Tropical Storm Colin will continue to track away from the U.S. East Coast through Sunday. Meanwhile, severe weather potential for portions of Montana and the Plains are forecast through Sunday. Critical fire weather conditions to persist across the Great Basin and interior Alaska the remainder of the weekend. Heat will build for the Plains, Ohio and Tennessee Valleys and Great Lakes into Monday. Read More >
Southern Oscillation Index (SOI)
standardized anomaly of the mean sea level pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin
traditional ENSO index
correlates strongly with SST anomaly indices
NOAA Oceanic Niño Index (ONI)
sea surface temperature anomaly index for Niño 3.4 (5°N to 5°S, 170°W to 120°W)
onset of El Niño declared when Niño 3.4 anomaly exceeds +0.5°C for 3-month period
to be "full-fledged" El Niño (or La Niña), onset conditions must be met for 5 consecutive 3-month periods
Japanese Meteorological Agency ENSO Index (JMA)
sea surface temperature anomaly index for Niño 3 (4°N to 4°S, 150°W to 90°W)
less noisy than traditional SOI and more vigorous than NOAA ONI
anomalies must exceed 0.5°C for 6 consecutive 5-month periods
Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI)
weighted anomaly average of 6 meteorological variables in the tropical Pacific
sea surface temperature
sea level pressure
surface air temperature
components of surface wind
zonal component
meridional component
total cloudiness fraction of the sky
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