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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0715 MDT Monday June 15 2026
This forecast is for Monday, June 15, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 72.7 F/22.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1097 ft/min (5.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18657 ft MSL (12324 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 86.0 F/30.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15761 ft MSL (9427 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 06/16...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:49:40 / 20:19:30 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 29 min 50 sec (869 min 50 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:35 MDT... 78.31 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/15/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15092 ft MSL (8759 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13581 ft MSL (7248 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15542 ft MSL (9209 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.5
K index......................... +26.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 265 48 25 1.8 1.0 78.8 173.8 28.9 M M
45000 -60.5 -76.9 260 74 38 5.4 3.0 62.9 145.3 20.9 M M
40000 -52.0 -61.6 250 79 41 8.0 4.4 54.0 129.3 16.3 M M
38000 -47.1 -52.8 250 76 39 8.0 4.4 52.3 126.1 15.5 M M
36000 -41.7 -43.1 255 73 38 7.6 4.2 51.1 123.9 15.0 M M
34000 -37.7 -35.9 255 64 33 6.6 3.6 48.2 118.8 13.4 M M
32000 -33.7 -28.7 260 55 28 6.6 3.6 46.0 114.7 12.0 M M
30000 -29.6 -21.3 265 50 26 6.9 3.8 43.5 110.4 10.4 M M
29000 -27.6 -17.7 265 48 25 6.9 3.8 42.5 108.5 9.6 M M
28000 -25.5 -13.9 265 46 24 7.1 3.9 41.5 106.8 9.0 M M
27000 -23.4 -10.1 265 41 21 7.2 4.0 40.5 104.8 8.2 M M
26000 -21.2 -6.2 270 36 18 7.2 4.0 39.5 103.1 7.5 M M
25000 -19.0 -2.2 275 31 16 7.3 4.0 38.7 101.7 6.9 M M
24000 -17.1 1.2 280 28 15 6.4 3.5 37.5 99.4 6.0 M M
23000 -15.2 4.6 280 26 14 6.4 3.5 36.2 97.2 5.0 M M
22000 -13.4 7.9 285 24 13 6.4 3.5 35.1 95.2 4.0 M M
21000 -11.6 11.1 285 23 12 5.8 3.2 33.7 92.6 2.8 M M
20000 -9.5 14.9 290 22 11 5.8 3.2 32.0 89.5 1.3 M M
19500 -8.7 16.3 290 22 11 6.1 3.3 31.3 88.4 0.8 M M
19000 -7.7 18.1 290 21 11 6.8 3.7 30.8 87.4 0.2 M M
18500 -6.7 19.9 295 21 11 6.8 3.8 30.3 86.5 -0.2 1074 5.5
18000 -5.8 21.6 295 22 11 6.1 3.4 29.8 85.6 -0.8 1031 5.2
17500 -4.9 23.2 295 22 11 6.1 3.3 29.1 84.4 -1.4 990 5.0
17000 -4.1 24.6 295 22 11 6.4 3.5 28.5 83.3 -2.0 950 4.8
16500 -3.0 26.6 295 22 11 7.3 4.0 28.0 82.5 -2.4 904 4.6
16000 -2.0 28.4 295 22 11 7.2 4.0 27.6 81.7 -2.8 858 4.4
15500 -0.9 30.4 295 21 11 8.3 4.6 27.3 81.2 -3.2 810 4.1
15000 0.3 32.5 295 20 10 8.3 4.5 27.1 80.7 -3.5 759 3.9
14500 1.5 34.7 295 18 9 8.0 4.4 26.8 80.3 -3.8 708 3.6
14000 2.7 36.9 295 16 8 8.0 4.4 26.5 79.7 -4.1 659 3.3
13500 3.8 38.8 295 14 7 7.7 4.2 26.2 79.2 -4.4 610 3.1
13000 4.9 40.8 290 13 7 7.5 4.1 25.9 78.5 -4.9 563 2.9
12500 6.0 42.8 285 12 6 7.5 4.1 25.5 77.9 -5.3 516 2.6
12000 7.1 44.8 280 11 6 7.6 4.2 25.2 77.3 -5.7 468 2.4
11500 8.2 46.8 275 11 5 7.2 3.9 24.8 76.7 -6.0 420 2.1
11000 9.2 48.6 275 10 5 7.6 4.2 24.4 76.0 -6.5 374 1.9
10500 10.3 50.5 270 10 5 7.3 4.0 24.1 75.4 -6.9 327 1.7
10250 10.8 51.4 270 9 5 6.6 3.6 23.9 75.0 -7.1 305 1.5
10000 11.2 52.2 270 9 5 6.3 3.5 23.6 74.5 -7.4 283 1.4
9750 11.7 53.1 270 9 4 6.5 3.6 23.3 74.0 -7.7 262 1.3
9500 12.2 54.0 270 8 4 6.0 3.3 23.1 73.6 -8.0 241 1.2
9250 12.6 54.7 270 8 4 5.5 3.0 22.8 73.0 -8.3 221 1.1
9000 12.9 55.2 265 7 4 4.5 2.5 22.4 72.4 -8.7 203 1.0
8750 13.2 55.8 260 7 4 4.1 2.2 22.0 71.6 -9.2 187 0.9
8500 13.5 56.3 255 7 3 2.7 1.5 21.5 70.8 -9.7 171 0.9
8250 13.6 56.5 245 6 3 1.0 0.6 20.9 69.6 -10.4 162 0.8
8000 13.6 56.5 235 6 3 1.2 0.6 20.2 68.4 -11.1 154 0.8
7750 13.6 56.5 225 7 3 0.8 0.5 19.6 67.2 -11.8 146 0.7
7500 13.6 56.5 215 7 4 1.7 0.9 18.9 66.1 -12.6 138 0.7
7250 13.8 56.8 210 7 4 2.4 1.3 18.4 65.0 -13.2 126 0.6
7000 13.9 57.0 205 7 4 2.6 1.4 17.8 64.0 -13.8 115 0.6
6750 14.0 57.2 200 8 4 1.6 0.9 17.2 63.0 -14.5 104 0.5
6500 14.0 57.2 195 7 4 -2.1 -1.1 16.5 61.7 -15.3 98 0.5
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/15/2026 at 0900 MDT | 06/15/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +217.0 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +320.6 LI... -2.1
CINH... -58.7 K Index... +24.1 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... +23.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.1 -85.2 270 45 23 2.9 1.6 | -64.8 -84.6 260 46 24 2.2 1.2
45000 -59.9 -75.8 260 70 36 4.5 2.5 | -60.2 -76.4 255 70 36 4.9 2.7
40000 -52.6 -62.7 250 78 40 8.1 4.4 | -52.4 -62.3 250 77 39 7.7 4.2
38000 -47.7 -53.9 250 76 39 8.2 4.5 | -47.7 -53.9 255 73 37 7.7 4.3
36000 -42.1 -43.8 255 74 38 7.7 4.2 | -42.5 -44.5 260 69 35 7.6 4.2
34000 -38.0 -36.4 260 64 33 6.9 3.8 | -38.1 -36.6 265 61 31 7.4 4.0
32000 -33.8 -28.8 265 55 28 6.9 3.8 | -33.6 -28.5 270 53 27 7.5 4.1
30000 -29.7 -21.5 265 48 25 7.0 3.8 | -29.8 -21.6 270 45 23 6.3 3.4
29000 -27.6 -17.7 265 45 23 7.0 3.8 | -27.9 -18.2 270 41 21 6.3 3.4
28000 -25.5 -13.9 265 42 22 6.8 3.7 | -26.0 -14.8 275 37 19 6.8 3.7
27000 -23.5 -10.3 270 37 19 6.7 3.7 | -23.9 -11.0 275 34 17 7.0 3.8
26000 -21.6 -6.9 270 33 17 6.8 3.7 | -21.8 -7.2 275 31 16 7.0 3.8
25000 -19.6 -3.3 275 28 14 6.8 3.7 | -19.7 -3.5 280 28 14 7.0 3.9
24000 -17.5 0.5 280 26 13 7.0 3.8 | -17.5 0.5 280 26 13 7.2 4.0
23000 -15.5 4.1 280 25 13 7.0 3.8 | -15.4 4.3 280 25 13 7.2 4.0
22000 -13.4 7.9 285 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -13.2 8.2 285 24 12 7.0 3.8
21000 -11.4 11.5 295 22 11 6.5 3.6 | -11.5 11.3 290 23 12 5.8 3.2
20000 -9.0 15.8 300 22 11 6.5 3.6 | -9.4 15.1 295 21 11 6.0 3.3
19500 -8.1 17.4 305 21 11 6.8 3.7 | -8.6 16.5 295 20 10 6.3 3.5
19000 -7.0 19.4 310 21 11 7.6 4.2 | -7.6 18.3 300 21 11 6.8 3.7
18500 -5.9 21.4 310 20 10 7.6 4.2 | -6.6 20.1 305 21 11 6.7 3.7
18000 -4.8 23.4 310 20 10 7.0 3.8 | -5.5 22.1 310 21 11 7.4 4.1
17500 -3.8 25.2 310 20 10 6.9 3.8 | -4.5 23.9 315 20 11 7.5 4.1
17000 -2.8 27.0 310 21 11 6.1 3.3 | -3.4 25.9 315 20 10 7.2 4.0
16500 -2.2 28.0 310 20 11 4.3 2.3 | -2.4 27.7 320 19 10 6.7 3.7
16000 -1.6 29.1 310 20 10 4.3 2.4 | -1.4 29.5 320 19 10 6.8 3.7
15500 -1.0 30.2 305 20 10 4.6 2.5 | -0.5 31.1 325 19 10 6.7 3.7
15000 -0.4 31.3 305 19 10 4.5 2.5 | 0.5 32.9 325 19 10 6.8 3.7
14500 0.4 32.7 305 18 9 7.4 4.0 | 1.4 34.5 325 18 9 6.2 3.4
14000 1.5 34.7 300 17 9 8.0 4.4 | 2.2 36.0 320 17 9 6.3 3.5
13500 2.7 36.9 300 16 8 8.8 4.8 | 3.0 37.4 315 15 8 7.9 4.3
13000 4.1 39.4 300 15 8 9.3 5.1 | 4.3 39.7 310 14 7 9.0 4.9
12500 5.5 41.9 300 14 7 9.2 5.1 | 5.6 42.1 310 14 7 9.2 5.1
12000 6.8 44.2 300 13 7 8.9 4.9 | 7.0 44.6 305 14 7 9.4 5.2
11500 8.1 46.6 295 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 8.4 47.1 305 13 7 9.4 5.1
11000 9.3 48.7 295 11 6 7.8 4.3 | 9.8 49.6 305 13 7 9.4 5.2
10500 10.4 50.7 290 9 5 7.1 3.9 | 11.2 52.2 305 13 7 9.4 5.2
10250 10.8 51.4 290 9 5 6.0 3.3 | 11.9 53.4 300 13 7 9.6 5.3
10000 11.3 52.3 285 9 4 6.4 3.5 | 12.6 54.7 300 13 7 9.9 5.4
9750 11.7 53.1 280 8 4 6.7 3.7 | 13.3 55.9 300 13 7 9.8 5.4
9500 12.2 54.0 275 8 4 6.1 3.4 | 14.1 57.4 300 13 6 10.0 5.5
9250 12.6 54.7 270 8 4 5.9 3.2 | 14.8 58.6 300 13 6 10.4 5.7
9000 13.0 55.4 270 8 4 4.6 2.5 | 15.6 60.1 300 12 6 9.9 5.4
8750 13.2 55.8 265 8 4 2.7 1.5 | 16.3 61.3 300 12 6 9.2 5.1
8500 13.4 56.1 265 8 4 4.3 2.4 | 17.0 62.6 295 12 6 9.9 5.4
8250 13.7 56.7 265 8 4 5.4 3.0 | 17.8 64.0 295 12 6 10.5 5.7
8000 14.1 57.4 265 7 4 5.3 2.9 | 18.5 65.3 295 12 6 10.1 5.5
7750 14.5 58.1 265 7 3 6.4 3.5 | 19.3 66.7 295 12 6 9.5 5.2
7500 15.0 59.0 265 6 3 8.8 4.9 | 20.0 68.0 295 12 6 10.3 5.7
7250 15.7 60.3 265 6 3 10.3 5.6 | 20.8 69.4 295 12 6 11.4 6.3
7000 16.4 61.5 265 6 3 9.4 5.1 | 21.6 70.9 295 11 6 10.1 5.5
6750 17.2 63.0 265 5 3 11.2 6.1 | 22.4 72.3 290 11 6 13.2 7.2
6500 18.2 64.8 260 5 3 16.3 9.0 | 23.8 74.8 290 11 6 24.4 13.4
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/15/2026 at 1500 MDT | 06/15/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +110.7 LI... -1.4 | CAPE... +38.9 LI... -0.2
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +26.1 | CINH... -5.3 K Index... +23.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.3 -83.7 255 50 26 3.2 1.8 | -64.3 -83.7 265 49 25 4.3 2.3
45000 -59.1 -74.4 260 69 36 4.1 2.3 | -58.1 -72.6 260 66 34 3.6 2.0
40000 -52.3 -62.1 245 80 41 7.4 4.1 | -52.2 -62.0 250 80 41 7.1 3.9
38000 -47.2 -53.0 255 74 38 7.5 4.1 | -47.4 -53.3 260 73 37 7.2 3.9
36000 -42.7 -44.9 260 71 36 7.4 4.1 | -43.0 -45.4 270 68 35 7.1 3.9
34000 -38.4 -37.1 265 60 31 7.2 3.9 | -38.9 -38.0 270 56 29 6.9 3.8
32000 -34.1 -29.4 270 50 26 7.2 4.0 | -34.8 -30.6 280 45 23 6.8 3.8
30000 -30.0 -22.0 275 43 22 6.6 3.6 | -30.5 -22.9 285 39 20 7.2 4.0
29000 -28.0 -18.4 280 39 20 6.6 3.6 | -28.3 -18.9 285 36 19 7.2 4.0
28000 -26.0 -14.8 285 37 19 7.1 3.9 | -26.1 -15.0 290 34 17 7.0 3.8
27000 -23.8 -10.8 285 35 18 7.3 4.0 | -24.1 -11.4 290 31 16 6.9 3.8
26000 -21.6 -6.9 285 33 17 7.3 4.0 | -22.0 -7.6 290 29 15 6.9 3.8
25000 -19.4 -2.9 285 31 16 7.3 4.0 | -20.0 -4.0 295 27 14 6.9 3.8
24000 -17.3 0.9 285 29 15 7.0 3.8 | -17.8 -0.0 295 27 14 7.5 4.1
23000 -15.2 4.6 290 27 14 7.0 3.8 | -15.5 4.1 300 28 14 7.5 4.1
22000 -13.1 8.4 290 25 13 6.8 3.7 | -13.3 8.1 300 29 15 7.4 4.1
21000 -11.5 11.3 290 25 13 5.3 2.9 | -10.9 12.4 310 28 15 6.6 3.6
20000 -9.6 14.7 290 25 13 5.6 3.1 | -9.0 15.8 315 28 14 6.7 3.7
19500 -8.8 16.2 295 24 13 6.0 3.3 | -8.0 17.6 320 28 14 6.6 3.6
19000 -7.9 17.8 295 24 13 6.9 3.8 | -7.1 19.2 320 27 14 6.1 3.4
18500 -6.9 19.6 300 24 13 6.9 3.8 | -6.3 20.7 325 26 14 6.1 3.3
18000 -5.9 21.4 300 24 12 7.6 4.2 | -5.3 22.5 325 25 13 8.2 4.5
17500 -4.8 23.4 305 23 12 7.7 4.2 | -4.1 24.6 325 24 13 8.5 4.7
17000 -3.7 25.3 310 23 12 7.9 4.3 | -2.8 27.0 320 23 12 8.8 4.8
16500 -2.6 27.3 310 21 11 8.2 4.5 | -1.5 29.3 320 23 12 9.3 5.1
16000 -1.4 29.5 310 20 10 8.1 4.4 | -0.1 31.8 315 22 11 9.3 5.1
15500 -0.1 31.8 310 19 10 9.7 5.3 | 1.3 34.3 315 22 11 9.8 5.3
15000 1.3 34.3 310 18 9 9.6 5.3 | 2.8 37.0 315 22 11 9.7 5.3
14500 2.7 36.9 310 18 9 9.4 5.2 | 4.2 39.6 310 21 11 9.7 5.3
14000 4.1 39.4 310 17 9 9.4 5.1 | 5.7 42.3 310 21 11 9.6 5.3
13500 5.5 41.9 310 17 9 9.4 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 310 21 11 9.6 5.3
13000 6.9 44.4 305 17 9 9.4 5.2 | 8.5 47.3 305 21 11 9.6 5.3
12500 8.3 46.9 305 17 9 9.6 5.2 | 10.0 50.0 305 21 11 9.7 5.3
12000 9.8 49.6 305 16 8 9.8 5.4 | 11.4 52.5 300 21 11 10.0 5.5
11500 11.2 52.2 305 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 12.9 55.2 300 21 11 9.7 5.3
11000 12.6 54.7 305 16 8 9.3 5.1 | 14.3 57.7 295 21 11 9.4 5.1
10500 14.0 57.2 305 16 8 9.9 5.4 | 15.7 60.3 295 21 11 9.6 5.3
10250 14.8 58.6 300 16 8 10.1 5.6 | 16.5 61.7 295 21 11 9.9 5.5
10000 15.5 59.9 300 16 8 9.5 5.2 | 17.2 63.0 290 21 11 9.9 5.4
9750 16.2 61.2 300 16 8 9.5 5.2 | 18.0 64.4 290 21 11 9.9 5.4
9500 16.9 62.4 300 15 8 10.0 5.5 | 18.7 65.7 290 21 11 10.0 5.5
9250 17.7 63.9 300 15 8 11.0 6.0 | 19.5 67.1 290 21 11 10.2 5.6
9000 18.5 65.3 295 15 8 10.0 5.5 | 20.2 68.4 285 21 11 9.7 5.3
8750 19.2 66.6 295 15 8 8.9 4.9 | 20.9 69.6 285 21 11 9.1 5.0
8500 19.9 67.8 295 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 21.6 70.9 285 21 11 9.4 5.1
8250 20.6 69.1 295 15 8 10.1 5.5 | 22.3 72.1 280 21 11 9.8 5.4
8000 21.4 70.5 295 15 8 10.1 5.6 | 23.0 73.4 280 21 11 9.9 5.4
7750 22.1 71.8 290 15 8 9.8 5.4 | 23.8 74.8 280 21 11 9.7 5.3
7500 22.9 73.2 290 15 8 10.4 5.7 | 24.5 76.1 275 21 11 9.8 5.4
7250 23.7 74.7 290 15 8 11.2 6.1 | 25.2 77.4 275 21 11 9.9 5.4
7000 24.5 76.1 290 14 7 10.7 5.9 | 26.0 78.8 275 20 11 10.0 5.5
6750 25.3 77.5 290 14 7 11.6 6.3 | 26.7 80.1 270 20 10 9.8 5.4
6500 26.4 79.5 290 14 7 19.5 10.7 | 27.5 81.5 270 20 10 12.1 6.6
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0717 MDT Monday June 15 2026
This forecast is for Monday, June 15, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 75.3 F/24.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1139 ft/min (5.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18584 ft MSL (12895 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1000 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15369 ft MSL (9680 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 06/16...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:52:00 / 20:22:09 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 30 min 10 sec (870 min 10 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:07:04 MDT... 78.19 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/15/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15046 ft MSL (9357 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13001 ft MSL (7312 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15053 ft MSL (9364 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.5
K index......................... +27.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.2 -83.6 270 49 25 1.0 0.5 82.3 180.2 29.8 M M
45000 -60.8 -77.4 260 75 38 5.1 2.8 64.8 148.7 20.9 M M
40000 -52.6 -62.7 245 79 41 8.4 4.6 55.4 131.7 15.9 M M
38000 -46.9 -52.4 250 76 39 8.5 4.6 53.9 128.9 15.4 M M
36000 -41.9 -43.4 250 74 38 8.1 4.4 53.1 127.6 15.2 M M
34000 -37.9 -36.2 255 64 33 6.5 3.6 50.2 122.4 13.5 M M
32000 -34.0 -29.2 260 54 28 6.4 3.5 47.8 118.1 12.0 M M
30000 -30.0 -22.0 265 48 25 6.9 3.8 45.4 113.7 10.4 M M
29000 -27.9 -18.2 265 46 24 7.0 3.8 44.3 111.8 9.7 M M
28000 -25.8 -14.4 265 43 22 7.0 3.9 43.4 110.1 9.1 M M
27000 -23.7 -10.7 270 39 20 7.1 3.9 42.2 108.0 8.2 M M
26000 -21.6 -6.9 270 35 18 7.1 3.9 41.2 106.2 7.5 M M
25000 -19.5 -3.1 275 30 16 7.2 3.9 40.3 104.6 6.9 M M
24000 -17.1 1.2 280 26 14 6.6 3.6 38.9 102.0 5.7 M M
23000 -15.1 4.8 285 24 12 6.6 3.6 37.7 99.9 4.8 M M
22000 -13.2 8.2 290 21 11 6.1 3.4 36.7 98.1 3.9 M M
21000 -11.5 11.3 295 22 11 5.7 3.1 35.2 95.4 2.6 M M
20000 -9.9 14.2 295 22 12 5.8 3.2 33.8 92.9 1.4 M M
19500 -9.0 15.8 300 23 12 5.8 3.2 33.2 91.7 0.9 M M
19000 -8.1 17.4 300 24 12 7.0 3.9 32.6 90.7 0.4 M M
18500 -7.1 19.2 300 25 13 7.0 3.8 32.1 89.8 -0.1 1129 5.7
18000 -6.1 21.0 300 26 13 6.8 3.8 31.7 89.0 -0.5 1084 5.5
17500 -5.1 22.8 300 26 14 6.8 3.7 31.1 88.1 -1.0 1040 5.3
17000 -4.1 24.6 300 27 14 6.8 3.7 30.6 87.2 -1.5 996 5.1
16500 -3.1 26.4 300 27 14 7.1 3.9 30.2 86.3 -2.0 951 4.8
16000 -2.1 28.2 295 26 13 7.1 3.9 29.7 85.5 -2.4 905 4.6
15500 -1.0 30.2 295 25 13 7.4 4.0 29.3 84.8 -2.9 859 4.4
15000 0.0 32.0 295 24 12 7.4 4.1 28.9 84.1 -3.3 813 4.1
14500 1.1 34.0 295 23 12 7.7 4.2 28.6 83.4 -3.7 766 3.9
14000 2.3 36.1 295 21 11 8.0 4.4 28.2 82.8 -4.0 716 3.6
13500 3.4 38.1 295 20 10 8.2 4.5 28.0 82.3 -4.3 667 3.4
13000 4.7 40.5 295 18 9 8.8 4.8 27.8 82.0 -4.5 614 3.1
12500 6.0 42.8 295 16 8 8.7 4.8 27.6 81.7 -4.7 561 2.8
12000 7.2 45.0 295 13 7 8.1 4.5 27.4 81.3 -5.0 509 2.6
11500 8.4 47.1 300 10 5 8.1 4.5 27.2 80.9 -5.3 459 2.3
11000 9.5 49.1 300 8 4 7.1 3.9 26.8 80.3 -5.7 411 2.1
10500 10.5 50.9 295 6 3 7.6 4.2 26.4 79.5 -6.1 366 1.9
10250 11.0 51.8 290 5 3 6.7 3.7 26.2 79.2 -6.3 342 1.7
10000 11.4 52.5 280 5 3 5.3 2.9 25.9 78.6 -6.7 323 1.6
9750 11.8 53.2 270 5 3 6.3 3.5 25.6 78.1 -7.1 304 1.5
9500 12.2 54.0 255 5 3 3.8 2.1 25.3 77.5 -7.4 286 1.5
9250 12.5 54.5 235 6 3 4.2 2.3 24.2 75.6 -8.6 260 1.3
9000 12.8 55.0 225 6 3 3.9 2.1 23.8 74.8 -9.1 245 1.2
8750 13.0 55.4 220 7 3 3.7 2.0 23.3 74.0 -9.6 231 1.2
8500 13.3 55.9 210 7 4 3.8 2.1 22.9 73.2 -10.1 216 1.1
8250 13.6 56.5 205 7 4 4.5 2.5 22.4 72.4 -10.5 200 1.0
8000 13.9 57.0 205 7 4 4.5 2.5 22.0 71.7 -11.0 183 0.9
7750 14.2 57.6 200 7 4 5.0 2.8 21.7 71.0 -11.4 167 0.8
7500 14.6 58.3 200 7 4 5.5 3.0 21.3 70.4 -11.8 148 0.8
7250 14.9 58.8 200 7 3 4.5 2.4 21.0 69.8 -12.2 130 0.7
7000 15.2 59.4 195 6 3 3.9 2.1 20.5 69.0 -12.7 115 0.6
6750 15.5 59.9 195 6 3 4.9 2.7 20.1 68.2 -13.2 99 0.5
6500 15.8 60.4 195 6 3 5.4 3.0 19.8 67.6 -13.5 80 0.4
6250 16.2 61.2 195 5 3 5.4 3.0 19.5 67.1 -13.9 61 0.3
6000 16.6 61.9 195 5 3 3.5 1.9 19.1 66.4 -14.4 44 0.2
5750 16.3 61.3 195 4 2 -11.3 -6.2 18.2 64.8 -15.3 43 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/15/2026 at 0900 MDT | 06/15/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +310.5 LI... -2.0 | CAPE... +543.0 LI... -3.3
CINH... -79.6 K Index... +23.9 | CINH... -13.9 K Index... +25.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.9 -84.8 265 47 24 2.2 1.2 | -64.1 -83.4 260 45 23 1.9 1.0
45000 -60.4 -76.7 255 71 37 4.7 2.6 | -60.1 -76.2 255 70 36 4.6 2.5
40000 -52.7 -62.9 250 77 40 8.2 4.5 | -52.7 -62.9 250 76 39 7.4 4.1
38000 -47.1 -52.8 250 75 39 8.3 4.5 | -47.6 -53.7 255 71 37 7.5 4.1
36000 -42.1 -43.8 255 74 38 7.9 4.3 | -43.0 -45.4 260 67 35 7.6 4.2
34000 -38.1 -36.6 260 63 32 6.7 3.7 | -38.5 -37.3 265 59 31 7.7 4.2
32000 -34.1 -29.4 270 52 27 6.7 3.7 | -33.9 -29.0 270 52 27 7.8 4.3
30000 -30.2 -22.4 270 44 23 6.5 3.6 | -30.1 -22.2 275 44 22 6.1 3.3
29000 -28.2 -18.8 270 40 21 6.6 3.6 | -28.2 -18.8 275 40 20 6.1 3.3
28000 -26.3 -15.3 270 36 19 6.9 3.8 | -26.4 -15.5 275 36 18 6.8 3.7
27000 -24.1 -11.4 270 32 17 7.2 3.9 | -24.2 -11.6 275 33 17 7.3 4.0
26000 -22.0 -7.6 275 28 15 7.2 3.9 | -22.0 -7.6 275 31 16 7.3 4.0
25000 -19.8 -3.6 280 24 13 7.2 3.9 | -19.8 -3.6 280 28 15 7.3 4.0
24000 -17.7 0.1 285 23 12 7.4 4.0 | -17.1 1.2 280 26 13 7.3 4.0
23000 -15.0 5.0 285 22 12 7.4 4.1 | -14.9 5.2 285 24 13 7.3 4.0
22000 -12.8 9.0 290 22 11 6.6 3.6 | -12.8 9.0 285 23 12 6.0 3.3
21000 -11.0 12.2 295 21 11 6.2 3.4 | -11.2 11.8 285 22 11 5.4 3.0
20000 -9.2 15.4 300 21 11 6.3 3.5 | -9.7 14.5 285 21 11 5.7 3.1
19500 -8.3 17.1 300 20 10 6.5 3.5 | -8.9 16.0 285 21 11 6.0 3.3
19000 -7.3 18.9 305 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -8.0 17.6 290 21 11 6.5 3.6
18500 -6.2 20.8 310 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -7.1 19.2 295 21 11 6.5 3.6
18000 -5.2 22.6 310 20 11 6.7 3.7 | -6.1 21.0 295 21 11 7.0 3.8
17500 -4.3 24.3 315 22 11 6.6 3.6 | -5.1 22.8 305 20 11 7.1 3.9
17000 -3.3 26.1 315 23 12 6.6 3.6 | -4.0 24.8 310 20 11 7.3 4.0
16500 -2.4 27.7 320 24 12 6.5 3.6 | -2.9 26.8 310 20 10 7.8 4.3
16000 -1.4 29.5 320 25 13 6.5 3.6 | -1.8 28.8 315 20 10 7.8 4.3
15500 -0.5 31.1 320 25 13 7.1 3.9 | -0.7 30.7 320 19 10 7.6 4.2
15000 0.5 32.9 320 25 13 7.1 3.9 | 0.4 32.7 320 19 10 7.6 4.2
14500 1.5 34.7 315 25 13 6.2 3.4 | 1.5 34.7 320 19 10 7.9 4.3
14000 2.3 36.1 315 23 12 5.8 3.2 | 2.7 36.9 320 19 10 8.1 4.4
13500 3.1 37.6 310 22 11 6.5 3.6 | 3.8 38.8 320 19 10 8.2 4.5
13000 4.2 39.6 305 21 11 7.7 4.2 | 5.1 41.2 320 19 10 8.4 4.6
12500 5.3 41.5 305 20 10 7.9 4.4 | 6.3 43.3 320 19 10 8.5 4.6
12000 6.5 43.7 300 19 10 8.8 4.8 | 7.5 45.5 315 19 10 8.8 4.8
11500 7.8 46.0 300 18 9 8.8 4.8 | 8.8 47.8 315 18 9 8.5 4.7
11000 9.1 48.4 295 17 9 8.5 4.6 | 9.8 49.6 315 16 8 6.7 3.7
10500 10.3 50.5 295 16 8 9.3 5.1 | 10.8 51.4 310 14 7 7.7 4.2
10250 11.0 51.8 295 15 8 8.6 4.7 | 11.3 52.3 310 13 7 7.4 4.0
10000 11.5 52.7 290 14 7 6.9 3.8 | 11.8 53.2 310 12 6 6.6 3.6
9750 12.0 53.6 285 13 7 7.7 4.2 | 12.2 54.0 305 10 5 6.8 3.7
9500 12.6 54.7 285 12 6 6.3 3.4 | 12.7 54.9 300 9 5 7.2 4.0
9250 12.9 55.2 280 11 6 4.6 2.5 | 13.2 55.8 295 8 4 8.8 4.8
9000 13.2 55.8 275 10 5 4.6 2.5 | 13.9 57.0 295 8 4 9.3 5.1
8750 13.5 56.3 270 9 5 5.0 2.7 | 15.2 59.4 290 7 4 8.6 4.7
8500 13.9 57.0 255 7 4 2.5 1.4 | 15.9 60.6 285 7 3 9.0 5.0
8250 14.1 57.4 245 6 3 3.5 1.9 | 16.6 61.9 285 6 3 10.3 5.7
8000 14.3 57.7 235 6 3 3.6 2.0 | 17.3 63.1 280 6 3 10.5 5.8
7750 14.5 58.1 225 5 3 3.7 2.0 | 18.1 64.6 280 6 3 9.2 5.1
7500 14.7 58.5 215 5 2 4.5 2.5 | 18.7 65.7 280 6 3 8.5 4.7
7250 15.2 59.4 205 4 2 7.9 4.3 | 19.4 66.9 275 6 3 10.8 5.9
7000 15.8 60.4 205 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 20.3 68.5 275 5 3 11.5 6.3
6750 16.5 61.7 200 4 2 9.3 5.1 | 21.1 70.0 270 5 3 10.4 5.7
6500 17.2 63.0 200 4 2 9.5 5.2 | 21.8 71.2 270 5 3 10.2 5.6
6250 17.9 64.2 200 3 2 9.2 5.1 | 22.6 72.7 270 5 3 9.5 5.2
6000 18.7 65.7 195 3 2 12.4 6.8 | 23.4 74.1 270 5 2 13.7 7.5
5750 20.2 68.4 200 3 2 32.7 18.0 | 25.4 77.7 265 5 2 50.8 27.9
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
06/15/2026 at 1500 MDT | 06/15/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +261.3 LI... -2.4 | CAPE... +119.3 LI... -1.3
CINH... -0.9 K Index... +29.8 | CINH... -13.3 K Index... +25.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.0 -83.2 260 48 25 3.1 1.7 | -64.1 -83.4 260 48 25 3.3 1.8
45000 -59.0 -74.2 255 69 36 3.9 2.1 | -58.9 -74.0 255 62 32 3.9 2.2
40000 -52.1 -61.8 250 76 39 7.4 4.1 | -51.9 -61.4 250 68 35 7.2 4.0
38000 -47.7 -53.9 255 71 37 7.4 4.1 | -47.6 -53.7 255 63 33 7.2 4.0
36000 -43.2 -45.8 260 68 35 7.4 4.0 | -43.3 -45.9 265 60 31 7.2 4.0
34000 -38.9 -38.0 265 58 30 7.2 4.0 | -38.9 -38.0 270 51 26 7.3 4.0
32000 -34.5 -30.1 270 47 24 7.2 4.0 | -34.5 -30.1 280 42 22 7.3 4.0
30000 -30.3 -22.5 275 40 21 7.0 3.8 | -30.0 -22.0 285 38 19 7.6 4.2
29000 -28.2 -18.8 280 38 19 7.0 3.8 | -27.7 -17.9 285 36 18 7.6 4.2
28000 -26.1 -15.0 285 35 18 7.0 3.9 | -25.5 -13.9 290 34 18 6.9 3.8
27000 -24.0 -11.2 285 32 17 7.1 3.9 | -23.6 -10.5 290 31 16 6.2 3.4
26000 -21.9 -7.4 285 30 15 7.1 3.9 | -21.7 -7.1 290 29 15 6.3 3.4
25000 -19.2 -2.6 290 27 14 7.3 4.0 | -19.9 -3.8 295 26 13 6.2 3.4
24000 -17.0 1.4 290 26 13 7.6 4.2 | -17.4 0.7 290 26 13 6.9 3.8
23000 -14.7 5.5 295 25 13 7.6 4.2 | -15.3 4.5 290 27 14 7.0 3.8
22000 -12.5 9.5 295 24 12 5.9 3.2 | -13.3 8.1 290 28 14 6.7 3.7
21000 -11.1 12.0 295 25 13 5.1 2.8 | -11.4 11.5 300 27 14 6.7 3.6
20000 -9.7 14.5 295 27 14 5.4 3.0 | -9.6 14.7 305 27 14 6.8 3.7
19500 -9.0 15.8 295 27 14 6.0 3.3 | -8.6 16.5 310 28 14 7.0 3.8
19000 -8.0 17.6 300 28 14 8.2 4.5 | -7.6 18.3 310 27 14 7.4 4.1
18500 -6.8 19.8 300 28 14 8.1 4.5 | -6.5 20.3 315 27 14 7.4 4.1
18000 -5.6 21.9 300 28 14 7.6 4.2 | -5.5 22.1 320 26 13 7.8 4.3
17500 -4.6 23.7 305 27 14 7.4 4.1 | -4.3 24.3 320 26 13 7.9 4.3
17000 -3.5 25.7 305 27 14 7.5 4.1 | -3.1 26.4 320 26 13 8.2 4.5
16500 -2.4 27.7 305 26 13 7.8 4.3 | -1.8 28.8 320 25 13 9.8 5.4
16000 -1.3 29.7 305 25 13 7.8 4.3 | -0.3 31.5 320 25 13 9.7 5.3
15500 -0.2 31.6 305 23 12 8.2 4.5 | 1.1 34.0 320 25 13 9.8 5.4
15000 1.0 33.8 305 22 11 8.2 4.5 | 2.6 36.7 320 24 12 9.8 5.4
14500 2.2 36.0 305 20 10 8.8 4.8 | 4.1 39.4 320 24 12 9.6 5.3
14000 3.6 38.5 305 19 10 9.1 5.0 | 5.5 41.9 320 23 12 9.5 5.2
13500 4.9 40.8 305 18 9 9.2 5.1 | 6.9 44.4 320 22 11 9.4 5.2
13000 6.3 43.3 305 17 9 9.5 5.2 | 8.3 46.9 320 21 11 9.3 5.1
12500 7.7 45.9 305 17 9 9.5 5.2 | 9.7 49.5 320 19 10 9.3 5.1
12000 9.2 48.6 300 16 8 9.7 5.3 | 11.1 52.0 315 18 9 9.4 5.2
11500 10.6 51.1 300 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 12.5 54.5 315 16 8 9.5 5.2
11000 12.0 53.6 300 15 7 9.3 5.1 | 13.8 56.8 310 15 8 8.6 4.7
10500 13.4 56.1 300 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 15.2 59.4 310 14 7 10.0 5.5
10250 14.1 57.4 300 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 15.9 60.6 305 13 7 9.5 5.2
10000 14.9 58.8 300 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 16.6 61.9 305 12 6 8.9 4.9
9750 15.6 60.1 295 13 6 9.8 5.4 | 17.2 63.0 300 12 6 9.0 4.9
9500 16.3 61.3 295 12 6 9.6 5.2 | 17.9 64.2 300 11 6 9.2 5.1
9250 17.7 63.9 295 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 18.6 65.5 295 11 6 9.3 5.1
9000 18.5 65.3 290 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 19.3 66.7 290 11 5 8.9 4.9
8750 19.2 66.6 290 10 5 8.8 4.8 | 20.6 69.1 285 10 5 7.7 4.2
8500 19.8 67.6 290 10 5 9.2 5.0 | 21.1 70.0 285 10 5 8.0 4.4
8250 20.6 69.1 290 9 5 10.6 5.8 | 21.8 71.2 280 10 5 9.9 5.5
8000 21.3 70.3 285 9 5 10.4 5.7 | 22.5 72.5 275 10 5 9.6 5.3
7750 22.1 71.8 285 9 4 10.0 5.5 | 23.2 73.8 270 10 5 9.1 5.0
7500 22.8 73.0 280 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 23.8 74.8 265 10 5 7.9 4.3
7250 23.6 74.5 280 8 4 10.3 5.7 | 24.4 75.9 260 10 5 8.9 4.9
7000 24.4 75.9 275 7 4 10.6 5.8 | 25.1 77.2 260 10 5 9.8 5.4
6750 25.1 77.2 275 7 4 10.5 5.7 | 25.9 78.6 255 10 5 9.4 5.1
6500 25.9 78.6 270 7 3 10.8 5.9 | 26.5 79.7 255 10 5 9.3 5.1
6250 26.7 80.1 270 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 27.2 81.0 250 10 5 8.9 4.9
6000 27.5 81.5 265 6 3 13.6 7.5 | 27.9 82.2 250 10 5 11.8 6.5
5750 29.6 85.3 260 5 3 55.8 30.6 | 29.4 84.9 245 9 5 34.0 18.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0716 MDT Monday June 15 2026
This forecast is for Monday, June 15, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 71.7 F/22.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1013 ft/min (5.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 17920 ft MSL (11461 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 84.0 F/29.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15788 ft MSL (9330 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Tuesday 06/16...... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:48:17 / 20:21:39 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 33 min 22 sec (873 min 22 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:58 MDT... 77.67 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/15/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14735 ft MSL (8276 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13602 ft MSL (7143 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15579 ft MSL (9121 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -4.5
K index......................... +28.4
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.9 -83.0 275 53 27 1.1 0.6 80.2 176.4 30.4 M M
45000 -60.5 -76.9 260 78 40 4.9 2.7 62.9 145.2 21.5 M M
40000 -52.7 -62.9 250 84 43 8.1 4.5 52.9 127.3 16.3 M M
38000 -47.1 -52.8 250 81 42 8.2 4.5 51.2 124.2 15.6 M M
36000 -42.2 -44.0 255 78 40 8.1 4.5 50.3 122.5 15.3 M M
34000 -38.3 -36.9 255 67 35 6.4 3.5 47.4 117.3 13.5 M M
32000 -34.5 -30.1 265 56 29 6.4 3.5 44.9 112.8 12.0 M M
30000 -30.6 -23.1 265 47 24 6.5 3.6 42.2 107.9 10.2 M M
29000 -28.7 -19.7 265 42 22 6.5 3.6 41.0 105.8 9.3 M M
28000 -26.8 -16.2 270 38 19 6.9 3.8 39.9 103.8 8.6 M M
27000 -24.6 -12.3 270 34 18 7.3 4.0 38.9 102.0 7.8 M M
26000 -22.4 -8.3 275 31 16 7.4 4.0 37.9 100.3 7.2 M M
25000 -19.7 -3.5 280 27 14 7.1 3.9 37.0 98.6 6.4 M M
24000 -17.7 0.1 285 26 13 6.7 3.7 35.8 96.4 5.5 M M
23000 -15.8 3.6 285 24 13 6.7 3.7 34.7 94.4 4.6 M M
22000 -13.8 7.2 290 23 12 6.8 3.7 33.7 92.7 3.7 M M
21000 -11.8 10.8 290 24 12 6.9 3.8 32.6 90.7 2.8 M M
20000 -9.8 14.4 295 25 13 6.9 3.8 31.6 89.0 2.0 M M
19500 -8.7 16.3 295 25 13 6.9 3.8 31.2 88.2 1.6 M M
19000 -7.8 18.0 290 25 13 6.6 3.6 30.7 87.3 1.1 M M
18500 -6.8 19.8 290 25 13 6.6 3.6 30.2 86.3 0.6 M M
18000 -5.8 21.6 285 25 13 5.8 3.2 29.7 85.4 0.1 M M
17500 -5.1 22.8 285 24 12 5.2 2.8 28.8 83.9 -0.6 983 5.0
17000 -4.4 24.1 280 24 12 5.2 2.8 28.1 82.5 -1.4 947 4.8
16500 -3.6 25.5 280 23 12 6.1 3.4 27.4 81.3 -2.1 908 4.6
16000 -2.8 27.0 280 22 11 6.0 3.3 26.8 80.2 -2.7 868 4.4
15500 -1.9 28.6 275 21 11 7.5 4.1 26.3 79.3 -3.2 826 4.2
15000 -0.7 30.7 275 20 10 7.8 4.3 25.9 78.7 -3.6 777 3.9
14500 0.4 32.7 280 18 9 8.0 4.4 25.6 78.1 -3.9 728 3.7
14000 1.6 34.9 280 17 9 8.2 4.5 25.4 77.7 -4.2 678 3.4
13500 2.8 37.0 280 16 8 8.2 4.5 25.1 77.2 -4.5 627 3.2
13000 4.0 39.2 285 14 7 8.1 4.5 24.9 76.8 -4.8 576 2.9
12500 5.2 41.4 290 13 7 8.1 4.5 24.6 76.3 -5.0 526 2.7
12000 6.3 43.3 295 12 6 7.8 4.3 24.3 75.8 -5.4 476 2.4
11500 7.5 45.5 295 11 6 7.8 4.3 24.0 75.2 -5.7 427 2.2
11000 9.2 48.6 300 10 5 7.7 4.2 23.5 74.4 -6.3 355 1.8
10500 10.3 50.5 300 9 5 7.5 4.1 23.2 73.8 -6.6 307 1.6
10250 10.8 51.4 295 9 5 7.2 3.9 23.0 73.4 -6.9 284 1.4
10000 11.3 52.3 290 9 4 7.1 3.9 22.8 73.1 -7.1 261 1.3
9750 11.8 53.2 290 8 4 7.2 3.9 22.6 72.7 -7.3 238 1.2
9500 12.3 54.1 285 8 4 5.7 3.1 22.4 72.3 -7.6 217 1.1
9250 12.6 54.7 280 8 4 5.0 2.7 22.0 71.6 -8.0 199 1.0
9000 13.0 55.4 280 7 4 5.6 3.1 21.7 71.0 -8.4 181 0.9
8750 13.4 56.1 275 7 3 5.0 2.8 21.4 70.4 -8.7 162 0.8
8500 13.7 56.7 275 6 3 2.9 1.6 20.9 69.7 -9.2 146 0.7
8250 13.8 56.8 275 5 2 2.2 1.2 20.4 68.6 -9.8 134 0.7
8000 14.0 57.2 275 4 2 3.6 2.0 19.8 67.7 -10.4 121 0.6
7750 14.3 57.7 270 3 2 3.5 1.9 19.4 66.9 -10.9 106 0.5
7500 14.4 57.9 270 2 1 2.8 1.5 18.9 66.0 -11.4 93 0.5
7250 14.6 58.3 265 1 1 2.6 1.4 18.3 65.0 -12.0 81 0.4
7000 14.8 58.6 250 1 0 3.7 2.0 17.8 64.1 -12.6 69 0.3
6750 14.9 58.8 000 0 0 0.3 0.2 17.3 63.2 -13.2 56 0.3
6500 14.0 57.2 000 0 0 -29.9 -16.4 15.7 60.3 -14.9 76 0.4
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/15/2026 at 0900 MDT | 06/15/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +283.4 LI... -1.6 | CAPE... +672.5 LI... -3.3
CINH... -56.1 K Index... +23.6 | CINH... -3.9 K Index... +28.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.0 -83.2 270 48 25 1.3 0.7 | -63.7 -82.7 260 48 24 2.0 1.1
45000 -60.5 -76.9 260 76 39 4.9 2.7 | -59.7 -75.5 260 74 38 4.3 2.4
40000 -52.6 -62.7 250 85 44 8.0 4.4 | -52.8 -63.0 255 82 42 7.4 4.1
38000 -47.2 -53.0 255 82 42 8.1 4.4 | -47.8 -54.0 255 77 39 7.5 4.1
36000 -42.3 -44.1 255 79 41 7.9 4.4 | -43.3 -45.9 260 72 37 7.4 4.1
34000 -38.3 -36.9 260 66 34 6.6 3.6 | -39.1 -38.4 265 61 32 7.0 3.8
32000 -34.3 -29.7 270 54 28 6.7 3.7 | -34.9 -30.8 275 51 26 7.0 3.8
30000 -30.6 -23.1 270 46 24 6.0 3.3 | -30.9 -23.6 275 45 23 6.7 3.7
29000 -28.8 -19.8 270 43 22 6.0 3.3 | -28.9 -20.0 275 42 22 6.7 3.7
28000 -27.0 -16.6 270 39 20 6.6 3.6 | -26.9 -16.4 280 39 20 6.9 3.8
27000 -24.8 -12.6 275 36 19 7.3 4.0 | -24.7 -12.5 280 37 19 7.2 4.0
26000 -22.6 -8.7 275 33 17 7.3 4.0 | -22.6 -8.7 280 35 18 7.2 4.0
25000 -20.4 -4.7 280 30 16 7.4 4.0 | -20.4 -4.7 280 33 17 7.2 4.0
24000 -17.8 -0.0 285 28 15 7.0 3.9 | -17.7 0.1 280 30 15 7.3 4.0
23000 -15.7 3.7 285 27 14 7.1 3.9 | -15.5 4.1 285 27 14 7.4 4.0
22000 -13.6 7.5 290 26 13 7.0 3.9 | -13.3 8.1 285 25 13 6.6 3.6
21000 -11.6 11.1 295 24 13 7.0 3.8 | -11.6 11.1 285 24 12 6.0 3.3
20000 -9.6 14.7 300 24 12 7.0 3.9 | -9.8 14.4 290 23 12 6.2 3.4
19500 -8.6 16.5 305 23 12 7.1 3.9 | -8.9 16.0 290 22 11 6.4 3.5
19000 -7.6 18.3 310 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -8.0 17.6 295 22 11 7.1 3.9
18500 -6.6 20.1 315 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -7.0 19.4 295 21 11 7.1 3.9
18000 -5.6 21.9 320 22 11 6.7 3.7 | -6.0 21.2 300 21 11 7.3 4.0
17500 -4.6 23.7 320 22 11 6.6 3.6 | -4.9 23.2 305 21 11 7.4 4.1
17000 -3.7 25.3 325 21 11 6.6 3.6 | -3.9 25.0 305 21 11 7.4 4.1
16500 -2.8 27.0 325 20 10 5.9 3.2 | -2.9 26.8 310 20 11 7.0 3.8
16000 -2.0 28.4 325 19 10 5.9 3.3 | -1.9 28.6 315 20 11 7.0 3.9
15500 -1.1 30.0 325 18 9 6.0 3.3 | -0.9 30.4 315 20 10 7.6 4.2
15000 -0.3 31.5 320 17 9 6.1 3.3 | 0.2 32.4 315 20 10 7.7 4.2
14500 0.5 32.9 315 16 8 6.8 3.7 | 1.3 34.3 320 20 10 7.9 4.3
14000 1.5 34.7 310 16 8 7.4 4.1 | 2.5 36.5 320 19 10 8.1 4.4
13500 2.6 36.7 305 16 8 7.6 4.2 | 3.6 38.5 320 17 9 8.1 4.5
13000 3.7 38.7 300 16 8 7.9 4.3 | 4.8 40.6 320 16 8 8.2 4.5
12500 4.9 40.8 295 17 9 8.0 4.4 | 5.9 42.6 315 14 7 8.1 4.4
12000 6.1 43.0 290 17 9 8.5 4.7 | 6.9 44.4 310 12 6 6.9 3.8
11500 7.3 45.1 285 16 8 8.0 4.4 | 7.9 46.2 305 10 5 7.9 4.3
11000 8.4 47.1 280 15 8 8.1 4.4 | 9.2 48.6 300 9 4 8.4 4.6
10500 10.1 50.2 275 12 6 6.7 3.6 | 11.0 51.8 285 7 4 8.3 4.6
10250 10.6 51.1 275 12 6 6.0 3.3 | 11.6 52.9 280 7 4 9.3 5.1
10000 11.0 51.8 270 11 6 6.5 3.6 | 12.3 54.1 275 7 4 9.4 5.2
9750 11.4 52.5 270 10 5 6.2 3.4 | 13.0 55.4 270 7 4 9.4 5.2
9500 11.8 53.2 270 10 5 3.6 2.0 | 13.7 56.7 270 7 4 9.3 5.1
9250 11.9 53.4 265 10 5 3.1 1.7 | 14.4 57.9 265 7 4 9.7 5.3
9000 12.2 54.0 265 9 5 4.5 2.5 | 15.1 59.2 260 7 4 10.1 5.5
8750 12.5 54.5 260 8 4 4.3 2.4 | 15.9 60.6 260 7 4 10.0 5.5
8500 12.8 55.0 255 7 4 4.5 2.5 | 16.6 61.9 255 7 4 9.7 5.3
8250 13.1 55.6 255 6 3 5.6 3.1 | 17.3 63.1 250 7 4 9.7 5.3
8000 13.6 56.5 250 6 3 8.2 4.5 | 18.0 64.4 250 7 4 10.1 5.5
7750 14.3 57.7 245 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 18.8 65.8 245 7 4 10.3 5.6
7500 15.0 59.0 245 5 3 9.6 5.3 | 19.6 67.3 245 7 4 10.4 5.7
7250 15.7 60.3 240 5 2 9.6 5.2 | 20.3 68.5 245 7 4 10.8 5.9
7000 16.4 61.5 240 5 2 9.9 5.5 | 21.1 70.0 240 7 4 9.5 5.2
6750 17.2 63.0 240 4 2 14.1 7.7 | 21.9 71.4 240 7 4 15.3 8.4
6500 18.7 65.7 235 4 2 27.7 15.2 | 24.5 76.1 235 7 4 66.0 36.2
06/15/2026 at 1500 MDT | 06/15/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +304.5 LI... -1.9 | CAPE... +64.8 LI... -0.6
CINH... -5.6 K Index... +29.3 | CINH... -15.6 K Index... +25.7
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.4 -82.1 260 49 25 3.0 1.6 | -63.9 -83.0 265 48 25 3.0 1.7
45000 -58.6 -73.5 260 70 36 3.6 2.0 | -58.8 -73.8 265 66 34 4.2 2.3
40000 -52.3 -62.1 250 79 41 7.0 3.8 | -51.8 -61.2 255 77 40 6.6 3.6
38000 -48.1 -54.6 260 71 37 7.0 3.8 | -47.8 -54.0 260 68 35 6.6 3.6
36000 -43.9 -47.0 265 65 33 7.0 3.8 | -43.9 -47.0 265 59 30 6.6 3.6
34000 -39.5 -39.1 270 56 29 7.4 4.1 | -39.3 -38.7 275 52 27 7.8 4.3
32000 -35.1 -31.2 275 48 25 7.4 4.1 | -34.7 -30.5 280 45 23 7.8 4.3
30000 -30.6 -23.1 280 44 22 7.4 4.1 | -30.2 -22.4 285 40 21 7.4 4.1
29000 -28.4 -19.1 280 42 21 7.4 4.1 | -27.9 -18.2 290 38 20 7.4 4.1
28000 -26.2 -15.2 285 40 20 7.1 3.9 | -25.7 -14.3 295 36 19 6.8 3.7
27000 -24.2 -11.6 285 37 19 6.6 3.6 | -24.0 -11.2 295 32 17 5.9 3.2
26000 -21.7 -7.1 285 34 17 6.6 3.6 | -22.2 -8.0 295 29 15 5.9 3.2
25000 -19.7 -3.5 285 31 16 6.2 3.4 | -20.0 -4.0 290 24 12 6.1 3.3
24000 -18.1 -0.6 290 29 15 5.7 3.1 | -18.1 -0.6 295 22 12 6.6 3.6
23000 -16.4 2.5 290 28 14 5.9 3.2 | -16.2 2.8 295 21 11 6.8 3.7
22000 -14.8 5.4 295 26 14 7.0 3.9 | -14.3 6.3 295 19 10 7.3 4.0
21000 -12.5 9.5 295 26 14 8.0 4.4 | -12.2 10.0 295 21 11 7.5 4.1
20000 -10.2 13.6 295 27 14 8.1 4.5 | -10.0 14.0 290 23 12 7.5 4.1
19500 -9.0 15.8 295 27 14 8.2 4.5 | -8.9 16.0 290 24 12 7.6 4.2
19000 -8.0 17.6 295 26 14 7.1 3.9 | -7.9 17.8 290 24 13 6.4 3.5
18500 -6.9 19.6 295 26 13 7.2 3.9 | -7.0 19.4 290 24 13 6.5 3.6
18000 -5.9 21.4 295 26 13 7.1 3.9 | -6.0 21.2 290 24 12 7.8 4.3
17500 -4.9 23.2 295 25 13 7.1 3.9 | -4.7 23.5 295 24 12 8.6 4.7
17000 -3.8 25.2 295 25 13 7.1 3.9 | -3.4 25.9 295 23 12 8.7 4.8
16500 -2.7 27.1 295 24 12 8.4 4.6 | -2.0 28.4 295 23 12 9.8 5.4
16000 -1.4 29.5 295 23 12 8.3 4.5 | -0.6 30.9 295 22 11 9.7 5.3
15500 -0.2 31.6 295 22 11 9.2 5.0 | 0.9 33.6 300 22 11 9.7 5.3
15000 1.2 34.2 295 21 11 9.4 5.1 | 2.3 36.1 300 21 11 9.7 5.3
14500 2.6 36.7 295 20 10 9.5 5.2 | 3.8 38.8 300 20 10 9.7 5.3
14000 4.1 39.4 290 19 10 9.7 5.3 | 5.2 41.4 300 19 10 9.6 5.3
13500 5.5 41.9 290 18 10 9.7 5.3 | 6.7 44.1 305 19 10 9.6 5.3
13000 7.0 44.6 290 18 9 9.8 5.4 | 8.0 46.4 305 18 9 9.2 5.1
12500 8.4 47.1 290 17 9 9.8 5.4 | 9.4 48.9 310 17 9 9.3 5.1
12000 10.6 51.1 285 15 8 10.2 5.6 | 10.8 51.4 315 16 8 9.2 5.0
11500 11.9 53.4 285 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 12.1 53.8 320 14 7 9.0 4.9
11000 13.3 55.9 280 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 14.0 57.2 330 13 7 8.4 4.6
10500 14.6 58.3 280 12 6 8.0 4.4 | 15.3 59.5 340 13 6 9.2 5.0
10250 15.2 59.4 280 11 6 8.2 4.5 | 16.0 60.8 345 12 6 8.9 4.9
10000 15.9 60.6 280 10 5 9.1 5.0 | 16.6 61.9 350 12 6 8.4 4.6
9750 16.5 61.7 280 10 5 8.4 4.6 | 17.3 63.1 355 12 6 8.6 4.7
9500 17.2 63.0 280 9 5 10.3 5.6 | 17.9 64.2 360 13 6 8.4 4.6
9250 18.0 64.4 275 9 4 10.2 5.6 | 18.5 65.3 005 13 7 8.5 4.7
9000 18.6 65.5 275 8 4 8.5 4.6 | 19.2 66.6 005 13 7 8.7 4.8
8750 19.3 66.7 275 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 19.8 67.6 010 13 7 8.8 4.8
8500 19.9 67.8 270 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 20.4 68.7 015 14 7 8.4 4.6
8250 20.7 69.3 270 6 3 10.5 5.8 | 21.1 70.0 015 14 7 8.4 4.6
8000 21.4 70.5 270 5 3 9.3 5.1 | 21.7 71.1 015 14 7 9.0 4.9
7750 22.1 71.8 265 4 2 9.4 5.2 | 22.4 72.3 020 14 7 9.1 5.0
7500 22.8 73.0 265 4 2 10.4 5.7 | 23.0 73.4 020 14 7 8.9 4.9
7250 23.6 74.5 260 3 2 11.6 6.3 | 23.7 74.7 020 14 7 9.0 4.9
7000 24.4 75.9 260 3 1 8.8 4.8 | 24.3 75.7 020 14 7 8.0 4.4
6750 25.1 77.2 260 3 1 12.5 6.9 | 24.9 76.8 020 13 7 9.8 5.4
6500 27.4 81.3 220 1 1 63.9 35.0 | 26.3 79.3 020 11 6 32.5 17.9
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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