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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

189
FNUS81 KBGM 141502
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,250815,13,1,84,44,,,E,03,,86,58,96,43,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250816,13,1,85,48,,,SSW,04,,87,64,97,41,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250817,13,2,83,56,,,WNW,05,,89,65,93,44,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250818,13,1,77,50,,,N,05,,84,59,90,49,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250819,13,2,76,61,,,S,05,,80,57,96,45,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250820,13,2,73,64,,,W,06,,79,60,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250821,13,1,76,52,,,NW,05,,78,57,95,50,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250815,13,1,81,46,,,ENE,04,,83,58,96,44,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250816,13,1,82,54,,,SW,05,,85,63,97,41,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250817,13,2,81,56,,,W,06,,86,64,97,49,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250818,13,1,75,51,,,N,05,,82,58,93,50,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250819,13,2,73,61,,,S,05,,78,56,87,46,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250820,13,2,72,64,,,SSW,06,,75,58,100,57,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250821,13,1,75,52,,,NW,06,,76,56,94,50,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250815,13,1,84,59,,,E,02,,86,64,97,55,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250816,13,1,84,59,,,S,02,,86,65,100,55,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250817,13,2,87,56,,,WSW,04,,88,64,100,54,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250818,13,2,79,61,,,ENE,03,,88,64,97,54,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250819,13,2,76,65,,,SSE,03,,80,61,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250820,13,2,76,66,,,ENE,04,,79,60,100,60,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250821,13,1,78,53,,,N,04,,79,57,100,52,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250815,13,1,79,62,,,E,03,,81,61,97,58,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250816,13,1,78,67,,,S,04,,81,63,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250817,13,2,80,64,,,W,05,,82,63,100,61,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250818,13,2,75,64,,,N,05,,82,62,97,61,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250819,13,2,72,72,,,SSE,05,,76,59,97,62,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250820,13,2,71,73,,,SSE,06,,74,58,100,66,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250821,13,1,73,58,,,NNW,06,,75,55,96,56,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250815,13,1,84,58,,,ENE,02,,87,63,97,53,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250816,13,1,83,61,,,SSW,02,,88,64,100,52,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250817,13,2,83,63,,,W,04,,87,65,97,53,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250818,13,1,79,60,,,N,03,,87,63,97,56,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250819,13,2,76,68,,,S,04,,83,62,93,53,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250820,13,2,74,71,,,S,04,,81,60,97,58,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250821,13,1,77,56,,,NW,04,,80,58,94,52,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250815,13,1,84,55,,,ENE,02,,85,61,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250816,13,1,83,62,,,SSW,03,,86,65,100,51,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250817,13,2,84,61,,,W,04,,85,66,100,55,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250818,13,1,78,58,,,N,04,,85,62,97,56,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250819,13,2,76,68,,,S,04,,80,60,97,54,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250820,13,2,73,73,,,S,05,,78,60,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250821,13,1,76,58,,,NW,05,,77,58,100,58,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250815,13,1,82,63,,,E,03,,83,63,97,61,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250816,13,1,81,65,,,S,03,,84,64,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250817,13,2,84,61,,,WSW,05,,85,63,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250818,13,2,78,65,,,NE,04,,86,63,100,57,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250819,13,2,75,69,,,SSE,04,,79,59,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250820,13,2,74,70,,,E,05,,77,58,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250821,13,1,76,57,,,N,05,,77,56,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250815,13,1,81,49,,,ENE,05,,82,59,93,49,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250816,13,1,84,53,,,SW,05,,84,65,87,46,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250817,13,2,80,61,,,WNW,09,,85,67,87,49,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250818,13,1,74,56,,,N,09,,81,60,90,55,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250819,13,2,74,67,,,S,08,,76,59,87,52,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250820,13,2,72,69,,,WNW,09,,75,62,93,64,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250821,13,1,73,58,,,NW,09,,75,58,90,57,0,0,N

 
    
                        

830

FNUS51 KBGM 141501

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025



.SYNOPSIS... Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible

today in the Poconos and southern Catskills. Quieter conditions

and warmer  temperatures return at the end of the week and into

the start of the weekend. A frontal system will move through on

Sunday with  rain and cooler temperatures.





NYZ210-142000-

Leatherstocking-

1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025



                      Today        Tonight      Fri



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear

Precip Type           Showers      None         None

Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      84 (0)       57 (-7)      86

RH % (24h trend)      41 (-9)      100 (0)      35

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       1

Precip Begin          9 AM

Precip End            6 PM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5940                      6120

Transport Wnd (mph)   N 10                      SW  5

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     63250                     37560

DSI                   2            2            2

Sunshine Hours        9                         13

ADI early             22 Fair      42 Gen Good  16 Gen Poor

ADI late              67 Good      4 Very Poor  32 Fair

Max LVORI early       9            5            6

Max LVORI late        3            6            2



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South

winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.

North winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

Chance of precipitation 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. East

winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-142000-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025



                      Today        Tonight      Fri



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear

Precip Type           Tstms        None         None

Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0

Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0

Temp (24h trend)      85 (+1)      58 (-7)      86

RH % (24h trend)      52 (-11)     100 (0)      43

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       1

Precip Begin          9 AM

Precip End            6 PM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6200                      6070

Transport Wnd (mph)   N  9                      S  5

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     56480                     35120

DSI                   2            2            2

Sunshine Hours        8                         12

ADI early             28 Fair      39 Fair      19 Gen Poor

ADI late              66 Good      4 Very Poor  33 Fair

Max LVORI early       9            5            7

Max LVORI late        3            7            2



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South

winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

North winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.

Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds

around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-142000-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025



                      Today        Tonight      Fri



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear

Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers

Chance Precip (%)     30           0            20

Chance of Thunder (%) 30           0            0

Temp (24h trend)      87 (+2)      61 (-5)      87

RH % (24h trend)      55 (-4)      100 (0)      48

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.01

Precip Duration       2                         0

Precip Begin          6 AM                      2 PM

Precip End            6 PM                      6 PM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5650                      5460

Transport Wnd (mph)   N  8                      SE  5

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     50830                     29290

DSI                   2            2            2

Sunshine Hours        7                         11

ADI early             28 Fair      27 Fair      23 Fair

ADI late              49 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  31 Fair

Max LVORI early       9            6            7

Max LVORI late        3            7            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light

winds.

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South

winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

North winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.

Chance of precipitation 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight

chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s.

Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-142000-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025



                      Today        Tonight      Fri



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear

Precip Type           Tstms        None         None

Chance Precip (%)     40           0            0

Chance of Thunder (%) 40           0            0

Temp (24h trend)      85 (0)       60 (-6)      85

RH % (24h trend)      55 (-4)      100 (0)      48

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       2

Precip Begin          6 AM

Precip End            6 PM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6030                      5530

Transport Wnd (mph)   N  9                      SE  5

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     55950                     25070

DSI                   2            2            2

Sunshine Hours        7                         11

ADI early             31 Fair      36 Fair      25 Fair

ADI late              60 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  30 Fair

Max LVORI early       9            7            7

Max LVORI late        3            7            2



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light

winds.

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. North

winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance

of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.

Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight

chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid

70s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds around

5 mph.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.