4.0
 14500    4.1  39.4   095    7    4   8.2   4.5   29.3  84.8    -3.6    729  3.7
 14000    5.3  41.5   100    7    3   8.2   4.5   29.1  84.3    -3.9    678  3.4
 13500    6.5  43.7   105    6    3   8.7   4.7   28.9  83.9    -4.2    627  3.2
 13000    7.8  46.0   105    4    2   8.8   4.8   28.7  83.7    -4.4    573  2.9
 12500    9.1  48.4   105    3    2   8.5   4.6   28.6  83.4    -4.5    520  2.6
 12000   10.2  50.4   050    1    0   8.1   4.5   28.3  82.9    -4.9    470  2.4
 11500   11.4  52.5   315    3    1   7.5   4.1   28.1  82.5    -5.2    420  2.1
 11000   12.5  54.5   305    4    2   8.1   4.4   27.7  81.9    -5.6    374  1.9
 10500   13.6  56.5   300    6    3   7.1   3.9   27.4  81.4    -5.9    325  1.7
 10250   14.0  57.2   300    7    4   6.5   3.6   27.2  80.9    -6.2    304  1.5
 10000   14.5  58.1   300    7    4   7.6   4.2   27.0  80.6    -6.5    282  1.4
  9750   15.1  59.2   295    8    4   7.6   4.2   26.8  80.3    -6.7    258  1.3
  9500   15.6  60.1   295    8    4   7.5   4.1   26.6  80.0    -6.9    235  1.2
  9250   16.1  61.0   295    9    4   7.6   4.2   26.5  79.7    -7.1    212  1.1
  9000   16.7  62.1   290    9    4   6.8   3.7   26.3  79.3    -7.3    189  1.0
  8750   17.1  62.8   290    9    4   6.4   3.5   26.0  78.9    -7.6    168  0.9
  8500   17.6  63.7   290    9    5   6.0   3.3   25.8  78.4    -7.9    147  0.7
  8250   18.0  64.4   290    9    4   5.5   3.0   25.5  77.8    -8.3    128  0.6
  8000   18.4  65.1   285    9    4   5.6   3.1   25.1  77.3    -8.6    108  0.6
  7750   18.8  65.8   285    8    4   5.7   3.1   24.8  76.7    -9.0     89  0.5
  7500   19.1  66.4   285    8    4   3.1   1.7   24.5  76.0    -9.4     72  0.4
  7250   19.2  66.6   280    7    3   0.8   0.4   23.8  74.9   -10.0     61  0.3
  7000   19.3  66.7   280    6    3   2.5   1.4   23.2  73.8   -10.7     51  0.3
  6750   19.4  66.9   270    4    2  -2.2  -1.2   22.6  72.7   -11.3     41  0.2
  6500   18.7  65.7   265    3    1 -16.1  -8.9   21.2  70.1   -12.8     54  0.3
  6250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           08/18/2025 at 0900 MDT          |       08/18/2025 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +165.1    LI...       -0.8        | CAPE...  +341.0    LI...       -2.0
CINH...   -86.4    K Index... +29.0        | CINH...    -1.5    K Index... +30.1
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -67.7 -89.9  290   5  3   1.6   0.9 | -67.2 -89.0  280   3  1   1.7   0.9
 45000 -61.7 -79.1  290  17  9   7.5   4.1 | -61.5 -78.7  295  14  7   7.1   3.9
 40000 -50.3 -58.5  285  20 10   8.2   4.5 | -50.5 -58.9  290  19 10   8.2   4.5
 38000 -45.4 -49.7  290  21 11   8.2   4.5 | -45.6 -50.1  290  18  9   8.2   4.5
 36000 -40.5 -40.9  290  22 11   8.0   4.4 | -40.7 -41.3  285  17  9   8.2   4.5
 34000 -35.1 -31.2  285  22 11   8.0   4.4 | -35.1 -31.2  285  16  8   8.2   4.5
 32000 -30.4 -22.7  280  22 11   7.1   3.9 | -30.3 -22.5  280  16  8   7.6   4.2
 30000 -26.4 -15.5  270  20 10   6.7   3.7 | -25.9 -14.6  275  18  9   7.3   4.0
 29000 -24.4 -11.9  265  19 10   6.8   3.7 | -23.7 -10.7  275  19 10   7.3   4.0
 28000 -22.4  -8.3  260  18  9   6.1   3.4 | -21.7  -7.1  270  18  9   5.6   3.1
 27000 -20.6  -5.1  250  15  8   6.3   3.5 | -20.0  -4.0  260  15  8   5.8   3.2
 26000 -18.8  -1.8  235  13  7   6.5   3.6 | -18.3  -0.9  245  11  6   6.0   3.3
 25000 -16.9   1.6  220  12  6   7.2   3.9 | -16.6   2.1  225   9  5   6.7   3.7
 24000 -14.7   5.5  230   9  5   7.4   4.1 | -14.5   5.9  225   7  4   6.8   3.7
 23000 -12.4   9.7  240   6  3   7.4   4.1 | -12.5   9.5  220   5  3   6.8   3.7
 22000 -10.2  13.6  265   4  2   6.9   3.8 | -10.5  13.1  205   3  2   6.6   3.6
 21000  -8.3  17.1  245   4  2   6.7   3.7 |  -8.6  16.5  215   2  1   6.5   3.6
 20000  -6.4  20.5  215   4  2   6.7   3.7 |  -6.7  19.9  260   1  0   6.6   3.6
 19500  -5.4  22.3  200   4  2   6.6   3.6 |  -5.8  21.6  320   1  0   6.3   3.5
 19000  -4.8  23.4  180   4  2   3.4   1.9 |  -4.7  23.5  065   1  1   4.7   2.6
 18500  -4.0  24.8  145   5  2   3.8   2.1 |  -4.1  24.6  080   3  1   4.8   2.6
 18000  -3.4  25.9  130   5  3   5.0   2.7 |  -3.3  26.1  085   4  2   5.7   3.1
 17500  -2.7  27.1  115   6  3   4.9   2.7 |  -2.5  27.5  085   5  2   5.6   3.1
 17000  -2.0  28.4  105   7  4   6.7   3.7 |  -1.7  28.9  085   6  3   6.9   3.8
 16500  -0.9  30.4  100   7  4   7.5   4.1 |  -0.6  30.9  080   6  3   7.3   4.0
 16000   0.2  32.4  095   7  4   7.7   4.2 |   0.4  32.7  070   6  3   7.4   4.1
 15500   1.4  34.5  095   7  4   8.2   4.5 |   1.5  34.7  065   5  3   7.8   4.3
 15000   2.6  36.7  095   6  3   8.2   4.5 |   2.6  36.7  060   5  2   7.7   4.2
 14500   3.8  38.8  095   6  3   8.6   4.7 |   3.8  38.8  060   4  2   8.9   4.9
 14000   5.0  41.0  095   6  3   8.5   4.7 |   5.1  41.2  060   3  2   8.8   4.8
 13500   6.3  43.3  095   6  3   9.0   5.0 |   6.4  43.5  055   3  2   9.2   5.0
 13000   7.7  45.9  085   5  3   9.1   5.0 |   7.7  45.9  055   3  1   9.2   5.1
 12500   9.0  48.2  075   5  3   8.9   4.9 |   9.1  48.4  050   2  1   9.1   5.0
 12000  10.3  50.5  050   5  2   8.7   4.8 |  10.4  50.7  050   2  1   9.1   5.0
 11500  11.6  52.9  030   5  3   7.8   4.3 |  11.7  53.1  050   2  1   8.5   4.7
 11000  12.7  54.9  015   6  3   8.6   4.7 |  13.0  55.4  055   2  1   9.2   5.0
 10500  13.9  57.0  360   6  3   7.2   3.9 |  14.3  57.7  055   2  1   8.3   4.6
 10250  14.3  57.7  360   6  3   6.1   3.4 |  14.9  58.8  060   2  1   8.9   4.9
 10000  14.8  58.6  355   6  3   7.1   3.9 |  15.6  60.1  065   2  1  10.3   5.7
  9750  15.3  59.5  350   6  3   7.2   4.0 |  16.4  61.5  075   2  1  10.0   5.5
  9500  15.8  60.4  345   6  3   6.5   3.6 |  17.1  62.8  080   2  1  10.1   5.5
  9250  16.2  61.2  335   6  3   5.8   3.2 |  17.9  64.2  090   2  1  10.0   5.5
  9000  16.6  61.9  330   6  3   5.7   3.1 |  18.6  65.5  100   2  1   9.4   5.2
  8750  17.0  62.6  325   6  3   5.5   3.0 |  19.3  66.7  105   2  1   9.1   5.0
  8500  17.4  63.3  320   5  3   4.4   2.4 |  20.0  68.0  105   2  1   9.9   5.4
  8250  17.6  63.7  315   5  3   3.4   1.9 |  20.7  69.3  115   2  1  10.5   5.8
  8000  17.9  64.2  310   4  2   3.5   1.9 |  21.5  70.7  120   2  1  10.0   5.5
  7750  18.1  64.6  305   4  2   4.3   2.3 |  22.2  72.0  120   3  1   9.7   5.3
  7500  18.5  65.3  295   3  2   7.4   4.1 |  23.0  73.4  125   3  1  10.1   5.6
  7250  19.1  66.4  290   2  1   9.0   5.0 |  23.7  74.7  125   3  2  10.7   5.9
  7000  19.7  67.5  275   2  1   8.3   4.5 |  24.5  76.1  125   3  2   9.6   5.3
  6750  20.4  68.7  260   2  1  11.0   6.1 |  25.3  77.5  130   4  2  13.5   7.4
  6500  21.4  70.5  250   2  1  16.5   9.1 |  26.7  80.1  130   4  2  23.8  13.1
  6250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           08/18/2025 at 1500 MDT          |       08/18/2025 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +225.7    LI...       -1.7        | CAPE...   +59.3    LI...       -1.4
CINH...    -0.6    K Index... +33.0        | CINH...   -98.6    K Index... +33.1
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -67.3 -89.1  015   3  1   1.6   0.9 | -67.5 -89.5  055   4  2   1.0   0.6
 45000 -61.6 -78.9  310  11  5   7.2   4.0 | -62.0 -79.6  310   7  3   7.7   4.2
 40000 -50.5 -58.9  290  16  8   8.2   4.5 | -50.3 -58.5  300  15  8   8.1   4.4
 38000 -45.6 -50.1  290  17  9   8.2   4.5 | -45.4 -49.7  300  16  8   8.1   4.4
 36000 -40.1 -40.2  285  17  9   8.3   4.5 | -40.0 -40.0  300  16  8   8.5   4.6
 34000 -35.1 -31.2  285  15  8   8.3   4.5 | -34.9 -30.8  300  12  6   8.4   4.6
 32000 -30.2 -22.4  290  12  6   7.7   4.2 | -29.9 -21.8  300   8  4   7.9   4.3
 30000 -25.7 -14.3  280  14  7   7.5   4.1 | -25.3 -13.5  305  10  5   7.7   4.2
 29000 -23.5 -10.3  280  15  8   7.5   4.1 | -23.0  -9.4  305  11  5   7.7   4.2
 28000 -21.4  -6.5  275  15  8   5.9   3.2 | -20.9  -5.6  305  11  6   6.3   3.4
 27000 -19.7  -3.5  265  13  7   6.0   3.3 | -19.1  -2.4  300  11  5   6.3   3.5
 26000 -17.9  -0.2  250  11  6   6.2   3.4 | -17.2   1.0  295  10  5   6.4   3.5
 25000 -16.2   2.8  230  11  5   6.8   3.7 | -15.3   4.5  290  10  5   6.9   3.8
 24000 -14.1   6.6  235   8  4   7.0   3.8 | -13.2   8.2  290   8  4   7.3   4.0
 23000 -12.0  10.4  235   6  3   7.0   3.9 | -11.1  12.0  290   6  3   7.3   4.0
 22000  -9.9  14.2  245   4  2   6.2   3.4 |  -9.0  15.8  290   5  2   6.2   3.4
 21000  -8.2  17.2  320   2  1   5.9   3.2 |  -7.1  19.2  275   4  2   5.5   3.0
 20000  -6.5  20.3  005   5  3   5.9   3.2 |  -5.5  22.1  250   3  2   5.5   3.0
 19500  -5.3  22.5  015   8  4   3.5   1.9 |  -4.7  23.5  240   4  2   5.6   3.1
 19000  -5.0  23.0  020   7  4   2.9   1.6 |  -3.9  25.0  225   5  3   5.7   3.1
 18500  -4.7  23.5  025   7  4   3.2   1.8 |  -3.1  26.4  220   7  3   5.7   3.1
 18000  -3.8  25.2  035   7  4   8.9   4.9 |  -2.3  27.9  215   7  4   6.4   3.5
 17500  -2.6  27.3  040   7  4   8.5   4.7 |  -1.4  29.5  210   7  4   6.4   3.5
 17000  -1.4  29.5  045   7  4   8.5   4.7 |  -0.5  31.1  210   7  4   6.2   3.4
 16500  -0.2  31.6  050   6  3   8.5   4.7 |   0.4  32.7  200   6  3   6.1   3.3
 16000   1.0  33.8  055   6  3   8.6   4.7 |   1.2  34.2  190   6  3   6.1   3.3
 15500   2.3  36.1  060   5  2   8.9   4.9 |   2.1  35.8  190   6  3   6.4   3.5
 15000   3.6  38.5  070   4  2   8.9   4.9 |   3.1  37.6  185   5  3   6.2   3.4
 14500   5.0  41.0  075   4  2   9.6   5.2 |   4.1  39.4  185   5  3   8.6   4.7
 14000   6.4  43.5  085   3  2   9.5   5.2 |   5.4  41.7  185   5  3   8.6   4.7
 13500   7.8  46.0  090   3  2   9.6   5.2 |   6.6  43.9  190   5  2   8.8   4.8
 13000   9.2  48.6  100   3  1   9.6   5.3 |   7.9  46.2  190   4  2   8.8   4.8
 12500  10.7  51.3  110   3  1   9.7   5.3 |   9.2  48.6  190   4  2   8.9   4.9
 12000  12.1  53.8  120   3  1   9.9   5.4 |  10.6  51.1  190   4  2   8.9   4.9
 11500  13.5  56.3  125   3  2   9.1   5.0 |  11.9  53.4  190   3  1   8.3   4.5
 11000  14.9  58.8  140   3  2   9.5   5.2 |  13.1  55.6  175   2  1   9.2   5.1
 10500  16.4  61.5  150   3  2   8.9   4.9 |  14.5  58.1  165   2  1   9.0   4.9
 10250  17.0  62.6  155   4  2   9.2   5.1 |  15.2  59.4  145   2  1   8.6   4.7
 10000  17.8  64.0  160   4  2  10.4   5.7 |  15.8  60.4  130   2  1   8.5   4.6
  9750  18.5  65.3  165   4  2  10.1   5.5 |  16.4  61.5  115   2  1   8.4   4.6
  9500  19.3  66.7  165   4  2  10.3   5.6 |  17.0  62.6  095   2  1   8.9   4.9
  9250  20.0  68.0  170   4  2  10.1   5.6 |  17.7  63.9  075   2  1   9.6   5.3
  9000  20.8  69.4  175   5  2   9.4   5.2 |  18.4  65.1  060   3  1   8.0   4.4
  8750  21.4  70.5  180   5  2   8.8   4.8 |  18.9  66.0  055   3  2   6.6   3.6
  8500  22.1  71.8  185   5  3   9.4   5.2 |  19.4  66.9  050   4  2   7.5   4.1
  8250  22.8  73.0  185   5  3  10.0   5.5 |  20.0  68.0  045   5  2   8.4   4.6
  8000  23.6  74.5  190   5  3   9.6   5.3 |  20.6  69.1  040   6  3   7.6   4.2
  7750  24.3  75.7  195   6  3   9.3   5.1 |  21.1  70.0  040   6  3   6.4   3.5
  7500  25.0  77.0  195   6  3   9.9   5.4 |  21.5  70.7  035   7  4   4.9   2.7
  7250  25.8  78.4  200   6  3  10.6   5.8 |  21.8  71.2  040   8  4   4.1   2.3
  7000  26.5  79.7  200   6  3   9.8   5.4 |  22.1  71.8  040   8  4   4.1   2.3
  6750  27.3  81.1  205   6  3  11.8   6.5 |  22.4  72.3  040   9  5   3.6   2.0
  6500  28.4  83.1  205   6  3  19.5  10.7 |  22.6  72.7  040   9  4   4.8   2.6
  6250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local 
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial 
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude:  34.9781667 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
                   Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

042613

Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0725 MDT Monday August 18 2025

This forecast is for Monday, August 18, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 81.6 F/27.6 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1353 ft/min (6.9 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 18258 ft MSL (12583 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 92.0 F/33.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 14341 ft MSL (8666 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 08/19...... Excellent


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:29:16 / 19:51:12 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 21 min 56 sec (801 min 56 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:14 MDT... 67.67 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/18/2025 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 16054 ft MSL (10379 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14546 ft MSL (8871 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15873 ft MSL (10198 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.2
K index......................... +30.2

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -67.5 -89.5   240    8    4   1.7   0.9   76.4 169.5    25.4      M    M
 45000  -61.4 -78.5   265   20   10   7.6   4.2   61.9 143.5    18.1      M    M
 40000  -49.9 -57.8   270   25   13   8.2   4.5   57.5 135.6    16.4      M    M
 38000  -45.1 -49.2   270   26   14   8.2   4.5   56.0 132.8    15.7      M    M
 36000  -40.2 -40.4   270   28   14   8.1   4.4   55.1 131.1    15.4      M    M
 34000  -34.8 -30.6   270   28   14   8.0   4.4   53.1 127.6    14.5      M    M
 32000  -30.0 -22.0   265   27   14   7.2   4.0   52.0 125.6    14.0      M    M
 30000  -26.2 -15.2   255   24   12   6.3   3.5   49.1 120.3    12.1      M    M
 29000  -24.3 -11.7   250   23   12   6.4   3.5   47.9 118.1    11.2      M    M
 28000  -22.5  -8.5   245   21   11   6.0   3.3   46.7 116.0    10.4      M    M
 27000  -20.7  -5.3   245   19   10   6.2   3.4   45.2 113.3     9.3      M    M
 26000  -18.9  -2.0   245   16    8   6.3   3.4   43.8 110.9     8.2      M    M
 25000  -17.1   1.2   240   14    7   6.2   3.4   42.7 108.8     7.3      M    M
 24000  -15.3   4.5   250   10    5   5.9   3.3   41.2 106.1     6.2      M    M
 23000  -13.6   7.5   265    7    4   5.9   3.3   39.8 103.6     5.1      M    M
 22000  -11.8  10.8   295    5    3   6.4   3.5   38.5 101.4     4.1      M    M
 21000   -9.2  15.4   200    2    1   7.1   3.9   37.3  99.1     3.0      M    M
 20000   -7.2  19.0   155    5    3   7.1   3.9   36.4  97.5     2.2      M    M
 19500   -6.2  20.8   150    8    4   6.2   3.4   36.0  96.8     1.8      M    M
 19000   -5.5  22.1   140    9    5   5.1   2.8   35.2  95.3     1.0      M    M
 18500   -4.8  23.4   135   11    5   5.0   2.7   34.4  93.9     0.3      M    M
 18000   -4.0  24.8   130   12    6   6.5   3.6   33.7  92.6    -0.4   1127  5.7
 17500   -3.0  26.6   125   12    6   6.5   3.6   33.1  91.6    -0.9   1084  5.5
 17000   -2.1  28.2   120   12    6   7.1   3.9   32.6  90.6    -1.4   1042  5.3
 16500   -1.0  30.2   115   12    6   7.8   4.3   32.2  90.0    -1.8    993  5.0
 16000    0.2  32.4   115   11    5   7.9   4.3   31.9  89.5    -2.1    945  4.8
 15500    1.3  34.3   115    9    5   8.4   4.6   31.6  89.0    -2.4    895  4.5
 15000    2.5  36.5   115    8    4   8.3   4.6   31.4  88.5    -2.7    844  4.3
 14500    3.8  38.8   115    6    3   8.6   4.7   31.2  88.2    -2.9    793  4.0
 14000    5.0  41.0   120    5    2   8.7   4.8   31.0  87.8    -3.1    740  3.8
 13500    6.3  43.3   125    3    2   8.6   4.7   30.9  87.6    -3.3    688  3.5
 13000    7.5  45.5   140    2    1   8.6   4.7   30.7  87.2    -3.6    636  3.2
 12500    8.7  47.7   170    2    1   8.6   4.7   30.5  86.9    -3.8    584  3.0
 12000   10.0  50.0   210    1    1   8.8   4.8   30.3  86.6    -4.0    532  2.7
 11500   11.3  52.3   250    2    1   8.6   4.7   30.2  86.3    -4.2    479  2.4
 11000   12.5  54.5   255    2    1   8.2   4.5   29.9  85.9    -4.5    427  2.2
 10500   13.7  56.7   260    3    2   8.4   4.6   29.7  85.5    -4.7    376  1.9
 10250   14.3  57.7   260    4    2   7.4   4.0   29.6  85.2    -4.9    351  1.8
 10000   14.8  58.6   255    5    2   6.8   3.8   29.4  84.8    -5.1    329  1.7
  9750   15.3  59.5   250    5    3   6.8   3.7   29.1  84.4    -5.4    306  1.6
  9500   15.8  60.4   245    6    3   7.6   4.2   28.9  84.1    -5.6    284  1.4
  9250   16.4  61.5   245    6    3   7.1   3.9   28.8  83.8    -5.8    259  1.3
  9000   16.8  62.2   240    7    4   5.5   3.0   28.5  83.3    -6.1    239  1.2
  8750   17.2  63.0   235    7    4   6.6   3.6   28.2  82.7    -6.4    219  1.1
  8500   17.7  63.9   230    8    4   3.7   2.0   27.9  82.2    -6.7    198  1.0
  8250   18.1  64.6   220    9    5   5.2   2.9   26.9  80.5    -7.8    171  0.9
  8000   18.4  65.1   220    9    5   5.3   2.9   26.6  79.8    -8.2    153  0.8
  7750   18.8  65.8   215   10    5   4.1   2.3   26.2  79.2    -8.5    135  0.7
  7500   19.0  66.2   205   10    5   2.9   1.6   25.7  78.3    -9.1    122  0.6
  7250   19.2  66.6   200   10    5   3.7   2.1   25.2  77.4    -9.6    108  0.6
  7000   19.4  66.9   195   10    5   4.0   2.2   24.8  76.6   -10.1     94  0.5
  6750   19.7  67.5   190   10    5   3.8   2.1   24.4  75.8   -10.6     79  0.4
  6500   20.0  68.0   185   10    5   3.5   1.9   23.9  75.0   -11.1     64  0.3
  6250   20.2  68.4   185    9    5   4.2   2.3   23.4  74.2   -11.6     49  0.2
  6000   20.4  68.7   180    9    5   1.3   0.7   23.0  73.4   -12.1     34  0.2
  5750   19.8  67.6   175    5    3 -24.1 -13.2   21.6  70.9   -13.5     46  0.2
  5500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           08/18/2025 at 0900 MDT          |       08/18/2025 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +119.0    LI...       -0.3        | CAPE...  +293.0    LI...       -1.5
CINH...  -147.0    K Index... +29.3        | CINH...   -15.2    K Index... +30.9
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -67.8 -90.0  255   6  3   1.7   0.9 | -67.5 -89.5  255   4  2   1.4   0.8
 45000 -61.8 -79.2  285  17  9   7.6   4.2 | -61.9 -79.4  280  14  7   7.5   4.1
 40000 -50.2 -58.4  280  21 11   8.0   4.4 | -50.5 -58.9  280  19 10   8.1   4.4
 38000 -45.4 -49.7  280  22 11   8.0   4.4 | -45.6 -50.1  275  18  9   8.1   4.4
 36000 -40.0 -40.0  280  22 11   7.9   4.3 | -40.2 -40.4  270  18  9   8.2   4.5
 34000 -35.3 -31.5  275  21 11   7.9   4.3 | -35.2 -31.4  270  16  8   8.2   4.5
 32000 -30.5 -22.9  275  21 11   7.5   4.1 | -30.4 -22.7  270  15  7   7.8   4.3
 30000 -26.2 -15.2  265  21 11   7.2   4.0 | -25.9 -14.6  265  16  8   7.5   4.1
 29000 -24.0 -11.2  260  21 11   7.2   4.0 | -23.6 -10.5  265  17  9   7.5   4.1
 28000 -22.0  -7.6  255  20 10   5.1   2.8 | -21.6  -6.9  260  16  8   4.9   2.7
 27000 -20.5  -4.9  245  17  9   5.4   2.9 | -20.1  -4.2  245  14  7   5.2   2.9
 26000 -18.9  -2.0  235  13  7   5.6   3.1 | -18.6  -1.5  225  12  6   5.5   3.0
 25000 -17.3   0.9  215  12  6   6.4   3.5 | -17.0   1.4  205  12  6   6.7   3.7
 24000 -15.3   4.5  215   9  5   6.8   3.8 | -14.9   5.2  200  12  6   7.4   4.0
 23000 -13.3   8.1  220   7  3   6.9   3.8 | -12.7   9.1  195  11  6   7.4   4.1
 22000 -10.7  12.7  220   4  2   7.7   4.2 | -10.1  13.8  190  10  5   6.5   3.6
 21000  -8.4  16.9  200   4  2   7.6   4.2 |  -8.1  17.4  200   7  3   6.6   3.6
 20000  -6.2  20.8  180   4  2   7.6   4.2 |  -6.1  21.0  225   4  2   6.6   3.6
 19500  -5.1  22.8  175   5  2   6.3   3.5 |  -5.2  22.6  260   3  1   5.1   2.8
 19000  -4.4  24.1  165   5  3   5.5   3.0 |  -4.6  23.7  255   1  1   4.2   2.3
 18500  -3.6  25.5  160   5  3   5.6   3.0 |  -4.1  24.6  000   0  0   4.1   2.3
 18000  -3.0  26.6  150   6  3   4.4   2.4 |  -3.5  25.7  095   1  1   4.9   2.7
 17500  -2.3  27.9  140   6  3   4.6   2.5 |  -2.8  27.0  095   2  1   4.9   2.7
 17000  -1.7  28.9  135   6  3   5.8   3.2 |  -2.1  28.2  095   4  2   6.3   3.5
 16500  -0.7  30.7  120   6  3   6.9   3.8 |  -1.1  30.0  090   4  2   7.4   4.0
 16000   0.3  32.5  110   7  4   7.0   3.9 |  -0.0  32.0  090   5  3   7.5   4.1
 15500   1.4  34.5  105   7  4   8.6   4.7 |   1.2  34.2  090   6  3   8.6   4.7
 15000   2.7  36.9  105   7  4   8.5   4.7 |   2.4  36.3  090   6  3   8.5   4.7
 14500   3.9  39.0  100   7  3   8.7   4.8 |   3.7  38.7  085   6  3   9.2   5.0
 14000   5.2  41.4  095   6  3   8.7   4.8 |   5.1  41.2  085   6  3   9.2   5.0
 13500   6.5  43.7  090   5  3   8.8   4.8 |   6.4  43.5  080   6  3   9.1   5.0
 13000   7.7  45.9  080   4  2   8.8   4.8 |   7.8  46.0  080   6  3   9.1   5.0
 12500   9.0  48.2  065   4  2   8.8   4.8 |   9.1  48.4  080   6  3   9.2   5.1
 12000  10.3  50.5  055   3  2   8.9   4.9 |  10.5  50.9  080   6  3   9.3   5.1
 11500  11.6  52.9  040   3  2   8.8   4.8 |  11.9  53.4  085   6  3   8.9   4.9
 11000  12.9  55.2  040   3  1   8.5   4.7 |  13.0  55.4  090   5  3   7.9   4.4
 10500  14.1  57.4  035   2  1   8.3   4.5 |  14.3  57.7  100   5  2   8.9   4.9
 10250  14.7  58.5  035   2  1   7.3   4.0 |  14.9  58.8  105   4  2   7.3   4.0
 10000  15.2  59.4  040   2  1   6.8   3.7 |  15.3  59.5  115   4  2   6.8   3.7
  9750  15.7  60.3  055   1  1   7.7   4.3 |  15.8  60.4  125   4  2   7.4   4.1
  9500  16.2  61.2  080   1  0   4.6   2.5 |  16.3  61.3  135   4  2   5.5   3.0
  9250  16.4  61.5  125   1  0   2.9   1.6 |  16.6  61.9  150   4  2   6.8   3.7
  9000  16.7  62.1  160   1  1   4.7   2.6 |  17.3  63.1  155   4  2   9.5   5.2
  8750  17.0  62.6  175   2  1   4.7   2.6 |  18.0  64.4  160   4  2   9.4   5.1
  8500  17.3  63.1  180   3  1   2.9   1.6 |  18.6  65.5  170   4  2   7.3   4.0
  8250  17.4  63.3  185   3  2   2.2   1.2 |  19.9  67.8  175   4  2  11.0   6.0
  8000  17.6  63.7  185   4  2   3.8   2.1 |  20.6  69.1  180   4  2  10.4   5.7
  7750  18.1  64.6  190   5  3   2.3   1.3 |  21.4  70.5  185   4  2   9.3   5.1
  7500  18.1  64.6  185   6  3   2.1   1.1 |  22.0  71.6  185   4  2   8.9   4.9
  7250  18.4  65.1  185   6  3   6.9   3.8 |  22.8  73.0  190   4  2  11.1   6.1
  7000  19.0  66.2  185   6  3   9.0   4.9 |  23.6  74.5  195   5  2  11.4   6.2
  6750  19.6  67.3  185   6  3   8.9   4.9 |  24.4  75.9  200   5  2  10.2   5.6
  6500  20.3  68.5  185   6  3   9.5   5.2 |  25.2  77.4  200   5  2  10.0   5.5
  6250  21.0  69.8  185   6  3   9.1   5.0 |  25.9  78.6  200   5  2   9.5   5.2
  6000  21.7  71.1  190   6  3  12.8   7.0 |  26.7  80.1  205   5  2  14.6   8.0
  5750  23.4  74.1  190   6  3  35.5  19.5 |  28.9  84.0  210   5  2  54.2  29.7
  5500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           08/18/2025 at 1500 MDT          |       08/18/2025 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +220.5    LI...       -1.6        | CAPE...  +117.5    LI...       -1.4
CINH...    -5.3    K Index... +33.1        | CINH...   -35.2    K Index... +30.6
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -67.1 -88.8  200   2  1   1.5   0.8 | -67.5 -89.5  110   4  2   1.5   0.8
 45000 -61.5 -78.7  280   9  5   7.1   3.9 | -61.7 -79.1  300   6  3   7.5   4.1
 40000 -50.6 -59.1  280  18  9   8.3   4.5 | -50.2 -58.4  295  20 10   8.1   4.4
 38000 -45.0 -49.0  280  19 10   8.3   4.5 | -44.8 -48.6  290  20 10   8.1   4.4
 36000 -40.1 -40.2  275  19 10   8.2   4.5 | -39.9 -39.8  285  19 10   8.3   4.6
 34000 -35.2 -31.4  275  15  8   8.2   4.5 | -34.9 -30.8  280  14  7   8.3   4.6
 32000 -30.3 -22.5  275  11  6   7.7   4.2 | -29.9 -21.8  280   8  4   7.8   4.3
 30000 -25.8 -14.4  270  13  7   7.5   4.1 | -25.4 -13.7  285   9  5   7.5   4.1
 29000 -23.6 -10.5  270  14  7   7.4   4.1 | -23.2  -9.8  290  10  5   7.5   4.1
 28000 -21.5  -6.7  265  14  7   5.7   3.2 | -21.1  -6.0  290  10  5   6.3   3.4
 27000 -19.8  -3.6  255  12  6   6.0   3.3 | -19.2  -2.6  280   9  5   6.4   3.5
 26000 -18.0  -0.4  235  11  5   6.1   3.4 | -17.3   0.9  275   8  4   6.4   3.5
 25000 -16.3   2.7  220  11  5   6.5   3.6 | -15.4   4.3  265   8  4   6.5   3.5
 24000 -14.3   6.3  215   8  4   6.7   3.7 | -13.5   7.7  260   8  4   6.7   3.7
 23000 -11.9  10.6  205   6  3   6.8   3.7 | -11.1  12.0  255   7  4   7.0   3.8
 22000 -10.0  14.0  190   4  2   6.4   3.5 |  -9.2  15.4  255   6  3   5.4   3.0
 21000  -8.1  17.4  155   1  1   6.4   3.5 |  -7.6  18.3  285   3  2   5.6   3.1
 20000  -6.2  20.8  050   2  1   6.5   3.5 |  -6.0  21.2  350   4  2   5.6   3.1
 19500  -5.3  22.5  040   4  2   6.6   3.6 |  -5.2  22.6  005   5  2   5.2   2.9
 19000  -4.3  24.3  050   4  2   6.8   3.7 |  -4.5  23.9  010   4  2   5.0   2.7
 18500  -3.3  26.1  055   4  2   6.9   3.8 |  -3.8  25.2  010   4  2   4.8   2.6
 18000  -2.4  27.7  065   5  2   6.0   3.3 |  -3.0  26.6  005   3  2   6.7   3.7
 17500  -1.6  29.1  075   5  2   6.2   3.4 |  -2.1  28.2  345   3  1   6.6   3.6
 17000  -0.7  30.7  080   5  2   6.3   3.4 |  -1.2  29.8  320   2  1   7.7   4.2
 16500   0.2  32.4  090   4  2   6.4   3.5 |   0.1  32.2  305   2  1   8.7   4.8
 16000   1.0  33.8  105   4  2   6.5   3.6 |   1.3  34.3  295   3  1   8.8   4.8
 15500   2.0  35.6  115   4  2   7.8   4.3 |   2.6  36.7  280   3  1   8.8   4.8
 15000   3.1  37.6  135   3  2   7.6   4.2 |   3.9  39.0  270   3  1   8.8   4.8
 14500   4.3  39.7  145   3  2   9.1   5.0 |   5.2  41.4  255   3  1   8.8   4.8
 14000   5.7  42.3  155   3  2   9.1   5.0 |   6.4  43.5  245   3  1   8.8   4.8
 13500   7.0  44.6  165   3  2   9.2   5.1 |   7.7  45.9  235   3  2   9.1   5.0
 13000   8.4  47.1  165   4  2   9.3   5.1 |   9.1  48.4  225   3  2   9.3   5.1
 12500   9.8  49.6  170   4  2   9.3   5.1 |  10.5  50.9  220   3  2   9.1   5.0
 12000  11.2  52.2  175   4  2   9.4   5.2 |  11.8  53.2  205   3  1   8.9   4.9
 11500  12.6  54.7  175   4  2   9.5   5.2 |  13.1  55.6  195   2  1   8.9   4.9
 11000  14.0  57.2  175   4  2   9.9   5.4 |  14.5  58.1  180   2  1   9.0   4.9
 10500  15.4  59.7  175   4  2   8.7   4.7 |  15.8  60.4  160   2  1   8.7   4.8
 10250  16.0  60.8  175   4  2   9.4   5.2 |  16.4  61.5  145   2  1   9.0   4.9
 10000  16.8  62.2  175   4  2   9.7   5.3 |  17.1  62.8  135   3  1   9.0   4.9
  9750  17.5  63.5  175   5  2   9.7   5.3 |  17.8  64.0  130   3  1   9.3   5.1
  9500  18.2  64.8  175   5  2   9.4   5.2 |  18.4  65.1  130   3  2   7.9   4.3
  9250  18.9  66.0  175   5  2   9.2   5.1 |  18.9  66.0  110   4  2   7.6   4.2
  9000  20.3  68.5  175   5  3   9.3   5.1 |  19.6  67.3  105   4  2   8.8   4.8
  8750  21.0  69.8  175   5  3   9.7   5.3 |  20.8  69.4  100   5  3   8.8   4.8
  8500  21.7  71.1  175   5  3   9.8   5.4 |  21.5  70.7  105   5  3   8.8   4.8
  8250  22.4  72.3  175   5  3   9.6   5.3 |  22.1  71.8  100   6  3   8.5   4.7
  8000  23.1  73.6  175   5  3   9.7   5.3 |  22.7  72.9  100   6  3   8.6   4.7
  7750  23.9  75.0  175   5  3   9.6   5.3 |  23.4  74.1  095   7  4   8.5   4.7
  7500  24.6  76.3  175   6  3   9.7   5.3 |  24.0  75.2  095   7  4   8.6   4.7
  7250  25.3  77.5  170   6  3  10.1   5.5 |  24.6  76.3  095   8  4   8.8   4.8
  7000  26.1  79.0  170   6  3  10.1   5.6 |  25.3  77.5  095   8  4   8.9   4.9
  6750  26.8  80.2  165   6  3  10.4   5.7 |  25.9  78.6  095   8  4   8.9   4.9
  6500  27.6  81.7  165   6  3  11.0   6.1 |  26.6  79.9  090   8  4   9.2   5.0
  6250  28.4  83.1  165   6  3   9.6   5.3 |  27.3  81.1  090   9  4   8.7   4.8
  6000  29.1  84.4  165   5  3  13.2   7.3 |  27.9  82.2  090   8  4  11.2   6.1
  5750  31.2  88.2  165   5  3  51.7  28.3 |  29.3  84.7  090   8  4  31.4  17.2
  5500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude:  35.03806 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
                   Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of 
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

042613

Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0725 MDT Monday August 18 2025

This forecast is for Monday, August 18, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 78.8 F/26.0 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1416 ft/min (7.2 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 19596 ft MSL (13133 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17113 ft MSL (10651 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 08/19...... Excellent


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:26:20 / 19:49:55 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 23 min 36 sec (803 min 36 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:08 MDT... 67.14 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/18/2025 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 16096 ft MSL (9633 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15308 ft MSL (8845 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17130 ft MSL (10667 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.8
K index......................... +27.6

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -68.1 -90.6   240   13    7   1.9   1.1   72.6 162.7    23.6      M    M
 45000  -61.7 -79.1   270   27   14   7.7   4.2   58.8 137.9    16.6      M    M
 40000  -50.0 -58.0   275   31   16   8.0   4.4   54.7 130.4    14.9      M    M
 38000  -45.3 -49.5   275   31   16   8.0   4.4   53.0 127.4    14.1      M    M
 36000  -40.5 -40.9   275   32   16   8.0   4.4   51.9 125.4    13.7      M    M
 34000  -35.6 -32.1   275   29   15   8.1   4.4   50.2 122.4    12.8      M    M
 32000  -30.7 -23.3   270   27   14   8.1   4.4   49.1 120.4    12.3      M    M
 30000  -26.5 -15.7   265   24   12   6.1   3.3   45.8 114.5    10.1      M    M
 29000  -24.7 -12.5   260   22   12   6.1   3.3   44.5 112.1     9.2      M    M
 28000  -22.8  -9.0   255   21   11   6.9   3.8   43.2 109.8     8.3      M    M
 27000  -20.8  -5.4   255   20   10   6.8   3.7   42.0 107.7     7.4      M    M
 26000  -18.8  -1.8   255   19   10   6.8   3.8   41.0 105.8     6.6      M    M
 25000  -16.7   1.9   255   17    9   6.2   3.4   40.0 104.0     5.8      M    M
 24000  -15.0   5.0   255   12    6   5.9   3.2   38.5 101.2     4.6      M    M
 23000  -13.3   8.1   260    6    3   6.0   3.3   37.1  98.8     3.5      M    M
 22000  -11.5  11.3   275    1    1   6.6   3.6   35.9  96.6     2.4      M    M
 21000   -9.6  14.7   165    2    1   6.8   3.8   34.8  94.6     1.3      M    M
 20000   -7.7  18.1   150    5    3   6.9   3.8   33.8  92.8     0.4      M    M
 19500   -6.7  19.9   150    7    3   6.8   3.7   33.4  92.0    -0.1   1210  6.1
 19000   -5.8  21.6   140    8    4   5.9   3.2   32.7  90.9    -0.6   1169  5.9
 18500   -4.9  23.2   135   10    5   5.9   3.2   32.1  89.7    -1.3   1128  5.7
 18000   -4.1  24.6   130   11    6   6.0   3.3   31.4  88.6    -1.9   1088  5.5
 17500   -3.2  26.2   125   11    6   6.0   3.3   30.8  87.4    -2.5   1046  5.3
 17000   -2.3  27.9   120   12    6   6.5   3.6   30.2  86.3    -3.1   1005  5.1
 16500   -1.2  29.8   115   11    6   8.5   4.6   29.8  85.7    -3.4    956  4.9
 16000    0.0  32.0   115    9    5   8.4   4.6   29.6  85.3    -3.6    905  4.6
 15500    1.3  34.3   110    7    4   8.5   4.6   29.4  84.9    -3.9    853  4.3
 15000    2.5  36.5   110    5    3   8.5   4.7   29.2  84.5    -4.2    802  4.1
 14500    3.7  38.7   100    3    1   8.6   4.7   29.0  84.2    -4.4    750  3.8
 14000    5.0  41.0   105    1    1   8.6   4.7   28.8  83.8    -4.7    698  3.5
 13500    6.2  43.2   000    0    0   8.7   4.8   28.6  83.5    -4.9    645  3.3
 13000    7.5  45.5   265    1    1   8.7   4.8   28.5  83.2    -5.1    592  3.0
 12500    9.4  48.9   270    3    2   8.6   4.7   28.2  82.8    -5.4    512  2.6
 12000   10.7  51.3   275    4    2   8.6   4.7   28.0  82.5    -5.6    460  2.3
 11500   11.9  53.4   275    5    3   8.3   4.5   27.8  82.1    -5.9    408  2.1
 11000   13.1  55.6   275    6    3   8.3   4.6   27.6  81.7    -6.2    357  1.8
 10500   14.2  57.6   275    6    3   7.0   3.8   27.3  81.2    -6.5    309  1.6
 10250   14.7  58.5   270    6    3   6.7   3.7   27.1  80.7    -6.8    287  1.5
 10000   15.2  59.4   270    6    3   7.0   3.8   26.8  80.3    -7.1    265  1.3
  9750   15.7  60.3   270    6    3   6.8   3.8   26.6  79.9    -7.3    243  1.2
  9500   16.1  61.0   270    6    3   5.4   2.9   26.4  79.5    -7.6    222  1.1
  9250   16.5  61.7   270    6    3   5.5   3.0   26.0  78.8    -8.0    205  1.0
  9000   16.9  62.4   270    6    3   6.7   3.7   25.7  78.3    -8.3    183  0.9
  8750   17.4  63.3   270    5    3   6.2   3.4   25.5  77.9    -8.6    162  0.8
  8500   17.9  64.2   270    5    2   5.9   3.2   25.2  77.4    -8.9    141  0.7
  8250   18.3  64.9   270    4    2   5.5   3.0   24.9  76.8    -9.2    120  0.6
  8000   18.7  65.7   270    4    2   5.2   2.8   24.6  76.2    -9.6    101  0.5
  7750   19.1  66.4   265    3    2   5.0   2.8   24.2  75.6    -9.9     82  0.4
  7500   19.5  67.1   260    2    1   5.2   2.9   23.8  74.9   -10.3     63  0.3
  7250   19.8  67.6   245    2    1   4.9   2.7   23.5  74.3   -10.7     45  0.2
  7000   20.2  68.4   230    1    1   5.3   2.9   23.1  73.6   -11.1     26  0.1
  6750   20.4  68.7   215    1    1  -4.3  -2.4   22.6  72.6   -11.7     14  0.1
  6500   18.2  64.8   170    1    1 -64.6 -35.4   19.7  67.5   -14.5     70  0.4

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           08/18/2025 at 0900 MDT          |       08/18/2025 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +105.9    LI...       -1.5        | CAPE...  +326.9    LI...       -2.3
CINH...   -90.3    K Index... +27.5        | CINH...    -5.9    K Index... +28.7
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -67.4 -89.3  260   8  4   1.5   0.8 | -67.0 -88.6  285   5  2   1.7   0.9
 45000 -61.5 -78.7  280  20 10   7.5   4.1 | -61.3 -78.3  290  16  8   7.1   3.9
 40000 -50.1 -58.2  280  23 12   8.1   4.4 | -50.5 -58.9  280  23 12   8.0   4.4
 38000 -45.3 -49.5  280  25 13   8.1   4.4 | -45.1 -49.2  280  23 12   8.0   4.4
 36000 -40.4 -40.7  285  27 14   8.0   4.4 | -40.3 -40.5  285  23 12   8.0   4.4
 34000 -35.6 -32.1  280  25 13   8.0   4.4 | -35.5 -31.9  280  22 11   8.0   4.4
 32000 -30.8 -23.4  280  23 12   7.8   4.3 | -30.7 -23.3  280  21 11   7.6   4.2
 30000 -26.2 -15.2  270  20 10   6.6   3.6 | -26.4 -15.5  275  16  8   7.2   3.9
 29000 -24.3 -11.7  265  19 10   6.6   3.6 | -24.3 -11.7  275  13  7   7.2   3.9
 28000 -22.3  -8.1  260  18  9   6.3   3.5 | -22.3  -8.1  265  11  6   5.3   2.9
 27000 -20.4  -4.7  255  17  9   6.4   3.5 | -20.6  -5.1  245  11  6   5.6   3.1
 26000 -18.6  -1.5  250  17  9   6.4   3.5 | -19.0  -2.2  230  11  6   5.8   3.2
 25000 -16.7   1.9  245  16  8   6.2   3.4 | -17.4   0.7  215  13  7   6.8   3.7
 24000 -14.9   5.2  240  12  6   6.1   3.4 | -14.6   5.7  220  11  6   7.4   4.1
 23000 -13.0   8.6  230   9  4   6.1   3.4 | -12.3   9.9  225   9  5   7.4   4.1
 22000 -11.2  11.8  210   6  3   6.6   3.6 | -10.3  13.5  230   7  4   5.6   3.1
 21000  -9.3  15.3  205   5  3   6.8   3.8 |  -8.6  16.5  235   4  2   5.9   3.2
 20000  -7.3  18.9  205   5  2   7.0   3.8 |  -7.0  19.4  250   2  1   6.0   3.3
 19500  -6.4  20.5  205   4  2   6.7   3.7 |  -6.1  21.0  295   1  0   6.0   3.3
 19000  -5.5  22.1  185   4  2   5.8   3.2 |  -5.3  22.5  360   1  0   6.0   3.3
 18500  -4.7  23.5  170   5  2   5.9   3.2 |  -4.4  24.1  030   1  1   6.0   3.3
 18000  -3.9  25.0  155   5  3   5.7   3.1 |  -3.6  25.5  050   2  1   6.4   3.5
 17500  -3.0  26.6  140   6  3   5.8   3.2 |  -2.7  27.1  060   3  2   6.4   3.5
 17000  -2.2  28.0  125   7  3   6.3   3.5 |  -1.7  28.9  065   4  2   7.1   3.9
 16500  -1.1  30.0  115   7  3   7.7   4.2 |  -0.6  30.9  070   5  3   7.7   4.2
 16000  -0.0  32.0  105   7  3   7.5   4.1 |   0.5  32.9  070   6  3   7.7   4.3
 15500   1.2  34.2  095   6  3   8.9   4.9 |   1.7  35.1  070   6  3   8.6   4.7
 15000   2.5  36.5  085   6  3   8.8   4.8 |   3.0  37.4  070   5  3   8.5   4.7
 14500   3.8  38.8  075   5  3   9.0   4.9 |   4.2  39.6  070   5  3   9.1   5.0
 14000   5.1  41.2  060   5  3   9.1   5.0 |   5.6  42.1  070   5  2   9.1   5.0
 13500   6.5  43.7  045   5  3   9.1   5.0 |   6.9  44.4  065   4  2   9.1   5.0
 13000   7.8  46.0  030   5  3   9.0   5.0 |   8.3  46.9  060   4  2   9.1   5.0
 12500   9.1  48.4  020   5  3   8.9   4.9 |   9.6  49.3  055   4  2   8.9   4.9
 12000  11.0  51.8  010   5  3   8.5   4.7 |  10.9  51.6  045   3  2   8.7   4.8
 11500  12.3  54.1  005   5  3   8.6   4.7 |  12.1  53.8  035   3  1   9.7   5.3
 11000  13.5  56.3  360   5  3   8.0   4.4 |  13.5  56.3  025   2  1   7.9   4.3
 10500  14.6  58.3  350   5  2   6.5   3.6 |  14.6  58.3  005   2  1   7.3   4.0
 10250  15.0  59.0  345   5  2   5.9   3.2 |  15.8  60.4  330   2  1   9.7   5.3
 10000  15.4  59.7  345   4  2   6.1   3.4 |  16.5  61.7  315   2  1   9.3   5.1
  9750  15.8  60.4  340   4  2   5.7   3.1 |  17.1  62.8  305   2  1   9.4   5.2
  9500  16.1  61.0  335   4  2   4.1   2.3 |  17.8  64.0  300   2  1   9.5   5.2
  9250  16.3  61.3  330   4  2   4.4   2.4 |  18.5  65.3  295   2  1   9.7   5.3
  9000  16.7  62.1  325   4  2   5.4   3.4 |  19.3  66.7  285   2  1   9.8   5.4
  8750  17.0  62.6  320   4  2   5.0   2.7 |  20.0  68.0  275   2  1   9.8   5.4
  8500  17.4  63.3  315   4  2   4.3   2.3 |  20.7  69.3  270   2  1   9.8   5.4
  8250  17.7  63.9  310   4  2   5.2   2.8 |  21.4  70.5  270   3  1   9.9   5.4
  8000  18.2  64.8  305   4  2   7.3   4.0 |  22.2  72.0  265   3  1   9.9   5.4
  7750  18.7  65.7  295   4  2   8.7   4.8 |  22.9  73.2  265   3  2  10.2   5.6
  7500  19.4  66.9  295   4  2   9.6   5.2 |  23.7  74.7  260   3  2  10.7   5.8
  7250  20.2  68.4  295   4  2   9.4   5.2 |  24.5  76.1  260   3  2  10.4   5.7
  7000  20.9  69.6  290   4  2   9.9   5.4 |  25.2  77.4  260   3  2  11.0   6.0
  6750  21.7  71.1  285   4  2  13.8   7.6 |  26.2  79.2  260   3  2  17.5   9.6
  6500  23.1  73.6  285   4  2  25.1  13.8 |  28.2  82.8  255   4  2  39.4  21.6

           08/18/2025 at 1500 MDT          |       08/18/2025 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...  +242.5    LI...       -2.4        | CAPE...   +93.2    LI...       -1.6
CINH...   -29.7    K Index... +32.2        | CINH...  -160.6    K Index... +28.3
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -67.2 -89.0  325   3  1   1.4   0.8 | -67.3 -89.1  050   1  1   1.6   0.9
 45000 -61.6 -78.9  300  11  6   7.4   4.1 | -61.6 -78.9  295   9  4   7.4   4.1
 40000 -50.3 -58.5  285  17  9   7.9   4.3 | -49.8 -57.6  290  19 10   7.8   4.3
 38000 -45.0 -49.0  280  18  9   7.9   4.3 | -45.1 -49.2  285  18  9   7.8   4.3
 36000 -40.3 -40.5  280  18 10   8.2   4.5 | -40.4 -40.7  280  17  9   8.7   4.8
 34000 -35.4 -31.7  280  16  8   8.1   4.5 | -35.2 -31.4  275  13  7   8.6   4.7
 32000 -30.5 -22.9  285  14  7   7.9   4.4 | -30.1 -22.2  260  10  5   8.2   4.5
 30000 -25.9 -14.6  285  11  6   7.8   4.3 | -25.4 -13.7  255   9  5   7.9   4.3
 29000 -23.5 -10.3  290  10  5   7.8   4.3 | -23.1  -9.6  250   9  4   7.9   4.4
 28000 -21.4  -6.5  290   9  4   5.1   2.8 | -20.9  -5.6  245   8  4   6.2   3.4
 27000 -19.9  -3.8  280   8  4   5.3   2.9 | -19.0  -2.2  250   8  4   6.4   3.5
 26000 -18.3  -0.9  265   8  4   5.4   3.0 | -16.6   2.1  255   9  4   6.4   3.5
 25000 -16.2   2.8  255   8  4   7.6   4.2 | -14.8   5.4  260   9  4   5.9   3.3
 24000 -14.0   6.8  250   9  5   7.5   4.1 | -13.1   8.4  275   9  5   6.0   3.3
 23000 -11.9  10.6  245   9  5   7.6   4.2 | -11.4  11.5  285  10  5   6.0   3.3
 22000  -9.9  14.2  245   9  5   4.7   2.6 |  -9.7  14.5  295  11  6   5.4   3.0
 21000  -8.5  16.7  245   7  3   5.0   2.7 |  -8.1  17.4  315  10  5   5.5   3.0
 20000  -7.0  19.4  240   4  2   5.1   2.8 |  -6.5  20.3  335  10  5   5.5   3.0
 19500  -6.3  20.7  240   3  1   5.9   3.2 |  -5.7  21.7  345  11  6   5.9   3.2
 19000  -5.4  22.3  230   3  2   6.7   3.7 |  -4.8  23.4  345  11  6   6.3   3.5
 18500  -4.5  23.9  220   3  2   6.7   3.7 |  -3.9  25.0  345  11  6   6.3   3.5
 18000  -3.5  25.7  215   4  2   7.7   4.2 |  -2.9  26.8  345  11  6   7.0   3.8
 17500  -2.4  27.7  210   4  2   7.7   4.2 |  -1.9  28.6  345  11  6   7.0   3.9
 17000  -1.3  29.7  210   5  3   8.0   4.4 |  -0.9  30.4  345  10  5   7.4   4.1
 16500  -0.1  31.8  210   5  3   8.4   4.6 |   0.2  32.4  345  10  5   8.1   4.4
 16000   1.1  34.0  210   6  3   8.4   4.6 |   1.4  34.5  340   9  5   8.1   4.4
 15500   2.4  36.3  210   6  3   9.5   5.2 |   2.6  36.7  340   8  4   8.5   4.6
 15000   3.8  38.8  210   6  3   9.4   5.1 |   3.8  38.8  335   7  4   8.4   4.6
 14500   5.2  41.4  205   6  3   9.4   5.2 |   5.0  41.0  330   6  3   8.4   4.6
 14000   6.6  43.9  205   6  3   9.4   5.2 |   6.3  43.3  325   4  2   8.4   4.6
 13500   8.0  46.4  205   6  3   9.4   5.2 |   7.5  45.5  320   3  1   8.4   4.6
 13000   9.4  48.9  205   6  3   9.5   5.2 |   8.7  47.7  300   1  1   8.3   4.6
 12500  10.8  51.4  200   6  3   9.5   5.2 |  10.5  50.9  175   2  1   8.5   4.7
 12000  12.2  54.0  200   6  3   9.5   5.2 |  11.8  53.2  155   3  2   8.8   4.8
 11500  13.6  56.5  200   6  3   8.6   4.7 |  12.8  55.0  160   5  3   6.8   3.7
 11000  14.9  58.8  190   5  3   9.5   5.2 |  14.0  57.2  155   7  4   7.5   4.1
 10500  17.1  62.8  190   5  3   9.8   5.4 |  15.3  59.5  155   9  5   8.7   4.8
 10250  17.7  63.9  185   5  2   8.7   4.8 |  15.8  60.4  155   9  5   6.6   3.6
 10000  18.4  65.1  175   4  2   9.0   4.9 |  16.3  61.3  155  10  5   7.2   3.9
  9750  19.0  66.2  165   4  2   9.1   5.0 |  16.8  62.2  155  10  5   7.1   3.9
  9500  19.7  67.5  165   4  2   9.3   5.1 |  17.4  63.3  155  11  6   8.0   4.4
  9250  20.4  68.7  160   4  2   8.6   4.7 |  17.9  64.2  155  12  6   7.5   4.1
  9000  21.0  69.8  145   3  2   7.8   4.3 |  18.4  65.1  155  12  6   6.6   3.6
  8750  21.6  70.9  130   3  2   8.4   4.6 |  18.9  66.0  160  13  7   6.7   3.7
  8500  22.2  72.0  120   3  2  10.3   5.7 |  19.4  66.9  160  13  7   6.1   3.3
  8250  23.0  73.4  115   3  2   9.2   5.0 |  19.8  67.6  160  14  7   6.1   3.4
  8000  23.5  74.3  100   4  2   5.8   3.2 |  20.3  68.5  160  14  7   7.2   3.9
  7750  23.9  75.0  090   4  2   6.9   3.8 |  20.8  69.4  160  14  7   6.0   3.3
  7500  24.5  76.1  085   5  2   9.0   4.9 |  21.1  70.0  165  14  7   3.3   1.8
  7250  25.2  77.4  080   5  3   9.6   5.3 |  21.2  70.2  165  14  7   2.7   1.5
  7000  25.8  78.4  080   6  3   6.6   3.6 |  21.5  70.7  165  14  7   7.5   4.1
  6750  26.3  79.3  080   6  3  10.4   5.7 |  22.3  72.1  165  13  7  12.5   6.9
  6500  28.6  83.5  080   6  3  68.1  37.4 |  22.5  72.5  170  11  6 -12.8  -7.0
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local 
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial 
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
                   Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

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Albuquerque (KABX) Radar Velocity Azimuth Display Wind Profile (Observed)

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Phone Numbers for Up-to-the-Minute Airport Observations

  • Albuquerque International Sunport (KABQ): (505) 242-4044

  • Albuquerque Double Eagle II Airport (KAEG): (505) 842-2009

  • Grants-Milan Municipal Airport (KGNT): (505) 287-9890

  • Belen Regional Airport (KBRG): (505) 864-4375

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