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Soaring Forecast for Moriarty NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0704 MDT Sunday July 27 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, July 27, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 83.5 F/28.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1254 ft/min (6.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19190 ft MSL (12882 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16088 ft MSL (9779 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/28....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:10:17 / 20:10:48 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 0 min 31 sec (840 min 31 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:33 MDT... 73.87 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/27/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16227 ft MSL (9919 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 20852 ft MSL (14544 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 20219 ft MSL (13911 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +0.7
K index......................... +17.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.0 -85.0 205 23 12 1.5 0.8 78.5 173.3 27.1 M M
45000 -60.9 -77.6 210 40 20 5.4 2.9 62.3 144.1 18.7 M M
40000 -52.1 -61.8 220 43 22 6.6 3.6 52.6 126.7 13.5 M M
38000 -48.2 -54.8 225 33 17 6.6 3.6 49.7 121.4 11.8 M M
36000 -44.2 -47.6 235 24 13 7.3 4.0 47.4 117.4 10.5 M M
34000 -39.2 -38.6 230 20 10 8.4 4.6 46.0 114.8 9.7 M M
32000 -34.2 -29.6 225 16 8 8.5 4.7 45.1 113.2 9.2 M M
30000 -29.4 -20.9 230 15 7 7.1 3.9 42.7 108.8 7.6 M M
29000 -27.3 -17.1 230 14 7 7.1 3.9 41.7 107.1 7.0 M M
28000 -25.0 -13.0 235 13 7 8.3 4.5 40.9 105.7 6.4 M M
27000 -22.6 -8.7 240 10 5 8.2 4.5 40.3 104.5 5.9 M M
26000 -20.1 -4.2 255 7 4 8.2 4.5 39.7 103.5 5.5 M M
25000 -17.7 0.1 275 5 3 7.6 4.2 39.2 102.6 5.2 M M
24000 -15.5 4.1 235 7 4 7.4 4.0 38.3 100.9 4.5 M M
23000 -13.3 8.1 220 10 5 7.4 4.0 37.4 99.3 3.8 M M
22000 -11.1 12.0 210 13 7 6.5 3.6 36.6 97.9 3.2 M M
21000 -9.3 15.3 200 15 8 6.3 3.4 35.3 95.5 2.1 M M
20000 -7.4 18.7 190 18 9 6.3 3.4 34.1 93.4 1.0 M M
19500 -6.5 20.3 185 19 10 6.1 3.3 33.6 92.4 0.5 M M
19000 -5.8 21.6 185 17 9 5.0 2.8 32.8 91.1 -0.2 1246 6.3
18500 -5.1 22.8 185 14 7 5.2 2.9 32.0 89.6 -1.0 1210 6.1
18000 -4.3 24.3 180 11 6 6.7 3.7 31.3 88.4 -1.7 1172 6.0
17500 -3.3 26.1 175 9 5 7.2 3.9 30.9 87.6 -2.1 1126 5.7
17000 -2.2 28.0 170 8 4 7.5 4.1 30.5 86.9 -2.5 1081 5.5
16500 -1.0 30.2 165 7 4 8.8 4.8 30.2 86.4 -2.8 1030 5.2
16000 0.9 33.6 160 6 3 8.9 4.9 30.0 86.0 -3.1 950 4.8
15500 2.2 36.0 170 6 3 9.1 5.0 29.9 85.8 -3.2 895 4.5
15000 3.6 38.5 180 5 3 9.1 5.0 29.8 85.6 -3.4 840 4.3
14500 4.9 40.8 200 6 3 9.6 5.3 29.7 85.5 -3.5 785 4.0
14000 6.3 43.3 215 7 3 9.6 5.2 29.7 85.4 -3.6 729 3.7
13500 7.7 45.9 225 8 4 9.6 5.3 29.6 85.4 -3.6 672 3.4
13000 9.1 48.4 230 9 5 9.6 5.3 29.6 85.3 -3.7 615 3.1
12500 10.5 50.9 235 10 5 9.5 5.2 29.6 85.3 -3.7 557 2.8
12000 12.0 53.6 240 11 6 9.6 5.2 29.5 85.2 -3.8 500 2.5
11500 13.3 55.9 240 12 6 8.6 4.7 29.4 85.0 -3.9 444 2.3
11000 14.8 58.6 240 13 7 10.1 5.6 29.4 85.0 -3.9 386 2.0
10500 16.3 61.3 240 15 7 8.5 4.6 29.5 85.1 -3.9 326 1.7
10250 16.8 62.2 240 15 8 8.1 4.4 29.3 84.8 -4.1 302 1.5
10000 17.5 63.5 245 15 8 9.9 5.4 29.3 84.7 -4.1 274 1.4
9750 18.3 64.9 245 15 8 9.8 5.4 29.3 84.7 -4.1 245 1.2
9500 19.0 66.2 245 15 8 8.7 4.8 29.3 84.7 -4.1 216 1.1
9250 19.6 67.3 245 15 8 7.6 4.1 29.1 84.4 -4.3 190 1.0
9000 20.2 68.4 250 15 8 7.5 4.1 29.0 84.2 -4.4 166 0.8
8750 20.7 69.3 250 14 7 7.4 4.1 28.8 83.8 -4.6 141 0.7
8500 21.3 70.3 250 14 7 6.3 3.5 28.6 83.5 -4.8 118 0.6
8250 21.7 71.1 250 13 7 5.4 2.9 28.3 82.9 -5.1 98 0.5
8000 22.1 71.8 245 13 7 5.3 2.9 28.0 82.3 -5.5 78 0.4
7750 22.4 72.3 245 12 6 4.0 2.2 27.6 81.6 -5.9 60 0.3
7500 22.6 72.7 240 11 6 1.0 0.5 27.0 80.7 -6.4 48 0.2
7250 22.5 72.5 230 10 5 -1.2 -0.7 26.3 79.3 -7.3 43 0.2
7000 22.4 72.3 225 9 5 1.1 0.6 25.5 77.9 -8.1 38 0.2
6750 22.3 72.1 210 8 4 -5.6 -3.1 24.7 76.5 -8.9 34 0.2
6500 21.2 70.2 195 7 3 -24.6 -13.5 22.9 73.2 -10.9 62 0.3
6250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/27/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/27/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.8 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.6
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +16.4 | CINH... -0.3 K Index... +17.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.7 -86.3 205 25 13 1.0 0.5 | -66.0 -86.8 195 27 14 1.1 0.6
45000 -61.2 -78.2 215 41 21 6.2 3.4 | -61.0 -77.8 205 39 20 6.8 3.7
40000 -51.8 -61.2 215 40 21 6.5 3.6 | -51.0 -59.8 210 43 22 6.1 3.4
38000 -47.9 -54.2 215 33 17 6.5 3.6 | -47.4 -53.3 210 34 18 6.1 3.4
36000 -43.9 -47.0 215 25 13 7.2 4.0 | -43.7 -46.7 215 26 13 7.0 3.8
34000 -39.1 -38.4 215 21 11 8.2 4.5 | -38.9 -38.0 210 23 12 8.0 4.4
32000 -34.2 -29.6 215 18 9 8.2 4.5 | -33.5 -28.3 205 19 10 7.7 4.2
30000 -29.2 -20.6 215 13 7 7.3 4.0 | -29.0 -20.2 200 16 8 7.5 4.1
29000 -27.0 -16.6 215 11 6 7.3 4.0 | -26.8 -16.2 195 14 7 7.5 4.1
28000 -24.8 -12.6 210 9 5 8.1 4.4 | -24.5 -12.1 190 13 6 8.2 4.5
27000 -22.4 -8.3 195 7 4 8.0 4.4 | -22.0 -7.6 185 12 6 8.2 4.5
26000 -20.0 -4.0 170 6 3 8.0 4.4 | -19.6 -3.3 175 11 6 8.2 4.5
25000 -17.6 0.3 145 6 3 7.2 4.0 | -17.2 1.0 165 11 6 7.0 3.8
24000 -15.5 4.1 180 6 3 6.9 3.8 | -15.2 4.6 180 9 5 6.6 3.6
23000 -13.4 7.9 210 7 4 7.0 3.8 | -13.2 8.2 205 8 4 6.6 3.6
22000 -11.4 11.5 220 10 5 6.0 3.3 | -11.3 11.7 225 8 4 5.4 3.0
21000 -9.7 14.5 210 12 6 5.8 3.2 | -9.8 14.4 220 10 5 5.2 2.8
20000 -8.0 17.6 205 14 7 5.9 3.2 | -8.3 17.1 220 11 6 5.3 2.9
19500 -7.2 19.0 200 15 8 6.2 3.4 | -7.6 18.3 220 11 6 5.5 3.0
19000 -6.1 21.0 195 15 8 7.3 4.0 | -6.8 19.8 205 12 6 5.8 3.2
18500 -5.1 22.8 185 15 8 7.3 4.0 | -6.0 21.2 190 12 6 5.8 3.2
18000 -4.0 24.8 180 14 7 6.7 3.7 | -4.6 23.7 185 12 6 7.7 4.2
17500 -3.1 26.4 180 13 7 6.6 3.6 | -3.5 25.7 185 10 5 7.6 4.2
17000 -1.7 28.9 175 12 6 7.8 4.3 | -2.3 27.9 185 8 4 9.2 5.1
16500 -0.6 30.9 175 10 5 8.0 4.4 | -0.9 30.4 190 7 3 9.4 5.2
16000 0.6 33.1 180 8 4 8.6 4.7 | 0.5 32.9 195 5 3 9.4 5.2
15500 1.9 35.4 190 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 1.9 35.4 200 5 3 9.5 5.2
15000 3.3 37.9 205 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 3.3 37.9 205 4 2 9.5 5.2
14500 4.7 40.5 215 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 4.8 40.6 210 4 2 9.9 5.4
14000 6.1 43.0 220 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 6.3 43.3 215 4 2 10.0 5.5
13500 7.6 45.7 225 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 7.7 45.9 225 4 2 9.3 5.1
13000 9.0 48.2 230 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 9.1 48.4 230 4 2 9.3 5.1
12500 10.4 50.7 240 9 4 9.3 5.1 | 10.5 50.9 235 4 2 9.6 5.3
12000 11.8 53.2 250 9 5 9.4 5.2 | 12.0 53.6 245 4 2 9.7 5.3
11500 13.1 55.6 260 10 5 8.3 4.6 | 13.4 56.1 250 4 2 9.4 5.1
11000 14.5 58.1 265 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 14.8 58.6 255 4 2 9.9 5.5
10500 15.9 60.6 270 10 5 7.5 4.1 | 16.3 61.3 260 4 2 9.3 5.1
10250 16.4 61.5 270 10 5 7.3 4.0 | 17.0 62.6 265 4 2 9.6 5.3
10000 17.0 62.6 275 9 5 9.0 4.9 | 17.8 64.0 265 5 2 10.4 5.7
9750 17.7 63.9 275 8 4 8.7 4.8 | 18.5 65.3 270 5 2 10.1 5.6
9500 18.3 64.9 280 8 4 7.6 4.2 | 19.3 66.7 270 5 3 10.1 5.5
9250 18.9 66.0 285 7 3 6.6 3.6 | 20.0 68.0 270 5 3 9.9 5.4
9000 19.4 66.9 285 6 3 6.3 3.5 | 20.8 69.4 270 5 3 9.8 5.4
8750 19.8 67.6 290 5 3 5.7 3.1 | 21.5 70.7 270 5 3 9.7 5.3
8500 20.2 68.4 290 5 2 4.3 2.4 | 22.2 72.0 270 5 3 9.9 5.4
8250 20.5 68.9 290 5 2 3.7 2.0 | 23.0 73.4 270 5 3 10.0 5.5
8000 20.7 69.3 285 4 2 2.8 1.6 | 23.7 74.7 270 5 3 9.9 5.4
7750 20.9 69.6 285 4 2 2.9 1.6 | 24.4 75.9 270 5 3 9.9 5.4
7500 21.2 70.2 280 4 2 6.8 3.7 | 25.2 77.4 270 5 3 10.2 5.6
7250 21.8 71.2 275 4 2 8.5 4.7 | 26.0 78.8 270 5 3 10.6 5.8
7000 22.3 72.1 270 3 2 7.7 4.2 | 26.7 80.1 270 5 3 9.5 5.2
6750 23.0 73.4 265 3 2 10.6 5.8 | 27.5 81.5 270 5 3 13.2 7.3
6500 23.9 75.0 260 3 1 16.3 8.9 | 28.8 83.8 270 5 3 23.3 12.8
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/27/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/27/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +6.0 LI... -0.6 | CAPE... +12.1 LI... -0.7
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +16.5 | CINH... -2.5 K Index... +17.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.6 -87.9 195 29 15 0.9 0.5 | -66.0 -86.8 195 26 14 0.7 0.4
45000 -61.6 -78.9 205 38 20 7.1 3.9 | -61.5 -78.7 205 37 19 6.7 3.7
40000 -51.2 -60.2 210 39 20 6.6 3.6 | -51.4 -60.5 210 42 22 7.0 3.9
38000 -47.2 -53.0 210 34 18 6.6 3.6 | -47.2 -53.0 210 35 18 7.0 3.9
36000 -43.2 -45.8 215 30 15 7.2 4.0 | -43.0 -45.4 215 28 14 7.4 4.1
34000 -38.5 -37.3 210 24 13 7.8 4.3 | -38.3 -36.9 210 23 12 7.8 4.3
32000 -33.3 -27.9 200 19 10 7.5 4.1 | -33.1 -27.6 200 18 9 7.5 4.1
30000 -28.9 -20.0 200 15 8 7.3 4.0 | -28.7 -19.7 200 15 8 7.4 4.1
29000 -26.7 -16.1 205 13 7 7.4 4.0 | -26.4 -15.5 200 13 7 7.4 4.1
28000 -24.4 -11.9 205 12 6 8.3 4.5 | -24.2 -11.6 200 11 6 7.9 4.4
27000 -21.9 -7.4 200 10 5 8.2 4.5 | -21.8 -7.2 205 9 4 7.9 4.3
26000 -19.5 -3.1 195 9 5 8.2 4.5 | -19.4 -2.9 210 6 3 7.9 4.4
25000 -17.1 1.2 195 8 4 6.6 3.6 | -17.2 1.0 225 4 2 5.6 3.1
24000 -15.2 4.6 200 6 3 6.2 3.4 | -15.7 3.7 225 2 1 5.0 2.8
23000 -13.4 7.9 205 5 2 6.2 3.4 | -14.2 6.4 000 0 0 5.1 2.8
22000 -11.6 11.1 220 3 2 4.4 2.4 | -12.7 9.1 045 2 1 6.3 3.4
21000 -10.4 13.3 220 3 2 4.3 2.4 | -10.9 12.4 080 2 1 6.6 3.6
20000 -9.3 15.3 220 3 1 4.8 2.7 | -9.0 15.8 115 3 1 6.8 3.7
19500 -8.7 16.3 220 3 1 6.5 3.6 | -8.1 17.4 125 3 2 7.8 4.3
19000 -7.4 18.7 215 3 1 9.7 5.3 | -6.7 19.9 130 3 2 9.6 5.3
18500 -5.9 21.4 215 3 1 9.6 5.3 | -5.3 22.5 140 3 1 9.6 5.3
18000 -3.8 25.2 215 3 1 9.6 5.3 | -3.8 25.2 145 3 1 9.8 5.4
17500 -2.4 27.7 215 3 1 9.6 5.3 | -2.4 27.7 155 3 1 9.8 5.4
17000 -0.9 30.4 215 3 1 9.7 5.3 | -0.2 31.6 160 3 1 9.8 5.4
16500 0.5 32.9 215 3 1 9.7 5.3 | 1.3 34.3 170 3 1 9.8 5.4
16000 2.0 35.6 215 3 1 9.7 5.3 | 2.8 37.0 175 3 1 9.7 5.3
15500 3.4 38.1 210 3 2 9.7 5.3 | 4.2 39.6 180 3 2 9.6 5.3
15000 4.9 40.8 210 3 2 9.7 5.3 | 5.6 42.1 185 3 2 9.6 5.3
14500 6.3 43.3 210 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 7.1 44.8 190 3 2 9.6 5.3
14000 7.7 45.9 210 3 2 9.5 5.2 | 8.5 47.3 190 4 2 9.6 5.3
13500 9.2 48.6 210 3 2 9.6 5.3 | 10.0 50.0 195 4 2 9.8 5.4
13000 10.6 51.1 210 3 2 9.6 5.3 | 11.4 52.5 200 4 2 9.8 5.4
12500 12.0 53.6 210 4 2 9.8 5.4 | 12.9 55.2 205 4 2 9.9 5.4
12000 13.5 56.3 210 4 2 9.9 5.4 | 14.4 57.9 205 4 2 10.1 5.5
11500 15.0 59.0 210 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 15.8 60.4 210 5 2 9.2 5.0
11000 16.4 61.5 215 4 2 9.7 5.3 | 17.2 63.0 210 5 3 9.8 5.4
10500 17.9 64.2 215 5 2 9.2 5.0 | 18.7 65.7 215 5 3 8.5 4.7
10250 18.5 65.3 215 5 2 9.8 5.4 | 19.3 66.7 215 5 3 9.1 5.0
10000 19.3 66.7 215 5 2 10.6 5.8 | 20.1 68.2 220 5 3 10.8 5.9
9750 20.1 68.2 220 5 2 10.4 5.7 | 20.9 69.6 220 5 3 10.4 5.7
9500 20.9 69.6 220 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 21.7 71.1 220 6 3 10.1 5.5
9250 21.6 70.9 220 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 22.4 72.3 225 6 3 9.6 5.3
9000 22.4 72.3 220 5 3 9.8 5.4 | 23.1 73.6 225 6 3 9.4 5.2
8750 23.1 73.6 220 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 23.8 74.8 225 6 3 9.2 5.1
8500 23.8 74.8 220 5 3 10.1 5.5 | 24.5 76.1 225 6 3 9.6 5.3
8250 24.6 76.3 220 5 3 10.5 5.8 | 25.2 77.4 230 6 3 9.7 5.3
8000 25.4 77.7 225 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 25.9 78.6 230 6 3 10.0 5.5
7750 26.1 79.0 225 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 26.7 80.1 230 6 3 10.6 5.8
7500 26.8 80.2 225 6 3 10.2 5.6 | 27.5 81.5 230 7 3 10.0 5.5
7250 27.6 81.7 225 6 3 11.0 6.0 | 28.2 82.8 235 7 3 9.8 5.4
7000 28.4 83.1 225 6 3 9.8 5.4 | 29.0 84.2 235 7 3 9.6 5.3
6750 29.2 84.6 225 6 3 13.3 7.3 | 29.7 85.5 235 7 3 11.4 6.2
6500 30.5 86.9 225 6 3 23.8 13.0 | 30.7 87.3 235 6 3 15.9 8.7
6250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Moriarty Municipal Airport site in Moriarty, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 34.9781667 deg
West Longitude: 106.0000278 deg
Elevation: 6204.2 feet (1891.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Albuquerque NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0704 MDT Sunday July 27 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, July 27, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 85.2 F/29.6 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1318 ft/min (6.7 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19424 ft MSL (13752 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 94.0 F/34.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1130 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15747 ft MSL (10075 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/28....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:12:39 / 20:13:25 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 0 min 46 sec (840 min 46 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:13:02 MDT... 73.72 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/27/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16192 ft MSL (10520 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 23529 ft MSL (17857 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 21790 ft MSL (16118 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +2.8
K index......................... +15.9
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.7 -84.5 205 26 14 1.5 0.8 81.3 178.3 27.5 M M
45000 -60.8 -77.4 210 44 22 5.0 2.8 64.6 148.3 19.0 M M
40000 -52.5 -62.5 225 45 23 6.3 3.5 54.1 129.4 13.2 M M
38000 -48.7 -55.7 225 33 17 6.3 3.5 50.9 123.6 11.4 M M
36000 -44.9 -48.8 235 21 11 7.4 4.0 48.3 119.0 9.9 M M
34000 -39.8 -39.6 225 21 11 8.6 4.7 47.1 116.8 9.2 M M
32000 -34.6 -30.3 220 21 11 8.5 4.7 46.4 115.6 8.9 M M
30000 -30.0 -22.0 220 19 10 7.5 4.1 44.6 112.2 7.7 M M
29000 -27.8 -18.0 220 18 9 7.5 4.1 43.8 110.8 7.2 M M
28000 -25.5 -13.9 220 16 8 8.0 4.4 43.0 109.5 6.7 M M
27000 -23.1 -9.6 220 14 7 8.0 4.4 42.3 108.1 6.1 M M
26000 -20.7 -5.3 225 12 6 8.1 4.4 41.6 106.9 5.7 M M
25000 -17.7 0.1 225 9 5 8.1 4.4 41.0 105.7 5.2 M M
24000 -15.3 4.5 215 9 5 8.1 4.4 40.3 104.5 4.7 M M
23000 -12.8 9.0 205 9 4 8.1 4.5 39.7 103.5 4.3 M M
22000 -10.5 13.1 195 9 5 4.9 2.7 39.0 102.1 3.8 M M
21000 -9.1 15.6 195 11 6 4.9 2.7 37.2 98.9 2.2 M M
20000 -7.7 18.1 190 13 7 5.1 2.8 35.5 95.9 0.7 M M
19500 -7.0 19.4 190 14 7 5.8 3.2 34.8 94.6 0.0 M M
19000 -6.0 21.2 190 13 7 6.7 3.7 34.2 93.6 -0.5 1279 6.5
18500 -5.1 22.8 190 13 7 6.8 3.7 33.7 92.7 -1.0 1235 6.3
18000 -4.1 24.6 185 12 6 7.4 4.1 33.3 91.9 -1.5 1191 6.0
17500 -3.0 26.6 190 11 6 7.5 4.1 32.8 91.1 -1.9 1144 5.8
17000 -2.0 28.4 190 11 5 7.8 4.3 32.5 90.5 -2.3 1097 5.6
16500 -0.8 30.6 200 11 6 8.1 4.5 32.2 89.9 -2.6 1047 5.3
16000 0.4 32.7 205 12 6 8.2 4.5 31.9 89.5 -2.9 996 5.1
15500 1.7 35.1 215 13 7 8.7 4.7 31.7 89.1 -3.1 944 4.8
15000 2.9 37.2 220 14 7 8.6 4.7 31.5 88.7 -3.3 892 4.5
14500 4.2 39.6 225 15 8 9.3 5.1 31.4 88.5 -3.5 838 4.3
14000 5.6 42.1 225 16 8 9.4 5.1 31.3 88.4 -3.6 781 4.0
13500 7.0 44.6 230 16 8 9.5 5.2 31.3 88.3 -3.6 724 3.7
13000 8.5 47.3 230 15 8 9.6 5.3 31.2 88.2 -3.7 665 3.4
12500 10.0 50.0 235 15 8 9.5 5.2 31.2 88.2 -3.7 607 3.1
12000 11.4 52.5 235 13 7 9.2 5.1 31.1 88.0 -3.7 550 2.8
11500 12.8 55.0 240 12 6 9.1 5.0 31.1 87.9 -3.8 493 2.5
11000 14.1 57.4 245 10 5 8.5 4.6 30.9 87.6 -4.0 439 2.2
10500 15.4 59.7 255 9 5 9.4 5.2 30.8 87.4 -4.1 383 1.9
10250 16.1 61.0 255 8 4 7.9 4.3 30.7 87.3 -4.2 356 1.8
10000 16.7 62.1 265 8 4 7.0 3.9 30.5 86.9 -4.4 332 1.7
9750 17.2 63.0 275 7 4 7.0 3.8 30.3 86.5 -4.6 308 1.6
9500 17.7 63.9 285 7 3 8.0 4.4 30.1 86.2 -4.7 284 1.4
9250 18.4 65.1 300 7 3 7.7 4.2 30.0 86.0 -4.8 258 1.3
9000 18.9 66.0 310 7 4 6.3 3.4 29.8 85.6 -5.1 235 1.2
8750 19.9 67.8 320 8 4 5.9 3.2 29.3 84.7 -5.6 190 1.0
8500 20.3 68.5 325 9 5 5.6 3.1 28.9 84.1 -5.9 170 0.9
8250 20.8 69.4 325 9 4 6.3 3.5 28.7 83.6 -6.2 149 0.8
8000 21.3 70.3 325 8 4 6.3 3.5 28.4 83.1 -6.4 127 0.6
7750 21.7 71.1 325 8 4 5.8 3.2 28.1 82.6 -6.7 106 0.5
7500 22.1 71.8 320 7 4 5.0 2.7 27.8 82.0 -7.1 87 0.4
7250 22.5 72.5 320 6 3 4.5 2.5 27.4 81.4 -7.5 69 0.3
7000 22.8 73.0 315 5 3 4.3 2.3 27.0 80.6 -7.9 52 0.3
6750 23.1 73.6 305 4 2 4.6 2.5 26.6 79.9 -8.3 35 0.2
6500 23.4 74.1 270 3 1 4.3 2.4 26.2 79.2 -8.8 18 0.1
6250 23.7 74.7 230 3 2 5.6 3.1 25.8 78.5 -9.2 1 0.0
6000 24.0 75.2 205 3 1 -2.6 -1.5 25.4 77.6 -9.7 M M
5750 21.8 71.2 190 4 2 -68.1 -37.3 22.5 72.6 -12.6 45 0.2
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/27/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/27/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.2
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +12.9 | CINH... -0.3 K Index... +12.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.4 -85.7 200 25 13 0.9 0.5 | -65.5 -85.9 200 25 13 1.3 0.7
45000 -61.6 -78.9 210 44 23 5.8 3.2 | -61.4 -78.5 210 39 20 5.5 3.0
40000 -52.2 -62.0 220 45 23 6.6 3.6 | -52.2 -62.0 215 41 21 7.0 3.8
38000 -48.3 -54.9 220 36 18 6.6 3.6 | -48.0 -54.4 215 36 18 7.0 3.8
36000 -44.3 -47.7 215 26 14 7.6 4.2 | -43.8 -46.8 210 30 16 7.6 4.2
34000 -39.2 -38.6 215 23 12 8.4 4.6 | -39.0 -38.2 210 26 13 8.1 4.4
32000 -34.2 -29.6 210 20 11 8.3 4.5 | -34.1 -29.4 205 22 11 7.9 4.3
30000 -29.9 -21.8 215 17 9 7.1 3.9 | -29.8 -21.6 205 18 9 7.2 4.0
29000 -27.7 -17.9 215 15 8 7.1 3.9 | -27.6 -17.7 205 16 8 7.2 4.0
28000 -25.6 -14.1 220 13 7 8.0 4.4 | -25.4 -13.7 205 15 8 8.3 4.6
27000 -23.2 -9.8 215 11 6 8.0 4.4 | -22.3 -8.1 200 13 7 8.3 4.5
26000 -20.2 -4.4 205 8 4 8.0 4.4 | -19.8 -3.6 195 11 6 8.3 4.5
25000 -17.9 -0.2 200 7 4 7.3 4.0 | -17.4 0.7 190 10 5 7.7 4.2
24000 -15.6 3.9 200 8 4 7.3 4.0 | -15.0 5.0 195 10 5 7.7 4.2
23000 -13.4 7.9 200 10 5 7.4 4.0 | -12.7 9.1 200 10 5 7.7 4.2
22000 -11.3 11.7 200 12 6 5.8 3.2 | -10.6 12.9 205 10 5 3.9 2.1
21000 -9.5 14.9 200 14 7 5.9 3.2 | -9.4 15.1 205 11 6 4.2 2.3
20000 -7.8 18.0 200 16 8 6.0 3.3 | -8.2 17.2 205 13 6 4.3 2.4
19500 -6.9 19.6 200 17 9 6.8 3.7 | -7.6 18.3 210 13 7 5.9 3.3
19000 -5.8 21.6 200 16 8 7.5 4.1 | -6.6 20.1 205 13 7 7.2 3.9
18500 -4.7 23.5 195 15 8 7.6 4.2 | -5.5 22.1 200 14 7 7.2 4.0
18000 -3.6 25.5 195 14 7 7.3 4.0 | -4.4 24.1 195 14 7 8.2 4.5
17500 -2.6 27.3 190 13 7 7.4 4.1 | -3.2 26.2 190 14 7 8.2 4.5
17000 -1.5 29.3 190 12 6 7.5 4.1 | -2.0 28.4 185 13 7 8.5 4.7
16500 -0.4 31.3 195 11 6 7.6 4.1 | -0.7 30.7 190 13 6 8.8 4.8
16000 0.6 33.1 200 10 5 7.6 4.2 | 0.6 33.1 190 12 6 8.8 4.8
15500 1.8 35.2 215 10 5 8.1 4.5 | 1.8 35.2 195 10 5 8.7 4.8
15000 2.9 37.2 225 11 6 8.0 4.4 | 3.1 37.6 205 9 5 8.8 4.8
14500 4.2 39.6 235 12 6 9.1 5.0 | 4.4 39.9 220 8 4 8.4 4.6
14000 5.6 42.1 245 13 7 9.1 5.0 | 5.6 42.1 235 8 4 8.4 4.6
13500 6.9 44.4 250 13 7 9.4 5.2 | 6.9 44.4 245 9 5 9.0 4.9
13000 8.4 47.1 250 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 8.3 46.9 250 9 5 9.2 5.1
12500 9.8 49.6 250 13 7 9.5 5.2 | 9.6 49.3 255 9 5 9.4 5.2
12000 11.2 52.2 255 13 6 9.3 5.1 | 11.1 52.0 255 9 5 9.5 5.2
11500 12.7 54.9 255 12 6 8.9 4.9 | 12.6 54.7 260 9 5 9.3 5.1
11000 13.9 57.0 260 10 5 7.9 4.3 | 13.9 57.0 260 8 4 8.6 4.7
10500 15.2 59.4 265 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 15.4 59.7 260 7 4 10.1 5.6
10250 15.9 60.6 270 8 4 8.3 4.6 | 16.1 61.0 260 7 4 8.0 4.4
10000 16.5 61.7 280 7 4 7.5 4.1 | 16.7 62.1 265 6 3 7.7 4.2
9750 17.0 62.6 290 7 4 8.3 4.6 | 17.2 63.0 265 5 3 7.8 4.3
9500 17.6 63.7 300 7 4 5.9 3.2 | 17.8 64.0 270 4 2 7.6 4.2
9250 18.0 64.4 310 8 4 5.0 2.7 | 19.1 66.4 275 4 2 9.3 5.1
9000 18.5 65.3 315 8 4 6.6 3.6 | 19.8 67.6 275 4 2 9.5 5.2
8750 19.4 66.9 325 9 5 5.8 3.2 | 20.5 68.9 280 3 2 8.1 4.5
8500 19.8 67.6 325 10 5 4.6 2.6 | 21.1 70.0 280 3 2 8.8 4.8
8250 20.1 68.2 330 9 5 4.5 2.5 | 21.8 71.2 280 3 2 10.6 5.8
8000 20.5 68.9 330 8 4 4.5 2.5 | 22.6 72.7 280 3 2 10.2 5.6
7750 20.8 69.4 330 8 4 4.6 2.5 | 23.4 74.1 280 3 2 9.5 5.2
7500 21.2 70.2 330 7 3 5.3 2.9 | 24.0 75.2 285 3 2 9.3 5.1
7250 21.6 70.9 330 6 3 6.9 3.8 | 24.8 76.6 285 3 2 10.7 5.9
7000 22.1 71.8 330 5 2 7.8 4.3 | 25.6 78.1 285 3 2 10.8 5.9
6750 22.7 72.9 325 4 2 8.1 4.4 | 26.4 79.5 285 3 2 10.1 5.6
6500 23.3 73.9 325 3 2 8.5 4.7 | 27.1 80.8 285 3 2 10.2 5.6
6250 24.0 75.2 320 3 1 8.1 4.5 | 27.9 82.2 285 3 2 9.5 5.2
6000 24.6 76.3 320 3 1 11.3 6.2 | 28.7 83.7 285 3 2 13.6 7.5
5750 26.1 79.0 310 2 1 32.9 18.0 | 30.7 87.3 280 3 2 48.6 26.7
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
07/27/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/27/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.7 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.2
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +14.2 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +14.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -66.0 -86.8 195 28 14 1.4 0.8 | -66.1 -87.0 200 29 15 0.7 0.4
45000 -61.6 -78.9 205 38 20 6.1 3.4 | -62.1 -79.8 205 41 21 6.6 3.6
40000 -51.7 -61.1 210 40 21 6.8 3.7 | -51.6 -60.9 205 43 22 7.0 3.8
38000 -47.6 -53.7 210 36 18 6.8 3.7 | -47.4 -53.3 205 36 19 7.0 3.8
36000 -43.6 -46.5 210 31 16 7.6 4.2 | -43.2 -45.8 210 30 15 7.7 4.2
34000 -38.7 -37.7 205 27 14 8.1 4.4 | -38.4 -37.1 205 26 13 8.1 4.4
32000 -33.9 -29.0 200 23 12 7.9 4.3 | -33.6 -28.5 200 22 11 7.9 4.3
30000 -29.5 -21.1 200 18 9 7.2 3.9 | -29.2 -20.6 200 18 9 7.2 3.9
29000 -27.4 -17.3 200 16 8 7.2 3.9 | -27.1 -16.8 200 15 8 7.2 3.9
28000 -25.2 -13.4 200 14 7 8.2 4.5 | -24.9 -12.8 200 13 7 7.9 4.3
27000 -22.7 -8.9 200 12 6 8.1 4.5 | -22.5 -8.5 200 11 6 7.9 4.3
26000 -19.7 -3.5 195 11 6 8.2 4.5 | -19.6 -3.3 200 8 4 7.9 4.3
25000 -17.3 0.9 195 9 5 7.4 4.0 | -17.4 0.7 200 6 3 6.1 3.3
24000 -15.1 4.8 205 8 4 7.4 4.1 | -15.5 4.1 205 4 2 6.1 3.4
23000 -12.8 9.0 220 7 4 7.4 4.1 | -13.7 7.3 220 2 1 6.1 3.4
22000 -10.8 12.6 230 7 4 4.6 2.5 | -11.8 10.8 275 2 1 6.9 3.8
21000 -9.4 15.1 230 8 4 4.9 2.7 | -9.8 14.4 290 4 2 6.9 3.8
20000 -8.0 17.6 230 8 4 4.9 2.7 | -7.8 18.0 295 7 3 7.1 3.9
19500 -7.2 19.0 225 9 5 5.7 3.2 | -6.8 19.8 295 8 4 7.7 4.2
19000 -6.3 20.7 220 9 4 6.4 3.5 | -5.6 21.9 295 7 4 8.1 4.4
18500 -5.4 22.3 215 9 4 6.4 3.5 | -4.4 24.1 290 7 3 8.1 4.4
18000 -4.4 24.1 210 9 4 8.2 4.5 | -3.2 26.2 285 6 3 8.5 4.7
17500 -3.2 26.2 210 8 4 8.1 4.4 | -2.0 28.4 270 5 2 8.5 4.7
17000 -2.1 28.2 205 8 4 8.9 4.9 | -0.7 30.7 255 4 2 8.5 4.7
16500 -0.7 30.7 205 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 0.5 32.9 240 4 2 8.5 4.7
16000 0.8 33.4 205 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 1.8 35.2 225 4 2 8.7 4.8
15500 2.2 36.0 205 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 3.2 37.8 215 4 2 9.7 5.3
15000 3.7 38.7 205 8 4 9.8 5.4 | 4.6 40.3 215 4 2 9.6 5.3
14500 5.1 41.2 205 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 6.1 43.0 210 4 2 9.6 5.3
14000 6.5 43.7 205 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 7.5 45.5 210 4 2 9.6 5.3
13500 8.0 46.4 205 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 9.0 48.2 210 4 2 9.6 5.3
13000 9.4 48.9 205 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 10.4 50.7 205 4 2 9.6 5.2
12500 10.8 51.4 205 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 11.8 53.2 205 4 2 9.7 5.3
12000 12.3 54.1 205 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 13.3 55.9 205 4 2 9.9 5.4
11500 13.8 56.8 205 7 4 9.6 5.3 | 14.8 58.6 205 4 2 9.8 5.4
11000 15.2 59.4 205 7 4 9.5 5.2 | 16.2 61.2 200 4 2 9.6 5.3
10500 16.6 61.9 210 7 4 9.7 5.3 | 17.7 63.9 200 5 2 9.6 5.3
10250 17.4 63.3 210 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 18.4 65.1 200 5 2 9.4 5.2
10000 18.1 64.6 210 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 19.1 66.4 200 5 2 9.5 5.2
9750 18.8 65.8 215 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 19.8 67.6 200 5 2 9.2 5.0
9500 19.5 67.1 215 7 4 9.6 5.2 | 20.5 68.9 200 5 2 10.4 5.7
9250 21.0 69.8 215 7 4 10.0 5.5 | 21.3 70.3 200 5 2 10.4 5.7
9000 21.8 71.2 215 7 4 10.2 5.6 | 22.8 73.0 200 5 3 9.8 5.4
8750 22.5 72.5 215 7 4 9.0 4.9 | 23.5 74.3 200 5 3 8.6 4.7
8500 23.1 73.6 215 7 3 9.3 5.1 | 24.1 75.4 195 5 3 9.2 5.1
8250 23.9 75.0 215 7 3 10.8 5.9 | 24.9 76.8 200 5 3 10.6 5.8
8000 24.7 76.5 220 7 3 10.5 5.8 | 25.7 78.3 200 5 3 10.5 5.8
7750 25.5 77.9 220 7 3 9.8 5.4 | 26.4 79.5 200 5 3 9.7 5.3
7500 26.2 79.2 220 6 3 9.5 5.2 | 27.1 80.8 195 5 3 9.2 5.0
7250 27.0 80.6 220 6 3 10.8 5.9 | 27.9 82.2 195 5 3 10.2 5.6
7000 27.8 82.0 220 6 3 10.9 6.0 | 28.6 83.5 195 5 3 10.4 5.7
6750 28.6 83.5 220 6 3 10.3 5.7 | 29.4 84.9 195 5 3 10.0 5.5
6500 29.3 84.7 225 6 3 10.5 5.7 | 30.1 86.2 195 6 3 9.9 5.5
6250 30.1 86.2 225 6 3 9.4 5.2 | 30.9 87.6 195 6 3 9.3 5.1
6000 30.9 87.6 225 6 3 14.3 7.8 | 31.6 88.9 195 6 3 12.3 6.8
5750 33.2 91.8 225 6 3 58.7 32.2 | 33.3 91.9 195 5 3 39.7 21.8
5500 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM.
It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at the Albuquerque International
Sunport site in Albuquerque, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.03806 deg
West Longitude: 106.62194 deg
Elevation: 5298.6 feet (1615 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas, especially along and east of
the Sandia and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
Soaring Forecast for Santa Fe NM
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
0706 MDT Sunday July 27 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, July 27, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 81.9 F/27.7 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1274 ft/min (6.5 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 19783 ft MSL (13342 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 92.0 F/33.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18013 ft MSL (11572 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/28....... Excellent
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:09:17 / 20:12:35 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 3 min 18 sec (843 min 18 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:10:56 MDT... 73.23 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/27/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 16112 ft MSL (9671 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 21302 ft MSL (14861 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 20684 ft MSL (14243 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.1
K index......................... +19.7
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.7 -84.5 210 26 13 1.5 0.8 78.7 173.6 26.9 M M
45000 -60.6 -77.1 215 44 22 5.3 2.9 62.3 144.1 18.3 M M
40000 -52.1 -61.8 225 47 24 6.1 3.3 52.2 126.0 12.8 M M
38000 -48.5 -55.3 230 37 19 6.1 3.3 48.8 119.8 10.8 M M
36000 -44.9 -48.8 240 27 14 7.0 3.9 46.1 114.9 9.1 M M
34000 -39.8 -39.6 235 25 13 8.4 4.6 44.7 112.4 8.3 M M
32000 -34.8 -30.6 225 23 12 8.4 4.6 43.8 110.9 7.9 M M
30000 -30.3 -22.5 220 19 10 7.3 4.0 41.9 107.3 6.6 M M
29000 -28.1 -18.6 220 17 9 7.4 4.0 41.0 105.8 5.9 M M
28000 -25.9 -14.6 215 15 8 8.1 4.4 40.2 104.4 5.4 M M
27000 -23.5 -10.3 220 13 7 8.2 4.5 39.5 103.1 4.9 M M
26000 -20.4 -4.7 230 11 6 8.2 4.5 38.8 101.9 4.3 M M
25000 -18.0 -0.4 235 9 5 8.5 4.6 38.3 101.0 4.0 M M
24000 -15.4 4.3 240 9 5 8.5 4.7 37.8 100.1 3.6 M M
23000 -12.8 9.0 240 9 4 8.5 4.7 37.4 99.3 3.3 M M
22000 -10.4 13.3 235 8 4 5.8 3.2 36.8 98.3 2.8 M M
21000 -8.8 16.2 220 10 5 5.6 3.1 35.3 95.5 1.5 M M
20000 -7.2 19.0 210 12 6 5.6 3.1 33.9 93.0 0.2 M M
19500 -6.4 20.5 205 14 7 5.1 2.8 33.3 91.9 -0.4 1250 6.4
19000 -5.8 21.6 200 14 7 3.9 2.2 32.3 90.1 -1.3 1219 6.2
18500 -5.3 22.5 200 13 7 3.8 2.1 31.3 88.3 -2.2 1188 6.0
18000 -4.6 23.7 195 13 7 6.7 3.7 30.5 86.9 -3.0 1153 5.9
17500 -3.6 25.5 190 11 6 7.0 3.9 30.0 86.0 -3.5 1108 5.6
17000 -2.6 27.3 185 10 5 7.9 4.4 29.6 85.2 -4.0 1063 5.4
16500 -1.2 29.8 190 10 5 9.6 5.3 29.5 85.1 -4.1 1007 5.1
16000 0.2 32.4 190 9 5 9.6 5.3 29.5 85.0 -4.1 950 4.8
15500 1.6 34.9 195 9 5 9.7 5.3 29.5 85.0 -4.2 892 4.5
15000 3.1 37.6 200 10 5 9.7 5.3 29.4 85.0 -4.2 834 4.2
14500 4.5 40.1 205 10 5 9.5 5.2 29.4 85.0 -4.3 776 3.9
14000 5.9 42.6 210 11 6 9.5 5.2 29.4 84.9 -4.4 719 3.7
13500 7.3 45.1 220 13 6 9.4 5.1 29.4 84.8 -4.4 662 3.4
13000 8.7 47.7 225 15 8 9.2 5.1 29.3 84.7 -4.5 606 3.1
12500 10.1 50.2 225 17 9 9.2 5.0 29.2 84.5 -4.6 550 2.8
12000 11.4 52.5 230 18 9 8.9 4.9 29.1 84.3 -4.8 495 2.5
11500 12.8 55.0 230 20 10 9.0 4.9 28.9 84.1 -4.9 440 2.2
11000 14.1 57.4 235 18 9 8.4 4.6 28.8 83.8 -5.1 385 2.0
10500 16.0 60.8 240 15 8 7.3 4.0 28.4 83.1 -5.4 307 1.6
10250 16.5 61.7 245 13 7 7.5 4.1 28.2 82.8 -5.6 283 1.4
10000 17.1 62.8 245 11 6 7.6 4.2 28.0 82.5 -5.8 259 1.3
9750 17.6 63.7 250 10 5 7.1 3.9 27.9 82.2 -6.0 235 1.2
9500 18.1 64.6 250 8 4 4.9 2.7 27.6 81.7 -6.3 214 1.1
9250 18.4 65.1 255 7 4 6.2 3.4 27.2 81.0 -6.7 196 1.0
9000 19.0 66.2 255 6 3 8.4 4.6 27.1 80.7 -6.9 172 0.9
8750 19.6 67.3 250 5 2 7.4 4.0 26.9 80.5 -7.0 147 0.7
8500 20.1 68.2 245 4 2 6.5 3.6 26.7 80.1 -7.3 125 0.6
8250 20.5 68.9 230 3 1 6.0 3.3 26.4 79.6 -7.6 104 0.5
8000 21.0 69.8 215 2 1 6.7 3.7 26.2 79.1 -7.9 83 0.4
7750 21.4 70.5 175 1 1 4.9 2.7 25.9 78.6 -8.2 62 0.3
7500 21.6 70.9 140 2 1 2.3 1.3 25.4 77.7 -8.7 48 0.2
7250 21.8 71.2 120 2 1 2.3 1.2 24.8 76.7 -9.3 36 0.2
7000 21.9 71.4 115 3 2 2.0 1.1 24.3 75.7 -9.9 24 0.1
6750 21.7 71.1 105 3 2 -11.6 -6.4 23.3 74.0 -10.8 23 0.1
6500 18.9 66.0 095 4 2 -76.3 -41.9 19.8 67.6 -14.4 101 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
07/27/2025 at 0900 MDT | 07/27/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +1.4
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +17.8 | CINH... -0.3 K Index... +17.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.4 -85.7 200 26 13 0.8 0.4 | -65.2 -85.4 195 26 13 1.4 0.8
45000 -61.7 -79.1 215 45 23 6.1 3.3 | -60.7 -77.3 210 40 21 5.5 3.0
40000 -52.0 -61.6 220 45 23 6.4 3.5 | -52.1 -61.8 215 43 22 6.7 3.7
38000 -48.2 -54.8 220 36 18 6.4 3.5 | -48.0 -54.4 215 37 19 6.7 3.7
36000 -44.3 -47.7 215 26 13 7.4 4.0 | -44.0 -47.2 215 30 16 7.4 4.1
34000 -39.3 -38.7 210 23 12 8.4 4.6 | -39.1 -38.4 210 27 14 8.1 4.5
32000 -34.3 -29.7 205 20 10 8.3 4.5 | -34.2 -29.6 205 25 13 8.1 4.4
30000 -30.0 -22.0 215 17 9 7.0 3.9 | -29.9 -21.8 210 20 11 7.2 4.0
29000 -27.9 -18.2 215 16 8 7.1 3.9 | -27.7 -17.9 210 18 9 7.2 4.0
28000 -25.7 -14.3 220 15 8 7.8 4.3 | -24.9 -12.8 210 16 8 8.1 4.5
27000 -22.8 -9.0 215 12 6 7.9 4.3 | -22.5 -8.5 205 14 7 8.1 4.5
26000 -20.4 -4.7 215 10 5 7.9 4.4 | -20.1 -4.2 195 12 6 8.1 4.5
25000 -18.1 -0.6 205 7 4 7.9 4.3 | -17.6 0.3 190 11 6 7.7 4.2
24000 -15.7 3.7 200 8 4 7.9 4.3 | -15.3 4.5 195 10 5 7.6 4.2
23000 -13.3 8.1 190 8 4 7.9 4.3 | -13.0 8.6 200 9 5 7.7 4.2
22000 -11.1 12.0 190 9 4 5.4 3.0 | -10.9 12.4 210 9 5 4.5 2.5
21000 -9.5 14.9 195 12 6 5.4 3.0 | -9.6 14.7 215 12 6 4.6 2.5
20000 -7.9 17.8 200 16 8 5.5 3.0 | -8.3 17.1 220 14 7 4.7 2.6
19500 -7.1 19.2 205 18 9 5.9 3.2 | -7.6 18.3 220 15 8 5.9 3.3
19000 -6.2 20.8 205 17 9 6.5 3.5 | -6.6 20.1 215 14 7 7.2 4.0
18500 -5.3 22.5 205 15 8 6.5 3.6 | -5.5 22.1 210 14 7 7.3 4.0
18000 -4.4 24.1 200 14 7 7.1 3.9 | -4.4 24.1 205 13 7 7.7 4.2
17500 -3.4 25.9 200 13 7 7.2 3.9 | -3.4 25.9 200 11 6 7.8 4.3
17000 -2.3 27.9 200 12 6 8.0 4.4 | -2.3 27.9 195 10 5 8.4 4.6
16500 -1.0 30.2 200 11 6 8.9 4.9 | -1.0 30.2 195 9 5 9.0 4.9
16000 0.3 32.5 200 10 5 8.9 4.9 | 0.3 32.5 195 8 4 9.0 5.0
15500 1.6 34.9 210 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 1.7 35.1 200 7 4 9.2 5.1
15000 3.1 37.6 215 10 5 9.4 5.2 | 3.1 37.6 210 7 3 9.2 5.0
14500 4.5 40.1 225 10 5 9.5 5.2 | 4.5 40.1 220 6 3 9.3 5.1
14000 5.9 42.6 230 11 5 9.5 5.2 | 5.9 42.6 230 6 3 9.4 5.1
13500 7.3 45.1 235 11 6 9.4 5.1 | 7.3 45.1 240 6 3 9.4 5.2
13000 8.7 47.7 245 12 6 9.3 5.1 | 8.7 47.7 245 7 3 9.5 5.2
12500 10.1 50.2 250 13 7 9.3 5.1 | 10.1 50.2 250 7 4 9.6 5.3
12000 11.5 52.7 250 13 7 9.3 5.1 | 11.6 52.9 250 7 4 9.7 5.3
11500 12.9 55.2 250 13 7 9.6 5.2 | 13.7 56.7 255 7 4 9.4 5.2
11000 14.9 58.8 250 12 6 8.9 4.9 | 15.1 59.2 255 7 4 9.5 5.2
10500 16.2 61.2 250 10 5 7.7 4.2 | 16.6 61.9 250 7 4 9.6 5.3
10250 16.8 62.2 250 9 5 7.1 3.9 | 17.3 63.1 250 7 4 9.5 5.2
10000 17.3 63.1 250 8 4 7.5 4.1 | 18.0 64.4 250 7 4 9.5 5.2
9750 17.9 64.2 250 7 3 6.6 3.6 | 18.7 65.7 250 7 4 9.6 5.3
9500 18.3 64.9 245 6 3 4.6 2.5 | 19.4 66.9 250 7 4 9.9 5.4
9250 18.6 65.5 240 4 2 4.6 2.5 | 20.2 68.4 250 7 4 9.7 5.3
9000 18.9 66.0 235 3 2 5.2 2.9 | 20.9 69.6 250 7 4 9.6 5.3
8750 19.3 66.7 225 3 1 4.6 2.5 | 21.6 70.9 250 7 4 9.8 5.4
8500 19.5 67.1 215 2 1 3.5 1.9 | 22.3 72.1 250 7 4 9.9 5.5
8250 19.8 67.6 205 2 1 4.7 2.6 | 23.1 73.6 250 7 3 10.0 5.5
8000 20.2 68.4 200 2 1 6.9 3.8 | 23.8 74.8 245 7 3 10.1 5.6
7750 20.7 69.3 200 2 1 8.0 4.4 | 24.6 76.3 245 7 3 10.3 5.6
7500 21.4 70.5 195 2 1 8.5 4.7 | 25.4 77.7 245 7 3 10.5 5.8
7250 22.0 71.6 195 2 1 8.3 4.5 | 26.2 79.2 245 7 3 10.1 5.5
7000 22.6 72.7 190 2 1 9.7 5.3 | 26.9 80.4 245 6 3 11.8 6.5
6750 23.5 74.3 195 2 1 14.0 7.7 | 28.1 82.6 245 6 3 20.3 11.1
6500 24.7 76.5 205 2 1 17.1 9.4 | 30.1 86.2 245 6 3 35.7 19.6
07/27/2025 at 1500 MDT | 07/27/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.1 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +0.5
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +14.4 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +13.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.8 -86.4 195 29 15 1.2 0.7 | -66.1 -87.0 200 30 15 0.5 0.3
45000 -61.0 -77.8 205 39 20 6.1 3.4 | -61.6 -78.9 205 41 21 6.9 3.8
40000 -51.6 -60.9 215 41 21 6.8 3.7 | -51.3 -60.3 210 42 22 6.7 3.7
38000 -47.5 -53.5 215 38 19 6.8 3.7 | -47.3 -53.1 215 36 19 6.7 3.7
36000 -43.5 -46.3 215 34 18 7.4 4.0 | -43.3 -45.9 215 31 16 7.6 4.2
34000 -38.8 -37.8 215 29 15 7.8 4.3 | -38.4 -37.1 215 27 14 8.2 4.5
32000 -34.1 -29.4 205 23 12 7.7 4.2 | -33.4 -28.1 210 22 12 8.0 4.4
30000 -29.8 -21.6 210 19 10 7.2 3.9 | -29.2 -20.6 210 18 9 7.0 3.8
29000 -27.7 -17.9 210 17 9 7.2 3.9 | -27.1 -16.8 210 16 8 7.0 3.8
28000 -24.8 -12.6 210 15 8 8.3 4.6 | -24.4 -11.9 215 14 7 7.7 4.2
27000 -22.3 -8.1 205 14 7 8.3 4.6 | -22.1 -7.8 220 11 6 7.7 4.2
26000 -19.8 -3.6 205 12 6 8.3 4.6 | -19.8 -3.6 225 9 5 7.7 4.2
25000 -17.4 0.7 205 11 6 6.8 3.8 | -17.6 0.3 235 7 3 6.2 3.4
24000 -15.4 4.3 210 9 5 6.8 3.7 | -15.7 3.7 230 4 2 6.2 3.4
23000 -13.3 8.1 220 7 4 6.8 3.7 | -13.9 7.0 225 1 0 6.2 3.4
22000 -11.4 11.5 235 6 3 4.8 2.6 | -12.0 10.4 065 2 1 6.9 3.8
21000 -10.0 14.0 230 6 3 5.0 2.8 | -10.0 14.0 100 3 1 7.0 3.8
20000 -8.6 16.5 230 6 3 5.3 2.9 | -8.0 17.6 110 4 2 7.2 4.0
19500 -7.8 18.0 225 6 3 6.9 3.8 | -7.0 19.4 115 5 3 7.9 4.3
19000 -6.6 20.1 225 6 3 8.2 4.5 | -5.7 21.7 125 5 3 8.3 4.6
18500 -5.4 22.3 225 7 3 8.2 4.5 | -4.5 23.9 135 5 3 8.4 4.6
18000 -4.1 24.6 225 7 4 9.5 5.2 | -3.2 26.2 145 5 3 8.6 4.7
17500 -2.7 27.1 225 7 4 9.4 5.2 | -2.0 28.4 160 5 2 8.6 4.7
17000 -1.3 29.7 225 7 4 9.6 5.3 | -0.7 30.7 175 5 2 8.9 4.9
16500 0.1 32.2 225 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 0.7 33.3 185 5 2 9.3 5.1
16000 1.6 34.9 225 7 4 9.8 5.4 | 2.1 35.8 195 5 2 9.3 5.1
15500 3.0 37.4 225 7 4 9.6 5.2 | 3.5 38.3 205 5 2 9.8 5.4
15000 4.5 40.1 225 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 5.0 41.0 210 5 3 9.8 5.4
14500 5.9 42.6 225 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 6.4 43.5 215 5 3 9.7 5.3
14000 7.4 45.3 225 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 7.9 46.2 220 5 3 9.7 5.3
13500 8.8 47.8 225 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 9.3 48.7 225 6 3 9.6 5.3
13000 10.2 50.4 225 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 10.8 51.4 230 6 3 9.6 5.3
12500 11.7 53.1 225 8 4 9.6 5.3 | 12.2 54.0 230 6 3 9.7 5.3
12000 13.1 55.6 225 8 4 9.5 5.2 | 13.7 56.7 235 7 3 9.8 5.4
11500 15.3 59.5 230 9 4 9.9 5.4 | 15.2 59.4 240 7 4 9.7 5.3
11000 16.7 62.1 230 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 17.3 63.1 240 8 4 9.6 5.3
10500 18.2 64.8 230 9 5 9.8 5.4 | 18.8 65.8 245 8 4 9.7 5.3
10250 18.9 66.0 230 10 5 9.9 5.5 | 19.5 67.1 245 9 4 9.8 5.4
10000 19.7 67.5 235 10 5 9.9 5.4 | 20.2 68.4 245 9 5 9.8 5.4
9750 20.4 68.7 235 10 5 9.9 5.5 | 21.0 69.8 245 9 5 9.6 5.3
9500 21.2 70.2 235 10 5 9.9 5.5 | 21.7 71.1 250 10 5 9.4 5.1
9250 21.9 71.4 235 10 5 9.8 5.4 | 22.4 72.3 250 10 5 9.5 5.2
9000 22.6 72.7 235 10 5 9.7 5.3 | 23.1 73.6 250 10 5 9.7 5.3
8750 23.4 74.1 235 11 5 9.9 5.4 | 23.8 74.8 250 11 5 9.7 5.3
8500 24.1 75.4 235 11 6 10.0 5.5 | 24.6 76.3 250 11 6 9.7 5.3
8250 24.9 76.8 235 11 6 10.2 5.6 | 25.3 77.5 250 11 6 9.9 5.4
8000 25.6 78.1 235 11 6 10.4 5.7 | 26.0 78.8 250 11 6 10.1 5.6
7750 26.4 79.5 240 11 6 10.5 5.7 | 26.8 80.2 250 12 6 10.2 5.6
7500 27.2 81.0 240 11 6 10.5 5.8 | 27.6 81.7 255 12 6 10.2 5.6
7250 28.0 82.4 240 11 6 10.5 5.7 | 28.3 82.9 255 12 6 10.3 5.7
7000 28.8 83.8 240 11 6 10.8 5.9 | 29.1 84.4 255 12 6 9.2 5.1
6750 29.8 85.6 240 11 6 19.7 10.8 | 29.8 85.6 255 12 6 11.6 6.4
6500 32.4 90.3 240 10 5 58.3 32.0 | 31.4 88.5 255 11 6 39.0 21.4
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued once per day, at approximately 730 AM local
time. It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.
The information contained herein is based on numerical weather prediction
model data for the Santa Fe County Municipal Airport site in Santa Fe, New Mexico at
North Latitude: 35.61097 deg
West Longitude: 106.61097 deg
Elevation: 6279.5 feet (1936.0 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along and east of the Sandia
and Manzano Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments are welcome and should be directed
to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this page.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel's initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613
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