National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Across the South; Heat Spreads Across the West and Southern Plains

A couple of frontal boundaries will move east and south from the Plains to the Gulf and Atlantic coastlines. These boundaries will focus showers and thunderstorms through the weekend, with scattered severe thunderstorms from the Southern Plains and across the Gulf Coast states. Locally heavy rainfall may also occur, which may be welcome news across drought areas. Meanwhile, heat spreads westward. Read More >


Aviation Weather Discussion 
National Weather Service NEW YORK NY

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***      NY METRO Terminal Weather Discussion       ***
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 .AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Terminals will be between systems as one exits to the east
tonight and a cold front approaches from the west. The latter is
expected to pass through the area Sunday evening. 

Widespread IFR/LIFR conditions continue to encompass the
terminals overnight, lingering through at least 12Z. VLIFR also
possible. Conditions then improve to VFR after 12Z Sunday with
a chance of sub-VFR conditions in showers during the afternoon 
and evening hours. There is some uncertainty with the timing of 
development and then dissipation of the lower conditions. 

Winds are light and variable overnight. A light W-SW flow 
develops Sunday morning, increasing to around 10 kt in the 
afternoon. There is the potential for gusts up to 20 kt in the 
afternoon, but confidence in not high due to uncertainty in the 
depth of the mixed layer. Winds will then veer to the NW-N in 
the evening behind the cold front.

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Amendments are likely overnight into Sunday morning due to some
uncertainty with the timing of lowering categories tonight, and
then the improvement on Sunday.

Chance of gusts up to 20 kt Sunday afternoon. 

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Sunday Night: Chance of showers and MVFR in the evening. Showers
likely, especially closer to the coast at night along with MVFR,
potentially IFR at times. 

Monday: Chance of showers and MVFR early, especially near the 
coast, then VFR.

Tuesday: Mainly VFR. NW winds G15-20 kt possible in the 
afternoon.

Wednesday: Showers developing through the day. MVFR or lower 
conditions. S winds G15-25 kt in the afternoon and evening. 

Thursday: Showers possible with MVFR or lower conditions. 

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, 
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

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***    LATEST NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER   ***
***         METEOROLOGICAL IMPACT STATEMENT         ***
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...FOR ATC PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY...
ZDC CWSU WILL PROVIDE BACKUP TO ZNY FM 082300-090100Z.
OCNL MOD ICE BTN 050-FL180.

=

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***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
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THE ZNY ARTCC SEVERE WEATHER AVOIDANCE PLAN (SWAP) STATEMENT
IS CURRENTLY UNAVAILABLE.

The SWAP Statement is Issue Daily during the late morning during
SWAP Season - 1 Apr through 30 Sep.

During other times of the year, the SWAP Statement is issued on 
an as needed basis. 

 

Web Page Last Modified:  1/12/16