Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 708 PM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018
.AVIATION.../00Z TAFS/ Gusty winds to near 30 knots are possible with highest gusts expected at DRT in the late afternoon and evening. Similar wind speeds are expected on Monday. For this reason will show mininmal cigs below 2000 ft with only the SAT TAF showing a brief drop below. Mvfr cigs should break up again by around 15Z or 16Z. Some extra clouds should roll in the area by late morning as a weak tropical disturbance moves up the Rio Grande Valley. Increased showers are expected so a VCSH group was added between 19Z and 00Z Tues for the I-35 TAF sites. Some stronger wind gusts could become an issue should a storm develop near a terminal.
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.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 PM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018/
SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night)... The subtropical ridge will begin to weaken slightly tonight. This will allow moisture to surge from the southeast. We will see a chance for showers and thunderstorms Monday move through the Coastal Plains to the Hill Country. Better chances for rain will be closer to the coast. Rain chances will shift to the west Monday night. Mostly cloudy skies Monday will keep temperatures down around normal.
LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)... Tuesday the subtropical ridge will strengthen over Texas ending rain chances for most of our CWA. This pattern will continue through the rest of this period. Showers and thunderstorms may develop along the seabreeze and move into our southeastern area each afternoon Wedneday through Friday. Temperatures will rebound Tuesday and climb slowly through the week leveling off for the weekend.
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