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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
National Weather Service National Weather Service Pueblo Co
350 PM MDT Fri Nov 2 2018

COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-065-071-079-089-
099-101-105-109-119-042200-
350 PM MDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...Drought Conditions Continue to Improve across Southeast Colorado...

SYNOPSIS...

Abundant precipitation over the Summer of 2018 across southeast
Colorado has continued through out the early Fall, with several
weather systems bringing more beneficial precipitation across the
area in September and October. This abundant moisture has brought an
end to the drought across portions of the far Southeastern Colorado
Plains, as well as helped to ease the drought across portions of South
Central and Southeast Colorado.

With that said, the latest US Drought Monitor, issued Thursday November
1st, is indicating most of Baca County, as well as eastern portions
of Prowers and Kiowa Counties, as drought free.

However, the current map continues to depict portions of South Central
and Southeast Colorado deep in drought, with Exceptional Drought (D4)
conditions indicated across most of Mineral County and extreme western
portions of Conejos County, as well as across portions of the Sangre
de Cristo Mountains of Southern Colorado, which includes portions of
Costilla, Huerfano, Alamosa, Custer and Saguache Counties.

Extreme Drought (D3) conditions remain depicted across the rest of
South Central Colorado, including extreme eastern portions of Mineral
County, Rio Grande County, and the rest of Conejos, Costilla, Alamosa,
Saguache and Custer Counties. Extreme Drought (D3) conditions are
also depicted across western Lake County, most of Chaffee County,
extreme southern Fremont County, western portions of Huerfano and Las
Animas Counties and extreme southwestern portions of Pueblo County.

Severe Drought (D2) conditions are indicated across eastern Lake
County, southeastern Chaffee County, northwestern through southeastern
Fremont County and extreme southern and eastern portions of El Paso
County. Severe Drought (D2) conditions are also depicted across the
the rest of Pueblo and Huerfano, Counties, extreme western portions of
Otero County and western into central portions of Las Animas County.

Moderate Drought (D1) conditions are depicted across northeastern
Fremont County, most of Teller County, and extreme southwestern
and central portions of El Paso County. Moderate Drought (D1)
conditions are also indicated across Crowley County, most of Otero
County, western Kiowa County, extreme northwestern Bent County and
central into eastern portions of Las Animas County.

Abnormally Dry (D0) conditions are indicated across northeastern
Teller and northwestern El Paso Counties, central into eastern Kiowa
County, extreme southeastern Otero County, the rest of Bent County,
western Prowers County, eastern Las Animas County, and extreme
northwestern and southwestern portions of Baca County.

More information about the drought classification can be found at:

droughtmonitor.unl.edu/AboutUSDM/DroughtClassification.aspx

DROUGHT IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER...

Summer and early Fall precipitation has helped to ease fire danger
across much of South Central and Southeast Colorado. However, with
cured fuels and more windy weather associated with the late Fall and
Winter seasons, fire danger could increase again across the area over
the next few months.

The latest information on fire bans and restrictions across the area
can be found at:

www.coemergency.com/p/fire-bans-danger.html

AGRICULTURAL...

Summer and early Fall precipitation has helped to improve soil moisture,
especially across southeastern portions of the state. The latest monthly
Evaporative Demand Index across indicating near normal to well above
moisture across the area. However, longer term dryness continues to be
indicated across South Central Colorado and into the Eastern Mountains.

HYDROLOGIC...

After a subpar 2018 Water Year (October 2017-September 2018) across
Colorado as a whole, the 2019 Water Year has gotten off to a great
start. Statewide snowpack on November 1st came in at 138 percent of
average overall, with the Southern Basins coming in with the most snow
pack, which is a a total switch over the pervious few years. Although
it is too early in the season to draw any conclusions on the overall
Water Year, it certainly is a good start to the water year.

In the Arkansas Basin, the November 1st snowpack came in at 189 percent
of average, with the Upper Rio Grande Basin coming in at 216 percent
of average. Again, it is too early in the season for these numbers to
have much weight, but is certainly a much better start to the Water
Year, especially across the Rio Grande Basin.

With the hot and dry conditions over the past several months, especially
across western portions of the state, statewide water storage came in
at 80 percent of average overall at the end of September, as compared
to 117 percent of average storage available statewide at the same
time last year.

In the Arkansas Basin, end of September storage came in at 104 percent
of average overall, as compared to 157 percent of average storage available
at the same time last year.

In the Rio Grande Basin, end of September storage came in at 88 percent
of average overall, as compared to 125 percent of average storage available
at the same time last year.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

The average temperature in Alamosa through out the past month of
October was 0.8 degrees above normal. Alamosa recorded 1.16 inches
of precipitation and 5.5 inches of snow through out the month of
October, which is 0.48 inches and 3.4 inches above normal, respectively.

The average temperature in Colorado Springs through out the past month
of October was 1.3 degrees below normal. Colorado Springs recorded
1.61 inches of precipitation through out the month of October. This is
0.79 inches above normal and makes October of 2018 the 12th wettest
October on record in Colorado Springs. Colorado Springs also recorded
5.3 inches of snow through out October, which is 2.4 inches above
normal.

The average temperature in Pueblo through out the past month of
October was 0.4 degrees below normal. Pueblo recorded 1.54 inches of
precipitation through out the month of October. This is 0.82 inches
above normal and makes October of 2018 the 18th wettest October on
record in Pueblo. Pueblo also recorded 0.4 inches of snow through out
October, which is 0.9 inches below normal.

Here are a few other statistics for select south central and southeast
Colorado locations, indicating observed precipitation totals and
departure from normals for the past month, past 3 months, past 6
months and past 365 days:

...............PAST........PAST 3......PAST 6.......PAST 365........
...............MONTH.......MONTHS......MONTHS.......DAYS............
...............TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP....TOTAL/DEP.......
...............INCHES......INCHES......INCHES.......INCHES..........

ALS Airport 1.16/+0.48 2.82/-0.04 4.63/-0.27 5.49/-1.82
COS Airport 1.61/+0.79 5.43/+0.08 12.78/+0.06 15.18/-1.36
PUB Airport 1.54/+0.82 3.41/-0.40 5.94/-2.80 7.62/-4.95

Eads 3.62/+2.41 4.71/-0.09 10.55/-1.13 12.67/-3.01
Lamar 3.93/+3.13 6.29/+1.96 11.12/-0.47 13.15/-2.05
Campo 7S 3.34/+1.96 11.20/+5.46 18.23/+2.40 18.88/+1.92
Walsh 1W 4.00/+2.44 9.53/+3.49 18.24/+3.84 19.57/+0.41
Kim 15NNE 2.45/+1.34 6.57/+1.70 10.74/-0.70 13.07/-3.77
Canon City 1.46/+0.56 3.15/-1.01 8.38/-0.28 11.70/-1.77
Rye 1SW 3.25/+1.78 6.57/+0.43 11.33/-3.36 15.71/-9.40
Walsenburg 1NW 2.49/+1.30 4.24/-0.23 9.09/-0.74 12.63/-5.41
Trinidad 2.27/+1.01 4.18/-1.09 6.37/-5.01 8.58/-7.73
Crestone 2SE 1.22/+0.23 2.43/-2.08 5.70/-3.11 6.96/-6.30
Del Norte 2E 0.94/+0.11 3.58/-0.31 5.88/-1.15 7.35/-3.21
Buena Vista 2S 1.42/+0.56 2.85/-1.02 4.38/-3.00 6.54/-4.05


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) outlook for the next week indicates
better chances of above near normal temperatures and better chances of
above normal precipitation across South Central and Southeast
Colorado. The outlook for the rest November, December and January
indicate better chances for warmer than normal temperatures and
above precipitation across the area, save equal chances of above,
below and near normal precipitation across northern Colorado.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

This product will be updated by Thursday December 13th, 2018, or
sooner if necessary, in response to significant changes in conditions.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

Additional informations on current drought conditions may be found at:

www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu

www.weather.gov/pub/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

The drought monitor is a multi-agency effort involving The National
Drought Mitigation Center, NOAA`s National Weather Service, The USDA
and state and regional center climatologists. Information for this
statement has been gathered from NWS and FAA observation sites,
Colorado Cooperative Extension Services, The USDA, USACE and USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

If you have any questions or comments about this drought information
statement, please contact:

National Weather Service Forest Office
3 Eaton Way
Pueblo, Colorado 81007
Phone: 719-948-9429

or

w-pub.webmaster@noaa.gov

$$