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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0706 MDT Sunday July 6 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, July 6, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 81.7 F/27.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1232 ft/min (6.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19018 ft MSL (12687 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11696 ft MSL (5364 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/07....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:56:33 / 20:21:14 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 24 min 41 sec (864 min 41 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:53 MDT... 77.47 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/06/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16284 ft MSL (9953 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15699 ft MSL (9368 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16569 ft MSL (10238 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.8
K index......................... +16.2
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.3 -87.3 255 22 11 2.3 1.3 75.0 167.1 25.8 M M
45000 -60.0 -76.0 260 32 17 7.3 4.0 62.2 144.0 19.4 M M
40000 -49.0 -56.2 270 37 19 7.5 4.1 57.0 134.6 17.2 M M
38000 -44.5 -48.1 270 41 21 7.5 4.1 54.9 130.8 16.2 M M
36000 -40.0 -40.0 265 45 23 7.3 4.0 53.4 128.1 15.5 M M
34000 -35.3 -31.5 270 44 22 7.0 3.8 50.6 123.0 13.9 M M
32000 -31.1 -24.0 270 42 22 6.6 3.6 48.6 119.5 12.8 M M
30000 -27.5 -17.5 270 31 16 6.0 3.3 45.5 113.9 10.7 M M
29000 -25.7 -14.3 270 25 13 6.0 3.3 44.1 111.4 9.7 M M
28000 -23.9 -11.0 270 20 10 5.6 3.1 42.7 108.9 8.7 M M
27000 -22.2 -8.0 265 18 9 5.7 3.1 41.1 105.9 7.5 M M
26000 -20.6 -5.1 255 16 8 5.9 3.3 39.6 103.3 6.3 M M
25000 -18.9 -2.0 250 15 8 6.7 3.7 38.4 101.0 5.2 M M
24000 -16.7 1.9 255 12 6 7.4 4.1 37.4 99.3 4.5 M M
23000 -14.5 5.9 265 10 5 7.4 4.1 36.5 97.8 3.8 M M
22000 -12.3 9.9 275 9 4 6.8 3.7 35.8 96.5 3.2 M M
21000 -10.3 13.5 285 5 3 6.3 3.4 34.5 94.1 2.2 M M
20000 -8.4 16.9 315 2 1 6.3 3.4 33.3 91.9 1.2 M M
19500 -7.5 18.5 020 1 1 6.3 3.4 32.7 90.9 0.7 M M
19000 -6.2 20.8 045 3 1 5.6 3.1 31.7 89.1 -0.2 1221 6.2
18500 -5.4 22.3 050 4 2 5.5 3.0 31.0 87.9 -0.9 1183 6.0
18000 -4.4 24.1 050 4 2 9.1 5.0 30.6 87.1 -1.3 1136 5.8
17500 -3.1 26.4 045 3 2 8.7 4.8 30.4 86.8 -1.4 1082 5.5
17000 -1.8 28.8 045 3 1 9.1 5.0 30.3 86.5 -1.6 1029 5.2
16500 -0.4 31.3 015 1 1 9.4 5.1 30.2 86.4 -1.7 972 4.9
16000 1.0 33.8 300 1 1 9.4 5.2 30.2 86.3 -1.8 916 4.7
15500 2.4 36.3 275 3 1 9.5 5.2 30.1 86.2 -1.8 859 4.4
15000 3.8 38.8 270 4 2 9.5 5.2 30.1 86.1 -1.9 802 4.1
14500 5.2 41.4 265 5 3 9.5 5.2 30.0 86.1 -2.0 746 3.8
14000 6.6 43.9 260 6 3 9.5 5.2 30.0 86.0 -2.1 689 3.5
13500 8.0 46.4 260 7 4 8.9 4.9 29.9 85.9 -2.2 634 3.2
13000 9.2 48.6 250 8 4 8.8 4.8 29.8 85.6 -2.4 581 3.0
12500 10.5 50.9 245 9 5 8.6 4.7 29.6 85.3 -2.6 529 2.7
12000 11.7 53.1 240 9 5 8.4 4.6 29.4 84.9 -2.9 477 2.4
11500 12.9 55.2 230 9 5 8.4 4.6 29.2 84.6 -3.1 426 2.2
11000 14.1 57.4 220 10 5 7.8 4.3 28.9 84.1 -3.4 375 1.9
10500 15.3 59.5 215 11 6 7.1 3.9 28.6 83.6 -3.7 326 1.7
10250 15.7 60.3 210 12 6 6.4 3.5 28.4 83.1 -4.0 305 1.5
10000 16.2 61.2 205 13 7 7.2 3.9 28.2 82.7 -4.2 283 1.4
9750 16.7 62.1 200 14 7 7.1 3.9 28.0 82.3 -4.5 260 1.3
9500 17.2 63.0 200 16 8 7.2 4.0 27.8 82.0 -4.7 238 1.2
9250 17.7 63.9 200 17 9 7.9 4.3 27.6 81.7 -4.9 215 1.1
9000 18.2 64.8 195 17 9 5.9 3.2 27.4 81.4 -5.2 193 1.0
8750 18.5 65.3 195 18 9 5.2 2.8 27.0 80.7 -5.7 177 0.9
8500 18.8 65.8 195 18 9 2.4 1.3 26.7 80.0 -6.1 161 0.8
8250 18.6 65.5 195 17 9 -0.6 -0.4 25.9 78.6 -7.0 159 0.8
8000 18.4 65.1 190 16 8 -0.6 -0.3 25.1 77.3 -8.0 158 0.8
7750 18.0 64.4 190 15 8 -2.9 -1.6 24.3 75.7 -9.1 161 0.8
7500 17.6 63.7 185 13 7 -3.8 -2.1 23.3 73.9 -10.3 168 0.9
7250 17.2 63.0 185 10 5 -3.7 -2.0 22.2 72.0 -11.4 170 0.9
7000 16.9 62.4 175 6 3 -3.6 -2.0 21.2 70.2 -12.5 173 0.9
6750 16.6 61.9 155 3 2 -2.9 -1.6 20.2 68.4 -13.5 174 0.9
6500 16.5 61.7 090 2 1 -2.6 -1.4 19.3 66.7 -14.5 172 0.9
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/06/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/06/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +915.4 LI... -5.0 | CAPE... +835.2 LI... -4.4
CINH... -109.1 K Index... +17.2 | CINH... -17.5 K Index... +19.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.6 -87.9 255 18 9 2.1 1.2 | -66.7 -88.1 250 17 9 1.4 0.8
45000 -60.3 -76.5 260 26 13 7.5 4.1 | -61.1 -78.0 265 31 16 7.6 4.2
40000 -49.0 -56.2 260 32 16 7.8 4.3 | -49.7 -57.5 255 36 18 7.7 4.2
38000 -44.3 -47.7 265 36 19 7.8 4.3 | -45.1 -49.2 265 38 20 7.7 4.2
36000 -39.6 -39.3 270 42 21 7.6 4.2 | -40.5 -40.9 265 41 21 7.4 4.0
34000 -34.7 -30.5 275 40 21 7.3 4.0 | -35.8 -32.4 270 34 17 6.8 3.7
32000 -30.3 -22.5 280 39 20 6.4 3.5 | -31.7 -25.1 275 28 14 6.7 3.7
30000 -27.2 -17.0 275 31 16 5.2 2.8 | -27.8 -18.0 270 24 12 6.6 3.6
29000 -25.6 -14.1 275 27 14 5.2 2.8 | -25.8 -14.4 265 22 11 6.6 3.6
28000 -24.1 -11.4 275 23 12 5.5 3.0 | -23.9 -11.0 260 20 10 5.0 2.7
27000 -22.4 -8.3 270 22 11 5.6 3.1 | -22.4 -8.3 255 18 9 5.2 2.8
26000 -20.8 -5.4 265 21 11 5.8 3.2 | -20.9 -5.6 255 16 8 5.3 2.9
25000 -19.2 -2.6 255 20 10 6.3 3.5 | -19.4 -2.9 250 15 8 6.5 3.6
24000 -17.3 0.9 260 17 9 6.4 3.5 | -17.2 1.0 255 13 7 7.3 4.0
23000 -15.4 4.3 260 13 7 6.4 3.5 | -15.1 4.8 260 11 6 7.4 4.1
22000 -13.5 7.7 260 9 5 6.9 3.8 | -13.0 8.6 265 9 5 7.0 3.8
21000 -11.3 11.7 260 7 4 7.3 4.0 | -10.9 12.4 260 8 4 6.7 3.7
20000 -9.0 15.8 250 5 2 7.3 4.0 | -8.9 16.0 260 7 4 6.8 3.7
19500 -7.9 17.8 245 4 2 7.4 4.0 | -7.9 17.8 255 7 3 6.8 3.8
19000 -6.2 20.8 220 2 1 7.6 4.2 | -6.2 20.8 260 5 3 7.5 4.1
18500 -5.1 22.8 190 2 1 7.6 4.2 | -5.0 23.0 260 5 2 7.6 4.2
18000 -4.0 24.8 165 2 1 7.7 4.2 | -3.8 25.2 255 4 2 8.5 4.6
17500 -2.8 27.0 140 2 1 7.7 4.2 | -2.5 27.5 245 4 2 8.4 4.6
17000 -1.7 28.9 130 2 1 8.8 4.8 | -1.2 29.8 235 4 2 8.5 4.7
16500 -0.3 31.5 135 2 1 9.1 5.0 | 0.0 32.0 225 4 2 8.6 4.7
16000 1.0 33.8 145 2 1 9.3 5.1 | 1.3 34.3 215 4 2 8.8 4.8
15500 2.4 36.3 155 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 2.6 36.7 210 4 2 9.3 5.1
15000 3.9 39.0 170 1 1 9.7 5.3 | 4.0 39.2 205 4 2 9.3 5.1
14500 5.3 41.5 210 1 1 9.4 5.1 | 5.4 41.7 205 4 2 9.4 5.2
14000 6.6 43.9 235 2 1 9.5 5.2 | 6.8 44.2 205 4 2 9.5 5.2
13500 8.0 46.4 240 2 1 8.5 4.7 | 8.1 46.6 205 4 2 8.9 4.9
13000 9.2 48.6 230 3 2 8.5 4.6 | 9.4 48.9 205 4 2 8.9 4.9
12500 10.3 50.5 225 4 2 7.8 4.3 | 10.6 51.1 210 5 2 7.0 3.8
12000 11.4 52.5 220 5 3 7.4 4.1 | 11.3 52.3 210 6 3 6.3 3.4
11500 12.5 54.5 220 7 3 7.1 3.9 | 12.1 53.8 210 7 3 6.2 3.4
11000 13.5 56.3 225 8 4 7.1 3.9 | 12.9 55.2 205 7 3 7.4 4.1
10500 14.5 58.1 230 10 5 6.8 3.7 | 13.8 56.8 200 7 3 7.1 3.9
10250 14.9 58.8 230 11 6 6.2 3.4 | 14.3 57.7 200 7 3 8.3 4.5
10000 15.3 59.5 230 12 6 5.9 3.3 | 15.0 59.0 200 7 3 9.9 5.4
9750 15.7 60.3 230 13 7 6.6 3.6 | 15.7 60.3 200 7 3 9.5 5.2
9500 16.1 61.0 230 13 7 4.0 2.2 | 16.4 61.5 200 7 3 10.1 5.6
9250 16.1 61.0 225 12 6 2.0 1.1 | 17.2 63.0 195 6 3 10.7 5.8
9000 16.2 61.2 225 11 6 0.9 0.5 | 17.9 64.2 195 6 3 9.5 5.2
8750 16.0 60.8 220 9 5 -1.3 -0.7 | 18.6 65.5 195 6 3 8.8 4.8
8500 15.8 60.4 210 8 4 2.1 1.1 | 19.3 66.7 195 6 3 9.6 5.3
8250 16.0 60.8 200 6 3 3.9 2.1 | 20.0 68.0 190 6 3 9.9 5.5
8000 16.1 61.0 180 5 3 4.3 2.4 | 20.7 69.3 190 6 3 10.1 5.5
7750 16.5 61.7 160 5 3 7.3 4.0 | 21.5 70.7 190 6 3 10.5 5.8
7500 17.1 62.8 155 5 3 9.2 5.1 | 22.3 72.1 190 6 3 10.3 5.6
7250 17.8 64.0 150 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 23.0 73.4 190 6 3 10.4 5.7
7000 18.5 65.3 145 5 3 9.0 4.9 | 23.8 74.8 185 6 3 9.4 5.1
6750 19.2 66.6 145 6 3 11.8 6.5 | 24.5 76.1 185 6 3 13.2 7.2
6500 20.3 68.5 140 5 3 19.2 10.5 | 25.9 78.6 185 5 3 24.0 13.1
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/06/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/06/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +148.9 LI... -1.9 | CAPE... +99.0 LI... -1.3
CINH... -0.3 K Index... +29.0 | CINH... -55.5 K Index... +26.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -67.4 -89.3 235 18 9 2.4 1.3 | -67.6 -89.7 245 22 11 2.5 1.4
45000 -60.8 -77.4 260 32 16 7.6 4.2 | -61.0 -77.8 260 33 17 7.5 4.1
40000 -49.4 -56.9 260 44 23 7.4 4.1 | -49.7 -57.5 265 45 23 7.6 4.2
38000 -45.0 -49.0 265 43 22 7.4 4.1 | -45.2 -49.4 270 43 22 7.6 4.2
36000 -40.5 -40.9 265 41 21 7.1 3.9 | -40.6 -41.1 270 41 21 7.3 4.0
34000 -36.0 -32.8 270 34 18 6.7 3.7 | -36.1 -33.0 270 32 16 6.7 3.7
32000 -32.0 -25.6 275 29 15 7.0 3.8 | -32.0 -25.6 270 23 12 7.1 3.9
30000 -27.6 -17.7 270 26 13 7.4 4.0 | -27.5 -17.5 265 20 11 7.6 4.2
29000 -25.4 -13.7 265 25 13 7.4 4.0 | -25.2 -13.4 260 19 10 7.6 4.2
28000 -23.3 -9.9 265 24 12 6.0 3.3 | -23.1 -9.6 260 18 9 6.5 3.6
27000 -21.5 -6.7 265 23 12 6.1 3.4 | -21.1 -6.0 265 17 9 6.6 3.6
26000 -19.6 -3.3 265 22 11 6.2 3.4 | -19.1 -2.4 265 16 8 6.7 3.7
25000 -17.8 -0.0 265 21 11 6.0 3.3 | -17.1 1.2 270 16 8 6.3 3.4
24000 -16.1 3.0 265 18 9 6.0 3.3 | -15.4 4.3 270 16 8 5.9 3.2
23000 -14.3 6.3 275 15 8 6.2 3.4 | -13.7 7.3 270 16 8 6.0 3.3
22000 -12.6 9.3 280 13 6 6.5 3.6 | -11.9 10.6 265 16 8 6.2 3.4
21000 -10.8 12.6 275 11 6 6.5 3.6 | -10.1 13.8 255 14 7 6.5 3.6
20000 -8.9 16.0 265 9 5 6.5 3.6 | -8.3 17.1 245 13 7 6.6 3.6
19500 -7.4 18.7 255 8 4 7.9 4.3 | -6.9 19.6 235 13 7 7.2 3.9
19000 -6.2 20.8 250 8 4 8.4 4.6 | -5.9 21.4 230 14 7 7.4 4.1
18500 -5.0 23.0 240 8 4 8.4 4.6 | -4.8 23.4 225 15 7 7.4 4.1
18000 -3.8 25.2 235 8 4 8.2 4.5 | -3.6 25.5 225 15 8 9.0 4.9
17500 -2.6 27.3 230 9 4 8.3 4.5 | -2.3 27.9 225 15 8 8.8 4.9
17000 -1.4 29.5 225 9 5 8.7 4.8 | -1.0 30.2 225 15 7 9.4 5.1
16500 -0.1 31.8 220 9 5 8.9 4.9 | 0.5 32.9 225 14 7 9.7 5.3
16000 1.2 34.2 220 9 4 9.1 5.0 | 1.9 35.4 225 14 7 9.7 5.3
15500 2.7 36.9 215 9 4 9.7 5.3 | 3.4 38.1 225 13 7 9.6 5.2
15000 4.1 39.4 215 9 4 9.7 5.3 | 4.8 40.6 230 13 7 9.6 5.3
14500 5.6 42.1 215 9 4 9.8 5.4 | 6.2 43.2 230 12 6 9.4 5.2
14000 7.0 44.6 215 9 4 9.8 5.4 | 7.6 45.7 230 11 6 9.4 5.2
13500 8.5 47.3 215 9 4 9.7 5.3 | 9.0 48.2 235 11 6 9.3 5.1
13000 9.9 49.8 210 9 4 9.7 5.3 | 10.4 50.7 240 10 5 9.2 5.0
12500 11.4 52.5 210 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 11.7 53.1 240 9 5 9.3 5.1
12000 12.8 55.0 210 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 13.1 55.6 245 8 4 9.5 5.2
11500 14.2 57.6 205 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 14.5 58.1 250 8 4 9.1 5.0
11000 15.7 60.3 205 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 15.9 60.6 255 7 3 9.0 4.9
10500 17.2 63.0 205 8 4 9.2 5.0 | 17.2 63.0 265 6 3 8.5 4.7
10250 17.9 64.2 200 8 4 9.2 5.1 | 17.8 64.0 265 6 3 8.3 4.5
10000 18.6 65.5 200 8 4 10.3 5.6 | 18.5 65.3 275 5 3 8.8 4.8
9750 19.4 66.9 200 7 4 9.9 5.4 | 19.1 66.4 280 5 3 8.6 4.7
9500 20.1 68.2 195 7 4 10.4 5.7 | 19.7 67.5 285 5 3 8.9 4.9
9250 20.9 69.6 195 7 4 10.6 5.8 | 20.4 68.7 295 5 2 9.2 5.0
9000 21.7 71.1 195 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 21.1 70.0 300 5 2 8.2 4.5
8750 22.3 72.1 190 7 4 8.9 4.9 | 21.6 70.9 310 5 2 7.5 4.1
8500 23.0 73.4 190 7 3 9.6 5.3 | 22.2 72.0 315 5 2 7.7 4.2
8250 23.8 74.8 190 7 3 10.3 5.6 | 22.7 72.9 330 5 2 7.7 4.2
8000 24.5 76.1 190 7 3 10.2 5.6 | 23.3 73.9 340 5 2 7.5 4.1
7750 25.3 77.5 185 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 23.8 74.8 350 5 3 7.3 4.0
7500 26.1 79.0 185 6 3 10.4 5.7 | 24.3 75.7 360 6 3 7.2 4.0
7250 26.9 80.4 185 6 3 10.5 5.8 | 24.8 76.6 015 6 3 7.2 3.9
7000 27.6 81.7 180 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 25.4 77.7 025 7 3 7.1 3.9
6750 28.4 83.1 180 6 3 11.6 6.4 | 25.8 78.4 035 8 4 6.4 3.5
6500 29.5 85.1 180 6 3 19.1 10.5 | 26.3 79.3 045 8 4 7.3 4.0
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0707 MDT Sunday July 6 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, July 6, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 83.0 F/28.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1306 ft/min (6.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19506 ft MSL (13827 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 93.0 F/34.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12080 ft MSL (6401 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/07....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:58:52 / 20:23:53 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 25 min 0 sec (865 min 0 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:11:23 MDT... 77.32 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/06/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16333 ft MSL (10654 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15501 ft MSL (9822 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16415 ft MSL (10737 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.4
K index......................... +18.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.6 -87.9 250 25 13 2.2 1.2 77.9 172.3 25.9 M M
45000 -60.2 -76.4 260 34 17 7.4 4.1 64.0 147.3 19.1 M M
40000 -49.1 -56.4 265 39 20 7.5 4.1 59.1 138.3 17.0 M M
38000 -44.6 -48.3 265 44 22 7.5 4.1 56.9 134.4 15.9 M M
36000 -39.6 -39.3 265 48 25 6.9 3.8 55.1 131.1 15.1 M M
34000 -35.5 -31.9 265 44 23 6.8 3.8 52.4 126.3 13.5 M M
32000 -31.5 -24.7 265 41 21 6.6 3.6 50.3 122.6 12.3 M M
30000 -27.9 -18.2 265 31 16 5.8 3.2 47.1 116.7 10.1 M M
29000 -26.2 -15.2 260 26 13 5.8 3.2 45.6 114.1 9.1 M M
28000 -24.5 -12.1 260 22 11 6.1 3.3 44.2 111.6 8.1 M M
27000 -22.7 -8.9 255 19 10 6.1 3.4 42.7 108.9 7.0 M M
26000 -20.9 -5.6 255 17 9 6.2 3.4 41.4 106.5 5.9 M M
25000 -19.1 -2.4 250 14 7 6.6 3.6 40.2 104.4 5.0 M M
24000 -16.9 1.6 250 14 7 7.4 4.1 39.2 102.6 4.1 M M
23000 -14.8 5.4 255 13 7 7.5 4.1 38.4 101.1 3.4 M M
22000 -12.2 10.0 255 12 6 6.2 3.4 37.3 99.2 2.5 M M
21000 -10.3 13.5 265 10 5 6.3 3.4 36.0 96.9 1.4 M M
20000 -8.4 16.9 275 8 4 6.3 3.4 34.9 94.8 0.4 M M
19500 -7.5 18.5 285 8 4 6.4 3.5 34.3 93.8 -0.1 1300 6.6
19000 -6.5 20.3 285 6 3 6.6 3.6 33.8 92.8 -0.6 1256 6.4
18500 -5.6 21.9 285 5 3 6.4 3.5 33.2 91.8 -1.1 1212 6.2
18000 -4.5 23.9 285 4 2 8.8 4.8 32.8 91.1 -1.4 1164 5.9
17500 -3.2 26.2 270 3 1 8.7 4.8 32.7 90.8 -1.6 1110 5.6
17000 -1.8 28.8 255 2 1 9.1 5.0 32.5 90.5 -1.7 1056 5.4
16500 -0.4 31.3 245 3 1 9.5 5.2 32.4 90.4 -1.8 999 5.1
16000 1.0 33.8 240 3 2 9.5 5.2 32.4 90.3 -1.8 941 4.8
15500 2.4 36.3 235 4 2 9.6 5.3 32.4 90.3 -1.9 884 4.5
15000 3.8 38.8 235 4 2 9.7 5.3 32.4 90.3 -1.9 827 4.2
14500 5.2 41.4 235 5 3 9.5 5.2 32.3 90.2 -2.0 770 3.9
14000 6.6 43.9 235 5 3 9.4 5.2 32.3 90.1 -2.1 714 3.6
13500 8.0 46.4 230 6 3 8.9 4.9 32.2 90.0 -2.2 658 3.3
13000 9.2 48.6 225 6 3 8.5 4.7 32.0 89.6 -2.4 606 3.1
12500 10.5 50.9 220 6 3 8.0 4.4 31.8 89.3 -2.6 554 2.8
12000 11.5 52.7 205 7 3 7.0 3.8 31.4 88.5 -3.0 507 2.6
11500 12.6 54.7 195 8 4 6.9 3.8 31.0 87.8 -3.4 461 2.3
11000 13.5 56.3 190 9 5 6.5 3.6 30.5 86.9 -4.0 419 2.1
10500 14.4 57.9 185 11 6 6.5 3.5 30.0 86.0 -4.6 377 1.9
10250 14.9 58.8 185 11 6 7.3 4.0 29.7 85.5 -4.8 355 1.8
10000 15.4 59.7 185 12 6 7.9 4.4 29.6 85.3 -5.0 331 1.7
9750 16.0 60.8 185 12 6 7.5 4.1 29.4 85.0 -5.2 307 1.6
9500 16.5 61.7 185 12 6 8.7 4.8 29.3 84.7 -5.4 283 1.4
9250 17.2 63.0 185 12 6 8.2 4.5 29.2 84.6 -5.5 256 1.3
9000 17.7 63.9 185 11 6 6.5 3.6 29.0 84.2 -5.8 235 1.2
8750 18.1 64.6 185 10 5 7.5 4.1 28.8 83.8 -6.0 213 1.1
8500 18.8 65.8 190 7 4 3.7 2.0 28.1 82.6 -6.8 179 0.9
8250 19.1 66.4 185 6 3 5.0 2.8 27.7 81.9 -7.3 164 0.8
8000 19.3 66.7 180 4 2 5.1 2.8 27.4 81.2 -7.8 148 0.8
7750 19.6 67.3 165 3 2 4.8 2.7 27.0 80.6 -8.3 132 0.7
7500 19.9 67.8 140 2 1 3.1 1.7 26.6 79.8 -8.8 117 0.6
7250 19.9 67.8 080 2 1 -0.3 -0.2 26.0 78.7 -9.5 109 0.6
7000 19.6 67.3 065 3 2 -1.8 -1.0 25.1 77.2 -10.5 110 0.6
6750 19.5 67.1 055 4 2 2.2 1.2 24.3 75.8 -11.4 107 0.5
6500 19.7 67.5 055 5 2 4.9 2.7 23.9 75.1 -11.9 92 0.5
6250 20.0 68.0 055 5 2 2.4 1.3 23.5 74.3 -12.4 77 0.4
6000 19.9 67.8 050 5 3 -1.3 -0.7 22.8 73.0 -13.2 71 0.4
5750 19.7 67.5 055 5 2 -5.5 -3.0 21.8 71.3 -14.2 71 0.4
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/06/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/06/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +786.5 LI... -5.0 | CAPE... +487.4 LI... -3.4
CINH... -124.2 K Index... +18.8 | CINH... -36.0 K Index... +21.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.4 -87.5 255 17 9 2.4 1.3 | -66.5 -87.7 250 17 9 1.4 0.8
45000 -60.1 -76.2 260 27 14 7.3 4.0 | -60.9 -77.6 260 29 15 7.6 4.2
40000 -49.1 -56.4 260 37 19 7.7 4.2 | -49.4 -56.9 255 39 20 7.7 4.2
38000 -44.5 -48.1 265 41 21 7.7 4.2 | -44.8 -48.6 260 41 21 7.7 4.2
36000 -39.4 -38.9 270 45 23 6.9 3.8 | -39.7 -39.5 260 43 22 6.7 3.7
34000 -35.3 -31.5 270 41 21 6.8 3.7 | -35.7 -32.3 265 38 20 6.6 3.6
32000 -31.2 -24.2 275 37 19 6.4 3.5 | -31.8 -25.2 270 34 17 6.6 3.6
30000 -28.0 -18.4 270 30 15 5.3 2.9 | -27.9 -18.2 265 29 15 6.5 3.5
29000 -26.4 -15.5 265 26 13 5.3 2.9 | -26.0 -14.8 260 26 14 6.5 3.5
28000 -24.8 -12.6 260 23 12 5.7 3.1 | -24.2 -11.6 255 24 12 4.8 2.6
27000 -23.1 -9.6 255 21 11 5.8 3.2 | -22.7 -8.9 250 22 11 5.0 2.8
26000 -21.4 -6.5 250 19 10 5.9 3.3 | -21.2 -6.2 250 19 10 5.2 2.8
25000 -19.7 -3.5 240 18 9 6.7 3.7 | -19.7 -3.5 240 17 9 6.0 3.3
24000 -17.6 0.3 245 16 8 7.4 4.0 | -17.7 0.1 245 15 8 7.0 3.9
23000 -15.4 4.3 250 14 7 7.4 4.1 | -15.7 3.7 250 13 7 7.1 3.9
22000 -12.8 9.0 255 11 6 6.3 3.4 | -13.1 8.4 255 11 6 7.2 3.9
21000 -10.9 12.4 255 9 5 6.4 3.5 | -11.0 12.2 255 9 5 7.2 3.9
20000 -9.1 15.6 250 7 4 6.4 3.5 | -8.9 16.0 255 8 4 7.2 4.0
19500 -8.1 17.4 250 7 3 7.2 4.0 | -7.8 18.0 250 7 4 7.9 4.3
19000 -6.9 19.6 240 5 3 7.8 4.3 | -6.6 20.1 240 6 3 8.3 4.6
18500 -5.7 21.7 230 4 2 7.7 4.2 | -5.3 22.5 225 6 3 8.4 4.6
18000 -4.5 23.9 215 3 2 9.1 5.0 | -4.0 24.8 215 6 3 8.2 4.5
17500 -3.1 26.4 200 4 2 9.0 4.9 | -2.8 27.0 205 6 3 8.2 4.5
17000 -1.8 28.8 185 4 2 9.3 5.1 | -1.6 29.1 195 5 3 8.8 4.8
16500 -0.4 31.3 185 4 2 9.5 5.2 | -0.2 31.6 190 6 3 9.2 5.1
16000 1.1 34.0 180 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 1.2 34.2 185 6 3 9.3 5.1
15500 2.5 36.5 180 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 2.6 36.7 185 6 3 9.6 5.2
15000 3.9 39.0 175 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 4.0 39.2 185 6 3 9.6 5.3
14500 5.3 41.5 175 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 5.3 41.5 185 6 3 9.1 5.0
14000 6.7 44.1 180 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 6.7 44.1 190 6 3 9.1 5.0
13500 8.0 46.4 180 4 2 8.8 4.9 | 8.0 46.4 195 7 3 8.7 4.8
13000 9.3 48.7 190 5 2 8.6 4.7 | 9.3 48.7 195 7 3 8.6 4.7
12500 10.6 51.1 195 5 3 7.9 4.3 | 10.6 51.1 195 7 3 8.3 4.5
12000 11.7 53.1 195 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 11.7 53.1 190 6 3 7.9 4.3
11500 12.7 54.9 195 7 4 6.8 3.8 | 12.9 55.2 185 6 3 7.0 3.8
11000 13.6 56.5 190 8 4 6.3 3.4 | 13.6 56.5 175 7 3 5.1 2.8
10500 14.5 58.1 190 9 5 6.0 3.3 | 14.5 58.1 170 7 3 8.5 4.6
10250 14.9 58.8 190 9 5 5.9 3.2 | 15.0 59.0 170 7 3 7.9 4.3
10000 15.3 59.5 190 9 5 5.8 3.2 | 15.5 59.9 170 7 3 7.3 4.0
9750 15.7 60.3 190 9 5 6.4 3.5 | 16.0 60.8 170 7 3 7.6 4.2
9500 16.0 60.8 190 9 5 4.4 2.4 | 16.5 61.7 170 7 3 7.3 4.0
9250 16.2 61.2 190 8 4 4.1 2.3 | 17.0 62.6 170 7 3 8.8 4.8
9000 16.6 61.9 190 7 4 6.0 3.3 | 17.7 63.9 170 7 3 10.0 5.5
8750 16.9 62.4 190 7 3 5.8 3.2 | 18.5 65.3 170 7 3 10.1 5.5
8500 17.5 63.5 185 4 2 6.0 3.3 | 19.2 66.6 170 6 3 8.4 4.6
8250 18.0 64.4 175 3 2 7.8 4.3 | 20.5 68.9 175 6 3 10.7 5.9
8000 18.5 65.3 160 2 1 8.1 4.4 | 21.3 70.3 175 6 3 10.4 5.7
7750 19.0 66.2 130 2 1 5.7 3.1 | 22.0 71.6 180 6 3 9.7 5.3
7500 19.2 66.6 100 2 1 4.2 2.3 | 22.7 72.9 180 6 3 9.3 5.1
7250 19.6 67.3 080 2 1 6.9 3.8 | 23.4 74.1 185 6 3 10.6 5.8
7000 20.1 68.2 070 3 1 8.0 4.4 | 24.2 75.6 185 6 3 10.8 5.9
6750 20.7 69.3 065 3 2 8.9 4.9 | 25.0 77.0 190 6 3 10.3 5.7
6500 21.3 70.3 060 3 2 9.6 5.3 | 25.8 78.4 190 6 3 10.5 5.7
6250 22.0 71.6 060 3 2 9.0 5.0 | 26.5 79.7 190 6 3 9.4 5.2
6000 22.7 72.9 055 3 2 12.1 6.6 | 27.3 81.1 195 6 3 14.0 7.7
5750 24.2 75.6 050 3 1 33.2 18.2 | 29.5 85.1 200 6 3 56.0 30.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/06/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/06/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +239.1 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +73.3 LI... -0.8
CINH... -8.9 K Index... +22.3 | CINH... -9.1 K Index... +25.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.7 -88.1 235 19 10 1.8 1.0 | -67.0 -88.6 245 21 11 2.3 1.3
45000 -60.7 -77.3 255 33 17 7.6 4.2 | -60.7 -77.3 255 33 17 7.2 4.0
40000 -49.4 -56.9 255 46 24 7.3 4.0 | -49.8 -57.6 260 46 24 7.8 4.3
38000 -45.0 -49.0 260 45 23 7.3 4.0 | -45.1 -49.2 260 45 23 7.8 4.3
36000 -40.1 -40.2 260 43 22 6.5 3.6 | -39.9 -39.8 260 44 23 6.7 3.7
34000 -36.2 -33.2 265 37 19 6.4 3.5 | -36.0 -32.8 260 38 20 6.6 3.6
32000 -32.4 -26.3 270 31 16 6.6 3.6 | -32.0 -25.6 265 32 17 6.7 3.7
30000 -28.3 -18.9 265 27 14 6.8 3.7 | -27.8 -18.0 260 27 14 7.0 3.9
29000 -26.3 -15.3 260 26 13 6.8 3.8 | -25.7 -14.3 255 25 13 7.1 3.9
28000 -24.2 -11.6 255 25 13 6.9 3.8 | -23.6 -10.5 255 23 12 6.6 3.6
27000 -22.2 -8.0 260 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -21.7 -7.1 260 21 11 6.7 3.7
26000 -20.1 -4.2 260 21 11 6.9 3.8 | -19.7 -3.5 265 19 10 6.7 3.7
25000 -18.1 -0.6 260 20 10 6.6 3.6 | -17.7 0.1 270 17 9 6.3 3.4
24000 -16.2 2.8 260 17 9 6.3 3.5 | -16.1 3.0 265 17 9 5.4 3.0
23000 -14.4 6.1 265 15 8 6.6 3.6 | -14.6 5.7 265 18 9 5.5 3.0
22000 -12.1 10.2 265 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -12.5 9.5 260 18 9 7.7 4.2
21000 -10.1 13.8 270 10 5 6.7 3.7 | -10.2 13.6 260 17 9 7.6 4.2
20000 -8.1 17.4 275 7 4 6.8 3.7 | -8.0 17.6 265 16 8 7.7 4.2
19500 -7.1 19.2 275 6 3 7.7 4.2 | -6.9 19.6 265 15 8 7.9 4.3
19000 -5.8 21.6 275 6 3 8.4 4.6 | -5.8 21.6 265 14 7 8.1 4.4
18500 -4.6 23.7 270 5 3 8.5 4.7 | -4.6 23.7 265 12 6 8.1 4.4
18000 -3.4 25.9 260 5 3 8.3 4.6 | -3.4 25.9 260 11 6 8.3 4.5
17500 -2.1 28.2 250 5 3 8.4 4.6 | -2.2 28.0 260 10 5 8.3 4.6
17000 -0.9 30.4 245 6 3 8.4 4.6 | -1.0 30.2 255 10 5 8.7 4.8
16500 0.4 32.7 230 6 3 8.4 4.6 | 0.4 32.7 255 9 5 9.1 5.0
16000 1.6 34.9 220 7 3 8.4 4.6 | 1.7 35.1 255 9 5 9.2 5.0
15500 2.9 37.2 215 7 4 9.0 4.9 | 3.1 37.6 250 9 5 9.4 5.2
15000 4.2 39.6 210 7 4 8.9 4.9 | 4.5 40.1 250 9 4 9.4 5.2
14500 5.5 41.9 205 7 4 9.1 5.0 | 5.9 42.6 250 8 4 9.5 5.2
14000 6.9 44.4 205 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 7.3 45.1 245 8 4 9.5 5.2
13500 8.2 46.8 205 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 8.7 47.7 245 8 4 9.7 5.3
13000 9.5 49.1 205 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 10.2 50.4 245 8 4 9.7 5.3
12500 10.8 51.4 205 8 4 9.0 4.9 | 11.6 52.9 240 7 4 9.7 5.3
12000 12.1 53.8 210 8 4 8.9 4.9 | 13.1 55.6 240 7 4 9.7 5.3
11500 13.4 56.1 210 8 4 8.9 4.9 | 14.5 58.1 240 7 4 9.6 5.3
11000 14.7 58.5 210 9 4 8.6 4.7 | 15.9 60.6 235 7 3 9.1 5.0
10500 16.1 61.0 210 9 5 10.6 5.8 | 17.4 63.3 235 7 3 10.3 5.7
10250 16.8 62.2 210 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 18.1 64.6 235 6 3 10.0 5.5
10000 17.5 63.5 210 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 18.9 66.0 230 6 3 9.9 5.4
9750 18.2 64.8 210 9 5 9.0 5.0 | 19.6 67.3 230 6 3 10.0 5.5
9500 18.9 66.0 210 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 20.3 68.5 230 6 3 9.7 5.3
9250 19.6 67.3 210 10 5 10.3 5.6 | 21.0 69.8 230 6 3 9.6 5.3
9000 20.3 68.5 210 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 21.8 71.2 225 6 3 9.7 5.3
8750 21.1 70.0 210 10 5 10.0 5.5 | 22.5 72.5 225 6 3 10.0 5.5
8500 22.3 72.1 210 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 23.8 74.8 220 6 3 8.9 4.9
8250 23.1 73.6 210 10 5 10.8 5.9 | 24.6 76.3 220 5 3 10.6 5.8
8000 23.9 75.0 210 11 5 10.5 5.8 | 25.3 77.5 215 5 3 10.3 5.6
7750 24.6 76.3 210 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 26.1 79.0 215 5 3 9.8 5.4
7500 25.3 77.5 210 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 26.8 80.2 210 5 3 9.3 5.1
7250 26.1 79.0 210 11 6 10.6 5.8 | 27.5 81.5 210 5 3 10.1 5.5
7000 26.9 80.4 210 11 6 11.0 6.0 | 28.3 82.9 205 5 3 10.4 5.7
6750 27.7 81.9 210 11 6 10.5 5.8 | 29.1 84.4 205 5 2 10.1 5.5
6500 28.5 83.3 210 11 6 10.6 5.8 | 29.8 85.6 200 5 2 10.1 5.5
6250 29.2 84.6 210 11 6 9.6 5.3 | 30.5 86.9 200 5 2 9.3 5.1
6000 30.0 86.0 210 11 5 15.0 8.2 | 31.3 88.3 195 4 2 11.9 6.5
5750 32.4 90.3 210 10 5 62.2 34.1 | 32.9 91.2 190 4 2 38.4 21.1
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0707 MDT Sunday July 6 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, July 6, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 80.2 F/26.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1402 ft/min (7.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20983 ft MSL (14528 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16641 ft MSL (10185 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/07....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:55:14 / 20:23:19 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 28 min 6 sec (868 min 6 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:16 MDT... 76.83 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/06/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16274 ft MSL (9819 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15254 ft MSL (8799 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16759 ft MSL (10303 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -6.9
K index......................... +16.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.4 -87.5 255 24 12 2.2 1.2 75.6 168.1 25.4 M M
45000 -60.0 -76.0 265 37 19 7.3 4.0 61.7 143.1 18.5 M M
40000 -49.1 -56.4 270 44 23 7.2 4.0 56.5 133.7 16.2 M M
38000 -44.7 -48.5 265 47 24 7.2 4.0 54.1 129.4 14.9 M M
36000 -40.4 -40.7 265 50 26 7.1 3.9 52.4 126.3 14.0 M M
34000 -36.3 -33.3 270 43 22 6.9 3.8 49.7 121.4 12.4 M M
32000 -32.1 -25.8 270 35 18 6.9 3.8 47.6 117.6 11.1 M M
30000 -27.6 -17.7 265 30 15 6.6 3.6 44.7 112.5 9.2 M M
29000 -25.6 -14.1 265 27 14 6.6 3.6 43.6 110.4 8.5 M M
28000 -23.8 -10.8 265 25 13 4.9 2.7 42.3 108.1 7.5 M M
27000 -22.3 -8.1 260 23 12 5.1 2.8 40.4 104.7 6.1 M M
26000 -20.8 -5.4 260 21 11 5.1 2.8 38.7 101.6 4.7 M M
25000 -19.3 -2.7 255 19 10 6.4 3.5 37.1 98.8 3.5 M M
24000 -17.2 1.0 255 17 9 7.3 4.0 36.1 97.0 2.6 M M
23000 -15.0 5.0 255 15 8 7.3 4.0 35.2 95.4 1.8 M M
22000 -12.9 8.8 260 14 7 6.7 3.7 34.4 93.9 1.1 M M
21000 -11.0 12.2 265 11 6 6.5 3.6 33.2 91.7 0.0 M M
20000 -9.1 15.6 280 9 5 6.5 3.6 32.1 89.7 -1.0 1318 6.7
19500 -8.1 17.4 285 8 4 6.5 3.6 31.6 88.8 -1.4 1274 6.5
19000 -7.2 19.0 290 8 4 6.5 3.6 31.0 87.8 -1.9 1230 6.3
18500 -6.2 20.8 290 7 4 6.4 3.5 30.5 86.8 -2.5 1187 6.0
18000 -5.1 22.8 285 7 4 8.9 4.9 30.0 86.1 -2.9 1140 5.8
17500 -3.7 25.3 285 6 3 9.4 5.2 30.0 86.0 -2.9 1082 5.5
17000 -2.3 27.9 280 6 3 9.4 5.2 29.9 85.9 -2.9 1024 5.2
16500 -0.8 30.6 280 6 3 9.3 5.1 29.9 85.8 -3.0 967 4.9
16000 0.6 33.1 275 6 3 9.4 5.1 29.8 85.7 -3.1 910 4.6
15500 2.0 35.6 270 5 3 9.2 5.1 29.7 85.5 -3.2 853 4.3
15000 3.3 37.9 265 5 3 9.2 5.1 29.7 85.4 -3.3 797 4.0
14500 4.7 40.5 255 5 3 9.1 5.0 29.6 85.2 -3.4 741 3.8
14000 6.0 42.8 250 5 3 9.1 5.0 29.5 85.0 -3.5 686 3.5
13500 7.4 45.3 240 5 3 9.0 4.9 29.4 84.8 -3.7 631 3.2
13000 8.7 47.7 240 6 3 8.9 4.9 29.2 84.6 -3.8 577 2.9
12500 10.0 50.0 240 6 3 8.8 4.8 29.1 84.4 -4.0 523 2.7
12000 11.7 53.1 235 6 3 8.0 4.4 28.7 83.7 -4.5 449 2.3
11500 12.9 55.2 235 6 3 7.8 4.3 28.4 83.2 -4.9 400 2.0
11000 13.9 57.0 225 7 4 7.6 4.2 28.1 82.5 -5.3 354 1.8
10500 14.9 58.8 215 8 4 5.9 3.2 27.7 81.9 -5.8 309 1.6
10250 15.2 59.4 210 8 4 5.0 2.7 27.3 81.2 -6.2 292 1.5
10000 15.5 59.9 200 9 4 5.4 3.0 27.0 80.6 -6.7 275 1.4
9750 15.9 60.6 195 9 5 5.2 2.9 26.6 80.0 -7.1 259 1.3
9500 16.1 61.0 190 10 5 2.9 1.6 26.2 79.2 -7.6 244 1.2
9250 16.1 61.0 180 11 6 2.5 1.4 25.6 78.1 -8.4 236 1.2
9000 16.3 61.3 175 10 5 3.8 2.1 25.1 77.3 -9.0 224 1.1
8750 16.4 61.5 170 10 5 3.2 1.7 24.7 76.4 -9.5 212 1.1
8500 16.5 61.7 165 10 5 1.4 0.7 24.1 75.4 -10.2 202 1.0
8250 16.5 61.7 155 9 5 1.7 0.9 23.4 74.2 -11.0 195 1.0
8000 16.7 62.1 150 9 4 4.2 2.3 22.9 73.3 -11.6 182 0.9
7750 17.0 62.6 145 8 4 5.4 3.0 22.6 72.6 -12.0 164 0.8
7500 17.5 63.5 140 6 3 5.9 3.2 22.3 72.1 -12.3 143 0.7
7250 17.9 64.2 130 5 3 6.1 3.4 22.0 71.6 -12.6 122 0.6
7000 18.4 65.1 115 4 2 4.6 2.5 21.7 71.0 -12.9 101 0.5
6750 18.5 65.3 110 4 2 -2.6 -1.4 21.1 69.9 -13.5 91 0.5
6500 17.8 64.0 090 2 1 -19.9 -10.9 19.6 67.2 -15.0 105 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/06/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/06/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +712.9 LI... -4.7 | CAPE... +524.4 LI... -3.5
CINH... -84.1 K Index... +17.1 | CINH... -11.5 K Index... +22.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.6 -87.9 255 20 10 2.4 1.3 | -66.3 -87.3 245 20 10 1.1 0.6
45000 -59.9 -75.8 260 31 16 7.3 4.0 | -61.1 -78.0 260 35 18 7.7 4.2
40000 -48.9 -56.0 265 39 20 7.3 4.0 | -49.6 -57.3 255 41 21 7.4 4.1
38000 -44.5 -48.1 265 44 22 7.3 4.0 | -45.2 -49.4 260 43 22 7.4 4.1
36000 -40.1 -40.2 270 48 25 7.2 3.9 | -40.2 -40.4 265 45 23 6.8 3.8
34000 -35.9 -32.6 275 42 22 6.9 3.8 | -36.2 -33.2 270 38 20 6.7 3.7
32000 -31.8 -25.2 280 37 19 7.1 3.9 | -32.2 -26.0 275 32 16 6.6 3.6
30000 -27.7 -17.9 275 30 15 5.9 3.2 | -28.4 -19.1 270 27 14 6.4 3.5
29000 -26.0 -14.8 270 26 14 5.9 3.2 | -26.5 -15.7 265 25 13 6.4 3.5
28000 -24.2 -11.6 265 24 12 5.5 3.0 | -24.6 -12.3 260 23 12 5.4 2.9
27000 -22.6 -8.7 260 23 12 5.6 3.1 | -23.0 -9.4 255 22 11 5.4 3.0
26000 -20.9 -5.6 250 22 12 5.6 3.1 | -21.4 -6.5 245 20 10 5.5 3.0
25000 -19.3 -2.7 245 22 11 6.3 3.4 | -19.8 -3.6 240 19 10 5.9 3.3
24000 -17.3 0.9 250 19 10 6.6 3.6 | -17.4 0.7 245 15 8 6.8 3.8
23000 -15.4 4.3 260 16 8 6.7 3.7 | -15.4 4.3 260 12 6 6.9 3.8
22000 -13.5 7.7 270 14 7 6.8 3.7 | -13.4 7.9 270 10 5 7.3 4.0
21000 -11.5 11.3 270 12 6 6.8 3.7 | -11.3 11.7 275 9 5 7.3 4.0
20000 -9.5 14.9 270 9 5 6.8 3.8 | -9.1 15.6 275 8 4 7.4 4.1
19500 -8.5 16.7 270 8 4 7.0 3.9 | -8.0 17.6 280 8 4 7.8 4.3
19000 -7.4 18.7 270 7 3 7.5 4.1 | -6.8 19.8 270 8 4 8.1 4.5
18500 -6.2 20.8 265 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -5.6 21.9 265 7 4 8.1 4.5
18000 -5.0 23.0 265 4 2 9.1 5.0 | -4.3 24.3 260 7 4 8.7 4.7
17500 -3.6 25.5 260 4 2 9.2 5.1 | -3.0 26.6 250 6 3 8.6 4.7
17000 -2.2 28.0 255 3 2 9.2 5.1 | -1.7 28.9 245 6 3 8.9 4.9
16500 -0.8 30.6 255 3 1 9.2 5.1 | -0.4 31.3 240 6 3 9.2 5.0
16000 0.5 32.9 260 2 1 9.2 5.1 | 1.0 33.8 235 5 3 9.2 5.0
15500 1.9 35.4 260 2 1 9.2 5.1 | 2.4 36.3 235 5 2 9.2 5.0
15000 3.3 37.9 270 2 1 9.2 5.1 | 3.8 38.8 235 4 2 9.2 5.0
14500 4.7 40.5 280 2 1 9.2 5.1 | 5.1 41.2 235 4 2 9.0 4.9
14000 6.0 42.8 285 2 1 9.2 5.1 | 6.4 43.5 235 3 1 9.0 4.9
13500 7.4 45.3 295 2 1 8.9 4.9 | 7.8 46.0 235 2 1 8.7 4.8
13000 8.6 47.5 295 2 1 8.6 4.7 | 9.0 48.2 240 1 1 8.5 4.6
12500 9.9 49.8 290 2 1 8.3 4.6 | 10.2 50.4 255 1 0 7.8 4.3
12000 11.6 52.9 275 3 1 7.8 4.3 | 11.0 51.8 215 1 0 7.0 3.8
11500 12.7 54.9 260 3 1 7.5 4.1 | 11.9 53.4 195 1 1 8.5 4.6
11000 13.7 56.7 250 3 2 7.0 3.9 | 13.2 55.8 195 2 1 8.8 4.8
10500 14.8 58.6 250 4 2 7.4 4.1 | 14.5 58.1 200 2 1 9.1 5.0
10250 15.2 59.4 245 4 2 5.5 3.0 | 15.8 60.4 200 3 1 9.5 5.2
10000 15.5 59.9 240 3 2 5.7 3.1 | 16.5 61.7 200 3 1 9.4 5.2
9750 15.9 60.6 230 3 2 5.2 2.9 | 17.2 63.0 200 3 2 9.6 5.2
9500 16.1 61.0 215 3 2 3.3 1.8 | 17.9 64.2 200 3 2 9.8 5.4
9250 16.2 61.2 185 3 1 3.9 2.1 | 18.6 65.5 200 3 2 9.8 5.4
9000 16.5 61.7 170 3 1 5.2 2.9 | 19.4 66.9 200 4 2 9.7 5.3
8750 16.7 62.1 160 3 2 4.9 2.7 | 20.1 68.2 205 4 2 9.9 5.4
8500 17.0 62.6 150 3 2 4.5 2.5 | 20.8 69.4 205 4 2 10.1 5.5
8250 17.3 63.1 140 4 2 5.9 3.2 | 21.6 70.9 205 4 2 10.2 5.6
8000 17.8 64.0 140 4 2 9.1 5.0 | 22.3 72.1 205 4 2 10.3 5.7
7750 18.5 65.3 140 4 2 9.8 5.4 | 23.1 73.6 205 5 2 10.3 5.6
7500 19.2 66.6 140 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 23.8 74.8 205 5 2 10.2 5.6
7250 19.9 67.8 140 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 24.6 76.3 205 5 2 10.1 5.5
7000 20.6 69.1 145 4 2 10.0 5.5 | 25.4 77.7 205 5 2 11.0 6.0
6750 21.5 70.7 145 4 2 14.8 8.1 | 26.4 79.5 205 5 2 18.2 10.0
6500 23.0 73.4 150 4 2 25.6 14.0 | 28.4 83.1 210 5 2 41.8 22.9
07/06/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/06/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +192.9 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +78.7 LI... -0.3
CINH... -5.7 K Index... +29.1 | CINH... -118.6 K Index... +26.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.9 -88.4 240 22 11 2.3 1.2 | -67.6 -89.7 245 27 14 2.5 1.4
45000 -60.7 -77.3 260 35 18 7.3 4.0 | -60.9 -77.6 255 37 19 7.2 3.9
40000 -49.8 -57.6 260 47 24 7.4 4.1 | -50.0 -58.0 260 43 22 8.0 4.4
38000 -44.8 -48.6 260 45 23 7.4 4.1 | -45.2 -49.4 260 44 23 8.0 4.4
36000 -40.4 -40.7 265 44 23 6.7 3.7 | -40.4 -40.7 265 45 23 7.2 4.0
34000 -36.5 -33.7 265 37 19 6.5 3.6 | -36.6 -33.9 260 38 19 6.3 3.4
32000 -32.6 -26.7 270 30 16 6.5 3.6 | -32.8 -27.0 255 30 16 6.2 3.4
30000 -28.6 -19.5 270 27 14 6.7 3.7 | -28.0 -18.4 250 26 13 7.4 4.0
29000 -26.6 -15.9 265 25 13 6.7 3.7 | -25.8 -14.4 245 24 12 7.4 4.0
28000 -24.6 -12.3 265 23 12 7.4 4.0 | -23.6 -10.5 245 22 11 6.8 3.7
27000 -22.4 -8.3 265 22 11 7.3 4.0 | -21.6 -6.9 245 20 10 6.9 3.8
26000 -20.2 -4.4 265 21 11 7.4 4.0 | -19.5 -3.1 250 17 9 6.9 3.8
25000 -18.0 -0.4 265 19 10 6.9 3.8 | -17.5 0.5 255 15 8 6.5 3.6
24000 -15.9 3.4 260 17 9 5.8 3.2 | -15.6 3.9 255 16 8 6.4 3.5
23000 -14.2 6.4 260 16 8 6.0 3.3 | -13.7 7.3 260 17 9 6.4 3.5
22000 -12.5 9.5 255 14 7 6.9 3.8 | -11.8 10.8 260 17 9 7.1 3.9
21000 -10.5 13.1 250 12 6 7.0 3.8 | -9.7 14.5 265 16 8 7.4 4.0
20000 -8.5 16.7 250 10 5 7.1 3.9 | -7.5 18.5 265 15 8 7.4 4.1
19500 -7.5 18.5 245 9 4 7.7 4.2 | -6.5 20.3 265 14 7 7.4 4.1
19000 -6.3 20.7 245 8 4 8.5 4.6 | -5.4 22.3 270 14 7 7.4 4.1
18500 -5.1 22.8 240 8 4 8.6 4.7 | -4.4 24.1 270 13 7 7.4 4.1
18000 -3.9 25.0 235 8 4 8.2 4.5 | -3.3 26.1 270 12 6 7.8 4.3
17500 -2.7 27.1 230 8 4 8.2 4.5 | -2.2 28.0 270 12 6 7.9 4.3
17000 -1.5 29.3 230 8 4 8.5 4.7 | -1.0 30.2 265 13 7 8.0 4.4
16500 -0.2 31.6 230 8 4 8.9 4.9 | 0.2 32.4 265 13 7 8.7 4.8
16000 1.1 34.0 230 8 4 8.9 4.9 | 1.5 34.7 260 13 7 8.6 4.7
15500 2.4 36.3 230 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 2.8 37.0 260 13 7 8.9 4.9
15000 3.8 38.8 230 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 4.1 39.4 260 13 7 8.9 4.9
14500 5.2 41.4 230 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 5.4 41.7 260 12 6 9.1 5.0
14000 6.6 43.9 230 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 6.8 44.2 260 11 6 9.2 5.1
13500 8.0 46.4 230 8 4 9.6 5.2 | 8.2 46.8 265 10 5 9.2 5.0
13000 9.5 49.1 235 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 9.5 49.1 270 8 4 9.0 4.9
12500 10.9 51.6 235 7 4 9.6 5.2 | 11.5 52.7 290 6 3 9.0 4.9
12000 12.3 54.1 235 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 12.8 55.0 315 4 2 8.9 4.9
11500 13.7 56.7 240 6 3 8.7 4.8 | 14.2 57.6 330 4 2 9.2 5.0
11000 15.7 60.3 255 5 3 9.2 5.1 | 15.5 59.9 360 3 2 8.8 4.9
10500 17.1 62.8 260 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 16.9 62.4 030 5 3 8.9 4.9
10250 17.8 64.0 270 5 2 8.7 4.8 | 17.5 63.5 040 5 3 8.4 4.6
10000 18.5 65.3 280 5 2 8.8 4.9 | 18.1 64.6 050 5 3 8.6 4.7
9750 19.1 66.4 290 5 2 9.1 5.0 | 18.8 65.8 060 6 3 8.4 4.6
9500 19.8 67.6 295 5 2 10.1 5.6 | 19.4 66.9 065 6 3 9.4 5.2
9250 20.6 69.1 300 5 2 9.4 5.2 | 20.1 68.2 065 7 4 7.9 4.3
9000 21.2 70.2 310 5 3 8.4 4.6 | 20.6 69.1 075 8 4 5.9 3.2
8750 21.9 71.4 315 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 21.0 69.8 085 9 5 6.3 3.5
8500 22.5 72.5 320 6 3 9.8 5.3 | 21.5 70.7 090 10 5 7.2 3.9
8250 23.3 73.9 325 6 3 9.9 5.4 | 22.0 71.6 095 11 6 6.1 3.3
8000 24.0 75.2 325 7 4 9.2 5.0 | 22.3 72.1 100 12 6 3.3 1.8
7750 24.7 76.5 330 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 22.5 72.5 105 14 7 2.8 1.6
7500 25.4 77.7 335 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 22.7 72.9 105 15 8 2.7 1.5
7250 26.2 79.2 335 8 4 10.8 5.9 | 22.8 73.0 105 16 8 2.8 1.5
7000 27.0 80.6 335 8 4 9.0 4.9 | 23.0 73.4 105 16 8 2.9 1.6
6750 27.7 81.9 335 8 4 13.6 7.5 | 23.2 73.8 105 16 8 6.3 3.5
6500 30.0 86.0 335 7 4 61.8 33.9 | 24.2 75.6 105 13 7 25.6 14.0
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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