The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.

Guide to decoding the forecast below.

 
    

                        

241

FNUS51 KBGM 141931

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

331 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026



.SYNOPSIS...There are no fire weather concerns at this time.





NYZ210-150800-

Leatherstocking-

331 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026



                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            80           100

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           20

Temp (24h trend)      40 (-20)     58 (-6)      44           68

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      37 (-26)     100          78

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 5-9       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G23

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 4-8        Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G23  SW 7-11 G21

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.25         0.47

Precip Duration                                 4            12

Precip Begin                                    11 PM        Continuing

Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2830                      2530

Transport Wnd (mph)                NE  5                     SW 23

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  15160                     65340

DSI                   2            1            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     5                         1

ADI early             29 Fair      23 Fair      12 Poor      46 Gen Good

ADI late              13 Gen Poor  20 Gen Poor  18 Gen Poor  57 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            5            4            5

Max LVORI late        5            3            5            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.

Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds

around 15 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in

the mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 60.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60.

South winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around

60. Light winds.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-150800-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

331 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026



                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Tstms

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            70           90

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Temp (24h trend)      44 (-17)     62 (-9)      49           72

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      49 (-14)     100          78

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 4-8        N 3-7 G17    Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G27

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 4-8 G19    Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G27   SW 8-12 G22

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.26

Precip Duration                                 4            10

Precip Begin                                    11 PM        Continuing

Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2650                      2890

Transport Wnd (mph)                E  5                      SW 21

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  16190                     62320

DSI                   2            1            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     5                         2

ADI early             24 Fair      26 Fair      14 Gen Poor  42 Gen Good

ADI late              17 Gen Poor  21 Fair      17 Gen Poor  62 Good

Max LVORI early       5            4            5            5

Max LVORI late        5            3            5            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.

Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds around

15 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in

the mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 60.

South winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the

lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the

lower 60s. Light winds.



$$



PAZ044-047-150800-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

331 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026



                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Tstms

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            80           100

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Temp (24h trend)      45 (-16)     64 (-10)     49           74

RH % (24h trend)      96 (-4)      45 (-21)     100          73

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 5-9 G17    N 3-7 G17    Lgt/Var      S 7-11 G22

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 6-10 G21   Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G23   SW 7-11 G24

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.24

Precip Duration                                 4            7

Precip Begin                                    12 AM        Continuing

Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2820                      2720

Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  5                     SW 20

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  14860                     50780

DSI                   2            1            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     6                         1

ADI early             16 Gen Poor  26 Fair      13 Gen Poor  28 Fair

ADI late              15 Gen Poor  22 Fair      14 Gen Poor  54 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            4            5            6

Max LVORI late        5            2            5            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers.

Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds

around 15 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 50s.

West winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 60.

South winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the

lower 60s. Light winds.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower

60s. Light winds.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-150800-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

331 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026



                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            80           90

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      45 (-17)     63 (-9)      47           71

RH % (24h trend)      96 (-4)      43 (-21)     100          79

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10      N 3-7        Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G19

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 5-9 G17   Lgt/Var      SE 5-9 G20   SW 7-11 G23

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.25

Precip Duration                                 4            10

Precip Begin                                    12 AM        Continuing

Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2990                      2630

Transport Wnd (mph)                E  5                      SW 20

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  13240                     50280

DSI                   2            1            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     7                         2

ADI early             27 Fair      24 Fair      16 Gen Poor  32 Fair

ADI late              16 Gen Poor  21 Fair      14 Gen Poor  53 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            4            5            7

Max LVORI late        5            2            6            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.

Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds

around 15 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower

50s. West winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 60.

South winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the

lower 60s. Light winds.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the

lower 60s. Light winds.



$$








                

 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

Fire Weather Watch:

• Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
• A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

• Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.