181 FXUS64 KEWX 251902 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 202 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 119 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Key Message: - Scattered showers and thunderstorm chances remain through sunset with drier conditions returning for Saturday Mostly cloudy skies are noted on satellite early this afternoon as moist, southeasterly flow continues over the area. Scattered showers are streaming over the eastern half of the area with some thunderstorm development anticipated later this afternoon. While instability remains high, less shear than previous afternoons should allow for storms to to remain non-severe. Still, some cells producing small hail or gusty wind would not be surprising. Any activity is expected to diminish around sunset with mainly dry conditions then forecast for the rest of the short term period as upper level ridging further builds over the area. Expect another night increasing cloud cover with mild lows in the 60s. Warm and humid conditions continue Saturday with continued southerly flow. Highs will be in the 80s for most locations except near the Rio Grande where temperatures peak in the low to mid 90s. Saturday night into Sunday morning looks to be a repeat of tonight`s conditions. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 119 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Key messages: - Chances of storms for Val Verde County Sunday and Monday - Wet, warm, humid and stormy pattern starting next week. As has been the case all week long the dryline responsible for triggering storms off into west and North Central TX will once again be responsible for precip coming into our area mainly Val Verde County on Sunday and again on Monday. The dryline will continue to advance westward each day with the question being how far westward will it get? The Further west it gets the more likely Val Verde sees storms and a drier solution if the dryline fails to shift too far west. Models are all over the place and don`t seem to be handling these events very well in terms of convection forming. So just like the past couple of days expect the possibility of a convective line of storms advancing westward from West TX and impacting Val Verde County. Everyone else should remain mostly rain and storm free through Monday evening with popcorn like showers and storms for everyone else returning come Tuesday afternoon and lasting through the forecast period. Again, models are struggling to capture just where folks could see the most and least amount of storms so right now the forecast is peppered with pops and hopefully this becomes clearer as more Hi-Res models come into focus and into agreement in later forecasts. It shouldn`t be a wash out by any means but just keep that umbrella and rain coat handy just in case. As for temperatures we should remain unseasonably warm with highs for most in the upper 80s to low 90s. Humidity will also be a concern as the dryline stays off to the west of our area, allowing us to remain under southerly flow thus pumping in that rich moisture from the Gulf. So to summarize next week is looking very Wet, quite warm and possibly stormy, however due to our recent long term drought conditions we will take any rain that we can get. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1217 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 A mix of VFR to MVFR ceilings exists over South Central Texas this afternoon with MVFR ceilings lifting in the next 1-2 hours. VFR conditions with southeasterly wind is expected through this evening with some gusts up to 20-25 knots at times. Additionally, scattered showers and thunderstorms may occur this afternoon at I-35 terminals mainly from 20-24Z. MVFR to IFR conditions return late tonight into Saturday morning with some fog possible in the eastern half of the area. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 68 86 69 89 / 10 10 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 67 86 68 90 / 10 10 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 67 87 68 90 / 10 10 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 67 83 67 87 / 10 0 10 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 72 92 70 94 / 10 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 67 86 67 89 / 10 10 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 68 86 67 91 / 10 10 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 67 86 67 89 / 10 10 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 68 86 68 88 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 69 85 69 90 / 10 10 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 70 87 70 91 / 10 10 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Short-Term...27 Long-Term...CJM Aviation...27
No recent Short Term Forecast (NOW) has been issued for NWS Austin/San Antonio CWA (EWX).
Special Weather Statement Issued: 04/25/2025 04:28:18 PM UTC