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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0707 MDT Tuesday May 5 2026
This forecast is for Tuesday, May 5, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 56.5 F/13.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 559 ft/min (2.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14528 ft MSL (8192 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 66.0 F/19.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Overcast thin high
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11625 ft MSL (5289 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 05/06.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:08:44 / 19:52:38 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 43 min 53 sec (823 min 53 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:00:41 MDT... 71.44 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/05/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 11547 ft MSL (5211 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14630 ft MSL (8294 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14690 ft MSL (8354 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +4.1
K index......................... +20.0
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.5 -84.1 255 79 41 -0.6 -0.3 83.4 182.2 37.8 M M
45000 -64.1 -83.4 250 107 55 5.8 3.2 60.4 140.7 26.0 M M
40000 -55.4 -67.7 250 106 55 5.6 3.1 51.4 124.6 21.8 M M
38000 -51.3 -60.3 250 106 55 7.2 3.9 48.7 119.6 20.5 M M
36000 -47.0 -52.6 250 107 55 7.2 3.9 46.6 115.8 19.6 M M
34000 -42.9 -45.2 245 105 54 6.6 3.6 44.3 111.7 18.4 M M
32000 -38.4 -37.1 245 100 51 6.6 3.6 41.4 106.5 16.8 M M
30000 -34.5 -30.1 245 94 48 6.5 3.5 38.8 101.9 15.2 M M
29000 -32.6 -26.7 245 90 46 6.5 3.6 37.5 99.6 14.4 M M
28000 -30.7 -23.3 245 86 44 6.5 3.6 36.4 97.5 13.6 M M
27000 -28.7 -19.7 245 81 42 7.5 4.1 35.3 95.6 12.9 M M
26000 -26.5 -15.7 245 74 38 7.4 4.1 34.4 93.9 12.3 M M
25000 -24.3 -11.7 245 67 34 7.5 4.1 33.5 92.4 11.7 M M
24000 -22.1 -7.8 245 60 31 7.4 4.0 32.8 91.0 11.2 M M
23000 -19.9 -3.8 250 58 30 7.3 4.0 31.8 89.3 10.5 M M
22000 -17.7 0.1 250 56 29 7.4 4.0 31.0 87.8 9.9 M M
21000 -15.7 3.7 250 53 27 4.6 2.5 30.0 86.0 9.2 M M
20000 -14.3 6.3 245 49 25 4.7 2.6 28.1 82.7 7.6 M M
19500 -13.7 7.3 245 47 24 4.7 2.6 27.3 81.1 6.9 M M
19000 -13.0 8.6 245 45 23 4.7 2.6 26.5 79.6 6.2 M M
18500 -12.3 9.9 240 43 22 5.2 2.8 25.7 78.2 5.5 M M
18000 -11.1 12.0 240 40 20 5.4 3.0 24.5 76.1 4.5 M M
17500 -10.4 13.3 235 38 20 5.4 3.0 23.8 74.9 3.8 M M
17000 -9.6 14.7 235 36 19 5.5 3.0 23.1 73.5 3.2 M M
16500 -8.8 16.2 235 34 18 5.4 3.0 22.4 72.2 2.5 M M
16000 -8.0 17.6 235 33 17 4.9 2.7 21.6 70.9 1.8 M M
15500 -7.3 18.9 230 31 16 4.9 2.7 20.8 69.4 1.1 M M
15000 -6.5 20.3 235 29 15 6.0 3.3 20.1 68.1 0.5 M M
14500 -5.6 21.9 235 27 14 6.1 3.3 19.5 67.1 -0.1 652 3.3
14000 -4.7 23.5 240 25 13 6.6 3.6 18.9 66.0 -0.6 610 3.1
13500 -3.7 25.3 245 24 12 6.8 3.7 18.4 65.2 -1.1 564 2.9
13000 -2.7 27.1 250 22 12 6.6 3.6 18.0 64.3 -1.5 519 2.6
12500 -1.7 28.9 255 22 12 6.4 3.5 17.4 63.3 -2.0 476 2.4
12000 -0.8 30.6 265 23 12 6.2 3.4 16.9 62.4 -2.5 432 2.2
11500 0.1 32.2 270 23 12 5.7 3.1 16.3 61.3 -3.2 393 2.0
11000 0.9 33.6 275 24 13 4.7 2.6 15.6 60.0 -3.9 355 1.8
10500 1.5 34.7 280 25 13 4.2 2.3 14.7 58.5 -4.8 322 1.6
10250 1.8 35.2 285 25 13 3.4 1.9 14.3 57.7 -5.2 306 1.6
10000 2.0 35.6 290 26 13 4.5 2.4 13.8 56.8 -5.7 291 1.5
9750 2.4 36.3 290 25 13 6.5 3.6 13.5 56.2 -6.0 270 1.4
9500 2.9 37.2 290 25 13 6.5 3.6 13.2 55.8 -6.3 248 1.3
9250 3.4 38.1 295 25 13 6.4 3.5 13.0 55.3 -6.5 226 1.1
9000 3.9 39.0 295 25 13 8.1 4.4 12.7 54.9 -6.7 203 1.0
8750 4.6 40.3 295 25 13 8.3 4.6 12.7 54.8 -6.8 176 0.9
8500 5.2 41.4 295 25 13 7.2 4.0 12.5 54.5 -7.0 152 0.8
8250 5.7 42.3 295 25 13 7.5 4.1 12.3 54.2 -7.2 128 0.6
8000 6.3 43.3 295 25 13 7.3 4.0 12.1 53.9 -7.4 104 0.5
7750 6.8 44.2 295 25 13 6.4 3.5 11.9 53.5 -7.6 81 0.4
7500 7.2 45.0 290 25 13 5.9 3.3 11.6 53.0 -7.9 60 0.3
7250 7.7 45.9 285 25 13 5.9 3.3 11.4 52.5 -8.2 40 0.2
7000 8.1 46.6 285 24 12 5.7 3.1 11.1 51.9 -8.5 19 0.1
6750 8.5 47.3 280 21 11 6.0 3.3 10.8 51.4 -8.9 M M
6500 9.0 48.2 275 18 9 5.8 3.2 10.5 50.9 -9.2 M M
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/05/2026 at 0900 MDT | 05/05/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +6.5 LI... +3.1 | CAPE... +0.9 LI... +1.8
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +14.7 | CINH... -1.4 K Index... +20.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.7 -82.7 250 74 38 0.7 0.4 | -62.2 -80.0 250 75 39 1.3 0.7
45000 -61.9 -79.4 240 93 48 3.5 1.9 | -59.9 -75.8 245 94 49 2.4 1.3
40000 -56.6 -69.9 245 115 59 3.1 1.7 | -56.3 -69.3 240 126 65 2.2 1.2
38000 -52.5 -62.5 245 109 56 7.6 4.1 | -52.4 -62.3 240 123 64 7.3 4.0
36000 -47.9 -54.2 240 101 52 7.6 4.2 | -48.0 -54.4 240 117 60 7.3 4.0
34000 -43.4 -46.1 240 95 49 7.7 4.2 | -43.8 -46.8 240 110 57 6.6 3.6
32000 -38.2 -36.8 240 90 46 7.7 4.2 | -39.8 -39.6 240 105 54 6.6 3.6
30000 -33.5 -28.3 240 89 46 7.7 4.2 | -35.1 -31.2 240 102 53 7.7 4.2
29000 -31.2 -24.2 240 90 46 7.7 4.2 | -32.8 -27.0 240 103 53 7.7 4.2
28000 -28.9 -20.0 240 91 47 7.7 4.2 | -30.5 -22.9 235 104 54 7.7 4.2
27000 -26.9 -16.4 240 91 47 4.1 2.2 | -28.5 -19.3 235 102 53 4.1 2.3
26000 -25.6 -14.1 240 90 46 4.4 2.4 | -27.1 -16.8 235 94 48 4.5 2.5
25000 -24.3 -11.7 240 89 46 4.5 2.5 | -25.8 -14.4 235 85 44 4.5 2.5
24000 -23.0 -9.4 235 87 45 5.5 3.0 | -24.4 -11.9 235 77 39 6.0 3.3
23000 -21.3 -6.3 235 81 42 5.8 3.2 | -22.3 -8.1 235 74 38 7.0 3.8
22000 -19.6 -3.3 240 76 39 5.8 3.2 | -20.3 -4.5 230 71 36 7.3 4.0
21000 -17.9 -0.2 240 70 36 6.9 3.8 | -18.3 -0.9 230 67 35 5.5 3.0
20000 -15.8 3.6 240 63 32 6.9 3.8 | -16.8 1.8 240 58 30 5.2 2.9
19500 -14.8 5.4 245 59 31 6.9 3.8 | -16.0 3.2 245 55 28 5.2 2.9
19000 -13.8 7.2 245 56 29 6.9 3.8 | -15.2 4.6 250 51 26 5.3 2.9
18500 -12.8 9.0 250 53 27 6.9 3.8 | -14.4 6.1 255 48 25 5.8 3.2
18000 -11.2 11.8 255 46 24 6.9 3.8 | -13.5 7.7 255 43 22 6.3 3.5
17500 -10.2 13.6 255 42 22 7.4 4.1 | -12.1 10.2 260 36 19 6.0 3.3
17000 -9.1 15.6 260 40 20 7.8 4.3 | -11.3 11.7 265 33 17 5.8 3.2
16500 -8.0 17.6 260 38 19 7.7 4.2 | -10.4 13.3 265 30 16 5.9 3.2
16000 -7.1 19.2 260 36 18 4.7 2.6 | -9.6 14.7 265 28 15 6.2 3.4
15500 -6.4 20.5 260 34 17 5.2 2.8 | -8.7 16.3 265 27 14 6.2 3.4
15000 -5.8 21.6 255 31 16 2.6 1.4 | -7.8 18.0 265 26 13 5.6 3.1
14500 -5.5 22.1 255 28 14 2.4 1.3 | -7.0 19.4 265 24 12 5.6 3.0
14000 -5.2 22.6 250 25 13 3.0 1.7 | -6.2 20.8 265 22 11 5.5 3.0
13500 -4.7 23.5 250 22 11 3.4 1.9 | -5.4 22.3 270 20 10 5.6 3.0
13000 -4.2 24.4 250 20 10 4.3 2.4 | -4.6 23.7 270 18 9 5.8 3.2
12500 -3.4 25.9 250 17 9 5.4 3.0 | -3.7 25.3 275 17 9 6.1 3.4
12000 -2.6 27.3 255 15 8 5.0 2.8 | -2.8 27.0 280 16 8 6.1 3.3
11500 -1.9 28.6 265 14 7 4.3 2.4 | -1.9 28.6 285 15 8 5.9 3.2
11000 -1.4 29.5 275 14 7 3.5 1.9 | -1.0 30.2 285 14 7 6.7 3.7
10500 -0.9 30.4 285 15 8 4.0 2.2 | -0.1 31.8 285 14 7 6.5 3.6
10250 -0.6 30.9 285 15 8 2.8 1.6 | 0.4 32.7 285 14 7 5.3 2.9
10000 -0.4 31.3 290 16 8 4.2 2.3 | 0.7 33.3 285 14 7 6.5 3.6
9750 -0.0 32.0 290 16 8 7.0 3.8 | 1.3 34.3 285 14 7 9.0 4.9
9500 0.5 32.9 290 16 8 6.9 3.8 | 2.0 35.6 285 13 7 8.5 4.6
9250 1.0 33.8 290 15 8 7.1 3.9 | 2.6 36.7 285 13 7 9.1 5.0
9000 1.6 34.9 285 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 3.3 37.9 285 13 7 10.0 5.5
8750 2.3 36.1 285 15 8 9.6 5.2 | 4.1 39.4 280 13 7 9.1 5.0
8500 2.9 37.2 285 15 8 7.9 4.3 | 4.7 40.5 280 13 7 8.1 4.5
8250 3.5 38.3 285 15 8 8.5 4.7 | 5.3 41.5 275 13 6 8.9 4.9
8000 4.2 39.6 285 15 8 9.2 5.0 | 6.0 42.8 275 13 6 10.1 5.6
7750 4.9 40.8 285 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 6.8 44.2 275 12 6 9.9 5.4
7500 5.6 42.1 285 15 8 9.3 5.1 | 7.5 45.5 270 12 6 8.9 4.9
7250 6.3 43.3 280 16 8 9.8 5.4 | 8.1 46.6 270 12 6 10.1 5.5
7000 7.1 44.8 280 15 8 10.4 5.7 | 9.0 48.2 265 12 6 11.5 6.3
6750 7.8 46.0 280 15 8 10.4 5.7 | 9.8 49.6 265 12 6 10.9 6.0
6500 8.7 47.7 280 14 7 14.4 7.9 | 10.7 51.3 260 12 6 16.9 9.3
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
05/05/2026 at 1500 MDT | 05/05/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +181.4 LI... -1.2 | CAPE... +71.4 LI... -0.6
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +23.8 | CINH... -32.1 K Index... +14.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.1 -76.2 250 73 37 0.9 0.5 | -59.4 -74.9 250 77 40 -0.7 -0.4
45000 -58.5 -73.3 245 94 48 1.8 1.0 | -59.9 -75.8 245 106 55 3.2 1.8
40000 -55.8 -68.4 240 130 67 1.9 1.0 | -54.9 -66.8 240 137 70 3.4 1.9
38000 -52.4 -62.3 240 130 67 7.0 3.8 | -52.0 -61.6 240 135 69 5.4 2.9
36000 -48.2 -54.8 240 126 65 7.0 3.8 | -48.8 -55.8 245 128 66 5.4 2.9
34000 -44.2 -47.6 240 122 63 6.1 3.4 | -45.3 -49.5 245 122 63 6.8 3.7
32000 -40.1 -40.2 240 115 59 6.1 3.4 | -40.7 -41.3 240 117 60 6.9 3.8
30000 -36.0 -32.8 240 111 57 8.0 4.4 | -36.4 -33.5 240 112 58 7.8 4.3
29000 -33.6 -28.5 240 110 57 7.9 4.4 | -34.1 -29.4 245 110 57 7.8 4.3
28000 -31.2 -24.2 240 110 56 8.0 4.4 | -31.7 -25.1 245 108 56 7.8 4.3
27000 -29.1 -20.4 240 108 55 3.8 2.1 | -29.6 -21.3 245 105 54 3.6 2.0
26000 -27.9 -18.2 240 99 51 3.7 2.1 | -28.7 -19.7 245 96 49 3.2 1.8
25000 -26.8 -16.2 240 91 47 3.8 2.1 | -27.7 -17.9 250 87 45 3.2 1.8
24000 -25.7 -14.3 245 83 43 4.6 2.5 | -26.7 -16.1 250 78 40 4.3 2.3
23000 -24.0 -11.2 245 72 37 5.7 3.1 | -25.1 -13.2 250 72 37 5.7 3.1
22000 -22.4 -8.3 250 61 32 5.8 3.2 | -23.3 -9.9 255 66 34 5.7 3.1
21000 -20.6 -5.1 255 52 27 6.7 3.7 | -21.6 -6.9 255 60 31 7.5 4.1
20000 -18.6 -1.5 255 45 23 7.0 3.8 | -19.2 -2.6 255 53 27 8.0 4.4
19500 -17.5 0.5 255 42 22 7.0 3.8 | -18.0 -0.4 255 50 26 8.0 4.4
19000 -16.5 2.3 255 39 20 7.0 3.8 | -16.8 1.8 255 47 24 8.0 4.4
18500 -15.5 4.1 250 36 19 6.4 3.5 | -15.7 3.7 255 44 23 8.1 4.4
18000 -14.7 5.5 250 34 17 5.7 3.1 | -14.5 5.9 255 42 22 8.2 4.5
17500 -13.4 7.9 250 30 15 6.4 3.5 | -12.7 9.1 250 39 20 8.0 4.4
17000 -12.4 9.7 250 28 14 7.0 3.9 | -11.5 11.3 250 38 20 7.9 4.4
16500 -11.4 11.5 250 25 13 7.1 3.9 | -10.3 13.5 250 37 19 7.9 4.4
16000 -10.4 13.3 255 23 12 6.5 3.6 | -9.2 15.4 250 37 19 7.6 4.1
15500 -9.5 14.9 260 21 11 6.5 3.6 | -8.1 17.4 245 36 19 7.6 4.2
15000 -8.5 16.7 265 19 10 7.1 3.9 | -7.0 19.4 245 36 18 7.6 4.2
14500 -7.4 18.7 265 18 9 7.2 3.9 | -5.8 21.6 250 36 18 7.6 4.2
14000 -6.4 20.5 265 17 9 7.7 4.2 | -4.7 23.5 250 36 18 7.1 3.9
13500 -5.3 22.5 265 17 9 7.9 4.4 | -3.8 25.2 250 35 18 6.8 3.7
13000 -4.1 24.6 260 17 9 7.9 4.3 | -2.8 27.0 250 35 18 7.1 3.9
12500 -3.0 26.6 260 17 9 7.7 4.2 | -1.7 28.9 250 34 18 7.5 4.1
12000 -1.9 28.6 255 17 9 7.8 4.3 | -0.7 30.7 245 34 17 6.9 3.8
11500 -0.7 30.7 255 17 9 7.9 4.3 | 0.2 32.4 245 33 17 5.7 3.2
11000 0.6 33.1 255 17 9 10.1 5.5 | 1.2 34.2 245 31 16 7.9 4.3
10500 2.0 35.6 250 18 9 9.2 5.0 | 2.2 36.0 245 29 15 7.3 4.0
10250 2.7 36.9 250 18 9 9.2 5.0 | 2.8 37.0 245 28 15 7.6 4.2
10000 3.4 38.1 250 18 9 9.2 5.0 | 3.3 37.9 245 27 14 8.7 4.8
9750 4.1 39.4 250 18 9 9.3 5.1 | 4.0 39.2 250 27 14 9.3 5.1
9500 4.8 40.6 250 19 10 9.2 5.0 | 4.7 40.5 250 27 14 9.3 5.1
9250 5.4 41.7 250 19 10 9.4 5.2 | 5.4 41.7 250 26 14 9.2 5.1
9000 6.2 43.2 250 19 10 10.2 5.6 | 6.1 43.0 250 26 13 9.5 5.2
8750 6.9 44.4 245 19 10 9.6 5.3 | 6.8 44.2 250 26 13 9.4 5.2
8500 7.6 45.7 245 19 10 8.8 4.8 | 7.5 45.5 250 25 13 9.1 5.0
8250 8.3 46.9 245 20 10 9.4 5.1 | 8.1 46.6 250 25 13 9.3 5.1
8000 9.0 48.2 245 20 10 10.7 5.9 | 8.8 47.8 250 25 13 10.0 5.5
7750 9.8 49.6 245 20 10 10.2 5.6 | 9.6 49.3 250 24 13 9.9 5.4
7500 10.5 50.9 245 20 10 9.0 4.9 | 10.3 50.5 250 24 12 9.2 5.1
7250 11.2 52.2 245 20 10 10.0 5.5 | 11.0 51.8 250 24 12 9.6 5.3
7000 12.0 53.6 240 20 10 11.4 6.3 | 11.7 53.1 255 23 12 10.1 5.6
6750 12.9 55.2 240 19 10 11.3 6.2 | 12.5 54.5 255 22 11 11.0 6.0
6500 13.8 56.8 240 18 9 15.5 8.5 | 13.4 56.1 255 20 10 14.4 7.9
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0707 MDT Tuesday May 5 2026
This forecast is for Tuesday, May 5, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 56.5 F/13.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 477 ft/min (2.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14174 ft MSL (8498 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 66.0 F/19.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Overcast opaque high
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11944 ft MSL (6268 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 05/06.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:11:07 / 19:55:14 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 44 min 7 sec (824 min 7 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:03:10 MDT... 71.37 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/05/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 10388 ft MSL (4712 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12779 ft MSL (7103 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 13639 ft MSL (7963 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +4.3
K index......................... +19.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.3 -81.9 255 75 39 -0.4 -0.2 88.1 190.6 40.2 M M
45000 -63.2 -81.8 250 105 54 4.7 2.6 65.6 150.1 29.0 M M
40000 -55.8 -68.4 250 110 57 4.4 2.4 53.3 127.9 22.9 M M
38000 -51.7 -61.1 245 107 55 7.0 3.9 50.3 122.5 21.5 M M
36000 -47.5 -53.5 245 103 53 7.0 3.9 48.1 118.5 20.5 M M
34000 -43.2 -45.8 245 99 51 7.3 4.0 46.0 114.8 19.5 M M
32000 -38.7 -37.7 245 96 50 7.4 4.0 44.0 111.2 18.6 M M
30000 -34.7 -30.5 240 96 49 5.6 3.1 41.6 106.9 17.2 M M
29000 -33.0 -27.4 240 98 50 5.7 3.1 39.9 103.8 16.1 M M
28000 -31.4 -24.5 240 100 51 5.7 3.1 38.4 101.1 15.1 M M
27000 -29.1 -20.4 240 97 50 7.3 4.0 36.8 98.2 14.0 M M
26000 -26.9 -16.4 240 87 45 7.3 4.0 35.8 96.4 13.3 M M
25000 -24.7 -12.5 240 77 40 7.3 4.0 34.9 94.8 12.8 M M
24000 -22.6 -8.7 240 69 35 7.2 4.0 34.1 93.3 12.2 M M
23000 -20.4 -4.7 240 66 34 7.2 4.0 33.1 91.5 11.5 M M
22000 -18.3 -0.9 245 63 32 7.2 4.0 32.2 89.9 10.8 M M
21000 -16.3 2.7 245 59 31 5.5 3.0 31.2 88.1 10.0 M M
20000 -14.6 5.7 240 54 28 5.7 3.1 29.7 85.4 8.9 M M
19500 -13.8 7.2 240 51 26 5.7 3.1 29.0 84.1 8.3 M M
19000 -13.0 8.6 235 49 25 5.7 3.2 28.3 82.9 7.7 M M
18500 -12.1 10.2 235 46 23 5.3 2.9 27.6 81.7 7.2 M M
18000 -11.4 11.5 235 42 21 5.2 2.9 26.8 80.3 6.5 M M
17500 -10.6 12.9 235 38 20 4.9 2.7 26.1 78.9 5.9 M M
17000 -10.0 14.0 235 34 17 3.6 2.0 25.1 77.1 5.0 M M
16500 -9.5 14.9 235 30 15 3.7 2.0 24.0 75.3 4.1 M M
16000 -9.0 15.8 235 26 14 3.1 1.7 23.0 73.4 3.1 M M
15500 -8.5 16.7 240 24 12 3.1 1.7 21.9 71.3 2.1 M M
15000 -8.0 17.6 245 22 12 4.6 2.5 20.8 69.4 1.2 M M
14500 -7.3 18.9 250 22 11 5.4 2.9 20.1 68.1 0.5 M M
14000 -6.5 20.3 250 22 11 5.5 3.0 19.4 66.9 -0.2 668 3.4
13500 -5.7 21.7 255 22 11 5.7 3.1 18.7 65.6 -0.8 629 3.2
13000 -4.9 23.2 260 22 12 5.7 3.1 18.0 64.4 -1.5 590 3.0
12500 -4.1 24.6 260 22 11 5.6 3.1 17.3 63.2 -2.1 551 2.8
12000 -3.2 26.2 265 22 11 5.6 3.1 16.7 62.0 -2.8 512 2.6
11500 -2.4 27.7 270 21 11 6.0 3.3 16.1 60.9 -3.4 471 2.4
11000 -1.5 29.3 275 20 10 6.2 3.4 15.5 59.8 -4.0 430 2.2
10500 -0.5 31.1 275 19 10 7.4 4.1 15.0 59.1 -4.5 384 2.0
10250 0.1 32.2 280 19 10 6.7 3.7 14.8 58.7 -4.7 361 1.8
10000 0.6 33.1 280 18 9 7.3 4.0 14.6 58.3 -4.9 338 1.7
9750 1.2 34.2 280 18 9 8.9 4.9 14.5 58.0 -5.1 312 1.6
9500 1.9 35.4 280 17 9 9.7 5.3 14.4 58.0 -5.1 284 1.4
9250 3.1 37.6 285 15 8 7.7 4.2 14.2 57.6 -5.3 231 1.2
9000 3.8 38.8 285 15 8 8.9 4.9 14.1 57.4 -5.4 204 1.0
8750 4.5 40.1 285 15 7 8.7 4.8 14.0 57.3 -5.5 177 0.9
8500 5.1 41.2 285 14 7 9.1 5.0 14.0 57.2 -5.6 150 0.8
8250 5.8 42.4 285 13 7 9.1 5.0 13.9 57.1 -5.6 121 0.6
8000 6.5 43.7 285 13 6 8.8 4.8 13.9 57.0 -5.7 94 0.5
7750 7.2 45.0 285 12 6 9.0 4.9 13.8 56.9 -5.8 66 0.3
7500 7.8 46.0 285 12 6 8.6 4.7 13.7 56.7 -5.8 39 0.2
7250 8.4 47.1 280 12 6 7.9 4.3 13.6 56.5 -6.0 13 0.1
7000 9.0 48.2 280 11 6 7.7 4.2 13.5 56.2 -6.1 M M
6750 9.6 49.3 275 10 5 7.6 4.2 13.3 56.0 -6.3 M M
6500 10.2 50.4 270 9 5 8.4 4.6 13.2 55.7 -6.5 M M
6250 10.8 51.4 265 8 4 6.9 3.8 13.1 55.5 -6.6 M M
6000 11.1 52.0 255 6 3 1.8 1.0 12.7 54.8 -7.0 M M
5750 11.4 52.5 240 4 2 11.6 6.3 12.2 54.0 -7.5 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/05/2026 at 0900 MDT | 05/05/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +8.3 LI... +2.4 | CAPE... +0.4 LI... +0.9
CINH... -0.3 K Index... +20.7 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +21.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.6 -80.7 250 66 34 1.5 0.8 | -60.7 -77.3 245 69 36 1.5 0.8
45000 -60.1 -76.2 240 82 42 2.5 1.4 | -58.5 -73.3 240 88 45 1.3 0.7
40000 -56.3 -69.3 245 120 62 2.0 1.1 | -56.4 -69.5 240 122 63 1.0 0.6
38000 -52.3 -62.1 240 115 59 7.3 4.0 | -52.5 -62.5 240 123 63 7.8 4.3
36000 -47.9 -54.2 240 106 55 7.3 4.0 | -47.8 -54.0 240 120 62 7.8 4.3
34000 -43.4 -46.1 240 100 51 7.6 4.2 | -43.5 -46.3 240 115 59 5.9 3.2
32000 -38.8 -37.8 240 97 50 7.6 4.2 | -40.0 -40.0 240 109 56 5.9 3.3
30000 -34.3 -29.7 240 96 49 7.5 4.1 | -36.0 -32.8 235 105 54 7.6 4.2
29000 -32.1 -25.8 240 98 50 7.5 4.1 | -33.7 -28.7 235 105 54 7.7 4.2
28000 -29.8 -21.6 240 99 51 7.5 4.1 | -31.4 -24.5 235 104 54 7.7 4.2
27000 -27.4 -17.3 240 100 51 3.5 1.9 | -29.2 -20.6 235 103 53 5.0 2.7
26000 -26.3 -15.3 235 97 50 3.8 2.1 | -27.8 -18.0 235 91 47 3.7 2.0
25000 -25.2 -13.4 235 93 48 3.8 2.1 | -26.8 -16.2 240 81 42 3.7 2.0
24000 -24.0 -11.2 235 90 46 4.9 2.7 | -25.6 -14.1 240 72 37 5.6 3.1
23000 -22.5 -8.5 235 82 42 5.2 2.8 | -23.7 -10.7 240 69 36 6.2 3.4
22000 -21.0 -5.8 240 75 39 5.2 2.9 | -21.9 -7.4 235 66 34 6.4 3.5
21000 -19.3 -2.7 240 68 35 7.0 3.8 | -20.1 -4.2 235 61 32 6.6 3.6
20000 -17.3 0.9 240 59 30 6.9 3.8 | -18.1 -0.6 240 50 26 6.6 3.6
19500 -16.3 2.7 245 55 28 6.9 3.8 | -17.1 1.2 245 45 23 6.6 3.6
19000 -15.3 4.5 245 50 26 6.8 3.8 | -16.1 3.0 250 40 21 6.6 3.6
18500 -14.3 6.3 245 46 24 7.8 4.3 | -15.1 4.8 255 36 19 7.4 4.1
18000 -13.1 8.4 245 43 22 8.0 4.4 | -14.0 6.8 255 34 18 7.6 4.1
17500 -11.9 10.6 245 40 20 7.8 4.3 | -12.9 8.8 260 32 17 7.4 4.0
17000 -10.9 12.4 245 36 19 6.6 3.6 | -11.9 10.6 260 30 15 6.6 3.6
16500 -9.9 14.2 245 32 17 6.9 3.8 | -10.9 12.4 260 27 14 6.7 3.7
16000 -9.1 15.6 245 29 15 4.1 2.3 | -10.0 14.0 265 25 13 6.1 3.3
15500 -8.5 16.7 245 26 13 4.1 2.2 | -9.1 15.6 265 23 12 6.1 3.4
15000 -7.9 17.8 245 23 12 4.4 2.4 | -8.2 17.2 270 22 11 6.7 3.7
14500 -7.3 18.9 250 21 11 4.6 2.5 | -7.1 19.2 270 21 11 6.9 3.8
14000 -6.6 20.1 255 19 10 4.8 2.6 | -6.1 21.0 270 21 11 6.8 3.7
13500 -5.9 21.4 260 18 9 5.2 2.9 | -5.2 22.6 265 21 11 6.5 3.6
13000 -5.1 22.8 265 16 8 5.2 2.8 | -4.2 24.4 265 20 10 6.3 3.5
12500 -4.4 24.1 270 14 7 4.9 2.7 | -3.4 25.9 265 20 10 5.6 3.1
12000 -3.7 25.3 275 13 7 4.9 2.7 | -2.6 27.3 265 19 10 5.5 3.0
11500 -3.0 26.6 280 12 6 4.6 2.5 | -1.9 28.6 265 18 9 4.9 2.7
11000 -2.3 27.9 285 11 6 4.6 2.6 | -1.2 29.8 265 16 8 4.9 2.7
10500 -1.6 29.1 295 11 6 5.1 2.8 | -0.5 31.1 265 15 7 4.9 2.7
10250 -1.2 29.8 295 11 6 4.9 2.7 | -0.1 31.8 265 13 7 5.8 3.2
10000 -0.9 30.4 300 11 6 4.7 2.6 | 0.4 32.7 265 12 6 6.1 3.4
9750 -0.6 30.9 300 12 6 4.5 2.5 | 0.8 33.4 265 11 6 6.1 3.4
9500 0.1 32.2 305 13 7 4.4 2.4 | 1.3 34.3 265 10 5 6.1 3.3
9250 0.4 32.7 305 13 6 5.5 3.0 | 1.7 35.1 265 9 5 6.5 3.5
9000 0.9 33.6 305 13 7 6.8 3.7 | 2.2 36.0 265 8 4 7.5 4.1
8750 1.4 34.5 310 13 7 6.8 3.7 | 2.8 37.0 260 8 4 8.1 4.5
8500 1.9 35.4 310 14 7 6.8 3.7 | 3.4 38.1 260 7 4 7.8 4.3
8250 2.4 36.3 310 13 7 7.7 4.2 | 4.7 40.5 255 7 3 9.9 5.4
8000 3.0 37.4 310 14 7 8.4 4.6 | 5.4 41.7 250 6 3 9.1 5.0
7750 3.6 38.5 310 14 7 8.3 4.5 | 6.1 43.0 245 6 3 9.7 5.3
7500 4.2 39.6 310 14 7 8.1 4.4 | 6.8 44.2 240 6 3 7.9 4.3
7250 4.8 40.6 315 15 8 8.5 4.7 | 7.4 45.3 235 6 3 8.7 4.8
7000 5.5 41.9 315 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 8.2 46.8 230 6 3 11.0 6.0
6750 6.1 43.0 315 14 7 8.9 4.9 | 9.0 48.2 225 6 3 10.7 5.9
6500 6.8 44.2 315 14 7 9.4 5.2 | 9.7 49.5 225 6 3 9.5 5.2
6250 7.6 45.7 315 14 7 11.5 6.3 | 10.5 50.9 220 7 3 13.9 7.6
6000 8.5 47.3 315 13 7 14.0 7.7 | 12.0 53.6 215 7 3 25.0 13.7
5750 9.5 49.1 315 11 6 9.7 5.3 | 13.4 56.1 215 7 4 4.2 2.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
05/05/2026 at 1500 MDT | 05/05/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +146.5 LI... -0.1 | CAPE... +196.7 LI... -1.7
CINH... -1.3 K Index... +26.1 | CINH... -12.5 K Index... +23.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.3 -74.7 250 73 38 0.4 0.2 | -58.8 -73.8 250 72 37 -0.7 -0.4
45000 -58.6 -73.5 240 96 49 1.8 1.0 | -59.6 -75.3 245 100 51 3.1 1.7
40000 -56.0 -68.8 240 126 65 1.8 1.0 | -55.2 -67.4 240 124 64 2.9 1.6
38000 -52.7 -62.9 240 127 65 6.5 3.6 | -52.2 -62.0 240 126 65 5.9 3.2
36000 -48.8 -55.8 240 125 64 6.5 3.6 | -48.6 -55.5 245 125 64 5.9 3.2
34000 -44.8 -48.6 240 122 63 6.8 3.7 | -45.0 -49.0 245 124 64 6.2 3.4
32000 -40.7 -41.3 240 118 61 6.8 3.7 | -41.3 -42.3 240 120 62 6.2 3.4
30000 -36.4 -33.5 240 115 59 7.6 4.2 | -37.3 -35.1 240 116 60 8.1 4.4
29000 -34.2 -29.6 240 114 59 7.6 4.2 | -34.8 -30.6 240 114 59 8.1 4.5
28000 -31.9 -25.4 240 112 58 7.6 4.2 | -32.4 -26.3 240 112 58 8.1 4.5
27000 -29.6 -21.3 240 111 57 4.9 2.7 | -29.7 -21.5 245 108 55 2.4 1.3
26000 -28.8 -19.8 240 95 49 2.1 1.2 | -28.9 -20.0 245 99 51 2.5 1.4
25000 -28.2 -18.8 245 83 43 2.1 1.2 | -28.2 -18.8 245 90 46 2.5 1.4
24000 -27.4 -17.3 245 71 37 5.3 2.9 | -27.4 -17.3 250 81 42 4.5 2.5
23000 -25.4 -13.7 245 63 32 6.9 3.8 | -25.6 -14.1 250 74 38 6.2 3.4
22000 -23.3 -9.9 250 55 28 7.0 3.8 | -23.7 -10.7 250 68 35 6.2 3.4
21000 -21.1 -6.0 250 47 24 8.5 4.7 | -21.8 -7.2 255 61 32 7.3 4.0
20000 -18.7 -1.7 250 41 21 8.5 4.6 | -19.6 -3.3 250 54 28 7.4 4.1
19500 -17.4 0.7 245 37 19 8.5 4.7 | -18.5 -1.3 250 50 26 7.4 4.1
19000 -16.2 2.8 245 34 18 8.6 4.7 | -17.4 0.7 250 47 24 7.5 4.1
18500 -15.0 5.0 245 31 16 7.6 4.2 | -16.4 2.5 250 43 22 7.0 3.8
18000 -13.9 7.0 245 29 15 7.3 4.0 | -15.4 4.3 250 41 21 6.8 3.7
17500 -12.9 8.8 240 27 14 7.2 4.0 | -14.4 6.1 245 39 20 6.9 3.8
17000 -11.9 10.6 245 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -13.3 8.1 245 37 19 7.4 4.1
16500 -10.9 12.4 245 24 13 6.7 3.7 | -12.3 9.9 245 36 19 7.4 4.0
16000 -10.0 14.0 245 24 12 5.9 3.3 | -11.2 11.8 245 35 18 7.8 4.3
15500 -9.1 15.6 245 23 12 5.9 3.2 | -10.0 14.0 240 34 18 7.9 4.3
15000 -8.2 17.2 250 23 12 5.8 3.2 | -8.9 16.0 240 34 17 8.0 4.4
14500 -7.4 18.7 250 22 11 5.7 3.1 | -7.7 18.1 240 33 17 8.1 4.4
14000 -6.6 20.1 250 21 11 5.7 3.1 | -6.5 20.3 240 33 17 8.0 4.4
13500 -5.8 21.6 250 20 10 5.8 3.2 | -5.3 22.5 240 32 16 7.7 4.2
13000 -4.9 23.2 250 18 9 5.9 3.2 | -4.2 24.4 240 31 16 7.7 4.2
12500 -4.0 24.8 250 17 9 6.5 3.5 | -3.1 26.4 245 31 16 7.5 4.1
12000 -3.1 26.4 245 16 8 6.5 3.6 | -2.0 28.4 245 30 15 7.6 4.2
11500 -2.1 28.2 240 15 8 7.2 4.0 | -0.9 30.4 245 28 14 7.6 4.2
11000 -1.1 30.0 235 14 7 7.1 3.9 | 0.2 32.4 245 26 14 7.6 4.2
10500 -0.1 31.8 230 14 7 6.4 3.5 | 1.4 34.5 245 25 13 7.9 4.3
10250 0.4 32.7 230 15 8 6.9 3.8 | 1.9 35.4 245 24 12 6.6 3.6
10000 0.9 33.6 230 15 8 7.0 3.8 | 2.3 36.1 245 23 12 6.7 3.7
9750 1.4 34.5 225 16 8 6.9 3.8 | 2.8 37.0 250 22 11 7.6 4.2
9500 1.8 35.2 225 16 8 6.5 3.6 | 4.0 39.2 250 21 11 8.0 4.4
9250 2.3 36.1 225 16 8 7.8 4.3 | 4.6 40.3 250 20 10 7.9 4.3
9000 3.6 38.5 225 17 9 7.8 4.3 | 5.2 41.4 250 19 10 8.0 4.4
8750 4.1 39.4 225 17 9 7.5 4.1 | 5.8 42.4 255 19 10 7.8 4.3
8500 4.7 40.5 225 17 9 8.5 4.7 | 6.3 43.3 255 18 9 8.5 4.7
8250 5.4 41.7 225 18 9 9.6 5.3 | 7.0 44.6 255 17 9 9.3 5.1
8000 6.1 43.0 225 18 9 9.4 5.1 | 7.7 45.9 255 17 9 9.1 5.0
7750 6.8 44.2 225 18 9 9.9 5.4 | 8.4 47.1 255 17 9 8.9 4.9
7500 7.5 45.5 225 18 9 8.0 4.4 | 9.0 48.2 260 17 9 9.7 5.3
7250 8.0 46.4 225 19 10 8.6 4.7 | 9.8 49.6 260 16 8 10.0 5.5
7000 8.8 47.8 225 19 10 10.9 6.0 | 10.5 50.9 260 16 8 9.5 5.2
6750 9.6 49.3 225 19 10 10.6 5.8 | 11.2 52.2 260 16 8 9.6 5.3
6500 10.4 50.7 225 19 10 9.7 5.3 | 11.9 53.4 260 15 8 9.8 5.4
6250 11.2 52.2 225 19 10 15.9 8.7 | 12.7 54.9 260 15 8 13.3 7.3
6000 12.9 55.2 225 17 9 28.9 15.9 | 13.9 57.0 265 14 7 18.4 10.1
5750 14.6 58.3 225 16 8 4.9 2.7 | 15.1 59.2 265 13 6 9.7 5.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0706 MDT Tuesday May 5 2026
This forecast is for Tuesday, May 5, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 55.4 F/13.0 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 615 ft/min (3.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14965 ft MSL (8493 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 64.0 F/18.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Overcast thin high
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12273 ft MSL (5800 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 05/06.... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:07:56 / 19:54:12 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 13 hr 46 min 15 sec (826 min 15 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:01:04 MDT... 70.81 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/05/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 10924 ft MSL (4452 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14857 ft MSL (8385 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15018 ft MSL (8546 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +4.8
K index......................... +11.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.4 -82.1 255 72 37 -0.6 -0.3 84.7 184.5 39.2 M M
45000 -63.5 -82.3 250 90 46 4.6 2.5 62.0 143.6 27.7 M M
40000 -56.1 -69.0 250 102 53 4.5 2.5 49.8 121.7 21.5 M M
38000 -51.8 -61.2 250 100 51 7.5 4.1 47.2 117.0 20.3 M M
36000 -47.4 -53.3 245 96 50 7.5 4.1 45.4 113.7 19.6 M M
34000 -43.0 -45.4 245 94 48 7.0 3.9 43.4 110.1 18.6 M M
32000 -38.8 -37.8 245 93 48 7.1 3.9 41.2 106.1 17.5 M M
30000 -34.9 -30.8 245 93 48 5.7 3.1 38.7 101.7 16.0 M M
29000 -33.2 -27.8 245 93 48 5.8 3.2 37.1 98.7 14.9 M M
28000 -31.5 -24.7 240 93 48 5.8 3.2 35.6 96.1 13.9 M M
27000 -29.7 -21.5 240 92 47 7.3 4.0 34.3 93.8 13.0 M M
26000 -27.0 -16.6 240 82 42 7.4 4.1 33.1 91.6 12.2 M M
25000 -24.8 -12.6 240 74 38 7.4 4.1 32.3 90.1 11.6 M M
24000 -22.6 -8.7 240 66 34 7.4 4.0 31.5 88.6 11.1 M M
23000 -20.4 -4.7 240 63 33 7.4 4.0 30.5 86.9 10.4 M M
22000 -18.2 -0.8 240 60 31 7.4 4.1 29.7 85.5 9.8 M M
21000 -16.2 2.8 235 57 29 5.7 3.1 28.8 83.8 9.1 M M
20000 -14.4 6.1 235 52 27 5.9 3.2 27.4 81.2 7.9 M M
19500 -13.6 7.5 235 50 26 5.9 3.2 26.7 80.0 7.4 M M
19000 -12.7 9.1 235 48 25 5.9 3.3 26.1 78.9 6.8 M M
18500 -11.9 10.6 235 45 23 4.9 2.7 25.4 77.7 6.3 M M
18000 -11.2 11.8 235 41 21 4.7 2.6 24.5 76.1 5.5 M M
17500 -10.5 13.1 235 36 19 4.4 2.4 23.7 74.6 4.8 M M
17000 -10.0 14.0 240 32 16 2.5 1.4 22.5 72.6 3.9 M M
16500 -9.6 14.7 240 27 14 2.5 1.4 21.4 70.4 2.8 M M
16000 -9.2 15.4 245 23 12 3.8 2.1 20.2 68.4 1.8 M M
15500 -8.6 16.5 250 21 11 3.9 2.2 19.3 66.7 1.0 M M
15000 -8.0 17.6 255 19 10 5.1 2.8 18.3 65.0 0.1 M M
14500 -7.1 19.2 260 18 9 6.1 3.4 17.7 63.9 -0.4 682 3.5
14000 -6.1 21.0 260 18 9 6.2 3.4 17.2 62.9 -0.9 639 3.2
13500 -5.2 22.6 265 17 9 6.3 3.5 16.6 61.9 -1.5 597 3.0
13000 -4.3 24.3 265 17 9 6.3 3.5 16.0 60.9 -2.0 554 2.8
12500 -3.4 25.9 265 16 8 6.2 3.4 15.5 59.9 -2.6 512 2.6
12000 -2.0 28.4 270 15 8 6.8 3.8 14.7 58.4 -3.4 449 2.3
11500 -0.9 30.4 275 14 7 7.0 3.8 14.3 57.7 -3.8 402 2.0
11000 0.1 32.2 280 13 7 7.6 4.2 13.8 56.8 -4.3 358 1.8
10500 1.2 34.2 290 14 7 7.9 4.3 13.5 56.4 -4.6 307 1.6
10250 1.8 35.2 295 14 7 7.2 4.0 13.4 56.1 -4.8 283 1.4
10000 2.3 36.1 295 14 7 7.2 3.9 13.2 55.7 -5.0 261 1.3
9750 2.8 37.0 300 15 8 7.4 4.0 13.0 55.4 -5.3 237 1.2
9500 3.4 38.1 300 16 8 7.8 4.3 12.8 55.0 -5.5 214 1.1
9250 3.9 39.0 300 17 9 6.1 3.4 12.6 54.7 -5.7 191 1.0
9000 4.3 39.7 300 17 9 6.1 3.4 12.3 54.1 -6.0 172 0.9
8750 4.8 40.6 300 18 9 8.0 4.4 12.1 53.8 -6.2 148 0.8
8500 5.4 41.7 295 18 9 6.9 3.8 11.9 53.5 -6.4 124 0.6
8250 5.9 42.6 295 19 10 9.7 5.3 11.8 53.2 -6.6 100 0.5
8000 6.7 44.1 295 19 10 9.1 5.0 11.9 53.3 -6.6 68 0.3
7750 7.2 45.0 290 19 10 6.1 3.4 11.6 52.9 -6.8 46 0.2
7500 7.8 46.0 290 18 9 6.8 3.7 11.4 52.5 -7.0 23 0.1
7250 8.3 46.9 285 17 9 8.2 4.5 11.2 52.2 -7.3 0 0.0
7000 8.8 47.8 280 15 8 4.4 2.4 11.0 51.9 -7.4 M M
6750 8.8 47.8 275 12 6 -5.9 -3.2 10.2 50.4 -8.3 M M
6500 8.7 47.7 270 9 5 13.6 7.5 9.4 49.0 -9.1 M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
05/05/2026 at 0900 MDT | 05/05/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +1.5 LI... +4.3 | CAPE... +1.9 LI... +1.1
CINH... -1.2 K Index... +14.9 | CINH... -0.0 K Index... +21.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.6 -82.5 250 70 36 0.6 0.3 | -60.9 -77.6 250 72 37 0.6 0.3
45000 -62.2 -80.0 245 81 42 3.6 2.0 | -59.8 -75.6 245 85 44 2.2 1.2
40000 -56.5 -69.7 245 114 59 3.2 1.7 | -56.6 -69.9 240 118 61 1.8 1.0
38000 -52.5 -62.5 245 108 55 7.2 3.9 | -52.7 -62.9 240 118 61 7.5 4.1
36000 -48.2 -54.8 245 98 50 7.2 3.9 | -48.1 -54.6 240 115 59 7.5 4.1
34000 -43.6 -46.5 240 92 47 8.4 4.6 | -43.9 -47.0 240 112 58 6.4 3.5
32000 -38.6 -37.5 240 90 46 8.4 4.6 | -40.1 -40.2 240 108 55 6.4 3.5
30000 -33.8 -28.8 240 91 47 7.3 4.0 | -36.0 -32.8 240 104 54 7.4 4.1
29000 -31.6 -24.9 240 92 48 7.3 4.0 | -33.8 -28.8 240 103 53 7.4 4.1
28000 -29.4 -20.9 240 94 49 7.3 4.0 | -31.6 -24.9 235 102 53 7.4 4.1
27000 -27.4 -17.3 240 95 49 4.4 2.4 | -29.4 -20.9 235 101 52 5.0 2.7
26000 -26.2 -15.2 240 90 46 3.8 2.1 | -28.1 -18.6 235 89 46 3.6 2.0
25000 -24.8 -12.6 240 84 43 3.8 2.1 | -27.0 -16.6 235 80 41 3.6 2.0
24000 -23.6 -10.5 235 79 40 5.6 3.1 | -25.8 -14.4 240 71 37 5.9 3.2
23000 -21.9 -7.4 235 73 37 6.0 3.3 | -23.9 -11.0 240 64 33 6.7 3.7
22000 -20.2 -4.4 235 67 34 6.1 3.3 | -21.9 -7.4 240 56 29 6.8 3.7
21000 -18.3 -0.9 235 60 31 7.0 3.8 | -19.9 -3.8 240 49 25 6.4 3.5
20000 -16.3 2.7 235 52 27 6.9 3.8 | -18.0 -0.4 245 42 21 6.5 3.6
19500 -15.3 4.5 240 48 25 6.9 3.8 | -17.1 1.2 245 38 20 6.5 3.6
19000 -14.3 6.3 240 44 23 6.9 3.8 | -16.1 3.0 245 34 18 6.5 3.6
18500 -13.2 8.2 240 41 21 7.7 4.2 | -15.2 4.6 250 31 16 6.7 3.7
18000 -12.0 10.4 240 38 20 7.9 4.4 | -14.2 6.4 250 30 15 6.7 3.7
17500 -10.9 12.4 240 36 18 7.5 4.1 | -13.2 8.2 255 29 15 6.7 3.7
17000 -10.0 14.0 240 33 17 4.9 2.7 | -12.2 10.0 255 29 15 6.7 3.7
16500 -9.3 15.3 240 31 16 5.2 2.9 | -11.2 11.8 260 30 15 6.7 3.7
16000 -8.6 16.5 235 28 15 3.3 1.8 | -10.3 13.5 260 30 16 6.7 3.7
15500 -8.2 17.2 240 26 13 3.2 1.7 | -9.3 15.3 260 30 16 6.7 3.7
15000 -7.7 18.1 240 24 12 2.9 1.6 | -8.3 17.1 265 30 16 6.1 3.3
14500 -7.3 18.9 245 20 10 2.8 1.5 | -7.5 18.5 265 29 15 5.7 3.1
14000 -6.9 19.6 255 17 9 3.2 1.7 | -6.7 19.9 270 28 14 5.8 3.2
13500 -6.3 20.7 265 14 7 4.4 2.4 | -5.8 21.6 270 25 13 6.2 3.4
13000 -5.7 21.7 275 12 6 4.5 2.5 | -4.9 23.2 275 23 12 6.2 3.4
12500 -4.9 23.2 290 11 6 6.1 3.3 | -4.0 24.8 275 19 10 6.5 3.6
12000 -4.0 24.8 300 11 5 6.0 3.3 | -3.0 26.6 275 15 8 6.5 3.6
11500 -3.1 26.4 300 11 6 6.6 3.6 | -2.0 28.4 275 12 6 7.4 4.0
11000 -2.0 28.4 305 11 6 8.1 4.4 | -0.8 30.6 275 9 5 8.9 4.9
10500 -0.4 31.3 300 11 6 7.6 4.2 | 1.2 34.2 275 8 4 9.2 5.1
10250 0.2 32.4 300 11 6 8.8 4.8 | 1.9 35.4 275 7 4 10.0 5.5
10000 0.9 33.6 300 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 2.7 36.9 275 7 4 9.8 5.4
9750 1.6 34.9 300 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 3.4 38.1 275 7 4 9.5 5.2
9500 2.3 36.1 300 11 6 9.4 5.2 | 4.1 39.4 275 7 4 9.5 5.2
9250 3.0 37.4 295 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 4.8 40.6 275 7 4 9.8 5.4
9000 3.8 38.8 295 11 6 9.8 5.4 | 5.6 42.1 275 7 4 10.1 5.5
8750 4.5 40.1 295 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 6.3 43.3 275 7 4 9.9 5.4
8500 5.2 41.4 295 11 6 9.5 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 275 7 4 10.0 5.5
8250 5.9 42.6 295 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 7.8 46.0 275 7 4 9.8 5.4
8000 6.6 43.9 290 12 6 10.1 5.5 | 8.5 47.3 275 7 4 10.0 5.5
7750 7.4 45.3 290 12 6 9.9 5.4 | 9.3 48.7 275 7 4 10.4 5.7
7500 8.1 46.6 290 12 6 10.1 5.5 | 10.1 50.2 275 7 4 10.4 5.7
7250 8.9 48.0 285 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 10.8 51.4 275 7 4 10.1 5.5
7000 9.7 49.5 285 11 6 13.6 7.5 | 11.7 53.1 275 7 4 15.5 8.5
6750 11.0 51.8 285 10 5 20.0 11.0 | 13.3 55.9 275 7 4 25.4 13.9
6500 12.2 54.0 280 10 5 8.5 4.7 | 14.8 58.6 275 7 4 7.5 4.1
05/05/2026 at 1500 MDT | 05/05/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +206.3 LI... -1.2 | CAPE... +131.1 LI... -0.4
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +22.5 | CINH... -4.6 K Index... +24.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.5 -75.1 250 73 38 0.8 0.4 | -58.3 -72.9 250 71 37 0.6 0.3
45000 -58.2 -72.8 245 91 47 1.4 0.8 | -57.4 -71.3 245 92 48 1.2 0.7
40000 -56.1 -69.0 240 121 62 1.5 0.8 | -55.5 -67.9 240 120 62 1.3 0.7
38000 -53.0 -63.4 240 123 63 6.5 3.6 | -52.9 -63.2 240 124 64 5.7 3.1
36000 -49.0 -56.2 240 122 63 6.5 3.6 | -49.5 -57.1 240 125 64 5.7 3.1
34000 -45.0 -49.0 245 121 62 7.3 4.0 | -45.9 -50.6 245 124 64 6.4 3.5
32000 -40.6 -41.1 240 120 62 7.3 4.0 | -42.1 -43.8 240 120 62 6.4 3.5
30000 -36.4 -33.5 240 117 60 6.3 3.5 | -38.2 -36.8 240 115 59 7.1 3.9
29000 -34.5 -30.1 240 114 59 6.3 3.5 | -36.0 -32.8 240 110 57 7.2 3.9
28000 -32.6 -26.7 240 111 57 6.3 3.5 | -33.9 -29.0 245 106 55 7.2 3.9
27000 -30.7 -23.3 240 107 55 4.7 2.6 | -31.7 -25.1 245 102 52 6.0 3.3
26000 -29.9 -21.8 245 93 48 2.7 1.5 | -30.4 -22.7 245 86 44 3.5 1.9
25000 -28.9 -20.0 245 75 39 2.8 1.5 | -29.3 -20.7 250 73 38 3.5 1.9
24000 -28.0 -18.4 250 61 31 6.0 3.3 | -28.3 -18.9 250 60 31 5.8 3.2
23000 -25.7 -14.3 250 54 28 7.7 4.2 | -26.0 -14.8 255 55 29 7.8 4.3
22000 -23.4 -10.1 250 47 24 7.8 4.3 | -23.7 -10.7 255 50 26 7.8 4.3
21000 -21.1 -6.0 250 41 21 7.3 4.0 | -21.3 -6.3 255 45 23 8.2 4.5
20000 -19.0 -2.2 250 36 19 7.3 4.0 | -18.9 -2.0 255 40 20 8.2 4.5
19500 -17.9 -0.2 250 34 17 7.3 4.0 | -17.7 0.1 255 37 19 8.2 4.5
19000 -16.8 1.8 250 31 16 7.4 4.1 | -16.5 2.3 255 34 17 8.2 4.5
18500 -15.8 3.6 250 29 15 6.8 3.7 | -15.3 4.5 255 31 16 7.7 4.2
18000 -14.8 5.4 255 29 15 6.6 3.6 | -14.2 6.4 255 29 15 7.4 4.0
17500 -13.8 7.2 260 28 14 6.6 3.6 | -13.1 8.4 255 28 14 7.4 4.0
17000 -12.8 9.0 260 27 14 6.7 3.7 | -12.1 10.2 250 27 14 6.6 3.6
16500 -11.8 10.8 265 26 13 6.6 3.6 | -11.2 11.8 250 26 13 6.7 3.7
16000 -10.8 12.6 270 25 13 7.2 3.9 | -10.2 13.6 245 25 13 6.6 3.6
15500 -9.8 14.4 270 23 12 7.2 4.0 | -9.2 15.4 245 25 13 6.6 3.6
15000 -8.7 16.3 270 21 11 7.1 3.9 | -8.3 17.1 245 25 13 6.2 3.4
14500 -7.7 18.1 265 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -7.5 18.5 245 25 13 5.7 3.1
14000 -6.8 19.8 260 19 10 7.7 4.2 | -6.7 19.9 245 24 13 5.8 3.2
13500 -5.5 22.1 260 19 10 9.0 5.0 | -5.8 21.6 245 24 12 6.6 3.6
13000 -4.2 24.4 255 18 9 9.0 5.0 | -4.8 23.4 245 24 12 6.5 3.6
12500 -2.8 27.0 255 18 9 9.3 5.1 | -3.9 25.0 245 24 13 7.0 3.8
12000 -1.4 29.5 255 18 9 9.2 5.1 | -2.9 26.8 245 25 13 6.9 3.8
11500 -0.1 31.8 255 18 9 8.5 4.7 | -1.3 29.7 245 25 13 6.7 3.7
11000 1.3 34.3 250 19 10 10.1 5.5 | -0.4 31.3 245 25 13 6.6 3.6
10500 2.6 36.7 250 19 10 8.2 4.5 | 0.6 33.1 245 25 13 6.9 3.8
10250 3.3 37.9 250 19 10 9.1 5.0 | 1.1 34.0 250 25 13 5.9 3.3
10000 4.0 39.2 250 20 10 10.1 5.6 | 1.5 34.7 250 25 13 7.2 3.9
9750 4.7 40.5 245 20 10 9.6 5.3 | 2.1 35.8 250 25 13 8.6 4.7
9500 6.1 43.0 245 21 11 9.1 5.0 | 2.7 36.9 250 25 13 8.4 4.6
9250 6.8 44.2 245 21 11 10.0 5.5 | 3.3 37.9 250 25 13 7.7 4.2
9000 7.6 45.7 245 22 11 10.4 5.7 | 3.9 39.0 255 25 13 7.9 4.4
8750 8.3 46.9 245 22 11 9.7 5.3 | 4.5 40.1 255 25 13 9.0 4.9
8500 9.1 48.4 240 22 12 9.9 5.5 | 5.2 41.4 255 24 13 8.6 4.7
8250 9.8 49.6 240 23 12 9.6 5.3 | 5.8 42.4 255 24 12 9.3 5.1
8000 10.5 50.9 240 23 12 10.3 5.6 | 6.5 43.7 260 24 12 9.3 5.1
7750 11.3 52.3 240 23 12 10.9 6.0 | 7.2 45.0 260 23 12 8.7 4.8
7500 12.1 53.8 240 23 12 10.9 6.0 | 7.8 46.0 260 23 12 8.8 4.8
7250 12.9 55.2 240 23 12 10.1 5.5 | 8.5 47.3 260 22 11 9.1 5.0
7000 13.8 56.8 240 23 12 17.1 9.4 | 9.2 48.6 260 22 11 11.8 6.5
6750 15.6 60.1 240 21 11 30.9 17.0 | 10.2 50.4 265 20 10 15.5 8.5
6500 17.5 63.5 240 20 10 5.8 3.2 | 11.2 52.2 265 17 9 9.3 5.1
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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