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Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase through the middle of the week, but the heaviest rain is expected to remain across West Texas. North and Central Texas will experience periodic showers and storms from Tuesday through Thursday.
Temperatures will begin to feel more like fall next week as a cold front moves into North and Central Texas. Along with the rain, temperatures will cool substantially with highs in the 70s and low 80s by Friday.

 
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Experimental Convective Parameters For North Texas

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth is now offering Experimental Convective Parameters on this website!

The analysis is computed using surface observation data and the latest RUC model for all upper level data.  This is different from the SPC mesoanalysis web page, because no model analysis is used for the surface fields.  This means our analysis is heavily weighted to the latest surface observation. Thus, some small "bulls-eye" type areas may occur if a surface observation is outlying or incorrect.  Bad observations are periodically quality controlled by forecasters and removed.  The advantage to this technique is that our convective parameters will have a higher resolution and be capable of rapid adjustments if the atmosphere is rapidly changing.

The parameters are generated hourly, with the generation process starting around 15 minutes past the hour. The images should be available by 20 past each hour.

We are currently producing the following images:

Thumbnail image showing an example of the convective interest parameter.