Winter Weather

Heavy Rainfall and Flash Flood Threats From the Lower Mississippi Valley Into the Mid-Atlantic; Elevated to Critical Fire Concerns Out West

Heavy rainfall will continue through midweek from the lower Mississippi Valley to the Mid-Atlantic. Elevated to critical fire weather threat continues across the Central Great Basin and the Central Rockies; and there is an elevated fire risk from southwestern Oregon to northern California. Record river flooding will continue in portions of the Midwest and the Carolinas. Read More >

WFO Buffalo Snowfall Forecasts
0-6 hour forecast	6-12 hour forecast	12-18 hour forecast	18-24 hour forecast

24-30 hour forecast	30-36 hour forecast	36-42 hour forecast	42-48 hour forecast

WFO Buffalo Winter Graphic Displays
Storm Total Snowfall	Lake Effect Snow Polygon Display	Snowfall Rate

What's this? The graphic depicts the forecast total snowfall for a given time period. This product is only updated during active watches, warnings, and advisories for snowfall events. Close	What's this? The graphic is an experimental solution to more accurately warn for localized lake effect snow events. The creation of polygon warning areas is used to delineate the locations of the event and the areas of highest impact over the course of the event. Issuance of the product would be based upon forecaster confidence of the event reaching the event Warning criteria. For example for a lake effect snow event - snowfall rate, blizzard-like conditions, total snowfall 7 inches or more in 12 hours, or 9 inches or more in 24 hours. As the lake effect shifts, polygon areas will change spatially and temporally. Close	What's this? The graphic depicts the forecast hourly snowfall rate. Thresholds are 0.5"/hr, 0.5-1.5"/hr, and >1.5"/hr. This product is designed to indicate the intensity of snowfall. Close

Storm Track	Reported Snow/Ice Totals
Other Snow/Ice Information

What's this? The graphic depicts the forecast location of significant surface lows impacting the 48 contiguous United States in 12 hour increments out to 72 hours into the future. The low position and track forecast by NCEP WPC meteorologist is in white. Each low position is accompanied by a lead time (Eastern Time). The circles around each low represents a 75% probability the observed low will be located with the circle. Note: The probability is derived using previous season's verification data. For reference, existing surface lows are depicted with a red marker without yellow circles. Close	What's this? As snow and/or ice reports come into the NWS (you can send us reports at https://www.weather.gov/buf/stormreport or Tweet to @NWSBuffalo), we will pass them on here. With the map linked here, and the supporting reports below it, you can keep tabs on how much has fallen. Close
Low Tracks Graphic The graphic depicts the forecast location of significant surface lows impacting the 48 contiguous United States in 12 hour increments out to 72 hours into the future. The low position and track forecast by NCEP WPC meteorologist is in white. Each low position is accompanied by a lead time (Eastern Time). The circles around each low represents a 75% probability the observed low will be located with the circle. Note: The probability is derived using previous season's verification data. For reference, existing surface lows are depicted with a red marker without yellow circles.

Long-Range Forecast

Days 4-5 Forecast Precipitation	Days 6-7 Forecast Precipitation


Days 6-10
Temperature	Precipitation


Days 8-14
Temperature	Precipitation


Week 3-4
Temperature	Precipitation