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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

810
FNUS81 KBGM 201932
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,250521,13,8,53,82,,,SE,10,,63,43,89,41,0,6,N
FCST,301011,250522,13,6,53,81,,,SSE,08,,56,46,93,74,16,8,N
FCST,301011,250523,13,6,52,71,,,W,08,,54,44,96,68,11,0,N
FCST,301011,250524,13,2,55,62,,,WNW,10,,57,44,89,59,6,0,N
FCST,301011,250525,13,2,63,50,,,NW,08,,65,43,93,46,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250526,13,2,65,54,,,NW,05,,67,45,96,46,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250527,13,2,66,55,,,WSW,05,,68,48,96,50,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250521,13,3,54,68,,,SE,10,,59,43,93,51,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250522,13,6,48,85,,,ESE,10,,57,42,100,64,15,8,N
FCST,300171,250523,13,6,50,82,,,W,06,,51,41,100,79,11,0,N
FCST,300171,250524,13,2,51,73,,,WNW,10,,53,42,96,71,11,0,N
FCST,300171,250525,13,2,59,58,,,NW,10,,61,43,96,55,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250526,13,2,63,57,,,NW,06,,64,45,100,52,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250527,13,2,63,61,,,W,06,,65,47,93,54,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250521,13,8,54,79,,,ESE,05,,67,47,93,42,0,4,N
FCST,361802,250522,13,6,51,85,,,ENE,05,,57,45,100,72,16,8,N
FCST,361802,250523,13,2,55,72,,,W,04,,57,43,100,69,8,0,N
FCST,361802,250524,13,2,59,56,,,WNW,06,,60,45,93,53,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250525,13,2,65,47,,,NW,05,,66,46,93,46,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250526,13,2,68,50,,,NW,04,,69,48,93,43,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250527,13,2,68,53,,,WSW,03,,70,50,100,47,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250521,13,8,49,89,,,ESE,11,,61,44,93,48,0,5,N
FCST,360791,250522,13,6,48,88,,,ESE,10,,52,43,96,80,16,8,N
FCST,360791,250523,13,2,51,80,,,W,08,,52,41,100,77,11,0,N
FCST,360791,250524,13,2,53,67,,,WNW,11,,54,42,93,66,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250525,13,2,59,54,,,NW,10,,60,42,93,53,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250526,13,2,62,57,,,NW,08,,64,45,93,51,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250527,13,2,63,59,,,WSW,08,,65,48,96,54,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250521,13,8,53,84,,,ESE,09,,67,46,89,43,0,6,N
FCST,360792,250522,13,6,52,85,,,ESE,06,,57,44,96,72,15,8,N
FCST,360792,250523,13,2,54,75,,,W,05,,57,43,100,69,11,0,N
FCST,360792,250524,13,2,57,64,,,WNW,09,,60,43,89,60,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250525,13,2,63,51,,,NW,06,,66,42,93,48,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250526,13,2,66,55,,,NNW,05,,69,46,93,45,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250527,13,2,66,57,,,SW,05,,70,48,96,49,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250521,13,8,53,87,,,ESE,08,,63,45,89,46,0,6,N
FCST,360151,250522,13,6,53,85,,,SE,05,,55,45,100,77,16,8,N
FCST,360151,250523,13,2,53,76,,,W,05,,55,44,100,74,11,0,N
FCST,360151,250524,13,2,56,66,,,WNW,08,,57,44,93,64,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250525,13,2,63,53,,,NW,06,,64,44,93,52,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250526,13,2,66,56,,,NNW,04,,66,47,96,50,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250527,13,2,67,59,,,W,05,,68,49,96,52,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250521,13,8,53,84,,,ESE,08,,65,45,89,43,0,5,N
FCST,361031,250522,13,6,50,86,,,E,06,,54,44,100,77,16,8,N
FCST,361031,250523,13,2,54,74,,,W,05,,55,42,100,72,8,0,N
FCST,361031,250524,13,2,58,58,,,WNW,09,,59,44,93,55,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250525,13,2,64,49,,,WNW,08,,64,44,93,48,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250526,13,2,67,52,,,NW,04,,68,46,96,46,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250527,13,2,67,56,,,WSW,05,,68,49,96,49,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250521,13,8,52,85,,,SE,14,,56,43,93,53,0,4,N
FCST,300971,250522,13,6,50,88,,,SE,13,,54,45,96,80,16,8,N
FCST,300971,250523,13,6,49,84,,,WNW,10,,50,44,96,83,11,0,N
FCST,300971,250524,13,2,51,75,,,NW,13,,52,44,96,74,6,0,N
FCST,300971,250525,13,1,58,62,,,NW,11,,59,44,93,60,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250526,13,1,62,62,,,NNW,09,,64,46,93,58,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250527,13,2,62,66,,,WNW,10,,64,48,96,58,0,0,N

 
    
                        

920

FNUS51 KBGM 201931

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

330 PM EDT Tue May 20 2025



.SYNOPSIS... A slow moving upper level low will bring periods of

rain and  well below average temperature Wednesday through

Saturday, with  still a few lingering showers in the forecast on

Sunday. Early next week looks to have a break in the cool and wet

weather pattern we are in.





NYZ210-210800-

Leatherstocking-

330 PM EDT Tue May 20 2025



                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Rain

Chance Precip (%)     0            80           100          100

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      41 (+2)      58 (0)       41           51

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      57 (+27)     100          74

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 5-9       SE 7-11 G17  SE 8-12 G18

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE 7-11      SE 7-11 G18  SE 7-11 G18

Precip Amount         0.00         0.11         0.29         0.26

Precip Duration                    6            12           12

Precip Begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2940                      2080

Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 21                     SE 22

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  73690                     61580

DSI                   2            2            2            1

Sunshine Hours                     2                         2

ADI early             23 Fair      56 Gen Good  38 Fair      45 Gen Good

ADI late              6 Very Poor  59 Gen Good  21 Fair      47 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            5            4            4

Max LVORI late        6            3            5            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s.

Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast

winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower

40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent. West winds

5 to 10 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the

mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the

mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in

the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-210800-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

330 PM EDT Tue May 20 2025



                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Rain

Chance Precip (%)     0            90           100          100

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      44 (+7)      55 (-7)      43           53

RH % (24h trend)      96 (-4)      77 (+38)     100          77

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G19  SE 8-12 G21  SE 7-11 G19

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE 8-12 G20  SE 7-11 G20  SE 5-9 G17

Precip Amount         0.00         0.34         0.41         0.32

Precip Duration                    10           12           12

Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2220                      2090

Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 22                     SE 20

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  55860                     47570

DSI                   2            1            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     2                         2

ADI early             37 Fair      45 Gen Good  39 Fair      47 Gen Good

ADI late              8 Poor       52 Gen Good  20 Gen Poor  47 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       5            4            5            5

Max LVORI late        6            4            5            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.

Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southeast

winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in

the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Lows in the

lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the

mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in

the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around

5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-210800-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

330 PM EDT Tue May 20 2025



                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Rain

Chance Precip (%)     0            90           100          100

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      45 (+6)      56 (-8)      42           55

RH % (24h trend)      93 (-7)      69 (+36)     100          71

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G19  SE 8-12 G22  SE 7-11 G21

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G20  SE 7-11 G21  SE 5-9 G18

Precip Amount         0.00         0.36         0.39         0.40

Precip Duration                    10           12           12

Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2370                      1940

Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 23                     E 17

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  60810                     45600

DSI                   2            1            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     2                         2

ADI early             38 Fair      43 Gen Good  40 Fair      36 Fair

ADI late              8 Poor       52 Gen Good  19 Gen Poor  35 Fair

Max LVORI early       4            4            5            5

Max LVORI late        5            4            5            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.

Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southeast winds

around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain. Lows in

the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Lows in the

lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the

mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in

the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-210800-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

330 PM EDT Tue May 20 2025



                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Rain

Chance Precip (%)     0            90           100          100

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      44 (+3)      54 (-8)      42           51

RH % (24h trend)      93 (+1)      74 (+42)     100          77

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 5-9       SE 7-11 G18  E 7-11 G19

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G18  E 7-11 G19   E 5-9 G17

Precip Amount         0.00         0.26         0.41         0.39

Precip Duration                    8            12           12

Precip Begin                       7 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2070                      1720

Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 21                     E 21

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  53300                     42780

DSI                   2            1            1            1

Sunshine Hours                     2                         2

ADI early             25 Fair      43 Gen Good  38 Fair      40 Fair

ADI late              8 Poor       50 Gen Good  20 Gen Poor  38 Fair

Max LVORI early       4            4            5            5

Max LVORI late        5            4            5            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s.

Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds

around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in

the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Lows in the mid

40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the

mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in

the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.