Weather Story for Western and North Central New York

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Fall 2026 Winter Skywarn Spotter Training Schedule

Very Minor Wet Snow Tonight Through Saturday

Long Range Temperature Outlook

Latest First Freeze for Buffalo

Moderate Drought Expands

Scattered rain and wet snow showers will fall at times tonight through Saturday, along with some dry time. Snow accumulations will be meager and limited to higher terrain. The best chance of a minor coating of white will be found on the Tug Hill Plateau, Bristol Hills, and Chautauqua Ridge. No travel impacts are expected.

Chilly weather will persist through the weekend, but a warming trend is expected to develop by the middle of next week that will last through the third week of November.

Buffalo N.Y. has yet to reach the freezing mark this winter season, with only five years recording a later first freeze. Buffalo will likely reach 32°F soon as the forecast for the next several days calls for low to mid 30s. For the airport (and away from the warm lake that influences downtown records), November 16th marks the latest first freeze on record.

One of the downsides to the recent stretch of nice weather is that moderate drought conditions have expanded across WNY. While there will be several precipitation events through the weekend, this precipitation will likely be light and have very little influence on the developing drought conditions.