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652
FXUS64 KEWX 152023
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
223 PM CST Fri Nov 15 2019
.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Saturday Night)...
Clear skies are prevailing across the area with light northerly winds
continuing. Temperatures have finally returned to at least the 60s
which has made today quite outstanding. The surface ridge axis will
continue to be near the region overnight and with clear skies, we
should see lows tonight back into the middle to upper 30s for most of
the area. Although a light freeze cannot be ruled out for some our
more prone areas to colder temperatures, not expecting much of a
freeze for tonight. The ridge axis will begin to shift to the east
tomorrow and light south winds are expected to return to the area.
With the increase in southerly flow, highs tomorrow and lows
tomorrow night should be a few degrees higher than today/tonight.
&&
.LONG TERM (Sunday through Friday)...
The beginning of the long-term forecast will remain dry as moisture
remains scoured with west winds aloft continuing. A trough axis is
expected to pass through the Southern Plains Sunday morning which
will send a weak front through the area Sunday night. While this
front is expected not to have any rain, it will bring some
reinforcing dry air to the area. Night time lows through Tuesday will
remain in the 40s with highs in the 60s and 70s.
A pattern change is then expected for the end of the long-term
forecast as a subtropical trough enters the area. There remains some
discrepancies with the medium range guidance on how this plays out as
this pattern could create delays in timing of the next frontal
passage. The GFS sends a front through on Friday while the ECMWF
brings a front through on Thursday with an additional front into next
weekend. Regardless with the increased southwesterly flow aloft at
the end of next week, will keep chance PoPs in for much of the area
Thursday and Friday. PoPs will likely be increased for a period once
confidence increases on the timing of the potential FROPA.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry 36 64 42 68 45 / 0 0 0 0 0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 33 65 40 69 44 / 0 0 0 0 -
New Braunfels Muni Airport 35 65 41 69 45 / 0 0 0 0 -
Burnet Muni Airport 34 64 41 66 42 / 0 0 0 0 0
Del Rio Intl Airport 40 67 45 72 45 / 0 0 0 0 -
Georgetown Muni Airport 35 64 40 67 42 / 0 0 0 0 -
Hondo Muni Airport 36 67 43 72 45 / 0 0 0 - -
San Marcos Muni Airport 34 65 40 69 44 / 0 0 0 0 -
La Grange - Fayette Regional 35 64 40 68 45 / 0 0 0 - -
San Antonio Intl Airport 37 65 44 69 46 / 0 0 0 0 -
Stinson Muni Airport 37 65 44 69 47 / 0 0 0 0 -
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
Aviation...Treadway
Short-Term/Long-Term...Hampshire
Public Service/Data Collection...EWilliams
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