New York Metro Aviation Discussion


Aviation Weather Discussion 
National Weather Service NEW YORK NY

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***      NY METRO Terminal Weather Discussion       ***
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 .AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A cold front passes through the region from this afternoon into
early this evening. The front then stalls south of the region 
thereafter through the rest of the TAF period.

Category forecast starts with VFR then trends to mainly MVFR by
late this afternoon when showers are expected to become more 
numerous in coverage. In addition, there is a chance of a 
thunderstorm, but the probability is too low to include in TAFs.
Some showers remain but will be light tonight, and eventually 
become more of a light rain or drizzle going into Thursday.

Then, for late tonight and into Thursday, MVFR is expected to 
trend towards IFR. IFR is expected to remain thereafter for the 
rest of the TAF period. IFR is mainly for ceilings.

Regarding the winds, they are initially S-SW near 10 kt with 
gusts up to near 20 kt for this afternoon. Then, winds are 
expected to shift and become more northerly behind the cold 
front mid to late this afternoon into this evening. The 
northerly winds eventually become more NE-ENE by late tonight 
into early Thursday. Wind speeds pick up to near 15 kt late 
tonight into early Thursday, and then stay in a general 10-15 kt
for the rest of the TAF period. Some gusts up to 20 kt can be 
expected.


     NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty... 

If radar blossoms with discrete heavier showers may have to 
amend to add in brief TSRA for 1-2 hours before 01Z Thursday.

The timing from southerly to northerly winds may be off by 1-2 
hours from TAF.


.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY... 

Thursday: IFR. E/NE 10-15kt at the coast. -DZ.

Friday: Becoming VFR. SW G15-20kt.

Saturday: Mainly VFR. Chance for MVFR or lower Sat night. 
Chance of showers. SE-S wind gusts 15-20 kt.

Sunday: MVFR or lower possible. Chance of showers. SW gusts to
near 20 kt during day. W-NW wind gusts near 20 kt at night.

Monday: VFR. W-NW wind gusts 15-20 kt.  

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component
forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

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***    LATEST NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER   ***
***         METEOROLOGICAL IMPACT STATEMENT         ***
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...FOR ATC PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY...
CWSU ZDC WILL PROVIDE SERVICE BACKUP FOR CWSU ZNY BTW 2330-0100Z. NO 
UPDATES AFT 0100Z.
=

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***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
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APRIL 1, 2016

ZNY SWAP STATEMENTS ARE NO LONGER AVIALABLE FROM THIS SOURCE.

SEE WEATHER.GOV/ZNY OR FAA ADVISORY RESOURCES.

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Web Page Last Modified: 1/12/16