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Western Heat Wave Continues; Severe Weather in the Midwest; Tropical Disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico

The persistent and extreme heat wave being felt across the western U.S. is set to continue and even expand into the Central U.S. Severe weather and flash flooding are possible over the Midwest. A tropical depression will likely form over the western Gulf of Mexico in the next two days. Heavy rain could begin to impact portions of the northern Gulf Coast Friday. Read More >

 

Full Domain Model Run

 

Delaware Bay Model Run

 

New Jersey Coastal Waters Model Run

 

These models forecasts are produced by WFO Mount Holly, NJ, using the NWPS wave models and the Real Time Ocean Forecast System.


The NWPS output is used as guidance to produce WFO Mount Holly. It is only experimental and it may differ from the official forecast.  For the official marine forecast  graphics go to:  WFO PHI Official Marine Forecast Graphics.

NWPS accounts for the following physics:

  • Wave propagation in time and space, shoaling, refraction due to current and depth, frequency shifting due to currents and non-stationary depth.
  • Wave generation by wind.
  • Three- and four-wave interactions.
  • Whitecapping, bottom friction and depth-induced breaking.
  • Dissipation.
  • Wave-induced set-up.
  • Propagation from laboratory up to global scales.
  • Transmission through and reflection (specular and diffuse) against obstacles.
  • Diffraction.

In here you will see 3-hourly forecast outputs for significant wave height, peak wave direction, peak wave period, and significant swell height (heights in feet and periods in seconds).  Our local version of NWPS also uses input from WAVEWATCH III for boundary conditions.

NOTE:  Significant Swell Height output from NWPS is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the group of waves with periods of 10 secs or longer.