COZ291-210315-
Northern San Juan Forecast Area-
502 AM MDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
An approaching cold front will bring gusty winds to the forecast
area today.  These gusts will be between 20 to 30 mph for most areas though
the northern valleys will see gusts up to 40 mph, possibly higher at times.
A wind advisory has been issued for that area from noon to 6pm.  The cold
front will move through starting at 6pm and will have exited the area
by daybreak tomorrow.  A few inches (1 to 3) of snow is possible for the
northern and central mountains late tonight as the front moves through.
Areas outside the mountains may see a few showers but little accumulation
expected.  Temperatures will drop Saturday but start warming up as soon
as Sunday.  After that, another prolonged period of dry and warm weather
is expected.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (30-40%). 
Max temperature.....53-63 F. 
Min humidity........22-32%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph, becoming 
                    southwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. 
                    Localized gusts up to 40 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 low. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 30 to 40 mph, increasing to 40 to 50 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......10000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph until 1200, then 30 to 
                    40 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%). Scattered showers. 
Min temperature.....22-32 F. 
Max humidity........61-76%. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph in the evening, 
                    becoming downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by 
                    sunset. Localized gusts up to 35 mph. 
CWR.................20 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 low. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 35 to 45 mph, becoming west 25 to 35 
                    mph after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......3500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 25 to 35 mph until 2400, then west 10 
                    to 15 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 2100. Poor after 0300. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%). 
Max temperature.....39-49 F. 
Min humidity........19-29%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 very low. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 30 to 40 mph, increasing to northwest 35 
                    to 45 mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......5500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 22-32. Highs 49-59. Winds less than 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 29-39. Highs 55-65. Winds less than 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 29-39. Highs 54-64. Winds less than
15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 29-39. Highs 56-66. 
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 30-40. Highs 55-65. 

$$