National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Significant and Catastrophic Flooding in the Pacific Northwest; Very Cold Temperatures in the Northern Plains

The atmospheric river over the Pacific Northwest will begin to subside today, but lingering rainfall will exacerbate ongoing catastrophic major river flooding, and landslides will continue across portions of western Washington and northwest Oregon for several days. Arctic air will plummet southward into the Northern Plains today, bringing cold air in the single digits to the region by Friday. Read More >

You may see terms in a National Weather Service Zone Forecast that might not be easy to understand.  The following defines much of the terminology we use in a Zone Forecast Product.

PRECIPITATION

Technically, the Probability of Precipitation (often referred to as a "POP") is defined as the likelihood of occurrence (in percent) of a measurable amount of liquid precipitation (or water equivalent of frozen precipitation) during a specified period of time at any given point in the forecast area.  

The following are precipitation probabilities used by the National Weather Service.

 
POP Percentage Expression/Uncertainty Areal Qualifiers
0 Percent None None
10 Percent ISOLATED or None ISOLATED or None
20 Percent SLIGHT CHANCE ISOLATED
30-50 Percent CHANCE SCATTERED
60-70 Percent LIKELY NUMEROUS
80-100 Percent (none) OCCASIONAL or
PERIODS OF
 
 

SKY CONDITION

Forecasts normally include a sky condition unless it is implied from another part of the forecast.  Below are terms we use to describe the sky condition:

Descriptive Term Predominant or Average Cloud Cover
CLEAR or SUNNY No clouds
MOSTLY SUNNY or MOSTLY CLEAR 1/8 to 2/8 clouds
PARTLY CLOUDY or PARTLY SUNNY 3/8 to 5/8 clouds
MOSTLY CLOUDY (sometimes CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS) 6/8 to 7/8 clouds
CLOUDY 8/8 clouds
Also used:
INCREASING CLOUDS
DECREASING CLOUDS
 

WIND

Each Zone Forecast conditions three periods of wind information.   The direction given is the direction from which the wind blows.  Speeds are rounded to the nearest 5 mph, and often a range is given.

 

For speeds less than 5 mph, we often say "LIGHT WIND."
For speeds of 15-25 mph, we often say "BREEZY."
For speeds of 20-30 mph, we often say "WINDY."
For speeds of 30-40 mph, we often say "VERY WINDY."
For speeds greater than 40 mph, we often say "HIGH," "STRONG," OR "DANGEROUS."


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