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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0704 MDT Saturday June 13 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, June 13, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 80.9 F/27.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 994 ft/min (5.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21090 ft MSL (14768 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 94.0 F/34.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18635 ft MSL (12313 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 06/14....... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:49:34 / 20:18:46 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 29 min 12 sec (869 min 12 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:10 MDT... 78.23 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/13/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16129 ft MSL (9807 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15602 ft MSL (9280 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17752 ft MSL (11431 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.9
K index......................... +21.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.0 -85.0 265 48 25 1.9 1.0 78.2 172.7 25.9 M M
45000 -60.2 -76.4 255 69 35 5.9 3.2 62.9 145.2 18.0 M M
40000 -51.3 -60.3 250 71 37 6.8 3.7 54.6 130.3 13.7 M M
38000 -47.2 -53.0 255 66 34 6.8 3.8 51.8 125.3 12.1 M M
36000 -42.5 -44.5 255 60 31 6.8 3.7 49.4 121.0 10.7 M M
34000 -38.5 -37.3 255 46 24 6.7 3.7 46.6 115.9 9.0 M M
32000 -34.5 -30.1 250 33 17 6.7 3.7 44.4 112.0 7.5 M M
30000 -30.0 -22.0 255 27 14 7.6 4.2 42.5 108.5 6.2 M M
29000 -27.7 -17.9 255 25 13 7.6 4.2 41.7 107.1 5.7 M M
28000 -25.4 -13.7 260 23 12 7.4 4.1 41.0 105.9 5.2 M M
27000 -23.2 -9.8 265 22 11 7.4 4.1 40.0 104.0 4.4 M M
26000 -21.0 -5.8 270 21 11 7.4 4.1 39.1 102.4 3.7 M M
25000 -18.8 -1.8 275 21 11 7.5 4.1 38.4 101.1 3.1 M M
24000 -16.6 2.1 275 18 9 7.6 4.1 37.5 99.5 2.4 M M
23000 -14.3 6.3 275 15 8 7.6 4.1 36.7 98.1 1.8 M M
22000 -12.0 10.4 270 12 6 7.2 4.0 36.0 96.8 1.2 M M
21000 -10.2 13.6 270 13 7 6.1 3.3 34.7 94.4 0.0 M M
20000 -8.5 16.7 275 15 7 6.1 3.4 33.4 92.1 -1.2 1314 6.7
19500 -7.2 19.0 275 15 8 6.1 3.3 32.6 90.6 -2.0 1252 6.4
19000 -6.3 20.7 280 15 8 5.8 3.2 31.9 89.4 -2.7 1212 6.2
18500 -5.5 22.1 285 15 8 5.7 3.1 31.2 88.2 -3.3 1173 6.0
18000 -4.6 23.7 290 13 7 7.6 4.2 30.7 87.2 -3.9 1130 5.7
17500 -3.4 25.9 295 10 5 7.9 4.3 30.3 86.6 -4.2 1080 5.5
17000 -2.2 28.0 310 8 4 8.4 4.6 30.0 86.0 -4.5 1030 5.2
16500 -0.9 30.4 315 6 3 9.6 5.2 29.9 85.9 -4.6 974 4.9
16000 0.6 33.1 320 4 2 9.6 5.3 29.9 85.8 -4.7 917 4.7
15500 1.9 35.4 325 3 1 8.7 4.8 29.8 85.7 -4.8 861 4.4
15000 3.2 37.8 325 2 1 8.8 4.8 29.7 85.4 -5.0 808 4.1
14500 4.5 40.1 310 1 1 9.4 5.2 29.5 85.2 -5.2 754 3.8
14000 5.9 42.6 275 1 1 9.6 5.2 29.5 85.1 -5.3 698 3.5
13500 7.3 45.1 255 1 1 9.4 5.2 29.5 85.1 -5.4 642 3.3
13000 8.6 47.5 260 2 1 9.2 5.0 29.4 84.9 -5.5 586 3.0
12500 10.0 50.0 265 3 1 9.1 5.0 29.3 84.8 -5.6 530 2.7
12000 11.3 52.3 280 4 2 8.9 4.9 29.2 84.5 -5.8 476 2.4
11500 12.6 54.7 290 5 2 8.9 4.9 29.0 84.3 -6.0 422 2.1
11000 13.8 56.8 290 6 3 7.1 3.9 28.8 83.8 -6.3 372 1.9
10500 14.8 58.6 285 8 4 7.0 3.9 28.4 83.1 -6.8 326 1.7
10250 15.3 59.5 280 8 4 5.7 3.1 28.1 82.6 -7.1 305 1.5
10000 15.6 60.1 270 9 5 5.2 2.9 27.8 82.0 -7.5 287 1.5
9750 16.0 60.8 265 11 5 5.6 3.0 27.4 81.4 -7.9 269 1.4
9500 16.3 61.3 260 12 6 5.1 2.8 27.1 80.8 -8.3 251 1.3
9250 16.6 61.9 255 13 7 3.8 2.1 26.7 80.1 -8.7 236 1.2
9000 16.7 62.1 250 14 7 2.2 1.2 26.2 79.1 -9.4 224 1.1
8750 16.8 62.2 245 15 8 1.6 0.9 25.6 78.0 -10.1 215 1.1
8500 16.9 62.4 240 16 8 2.0 1.1 24.9 76.9 -10.8 206 1.0
8250 17.0 62.6 240 16 8 2.2 1.2 24.4 75.9 -11.4 195 1.0
8000 17.1 62.8 240 15 8 2.8 1.5 23.8 74.8 -12.0 184 0.9
7750 17.3 63.1 235 14 7 3.7 2.1 23.3 74.0 -12.6 170 0.9
7500 17.6 63.7 235 13 7 4.2 2.3 22.9 73.2 -13.1 154 0.8
7250 17.9 64.2 235 11 6 4.0 2.2 22.4 72.4 -13.5 138 0.7
7000 18.2 64.8 230 8 4 4.4 2.4 22.0 71.6 -14.0 121 0.6
6750 18.5 65.3 220 6 3 1.8 1.0 21.6 70.8 -14.4 105 0.5
6500 18.3 64.9 200 5 2 -10.1 -5.5 20.6 69.1 -15.4 104 0.5
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/13/2026 at 0900 MDT | 06/13/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +559.8 LI... -2.8 | CAPE... +219.4 LI... -1.4
CINH... -112.0 K Index... +21.8 | CINH... -1.1 K Index... +27.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.2 -85.4 265 44 23 2.3 1.3 | -65.5 -85.9 260 44 23 2.4 1.3
45000 -59.9 -75.8 255 66 34 5.9 3.2 | -60.3 -76.5 255 65 33 5.8 3.2
40000 -50.9 -59.6 250 69 36 6.8 3.7 | -50.8 -59.4 250 68 35 7.5 4.1
38000 -46.3 -51.3 255 63 33 6.8 3.7 | -46.3 -51.3 250 64 33 7.5 4.1
36000 -42.2 -44.0 255 58 30 6.7 3.7 | -41.8 -43.2 255 61 31 7.2 4.0
34000 -38.3 -36.9 255 49 25 6.5 3.6 | -38.1 -36.6 255 50 26 6.2 3.4
32000 -34.4 -29.9 255 40 20 6.4 3.5 | -34.4 -29.9 260 40 21 6.0 3.3
30000 -29.8 -21.6 255 34 18 7.9 4.3 | -29.9 -21.8 260 32 17 7.9 4.4
29000 -27.5 -17.5 255 31 16 7.9 4.3 | -26.9 -16.4 255 28 14 8.0 4.4
28000 -25.2 -13.4 255 29 15 6.6 3.6 | -24.7 -12.5 255 25 13 6.8 3.7
27000 -23.3 -9.9 255 25 13 6.4 3.5 | -22.6 -8.7 255 24 12 6.9 3.8
26000 -21.5 -6.7 255 21 11 6.4 3.5 | -20.6 -5.1 255 23 12 7.0 3.8
25000 -19.6 -3.3 260 17 9 6.5 3.6 | -18.6 -1.5 255 23 12 6.7 3.7
24000 -17.5 0.5 255 16 8 7.0 3.8 | -16.7 1.9 250 24 12 6.4 3.5
23000 -15.4 4.3 245 16 8 7.0 3.8 | -14.9 5.2 245 25 13 6.4 3.5
22000 -13.3 8.1 240 17 9 7.0 3.9 | -13.0 8.6 240 27 14 6.7 3.7
21000 -11.2 11.8 245 16 8 7.1 3.9 | -10.9 12.4 240 24 12 7.0 3.8
20000 -8.6 16.5 250 15 8 7.1 3.9 | -8.9 16.0 235 21 11 7.0 3.8
19500 -7.6 18.3 255 14 7 6.8 3.7 | -7.8 18.0 230 19 10 7.0 3.9
19000 -6.7 19.9 260 13 7 6.4 3.5 | -6.9 19.6 235 17 9 6.3 3.4
18500 -5.7 21.7 270 13 7 6.3 3.4 | -6.0 21.2 235 14 7 6.4 3.5
18000 -4.7 23.5 275 11 6 7.8 4.3 | -5.1 22.8 245 11 5 7.1 3.9
17500 -3.5 25.7 280 9 4 7.9 4.3 | -3.9 25.0 245 8 4 7.7 4.2
17000 -2.4 27.7 290 6 3 8.6 4.7 | -2.8 27.0 250 6 3 7.7 4.2
16500 -0.9 30.4 285 5 2 9.6 5.3 | -1.6 29.1 255 5 3 9.5 5.2
16000 0.5 32.9 275 3 2 9.6 5.3 | 0.5 32.9 255 4 2 9.4 5.1
15500 1.9 35.4 265 3 1 9.5 5.2 | 1.9 35.4 260 4 2 9.5 5.2
15000 3.4 38.1 260 2 1 9.5 5.2 | 3.3 37.9 260 4 2 9.5 5.2
14500 4.8 40.6 250 2 1 9.5 5.2 | 4.7 40.5 265 4 2 9.5 5.2
14000 6.2 43.2 245 2 1 9.5 5.2 | 6.1 43.0 270 4 2 9.5 5.2
13500 7.6 45.7 240 2 1 9.4 5.2 | 7.5 45.5 275 4 2 9.5 5.2
13000 9.0 48.2 245 3 1 9.4 5.2 | 9.0 48.2 280 4 2 9.5 5.2
12500 10.4 50.7 250 3 1 9.3 5.1 | 10.4 50.7 290 4 2 9.3 5.1
12000 11.7 53.1 265 3 1 9.1 5.0 | 11.7 53.1 290 4 2 9.1 5.0
11500 13.0 55.4 285 3 1 9.4 5.1 | 13.1 55.6 295 4 2 10.4 5.7
11000 14.4 57.9 315 4 2 8.4 4.6 | 14.6 58.3 300 4 2 9.4 5.2
10500 15.6 60.1 335 5 3 8.0 4.4 | 16.0 60.8 300 4 2 8.4 4.6
10250 16.2 61.2 335 6 3 7.2 4.0 | 16.6 61.9 305 3 2 8.9 4.9
10000 16.7 62.1 335 7 3 7.3 4.0 | 17.4 63.3 305 3 2 11.0 6.0
9750 17.2 63.0 330 7 4 7.6 4.2 | 18.2 64.8 305 3 2 10.4 5.7
9500 17.7 63.9 330 8 4 6.6 3.6 | 18.9 66.0 305 3 2 10.5 5.8
9250 18.1 64.6 330 8 4 4.6 2.5 | 19.7 67.5 305 3 2 10.2 5.6
9000 18.3 64.9 320 8 4 2.5 1.4 | 20.4 68.7 305 3 1 9.7 5.3
8750 18.3 64.9 315 8 4 1.6 0.9 | 21.1 70.0 305 3 1 9.3 5.1
8500 18.4 65.1 310 8 4 1.7 0.9 | 21.9 71.4 310 3 1 9.7 5.3
8250 18.3 64.9 305 7 4 0.7 0.4 | 22.6 72.7 310 2 1 10.0 5.5
8000 18.3 64.9 300 6 3 2.1 1.1 | 23.3 73.9 310 2 1 10.1 5.5
7750 18.5 65.3 300 6 3 4.0 2.2 | 24.1 75.4 310 2 1 10.1 5.5
7500 18.8 65.8 295 5 3 7.7 4.2 | 24.8 76.6 310 2 1 10.3 5.7
7250 19.6 67.3 290 5 2 10.7 5.9 | 25.6 78.1 310 2 1 10.7 5.8
7000 20.3 68.5 290 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 26.4 79.5 305 2 1 10.4 5.7
6750 21.1 70.0 290 4 2 11.0 6.0 | 27.2 81.0 305 1 1 11.1 6.1
6500 22.0 71.6 285 4 2 14.6 8.0 | 28.2 82.8 305 1 1 17.5 9.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/13/2026 at 1500 MDT | 06/13/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +101.7 LI... -0.7 | CAPE... +31.8 LI... -0.9
CINH... -5.4 K Index... +29.0 | CINH... -3.4 K Index... +23.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.7 -86.3 255 50 26 2.1 1.1 | -66.3 -87.3 255 47 24 2.5 1.4
45000 -60.8 -77.4 255 67 34 5.8 3.2 | -60.7 -77.3 250 61 31 5.9 3.3
40000 -51.1 -60.0 250 68 35 7.9 4.3 | -51.3 -60.3 250 68 35 8.5 4.7
38000 -46.4 -51.5 250 64 33 7.9 4.3 | -45.5 -49.9 250 65 33 8.5 4.7
36000 -41.7 -43.1 255 60 31 7.4 4.1 | -40.4 -40.7 250 63 32 7.1 3.9
34000 -38.1 -36.6 255 48 25 6.0 3.3 | -37.0 -34.6 255 45 23 5.8 3.2
32000 -34.5 -30.1 260 36 19 5.9 3.2 | -33.5 -28.3 255 28 14 5.8 3.2
30000 -30.1 -22.2 255 29 15 7.6 4.2 | -29.1 -20.4 250 23 12 7.5 4.1
29000 -27.3 -17.1 250 24 13 7.6 4.2 | -26.9 -16.4 245 21 11 7.5 4.1
28000 -25.0 -13.0 250 22 11 7.9 4.3 | -24.6 -12.3 245 19 10 7.9 4.3
27000 -22.7 -8.9 250 21 11 7.9 4.4 | -22.2 -8.0 250 18 9 8.0 4.4
26000 -20.4 -4.7 250 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -19.9 -3.8 255 18 9 8.0 4.4
25000 -18.0 -0.4 245 20 10 7.4 4.0 | -17.5 0.5 265 18 9 7.6 4.2
24000 -16.1 3.0 250 20 10 6.5 3.6 | -15.7 3.7 265 20 10 5.8 3.2
23000 -14.2 6.4 250 21 11 6.6 3.6 | -14.0 6.8 265 22 12 5.9 3.2
22000 -12.3 9.9 255 22 11 6.9 3.8 | -12.3 9.9 265 25 13 6.0 3.3
21000 -10.3 13.5 255 21 11 7.2 3.9 | -10.6 12.9 265 22 11 6.1 3.4
20000 -8.2 17.2 260 20 10 7.2 4.0 | -8.4 16.9 260 18 9 6.3 3.4
19500 -7.2 19.0 260 19 10 7.3 4.0 | -7.6 18.3 260 17 9 7.0 3.8
19000 -6.2 20.8 260 19 10 6.3 3.5 | -6.4 20.5 260 16 8 8.1 4.5
18500 -5.3 22.5 260 18 9 6.4 3.5 | -5.2 22.6 265 14 7 8.0 4.4
18000 -4.3 24.3 265 17 9 6.9 3.8 | -3.9 25.0 270 14 7 9.5 5.2
17500 -3.3 26.1 265 16 8 7.2 4.0 | -2.5 27.5 270 13 7 9.6 5.3
17000 -2.2 28.0 270 15 8 7.2 3.9 | -1.0 30.2 275 13 7 9.6 5.3
16500 -1.0 30.2 270 15 8 9.3 5.1 | 0.4 32.7 275 13 7 9.7 5.3
16000 1.0 33.8 270 14 7 9.1 5.0 | 1.9 35.4 275 13 7 9.7 5.3
15500 2.4 36.3 275 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 3.3 37.9 280 13 7 9.6 5.3
15000 3.9 39.0 275 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 4.8 40.6 280 13 7 9.6 5.3
14500 5.3 41.5 280 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 6.2 43.2 280 13 7 9.6 5.3
14000 6.8 44.2 280 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 7.7 45.9 285 13 7 9.6 5.3
13500 8.3 46.9 285 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 9.1 48.4 285 13 7 9.5 5.2
13000 9.8 49.6 290 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 10.5 50.9 290 12 6 9.4 5.1
12500 11.2 52.2 290 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 11.9 53.4 290 12 6 9.4 5.2
12000 12.6 54.7 295 9 4 9.2 5.1 | 13.3 55.9 290 11 6 9.5 5.2
11500 14.0 57.2 300 8 4 10.4 5.7 | 14.7 58.5 295 11 6 9.5 5.2
11000 15.6 60.1 305 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 16.1 61.0 295 10 5 9.2 5.0
10500 17.0 62.6 310 8 4 8.4 4.6 | 17.5 63.5 295 9 5 8.9 4.9
10250 17.6 63.7 310 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 18.2 64.8 295 9 5 9.1 5.0
10000 18.4 65.1 315 8 4 10.9 6.0 | 18.9 66.0 295 9 4 9.7 5.3
9750 19.2 66.6 315 7 4 10.3 5.6 | 19.6 67.3 295 8 4 9.5 5.2
9500 19.9 67.8 320 7 4 10.5 5.7 | 20.3 68.5 295 8 4 9.7 5.3
9250 20.7 69.3 325 7 4 10.2 5.6 | 21.0 69.8 300 7 4 10.0 5.5
9000 21.5 70.7 325 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 21.8 71.2 300 7 4 9.7 5.3
8750 22.2 72.0 330 7 4 9.2 5.1 | 22.5 72.5 300 7 3 9.3 5.1
8500 22.8 73.0 330 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 23.2 73.8 300 6 3 9.4 5.2
8250 23.6 74.5 335 7 4 9.9 5.4 | 23.9 75.0 300 6 3 9.9 5.5
8000 24.3 75.7 340 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 24.6 76.3 300 6 3 9.9 5.4
7750 25.0 77.0 340 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 25.4 77.7 300 5 3 9.3 5.1
7500 25.8 78.4 345 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 26.1 79.0 300 5 3 9.5 5.2
7250 26.5 79.7 345 8 4 10.1 5.5 | 26.8 80.2 300 5 3 9.9 5.4
7000 27.3 81.1 350 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 27.5 81.5 305 5 2 10.2 5.6
6750 28.0 82.4 350 8 4 10.5 5.8 | 28.3 82.9 305 4 2 10.0 5.5
6500 28.9 84.0 355 8 4 13.2 7.2 | 29.1 84.4 305 4 2 12.6 6.9
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0705 MDT Saturday June 13 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, June 13, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 84.2 F/29.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1040 ft/min (5.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20698 ft MSL (15032 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 95.0 F/35.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17856 ft MSL (12190 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 06/14....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:51:53 / 20:21:25 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 29 min 31 sec (869 min 31 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:06:39 MDT... 78.12 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/13/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16027 ft MSL (10361 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15459 ft MSL (9793 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17166 ft MSL (11500 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.1
K index......................... +21.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.2 -85.4 260 50 26 1.5 0.8 80.2 176.3 26.6 M M
45000 -60.6 -77.1 250 70 36 6.3 3.4 64.6 148.2 18.6 M M
40000 -51.1 -60.0 245 70 36 6.9 3.8 57.1 134.8 14.9 M M
38000 -46.5 -51.7 250 65 33 6.9 3.8 54.0 129.2 13.2 M M
36000 -42.3 -44.1 250 60 31 6.7 3.7 51.9 125.5 12.0 M M
34000 -38.5 -37.3 250 48 25 6.5 3.5 48.9 120.0 10.1 M M
32000 -34.6 -30.3 245 35 18 6.4 3.5 46.5 115.6 8.5 M M
30000 -29.9 -21.8 250 30 15 8.2 4.5 44.9 112.9 7.5 M M
29000 -27.4 -17.3 250 27 14 8.2 4.5 44.4 111.9 7.2 M M
28000 -25.0 -13.0 255 25 13 7.4 4.1 43.9 111.0 6.9 M M
27000 -22.9 -9.2 260 25 13 7.0 3.9 42.7 108.9 6.0 M M
26000 -20.8 -5.4 265 25 13 7.1 3.9 41.7 107.0 5.2 M M
25000 -18.8 -1.8 270 25 13 7.1 3.9 40.8 105.4 4.5 M M
24000 -16.8 1.8 275 24 12 6.6 3.6 39.6 103.3 3.6 M M
23000 -14.3 6.3 275 21 11 6.6 3.6 38.2 100.7 2.4 M M
22000 -12.4 9.7 270 20 10 6.2 3.4 37.1 98.8 1.5 M M
21000 -10.6 12.9 270 18 10 6.0 3.3 35.7 96.3 0.3 M M
20000 -8.9 16.0 265 17 9 6.1 3.3 34.4 94.0 -0.9 1376 7.0
19500 -8.0 17.6 260 17 9 6.2 3.4 33.9 93.0 -1.5 1335 6.8
19000 -7.1 19.2 265 16 8 6.6 3.6 33.3 91.9 -2.0 1292 6.6
18500 -6.1 21.0 270 15 8 6.6 3.6 32.8 91.0 -2.5 1248 6.3
18000 -5.1 22.8 280 14 7 7.7 4.2 32.3 90.1 -2.9 1203 6.1
17500 -3.9 25.0 285 12 6 8.1 4.5 32.0 89.6 -3.2 1152 5.9
17000 -2.7 27.1 295 10 5 8.4 4.6 31.7 89.1 -3.5 1101 5.6
16500 -1.3 29.7 300 9 4 9.5 5.2 31.6 88.9 -3.6 1045 5.3
16000 0.1 32.2 305 7 4 9.5 5.2 31.6 88.8 -3.7 988 5.0
15500 1.5 34.7 315 5 3 9.5 5.2 31.5 88.8 -3.7 931 4.7
15000 2.9 37.2 325 4 2 9.6 5.2 31.5 88.7 -3.8 874 4.4
14500 4.4 39.9 340 3 2 9.5 5.2 31.5 88.7 -3.8 816 4.1
14000 5.8 42.4 350 3 2 9.5 5.2 31.4 88.6 -3.9 759 3.9
13500 7.2 45.0 360 3 2 9.3 5.1 31.4 88.5 -4.0 702 3.6
13000 8.5 47.3 355 3 2 8.9 4.9 31.3 88.3 -4.1 648 3.3
12500 9.8 49.6 345 4 2 9.0 4.9 31.1 88.1 -4.3 594 3.0
12000 11.1 52.0 330 4 2 9.1 5.0 31.0 87.8 -4.5 539 2.7
11500 12.4 54.3 320 5 2 9.1 5.0 30.9 87.7 -4.6 485 2.5
11000 13.7 56.7 310 5 3 8.2 4.5 30.8 87.4 -4.8 432 2.2
10500 14.9 58.8 300 6 3 9.6 5.3 30.6 87.0 -5.1 380 1.9
10250 15.6 60.1 295 6 3 8.5 4.6 30.6 87.0 -5.1 352 1.8
10000 16.1 61.0 290 6 3 6.9 3.8 30.4 86.6 -5.4 330 1.7
9750 16.7 62.1 285 6 3 7.3 4.0 30.2 86.3 -5.6 307 1.6
9500 17.2 63.0 285 7 3 7.6 4.2 30.0 86.0 -5.8 284 1.4
9250 17.6 63.7 275 7 3 5.2 2.9 29.8 85.6 -6.1 262 1.3
9000 17.9 64.2 265 7 3 3.0 1.7 29.3 84.7 -6.6 249 1.3
8750 18.1 64.6 255 7 4 3.7 2.0 28.8 83.8 -7.2 235 1.2
8500 18.3 64.9 245 7 4 3.5 1.9 28.3 83.0 -7.7 222 1.1
8250 18.5 65.3 235 7 4 3.2 1.8 27.8 82.1 -8.2 208 1.1
8000 18.8 65.8 215 10 5 3.3 1.8 26.8 80.2 -9.4 183 0.9
7750 19.0 66.2 205 11 6 3.1 1.7 26.3 79.4 -10.0 171 0.9
7500 19.1 66.4 200 13 7 2.7 1.5 25.8 78.4 -10.6 159 0.8
7250 19.3 66.7 195 15 8 3.5 1.9 25.3 77.5 -11.2 147 0.7
7000 19.5 67.1 190 15 8 4.0 2.2 24.8 76.7 -11.7 132 0.7
6750 19.8 67.6 185 16 8 3.9 2.2 24.4 75.9 -12.2 117 0.6
6500 20.0 68.0 185 15 8 3.8 2.1 24.0 75.1 -12.7 102 0.5
6250 20.3 68.5 180 15 8 4.8 2.6 23.5 74.3 -13.2 86 0.4
6000 20.6 69.1 175 13 7 2.6 1.4 23.1 73.6 -13.6 69 0.4
5750 20.1 68.2 170 9 5 -24.3 -13.3 21.8 71.3 -14.9 78 0.4
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/13/2026 at 0900 MDT | 06/13/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +396.6 LI... -2.3 | CAPE... +381.0 LI... -2.0
CINH... -120.8 K Index... +20.5 | CINH... -8.8 K Index... +22.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.1 -85.2 265 45 23 2.1 1.2 | -65.4 -85.7 260 45 23 2.7 1.5
45000 -60.2 -76.4 255 66 34 5.8 3.2 | -60.0 -76.0 255 65 34 5.5 3.0
40000 -50.7 -59.3 250 68 35 7.2 3.9 | -50.8 -59.4 250 69 35 7.4 4.0
38000 -46.4 -51.5 250 64 33 7.2 3.9 | -46.4 -51.5 250 65 34 7.4 4.0
36000 -42.1 -43.8 250 60 31 6.9 3.8 | -42.0 -43.6 255 62 32 7.0 3.8
34000 -38.3 -36.9 255 50 26 6.2 3.4 | -38.3 -36.9 255 52 27 6.1 3.4
32000 -34.6 -30.3 260 40 21 6.1 3.3 | -34.6 -30.3 255 42 22 5.9 3.3
30000 -30.2 -22.4 255 33 17 7.7 4.2 | -30.1 -22.2 255 33 17 7.9 4.3
29000 -27.9 -18.2 250 30 15 7.8 4.3 | -27.7 -17.9 255 29 15 7.9 4.4
28000 -25.6 -14.1 245 27 14 7.2 4.0 | -25.4 -13.7 255 25 13 7.4 4.1
27000 -23.5 -10.3 245 24 13 6.9 3.8 | -23.3 -9.9 250 25 13 7.1 3.9
26000 -21.5 -6.7 250 22 11 6.9 3.8 | -21.2 -6.2 245 24 12 7.1 3.9
25000 -19.4 -2.9 250 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -19.1 -2.4 245 24 12 7.1 3.9
24000 -16.9 1.6 245 19 10 6.8 3.7 | -16.6 2.1 240 23 12 6.8 3.7
23000 -14.9 5.2 235 18 9 6.8 3.7 | -14.6 5.7 240 23 12 6.8 3.7
22000 -13.0 8.6 230 18 9 6.8 3.7 | -12.6 9.3 235 22 11 6.8 3.7
21000 -11.0 12.2 235 17 9 6.8 3.7 | -10.6 12.9 235 23 12 6.8 3.8
20000 -9.0 15.8 240 16 8 6.8 3.7 | -8.6 16.5 230 23 12 6.9 3.8
19500 -8.0 17.6 240 15 8 6.5 3.6 | -7.6 18.3 230 24 12 6.9 3.8
19000 -7.1 19.2 245 13 7 5.5 3.0 | -6.6 20.1 230 22 11 6.9 3.8
18500 -6.3 20.7 255 12 6 5.5 3.0 | -5.6 21.9 230 19 10 7.0 3.8
18000 -5.4 22.3 265 11 5 7.9 4.3 | -4.5 23.9 230 16 8 6.7 3.7
17500 -4.1 24.6 275 9 5 8.4 4.6 | -3.5 25.7 230 12 6 6.7 3.7
17000 -2.9 26.8 285 8 4 8.7 4.8 | -2.5 27.5 230 8 4 7.2 4.0
16500 -1.5 29.3 295 8 4 9.6 5.3 | -1.3 29.7 235 6 3 8.9 4.9
16000 -0.0 32.0 300 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 0.0 32.0 240 4 2 8.8 4.8
15500 1.4 34.5 300 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 1.4 34.5 245 2 1 9.3 5.1
15000 2.9 37.2 300 7 3 9.8 5.4 | 2.8 37.0 255 2 1 9.3 5.1
14500 4.3 39.7 305 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 4.2 39.6 265 1 1 9.6 5.3
14000 5.8 42.4 305 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 5.7 42.3 280 1 1 9.7 5.3
13500 7.2 45.0 305 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 295 1 1 9.5 5.2
13000 8.6 47.5 305 4 2 9.4 5.1 | 8.5 47.3 310 1 1 9.2 5.1
12500 10.0 50.0 305 3 2 9.3 5.1 | 9.9 49.8 320 2 1 9.2 5.0
12000 11.4 52.5 310 3 1 9.1 5.0 | 11.2 52.2 325 2 1 8.9 4.9
11500 12.7 54.9 320 3 2 9.0 4.9 | 12.5 54.5 330 3 1 8.8 4.8
11000 14.0 57.2 320 3 2 8.0 4.4 | 13.6 56.5 330 4 2 7.2 3.9
10500 15.3 59.5 325 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 14.7 58.5 330 4 2 8.8 4.8
10250 15.9 60.6 325 4 2 8.4 4.6 | 15.3 59.5 330 5 2 8.7 4.8
10000 16.4 61.5 325 4 2 6.9 3.8 | 15.9 60.6 330 5 2 8.4 4.6
9750 16.9 62.4 325 4 2 6.9 3.8 | 16.5 61.7 330 5 2 8.3 4.5
9500 17.4 63.3 320 4 2 8.6 4.7 | 17.1 62.8 325 5 2 9.1 5.0
9250 18.0 64.4 320 4 2 6.1 3.3 | 17.8 64.0 325 5 3 9.7 5.3
9000 18.2 64.8 315 4 2 2.5 1.3 | 18.4 65.1 325 5 3 9.2 5.0
8750 18.4 65.1 305 3 2 3.9 2.1 | 19.1 66.4 320 5 3 9.9 5.5
8500 18.5 65.3 295 3 1 2.3 1.3 | 19.8 67.6 320 5 3 7.5 4.1
8250 18.6 65.5 275 2 1 1.6 0.9 | 20.3 68.5 325 5 3 8.2 4.5
8000 18.7 65.7 250 3 1 2.8 1.6 | 21.8 71.2 320 5 3 10.5 5.7
7750 19.0 66.2 220 4 2 3.5 1.9 | 22.6 72.7 315 5 3 9.8 5.4
7500 19.3 66.7 210 4 2 6.2 3.4 | 23.3 73.9 320 5 3 9.1 5.0
7250 19.8 67.6 205 4 2 8.9 4.9 | 24.0 75.2 320 5 3 10.5 5.8
7000 20.5 68.9 205 5 2 9.9 5.4 | 24.8 76.6 315 5 3 11.3 6.2
6750 21.2 70.2 205 5 3 9.3 5.1 | 25.6 78.1 315 5 3 10.4 5.7
6500 21.9 71.4 205 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 26.4 79.5 315 5 3 10.1 5.5
6250 22.6 72.7 205 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 27.1 80.8 315 5 3 9.7 5.3
6000 23.4 74.1 205 5 3 14.3 7.8 | 27.9 82.2 315 5 2 15.2 8.4
5750 25.1 77.2 210 5 3 34.3 18.8 | 30.2 86.4 315 5 2 56.1 30.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/13/2026 at 1500 MDT | 06/13/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +14.8 LI... -0.2 | CAPE... +186.7 LI... -0.4
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +22.8 | CINH... -130.3 K Index... +28.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.5 -85.9 250 47 24 2.4 1.3 | -65.0 -85.0 255 46 24 2.8 1.6
45000 -60.4 -76.7 255 65 34 5.5 3.0 | -59.8 -75.6 255 63 32 4.8 2.6
40000 -51.1 -60.0 250 69 35 7.7 4.2 | -51.5 -60.7 250 70 36 7.7 4.2
38000 -46.5 -51.7 250 64 33 7.7 4.2 | -46.9 -52.4 255 58 30 7.7 4.2
36000 -41.9 -43.4 255 60 31 7.1 3.9 | -42.3 -44.1 265 47 24 7.6 4.2
34000 -38.2 -36.8 255 48 25 6.2 3.4 | -37.9 -36.2 265 37 19 7.5 4.1
32000 -34.5 -30.1 260 36 18 6.0 3.3 | -33.4 -28.1 265 28 14 7.5 4.1
30000 -29.9 -21.8 260 29 15 7.9 4.3 | -29.0 -20.2 260 23 12 7.4 4.1
29000 -27.6 -17.7 255 27 14 7.9 4.3 | -26.8 -16.2 250 22 11 7.4 4.1
28000 -25.2 -13.4 255 24 12 7.6 4.2 | -24.6 -12.3 245 21 11 7.4 4.0
27000 -23.0 -9.4 255 23 12 7.5 4.1 | -21.9 -7.4 245 21 11 7.3 4.0
26000 -20.8 -5.4 255 23 12 7.5 4.1 | -19.7 -3.5 245 21 11 7.3 4.0
25000 -18.0 -0.4 250 22 11 7.2 4.0 | -17.5 0.5 240 22 11 7.2 3.9
24000 -15.9 3.4 255 22 12 7.1 3.9 | -15.5 4.1 240 21 11 7.0 3.9
23000 -13.8 7.2 255 23 12 7.1 3.9 | -13.4 7.9 240 20 10 7.0 3.9
22000 -11.8 10.8 255 24 12 5.8 3.2 | -11.3 11.7 235 18 9 6.8 3.7
21000 -10.3 13.5 255 23 12 5.4 3.0 | -9.4 15.1 235 14 7 6.7 3.7
20000 -8.8 16.2 255 22 12 5.5 3.0 | -7.5 18.5 230 10 5 6.7 3.7
19500 -8.0 17.6 255 22 11 6.0 3.3 | -6.5 20.3 225 8 4 6.7 3.7
19000 -7.0 19.4 255 19 10 7.4 4.0 | -5.6 21.9 220 7 3 5.8 3.2
18500 -5.9 21.4 255 15 8 7.2 4.0 | -4.8 23.4 210 5 3 5.9 3.2
18000 -4.8 23.4 255 12 6 8.5 4.7 | -4.0 24.8 195 4 2 5.8 3.2
17500 -3.5 25.7 260 11 6 8.7 4.8 | -3.1 26.4 185 3 2 5.7 3.1
17000 -2.2 28.0 260 10 5 8.9 4.9 | -2.3 27.9 165 3 1 5.7 3.1
16500 -0.8 30.6 265 9 5 9.5 5.2 | -1.3 29.7 155 2 1 8.5 4.6
16000 0.6 33.1 265 8 4 9.4 5.2 | -0.1 31.8 145 2 1 8.2 4.5
15500 2.0 35.6 270 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 1.2 34.2 135 2 1 9.2 5.1
15000 3.5 38.3 270 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 2.6 36.7 120 1 0 9.5 5.2
14500 4.9 40.8 275 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 4.1 39.4 075 1 0 9.5 5.2
14000 6.3 43.3 275 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 5.5 41.9 360 1 0 9.5 5.2
13500 7.8 46.0 275 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 6.9 44.4 335 2 1 9.5 5.2
13000 9.2 48.6 280 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 8.3 46.9 325 2 1 9.7 5.3
12500 10.7 51.3 280 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 9.8 49.6 315 3 2 9.8 5.4
12000 12.1 53.8 285 7 3 9.6 5.3 | 11.8 53.2 310 6 3 8.9 4.9
11500 13.5 56.3 285 7 3 9.6 5.3 | 13.1 55.6 305 7 4 9.0 5.0
11000 15.0 59.0 290 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 14.5 58.1 300 9 5 8.8 4.8
10500 16.4 61.5 295 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 15.5 59.9 295 11 6 7.1 3.9
10250 17.2 63.0 295 7 3 9.9 5.4 | 16.1 61.0 295 13 7 7.8 4.3
10000 17.9 64.2 300 7 3 9.8 5.4 | 16.6 61.9 290 15 8 8.5 4.6
9750 18.6 65.5 300 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 17.2 63.0 290 16 8 6.2 3.4
9500 19.4 66.9 305 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 17.6 63.7 290 18 9 4.9 2.7
9250 20.1 68.2 305 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 18.0 64.4 285 19 10 6.9 3.8
9000 20.8 69.4 310 7 4 9.9 5.4 | 18.5 65.3 285 21 11 7.2 3.9
8750 22.3 72.1 315 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 19.0 66.2 285 23 12 7.1 3.9
8500 22.9 73.2 315 7 4 9.0 4.9 | 19.5 67.1 280 25 13 5.7 3.1
8250 23.7 74.7 320 7 4 10.9 6.0 | 19.9 67.8 280 26 14 5.7 3.1
8000 24.5 76.1 320 8 4 10.5 5.8 | 20.3 68.5 280 28 15 6.8 3.7
7750 25.3 77.5 320 8 4 10.0 5.5 | 20.8 69.4 280 30 16 6.7 3.7
7500 26.0 78.8 325 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 21.3 70.3 280 32 17 5.2 2.8
7250 26.7 80.1 325 8 4 10.4 5.7 | 21.6 70.9 275 35 18 5.2 2.9
7000 27.5 81.5 325 8 4 11.2 6.1 | 22.0 71.6 275 36 19 6.9 3.8
6750 28.3 82.9 330 8 4 10.6 5.8 | 22.5 72.5 275 37 19 5.6 3.1
6500 29.1 84.4 330 8 4 10.5 5.8 | 22.7 72.9 275 39 20 1.1 0.6
6250 29.9 85.8 330 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 22.8 73.0 275 40 20 6.5 3.5
6000 30.7 87.3 330 8 4 15.7 8.6 | 23.8 74.8 275 36 18 22.1 12.1
5750 33.3 91.9 335 8 4 66.5 36.5 | 24.8 76.6 275 32 16 -7.4 -4.1
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0705 MDT Saturday June 13 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, June 13, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 79.2 F/26.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1175 ft/min (6.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20748 ft MSL (14306 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 90.0 F/32.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1015 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18197 ft MSL (11754 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 06/14....... Fair
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:48:11 / 20:20:54 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 32 min 43 sec (872 min 43 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:33 MDT... 77.59 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/13/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15912 ft MSL (9470 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15774 ft MSL (9332 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17416 ft MSL (10973 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.0
K index......................... +20.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.2 -85.4 265 51 26 1.3 0.7 77.5 171.5 26.9 M M
45000 -60.9 -77.6 255 70 36 6.3 3.5 61.7 143.0 18.7 M M
40000 -51.4 -60.5 250 68 35 6.5 3.5 54.3 129.7 15.0 M M
38000 -47.0 -52.6 250 62 32 6.5 3.5 50.8 123.5 13.0 M M
36000 -43.1 -45.6 255 57 29 6.6 3.6 48.4 119.2 11.6 M M
34000 -39.0 -38.2 255 48 25 7.0 3.8 45.8 114.5 10.0 M M
32000 -34.8 -30.6 250 39 20 7.0 3.8 43.9 111.0 8.7 M M
30000 -30.0 -22.0 255 34 17 8.2 4.5 42.4 108.3 7.8 M M
29000 -27.5 -17.5 255 32 16 8.2 4.5 41.8 107.3 7.5 M M
28000 -25.1 -13.2 255 30 15 7.6 4.2 41.4 106.5 7.2 M M
27000 -23.0 -9.4 260 28 14 7.2 4.0 40.3 104.5 6.4 M M
26000 -20.8 -5.4 265 26 13 7.3 4.0 39.4 102.8 5.7 M M
25000 -18.7 -1.7 270 25 13 7.5 4.1 38.6 101.4 5.0 M M
24000 -16.3 2.7 275 23 12 6.2 3.4 37.0 98.5 3.7 M M
23000 -14.5 5.9 270 21 11 6.2 3.4 35.7 96.2 2.7 M M
22000 -12.7 9.1 270 20 10 5.8 3.2 34.5 94.1 1.7 M M
21000 -11.1 12.0 275 20 10 5.6 3.1 32.9 91.3 0.3 M M
20000 -9.5 14.9 275 21 11 5.7 3.1 31.5 88.7 -1.1 1313 6.7
19500 -8.8 16.2 280 21 11 5.8 3.2 30.8 87.5 -1.7 1274 6.5
19000 -7.8 18.0 280 20 10 6.8 3.7 30.3 86.5 -2.3 1232 6.3
18500 -6.8 19.8 280 18 9 6.7 3.7 29.8 85.6 -2.7 1187 6.0
18000 -5.8 21.6 280 17 9 8.2 4.5 29.3 84.7 -3.2 1141 5.8
17500 -4.4 24.1 285 15 8 9.0 4.9 29.2 84.5 -3.3 1086 5.5
17000 -3.1 26.4 290 13 7 9.1 5.0 29.1 84.3 -3.4 1031 5.2
16500 -1.7 28.9 295 13 6 9.4 5.1 29.0 84.2 -3.5 974 4.9
16000 -0.3 31.5 295 12 6 9.3 5.1 28.9 84.0 -3.6 918 4.7
15500 1.1 34.0 300 12 6 9.6 5.2 28.9 84.0 -3.6 861 4.4
15000 2.5 36.5 300 12 6 9.6 5.3 28.8 83.9 -3.7 803 4.1
14500 4.0 39.2 305 12 6 9.6 5.3 28.8 83.9 -3.7 745 3.8
14000 5.4 41.7 305 12 6 9.6 5.3 28.8 83.8 -3.8 688 3.5
13500 6.8 44.2 305 11 6 9.5 5.2 28.8 83.8 -3.8 630 3.2
13000 8.2 46.8 310 10 5 9.3 5.1 28.7 83.7 -3.9 573 2.9
12500 9.6 49.3 310 9 5 9.3 5.1 28.6 83.6 -4.0 517 2.6
12000 10.9 51.6 305 9 4 8.3 4.6 28.5 83.3 -4.2 464 2.4
11500 12.1 53.8 300 8 4 9.6 5.3 28.3 82.9 -4.5 413 2.1
11000 13.2 55.8 285 7 4 5.5 3.0 28.0 82.4 -4.8 366 1.9
10500 14.0 57.2 265 8 4 6.2 3.4 27.4 81.3 -5.5 327 1.7
10250 14.4 57.9 260 8 4 6.2 3.4 27.1 80.9 -5.9 308 1.6
10000 15.0 59.0 245 9 5 4.2 2.3 26.4 79.5 -6.8 275 1.4
9750 15.2 59.4 240 10 5 4.6 2.5 26.0 78.8 -7.3 260 1.3
9500 15.5 59.9 235 10 5 4.0 2.2 25.6 78.1 -7.7 244 1.2
9250 15.8 60.4 230 10 5 5.1 2.8 25.2 77.3 -8.2 228 1.2
9000 16.2 61.2 230 9 5 6.5 3.6 24.9 76.8 -8.5 208 1.1
8750 16.7 62.1 225 9 5 6.2 3.4 24.6 76.3 -8.8 188 1.0
8500 17.1 62.8 225 9 5 6.1 3.3 24.3 75.8 -9.1 167 0.8
8250 17.6 63.7 225 8 4 6.2 3.4 24.1 75.3 -9.4 146 0.7
8000 18.1 64.6 225 7 3 6.8 3.7 23.8 74.9 -9.7 123 0.6
7750 18.6 65.5 215 5 3 6.6 3.6 23.6 74.5 -9.9 100 0.5
7500 19.0 66.2 200 4 2 5.1 2.8 23.3 74.0 -10.2 79 0.4
7250 19.3 66.7 190 4 2 3.7 2.1 22.9 73.2 -10.6 63 0.3
7000 19.6 67.3 175 4 2 4.8 2.6 22.5 72.5 -11.1 47 0.2
6750 19.8 67.6 155 3 2 -5.1 -2.8 21.9 71.4 -11.7 35 0.2
6500 17.5 63.5 140 3 2 -70.8 -38.9 18.9 65.9 -14.8 97 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/13/2026 at 0900 MDT | 06/13/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +317.0 LI... -2.6 | CAPE... +88.5 LI... -0.2
CINH... -72.7 K Index... +16.8 | CINH... -8.0 K Index... +23.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.6 -86.1 265 52 27 2.1 1.2 | -65.0 -85.0 260 50 25 2.3 1.3
45000 -60.6 -77.1 260 74 38 6.0 3.3 | -60.1 -76.2 255 69 36 5.4 3.0
40000 -51.0 -59.8 250 73 37 7.0 3.8 | -51.2 -60.2 250 71 37 7.1 3.9
38000 -46.8 -52.2 255 67 35 6.9 3.8 | -47.0 -52.6 255 68 35 7.1 3.9
36000 -42.7 -44.9 255 62 32 6.8 3.7 | -42.7 -44.9 255 64 33 6.9 3.8
34000 -38.9 -38.0 255 51 26 6.2 3.4 | -38.8 -37.8 255 55 28 6.5 3.5
32000 -35.2 -31.4 255 40 21 6.1 3.3 | -35.0 -31.0 260 46 24 6.3 3.5
30000 -30.5 -22.9 255 33 17 8.3 4.5 | -30.5 -22.9 255 36 19 7.8 4.3
29000 -28.0 -18.4 250 30 15 8.3 4.5 | -28.2 -18.8 250 31 16 7.9 4.3
28000 -25.6 -14.1 250 27 14 7.6 4.1 | -25.9 -14.6 250 27 14 7.6 4.2
27000 -23.5 -10.3 250 24 13 7.1 3.9 | -23.7 -10.7 250 25 13 7.4 4.0
26000 -21.4 -6.5 255 22 11 7.2 3.9 | -21.5 -6.7 250 23 12 7.4 4.1
25000 -19.3 -2.7 260 20 10 7.2 4.0 | -18.8 -1.8 255 20 10 6.9 3.8
24000 -16.8 1.8 260 19 10 6.6 3.6 | -16.8 1.8 250 20 10 6.6 3.6
23000 -14.9 5.2 260 18 9 6.6 3.6 | -14.9 5.2 245 19 10 6.7 3.7
22000 -12.9 8.8 255 18 9 6.1 3.4 | -12.9 8.8 240 19 10 7.0 3.8
21000 -11.2 11.8 255 18 9 5.9 3.2 | -10.8 12.6 240 19 10 7.1 3.9
20000 -9.5 14.9 250 18 9 5.9 3.2 | -8.7 16.3 240 20 10 7.1 3.9
19500 -8.7 16.3 250 18 10 6.0 3.3 | -7.7 18.1 240 20 10 7.1 3.9
19000 -7.8 18.0 250 17 9 6.3 3.4 | -6.7 19.9 245 19 10 6.8 3.7
18500 -6.9 19.6 255 15 8 6.2 3.4 | -5.7 21.7 250 18 9 6.8 3.7
18000 -5.9 21.4 260 14 7 8.0 4.4 | -4.7 23.5 250 16 8 6.7 3.7
17500 -4.6 23.7 265 12 6 8.6 4.7 | -3.7 25.3 255 14 7 6.6 3.6
17000 -3.3 26.1 270 11 5 8.8 4.8 | -2.8 27.0 255 11 6 7.1 3.9
16500 -1.9 28.6 280 10 5 9.4 5.2 | -1.5 29.3 255 10 5 9.1 5.0
16000 -0.5 31.1 285 9 5 9.4 5.1 | -0.2 31.6 255 8 4 8.9 4.9
15500 0.9 33.6 295 9 5 9.6 5.2 | 1.2 34.2 260 7 4 9.4 5.2
15000 2.4 36.3 300 9 5 9.6 5.2 | 2.6 36.7 265 7 4 9.4 5.2
14500 3.8 38.8 310 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 4.0 39.2 270 6 3 9.5 5.2
14000 5.3 41.5 310 10 5 9.9 5.4 | 5.4 41.7 275 6 3 9.6 5.3
13500 6.8 44.2 315 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 6.8 44.2 280 6 3 9.5 5.2
13000 8.3 46.9 320 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 8.2 46.8 285 6 3 9.5 5.2
12500 9.8 49.6 320 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 9.7 49.5 290 6 3 9.4 5.2
12000 11.2 52.2 325 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 11.0 51.8 295 5 3 9.1 5.0
11500 12.6 54.7 325 10 5 10.2 5.6 | 12.4 54.3 295 5 3 10.1 5.5
11000 14.0 57.2 325 9 5 8.6 4.7 | 13.8 56.8 300 5 2 9.1 5.0
10500 15.4 59.7 325 8 4 8.2 4.5 | 15.2 59.4 300 5 2 10.1 5.5
10250 15.9 60.6 320 8 4 5.9 3.2 | 16.0 60.8 305 5 2 10.4 5.7
10000 16.2 61.2 315 7 4 5.6 3.1 | 16.7 62.1 305 4 2 9.6 5.3
9750 16.9 62.4 305 6 3 6.5 3.6 | 18.2 64.8 305 4 2 9.8 5.4
9500 17.3 63.1 300 5 3 2.6 1.4 | 18.9 66.0 300 4 2 9.2 5.0
9250 17.2 63.0 295 5 3 1.7 0.9 | 19.6 67.3 300 4 2 9.6 5.3
9000 17.4 63.3 290 4 2 4.5 2.5 | 20.3 68.5 300 4 2 10.5 5.7
8750 17.6 63.7 285 4 2 4.0 2.2 | 21.1 70.0 295 4 2 10.3 5.6
8500 17.8 64.0 275 3 2 3.9 2.1 | 21.8 71.2 295 4 2 9.5 5.2
8250 18.1 64.6 275 3 1 5.6 3.1 | 22.5 72.5 290 4 2 9.7 5.3
8000 18.6 65.5 275 2 1 9.0 5.0 | 23.3 73.9 290 4 2 10.8 5.9
7750 19.3 66.7 270 2 1 9.8 5.4 | 24.1 75.4 285 4 2 10.8 5.9
7500 20.0 68.0 265 2 1 9.4 5.2 | 24.9 76.8 285 4 2 10.2 5.6
7250 20.7 69.3 265 2 1 9.6 5.3 | 25.6 78.1 280 4 2 10.3 5.7
7000 21.5 70.7 260 2 1 9.2 5.1 | 26.4 79.5 280 4 2 9.6 5.3
6750 22.2 72.0 260 2 1 12.3 6.7 | 27.2 81.0 280 4 2 15.2 8.3
6500 23.8 74.8 255 2 1 36.1 19.8 | 29.6 85.3 270 4 2 59.4 32.6
06/13/2026 at 1500 MDT | 06/13/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +3.3 LI... +0.2 | CAPE... +29.4 LI... -0.3
CINH... -7.1 K Index... +24.0 | CINH... -28.4 K Index... +25.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.1 -85.2 255 50 26 2.2 1.2 | -65.8 -86.4 255 45 23 2.6 1.4
45000 -60.3 -76.5 255 67 34 5.4 3.0 | -60.4 -76.7 255 61 31 5.8 3.2
40000 -51.3 -60.3 255 72 37 7.2 4.0 | -50.8 -59.4 255 72 37 7.4 4.0
38000 -47.0 -52.6 255 66 34 7.2 3.9 | -46.4 -51.5 255 67 35 7.4 4.0
36000 -42.7 -44.9 260 61 31 7.0 3.9 | -42.0 -43.6 255 62 32 7.2 3.9
34000 -38.9 -38.0 260 50 26 6.4 3.5 | -38.1 -36.6 255 52 27 6.5 3.6
32000 -35.0 -31.0 265 39 20 6.3 3.4 | -34.2 -29.6 255 40 21 6.5 3.5
30000 -30.4 -22.7 260 31 16 7.9 4.4 | -29.9 -21.8 255 35 18 7.3 4.0
29000 -28.1 -18.6 260 27 14 7.9 4.4 | -27.7 -17.9 255 33 17 7.3 4.0
28000 -25.7 -14.3 255 23 12 7.8 4.3 | -25.6 -14.1 255 30 16 7.8 4.3
27000 -22.9 -9.2 255 23 12 7.7 4.2 | -23.1 -9.6 260 29 15 8.0 4.4
26000 -20.6 -5.1 255 23 12 7.8 4.3 | -20.1 -4.2 260 27 14 8.0 4.4
25000 -18.4 -1.1 255 22 12 7.4 4.1 | -17.7 0.1 265 26 13 7.6 4.1
24000 -16.3 2.7 255 23 12 7.0 3.9 | -15.6 3.9 265 26 13 7.2 3.9
23000 -14.3 6.3 260 24 12 7.0 3.9 | -13.4 7.9 265 26 14 7.2 4.0
22000 -12.2 10.0 260 24 12 6.5 3.6 | -11.3 11.7 265 27 14 6.4 3.5
21000 -10.4 13.3 260 25 13 6.2 3.4 | -9.7 14.5 265 26 13 6.0 3.3
20000 -8.6 16.5 265 25 13 6.3 3.4 | -8.0 17.6 265 25 13 6.2 3.4
19500 -7.7 18.1 265 25 13 6.3 3.5 | -7.1 19.2 265 24 12 6.3 3.5
19000 -6.7 19.9 265 25 13 7.0 3.9 | -6.2 20.8 270 22 11 6.7 3.7
18500 -5.7 21.7 260 24 12 7.0 3.8 | -5.3 22.5 270 19 10 6.7 3.7
18000 -4.6 23.7 260 23 12 7.8 4.3 | -4.3 24.3 275 17 9 7.9 4.3
17500 -3.4 25.9 255 22 11 8.2 4.5 | -3.1 26.4 275 15 8 8.6 4.7
17000 -2.2 28.0 255 21 11 8.3 4.5 | -1.8 28.8 280 14 7 8.7 4.7
16500 -1.0 30.2 250 20 10 8.2 4.5 | -0.4 31.3 280 13 7 9.6 5.3
16000 0.2 32.4 250 19 10 8.2 4.5 | 1.0 33.8 280 13 7 9.6 5.3
15500 1.5 34.7 250 18 9 8.4 4.6 | 2.4 36.3 280 12 6 9.6 5.3
15000 2.7 36.9 250 16 8 8.4 4.6 | 3.8 38.8 285 12 6 9.6 5.3
14500 3.9 39.0 250 15 8 8.8 4.8 | 5.3 41.5 285 12 6 9.5 5.2
14000 5.3 41.5 250 14 7 9.1 5.0 | 6.7 44.1 290 11 6 9.4 5.2
13500 6.7 44.1 255 13 7 9.2 5.1 | 8.1 46.6 290 11 6 9.4 5.2
13000 8.1 46.6 260 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 9.5 49.1 290 11 6 9.6 5.3
12500 10.3 50.5 265 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 10.9 51.6 295 11 5 9.6 5.2
12000 11.7 53.1 270 11 6 10.1 5.5 | 12.4 54.3 295 11 5 10.2 5.6
11500 13.1 55.6 275 10 5 8.6 4.7 | 14.5 58.1 295 10 5 8.8 4.9
11000 14.5 58.1 280 10 5 9.9 5.4 | 16.0 60.8 295 11 5 9.8 5.4
10500 15.9 60.6 285 9 5 8.6 4.7 | 17.4 63.3 300 11 5 9.6 5.3
10250 16.6 61.9 290 9 5 9.2 5.1 | 18.2 64.8 300 10 5 9.5 5.2
10000 17.3 63.1 295 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 18.9 66.0 300 11 5 9.6 5.3
9750 18.0 64.4 295 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 19.6 67.3 305 11 5 9.3 5.1
9500 18.7 65.7 300 9 5 10.7 5.9 | 20.3 68.5 305 11 5 10.2 5.6
9250 19.5 67.1 305 9 5 10.2 5.6 | 21.1 70.0 300 11 5 10.3 5.6
9000 20.2 68.4 310 9 5 8.6 4.7 | 21.8 71.2 305 11 5 9.5 5.2
8750 20.8 69.4 315 9 5 8.7 4.7 | 22.5 72.5 305 11 5 9.6 5.3
8500 21.5 70.7 315 9 4 9.9 5.4 | 23.3 73.9 305 11 5 9.8 5.4
8250 22.3 72.1 320 9 5 10.5 5.8 | 24.0 75.2 305 11 5 10.1 5.6
8000 23.0 73.4 325 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 24.8 76.6 305 11 5 10.1 5.6
7750 23.7 74.7 330 9 5 9.2 5.1 | 25.5 77.9 305 10 5 10.1 5.6
7500 24.4 75.9 330 9 5 10.5 5.8 | 26.3 79.3 305 10 5 10.2 5.6
7250 25.3 77.5 335 9 5 11.8 6.5 | 27.0 80.6 305 10 5 10.5 5.7
7000 26.1 79.0 335 9 5 8.7 4.8 | 27.8 82.0 310 10 5 8.9 4.9
6750 26.7 80.1 340 9 5 10.8 5.9 | 28.5 83.3 305 10 5 11.5 6.3
6500 28.7 83.7 345 8 4 54.0 29.7 | 30.2 86.4 310 8 4 44.9 24.6
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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