National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rain and Potential for Flash Flooding for Mid-Atlantic

An unseasonably strong storm system will bring heavy rain to the Mid-Atlantic and central Appalachians Friday into Saturday. Flash flooding and widespread lowland flooding are possible during this period. Meanwhile, monsoon moisture will continue to produce heavy rain with the possibility of localized flash flooding in the Desert Southwest through the southern/central Rockies and High Plains. Read More >

Today will be another scorcher and the hottest day thus far this season for many locations. Afternoon highs will range from the middle 90s to around 103 with afternoon heat index values as high as 110. Therefore, a Heat Advisory is in effect for much of North and Central Texas today.
A cold front will move into the region tonight, and this will bring some low chances for showers and thunderstorms to the region. Not everyone will see rainfall. Low temperatures across the area will fall into the middle and upper 70s.
It is July in Texas and it's hot. So you're probably thinking why is the National Weather Service telling us about the heat? Well, it's simple: heat kills. Know the signs of heat exhaustion versus heat stroke. Faint or dizzy with excessive sweating, that's heat exhaustion. Get to a cooler place and drink water. What if you or someone you know, is in the heat and suddenly stops sweating, gets a throbbing headache and/or nausea? Well, these are signs of a Heat Stroke and this is an emergency situation. Your body is no longer able to cool off and if you don't get immediate care - it can be fatal. If you're suffering from Heat Stroke, you should call 9-1-1 and then immediately take action to cool down as you wait for help to arrive.
It'll be a hot one again on Saturday, with the hottest conditions being displaced across portions of Central Texas. Low thunderstorm chances will exist across parts of North and Central Texas this weekend, but drier air will work its way in from the northeast by Sunday. Moisture will then start to slowly increase as we head into next week, and additional chances for showers and storms will develop. Temperatures will remain generally in the lower 90s Monday and Tuesday.
A pattern change will occur next week, as the hot upper level high moves off to the northwest. This will bring northerly flow aloft to the region and bring slightly cooler conditions and scattered rain and storm chances to the area each day next week.

 
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Soaring Forecast


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DALLAS - FORT WORTH AREA. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DFW           DATE... 07/28/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -4.5
       5000 FT MSL........ -2.5
       6000 FT MSL........ -1.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 1.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 7.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 4400 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 8800 FT MSL
DFW MAX TEMPERATURE....... 103 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 97 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 450 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 235 DEGREES AT 34 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 24 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 245 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 330 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 010 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 030 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 020 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 155 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 155 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 180 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 085 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 070 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 085 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 080 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 070 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 080 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE AMARILLO - PANHANDLE REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR AMA           DATE... 07/28/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -11.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -6.0
       6000 FT MSL........ -3.0
      10000 FT MSL........ -0.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 6.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 6000 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 11000 FT MSL
AMA MAX TEMPERATURE....... 91 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 87 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 421 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 140 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 245 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 255 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 310 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 230 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 180 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 205 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 190 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 075 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 080 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 070 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 080 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE MIDLAND - WEST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR MAF           DATE... 07/28/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -11.5
       5000 FT MSL........ -7.0
       6000 FT MSL........ -6.5
      10000 FT MSL........ -1.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 3.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 7500 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 12100 FT MSL
MAF MAX TEMPERATURE....... 99 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 90 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 506 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 145 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 140 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 125 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 095 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 180 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 190 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 175 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 180 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 130 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 115 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE SHREVEPORT - EAST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR SHV           DATE... 07/28/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -4.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -1.0
       6000 FT MSL........ -0
      10000 FT MSL........ 4.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 10.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 3400 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 6400 FT MSL
SHV MAX TEMPERATURE....... 99 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 95 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 353 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 225 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 240 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 24 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 255 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 295 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 245 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 290 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 235 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 290 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 285 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 335 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 315 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 330 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 305 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 025 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 065 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 030 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 025 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE BROWNSVILLE - DEEP SOUTH TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR BRO           DATE... 07/28/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -2.5
       5000 FT MSL........ 0.5
       6000 FT MSL........ 2.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 7.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 12.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 2800 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 3700 FT MSL
BRO MAX TEMPERATURE....... 95 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 95 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 234 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 160 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 165 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 165 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 155 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 150 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 040 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE CORPUS CHRISTI - MID-TEXAS GULF COAST REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR CRP           DATE... 07/28/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -3.0
       5000 FT MSL........ 0.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 1.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 5.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 11.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 3100 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 4900 FT MSL
CRP MAX TEMPERATURE....... 97 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 94 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 291 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 170 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 175 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 170 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 155 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 175 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 070 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 150 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 040 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DEL RIO - BIG BEND/EWARDS PLATEAU REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DRT           DATE... 07/28/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -10.5
       5000 FT MSL........ -5.5
       6000 FT MSL........ -4.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 1.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 5.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 7300 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 8200 FT MSL
DRT MAX TEMPERATURE....... 102 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 91 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 403 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 105 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 165 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 150 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 175 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 115 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 120 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 095 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________