COZ293-041200-
COZ293-041200-
Gunnison Basin Forecast Area-
151 PM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
151 PM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.DISCUSSION...Moisture in place today has resulted in widespread 
wetting rain across some locations, as well as much cooler 
temperatures. Frequent lightning and gusty winds will also be 
possible today. Temperatures warm a few degrees tomorrow, with 
lingering moisture allowing for afternoon showers and storms to 
form over the higher terrain. Much warmer and drier conditions 
return for Saturday into early next week. Light winds will keep 
critical fire weather conditions limited through this period.


...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%) until 2400, then partly 
                    cloudy (50-60%). Scattered showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 2400, then isolated showers 
                    and thunderstorms. 
Chc of lightning....50 percent. 
Min temperature.....44-54 F. 
Max humidity........84-99%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 25 mph in the evening. 
CWR.................50 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Max temperature.....71-81 F. 
Min humidity........23-33%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    west 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Localized 
                    gusts up to 30 mph. 
CWR.................20 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 0900, then 8500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). Isolated showers until 
                    2400. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....47-57 F. 
Max humidity........56-71%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......7000 ft AGL until 2000. 1500 ft AGL after 2100. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph until 2400, then south. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....75-85 F. 
Min humidity........11-16%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 4 to 8 mph. Localized 
                    gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 0800, then 11500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph until 1200, then west 10 to 15 
                    mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 77-87. Winds less than
15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows
45-55. Highs 78-88. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
47-57. Highs 80-90. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48-58. Highs 81-91. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 48-58. Highs 81-91.