A winter-like pattern will continue over much of the Lower 48 over the next few days, with snow stretching from the Rockies today into the Middle Mississippi Valley on Monday. Showers and thunderstorms will develop along the Gulf Coast and Southeast on Monday. As the storm moves northward late Monday into Tuesday, winter weather is possible from the Central Appalachians to Interior New England. Read More >
945
FXUS64 KEWX 011150
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
550 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Cool temperatures area-wide and rain chances return for the eastern
portion of South Central Texas early Monday morning through the
afternoon
- The local area remains cool but dry on Tuesday with a warming trend
in store for Wednesday ahead of the next cold front to push
across the region Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon
- There is a 30 to 60 percent chance for showers with isolated
thunderstorms across South Central Texas on Thursday with dry conditions
forecast from west to east throughout the day on Friday.
-Dry and warm for next weekend with highs in the 70s over most
part.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1110 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025
Infrared satellite pictures reveal eastern Pacific moisture arriving
across the local area while area Doppler radars are picking up light
rain echoes. When looking at the 00Z Del Rio sounding, from the
surface to about 3000 ft, the atmosphere is dry with a saturated
layer above it and a second saturated layer around and above 15,000
ft. Therefore, those light rain echoes are not reaching the ground.
As the overnight progresses, the low level layer is forecast to
moisten enough for the developing of light rain/drizzle across the
I-35 Corridor and Coastal Plains by dawn.
A surface low to the east of Brownsville is forecast to push to the
northeast while staying over the Gulf waters but getting close to
the middle and southern Texas coast throughout the day Monday to
keep moderate rain chances especially along the I-35 Corridor and
better chances for the Coastal Plains. Rainfall amounts are likely
to be limited to a few hundredths to half inch with a few spots
across the Coastal Plains (Lavaca County and nearby locations) that
could get up to 2 inches. Cloudy skies are forecast through the
morning period area-wide, however, drying taking place at mid to
upper levels to mix down to help breaking the clouds for partly
cloudy skies across the Rio Grande and Southern Edwards Plateau.
Unfortunately, the high moisture content stays along the I-35
Corridor and Coastal Plains for cloudy skies all day and cooler
temperatures in the 50s while the Rio Grande could get into the
upper 50s and lower 60s range.
By Monday evening, the rain chances shift to the east as the Gulf
low pressure system moves to the northeast into the north central
part of the Gulf and a northwest to zonal flow establishes over
South Central Texas. Clearing/partly cloudy conditions likely to
take place over most areas across South Central Texas
overnight/early Tuesday morning resulting in a cold night with lows
in the 30s across the Southern Edwards Plateau, Hill Country, parts
of the I-35 Corridor, and Coastal Plains. A light freeze is forecast
for some locations across the Hill Country. After a cold start of
the day, temperatures are rising to the upper 50s and lower 60s
under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 1110 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025
A warming trend is in store for Wednesday with highs forecast to
reach the mid to upper 60s and even lower 70s over the southern
portion of the Rio Grande under cloudy skies. By Wednesday evening,
an upper level short wave over the Four Corners region is forecast
to move to the east-southeast and over the Southern Plains
through Thursday evening and a second disturbance later on during
the overnight hours. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to
push across the local area from northwest to southeast through
the time frame for moderate to high chances of rain. Moderate rain
chances are still in the forecast for midday Friday as several
perturbations move over the local area with a southwest flow
aloft. By Friday afternoon into the evening, dry conditions take
place and spreads over the weekend with a warming trend expected
and highs rising to the 70s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 544 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025
Overall, no significant changes have been made to the latest
forecast. We did push back the onset of cigs at or below 2K AGL
along I-35 based on recent observational trends. Some light rain
is also expected to continue for the I-35 sites this morning, but
no impact to visibility is in store. We did keep a mention of some
TEMPO MVFR cigs at DRT based on trends of nearby observations.
Otherwise, we still expect to see conditions improve to VFR early
this evening as some drier air in the lower levels continues to
move in from the north.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry 52 37 58 43 / 30 10 0 0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 52 35 57 39 / 30 10 0 0
New Braunfels Muni Airport 52 37 58 41 / 30 10 0 0
Burnet Muni Airport 52 33 57 42 / 20 0 0 0
Del Rio Intl Airport 62 43 63 45 / 0 0 0 0
Georgetown Muni Airport 52 32 56 40 / 20 10 0 0
Hondo Muni Airport 57 37 61 40 / 20 0 0 0
San Marcos Muni Airport 52 35 59 40 / 30 10 0 0
La Grange - Fayette Regional 50 37 56 40 / 60 20 0 0
San Antonio Intl Airport 54 39 59 43 / 30 10 0 0
Stinson Muni Airport 55 41 59 44 / 30 10 0 0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...Platt
No recent Short Term Forecast (NOW) has been issued for NWS Austin/San Antonio CWA (EWX).
Special Weather Statement Issued: 11/25/2025 11:24:00 AM UTC
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