National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rain Expected In The Mid-Atlantic; Strong System Sweeps Into Plains

Locally heavy rainfall and a few severe thunderstorms are possible over the Mid-Atlantic into eastern North Carolina, as the remnants of Nestor move across the region today. Elsewhere, a very strong storm system will sweep into the Plains and severe thunderstorms with very large hail, damaging winds, heavy rain and a few tornadoes are expected from parts of Texas and Oklahoma into Arkansas. Read More >


Soaring Forecast


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DALLAS - FORT WORTH AREA. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DFW           DATE... 10/20/19...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -7.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -1.0
       6000 FT MSL........ -1.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 4.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 10.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 3600 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 6800 FT MSL
DFW MAX TEMPERATURE....... 88 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 85 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 347 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 130 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 215 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 275 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 265 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 255 DEGREES AT 32 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 35 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 32 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 34 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 50 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 61 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 62 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

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THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE AMARILLO - PANHANDLE REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR AMA           DATE... 10/20/19...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -14.5
       5000 FT MSL........ -4.5
       6000 FT MSL........ -2.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 1.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 6.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 5500 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 6800 FT MSL
AMA MAX TEMPERATURE....... 76 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 77 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 203 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 190 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 205 DEGREES AT 44 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 225 DEGREES AT 39 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 240 DEGREES AT 33 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 245 DEGREES AT 33 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 245 DEGREES AT 31 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 36 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 40 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 41 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 45 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 58 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 49 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 50 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 61 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 62 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE MIDLAND - WEST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR MAF           DATE... 10/20/19...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -19.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -7.0
       6000 FT MSL........ -6.0
      10000 FT MSL........ -1.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 4.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 9100 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 11000 FT MSL
MAF MAX TEMPERATURE....... 90 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 80 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 444 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 200 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 200 DEGREES AT 24 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 210 DEGREES AT 31 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 225 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 240 DEGREES AT 29 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 255 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 29 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 29 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 265 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 265 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 28 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 280 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 28 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 48 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 71 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE SHREVEPORT - EAST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR SHV           DATE... 10/20/19...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -2.5
       5000 FT MSL........ 0.5
       6000 FT MSL........ 1.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 5.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 11.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 3000 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 4500 FT MSL
SHV MAX TEMPERATURE....... 90 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 89 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 254 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 245 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 230 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 240 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 235 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 255 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 265 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 260 DEGREES AT 33 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 260 DEGREES AT 33 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 37 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 29 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 35 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 37 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 47 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 50 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 65 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 71 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE BROWNSVILLE - DEEP SOUTH TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR BRO           DATE... 10/20/19...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -1.5
       5000 FT MSL........ 2.5
       6000 FT MSL........ 6.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 8.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 13.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 2000 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 3700 FT MSL
BRO MAX TEMPERATURE....... 91 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 93 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 226 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 135 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 195 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 205 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 205 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 195 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 195 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 215 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 230 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 225 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 230 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 28 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE CORPUS CHRISTI - MID-TEXAS GULF COAST REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR CRP           DATE... 10/20/19...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -0.5
       5000 FT MSL........ 4.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 6.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 8.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 15.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 1300 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 3100 FT MSL
CRP MAX TEMPERATURE....... 88 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 93 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 195 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 175 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 195 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 205 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 210 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 230 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 220 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 210 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 215 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 225 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 265 DEGREES AT 24 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 275 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 225 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 225 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 33 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 28 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DEL RIO - BIG BEND/EWARDS PLATEAU REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DRT           DATE... 10/20/19...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -4.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -2.5
       6000 FT MSL........ -1.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 4.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 9.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 4400 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 6600 FT MSL
DRT MAX TEMPERATURE....... 93 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 89 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 317 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 045 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 225 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 245 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 270 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 53 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 64 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 225 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 225 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 33 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 28 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________