National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane Isaias to Approach the Northern Gulf Coast on Friday

Isaias is expected to approach the northern Gulf Coast as a strong hurricane on Friday, bringing life-threatening storm surge, damaging winds, heavy rain, and severe thunderstorms across the region and Southeast into the weekend, with risks of flooding and tornadoes. Read More >

Morning valley and lake fog will give way to sunny skies late this morning. High temperatures several degrees warmer than Tuesday. Not as warm Friday under increasing clouds.
Isaias is forecast to move northeast toward the central Gulf today, then turn north tonight into tomorrow before making landfall near Pensacola, FL Friday night, then move north across the Deep South through Saturday. Although the center of Isaias is forecast to pass well to our west, tropical moisture will impact our area this weekend, bringing the potential for heavy rainfall and localized flooding as well as very gusty winds. Forecast confidence is increasing, but uncertainty remains in the rainfall and especially in the wind forecast.
Rain develops as early as Saturday morning and continues into at least Sunday morning. Total rainfall is mostly expected in the 2-4” range, with locally higher amounts on the southeast-facing slopes of the Appalachians. Confidence in this rainfall forecast is moderate. Based upon this forecast, some nuisance to minor flooding will be possible along streams and in low-lying areas, but widespread flash flooding, or moderate flooding along main stem rivers is unlikely. Confidence in the wind forecast is low at this time, but very gusty winds could develop over the mountains Saturday, possibly resulting in scattered damage to trees and power lines.