New York Metro Aviation Discussion


Aviation Weather Discussion 
National Weather Service NEW YORK NY

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***      NY METRO Terminal Weather Discussion       ***
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 .AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
An warm front approaching from the southwest tonight will bring
widespread showers and a few thunderstorms into the area toward
daybreak Sunday. The rain will exit from west to during the 
late morning into the early afternoon hours.

Ceilings will lower to IFR, possibly low LIFR, from about 09z to
12Z. Rain will overspread the area from SW to NE, about 1-3 
hours prior to the lowest conditions. Improvement expected for 
NYC terminals and Lower Hudson Valley terminals from 15Z to 
18Z, but will be several hours slower for the eastern terminals.
VFR expected to develop in the afternoon for all but KGON 
(which may be closer to early evening (22Z).

The wind forecast has quite a bit of uncertainty after 12Z as
a warm front and frontal wave move across the area. Before then
though, SE winds less than 10 kt will back to the E/SE 
overnight. Winds could vary anywhere from W/SW to E/NE across 
the area behind the frontal wave and warm front Sunday, with 
most locations becoming W/SW by late afternoon. Winds forecast 
for this time is low confidence. 

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Amendments likely late tonight into the morning for timing of 
heavy showers/thunderstorms and corresponding flight categories.

Low chance of southerly wind shear up to 2kft in the morning.

Wind forecast late morning into the afternoon is low confidence,
but generally less than 10 kt. Winds may be highly variable at
times. Even a chance of afternoon seabreeze development.

.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Sunday Night: VFR. 

Monday: VFR. Northerly wind gusts 15-20 kt day into early evening.

Tuesday through Thursday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&
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***    LATEST NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER   ***
***         METEOROLOGICAL IMPACT STATEMENT         ***
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...FOR ATC PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY...
ZDC WILL PROVIDE SVC BACKUP FOR ZNY FM 121945Z TIL 130100Z...NO 
FURTHER UPDATES AVAILABLE.
=

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***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
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THE ZNY ARTCC SEVERE WEATHER AVOIDANCE PLAN (SWAP) STATEMENT
IS CURRENTLY UNAVAILABLE.

The SWAP Statement is Issue Daily during the late morning during
SWAP Season - 1 Apr through 30 Sep.

During other times of the year, the SWAP Statement is issued on 
an as needed basis.
Web Page Last Modified: 1/12/16