730
FXUS64 KEWX 050635
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1235 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1233 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
- A dry cold front moves across the local area later this
afternoon and evening. Breezy conditions in the wake of it.
- Wet and cool weekend with beneficial rains through the period.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 1233 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
An upper level storm system moving across the Central Rockies
Mountains early this Thursday morning is forecast to push to the
southeast into the Texas Panhandle by around 6 AM. In the meantime,
weather conditions across South Central Texas are quiet with clear
skies and light southerly winds. Overnight lows are projected to
range from the 40s over portions of the Hill Country and southern
Edwards Plateau and 50s into the low 60s elsewhere. With limited
moisture return by the morning commute, expect sunny skies and a
nice warmup by noon time. Some low clouds could get going along the
Rio Grande by mid to late morning as 850mb moisture increases based
on forecast soundings of the RRFS/HRRR/RAP models. Between 12 and 3
PM, the upper level system above mentioned is forecast to be moving
over Oklahoma and north Texas. At lower levels, a low pressure
system and associated frontal boundary are forecast to push to the
southeast. The cold front extends from central Texas to the eastern
Trans-Pecos area. Moving forward in time from the 3 to 6 PM hour
block, the cold front enters the southern Edwards Plateau and
northern Hill Country. By this time, the warmer sector (I-35
corridor, Coastal Plains, and Rio Grande) stays dry with limited
moisture to work with, but some low clouds are anticipated to
develop across the Coastal Plains. With the late arrival of the cold
front, high temperatures are likely reaching the 80s across most
locations in South Central Texas. The dry front moves over the I-35
corridor in the evening and pushes across the Coastal Plains between
midnight and 3 AM Friday. The northerly wind shift initially is
around 10 mph or less in the wake of the frontal boundary. However,
a few hours later, a surge of boundary layer winds of 10 to 20 mph
with gusts of 25 to 35 mph are forecast to spread across most of the
local area for a breezy overnight period. Overnight lows in the 40s
and 50s over most areas and low 60s across the Coastal Plains.
Friday will be cooler in the wake of the cold front with highs in
the 60s and 70s. Some areas could see partly cloudy to mostly sunny
skies while others stay partly sunny all day. Light northerly winds
prevail across the local area through the period.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 1233 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Surface northerly winds shift back to the southeast bringing Gulf
moisture across the local area overnight into Saturday morning. And
here comes the next upper level system moving across the western
Four Corners region and northwest Mexico. This upper level system
slowly moves eastward over northern Mexico throughout the day and
night on Saturday. At the surface, increased moisture from the Gulf
pushes across the Rio Grande during the morning period with pwats in
the 1.6 to 1.7 inches and where rain chances start at 20 percent.
Moving into the afternoon, increased moisture stays in place while
instability comes up, resulting in rain chances expanding eastward
and ranging from 20 to 60 percent. Rain chances continue elevated
(40 to 60) across the local area for Saturday evening with the
wettest period forecast to be from Saturday evening into Sunday
morning. Rain chances diminish some for Sunday, but with the upper
level system still to the west of the local area, wet conditions are
likely to persist into Monday. Temperatures over the weekend will be
cool with highs in the 60s and low 70s and lows in the 50s. The Sun
is going to have a hard time coming out with cloudy skies through
the period. Low confidence when it comes to Monday`s forecast as
models differ. For now, we are going to show rain chances between 20
and 30 percent for the I-35 corridor and Coastal Plains. All of this
rain will be beneficial for the local area during a 48 to 72 hour
period. Storm rainfall totals are forecast to range form a few
hundredths over parts of the northern Hill Country to between one to
two inches over the southern Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande. Austin
and San Antonio metro areas could see from one quarter to an inch.
Dry weather looking to return on Tuesday with a warming trend mid
week but it is just slightly above values for this time of the year
(highs: low 70s, lows: 50s).
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1124 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
Only a few high clouds expected for the next TAF period. All
terminals will be VFR. Winds will be light overnight and through
mid-morning Thursday. Then southerly winds will develop in Austin
and San Antonio, but wind speeds will stay below 10 kts. A cold
front will move into the region Thursday night turning the winds
to the north.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry 82 56 74 55 / 0 0 0 0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 82 55 75 53 / 0 0 0 0
New Braunfels Muni Airport 82 57 75 55 / 0 10 0 0
Burnet Muni Airport 80 52 69 53 / 0 0 0 0
Del Rio Intl Airport 79 56 72 57 / 0 0 0 10
Georgetown Muni Airport 81 52 72 52 / 0 0 0 0
Hondo Muni Airport 81 56 77 55 / 0 0 0 0
San Marcos Muni Airport 82 55 75 54 / 0 10 0 0
La Grange - Fayette Regional 83 57 78 55 / 0 0 0 0
San Antonio Intl Airport 81 58 75 56 / 0 10 0 0
Stinson Muni Airport 82 61 77 58 / 0 10 0 0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...05
No recent Short Term Forecast (NOW) has been issued for NWS Austin/San Antonio CWA (EWX).
Special Weather Statement Issued: 11/03/2026 02:29:00 PM UTC
Follow us on X
Follow us on Facebook
Follow us on YouTube
EWX RSS Feed