New York Metro Aviation Discussion


Aviation Weather Discussion 
National Weather Service NEW YORK NY

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***      NY METRO Terminal Weather Discussion       ***
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 .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High pressure will remain over the area through much of tonight
before giving way to an approaching frontal system on Saturday.
The latter will send a warm front through the area during the
late morning/early afternoon hours Saturday, followed by a cold
frontal passage Saturday night.

This will be primarily a VFR forecast through tonight before
rounds of showers and thunderstorms move through the area on
Saturday with MVFR or lower conditions. The greatest uncertainty
will be the increasing concentration of smoke in the low levels
returning tonight into Saturday morning. The latest HRRR shows 
the greatest concentration between 12Z and 18Z Saturday. MVFR 
vsby restrictions possible in the smoke. 

Coastal terminals will likely see a wind shift to the south by 
early this evening, while inland terminals may just go from NW 
this afternoon at less than 10 kt to light and variable 
overnight. SW/S winds increase to 10-15 kt with G20-25kt on 
Saturday, highest at the eastern terminals. Low chance for SW 
LLWS below 2kft.

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty... 

Wind shift to the S/SE or light and variable this evening at 
KEWR may vary by 1-2 hours. 

Occasional gusts 15-18 kt possible this afternoon.

Chance of MVFR developing in smoke this evening and persisting
through Saturday morning. Low confidence of IFR or lower in the
smoke. 

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

Saturday afternoon/night: MVFR or lower with showers/tstms. 
SW/S winds G20-25kt in the afternoon/early evening, then
gradually diminishing.

Sunday and Monday: Mainly VFR. 

Tuesday and Wednesday: MVFR or lower with showers/tstms.

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***    LATEST NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER   ***
***         METEOROLOGICAL IMPACT STATEMENT         ***
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...FOR ATC PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY...
ZDC CWSU WILL PROVIDE SVC BACKUP FOR ZNY CWSU FM 121700Z TIL 130100Z.
=

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***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
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APRIL 1, 2016

ZNY SWAP STATEMENTS ARE NO LONGER AVIALABLE FROM THIS SOURCE.

SEE WEATHER.GOV/ZNY OR FAA ADVISORY RESOURCES.

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Web Page Last Modified: 1/12/16