While we may not break a record maximum temperature early next week, we may come close. Listed here are the record temperature values for our three main climate sites of Buffalo, Rochester, and Watertown. Of the two days, Monday may be the warmest.
After a period of below normal temperatures, we will quickly flip to summer. Temperatures in the 70s this weekend will be replaced by 80s Monday and Tuesday, with a few spots making a run at 90°. Along with this heat next week will also be our first humid period of the year.
While this weekend will feature warmer temperatures, and it will be tempting to go out on the lakes, REMEMBER the lakes are still COLD. Lake Erie is currently 50 degrees and Lake Ontario is 47 degrees.
As above normal sea surface temperatures build in the waters off western South America, El Niño becomes more likely for the summer through the upcoming winter months. There is roughly a 75 percent chance for at least a moderate El Niño. A stronger El Niño does not always mean bigger weather and climate impacts, but a higher confidence for certain impacts.