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Last Map Update: Tue, Sep 16, 2025 at 4:00:14 pm MST

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM

National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona

Flood Advisory

Hazardous Weather Outlook

High Temperatures Tue - Wed

Wednesday-Early Thursday Rain Chances

Increasing Moisture This Week

Rainfall Amount Probabilities

High temperatures are forecast to be right around to a few degrees above daily averages the next couple of days, with mostly sunny skies today and partly to mostly cloudy skies tomorrow. These temperatures will lead to widespread Minor to areas of Moderate HeatRisk. Continue to practice heat safety, especially during the afternoons.

Isolated to scattered showers will be possible Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning, with the best chances across southern AZ and southeastern CA. A few strong isolated storms are also possible.

An influx of moisture will move into the Desert Southwest this week, including tropical moisture moving up the west coast of Mexico and California. Moisture levels will rise up to 150-200% of normal, with the most abnormal levels, relative to climatology, focused out west. This increase in moisture will, in turn, increase shower and thunderstorm chances across the region. Better chances arrive region wide Thursday-Friday, with drying conditions expected this weekend. There is still uncertainty with forecast rainfall totals and forecast temperatures.

Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected primarily from Wednesday through Friday. There is at least a 50% chance of rainfall totals exceeding 0.10" across much of the area during this time period. There is also potential (20-40%) for some higher end rainfall amounts >0.50".