Today’s high temperatures will be some 5 to 10 degrees above average, to as much as 15 degrees above average across interior sections of Western NY. Chance for a few afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly across the western Southern Tier.
While we may not break a record maximum temperature early next week, we may come close. Listed here are the record temperature values for our three main climate sites of Buffalo, Rochester, and Watertown. Of the two days, Monday may be the warmest.
Above normal temperatures today will become well above normal Monday and Tuesday. After a cool start to May, this 2-day period of summer's heat will be quite the contrast. Remember heat safety by staying hydrated, and wearing lightweight clothing.
While this weekend will feature warmer temperatures, and it will be tempting to go out on the lakes, REMEMBER the lakes are still COLD. Lake Erie is currently 50 degrees and Lake Ontario is 47 degrees.
As above normal sea surface temperatures build in the waters off western South America, El Niño becomes more likely for the summer through the upcoming winter months. There is roughly a 75 percent chance for at least a moderate El Niño. A stronger El Niño does not always mean bigger weather and climate impacts, but a higher confidence for certain impacts.