National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Critical Fire Weather in the Plains; Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rain in the Mid-South

Gusty winds and low relative humidity will bring fire weather concerns over parts of the central and southern High Plains. Severe thunderstorms and heavy rain are expected across the Mid-South region and central Gulf states. Above average temperatures are expected across much of the country, and numerous daily record-tying/breaking highs will be possible. Read More >

The first half of the week will be punctuated by warmer, well above average temperatures. Rain moves in Tuesday and Wednesday before a strong cold front around midweek ushers in a very different feeling airmass. Periodic chances for snow linger through this weekend and likely beyond.
Another dry day and windy northeast of the lakes, though temperatures will be much warmer compared to yesterday. A look at the week ahead: https://www.weather.gov/buf/weatherstory
Precipitation amounts have varied across our region this winter. Areas that need the precipitation include the Genesee Valley where moderate drought conditions persist. While the upper ground may be soggy now, without deep ground moisture area vegetation can quickly dry out later this Spring.
A pattern change is expected later this week with noticeably colder air for the second half of the week, with below normal temperatures favored through at least mid to late March. There may be some easement to the cold air late in the month and into the beginning days of April.