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Thunderstorms, Some Severe, and Heavy Rainfall Across the East

A cold front moving into the eastern U.S. will bring widespread thunderstorms and locally heavy rain to the eastern states. Excessive rain will be possible across the Mid-South and widespread flash flooding will be possible. Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds may occur in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Out west, windy, dry conditions are keeping fire weather threats elevated-to-critical. Read More >

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue ahead of, along, and behind a cold front as it moves through the area this morning. Behind the front, temperatures will be much cooler with breezy north winds.
A cold front will approach the region tonight, bringing rain chances, breezy north winds, and cooler temperatures. There will be a chance for some isolated thunderstorms as well. Low temperatures will vary across North and Central Texas, from the upper 50s across the northwestern counties to mid 70s across Central Texas. Winds behind the cold front will be breezy around 15 to 20 mph.
It will be cooler on Wednesday as a cold front continues to move through the region. Highs will range from the mid 60s across the northwest to mid 80s in Central Texas. There will be storm chances tomorrow, with the best chances across the northwest and Central Texas. Winds will be out of the north around 10 to 15 mph.
A gradual warm up is expected as we head into the weekend. There will be low storm chances across parts of North and Central Texas. highs will be in the mid 80s by Saturday and lows will be in the 60s.

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Experimental Convective Parameters For North Texas

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth is now offering Experimental Convective Parameters on this website!

The analysis is computed using surface observation data and the latest RUC model for all upper level data.  This is different from the SPC mesoanalysis web page, because no model analysis is used for the surface fields.  This means our analysis is heavily weighted to the latest surface observation. Thus, some small "bulls-eye" type areas may occur if a surface observation is outlying or incorrect.  Bad observations are periodically quality controlled by forecasters and removed.  The advantage to this technique is that our convective parameters will have a higher resolution and be capable of rapid adjustments if the atmosphere is rapidly changing.

The parameters are generated hourly, with the generation process starting around 15 minutes past the hour. The images should be available by 20 past each hour.

We are currently producing the following images:

Thumbnail image showing an example of the convective interest parameter.