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Latest Soaring Forecasts
 

Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Saturday October 17 2026

This forecast is for Saturday, October 17, 2026:

If the trigger temperature of 62.5 F/16.9 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 306 ft/min (1.6 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 10231 ft MSL (3901 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 62.0 F/17.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1545 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9325 ft MSL (2995 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/18....... Fair


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:11:55 / 18:26:37 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 14 min 42 sec (674 min 42 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:49:16 MDT... 45.48 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/17/2026 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 6435 ft MSL (105 ft AGL)
Additional freezing level....... 13832 ft MSL (7502 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 30235 ft MSL (23905 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 21982 ft MSL (15652 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +13.7
K index......................... -49.0

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -64.5 -84.1   265   31   16   3.4   1.9   82.0 179.6    38.4      M    M
 45000  -58.8 -73.8   255   45   23   4.1   2.2   67.1 152.8    31.8      M    M
 40000  -52.5 -62.5   250   49   25   6.2   3.4   54.9 130.9    25.7      M    M
 38000  -48.8 -55.8   255   43   22   6.2   3.4   51.5 124.7    24.1      M    M
 36000  -45.1 -49.2   260   36   19   6.2   3.4   48.8 119.8    22.7      M    M
 34000  -41.2 -42.2   255   30   15   6.6   3.6   45.9 114.6    21.2      M    M
 32000  -36.7 -34.1   245   24   12   6.6   3.6   43.2 109.7    19.8      M    M
 30000  -32.7 -26.9   250   19   10   6.8   3.8   40.7 105.3    18.4      M    M
 29000  -30.6 -23.1   255   17    9   6.8   3.8   39.6 103.4    17.8      M    M
 28000  -28.6 -19.5   260   15    8   6.5   3.6   38.7 101.6    17.3      M    M
 27000  -26.7 -16.1   260   13    7   6.3   3.5   37.2  99.0    16.3      M    M
 26000  -24.8 -12.6   255   10    5   6.3   3.5   36.0  96.7    15.5      M    M
 25000  -22.9  -9.2   250    8    4   6.3   3.5   34.8  94.6    14.7      M    M
 24000  -20.7  -5.3   245    6    3   7.5   4.1   33.8  92.9    14.1      M    M
 23000  -18.5  -1.3   240    5    2   7.5   4.1   33.0  91.4    13.6      M    M
 22000  -16.2   2.8   235    3    2   7.4   4.1   32.3  90.1    13.1      M    M
 21000  -14.1   6.6   200    4    2   7.1   3.9   31.3  88.4    12.4      M    M
 20000  -11.9  10.6   180    7    3   7.1   3.9   30.4  86.7    11.8      M    M
 19500  -10.9  12.4   175    8    4   7.2   4.0   30.0  86.0    11.5      M    M
 19000   -9.9  14.2   170    9    4   6.0   3.3   29.5  85.1    11.1      M    M
 18500   -9.0  15.8   155    9    5   6.0   3.3   28.8  83.9    10.6      M    M
 18000   -7.6  18.3   140   10    5   5.9   3.2   27.9  82.2     9.9      M    M
 17500   -6.7  19.9   140   10    5   5.9   3.2   27.2  81.0     9.3      M    M
 17000   -5.9  21.4   135   10    5   6.0   3.3   26.6  79.8     8.8      M    M
 16500   -4.9  23.2   140   10    5   6.2   3.4   26.0  78.7     8.3      M    M
 16000   -4.0  24.8   140   10    5   6.2   3.4   25.4  77.7     7.8      M    M
 15500   -3.1  26.4   145   10    5   6.7   3.7   24.8  76.7     7.4      M    M
 15000   -2.1  28.2   145   10    5   6.7   3.7   24.3  75.8     6.9      M    M
 14500   -1.1  30.0   150   11    5   6.0   3.3   23.8  74.8     6.5      M    M
 14000   -0.2  31.6   145   11    6   6.0   3.3   23.2  73.7     5.9      M    M
 13500    0.7  33.3   145   12    6   5.8   3.2   22.6  72.6     5.4      M    M
 13000    1.5  34.7   145   12    6   5.7   3.1   21.9  71.4     4.8      M    M
 12500    2.4  36.3   145   13    7   4.9   2.7   21.2  70.2     4.2      M    M
 12000    3.0  37.4   140   13    7   4.5   2.5   20.4  68.7     3.5      M    M
 11500    3.7  38.7   140   14    7   4.1   2.2   19.6  67.2     2.7      M    M
 11000    4.2  39.6   135   14    7   3.0   1.7   18.6  65.4     1.8      M    M
 10500    4.6  40.3   130   14    7   1.8   1.0   17.5  63.4     0.7      M    M
 10250    4.7  40.5   130   14    7   1.2   0.7   16.8  62.2     0.1      M    M
 10000    4.8  40.6   130   14    7   0.8   0.5   16.1  61.0    -0.6    297  1.5
  9750    4.8  40.6   125   14    7  -0.7  -0.4   15.4  59.7    -1.3    289  1.5
  9500    4.7  40.5   125   14    7  -3.0  -1.6   14.5  58.1    -2.2    286  1.5
  9250    4.4  39.9   125   13    7  -4.2  -2.3   13.4  56.1    -3.2    288  1.5
  9000    4.1  39.4   125   12    6  -3.7  -2.0   12.4  54.3    -4.2    289  1.5
  8750    3.7  38.7   125   12    6  -6.1  -3.3   11.3  52.3    -5.3    293  1.5
  8500    3.1  37.6   125   11    6  -8.3  -4.5    9.9  49.9    -6.7    303  1.5
  8250    2.5  36.5   125   10    5  -8.4  -4.6    8.6  47.4    -8.1    316  1.6
  8000    1.8  35.2   130    9    5  -7.0  -3.9    7.2  44.9    -9.5    328  1.7
  7750    1.4  34.5   135    8    4  -2.8  -1.5    6.1  42.9   -10.7    333  1.7
  7500    1.3  34.3   135    7    4  -0.7  -0.4    5.2  41.4   -11.6    330  1.7
  7250    1.2  34.2   140    6    3  -2.3  -1.3    4.4  39.9   -12.5    326  1.7
  7000    1.0  33.8   150    4    2   2.2   1.2    3.6  38.4   -13.3    323  1.6
  6750    1.2  34.2   165    3    2  -1.1  -0.6    3.1  37.5   -13.9    309  1.6
  6500    0.5  32.9   180    2    1 -19.4 -10.7    1.5  34.8   -15.4    325  1.6
  6250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           10/17/2026 at 0900 MDT          |       10/17/2026 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +6.8        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +6.1
CINH...     0.0    K Index... -46.1        | CINH...     0.0    K Index... -43.4
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -63.8 -82.8  255  36 18   4.2   2.3 | -63.8 -82.8  260  45 23   4.1   2.3
 45000 -57.6 -71.7  250  52 27   3.1   1.7 | -57.6 -71.7  260  61 31   3.3   1.8
 40000 -52.5 -62.5  250  53 27   6.0   3.3 | -52.5 -62.5  245  61 31   5.2   2.9
 38000 -49.0 -56.2  245  44 23   6.0   3.3 | -49.4 -56.9  245  50 26   5.2   2.8
 36000 -45.4 -49.7  245  35 18   6.0   3.3 | -46.3 -51.3  240  39 20   5.2   2.9
 34000 -41.1 -42.0  245  28 14   6.4   3.5 | -42.0 -43.6  240  28 14   6.7   3.7
 32000 -37.2 -35.0  245  21 11   6.4   3.5 | -38.0 -36.4  250  18  9   6.6   3.6
 30000 -32.9 -27.2  255  16  8   7.4   4.1 | -33.3 -27.9  255  14  7   8.1   4.4
 29000 -30.7 -23.3  270  14  7   7.4   4.1 | -30.9 -23.6  255  13  6   8.1   4.4
 28000 -28.5 -19.3  280  12  6   7.1   3.9 | -28.5 -19.3  260  11  6   7.7   4.2
 27000 -26.4 -15.5  265  10  5   6.9   3.8 | -26.3 -15.3  250  10  5   7.5   4.1
 26000 -24.4 -11.9  250  10  5   6.9   3.8 | -24.0 -11.2  245   9  5   7.5   4.1
 25000 -22.3  -8.1  230  10  5   6.9   3.8 | -21.8  -7.2  230   8  4   7.5   4.1
 24000 -20.3  -4.5  220   9  4   6.6   3.6 | -20.0  -4.0  215   9  5   5.9   3.2
 23000 -18.3  -0.9  205   7  4   6.6   3.6 | -18.2  -0.8  200  10  5   5.9   3.2
 22000 -16.3   2.7  185   7  3   6.7   3.7 | -16.5   2.3  190  12  6   6.1   3.4
 21000 -14.2   6.4  195   6  3   7.1   3.9 | -14.4   6.1  195  11  6   7.2   4.0
 20000 -12.1  10.2  215   5  3   7.1   3.9 | -12.2  10.0  200   9  5   7.2   4.0
 19500 -11.0  12.2  225   5  3   7.0   3.8 | -11.1  12.0  200   8  4   7.2   3.9
 19000 -10.0  14.0  225   5  3   7.6   4.2 |  -9.4  15.1  205   7  3   7.9   4.3
 18500  -8.2  17.2  205   6  3   7.8   4.3 |  -8.2  17.2  205   6  3   8.0   4.4
 18000  -7.2  19.0  190   7  3   6.1   3.3 |  -7.0  19.4  205   6  3   7.1   3.9
 17500  -6.2  20.8  175   7  4   6.1   3.4 |  -6.0  21.2  195   6  3   7.0   3.9
 17000  -5.3  22.5  160   8  4   6.1   3.4 |  -4.9  23.2  190   6  3   6.7   3.7
 16500  -4.4  24.1  155   9  5   6.1   3.3 |  -3.9  25.0  175   7  4   6.2   3.4
 16000  -3.5  25.7  150  10  5   6.1   3.3 |  -3.0  26.6  165   8  4   6.2   3.4
 15500  -2.6  27.3  150  11  6   6.3   3.5 |  -2.1  28.2  160   9  5   6.1   3.3
 15000  -1.6  29.1  150  11  6   6.3   3.5 |  -1.2  29.8  160  10  5   6.1   3.3
 14500  -0.7  30.7  150  12  6   6.1   3.4 |  -0.3  31.5  155  11  6   6.0   3.3
 14000   0.2  32.4  150  12  6   6.2   3.4 |   0.6  33.1  160  12  6   6.0   3.3
 13500   1.1  34.0  155  13  7   5.7   3.1 |   1.5  34.7  160  12  6   6.0   3.3
 13000   1.9  35.4  155  13  7   5.5   3.0 |   2.4  36.3  160  13  7   6.0   3.3
 12500   2.8  37.0  150  14  7   4.9   2.7 |   3.3  37.9  165  14  7   5.4   3.0
 12000   3.4  38.1  150  14  7   4.6   2.5 |   4.0  39.2  165  14  7   5.0   2.8
 11500   4.1  39.4  150  14  7   4.7   2.6 |   4.8  40.6  165  14  7   5.5   3.0
 11000   4.8  40.6  150  14  7   4.0   2.2 |   5.5  41.9  165  14  7   3.4   1.9
 10500   5.4  41.7  150  14  7   3.5   1.9 |   6.0  42.8  165  13  7   3.1   1.7
 10250   5.6  42.1  150  14  7   3.5   1.9 |   6.2  43.2  160  13  7   3.0   1.6
 10000   5.9  42.6  150  14  7   2.7   1.5 |   6.4  43.5  160  13  7   2.4   1.3
  9750   6.0  42.8  145  13  7   1.2   0.7 |   6.6  43.9  160  13  7   1.7   0.9
  9500   6.1  43.0  145  13  7  -0.0  -0.0 |   6.7  44.1  160  12  6   0.7   0.4
  9250   6.0  42.8  145  12  6  -0.8  -0.5 |   6.7  44.1  160  12  6  -0.3  -0.2
  9000   6.0  42.8  145  12  6  -0.3  -0.2 |   6.7  44.1  160  11  6   0.2   0.1
  8750   5.9  42.6  140  11  6  -3.2  -1.8 |   6.7  44.1  160  10  5  -1.1  -0.6
  8500   5.5  41.9  140  10  5  -6.7  -3.7 |   6.5  43.7  160   9  5  -3.9  -2.2
  8250   4.9  40.8  140   9  4  -6.6  -3.6 |   6.1  43.0  160   8  4  -4.1  -2.3
  8000   4.4  39.9  140   8  4  -7.4  -4.0 |   5.7  42.3  165   7  3  -5.5  -3.0
  7750   3.7  38.7  140   6  3  -8.8  -4.8 |   5.4  41.7  170   5  3   2.5   1.4
  7500   3.0  37.4  145   5  2  -8.3  -4.5 |   6.0  42.8  170   5  3  10.6   5.8
  7250   2.3  36.1  145   3  2 -10.2  -5.6 |   6.7  44.1  170   5  2   9.0   5.0
  7000   1.7  35.1  155   2  1  -2.3  -1.3 |   7.4  45.3  175   5  2   9.2   5.0
  6750   2.0  35.6  165   1  1   9.6   5.3 |   8.1  46.6  175   4  2  12.5   6.9
  6500   2.7  36.9  195   1  0   6.1   3.3 |   9.3  48.7  175   4  2  19.4  10.6
  6250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           10/17/2026 at 1500 MDT          |       10/17/2026 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +5.4        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +5.2
CINH...    -0.0    K Index... -40.0        | CINH...     0.0    K Index... -34.7
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -63.9 -83.0  260  50 26   4.1   2.2 | -64.0 -83.2  265  47 24   4.6   2.5
 45000 -57.6 -71.7  260  66 34   3.9   2.1 | -57.1 -70.8  265  63 33   3.8   2.1
 40000 -51.8 -61.2  250  70 36   4.0   2.2 | -51.4 -60.5  250  71 36   4.0   2.2
 38000 -49.4 -56.9  245  56 29   4.0   2.2 | -49.0 -56.2  250  58 30   4.0   2.2
 36000 -47.0 -52.6  240  42 21   4.1   2.3 | -46.6 -51.9  255  45 23   4.1   2.2
 34000 -43.2 -45.8  240  33 17   7.2   3.9 | -42.5 -44.5  250  36 18   6.7   3.7
 32000 -38.4 -37.1  235  25 13   7.2   3.9 | -38.5 -37.3  240  29 15   6.7   3.7
 30000 -33.7 -28.7  240  20 10   8.1   4.4 | -33.9 -29.0  240  22 12   8.1   4.4
 29000 -31.2 -24.2  245  18  9   8.1   4.4 | -31.5 -24.7  245  19 10   8.1   4.4
 28000 -28.8 -19.8  255  16  8   8.0   4.4 | -29.1 -20.4  245  16  8   8.1   4.5
 27000 -26.4 -15.5  245  16  8   8.0   4.4 | -26.6 -15.9  245  16  8   8.2   4.5
 26000 -24.0 -11.2  235  15  8   8.0   4.4 | -24.1 -11.4  245  16  8   8.3   4.5
 25000 -21.6  -6.9  225  15  8   8.2   4.5 | -21.6  -6.9  245  15  8   8.5   4.6
 24000 -19.6  -3.3  225  15  8   6.1   3.4 | -19.6  -3.3  245  15  8   6.6   3.6
 23000 -17.8  -0.0  225  15  8   6.3   3.4 | -17.6   0.3  240  15  8   6.6   3.6
 22000 -16.1   3.0  220  14  7   6.4   3.5 | -15.7   3.7  235  14  7   6.7   3.7
 21000 -14.1   6.6  220  13  6   6.6   3.6 | -13.7   7.3  230  12  6   6.6   3.6
 20000 -12.1  10.2  215  11  5   6.6   3.6 | -11.8  10.8  215  10  5   6.7   3.7
 19500 -11.1  12.0  210   9  5   6.6   3.6 | -10.8  12.6  210   9  5   6.7   3.6
 19000 -10.0  14.0  210   9  4   7.4   4.1 |  -9.2  15.4  200   8  4   7.4   4.1
 18500  -8.3  17.1  210   7  4   7.7   4.2 |  -8.0  17.6  200   7  4   7.5   4.1
 18000  -7.1  19.2  210   7  3   7.4   4.1 |  -6.8  19.8  200   7  4   7.1   3.9
 17500  -6.0  21.2  205   7  4   7.4   4.1 |  -5.8  21.6  195   7  3   7.0   3.8
 17000  -4.8  23.4  200   7  4   7.2   3.9 |  -4.7  23.5  195   7  3   7.0   3.9
 16500  -3.8  25.2  195   8  4   6.7   3.7 |  -3.6  25.5  190   7  4   7.0   3.8
 16000  -2.8  27.0  190   9  5   6.7   3.7 |  -2.5  27.5  190   8  4   7.1   3.9
 15500  -1.7  28.9  185  10  5   7.3   4.0 |  -1.5  29.3  185   8  4   6.5   3.6
 15000  -0.6  30.9  180  11  5   7.3   4.0 |  -0.5  31.1  185   9  4   6.6   3.6
 14500   0.4  32.7  175  11  6   6.6   3.6 |   0.5  32.9  180   9  5   6.4   3.5
 14000   1.4  34.5  175  11  6   6.5   3.5 |   1.4  34.5  180   9  5   6.4   3.5
 13500   2.3  36.1  170  12  6   5.8   3.2 |   2.4  36.3  180  10  5   6.1   3.3
 13000   3.1  37.6  170  12  6   5.3   2.9 |   3.3  37.9  180  10  5   5.8   3.2
 12500   3.9  39.0  170  12  6   5.1   2.8 |   4.1  39.4  180  10  5   5.6   3.1
 12000   4.7  40.5  170  12  6   5.0   2.7 |   4.9  40.8  180  10  5   5.3   2.9
 11500   5.4  41.7  170  11  6   5.6   3.1 |   5.7  42.3  180   9  5   5.0   2.8
 11000   6.1  43.0  175  11  6   3.7   2.0 |   6.1  43.0  185   9  5   1.4   0.8
 10500   6.7  44.1  175  10  5   3.0   1.6 |   6.4  43.5  190   9  4   1.5   0.8
 10250   6.9  44.4  175  10  5   1.5   0.8 |   6.4  43.5  190   9  4   1.2   0.7
 10000   7.0  44.6  175   9  5   0.5   0.3 |   6.5  43.7  190   9  4   2.1   1.1
  9750   6.9  44.4  175   9  4   0.1   0.1 |   6.7  44.1  195   9  4   2.0   1.1
  9500   6.9  44.4  175   8  4  -0.9  -0.5 |   6.8  44.2  195   9  4   4.0   2.2
  9250   6.7  44.1  175   7  4  -2.9  -1.6 |   7.2  45.0  195   8  4   6.6   3.6
  9000   6.5  43.7  175   6  3  -0.2  -0.1 |   7.7  45.9  195   8  4   6.2   3.4
  8750   6.6  43.9  180   6  3   3.9   2.1 |   8.1  46.6  195   8  4   5.8   3.2
  8500   7.0  44.6  180   6  3   7.7   4.2 |   8.6  47.5  200   7  4   6.8   3.7
  8250   7.7  45.9  180   6  3   9.7   5.3 |   9.1  48.4  200   7  3   7.8   4.3
  8000   8.4  47.1  180   6  3   8.9   4.9 |   9.7  49.5  200   6  3   7.5   4.1
  7750   9.0  48.2  180   6  3   9.0   4.9 |  10.3  50.5  200   6  3   8.0   4.4
  7500   9.8  49.6  180   6  3   9.9   5.4 |  10.9  51.6  205   5  3   8.8   4.8
  7250  10.5  50.9  180   6  3  10.3   5.6 |  11.5  52.7  205   5  2   8.6   4.7
  7000  11.3  52.3  185   5  3  10.2   5.6 |  12.2  54.0  210   4  2  10.0   5.5
  6750  12.1  53.8  185   5  3  13.1   7.2 |  12.8  55.0  210   4  2   4.4   2.4
  6500  13.3  55.9  185   5  3  17.5   9.6 |  12.6  54.7  215   3  1  -9.1  -5.0
  6250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local 
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial 
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude:  34.9781667 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
                   Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

042613

Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0721 MDT Saturday October 17 2026

This forecast is for Saturday, October 17, 2026:

If the trigger temperature of 62.2 F/16.8 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 309 ft/min (1.6 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 10074 ft MSL (4398 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 64.0 F/18.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1345 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9125 ft MSL (3450 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/18....... Fair


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:14:28 / 18:29:03 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 14 min 35 sec (674 min 35 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:51:45 MDT... 45.45 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/17/2026 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 13928 ft MSL (8252 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 28639 ft MSL (22963 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 20612 ft MSL (14936 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +13.7
K index......................... -51.2

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -64.2 -83.6   260   33   17   3.3   1.8   84.9 184.8    39.2      M    M
 45000  -58.9 -74.0   250   49   25   4.0   2.2   70.4 158.8    32.8      M    M
 40000  -52.4 -62.3   250   49   25   5.8   3.2   57.1 134.8    26.3      M    M
 38000  -48.9 -56.0   250   42   22   5.8   3.2   53.4 128.0    24.4      M    M
 36000  -45.4 -49.7   255   36   18   5.8   3.2   50.3 122.6    22.9      M    M
 34000  -41.5 -42.7   250   30   16   6.7   3.7   47.4 117.3    21.4      M    M
 32000  -37.5 -35.5   245   25   13   6.7   3.7   45.0 113.0    20.2      M    M
 30000  -33.2 -27.8   245   20   10   7.2   3.9   42.8 109.0    19.0      M    M
 29000  -31.1 -24.0   255   17    9   7.2   3.9   41.8 107.3    18.5      M    M
 28000  -28.9 -20.0   260   15    8   7.1   3.9   41.0 105.7    18.0      M    M
 27000  -26.9 -16.4   260   13    7   6.7   3.7   39.7 103.5    17.3      M    M
 26000  -24.4 -11.9   250   11    5   6.7   3.7   38.3 100.9    16.3      M    M
 25000  -22.4  -8.3   240    9    5   6.6   3.6   37.2  99.0    15.7      M    M
 24000  -20.5  -4.9   230    6    3   6.3   3.4   35.9  96.6    14.8      M    M
 23000  -18.6  -1.5   195    4    2   6.3   3.4   34.6  94.3    13.9      M    M
 22000  -16.7   1.9   140    4    2   6.8   3.7   33.4  92.2    13.1      M    M
 21000  -14.5   5.9   175    4    2   7.5   4.1   32.5  90.6    12.4      M    M
 20000  -12.2  10.0   200    6    3   7.5   4.1   31.7  89.1    11.9      M    M
 19500  -11.1  12.0   205    6    3   7.5   4.1   31.4  88.5    11.7      M    M
 19000   -9.9  14.2   200    7    4   8.2   4.5   31.1  87.9    11.5      M    M
 18500   -8.7  16.3   190    8    4   8.1   4.5   30.8  87.4    11.3      M    M
 18000   -7.5  18.5   180    9    4   7.5   4.1   30.5  86.9    11.1      M    M
 17500   -6.4  20.5   170    9    5   7.3   4.0   30.1  86.1    10.8      M    M
 17000   -5.3  22.5   160   10    5   7.1   3.9   29.7  85.4    10.5      M    M
 16500   -4.3  24.3   150   11    6   6.1   3.4   29.1  84.4    10.0      M    M
 16000   -3.4  25.9   145   12    6   6.3   3.4   28.5  83.3     9.6      M    M
 15500   -2.5  27.5   145   13    7   5.3   2.9   27.8  82.1     9.0      M    M
 15000   -1.7  28.9   140   14    7   5.3   2.9   27.1  80.8     8.4      M    M
 14500   -0.9  30.4   140   15    8   5.1   2.8   26.4  79.4     7.8      M    M
 14000   -0.2  31.6   140   15    8   5.0   2.7   25.6  78.0     7.1      M    M
 13500    0.5  32.9   140   16    8   4.8   2.6   24.8  76.6     6.4      M    M
 13000    1.2  34.2   140   16    8   4.6   2.5   23.9  75.1     5.7      M    M
 12500    1.9  35.4   140   17    9   4.5   2.4   23.1  73.6     4.9      M    M
 12000    2.6  36.7   140   17    9   4.1   2.3   22.2  72.0     4.1      M    M
 11500    3.2  37.8   140   17    9   3.9   2.1   21.3  70.4     3.3      M    M
 11000    3.7  38.7   135   16    8   3.2   1.8   20.3  68.6     2.4      M    M
 10500    4.2  39.6   135   16    8   1.6   0.9   19.3  66.8     1.4      M    M
 10250    4.2  39.6   130   15    8   0.5   0.3   18.6  65.4     0.7      M    M
 10000    4.4  39.9   130   14    7   1.9   1.0   17.9  64.2     0.1      M    M
  9750    4.5  40.1   130   14    7   2.4   1.3   17.3  63.1    -0.5    299  1.5
  9500    4.6  40.3   125   13    7  -0.6  -0.3   16.7  62.0    -1.1    288  1.5
  9250    4.2  39.6   120   11    6  -1.5  -0.8   14.7  58.5    -3.0    285  1.5
  9000    4.1  39.4   120   10    5  -1.0  -0.6   13.9  57.0    -3.8    281  1.4
  8750    4.0  39.2   120    9    5  -1.0  -0.5   13.1  55.5    -4.7    276  1.4
  8500    3.9  39.0   115    8    4  -0.3  -0.2   12.2  54.0    -5.5    272  1.4
  8250    3.9  39.0   115    7    4  -2.2  -1.2   11.4  52.6    -6.3    267  1.4
  8000    3.6  38.5   110    6    3  -0.7  -0.4   10.5  50.9    -7.3    266  1.4
  7750    3.8  38.8   105    5    3   2.6   1.4    9.9  49.8    -8.0    255  1.3
  7500    4.0  39.2   100    5    3   4.2   2.3    9.3  48.8    -8.5    242  1.2
  7250    4.2  39.6   095    4    2  -1.8  -1.0    8.8  47.9    -9.0    228  1.2
  7000    3.8  38.8   090    4    2  -2.0  -1.1    7.7  45.9   -10.2    232  1.2
  6750    4.0  39.2   085    4    2   3.4   1.9    7.2  44.9   -10.8    220  1.1
  6500    4.1  39.4   085    4    2   2.9   1.6    6.6  43.9   -11.4    207  1.1
  6250    4.3  39.7   080    4    2   0.8   0.4    6.1  43.0   -11.9    194  1.0
  6000    4.0  39.2   085    4    2  -8.0  -4.4    5.1  41.2   -13.0    195  1.0
  5750    3.6  38.5   085    3    2   3.0   1.7    3.9  39.1   -14.2    201  1.0
  5500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           10/17/2026 at 0900 MDT          |       10/17/2026 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +7.4        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +6.9
CINH...     0.0    K Index... -45.9        | CINH...     0.0    K Index... -43.4
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -63.4 -82.1  250  38 20   4.1   2.2 | -63.7 -82.7  255  45 23   4.1   2.3
 45000 -57.5 -71.5  250  56 29   3.1   1.7 | -57.6 -71.7  255  62 32   3.3   1.8
 40000 -52.6 -62.7  245  54 28   5.6   3.1 | -52.5 -62.5  240  63 33   4.5   2.5
 38000 -49.3 -56.7  245  44 23   5.5   3.0 | -49.9 -57.8  240  48 25   4.4   2.4
 36000 -46.1 -51.0  240  35 18   5.5   3.0 | -47.3 -53.1  235  34 17   4.5   2.5
 34000 -41.9 -43.4  245  28 14   6.5   3.5 | -42.8 -45.0  235  25 13   7.3   4.0
 32000 -38.0 -36.4  250  22 11   6.4   3.5 | -38.5 -37.3  245  20 10   7.3   4.0
 30000 -33.5 -28.3  260  17  9   7.9   4.3 | -33.6 -28.5  245  16  8   8.3   4.6
 29000 -31.1 -24.0  265  15  8   7.9   4.3 | -31.1 -24.0  250  14  7   8.3   4.6
 28000 -28.8 -19.8  270  13  7   7.5   4.1 | -28.6 -19.5  250  12  6   8.1   4.4
 27000 -26.6 -15.9  260  11  6   7.1   3.9 | -26.3 -15.3  245  11  6   7.7   4.2
 26000 -24.5 -12.1  245  10  5   7.1   3.9 | -24.0 -11.2  235  10  5   7.7   4.2
 25000 -22.4  -8.3  230   9  5   7.1   3.9 | -21.7  -7.1  225   9  5   8.0   4.4
 24000 -20.3  -4.5  210   9  5   6.7   3.7 | -19.8  -3.6  215  10  5   5.7   3.1
 23000 -18.3  -0.9  190   9  5   6.7   3.7 | -18.1  -0.6  205  11  6   5.7   3.1
 22000 -15.8   3.6  175  11  6   6.5   3.6 | -16.0   3.2  195  12  6   6.5   3.6
 21000 -13.9   7.0  175   9  4   6.4   3.5 | -14.0   6.8  195  11  6   6.9   3.8
 20000 -12.0  10.4  175   6  3   6.5   3.5 | -11.9  10.6  190  10  5   6.9   3.8
 19500 -11.0  12.2  175   5  3   6.8   3.7 | -10.8  12.6  190  10  5   7.0   3.9
 19000  -9.9  14.2  180   5  3   7.9   4.3 |  -9.7  14.5  190   9  4   7.5   4.1
 18500  -8.7  16.3  180   5  3   7.8   4.3 |  -8.6  16.5  190   7  4   7.5   4.1
 18000  -7.6  18.3  180   5  3   7.4   4.0 |  -7.5  18.5  185   6  3   7.5   4.1
 17500  -6.5  20.3  175   6  3   7.3   4.0 |  -6.3  20.7  185   6  3   7.5   4.1
 17000  -5.4  22.3  170   6  3   7.1   3.9 |  -5.2  22.6  180   6  3   7.4   4.0
 16500  -4.4  24.1  165   7  4   6.8   3.7 |  -4.1  24.6  175   7  3   7.1   3.9
 16000  -3.3  26.1  160   9  4   6.9   3.8 |  -3.1  26.4  170   8  4   7.2   3.9
 15500  -2.4  27.7  155  10  5   6.0   3.3 |  -2.0  28.4  165   9  4   6.4   3.5
 15000  -1.4  29.5  155  11  6   6.1   3.4 |  -1.1  30.0  160  10  5   6.4   3.5
 14500  -0.5  31.1  150  12  6   6.1   3.3 |  -0.1  31.8  155  11  6   6.2   3.4
 14000   0.4  32.7  150  14  7   6.1   3.3 |   0.8  33.4  155  13  7   6.1   3.3
 13500   1.3  34.3  150  15  8   5.7   3.2 |   1.7  35.1  155  14  7   5.9   3.2
 13000   2.1  35.8  150  16  8   5.5   3.0 |   2.6  36.7  155  15  8   5.7   3.1
 12500   2.9  37.2  150  16  8   5.2   2.9 |   3.4  38.1  160  16  8   5.5   3.0
 12000   3.7  38.7  150  17  9   4.8   2.6 |   4.2  39.6  160  16  8   5.2   2.9
 11500   4.4  39.9  145  17  9   4.3   2.3 |   5.0  41.0  160  16  8   4.8   2.6
 11000   4.9  40.8  145  17  9   3.3   1.8 |   5.6  42.1  155  16  8   3.8   2.1
 10500   5.4  41.7  145  17  9   1.5   0.8 |   6.2  43.2  155  15  8   2.2   1.2
 10250   5.4  41.7  140  16  8   0.5   0.3 |   6.3  43.3  155  14  7   0.5   0.3
 10000   5.6  42.1  140  15  8   2.0   1.1 |   6.3  43.3  150  13  7   1.3   0.7
  9750   5.7  42.3  135  14  7   2.2   1.2 |   6.4  43.5  150  13  7   1.5   0.8
  9500   5.8  42.4  135  13  7  -0.9  -0.5 |   6.5  43.7  145  12  6  -0.1  -0.0
  9250   5.6  42.1  130  12  6  -3.5  -1.9 |   6.4  43.5  145  11  6  -3.0  -1.6
  9000   5.4  41.7  130  11  6  -1.5  -0.8 |   6.1  43.0  140  10  5  -4.1  -2.2
  8750   5.3  41.5  125  10  5  -1.7  -0.9 |   5.7  42.3  135   8  4  -4.2  -2.3
  8500   4.8  40.6  115   8  4  -4.2  -2.3 |   5.1  41.2  130   6  3  -3.3  -1.8
  8250   4.4  39.9  110   6  3  -4.2  -2.3 |   5.0  41.0  125   5  2   1.6   0.9
  8000   4.1  39.4  105   5  3  -2.4  -1.3 |   5.3  41.5  125   4  2   5.2   2.8
  7750   4.0  39.2  095   4  2  -0.2  -0.1 |   5.6  42.1  120   3  1   5.4   3.0
  7500   4.0  39.2  085   4  2   0.4   0.2 |   6.0  42.8  120   2  1   5.5   3.0
  7250   4.0  39.2  065   3  2  -1.6  -0.9 |   6.4  43.5  125   1  1   7.9   4.3
  7000   3.8  38.8  055   3  2   1.1   0.6 |   7.2  45.0  140   1  0  10.1   5.6
  6750   4.1  39.4  050   3  2   5.4   3.0 |   7.9  46.2  000   0  0   9.8   5.4
  6500   4.4  39.9  045   3  2   3.5   1.9 |   8.6  47.5  000   0  0   9.2   5.1
  6250   4.8  40.6  035   3  1   7.3   4.0 |   9.4  48.9  235   1  0  11.8   6.5
  6000   5.6  42.1  040   2  1  14.7   8.1 |  10.5  50.9  255   1  1  18.8  10.3
  5750   6.4  43.5  035   2  1  -0.1  -0.1 |  11.7  53.1  260   2  1   9.2   5.0
  5500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           10/17/2026 at 1500 MDT          |       10/17/2026 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +6.5        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +6.8
CINH...    -0.0    K Index... -38.7        | CINH...     0.0    K Index... -32.0
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -63.6 -82.5  260  47 24   4.0   2.2 | -63.7 -82.7  265  42 22   4.5   2.5
 45000 -57.3 -71.1  255  65 34   4.0   2.2 | -56.9 -70.4  265  60 31   4.1   2.2
 40000 -51.3 -60.3  245  67 34   3.3   1.8 | -50.9 -59.6  250  68 35   3.0   1.6
 38000 -49.4 -56.9  245  52 27   3.3   1.8 | -49.0 -56.2  255  55 28   3.1   1.7
 36000 -47.4 -53.3  240  37 19   3.4   1.9 | -47.0 -52.6  255  41 21   2.8   1.5
 34000 -43.4 -46.1  240  30 16   7.6   4.2 | -43.0 -45.4  250  33 17   7.4   4.1
 32000 -38.9 -38.0  235  26 13   7.7   4.2 | -38.6 -37.5  240  27 14   7.5   4.1
 30000 -34.2 -29.6  240  22 11   7.8   4.3 | -33.9 -29.0  240  22 11   7.9   4.3
 29000 -31.9 -25.4  245  20 10   7.8   4.3 | -31.6 -24.9  240  19 10   7.9   4.3
 28000 -29.6 -21.3  250  18  9   7.9   4.3 | -29.3 -20.7  240  17  9   8.0   4.4
 27000 -26.4 -15.5  245  17  9   8.5   4.6 | -26.8 -16.2  240  15  8   8.3   4.6
 26000 -23.8 -10.8  240  17  9   8.5   4.7 | -24.3 -11.7  245  14  7   8.3   4.6
 25000 -21.2  -6.2  235  16  8   8.2   4.5 | -21.8  -7.2  245  13  7   8.5   4.7
 24000 -19.3  -2.7  230  16  8   6.2   3.4 | -19.7  -3.5  245  13  7   6.6   3.6
 23000 -17.5   0.5  225  15  8   6.3   3.4 | -17.7   0.1  245  13  7   6.6   3.6
 22000 -15.6   3.9  220  15  7   6.4   3.5 | -15.3   4.5  240  14  7   6.7   3.7
 21000 -13.7   7.3  215  13  7   6.6   3.6 | -13.3   8.1  230  12  6   6.8   3.7
 20000 -11.7  10.9  210  11  6   6.7   3.6 | -11.4  11.5  215  10  5   6.9   3.8
 19500 -10.7  12.7  205  10  5   6.6   3.6 | -10.4  13.3  210  10  5   6.9   3.8
 19000  -9.7  14.5  200   9  5   6.9   3.8 |  -9.4  15.1  200   9  5   6.9   3.8
 18500  -8.6  16.5  195   8  4   6.9   3.8 |  -8.3  17.1  195   8  4   6.9   3.8
 18000  -7.5  18.5  195   7  4   7.2   3.9 |  -7.2  19.0  190   8  4   7.1   3.9
 17500  -6.4  20.5  190   7  4   7.4   4.0 |  -6.0  21.2  190   7  4   7.2   4.0
 17000  -5.3  22.5  185   7  3   7.4   4.1 |  -4.9  23.2  185   6  3   7.3   4.0
 16500  -4.2  24.4  185   7  4   7.2   4.0 |  -3.8  25.2  185   6  3   7.1   3.9
 16000  -3.0  26.6  180   8  4   7.3   4.0 |  -2.7  27.1  185   7  3   7.2   3.9
 15500  -2.0  28.4  180   9  5   7.0   3.8 |  -1.6  29.1  180   7  4   7.0   3.8
 15000  -0.9  30.4  175  10  5   6.9   3.8 |  -0.6  30.9  180   7  4   6.9   3.8
 14500   0.1  32.2  175  11  6   6.7   3.7 |   0.5  32.9  180   8  4   6.5   3.5
 14000   1.1  34.0  170  12  6   6.4   3.5 |   1.4  34.5  180   9  4   6.1   3.3
 13500   2.1  35.8  170  13  7   6.2   3.4 |   2.3  36.1  175   9  5   5.9   3.2
 13000   3.0  37.4  170  13  7   5.7   3.1 |   3.1  37.6  175  10  5   5.4   3.0
 12500   3.8  38.8  170  14  7   5.6   3.1 |   3.9  39.0  180  10  5   5.3   2.9
 12000   4.6  40.3  165  14  7   5.1   2.8 |   4.7  40.5  180  10  5   4.7   2.6
 11500   5.4  41.7  165  14  7   5.0   2.8 |   5.4  41.7  180  10  5   4.6   2.5
 11000   6.0  42.8  165  13  7   3.6   2.0 |   6.0  42.8  180  10  5   3.4   1.9
 10500   6.6  43.9  165  12  6   3.3   1.8 |   6.5  43.7  175   9  5   3.5   1.9
 10250   6.8  44.2  165  12  6   1.5   0.8 |   6.7  44.1  175   9  4   2.6   1.4
 10000   6.8  44.2  160  11  6   0.8   0.4 |   6.8  44.2  165   8  4   2.2   1.2
  9750   6.9  44.4  155  10  5   1.1   0.6 |   7.0  44.6  160   8  4   2.2   1.2
  9500   7.0  44.6  145   9  5   1.4   0.8 |   7.1  44.8  155   8  4   3.2   1.8
  9250   7.1  44.8  140   8  4   1.5   0.8 |   7.4  45.3  150   8  4   4.5   2.5
  9000   7.2  45.0  135   7  4   2.1   1.1 |   8.0  46.4  145   8  4   4.5   2.5
  8750   7.3  45.1  130   6  3   0.0   0.0 |   8.3  46.9  140   7  4   4.0   2.2
  8500   7.2  45.0  130   5  2  -1.0  -0.5 |   8.6  47.5  145   6  3   3.7   2.0
  8250   7.3  45.1  130   3  2   4.0   2.2 |   8.9  48.0  150   6  3   4.5   2.5
  8000   7.7  45.9  140   2  1   6.4   3.5 |   9.2  48.6  155   5  2   4.8   2.6
  7750   8.2  46.8  155   2  1   7.3   4.0 |   9.6  49.3  165   4  2   5.1   2.8
  7500   8.8  47.8  170   1  1   8.4   4.6 |  10.0  50.0  180   4  2   5.6   3.1
  7250   9.4  48.9  195   1  1   9.4   5.2 |  10.4  50.7  195   4  2   6.0   3.3
  7000  10.2  50.4  215   1  1  10.4   5.7 |  10.9  51.6  210   4  2   7.6   4.2
  6750  10.9  51.6  225   2  1   9.9   5.4 |  11.6  52.9  215   4  2   9.0   4.9
  6500  11.7  53.1  230   2  1   9.8   5.4 |  12.3  54.1  215   4  2   9.6   5.3
  6250  12.4  54.3  235   2  1  10.6   5.8 |  12.9  55.2  220   4  2   8.2   4.5
  6000  13.4  56.1  240   2  1  14.8   8.1 |  13.4  56.1  220   4  2   5.9   3.2
  5750  14.7  58.5  245   3  1  21.2  11.6 |  14.0  57.2  220   4  2  12.6   6.9
  5500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude:  35.03806 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
                   Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of 
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

042613

Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0722 MDT Saturday October 17 2026

This forecast is for Saturday, October 17, 2026:

If the trigger temperature of 61.3 F/16.3 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 347 ft/min (1.8 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 11099 ft MSL (4646 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 64.0 F/18.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1345 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9873 ft MSL (3420 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/18....... Fair


Remarks... 

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:12:54 / 18:26:24 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 13 min 30 sec (673 min 30 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:49:39 MDT... 44.86 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/17/2026 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 13909 ft MSL (7456 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 27831 ft MSL (21378 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 21085 ft MSL (14632 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +11.5
K index......................... -46.8

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -64.5 -84.1   265   33   17   3.2   1.8   81.5 178.8    37.5      M    M
 45000  -59.2 -74.6   255   45   23   4.2   2.3   67.2 152.9    31.0      M    M
 40000  -52.4 -62.3   255   44   23   5.5   3.0   54.5 130.1    24.7      M    M
 38000  -49.1 -56.4   255   38   19   5.5   3.0   50.5 122.9    22.6      M    M
 36000  -45.8 -50.4   250   31   16   5.5   3.0   47.2 116.9    20.9      M    M
 34000  -41.9 -43.4   250   27   14   6.8   3.7   44.3 111.8    19.3      M    M
 32000  -37.8 -36.0   245   23   12   6.8   3.7   42.0 107.7    18.1      M    M
 30000  -33.6 -28.5   245   17    9   7.2   3.9   39.8 103.7    16.9      M    M
 29000  -31.4 -24.5   250   15    7   7.2   3.9   38.9 101.9    16.3      M    M
 28000  -29.3 -20.7   255   12    6   7.0   3.9   38.0 100.4    15.9      M    M
 27000  -26.9 -16.4   245    7    4   6.1   3.4   36.2  97.2    14.7      M    M
 26000  -25.1 -13.2   210    4    2   6.1   3.4   34.9  94.8    13.8      M    M
 25000  -23.2  -9.8   150    5    2   6.4   3.5   33.7  92.6    12.9      M    M
 24000  -21.1  -6.0   160    5    3   7.3   4.0   32.6  90.7    12.2      M    M
 23000  -18.9  -2.0   170    6    3   7.3   4.0   31.8  89.2    11.6      M    M
 22000  -16.7   1.9   180    7    4   7.5   4.1   31.0  87.8    11.1      M    M
 21000  -14.4   6.1   165    7    4   7.8   4.3   30.2  86.4    10.6      M    M
 20000  -12.0  10.4   150    8    4   7.8   4.3   29.5  85.2    10.1      M    M
 19500  -10.9  12.4   145    8    4   7.8   4.3   29.2  84.6     9.9      M    M
 19000   -9.8  14.4   140    8    4   6.1   3.4   28.7  83.7     9.6      M    M
 18500   -8.9  16.0   135    7    4   6.3   3.4   28.1  82.7     9.1      M    M
 18000   -7.9  17.8   125    7    3   6.3   3.5   27.6  81.6     8.6      M    M
 17500   -7.0  19.4   125    6    3   6.3   3.5   27.0  80.6     8.1      M    M
 17000   -6.1  21.0   125    6    3   6.4   3.5   26.4  79.5     7.7      M    M
 16500   -5.1  22.8   135    5    3   6.7   3.7   25.9  78.6     7.2      M    M
 16000   -4.1  24.6   140    6    3   6.7   3.7   25.4  77.6     6.8      M    M
 15500   -3.1  26.4   145    6    3   6.5   3.6   24.8  76.7     6.4      M    M
 15000   -2.1  28.2   150    6    3   6.5   3.6   24.3  75.7     5.9      M    M
 14500   -1.2  29.8   155    7    4   6.0   3.3   23.8  74.8     5.4      M    M
 14000   -0.3  31.5   150    7    4   5.7   3.1   23.1  73.5     4.8      M    M
 13500    0.5  32.9   150    8    4   5.5   3.0   22.4  72.4     4.3      M    M
 13000    1.3  34.3   145    9    4   5.1   2.8   21.7  71.0     3.6      M    M
 12500    2.1  35.8   145    9    5   4.6   2.5   20.9  69.7     2.9      M    M
 12000    2.7  36.9   140    9    5   3.4   1.9   20.0  68.0     2.0      M    M
 11500    3.2  37.8   135   10    5   3.2   1.8   19.0  66.2     1.1      M    M
 11000    3.8  38.8   130   10    5   3.1   1.7   17.3  63.2    -0.5    335  1.7
 10500    4.1  39.4   130    9    5   1.0   0.6   16.2  61.1    -1.6    311  1.6
 10250    4.2  39.6   125    9    4   1.0   0.5   15.5  59.9    -2.3    302  1.5
 10000    4.3  39.7   125    8    4   1.8   1.0   14.8  58.7    -2.9    292  1.5
  9750    4.4  39.9   125    7    4   0.2   0.1   14.2  57.5    -3.6    282  1.4
  9500    4.3  39.7   120    7    3  -1.6  -0.9   13.3  56.0    -4.4    278  1.4
  9250    4.1  39.4   120    6    3  -1.2  -0.7   12.5  54.4    -5.3    274  1.4
  9000    4.0  39.2   120    6    3  -0.8  -0.4   11.6  53.0    -6.2    270  1.4
  8750    3.9  39.0   115    5    2  -1.8  -1.0   10.8  51.5    -7.0    266  1.4
  8500    3.7  38.7   120    5    2  -2.8  -1.5    9.9  49.7    -8.0    265  1.3
  8250    3.5  38.3   125    5    2  -2.6  -1.4    8.9  48.1    -9.0    264  1.3
  8000    3.3  37.9   125    5    2  -3.2  -1.8    8.0  46.3    -9.9    264  1.3
  7750    3.0  37.4   130    4    2  -2.2  -1.2    7.0  44.6   -10.9    263  1.3
  7500    2.9  37.2   130    5    2  -1.6  -0.9    6.1  43.0   -11.8    259  1.3
  7250    2.8  37.0   135    5    2  -0.6  -0.3    5.3  41.5   -12.7    256  1.3
  7000    2.7  36.9   135    4    2  -3.9  -2.1    4.5  40.0   -13.6    251  1.3
  6750    2.0  35.6   130    3    2 -13.2  -7.3    3.1  37.5   -15.0    264  1.3
  6500    1.3  34.3   125    3    1   4.4   2.4    1.7  35.0   -16.4    277  1.4

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * * 

           10/17/2026 at 0900 MDT          |       10/17/2026 at 1200 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +6.2        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +6.2
CINH...     0.0    K Index... -48.8        | CINH...     0.0    K Index... -48.0
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -63.6 -82.5  255  36 19   3.4   1.9 | -63.6 -82.5  255  43 22   3.6   2.0
 45000 -58.0 -72.4  250  51 26   3.7   2.0 | -57.9 -72.2  255  57 29   3.7   2.0
 40000 -52.3 -62.1  245  50 26   5.0   2.7 | -52.3 -62.1  245  58 30   4.2   2.3
 38000 -49.3 -56.7  245  41 21   5.0   2.7 | -49.7 -57.5  240  45 23   4.2   2.3
 36000 -46.3 -51.3  245  32 17   5.0   2.7 | -47.2 -53.0  235  32 17   4.3   2.3
 34000 -42.6 -44.7  245  28 14   6.6   3.6 | -43.3 -45.9  245  27 14   7.2   3.9
 32000 -38.6 -37.5  255  25 13   6.6   3.6 | -39.0 -38.2  255  26 13   7.2   4.0
 30000 -33.9 -29.0  255  21 11   8.4   4.6 | -34.1 -29.4  260  21 11   8.6   4.7
 29000 -30.8 -23.4  260  18  9   8.4   4.6 | -30.8 -23.4  260  18  9   8.6   4.7
 28000 -28.3 -18.9  260  15  8   6.9   3.8 | -28.3 -18.9  260  15  8   6.9   3.8
 27000 -26.4 -15.5  250  12  6   6.4   3.5 | -26.4 -15.5  255  14  7   6.3   3.4
 26000 -24.5 -12.1  235  10  5   6.4   3.5 | -24.5 -12.1  245  14  7   6.3   3.4
 25000 -22.5  -8.5  210  10  5   6.4   3.5 | -22.7  -8.9  235  13  7   6.4   3.5
 24000 -20.6  -5.1  200   8  4   6.4   3.5 | -20.5  -4.9  225  12  6   7.3   4.0
 23000 -18.7  -1.7  180   6  3   6.4   3.5 | -18.3  -0.9  215  12  6   7.3   4.0
 22000 -16.7   1.9  155   5  3   6.8   3.7 | -16.2   2.8  205  12  6   7.2   3.9
 21000 -14.6   5.7  165   6  3   7.3   4.0 | -14.0   6.8  200   9  5   7.1   3.9
 20000 -12.4   9.7  175   6  3   7.3   4.0 | -11.9  10.6  190   7  4   7.1   3.9
 19500 -11.3  11.7  180   7  3   7.3   4.0 | -10.8  12.6  185   6  3   7.1   3.9
 19000 -10.1  13.8  180   7  3   7.6   4.2 |  -9.8  14.4  180   5  3   6.9   3.8
 18500  -9.0  15.8  175   7  3   7.6   4.2 |  -8.7  16.3  185   5  3   6.9   3.8
 18000  -7.9  17.8  170   7  4   7.1   3.9 |  -7.7  18.1  185   5  3   6.9   3.8
 17500  -6.8  19.8  165   6  3   6.8   3.7 |  -6.7  19.9  180   6  3   6.9   3.8
 17000  -5.8  21.6  160   6  3   6.7   3.7 |  -5.6  21.9  180   6  3   6.9   3.8
 16500  -4.8  23.4  160   6  3   6.5   3.6 |  -4.6  23.7  175   6  3   6.5   3.6
 16000  -3.9  25.0  160   5  3   6.6   3.6 |  -3.6  25.5  175   6  3   6.5   3.6
 15500  -2.9  26.8  160   5  3   6.5   3.6 |  -2.7  27.1  175   6  3   6.5   3.6
 15000  -1.9  28.6  160   6  3   6.5   3.6 |  -1.7  28.9  170   6  3   6.5   3.6
 14500  -1.0  30.2  160   6  3   6.2   3.4 |  -0.7  30.7  170   6  3   6.3   3.4
 14000  -0.1  31.8  160   7  3   6.0   3.3 |   0.2  32.4  170   7  4   6.1   3.4
 13500   0.8  33.4  160   7  4   5.9   3.2 |   1.1  34.0  170   8  4   6.0   3.3
 13000   1.7  35.1  160   8  4   5.7   3.1 |   2.0  35.6  170   8  4   5.8   3.2
 12500   2.6  36.7  160   9  5   5.4   3.0 |   2.9  37.2  170   9  5   5.7   3.1
 12000   3.3  37.9  160  10  5   4.8   2.6 |   4.0  39.2  170  10  5   5.2   2.8
 11500   4.3  39.7  155  10  5   3.3   1.8 |   4.8  40.6  170  11  6   4.5   2.5
 11000   4.9  40.8  155  10  5   4.7   2.6 |   5.4  41.7  170  11  6   4.3   2.4
 10500   5.4  41.7  150  10  5   1.2   0.7 |   6.0  42.8  165  11  6   3.0   1.7
 10250   5.5  41.9  150   9  5   1.7   1.0 |   6.2  43.2  165  11  5   2.9   1.6
 10000   5.7  42.3  145   9  4   3.5   1.9 |   6.5  43.7  165  10  5   3.5   1.9
  9750   5.9  42.6  145   8  4   0.9   0.5 |   6.7  44.1  165  10  5   2.3   1.3
  9500   5.8  42.4  140   7  4  -1.9  -1.0 |   6.8  44.2  165   9  4   0.4   0.2
  9250   5.7  42.3  135   6  3  -1.4  -0.8 |   6.8  44.2  160   8  4   0.9   0.5
  9000   5.6  42.1  130   6  3  -1.1  -0.6 |   6.9  44.4  160   7  3   3.1   1.7
  8750   5.4  41.7  120   5  2  -2.5  -1.4 |   7.1  44.8  160   5  3   0.7   0.4
  8500   5.1  41.2  115   4  2  -3.6  -2.0 |   7.0  44.6  155   4  2  -1.9  -1.0
  8250   4.9  40.8  100   4  2  -3.3  -1.8 |   6.8  44.2  150   3  2  -1.0  -0.5
  8000   4.6  40.3  090   3  2  -2.4  -1.3 |   6.8  44.2  140   2  1   3.6   2.0
  7750   4.4  39.9  080   3  2  -1.8  -1.0 |   7.3  45.1  145   1  1   9.1   5.0
  7500   4.3  39.7  075   3  1  -1.3  -0.7 |   8.0  46.4  145   1  1  10.0   5.5
  7250   4.1  39.4  070   3  1  -3.6  -2.0 |   8.8  47.8  150   1  1   8.7   4.8
  7000   3.9  39.0  060   2  1   1.4   0.8 |   9.4  48.9  150   1  0  11.9   6.6
  6750   4.5  40.1  055   2  1  16.6   9.1 |  10.7  51.3  180   1  0  20.3  11.1
  6500   5.2  41.4  045   1  1 -12.4  -6.8 |  11.9  53.4  220   1  0   5.5   3.0

           10/17/2026 at 1500 MDT          |       10/17/2026 at 1800 MDT        
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +5.7        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +5.6
CINH...    -0.0    K Index... -42.6        | CINH...     0.0    K Index... -37.6
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -63.1 -81.6  255  46 24   4.0   2.2 | -62.7 -80.9  265  40 21   4.4   2.4
 45000 -57.2 -71.0  255  61 31   3.8   2.1 | -56.3 -69.3  265  53 27   3.4   1.9
 40000 -51.3 -60.3  245  66 34   2.3   1.2 | -51.2 -60.2  255  59 30   2.3   1.3
 38000 -49.9 -57.8  245  49 25   2.4   1.3 | -49.8 -57.6  255  46 24   2.4   1.3
 36000 -48.5 -55.3  235  33 17   2.5   1.4 | -48.4 -55.1  245  33 17   2.6   1.4
 34000 -44.4 -47.9  235  25 13   8.2   4.5 | -44.3 -47.7  245  28 14   8.4   4.6
 32000 -39.5 -39.1  245  21 11   8.2   4.5 | -39.3 -38.7  245  25 13   8.4   4.6
 30000 -34.5 -30.1  245  19 10   8.4   4.6 | -34.4 -29.9  250  21 11   8.2   4.5
 29000 -32.0 -25.6  245  19 10   8.4   4.6 | -31.3 -24.3  255  19 10   8.2   4.5
 28000 -28.8 -19.8  245  18  9   7.8   4.3 | -28.8 -19.8  255  18  9   8.0   4.4
 27000 -26.6 -15.9  240  17  9   7.4   4.1 | -26.5 -15.7  250  17  9   7.8   4.3
 26000 -24.3 -11.7  235  16  8   7.4   4.1 | -24.1 -11.4  250  17  9   7.9   4.3
 25000 -22.1  -7.8  230  16  8   7.4   4.0 | -21.7  -7.1  245  16  8   7.8   4.3
 24000 -20.1  -4.2  230  15  8   6.7   3.7 | -19.7  -3.5  245  15  8   6.4   3.5
 23000 -18.1  -0.6  230  13  7   6.8   3.7 | -17.8  -0.0  245  13  7   6.4   3.5
 22000 -16.1   3.0  225  12  6   6.9   3.8 | -15.9   3.4  245  12  6   6.7   3.6
 21000 -13.9   7.0  225  11  6   7.1   3.9 | -13.8   7.2  240  11  5   7.4   4.0
 20000 -11.8  10.8  220  10  5   7.1   3.9 | -11.6  11.1  235  10  5   7.4   4.1
 19500 -10.7  12.7  215   9  5   7.1   3.9 | -10.5  13.1  230  10  5   7.4   4.1
 19000  -9.6  14.7  210   9  4   7.3   4.0 |  -9.4  15.1  225   9  5   7.0   3.8
 18500  -8.5  16.7  210   8  4   7.3   4.0 |  -8.3  17.1  215   9  5   7.1   3.9
 18000  -7.4  18.7  205   7  4   6.9   3.8 |  -7.2  19.0  210   9  4   6.9   3.8
 17500  -6.4  20.5  200   7  4   6.4   3.5 |  -6.2  20.8  205   8  4   6.5   3.6
 17000  -5.5  22.1  200   7  4   6.3   3.5 |  -5.2  22.6  205   8  4   6.6   3.6
 16500  -4.5  23.9  195   7  4   6.3   3.4 |  -4.2  24.4  200   8  4   6.1   3.3
 16000  -3.6  25.5  190   7  4   6.3   3.4 |  -3.3  26.1  200   9  4   6.1   3.4
 15500  -2.6  27.3  190   7  4   6.5   3.6 |  -2.3  27.9  200   9  4   6.4   3.5
 15000  -1.6  29.1  190   7  4   6.6   3.6 |  -1.4  29.5  200   8  4   6.4   3.5
 14500  -0.6  30.9  190   7  4   6.7   3.7 |  -0.4  31.3  200   8  4   6.5   3.5
 14000   0.4  32.7  190   8  4   6.8   3.7 |   0.6  33.1  200   8  4   6.5   3.6
 13500   1.4  34.5  190   8  4   6.7   3.7 |   1.6  34.9  200   7  4   6.5   3.6
 13000   2.4  36.3  185   8  4   6.5   3.6 |   2.5  36.5  200   6  3   6.7   3.7
 12500   3.4  38.1  185   8  4   6.5   3.6 |   4.0  39.2  205   6  3   6.6   3.6
 12000   4.3  39.7  185   8  4   6.0   3.3 |   5.0  41.0  200   5  3   6.5   3.6
 11500   5.5  41.9  180   8  4   4.6   2.5 |   6.0  42.8  200   5  3   5.9   3.3
 11000   6.2  43.2  175   8  4   4.8   2.6 |   6.8  44.2  195   5  3   5.3   2.9
 10500   6.8  44.2  175   8  4   1.1   0.6 |   7.5  45.5  190   5  2   2.0   1.1
 10250   6.8  44.2  175   7  4   1.1   0.6 |   7.5  45.5  185   5  3   1.5   0.8
 10000   7.0  44.6  175   7  3   2.9   1.6 |   7.8  46.0  185   5  3   3.8   2.1
  9750   7.2  45.0  170   6  3   2.6   1.4 |   8.0  46.4  185   5  3   3.2   1.8
  9500   7.3  45.1  170   6  3   2.4   1.3 |   8.3  46.9  180   5  3   3.8   2.1
  9250   7.5  45.5  170   5  3   4.0   2.2 |   8.5  47.3  180   5  3   3.8   2.1
  9000   7.9  46.2  175   5  3   5.8   3.2 |   8.8  47.8  180   6  3   3.1   1.7
  8750   8.3  46.9  180   5  3   7.2   4.0 |   9.0  48.2  180   6  3   4.4   2.4
  8500   9.0  48.2  180   5  3   9.0   4.9 |   9.4  48.9  180   6  3   6.8   3.7
  8250   9.6  49.3  180   5  3   9.1   5.0 |  10.0  50.0  185   6  3   7.4   4.1
  8000  10.3  50.5  185   5  3   9.2   5.1 |  10.5  50.9  190   6  3   6.6   3.6
  7750  11.0  51.8  185   5  3   9.9   5.4 |  11.0  51.8  185   6  3   7.5   4.1
  7500  11.8  53.2  190   5  3  10.6   5.8 |  11.6  52.9  190   6  3   8.5   4.7
  7250  12.6  54.7  190   5  3   9.9   5.4 |  12.2  54.0  195   6  3   8.8   4.8
  7000  13.3  55.9  190   5  2  11.5   6.3 |  12.8  55.0  200   6  3   6.3   3.4
  6750  14.4  57.9  195   5  2  16.8   9.2 |  13.0  55.4  200   6  3  -0.6  -0.3
  6500  15.7  60.3  200   4  2  15.8   8.7 |  12.9  55.2  205   5  3   4.4   2.4
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local 
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial 
issuance. 

The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at

                   North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
                   West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
                   Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive 
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of 
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it 
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above 
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain 
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger 
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of 
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158 
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions. 

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the 
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum 
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It 
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures 
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet 
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.  

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
  
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights: 
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the 
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor  

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which 
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough 
     movements.

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Latest Upper Air Sounding from Albuquerque (Weather Balloon Data issued twice daily)


 
 

Latest Winds Aloft Over Albuquerque (Weather Balloon Data issued twice daily)

 


 

Albuquerque (KABX) Radar Velocity Azimuth Display Wind Profile (Observed)

Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profile (Forecast from Rapid Refresh Model)

Lowest 2000 ft Above Ground Level

Vertical Wind Profile (for lowest 2000 ft)

Albuquerque Vertical Wind Profiler at Double Eagle Airport (Real-time observations)

Note: The Wind Profiler is moved to Balloon Fiesta Park during Balloon Fiesta

Double Eagle (Albuquerque) Vertical Wind Profiler

Map of Surface Observations (Including Winds)
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Phone Numbers for Up-to-the-Minute Airport Observations

  • Albuquerque International Sunport (KABQ): (505) 242-4044

  • Albuquerque Double Eagle II Airport (KAEG): (505) 842-2009

  • Grants-Milan Municipal Airport (KGNT): (505) 287-9890

  • Belen Regional Airport (KBRG): (505) 864-4375

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Albuquerque (ZAB) Center Weather Service Unit

Regional perspective of aviation weather forecasts and data

 

Wind Roses for Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) Sites

Diagram showing the relative frequency of wind direction and speed each airport