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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0718 MDT Saturday October 10 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, October 10, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 68.7 F/20.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 891 ft/min (4.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 16165 ft MSL (9842 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 76.0 F/24.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11635 ft MSL (5311 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/11....... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:06:08 / 18:35:41 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 29 min 33 sec (689 min 33 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:50:55 MDT... 48.10 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/10/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 13795 ft MSL (7472 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14250 ft MSL (7927 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15034 ft MSL (8711 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.1
K index......................... +19.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.6 -84.3 280 45 23 3.6 2.0 80.1 176.2 32.9 M M
45000 -58.5 -73.3 280 56 29 5.3 2.9 67.1 152.9 27.0 M M
40000 -50.6 -59.1 280 54 28 4.9 2.7 57.3 135.2 22.2 M M
38000 -47.7 -53.9 280 48 25 4.9 2.7 52.6 126.7 19.5 M M
36000 -44.4 -47.9 280 42 22 4.9 2.7 48.3 118.9 17.0 M M
34000 -40.7 -41.3 280 39 20 6.5 3.6 45.1 113.2 15.1 M M
32000 -36.8 -34.2 275 36 19 6.5 3.6 42.6 108.7 13.6 M M
30000 -32.3 -26.1 275 30 16 7.8 4.3 40.7 105.3 12.5 M M
29000 -30.0 -22.0 275 26 14 7.8 4.3 40.0 104.0 12.1 M M
28000 -27.6 -17.7 275 23 12 7.9 4.3 39.4 102.9 11.7 M M
27000 -25.4 -13.7 275 21 11 7.1 3.9 38.4 101.0 11.1 M M
26000 -23.3 -9.9 270 21 11 7.1 3.9 37.3 99.2 10.4 M M
25000 -21.2 -6.2 270 20 10 7.1 3.9 36.4 97.5 9.7 M M
24000 -19.1 -2.4 265 19 10 6.7 3.7 35.4 95.6 9.0 M M
23000 -17.1 1.2 265 19 10 6.7 3.7 34.2 93.5 8.1 M M
22000 -15.1 4.8 265 18 9 6.7 3.7 33.1 91.7 7.3 M M
21000 -13.3 8.1 265 17 9 5.7 3.1 31.8 89.3 6.2 M M
20000 -11.2 11.8 260 16 8 5.7 3.2 30.1 86.1 4.8 M M
19500 -10.4 13.3 255 15 8 5.8 3.2 29.4 84.9 4.2 M M
19000 -9.5 14.9 255 15 8 5.1 2.8 28.7 83.7 3.6 M M
18500 -8.8 16.2 250 14 7 5.1 2.8 27.9 82.2 2.9 M M
18000 -8.1 17.4 250 14 7 5.4 2.9 27.1 80.8 2.2 M M
17500 -7.3 18.9 245 13 7 5.8 3.2 26.4 79.6 1.5 M M
17000 -6.5 20.3 245 12 6 5.8 3.2 25.8 78.4 0.9 M M
16500 -5.6 21.9 245 11 6 6.6 3.6 25.2 77.3 0.3 M M
16000 -4.7 23.5 250 10 5 6.7 3.7 24.6 76.4 -0.2 871 4.4
15500 -3.7 25.3 250 9 5 7.2 4.0 24.2 75.5 -0.8 828 4.2
15000 -2.6 27.3 255 9 5 7.6 4.2 23.8 74.8 -1.2 781 4.0
14500 -1.5 29.3 260 9 5 7.8 4.3 23.4 74.2 -1.5 734 3.7
14000 -0.4 31.3 260 9 5 8.2 4.5 23.2 73.7 -1.9 684 3.5
13500 0.8 33.4 260 10 5 8.3 4.6 22.9 73.3 -2.2 635 3.2
13000 2.0 35.6 265 11 6 8.8 4.8 22.7 72.9 -2.4 583 3.0
12500 3.3 37.9 270 12 6 8.8 4.8 22.6 72.7 -2.6 529 2.7
12000 4.5 40.1 275 13 7 8.5 4.7 22.4 72.3 -2.8 477 2.4
11500 5.8 42.4 275 14 7 8.5 4.7 22.2 72.0 -3.1 425 2.2
11000 6.9 44.4 275 14 7 7.3 4.0 21.9 71.5 -3.4 376 1.9
10500 8.0 46.4 275 14 7 7.6 4.2 21.6 70.8 -3.8 328 1.7
10250 8.6 47.5 270 14 7 6.9 3.8 21.4 70.5 -4.0 304 1.5
10000 9.1 48.4 265 14 7 6.9 3.8 21.1 70.1 -4.2 282 1.4
9750 9.6 49.3 260 14 7 7.5 4.1 21.0 69.7 -4.4 258 1.3
9500 10.2 50.4 255 14 7 7.3 4.0 20.8 69.4 -4.6 234 1.2
9250 10.7 51.3 250 14 7 7.3 4.0 20.6 69.1 -4.8 211 1.1
9000 11.2 52.2 245 15 8 6.6 3.6 20.4 68.7 -5.0 188 1.0
8750 11.7 53.1 240 15 8 6.0 3.3 20.1 68.2 -5.3 167 0.8
8500 12.1 53.8 235 16 8 6.0 3.3 19.8 67.7 -5.6 146 0.7
8250 12.5 54.5 230 17 9 5.7 3.1 19.5 67.1 -5.9 126 0.6
8000 12.9 55.2 225 17 9 5.1 2.8 19.2 66.5 -6.3 106 0.5
7750 13.3 55.9 225 16 8 4.5 2.5 18.8 65.9 -6.7 89 0.5
7500 13.6 56.5 220 16 8 2.4 1.3 18.4 65.0 -7.1 73 0.4
7250 13.6 56.5 215 14 7 -0.2 -0.1 17.7 63.8 -7.8 64 0.3
7000 13.6 56.5 210 13 6 -0.7 -0.4 16.9 62.4 -8.6 59 0.3
6750 13.5 56.3 205 11 6 -1.3 -0.7 16.1 61.0 -9.5 54 0.3
6500 13.2 55.8 190 9 5 -7.5 -4.1 15.1 59.2 -10.5 55 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/10/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/10/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.1 | CAPE... +7.3 LI... +0.9
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +19.2 | CINH... -1.7 K Index... +12.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.4 -83.9 275 47 24 3.3 1.8 | -63.9 -83.0 275 45 23 3.2 1.8
45000 -58.7 -73.7 280 59 30 5.4 3.0 | -58.1 -72.6 275 63 33 4.9 2.7
40000 -50.2 -58.4 280 60 31 5.2 2.9 | -50.7 -59.3 280 70 36 5.6 3.1
38000 -47.1 -52.8 280 54 28 5.2 2.9 | -47.4 -53.3 280 62 32 5.6 3.1
36000 -43.9 -47.0 280 47 24 5.2 2.9 | -44.0 -47.2 280 54 28 5.7 3.1
34000 -40.4 -40.7 275 40 21 6.3 3.4 | -39.8 -39.6 275 46 24 7.4 4.1
32000 -36.6 -33.9 270 34 17 6.3 3.4 | -35.4 -31.7 270 38 19 7.4 4.1
30000 -31.8 -25.2 265 29 15 7.5 4.1 | -30.7 -23.3 260 33 17 6.8 3.7
29000 -29.6 -21.3 260 27 14 7.5 4.1 | -28.7 -19.7 255 32 16 6.8 3.8
28000 -27.4 -17.3 260 26 13 7.5 4.1 | -26.6 -15.9 245 31 16 6.8 3.7
27000 -25.1 -13.2 260 24 12 7.7 4.2 | -24.6 -12.3 245 29 15 6.7 3.7
26000 -22.8 -9.0 260 22 11 7.7 4.2 | -22.6 -8.7 240 26 13 6.7 3.7
25000 -20.5 -4.9 260 20 10 7.7 4.2 | -20.6 -5.1 235 24 12 6.7 3.7
24000 -18.3 -0.9 260 19 10 7.2 4.0 | -18.6 -1.5 230 23 12 6.8 3.7
23000 -16.1 3.0 255 18 9 7.2 4.0 | -16.6 2.1 230 24 12 6.8 3.7
22000 -13.9 7.0 250 18 9 7.4 4.1 | -14.5 5.9 230 24 13 6.8 3.8
21000 -12.1 10.2 250 16 8 5.5 3.0 | -12.6 9.3 230 23 12 6.6 3.6
20000 -10.5 13.1 245 15 8 5.5 3.0 | -10.6 12.9 235 22 11 6.7 3.7
19500 -9.7 14.5 245 14 7 5.4 3.0 | -9.7 14.5 235 21 11 6.7 3.7
19000 -8.9 16.0 245 14 7 4.3 2.3 | -8.7 16.3 235 20 10 6.2 3.4
18500 -8.4 16.9 240 14 7 3.0 1.7 | -7.9 17.8 240 18 10 5.7 3.1
18000 -8.0 17.6 240 14 7 3.0 1.7 | -7.1 19.2 240 17 9 5.7 3.1
17500 -7.5 18.5 240 13 7 4.3 2.3 | -5.9 21.4 245 15 8 4.9 2.7
17000 -6.7 19.9 235 13 7 4.3 2.4 | -5.1 22.8 245 14 7 4.9 2.7
16500 -6.0 21.2 235 13 7 6.2 3.4 | -4.4 24.1 245 13 7 5.0 2.8
16000 -5.2 22.6 235 12 6 6.1 3.3 | -3.6 25.5 245 12 6 5.0 2.7
15500 -4.3 24.3 235 12 6 7.7 4.2 | -2.9 26.8 245 12 6 5.4 3.0
15000 -3.1 26.4 235 11 6 8.3 4.5 | -2.1 28.2 240 12 6 5.7 3.1
14500 -2.0 28.4 235 11 6 8.4 4.6 | -1.3 29.7 235 11 6 6.2 3.4
14000 -0.8 30.6 240 10 5 8.5 4.7 | -0.4 31.3 230 10 5 7.0 3.8
13500 0.5 32.9 250 10 5 8.7 4.8 | 0.5 32.9 230 10 5 7.4 4.1
13000 1.8 35.2 255 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 1.6 34.9 230 9 5 8.7 4.8
12500 3.1 37.6 270 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 2.8 37.0 230 9 5 8.7 4.8
12000 4.4 39.9 275 9 5 8.6 4.7 | 4.0 39.2 230 9 5 8.5 4.6
11500 5.7 42.3 275 9 5 9.3 5.1 | 5.3 41.5 230 9 5 8.6 4.7
11000 7.0 44.6 270 9 5 7.6 4.2 | 6.6 43.9 230 9 5 9.5 5.2
10500 8.1 46.6 265 9 5 7.8 4.3 | 8.0 46.4 230 10 5 9.4 5.1
10250 8.7 47.7 260 10 5 7.2 3.9 | 8.7 47.7 225 10 5 8.7 4.8
10000 9.2 48.6 255 10 5 7.0 3.8 | 9.3 48.7 225 10 5 9.0 5.0
9750 9.7 49.5 250 11 5 7.3 4.0 | 10.0 50.0 225 10 5 9.7 5.3
9500 10.3 50.5 245 11 6 7.2 3.9 | 10.7 51.3 225 10 5 9.5 5.2
9250 10.8 51.4 240 12 6 7.8 4.3 | 11.5 52.7 225 10 5 10.8 5.9
9000 11.4 52.5 240 13 7 6.9 3.8 | 12.3 54.1 225 10 5 10.3 5.6
8750 11.8 53.2 235 14 7 5.8 3.2 | 13.0 55.4 225 10 5 8.9 4.9
8500 12.3 54.1 235 15 8 5.7 3.1 | 13.7 56.7 225 10 5 9.4 5.2
8250 12.7 54.9 230 15 8 4.7 2.6 | 14.4 57.9 225 10 5 10.1 5.5
8000 13.0 55.4 230 15 8 4.1 2.3 | 15.2 59.4 220 11 5 10.3 5.7
7750 13.3 55.9 225 15 8 4.0 2.2 | 15.9 60.6 220 11 5 9.7 5.3
7500 13.5 56.3 225 14 7 3.0 1.6 | 16.6 61.9 220 11 5 10.0 5.5
7250 13.7 56.7 220 12 6 2.0 1.1 | 17.4 63.3 220 11 5 10.6 5.8
7000 13.8 56.8 220 10 5 1.7 0.9 | 18.2 64.8 220 10 5 10.9 6.0
6750 13.9 57.0 210 8 4 3.6 2.0 | 19.0 66.2 220 10 5 9.9 5.4
6500 14.4 57.9 205 7 4 10.4 5.7 | 19.8 67.6 220 10 5 13.5 7.4
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
10/10/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/10/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +14.6 LI... +0.5 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.6
CINH... -0.0 K Index... +23.3 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +15.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.4 -82.1 270 51 26 4.3 2.3 | -65.1 -85.2 270 50 26 4.4 2.4
45000 -57.0 -70.6 275 64 33 3.6 2.0 | -57.9 -72.2 270 68 35 5.0 2.7
40000 -51.3 -60.3 280 74 38 7.0 3.9 | -50.2 -58.4 280 71 36 6.5 3.6
38000 -47.1 -52.8 280 71 36 7.0 3.8 | -46.3 -51.3 275 64 33 6.5 3.6
36000 -42.9 -45.2 280 68 35 7.0 3.9 | -42.4 -44.3 270 58 30 6.6 3.6
34000 -38.5 -37.3 275 56 29 7.5 4.1 | -37.6 -35.7 265 54 28 8.5 4.7
32000 -34.0 -29.2 270 43 22 7.5 4.1 | -31.9 -25.4 255 50 26 8.6 4.7
30000 -29.3 -20.7 260 35 18 6.7 3.7 | -28.0 -18.4 245 44 23 6.1 3.3
29000 -27.3 -17.1 255 32 17 6.8 3.7 | -26.2 -15.2 245 40 21 6.1 3.4
28000 -25.2 -13.4 250 30 16 6.6 3.6 | -24.4 -11.9 240 37 19 6.2 3.4
27000 -23.5 -10.3 240 30 15 5.7 3.1 | -22.3 -8.1 235 35 18 6.8 3.7
26000 -21.8 -7.2 235 30 15 5.7 3.2 | -20.2 -4.4 235 33 17 6.9 3.8
25000 -20.1 -4.2 225 31 16 5.8 3.2 | -18.1 -0.6 230 32 16 7.0 3.8
24000 -18.3 -0.9 225 30 16 6.4 3.5 | -16.5 2.3 230 31 16 4.3 2.4
23000 -16.3 2.7 220 29 15 6.5 3.5 | -15.2 4.6 225 30 15 4.3 2.4
22000 -14.3 6.3 220 28 14 6.5 3.6 | -14.0 6.8 225 29 15 4.4 2.4
21000 -12.6 9.3 220 26 13 5.5 3.0 | -12.5 9.5 225 26 13 5.5 3.0
20000 -11.0 12.2 220 23 12 5.6 3.1 | -10.8 12.6 230 23 12 5.6 3.1
19500 -10.2 13.6 220 22 11 5.6 3.1 | -9.9 14.2 230 21 11 5.6 3.1
19000 -9.4 15.1 225 21 11 5.7 3.1 | -9.1 15.6 230 20 10 5.6 3.1
18500 -8.5 16.7 225 20 10 6.0 3.3 | -8.3 17.1 230 18 9 5.6 3.1
18000 -7.7 18.1 225 19 10 6.3 3.4 | -7.0 19.4 225 16 8 5.7 3.1
17500 -6.5 20.3 230 17 9 6.2 3.4 | -6.2 20.8 225 15 8 6.1 3.4
17000 -5.6 21.9 230 17 9 6.4 3.5 | -5.3 22.5 220 14 7 6.2 3.4
16500 -4.8 23.4 230 16 8 4.8 2.6 | -4.4 24.1 220 13 7 7.0 3.8
16000 -4.1 24.6 235 14 7 4.8 2.6 | -3.4 25.9 225 13 7 7.0 3.9
15500 -3.4 25.9 235 13 7 5.4 2.9 | -2.4 27.7 225 13 6 7.3 4.0
15000 -2.7 27.1 230 12 6 5.8 3.2 | -1.3 29.7 225 13 7 7.4 4.1
14500 -1.9 28.6 225 12 6 6.7 3.7 | -0.2 31.6 220 13 7 7.1 3.9
14000 -0.6 30.9 225 11 6 9.3 5.1 | 0.7 33.3 215 13 7 5.8 3.2
13500 0.7 33.3 220 12 6 9.2 5.1 | 1.5 34.7 210 14 7 5.9 3.2
13000 2.1 35.8 220 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 2.5 36.5 205 15 8 7.7 4.2
12500 3.6 38.5 220 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 3.5 38.3 200 16 8 7.5 4.1
12000 5.0 41.0 215 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 4.7 40.5 200 16 8 9.2 5.1
11500 6.5 43.7 215 12 6 9.1 5.0 | 6.1 43.0 200 17 9 9.3 5.1
11000 7.8 46.0 215 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 7.5 45.5 200 17 9 9.5 5.2
10500 9.3 48.7 215 13 7 9.9 5.4 | 8.9 48.0 200 18 9 9.4 5.2
10250 10.0 50.0 215 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 9.6 49.3 200 18 9 9.8 5.4
10000 10.7 51.3 215 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 200 18 9 9.8 5.4
9750 11.4 52.5 215 13 7 10.0 5.5 | 11.1 52.0 205 18 9 9.6 5.3
9500 12.2 54.0 215 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 11.8 53.2 205 19 10 9.3 5.1
9250 12.9 55.2 215 14 7 11.0 6.0 | 12.5 54.5 205 19 10 10.7 5.9
9000 13.8 56.8 210 14 7 10.4 5.7 | 13.3 55.9 205 19 10 10.4 5.7
8750 14.4 57.9 210 14 7 8.5 4.7 | 14.0 57.2 205 19 10 8.6 4.7
8500 15.1 59.2 210 14 7 8.8 4.8 | 14.7 58.5 205 19 10 9.0 4.9
8250 15.8 60.4 210 15 8 10.2 5.6 | 15.3 59.5 205 19 10 9.7 5.3
8000 16.6 61.9 210 15 8 10.9 6.0 | 16.1 61.0 205 19 10 10.2 5.6
7750 17.3 63.1 210 15 8 9.4 5.2 | 16.8 62.2 205 19 10 9.4 5.2
7500 18.0 64.4 210 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 17.5 63.5 205 19 10 9.3 5.1
7250 18.8 65.8 210 15 8 10.5 5.8 | 18.2 64.8 205 19 10 9.1 5.0
7000 19.6 67.3 210 15 8 11.2 6.2 | 18.9 66.0 205 18 9 8.8 4.8
6750 20.4 68.7 210 15 8 10.0 5.5 | 19.5 67.1 205 17 9 9.3 5.1
6500 21.2 70.2 210 14 7 13.4 7.3 | 20.2 68.4 205 16 8 7.6 4.2
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0718 MDT Saturday October 10 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, October 10, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 72.0 F/22.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1081 ft/min (5.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 15297 ft MSL (9627 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 77.0 F/25.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9315 ft MSL (3645 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/11....... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:08:40 / 18:38:08 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 29 min 29 sec (689 min 29 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:53:24 MDT... 48.07 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/10/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 13698 ft MSL (8028 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 13994 ft MSL (8324 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14395 ft MSL (8725 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.8
K index......................... +26.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.6 -84.3 280 47 24 3.5 1.9 82.5 180.5 33.7 M M
45000 -58.6 -73.5 280 57 29 5.4 3.0 69.3 156.7 27.7 M M
40000 -50.5 -58.9 275 55 28 5.1 2.8 59.7 139.4 23.2 M M
38000 -47.1 -52.8 275 49 25 5.1 2.8 54.6 130.3 20.4 M M
36000 -44.1 -47.4 275 44 22 5.1 2.8 50.9 123.6 18.3 M M
34000 -40.5 -40.9 275 40 20 6.3 3.5 47.6 117.7 16.4 M M
32000 -36.7 -34.1 270 36 19 6.4 3.5 45.0 112.9 14.8 M M
30000 -32.4 -26.3 265 30 15 7.6 4.2 42.9 109.2 13.6 M M
29000 -30.1 -22.2 265 25 13 7.6 4.2 42.1 107.7 13.1 M M
28000 -27.8 -18.0 265 21 11 7.6 4.2 41.4 106.4 12.8 M M
27000 -25.6 -14.1 265 20 10 7.4 4.0 40.4 104.7 12.2 M M
26000 -23.4 -10.1 265 20 10 7.4 4.0 39.5 103.0 11.6 M M
25000 -21.2 -6.2 265 20 10 7.4 4.0 38.7 101.6 11.0 M M
24000 -19.0 -2.2 265 20 10 7.0 3.8 37.7 99.9 10.4 M M
23000 -16.4 2.5 265 18 10 7.0 3.8 36.4 97.6 9.5 M M
22000 -14.3 6.3 260 17 9 7.1 3.9 35.5 95.9 8.8 M M
21000 -12.7 9.1 260 17 9 4.9 2.7 33.9 93.1 7.6 M M
20000 -11.2 11.8 255 17 9 5.0 2.7 32.2 90.0 6.2 M M
19500 -10.5 13.1 250 17 9 5.0 2.8 31.4 88.6 5.5 M M
19000 -9.8 14.4 250 16 8 3.9 2.1 30.6 87.1 4.8 M M
18500 -9.3 15.3 245 16 8 3.8 2.1 29.5 85.2 3.8 M M
18000 -8.8 16.2 240 15 8 4.3 2.4 28.5 83.4 2.9 M M
17500 -8.1 17.4 235 15 8 6.4 3.5 27.8 82.1 2.2 M M
17000 -7.2 19.0 235 14 7 6.4 3.5 27.2 81.0 1.6 M M
16500 -6.3 20.7 235 14 7 7.2 3.9 26.7 80.1 1.0 M M
16000 -5.3 22.5 235 14 7 7.3 4.0 26.3 79.3 0.6 M M
15500 -4.2 24.4 235 13 7 7.5 4.1 25.9 78.6 0.2 M M
15000 -3.1 26.4 240 13 6 7.7 4.2 25.6 78.0 -0.2 854 4.3
14500 -2.0 28.4 245 12 6 7.8 4.3 25.2 77.4 -0.6 806 4.1
14000 -0.8 30.6 250 12 6 8.5 4.7 25.0 77.0 -0.8 755 3.8
13500 0.4 32.7 260 12 6 8.4 4.6 24.8 76.6 -1.1 704 3.6
13000 1.7 35.1 265 12 6 9.2 5.0 24.6 76.3 -1.2 650 3.3
12500 3.0 37.4 275 13 6 9.1 5.0 24.5 76.1 -1.4 595 3.0
12000 4.4 39.9 280 13 7 9.3 5.1 24.4 76.0 -1.5 540 2.7
11500 5.7 42.3 280 13 7 9.4 5.2 24.4 75.8 -1.6 485 2.5
11000 7.0 44.6 280 13 7 7.9 4.4 24.2 75.6 -1.8 431 2.2
10500 8.1 46.6 280 12 6 8.7 4.8 23.9 75.0 -2.1 383 1.9
10250 8.8 47.8 275 12 6 8.8 4.9 23.9 74.9 -2.1 355 1.8
10000 9.4 48.9 270 11 6 7.1 3.9 23.7 74.7 -2.3 330 1.7
9750 9.9 49.8 265 11 6 7.0 3.8 23.5 74.3 -2.5 307 1.6
9500 10.4 50.7 260 11 6 6.9 3.8 23.3 73.9 -2.7 284 1.4
9250 10.9 51.6 250 10 5 6.4 3.5 23.0 73.5 -3.0 262 1.3
9000 11.4 52.5 245 11 5 6.4 3.5 22.8 73.0 -3.2 240 1.2
8750 11.9 53.4 235 11 6 6.4 3.5 22.5 72.5 -3.5 218 1.1
8500 12.4 54.3 225 12 6 6.6 3.6 22.3 72.1 -3.7 197 1.0
8250 13.2 55.8 215 14 7 5.6 3.1 21.6 71.0 -4.3 156 0.8
8000 13.7 56.7 210 14 7 6.8 3.7 21.4 70.5 -4.6 134 0.7
7750 14.2 57.6 205 15 8 6.2 3.4 21.2 70.1 -4.9 113 0.6
7500 14.6 58.3 205 16 8 4.3 2.4 20.8 69.5 -5.2 93 0.5
7250 14.8 58.6 200 16 8 3.8 2.1 20.4 68.7 -5.7 78 0.4
7000 15.2 59.4 195 15 8 4.9 2.7 20.0 67.9 -6.1 61 0.3
6750 15.5 59.9 195 15 8 3.9 2.2 19.6 67.2 -6.5 44 0.2
6500 15.7 60.3 190 14 7 2.6 1.4 19.1 66.3 -7.1 30 0.2
6250 15.9 60.6 190 13 7 3.0 1.6 18.5 65.4 -7.6 17 0.1
6000 16.0 60.8 185 11 6 -0.8 -0.5 18.0 64.3 -8.2 6 0.0
5750 15.1 59.2 175 7 3 -30.6 -16.8 16.3 61.3 -9.9 27 0.1
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/10/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/10/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.4 | CAPE... +1.3 LI... +0.8
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +18.6 | CINH... -3.5 K Index... +18.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.3 -83.7 275 48 24 3.3 1.8 | -63.2 -81.8 275 46 24 2.8 1.5
45000 -58.6 -73.5 275 62 32 5.4 3.0 | -58.3 -72.9 275 63 32 4.7 2.6
40000 -50.1 -58.2 280 65 33 5.0 2.8 | -50.7 -59.3 280 70 36 5.7 3.1
38000 -47.0 -52.6 280 57 29 5.0 2.8 | -47.3 -53.1 280 63 32 5.7 3.1
36000 -44.0 -47.2 275 49 25 5.1 2.8 | -43.9 -47.0 280 56 29 5.7 3.1
34000 -40.3 -40.5 270 41 21 6.4 3.5 | -39.6 -39.3 275 48 25 7.6 4.2
32000 -36.5 -33.7 265 33 17 6.5 3.5 | -35.1 -31.2 265 41 21 7.6 4.2
30000 -32.1 -25.8 260 30 15 7.6 4.2 | -30.6 -23.1 255 36 19 7.3 4.0
29000 -29.8 -21.6 255 29 15 7.6 4.2 | -28.5 -19.3 250 34 17 7.3 4.0
28000 -27.5 -17.5 255 28 14 7.7 4.2 | -26.3 -15.3 245 32 16 7.4 4.1
27000 -25.3 -13.5 255 26 13 7.3 4.0 | -24.3 -11.7 240 30 16 6.2 3.4
26000 -23.1 -9.6 250 24 12 7.3 4.0 | -22.0 -7.6 235 29 15 6.2 3.4
25000 -20.3 -4.5 245 21 11 7.4 4.0 | -20.1 -4.2 225 29 15 6.2 3.4
24000 -18.2 -0.8 245 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -18.2 -0.8 225 28 15 6.7 3.7
23000 -16.1 3.0 240 20 10 7.1 3.9 | -16.2 2.8 225 28 14 6.7 3.7
22000 -13.9 7.0 235 19 10 7.2 3.9 | -14.2 6.4 225 27 14 6.7 3.7
21000 -12.2 10.0 240 18 9 5.4 3.0 | -12.5 9.5 230 25 13 5.6 3.1
20000 -10.6 12.9 240 17 9 5.5 3.0 | -10.9 12.4 235 22 11 5.7 3.1
19500 -9.8 14.4 245 17 9 5.5 3.0 | -10.1 13.8 240 20 11 5.8 3.2
19000 -9.1 15.6 245 16 8 4.5 2.5 | -9.2 15.4 240 19 10 6.0 3.3
18500 -8.5 16.7 250 16 8 4.3 2.4 | -8.4 16.9 240 18 10 6.0 3.3
18000 -7.9 17.8 250 15 8 4.4 2.4 | -7.5 18.5 240 18 9 6.1 3.3
17500 -7.3 18.9 255 15 7 4.2 2.3 | -6.7 19.9 240 17 9 5.6 3.1
17000 -6.7 19.9 255 14 7 4.1 2.3 | -5.9 21.4 240 15 8 5.6 3.1
16500 -6.0 21.2 255 14 7 5.9 3.3 | -5.0 23.0 235 14 7 5.3 2.9
16000 -5.1 22.8 250 13 7 6.3 3.4 | -4.2 24.4 235 13 6 5.3 2.9
15500 -4.1 24.6 245 13 7 6.4 3.5 | -3.4 25.9 235 11 6 5.8 3.2
15000 -3.3 26.1 240 12 6 6.8 3.7 | -2.5 27.5 235 11 5 6.8 3.7
14500 -2.4 27.7 240 11 6 7.2 3.9 | -1.5 29.3 230 10 5 6.8 3.7
14000 -1.2 29.8 240 10 5 8.9 4.9 | -0.5 31.1 225 10 5 7.0 3.8
13500 0.1 32.2 245 9 5 8.8 4.8 | 0.5 32.9 215 10 5 6.9 3.8
13000 1.4 34.5 245 9 4 9.4 5.1 | 1.6 34.9 210 10 5 8.8 4.8
12500 2.8 37.0 250 8 4 9.4 5.1 | 2.8 37.0 205 10 5 8.7 4.8
12000 4.1 39.4 250 8 4 8.9 4.9 | 4.1 39.4 205 10 5 9.0 4.9
11500 5.4 41.7 250 7 4 9.0 5.0 | 5.4 41.7 205 10 5 9.0 5.0
11000 6.6 43.9 245 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 6.7 44.1 205 11 5 8.5 4.7
10500 7.7 45.9 235 9 4 8.2 4.5 | 7.9 46.2 205 11 6 8.7 4.8
10250 8.3 46.9 235 9 5 8.6 4.7 | 8.5 47.3 205 12 6 7.9 4.4
10000 8.9 48.0 230 10 5 7.5 4.1 | 9.0 48.2 205 12 6 6.4 3.5
9750 9.5 49.1 230 11 6 7.5 4.1 | 9.5 49.1 205 12 6 5.8 3.2
9500 10.0 50.0 225 12 6 7.6 4.2 | 9.9 49.8 205 12 6 7.0 3.8
9250 10.6 51.1 225 13 7 7.1 3.9 | 11.1 52.0 200 12 6 7.8 4.3
9000 11.1 52.0 220 13 7 6.5 3.6 | 11.6 52.9 200 12 6 7.0 3.9
8750 12.1 53.8 215 14 7 6.6 3.6 | 12.2 54.0 200 12 6 7.2 4.0
8500 12.5 54.5 215 15 7 5.1 2.8 | 12.7 54.9 200 12 6 7.2 3.9
8250 12.8 55.0 210 14 7 4.9 2.7 | 13.3 55.9 200 12 6 9.0 4.9
8000 13.3 55.9 210 14 7 6.3 3.5 | 14.0 57.2 200 12 6 10.4 5.7
7750 13.7 56.7 205 15 8 5.3 2.9 | 14.8 58.6 200 12 6 9.8 5.4
7500 14.0 57.2 205 15 8 3.0 1.7 | 15.4 59.7 200 12 6 8.7 4.8
7250 14.2 57.6 200 15 8 4.2 2.3 | 16.1 61.0 200 12 6 9.6 5.3
7000 14.6 58.3 200 14 7 6.0 3.3 | 16.9 62.4 200 12 6 10.9 6.0
6750 15.0 59.0 195 13 7 5.5 3.0 | 17.7 63.9 200 12 6 10.4 5.7
6500 15.4 59.7 195 12 6 5.4 3.0 | 18.5 65.3 200 11 6 10.6 5.8
6250 15.8 60.4 195 11 6 6.6 3.6 | 19.2 66.6 200 11 6 9.7 5.3
6000 16.4 61.5 190 10 5 11.4 6.2 | 20.0 68.0 200 11 5 13.9 7.6
5750 17.5 63.5 190 8 4 18.7 10.3 | 22.1 71.8 200 10 5 49.9 27.4
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
10/10/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/10/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +1.0 LI... +0.3 | CAPE... +9.6 LI... -0.0
CINH... -0.9 K Index... +22.3 | CINH... -7.8 K Index... +22.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.6 -82.5 265 51 26 4.4 2.4 | -65.1 -85.2 265 50 26 4.5 2.5
45000 -57.2 -71.0 270 65 33 3.8 2.1 | -57.8 -72.0 265 68 35 5.0 2.7
40000 -50.7 -59.3 275 73 38 6.6 3.6 | -50.1 -58.2 275 72 37 6.6 3.6
38000 -46.7 -52.1 275 72 37 6.7 3.7 | -46.2 -51.2 275 68 35 6.6 3.6
36000 -42.7 -44.9 280 70 36 6.7 3.7 | -42.3 -44.1 270 64 33 6.7 3.7
34000 -38.3 -36.9 275 58 30 7.5 4.1 | -37.0 -34.6 265 55 28 8.3 4.5
32000 -33.8 -28.8 260 44 23 7.5 4.1 | -32.1 -25.8 255 48 25 8.3 4.5
30000 -29.5 -21.1 255 36 19 6.9 3.8 | -27.8 -18.0 245 45 23 6.9 3.8
29000 -27.4 -17.3 255 34 17 6.9 3.8 | -25.8 -14.4 245 44 23 6.9 3.8
28000 -25.3 -13.5 250 31 16 7.1 3.9 | -23.8 -10.8 240 44 22 6.9 3.8
27000 -23.4 -10.1 245 30 16 6.0 3.3 | -21.9 -7.4 235 41 21 5.9 3.2
26000 -21.2 -6.2 235 31 16 6.0 3.3 | -20.1 -4.2 235 37 19 5.9 3.2
25000 -19.4 -2.9 225 32 17 6.0 3.3 | -18.3 -0.9 230 33 17 5.9 3.2
24000 -17.7 0.1 225 32 16 5.5 3.0 | -16.9 1.6 230 31 16 3.6 2.0
23000 -16.1 3.0 220 30 15 5.5 3.0 | -15.9 3.4 225 29 15 3.6 2.0
22000 -14.5 5.9 220 28 15 5.5 3.0 | -14.8 5.4 225 28 14 3.7 2.0
21000 -12.8 9.0 220 26 13 5.6 3.1 | -13.0 8.6 225 25 13 6.0 3.3
20000 -11.2 11.8 225 23 12 5.7 3.1 | -11.3 11.7 225 22 11 6.0 3.3
19500 -10.4 13.3 225 22 11 5.7 3.1 | -10.4 13.3 230 20 10 6.0 3.3
19000 -9.6 14.7 225 21 11 5.9 3.3 | -9.5 14.9 230 19 10 6.2 3.4
18500 -8.7 16.3 225 20 10 6.0 3.3 | -8.6 16.5 225 19 10 6.3 3.5
18000 -7.9 17.8 225 19 10 6.1 3.3 | -7.7 18.1 225 18 9 6.3 3.5
17500 -6.9 19.6 225 18 9 6.7 3.7 | -6.7 19.9 225 18 9 6.7 3.7
17000 -6.0 21.2 225 18 9 6.7 3.7 | -5.7 21.7 225 18 9 6.6 3.6
16500 -5.0 23.0 225 17 9 6.6 3.6 | -4.8 23.4 225 18 9 6.9 3.8
16000 -4.1 24.6 225 17 9 6.5 3.6 | -3.8 25.2 225 18 9 6.9 3.8
15500 -3.1 26.4 230 16 8 6.6 3.6 | -2.8 27.0 230 18 9 7.1 3.9
15000 -2.1 28.2 225 16 8 6.9 3.8 | -1.8 28.8 230 18 9 7.4 4.0
14500 -1.1 30.0 225 15 8 6.9 3.8 | -0.7 30.7 235 19 10 7.4 4.1
14000 -0.1 31.8 220 14 7 6.4 3.5 | 0.4 32.7 235 18 9 8.0 4.4
13500 0.8 33.4 215 14 7 6.3 3.5 | 1.5 34.7 235 17 9 7.9 4.3
13000 1.8 35.2 210 13 7 7.6 4.2 | 2.7 36.9 230 16 8 8.7 4.8
12500 2.8 37.0 205 13 7 7.5 4.1 | 4.0 39.2 225 15 8 8.7 4.8
12000 4.0 39.2 200 14 7 9.2 5.1 | 5.2 41.4 215 15 8 8.1 4.4
11500 5.4 41.7 200 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 6.4 43.5 205 15 8 8.0 4.4
11000 6.8 44.2 195 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 7.6 45.7 195 16 8 7.8 4.3
10500 8.3 46.9 195 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 8.8 47.8 190 18 9 8.7 4.8
10250 9.0 48.2 195 14 7 9.9 5.4 | 9.4 48.9 185 19 10 9.2 5.0
10000 9.7 49.5 195 14 7 9.7 5.3 | 10.1 50.2 185 19 10 9.0 4.9
9750 10.4 50.7 195 15 7 9.8 5.4 | 10.8 51.4 185 20 10 9.0 4.9
9500 11.2 52.2 195 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 11.4 52.5 185 21 11 9.1 5.0
9250 11.9 53.4 195 15 8 9.3 5.1 | 12.1 53.8 185 21 11 9.4 5.2
9000 13.3 55.9 195 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 12.8 55.0 185 21 11 9.3 5.1
8750 14.0 57.2 195 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 13.5 56.3 185 21 11 9.3 5.1
8500 14.7 58.5 195 15 8 10.3 5.7 | 14.2 57.6 180 21 11 9.0 5.0
8250 15.5 59.9 195 15 8 10.6 5.8 | 14.9 58.8 180 22 11 10.1 5.6
8000 16.2 61.2 195 15 8 9.5 5.2 | 16.4 61.5 180 21 11 9.4 5.2
7750 16.9 62.4 195 15 8 10.0 5.5 | 17.1 62.8 180 21 11 10.0 5.5
7500 17.7 63.9 195 15 8 9.2 5.0 | 17.8 64.0 180 21 11 8.8 4.8
7250 18.3 64.9 195 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 18.5 65.3 180 21 11 8.9 4.9
7000 19.1 66.4 195 15 8 10.5 5.8 | 19.2 66.6 180 21 11 10.2 5.6
6750 19.9 67.8 195 15 8 10.3 5.7 | 19.9 67.8 180 20 10 9.8 5.4
6500 20.6 69.1 195 15 8 10.1 5.5 | 20.7 69.3 180 19 10 9.7 5.3
6250 21.5 70.7 195 15 8 14.1 7.7 | 21.4 70.5 180 18 9 8.9 4.9
6000 22.8 73.0 195 14 7 21.4 11.8 | 21.9 71.4 180 16 8 7.9 4.4
5750 24.1 75.4 195 13 7 8.2 4.5 | 22.5 72.5 180 13 7 9.6 5.3
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0720 MDT Saturday October 10 2026
This forecast is for Saturday, October 10, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 68.7 F/20.4 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 861 ft/min (4.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 15749 ft MSL (9303 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 74.0 F/23.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1145 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10224 ft MSL (3779 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 10/11....... Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:06:56 / 18:35:39 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 28 min 42 sec (688 min 42 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:51:18 MDT... 47.47 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 10/10/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 13837 ft MSL (7391 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 14412 ft MSL (7966 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 14853 ft MSL (8407 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.8
K index......................... +21.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.1 -83.4 280 48 25 3.0 1.7 80.7 177.2 33.9 M M
45000 -58.8 -73.8 280 58 30 5.0 2.7 66.5 151.7 27.3 M M
40000 -51.3 -60.3 275 54 28 5.0 2.8 56.1 133.0 22.1 M M
38000 -47.9 -54.2 275 46 24 5.0 2.8 51.0 123.8 19.2 M M
36000 -44.9 -48.8 275 40 21 5.1 2.8 47.3 117.1 17.1 M M
34000 -41.2 -42.2 275 37 19 6.6 3.6 44.2 111.6 15.3 M M
32000 -37.3 -35.1 275 35 18 6.6 3.6 41.8 107.3 13.9 M M
30000 -32.8 -27.0 275 29 15 7.9 4.4 40.0 104.0 12.8 M M
29000 -30.4 -22.7 275 25 13 7.9 4.4 39.3 102.8 12.4 M M
28000 -28.0 -18.4 275 21 11 8.0 4.4 38.7 101.7 12.1 M M
27000 -25.7 -14.3 270 20 10 7.3 4.0 37.9 100.1 11.6 M M
26000 -23.5 -10.3 270 21 11 7.3 4.0 36.9 98.4 10.9 M M
25000 -21.3 -6.3 270 22 11 7.3 4.0 36.1 97.0 10.4 M M
24000 -18.8 -1.8 265 22 11 6.4 3.5 34.7 94.5 9.4 M M
23000 -16.9 1.6 265 22 11 6.4 3.5 33.5 92.3 8.5 M M
22000 -15.0 5.0 260 21 11 6.7 3.7 32.4 90.3 7.6 M M
21000 -13.5 7.7 255 19 10 4.7 2.6 30.7 87.2 6.2 M M
20000 -12.2 10.0 250 16 8 4.8 2.6 28.9 84.0 4.7 M M
19500 -11.5 11.3 245 15 8 4.8 2.6 28.1 82.6 3.9 M M
19000 -10.8 12.6 240 14 7 5.8 3.2 27.3 81.2 3.2 M M
18500 -9.9 14.2 240 14 7 6.3 3.4 26.7 80.1 2.7 M M
18000 -9.0 15.8 240 14 7 6.3 3.5 26.1 79.1 2.2 M M
17500 -8.0 17.6 245 14 7 6.9 3.8 25.6 78.1 1.7 M M
17000 -7.1 19.2 245 13 7 6.9 3.8 25.1 77.2 1.2 M M
16500 -6.1 21.0 245 13 7 6.9 3.8 24.7 76.4 0.7 M M
16000 -5.1 22.8 250 13 7 7.0 3.8 24.2 75.5 0.3 M M
15500 -4.1 24.6 255 13 7 7.3 4.0 23.7 74.7 -0.2 842 4.3
15000 -3.0 26.6 260 13 6 8.0 4.4 23.4 74.1 -0.5 793 4.0
14500 -1.8 28.8 265 13 6 8.1 4.4 23.1 73.6 -0.8 743 3.8
14000 -0.6 30.9 265 13 7 8.8 4.8 22.9 73.3 -1.1 692 3.5
13500 0.7 33.3 270 13 7 8.7 4.8 22.8 73.0 -1.3 639 3.2
13000 2.0 35.6 270 14 7 9.2 5.0 22.6 72.7 -1.5 586 3.0
12500 3.3 37.9 270 15 8 9.2 5.1 22.5 72.5 -1.6 532 2.7
12000 4.6 40.3 270 15 8 8.4 4.6 22.4 72.3 -1.8 478 2.4
11500 5.8 42.4 270 15 7 8.6 4.7 22.2 71.9 -2.0 427 2.2
11000 7.1 44.8 270 15 8 7.5 4.1 22.0 71.6 -2.2 374 1.9
10500 8.1 46.6 265 14 7 6.6 3.6 21.5 70.7 -2.7 330 1.7
10250 9.2 48.6 260 13 7 6.5 3.6 21.2 70.1 -3.1 282 1.4
10000 9.5 49.1 255 12 6 4.0 2.2 20.8 69.4 -3.5 265 1.3
9750 9.8 49.6 245 12 6 4.6 2.5 20.4 68.7 -3.9 248 1.3
9500 10.1 50.2 240 12 6 4.7 2.6 20.0 68.0 -4.3 231 1.2
9250 10.5 50.9 240 12 6 5.2 2.8 19.6 67.3 -4.7 213 1.1
9000 10.9 51.6 235 11 6 5.2 2.9 19.3 66.7 -5.0 194 1.0
8750 11.2 52.2 225 10 5 5.1 2.8 18.9 66.0 -5.4 175 0.9
8500 11.6 52.9 220 10 5 5.5 3.0 18.6 65.4 -5.8 156 0.8
8250 12.0 53.6 215 8 4 5.6 3.1 18.3 64.9 -6.1 136 0.7
8000 12.4 54.3 210 7 4 5.0 2.7 17.9 64.3 -6.4 117 0.6
7750 12.8 55.0 200 6 3 4.8 2.7 17.6 63.6 -6.8 99 0.5
7500 13.2 55.8 185 6 3 4.0 2.2 17.2 62.9 -7.2 81 0.4
7250 13.4 56.1 175 5 3 2.8 1.6 16.7 62.0 -7.7 66 0.3
7000 13.6 56.5 165 5 3 4.0 2.2 16.2 61.1 -8.2 52 0.3
6750 13.8 56.8 150 5 2 -2.2 -1.2 15.6 60.1 -8.8 40 0.2
6500 12.3 54.1 135 4 2 -46.8 -25.7 13.4 56.2 -11.0 77 0.4
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
10/10/2026 at 0900 MDT | 10/10/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +0.1 LI... +1.2 | CAPE... +14.1 LI... +0.5
CINH... -0.5 K Index... +18.9 | CINH... -24.3 K Index... +19.2
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.8 -82.8 275 49 25 2.8 1.5 | -63.6 -82.5 275 48 25 3.4 1.9
45000 -58.8 -73.8 275 62 32 5.0 2.7 | -58.3 -72.9 275 65 33 3.9 2.2
40000 -50.9 -59.6 275 60 31 5.2 2.8 | -51.8 -61.2 280 67 35 6.0 3.3
38000 -47.8 -54.0 275 52 27 5.2 2.8 | -48.3 -54.9 280 60 31 6.0 3.3
36000 -44.7 -48.5 275 45 23 5.2 2.9 | -44.7 -48.5 275 54 28 6.0 3.3
34000 -40.9 -41.6 275 39 20 6.7 3.7 | -40.4 -40.7 275 45 23 7.4 4.1
32000 -36.9 -34.4 270 35 18 6.8 3.7 | -36.0 -32.8 265 35 18 7.4 4.1
30000 -32.5 -26.5 265 30 16 7.5 4.1 | -31.6 -24.9 255 32 17 7.4 4.0
29000 -30.2 -22.4 260 28 14 7.5 4.1 | -29.4 -20.9 250 32 16 7.4 4.0
28000 -28.0 -18.4 255 26 13 7.5 4.1 | -27.2 -17.0 245 32 17 7.4 4.1
27000 -25.7 -14.3 255 25 13 7.8 4.3 | -25.0 -13.0 245 31 16 7.1 3.9
26000 -22.7 -8.9 255 25 13 7.8 4.3 | -22.3 -8.1 240 29 15 7.1 3.9
25000 -20.4 -4.7 255 24 12 7.9 4.3 | -20.2 -4.4 235 28 14 7.2 3.9
24000 -18.3 -0.9 255 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -18.2 -0.8 230 27 14 6.6 3.6
23000 -16.2 2.8 250 22 11 6.9 3.8 | -16.2 2.8 230 27 14 6.6 3.6
22000 -14.2 6.4 250 21 11 7.0 3.9 | -14.2 6.4 230 27 14 6.8 3.7
21000 -12.4 9.7 250 19 10 5.4 3.0 | -12.5 9.5 230 26 13 5.5 3.0
20000 -10.8 12.6 250 18 9 5.4 3.0 | -10.9 12.4 235 24 12 5.7 3.1
19500 -10.0 14.0 250 18 9 5.4 3.0 | -10.2 13.6 235 23 12 5.8 3.2
19000 -9.2 15.4 250 17 9 4.2 2.3 | -9.4 15.1 240 22 11 5.6 3.1
18500 -8.7 16.3 250 17 9 3.7 2.0 | -8.6 16.5 240 21 11 5.5 3.0
18000 -8.2 17.2 245 16 8 3.8 2.1 | -7.8 18.0 245 20 10 5.5 3.0
17500 -7.6 18.3 245 16 8 4.2 2.3 | -7.0 19.4 250 18 9 5.5 3.0
17000 -7.1 19.2 240 16 8 4.4 2.4 | -6.2 20.8 250 17 9 5.5 3.0
16500 -6.4 20.5 240 16 8 6.3 3.5 | -5.4 22.3 255 16 8 5.2 2.9
16000 -5.5 22.1 235 16 8 7.0 3.8 | -4.6 23.7 255 15 8 5.1 2.8
15500 -4.6 23.7 235 16 8 7.4 4.1 | -3.9 25.0 255 15 8 5.6 3.1
15000 -3.5 25.7 240 16 8 7.9 4.3 | -2.9 26.8 255 15 7 6.7 3.7
14500 -2.4 27.7 240 15 8 8.0 4.4 | -2.0 28.4 250 15 7 6.7 3.7
14000 -1.2 29.8 245 14 7 8.7 4.8 | -0.9 30.4 245 14 7 8.6 4.7
13500 0.1 32.2 255 13 6 8.6 4.7 | 0.3 32.5 245 14 7 8.4 4.6
13000 1.4 34.5 260 12 6 9.4 5.1 | 1.6 34.9 240 14 7 8.7 4.8
12500 2.8 37.0 270 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 2.8 37.0 240 13 7 8.7 4.8
12000 4.1 39.4 275 13 7 8.5 4.7 | 4.0 39.2 240 12 6 8.6 4.7
11500 5.3 41.5 275 13 7 8.8 4.9 | 5.3 41.5 235 12 6 8.9 4.9
11000 6.6 43.9 275 13 7 7.0 3.8 | 7.1 44.8 235 11 6 7.6 4.2
10500 8.0 46.4 260 13 7 6.4 3.5 | 8.3 46.9 235 11 6 7.5 4.1
10250 8.4 47.1 255 13 7 5.8 3.2 | 8.8 47.8 235 11 6 6.6 3.6
10000 8.8 47.8 250 13 7 5.0 2.8 | 9.2 48.6 230 11 6 6.3 3.4
9750 9.2 48.6 245 13 7 5.5 3.0 | 9.7 49.5 230 11 5 6.3 3.5
9500 9.6 49.3 235 13 7 4.5 2.4 | 10.1 50.2 230 11 5 6.4 3.5
9250 9.9 49.8 235 12 6 4.4 2.4 | 10.6 51.1 230 10 5 7.7 4.2
9000 10.2 50.4 235 11 6 5.3 2.9 | 11.2 52.2 230 10 5 8.5 4.7
8750 10.6 51.1 230 10 5 5.1 2.8 | 11.8 53.2 230 9 5 8.1 4.5
8500 11.0 51.8 225 9 5 5.3 2.9 | 12.4 54.3 225 9 5 8.7 4.8
8250 11.4 52.5 225 8 4 5.7 3.1 | 13.1 55.6 225 9 5 9.6 5.3
8000 11.8 53.2 220 6 3 6.3 3.5 | 13.9 57.0 230 9 4 9.9 5.4
7750 12.3 54.1 210 6 3 6.5 3.6 | 14.6 58.3 225 8 4 10.0 5.5
7500 12.8 55.0 200 5 3 5.3 2.9 | 15.4 59.7 225 8 4 10.2 5.6
7250 13.1 55.6 190 4 2 4.4 2.4 | 16.1 61.0 230 8 4 10.8 5.9
7000 13.5 56.3 180 4 2 6.7 3.7 | 16.9 62.4 230 8 4 9.4 5.1
6750 14.1 57.4 175 4 2 11.9 6.6 | 17.6 63.7 230 7 4 12.8 7.0
6500 15.2 59.4 170 4 2 15.5 8.5 | 19.6 67.3 230 7 3 50.4 27.7
10/10/2026 at 1500 MDT | 10/10/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +7.0 LI... +0.2 | CAPE... +2.6 LI... +0.5
CINH... -1.1 K Index... +21.0 | CINH... -2.1 K Index... +21.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -63.3 -81.9 275 44 23 3.9 2.1 | -64.7 -84.5 270 44 23 4.7 2.6
45000 -57.5 -71.5 275 60 31 3.8 2.1 | -57.4 -71.3 270 62 32 4.3 2.4
40000 -51.2 -60.2 280 74 38 6.6 3.6 | -50.5 -58.9 275 75 39 6.7 3.7
38000 -47.2 -53.0 280 72 37 6.6 3.6 | -46.5 -51.7 275 71 37 6.7 3.7
36000 -43.3 -45.9 280 70 36 6.6 3.6 | -42.5 -44.5 275 67 34 6.8 3.7
34000 -39.0 -38.2 275 58 30 7.4 4.1 | -37.7 -35.9 265 60 31 8.3 4.5
32000 -34.6 -30.3 270 43 22 7.4 4.1 | -32.8 -27.0 255 55 28 8.3 4.5
30000 -30.4 -22.7 260 35 18 6.7 3.7 | -28.9 -20.0 250 47 24 5.8 3.2
29000 -28.4 -19.1 255 33 17 6.7 3.7 | -27.2 -17.0 245 43 22 5.8 3.2
28000 -26.4 -15.5 245 32 16 6.8 3.7 | -25.0 -13.0 235 38 19 6.1 3.4
27000 -24.1 -11.4 240 32 16 6.0 3.3 | -22.9 -9.2 235 36 18 6.9 3.8
26000 -22.3 -8.1 230 32 17 6.0 3.3 | -20.8 -5.4 230 34 18 7.0 3.8
25000 -20.5 -4.9 225 33 17 6.1 3.3 | -18.7 -1.7 230 33 17 7.2 3.9
24000 -18.7 -1.7 225 33 17 6.4 3.5 | -17.1 1.2 225 31 16 4.4 2.4
23000 -16.8 1.8 225 31 16 6.4 3.5 | -15.8 3.6 230 30 15 4.5 2.4
22000 -14.9 5.2 225 29 15 6.5 3.5 | -14.5 5.9 230 29 15 4.4 2.4
21000 -13.0 8.6 230 26 13 6.1 3.4 | -12.9 8.8 230 26 14 6.0 3.3
20000 -11.2 11.8 230 22 12 6.2 3.4 | -11.2 11.8 230 24 12 6.0 3.3
19500 -10.4 13.3 230 21 11 6.2 3.4 | -10.3 13.5 235 22 11 6.1 3.3
19000 -9.5 14.9 235 19 10 6.2 3.4 | -9.5 14.9 235 21 11 6.1 3.4
18500 -8.6 16.5 235 18 9 6.2 3.4 | -8.6 16.5 230 20 10 6.2 3.4
18000 -7.7 18.1 235 17 9 6.2 3.4 | -7.7 18.1 230 20 10 6.2 3.4
17500 -6.8 19.8 235 17 9 6.3 3.4 | -6.8 19.8 230 19 10 5.9 3.3
17000 -5.8 21.6 235 16 8 6.3 3.4 | -5.9 21.4 225 19 10 6.0 3.3
16500 -4.9 23.2 235 16 8 5.9 3.3 | -5.1 22.8 225 18 9 5.9 3.2
16000 -4.1 24.6 235 16 8 5.7 3.1 | -4.2 24.4 220 17 9 5.9 3.2
15500 -3.3 26.1 230 15 8 5.8 3.2 | -3.3 26.1 220 16 8 6.0 3.3
15000 -2.4 27.7 230 14 7 6.4 3.5 | -2.4 27.7 210 15 8 6.6 3.6
14500 -1.5 29.3 225 14 7 6.3 3.5 | -1.5 29.3 205 14 7 6.3 3.5
14000 -0.5 31.1 225 13 7 7.4 4.0 | -0.5 31.1 200 14 7 8.6 4.7
13500 0.5 32.9 225 13 7 7.2 4.0 | 0.8 33.4 195 14 7 8.3 4.6
13000 1.6 34.9 225 12 6 8.8 4.8 | 2.0 35.6 195 14 7 9.0 4.9
12500 2.9 37.2 225 12 6 8.9 4.9 | 3.4 38.1 195 14 7 9.0 5.0
12000 4.2 39.6 225 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 4.7 40.5 200 14 7 9.0 4.9
11500 6.4 43.5 225 12 6 9.4 5.2 | 6.7 44.1 200 14 7 9.7 5.3
11000 7.8 46.0 225 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 8.2 46.8 205 14 7 9.5 5.2
10500 9.2 48.6 225 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 9.6 49.3 205 15 8 9.7 5.3
10250 9.9 49.8 225 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 205 15 7 9.6 5.3
10000 10.7 51.3 225 12 6 9.8 5.4 | 11.0 51.8 210 15 7 9.4 5.1
9750 11.4 52.5 225 12 6 9.6 5.2 | 11.7 53.1 210 15 7 9.3 5.1
9500 12.1 53.8 225 12 6 10.1 5.6 | 12.5 54.5 210 15 8 9.9 5.4
9250 12.9 55.2 230 12 6 10.1 5.5 | 13.2 55.8 210 15 8 9.9 5.4
9000 13.6 56.5 230 12 6 9.5 5.2 | 13.9 57.0 215 15 8 9.2 5.0
8750 14.3 57.7 230 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 14.6 58.3 215 15 8 9.3 5.1
8500 15.0 59.0 230 12 6 9.7 5.3 | 15.3 59.5 215 15 8 9.5 5.2
8250 15.8 60.4 230 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 16.0 60.8 215 15 8 9.7 5.3
8000 16.5 61.7 230 12 6 10.1 5.5 | 16.7 62.1 215 15 8 9.5 5.2
7750 17.3 63.1 230 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 17.4 63.3 220 14 7 9.4 5.1
7500 18.0 64.4 235 12 6 10.0 5.5 | 18.1 64.6 220 14 7 9.4 5.2
7250 18.8 65.8 235 12 6 10.4 5.7 | 18.8 65.8 220 13 7 9.4 5.2
7000 19.5 67.1 235 11 6 9.4 5.2 | 19.5 67.1 220 13 7 8.7 4.8
6750 20.3 68.5 235 11 6 13.2 7.2 | 20.1 68.2 220 12 6 6.3 3.5
6500 22.2 72.0 240 10 5 48.3 26.5 | 20.3 68.5 225 9 4 1.5 0.8
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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