National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Critical Fire Weather and Severe Thunderstorm Threats This Week

Gusty winds and low relative humidity will contribute to critical fire weather Monday over parts of the central and southern High Plains. Scattered to widespread severe thunderstorms may bring damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes Monday through Thursday over the lower Mississippi River Valley and southern Plains into the Midwest and Ohio Valley. Read More >

The first half of the week will be punctuated by warmer, well above average temperatures. Rain moves in Tuesday and Wednesday before a strong cold front around midweek ushers in a very different feeling airmass. Periodic chances for snow linger through this weekend and likely beyond.
Another dry day and windy northeast of the lakes, though temperatures will be much warmer compared to yesterday. A look at the week ahead: https://www.weather.gov/buf/weatherstory
Precipitation amounts have varied across our region this winter. Areas that need the precipitation include the Genesee Valley where moderate drought conditions persist. While the upper ground may be soggy now, without deep ground moisture area vegetation can quickly dry out later this Spring.
A pattern change is expected later this week with noticeably colder air for the second half of the week, with below normal temperatures favored through at least mid to late March. There may be some easement to the cold air late in the month and into the beginning days of April.