New York Metro Aviation Discussion


Aviation Weather Discussion 
National Weather Service NEW YORK NY

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***      NY METRO Terminal Weather Discussion       ***
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 .AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A warm front stalls over the region today. The front will move
to the south and stall tonight into Wednesday. 

MVFR-IFR for the rest of the morning at most terminals with an
area of showers moving across. A thunderstorm is possible. Some
brief improvement is expected early this afternoon, especially
from the NYC metro terminals on north and west, where brief VFR
is expected. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop
18-20z, then move across the terminals through 00z. The highest
chances remain from western CT/western Long Island across the
NYC metro terminals into the Lower Hudson Valley. 

IFR should overspread the terminals from northeast to southwest
this evening once the front pushes to the south. IFR will then
prevail into Wednesday morning, with conditions locally LIFR
possible for outlying terminals. Some improvement is expected
after 15z Wednesday, but should remain MVFR.  

S-SW flow 10 kt or less develops into the afternoon across NYC
terminals on NW. Elsewhere, winds may remain SE-S or variable at
times 5-8 kt. E-NE winds around 10 kt or less expected tonight
into Wednesday morning. 

     NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
PROB30 TSRA may continue until 17z. 
 
TSRA timing this afternoon and evening may be off by 1-2 hours.

Timing of brief improvement to VFR may be off by 1-2 hours.
Conditions could remain MVFR at LGA and JFK. 

Timing of wind shift to the NE this evening may be off by 1-3
hours. 

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

Wednesday: IFR to start with improvement to MVFR late
morning/early afternoon. Shower possible. 

Wednesday Night: MVFR or lower with showers, possibly a
thunderstorm. 

Thursday: MVFR or lower at times. Showers and thunderstorms
possible in the afternoon and evening.

Friday-Saturday: Mainly VFR. 

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component 
forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

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***    LATEST NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER   ***
***         METEOROLOGICAL IMPACT STATEMENT         ***
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...FOR ATC PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY...
CWSU ZBW WILL PROVIDE SERVICE BACKUP FOR CWSU ZNY BTW 2330-0100Z. NO 
UPDATES AFT 0100Z.
=

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***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
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APRIL 1, 2016

ZNY SWAP STATEMENTS ARE NO LONGER AVIALABLE FROM THIS SOURCE.

SEE WEATHER.GOV/ZNY OR FAA ADVISORY RESOURCES.

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Web Page Last Modified: 1/12/16