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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0717 MDT Monday July 6 2026
This forecast is for Monday, July 6, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 78.2 F/25.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1459 ft/min (7.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21751 ft MSL (15412 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 92.0 F/33.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16923 ft MSL (10584 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 07/07...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:56:25 / 20:21:17 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 24 min 52 sec (864 min 52 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:08:51 MDT... 77.50 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/06/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16255 ft MSL (9916 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15996 ft MSL (9657 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17568 ft MSL (11229 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.0
K index......................... +20.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 325 23 12 4.1 2.3 77.7 171.9 26.4 M M
45000 -56.5 -69.7 315 36 18 7.2 4.0 67.2 153.0 21.6 M M
40000 -46.8 -52.2 320 37 19 3.1 1.7 60.2 140.4 18.3 M M
38000 -44.9 -48.8 320 26 14 3.1 1.7 54.3 129.7 14.6 M M
36000 -43.1 -45.6 310 16 8 4.9 2.7 49.1 120.4 11.3 M M
34000 -38.0 -36.4 315 15 8 8.7 4.8 47.8 118.1 10.6 M M
32000 -32.8 -27.0 320 14 7 8.8 4.9 47.2 116.9 10.4 M M
30000 -27.7 -17.9 330 16 8 7.6 4.1 45.2 113.4 9.1 M M
29000 -25.4 -13.7 330 16 8 7.6 4.2 44.4 112.0 8.6 M M
28000 -23.3 -9.9 335 17 9 6.5 3.6 43.6 110.5 8.0 M M
27000 -21.3 -6.3 335 18 9 6.6 3.6 42.3 108.2 7.0 M M
26000 -19.3 -2.7 335 19 10 6.7 3.7 41.2 106.1 6.2 M M
25000 -17.4 0.7 340 20 10 5.5 3.0 40.2 104.3 5.4 M M
24000 -16.2 2.8 340 13 7 4.0 2.2 38.0 100.3 3.6 M M
23000 -15.0 5.0 340 7 3 4.0 2.2 35.9 96.6 1.9 M M
22000 -13.8 7.2 065 1 0 5.6 3.1 34.0 93.1 0.3 M M
21000 -11.8 10.8 080 5 2 7.0 3.8 32.9 91.2 -0.7 1397 7.1
20000 -9.7 14.5 080 9 4 7.1 3.9 32.0 89.5 -1.5 1306 6.6
19500 -8.7 16.3 080 11 6 7.1 3.9 31.5 88.8 -2.0 1261 6.4
19000 -7.5 18.5 080 11 6 8.7 4.8 31.2 88.2 -2.2 1211 6.2
18500 -6.3 20.7 080 11 6 8.6 4.7 31.0 87.9 -2.5 1158 5.9
18000 -4.4 24.1 080 11 6 9.0 4.9 30.8 87.4 -2.7 1078 5.5
17500 -3.0 26.6 075 11 6 9.0 4.9 30.6 87.2 -2.9 1024 5.2
17000 -1.7 28.9 070 11 6 8.9 4.9 30.5 86.9 -3.0 969 4.9
16500 -0.4 31.3 065 10 5 8.8 4.8 30.4 86.6 -3.2 915 4.7
16000 0.9 33.6 055 10 5 8.7 4.8 30.2 86.4 -3.4 862 4.4
15500 2.1 35.8 045 10 5 8.4 4.6 30.0 86.0 -3.6 811 4.1
15000 3.3 37.9 035 10 5 8.4 4.6 29.8 85.6 -3.9 761 3.9
14500 4.5 40.1 030 9 5 8.7 4.8 29.6 85.2 -4.2 710 3.6
14000 5.8 42.4 020 8 4 8.7 4.8 29.4 84.9 -4.4 657 3.3
13500 7.0 44.6 005 7 3 8.3 4.6 29.2 84.6 -4.6 604 3.1
13000 8.3 46.9 345 4 2 8.2 4.5 29.0 84.1 -4.9 552 2.8
12500 9.5 49.1 300 3 1 7.5 4.1 28.7 83.7 -5.1 500 2.5
12000 10.5 50.9 280 4 2 7.0 3.8 28.3 82.9 -5.6 457 2.3
11500 11.4 52.5 270 5 3 6.7 3.6 27.9 82.1 -6.1 413 2.1
11000 12.4 54.3 270 6 3 7.3 4.0 27.4 81.3 -6.7 370 1.9
10500 13.4 56.1 265 7 4 6.9 3.8 27.0 80.6 -7.2 326 1.7
10250 13.9 57.0 265 7 4 6.9 3.8 26.8 80.2 -7.4 304 1.5
10000 14.4 57.9 260 8 4 7.5 4.1 26.6 79.8 -7.7 280 1.4
9750 14.9 58.8 260 8 4 7.7 4.2 26.4 79.5 -7.9 257 1.3
9500 15.5 59.9 255 8 4 7.0 3.8 26.2 79.2 -8.1 233 1.2
9250 15.9 60.6 250 7 4 6.6 3.6 26.0 78.8 -8.3 212 1.1
9000 16.4 61.5 250 7 4 5.1 2.8 25.7 78.3 -8.6 191 1.0
8750 16.7 62.1 245 6 3 3.9 2.1 25.3 77.5 -9.1 175 0.9
8500 16.9 62.4 240 6 3 2.9 1.6 24.8 76.7 -9.6 160 0.8
8250 17.0 62.6 230 5 3 1.7 0.9 24.2 75.6 -10.2 149 0.8
8000 17.1 62.8 220 5 2 1.6 0.9 23.6 74.5 -10.9 139 0.7
7750 17.2 63.0 205 5 2 0.1 0.0 23.0 73.3 -11.6 131 0.7
7500 17.1 62.8 195 4 2 -0.2 -0.1 22.2 72.0 -12.4 125 0.6
7250 17.1 62.8 185 4 2 -0.2 -0.1 21.5 70.6 -13.2 119 0.6
7000 17.0 62.6 175 3 2 0.9 0.5 20.7 69.3 -14.0 112 0.6
6750 17.0 62.6 160 3 2 -3.8 -2.1 20.0 68.0 -14.8 106 0.5
6500 16.2 61.2 150 3 1 -16.8 -9.2 18.5 65.3 -16.4 122 0.6
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/06/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/06/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +115.4 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +240.5 LI... -2.2
CINH... -148.2 K Index... +21.0 | CINH... -4.5 K Index... +26.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.2 -85.4 335 20 10 3.8 2.1 | -64.9 -84.8 335 18 9 3.9 2.1
45000 -56.9 -70.4 320 30 15 7.5 4.1 | -56.8 -70.2 320 29 15 7.1 3.9
40000 -46.8 -52.2 320 35 18 3.6 2.0 | -47.2 -53.0 320 33 17 3.7 2.0
38000 -44.6 -48.3 315 25 13 3.6 2.0 | -45.0 -49.0 320 22 11 3.7 2.0
36000 -42.5 -44.5 315 16 8 5.4 3.0 | -42.8 -45.0 310 12 6 5.7 3.1
34000 -37.7 -35.9 325 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -37.9 -36.2 315 6 3 8.3 4.6
32000 -32.9 -27.2 345 7 3 8.1 4.4 | -32.9 -27.2 055 1 1 8.4 4.6
30000 -27.8 -18.0 360 10 5 7.6 4.2 | -28.0 -18.4 040 7 4 7.3 4.0
29000 -25.5 -13.9 005 12 6 7.6 4.2 | -25.9 -14.6 035 10 5 7.3 4.0
28000 -23.4 -10.1 005 14 7 6.6 3.6 | -23.8 -10.8 035 12 6 6.5 3.6
27000 -21.4 -6.5 010 14 7 6.7 3.7 | -21.8 -7.2 035 11 6 6.6 3.6
26000 -19.4 -2.9 010 14 7 6.7 3.7 | -19.8 -3.6 035 10 5 6.6 3.6
25000 -17.4 0.7 010 15 8 5.5 3.0 | -17.8 -0.0 035 9 5 5.9 3.2
24000 -16.1 3.0 020 11 6 4.5 2.5 | -16.2 2.8 040 7 4 5.5 3.0
23000 -14.8 5.4 030 7 4 4.5 2.5 | -14.6 5.7 045 5 3 5.5 3.0
22000 -13.4 7.9 055 5 3 6.3 3.4 | -12.9 8.8 060 4 2 6.5 3.6
21000 -11.3 11.7 060 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -10.9 12.4 060 4 2 6.9 3.8
20000 -9.1 15.6 065 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -8.9 16.0 055 3 2 7.0 3.8
19500 -8.1 17.4 065 5 3 7.3 4.0 | -7.8 18.0 050 3 2 7.1 3.9
19000 -7.0 19.4 060 6 3 6.9 3.8 | -6.8 19.8 050 4 2 7.6 4.2
18500 -6.1 21.0 060 7 4 6.9 3.8 | -5.7 21.7 050 5 3 7.6 4.2
18000 -5.0 23.0 060 8 4 8.3 4.5 | -4.6 23.7 045 6 3 8.0 4.4
17500 -3.0 26.6 050 8 4 8.9 4.9 | -2.8 27.0 040 7 4 8.1 4.5
17000 -1.7 28.9 050 8 4 8.7 4.8 | -1.6 29.1 035 8 4 7.8 4.3
16500 -0.5 31.1 045 8 4 8.6 4.7 | -0.6 30.9 025 8 4 7.8 4.3
16000 0.8 33.4 045 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 0.5 32.9 020 7 4 8.2 4.5
15500 2.0 35.6 035 9 5 8.5 4.6 | 1.7 35.1 010 7 4 9.0 4.9
15000 3.2 37.8 025 9 5 8.5 4.7 | 3.0 37.4 360 7 4 9.0 4.9
14500 4.4 39.9 015 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 4.3 39.7 350 7 4 8.8 4.8
14000 5.7 42.3 005 9 4 9.0 4.9 | 5.6 42.1 340 7 4 8.8 4.8
13500 7.0 44.6 355 8 4 8.4 4.6 | 6.9 44.4 330 7 4 9.0 4.9
13000 8.3 46.9 340 6 3 8.4 4.6 | 8.2 46.8 325 7 4 9.0 4.9
12500 9.5 49.1 320 6 3 8.0 4.4 | 9.5 49.1 315 7 4 9.3 5.1
12000 10.6 51.1 305 6 3 7.8 4.3 | 10.9 51.6 315 7 4 9.4 5.2
11500 11.8 53.2 295 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 12.3 54.1 310 7 4 9.3 5.1
11000 12.8 55.0 285 7 4 7.5 4.1 | 13.7 56.7 305 7 3 9.8 5.4
10500 13.8 56.8 275 8 4 7.0 3.9 | 15.2 59.4 300 7 3 9.4 5.2
10250 14.3 57.7 275 8 4 7.0 3.8 | 15.9 60.6 300 6 3 9.5 5.2
10000 14.9 58.8 270 8 4 7.6 4.2 | 16.6 61.9 300 6 3 10.0 5.5
9750 15.4 59.7 270 8 4 7.7 4.2 | 17.3 63.1 295 6 3 9.8 5.4
9500 16.0 60.8 265 8 4 7.2 3.9 | 18.1 64.6 295 6 3 10.1 5.6
9250 16.4 61.5 260 8 4 6.8 3.7 | 18.8 65.8 290 6 3 10.3 5.7
9000 16.9 62.4 260 8 4 5.9 3.3 | 19.6 67.3 290 5 3 9.6 5.3
8750 17.3 63.1 255 8 4 5.2 2.9 | 20.3 68.5 285 5 3 9.2 5.0
8500 17.6 63.7 255 7 4 3.3 1.8 | 21.0 69.8 285 5 3 9.9 5.4
8250 17.7 63.9 250 7 4 1.7 0.9 | 21.7 71.1 280 5 3 10.4 5.7
8000 17.8 64.0 245 6 3 1.4 0.8 | 22.5 72.5 275 5 3 10.1 5.5
7750 17.8 64.0 240 6 3 1.8 1.0 | 23.2 73.8 275 5 2 9.9 5.4
7500 18.1 64.6 235 5 3 7.0 3.8 | 24.0 75.2 275 5 2 10.4 5.7
7250 18.7 65.7 235 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 24.8 76.6 270 4 2 11.1 6.1
7000 19.4 66.9 230 5 3 8.5 4.7 | 25.6 78.1 265 4 2 9.9 5.4
6750 20.1 68.2 230 5 2 11.1 6.1 | 26.4 79.5 265 4 2 12.9 7.1
6500 21.1 70.0 225 4 2 16.9 9.3 | 27.7 81.9 260 4 2 22.7 12.4
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/06/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/06/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +99.3 LI... -0.9 | CAPE... +36.6 LI... -1.0
CINH... -2.8 K Index... +31.4 | CINH... -83.1 K Index... +27.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.6 -84.3 335 23 12 4.2 2.3 | -64.6 -84.3 330 27 14 4.6 2.5
45000 -56.6 -69.9 320 33 17 6.4 3.5 | -56.6 -69.9 320 37 19 5.8 3.2
40000 -47.7 -53.9 320 32 17 3.7 2.0 | -48.1 -54.6 330 30 15 5.0 2.7
38000 -45.5 -49.9 325 21 11 3.7 2.0 | -45.1 -49.2 010 17 9 5.0 2.7
36000 -43.3 -45.9 335 10 5 5.9 3.3 | -42.1 -43.8 070 23 12 6.2 3.4
34000 -38.1 -36.6 340 6 3 8.7 4.8 | -37.6 -35.7 065 12 6 7.6 4.1
32000 -32.3 -26.1 010 3 1 8.2 4.5 | -32.6 -26.7 335 3 1 7.7 4.2
30000 -27.6 -17.7 040 5 3 7.9 4.3 | -27.9 -18.2 310 4 2 7.9 4.3
29000 -25.3 -13.5 050 6 3 7.9 4.3 | -25.6 -14.1 305 5 3 8.0 4.4
28000 -23.2 -9.8 050 7 4 5.2 2.8 | -23.2 -9.8 295 6 3 8.0 4.4
27000 -21.6 -6.9 045 6 3 5.3 2.9 | -20.9 -5.6 275 7 3 8.0 4.4
26000 -20.0 -4.0 045 6 3 5.3 2.9 | -18.5 -1.3 260 8 4 8.0 4.4
25000 -18.4 -1.1 040 5 3 6.7 3.7 | -16.2 2.8 250 10 5 6.4 3.5
24000 -16.3 2.7 025 6 3 7.5 4.1 | -14.6 5.7 255 9 5 5.4 3.0
23000 -14.1 6.6 015 7 3 7.6 4.2 | -13.0 8.6 260 9 5 5.4 3.0
22000 -12.0 10.4 010 8 4 7.3 4.0 | -11.4 11.5 265 9 5 5.9 3.2
21000 -9.9 14.2 360 6 3 7.2 3.9 | -9.6 14.7 265 9 5 6.2 3.4
20000 -7.8 18.0 350 5 3 7.2 3.9 | -7.8 18.0 265 9 4 6.2 3.4
19500 -6.8 19.8 340 5 3 7.1 3.9 | -6.9 19.6 265 9 4 6.2 3.4
19000 -5.8 21.6 335 4 2 6.7 3.7 | -6.0 21.2 265 9 4 6.5 3.6
18500 -4.4 24.1 320 4 2 6.8 3.7 | -5.1 22.8 265 9 4 6.5 3.6
18000 -3.4 25.9 315 3 2 6.8 3.7 | -3.7 25.3 265 9 5 7.1 3.9
17500 -2.4 27.7 315 3 2 6.8 3.7 | -2.6 27.3 270 9 5 7.0 3.8
17000 -1.4 29.5 310 3 2 6.9 3.8 | -1.6 29.1 270 9 5 8.4 4.6
16500 -0.4 31.3 310 3 2 7.0 3.8 | -0.2 31.6 275 9 5 9.0 4.9
16000 0.6 33.1 310 3 2 7.9 4.3 | 1.1 34.0 275 9 5 9.1 5.0
15500 2.0 35.6 310 3 1 10.3 5.7 | 2.5 36.5 275 9 4 9.4 5.1
15000 3.6 38.5 305 3 1 10.3 5.6 | 3.9 39.0 275 9 4 9.4 5.1
14500 5.1 41.2 300 3 1 10.1 5.6 | 5.2 41.4 275 8 4 9.2 5.0
14000 6.6 43.9 290 3 1 10.2 5.6 | 6.6 43.9 270 8 4 9.2 5.0
13500 8.2 46.8 280 3 1 10.1 5.5 | 8.0 46.4 270 7 4 9.1 5.0
13000 9.7 49.5 275 3 2 10.1 5.5 | 9.3 48.7 270 7 4 9.1 5.0
12500 11.2 52.2 270 3 2 10.2 5.6 | 10.6 51.1 265 6 3 8.9 4.9
12000 12.7 54.9 260 3 2 10.3 5.7 | 11.9 53.4 260 6 3 8.8 4.9
11500 14.2 57.6 255 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 13.3 55.9 255 6 3 8.8 4.8
11000 15.7 60.3 245 4 2 10.1 5.5 | 14.6 58.3 250 5 3 8.8 4.8
10500 17.2 63.0 240 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 15.9 60.6 245 4 2 7.9 4.3
10250 18.0 64.4 240 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 16.4 61.5 240 4 2 7.8 4.3
10000 18.7 65.7 235 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 17.1 62.8 235 4 2 9.0 4.9
9750 19.4 66.9 235 4 2 9.6 5.2 | 17.7 63.9 230 3 2 8.7 4.8
9500 20.2 68.4 230 5 2 10.8 5.9 | 18.3 64.9 220 3 1 8.4 4.6
9250 21.0 69.8 230 5 2 11.6 6.4 | 18.9 66.0 205 2 1 7.9 4.3
9000 21.8 71.2 225 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 19.5 67.1 160 1 0 6.9 3.8
8750 22.5 72.5 225 5 3 8.4 4.6 | 19.9 67.8 090 1 1 6.1 3.4
8500 23.1 73.6 225 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 20.4 68.7 075 3 1 6.6 3.6
8250 23.9 75.0 220 5 3 10.6 5.8 | 20.9 69.6 065 4 2 7.0 3.8
8000 24.7 76.5 220 5 3 10.1 5.5 | 21.4 70.5 060 6 3 6.7 3.7
7750 25.4 77.7 220 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 21.9 71.4 055 8 4 6.2 3.4
7500 26.1 79.0 220 6 3 10.1 5.5 | 22.3 72.1 055 10 5 7.1 3.9
7250 26.9 80.4 215 6 3 10.8 5.9 | 22.9 73.2 055 11 6 7.9 4.4
7000 27.7 81.9 215 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 23.4 74.1 055 13 7 7.4 4.1
6750 28.4 83.1 215 6 3 10.7 5.8 | 24.0 75.2 055 14 7 8.3 4.6
6500 29.4 84.9 210 6 3 14.8 8.1 | 24.7 76.5 055 14 7 11.8 6.5
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0716 MDT Monday July 6 2026
This forecast is for Monday, July 6, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 81.9 F/27.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1519 ft/min (7.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 21677 ft MSL (15994 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 95.0 F/35.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15958 ft MSL (10275 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 07/07...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:58:45 / 20:23:56 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 25 min 11 sec (865 min 11 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:11:20 MDT... 77.34 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/06/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16313 ft MSL (10630 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16136 ft MSL (10453 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17529 ft MSL (11846 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.7
K index......................... +22.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 325 22 11 3.9 2.1 79.8 175.6 26.4 M M
45000 -57.2 -71.0 315 32 17 7.4 4.1 69.3 156.7 21.7 M M
40000 -46.7 -52.1 315 36 19 3.4 1.9 62.3 144.1 18.4 M M
38000 -44.7 -48.5 310 26 13 3.4 1.9 56.5 133.8 14.9 M M
36000 -42.6 -44.7 300 16 8 5.8 3.2 51.6 124.9 11.8 M M
34000 -37.7 -35.9 300 14 7 8.3 4.6 50.1 122.1 11.0 M M
32000 -32.7 -26.9 300 12 6 8.3 4.6 49.1 120.4 10.5 M M
30000 -28.0 -18.4 310 12 6 7.7 4.2 47.4 117.3 9.4 M M
29000 -25.7 -14.3 315 12 6 7.8 4.3 46.7 116.0 9.0 M M
28000 -23.5 -10.3 320 12 6 6.2 3.4 46.0 114.7 8.5 M M
27000 -21.8 -7.2 320 13 7 5.9 3.2 44.3 111.8 7.3 M M
26000 -19.6 -3.3 325 13 7 6.0 3.3 42.6 108.6 5.9 M M
25000 -17.9 -0.2 330 13 7 4.8 2.7 41.2 106.2 4.8 M M
24000 -16.6 2.1 345 9 4 4.4 2.4 39.1 102.5 3.2 M M
23000 -15.2 4.6 020 6 3 4.4 2.4 37.2 99.0 1.6 M M
22000 -13.8 7.2 070 6 3 7.1 3.9 35.6 96.0 0.2 M M
21000 -11.5 11.3 095 8 4 7.6 4.1 34.7 94.5 -0.5 1449 7.4
20000 -9.3 15.3 105 11 6 7.6 4.2 34.0 93.1 -1.2 1352 6.9
19500 -8.2 17.2 110 12 6 8.0 4.4 33.6 92.6 -1.5 1303 6.6
19000 -6.9 19.6 110 13 7 8.7 4.8 33.4 92.2 -1.7 1251 6.4
18500 -5.6 21.9 105 13 7 8.7 4.8 33.3 91.9 -1.9 1197 6.1
18000 -4.3 24.3 100 13 7 8.9 4.9 33.1 91.6 -2.1 1144 5.8
17500 -3.0 26.6 095 11 6 8.9 4.9 32.9 91.3 -2.3 1089 5.5
17000 -1.7 28.9 085 10 5 8.7 4.8 32.8 91.1 -2.4 1035 5.3
16500 -0.5 31.1 080 9 5 8.3 4.5 32.6 90.6 -2.7 984 5.0
16000 0.7 33.3 070 8 4 8.3 4.5 32.3 90.2 -3.0 934 4.7
15500 1.9 35.4 065 7 4 8.9 4.9 32.1 89.8 -3.2 881 4.5
15000 3.2 37.8 070 6 3 8.9 4.9 32.0 89.6 -3.4 828 4.2
14500 4.5 40.1 075 5 2 8.8 4.8 31.8 89.3 -3.6 774 3.9
14000 5.8 42.4 105 3 2 8.7 4.8 31.7 89.0 -3.7 720 3.7
13500 7.1 44.8 145 4 2 8.2 4.5 31.5 88.7 -3.9 666 3.4
13000 8.2 46.8 175 3 1 7.7 4.2 31.2 88.1 -4.3 619 3.1
12500 9.3 48.7 210 3 2 7.5 4.1 30.8 87.5 -4.7 571 2.9
12000 10.3 50.5 235 4 2 7.1 3.9 30.4 86.7 -5.2 527 2.7
11500 11.3 52.3 250 5 2 7.3 4.0 30.0 86.0 -5.7 482 2.5
11000 12.5 54.5 250 5 3 8.4 4.6 29.7 85.5 -6.0 433 2.2
10500 13.6 56.5 245 6 3 7.0 3.8 29.4 85.0 -6.3 383 1.9
10250 14.1 57.4 245 6 3 7.4 4.1 29.2 84.6 -6.6 361 1.8
10000 14.7 58.5 240 6 3 8.5 4.6 29.1 84.3 -6.7 336 1.7
9750 15.3 59.5 235 6 3 8.4 4.6 29.0 84.1 -6.9 310 1.6
9500 16.4 61.5 230 6 3 6.5 3.5 28.6 83.5 -7.3 263 1.3
9250 16.9 62.4 225 6 3 6.3 3.5 28.4 83.1 -7.6 241 1.2
9000 17.3 63.1 220 6 3 7.0 3.9 28.1 82.6 -7.9 220 1.1
8750 17.8 64.0 215 6 3 4.3 2.4 27.9 82.2 -8.2 199 1.0
8500 17.9 64.2 210 6 3 2.3 1.3 27.3 81.2 -8.8 187 1.0
8250 18.2 64.8 205 6 3 3.9 2.1 26.8 80.3 -9.3 173 0.9
8000 18.4 65.1 200 5 3 4.1 2.2 26.4 79.5 -9.8 158 0.8
7750 18.7 65.7 195 5 3 3.5 1.9 25.9 78.7 -10.3 143 0.7
7500 18.9 66.0 190 5 3 3.0 1.7 25.4 77.8 -10.8 129 0.7
7250 19.1 66.4 185 5 2 3.7 2.0 24.9 76.9 -11.3 114 0.6
7000 19.4 66.9 175 4 2 4.0 2.2 24.5 76.1 -11.8 99 0.5
6750 19.7 67.5 165 3 2 4.7 2.6 24.1 75.3 -12.3 82 0.4
6500 20.1 68.2 155 2 1 5.1 2.8 23.7 74.7 -12.6 63 0.3
6250 20.5 68.9 125 1 1 4.6 2.5 23.4 74.0 -13.0 45 0.2
6000 20.6 69.1 110 2 1 -3.7 -2.0 22.8 73.0 -13.7 34 0.2
5750 19.0 66.2 080 2 1 -46.6 -25.6 20.5 68.8 -16.0 73 0.4
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/06/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/06/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +73.3 LI... -1.6 | CAPE... +262.2 LI... -2.3
CINH... -181.6 K Index... +23.2 | CINH... -26.5 K Index... +23.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.3 -85.5 335 18 9 4.2 2.3 | -64.9 -84.8 330 19 10 3.9 2.1
45000 -57.2 -71.0 315 29 15 7.3 4.0 | -57.3 -71.1 315 29 15 7.1 3.9
40000 -46.7 -52.1 310 35 18 3.8 2.1 | -47.0 -52.6 315 32 16 4.1 2.2
38000 -44.5 -48.1 310 25 13 3.8 2.1 | -44.6 -48.3 310 23 12 4.1 2.2
36000 -42.2 -44.0 300 14 7 6.1 3.3 | -42.1 -43.8 300 14 7 6.2 3.4
34000 -37.4 -35.3 315 8 4 8.0 4.4 | -37.5 -35.5 305 6 3 7.7 4.2
32000 -32.6 -26.7 005 4 2 8.0 4.4 | -32.9 -27.2 120 1 1 7.7 4.2
30000 -28.0 -18.4 020 5 3 7.7 4.2 | -28.4 -19.1 085 5 2 7.6 4.2
29000 -25.7 -14.3 020 6 3 7.7 4.2 | -26.1 -15.0 080 6 3 7.7 4.2
28000 -23.5 -10.3 020 7 3 6.4 3.5 | -23.9 -11.0 075 8 4 6.1 3.3
27000 -21.7 -7.1 005 8 4 6.2 3.4 | -22.1 -7.8 060 7 4 6.0 3.3
26000 -19.4 -2.9 355 11 5 6.2 3.4 | -19.9 -3.8 045 8 4 6.0 3.3
25000 -17.6 0.3 350 12 6 5.1 2.8 | -18.1 -0.6 035 8 4 6.4 3.5
24000 -16.2 2.8 360 9 5 4.8 2.6 | -16.2 2.8 035 6 3 6.4 3.5
23000 -14.7 5.5 015 6 3 4.8 2.6 | -14.3 6.3 040 4 2 6.4 3.5
22000 -13.2 8.2 045 5 2 6.4 3.5 | -12.4 9.7 055 3 1 6.4 3.5
21000 -11.3 11.7 075 4 2 6.6 3.6 | -10.5 13.1 080 2 1 6.4 3.5
20000 -9.3 15.3 100 5 3 6.7 3.7 | -8.6 16.5 110 2 1 6.5 3.5
19500 -8.3 17.1 110 6 3 7.4 4.1 | -7.6 18.3 125 3 1 7.1 3.9
19000 -7.1 19.2 110 6 3 8.5 4.6 | -6.5 20.3 110 3 1 7.8 4.3
18500 -5.9 21.4 105 7 3 8.5 4.7 | -5.4 22.3 095 3 1 7.8 4.3
18000 -4.6 23.7 100 7 4 8.6 4.7 | -4.2 24.4 085 3 2 8.2 4.5
17500 -3.3 26.1 090 7 4 8.6 4.7 | -3.0 26.6 075 4 2 8.2 4.5
17000 -2.1 28.2 085 7 4 8.6 4.7 | -1.8 28.8 070 4 2 8.4 4.6
16500 -0.8 30.6 075 7 3 8.7 4.8 | -0.5 31.1 065 5 2 8.6 4.7
16000 0.4 32.7 065 6 3 8.7 4.8 | 0.7 33.3 055 5 3 8.7 4.8
15500 1.7 35.1 055 5 3 8.9 4.9 | 2.0 35.6 050 5 3 8.8 4.8
15000 3.0 37.4 050 4 2 9.0 4.9 | 3.3 37.9 040 5 3 8.8 4.8
14500 4.3 39.7 040 3 1 8.8 4.8 | 4.6 40.3 030 4 2 8.9 4.9
14000 5.6 42.1 025 1 0 8.8 4.8 | 5.9 42.6 005 4 2 8.9 4.9
13500 7.0 44.6 255 1 1 8.3 4.6 | 7.2 45.0 340 4 2 8.5 4.6
13000 8.1 46.6 285 2 1 8.0 4.4 | 8.4 47.1 335 5 2 8.3 4.5
12500 9.2 48.6 295 4 2 7.9 4.3 | 9.6 49.3 335 6 3 8.2 4.5
12000 10.4 50.7 295 4 2 7.8 4.3 | 10.7 51.3 340 6 3 8.1 4.5
11500 11.5 52.7 295 5 3 7.9 4.3 | 11.9 53.4 340 7 4 8.0 4.4
11000 12.6 54.7 285 5 3 8.0 4.4 | 13.0 55.4 335 7 3 7.5 4.1
10500 13.7 56.7 270 6 3 7.1 3.9 | 14.1 57.4 325 6 3 8.2 4.5
10250 14.2 57.6 265 6 3 7.0 3.9 | 14.7 58.5 320 6 3 8.1 4.5
10000 14.7 58.5 260 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 15.2 59.4 315 5 3 7.9 4.4
9750 15.3 59.5 255 6 3 7.8 4.3 | 15.8 60.4 305 5 2 8.0 4.4
9500 15.8 60.4 250 6 3 5.6 3.0 | 16.4 61.5 295 4 2 7.9 4.3
9250 16.5 61.7 235 6 3 5.6 3.1 | 17.6 63.7 275 4 2 9.1 5.0
9000 16.8 62.2 230 6 3 5.7 3.2 | 18.3 64.9 265 4 2 9.1 5.0
8750 17.2 63.0 225 6 3 3.9 2.2 | 18.9 66.0 260 4 2 8.5 4.7
8500 17.4 63.3 215 6 3 2.6 1.4 | 19.6 67.3 250 4 2 9.2 5.1
8250 17.6 63.7 215 6 3 3.9 2.1 | 20.3 68.5 250 4 2 10.4 5.7
8000 17.9 64.2 210 5 3 3.7 2.0 | 21.1 70.0 245 5 2 10.3 5.7
7750 18.1 64.6 210 5 2 4.3 2.3 | 21.8 71.2 245 5 2 9.3 5.1
7500 18.5 65.3 210 4 2 5.6 3.1 | 22.5 72.5 240 5 2 9.0 5.0
7250 19.0 66.2 210 4 2 8.1 4.5 | 23.2 73.8 240 5 3 10.8 5.9
7000 19.6 67.3 210 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 24.0 75.2 235 5 3 11.2 6.1
6750 20.3 68.5 210 3 2 9.2 5.0 | 24.8 76.6 235 5 3 10.5 5.7
6500 21.0 69.8 215 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 25.6 78.1 235 5 3 10.5 5.8
6250 21.7 71.1 215 3 2 9.3 5.1 | 26.4 79.5 235 5 3 9.6 5.2
6000 22.5 72.5 220 3 1 12.8 7.0 | 27.2 81.0 235 5 3 14.4 7.9
5750 24.1 75.4 225 3 1 33.5 18.4 | 29.5 85.1 235 5 3 57.4 31.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/06/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/06/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +101.8 LI... -0.9 | CAPE... +21.8 LI... -0.2
CINH... -5.3 K Index... +25.8 | CINH... -1.8 K Index... +22.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 330 19 10 4.0 2.2 | -64.7 -84.5 335 23 12 4.5 2.5
45000 -56.7 -70.1 315 31 16 6.4 3.5 | -56.5 -69.7 320 32 16 6.4 3.5
40000 -47.7 -53.9 315 32 16 4.3 2.4 | -47.4 -53.3 315 29 15 4.6 2.5
38000 -45.1 -49.2 315 22 11 4.3 2.4 | -44.7 -48.5 320 19 10 4.6 2.5
36000 -42.5 -44.5 320 12 6 5.4 3.0 | -41.9 -43.4 340 9 4 5.5 3.0
34000 -37.4 -35.3 315 6 3 7.7 4.2 | -37.1 -34.8 350 3 1 7.2 4.0
32000 -32.8 -27.0 210 1 1 7.9 4.3 | -32.8 -27.0 155 3 1 7.4 4.1
30000 -28.0 -18.4 085 2 1 8.1 4.5 | -28.3 -18.9 170 2 1 7.7 4.2
29000 -25.6 -14.1 075 4 2 8.2 4.5 | -26.0 -14.8 185 2 1 7.7 4.2
28000 -23.3 -9.9 075 5 3 5.6 3.1 | -23.8 -10.8 200 2 1 7.0 3.9
27000 -21.6 -6.9 070 5 2 5.9 3.2 | -21.7 -7.1 225 2 1 7.1 3.9
26000 -19.8 -3.6 065 4 2 5.9 3.2 | -19.6 -3.3 245 3 1 7.1 3.9
25000 -18.1 -0.6 060 4 2 5.9 3.2 | -17.5 0.5 255 3 2 6.8 3.7
24000 -16.4 2.5 050 3 1 5.9 3.2 | -15.5 4.1 280 3 1 6.4 3.5
23000 -14.6 5.7 030 2 1 5.9 3.2 | -13.6 7.5 305 3 1 6.4 3.5
22000 -12.3 9.9 360 2 1 7.4 4.0 | -11.7 10.9 325 4 2 6.3 3.5
21000 -10.2 13.6 350 2 1 7.2 4.0 | -9.4 15.1 325 3 1 6.2 3.4
20000 -8.1 17.4 330 1 1 7.2 4.0 | -7.6 18.3 320 2 1 6.3 3.4
19500 -7.0 19.4 320 1 1 7.8 4.3 | -6.7 19.9 315 2 1 6.9 3.8
19000 -5.8 21.6 330 1 1 8.1 4.4 | -5.7 21.7 305 2 1 7.3 4.0
18500 -4.6 23.7 340 1 1 8.1 4.4 | -4.7 23.5 290 2 1 7.3 4.0
18000 -3.5 25.7 345 1 1 8.2 4.5 | -3.5 25.7 285 2 1 9.1 5.0
17500 -2.3 27.9 355 2 1 8.2 4.5 | -2.2 28.0 285 2 1 8.9 4.9
17000 -1.2 29.8 360 2 1 8.2 4.5 | -0.9 30.4 280 3 1 9.5 5.2
16500 0.0 32.0 350 1 1 8.3 4.5 | 0.6 33.1 280 3 1 9.8 5.4
16000 1.2 34.2 345 1 1 8.5 4.6 | 2.0 35.6 280 3 1 9.8 5.4
15500 2.5 36.5 335 1 1 9.4 5.2 | 3.4 38.1 280 3 1 9.6 5.3
15000 3.8 38.8 330 1 1 9.4 5.1 | 4.9 40.8 280 3 1 9.6 5.3
14500 5.2 41.4 320 1 1 9.5 5.2 | 6.3 43.3 280 3 1 9.6 5.3
14000 6.6 43.9 310 1 1 9.4 5.2 | 7.7 45.9 280 2 1 9.6 5.3
13500 8.0 46.4 300 1 1 9.6 5.2 | 9.2 48.6 280 2 1 9.8 5.4
13000 9.4 48.9 290 1 1 9.6 5.3 | 10.7 51.3 280 2 1 9.8 5.4
12500 10.9 51.6 285 1 1 9.6 5.3 | 12.1 53.8 280 2 1 9.8 5.4
12000 12.3 54.1 280 1 1 9.6 5.3 | 13.6 56.5 280 2 1 9.7 5.3
11500 13.7 56.7 275 1 1 9.7 5.3 | 15.0 59.0 280 2 1 9.5 5.2
11000 15.2 59.4 270 1 1 9.9 5.4 | 16.4 61.5 285 2 1 9.0 5.0
10500 16.6 61.9 270 2 1 9.2 5.0 | 17.8 64.0 285 2 1 10.3 5.7
10250 17.3 63.1 265 2 1 9.6 5.3 | 18.6 65.5 280 2 1 9.7 5.3
10000 18.0 64.4 265 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 19.3 66.7 285 2 1 9.5 5.2
9750 18.7 65.7 265 2 1 9.6 5.3 | 20.0 68.0 285 2 1 9.6 5.3
9500 19.4 66.9 260 2 1 9.9 5.4 | 20.7 69.3 290 2 1 9.3 5.1
9250 20.2 68.4 265 2 1 10.0 5.5 | 21.4 70.5 285 1 1 9.5 5.2
9000 20.9 69.6 265 3 1 9.8 5.4 | 22.1 71.8 290 1 1 9.8 5.4
8750 21.7 71.1 260 3 1 10.1 5.5 | 22.9 73.2 290 1 1 10.0 5.5
8500 23.0 73.4 260 3 1 9.5 5.2 | 23.6 74.5 295 1 1 8.9 4.9
8250 23.8 74.8 260 3 1 10.5 5.8 | 24.2 75.6 300 2 1 9.1 5.0
8000 24.6 76.3 260 3 2 10.5 5.7 | 25.7 78.3 305 1 1 10.2 5.6
7750 25.3 77.5 260 3 2 9.6 5.3 | 26.5 79.7 310 1 1 9.4 5.2
7500 26.0 78.8 260 3 2 9.4 5.2 | 27.1 80.8 310 1 1 9.0 4.9
7250 26.8 80.2 255 3 2 10.8 5.9 | 27.8 82.0 310 1 1 10.1 5.5
7000 27.6 81.7 255 3 2 11.1 6.1 | 28.6 83.5 315 1 1 10.4 5.7
6750 28.4 83.1 255 3 2 10.5 5.7 | 29.4 84.9 320 2 1 10.1 5.5
6500 29.2 84.6 260 3 2 10.4 5.7 | 30.1 86.2 320 1 1 10.0 5.5
6250 30.0 86.0 260 3 2 9.7 5.3 | 30.8 87.4 325 1 1 9.6 5.3
6000 30.8 87.4 255 3 2 14.8 8.1 | 31.6 88.9 320 2 1 12.1 6.6
5750 33.1 91.6 255 3 2 57.1 31.4 | 33.1 91.6 325 2 1 33.3 18.2
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0717 MDT Monday July 6 2026
This forecast is for Monday, July 6, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 78.4 F/25.8 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1507 ft/min (7.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 22084 ft MSL (15623 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15838 ft MSL (9377 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 07/07...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:55:06 / 20:23:22 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 28 min 16 sec (868 min 16 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:14 MDT... 76.86 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/06/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16378 ft MSL (9917 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16374 ft MSL (9913 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17688 ft MSL (11227 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.7
K index......................... +20.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.2 -83.6 325 24 12 3.2 1.8 78.4 173.1 27.1 M M
45000 -57.2 -71.0 315 36 19 7.2 4.0 66.8 152.2 21.6 M M
40000 -47.0 -52.6 310 39 20 3.0 1.7 59.3 138.8 18.1 M M
38000 -45.2 -49.4 315 27 14 3.0 1.7 53.3 127.9 14.3 M M
36000 -43.4 -46.1 315 15 8 5.6 3.1 48.1 118.6 11.0 M M
34000 -38.1 -36.6 325 12 6 8.9 4.9 47.0 116.7 10.5 M M
32000 -32.8 -27.0 340 10 5 9.0 4.9 46.6 115.8 10.4 M M
30000 -28.3 -18.9 330 13 7 7.3 4.0 44.6 112.4 9.1 M M
29000 -26.2 -15.2 325 15 8 7.4 4.0 43.8 110.8 8.5 M M
28000 -24.0 -11.2 325 17 9 6.9 3.8 43.0 109.3 7.9 M M
27000 -21.5 -6.7 330 17 9 6.8 3.7 41.4 106.6 6.8 M M
26000 -19.5 -3.1 335 16 8 6.8 3.7 40.3 104.6 6.0 M M
25000 -17.5 0.5 340 16 8 4.7 2.6 39.3 102.7 5.2 M M
24000 -16.4 2.5 340 10 5 3.7 2.1 37.0 98.5 3.3 M M
23000 -15.3 4.5 340 4 2 3.7 2.0 34.8 94.7 1.5 M M
22000 -14.1 6.6 150 1 1 7.2 3.9 32.9 91.3 -0.1 1497 7.6
21000 -11.7 10.9 100 3 2 8.1 4.4 32.3 90.1 -0.8 1396 7.1
20000 -9.3 15.3 090 6 3 8.1 4.4 31.7 89.1 -1.3 1295 6.6
19500 -8.1 17.4 090 7 4 8.3 4.5 31.5 88.7 -1.5 1245 6.3
19000 -6.9 19.6 085 7 4 8.7 4.8 31.3 88.3 -1.7 1191 6.1
18500 -5.6 21.9 080 8 4 8.7 4.8 31.1 88.0 -1.9 1138 5.8
18000 -4.3 24.3 080 8 4 8.7 4.8 30.9 87.7 -2.1 1084 5.5
17500 -3.0 26.6 070 8 4 8.7 4.8 30.8 87.4 -2.2 1030 5.2
17000 -1.7 28.9 065 8 4 8.7 4.7 30.6 87.1 -2.4 977 5.0
16500 -0.4 31.3 055 7 4 8.4 4.6 30.4 86.7 -2.6 925 4.7
16000 0.8 33.4 040 7 4 8.5 4.6 30.2 86.3 -2.9 873 4.4
15500 2.0 35.6 025 8 4 8.3 4.5 29.9 85.9 -3.2 822 4.2
15000 3.2 37.8 010 8 4 8.3 4.6 29.7 85.4 -3.5 773 3.9
14500 4.3 39.7 360 9 4 8.6 4.7 29.5 85.1 -3.8 722 3.7
14000 5.6 42.1 350 9 5 8.7 4.8 29.3 84.7 -4.0 670 3.4
13500 6.8 44.2 340 9 5 8.6 4.7 29.1 84.4 -4.2 618 3.1
13000 8.1 46.6 330 9 5 8.6 4.7 28.9 84.1 -4.5 565 2.9
12500 9.4 48.9 315 9 4 8.3 4.6 28.8 83.8 -4.6 512 2.6
12000 10.5 50.9 305 9 4 7.4 4.1 28.4 83.2 -5.0 463 2.4
11500 12.2 54.0 290 9 5 7.2 3.9 27.9 82.2 -5.6 392 2.0
11000 13.1 55.6 285 9 4 6.4 3.5 27.4 81.3 -6.2 350 1.8
10500 14.0 57.2 275 9 4 6.3 3.5 26.9 80.4 -6.8 308 1.6
10250 14.4 57.9 275 8 4 5.7 3.1 26.6 79.8 -7.1 289 1.5
10000 14.8 58.6 270 8 4 5.7 3.1 26.2 79.2 -7.5 269 1.4
9750 15.2 59.4 265 7 4 5.6 3.1 25.9 78.7 -7.8 250 1.3
9500 15.6 60.1 265 6 3 5.4 3.0 25.6 78.1 -8.2 231 1.2
9250 15.9 60.6 265 5 3 4.8 2.7 25.3 77.5 -8.5 213 1.1
9000 16.2 61.2 260 4 2 4.5 2.5 24.9 76.7 -9.0 196 1.0
8750 16.6 61.9 260 3 2 4.4 2.4 24.5 76.0 -9.4 179 0.9
8500 16.8 62.2 250 3 1 3.9 2.1 24.0 75.3 -9.9 163 0.8
8250 17.1 62.8 235 2 1 3.2 1.7 23.6 74.4 -10.4 148 0.8
8000 17.3 63.1 200 1 1 2.5 1.3 23.0 73.5 -11.0 135 0.7
7750 17.4 63.3 175 2 1 1.2 0.6 22.4 72.4 -11.6 124 0.6
7500 17.4 63.3 155 2 1 -0.1 -0.0 21.7 71.1 -12.3 116 0.6
7250 17.4 63.3 145 2 1 -0.1 -0.0 21.0 69.8 -13.1 110 0.6
7000 17.4 63.3 140 3 1 1.1 0.6 20.3 68.5 -13.9 102 0.5
6750 17.3 63.1 130 2 1 -6.6 -3.6 19.5 67.0 -14.7 97 0.5
6500 15.4 59.7 120 2 1 -57.0 -31.3 16.8 62.2 -17.4 148 0.8
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/06/2026 at 0900 MDT | 07/06/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +103.8 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +285.5 LI... -2.1
CINH... -164.6 K Index... +21.1 | CINH... -17.6 K Index... +22.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 330 19 10 4.1 2.3 | -64.7 -84.5 320 20 10 3.8 2.1
45000 -56.9 -70.4 315 29 15 7.4 4.1 | -57.2 -71.0 310 30 16 7.0 3.9
40000 -46.5 -51.7 320 33 17 3.0 1.6 | -47.2 -53.0 315 31 16 3.2 1.8
38000 -44.7 -48.5 320 22 11 3.0 1.6 | -45.3 -49.5 315 18 9 3.2 1.8
36000 -42.9 -45.2 325 10 5 5.6 3.1 | -43.4 -46.1 300 6 3 6.1 3.4
34000 -37.9 -36.2 340 7 3 8.4 4.6 | -38.2 -36.8 290 3 1 8.7 4.8
32000 -32.8 -27.0 015 4 2 8.4 4.6 | -33.0 -27.4 175 1 1 8.6 4.7
30000 -28.3 -18.9 005 8 4 7.6 4.2 | -28.5 -19.3 060 5 3 7.5 4.1
29000 -26.0 -14.8 360 11 6 7.6 4.2 | -26.2 -15.2 055 8 4 7.5 4.1
28000 -23.3 -9.9 360 13 7 6.3 3.5 | -23.6 -10.5 050 11 5 6.0 3.3
27000 -21.4 -6.5 360 13 7 6.4 3.5 | -21.8 -7.2 045 10 5 6.0 3.3
26000 -19.5 -3.1 360 14 7 6.4 3.5 | -20.0 -4.0 045 10 5 6.0 3.3
25000 -17.7 0.1 360 14 7 4.6 2.5 | -18.2 -0.8 040 9 5 6.0 3.3
24000 -16.5 2.3 360 9 5 3.9 2.1 | -16.5 2.3 040 8 4 6.0 3.3
23000 -15.4 4.3 005 5 2 3.9 2.1 | -14.7 5.5 040 6 3 6.0 3.3
22000 -14.1 6.6 050 1 0 7.2 4.0 | -12.8 9.0 035 5 3 7.1 3.9
21000 -11.7 10.9 070 2 1 7.9 4.3 | -10.7 12.7 025 5 3 7.2 4.0
20000 -9.4 15.1 080 2 1 7.9 4.3 | -8.6 16.5 010 5 3 7.2 4.0
19500 -8.3 17.1 085 3 1 8.0 4.4 | -7.5 18.5 005 6 3 7.4 4.0
19000 -7.1 19.2 085 3 2 8.2 4.5 | -6.4 20.5 005 5 3 7.6 4.1
18500 -5.8 21.6 085 4 2 8.1 4.5 | -5.3 22.5 005 5 3 7.5 4.1
18000 -4.6 23.7 080 4 2 9.0 4.9 | -4.2 24.4 010 5 3 8.6 4.7
17500 -3.3 26.1 070 5 2 9.0 5.0 | -2.9 26.8 015 5 3 8.6 4.7
17000 -1.9 28.6 065 5 3 9.0 4.9 | -1.6 29.1 015 5 2 8.8 4.8
16500 -0.6 30.9 050 6 3 8.8 4.8 | -0.3 31.5 020 5 3 9.1 5.0
16000 0.7 33.3 040 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 1.0 33.8 025 5 3 9.1 5.0
15500 1.9 35.4 025 7 4 8.7 4.8 | 2.4 36.3 020 6 3 9.0 4.9
15000 3.2 37.8 015 7 4 8.7 4.8 | 3.7 38.7 015 7 3 9.0 4.9
14500 4.5 40.1 360 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 5.0 41.0 005 7 4 8.8 4.9
14000 5.7 42.3 350 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 6.3 43.3 360 8 4 8.8 4.8
13500 7.0 44.6 340 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 7.5 45.5 350 9 4 8.7 4.8
13000 8.3 46.9 335 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 8.8 47.8 345 9 4 8.6 4.7
12500 9.5 49.1 325 8 4 8.4 4.6 | 10.0 50.0 340 9 4 8.3 4.6
12000 10.7 51.3 315 8 4 7.7 4.2 | 11.1 52.0 335 8 4 7.9 4.3
11500 12.4 54.3 305 9 4 7.3 4.0 | 13.0 55.4 325 7 4 9.7 5.3
11000 13.3 55.9 295 9 4 6.7 3.7 | 14.1 57.4 320 7 4 7.8 4.3
10500 14.3 57.7 285 9 4 6.2 3.4 | 15.3 59.5 310 7 3 8.9 4.9
10250 14.7 58.5 285 8 4 5.5 3.0 | 16.0 60.8 305 7 3 9.2 5.1
10000 15.1 59.2 280 8 4 5.6 3.1 | 16.7 62.1 300 7 3 9.1 5.0
9750 15.5 59.9 280 8 4 5.4 3.0 | 17.3 63.1 300 7 3 9.3 5.1
9500 15.8 60.4 275 7 4 4.7 2.6 | 18.0 64.4 295 7 3 9.6 5.3
9250 16.1 61.0 280 6 3 4.6 2.5 | 18.8 65.8 295 7 3 9.7 5.3
9000 16.4 61.5 275 6 3 5.0 2.7 | 19.5 67.1 290 7 3 9.7 5.3
8750 16.8 62.2 275 5 3 4.4 2.4 | 20.2 68.4 290 7 4 9.7 5.3
8500 17.0 62.6 280 4 2 2.9 1.6 | 20.9 69.6 285 7 4 9.7 5.3
8250 17.2 63.0 285 3 2 4.1 2.3 | 21.6 70.9 285 7 4 9.9 5.4
8000 17.6 63.7 290 3 1 7.3 4.0 | 22.4 72.3 280 7 4 10.0 5.5
7750 18.2 64.8 285 2 1 8.5 4.7 | 23.1 73.6 280 7 4 10.5 5.8
7500 18.8 65.8 290 2 1 8.8 4.8 | 23.9 75.0 275 7 4 11.2 6.1
7250 19.5 67.1 295 2 1 8.6 4.7 | 24.8 76.6 275 7 4 11.1 6.1
7000 20.1 68.2 300 2 1 9.9 5.5 | 25.6 78.1 275 8 4 11.1 6.1
6750 21.0 69.8 300 2 1 15.4 8.5 | 26.6 79.9 275 7 4 19.2 10.5
6500 22.5 72.5 295 2 1 23.6 12.9 | 29.2 84.6 270 7 4 57.9 31.8
07/06/2026 at 1500 MDT | 07/06/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +111.4 LI... -1.2 | CAPE... +18.0 LI... -0.4
CINH... -62.3 K Index... +25.2 | CINH... -20.7 K Index... +24.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 325 22 11 3.8 2.1 | -64.4 -83.9 325 25 13 4.8 2.7
45000 -56.6 -69.9 315 33 17 6.7 3.7 | -56.3 -69.3 315 36 18 5.5 3.0
40000 -47.5 -53.5 315 31 16 3.6 2.0 | -48.3 -54.9 310 29 15 4.4 2.4
38000 -45.3 -49.5 320 18 9 3.6 2.0 | -45.6 -50.1 310 11 6 4.5 2.4
36000 -43.1 -45.6 330 4 2 6.6 3.6 | -42.9 -45.2 130 7 4 6.6 3.6
34000 -38.0 -36.4 325 2 1 8.6 4.7 | -38.0 -36.4 160 5 3 8.2 4.5
32000 -32.8 -27.0 175 1 1 8.5 4.7 | -33.1 -27.6 200 6 3 8.2 4.5
30000 -28.2 -18.8 065 3 1 7.7 4.2 | -28.4 -19.1 205 4 2 8.0 4.4
29000 -25.9 -14.6 055 4 2 7.7 4.3 | -25.4 -13.7 210 3 1 8.0 4.4
28000 -23.2 -9.8 050 6 3 6.8 3.7 | -23.1 -9.6 230 1 1 7.0 3.9
27000 -21.1 -6.0 040 7 3 6.8 3.7 | -21.0 -5.8 325 1 1 7.1 3.9
26000 -19.1 -2.4 035 7 4 6.8 3.7 | -18.9 -2.0 350 3 2 7.1 3.9
25000 -17.1 1.2 035 8 4 6.4 3.5 | -16.9 1.6 355 5 2 6.6 3.6
24000 -15.2 4.6 035 9 4 6.3 3.5 | -14.9 5.2 350 5 3 6.5 3.5
23000 -13.3 8.1 040 9 5 6.3 3.5 | -13.0 8.6 345 5 3 6.5 3.5
22000 -11.4 11.5 040 9 5 6.0 3.3 | -11.1 12.0 340 6 3 6.0 3.3
21000 -9.7 14.5 040 6 3 6.0 3.3 | -9.4 15.1 325 7 3 5.9 3.3
20000 -8.0 17.6 035 3 2 6.1 3.3 | -7.6 18.3 315 8 4 6.0 3.3
19500 -7.1 19.2 030 2 1 6.8 3.7 | -6.8 19.8 310 9 5 6.2 3.4
19000 -6.0 21.2 000 0 0 7.9 4.4 | -5.8 21.6 305 9 5 6.7 3.7
18500 -4.9 23.2 240 1 1 7.9 4.4 | -4.9 23.2 305 9 5 6.6 3.6
18000 -3.7 25.3 230 3 1 8.6 4.7 | -3.8 25.2 300 9 5 8.6 4.7
17500 -2.4 27.7 230 3 2 8.7 4.7 | -2.6 27.3 305 9 5 8.7 4.8
17000 -1.2 29.8 225 4 2 8.8 4.8 | -1.3 29.7 305 9 5 9.0 5.0
16500 0.1 32.2 230 5 2 9.0 4.9 | 0.1 32.2 305 9 5 9.6 5.3
16000 1.5 34.7 230 5 3 9.0 5.0 | 1.6 34.9 310 9 5 9.6 5.3
15500 2.8 37.0 230 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 3.0 37.4 310 9 5 9.6 5.3
15000 4.1 39.4 235 7 3 8.9 4.9 | 4.4 39.9 315 9 5 9.6 5.3
14500 5.4 41.7 235 7 4 9.1 5.0 | 5.9 42.6 315 9 5 9.7 5.3
14000 6.8 44.2 240 8 4 9.2 5.0 | 7.3 45.1 315 9 4 9.7 5.3
13500 8.1 46.6 245 9 4 9.2 5.1 | 8.8 47.8 320 9 4 9.6 5.3
13000 9.5 49.1 245 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 10.2 50.4 320 8 4 9.5 5.2
12500 10.9 51.6 250 10 5 9.2 5.1 | 11.6 52.9 320 8 4 9.4 5.2
12000 12.2 54.0 255 11 5 9.1 5.0 | 13.0 55.4 325 8 4 9.2 5.0
11500 14.2 57.6 260 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 14.4 57.9 325 7 4 10.0 5.5
11000 15.5 59.9 265 13 7 8.7 4.8 | 16.5 61.7 330 6 3 9.3 5.1
10500 16.9 62.4 270 14 7 9.0 4.9 | 17.7 63.9 330 6 3 8.6 4.7
10250 17.5 63.5 270 14 7 8.3 4.6 | 18.4 65.1 335 5 3 9.5 5.2
10000 18.1 64.6 275 15 8 8.5 4.6 | 19.1 66.4 335 5 3 9.3 5.1
9750 18.8 65.8 275 16 8 8.5 4.7 | 19.8 67.6 340 5 2 9.3 5.1
9500 19.4 66.9 275 16 8 8.9 4.9 | 20.5 68.9 345 4 2 8.9 4.9
9250 20.1 68.2 280 17 9 8.3 4.5 | 21.1 70.0 350 4 2 8.8 4.8
9000 20.6 69.1 280 18 9 7.7 4.2 | 21.8 71.2 355 4 2 9.0 4.9
8750 21.2 70.2 280 19 10 7.7 4.3 | 22.4 72.3 005 3 2 9.0 4.9
8500 21.8 71.2 285 20 10 7.3 4.0 | 23.1 73.6 015 3 2 8.8 4.8
8250 22.3 72.1 290 21 11 7.3 4.0 | 23.8 74.8 020 3 2 9.1 5.0
8000 22.8 73.0 290 22 11 7.7 4.2 | 24.5 76.1 030 3 2 9.5 5.2
7750 23.4 74.1 290 23 12 7.5 4.1 | 25.2 77.4 040 3 2 9.5 5.2
7500 23.9 75.0 290 23 12 6.8 3.7 | 25.9 78.6 050 3 2 9.3 5.1
7250 24.4 75.9 295 24 12 7.1 3.9 | 26.5 79.7 055 3 2 9.4 5.2
7000 24.9 76.8 300 24 12 7.8 4.3 | 27.2 81.0 060 3 2 8.8 4.8
6750 25.6 78.1 300 23 12 15.3 8.4 | 27.9 82.2 065 3 2 12.2 6.7
6500 27.8 82.0 300 21 11 53.0 29.1 | 29.7 85.5 065 3 2 41.9 23.0
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
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DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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