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Monsoon Flooding Threats Continue; Storms Possible in the Mid-Atlantic

Monsoon moisture will primarily stretch from the northern Great Basin to the south and central Rockies. Flash flooding, and mud and debris flows, especially on burn scars will be possible. Strong to severe storms that could produce damaging winds and locally heavy rain will be possible in the Mid-Atlantic, Deep South, and Northeast. Fire weather threats persist for portions of the Northwest. Read More >

Experimental Convective Parameters For North Texas

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth is now offering Experimental Convective Parameters on this website!

The analysis is computed using surface observation data and the latest RUC model for all upper level data.  This is different from the SPC mesoanalysis web page, because no model analysis is used for the surface fields.  This means our analysis is heavily weighted to the latest surface observation. Thus, some small "bulls-eye" type areas may occur if a surface observation is outlying or incorrect.  Bad observations are periodically quality controlled by forecasters and removed.  The advantage to this technique is that our convective parameters will have a higher resolution and be capable of rapid adjustments if the atmosphere is rapidly changing.

The parameters are generated hourly, with the generation process starting around 15 minutes past the hour. The images should be available by 20 past each hour.

We are currently producing the following images:

Thumbnail image showing an example of the convective interest parameter.