Fire Weather

No briefing in effect.

The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.

 

000
FNUS51 KBGM 161051
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A big winter storm will continue to impact the area through
early morning, with a wintry mix of sleet freezing rain and snow
changing back to all snow before ending. Scattered snow or rain
showers will occur at times into the weekend, especially from
the Twin Tiers northward. A quick light snow will then be
possible for our region midday Sunday into Sunday night.

NYZ009-162100-
Northern Oneida-
Including the city of Boonville
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip Type           Snow         Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           70           60
Temp (24h trend)      34 (+7)      29 (+6)      37
RH % (24h trend)      81 (+37)     100 (0)      73
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  Lgt/Var                   W 7-11
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  SW 7-11 G19  W 10-14      W 5-9
Precip Amount         0.21         0.14         0.10
Precip Duration       8            9            4
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)980                       1040
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 10                      W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     9610                      42840
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ036-037-162100-
Madison-Southern Oneida-
Including the cities of Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, and Utica
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           Snow         Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           40           40
Temp (24h trend)      34 (+6)      29 (+7)      37
RH % (24h trend)      82 (+36)     100 (0)      70
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  Lgt/Var                   W 11-15
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 7-11 G20   W 13-17      W 8-12
Precip Amount         0.17         0.04         0.03
Precip Duration       5            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)890                       1320
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 16                      W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     11640                     43890
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ015>018-162100-
Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-
Including the cities of Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn,
and Syracuse
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           Snow         Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           30           40
Temp (24h trend)      36 (+6)      30 (+6)      38
RH % (24h trend)      75 (+22)     100 (0)      73
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  SW 3-7                    W 10-14
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  SW 8-12 G20  W 12-16      W 6-10
Precip Amount         0.13         0.02         0.04
Precip Duration       3            1            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)660                       790
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 18                      W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     9540                      38960
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          2            2            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ022>025-162100-
Steuben-Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-
Including the cities of Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Elmira,
and Ithaca
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           40           40
Temp (24h trend)      36 (+8)      29 (+5)      37
RH % (24h trend)      72 (+19)     100 (0)      73
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  W 4-8                     W 6-10
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 11-15 G22  W 10-14      W 5-9
Precip Amount         0.06         0.03         0.03
Precip Duration       2            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1130                      1180
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 29                      W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     44390                     37490
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          2            2            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ044-045-055-056-162100-
Cortland-Chenango-Tioga-Broome-
Including the cities of Cortland, Norwich, Owego, Waverly,
and Binghamton
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           Snow         Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           30           30
Temp (24h trend)      35 (+7)      28 (+4)      37
RH % (24h trend)      75 (+34)     100 (0)      75
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 3-7                    W 8-12
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 7-11 G19   W 9-13       W 5-9
Precip Amount         0.12         0.02         0.01
Precip Duration       4            2            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)770                       2070
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 17                     NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     17780                     61820
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          2            2            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ046-057-062-162100-
Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Oneonta, Delhi, Walton, and Monticello
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type           Snow         Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      34 (+7)      27 (+4)      37
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+30)     100 (0)      57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  N 6-10 G22                W 9-13
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 7-11 G19   W 11-15      W 7-11
Precip Amount         0.16         0.01         0.01
Precip Duration       4            1            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1270                      2530
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 25                     NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     33700                     66590
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          2            2            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-162100-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           Snow         Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           10           20
Temp (24h trend)      37 (+9)      29 (+5)      39
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+17)     100 (0)      70
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 4-8                    W 6-10
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 7-11       W 7-11       W 4-8
Precip Amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2            1            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   10 AM
Precip End            Continuing   3 AM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1300                      2040
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 22                     NW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     25820                     55850
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          2            2            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ044-047-162100-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type           Snow         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     70           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      38 (+10)     28 (+3)      40
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+21)     100 (0)      70
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 7-11 G20               W 6-10
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 8-12 G20   W 8-12       W 4-8
Precip Amount         0.10         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1360                      1790
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 24                     NW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     32480                     40850
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          2            2            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-162100-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type           Snow         Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%)     90           10           0
Temp (24h trend)      37 (+11)     28 (+6)      39
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+23)     100 (0)      60
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 8-12 G23               W 6-10
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  W 7-11 G17   W 8-12       W 4-8
Precip Amount         0.15         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       3            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   11 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1190                      2290
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 28                     NW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     31540                     59900
DSI                   1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

REMARKS...None.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



 

Fuel Conditions

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Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

24-Hr Observed Precip	48-Hr Observed Precip	Month to Date Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart
24-Hr Observed Precip	48-Hr Observed Precip	Month to Date Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart
24-Hr Observed Precip	48-Hr Observed Precip	Month to Date Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip	Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

Observed

Forecast

Active Fire Incidents (click to see map)

Additional Resources:

Fire Weather Watch:

• Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
• A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

• Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.