Heavy rains will bring potential flash flooding to portions of the lower Mississippi Valley early this weekend. Across the Pacific Northwest, an atmospheric river event is set to arrive by Sunday, bringing heavy coastal rains and high elevation snowfall. Above average temperatures continue for much of the country through the weekend. Read More >
During the morning hours of Tuesday, May 14th, several "heat bursts" or hybrid "heat burst/wake low" induced wind gusts were observed across portions of northeastern South Dakota. For example, between 0700 AM CDT and 0800 AM CDT observations from the Sisseton Airport (K8D3) indicated:
Sisseton ASOS:
Time
|
Temperature
|
Dewpoint
|
Pressure
|
Winds
|
Precip
|
856AM CDT
|
72
|
48
|
29.54 in
|
E 15 mph
|
0.00”
|
756AM CDT | 78 | 44 | 29.52 in | SW 17 mph | 0.00" |
741AM CDT
|
79
|
43
|
29.56 in
|
W 21G37 mph
|
0.00”
|
656AM CDT
|
58
|
45
|
29.55 in
|
SE 7 mph
|
0.00"
|
556AM CDT
|
58
|
44
|
29.57 in
|
ESE 9 mph
|
0.00"
|
Other strong wind gusts across northeastern South Dakota included:
Location | Peak Wind Gust | Time |
Near Frederick, SD (RWIS) | 57 mph | 0700 AM CDT |
Near Lake City, SD (RAWS) | 57 mph | 0730 AM CDT (est) |
Near Victor, SD (RWIS) | 57 mph | 0750 AM CDT |
Near Britton, SD (SuperAWOS) | 47 mph | 0715 AM CDT |
How do "heat bursts" form?
So what caused these apparent heat bursts? During the morning hours weak, high based showers and thunderstorms moved across portions of North Dakota and northeastern South Dakota. As the precipitation fell out of the high based clouds, it fell through a very dry airmass near the surface (see the Aberdeen sounding in Figure 1). Thus, much of the rain likely evaporated in the dry air. Initially, downdrafts caused by evaporating precipitation warm at a moist adiabatic rate (about 6C/km). However, as a majority of the moisture evaporated, the air continued to descend and compress due to momentum effects. At this time, air parcels likely warmed at the higher, dry adiabatic lapse rate (approximately 10C/km). If these downdrafts contain enough momemtum, they then "overshoot" the shallow layer of cooler air near the surface. This results in dramatic warming - along with gusty winds. Often times, heat bursts also produce a strong pressure gradient at the surface between the warm air (low pressure) associated with the heat burst compared to the cooler (high pressure) ambient airmass.
Although these events are considered "relatively" rare, they may not occur as infrequently as as previously thought. Research being conducted by the NWS in Aberdeen and the South Dakota State Climatologist's Office have noted several of these events over South Dakota during the past few years. The reason for more frequent detection is due in part to a higher density of automatic weather stations in South Dakota (such as South Dakota State University's AWDN Network).
Figure 1: Upper Air Sounding at Aberdeen, SD at 7am CDT Tuesday (12 UTC on 14 May) - Click to enlarge.