Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats for the Plains and Southeast

A frontal boundary extending from the western High Plains to the Southeast will focus additional showers and thunderstorms this weekend. Some of these storms may become severe, alongside frequent lightning, and isolated instances of flash flooding. Meanwhile dry conditions will continue for the Great Basin where fire weather concerns linger. For the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, seasonable weather. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Sat, Aug 2, 2025 at 1:32:18 pm MDT

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National Weather Service NWS Flagstaff, AZ

National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM

National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona

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Saturday's Weather

Heat Advisory

Switching Weather Hazards

Temperatures climb to 5-10 degrees above normal early next week with moderate to major risk of heat-related impacts, especially Monday and Tuesday.

A break in the monsoon is on the way next week. The upper level pattern by Monday will look more like what you’d expect for late-June instead of early August. Upper level ridging will be parked right over New Mexico.
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Moisture will be steered well south of the area, and temperatures will climb, reaching 100 to 105° in the lowlands much of next week.
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Showers and thunderstorms may try to return to the higher terrain late in the week, but it will be a slow rebound.

Trending drier, and trending warmer today. High pressure is building over the Southwestern U.S. and this is pinching off the flow of moisture, and bringing in drier air. At the same time, this pattern also makes for warmer temperatures. However, for today, we still have some residual monsoon moisture in place over the region, so we will see at least one more day with scattered mountain storms, and isolated lowland storms.

A very strong upper high will be building over the Desert Southwest next week with near record high temperatures expected through the week. A Heat Advisory is issued for portions of Far West Texas for Monday and Tuesday. The Advisory may be expanded in coverage and time through midweek.

Weather concerns across the Borderland are about to make a significant shift from the high risk of flooding we've been seeing, to HEAT related hazards, with few to no storms (after today) through the first week of August.

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Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats for the Plains and Southeast

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