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Spot Forecasts:

Requesting spot forecasts has never been easier thanks to a program called NWS Spot. Spot forecasts for Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania are requested and accessed using the following website address:

When request is submitted using the link above, your request will be alerted on the forecasters' computers.

 

 

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No briefing in effect.

The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

CWA

 

 

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.


 

 

000
FNUS51 KBGM 161051
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A big winter storm will continue to impact the area through
early morning, with a wintry mix of sleet freezing rain and snow
changing back to all snow before ending. Scattered snow or rain
showers will occur at times into the weekend, especially from
the Twin Tiers northward. A quick light snow will then be
possible for our region midday Sunday into Sunday night.

NYZ009-162100-
Northern Oneida-
Including the city of Boonville
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

Today Tonight Sat

Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip Type Snow Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 34 (+7) 29 (+6) 37
RH % (24h trend) 81 (+37) 100 (0) 73
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 7-11
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) SW 7-11 G19 W 10-14 W 5-9
Precip Amount 0.21 0.14 0.10
Precip Duration 8 9 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)980 1040
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 9610 42840
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 3 3 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ036-037-162100-
Madison-Southern Oneida-
Including the cities of Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, and Utica
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

Today Tonight Sat

Cloud Cover Cloudy MCldy MCldy
Precip Type Snow Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 80 40 40
Temp (24h trend) 34 (+6) 29 (+7) 37
RH % (24h trend) 82 (+36) 100 (0) 70
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 11-15
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) W 7-11 G20 W 13-17 W 8-12
Precip Amount 0.17 0.04 0.03
Precip Duration 5 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)890 1320
Transport Wnd (mph) W 16 W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 11640 43890
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 3 3 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ015>018-162100-
Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-
Including the cities of Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn,
and Syracuse
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

Today Tonight Sat

Cloud Cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip Type Snow Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 30 40
Temp (24h trend) 36 (+6) 30 (+6) 38
RH % (24h trend) 75 (+22) 100 (0) 73
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) SW 3-7 W 10-14
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) SW 8-12 G20 W 12-16 W 6-10
Precip Amount 0.13 0.02 0.04
Precip Duration 3 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)660 790
Transport Wnd (mph) W 18 W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 9540 38960
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 2 2 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ022>025-162100-
Steuben-Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-
Including the cities of Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Elmira,
and Ithaca
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

Today Tonight Sat

Cloud Cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip Type Snow Showers Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 40
Temp (24h trend) 36 (+8) 29 (+5) 37
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+19) 100 (0) 73
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) W 4-8 W 6-10
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) W 11-15 G22 W 10-14 W 5-9
Precip Amount 0.06 0.03 0.03
Precip Duration 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1130 1180
Transport Wnd (mph) W 29 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44390 37490
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 2 2 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ044-045-055-056-162100-
Cortland-Chenango-Tioga-Broome-
Including the cities of Cortland, Norwich, Owego, Waverly,
and Binghamton
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

Today Tonight Sat

Cloud Cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip Type Snow Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 30 30
Temp (24h trend) 35 (+7) 28 (+4) 37
RH % (24h trend) 75 (+34) 100 (0) 75
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) NW 3-7 W 8-12
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) W 7-11 G19 W 9-13 W 5-9
Precip Amount 0.12 0.02 0.01
Precip Duration 4 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)770 2070
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 17 NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 17780 61820
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 2 2 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ046-057-062-162100-
Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Oneonta, Delhi, Walton, and Monticello
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

Today Tonight Sat

Cloud Cover MCldy MCldy PCldy
Precip Type Snow Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 34 (+7) 27 (+4) 37
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+30) 100 (0) 57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) N 6-10 G22 W 9-13
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) W 7-11 G19 W 11-15 W 7-11
Precip Amount 0.16 0.01 0.01
Precip Duration 4 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1270 2530
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 25 NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 33700 66590
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 2 2 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-162100-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

Today Tonight Sat

Cloud Cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip Type Snow Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 10 20
Temp (24h trend) 37 (+9) 29 (+5) 39
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+17) 100 (0) 70
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) NW 4-8 W 6-10
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) W 7-11 W 7-11 W 4-8
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 10 AM
Precip End Continuing 3 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1300 2040
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 22 NW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 25820 55850
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 2 2 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ044-047-162100-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

Today Tonight Sat

Cloud Cover MCldy PCldy PCldy
Precip Type Snow None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 38 (+10) 28 (+3) 40
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+21) 100 (0) 70
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) NW 7-11 G20 W 6-10
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) W 8-12 G20 W 8-12 W 4-8
Precip Amount 0.10 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1360 1790
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 NW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32480 40850
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 2 2 2

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-162100-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
551 AM EST Fri Nov 16 2018

Today Tonight Sat

Cloud Cover MCldy PCldy PCldy
Precip Type Snow Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 90 10 0
Temp (24h trend) 37 (+11) 28 (+6) 39
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+23) 100 (0) 60
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) NW 8-12 G23 W 6-10
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) W 7-11 G17 W 8-12 W 4-8
Precip Amount 0.15 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 11 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1190 2290
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 28 NW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 31540 59900
DSI 1 0 1
LAL No tstms No tstms No tstms
Haines Index 2 2 3

REMARKS...None.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.

$$


 

 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed Forecast
WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed (click left or right to view the Forecast 10-Hour Fuel Moisture) WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture Computed 10-Hour Fuel Moisture)
WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS - Keetch-Byram Drought Index

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse


U.S. Drought Monitor
Seasonal Drought Assessment
Seasonal Drought Assessment
Palmer Drought Severity
Palmer Drought Severity
Rain Needed to End Drought
Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse


24-Hr Observed Precip

48-Hr Observed Precip

Month to Date Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart

24-Hr Observed Precip

48-Hr Observed Precip

Month to Date Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart

24-Hr Observed Precip

48-Hr Observed Precip

Month to Date Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip

Total Mo. Obs. Precip Depart

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation
7-Day Precip
14-Day Total Precipitation
14-Day Precip
30-Day Total Precipitation
30-Day Precip
60-Day Total Precipitation
60-Day Precip
90-Day Total Precipitation
90-Day Precip
Total Precipitation since April 1st
Since April 1 Precip
Total Precipitation since July 1st
Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Total Precipitation
6-Month Precip
12-Month Total Precipitation
12-Month Precip
24-Month Total Precipitation
24-Month Precip
36-Month Total Precipitation
36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Total Precipitation
Month-to-Date Precip
Year-to-Date Total Precipitation
Year-to-Date Precip
Water-Year Total Precipitation
Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation Departure
7-Day Precip Dept
14-Day Total Precipitation Departure
14-Day Precip Dept
30-Day Total Precipitation Departure
30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Total Precipitation Departure
60-Day Precip Dept
90-Day Total Precipitation Departure
90-Day Precip Dept
Total Precipitation Departure since April 1st
Since April 1 Precip Dept
Total Precipitation Departure since July 1st
Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Total Precipitation Departure
6-Month Precip Dept
12-Month Total Precipitation Departure
12-Month Precip Dept
24-Month Total Precipitation Departure
24-Month Precip Dept
36-Month Total Precipitation Departure
36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Total Precipitation Departure
Month-to-Date Precip Dept
Year-to-Date Total Precipitation Departure
Year-to-Date Precip Dept
Water-Year Total Precipitation Departure
Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
7-Day Precip % Norm
14-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
14-Day Precip % Norm
30-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
60-Day Precip % Norm
90-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
90-Day Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since April 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since April 1 Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since July 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
6-Month Precip % Norm
12-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
12-Month Precip % Norm
24Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
24-Month Precip % Norm
36-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm
Year-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Year-to-Date Precip % Norm
Water-Year Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Water-Year Precip % Norm

 

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
WFO Taunton, MA - Winter Weather Page
Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

CPC 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook
6-10 Day Temp
CPC 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook
6-10 Day Precip
CPC 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Temp
CPC 8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

CPC One-Month Temperature Outlook
One Month Temp
CPC One-Month Precipitation Outlook
One Month Precip
CPC Three-Month Temperature Outlook
Three Month Temp
CPC Three-Month Precipitation Outlook
Three Month Precip

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Current Fire Potential
Current Fire Potential
One-Month Fire Potential Outlook
One Month Outlook
Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook
Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

Observed Fire Danger
Observed
Forecast Fire Danger
Forecast
Active Fire Incidents Click for more information
Active Fire Incidents (click to see map)

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

  • Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
  • A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

  • Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.