National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Areas of Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall through This Weekend

Several rounds of severe thunderstorms are ongoing and expected from the central and southern High Plains to the Southeast U.S. through Sunday. Large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes will be possible. Thunderstorms may also bring areas of excessive rainfall which could bring flooding to parts of the aforementioned areas through Sunday. Read More >

The annual exceedance probability (AEP) provides a way of comparing rainfall to the climate of a particular area. For example, a certain amount of rain may be less rare in Louisiana than Missouri. Estimating the annual chance of observed or forecast rainfall amounts may provide a way of determining the significance of that rainfall for a particular location.