National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

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AXUS75 KPUB 111332
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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
National Weather Service National Weather Service Pueblo Co
632 AM MST Thu Nov 11 2021

COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-065-071-079-089-
099-101-105-109-119-181345-
632 AM MST Thu Nov 11 2021

...Drought Conditions Deepen across South Central and Southeast
Colorado...

SYNOPSIS...

Warm and generally dry weather experienced from the late summer
through mid fall has allowed for drought conditions to develop and
deepen across south central and southeast Colorado.

With that said, the latest US Drought Monitor (issued Thursday,
November 11th, 2021) continues to indicate extreme drought (D3)
conditions across extreme south central Baca County, with most of
the rest of Baca County remaining in severe drought (D2) conditions.
Severe drought (D2) conditions have also developed across extreme
southeastern Las Animas County, southwestern portions of Custer
County, eastern portions of Rio Grande County, north central portions
of Conejos County and southwestern portions of Alamosa County.

Moderate drought (D1) conditions are indicated across eastern portions
of Las Animas County, northwestern portions of Baca County and southern
portions of Bent and Prowers Counties. Moderate drought (D1) conditions
are also indicated across most of El Paso and Crowley Counties, extreme
western Kiowa County, and extreme northeastern Otero County into extreme
northwestern Bent County. Moderate drought (D1) conditions are also
depicted across the southern 2/3rds of Fremont County, northwestern
Pueblo County, the rest of Custer County, western Huerfano County and
Costilla County into extreme western Las Animas County. Moderate
drought (D1) conditions are also indicated across Lake County, most
of Chaffee County, extreme western portions of Mineral County, the
eastern half and extreme western portions of Saguache County, central
Rio Grande County, central and eastern Conejos County, the rest of
Alamosa County and Custer County.

Abnormally dry (D0) conditions are indicated across extreme southeastern
Chaffee County, northern Fremont County, and the rest of Saguache, Mineral,
Rio Grande, Conejos Counties. Abnormally dry (D0) conditions are indicated
across eastern Teller County, northwestern El Paso County, southwestern
through eastern Pueblo County, eastern Huerfano County, northwestern
through southeastern Las Animas County, most of the rest of Otero, Bent
and Prowers Counties, as well as extreme northern portions of Kiowa County.

Western portions of Teller County, north central portions of Las Animas
County into extreme southwestern Otero County, most of central into eastern
Kiowa County and extreme northeastern Prowers County are still indicated
as drought free on the November 11th issuance of the US Drought Monitor.

More information about drought classification can be found at:

droughtmonitor.unl.edu/About/AbouttheData/DroughtClassification.aspx

DROUGHT IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER...

Warm and generally dry weather from the late summer through the mid
fall has helped to dry out fuels, leading to moderate to high fire
danger persisting across the region at this time.

The latest information on fire bans and restrictions across the area
can be found at: www.coemergency.com/p/fire-bans-danger.html

AGRICULTURAL...

Warm and generally dry weather through the late summer and into the
fall has continued to dry out soils, with CPC soil moisture data
indicating both top soil and sub soil moisture drying across southeast
Colorado. The latest short term (1 week and 1 month) Evaporative
Demand Drought Index (EDDI), as well as longer term EEDI data (2
month and 3 month) indicates very dry conditions across the southeast
plains.

Data from the November 8th, 2021 USDA Colorado Crop Progress Report
indicated 33 percent of topsoil moisture and 33 percent of subsoil
moisture was rated at very short, with another 32 percent of topsoil
moisture and 32 percent of subsoil moisture rated at short across the
state. This compares to 28 percent of topsoil moisture and 29 percent
of subsoil moisture rated at very short, with another 38 percent of
topsoil moisture and 31 percent of subsoil moisture rated at short
during the previous week.

Dry weather did allow for harvest to continue, with several crops
almost complete for the week ending November 7th, 2021, according to
the report.

HYDROLOGIC...

NRCS data indicated October statewide mountain precipitation was 101
percent of median, as compared to 52 percent of median in October of
2020. This brings the statewide new water year precipitation total to
date to 101 percent of median overall, compared to 52 percent of median
overall at the start of last years water year.

In the Arkansas basin, October precipitation was 59 percent of median
overall, as compared to 87 percent of median in October of 2020. This
brings the Arkansas basin new water year precipitation total to date
to 59 percent of median, compared to 87 percent at the start of last
years water year.

In the Rio Grande basin, October precipitation was 108 percent of
median overall, as compared to 83 percent of median in October of
2020. This brings the Rio Grande basin new water year precipitation
total to date to 108 percent of median, compared to 83 percent of
median at the start of last years water year.

NRCS data also indicated statewide water storage was at 74 percent of
median overall at the end of October, as compared to 84 percent of
median storage at this same time last year.

In the Arkansas Basin, water storage at the end of October came in at
95 percent of median overall, as compared to the 94 percent of median
storage available at this same time last year.

In the Rio Grande Basin, water storage at the end of October came in
at 100 percent of median overall, as compared to the 90 percent of
median storage available at this same time last year.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

The average temperature in Alamosa for the past month of October was
42.7 degrees. This is 1.1 degrees below normal and makes October of
2021 the 24th coolest October on record. Alamosa recorded 0.36 inches
of precipitation through the month of October. This is 0.26 inches
below normal and makes October of 2021 the 36th driest October on
record in Alamosa.

The average temperature in Colorado Springs for the past month of
October was 53.1 degrees. This is 2.4 degrees above normal and
makes October of 2021 the 13th warmest October on record in Colorado
Springs. Colorado Springs recorded 0.26 inches of precipitation and
no snow through the month of October, which is 0.51 inches below
normal and 2.5 inches below normal, respectively.

The average temperature in Pueblo for the past month of October was
55.0 degrees. This is 2.2 degrees above normal and makes October of
2021 tied as the 27th warmest on record in Pueblo. Pueblo recorded
0.14 inches of precipitation and no snow through the month of October,
which is 0.62 inches below normal and 1.9 inches below normal,
respectively. The 0.14 inches of precipitation makes October of 2021
tied as the 24th driest October on record, and remains well behind
the driest October of 1931, when no precipitation fell in Pueblo.

Here are a few other statistics for select south central and southeast
Colorado locations, indicating observed precipitation totals and
departure from normal for the past month, past 3 months, past 6 months
and past 365 days:

...............PAST........PAST 3......PAST 6.......PAST 365........
...............MONTH.......MONTHS......MONTHS.......DAYS............
...............TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP....TOTAL/DEP.......
...............INCHES......INCHES......INCHES.......INCHES..........

ALS Airport 0.36/-0.29 0.78/-2.14 4.60/-0.39 6.27/-1.12
COS Airport 0.26/-0.51 1.41/-3.67 10.80/-1.66 14.89/-1.02
PUB Airport 0.14/-0.62 2.31/-1.21 12.91/+4.65 15.40/+3.38

Eads 0.57/-0.65 2.36/-2.25 11.71/+0.03 15.99/+0.29
Lamar 0.31/-0.77 3.82/-1.23 13.24/+0.92 17.14/+0.95
Campo 7S 0.39/-0.93 1.17/-4.89 9.34/-3.48 11.94/-4.67
Walsh 1W 0.58/-1.06 3.94/-2.39 14.70/+0.08 19.07/-0.46
Kim 15NNE 0.67/-0.57 5.08/+0.09 12.18/+1.02 17.11/+0.42
FlorissantFB 0.33/-0.40 4.54/-0.53 12.54/+1.45 16.45/+1.48
Canon City 0.11/-0.76 1.35/-2.78 9.63/+0.84 13.59/-0.13
Rye 1SW 0.23/-1.50 2.62/-3.92 18.52/+3.99 27.80/+2.43
Westcliffe 0.12/-0.83 1.17/-2.66 9.08/+0.39 13.83/+0.24
Walsenburg 1NW 0.15/-1.16 3.16/-1.15 13.02/+3.55 19.31/+2.02
Trinidad 0.29/-0.94 1.38/-3.41 14.49/+4.28 17.57/+2.70
Crestone 2SE 0.46/-0.45 2.43/-1.63 7.74/-0.41 11.62/-0.81
Del Norte 2E 0.33/-0.48 1.90/-1.63 5.28/-1.15 9.05/-0.63
Buena Vista 2S 0.30/-0.50 2.10/-1.17 8.10/+1.45 12.64/+2.71
Climax 1.79/+0.10 4.67/-1.37 13.22/+1.70 24.43/-0.80

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) outlook for the next week
indicates better chances of above normal temperatures and below
normal precipitation across south central and southeast Colorado.
The outlook for the rest of November, December and January continues
to indicate better chances for above normal temperatures and equal
chances of above, below and near normal precipitation across south
central and southeast Colorado.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

This product will be updated by Tuesday December 14th, 2021, or sooner
if necessary, in response to significant changes in conditions.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

Additional information on current drought conditions may be found at:

www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu

www.weather.gov/pub/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

The drought monitor is a multi-agency effort involving The National
Drought Mitigation Center, NOAA`s National Weather Service, The USDA
and state and regional center climatologists. Information for this
statement has been gathered from NWS and FAA observation sites,
Colorado Cooperative Extension Services, The NRCS, USDA, USACE and
USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

If you have any questions or comments about this drought information
statement, please contact:

National Weather Service Forecast Office
3 Eaton Way
Pueblo, Colorado 81007
Phone: 719-948-9429

or email to: nws.pueblo@noaa.gov

$$