Erin Strengthens to a Hurricane; Heavy Rainfall Possible in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Upper Midwest, South Texas

Hurricane Erin may bring isolated flash and urban flooding, landslides or mudslides, and possible tropical storm conditions to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands this weekend. Scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall may bring areas of flooding this weekend over the Upper Midwest. A tropical disturbance will bring locally heavy rain and mainly urban flash flooding to far southern Texas. Read More >

Southeastern Plains

December-January-February Precipitation

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El Niño events impact the winter precipitation across southern New Mexico to a greater degree than other areas in the state. All three stations examined in this area reported DJF precipitation of 142% to 165% of the long term normal DJF. The increase in precipitation is even more dramatic in strong El Niño events, especially in Carlsbad with 239% of average precipitation.

A description of the graphs is located at the bottom of the page.

winter precip for ft. sumner during el nino events

Percent of Longterm Average for all El Niño Events = 142% , for strong El Niño Events = 177%

winter precip for roswell during el nino events

Percent of Longterm Average for all El Niño Events = 154% , for strong El Niño Events = 199%

winter precip for carlsbad during el nino events

Percent of Longterm Average for all El Niño Events = 165% , for strong El Niño Events = 239%

Precipitation values for 3-month periods during 18 El Niño Events since 1949-50 are plotted with respect to the long term precipitation average, listed to the right of the graph. The precipitation totals for each 3-month period are plotted above or below each bar. Years for which the El Niño Event was considered to be strong are colored in pdark green. "M" represents a 3-month period with missing data. Finally, the percents of long term normal for all El Niño events and for the strong El Niño events are listed below each graph.

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Erin Strengthens to a Hurricane; Heavy Rainfall Possible in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Upper Midwest, South Texas

NWS ABQ - El Nino Winter Precip for CD7