Heavy to Excessive Rainfall and Flooding Threats in the Central and Eastern U.S.; Heat and Fire Weather Concerns in the West

Thunderstorms producing excessive rainfall and potential flooding concerns will continue through tonight from the Southern Plains to the East Coast. Areas of greatest concern for flooding are over central Texas and the Mid-Atlantic. Heat will continue to build across the West through Tuesday. Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect. Fire Weather concerns continue through Monday. Read More >

November is typically a transition month in the Northland and this November was a perfect example of that. Record daily high temperatures in the 70s were recorded at all climate sites on November 2, and monthly all-time high temperatures were tied at Brainerd (75°F) and Hibbing (72°F). Temperatures then plummeted to around average for the middle part of the month, then a bit above average by the end the month. Both rainfall and snowfall were near or above average around the Northland. This has led to some relief in drought conditions, though some abnormally dry conditions and patches of moderate drought still persist, especially in northern Bayfield and Douglas counties in Wisconsin and western Cass County in Minnesota.

For December, the CPC is forecasting below average temperatures with equal chances for above or below normal precipitation. The CPC is forecasting below normal temperatures and above average precipitation for the December through February winter period. This forecast is consistent with the climatological pattern typically seen during a La Niña episode, which is currently occurring and is expected to continue through the winter. A transition toward ENSO neutral is projected going into spring and early summer 2023.