National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
 

Spot Forecasts:

Requesting spot forecasts has never been easier thanks to a program called NWS Spot. Spot forecasts for Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania are requested and accessed using the following website address:

When request is submitted using the link above, your request will be alerted on the forecasters' computers.

 

 

When a briefing has been issued, the book icon below will be opened.  Click on the open book to view a PDF containing the briefing.

Briefing icon

No briefing in effect.

The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

CWA

 

 

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.


Guide to decoding the forecast below.


189
FNUS81 KBGM 202122
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,191121,13,1,47,55,1,1,S,08,,48,28,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,300171,191121,13,2,41,69,1,1,SW,04,,42,27,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,361802,191121,13,1,48,53,1,1,WNW,04,,49,29,96,51,0,0,N
FCST,360791,191121,13,1,43,60,1,1,W,04,,44,27,100,57,0,0,N
FCST,360151,191121,13,1,48,51,1,1,SSW,04,,49,30,100,51,0,0,N
FCST,361031,191121,13,1,47,54,1,1,W,03,,48,29,100,51,0,0,N



 

000
FNUS51 KBGM 211052
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A light northwest flow of air will keep clouds around this
morning, then high pressure will build in briefly bringing
breaks in the clouds this afternoon. A cold front will push
through tonight bringing rain showers, changing to lake enhanced
snow showers by Friday afternoon and evening. High pressure
returns with dry weather Friday night through much of Saturday,
before the next system arrives bringing a wintry mix of snow,
sleet, rain and possibly freezing rain Saturday night into Sunday.

NYZ009-212100-
Northern Oneida-
Including the city of Boonville
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type None Sleet Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 80
Temp (24h trend) 41 (+5) 32 (+5) 43
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+3) 100 (0) 66
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 14-18 G27
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var SE 7-11 W 17-21 G28
Precip Amount 0.00 0.17 0.14
Precip Duration 6 9
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1650 2570
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 5 W 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 9000 102860
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 3 3 3

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ036-037-212100-
Madison-Southern Oneida-
Including the cities of Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, and Utica
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Drzl Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 10 60 70
Temp (24h trend) 43 (+6) 35 (+5) 44
RH % (24h trend) 65 (+3) 92 (-8) 67
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 16-20 G32
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 8-12 G22 W 20-24 G33
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.11
Precip Duration 0 5 7
Precip Begin 6 AM 6 PM Continuing
Precip End 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1740 2900
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 5 W 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 10970 121430
DSI 1 0 2
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 3 3 3

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ015>018-212100-
Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-
Including the cities of Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn,
and Syracuse
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Drzl Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 10 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 46 (+6) 39 (+6) 46
RH % (24h trend) 58 (-7) 93 (-7) 61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 16-20 G31
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) S 5-9 S 12-16 G26 W 19-23 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.05
Precip Duration 0 4 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2120 4390
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 8 W 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 21120 151840
DSI 1 0 2
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 4 3 3

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ022>025-212100-
Steuben-Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-
Including the cities of Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Elmira,
and Ithaca
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 50
Temp (24h trend) 46 (+7) 38 (+7) 44
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-10) 100 (0) 59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 14-18 G30
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) S 6-10 S 12-16 G26 NW 17-21 G31
Precip Amount 0.01 0.05 0.02
Precip Duration 0 2 2
Precip Begin 4 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1820 4370
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 9 W 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 17120 150840
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 4 3 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ044-045-055-056-212100-
Cortland-Chenango-Tioga-Broome-
Including the cities of Cortland, Norwich, Owego, Waverly,
and Binghamton
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Drzl Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 10 60 70
Temp (24h trend) 44 (+7) 36 (+5) 44
RH % (24h trend) 62 (+5) 93 (-7) 64
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 13-17 G29
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) S 3-7 S 8-12 G19 W 17-21 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.05
Precip Duration 0 3 4
Precip Begin 6 AM 6 PM Continuing
Precip End 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1740 4280
Transport Wnd (mph) W 6 W 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 10800 134730
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 3 4 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ046-057-062-212100-
Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Oneonta, Delhi, Walton, and Monticello
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 50
Temp (24h trend) 44 (+8) 34 (+5) 44
RH % (24h trend) 55 (+6) 96 (-4) 57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) NW 3-7 W 13-17 G31
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 6-10 W 18-22 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.03
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2010 3260
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 7 W 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 17970 114610
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 3 3 3

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-212100-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Drzl Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 10 40 50
Temp (24h trend) 46 (+7) 38 (+7) 46
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-9) 92 (-8) 59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 11-15 G24
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 7-11 G22 NW 15-19 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.02
Precip Duration 0 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM 7 PM Continuing
Precip End 7 AM Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2110 4290
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 6 NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 12500 129970
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 4 4 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ044-047-212100-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 30
Temp (24h trend) 47 (+6) 37 (+5) 48
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-3) 89 (-11) 55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 10-14 G23
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 6-10 G18 NW 14-18 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2120 3920
Transport Wnd (mph) W 6 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 12290 119680
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 3 4 3

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-212100-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
552 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Drzl Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 40
Temp (24h trend) 46 (+8) 36 (+5) 47
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-4) 92 (-8) 55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) NW 4-8 W 11-15 G24
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 4-8 NW 15-19 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 9 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2340 3680
Transport Wnd (mph) W 7 NW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 16690 120080
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 3 4 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.

$$


 

 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed Forecast
WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed (click left or right to view the Forecast 10-Hour Fuel Moisture) WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture Computed 10-Hour Fuel Moisture)
WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS - Keetch-Byram Drought Index

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse


U.S. Drought Monitor
Seasonal Drought Assessment
Seasonal Drought Assessment
Palmer Drought Severity
Palmer Drought Severity
Rain Needed to End Drought
Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse


24-Hr Observed Precip

48-Hr Observed Precip

Month to Date Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart

24-Hr Observed Precip

48-Hr Observed Precip

Month to Date Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart

24-Hr Observed Precip

48-Hr Observed Precip

Month to Date Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation
7-Day Precip
14-Day Total Precipitation
14-Day Precip
30-Day Total Precipitation
30-Day Precip
60-Day Total Precipitation
60-Day Precip
90-Day Total Precipitation
90-Day Precip
Total Precipitation since April 1st
Since April 1 Precip
Total Precipitation since July 1st
Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Total Precipitation
6-Month Precip
12-Month Total Precipitation
12-Month Precip
24-Month Total Precipitation
24-Month Precip
36-Month Total Precipitation
36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Total Precipitation
Month-to-Date Precip
Year-to-Date Total Precipitation
Year-to-Date Precip
Water-Year Total Precipitation
Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation Departure
7-Day Precip Dept
14-Day Total Precipitation Departure
14-Day Precip Dept
30-Day Total Precipitation Departure
30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Total Precipitation Departure
60-Day Precip Dept
90-Day Total Precipitation Departure
90-Day Precip Dept
Total Precipitation Departure since April 1st
Since April 1 Precip Dept
Total Precipitation Departure since July 1st
Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Total Precipitation Departure
6-Month Precip Dept
12-Month Total Precipitation Departure
12-Month Precip Dept
24-Month Total Precipitation Departure
24-Month Precip Dept
36-Month Total Precipitation Departure
36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Total Precipitation Departure
Month-to-Date Precip Dept
Year-to-Date Total Precipitation Departure
Year-to-Date Precip Dept
Water-Year Total Precipitation Departure
Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
7-Day Precip % Norm
14-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
14-Day Precip % Norm
30-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
60-Day Precip % Norm
90-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
90-Day Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since April 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since April 1 Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since July 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
6-Month Precip % Norm
12-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
12-Month Precip % Norm
24Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
24-Month Precip % Norm
36-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm
Year-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Year-to-Date Precip % Norm
Water-Year Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Water-Year Precip % Norm

 

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
WFO Taunton, MA - Winter Weather Page
Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

CPC 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook
6-10 Day Temp
CPC 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook
6-10 Day Precip
CPC 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Temp
CPC 8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

CPC One-Month Temperature Outlook
One Month Temp
CPC One-Month Precipitation Outlook
One Month Precip
CPC Three-Month Temperature Outlook
Three Month Temp
CPC Three-Month Precipitation Outlook
Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential
Current Fire Potential
One-Month Fire Potential Outlook
One Month Outlook
Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook
Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

Observed Fire Danger
Observed
Forecast Fire Danger
Forecast
Active Fire Incidents Click for more information
Active Fire Incidents (click to see map)

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

  • Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
  • A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

  • Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.