National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall in the Southern Plains; Extreme Heat Coming to the Southwest U.S.

Heavy to severe thunderstorms may bring areas of excessive rainfall and flooding over parts of the southern Plains through Friday. A Slight Risk of excessive rainfall has been issued. Dangerously hot temperatures are forecast across parts of southern Arizona and far southeastern California Saturday through Monday. An Extreme Heat Watch has been issued. Read More >

2025 Spring Flood Outlook #3 (Mar 13, 2025)

  • Spring Flooding potential across the Northland is normal to below normal based on marginal amounts of snow water and deep frost depths.  

  • Precipitation and rate of snowmelt while the ground is frozen through early spring will be one of the most important flood risk factors. This outlook does not take into account the risk of flash flooding. 

  • Deep frost could lead to poor infiltration and efficient runoff if heavy rains fall while the ground is still frozen. 

Current Spring Flood Threat Checklist 

Threat Impact to Potential Spring Flooding Links
High River Levels Normal to Below Normal Streamflow USGS WaterWatch MN WI
High Soil Moisture

Normal to Below Normal 

CPC Soil Moisture
Winter Precipitation

Normal to Below Normal

Climate Prediction Center

6 to 10 Day  8 - 14 Day
Current Snowpack/Liquid Equivalent Normal to Below Normal

Current Snow Water Equivalent Analysis

Snow Water Equivalent Ranking

Rate of Snowmelt TBD 24, 48, & 72 hr Snowmelt
Frost Depth Higher Frost Depth Map
Spring Precipitation TBD

Point Forecast (Next 7 Days)

Precip Outlook (Upcoming Weeks)

 

 

 

 

For more details, please see the full briefing PDF:

Spring Flood Outlook Update #3 (Mar 13, 2025)