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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0727 MDT Monday June 16 2025
This forecast is for Monday, June 16, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 83.4 F/28.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1665 ft/min (8.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 23064 ft MSL (16718 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 94.0 F/34.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15748 ft MSL (9402 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 06/17...... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:49:47 / 20:19:55 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 30 min 8 sec (870 min 8 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:51 MDT... 78.35 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/16/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16771 ft MSL (10425 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18571 ft MSL (12225 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 19898 ft MSL (13552 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.9
K index......................... +6.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.8 -86.4 280 35 18 2.8 1.5 76.9 170.5 25.2 M M
45000 -60.2 -76.4 290 48 25 5.5 3.0 62.9 145.2 18.0 M M
40000 -51.1 -60.0 305 49 25 7.1 3.9 53.7 128.6 13.1 M M
38000 -46.8 -52.2 305 50 26 7.1 3.9 51.2 124.1 11.7 M M
36000 -42.6 -44.7 305 51 26 7.6 4.1 49.3 120.7 10.6 M M
34000 -37.8 -36.0 305 43 22 8.1 4.4 47.6 117.7 9.7 M M
32000 -32.9 -27.2 300 35 18 8.0 4.4 46.5 115.7 9.1 M M
30000 -29.3 -20.7 300 34 17 5.8 3.2 43.4 110.2 6.9 M M
29000 -27.5 -17.5 300 34 17 5.8 3.2 42.0 107.6 5.9 M M
28000 -25.7 -14.3 295 33 17 6.1 3.4 40.6 105.1 4.9 M M
27000 -23.9 -11.0 300 30 16 6.2 3.4 39.1 102.4 3.7 M M
26000 -22.0 -7.6 300 28 14 6.2 3.4 37.8 100.0 2.7 M M
25000 -20.2 -4.4 300 26 13 6.4 3.5 36.6 97.9 1.7 M M
24000 -18.1 -0.6 300 24 12 7.1 3.9 35.5 95.9 0.8 M M
23000 -16.0 3.2 300 22 12 7.2 3.9 34.6 94.2 0.0 M M
22000 -13.3 8.1 295 20 10 7.6 4.1 33.5 92.4 -0.9 1553 7.9
21000 -11.1 12.0 290 17 9 7.6 4.2 32.7 90.9 -1.7 1457 7.4
20000 -8.9 16.0 285 14 7 7.8 4.3 32.0 89.6 -2.4 1361 6.9
19500 -7.8 18.0 280 13 7 8.8 4.8 31.7 89.1 -2.7 1312 6.7
19000 -6.3 20.7 280 12 6 9.6 5.3 31.7 89.0 -2.7 1254 6.4
18500 -4.8 23.4 285 12 6 9.7 5.3 31.7 89.0 -2.8 1195 6.1
18000 -3.4 25.9 285 11 6 9.4 5.2 31.6 89.0 -2.8 1137 5.8
17500 -2.0 28.4 285 11 6 9.4 5.2 31.6 88.8 -2.8 1079 5.5
17000 -0.5 31.1 285 10 5 9.5 5.2 31.5 88.8 -2.9 1021 5.2
16500 0.9 33.6 280 10 5 9.5 5.2 31.5 88.7 -2.9 964 4.9
16000 2.3 36.1 280 9 5 9.5 5.2 31.5 88.6 -3.0 906 4.6
15500 3.7 38.7 275 9 5 9.2 5.1 31.4 88.5 -3.1 849 4.3
15000 5.1 41.2 275 9 5 9.3 5.1 31.3 88.3 -3.2 793 4.0
14500 6.5 43.7 270 9 4 8.8 4.8 31.2 88.1 -3.3 737 3.7
14000 7.8 46.0 265 8 4 8.8 4.8 31.0 87.9 -3.5 683 3.5
13500 9.1 48.4 265 8 4 8.5 4.7 30.9 87.6 -3.6 630 3.2
13000 10.3 50.5 260 8 4 8.4 4.6 30.7 87.2 -3.9 578 2.9
12500 11.5 52.7 260 8 4 8.4 4.6 30.5 86.8 -4.1 526 2.7
12000 12.8 55.0 255 9 5 8.4 4.6 30.2 86.4 -4.4 474 2.4
11500 14.0 57.2 255 9 5 8.6 4.7 30.0 86.1 -4.6 422 2.1
11000 15.1 59.2 255 10 5 7.1 3.9 29.7 85.5 -5.0 374 1.9
10500 16.2 61.2 255 12 6 7.2 3.9 29.3 84.8 -5.5 328 1.7
10250 16.7 62.1 255 12 6 6.9 3.8 29.1 84.4 -5.7 306 1.6
10000 17.2 63.0 250 13 7 6.9 3.8 28.9 84.0 -6.0 284 1.4
9750 17.6 63.7 250 14 7 7.0 3.9 28.7 83.6 -6.2 262 1.3
9500 18.1 64.6 250 15 8 6.8 3.7 28.5 83.2 -6.5 240 1.2
9250 18.6 65.5 250 16 8 6.6 3.6 28.2 82.8 -6.8 219 1.1
9000 19.0 66.2 245 16 8 5.1 2.8 27.9 82.3 -7.2 200 1.0
8750 19.2 66.6 245 16 8 4.3 2.4 27.5 81.5 -7.7 185 0.9
8500 19.5 67.1 245 16 8 3.3 1.8 27.1 80.8 -8.1 170 0.9
8250 19.6 67.3 245 15 8 1.3 0.7 26.5 79.7 -8.8 159 0.8
8000 19.6 67.3 245 14 7 1.2 0.7 25.9 78.5 -9.5 151 0.8
7750 19.7 67.5 240 12 6 1.2 0.7 25.2 77.4 -10.2 142 0.7
7500 19.7 67.5 240 10 5 0.5 0.3 24.5 76.2 -10.9 133 0.7
7250 19.7 67.5 235 7 3 -0.5 -0.3 23.8 74.8 -11.7 127 0.6
7000 19.7 67.5 215 4 2 0.7 0.4 23.0 73.5 -12.5 120 0.6
6750 19.7 67.5 150 3 1 -2.5 -1.4 22.3 72.2 -13.3 113 0.6
6500 19.0 66.2 115 4 2 -16.4 -9.0 20.9 69.7 -14.7 125 0.6
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/16/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/16/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +63.9 LI... +0.1 | CAPE... +0.1 LI... -0.4
CINH... -187.7 K Index... -1.6 | CINH... -1.1 K Index... +9.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.9 -86.6 280 35 18 2.9 1.6 | -66.4 -87.5 275 32 16 2.7 1.5
45000 -60.1 -76.2 285 49 25 5.2 2.8 | -60.6 -77.1 285 48 25 5.5 3.0
40000 -52.0 -61.6 310 48 25 6.9 3.8 | -52.1 -61.8 305 49 25 6.5 3.6
38000 -47.9 -54.2 305 48 25 6.9 3.8 | -48.2 -54.8 300 50 26 6.5 3.6
36000 -43.8 -46.8 305 48 25 7.3 4.0 | -44.3 -47.7 300 52 27 7.1 3.9
34000 -38.8 -37.8 310 49 25 8.4 4.6 | -39.2 -38.6 305 49 25 8.5 4.7
32000 -33.7 -28.7 310 50 26 8.5 4.6 | -34.1 -29.4 310 47 24 8.5 4.7
30000 -28.3 -18.9 305 44 23 8.0 4.4 | -28.6 -19.5 305 41 21 8.2 4.5
29000 -25.9 -14.6 300 42 22 8.1 4.4 | -26.2 -15.2 300 39 20 8.2 4.5
28000 -23.8 -10.8 295 38 20 3.6 2.0 | -24.1 -11.4 300 36 18 4.3 2.4
27000 -22.6 -8.7 295 33 17 4.0 2.2 | -22.7 -8.9 295 31 16 4.6 2.5
26000 -21.4 -6.5 295 27 14 4.0 2.2 | -21.3 -6.3 290 26 13 4.6 2.5
25000 -20.2 -4.4 295 21 11 5.6 3.1 | -19.9 -3.8 285 21 11 5.8 3.2
24000 -18.1 -0.6 295 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -17.9 -0.2 280 19 10 6.7 3.7
23000 -16.0 3.2 295 19 10 7.1 3.9 | -15.9 3.4 275 16 8 6.7 3.7
22000 -13.9 7.0 295 17 9 7.7 4.2 | -13.9 7.0 270 14 7 7.3 4.0
21000 -11.6 11.1 285 16 8 8.1 4.4 | -11.8 10.8 265 14 7 7.6 4.1
20000 -9.3 15.3 270 14 7 8.2 4.5 | -9.6 14.7 260 14 7 7.7 4.2
19500 -8.1 17.4 265 14 7 8.5 4.6 | -8.5 16.7 260 14 7 8.1 4.5
19000 -6.7 19.9 260 13 7 9.4 5.2 | -7.1 19.2 260 14 7 9.7 5.3
18500 -5.3 22.5 260 13 7 9.4 5.2 | -5.7 21.7 260 14 7 9.6 5.3
18000 -3.9 25.0 265 12 6 9.2 5.1 | -4.3 24.3 260 14 7 9.6 5.3
17500 -1.8 28.8 270 11 5 9.2 5.0 | -2.8 27.0 265 13 7 9.6 5.3
17000 -0.4 31.3 280 10 5 9.2 5.0 | -0.7 30.7 265 13 7 9.4 5.2
16500 1.0 33.8 285 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 0.8 33.4 270 13 7 9.4 5.2
16000 2.3 36.1 290 9 5 9.2 5.1 | 2.2 36.0 270 12 6 9.4 5.2
15500 3.7 38.7 300 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 3.6 38.5 270 12 6 9.5 5.2
15000 5.1 41.2 305 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 5.0 41.0 275 12 6 9.5 5.2
14500 6.5 43.7 310 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 6.4 43.5 275 12 6 9.6 5.3
14000 7.9 46.2 310 10 5 9.3 5.1 | 7.9 46.2 280 11 6 9.6 5.3
13500 9.3 48.7 315 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 9.3 48.7 280 11 6 9.6 5.3
13000 10.8 51.4 315 11 5 9.4 5.2 | 10.8 51.4 280 11 6 9.6 5.3
12500 12.2 54.0 315 11 5 9.2 5.0 | 12.2 54.0 285 11 6 9.5 5.2
12000 13.5 56.3 320 11 5 9.0 4.9 | 13.6 56.5 285 11 5 9.3 5.1
11500 14.8 58.6 320 10 5 8.7 4.8 | 15.1 59.2 285 10 5 9.9 5.4
11000 16.1 61.0 315 10 5 8.3 4.5 | 16.5 61.7 290 10 5 9.5 5.2
10500 17.3 63.1 315 10 5 7.1 3.9 | 17.9 64.2 290 10 5 9.2 5.0
10250 17.7 63.9 310 10 5 6.4 3.5 | 18.6 65.5 290 9 5 9.5 5.2
10000 18.2 64.8 310 10 5 7.5 4.1 | 19.3 66.7 290 9 5 10.2 5.6
9750 18.8 65.8 305 10 5 7.5 4.1 | 20.0 68.0 290 9 5 9.9 5.4
9500 19.3 66.7 300 10 5 6.6 3.6 | 20.8 69.4 295 9 5 10.4 5.7
9250 19.7 67.5 295 10 5 5.6 3.1 | 21.6 70.9 295 9 4 10.6 5.8
9000 20.1 68.2 295 10 5 4.5 2.5 | 22.3 72.1 295 8 4 9.6 5.3
8750 20.3 68.5 290 10 5 4.4 2.4 | 23.0 73.4 295 8 4 9.1 5.0
8500 20.6 69.1 285 10 5 2.3 1.2 | 23.7 74.7 295 8 4 9.7 5.3
8250 20.5 68.9 285 9 5 -0.1 -0.0 | 24.5 76.1 295 8 4 10.2 5.6
8000 20.4 68.7 285 8 4 0.7 0.4 | 25.2 77.4 295 7 4 10.1 5.6
7750 20.3 68.5 285 7 3 0.4 0.2 | 26.0 78.8 295 7 4 10.2 5.6
7500 20.3 68.5 285 5 3 5.4 2.9 | 26.8 80.2 300 7 4 10.4 5.7
7250 20.9 69.6 285 5 2 9.1 5.0 | 27.5 81.5 300 7 3 10.8 5.9
7000 21.5 70.7 285 4 2 7.8 4.3 | 28.3 82.9 300 6 3 10.0 5.5
6750 22.1 71.8 285 3 2 10.3 5.6 | 29.1 84.4 300 6 3 11.8 6.5
6500 23.1 73.6 285 3 1 15.4 8.5 | 30.2 86.4 300 6 3 19.8 10.9
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/16/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/16/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.6 | CAPE... +1.0 LI... -0.8
CINH... -0.3 K Index... +10.3 | CINH... -0.8 K Index... +9.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.7 -88.1 270 29 15 2.6 1.5 | -67.1 -88.8 270 32 16 3.1 1.7
45000 -61.4 -78.5 285 48 25 5.5 3.0 | -61.3 -78.3 285 49 25 5.5 3.0
40000 -52.5 -62.5 305 50 26 6.4 3.5 | -52.8 -63.0 305 53 27 6.2 3.4
38000 -48.7 -55.7 300 51 26 6.4 3.5 | -48.6 -55.5 305 53 27 6.2 3.4
36000 -44.9 -48.8 295 51 26 7.1 3.9 | -44.8 -48.6 300 53 27 7.7 4.2
34000 -39.7 -39.5 300 48 25 8.7 4.7 | -39.6 -39.3 305 49 25 8.7 4.8
32000 -34.6 -30.3 305 44 23 8.7 4.8 | -34.3 -29.7 305 45 23 8.7 4.8
30000 -28.8 -19.8 305 40 21 8.5 4.7 | -29.1 -20.4 305 41 21 8.6 4.7
29000 -26.3 -15.3 305 38 20 8.5 4.7 | -26.5 -15.7 305 39 20 8.6 4.7
28000 -24.0 -11.2 305 35 18 5.8 3.2 | -24.1 -11.4 305 36 19 6.3 3.4
27000 -22.2 -8.0 300 32 16 6.0 3.3 | -22.2 -8.0 300 34 18 6.4 3.5
26000 -20.4 -4.7 290 29 15 6.0 3.3 | -20.3 -4.5 290 32 16 6.4 3.5
25000 -18.6 -1.5 285 26 13 6.2 3.4 | -18.3 -0.9 285 30 16 5.8 3.2
24000 -16.7 1.9 280 22 12 6.3 3.5 | -16.9 1.6 280 27 14 4.9 2.7
23000 -14.8 5.4 275 19 10 6.3 3.5 | -15.5 4.1 275 25 13 5.1 2.8
22000 -12.9 8.8 265 17 9 6.9 3.8 | -14.1 6.6 275 22 11 7.5 4.1
21000 -10.9 12.4 265 15 8 7.2 3.9 | -11.3 11.7 275 21 11 9.5 5.2
20000 -8.8 16.2 265 14 7 7.5 4.1 | -7.7 18.1 275 20 10 9.5 5.2
19500 -7.8 18.0 265 13 7 8.0 4.4 | -6.3 20.7 275 20 10 9.7 5.3
19000 -6.5 20.3 265 13 7 9.5 5.2 | -4.8 23.4 275 20 10 9.8 5.4
18500 -5.1 22.8 265 13 7 9.5 5.2 | -3.3 26.1 275 19 10 9.8 5.4
18000 -3.7 25.3 270 13 7 9.6 5.3 | -1.9 28.6 275 19 10 9.7 5.3
17500 -2.2 28.0 270 13 7 9.7 5.3 | -0.4 31.3 275 19 10 9.7 5.3
17000 -0.0 32.0 270 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 1.1 34.0 275 19 10 9.6 5.3
16500 1.4 34.5 270 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 2.5 36.5 275 19 10 9.5 5.2
16000 2.8 37.0 270 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 3.9 39.0 275 18 9 9.6 5.3
15500 4.3 39.7 270 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 5.4 41.7 275 18 9 9.9 5.4
15000 5.8 42.4 270 13 7 9.9 5.4 | 6.9 44.4 270 18 9 9.9 5.4
14500 7.2 45.0 270 13 7 9.6 5.2 | 8.3 46.9 270 18 9 9.7 5.3
14000 8.7 47.7 270 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 9.8 49.6 270 18 9 9.7 5.3
13500 10.1 50.2 270 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 11.2 52.2 270 17 9 9.7 5.3
13000 11.5 52.7 270 13 7 9.6 5.3 | 12.7 54.9 270 17 9 9.7 5.3
12500 13.0 55.4 270 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 14.2 57.6 270 17 9 9.8 5.4
12000 14.4 57.9 270 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 15.6 60.1 270 17 9 9.9 5.4
11500 15.8 60.4 275 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 17.1 62.8 270 17 9 9.5 5.2
11000 17.3 63.1 275 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 18.5 65.3 270 16 8 9.8 5.4
10500 18.8 65.8 275 15 8 9.2 5.1 | 20.0 68.0 270 16 8 9.5 5.2
10250 19.4 66.9 275 15 8 9.3 5.1 | 20.7 69.3 270 16 8 9.4 5.2
10000 20.2 68.4 275 15 8 10.1 5.5 | 21.4 70.5 270 16 8 9.8 5.4
9750 20.9 69.6 275 15 8 9.7 5.3 | 22.2 72.0 270 16 8 9.7 5.3
9500 21.6 70.9 275 16 8 10.5 5.7 | 22.9 73.2 270 16 8 10.0 5.5
9250 22.4 72.3 275 16 8 10.9 6.0 | 23.7 74.7 270 15 8 10.4 5.7
9000 23.2 73.8 275 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 24.4 75.9 270 15 8 9.9 5.4
8750 23.9 75.0 280 16 8 9.1 5.0 | 25.2 77.4 270 15 8 9.4 5.2
8500 24.6 76.3 280 16 8 9.8 5.4 | 25.9 78.6 265 15 8 9.6 5.3
8250 25.4 77.7 280 17 9 10.6 5.8 | 26.6 79.9 265 15 8 10.0 5.5
8000 26.2 79.2 280 17 9 10.2 5.6 | 27.4 81.3 265 15 8 9.8 5.4
7750 26.9 80.4 280 17 9 9.4 5.1 | 28.1 82.6 265 15 7 9.3 5.1
7500 27.6 81.7 280 17 9 10.1 5.6 | 28.8 83.8 265 14 7 9.6 5.3
7250 28.4 83.1 280 17 9 11.1 6.1 | 29.5 85.1 265 14 7 10.0 5.5
7000 29.2 84.6 280 17 9 10.5 5.7 | 30.3 86.5 265 14 7 10.3 5.6
6750 30.0 86.0 280 17 9 11.6 6.3 | 31.0 87.8 265 13 7 10.1 5.5
6500 31.1 88.0 280 16 8 20.4 11.2 | 31.8 89.2 265 13 6 12.3 6.7
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0727 MDT Monday June 16 2025
This forecast is for Monday, June 16, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 86.2 F/30.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1642 ft/min (8.3 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 22366 ft MSL (17067 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 99.0 F/37.7 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1115 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11505 ft MSL (6207 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 06/17...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:52:06 / 20:22:34 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 30 min 28 sec (870 min 28 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:20 MDT... 78.23 degrees
Upper air data from rawinsonde observation taken on 06/16/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16797 ft MSL (11498 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18077 ft MSL (12778 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 19274 ft MSL (13975 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.2
K index......................... +3.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -69.0 -92.2 295 47 24 5.1 2.8 77.0 170.6 23.2 M M
45000 -59.2 -74.6 285 45 23 6.1 3.3 67.6 153.7 19.1 M M
40000 -51.5 -60.7 305 54 28 7.1 3.9 57.1 134.7 13.3 M M
38000 -47.4 -53.3 305 51 26 6.5 3.6 54.5 130.1 11.9 M M
36000 -42.9 -45.2 305 49 25 8.6 4.7 52.6 126.6 10.9 M M
34000 -37.5 -35.5 305 44 23 9.0 4.9 52.0 125.6 10.7 M M
32000 -33.2 -27.8 290 33 17 6.2 3.4 49.8 121.7 9.4 M M
30000 -28.6 -19.5 285 39 20 6.1 3.4 47.2 117.0 7.6 M M
29000 -26.8 -16.2 295 43 22 5.2 2.8 45.8 114.5 6.6 M M
28000 -26.6 -15.9 300 27 14 2.0 1.1 42.2 108.0 3.9 M M
27000 -25.2 -13.4 300 27 14 10.0 5.5 40.3 104.5 2.4 M M
26000 -22.4 -8.3 290 30 15 9.5 5.2 40.2 104.4 2.4 M M
25000 -19.6 -3.3 290 30 15 7.6 4.1 40.0 104.1 2.3 M M
24000 -17.8 -0.0 290 27 14 7.5 4.1 38.6 101.5 1.1 M M
23000 -15.6 3.9 305 22 11 9.3 5.1 37.8 100.0 0.5 M M
22000 -13.6 7.5 295 20 10 5.8 3.2 36.7 98.1 -0.4 1614 8.2
21000 -11.9 10.6 260 13 7 6.3 3.4 35.4 95.8 -1.7 1534 7.8
20000 -9.7 14.5 270 16 8 10.1 5.5 34.7 94.5 -2.5 1439 7.3
19500 -8.2 17.2 270 16 8 9.9 5.4 34.8 94.6 -2.4 1379 7.0
19000 -6.8 19.8 280 12 6 9.6 5.3 34.8 94.7 -2.4 1321 6.7
18500 -5.3 22.5 290 12 6 9.6 5.3 34.8 94.7 -2.4 1262 6.4
18000 -3.8 25.2 290 11 6 9.6 5.3 34.9 94.8 -2.3 1203 6.1
17500 -2.4 27.7 280 12 6 9.6 5.3 34.9 94.8 -2.3 1145 5.8
17000 -0.9 30.4 295 10 5 9.7 5.3 34.9 94.8 -2.3 1086 5.5
16500 0.6 33.1 300 10 5 9.7 5.3 34.9 94.8 -2.3 1028 5.2
16000 2.0 35.6 300 11 5 9.7 5.3 34.9 94.8 -2.3 969 4.9
15500 4.2 39.6 290 11 6 9.7 5.3 34.8 94.7 -2.3 881 4.5
15000 5.7 42.3 290 12 6 9.7 5.3 34.8 94.7 -2.3 822 4.2
14500 7.1 44.8 290 11 6 9.7 5.3 34.8 94.6 -2.4 764 3.9
14000 8.6 47.5 295 11 6 9.7 5.3 34.7 94.5 -2.4 705 3.6
13500 10.1 50.2 295 10 5 9.7 5.3 34.7 94.4 -2.5 647 3.3
13000 11.5 52.7 310 10 5 9.7 5.3 34.6 94.3 -2.5 588 3.0
12500 12.9 55.2 300 9 4 9.2 5.1 34.6 94.2 -2.6 530 2.7
12000 14.3 57.7 285 10 5 9.4 5.2 34.5 94.0 -2.7 475 2.4
11500 15.5 59.9 280 8 4 8.0 4.4 34.2 93.6 -3.1 426 2.2
11000 16.1 61.0 260 7 4 2.0 1.1 33.6 92.5 -3.9 391 2.0
10500 16.6 61.9 215 10 5 6.4 3.5 32.7 90.9 -4.9 362 1.8
10250 17.0 62.6 215 10 5 5.7 3.1 32.4 90.4 -5.2 342 1.7
10000 17.4 63.3 240 8 4 5.4 3.0 32.1 89.8 -5.5 322 1.6
9750 17.8 64.0 245 10 5 4.3 2.4 31.7 89.1 -6.0 305 1.5
9500 18.0 64.4 230 12 6 4.1 2.2 31.3 88.3 -6.5 290 1.5
9250 18.3 64.9 215 15 8 4.2 2.3 30.8 87.5 -6.9 275 1.4
9000 18.5 65.3 205 19 10 4.2 2.3 30.4 86.8 -7.4 260 1.3
8750 18.8 65.8 200 20 11 4.4 2.4 30.0 86.0 -7.9 245 1.2
8500 19.0 66.2 200 22 11 4.1 2.2 29.6 85.2 -8.4 230 1.2
8250 19.2 66.6 195 23 12 0.5 0.3 29.0 84.3 -9.0 217 1.1
8000 19.3 66.7 195 25 13 4.1 2.2 28.3 83.0 -9.7 208 1.1
7750 19.9 67.8 195 24 12 9.0 4.9 28.2 82.8 -9.8 183 0.9
7500 20.4 68.7 200 21 11 7.6 4.2 28.1 82.5 -10.0 158 0.8
7250 21.0 69.8 195 19 10 8.0 4.4 27.9 82.3 -10.2 133 0.7
7000 21.6 70.9 195 16 8 7.9 4.3 27.8 82.0 -10.3 108 0.5
6750 22.2 72.0 200 14 7 7.9 4.3 27.7 81.8 -10.5 83 0.4
6500 22.8 73.0 210 11 6 8.0 4.4 27.5 81.5 -10.7 58 0.3
6250 23.4 74.1 205 8 4 7.7 4.2 27.4 81.3 -10.8 33 0.2
6000 23.9 75.0 200 5 3 10.4 5.7 27.3 81.1 -11.0 9 0.0
5750 24.5 76.1 190 1 0 1.6 0.9 27.2 81.0 -11.2 M M
5500 23.8 74.8 020 3 1 -20.9 -11.4 25.7 78.3 -12.7 M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/16/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/16/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +40.9 LI... -0.2 | CAPE... +7.2 LI... +0.1
CINH... -155.1 K Index... -2.6 | CINH... -18.9 K Index... +5.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.0 -86.8 280 38 20 2.9 1.6 | -66.2 -87.2 275 33 17 2.4 1.3
45000 -60.4 -76.7 285 46 23 5.5 3.0 | -60.9 -77.6 285 46 23 5.8 3.2
40000 -51.5 -60.7 305 48 24 6.5 3.6 | -51.7 -61.1 300 48 25 6.1 3.4
38000 -47.6 -53.7 305 47 24 6.5 3.6 | -48.0 -54.4 295 50 26 6.1 3.4
36000 -43.7 -46.7 300 46 24 7.5 4.1 | -44.3 -47.7 295 52 27 7.4 4.1
34000 -38.6 -37.5 305 48 25 8.5 4.7 | -39.2 -38.6 300 49 25 8.6 4.7
32000 -33.5 -28.3 310 50 26 8.5 4.7 | -34.0 -29.2 310 46 24 8.6 4.7
30000 -28.5 -19.3 305 43 22 8.3 4.6 | -29.0 -20.2 300 40 21 8.4 4.6
29000 -26.0 -14.8 300 40 21 8.4 4.6 | -26.4 -15.5 300 38 19 8.4 4.6
28000 -23.6 -10.5 295 37 19 4.5 2.5 | -24.1 -11.4 295 35 18 5.9 3.2
27000 -22.5 -8.5 295 33 17 4.0 2.2 | -22.4 -8.3 290 32 17 5.7 3.1
26000 -21.3 -6.3 295 29 15 4.0 2.2 | -20.6 -5.1 290 30 15 5.7 3.1
25000 -19.7 -3.5 290 24 12 6.1 3.4 | -18.5 -1.3 285 26 14 5.7 3.1
24000 -17.7 0.1 285 22 11 6.6 3.6 | -16.8 1.8 280 23 12 5.7 3.1
23000 -15.8 3.6 285 21 11 6.7 3.7 | -15.1 4.8 275 20 10 5.7 3.2
22000 -13.8 7.2 275 19 10 7.5 4.1 | -13.4 7.9 270 17 9 6.9 3.8
21000 -11.6 11.1 270 18 9 7.6 4.2 | -11.3 11.7 265 16 8 7.0 3.9
20000 -9.4 15.1 260 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -9.3 15.3 255 16 8 7.3 4.0
19500 -8.3 17.1 255 17 9 8.6 4.7 | -8.3 17.1 255 16 8 8.3 4.6
19000 -6.8 19.8 260 16 8 9.5 5.2 | -6.9 19.6 255 15 8 9.3 5.1
18500 -5.4 22.3 260 16 8 9.6 5.2 | -5.5 22.1 255 15 8 9.4 5.1
18000 -3.9 25.0 260 15 8 9.6 5.2 | -4.0 24.8 260 15 8 9.3 5.1
17500 -2.5 27.5 265 14 7 9.6 5.2 | -2.7 27.1 265 15 8 9.3 5.1
17000 -1.0 30.2 265 14 7 9.5 5.2 | -1.3 29.7 270 16 8 9.3 5.1
16500 0.4 32.7 270 13 7 9.4 5.1 | 0.1 32.2 270 16 8 9.4 5.1
16000 1.8 35.2 275 12 6 9.3 5.1 | 1.5 34.7 275 16 8 9.4 5.1
15500 3.2 37.8 280 11 6 9.3 5.1 | 2.9 37.2 275 16 8 9.4 5.2
15000 4.6 40.3 285 11 5 9.3 5.1 | 4.3 39.7 280 16 8 9.4 5.2
14500 6.0 42.8 290 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 5.7 42.3 280 16 8 9.5 5.2
14000 7.4 45.3 295 10 5 9.0 4.9 | 7.2 45.0 280 15 8 9.5 5.2
13500 8.7 47.7 300 9 5 9.1 5.0 | 8.6 47.5 285 14 7 9.4 5.2
13000 10.1 50.2 305 9 5 9.1 5.0 | 10.0 50.0 285 13 7 9.4 5.2
12500 11.5 52.7 310 9 5 9.2 5.0 | 11.5 52.7 285 13 7 9.4 5.2
12000 12.9 55.2 310 9 4 9.3 5.1 | 12.9 55.2 285 12 6 9.4 5.2
11500 14.3 57.7 315 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 14.3 57.7 280 11 6 9.2 5.1
11000 15.6 60.1 310 8 4 9.1 5.0 | 15.7 60.3 280 10 5 8.7 4.8
10500 17.0 62.6 310 9 4 8.9 4.9 | 17.0 62.6 280 9 5 9.2 5.1
10250 17.6 63.7 310 9 4 8.4 4.6 | 17.7 63.9 275 8 4 8.0 4.4
10000 18.2 64.8 305 9 4 8.2 4.5 | 18.2 64.8 275 8 4 7.7 4.2
9750 18.9 66.0 305 9 4 8.4 4.6 | 18.8 65.8 275 8 4 7.3 4.0
9500 19.5 67.1 305 9 4 8.0 4.4 | 19.3 66.7 275 7 4 9.5 5.2
9250 20.0 68.0 305 8 4 6.6 3.6 | 20.1 68.2 275 7 4 9.7 5.3
9000 20.9 69.6 300 7 4 6.6 3.6 | 21.2 70.2 270 6 3 8.6 4.7
8750 21.3 70.3 300 7 3 4.9 2.7 | 21.8 71.2 270 6 3 7.0 3.8
8500 21.5 70.7 300 6 3 2.8 1.5 | 22.3 72.1 270 6 3 8.2 4.5
8250 21.7 71.1 300 5 2 2.8 1.6 | 23.0 73.4 270 6 3 10.6 5.8
8000 21.8 71.2 295 3 2 3.7 2.0 | 23.8 74.8 270 6 3 10.1 5.6
7750 21.9 71.4 285 2 1 1.6 0.9 | 24.5 76.1 270 6 3 9.6 5.3
7500 21.8 71.2 275 1 1 0.7 0.4 | 25.2 77.4 270 6 3 9.4 5.1
7250 22.0 71.6 260 1 0 5.3 2.9 | 25.9 78.6 270 6 3 10.6 5.8
7000 22.4 72.3 235 1 0 6.9 3.8 | 26.7 80.1 270 6 3 10.9 6.0
6750 22.9 73.2 210 1 0 7.9 4.3 | 27.5 81.5 270 6 3 10.4 5.7
6500 23.5 74.3 205 1 0 9.2 5.1 | 28.3 82.9 270 6 3 10.4 5.7
6250 24.2 75.6 205 1 1 8.7 4.8 | 29.1 84.4 270 6 3 9.8 5.4
6000 24.9 76.8 210 1 0 12.4 6.8 | 29.9 85.8 270 6 3 14.6 8.0
5750 26.4 79.5 220 1 1 32.2 17.7 | 32.1 89.8 270 5 3 53.8 29.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/16/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/16/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +3.1 LI... -0.7 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... -0.7
CINH... -0.3 K Index... +8.2 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +6.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.5 -87.7 270 29 15 2.4 1.3 | -66.8 -88.2 270 33 17 2.9 1.6
45000 -61.3 -78.3 280 48 25 5.6 3.1 | -61.1 -78.0 280 50 26 5.5 3.0
40000 -52.3 -62.1 300 52 27 6.3 3.5 | -52.3 -62.1 300 58 30 6.1 3.3
38000 -48.5 -55.3 300 51 26 6.3 3.5 | -48.6 -55.5 300 57 29 6.1 3.3
36000 -44.7 -48.5 295 51 26 7.5 4.1 | -45.0 -49.0 300 56 29 7.4 4.0
34000 -39.5 -39.1 300 48 25 8.6 4.7 | -39.7 -39.5 300 52 27 8.7 4.8
32000 -34.3 -29.7 305 46 23 8.6 4.7 | -34.5 -30.1 300 48 25 8.7 4.8
30000 -29.1 -20.4 305 43 22 8.7 4.8 | -29.4 -20.9 300 43 22 8.5 4.7
29000 -26.5 -15.7 305 41 21 8.8 4.8 | -26.8 -16.2 300 41 21 8.5 4.7
28000 -23.9 -11.0 305 39 20 7.2 4.0 | -24.4 -11.9 295 38 20 6.6 3.6
27000 -21.8 -7.2 300 36 19 7.2 3.9 | -22.4 -8.3 290 34 18 6.5 3.5
26000 -19.6 -3.3 295 33 17 7.2 3.9 | -20.5 -4.9 280 31 16 6.5 3.5
25000 -17.1 1.2 285 31 16 3.5 1.9 | -18.6 -1.5 270 29 15 6.2 3.4
24000 -16.3 2.7 280 28 14 3.1 1.7 | -16.6 2.1 260 26 14 5.5 3.0
23000 -15.4 4.3 280 26 13 3.3 1.8 | -15.0 5.0 250 26 13 5.7 3.1
22000 -14.2 6.4 275 24 12 9.1 5.0 | -13.2 8.2 240 25 13 8.7 4.7
21000 -11.5 11.3 275 22 11 9.1 5.0 | -10.6 12.9 245 22 11 8.7 4.8
20000 -8.8 16.2 270 21 11 9.1 5.0 | -8.0 17.6 250 20 10 8.7 4.8
19500 -7.4 18.7 270 20 10 9.3 5.1 | -6.7 19.9 255 18 10 9.2 5.1
19000 -6.0 21.2 270 20 10 9.6 5.3 | -5.3 22.5 255 18 9 9.8 5.4
18500 -4.6 23.7 270 20 10 9.6 5.3 | -3.8 25.2 255 18 9 9.8 5.4
18000 -3.1 26.4 270 20 10 9.7 5.3 | -2.3 27.9 255 18 9 9.9 5.4
17500 -1.7 28.9 270 19 10 9.7 5.3 | -0.8 30.6 260 18 9 9.8 5.4
17000 -0.2 31.6 270 19 10 9.7 5.3 | 0.6 33.1 260 18 9 9.7 5.3
16500 1.2 34.2 265 19 10 9.7 5.3 | 2.1 35.8 260 18 9 9.6 5.2
16000 2.7 36.9 265 18 9 9.7 5.3 | 3.5 38.3 260 18 9 9.5 5.2
15500 4.1 39.4 265 18 9 9.8 5.4 | 5.0 41.0 260 18 9 9.9 5.5
15000 5.6 42.1 265 18 9 9.8 5.4 | 6.5 43.7 265 18 9 9.9 5.4
14500 7.1 44.8 265 18 9 9.6 5.3 | 7.9 46.2 265 18 9 9.7 5.3
14000 8.5 47.3 265 17 9 9.6 5.3 | 9.4 48.9 265 18 9 9.7 5.3
13500 10.0 50.0 265 17 9 9.6 5.3 | 10.8 51.4 265 18 9 9.7 5.3
13000 11.4 52.5 265 17 9 9.6 5.3 | 12.3 54.1 270 18 9 9.7 5.3
12500 12.8 55.0 265 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 13.7 56.7 270 18 9 9.7 5.3
12000 14.3 57.7 260 16 8 9.8 5.4 | 15.2 59.4 270 18 9 9.8 5.4
11500 15.8 60.4 260 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 16.7 62.1 270 18 9 9.7 5.3
11000 17.2 63.0 260 15 8 9.3 5.1 | 18.1 64.6 275 18 9 9.3 5.1
10500 18.6 65.5 260 15 7 10.0 5.5 | 19.5 67.1 275 18 9 9.9 5.5
10250 19.4 66.9 260 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 20.3 68.5 275 18 9 9.7 5.3
10000 20.1 68.2 255 14 7 9.8 5.4 | 21.0 69.8 275 18 10 9.6 5.2
9750 20.8 69.4 255 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 21.7 71.1 275 19 10 9.4 5.2
9500 21.6 70.9 255 13 7 10.0 5.5 | 22.4 72.3 275 19 10 10.2 5.6
9250 22.3 72.1 255 13 7 10.2 5.6 | 23.2 73.8 275 19 10 9.9 5.4
9000 23.1 73.6 255 13 6 9.8 5.4 | 23.9 75.0 275 19 10 9.1 5.0
8750 24.6 76.3 250 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 24.6 76.3 275 19 10 9.0 5.0
8500 25.1 77.2 250 11 6 8.7 4.8 | 26.1 79.0 280 19 10 10.5 5.7
8250 25.9 78.6 250 11 6 10.8 5.9 | 26.8 80.2 280 20 10 9.6 5.3
8000 26.7 80.1 250 11 6 10.4 5.7 | 27.5 81.5 280 20 10 10.0 5.5
7750 27.5 81.5 245 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 28.3 82.9 280 20 10 9.4 5.1
7500 28.2 82.8 245 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 29.0 84.2 280 20 10 9.0 4.9
7250 28.9 84.0 245 10 5 10.6 5.8 | 29.7 85.5 280 20 10 10.0 5.5
7000 29.7 85.5 245 9 5 11.0 6.0 | 30.4 86.7 280 20 10 10.4 5.7
6750 30.6 87.1 240 9 5 10.6 5.8 | 31.2 88.2 280 20 10 10.3 5.7
6500 31.3 88.3 240 9 4 10.7 5.9 | 32.0 89.6 280 19 10 10.5 5.8
6250 32.1 89.8 240 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 32.8 91.0 285 19 10 13.2 7.2
6000 32.9 91.2 235 8 4 14.6 8.0 | 34.0 93.2 285 17 9 17.3 9.5
5750 35.3 95.5 230 7 4 59.0 32.4 | 35.1 95.2 285 16 8 10.2 5.6
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0728 MDT Monday June 16 2025
This forecast is for Monday, June 16, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 82.0 F/27.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1885 ft/min (9.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 25516 ft MSL (19052 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 97.0 F/36.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 21289 ft MSL (14825 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 06/17...... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:48:24 / 20:22:04 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 33 min 41 sec (873 min 41 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:05:14 MDT... 77.71 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/16/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16698 ft MSL (10234 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18360 ft MSL (11896 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 20516 ft MSL (14052 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.6
K index......................... +1.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.1 -85.2 280 40 21 2.8 1.5 77.7 171.8 24.6 M M
45000 -59.8 -75.6 285 51 26 5.1 2.8 63.3 145.9 17.2 M M
40000 -51.3 -60.3 300 54 28 7.3 4.0 53.3 127.9 11.7 M M
38000 -46.9 -52.4 305 53 27 7.3 4.0 50.9 123.7 10.4 M M
36000 -42.6 -44.7 305 51 26 7.4 4.0 49.2 120.6 9.4 M M
34000 -38.1 -36.6 300 44 23 7.5 4.1 47.1 116.8 8.1 M M
32000 -33.5 -28.3 295 38 19 7.8 4.3 45.6 114.0 7.1 M M
30000 -30.0 -22.0 295 36 19 5.6 3.0 42.3 108.2 4.8 M M
29000 -28.4 -19.1 290 36 18 5.6 3.0 40.8 105.4 3.6 M M
28000 -26.7 -16.1 290 35 18 6.2 3.4 39.4 102.8 2.6 M M
27000 -24.7 -12.5 290 32 17 6.5 3.6 38.0 100.4 1.5 M M
26000 -22.3 -8.1 290 29 15 6.6 3.6 36.5 97.7 0.3 M M
25000 -20.3 -4.5 295 27 14 7.4 4.0 35.5 95.9 -0.5 1830 9.3
24000 -18.0 -0.4 290 27 14 7.7 4.2 34.6 94.4 -1.2 1731 8.8
23000 -15.7 3.7 290 27 14 7.7 4.2 33.9 93.1 -1.8 1632 8.3
22000 -13.4 7.9 285 26 13 7.5 4.1 33.3 91.9 -2.4 1534 7.8
21000 -11.2 11.8 280 23 12 7.5 4.1 32.4 90.3 -3.3 1439 7.3
20000 -9.0 15.8 275 20 10 7.8 4.3 31.7 89.1 -4.0 1344 6.8
19500 -7.9 17.8 270 18 9 8.3 4.6 31.4 88.5 -4.4 1296 6.6
19000 -6.5 20.3 270 18 9 9.3 5.1 31.3 88.3 -4.5 1240 6.3
18500 -5.1 22.8 275 17 9 9.3 5.1 31.2 88.2 -4.6 1183 6.0
18000 -3.7 25.3 280 16 8 9.2 5.0 31.1 88.0 -4.6 1126 5.7
17500 -2.3 27.9 285 16 8 9.2 5.0 31.0 87.8 -4.7 1070 5.4
17000 -1.0 30.2 285 16 8 9.2 5.0 30.9 87.7 -4.8 1014 5.2
16500 0.4 32.7 290 15 8 9.3 5.1 30.8 87.5 -4.9 957 4.9
16000 1.8 35.2 290 15 8 9.3 5.1 30.8 87.4 -5.0 901 4.6
15500 3.2 37.8 295 14 7 8.9 4.9 30.7 87.2 -5.2 845 4.3
15000 4.5 40.1 300 13 6 8.9 4.9 30.5 86.9 -5.3 791 4.0
14500 5.8 42.4 300 12 6 9.0 5.0 30.4 86.7 -5.5 736 3.7
14000 7.2 45.0 305 11 6 9.1 5.0 30.3 86.5 -5.6 681 3.5
13500 8.5 47.3 305 10 5 9.1 5.0 30.2 86.3 -5.7 625 3.2
13000 9.9 49.8 305 9 5 9.1 5.0 30.1 86.1 -5.9 570 2.9
12500 11.2 52.2 305 9 5 8.9 4.9 30.0 86.0 -6.0 515 2.6
12000 12.4 54.3 300 8 4 7.9 4.3 29.7 85.5 -6.3 464 2.4
11500 14.3 57.7 285 7 4 7.9 4.3 29.4 85.0 -6.7 387 2.0
11000 15.1 59.2 270 7 4 6.2 3.4 28.8 83.9 -7.4 348 1.8
10500 15.9 60.6 255 7 4 6.4 3.5 28.3 82.9 -8.1 309 1.6
10250 16.3 61.3 250 7 4 6.1 3.4 28.0 82.4 -8.4 289 1.5
10000 16.7 62.1 245 7 4 6.2 3.4 27.7 81.9 -8.8 270 1.4
9750 17.1 62.8 240 7 4 6.3 3.4 27.5 81.4 -9.2 250 1.3
9500 17.5 63.5 240 7 4 6.2 3.4 27.2 81.0 -9.5 231 1.2
9250 17.9 64.2 240 6 3 6.2 3.4 26.9 80.4 -9.8 211 1.1
9000 18.4 65.1 240 5 3 6.4 3.5 26.6 80.0 -10.2 191 1.0
8750 18.8 65.8 235 4 2 6.1 3.3 26.4 79.5 -10.5 171 0.9
8500 19.1 66.4 230 4 2 4.2 2.3 26.0 78.9 -10.9 153 0.8
8250 19.3 66.7 210 2 1 2.9 1.6 25.6 78.0 -11.5 140 0.7
8000 19.5 67.1 170 2 1 2.9 1.6 25.0 77.1 -12.1 127 0.6
7750 19.7 67.5 130 3 1 2.6 1.4 24.5 76.1 -12.6 115 0.6
7500 19.8 67.6 125 4 2 2.7 1.5 24.0 75.1 -13.2 102 0.5
7250 20.0 68.0 120 4 2 2.0 1.1 23.4 74.1 -13.8 90 0.5
7000 20.2 68.4 115 5 3 4.5 2.5 22.9 73.2 -14.4 78 0.4
6750 20.4 68.7 110 5 2 -3.2 -1.8 22.4 72.3 -15.0 64 0.3
6500 17.9 64.2 105 4 2 -80.8 -44.3 19.2 66.5 -18.2 131 0.7
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/16/2025 at 0900 MDT | 06/16/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +158.3 LI... -0.8 | CAPE... +23.3 LI... +0.2
CINH... -153.2 K Index... +0.9 | CINH... -6.3 K Index... +10.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.8 -86.4 280 38 20 3.0 1.7 | -66.4 -87.5 275 35 18 2.5 1.4
45000 -60.3 -76.5 280 51 26 4.9 2.7 | -61.2 -78.2 280 52 27 5.4 3.0
40000 -52.1 -61.8 305 51 26 7.0 3.8 | -52.4 -62.3 300 50 26 6.8 3.7
38000 -47.9 -54.2 305 51 26 7.0 3.8 | -48.3 -54.9 300 51 26 6.8 3.7
36000 -43.7 -46.7 305 51 26 7.5 4.1 | -44.2 -47.6 295 53 27 7.6 4.1
34000 -38.7 -37.7 305 53 27 8.4 4.6 | -39.1 -38.4 300 51 26 8.6 4.7
32000 -33.6 -28.5 310 54 28 8.5 4.6 | -33.9 -29.0 305 50 26 8.6 4.7
30000 -28.9 -20.0 300 47 24 7.8 4.3 | -29.2 -20.6 300 43 22 7.9 4.3
29000 -26.6 -15.9 295 43 22 7.8 4.3 | -26.8 -16.2 300 39 20 7.9 4.3
28000 -24.4 -11.9 290 39 20 4.9 2.7 | -24.5 -12.1 295 36 19 5.6 3.0
27000 -23.2 -9.8 290 34 18 3.9 2.1 | -23.0 -9.4 290 33 17 5.0 2.8
26000 -21.7 -7.1 285 28 14 3.9 2.1 | -21.2 -6.2 285 30 16 5.0 2.8
25000 -20.5 -4.9 280 24 12 6.3 3.4 | -19.6 -3.3 280 28 14 5.4 3.0
24000 -18.3 -0.9 285 22 12 7.2 4.0 | -18.0 -0.4 280 25 13 5.6 3.1
23000 -16.2 2.8 285 21 11 7.3 4.0 | -16.3 2.7 280 21 11 5.7 3.1
22000 -14.0 6.8 285 21 11 7.8 4.3 | -14.6 5.7 280 19 10 8.2 4.5
21000 -11.7 10.9 275 21 11 8.0 4.4 | -12.1 10.2 270 19 10 8.6 4.7
20000 -9.4 15.1 270 22 12 8.3 4.5 | -9.6 14.7 265 19 10 8.7 4.8
19500 -8.2 17.2 265 23 12 8.9 4.9 | -8.3 17.1 260 20 10 9.0 4.9
19000 -6.8 19.8 265 23 12 9.7 5.3 | -6.9 19.6 265 19 10 9.4 5.2
18500 -5.3 22.5 265 23 12 9.7 5.3 | -5.5 22.1 265 19 10 9.4 5.2
18000 -3.9 25.0 265 22 11 9.7 5.3 | -4.1 24.6 270 19 10 9.2 5.1
17500 -2.4 27.7 270 22 11 9.7 5.3 | -2.7 27.1 270 19 10 9.2 5.1
17000 -0.9 30.4 270 21 11 9.5 5.2 | -1.3 29.7 275 19 10 9.3 5.1
16500 0.5 32.9 275 20 10 9.1 5.0 | 0.1 32.2 275 19 10 9.4 5.2
16000 1.9 35.4 280 19 10 9.1 5.0 | 1.5 34.7 275 19 10 9.5 5.2
15500 3.2 37.8 285 18 9 8.8 4.8 | 2.9 37.2 280 19 10 9.3 5.1
15000 4.6 40.3 290 17 9 8.9 4.9 | 4.3 39.7 280 18 9 9.4 5.1
14500 5.9 42.6 295 16 8 8.7 4.8 | 5.7 42.3 280 17 9 9.3 5.1
14000 7.2 45.0 300 15 8 8.7 4.8 | 7.1 44.8 280 16 8 9.3 5.1
13500 8.5 47.3 305 14 7 8.9 4.9 | 8.5 47.3 280 15 8 9.3 5.1
13000 9.9 49.8 305 12 6 9.1 5.0 | 9.9 49.8 275 15 8 9.4 5.2
12500 11.3 52.3 310 11 6 9.2 5.0 | 11.3 52.3 275 14 7 9.4 5.2
12000 12.6 54.7 310 10 5 9.2 5.0 | 12.7 54.9 275 13 7 9.4 5.2
11500 14.0 57.2 310 9 5 8.9 4.9 | 14.1 57.4 270 13 6 9.3 5.1
11000 15.8 60.4 310 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 16.2 61.2 265 12 6 9.3 5.1
10500 16.9 62.4 305 7 3 6.0 3.3 | 17.5 63.5 260 11 6 9.5 5.2
10250 17.3 63.1 305 6 3 6.2 3.4 | 18.2 64.8 260 11 5 9.6 5.3
10000 17.7 63.9 300 5 3 6.4 3.5 | 19.0 66.2 260 10 5 9.6 5.3
9750 18.1 64.6 300 5 2 6.2 3.4 | 19.7 67.5 255 10 5 9.5 5.2
9500 18.5 65.3 295 4 2 4.8 2.6 | 20.4 68.7 255 10 5 9.1 5.0
9250 18.7 65.7 290 4 2 4.2 2.3 | 21.0 69.8 255 10 5 9.6 5.3
9000 19.0 66.2 290 3 2 4.8 2.6 | 21.8 71.2 250 9 5 10.0 5.5
8750 19.2 66.6 285 3 1 4.6 2.5 | 22.5 72.5 250 9 5 9.9 5.4
8500 19.4 66.9 285 2 1 3.1 1.7 | 23.2 73.8 250 9 5 9.7 5.3
8250 19.6 67.3 295 1 1 4.1 2.2 | 23.9 75.0 250 9 5 10.0 5.5
8000 19.9 67.8 305 1 1 7.0 3.9 | 24.7 76.5 245 9 5 10.5 5.7
7750 20.5 68.9 305 1 1 7.7 4.2 | 25.5 77.9 245 9 5 10.5 5.8
7500 21.0 69.8 315 1 1 7.5 4.1 | 26.3 79.3 245 9 4 10.5 5.7
7250 21.5 70.7 320 1 1 7.7 4.2 | 27.1 80.8 245 9 4 10.9 6.0
7000 22.1 71.8 325 1 1 8.1 4.5 | 27.8 82.0 245 8 4 8.8 4.8
6750 22.8 73.0 320 1 1 12.6 6.9 | 28.5 83.3 245 8 4 14.1 7.7
6500 24.3 75.7 310 1 1 32.8 18.0 | 31.2 88.2 240 8 4 71.3 39.1
06/16/2025 at 1500 MDT | 06/16/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +6.4 LI... -0.7 | CAPE... +4.8 LI... -0.8
CINH... -0.3 K Index... +11.1 | CINH... -1.0 K Index... +8.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.6 -87.9 270 34 18 2.7 1.5 | -66.7 -88.1 265 35 18 3.3 1.8
45000 -61.2 -78.2 280 51 26 5.4 2.9 | -61.0 -77.8 280 54 28 5.1 2.8
40000 -52.5 -62.5 300 54 28 6.5 3.6 | -52.7 -62.9 300 61 31 6.2 3.4
38000 -48.6 -55.5 295 54 28 6.5 3.6 | -49.0 -56.2 295 58 30 6.1 3.4
36000 -44.8 -48.6 295 54 28 7.4 4.0 | -45.4 -49.7 295 56 29 7.2 4.0
34000 -39.6 -39.3 300 53 27 8.6 4.7 | -40.1 -40.2 295 53 28 8.9 4.9
32000 -34.5 -30.1 305 51 26 8.6 4.7 | -34.8 -30.6 300 51 26 8.9 4.9
30000 -29.5 -21.1 300 46 23 8.2 4.5 | -29.6 -21.3 295 46 24 8.6 4.7
29000 -27.1 -16.8 300 43 22 8.2 4.5 | -27.0 -16.6 295 44 23 8.6 4.7
28000 -24.7 -12.5 300 40 20 6.2 3.4 | -24.6 -12.3 295 41 21 6.4 3.5
27000 -22.9 -9.2 295 36 18 5.8 3.2 | -22.8 -9.0 290 37 19 6.0 3.3
26000 -20.8 -5.4 290 31 16 5.8 3.2 | -21.0 -5.8 285 32 17 6.0 3.3
25000 -19.0 -2.2 285 28 14 5.8 3.2 | -18.8 -1.8 275 28 14 5.6 3.1
24000 -17.3 0.9 285 24 12 5.9 3.2 | -17.2 1.0 270 25 13 5.5 3.0
23000 -15.6 3.9 285 20 10 5.9 3.3 | -15.6 3.9 265 22 11 5.7 3.1
22000 -13.8 7.2 285 17 9 8.2 4.5 | -13.8 7.2 260 19 10 9.2 5.1
21000 -11.3 11.7 285 16 8 8.4 4.6 | -11.0 12.2 260 19 10 9.6 5.2
20000 -8.9 16.0 280 16 8 8.5 4.7 | -8.1 17.4 260 19 10 9.6 5.3
19500 -7.6 18.3 280 16 8 8.9 4.9 | -6.7 19.9 260 19 10 9.6 5.3
19000 -6.2 20.8 280 16 8 9.5 5.2 | -5.2 22.6 260 19 10 9.7 5.3
18500 -4.8 23.4 280 16 8 9.5 5.2 | -3.8 25.2 260 19 10 9.7 5.3
18000 -3.4 25.9 275 16 8 9.7 5.3 | -2.3 27.9 260 19 10 9.7 5.3
17500 -1.9 28.6 275 16 8 9.7 5.3 | -0.8 30.6 260 19 10 9.7 5.3
17000 -0.5 31.1 275 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 0.6 33.1 260 19 10 9.8 5.4
16500 1.0 33.8 275 16 8 9.6 5.3 | 2.1 35.8 260 19 10 9.8 5.4
16000 2.4 36.3 275 16 8 9.6 5.3 | 3.5 38.3 260 19 10 9.9 5.4
15500 3.9 39.0 275 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 5.0 41.0 260 19 10 9.6 5.3
15000 5.3 41.5 270 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 6.4 43.5 260 19 10 9.7 5.3
14500 6.8 44.2 270 16 8 9.6 5.3 | 7.9 46.2 260 19 10 9.7 5.3
14000 8.2 46.8 270 17 8 9.6 5.3 | 9.3 48.7 260 19 10 9.7 5.3
13500 9.6 49.3 270 17 9 9.6 5.3 | 10.8 51.4 260 19 10 9.7 5.3
13000 11.1 52.0 270 17 9 9.6 5.3 | 12.2 54.0 260 19 10 9.7 5.3
12500 12.5 54.5 265 17 9 9.6 5.3 | 13.7 56.7 260 19 10 9.8 5.4
12000 14.0 57.2 265 17 9 9.6 5.3 | 15.2 59.4 265 19 10 10.1 5.5
11500 15.4 59.7 265 18 9 9.7 5.3 | 16.6 61.9 265 19 10 9.1 5.0
11000 16.9 62.4 265 18 9 9.6 5.2 | 18.1 64.6 265 19 10 9.9 5.5
10500 19.0 66.2 260 18 10 9.8 5.4 | 20.3 68.5 265 19 10 9.6 5.3
10250 19.8 67.6 260 19 10 10.0 5.5 | 21.0 69.8 265 19 10 9.6 5.3
10000 20.5 68.9 260 19 10 9.9 5.4 | 21.7 71.1 265 19 10 9.7 5.3
9750 21.2 70.2 260 19 10 10.0 5.5 | 22.4 72.3 265 19 10 9.5 5.2
9500 22.0 71.6 260 19 10 10.2 5.6 | 23.1 73.6 265 18 10 10.3 5.6
9250 22.7 72.9 260 19 10 10.0 5.5 | 23.9 75.0 265 19 10 10.3 5.6
9000 23.5 74.3 260 19 10 9.8 5.4 | 24.7 76.5 265 18 9 9.4 5.2
8750 24.2 75.6 255 19 10 9.9 5.4 | 25.4 77.7 265 18 9 9.6 5.2
8500 24.9 76.8 255 19 10 9.7 5.3 | 26.1 79.0 265 18 9 9.9 5.4
8250 25.7 78.3 255 19 10 10.2 5.6 | 26.8 80.2 265 18 9 10.2 5.6
8000 26.5 79.7 255 19 10 10.8 5.9 | 27.6 81.7 265 18 9 10.1 5.5
7750 27.3 81.1 255 19 10 10.8 5.9 | 28.4 83.1 265 17 9 10.1 5.5
7500 28.1 82.6 255 19 10 10.5 5.7 | 29.1 84.4 265 17 9 10.0 5.5
7250 28.9 84.0 255 18 10 10.8 5.9 | 29.9 85.8 265 17 9 10.1 5.6
7000 29.7 85.5 255 18 9 9.5 5.2 | 30.6 87.1 270 16 8 9.1 5.0
6750 30.5 86.9 255 17 9 15.7 8.6 | 31.3 88.3 270 16 8 11.8 6.5
6500 33.2 91.8 250 16 8 70.7 38.8 | 32.9 91.2 270 13 7 40.1 22.0
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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