National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms in the Southeast; Critical Fire Weather in the Northern Plains

Isolated severe storms with locally damaging wind gusts and hail are possible from the coastal Carolinas into the Florida Peninsula, and along the central Gulf Coast. Heavy rain may cause localized areas of flash flooding in the Gulf Coast. Gusty winds and dry conditions may produce elevated to critical fire weather across the northern/central Plains. Record heat is expected in the West. Read More >


28-day Mississippi River Forecast Plots

 

These experimental plots were created as a way to display long range (28-day) forecasts which became part of daily operations at LMRFC in November of 2016. The official forecast (2 days of QPF) is displayed along with an experimental, raw model NAEFS-based forecast (16 days of QPF).

 


NEXRAD ZR Relationship Table

 

This table displays the radar reflectivity to rain rate relationships being used by each of the NEXRAD radar sites in the LMRFC area. Local weather forecast offices will change this relationship seasonally and by rainfall event to help improve radar estimates of rainfall.

 


MRMS Rainfall Diagnostics

 

Plots displaying diagnostics for the MRMS radar-only rainfall estimate product. The plots were developed as a tool for monitoring biases in radar-only products.