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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Saturday September 26 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, September 26, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 68.6 F/20.3 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 680 ft/min (3.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 14275 ft MSL (7945 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 75.0 F/24.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1245 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11061 ft MSL (4731 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 09/27....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:55:18 / 18:55:11 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 59 min 53 sec (719 min 53 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:55:15 MDT... 53.53 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 09/26/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14320 ft MSL (7990 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13526 ft MSL (7196 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 13986 ft MSL (7656 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.3
K index......................... +10.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.1 -79.8 270 46 24 2.0 1.1 84.0 183.1 35.5 M M
45000 -59.3 -74.7 270 57 29 1.4 0.8 65.6 150.2 26.4 M M
40000 -56.5 -69.7 270 52 27 8.2 4.5 48.1 118.5 16.3 M M
38000 -51.8 -61.2 270 49 25 7.9 4.3 46.1 115.0 15.4 M M
36000 -47.0 -52.6 265 46 24 7.9 4.3 44.8 112.7 14.9 M M
34000 -41.1 -42.0 265 43 22 9.0 4.9 43.7 110.7 14.5 M M
32000 -35.8 -32.4 265 39 20 9.0 4.9 43.3 109.9 14.6 M M
30000 -30.8 -23.4 265 38 20 8.2 4.5 42.1 107.7 14.0 M M
29000 -28.3 -18.9 270 38 19 8.2 4.5 41.5 106.7 13.7 M M
28000 -25.8 -14.4 270 37 19 8.1 4.5 41.1 106.0 13.5 M M
27000 -23.4 -10.1 270 35 18 8.0 4.4 40.3 104.6 13.1 M M
26000 -21.0 -5.8 270 33 17 8.0 4.4 39.7 103.4 12.7 M M
25000 -18.6 -1.5 270 31 16 8.1 4.4 39.1 102.4 12.4 M M
24000 -16.3 2.7 275 30 15 7.5 4.1 38.3 100.9 11.9 M M
23000 -14.0 6.8 280 28 14 7.5 4.1 37.5 99.4 11.3 M M
22000 -11.8 10.8 280 27 14 7.7 4.2 36.7 98.1 10.8 M M
21000 -10.2 13.6 280 24 12 4.8 2.6 35.1 95.3 9.6 M M
20000 -8.8 16.2 280 21 11 4.8 2.7 33.4 92.1 8.2 M M
19500 -8.0 17.6 275 20 10 4.9 2.7 32.6 90.7 7.5 M M
19000 -6.8 19.8 275 19 10 6.7 3.7 31.6 88.8 6.6 M M
18500 -5.9 21.4 275 18 9 6.5 3.6 31.0 87.8 6.2 M M
18000 -4.9 23.2 270 18 9 5.8 3.2 30.4 86.8 5.7 M M
17500 -4.2 24.4 270 17 9 5.4 2.9 29.7 85.4 5.0 M M
17000 -3.4 25.9 270 17 9 5.3 2.9 28.9 84.1 4.3 M M
16500 -2.7 27.1 265 16 8 4.2 2.3 28.1 82.6 3.5 M M
16000 -2.2 28.0 265 16 8 4.4 2.4 27.2 80.9 2.7 M M
15500 -1.5 29.3 260 16 8 4.9 2.7 26.3 79.4 1.8 M M
15000 -0.9 30.4 265 16 8 5.0 2.8 25.5 78.0 1.0 M M
14500 -0.2 31.6 265 16 8 5.6 3.1 24.8 76.6 0.2 M M
14000 0.6 33.1 265 17 9 6.1 3.4 24.2 75.5 -0.4 654 3.3
13500 1.5 34.7 270 18 9 6.4 3.5 23.6 74.5 -1.0 614 3.1
13000 2.4 36.3 275 18 9 7.0 3.8 23.1 73.6 -1.5 570 2.9
12500 3.4 38.1 275 19 10 7.1 3.9 22.7 72.8 -2.0 526 2.7
12000 4.5 40.1 280 18 10 7.9 4.3 22.3 72.2 -2.4 478 2.4
11500 5.6 42.1 280 18 9 7.8 4.3 22.0 71.7 -2.7 430 2.2
11000 6.8 44.2 280 18 9 8.3 4.5 21.8 71.2 -3.0 380 1.9
10500 8.0 46.4 280 17 9 8.3 4.5 21.5 70.7 -3.3 329 1.7
10250 8.6 47.5 285 17 9 8.4 4.6 21.4 70.5 -3.4 303 1.5
10000 9.2 48.6 285 17 9 8.3 4.6 21.3 70.4 -3.6 278 1.4
9750 9.8 49.6 285 17 9 8.2 4.5 21.2 70.1 -3.7 252 1.3
9500 10.4 50.7 285 16 8 8.3 4.6 21.1 69.9 -3.8 227 1.2
9250 11.0 51.8 285 16 8 9.1 5.0 21.0 69.8 -4.0 201 1.0
9000 11.7 53.1 280 16 8 8.0 4.4 20.9 69.7 -4.1 175 0.9
8750 12.2 54.0 280 16 8 6.8 3.7 20.7 69.3 -4.3 152 0.8
8500 12.7 54.9 280 15 8 6.6 3.6 20.5 68.9 -4.5 130 0.7
8250 13.1 55.6 280 15 8 6.1 3.3 20.2 68.4 -4.8 109 0.6
8000 13.5 56.3 280 15 8 5.7 3.1 19.9 67.9 -5.2 89 0.5
7750 13.9 57.0 280 14 7 5.9 3.3 19.6 67.3 -5.5 71 0.4
7500 14.3 57.7 285 13 7 2.8 1.5 19.3 66.7 -5.9 53 0.3
7250 14.3 57.7 285 12 6 -0.3 -0.2 18.6 65.4 -6.7 45 0.2
7000 14.2 57.6 290 11 6 0.9 0.5 17.9 64.2 -7.4 38 0.2
6750 14.2 57.6 295 10 5 -0.7 -0.4 17.2 62.9 -8.2 31 0.2
6500 13.9 57.0 300 8 4 -7.0 -3.9 16.2 61.1 -9.2 33 0.2
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
09/26/2026 at 0900 MDT | 09/26/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.3 | CAPE... +0.2 LI... +3.0
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +5.4 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... -3.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.3 -80.1 275 46 24 1.8 1.0 | -62.9 -81.2 275 51 26 1.5 0.8
45000 -59.8 -75.6 270 58 30 1.5 0.8 | -60.0 -76.0 275 68 35 3.2 1.7
40000 -56.6 -69.9 270 52 27 8.6 4.7 | -54.7 -66.5 280 58 30 7.0 3.9
38000 -51.5 -60.7 270 48 25 8.5 4.7 | -50.5 -58.9 275 56 29 7.0 3.8
36000 -45.7 -50.3 265 43 22 8.5 4.6 | -45.8 -50.4 270 54 28 7.2 3.9
34000 -40.8 -41.4 265 43 22 8.1 4.4 | -40.8 -41.4 270 50 26 8.3 4.6
32000 -36.0 -32.8 265 42 22 8.0 4.4 | -35.8 -32.4 260 45 23 8.3 4.5
30000 -30.8 -23.4 265 40 20 8.8 4.8 | -30.7 -23.3 265 41 21 8.6 4.7
29000 -28.1 -18.6 265 38 20 8.8 4.8 | -28.1 -18.6 265 40 20 8.6 4.7
28000 -25.5 -13.9 265 36 19 8.1 4.5 | -25.6 -14.1 265 38 19 8.0 4.4
27000 -23.1 -9.6 265 35 18 7.8 4.3 | -23.2 -9.8 265 36 19 7.7 4.2
26000 -20.8 -5.4 265 33 17 7.8 4.3 | -20.9 -5.6 265 35 18 7.7 4.2
25000 -18.5 -1.3 265 31 16 7.8 4.3 | -18.6 -1.5 265 34 18 7.7 4.2
24000 -16.2 2.8 270 29 15 7.2 4.0 | -16.5 2.3 270 31 16 6.5 3.6
23000 -14.1 6.6 270 28 14 7.2 4.0 | -14.6 5.7 270 28 14 6.6 3.6
22000 -11.9 10.6 275 26 13 7.3 4.0 | -12.6 9.3 270 24 12 6.7 3.7
21000 -9.7 14.5 280 23 12 7.4 4.1 | -10.2 13.6 275 22 11 8.1 4.5
20000 -7.4 18.7 280 21 11 7.4 4.1 | -7.2 19.0 275 19 10 8.1 4.5
19500 -5.8 21.6 285 19 10 7.0 3.8 | -6.0 21.2 280 18 9 8.0 4.4
19000 -5.0 23.0 280 18 9 4.4 2.4 | -4.8 23.4 280 17 9 7.2 4.0
18500 -4.3 24.3 275 17 9 4.6 2.5 | -3.7 25.3 280 16 8 7.4 4.0
18000 -3.7 25.3 275 16 8 3.5 1.9 | -2.7 27.1 280 15 8 5.0 2.7
17500 -3.2 26.2 270 15 8 3.2 1.7 | -2.1 28.2 275 14 7 4.3 2.4
17000 -2.8 27.0 265 14 7 3.4 1.9 | -1.5 29.3 275 14 7 4.0 2.2
16500 -2.3 27.9 265 13 7 4.2 2.3 | -1.0 30.2 275 13 7 2.7 1.5
16000 -1.7 28.9 270 13 6 4.1 2.3 | -0.6 30.9 275 12 6 2.9 1.6
15500 -1.1 30.0 275 12 6 5.3 2.9 | -0.2 31.6 275 11 6 4.0 2.2
15000 -0.3 31.5 280 12 6 5.4 3.0 | 0.3 32.5 275 10 5 4.2 2.3
14500 0.4 32.7 285 12 6 5.8 3.2 | 0.9 33.6 280 10 5 4.8 2.6
14000 1.3 34.3 285 12 6 6.1 3.3 | 1.6 34.9 280 10 5 5.1 2.8
13500 2.1 35.8 290 13 7 6.3 3.4 | 2.3 36.1 285 10 5 5.1 2.8
13000 3.0 37.4 290 14 7 6.5 3.6 | 2.9 37.2 290 10 5 4.8 2.7
12500 3.9 39.0 290 15 8 6.5 3.6 | 3.4 38.1 290 11 6 5.3 2.9
12000 4.8 40.6 290 16 8 6.5 3.6 | 4.2 39.6 295 11 6 6.5 3.6
11500 5.7 42.3 290 17 9 7.1 3.9 | 5.1 41.2 295 11 6 7.2 3.9
11000 6.8 44.2 290 17 9 7.8 4.3 | 6.4 43.5 295 11 6 9.5 5.2
10500 7.9 46.2 295 17 9 7.5 4.1 | 7.7 45.9 295 11 6 9.2 5.0
10250 8.5 47.3 295 17 9 7.3 4.0 | 8.4 47.1 295 11 6 8.9 4.9
10000 9.0 48.2 295 17 9 8.4 4.6 | 9.1 48.4 295 11 6 9.4 5.1
9750 9.7 49.5 295 17 9 9.1 5.0 | 9.8 49.6 295 11 6 9.5 5.2
9500 10.3 50.5 295 17 9 8.6 4.7 | 10.5 50.9 295 11 6 9.7 5.3
9250 10.9 51.6 295 17 9 8.4 4.6 | 11.2 52.2 295 11 6 10.6 5.8
9000 11.5 52.7 295 17 9 7.8 4.3 | 12.0 53.6 295 11 6 9.9 5.4
8750 12.1 53.8 295 16 8 7.5 4.1 | 12.7 54.9 295 11 6 8.9 4.9
8500 12.6 54.7 295 16 8 7.0 3.8 | 13.4 56.1 300 11 6 9.4 5.2
8250 13.0 55.4 295 16 8 6.3 3.4 | 14.1 57.4 300 11 6 9.7 5.3
8000 13.5 56.3 295 15 8 6.1 3.4 | 14.8 58.6 300 11 6 9.7 5.3
7750 13.9 57.0 290 14 7 5.5 3.0 | 15.5 59.9 300 11 5 9.9 5.4
7500 14.2 57.6 290 14 7 4.8 2.6 | 16.3 61.3 300 11 5 10.2 5.6
7250 14.5 58.1 290 13 6 4.7 2.6 | 17.1 62.8 300 10 5 10.7 5.9
7000 14.8 58.6 290 12 6 4.2 2.3 | 17.8 64.0 300 10 5 9.8 5.4
6750 15.1 59.2 290 11 5 7.4 4.0 | 18.6 65.5 300 10 5 12.7 7.0
6500 15.9 60.6 290 10 5 15.2 8.3 | 19.8 67.6 305 10 5 21.5 11.8
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
09/26/2026 at 1500 MDT | 09/26/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.6 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.7
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -9.6 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... -8.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.1 -83.4 280 67 34 1.0 0.6 | -64.5 -84.1 285 67 35 1.1 0.6
45000 -60.9 -77.6 285 86 44 4.7 2.6 | -60.6 -77.1 285 92 47 6.0 3.3
40000 -53.5 -64.3 275 64 33 7.2 4.0 | -51.6 -60.9 280 85 44 6.1 3.3
38000 -49.1 -56.4 270 57 29 7.3 4.0 | -47.9 -54.2 280 72 37 6.1 3.3
36000 -44.2 -47.6 270 49 25 7.4 4.0 | -43.8 -46.8 285 56 29 6.6 3.6
34000 -39.6 -39.3 265 49 25 7.7 4.2 | -39.2 -38.6 280 53 27 7.8 4.3
32000 -34.9 -30.8 265 48 25 7.7 4.2 | -34.6 -30.3 275 51 26 7.8 4.3
30000 -30.3 -22.5 265 43 22 7.8 4.3 | -30.0 -22.0 270 45 23 7.6 4.1
29000 -27.9 -18.2 270 41 21 7.8 4.3 | -27.7 -17.9 270 42 22 7.6 4.1
28000 -25.6 -14.1 270 38 20 7.9 4.3 | -25.4 -13.7 265 39 20 8.1 4.4
27000 -23.2 -9.8 270 38 19 8.0 4.4 | -23.0 -9.4 265 37 19 8.2 4.5
26000 -20.8 -5.4 270 37 19 8.0 4.4 | -20.5 -4.9 265 36 18 8.2 4.5
25000 -18.4 -1.1 270 36 19 8.0 4.4 | -18.0 -0.4 265 34 17 8.2 4.5
24000 -16.4 2.5 270 34 17 6.6 3.6 | -15.8 3.6 265 32 16 7.0 3.8
23000 -14.4 6.1 270 31 16 6.6 3.6 | -13.7 7.3 270 29 15 7.0 3.8
22000 -12.4 9.7 270 28 14 6.7 3.7 | -11.6 11.1 275 27 14 7.0 3.8
21000 -10.2 13.6 270 25 13 7.6 4.2 | -9.6 14.7 275 24 12 6.7 3.7
20000 -7.9 17.8 270 22 12 7.6 4.2 | -7.0 19.4 275 20 10 6.8 3.7
19500 -6.1 21.0 270 21 11 7.7 4.2 | -6.0 21.2 280 18 9 6.8 3.7
19000 -5.0 23.0 270 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -5.0 23.0 280 17 9 7.1 3.9
18500 -3.8 25.2 275 19 10 8.0 4.4 | -3.9 25.0 285 16 8 7.1 3.9
18000 -2.6 27.3 275 18 9 6.9 3.8 | -2.8 27.0 285 15 8 6.7 3.7
17500 -1.6 29.1 275 17 9 6.6 3.6 | -1.9 28.6 290 14 7 6.6 3.6
17000 -0.7 30.7 275 16 8 6.1 3.3 | -0.9 30.4 290 14 7 6.1 3.3
16500 -0.0 32.0 275 15 8 3.4 1.8 | -0.2 31.6 290 13 7 3.6 2.0
16000 0.5 32.9 275 14 7 3.6 2.0 | 0.3 32.5 295 12 6 3.8 2.1
15500 1.0 33.8 275 13 7 3.1 1.7 | 0.8 33.4 295 11 6 3.8 2.1
15000 1.4 34.5 275 11 6 3.2 1.8 | 1.4 34.5 300 10 5 3.9 2.2
14500 1.8 35.2 275 10 5 2.7 1.5 | 1.9 35.4 305 9 5 4.4 2.4
14000 2.0 35.6 280 9 5 2.8 1.5 | 2.5 36.5 310 8 4 4.7 2.6
13500 2.2 36.0 285 8 4 4.4 2.4 | 3.1 37.6 310 7 4 5.2 2.9
13000 2.9 37.2 290 8 4 6.5 3.6 | 3.8 38.8 310 6 3 5.9 3.2
12500 3.7 38.7 290 8 4 7.2 4.0 | 4.5 40.1 305 5 3 6.7 3.7
12000 5.0 41.0 290 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 5.6 42.1 295 5 3 8.7 4.8
11500 6.4 43.5 290 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 6.8 44.2 290 6 3 8.5 4.7
11000 7.8 46.0 290 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 8.1 46.6 285 7 3 9.0 4.9
10500 9.2 48.6 290 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 9.4 48.9 280 8 4 8.8 4.8
10250 9.9 49.8 290 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 10.0 50.0 275 8 4 8.9 4.9
10000 10.7 51.3 290 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 10.7 51.3 275 9 4 9.4 5.1
9750 11.4 52.5 290 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 11.4 52.5 270 9 5 9.4 5.1
9500 12.1 53.8 290 8 4 9.9 5.4 | 12.1 53.8 270 10 5 9.7 5.3
9250 12.9 55.2 290 9 4 10.5 5.7 | 12.9 55.2 270 10 5 11.0 6.1
9000 13.7 56.7 290 9 4 10.0 5.5 | 13.7 56.7 270 11 5 9.9 5.5
8750 14.4 57.9 290 9 4 9.4 5.1 | 14.3 57.7 265 11 6 8.4 4.6
8500 15.1 59.2 290 9 5 9.6 5.3 | 15.0 59.0 265 11 6 9.2 5.0
8250 15.8 60.4 290 9 5 9.7 5.3 | 15.7 60.3 265 12 6 9.7 5.3
8000 16.5 61.7 290 9 5 9.9 5.4 | 16.4 61.5 265 12 6 9.6 5.3
7750 17.3 63.1 290 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 17.1 62.8 265 13 7 9.2 5.1
7500 18.0 64.4 290 9 5 10.2 5.6 | 17.8 64.0 265 13 7 9.4 5.2
7250 18.8 65.8 290 9 5 10.5 5.8 | 18.5 65.3 260 13 7 9.7 5.3
7000 19.6 67.3 290 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 19.2 66.6 260 13 7 9.7 5.3
6750 20.3 68.5 285 9 5 11.0 6.0 | 19.9 67.8 260 13 7 9.1 5.0
6500 21.3 70.3 285 9 5 17.3 9.5 | 20.5 68.9 260 12 6 7.8 4.3
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Saturday September 26 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, September 26, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 70.9 F/21.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 721 ft/min (3.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 13973 ft MSL (8296 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 76.0 F/24.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1300 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9222 ft MSL (3545 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 09/27....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:57:48 / 18:57:40 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 59 min 52 sec (719 min 52 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:57:44 MDT... 53.48 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 09/26/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 13774 ft MSL (8097 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12237 ft MSL (6560 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 12893 ft MSL (7217 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.1
K index......................... +17.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.2 -80.0 265 46 24 1.7 0.9 86.1 187.0 36.2 M M
45000 -59.7 -75.5 270 56 29 1.7 0.9 67.4 153.2 26.9 M M
40000 -56.5 -69.7 270 52 27 8.6 4.7 50.3 122.5 17.3 M M
38000 -51.7 -61.1 270 49 25 8.2 4.5 48.5 119.4 16.6 M M
36000 -46.2 -51.2 265 45 23 8.1 4.5 47.4 117.3 16.2 M M
34000 -41.0 -41.8 265 43 22 8.6 4.7 46.1 115.1 15.8 M M
32000 -35.9 -32.6 260 41 21 8.6 4.7 45.4 113.7 15.6 M M
30000 -30.9 -23.6 265 39 20 8.3 4.5 44.1 111.4 15.0 M M
29000 -28.5 -19.3 265 38 20 8.3 4.5 43.6 110.5 14.8 M M
28000 -26.0 -14.8 270 37 19 8.1 4.5 43.2 109.7 14.6 M M
27000 -23.6 -10.5 270 35 18 7.9 4.4 42.4 108.2 14.2 M M
26000 -21.2 -6.2 265 34 17 7.9 4.4 41.7 107.0 13.8 M M
25000 -18.8 -1.8 265 32 16 8.0 4.4 41.1 106.0 13.5 M M
24000 -16.5 2.3 270 30 16 7.7 4.2 40.3 104.6 13.0 M M
23000 -14.2 6.4 270 29 15 7.7 4.2 39.6 103.2 12.5 M M
22000 -11.3 11.7 280 28 14 6.9 3.8 38.7 101.7 12.0 M M
21000 -9.6 14.7 280 25 13 5.7 3.2 37.3 99.1 10.9 M M
20000 -7.9 17.8 280 23 12 5.8 3.2 35.9 96.6 9.8 M M
19500 -7.0 19.4 280 21 11 5.9 3.2 35.2 95.4 9.3 M M
19000 -6.2 20.8 280 20 10 4.8 2.6 34.5 94.0 8.7 M M
18500 -5.5 22.1 280 20 10 4.9 2.7 33.6 92.5 8.0 M M
18000 -4.8 23.4 280 19 10 4.7 2.6 32.8 91.1 7.3 M M
17500 -4.2 24.4 280 19 10 4.3 2.4 31.9 89.4 6.4 M M
17000 -3.6 25.5 280 18 9 4.6 2.5 31.0 87.7 5.6 M M
16500 -3.1 26.4 280 17 9 2.9 1.6 29.9 85.9 4.7 M M
16000 -2.7 27.1 280 16 8 3.2 1.8 28.8 83.9 3.6 M M
15500 -2.3 27.9 280 16 8 3.8 2.1 27.8 82.0 2.6 M M
15000 -1.8 28.8 280 16 8 4.1 2.3 26.8 80.3 1.6 M M
14500 -1.3 29.7 275 16 8 5.0 2.7 25.9 78.6 0.7 M M
14000 -0.5 31.1 275 16 8 6.6 3.6 25.3 77.6 0.1 M M
13500 0.4 32.7 270 16 8 6.7 3.7 24.8 76.6 -0.5 684 3.5
13000 1.5 34.7 270 16 8 7.8 4.3 24.4 75.9 -0.9 638 3.2
12500 2.6 36.7 270 16 8 7.7 4.2 24.1 75.3 -1.3 590 3.0
12000 3.8 38.8 270 16 8 8.6 4.7 23.8 74.9 -1.6 540 2.7
11500 5.0 41.0 270 16 8 8.5 4.7 23.6 74.5 -1.8 489 2.5
11000 6.2 43.2 275 15 8 8.7 4.8 23.5 74.2 -2.0 436 2.2
10500 7.5 45.5 275 14 7 8.7 4.7 23.3 73.9 -2.2 384 1.9
10250 8.1 46.6 275 14 7 8.2 4.5 23.2 73.7 -2.3 358 1.8
10000 8.7 47.7 275 13 7 8.0 4.4 23.0 73.5 -2.5 333 1.7
9750 9.3 48.7 275 13 7 7.8 4.3 22.9 73.2 -2.6 308 1.6
9500 9.9 49.8 270 12 6 8.6 4.7 22.8 73.0 -2.8 283 1.4
9250 10.5 50.9 270 12 6 7.9 4.3 22.7 72.9 -2.9 257 1.3
9000 11.0 51.8 270 11 6 6.4 3.5 22.5 72.4 -3.1 235 1.2
8750 11.5 52.7 270 11 5 7.1 3.9 22.2 72.0 -3.4 213 1.1
8500 12.3 54.1 265 9 5 4.4 2.4 21.6 71.0 -4.0 174 0.9
8250 12.6 54.7 260 9 4 5.0 2.7 21.2 70.2 -4.4 158 0.8
8000 13.0 55.4 260 8 4 5.9 3.3 20.9 69.7 -4.8 139 0.7
7750 13.3 55.9 260 7 3 4.6 2.5 20.6 69.1 -5.2 120 0.6
7500 13.6 56.5 255 5 3 3.0 1.6 20.1 68.2 -5.7 106 0.5
7250 13.8 56.8 255 4 2 3.9 2.1 19.6 67.4 -6.2 92 0.5
7000 14.1 57.4 255 3 2 4.5 2.4 19.2 66.6 -6.6 76 0.4
6750 14.4 57.9 250 2 1 5.2 2.8 18.8 65.9 -7.1 59 0.3
6500 14.8 58.6 240 2 1 5.8 3.2 18.5 65.4 -7.4 39 0.2
6250 15.2 59.4 230 1 1 6.0 3.3 18.2 64.8 -7.7 20 0.1
6000 15.6 60.1 220 1 0 2.3 1.3 17.9 64.2 -8.2 2 0.0
5750 14.8 58.6 190 1 0 -27.3 -15.0 16.5 61.7 -9.6 17 0.1
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
09/26/2026 at 0900 MDT | 09/26/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.4 | CAPE... +2.0 LI... +2.3
CINH... -3.6 K Index... +7.8 | CINH... -1.5 K Index... +2.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -62.5 -80.5 270 46 24 2.1 1.2 | -63.0 -81.4 275 53 27 1.2 0.6
45000 -59.6 -75.3 270 58 30 1.6 0.9 | -60.3 -76.5 275 70 36 3.4 1.9
40000 -56.5 -69.7 265 53 27 8.5 4.7 | -54.8 -66.6 275 58 30 7.5 4.1
38000 -50.9 -59.6 265 48 25 8.3 4.5 | -49.8 -57.6 275 55 28 7.4 4.0
36000 -46.0 -50.8 260 44 23 8.3 4.5 | -45.4 -49.7 270 52 27 7.4 4.1
34000 -41.1 -42.0 265 44 22 8.2 4.5 | -40.7 -41.3 270 49 25 7.9 4.4
32000 -36.2 -33.2 265 44 23 8.2 4.5 | -35.9 -32.6 265 46 23 7.9 4.3
30000 -30.9 -23.6 265 42 22 8.9 4.9 | -30.9 -23.6 265 42 22 8.5 4.7
29000 -28.2 -18.8 265 41 21 8.9 4.9 | -28.3 -18.9 265 41 21 8.5 4.7
28000 -25.6 -14.1 265 39 20 8.1 4.4 | -25.8 -14.4 265 39 20 8.1 4.5
27000 -23.3 -9.9 265 36 19 7.4 4.1 | -23.4 -10.1 265 38 19 7.8 4.3
26000 -21.1 -6.0 265 34 17 7.4 4.1 | -21.1 -6.0 265 36 19 7.8 4.3
25000 -18.9 -2.0 265 31 16 7.5 4.1 | -18.7 -1.7 265 34 18 8.0 4.4
24000 -16.8 1.8 270 28 15 6.9 3.8 | -16.2 2.8 270 30 16 6.3 3.5
23000 -14.2 6.4 270 26 13 7.0 3.8 | -14.3 6.3 270 26 14 6.3 3.5
22000 -12.1 10.2 275 24 12 7.6 4.2 | -12.4 9.7 270 22 12 7.4 4.1
21000 -9.6 14.7 275 21 11 8.1 4.4 | -10.0 14.0 270 20 11 8.2 4.5
20000 -7.2 19.0 280 19 10 8.1 4.4 | -7.5 18.5 270 18 9 8.2 4.5
19500 -6.0 21.2 285 18 9 8.1 4.4 | -6.3 20.7 270 17 9 8.2 4.5
19000 -5.0 23.0 285 16 8 5.9 3.2 | -5.1 22.8 275 16 8 7.5 4.1
18500 -4.1 24.6 285 15 8 6.0 3.3 | -4.0 24.8 275 15 8 7.5 4.1
18000 -3.2 26.2 285 14 7 4.4 2.4 | -2.9 26.8 275 14 7 5.9 3.2
17500 -2.7 27.1 280 13 7 3.1 1.7 | -2.2 28.0 275 13 7 4.8 2.7
17000 -2.3 27.9 280 12 6 3.1 1.7 | -1.5 29.3 275 12 6 4.8 2.6
16500 -1.9 28.6 280 11 6 3.1 1.7 | -1.0 30.2 275 11 5 2.2 1.2
16000 -1.5 29.3 280 11 5 3.3 1.8 | -0.7 30.7 280 9 5 2.5 1.3
15500 -1.0 30.2 285 10 5 4.0 2.2 | -0.3 31.5 280 9 4 3.5 1.9
15000 -0.5 31.1 285 11 6 4.3 2.4 | 0.2 32.4 285 8 4 3.9 2.1
14500 0.1 32.2 290 11 6 4.6 2.5 | 0.7 33.3 290 8 4 4.4 2.4
14000 0.7 33.3 285 12 6 4.8 2.6 | 1.3 34.3 290 9 4 4.8 2.6
13500 1.3 34.3 285 13 6 5.1 2.8 | 1.9 35.4 295 9 5 5.0 2.8
13000 2.1 35.8 285 13 7 6.0 3.3 | 2.6 36.7 295 10 5 5.5 3.0
12500 2.8 37.0 285 13 7 6.1 3.3 | 3.4 38.1 295 10 5 5.6 3.1
12000 3.8 38.8 285 13 7 7.5 4.1 | 4.2 39.6 295 10 5 7.1 3.9
11500 4.8 40.6 290 13 6 7.4 4.0 | 5.2 41.4 295 10 5 7.0 3.9
11000 6.0 42.8 290 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 6.3 43.3 300 10 5 8.1 4.5
10500 7.2 45.0 295 12 6 7.9 4.3 | 7.5 45.5 300 9 5 7.8 4.3
10250 7.8 46.0 300 12 6 7.9 4.3 | 8.0 46.4 300 9 5 7.7 4.2
10000 8.4 47.1 300 12 6 8.5 4.6 | 8.5 47.3 305 9 4 7.8 4.3
9750 9.0 48.2 300 12 6 8.4 4.6 | 9.1 48.4 305 8 4 8.3 4.6
9500 9.6 49.3 300 12 6 8.0 4.4 | 9.6 49.3 305 8 4 6.4 3.5
9250 10.1 50.2 300 12 6 7.5 4.1 | 10.0 50.0 300 7 4 6.5 3.6
9000 10.7 51.3 300 12 6 7.7 4.2 | 10.6 51.1 300 7 3 8.6 4.7
8750 11.2 52.2 300 11 6 7.9 4.3 | 11.7 53.1 295 6 3 7.6 4.2
8500 12.2 54.0 295 11 5 5.2 2.9 | 12.2 54.0 295 5 3 8.2 4.5
8250 12.5 54.5 295 10 5 4.9 2.7 | 12.9 55.2 290 5 3 10.0 5.5
8000 12.9 55.2 295 9 5 5.4 3.0 | 13.7 56.7 290 5 3 10.4 5.7
7750 13.2 55.8 295 8 4 4.5 2.5 | 14.4 57.9 285 5 2 9.5 5.2
7500 13.5 56.3 295 7 4 3.7 2.0 | 15.1 59.2 285 5 2 8.9 4.9
7250 13.8 56.8 300 6 3 5.2 2.9 | 15.8 60.4 285 5 2 10.4 5.7
7000 14.1 57.4 295 5 2 6.1 3.3 | 16.6 61.9 280 4 2 11.0 6.0
6750 14.6 58.3 295 4 2 6.2 3.4 | 17.4 63.3 280 4 2 10.1 5.6
6500 15.0 59.0 295 3 1 6.3 3.5 | 18.1 64.6 275 4 2 9.9 5.4
6250 15.5 59.9 300 2 1 7.1 3.9 | 18.8 65.8 275 4 2 9.6 5.3
6000 16.1 61.0 300 2 1 11.1 6.1 | 19.6 67.3 275 4 2 12.6 6.9
5750 17.2 63.0 295 2 1 19.5 10.7 | 21.2 70.2 270 4 2 37.3 20.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
09/26/2026 at 1500 MDT | 09/26/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.4 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.5
CINH... 0.0 K Index... -2.0 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +7.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.2 -83.6 280 68 35 1.0 0.5 | -64.5 -84.1 285 67 34 1.1 0.6
45000 -61.0 -77.8 280 88 45 4.8 2.6 | -60.6 -77.1 285 91 47 6.2 3.4
40000 -53.6 -64.5 275 67 34 7.3 4.0 | -51.3 -60.3 280 88 45 5.7 3.1
38000 -48.6 -55.5 270 58 30 7.3 4.0 | -47.5 -53.5 280 71 37 5.7 3.1
36000 -44.3 -47.7 265 50 26 7.4 4.0 | -44.1 -47.4 280 56 29 6.2 3.4
34000 -39.7 -39.5 265 50 26 7.8 4.3 | -39.2 -38.6 275 54 28 8.3 4.6
32000 -35.0 -31.0 265 50 26 7.8 4.3 | -34.2 -29.6 270 54 28 8.4 4.6
30000 -30.4 -22.7 265 45 23 7.7 4.2 | -29.8 -21.6 270 47 24 7.2 4.0
29000 -28.1 -18.6 265 41 21 7.7 4.2 | -27.6 -17.7 265 43 22 7.2 4.0
28000 -25.8 -14.4 265 38 20 7.8 4.3 | -25.4 -13.7 265 39 20 7.7 4.2
27000 -23.4 -10.1 265 37 19 7.9 4.3 | -23.0 -9.4 260 37 19 8.0 4.4
26000 -21.1 -6.0 265 36 19 7.9 4.3 | -20.6 -5.1 260 35 18 8.0 4.4
25000 -18.7 -1.7 265 35 18 8.0 4.4 | -18.2 -0.8 260 33 17 8.2 4.5
24000 -16.6 2.1 265 33 17 6.5 3.6 | -15.6 3.9 265 30 15 6.7 3.7
23000 -14.2 6.4 270 30 15 6.5 3.6 | -13.6 7.5 265 27 14 6.7 3.7
22000 -12.3 9.9 270 27 14 7.2 3.9 | -11.6 11.1 270 25 13 6.8 3.7
21000 -10.0 14.0 270 24 12 7.7 4.2 | -9.6 14.7 270 21 11 6.9 3.8
20000 -7.7 18.1 270 21 11 7.7 4.2 | -7.5 18.5 275 18 9 6.9 3.8
19500 -6.5 20.3 270 20 10 7.7 4.2 | -6.4 20.5 275 17 9 6.9 3.8
19000 -5.3 22.5 275 19 10 7.9 4.4 | -5.4 22.3 280 15 8 7.1 3.9
18500 -4.1 24.6 275 18 9 7.9 4.3 | -4.3 24.3 280 14 7 7.1 3.9
18000 -3.0 26.6 275 17 9 7.0 3.8 | -3.3 26.1 285 13 7 6.4 3.5
17500 -2.0 28.4 275 16 8 6.4 3.5 | -2.4 27.7 285 12 6 6.0 3.3
17000 -1.1 30.0 275 15 8 6.4 3.5 | -1.5 29.3 290 12 6 6.0 3.3
16500 -0.4 31.3 275 14 7 3.7 2.0 | -0.9 30.4 290 12 6 2.6 1.4
16000 0.2 32.4 275 13 6 4.0 2.2 | -0.5 31.1 295 11 6 3.1 1.7
15500 0.7 33.3 280 11 6 3.5 1.9 | -0.1 31.8 295 11 6 3.4 1.9
15000 1.2 34.2 285 10 5 3.6 2.0 | 0.3 32.5 295 11 6 3.8 2.1
14500 1.7 35.1 290 8 4 4.2 2.3 | 0.7 33.3 300 12 6 5.4 2.9
14000 2.3 36.1 290 8 4 4.9 2.7 | 1.7 35.1 295 12 6 6.8 3.7
13500 2.9 37.2 295 8 4 4.9 2.7 | 2.6 36.7 295 12 6 7.1 3.9
13000 3.5 38.3 295 8 4 4.4 2.4 | 3.6 38.5 290 12 6 7.4 4.1
12500 4.0 39.2 295 8 4 4.8 2.6 | 4.6 40.3 285 13 6 7.5 4.1
12000 4.8 40.6 290 7 4 7.2 4.0 | 5.7 42.3 285 12 6 8.1 4.4
11500 5.7 42.3 290 7 3 7.0 3.9 | 6.9 44.4 275 11 6 8.1 4.4
11000 6.9 44.4 285 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 8.1 46.6 275 10 5 9.1 5.0
10500 8.2 46.8 280 6 3 8.9 4.9 | 9.4 48.9 270 9 5 8.6 4.7
10250 8.9 48.0 280 6 3 9.1 5.0 | 10.0 50.0 270 9 5 9.0 4.9
10000 9.6 49.3 280 6 3 9.7 5.3 | 10.7 51.3 265 9 4 9.5 5.2
9750 10.3 50.5 280 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 11.4 52.5 265 8 4 9.4 5.2
9500 11.0 51.8 280 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 12.1 53.8 265 8 4 9.4 5.2
9250 11.8 53.2 280 6 3 10.0 5.5 | 12.8 55.0 265 8 4 9.6 5.3
9000 12.5 54.5 275 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 14.3 57.7 260 7 4 9.9 5.4
8750 13.2 55.8 275 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 15.0 59.0 260 7 3 9.0 4.9
8500 14.6 58.3 275 5 3 9.0 4.9 | 15.6 60.1 260 6 3 9.0 4.9
8250 15.3 59.5 270 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 16.4 61.5 260 6 3 10.1 5.5
8000 16.0 60.8 270 5 3 10.4 5.7 | 17.1 62.8 255 6 3 10.1 5.6
7750 16.8 62.2 265 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 17.9 64.2 255 5 3 9.8 5.4
7500 17.5 63.5 265 5 3 9.3 5.1 | 18.6 65.5 255 5 3 9.4 5.1
7250 18.2 64.8 265 5 3 10.4 5.7 | 19.3 66.7 250 5 2 9.8 5.4
7000 19.0 66.2 260 5 3 11.1 6.1 | 20.0 68.0 250 5 2 10.1 5.5
6750 19.8 67.6 260 5 2 10.3 5.6 | 20.8 69.4 245 4 2 9.8 5.4
6500 20.6 69.1 260 5 2 10.0 5.5 | 21.5 70.7 240 4 2 9.7 5.3
6250 21.3 70.3 255 5 2 9.2 5.1 | 22.2 72.0 240 4 2 9.5 5.2
6000 22.0 71.6 255 5 2 12.1 6.7 | 22.9 73.2 240 4 2 10.0 5.5
5750 23.8 74.8 250 5 2 44.0 24.1 | 23.8 74.8 230 3 2 17.4 9.5
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0724 MDT Saturday September 26 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, September 26, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 67.2 F/19.5 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 618 ft/min (3.1 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 13779 ft MSL (7328 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 73.0 F/23.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1245 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10599 ft MSL (4148 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 09/27....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:55:45 / 18:55:30 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 59 min 45 sec (719 min 45 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:55:38 MDT... 52.90 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 09/26/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14210 ft MSL (7759 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13650 ft MSL (7199 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 13778 ft MSL (7327 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.6
K index......................... +14.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.6 -78.9 265 42 21 1.8 1.0 85.5 185.9 37.0 M M
45000 -59.0 -74.2 270 52 27 1.2 0.6 65.8 150.4 27.2 M M
40000 -56.5 -69.7 270 54 28 7.9 4.3 47.6 117.8 16.8 M M
38000 -51.9 -61.4 270 50 26 7.6 4.2 45.4 113.7 15.7 M M
36000 -47.4 -53.3 270 46 24 7.6 4.1 43.9 110.9 15.0 M M
34000 -42.2 -44.0 265 43 22 8.9 4.9 42.8 109.0 14.6 M M
32000 -36.8 -34.2 260 40 20 8.9 4.9 42.3 108.1 14.6 M M
30000 -31.1 -24.0 265 37 19 8.3 4.5 41.0 105.8 14.0 M M
29000 -28.6 -19.5 270 36 19 8.3 4.5 40.5 104.9 13.8 M M
28000 -26.2 -15.2 270 36 18 8.3 4.5 40.1 104.1 13.6 M M
27000 -23.7 -10.7 270 34 18 8.3 4.5 39.4 102.9 13.2 M M
26000 -21.2 -6.2 270 33 17 8.3 4.5 38.8 101.8 12.9 M M
25000 -18.7 -1.7 270 32 17 8.2 4.5 38.4 101.0 12.7 M M
24000 -16.3 2.7 270 30 15 7.8 4.3 37.6 99.7 12.3 M M
23000 -14.0 6.8 275 28 14 7.8 4.3 36.9 98.4 11.8 M M
22000 -11.7 10.9 280 26 13 7.5 4.1 36.2 97.2 11.4 M M
21000 -10.0 14.0 280 24 12 5.2 2.9 34.7 94.5 10.2 M M
20000 -8.4 16.9 280 22 11 5.3 2.9 33.1 91.6 8.9 M M
19500 -7.7 18.1 275 21 11 5.3 2.9 32.4 90.3 8.3 M M
19000 -6.9 19.6 275 20 10 4.7 2.6 31.6 88.9 7.7 M M
18500 -6.2 20.8 280 19 10 4.7 2.6 30.7 87.3 6.9 M M
18000 -5.6 21.9 280 19 10 4.8 2.6 29.9 85.8 6.2 M M
17500 -5.0 23.0 280 18 9 4.2 2.3 29.0 84.2 5.3 M M
17000 -4.4 24.1 285 17 9 4.4 2.4 28.1 82.5 4.5 M M
16500 -3.8 25.2 290 17 9 5.0 2.8 27.2 81.0 3.6 M M
16000 -3.1 26.4 295 17 9 5.2 2.8 26.4 79.6 2.9 M M
15500 -2.4 27.7 295 17 9 5.6 3.0 25.7 78.2 2.1 M M
15000 -1.5 29.3 295 17 9 6.0 3.3 25.0 77.1 1.5 M M
14500 -0.7 30.7 295 17 9 6.0 3.3 24.4 76.0 0.9 M M
14000 0.2 32.4 295 17 9 6.3 3.5 23.9 74.9 0.3 M M
13500 1.1 34.0 295 17 9 6.3 3.5 23.3 73.9 -0.2 603 3.1
13000 2.1 35.8 295 17 9 6.4 3.5 22.8 73.0 -0.7 560 2.8
12500 3.0 37.4 295 17 9 6.3 3.5 22.2 72.0 -1.3 518 2.6
12000 4.0 39.2 300 17 9 7.6 4.2 21.8 71.2 -1.8 473 2.4
11500 5.6 42.1 300 17 9 7.1 3.9 21.2 70.2 -2.4 403 2.0
11000 6.6 43.9 300 16 8 7.8 4.3 20.9 69.6 -2.8 356 1.8
10500 7.7 45.9 300 16 8 7.8 4.3 20.6 69.0 -3.1 308 1.6
10250 8.3 46.9 300 15 8 7.3 4.0 20.4 68.7 -3.3 284 1.4
10000 8.8 47.8 300 15 8 6.9 3.8 20.2 68.3 -3.6 262 1.3
9750 9.3 48.7 300 14 7 7.2 4.0 20.0 67.9 -3.8 239 1.2
9500 9.8 49.6 295 13 7 6.4 3.5 19.8 67.6 -4.0 217 1.1
9250 10.2 50.4 295 12 6 5.4 3.0 19.5 67.0 -4.4 198 1.0
9000 10.6 51.1 295 11 6 5.5 3.0 19.1 66.4 -4.7 179 0.9
8750 11.0 51.8 295 10 5 5.6 3.1 18.8 65.8 -5.1 160 0.8
8500 11.3 52.3 295 9 5 4.5 2.5 18.5 65.2 -5.5 141 0.7
8250 11.6 52.9 295 8 4 3.5 1.9 18.0 64.4 -6.0 126 0.6
8000 11.8 53.2 295 7 4 3.6 2.0 17.5 63.6 -6.5 112 0.6
7750 12.1 53.8 295 7 3 3.4 1.9 17.1 62.7 -7.0 97 0.5
7500 12.3 54.1 295 6 3 3.5 1.9 16.6 61.8 -7.5 83 0.4
7250 12.5 54.5 300 5 2 3.1 1.7 16.1 61.0 -8.0 69 0.3
7000 12.7 54.9 305 4 2 4.5 2.5 15.6 60.1 -8.5 55 0.3
6750 13.0 55.4 305 3 2 1.5 0.8 15.2 59.4 -9.0 39 0.2
6500 12.0 53.6 320 2 1 -35.5 -19.5 13.5 56.4 -10.8 61 0.3
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
09/26/2026 at 0900 MDT | 09/26/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.1 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.0
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +7.5 | CINH... -0.4 K Index... +2.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.9 -79.4 275 43 22 2.1 1.1 | -62.5 -80.5 275 45 23 2.0 1.1
45000 -59.2 -74.6 275 56 29 1.1 0.6 | -59.3 -74.7 275 58 30 2.6 1.4
40000 -56.8 -70.2 270 56 29 8.7 4.8 | -54.9 -66.8 275 56 29 7.4 4.1
38000 -51.3 -60.3 270 52 27 8.2 4.5 | -50.1 -58.2 275 52 27 7.2 3.9
36000 -46.5 -51.7 270 48 25 8.2 4.5 | -45.8 -50.4 270 48 25 7.1 3.9
34000 -41.5 -42.7 265 46 24 8.3 4.5 | -41.2 -42.2 265 48 25 7.8 4.3
32000 -36.6 -33.9 265 45 23 8.3 4.5 | -36.5 -33.7 265 49 25 7.8 4.3
30000 -31.5 -24.7 265 40 21 8.5 4.7 | -31.4 -24.5 265 46 24 8.6 4.7
29000 -28.9 -20.0 265 38 20 8.5 4.7 | -28.9 -20.0 265 44 23 8.6 4.7
28000 -26.4 -15.5 265 35 18 8.2 4.5 | -26.3 -15.3 265 42 22 8.0 4.4
27000 -24.1 -11.4 265 33 17 7.6 4.2 | -24.1 -11.4 265 38 20 7.3 4.0
26000 -21.8 -7.2 265 31 16 7.6 4.2 | -21.9 -7.4 265 34 18 7.3 4.0
25000 -19.5 -3.1 270 29 15 7.7 4.2 | -19.2 -2.6 265 29 15 7.2 4.0
24000 -16.7 1.9 270 26 14 7.5 4.1 | -17.0 1.4 265 27 14 7.0 3.9
23000 -14.4 6.1 270 24 13 7.5 4.1 | -14.9 5.2 270 25 13 7.0 3.9
22000 -12.2 10.0 275 22 12 7.5 4.1 | -12.8 9.0 270 23 12 7.6 4.2
21000 -9.9 14.2 275 20 10 7.6 4.2 | -10.4 13.3 275 21 11 8.2 4.5
20000 -7.6 18.3 280 18 9 7.7 4.2 | -7.9 17.8 275 19 10 8.2 4.5
19500 -6.5 20.3 285 17 9 8.1 4.4 | -6.7 19.9 275 18 9 8.3 4.6
19000 -5.6 21.9 285 15 8 3.6 2.0 | -5.6 21.9 275 16 8 6.4 3.5
18500 -5.0 23.0 285 13 7 4.1 2.2 | -4.6 23.7 280 15 8 6.5 3.6
18000 -4.4 24.1 290 11 5 3.9 2.1 | -3.6 25.5 280 13 7 5.1 2.8
17500 -3.9 25.0 295 9 4 3.6 2.0 | -3.1 26.4 275 11 5 3.7 2.0
17000 -3.4 25.9 305 7 4 3.6 2.0 | -2.6 27.3 275 8 4 3.6 2.0
16500 -2.8 27.0 315 6 3 5.9 3.2 | -2.0 28.4 270 6 3 4.8 2.7
16000 -2.0 28.4 320 6 3 5.8 3.2 | -1.3 29.7 265 4 2 4.9 2.7
15500 -1.2 29.8 330 6 3 5.8 3.2 | -0.7 30.7 265 3 2 5.1 2.8
15000 -0.4 31.3 325 7 4 5.7 3.1 | 0.0 32.0 290 3 1 5.3 2.9
14500 0.4 32.7 325 8 4 5.6 3.0 | 0.7 33.3 315 3 2 5.3 2.9
14000 1.1 34.0 320 9 5 5.1 2.8 | 1.5 34.7 330 5 3 5.3 2.9
13500 1.8 35.2 315 11 6 5.2 2.9 | 2.2 36.0 335 7 3 5.4 3.0
13000 2.6 36.7 310 12 6 5.6 3.1 | 3.0 37.4 340 8 4 6.3 3.5
12500 3.4 38.1 310 14 7 5.5 3.0 | 3.9 39.0 340 9 5 6.3 3.4
12000 4.3 39.7 310 15 8 7.1 3.9 | 4.8 40.6 340 10 5 6.9 3.8
11500 5.3 41.5 310 16 8 6.3 3.4 | 5.8 42.4 335 11 6 6.6 3.6
11000 6.2 43.2 310 16 8 7.6 4.2 | 6.8 44.2 335 12 6 7.4 4.0
10500 7.2 45.0 310 15 8 7.4 4.1 | 8.3 46.9 335 11 6 6.3 3.5
10250 8.2 46.8 315 15 8 6.7 3.7 | 8.7 47.7 335 10 5 6.6 3.6
10000 8.7 47.7 315 14 7 6.6 3.6 | 9.2 48.6 335 10 5 7.7 4.2
9750 9.2 48.6 315 14 7 6.8 3.7 | 9.7 49.5 335 10 5 7.5 4.1
9500 9.6 49.3 320 13 7 5.2 2.8 | 10.2 50.4 335 9 5 7.0 3.9
9250 9.9 49.8 320 13 6 5.0 2.8 | 10.7 51.3 335 9 4 8.2 4.5
9000 10.3 50.5 325 12 6 6.6 3.6 | 11.4 52.5 335 8 4 9.6 5.3
8750 10.8 51.4 330 11 6 6.0 3.3 | 12.1 53.8 335 8 4 9.2 5.1
8500 11.1 52.0 335 11 6 4.0 2.2 | 12.8 55.0 335 8 4 9.1 5.0
8250 11.4 52.5 340 10 5 3.6 2.0 | 13.4 56.1 335 8 4 9.2 5.1
8000 11.7 53.1 340 10 5 6.0 3.3 | 14.1 57.4 335 8 4 9.9 5.5
7750 12.1 53.8 340 9 5 6.7 3.7 | 14.9 58.8 335 7 4 10.3 5.6
7500 12.6 54.7 340 9 5 6.5 3.6 | 15.7 60.3 330 7 4 10.3 5.6
7250 13.1 55.6 345 8 4 6.4 3.5 | 16.4 61.5 330 7 4 10.4 5.7
7000 13.5 56.3 345 8 4 7.8 4.3 | 17.2 63.0 330 7 3 10.0 5.5
6750 14.3 57.7 345 7 4 12.8 7.0 | 18.0 64.4 325 6 3 14.1 7.7
6500 15.4 59.7 340 6 3 19.5 10.7 | 19.8 67.6 325 5 3 41.5 22.8
09/26/2026 at 1500 MDT | 09/26/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +4.3 LI... +1.8 | CAPE... +3.3 LI... +1.7
CINH... -8.2 K Index... +1.7 | CINH... -3.3 K Index... +7.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.2 -81.8 275 55 28 1.0 0.6 | -64.2 -83.6 285 60 31 0.8 0.4
45000 -60.4 -76.7 280 70 36 3.8 2.1 | -60.8 -77.4 280 79 41 5.7 3.1
40000 -54.3 -65.7 270 64 33 7.7 4.2 | -52.2 -62.0 275 77 40 6.0 3.3
38000 -49.2 -56.6 270 58 30 7.6 4.2 | -48.2 -54.8 275 67 34 6.0 3.3
36000 -44.7 -48.5 265 53 27 7.6 4.2 | -44.6 -48.3 275 58 30 6.2 3.4
34000 -40.0 -40.0 265 51 26 7.7 4.2 | -39.9 -39.8 275 55 28 8.0 4.4
32000 -35.4 -31.7 265 49 25 7.7 4.2 | -35.1 -31.2 270 53 27 8.1 4.4
30000 -30.8 -23.4 270 45 23 7.7 4.2 | -30.5 -22.9 270 46 24 7.7 4.2
29000 -28.4 -19.1 270 43 22 7.7 4.2 | -28.1 -18.6 270 42 22 7.7 4.2
28000 -26.1 -15.0 270 41 21 7.9 4.3 | -25.8 -14.4 270 38 20 7.9 4.3
27000 -23.7 -10.7 270 39 20 8.1 4.4 | -23.4 -10.1 270 36 19 8.1 4.4
26000 -21.3 -6.3 270 37 19 8.1 4.4 | -21.0 -5.8 270 35 18 8.1 4.4
25000 -18.9 -2.0 270 36 18 8.3 4.5 | -18.0 -0.4 270 32 17 7.3 4.0
24000 -16.5 2.3 270 32 17 6.0 3.3 | -16.1 3.0 270 30 15 6.3 3.4
23000 -14.7 5.5 270 29 15 6.0 3.3 | -14.2 6.4 275 27 14 6.3 3.4
22000 -12.8 9.0 270 26 13 6.9 3.8 | -12.4 9.7 275 25 13 6.6 3.6
21000 -10.5 13.1 275 24 12 8.0 4.4 | -10.2 13.6 280 22 11 7.0 3.9
20000 -8.1 17.4 275 21 11 8.0 4.4 | -8.1 17.4 280 19 10 7.0 3.9
19500 -6.9 19.6 275 20 10 8.0 4.4 | -7.1 19.2 285 17 9 7.0 3.8
19000 -5.7 21.7 275 19 10 7.7 4.2 | -6.0 21.2 285 16 8 7.5 4.1
18500 -4.6 23.7 280 18 9 7.6 4.2 | -4.9 23.2 285 15 8 7.4 4.1
18000 -3.4 25.9 280 16 8 6.4 3.5 | -3.8 25.2 285 14 7 6.3 3.5
17500 -2.7 27.1 280 14 7 5.1 2.8 | -3.0 26.6 285 13 7 5.3 2.9
17000 -1.9 28.6 280 12 6 5.3 2.9 | -2.3 27.9 290 12 6 5.5 3.0
16500 -1.4 29.5 285 10 5 2.4 1.3 | -1.8 28.8 290 10 5 2.2 1.2
16000 -1.0 30.2 285 8 4 2.9 1.6 | -1.5 29.3 300 9 5 2.9 1.6
15500 -0.6 30.9 290 6 3 4.4 2.4 | -1.1 30.0 305 8 4 5.0 2.7
15000 0.0 32.0 300 6 3 5.1 2.8 | -0.4 31.3 315 8 4 5.7 3.2
14500 0.7 33.3 310 6 3 6.0 3.3 | 0.3 32.5 320 8 4 6.6 3.6
14000 1.6 34.9 320 6 3 7.3 4.0 | 1.3 34.3 320 8 4 7.7 4.2
13500 2.7 36.9 330 7 4 7.4 4.0 | 2.4 36.3 320 8 4 7.8 4.3
13000 3.7 38.7 335 7 4 7.7 4.2 | 3.5 38.3 315 8 4 7.5 4.1
12500 4.8 40.6 330 8 4 7.8 4.3 | 4.6 40.3 305 8 4 7.4 4.1
12000 5.8 42.4 330 7 4 6.9 3.8 | 5.8 42.4 295 8 4 8.6 4.7
11500 6.8 44.2 320 7 4 6.3 3.4 | 7.0 44.6 280 9 5 7.6 4.2
11000 7.7 45.9 315 7 4 8.6 4.7 | 9.0 48.2 270 10 5 9.4 5.1
10500 9.6 49.3 305 7 4 9.3 5.1 | 10.4 50.7 265 11 5 10.0 5.5
10250 10.3 50.5 300 7 3 9.9 5.4 | 11.1 52.0 265 11 6 9.8 5.4
10000 11.0 51.8 300 7 3 9.3 5.1 | 11.8 53.2 265 11 6 9.1 5.0
9750 11.7 53.1 300 7 3 9.5 5.2 | 12.5 54.5 265 11 6 9.2 5.0
9500 12.4 54.3 295 7 3 9.4 5.2 | 13.2 55.8 260 11 6 9.6 5.3
9250 13.1 55.6 295 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 13.9 57.0 260 11 6 9.8 5.4
9000 13.8 56.8 290 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 14.6 58.3 260 11 6 9.6 5.2
8750 14.5 58.1 290 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 15.4 59.7 260 12 6 9.6 5.3
8500 15.2 59.4 290 6 3 9.6 5.3 | 16.1 61.0 255 12 6 9.9 5.5
8250 16.0 60.8 285 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 16.8 62.2 255 12 6 10.0 5.5
8000 16.7 62.1 285 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 17.6 63.7 255 12 6 9.4 5.2
7750 17.5 63.5 280 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 18.3 64.9 255 12 6 9.5 5.2
7500 18.2 64.8 280 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 19.0 66.2 255 12 6 9.8 5.4
7250 19.0 66.2 280 6 3 10.7 5.8 | 19.7 67.5 250 12 6 10.0 5.5
7000 19.8 67.6 275 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 20.4 68.7 250 11 6 9.1 5.0
6750 20.5 68.9 275 6 3 12.4 6.8 | 21.0 69.8 250 11 6 8.3 4.5
6500 22.4 72.3 270 5 3 49.0 26.9 | 21.7 71.1 250 9 5 13.9 7.6
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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