Risks of Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall in the Central U.S.; Fire Weather Concerns in Alaska and Southwest

An expansive storm system will bring widespread storms with a threat for flash flooding and severe weather to much of the central to eastern U.S. into early this week. Critical fire weather conditions are expected across interior Alaska this weekend. Elevated fire conditions also expected in the Southwest U.S.. Conditions will remain uncomfortably hot across the southern Plains and the Southeast. Read More >

Tonight's Forecast

Temperature & Precipitation Through Wednesday

Above Normal Temperatures Favored

Cool Summer's before Strong El Niño

Start of Astronomical Summer

A few evening showers and thunderstorms east of Lake Ontario, then a quick moving trough may bring showers to WNY overnight. Otherwise dry with a few breaks in the clouds and comfortable overnight temperatures.

Scattered showers or a thunderstorm will be possible the remainder of this weekend. A better chance for rain showers is expected starting early Monday, of which some may be heavy across southern zones.

Above normal temperatures are favored for the end of June into the start of July.

There is a 88% chance of at least a Strong El Niño event this winter, if not very strong El Niño event. While this tends to favor milder temperatures over the winter, the preceding summer's often experience cooler than normal temperatures, but this is not always the case. The 1991-92 event was preceded by a rather mild summer (when compared to surrounding summers)