Severe Weather Possible from the Central Plains to the Northeast; Building Heat in the West; Fire Weather Concerns for the Southwest

Severe thunderstorms will be possible from the central Plains to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Monday. Hazardous heat will linger across the southern U.S. and build across the West through mid-week. Hot and dry conditions will fuel fire weather concerns for Interior Alaska and the Four Corners region through Monday. Read More >

Rainfall Amounts Tonight and Monday

Rain Chances & Temperatures Through Thursday

Above Normal Temperatures Favored

Cool Summer's before Strong El Niño

Mainly dry across the area through the first half of tonight, before rain overspreads western NY from southwest to northeast through the second half of tonight. Soaking rain for all of western and north-central NY on Monday. Lowest amounts will be found across the northern zones.

Above normal temperatures are favored for the end of June into the start of July.

There is a 88% chance of at least a Strong El Niño event this winter, if not very strong El Niño event. While this tends to favor milder temperatures over the winter, the preceding summer's often experience cooler than normal temperatures, but this is not always the case. The 1991-92 event was preceded by a rather mild summer (when compared to surrounding summers)