Weather Story

Evening and Overnight Thunderstorms

Severe Weather Risk Monday and Monday Night

5/17/2026 One round of rain and thunderstorms is exiting to the northeast early this evening. For the rest of the evening, some isolated showers and storms are forecast, not all locations will see rain or storms this evening. There is a small potential for any development to become severe with brief, heavy rain, hail, and gusty winds to 60 mph. After 1:00 AM a line of storms is expected to move in from the west. There is uncertainty with how well this will hold together as it moves east, with severe potential generally trending down by this time. However, isolated heavy rain and strong winds will be possible.

Scattered strong to severe storms are possible Monday afternoon & Monday night. Uncertainty/confidence: Cloud cover may limit daytime heating on Monday, so the degree of instability is in question. A capping inversion may also limit development during the day. A late night cold frontal passage may also be less favorable for severe storm development. Confidence is low to medium.