National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorm and Heavy Rainfall Potential Continues

A low pressure center tracking across the Great Lakes and its associated cold front extending across the Southern Plains will focus occasional showers and thunderstorms through tonight. A few of these thunderstorms may become severe alongside heavy rainfall that may cause flash flooding; Portions of the Southern Plains would be the greatest threat for these hazards through tonight. Read More >

 

UTZ487-020030-
UTZ487-020030-
Book Cliffs-
229 AM MDT Thu May 1 2025

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
229 AM MDT Thu May 1 2025

.DISCUSSION...A weakening front will continue to push through 
southern portions of Utah and Colorado today leading to scattered
shower and thunderstorm activity. Otherwise dry conditions are 
expected over the next few days before a stronger system arrives
for the weekend. Critical fire weather condition appear unlikely
over the next week due either to light winds or abundant low 
level moisture. 

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Near 5000 feet, partly cloudy (40-50%) until 
                    1200, then mostly sunny (20-30%). Near 8000 
                    feet, partly cloudy (40-50%), isolated showers 
                    after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....54-64 F near 5000 feet 
                    49-59 F near 8000 feet. 
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........13-23%. 
   24 hr trend......8% drier. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 4 to 8 mph. Localized 
                    gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 0900, then 10000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....North 5 mph. 
Clearing Index......Less than 500 until 0900, then 1000. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....35-45 F. 
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. 
Max humidity........50-60%. 
   24 hr trend......37% drier. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 20 mph in the evening. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
Mixing Height.......9500 ft AGL until 2000, then 1500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Clearing Index......900 until 2000, then less than 500. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....63-73 F near 5000 feet 
                    56-66 F near 8000 feet. 
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. 
Min humidity........9-14%. 
   24 hr trend......7% drier. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 1000, then 8500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Clearing Index......Less than 500 until 1100, then 850. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers . Lows 37-47. Highs
69-79. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and isolated
thunderstorms near 6000 feet and showers and isolated
thunderstorms near 8000 feet. Lows 43-53. Highs 63-73. Winds
less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms near 6000 feet and numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms near 8000 feet. Lows 38-48. Highs 55-65. Winds
less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms near 6000 feet and scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms near 8000 feet. Lows 35-45. Highs 55-65. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
near 6000 feet and scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
near 8000 feet. Lows 35-45. Highs 59-69.