National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Early Season Winter Storm Moves into the Northeast; Cold Front Brings Snow Across the Northern Rockies into the Upper Midwest

The early season winter storm spreads to the Northeast bringing snow, sleet, and freezing rain to the region, in addition to gusty winds and coastal flooding. A series of cold fronts dropping southward from Canada will lead to snow across the Northern/Central Rockies into the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Read More >


Soaring Forecast


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DALLAS - FORT WORTH AREA. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DFW           DATE... 11/16/18...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -0.5
       5000 FT MSL........ 2.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 4.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 7.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 11.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 1400 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 3500 FT MSL
DFW MAX TEMPERATURE....... 72 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 74 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 202 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 185 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 265 DEGREES AT 24 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 275 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 280 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 225 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 255 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 225 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 200 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 130 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 265 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 265 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE AMARILLO - PANHANDLE REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR AMA           DATE... 11/16/18...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -18.5
       5000 FT MSL........ -3.5
       6000 FT MSL........ -1.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 2.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 6.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 5200 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 7000 FT MSL
AMA MAX TEMPERATURE....... 66 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 67 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 228 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 280 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 265 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 280 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 345 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 345 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 320 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 310 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 320 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE MIDLAND - WEST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR MAF           DATE... 11/16/18...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -9.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -3.0
       6000 FT MSL........ -2.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 4.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 8.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 4600 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 6600 FT MSL
MAF MAX TEMPERATURE....... 68 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 68 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 244 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 255 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 040 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 085 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 140 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 265 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 295 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 275 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 275 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 305 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 310 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 31 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE SHREVEPORT - EAST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR SHV           DATE... 11/16/18...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -0.5
       5000 FT MSL........ 4.5
       6000 FT MSL........ 5.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 9.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 15.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 1200 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 3300 FT MSL
SHV MAX TEMPERATURE....... 68 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 70 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 213 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 175 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 255 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 260 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 270 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 320 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 320 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 320 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 315 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 295 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 280 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 275 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE BROWNSVILLE - DEEP SOUTH TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR BRO           DATE... 11/16/18...12Z



  SOARING FORECAST UNAVAILABLE DUE TO MISSING UPPER AIR DATA

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE CORPUS CHRISTI - MID-TEXAS GULF COAST REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR CRP           DATE... 11/16/18...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -2.0
       5000 FT MSL........ 2.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 3.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 11.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 18.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 2100 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 4400 FT MSL
CRP MAX TEMPERATURE....... 71 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 67 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 279 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 275 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 205 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 250 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 255 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 280 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 24 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 24 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 285 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 280 DEGREES AT 31 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 275 DEGREES AT 32 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 33 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 270 DEGREES AT 50 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 255 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 275 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DEL RIO - BIG BEND/EWARDS PLATEAU REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DRT           DATE... 11/16/18...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -1.5
       5000 FT MSL........ 3.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 4.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 12.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 15.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 2200 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 3400 FT MSL
DRT MAX TEMPERATURE....... 67 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 72 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 180 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 270 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 275 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 230 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 260 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 295 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 310 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 300 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 275 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 275 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 280 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 280 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 285 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 285 DEGREES AT 31 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________