Buffalo, NY

Weather Forecast Office

Winter Weather

Probabilistic Snowfall Forecasts
Ice Accumulation Forecasts
Other Snow/Ice Information
Long-Range Forecast
Snowfall Rate

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Snow Amount Potential Graphics
Snow Amount Exceedance Graphics
Snowfall Totals by Location

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Snow Amount Potential Experimental - Leave feedback
Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast Point Range What's this?	High End Amount 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall What's this?
	Low End Amount 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall What's this?
Low End Amount â€“ 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall This map depicts a reasonable lower-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This lower amount is an unlikely scenario with a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that more snow will fall, and only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as a lower-end scenario for planning purposes. Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast This map is the official NWS snowfall forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This snowfall amount is determined by NWS forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations. High End Amount â€“ Only a 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall This map depicts a reasonable upper-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This higher amount is an unlikely scenario, with only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that more snow will fall, and a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as an upper-end scenario for planning purposes.

The purpose of these experimental probabilistic snowfall products is to provide customers and partners a range of snowfall possibilities, in complement to existing NWS deterministic snowfall graphics, to better communicate forecast uncertainties during winter weather events. For more information visit this project's Product/Service Description Document, and please provide us your feedback here.

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Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than...

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Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.

>=0.1"	>=1"	>=2"	>=4"	>=6"	>=8"	>=12"	>=18"

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Snowfall Totals by Location

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WFO Buffalo Areas of Greatest Snowfall Rate Graphics

Graphical display of hourly snowfall rate threat for next 50 hours.

Low rate is Less than 0.5 inches per hour

Medium rate is 0.5 to 1.5 inches per hour

High rate is Greater than 1.5 inches per hour

For a tiled display of all forecast hours, with clickable images for enlargement, try the Snowfall Rate Tiles page.

Expected Ice Accumulation - Official NWS Forecast
Ice Accumulation Potential
What's this?
Most Likely Ice Accumulation Represents our official ice forecast in inches within the next one to three days. The ice accumulation amounts are provided in ranges.

Storm Track	Snow/Ice Analysis	Text Reported Snow/Ice Totals
Other Snow/Ice Information

What's this?	What's this?	What's this?
Low Tracks Graphic The graphic depicts the forecast location of significant surface lows impacting the 48 contiguous United States in 12 hour increments out to 72 hours into the future. The low position and track forecast by NCEP WPC meteorologist is in white. Each low position is accompanied by a lead time (Eastern Time). The circles around each low represents a 75% probability the observed low will be located with the circle. Note: The probability is derived using previous season's verification data. For reference, existing surface lows are depicted with a red marker without yellow circles. Reported As snow and/or ice reports come into the NWS (you can email reports to buf.webmaster@noaa.gov or Tweet to @NWSBuffalo), we will pass them on here. Text reports This text product is called a Public Information Statement. This is a "catch all" product, but is mainly used to report observations of rain, snow, temperatures, wind, from the public, media, trained spotters, etc. It is also used for safety weeks, NOAA weather radio outages, and other topics. If you do not see reports then use the previous version at the top of the page to moved backwards to find what you are looking for. As snow and/or ice reports come into the NWS (you can email reports to buf.webmaster@noaa.gov or Tweet to @NWSBuffalo), we will pass them on here.

Buffalo, NY Products
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK	FORECAST DISCUSSION	SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT	PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

Long-Range Forecast

Days 4-5 Forecast Precipitation	Days 6-7 Forecast Precipitation


Days 6-10
Temperature	Precipitation


Days 8-14
TEMPERATURE	PRECIPITATION


Week 3-4
TEMPERATURE	PRECIPITATION