Weather Story for Western and North Central New York

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Fall 2026 Winter Skywarn Spotter Training Schedule

Four-Day Forecast

Latest First Freeze for Buffalo

Moderate Drought Expands

Here is the four-day forecast for Western and Central NY. Periods of light rain and/or snow continue through most of this weekend. Snow will be the predominant precip type in the higher terrain, while lower elevations will experience rain that will mix with or change to wet snow at times, especially each late evening through the following morning.

Buffalo N.Y. has yet to reach the freezing mark this winter season, with only five years recording a later first freeze. Buffalo will likely reach 32°F soon as the forecast for the next several days calls for low to mid 30s. For the airport (and away from the warm lake that influences downtown records), November 16th marks the latest first freeze on record.

One of the downsides to the recent stretch of nice weather is that moderate drought conditions have expanded across WNY. While there will be several precipitation events through the weekend, this precipitation will likely be light and have very little influence on the developing drought conditions.