National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extreme Heat and Severe Thunderstorms Today

Extreme heat continues today from the central Plains to the lower Mississippi River Valley, over southeast Montana, and from southern California into the Southwest Deserts. Extreme Heat Warnings remain in effect. Severe thunderstorms capable of strong to severe wind gusts and large hail are possible across the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley today into tonight. Read More >

 

Showers and thunderstorms with embedded heavy rainfall will develop along lake breeze boundaries this afternoon. Then, more showers and thunderstorms will pass east across the area overnight, as low pressure dives southeast across the Great Lakes, bring the best potential for damaging winds and heavy rainfall.
Slow moving showers and thunderstorms will continue Tuesday through Wednesday, supporting the potential for heavy rainfall.
There is an 81% chance of a very strong El Niño during October-December that would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950. Even the strongest El Niño events do not lead to the typical impact everywhere, but stronger events can more significantly tilt the odds in favor of expected outcomes.