Great Lakes Ice Forecasts - Text

Graphical Ice Forecasts Text Ice Forecasts Ice Climatology MODIS Satellite

Great Lakes Ice Outlook (CLEICELIO)

Issued Monday Wednesday Friday (product only valid when ice is present on the Great Lakes)


000
FZUS81 KCLE 242144
ICELIO

Great Lakes Ice Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland Ohio
444 PM EST Mon Jan 24 2022

Active watches...warnings...and advisories on the Great Lakes can
be found at:

http://www.weather.gov/greatlakes/

5 Day Ice Discussion...

Latest data from the U.S. National Ice Center, available from Jan 23rd,
show ice is confined to the shore and shallower bays of Lakes Superior,
Michigan, and Huron, including all of Green Bay, Saginaw Bay, and the
Straits of Mackinac. All of Lake St. Clair is ice-covered, while ice is
present along the entire shore of Lake Erie. Finally, much of the western
basin of Lake Erie remains ice-covered. The open waters of the Upper Great
Lakes and the central/eastern basins of Lake Erie remain ice-free.
Primarily moderate to rapid ice development is expected over the next five
days as overlying air temperatures remain near or below-normal. New ice
development should be confined to waters closer to shore in the Upper
Great Lakes, while most or all of Lake Erie should become ice-covered by
the end of this week.

The Great Lakes ice analysis products can be found at:

http://usicecenter.gov/Products/GreatLakesHome

and

http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/data/ice/#currentconditions

     MAX WIND (KNOTS) AT EACH SITE FOR THE 12 HOUR FCST PERIOD

       Location   Tonight      Tue  Tue Night      Wed  Wed Night
  West Superior      340/15    330/15    230/25    220/30    270/19
   Mid Superior      340/18    340/18    230/26    220/31    350/26
  East Superior      340/17    330/17    230/21    210/31    330/23
 North Michigan      320/19    330/19    320/17    220/31    240/25
 South Michigan      330/20    310/19    320/17    220/25    220/25
    North Huron      330/20    340/15    360/12    220/26    220/25
      Mid Huron      330/22    320/18    330/14    220/25    210/25
    South Huron      320/20    310/18    300/12    210/20    210/21
      West Erie      280/14    280/09    280/11    200/12    210/18
      East Erie      290/18    270/15    340/13    230/14    220/19
Central Ontario      300/18    290/21    330/16    310/10    210/16

A full graphical forecast of wind on the Great Lakes can be found at:
http://www.weather.gov/greatlakes/

        Temperature  Forecasts for Selected Cities

 Location   01/25   01/26   01/27   01/28   01/29   01/30
   Duluth  -1  -2  -2  19  10  19  -8  13  -1  17   6  19
Marquette   5  10  -3  18  11  24   6  17   9  20  12  22
 GreenBay  -3   8  -1  11   6  27   0  14   1  19  11  24
Milwaukee   3   9  -3  12   9  29   8  18   9  23  17  28
  Chicago   8  12  -3  13   9  31  13  21   9  24  18  30
 Muskegon  14  17   8  20  15  29  11  20  11  24  17  28
   Alpena   3  10  -1  15  11  27   3  13   3  19   7  22
  Detroit   9  21   2  18   5  26  12  21   6  22  11  27
   Toledo   9  20   3  16   5  27  13  22   5  21  12  29
Cleveland  18  21  11  18   7  29  21  24  10  22  14  31
  Buffalo  19  22   5  13   4  27  18  22   4  18   9  25

A full graphical forecast of the Great Lakes forecast temperatures
can be found at http://www.weather.gov/greatlakes/

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON Mon Jan 24:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  JAN   23 1031 1141
MARQUETTE,   MI  JAN   23  829  834
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  JAN   23  622  619
 GREENBAY,   WI  JAN   23  314  418
MILWAUKEE,   WI  JAN   23  263  231
  CHICAGO,   IL  JAN   23  213  227
 MUSKEGON,   MI  JAN   23  148  165
   ALPENA,   MI  JAN   23  434  469
  DETROIT,   MI  JAN   23  184  214
   TOLEDO,   OH  JAN   23  118  174
CLEVELAND,   OH  JAN   23   69  142
  BUFFALO,   NY  JAN   23  181  201


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR Mon Jan 24

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  20   0
 MARQUETTE,MI  23   7
  GREENBAY,WI  25   8
 MILWAUKEE,WI  30  17
   CHICAGO,IL  31  15
  MUSKEGON,MI  29  14
    ALPENA,MI  26   8
   DETROIT,MI  31  17
    TOLEDO,OH  32  16
 CLEVELAND,OH  33  19
   BUFFALO,NY  31  17

$$

Freeze-Up/Break-Up Outlook (NWS CLE)

Canadian Daily Ice Forecast


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FICN19 CWIS 251648
Ice forecasts for the Great Lakes issued by Environment Canada at
12:00 p.m. EST Tuesday 25 January 2022 for today tonight and
Wednesday.
The next scheduled forecasts will be issued at 12:00 p.m. Wednesday.

Western Lake Superior.
Open water except 9 tenths thin lake ice near and along parts of the
shore. Consolidated thick lake ice in Black Bay, Nipigon Bay and
Chequamegon Bay.

Eastern Lake Superior.
Open water except 8 tenths thin lake ice along parts of the southern
and eastern shores.

Whitefish Bay.
5 tenths thin lake ice except consolidated medium lake ice along
parts of the shore.

Southern Lake Huron.
Open water except 9 tenths thin lake ice near and along parts of the
shores. 9 tenths medium lake ice in Saginaw Bay.

Northern Lake Huron.
Open water except 8 tenths thin lake ice near and along parts of the
shores. 9 plus tenths medium lake ice in the Straits of Mackinac.

North Channel.
9 plus tenths medium lake ice except consolidated medium lake ice in
the extreme eastern and western sections.

Northern Georgian Bay.
Open water except 9 tenths thin lake ice including 3 tenths medium
lake ice in the northern section. Consolidated medium lake ice along
the northern and western shores.

Southern Georgian Bay.
Open water except 7 tenths thin lake ice including 2 tenths medium
lake ice along the shore in the eastern section. Consolidated medium
lake ice along the eastern shore.

Lake St. Clair.
9 plus tenths thin lake ice including 4 tenths medium lake ice.

Western Lake Erie.
5 tenths thin lake ice including 2 tenths medium lake ice except 9
tenths thin lake ice including 4 tenths medium lake ice in the
western basin.

Eastern Lake Erie.
Open water except 7 tenths new lake ice including 3 tenths thin lake
ice near and along parts of the shores. Consolidated thin lake ice
in Long Point Bay.

Eastern Lake Ontario.
Open water except 5 tenths new lake ice including 2 tenths thin lake
ice along parts of the shores. Consolidated medium lake ice in bays
in the northeastern section.

Western Lake Ontario.
Open water except 3 tenths new lake ice near and along parts of the
shore.

Northern Lake Michigan.
Open water except 9 tenths thin lake ice including 4 tenths medium
lake ice north and east of Beaver Island. 3 tenths thin lake ice
including 1 tenth medium lake ice near the entrance to Green Bay.

Southern Lake Michigan.
Open water except 2 tenths new lake ice along parts of the shore. 9
tenths new lake ice including 3 tenths thin lake ice between
Milwaukee and St. Joseph.

Green Bay.
9 tenths medium lake ice. Consolidated thick lake ice in Bays de
Noc.

The Lake Michigan ice description has been pared by the U.S.
National Ice Center.

End

Freezing Degree Day Information

	CLEWRKLIO DEF 
TTAA00 KCLE 251715
 
FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON Tue Jan 25:
 
LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------
    
   DULUTH,   MN  JAN   24 1052 1175    
MARQUETTE,   MI  JAN   24  848  858    
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  JAN   24  639  639    
 GREENBAY,   WI  JAN   24  328  441    
MILWAUKEE,   WI  JAN   24  272  246    
  CHICAGO,   IL  JAN   24  221  241    
 MUSKEGON,   MI  JAN   24  154  176    
   ALPENA,   MI  JAN   24  447  486    
  DETROIT,   MI  JAN   24  191  231    
   TOLEDO,   OH  JAN   24  123  191    
CLEVELAND,   OH  JAN   24   73  155    
  BUFFALO,   NY  JAN   24  188  218

National Ice Center 30 day ice outlook

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FECN19 CWIS 141800
THIRTY-DAY ICE OUTLOOK FOR THE GREAT LAKES ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA ON 14 JANUARY 2022 FOR MID-JANUARY TO MID-FEBRUARY.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED ON 1 FEBRUARY 2022.

Lake Superior

Average air temperatures for mid-December to mid-January were near normal for Lake Superior. Temperatures are expected to be below normal for mid-January to mid-February.

Thunder Bay.
January 15-18:
- 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice.
January 19-31:
- Consolidated medium lake ice.
February 1-15:
- Consolidated thick lake ice.

Nipigon and Black Bays.
January 15-19:
- Consolidated medium and thick lake ice.
January 20-February 15:
- Consolidated thick lake ice.

From Grand Marais Minnesota to the entrance to Nipigon Bay.
January 15-19:
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore from Thunder Bay to Nipigon Bay.
January 20-25:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore from Thunder Bay to Nipigon Bay and extending out to Isle Royale.
January 26-31:
- 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore from Thunder Bay to Nipigon Bay and extending out to Isle Royale.
February 1-7:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice except 7-8 tenths thin and medium lake ice along the shore from Thunder Bay to Nipigon Bay and extending out to Isle Royale.
February 8-15:
- 7-8 tenths thin and medium lake ice.

From Grand Marais to Duluth.
January 15-31:
- Open water except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice near Duluth.
February 1-7:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice in the western section. Consolidated medium lake ice near Duluth.
February 8-15:
- 7-8 tenths thin and medium lake ice except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice in the western section. Consolidated medium lake ice near Duluth

Southern Lake Superior west of Keweenaw Peninsula.
January 15-19:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along parts of the shore and near the Apostle Islands. Consolidated medium and thick lake ice in Chequamegon Bay.
January 20-25:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore except consolidated medium lake ice in the Apostle Islands. Consolidated thick lake ice in Chequamegon bay.
January 26-February 4:
- 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice along the shore except consolidated medium lake ice in the Apostle Islands. Consolidated thick lake ice in Chequamegon Bay.
February 5-15:
- 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice along the shore. Consolidated thick lake ice in the Apostle Islands and Chequamegon Bay.

Southern Lake Superior east of the Keweenaw Peninsula.
January 15-20:
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice along parts of the shore. Consolidated thin lake ice in sheltered bays.
January 21-31:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore. Consolidated medium lake ice in sheltered bays.
February 1-7:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths thin and medium lake ice along the shore. 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice in the western section. Consolidated medium lake ice in sheltered bays.
February 8-15:
Open water except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice along the shore and in the western section. Consolidated medium lake ice in sheltered bays.

Whitefish Bay.
January 15-20:
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new and thin lake along parts of the shore. Consolidated thin lake ice in sheltered bays.
January 21-26:
- 1-3 tenths new and thin lake ice except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice along the shore. Consolidated medium lake ice in sheltered bays.
January 27-February 15:
- 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice. Consolidated medium lake ice along parts of the shore.

From Whitefish Bay northwards to Michipicoten Bay.
January 15-26:
- Open water.
January 27-February 2
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore south of Cape Gargantua.
February 3-9:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths thin and medium lake ice along the shore.
February 10-15:
- Open water except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice along the shore.

From Michipicoten Bay to the entrance to Nipigon Bay.
January 15-25:
- Open water.
January 26-31:
- Open water except 1-3 tenths new and thin lake ice from Marathon to Nipigon bay
February 1-15:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice from Marathon to Nipigon bay.

Elsewhere in Lake Superior.
January 15-February 15:
- Ice free to open water.

Lake Michigan

Average air temperatures for mid-December to mid-January were near normal for Lake Michigan. Air temperatures are forecast to be below normal for mid-January to mid-February.

Green Bay.
January 15-20:
- 9-9+ tenths new and thin lake ice except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice in the southern section. Consolidated medium and thick lake ice in the extreme southern section and in the Bays de Noc.
January 21-31:
- 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice except consolidated medium lake ice in the southern section and in the Bays de Noc.
February 1-15:
- 9-9+ thin and medium lake ice except consolidated medium and thick lake ice in the southern section. Consolidated thick lake ice in the Bays de Noc.

Northeastern Lake Michigan.
January 15-20:
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore. 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice north and east of Beaver Island. 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice near the Straits of Mackinac.
January 21-31:
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore. 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice north and east of Beaver Island and in the Straits of Mackinac. Consolidated medium lake ice along parts of the shore.
February 1-15:
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new than thin lake ice along the shore. 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice north and east of Beaver Island and in the Straits of Mackinac. Consolidated medium lake ice along parts of the shore and parts of the Straits of Mackinac.

Elsewhere in Lake Michigan.
January 15-20:
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice along parts of the southern and western shores.
January 21-28:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along parts of the shore.
January 29-February 15:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths thin and medium lake ice along parts of the shore. Consolidated medium lake ice along parts of the shore

Lake Huron and Georgian Bay

Average air temperatures for mid-December to mid-January were near normal for Lake Huron and Georgian Bay. Air temperatures are forecast be below normal for mid-January to mid-February.

North Channel.
January 15-20:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice in the eastern and western section.
January 21-28:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice except consolidated medium lake ice in the eastern and western sections.
January 29-February 4:
- 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice except consolidated medium lake ice in the eastern and western sections.
February 5-15:
- Consolidated medium and thick lake ice.

St Marys River.
January 15-28:
- Consolidated medium lake ice.
January 29-February 15:
- Consolidated thick lake ice.

South of Manitoulin Island westward to north-western Lake Huron.
January 15-20:
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore.
January 21-February 15:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore.

North-western Lake Huron near the Straits of Mackinac.
January 15-20:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore and near the Strait of Mackinac. Consolidated medium lake ice in sheltered bays along the northern shore.
January 21-31:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice in the southern section and near the Straits of Mackinac. Consolidated medium lake ice along parts of the northern shore.
February 1-15:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice in the southern section and near the Straits of Mackinac. Consolidated medium and thick lake ice in the western section and near the Straits of Mackinac.

From north-western Lake Huron to Saginaw Bay.
January 15-20:
- Open water except 1-3 tenths new and thin lake ice along parts of the shore. 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice near and south of Alpena.
January 21-26:
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice. 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice near and south of Alpena.
January 27-February 15:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore.

Saginaw Bay.
January 15-20:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice except consolidated thin lake ice along parts of the shores.
January 21-31:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice except consolidated thin and medium lake ice in the southwestern section.
February 1-15:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice except consolidated medium lake ice in the southwestern section.

The southern and eastern shore of Lake Huron.
January 15-20:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along parts of the shore.
January 21-26:
- Open water except 9-9+ tenths new and thin lake ice along the shore.
January 27-February 4:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice in the southern section. 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice along the shore.
February 5-15:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths thin and medium lake ice in the southern section. 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice along the shore. Consolidated medium lake ice along parts of the eastern shore.

Georgian Bay.
January 15-20:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice near the northeastern shore. Consolidated medium lake ice along the northeastern shore.
January 21-31:
- Open water except 9-9+ tenths new and thin lake ice near the northeastern shore. Consolidated medium lake ice along the northeastern shore.
February 1-15:
- 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice in the northern section except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice near the northeastern shore. Consolidated medium and thick lake ice along the northeastern shore.

Elsewhere in Lake Huron.
January 15-February 15:
- Open water to ice free

Lake Erie and Lake St. Clair

Average air temperatures for mid-December to mid-January were above normal for Lake Erie. Air temperatures are forecast to be near to below normal for mid-January to mid-February.

Lake St Clair and the Western Basin.
January 15-22:
- 9-9+ tenths new and thin lake ice except consolidated thin lake ice along parts of the shore.
January 23-31:
- 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice except consolidated medium lake ice along parts of the shore
February 1-15:
- 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice except consolidated medium lake ice along the shore and in eastern Lake St. Clair.

The rest of Lake Erie.
January 15-20:
- Open water except 1-3 tenths new and thin lake ice in the western section and along the shore. 9-9+ tenths new and thin lake ice in Long Point Bay.
January 21-26:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice in the western section and along the shore. 9-9+ tenths new and thin lake ice in Long Point Bay.
January 27-February 5:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice in the western section and along the shore.
February 5-15:
- 7-8 tenths thin and medium lake ice east of Long Point except 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice in the western section and long the shore.

Lake Ontario

Average air temperatures for mid-December to mid-January were above normal for Lake Ontario. Air temperatures are forecast to be near to below normal for mid-January to mid-February.

Northeastern Lake Ontario.
January 15-23:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along parts of the shore. Consolidated thin lake ice in sheltered bays.
January 24-31:
- Open water except 4-6 tenths new and thin lake ice in the northeastern section and 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along parts of the shore. Consolidated medium lake ice in sheltered bays.
February 1-7:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice in the northeastern section. Consolidated medium lake ice in sheltered bays.
February 8-15:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths thin and medium lake ice in the northeastern section. Consolidated medium lake ice in sheltered bays.

Bay of Quinte.
January 15-Febuary 4:
- Consolidated medium lake ice.
February 5-15:
- Consolidated thick lake ice.

St Lawrence River.
January 15-23:
- 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice.
January 24-31:
- 9-9+ tenths thin and medium lake ice.
February 1-15:
- Consolidated medium lake ice.

Elsewhere in Lake Ontario.
January 15-February 15:
- Open water except 7-8 tenths new and thin lake ice along parts of the shore.

Canadian 30-day ice outlook