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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0715 MDT Monday May 25 2026
This forecast is for Monday, May 25, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 73.7 F/23.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 967 ft/min (4.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19772 ft MSL (13441 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 78.0 F/26.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9262 ft MSL (2931 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 05/26...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:53:57 / 20:08:02 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 14 min 5 sec (854 min 5 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:00:59 MDT... 76.08 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/25/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14336 ft MSL (8005 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17997 ft MSL (11666 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18558 ft MSL (12227 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.3
K index......................... +16.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.7 -80.9 255 24 12 0.3 0.2 86.4 187.5 35.6 M M
45000 -62.0 -79.6 250 35 18 1.4 0.7 63.9 147.1 24.1 M M
40000 -60.0 -76.0 235 32 17 2.8 1.5 44.8 112.7 12.9 M M
38000 -55.9 -68.6 230 29 15 7.1 3.9 41.8 107.3 11.2 M M
36000 -51.7 -61.1 225 27 14 7.1 3.9 39.7 103.4 10.0 M M
34000 -47.1 -52.8 220 25 13 8.2 4.5 38.0 100.4 9.0 M M
32000 -41.6 -42.9 220 23 12 8.2 4.5 36.7 98.0 8.3 M M
30000 -36.9 -34.4 215 19 10 7.7 4.2 35.2 95.3 7.3 M M
29000 -34.6 -30.3 210 17 9 7.7 4.2 34.4 93.9 6.8 M M
28000 -32.3 -26.1 205 15 8 7.8 4.3 33.8 92.8 6.3 M M
27000 -30.0 -22.0 205 15 8 7.6 4.2 32.9 91.2 5.7 M M
26000 -27.7 -17.9 210 16 8 7.6 4.2 32.0 89.7 5.1 M M
25000 -25.5 -13.9 215 18 9 7.6 4.2 31.3 88.4 4.6 M M
24000 -23.3 -9.9 210 17 9 6.7 3.7 30.3 86.6 3.8 M M
23000 -21.4 -6.5 195 16 8 6.7 3.7 29.2 84.5 2.9 M M
22000 -19.4 -2.9 180 16 8 6.7 3.7 28.2 82.7 2.0 M M
21000 -17.3 0.9 170 17 9 7.0 3.8 27.1 80.8 1.1 M M
20000 -15.3 4.5 165 17 9 7.0 3.8 26.1 79.0 0.3 M M
19500 -14.2 6.4 160 17 9 7.0 3.9 25.7 78.2 -0.1 1351 6.9
19000 -13.2 8.2 160 17 9 7.7 4.2 25.3 77.5 -0.5 1305 6.6
18500 -12.0 10.4 160 15 8 8.2 4.5 25.0 77.0 -0.8 1255 6.4
18000 -10.2 13.6 170 13 6 9.1 5.0 24.7 76.4 -1.2 1179 6.0
17500 -8.8 16.2 175 12 6 9.7 5.3 24.6 76.3 -1.2 1121 5.7
17000 -7.3 18.9 180 12 6 9.7 5.3 24.6 76.4 -1.3 1062 5.4
16500 -5.9 21.4 185 12 6 9.6 5.3 24.6 76.3 -1.3 1004 5.1
16000 -4.5 23.9 195 12 6 9.6 5.3 24.6 76.3 -1.3 946 4.8
15500 -3.0 26.6 200 13 6 9.3 5.1 24.6 76.2 -1.3 889 4.5
15000 -1.7 28.9 210 14 7 9.2 5.1 24.5 76.0 -1.4 833 4.2
14500 -0.3 31.5 220 15 8 9.4 5.1 24.4 75.9 -1.5 777 3.9
14000 1.1 34.0 220 16 8 9.5 5.2 24.3 75.8 -1.6 720 3.7
13500 2.5 36.5 225 17 9 9.5 5.2 24.3 75.7 -1.6 663 3.4
13000 4.0 39.2 220 18 9 9.6 5.3 24.3 75.7 -1.6 604 3.1
12500 5.4 41.7 220 18 9 9.6 5.2 24.3 75.7 -1.6 546 2.8
12000 6.8 44.2 215 19 10 9.0 4.9 24.2 75.5 -1.7 490 2.5
11500 8.2 46.8 215 19 10 8.7 4.8 24.1 75.3 -1.8 434 2.2
11000 9.5 49.1 215 20 10 8.7 4.8 23.9 75.0 -2.0 381 1.9
10500 10.7 51.3 215 21 11 8.5 4.7 23.7 74.7 -2.2 328 1.7
10250 11.3 52.3 215 21 11 7.7 4.2 23.6 74.5 -2.3 303 1.5
10000 11.9 53.4 215 21 11 7.7 4.2 23.4 74.1 -2.5 279 1.4
9750 12.5 54.5 215 22 11 8.1 4.4 23.3 73.9 -2.7 254 1.3
9500 13.1 55.6 215 22 11 7.9 4.3 23.1 73.6 -2.8 229 1.2
9250 13.6 56.5 215 22 11 8.3 4.6 23.0 73.4 -3.0 204 1.0
9000 14.2 57.6 210 22 11 7.1 3.9 22.9 73.2 -3.1 180 0.9
8750 14.7 58.5 210 21 11 6.3 3.5 22.6 72.7 -3.4 159 0.8
8500 15.1 59.2 210 20 10 5.3 2.9 22.3 72.2 -3.7 138 0.7
8250 15.4 59.7 205 19 10 1.6 0.9 21.9 71.3 -4.2 124 0.6
8000 15.3 59.5 200 16 8 -0.4 -0.2 21.1 70.1 -5.0 116 0.6
7750 15.2 59.4 195 14 7 -2.0 -1.1 20.3 68.6 -5.8 112 0.6
7500 15.0 59.0 185 12 6 -2.4 -1.3 19.4 66.9 -6.8 112 0.6
7250 14.8 58.6 170 10 5 -1.7 -0.9 18.5 65.3 -7.7 110 0.6
7000 14.7 58.5 150 9 5 -1.5 -0.8 17.6 63.8 -8.6 107 0.5
6750 14.6 58.3 130 9 5 -2.0 -1.1 16.8 62.2 -9.5 103 0.5
6500 14.1 57.4 110 8 4 -11.1 -6.1 15.7 60.2 -10.7 108 0.6
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/25/2026 at 0900 MDT | 05/25/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +1.5 LI... +0.1 | CAPE... +116.8 LI... -1.7
CINH... -5.1 K Index... +18.5 | CINH... -2.1 K Index... +22.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.5 -80.5 255 23 12 1.5 0.8 | -62.0 -79.6 245 23 12 1.1 0.6
45000 -60.4 -76.7 245 31 16 0.4 0.2 | -60.4 -76.7 235 28 14 0.8 0.4
40000 -59.7 -75.5 230 32 16 1.5 0.8 | -59.3 -74.7 225 32 17 1.6 0.9
38000 -56.0 -68.8 220 30 15 6.7 3.7 | -55.9 -68.6 215 29 15 6.0 3.3
36000 -52.0 -61.6 210 29 15 6.7 3.7 | -52.3 -62.1 200 25 13 6.0 3.3
34000 -47.5 -53.5 210 27 14 8.0 4.4 | -47.8 -54.0 205 24 12 8.7 4.8
32000 -42.1 -43.8 220 23 12 8.0 4.4 | -42.0 -43.6 220 23 12 8.7 4.8
30000 -37.2 -35.0 220 19 10 8.5 4.7 | -36.9 -34.4 225 21 11 8.5 4.7
29000 -34.6 -30.3 220 17 9 8.5 4.7 | -34.3 -29.7 225 20 10 8.6 4.7
28000 -32.1 -25.8 220 15 8 8.6 4.7 | -31.8 -25.2 225 18 9 8.7 4.8
27000 -29.8 -21.6 215 16 8 7.6 4.2 | -29.4 -20.9 220 19 10 7.6 4.1
26000 -27.5 -17.5 215 17 9 7.6 4.2 | -27.2 -17.0 215 20 10 7.6 4.2
25000 -25.3 -13.5 215 19 10 7.6 4.2 | -24.9 -12.8 210 21 11 7.6 4.2
24000 -23.1 -9.6 205 20 10 6.9 3.8 | -23.0 -9.4 205 22 11 5.5 3.0
23000 -21.1 -6.0 195 21 11 6.9 3.8 | -21.4 -6.5 195 22 11 5.4 3.0
22000 -19.0 -2.2 185 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -19.8 -3.6 190 23 12 5.3 2.9
21000 -17.0 1.4 175 25 13 6.9 3.8 | -17.8 -0.0 180 24 12 7.5 4.1
20000 -14.9 5.2 170 28 14 6.9 3.8 | -15.6 3.9 175 24 13 7.5 4.1
19500 -13.9 7.0 165 29 15 7.0 3.8 | -14.5 5.9 170 25 13 7.6 4.2
19000 -12.9 8.8 160 31 16 7.3 4.0 | -13.4 7.9 170 25 13 8.3 4.5
18500 -11.7 10.9 155 29 15 7.7 4.2 | -12.1 10.2 165 25 13 9.0 4.9
18000 -10.0 14.0 145 26 13 8.4 4.6 | -10.1 13.8 165 25 13 9.0 4.9
17500 -8.7 16.3 145 25 13 9.1 5.0 | -8.8 16.2 165 24 12 9.0 4.9
17000 -7.3 18.9 145 24 12 9.1 5.0 | -7.4 18.7 165 24 12 9.0 4.9
16500 -5.9 21.4 145 24 12 9.6 5.3 | -6.1 21.0 165 23 12 9.1 5.0
16000 -4.5 23.9 150 23 12 9.6 5.3 | -4.7 23.5 165 23 12 9.1 5.0
15500 -3.1 26.4 150 23 12 9.2 5.0 | -3.4 25.9 170 22 11 9.0 4.9
15000 -1.7 28.9 155 22 12 9.0 5.0 | -2.1 28.2 170 21 11 9.0 4.9
14500 -0.4 31.3 160 22 11 8.8 4.8 | -0.8 30.6 170 20 10 9.2 5.0
14000 0.9 33.6 165 21 11 8.5 4.7 | 0.6 33.1 170 20 10 9.3 5.1
13500 2.1 35.8 175 20 10 8.6 4.7 | 2.0 35.6 175 19 10 9.4 5.2
13000 3.5 38.3 180 20 10 9.0 4.9 | 3.4 38.1 175 18 9 9.6 5.3
12500 4.8 40.6 180 21 11 8.8 4.8 | 4.9 40.8 170 18 9 9.6 5.3
12000 5.9 42.6 185 22 11 6.9 3.8 | 6.3 43.3 170 17 9 9.3 5.1
11500 6.9 44.4 190 23 12 7.6 4.2 | 7.7 45.9 170 17 9 9.7 5.3
11000 7.9 46.2 200 22 11 6.0 3.3 | 9.1 48.4 170 17 9 9.5 5.2
10500 8.8 47.8 205 20 10 6.2 3.4 | 10.6 51.1 165 16 8 9.3 5.1
10250 9.2 48.6 210 20 10 6.9 3.8 | 11.2 52.2 165 16 8 9.1 5.0
10000 9.8 49.6 210 18 10 7.5 4.1 | 11.9 53.4 165 16 8 9.7 5.3
9750 10.4 50.7 215 17 9 7.5 4.1 | 12.7 54.9 165 15 8 9.9 5.4
9500 10.9 51.6 215 16 8 7.3 4.0 | 13.4 56.1 160 15 8 9.9 5.4
9250 11.4 52.5 215 15 8 6.8 3.8 | 14.2 57.6 160 15 8 10.6 5.8
9000 11.9 53.4 215 13 7 5.4 3.0 | 14.9 58.8 160 15 8 10.0 5.5
8750 12.2 54.0 215 11 6 4.3 2.3 | 15.6 60.1 155 14 7 9.0 5.0
8500 12.6 54.7 215 9 5 5.3 2.9 | 16.3 61.3 155 14 7 9.5 5.2
8250 13.0 55.4 210 8 4 7.1 3.9 | 17.1 62.8 155 14 7 10.3 5.6
8000 13.6 56.5 205 6 3 8.0 4.4 | 17.8 64.0 150 14 7 10.4 5.7
7750 14.2 57.6 200 6 3 8.4 4.6 | 18.6 65.5 150 14 7 9.8 5.4
7500 14.8 58.6 195 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 19.3 66.7 145 13 7 10.1 5.5
7250 15.6 60.1 195 5 2 10.2 5.6 | 20.1 68.2 145 13 7 10.6 5.8
7000 16.3 61.3 190 5 2 10.0 5.5 | 20.9 69.6 145 13 7 10.6 5.8
6750 17.1 62.8 190 4 2 10.1 5.5 | 21.7 71.1 140 12 6 10.9 6.0
6500 17.9 64.2 185 4 2 13.0 7.1 | 22.7 72.9 140 12 6 18.8 10.3
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
05/25/2026 at 1500 MDT | 05/25/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +3.8 LI... +0.8 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.7
CINH... -21.5 K Index... +24.6 | CINH... -0.1 K Index... +25.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.5 -75.1 240 27 14 2.4 1.3 | -60.6 -77.1 250 28 14 1.7 0.9
45000 -57.2 -71.0 245 30 15 -3.2 -1.8 | -58.8 -73.8 240 27 14 -1.8 -1.0
40000 -61.9 -79.4 230 23 12 -2.0 -1.1 | -61.5 -78.7 200 15 8 -0.2 -0.1
38000 -57.1 -70.8 220 25 13 9.0 4.9 | -56.7 -70.1 185 18 9 8.6 4.7
36000 -51.7 -61.1 215 27 14 9.0 5.0 | -51.6 -60.9 175 21 11 8.6 4.7
34000 -45.7 -50.3 205 27 14 8.8 4.8 | -45.8 -50.4 175 25 13 8.6 4.7
32000 -40.5 -40.9 200 26 13 8.8 4.8 | -40.7 -41.3 175 27 14 8.6 4.7
30000 -35.5 -31.9 190 24 12 8.2 4.5 | -35.7 -32.3 180 30 16 8.3 4.6
29000 -33.0 -27.4 185 23 12 8.2 4.5 | -33.2 -27.8 180 32 17 8.3 4.6
28000 -30.6 -23.1 180 22 11 8.2 4.5 | -30.7 -23.3 180 34 18 8.4 4.6
27000 -28.3 -18.9 175 22 11 7.7 4.2 | -28.4 -19.1 185 36 18 7.8 4.3
26000 -26.0 -14.8 170 22 11 7.7 4.2 | -26.1 -15.0 185 36 19 7.8 4.3
25000 -23.7 -10.7 160 22 11 7.7 4.2 | -23.8 -10.8 185 37 19 7.8 4.3
24000 -21.5 -6.7 155 22 12 7.4 4.1 | -21.5 -6.7 190 37 19 7.5 4.1
23000 -19.3 -2.7 155 23 12 7.4 4.1 | -19.3 -2.7 190 36 18 7.5 4.1
22000 -17.1 1.2 150 23 12 7.5 4.1 | -17.0 1.4 190 34 18 7.5 4.1
21000 -15.0 5.0 145 24 12 6.8 3.7 | -14.7 5.5 190 33 17 7.8 4.3
20000 -13.0 8.6 145 24 12 6.8 3.7 | -12.4 9.7 190 32 16 7.9 4.3
19500 -12.0 10.4 145 24 12 6.8 3.7 | -10.7 12.7 190 31 16 8.0 4.4
19000 -10.6 12.9 145 24 13 6.4 3.5 | -9.6 14.7 185 30 15 5.8 3.2
18500 -9.7 14.5 145 24 13 6.3 3.5 | -8.9 16.0 185 30 15 5.3 2.9
18000 -8.7 16.3 145 25 13 6.3 3.5 | -8.2 17.2 185 30 15 5.4 2.9
17500 -7.8 18.0 145 25 13 6.4 3.5 | -7.3 18.9 185 30 16 6.4 3.5
17000 -6.9 19.6 145 25 13 6.4 3.5 | -6.4 20.5 190 31 16 6.4 3.5
16500 -5.9 21.4 145 24 13 6.7 3.7 | -5.5 22.1 190 31 16 6.3 3.5
16000 -5.0 23.0 145 24 13 6.7 3.7 | -4.6 23.7 190 31 16 6.3 3.5
15500 -4.0 24.8 145 24 12 6.4 3.5 | -3.7 25.3 185 30 16 6.3 3.5
15000 -3.1 26.4 145 24 12 6.0 3.3 | -2.8 27.0 190 30 15 6.4 3.5
14500 -2.2 28.0 145 24 12 6.1 3.3 | -1.9 28.6 190 29 15 6.4 3.5
14000 -1.3 29.7 145 24 12 6.3 3.5 | -0.9 30.4 190 28 14 7.3 4.0
13500 -0.4 31.3 145 23 12 6.4 3.5 | 0.2 32.4 195 27 14 7.2 4.0
13000 0.5 32.9 145 23 12 5.7 3.1 | 1.3 34.3 195 26 13 7.7 4.2
12500 1.3 34.3 150 23 12 6.0 3.3 | 2.4 36.3 200 24 12 7.6 4.2
12000 2.0 35.6 150 23 12 4.0 2.2 | 3.6 38.5 200 22 11 7.4 4.1
11500 2.7 36.9 150 24 12 3.8 2.1 | 4.6 40.3 200 20 10 7.2 4.0
11000 3.4 38.1 155 24 12 7.3 4.0 | 5.5 41.9 200 18 9 5.4 3.0
10500 4.5 40.1 155 24 12 7.4 4.1 | 6.4 43.5 205 16 8 5.9 3.3
10250 5.0 41.0 155 24 12 6.3 3.5 | 6.8 44.2 205 15 8 6.0 3.3
10000 5.4 41.7 160 24 12 6.9 3.8 | 7.2 45.0 210 14 7 5.5 3.0
9750 6.0 42.8 160 24 12 8.3 4.6 | 7.6 45.7 210 12 6 5.1 2.8
9500 6.6 43.9 165 24 12 8.1 4.4 | 8.0 46.4 215 11 6 5.3 2.9
9250 7.2 45.0 165 24 12 7.5 4.1 | 8.3 46.9 220 10 5 4.9 2.7
9000 7.7 45.9 170 24 12 6.5 3.6 | 8.6 47.5 230 9 4 3.0 1.7
8750 8.2 46.8 170 23 12 6.4 3.5 | 8.7 47.7 240 8 4 1.7 0.9
8500 8.6 47.5 175 23 12 6.2 3.4 | 8.9 48.0 250 8 4 1.6 0.9
8250 9.0 48.2 175 23 12 5.0 2.7 | 9.0 48.2 260 8 4 2.4 1.3
8000 9.3 48.7 180 23 12 4.3 2.4 | 9.2 48.6 270 8 4 3.0 1.7
7750 9.6 49.3 180 23 12 4.8 2.6 | 9.3 48.7 280 8 4 2.0 1.1
7500 10.0 50.0 185 24 12 4.8 2.6 | 9.4 48.9 290 8 4 1.8 1.0
7250 10.3 50.5 190 23 12 4.6 2.5 | 9.5 49.1 295 9 5 2.7 1.5
7000 10.6 51.1 195 23 12 4.6 2.5 | 9.7 49.5 305 9 5 3.1 1.7
6750 10.9 51.6 200 22 11 4.5 2.4 | 9.9 49.8 315 10 5 3.9 2.2
6500 11.2 52.2 205 22 11 8.3 4.5 | 10.3 50.5 320 10 5 9.3 5.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0716 MDT Monday May 25 2026
This forecast is for Monday, May 25, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 76.1 F/24.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 839 ft/min (4.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18037 ft MSL (12358 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 79.0 F/26.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 7500 ft MSL (1822 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 05/26...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:56:18 / 20:10:40 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 14 min 22 sec (854 min 22 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:29 MDT... 76.00 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/25/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14285 ft MSL (8606 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18490 ft MSL (12811 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18419 ft MSL (12740 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.6
K index......................... +18.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.1 -79.8 250 24 12 -0.3 -0.1 89.8 193.6 37.0 M M
45000 -62.1 -79.8 245 37 19 1.7 1.0 67.2 152.9 25.5 M M
40000 -59.3 -74.7 230 32 16 3.4 1.9 47.7 117.9 14.4 M M
38000 -55.4 -67.7 220 30 15 6.7 3.7 44.4 112.0 12.6 M M
36000 -51.4 -60.5 215 28 15 6.7 3.7 42.0 107.6 11.2 M M
34000 -47.0 -52.6 210 27 14 7.8 4.3 39.9 103.9 10.0 M M
32000 -42.3 -44.1 215 26 13 7.8 4.3 38.4 101.1 9.1 M M
30000 -37.5 -35.5 215 25 13 8.2 4.5 37.0 98.6 8.2 M M
29000 -35.1 -31.2 215 24 13 8.2 4.5 36.4 97.5 7.8 M M
28000 -32.6 -26.7 215 24 12 8.2 4.5 35.9 96.6 7.5 M M
27000 -30.3 -22.5 215 23 12 7.5 4.1 35.1 95.3 7.0 M M
26000 -27.5 -17.5 210 22 11 7.5 4.1 34.0 93.3 6.2 M M
25000 -25.2 -13.4 205 21 11 7.6 4.2 33.3 91.9 5.6 M M
24000 -23.3 -9.9 195 20 10 6.0 3.3 32.1 89.8 4.7 M M
23000 -21.5 -6.7 185 19 10 6.0 3.3 30.7 87.2 3.6 M M
22000 -19.7 -3.5 170 19 10 5.8 3.2 29.4 85.0 2.6 M M
21000 -17.5 0.5 165 20 10 7.7 4.2 28.5 83.3 1.8 M M
20000 -15.2 4.6 160 21 11 7.7 4.2 27.8 82.0 1.2 M M
19500 -14.1 6.6 160 22 11 7.7 4.2 27.4 81.4 0.9 M M
19000 -13.0 8.6 160 22 11 8.0 4.4 27.1 80.9 0.6 M M
18500 -11.8 10.8 165 20 10 8.0 4.4 26.8 80.3 0.3 M M
18000 -10.6 12.9 170 18 9 8.2 4.5 26.5 79.8 -0.0 1236 6.3
17500 -9.3 15.3 180 18 9 9.2 5.0 26.4 79.5 -0.2 1182 6.0
17000 -8.0 17.6 185 18 9 9.1 5.0 26.3 79.3 -0.3 1126 5.7
16500 -6.6 20.1 195 18 9 9.6 5.2 26.2 79.2 -0.4 1070 5.4
16000 -5.1 22.8 195 18 9 9.6 5.3 26.2 79.1 -0.4 1012 5.1
15500 -3.7 25.3 200 18 9 9.7 5.3 26.2 79.1 -0.4 954 4.8
15000 -2.2 28.0 200 18 9 9.7 5.3 26.2 79.1 -0.4 895 4.5
14500 -0.8 30.6 200 18 9 9.7 5.3 26.2 79.1 -0.4 837 4.3
14000 0.7 33.3 200 18 9 9.7 5.3 26.2 79.1 -0.4 778 4.0
13500 2.1 35.8 200 18 9 9.7 5.3 26.1 79.1 -0.4 720 3.7
13000 3.5 38.3 200 18 9 9.4 5.2 26.1 79.0 -0.5 662 3.4
12500 5.0 41.0 200 18 9 9.5 5.2 26.1 78.9 -0.5 605 3.1
12000 6.3 43.3 200 19 10 8.9 4.9 26.0 78.7 -0.6 549 2.8
11500 7.7 45.9 195 20 10 9.0 4.9 25.8 78.5 -0.7 494 2.5
11000 9.0 48.2 195 21 11 8.2 4.5 25.7 78.2 -0.9 440 2.2
10500 10.2 50.4 195 23 12 8.7 4.8 25.4 77.8 -1.1 389 2.0
10250 10.9 51.6 195 24 12 8.8 4.8 25.4 77.7 -1.2 361 1.8
10000 11.5 52.7 190 25 13 8.1 4.4 25.2 77.4 -1.3 335 1.7
9750 12.1 53.8 190 25 13 8.2 4.5 25.1 77.2 -1.5 310 1.6
9500 12.7 54.9 190 26 13 7.9 4.3 25.0 77.0 -1.6 285 1.4
9250 13.9 57.0 190 27 14 8.3 4.6 24.7 76.5 -1.9 235 1.2
9000 14.5 58.1 190 26 14 8.3 4.6 24.6 76.3 -2.0 209 1.1
8750 15.1 59.2 190 26 14 8.4 4.6 24.5 76.1 -2.1 183 0.9
8500 15.7 60.3 190 26 13 7.0 3.8 24.4 75.8 -2.3 158 0.8
8250 16.2 61.2 190 25 13 6.9 3.8 24.1 75.4 -2.5 136 0.7
8000 16.7 62.1 185 24 12 8.2 4.5 23.9 75.1 -2.7 111 0.6
7750 17.3 63.1 185 22 11 7.4 4.0 23.8 74.9 -2.8 86 0.4
7500 17.8 64.0 185 20 10 4.4 2.4 23.5 74.4 -3.1 65 0.3
7250 18.1 64.6 180 18 9 2.9 1.6 23.0 73.5 -3.6 50 0.3
7000 18.3 64.9 180 15 8 4.0 2.2 22.6 72.6 -4.1 35 0.2
6750 18.6 65.5 175 12 6 2.3 1.3 22.1 71.8 -4.6 20 0.1
6500 18.6 65.5 165 9 5 -0.3 -0.2 21.4 70.5 -5.2 10 0.1
6250 18.6 65.5 155 6 3 0.1 0.0 20.6 69.2 -6.0 4 0.0
6000 18.3 64.9 135 4 2 -10.5 -5.7 19.7 67.4 -7.0 4 0.0
5750 15.6 60.1 100 4 2 -76.4 -41.9 16.2 61.2 -10.5 79 0.4
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/25/2026 at 0900 MDT | 05/25/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.0 | CAPE... +101.0 LI... -1.4
CINH... -0.3 K Index... +18.9 | CINH... -13.0 K Index... +25.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.8 -79.2 250 21 11 1.2 0.7 | -61.8 -79.2 240 22 12 1.4 0.8
45000 -60.0 -76.0 245 32 17 0.5 0.3 | -59.9 -75.8 235 27 14 0.5 0.2
40000 -59.2 -74.6 230 37 19 1.6 0.9 | -59.2 -74.6 225 32 17 0.5 0.3
38000 -55.8 -68.4 220 33 17 6.0 3.3 | -56.1 -69.0 215 29 15 5.6 3.1
36000 -52.2 -62.0 205 31 16 6.0 3.3 | -52.8 -63.0 205 26 13 5.6 3.1
34000 -47.8 -54.0 205 29 15 8.3 4.5 | -47.7 -53.9 205 26 13 8.9 4.9
32000 -42.9 -45.2 215 26 13 8.3 4.6 | -42.4 -44.3 210 29 15 8.9 4.9
30000 -37.9 -36.2 215 23 12 8.4 4.6 | -37.0 -34.6 210 26 13 8.9 4.9
29000 -35.4 -31.7 210 21 11 8.4 4.6 | -34.4 -29.9 205 23 12 8.9 4.9
28000 -32.9 -27.2 205 19 10 8.4 4.6 | -31.7 -25.1 205 20 10 9.1 5.0
27000 -30.0 -22.0 200 19 10 7.5 4.1 | -29.4 -20.9 200 20 10 7.5 4.1
26000 -27.7 -17.9 200 20 10 7.5 4.1 | -27.2 -17.0 200 22 11 7.5 4.1
25000 -25.5 -13.9 200 21 11 7.5 4.1 | -24.9 -12.8 195 24 12 7.5 4.1
24000 -23.2 -9.8 200 22 12 7.8 4.3 | -22.8 -9.0 190 26 13 6.7 3.7
23000 -20.9 -5.6 200 24 13 7.8 4.3 | -20.9 -5.6 180 27 14 6.7 3.7
22000 -18.6 -1.5 200 26 14 8.0 4.4 | -18.9 -2.0 175 29 15 6.7 3.7
21000 -16.5 2.3 190 27 14 6.6 3.6 | -16.5 2.3 165 31 16 6.4 3.5
20000 -14.5 5.9 175 28 15 6.6 3.6 | -14.6 5.7 160 32 17 6.5 3.5
19500 -13.5 7.7 165 30 15 6.6 3.6 | -13.7 7.3 155 33 17 6.4 3.5
19000 -12.5 9.5 160 31 16 7.3 4.0 | -12.6 9.3 155 33 17 7.9 4.3
18500 -11.4 11.5 155 31 16 7.6 4.2 | -11.5 11.3 155 33 17 8.0 4.4
18000 -10.3 13.5 150 31 16 7.8 4.3 | -10.3 13.5 160 32 16 8.1 4.5
17500 -9.0 15.8 145 31 16 9.4 5.1 | -9.1 15.6 160 31 16 8.5 4.6
17000 -7.6 18.3 145 31 16 9.3 5.1 | -7.8 18.0 160 30 15 8.4 4.6
16500 -6.2 20.8 145 30 15 9.1 5.0 | -6.6 20.1 160 29 15 9.0 4.9
16000 -4.9 23.2 145 28 15 9.1 5.0 | -5.3 22.5 165 29 15 9.0 4.9
15500 -3.5 25.7 150 27 14 8.9 4.9 | -3.9 25.0 165 28 15 8.7 4.8
15000 -2.2 28.0 155 26 13 8.8 4.8 | -2.7 27.1 165 27 14 8.6 4.7
14500 -0.9 30.4 160 25 13 8.7 4.8 | -1.4 29.5 165 27 14 8.7 4.7
14000 0.3 32.5 165 25 13 8.4 4.6 | -0.1 31.8 170 26 13 8.8 4.8
13500 1.6 34.9 170 25 13 8.5 4.6 | 1.2 34.2 170 24 13 8.8 4.8
13000 2.8 37.0 175 26 13 8.1 4.5 | 2.5 36.5 170 23 12 9.3 5.1
12500 3.9 39.0 180 26 13 8.2 4.5 | 3.9 39.0 170 22 11 9.3 5.1
12000 5.1 41.2 185 25 13 7.9 4.3 | 5.3 41.5 170 21 11 9.1 5.0
11500 6.3 43.3 190 23 12 7.9 4.4 | 6.6 43.9 175 20 10 9.2 5.0
11000 7.5 45.5 195 21 11 7.9 4.3 | 7.9 46.2 175 18 9 8.6 4.7
10500 8.6 47.5 200 19 10 8.6 4.7 | 9.3 48.7 175 17 9 10.2 5.6
10250 9.3 48.7 200 19 10 8.8 4.8 | 10.1 50.2 175 16 8 10.2 5.6
10000 9.9 49.8 200 18 9 7.7 4.2 | 10.8 51.4 175 16 8 9.1 5.0
9750 10.5 50.9 205 17 9 7.7 4.2 | 11.4 52.5 175 15 8 8.9 4.9
9500 11.1 52.0 205 16 8 8.1 4.4 | 12.1 53.8 180 15 8 10.2 5.6
9250 12.3 54.1 205 14 7 7.6 4.1 | 12.9 55.2 180 15 8 10.5 5.7
9000 12.9 55.2 210 13 6 7.5 4.1 | 13.6 56.5 180 14 7 9.1 5.0
8750 13.4 56.1 210 12 6 7.5 4.1 | 14.4 57.9 180 14 7 9.8 5.4
8500 14.0 57.2 210 11 5 6.9 3.8 | 15.1 59.2 185 13 7 8.3 4.5
8250 14.5 58.1 210 10 5 7.0 3.9 | 15.6 60.1 185 13 7 8.4 4.6
8000 15.0 59.0 215 9 4 7.7 4.2 | 16.4 61.5 185 12 6 10.5 5.8
7750 15.6 60.1 215 7 4 6.9 3.8 | 17.1 62.8 185 12 6 10.8 5.9
7500 16.0 60.8 210 6 3 4.8 2.6 | 17.9 64.2 190 12 6 9.9 5.4
7250 16.4 61.5 205 5 2 6.0 3.3 | 18.6 65.5 190 11 6 8.5 4.7
7000 16.9 62.4 200 4 2 7.6 4.1 | 20.1 68.2 195 10 5 11.6 6.4
6750 17.5 63.5 185 3 1 7.4 4.1 | 20.9 69.6 195 10 5 10.4 5.7
6500 18.1 64.6 170 3 1 8.0 4.4 | 21.7 71.1 200 10 5 9.6 5.3
6250 18.7 65.7 155 3 1 8.3 4.6 | 22.4 72.3 200 9 5 9.3 5.1
6000 19.4 66.9 150 2 1 13.0 7.1 | 23.2 73.8 200 9 4 15.0 8.3
5750 20.9 69.6 140 2 1 31.2 17.1 | 25.4 77.7 205 8 4 52.3 28.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
05/25/2026 at 1500 MDT | 05/25/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +19.4 LI... -0.2 | CAPE... +0.4 LI... +0.9
CINH... -14.9 K Index... +27.7 | CINH... -4.8 K Index... +26.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.5 -78.7 235 26 13 0.1 0.0 | -61.3 -78.3 240 24 12 1.5 0.8
45000 -61.2 -78.2 220 29 15 0.9 0.5 | -59.6 -75.3 235 29 15 -0.8 -0.4
40000 -59.8 -75.6 175 19 10 1.1 0.6 | -60.8 -77.4 160 30 15 -0.7 -0.4
38000 -56.1 -69.0 170 20 10 6.6 3.6 | -56.4 -69.5 160 29 15 8.2 4.5
36000 -52.2 -62.0 170 21 11 6.6 3.6 | -50.9 -59.6 160 27 14 8.2 4.5
34000 -46.8 -52.2 160 23 12 9.0 5.0 | -45.8 -50.4 170 29 15 8.8 4.8
32000 -41.4 -42.5 155 25 13 9.0 5.0 | -40.5 -40.9 175 34 18 8.8 4.8
30000 -36.1 -33.0 155 27 14 8.7 4.8 | -35.4 -31.7 180 37 19 8.4 4.6
29000 -33.5 -28.3 160 28 14 8.7 4.8 | -32.9 -27.2 185 37 19 8.4 4.6
28000 -31.0 -23.8 165 29 15 8.8 4.8 | -30.4 -22.7 185 38 20 8.5 4.7
27000 -28.5 -19.3 165 29 15 8.0 4.4 | -28.0 -18.4 185 37 19 7.8 4.3
26000 -26.2 -15.2 170 29 15 8.0 4.4 | -25.7 -14.3 185 36 18 7.8 4.3
25000 -23.8 -10.8 175 29 15 8.0 4.4 | -23.4 -10.1 185 34 18 7.8 4.3
24000 -21.5 -6.7 175 29 15 7.2 3.9 | -21.2 -6.2 185 33 17 7.0 3.8
23000 -19.4 -2.9 180 30 15 7.2 3.9 | -19.1 -2.4 185 31 16 7.1 3.9
22000 -17.3 0.9 180 30 16 7.2 3.9 | -16.5 2.3 185 28 14 7.1 3.9
21000 -14.8 5.4 185 31 16 6.4 3.5 | -14.6 5.7 180 26 13 6.5 3.6
20000 -13.0 8.6 190 31 16 6.4 3.5 | -12.7 9.1 180 25 13 6.5 3.6
19500 -12.0 10.4 190 31 16 6.4 3.5 | -11.7 10.9 180 24 12 6.5 3.6
19000 -11.1 12.0 190 31 16 6.6 3.6 | -10.8 12.6 180 23 12 6.3 3.4
18500 -10.1 13.8 190 30 15 6.7 3.7 | -9.9 14.2 180 22 11 6.1 3.3
18000 -9.2 15.4 190 29 15 6.6 3.6 | -9.0 15.8 180 21 11 6.1 3.3
17500 -8.3 17.1 195 28 14 6.0 3.3 | -8.1 17.4 185 20 10 6.2 3.4
17000 -7.4 18.7 195 27 14 6.0 3.3 | -7.2 19.0 185 18 9 6.2 3.4
16500 -6.5 20.3 195 25 13 6.3 3.5 | -6.3 20.7 185 17 9 6.0 3.3
16000 -5.6 21.9 195 23 12 6.4 3.5 | -5.5 22.1 190 15 8 6.0 3.3
15500 -4.7 23.5 195 20 10 6.5 3.5 | -4.6 23.7 190 14 7 6.0 3.3
15000 -3.7 25.3 200 18 10 6.6 3.6 | -3.7 25.3 195 12 6 6.0 3.3
14500 -2.8 27.0 200 17 9 6.7 3.7 | -2.9 26.8 195 10 5 6.0 3.3
14000 -1.7 28.9 205 15 8 7.6 4.1 | -2.0 28.4 200 9 5 6.2 3.4
13500 -0.6 30.9 210 14 7 7.4 4.1 | -1.1 30.0 210 8 4 6.2 3.4
13000 0.5 32.9 215 13 7 8.5 4.7 | -0.2 31.6 220 7 4 6.1 3.3
12500 1.8 35.2 220 13 7 8.4 4.6 | 0.7 33.3 230 7 4 6.0 3.3
12000 3.0 37.4 225 13 6 8.3 4.6 | 1.6 34.9 240 7 3 6.6 3.6
11500 4.2 39.6 230 13 7 8.3 4.6 | 2.6 36.7 250 6 3 6.7 3.7
11000 5.4 41.7 240 13 7 8.1 4.5 | 3.6 38.5 260 6 3 7.1 3.9
10500 6.6 43.9 245 14 7 9.1 5.0 | 4.6 40.3 270 5 3 7.1 3.9
10250 7.3 45.1 245 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 5.1 41.2 280 5 3 7.1 3.9
10000 8.0 46.4 245 14 7 8.6 4.7 | 5.6 42.1 290 5 3 7.2 3.9
9750 8.6 47.5 245 14 7 8.6 4.7 | 6.2 43.2 300 5 2 7.2 4.0
9500 9.3 48.7 250 14 7 8.6 4.7 | 6.7 44.1 315 4 2 7.3 4.0
9250 9.9 49.8 245 14 7 8.9 4.9 | 7.2 45.0 325 5 2 6.4 3.5
9000 10.6 51.1 245 14 7 8.9 4.9 | 7.6 45.7 335 5 2 5.6 3.1
8750 11.2 52.2 245 14 7 8.8 4.9 | 8.0 46.4 350 5 3 5.8 3.2
8500 11.9 53.4 250 14 7 8.8 4.8 | 8.5 47.3 360 5 3 5.9 3.2
8250 12.5 54.5 250 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 8.9 48.0 010 6 3 5.4 2.9
8000 13.1 55.6 250 15 7 8.9 4.9 | 9.6 49.3 035 8 4 5.3 2.9
7750 13.8 56.8 250 14 7 9.4 5.2 | 10.0 50.0 040 8 4 5.3 2.9
7500 14.5 58.1 250 14 7 9.2 5.0 | 10.3 50.5 050 10 5 4.2 2.3
7250 15.9 60.6 255 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 10.6 51.1 055 11 6 4.1 2.2
7000 16.6 61.9 255 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 10.9 51.6 060 11 6 4.8 2.7
6750 17.3 63.1 255 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 11.2 52.2 065 12 6 4.6 2.5
6500 18.0 64.4 255 14 7 10.3 5.7 | 11.5 52.7 070 12 6 4.4 2.4
6250 18.8 65.8 255 14 7 9.3 5.1 | 11.8 53.2 070 13 6 5.0 2.8
6000 19.5 67.1 255 14 7 13.6 7.5 | 12.3 54.1 075 12 6 9.4 5.2
5750 21.6 70.9 255 11 6 51.8 28.4 | 13.3 55.9 075 10 5 21.1 11.6
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0715 MDT Monday May 25 2026
This forecast is for Monday, May 25, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 72.6 F/22.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1002 ft/min (5.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20298 ft MSL (13844 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 78.0 F/26.0 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1200 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10310 ft MSL (3856 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 05/26...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:52:46 / 20:09:59 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 17 min 12 sec (857 min 12 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:01:22 MDT... 75.44 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/25/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14400 ft MSL (7946 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17677 ft MSL (11223 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 18428 ft MSL (11974 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.8
K index......................... +18.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.5 -78.7 250 24 12 0.4 0.2 88.1 190.6 36.7 M M
45000 -60.8 -77.4 250 38 19 0.5 0.3 66.8 152.2 25.8 M M
40000 -60.1 -76.2 225 32 16 2.3 1.2 44.2 111.5 12.5 M M
38000 -56.2 -69.2 220 30 16 6.8 3.7 40.9 105.7 10.6 M M
36000 -52.1 -61.8 215 29 15 6.8 3.7 38.6 101.4 9.2 M M
34000 -47.5 -53.5 220 27 14 8.3 4.5 36.8 98.2 8.2 M M
32000 -42.6 -44.7 235 23 12 8.3 4.5 35.6 96.2 7.5 M M
30000 -37.6 -35.7 230 20 10 8.3 4.6 34.5 94.1 6.8 M M
29000 -35.1 -31.2 225 18 9 8.3 4.6 33.9 93.0 6.4 M M
28000 -32.0 -25.6 210 16 8 8.3 4.5 33.4 92.1 6.1 M M
27000 -29.7 -21.5 210 17 9 7.5 4.1 32.5 90.5 5.4 M M
26000 -27.5 -17.5 210 17 9 7.5 4.1 31.6 88.9 4.8 M M
25000 -25.2 -13.4 205 17 9 7.5 4.1 30.9 87.5 4.3 M M
24000 -23.1 -9.6 205 17 9 6.9 3.8 29.8 85.7 3.5 M M
23000 -21.1 -6.0 205 16 8 6.9 3.8 28.8 83.8 2.6 M M
22000 -19.1 -2.4 200 15 8 7.0 3.9 27.8 82.1 1.8 M M
21000 -17.1 1.2 190 15 8 6.5 3.5 26.7 80.0 0.7 M M
20000 -15.3 4.5 180 15 8 6.5 3.6 25.5 78.0 -0.3 1375 7.0
19500 -14.3 6.3 175 15 8 6.5 3.6 25.0 77.0 -0.8 1332 6.8
19000 -13.3 8.1 170 16 8 8.3 4.6 24.6 76.2 -1.2 1287 6.5
18500 -12.0 10.4 175 15 8 8.9 4.9 24.4 76.0 -1.4 1233 6.3
18000 -10.7 12.7 180 15 8 9.0 4.9 24.3 75.7 -1.6 1179 6.0
17500 -9.3 15.3 185 15 8 9.7 5.3 24.2 75.6 -1.6 1122 5.7
17000 -7.8 18.0 190 15 8 9.6 5.3 24.2 75.6 -1.7 1064 5.4
16500 -6.4 20.5 190 15 8 9.9 5.4 24.2 75.6 -1.7 1006 5.1
16000 -4.9 23.2 195 15 8 9.9 5.4 24.2 75.6 -1.6 947 4.8
15500 -3.4 25.9 195 15 8 9.8 5.4 24.3 75.7 -1.6 887 4.5
15000 -2.0 28.4 195 16 8 9.6 5.3 24.2 75.6 -1.7 829 4.2
14500 -0.5 31.1 200 16 8 9.6 5.3 24.2 75.6 -1.7 771 3.9
14000 0.9 33.6 200 17 9 9.5 5.2 24.2 75.5 -1.7 714 3.6
13500 2.3 36.1 205 17 9 9.5 5.2 24.2 75.5 -1.8 656 3.3
13000 3.7 38.7 205 18 9 9.1 5.0 24.1 75.4 -1.8 599 3.0
12500 5.1 41.2 205 18 9 9.2 5.1 24.0 75.2 -1.9 544 2.8
12000 6.4 43.5 205 18 9 8.5 4.7 23.9 75.0 -2.1 489 2.5
11500 8.4 47.1 205 17 9 8.5 4.7 23.6 74.5 -2.4 409 2.1
11000 9.6 49.3 205 16 8 7.8 4.3 23.3 74.0 -2.6 358 1.8
10500 10.7 51.3 200 15 8 7.4 4.1 23.0 73.4 -2.9 308 1.6
10250 11.2 52.2 195 16 8 6.5 3.6 22.8 73.0 -3.2 285 1.4
10000 11.7 53.1 190 15 8 6.4 3.5 22.5 72.6 -3.4 264 1.3
9750 12.2 54.0 185 15 8 6.4 3.5 22.3 72.1 -3.7 243 1.2
9500 12.6 54.7 185 15 8 6.5 3.6 22.0 71.6 -4.0 222 1.1
9250 13.1 55.6 180 15 8 6.1 3.4 21.8 71.2 -4.3 201 1.0
9000 13.5 56.3 170 15 8 5.6 3.1 21.5 70.6 -4.6 181 0.9
8750 13.9 57.0 165 14 7 6.3 3.4 21.2 70.1 -5.0 161 0.8
8500 14.3 57.7 155 14 7 4.2 2.3 20.9 69.5 -5.3 142 0.7
8250 14.5 58.1 150 14 7 2.9 1.6 20.3 68.6 -5.8 129 0.7
8000 14.8 58.6 140 14 7 5.3 2.9 19.9 67.8 -6.3 112 0.6
7750 15.2 59.4 135 13 7 5.9 3.2 19.6 67.3 -6.6 92 0.5
7500 15.6 60.1 130 12 6 4.5 2.5 19.3 66.7 -7.0 73 0.4
7250 15.9 60.6 120 10 5 3.0 1.7 18.8 65.9 -7.4 58 0.3
7000 16.1 61.0 115 9 5 5.3 2.9 18.4 65.0 -7.9 42 0.2
6750 16.4 61.5 110 8 4 -3.0 -1.6 17.9 64.2 -8.4 28 0.1
6500 14.1 57.4 090 5 3 -74.5 -40.9 14.9 58.7 -11.5 89 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/25/2026 at 0900 MDT | 05/25/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.8 LI... -0.2 | CAPE... +119.2 LI... -1.7
CINH... -17.0 K Index... +20.3 | CINH... -1.9 K Index... +23.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.3 -78.3 250 25 13 2.2 1.2 | -60.5 -76.9 245 26 14 1.5 0.8
45000 -58.6 -73.5 250 30 15 -0.9 -0.5 | -58.7 -73.7 235 29 15 -0.9 -0.5
40000 -60.2 -76.4 220 33 17 0.7 0.4 | -60.1 -76.2 210 29 15 0.6 0.3
38000 -56.5 -69.7 215 31 16 6.5 3.6 | -56.6 -69.9 210 28 15 6.4 3.5
36000 -52.6 -62.7 210 29 15 6.5 3.6 | -52.7 -62.9 205 28 14 6.4 3.5
34000 -48.0 -54.4 205 25 13 8.7 4.7 | -48.1 -54.6 205 25 13 8.8 4.8
32000 -42.8 -45.0 205 19 10 8.7 4.8 | -42.8 -45.0 220 22 12 8.8 4.8
30000 -37.7 -35.9 205 17 9 8.4 4.6 | -37.6 -35.7 220 19 10 8.8 4.8
29000 -35.2 -31.4 205 18 9 8.4 4.6 | -34.9 -30.8 215 18 9 8.8 4.8
28000 -32.1 -25.8 205 18 9 8.4 4.6 | -31.6 -24.9 205 16 8 8.8 4.8
27000 -29.8 -21.6 205 19 10 7.7 4.2 | -29.3 -20.7 200 16 8 7.6 4.2
26000 -27.5 -17.5 205 20 10 7.7 4.2 | -27.0 -16.6 195 16 8 7.6 4.2
25000 -25.2 -13.4 200 21 11 7.7 4.2 | -24.8 -12.6 195 16 8 7.7 4.2
24000 -23.0 -9.4 195 21 11 7.2 4.0 | -22.9 -9.2 190 19 10 5.6 3.1
23000 -20.8 -5.4 185 21 11 7.2 4.0 | -21.2 -6.2 185 22 12 5.6 3.1
22000 -18.6 -1.5 175 21 11 7.3 4.0 | -19.6 -3.3 185 26 14 5.4 3.0
21000 -16.7 1.9 170 23 12 6.3 3.5 | -17.6 0.3 180 28 14 7.1 3.9
20000 -14.9 5.2 165 25 13 6.4 3.5 | -15.5 4.1 170 28 15 7.2 3.9
19500 -14.0 6.8 165 26 13 6.4 3.5 | -14.4 6.1 170 29 15 7.1 3.9
19000 -13.0 8.6 165 26 13 7.7 4.2 | -13.3 8.1 165 29 15 8.5 4.6
18500 -11.8 10.8 160 24 12 8.1 4.5 | -12.0 10.4 165 29 15 8.9 4.9
18000 -10.6 12.9 160 22 11 8.3 4.5 | -10.7 12.7 165 28 14 8.9 4.9
17500 -9.3 15.3 160 20 10 9.3 5.1 | -9.4 15.1 165 27 14 8.9 4.9
17000 -7.9 17.8 160 18 9 9.2 5.0 | -8.1 17.4 165 26 13 8.9 4.9
16500 -6.6 20.1 165 17 9 9.3 5.1 | -6.7 19.9 165 25 13 8.8 4.8
16000 -5.2 22.6 165 16 8 9.3 5.1 | -5.4 22.3 165 23 12 8.8 4.8
15500 -3.8 25.2 170 15 8 9.3 5.1 | -4.1 24.6 170 22 11 9.0 5.0
15000 -2.4 27.7 170 15 8 9.2 5.1 | -2.7 27.1 170 21 11 9.3 5.1
14500 -1.0 30.2 175 15 8 9.2 5.0 | -1.4 29.5 170 20 10 9.3 5.1
14000 0.3 32.5 180 16 8 8.7 4.8 | 0.0 32.0 170 20 10 9.5 5.2
13500 1.6 34.9 185 16 8 8.9 4.9 | 1.5 34.7 175 19 10 9.5 5.2
13000 2.8 37.0 190 18 9 7.7 4.2 | 2.8 37.0 175 18 9 9.3 5.1
12500 4.0 39.2 195 19 10 7.9 4.3 | 4.2 39.6 175 18 9 9.3 5.1
12000 5.1 41.2 200 20 10 8.0 4.4 | 5.6 42.1 175 17 9 9.2 5.0
11500 6.9 44.4 200 21 11 8.2 4.5 | 7.0 44.6 175 16 8 9.7 5.3
11000 8.0 46.4 205 19 10 7.4 4.1 | 8.4 47.1 175 16 8 9.3 5.1
10500 9.1 48.4 205 17 9 8.3 4.6 | 10.5 50.9 175 15 8 10.0 5.5
10250 9.8 49.6 205 17 9 8.5 4.7 | 11.3 52.3 175 15 8 10.3 5.7
10000 10.4 50.7 205 16 8 7.4 4.1 | 12.0 53.6 175 15 8 9.5 5.2
9750 11.0 51.8 205 15 8 8.0 4.4 | 12.7 54.9 175 15 7 9.7 5.3
9500 11.5 52.7 200 14 7 6.6 3.6 | 13.5 56.3 175 14 7 9.8 5.4
9250 12.0 53.6 200 12 6 6.7 3.7 | 14.2 57.6 175 14 7 10.0 5.5
9000 12.5 54.5 200 11 6 7.9 4.3 | 15.0 59.0 175 14 7 10.0 5.5
8750 13.1 55.6 195 11 5 7.9 4.4 | 15.7 60.3 175 14 7 10.1 5.6
8500 13.7 56.7 190 10 5 6.7 3.7 | 16.5 61.7 175 13 7 9.6 5.3
8250 14.1 57.4 185 9 5 6.3 3.5 | 17.2 63.0 175 13 7 9.7 5.3
8000 14.7 58.5 175 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 17.9 64.2 175 13 7 10.8 5.9
7750 15.3 59.5 175 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 18.7 65.7 175 13 7 11.0 6.0
7500 16.1 61.0 175 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 19.6 67.3 175 12 6 10.4 5.7
7250 16.8 62.2 170 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 20.3 68.5 175 12 6 10.6 5.8
7000 17.5 63.5 170 8 4 8.8 4.8 | 21.1 70.0 175 12 6 9.3 5.1
6750 18.2 64.8 170 7 4 11.0 6.0 | 21.9 71.4 175 11 6 15.3 8.4
6500 19.9 67.8 170 6 3 41.7 22.9 | 24.6 76.3 175 10 5 69.8 38.3
05/25/2026 at 1500 MDT | 05/25/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +66.7 LI... +0.1 | CAPE... +11.9 LI... +0.6
CINH... -39.0 K Index... +27.9 | CINH... -13.8 K Index... +25.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.2 -76.4 245 25 13 0.7 0.4 | -60.0 -76.0 245 24 12 1.9 1.0
45000 -59.7 -75.5 235 31 16 -1.7 -0.9 | -58.2 -72.8 230 25 13 -2.6 -1.4
40000 -62.2 -80.0 215 33 17 0.5 0.3 | -62.1 -79.8 180 34 18 -1.0 -0.6
38000 -57.4 -71.3 210 32 17 8.5 4.7 | -57.2 -71.0 175 31 16 8.9 4.9
36000 -52.3 -62.1 205 31 16 8.5 4.7 | -51.9 -61.4 175 26 14 8.9 4.9
34000 -47.1 -52.8 200 31 16 8.7 4.8 | -46.5 -51.7 170 25 13 9.0 4.9
32000 -41.8 -43.2 195 31 16 8.8 4.8 | -41.2 -42.2 175 25 13 9.0 4.9
30000 -36.6 -33.9 195 29 15 8.6 4.7 | -35.4 -31.7 175 24 13 8.4 4.6
29000 -33.4 -28.1 190 27 14 8.6 4.7 | -32.9 -27.2 175 24 13 8.4 4.6
28000 -30.8 -23.4 190 26 13 8.6 4.7 | -30.4 -22.7 170 24 13 8.5 4.7
27000 -28.4 -19.1 185 24 12 8.1 4.4 | -28.0 -18.4 170 24 12 7.7 4.2
26000 -26.0 -14.8 175 22 11 8.1 4.5 | -25.7 -14.3 170 23 12 7.8 4.3
25000 -23.5 -10.3 170 21 11 8.2 4.5 | -23.4 -10.1 170 23 12 7.8 4.3
24000 -21.2 -6.2 160 21 11 7.6 4.2 | -21.2 -6.2 170 22 11 7.3 4.0
23000 -19.0 -2.2 155 22 11 7.6 4.2 | -19.1 -2.4 165 22 11 7.3 4.0
22000 -16.7 1.9 150 23 12 7.7 4.2 | -16.9 1.6 165 22 11 7.3 4.0
21000 -14.7 5.5 145 24 12 6.9 3.8 | -14.9 5.2 165 22 11 6.5 3.6
20000 -12.7 9.1 140 25 13 6.9 3.8 | -13.0 8.6 170 24 12 6.5 3.6
19500 -11.7 10.9 140 26 13 6.9 3.8 | -12.1 10.2 170 24 13 6.5 3.6
19000 -10.7 12.7 140 26 13 6.8 3.7 | -11.1 12.0 170 25 13 6.4 3.5
18500 -9.7 14.5 140 26 13 6.6 3.6 | -10.2 13.6 170 25 13 6.2 3.4
18000 -8.8 16.2 140 26 14 6.7 3.7 | -9.3 15.3 175 25 13 6.2 3.4
17500 -7.9 17.8 140 26 14 5.7 3.1 | -8.4 16.9 175 25 13 6.0 3.3
17000 -7.0 19.4 140 26 13 5.8 3.2 | -7.6 18.3 175 25 13 6.0 3.3
16500 -6.2 20.8 140 25 13 5.8 3.2 | -6.7 19.9 180 24 13 6.0 3.3
16000 -5.3 22.5 140 24 13 5.8 3.2 | -5.8 21.6 180 24 12 6.0 3.3
15500 -4.5 23.9 140 23 12 5.9 3.2 | -4.5 23.9 180 23 12 5.9 3.2
15000 -3.6 25.5 145 22 11 5.9 3.2 | -3.7 25.3 180 21 11 5.8 3.2
14500 -2.8 27.0 145 20 10 5.7 3.1 | -2.8 27.0 185 20 10 5.7 3.1
14000 -1.8 28.8 150 18 9 8.0 4.4 | -2.1 28.2 185 19 10 5.4 3.0
13500 -0.6 30.9 155 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -1.3 29.7 185 18 9 5.5 3.0
13000 0.6 33.1 165 15 8 9.0 4.9 | -0.4 31.3 185 17 9 6.2 3.4
12500 1.9 35.4 170 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 0.5 32.9 190 15 8 6.2 3.4
12000 3.3 37.9 180 15 8 9.0 4.9 | 1.4 34.5 195 14 7 6.7 3.7
11500 5.3 41.5 190 16 8 8.8 4.8 | 2.4 36.3 200 12 6 5.4 3.0
11000 6.6 43.9 195 16 8 8.5 4.7 | 3.3 37.9 205 11 5 7.7 4.2
10500 7.8 46.0 200 17 9 8.3 4.5 | 4.3 39.7 205 10 5 6.6 3.6
10250 8.4 47.1 205 18 9 8.1 4.4 | 4.7 40.5 210 9 5 5.7 3.1
10000 9.0 48.2 210 19 10 7.9 4.3 | 5.2 41.4 210 9 5 6.2 3.4
9750 9.6 49.3 210 19 10 8.9 4.9 | 5.6 42.1 210 8 4 5.8 3.2
9500 10.2 50.4 215 20 10 4.8 2.7 | 6.1 43.0 210 8 4 6.9 3.8
9250 10.4 50.7 220 20 10 4.5 2.5 | 6.6 43.9 205 8 4 6.8 3.8
9000 10.9 51.6 225 21 11 8.2 4.5 | 7.0 44.6 205 7 4 5.0 2.8
8750 11.5 52.7 225 22 11 8.3 4.5 | 7.3 45.1 200 7 4 4.6 2.5
8500 12.1 53.8 230 22 12 4.8 2.6 | 7.7 45.9 195 6 3 5.4 3.0
8250 12.2 54.0 235 22 11 2.2 1.2 | 8.1 46.6 190 6 3 6.6 3.6
8000 12.5 54.5 240 22 11 8.1 4.4 | 8.5 47.3 185 6 3 6.1 3.4
7750 13.3 55.9 240 23 12 10.9 6.0 | 8.9 48.0 180 6 3 4.9 2.7
7500 14.0 57.2 240 23 12 8.1 4.5 | 9.3 48.7 175 6 3 7.1 3.9
7250 14.5 58.1 240 23 12 6.6 3.6 | 9.9 49.8 170 5 3 9.5 5.2
7000 15.1 59.2 240 23 12 8.3 4.6 | 10.6 51.1 170 5 3 7.8 4.3
6750 15.9 60.6 245 22 11 16.7 9.2 | 11.1 52.0 165 5 3 9.3 5.1
6500 18.2 64.8 240 20 10 53.3 29.3 | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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