Fire Weather Program at WFO Morristown, TN

These products and outlook graphics can be used to support the fire weather program across east Tennessee, southwest Virginia, and southwest North Carolina. For more information, please call the NWS Morristown, Tennessee.

Request a SPOT Forecast

Energy Release Component Haines

7-Day Forecasts	Current Local Radar
Fire Weather Forecasts


Hourly Weather Forecast	Latest Fire Weather Forecast
	399 FNUS54 KMRX 130752 FWFMRX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina National Weather Service Morristown TN 252 AM EST Thu Dec 13 2018 .DISCUSSION... A ridge of high pressure has moved east of the area allowing winds to become southwesterly slowly pulling moisture and milder temperatures back into the southern Appalachians. As a storm system over the southern Plains moves toward the area for Friday and Saturday rain chances will increase, as well windy conditions over the Mountains and adjacent Foothills. Warmer air streaming in ahead of this system will keep the precipitation in the form of rain. Sunday the system moves out with the rain ending and temperatures staying near to above normal. VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140900- Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6- 252 AM EST Thu Dec 13 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud cover MCldy PCldy Cloudy Temp (24h trend) 46-51 (+7) 34-39 (+4) 48-53 RH % (24h trend) 46-51 (-9) 93-98 (+5) 58-63 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR E 11 G29 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 5 G15 SE 12 G30 Precip type None Showers Showers Chance precip (%) 0 20 100 Precip duration 1 5 Precip begin 3 AM Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.01 0.48 LAL 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 4 2 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3200 2700 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 1200 600 Transport wnd (mph) S 7 E 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 22400 56700 Dispersion 6 Very poor 11 Poor Max LVORI 4 6 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR E 14 G29 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 5 SE 7 G15 SE 15 G30 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140900- Northern Cherokee National Forest- 252 AM EST Thu Dec 13 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud cover MCldy MCldy Cloudy Temp (24h trend) 46-51 (+6) 34-39 (+6) 48-53 RH % (24h trend) 32-37 (-8) 95-100 (+8) 66-71 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 17 G46 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 6 G22 SE 10 G24 SE 19 G46 Precip type None Showers Showers Chance precip (%) 0 40 100 Precip duration 1 5 Precip begin 2 AM Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.04 0.59 LAL 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 5 2 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3500 2900 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 800 200 Transport wnd (mph) SE 8 SE 25 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28000 72500 Dispersion 4 Very poor 4 Very poor Max LVORI 4 8 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 22 G46 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 8 G22 SE 12 G24 SE 23 G46 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ072-074-140900- Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park- 252 AM EST Thu Dec 13 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud cover PCldy MCldy Cloudy Temp (24h trend) 49-54 (+7) 37-42 (+7) 50-55 RH % (24h trend) 25-30 (-8) 95-100 (+15) 70-75 20ft Wind-AM(mph) S 5 SE 17 G47 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 6 G22 SE 11 G30 SE 19 G48 Precip type None Showers Showers Chance precip (%) 0 70 100 Precip duration 1 7 Precip begin 1 AM Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.07 0.59 LAL 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 5 2 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4100 3200 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1100 200 Transport wnd (mph) S 10 SE 25 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41000 80000 Dispersion 8 Poor 3 Very poor Max LVORI 2 8 33ft wind-AM(mph) S 6 SE 21 G47 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 8 G22 SE 14 G30 SE 23 G48 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. South winds 5 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ087-102-140900- Southern Cherokee National Forest- 252 AM EST Thu Dec 13 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud cover MCldy MCldy Cloudy Temp (24h trend) 51-56 (+5) 40-45 (+9) 51-56 RH % (24h trend) 34-39 (+1) 95-100 (+30) 73-78 20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 6 SE 13 G31 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 8 G21 SE 10 G26 SE 12 G30 Precip type None Showers Showers Chance precip (%) 0 70 100 Precip duration 1 8 Precip begin 12 AM Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.12 0.56 LAL 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 5 2 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3600 2200 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1500 200 Transport wnd (mph) SE 13 SE 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46800 46200 Dispersion 15 Gen poor 3 Very poor Max LVORI 3 9 33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 7 SE 17 G31 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 10 G21 SE 13 G26 SE 16 G30 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. North winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph. The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ NCZ060-061-140900- Nantahala National Forest- 252 AM EST Thu Dec 13 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud cover MCldy MCldy Cloudy Temp (24h trend) 49-54 (+3) 38-43 (+11) 51-56 RH % (24h trend) 34-39 (-5) 95-100 (+24) 79-84 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 12 G28 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 7 G20 SE 9 G23 SE 10 G27 Precip type None Showers Showers Chance precip (%) 0 80 100 Precip duration 2 8 Precip begin 11 PM Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.14 0.56 LAL 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 5 2 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3700 2400 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1400 100 Transport wnd (mph) SE 9 SE 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33300 50400 Dispersion 12 Poor 2 Very poor Max LVORI 3 10 33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 5 SE 15 G28 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 9 G20 SE 11 G23 SE 13 G27 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph. The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140900- East Tennessee District East- 252 AM EST Thu Dec 13 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud cover PCldy PCldy Cloudy Temp (24h trend) 49-54 (+6) 35-40 (+4) 50-55 RH % (24h trend) 44-49 (-11) 95-100 (+10) 65-70 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR E 10 G27 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR E 5 G15 E 11 G26 Precip type None Showers Showers Chance precip (%) 0 30 100 Precip duration 1 5 Precip begin 3 AM Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.03 0.52 LAL 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 5 2 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 2900 2400 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1400 900 Transport wnd (mph) SE 5 E 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 14500 48000 Dispersion 5 Very poor 15 Gen poor Max LVORI 4 5 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR E 13 G27 33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR E 7 G15 E 13 G26 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph. The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140900- East Tennessee District West- 252 AM EST Thu Dec 13 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud cover MCldy MCldy Cloudy Temp (24h trend) 50-55 (+5) 39-44 (+5) 49-54 RH % (24h trend) 46-51 (-1) 94-99 (+18) 63-68 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR E 8 G22 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR E 5 G15 E 8 G21 Precip type None Showers Showers Chance precip (%) 0 50 100 Precip duration 1 7 Precip begin 2 AM Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.05 0.57 LAL 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 5 2 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3200 2100 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1900 800 Transport wnd (mph) S 9 E 17 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28800 35700 Dispersion 14 Gen poor 12 Poor Max LVORI 3 6 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR E 10 G22 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 5 E 7 G15 E 9 G21 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. South winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 40. West winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ077-079>085-097>101-140900- Cumberland District South- 252 AM EST Thu Dec 13 2018 /152 AM CST Thu Dec 13 2018/ Today Tonight Fri Cloud cover MCldy MCldy Cloudy Temp (24h trend) 51-56 (+6) 40-45 (+6) 52-57 RH % (24h trend) 43-48 (-5) 95-100 (+17) 72-77 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR E 7 G19 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 7 G17 SE 6 G17 E 7 G19 Precip type None Showers Showers Chance precip (%) 0 80 100 Precip duration 2 8 Precip begin 10 PM Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.15 0.49 LAL 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 5 2 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3600 1700 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2400 600 Transport wnd (mph) S 14 E 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 25500 Dispersion 30 Fair 7 Poor Max LVORI 3 8 33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 5 E 9 G19 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 8 G17 SE 8 G17 E 9 G19 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs near 50. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. North winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$
Digital Tabular Forecast

Minimum Potential Accumulation Expect at least this much. This is what we see as the least amount of snow the storm can produce. This information is for advance planning ahead of the storm. It is provided out as far as three days. However, when the snow starts to fall, this will be discontinued to focus on the forecast snow amount. Most Likely Snow Accumulation Represents our official snow forecast in inches within the next one to three days. The snowfall amounts are provided in point (single number) and ranges (1-2", 2-4", etc.). You can toggle between the two by hovering over the "Point" and "Range" text above the image. The point amount is our forecast but the range for the "most likely" represents the forecast uncertainty in predefined ranges. Maximum Potential Accumulation What you should be prepared for. This is what we see as the storm's maximum potential snowfall accumulation. This information is for advance planning ahead of the storm. It is provided out as far as three days. However, when the snow starts to fall, this will be discontinued to focus on the forecast snow amount.

Short to Long-Range Forecast

Day 1 Forecast Precipitation	Day 2 Forecast Precipitation


Day 3 Forecast Precipitation	Days 1-3 Forecast Precipitation


Days 6-10
Temperature	Precipitation


Days 8-14
TEMPERATURE	PRECIPITATION