National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

WFO EWX Header Collage

Austin/San Antonio WFO Routine Forecasts & Products

Customized Local Forecasts

 

Local Text Products

 

Forecast Discussion

                        
635
FXUS64 KEWX 141811
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
111 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 104 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

- Isolated shower and thunderstorm activity mainly along and east
  of Interstate 35 including the Coastal Plains for the rest of
  this afternoon and early evening.

- Strong upper level ridge is forecast to dominate the local area
  this weekend into the middle of next week bringing chances for
  rain to an end through the period.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

Area Doppler radars are showing isolated light to localized heavy
showers and even a few thunderstorms across Goliad County over the
Corpus Christi area. This activity is forecast to move to the north
for the rest of this afternoon and early evening as new showers and
storms develop with the aid of the sea breeze through that time
frame. Most areas are likely to stay dry, however, those Lucky
ones have a chance to get a trace to one quarter inch with a few
locations getting up to half inch. High`s today are forecast to
reach the mid to upper 90s over most places and up to 103 across
the southern portion of the Rio Grande Plains. With the cloudiness
and the chances of rain, heat index values are mostly likely to
stay below the 108 mark. However, there is a chance for a few
locations to briefly get to 108. Otherwise, partly cloudy skies
are forecast for tonight with moisture increasing overnight
through Saturday morning resulting in cloudy skies.

Clouds begin to dissipate mid to late morning with mostly sunny
skies for the afternoon. Saturday`s highs to range from the mid to
upper 90s and up to 103 across the southern Rio Grande Plains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

The strong upper level ridge across the Southern Plains and Lower
Mississippi Valley is keeping the local area dry and hot for the
rest of the weekend into at least the middle of next week.
Temperatures are likely running above normal values around 3 to 4
degrees. With drier air moving into the area for the period, heat
index values should stay on check and below heat advisory criteria
for the most part.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

VFR conditions persist this afternoon through about midnight with
moderate to occasionally breezy south-southeasterly winds. Gusts
of 20 to 25 kt will occur at times. This afternoon has the low
chance for spotty isolated showers along with perhaps a stray
thunderstorm near and east of the Balcones Escarpment but overall
probabilities and confidence for any impacts at the terminals is
too low to include within the TAF package. Later overnight into
Saturday morning should see an area of low clouds develop with
MVFR ceilings. Locations near the Rio Grande, including KDRT, has
lower confidence on seeing MVFR conditions and trends later for
these locations after sunrise. VFR flight conditions return to
all sites by Saturday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              78 100  76 101 /  10   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  78 100  75 100 /  10   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     76 100  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            75  97  72  98 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           78  99  77  99 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        77  99  74  99 /  10   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             75  97  73  98 /  10   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        77 100  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   77 100  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       78  99  76  99 /  10   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           78 101  76 100 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...62



                

Zone Forecasts

Special Statements

Product Lookups

 

National Forecasts