Fire Weather

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The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.

Guide to decoding the forecast below.

189
FNUS81 KBGM 202122
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,191121,13,1,47,55,1,1,S,08,,48,28,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,300171,191121,13,2,41,69,1,1,SW,04,,42,27,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,361802,191121,13,1,48,53,1,1,WNW,04,,49,29,96,51,0,0,N
FCST,360791,191121,13,1,43,60,1,1,W,04,,44,27,100,57,0,0,N
FCST,360151,191121,13,1,48,51,1,1,SSW,04,,49,30,100,51,0,0,N
FCST,361031,191121,13,1,47,54,1,1,W,03,,48,29,100,51,0,0,N

 

000
FNUS51 KBGM 211052
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A light northwest flow of air will keep clouds around this
morning, then high pressure will build in briefly bringing
breaks in the clouds this afternoon. A cold front will push
through tonight bringing rain showers, changing to lake enhanced
snow showers by Friday afternoon and evening. High pressure
returns with dry weather Friday night through much of Saturday,
before the next system arrives bringing a wintry mix of snow,
sleet, rain and possibly freezing rain Saturday night into Sunday.

NYZ009-212100-
Northern Oneida-
Including the city of Boonville
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Sleet        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            70           80
Temp (24h trend)      41 (+5)      32 (+5)      43
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+3)      100 (0)      66
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  Lgt/Var                   W 14-18 G27
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 7-11      W 17-21 G28
Precip Amount         0.00         0.17         0.14
Precip Duration                    6            9
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1650                      2570
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5                     W 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     9000                      102860
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            3

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ036-037-212100-
Madison-Southern Oneida-
Including the cities of Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, and Utica
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Frz Drzl     Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     10           60           70
Temp (24h trend)      43 (+6)      35 (+5)      44
RH % (24h trend)      65 (+3)      92 (-8)      67
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  Lgt/Var                   W 16-20 G32
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G22   W 20-24 G33
Precip Amount         0.00         0.08         0.11
Precip Duration       0            5            7
Precip Begin          6 AM         6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1740                      2900
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5                     W 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     10970                     121430
DSI                   1            0            2
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            3

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ015>018-212100-
Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-
Including the cities of Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn,
and Syracuse
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Frz Drzl     Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     10           70           60
Temp (24h trend)      46 (+6)      39 (+6)      46
RH % (24h trend)      58 (-7)      93 (-7)      61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  Lgt/Var                   W 16-20 G31
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 5-9        S 12-16 G26  W 19-23 G32
Precip Amount         0.00         0.06         0.05
Precip Duration       0            4            4
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2120                      4390
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8                     W 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     21120                     151840
DSI                   1            0            2
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          4            3            3

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ022>025-212100-
Steuben-Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-
Including the cities of Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Elmira,
and Ithaca
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           50           50
Temp (24h trend)      46 (+7)      38 (+7)      44
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-10)     100 (0)      59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  Lgt/Var                   W 14-18 G30
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 6-10       S 12-16 G26  NW 17-21 G31
Precip Amount         0.01         0.05         0.02
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1820                      4370
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  9                     W 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     17120                     150840
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          4            3            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ044-045-055-056-212100-
Cortland-Chenango-Tioga-Broome-
Including the cities of Cortland, Norwich, Owego, Waverly,
and Binghamton
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Frz Drzl     Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     10           60           70
Temp (24h trend)      44 (+7)      36 (+5)      44
RH % (24h trend)      62 (+5)      93 (-7)      64
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  Lgt/Var                   W 13-17 G29
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 3-7        S 8-12 G19   W 17-21 G30
Precip Amount         0.00         0.05         0.05
Precip Duration       0            3            4
Precip Begin          6 AM         6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1740                      4280
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6                      W 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     10800                     134730
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            4            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ046-057-062-212100-
Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Oneonta, Delhi, Walton, and Monticello
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            50           50
Temp (24h trend)      44 (+8)      34 (+5)      44
RH % (24h trend)      55 (+6)      96 (-4)      57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 3-7                    W 13-17 G31
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 6-10       W 18-22 G32
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.03
Precip Duration                    2            2
Precip Begin                       7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2010                      3260
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  7                     W 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     17970                     114610
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            3

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-212100-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Frz Drzl     Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     10           40           50
Temp (24h trend)      46 (+7)      38 (+7)      46
RH % (24h trend)      56 (-9)      92 (-8)      59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  Lgt/Var                   W 11-15 G24
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 7-11 G22   NW 15-19 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.02
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         7 PM         Continuing
Precip End            7 AM         Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2110                      4290
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6                     NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     12500                     129970
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          4            4            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ044-047-212100-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           30
Temp (24h trend)      47 (+6)      37 (+5)      48
RH % (24h trend)      53 (-3)      89 (-11)     55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  Lgt/Var                   W 10-14 G23
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G18   NW 14-18 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Begin                       11 PM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2120                      3920
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6                      NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     12290                     119680
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            4            3

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-212100-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Frz Drzl     Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           40
Temp (24h trend)      46 (+8)      36 (+5)      47
RH % (24h trend)      53 (-4)      92 (-8)      55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 4-8                    W 11-15 G24
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8        NW 15-19 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration                    1            2
Precip Begin                       9 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2340                      3680
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  7                      NW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     16690                     120080
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            4            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

24-Hr Observed Precip	48-Hr Observed Precip	Month to Date Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart
24-Hr Observed Precip	48-Hr Observed Precip	Month to Date Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart
24-Hr Observed Precip	48-Hr Observed Precip	Month to Date Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

Observed

Forecast

Active Fire Incidents (click to see map)

Additional Resources:

Fire Weather Watch:

• Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
• A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

• Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.