National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Space Weather; Severe Weather and Heavy Rain across the Plains on Monday

Moderate to Severe geomagnetic storm conditions will remain possible into early Monday. Heavy rain potential will pose a flooding threat across areas of central to southern Florida over the next few days. On Monday, scattered severe thunderstorms may produce severe gusts, large hail, and heavy rain across portions of the central and southern High Plains into the northern Great Plains. Read More >

The annual exceedance probability (AEP) provides a way of comparing rainfall to the climate of a particular area. For example, a certain amount of rain may be less rare in Louisiana than Missouri. Estimating the annual chance of observed or forecast rainfall amounts may provide a way of determining the significance of that rainfall for a particular location.