National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Public Information Statement

To: Subscribers, Emergency Management Officials, News Media, and Public Users

Subject: Flood Stage Changes for Cosumnes River at Michigan Bar and McConnell

Date: September 1, 2026

 

The National Weather Service (NWS) Sacramento office is adjusting the flood stages for the Cosumnes River at Michigan Bar and McConnell effective October 1, 2026 (site IDs: MHBC1 and MCNC1).

River Flood Warnings are issued by the National Weather Service when a forecast point is expected to reach Minor Flood Stage. The current established flood stages for the Cosumnes River at Michigan Bar and McConnell are as follows:

Category Michigan Bar McConnell
Action Stage 7.0 feet 38.5 feet
Minor Flood Stage 12.0 feet 44.5 feet
Moderate Flood Stage 16.0 feet 53.4 feet
Major Flood Stage 18.0 feet 53.5 feet

 

Effective October 1, 2026, the new flood stages are as follows:

Category Michigan Bar McConnell
Action Stage 7.0 feet 38.5 feet
Minor Flood Stage 10.0 feet 41.2 feet
Moderate Flood Stage 12.0 feet 44.5 feet
Major Flood Stage 14.0 feet 45.2 feet

 

These adjusted stages are an improved representation of flood impacts realized at lower stages based on both observations and modeling.

NWS Sacramento, California-Nevada River Forecast Center (CNRFC), Sacramento County, Reclamation District 800, and California Department of Water Resources (CA DWR) support these changes. The Cosumnes River gauge at Michigan Bar is owned and operated by the US Geological Survey, and the gauge at McConnell by CA DWR. Without this critical data, NWS forecasts and warnings would not be possible.

The NWS welcomes public feedback regarding these service changes. If you have feedback or questions, please email the contact listed below. 

 

Contact:
Scott Rowe | Senior Service Hydrologist
National Weather Service - Sacramento, CA
scott.rowe@noaa.gov

 

Webpage Resources:
CNRFC forecast page for Michigan Bar - https://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/graphicalRVF.php?id=MHBC1
CNRFC forecast page for McConnell - https://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/graphicalRVF.php?id=MCNC1 
NWPS forecast page for Michigan Bar - https://water.noaa.gov/gauges/MHBC1
NWPS forecast page for McConnell - https://water.noaa.gov/gauges/MCNC1 
NWS Sacramento - https://www.weather.gov/sacramento

CNRFC - https://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/