New York Metro Aviation Discussion


Aviation Weather Discussion 
National Weather Service NEW YORK NY

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***      NY METRO Terminal Weather Discussion       ***
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 .AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
High pressure remains over the terminals through tonight, then 
weakens Wednesday as a warm front slowly approaches from the 
southwest.

VFR through the TAF period. There is a low chance of MVFR ceilings 
at the NYC metro terminals toward 18Z Wednesday, with low 
confidence, and dependent on the timing of the warm front.

End timing of NW gusts may be an hour or so earlier than forecast. A 
late day S/SW sea breeze remains possible at KJFK, as latest radar 
data is showing the sea breeze south of KJFK.
Timing remains uncertain. Winds in the NYC metro area will be W to 
NW less than 10 kt this evening, and may even become light and 
variable, while the outlying terminals will likely become light and 
variable this evening. Winds then become NE late tonight into early 
Wednesday morning, and then E to SE. Timing of the wind changes late 
tonight into Wednesday morning is uncertain and dependent on 
weakening high pressure and warm front approach.

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty... 

Gusts have become more frequent, and expected to end around 22Z.

The chance for a late day S-SW sea breeze remains possible for KJFK, 
timing may be off by a couple of hours with confidence in occurrence 
below average.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Wed afternoon and Thu: MVFR developing Wednesday afternoon with 
showers becoming likely. Conditions lower to IFR, and possibly LIFR 
at time with showers Wednesday night through Thursday.
Showers end with improving conditions Thursday night. Winds Thursday 
east around 15kt with gusts 20-25kt, highest along the coast.

Fri: VFR early, then MVFR late day and at night with a chance of 
showers.

Sat: MVFR with showers ending in the morning, becoming VFR.

Sun: VFR.


Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, 
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

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***    LATEST NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER   ***
***         METEOROLOGICAL IMPACT STATEMENT         ***
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...FOR ATC PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY...
ZDC WILL PROVIDE SERVICE BACK UP FOR ZNY BTW 1500-1700Z.
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***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
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APRIL 1, 2016

ZNY SWAP STATEMENTS ARE NO LONGER AVIALABLE FROM THIS SOURCE.

SEE WEATHER.GOV/ZNY OR FAA ADVISORY RESOURCES.

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Web Page Last Modified: 1/12/16