National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extremely Critical Fire Weather in the Central Plains; Active Pattern in the West

Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring critical to extremely critical fire weather conditions to the central and southern Plains today into Wednesday. Use caution with any potential ignition sources. Two Pacific storms will impact the western U.S. into Wednesday with gusty winds, low elevation rain and heavy mountain snow. Read More >

Rain will move into the area this afternoon through late tonight. There is a 50 to 85% chance of a tenth of an inch of rain over northeastern SD through west central MN during this time with a 25 to 45% chance of a quarter of an inch near the ND/SD/MN border area. Rain will transition to light snow from late tonight through early Wednesday morning. Generally snow amounts of a half inch or less are expected with a 15 to 25% chance of 1” or more of snow near the ND/SD/MN border.
Southeast winds will increase today with gusts between 20-35 mph. Later this evening, winds will become west-northwest and increase to 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph, persisting through much of Wednesday before diminishing. Relative humidity values across much of central and south central South Dakota will drop to between 20 to 35 percent today and Wednesday.
There is a 40 to 70% chance of snow amounts of 1” or more over south central SD, with chances decreasing northeastward at this time. There is a 35 to 65% chance of 2” or more inches of snowfall, across south central into northeast SD.
Southeast winds increase today and gust between 20-35 mph, then become west-northwest tonight, with gusts up to 40 to 50 mph expected, which has prompted the issuance of a Wind Advisory. High to Very High Grassland Fire Danger this afternoon and on Wednesday in central SD, due to the combination of dry grasses, a relative lack of precipitation, low relative humidity values, and gusty winds.