National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorm, Flooding, and Winter Weather Threats on Tuesday

Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast Tuesday from the southern Plains into the southern Great Lakes vicinity. Thunderstorms may also produce heavy to excessive rain that could pose a flooding threat from central Texas into southern Oklahoma and northern Missouri into southern Michigan. A heavy wintry mix is forecast for the Great Lakes into northern Maine. Read More >

The first half of the week will be punctuated by warmer, well above average temperatures. Rain moves in Tuesday and Wednesday before a strong cold front around midweek ushers in a very different feeling airmass. Periodic chances for snow linger through this weekend and likely beyond.
Precipitation amounts have varied across our region this winter. Areas that need the precipitation include the Genesee Valley where moderate drought conditions persist. While the upper ground may be soggy now, without deep ground moisture area vegetation can quickly dry out later this Spring.
A pattern change is expected later this week with noticeably colder air for the second half of the week, with below normal temperatures favored through at least mid to late March. There may be some easement to the cold air late in the month and into the beginning days of April.