National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

 

An unseasonably strong low pressure system will cross the Great Lakes Thursday, and will likely produce strong wind gusts across Western NY, the Finger Lakes, and the eastern Lake Ontario region. Peak wind gusts may reach the 45 to 55 mph range, with some isolated wind damage and power outages possible.
A cold front crossing the area on Thursday will cause strong to severe thunderstorms to develop during the late morning and afternoon hours. The primary threat is strong winds with the thunderstorms. The potential for strong to severe thunderstorms increases from west to east, with the greatest chances east of the Genesee Valley.