Areas of Excessive Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorms; Typhoon Watch for Guam/CNMI

Heavy to excessive rainfall will continue today from the Texas Big Bend region into southern Oklahoma. Locally considerable flash and urban flooding is possible, and river flooding will continue in central Oklahoma. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible in parts of the Mid-Atlantic Friday. A Typhoon Watch has been issued for Guam and CNMI. Read More >

Automatically generated image showing areas of the convective interest parameter.


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Convective Interest

This is a highly experimental index which attempts to show areas where surface based convection is favorable or may initiate within the next hour. The index uses a combination of several fields, (CAPE, CIN, low level lapse rates, moisture convergence, satellite, and most unstable LI) to develop a number between -100 and 100. Negative values are indicative of an environment not supportive of surface based convection. The higher the value, the more favorable the environment is for surface based convection. Values greater than 70 are suggestive that convective initiation will likely occur within the next hour in that region. This index works best in regimes of airmass (or pulse) convection or on days where the cap is the primary inhibiting factor for convection.

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Areas of Excessive Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorms; Typhoon Watch for Guam/CNMI

Convective Parameters - Convective Interest