Tucson Monthly & Seasonal Reviews for 2026

The January outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for Tucson favored above-normal monthly mean temperatures (53% above vs. 14% below) and equal chances for below-, near-, or above-normal total precipitation amounts.

The new year opened on a wet note as a Pacific weather system moved across the area, bringing widespread and occasional heavy showers on New Year's Day. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 0.10" to 0.75". The daily average dew point value on New Year's Day of 55° tied the January record which previously occurred on January 22nd & 23rd in 2009. Dry conditions prevailed from the 2nd through the 6th with high temperatures mainly in the 60s and lows in the 40s.

A stronger and colder Pacific weather system brought widespread valley rain and mountain snow to the area on the 7th and 8th. Two-day rainfall totals ranged from 0.50" to 1.25" with localized higher amounts up to 1.75". The bulk of this rain occurred on the 7th which was a dreary cool day with little temperature difference between the high (upper 40s to lower 50s) and low temperature (mid to upper 40s) with the airport recording a high of 51° & a low of 48°. This 3° difference tied a January record for the smallest difference between the high & low temperature. The previous occurrences were on January 3, 1931 (high 50°, low 47°) & January 6, 1939 (high 54°, low 51°). The 51°/48° high/low temperature combination also is the first such combination in the historical record for Tucson dating back to 1895. Mt. Lemmon recorded 12 to 14 inches of snow for this event.

A colder air mass settled in across the area on the 9th & 10th with widespread low temperatures in the 30s on the 9th and upper 20s to mid 30s on the 10th. The airport recorded its coldest low temperature of the month on the 10th at 34°. Gusty east winds were around on the 11th with areas that are susceptible to east winds, like Sabino Canyon, Tanque Verde and the airport recording gusts between 45 and 55 mph. The airport recorded a wind gust of 52 mph which is the 2nd highest wind gust recorded in January since 1970. The highest wind gust in January at the airport since 1970 is 55 mph on January 5, 1995.

Warmer temperatures returned to the area from the 13th to the 22nd where highs were in the 70s and lows were mostly in the upper 30s to mid 40s.

The last weather system of the month brought showers and mountain snow to the area on the 23rd and 24th. Rainfall totals for this 2-day period were mostly between 0.10" and 0.50" with localized spots up to 0.75". Mt. Lemmon recorded 4 to 6 inches of snow for this event.

The remainder of the month was dry with near or slightly above normal high temperatures.

The monthly average temperature of 55.3° is 1.7° above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest January on record. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 75° on the 14th, 15th & 31st to a low of 34° on the 10th. Although most of the metro area recorded a freezing low temperature this month, the airport did not. Thus for the 7th time on record and the third time this century (2003 & 2010), the airport didn't record a freezing low temperature in January.

Rainfall amounts varied across the metro area (per sources like rainlog.org, Pima County Regional Flood Control District, and CoCoRaHS), generally ranging from 0.75" to 2.00", with isolated totals reaching up 2.75". The Tucson International airport, the official recording location, recorded 1.70" which is nearly nine-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 21st wettest January on record, tied with 1983.

The first four months of the hydrological water year, October through January, have been rather wet with 5.18" being recorded at the airport. This ranks as the 21st wettest first four months of the water year on record.

One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been much warmer (57.7° or +4.3°) and wetter (2.15" or +0.25") than normal.

Looking ahead into February

A weak La Niña will continue in the equatorial Pacific through the end of Winter. The February outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for Tucson favors above normal monthly mean temperatures (43% above vs. 24% below) and equal chances for below-, near-, or above-normal total precipitation amounts.

Dominated by high pressure for most of the month, February set a new milestone as the warmest on record.

The monthly average temperature of 62.6° is 6.4° above normal and ranks as the warmest February on record. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 89° on the 27th & 28th to a low of 36° on the 21st. This is the 28th February on record in which the official site didn't record a low temperature of 32° or colder. Daily record temperatures were set on the 5th (warm low; 57°, old record 54° in 1935 & 1978), 27th (high; 89°, old record 88° in 1906 & 1986) and 28th (high; 89°, old record 85° in 1986, 1988 & 2009).

Rainfall amounts varied across the metro area (per sources like rainlog.org, Pima County Regional Flood Control District, and CoCoRaHS), generally ranging from 0.10" to 0.40", with isolated totals reaching up 0.60". The Tucson International airport, the official recording location, recorded 0.14" which seven-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 27th driest February on record.

The first five months of the hydrological water year, October through February, have been rather wet with 5.32" being recorded at the airport. This ranks as the 33rd wettest first five months of the water year on record.

La Niña conditions were forecast for the 2025-26 Winter season. Under the majority of La Niña conditions, a drier than normal winter typically occurs across the desert southwest. The Climate Prediction Center temperature and precipitation outlooks for Tucson called for the following:

• a 53% chance that the seasonal mean temperatures will be above normal
• a 14% chance that the seasonal mean temperatures will be below normal
• a 37% chance that the seasonal total precipitation will be below normal
• a 30% chance that the seasonal total precipitation will be above normal

The monthly historical breakdowns were:

• December: Warmest and 49th driest on record
• January: 10th warmest and 21st wettest on record
• February: Warmest and 27th driest on record

The seasonal average temperature of 59.3° is 5.0° above normal and goes into the record books as the WARMEST Winter on record, shattering the old record of 57.9° from the Winter of 2017-18. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 89° on February 27th and 28th to a low of 34° on January 10th. This is the FIRST Winter on record, since 1894, that a freezing low temperature wasn't recorded at the official location in Tucson. There were 13 daily record temperatures set (7 for highs and 6 for warm lows), which is the most in Winter since 12 were recorded in Winter 1962-63.

Rainfall amounts varied across the metro area (per sources like rainlog.org, Pima County Regional Flood Control District, and CoCoRaHS), ranging from 0.75" to 3.00", with isolated totals between 3.00" & 5.00". The Tucson International airport, the official recording location, recorded 2.29" which is nearly a third of an inch below normal and ranks as the 62nd wettest Winter season on record. The bulk of the Winter season rain occurred in January.

The yearly mean temperature of 58.7°, which is 3.8° above normal, ranks as the 2nd warmest January/February period on record. On the precipitation side the Tucson International Airport, the official recording location in Tucson, has recorded 1.84" which is 0.16" above normal and ranks as the 50th wettest January/February period on record.

The Climate Prediction Center's March outlook for Tucson favors a warmer-than-average month, showing a 49% chance of above-normal monthly mean temperatures compared to only an 18% chance of below-normal. For precipitation, the outlook indicated equal chances for below-, near-, or above-normal monthly total precipitation amounts.

The Climate Prediction Center's Spring outlook for Tucson favors a warmer-than-average season, showing a 58% chance of above-normal seasonal mean temperatures compared to only a 9% chance of below-normal. For precipitation, the outlook favors a drier-than-average season, showing a 50% chance of below-normal seasonal total precipitation amounts compared to a 17% chance of above-normal.

The heat dome over the southwest dominated the weather story during much of March in which numerous daily, monthly & earliest date temperature records were broken in Tucson. The most notable record broken was the earliest first triple-digit high temperature which occurred on March 19th, breaking the previous earliest date, April 11th, by 3 weeks.

Prior to March 2026, the decade of the 2020's has seen Tucson go through four extended periods of record setting high temperatures. Below is a listing this decade of 6 or more consecutive day periods that set/tied daily record high temperatures.

• June 12 to June 17, 2021 (Highs from 110° to 115°)
• July 15 to July 22, 2023 (Highs from 110° to 112°)
• September 25 to October 1, 2024 (Highs from 104° to 108°)
• October 3 to October 13, 2024 (Highs from 101° to 106°)

March 2026 joined that listed above with an extended heat wave that re-wrote the March record books. Below is an extensive listing of monthly, daily & earliest date temperature records that were broken or tied.

Monthly records:

• Warmest monthly average temperature: 72.1° (old record: 67.9°, March 2017)
• Warmest monthly average high temperature: 88.1° (old record: 83.3, March 2017)
• Warmest monthly average low temperature: 56.0° (old record: 53.5°, March 2004)
• Warmest monthly high temperature: 102° (old record: 99°, March 26, 1988)
• Warmest monthly low temperature: 68° (old record : 66°, March 26, 2025)
• Number of triple-digit high temperatures: 4 (1st occurrences of March triple-digit highs)
• Number of consecutive triple-digit high temperatures: 4 (1st March stretch on record)
• Number of days of high temperatures 95° or hotter: 10 (total of 8 days in March 1895-2025)
• Number of days of high temperatures 90° or hotter: 15 (old record: 10 in March 2017)
• Number of days of high temperatures 85° or hotter: 23 (old record: 18 in March 2004)
• Number of days of low temperatures 60° or warmer: 12 (old record: 6 in March 2004)

Daily records:

Record highs broken or tied (11): Most in March (old record 9 days in 1910 & 1989)

• March 1: 89° (old record: 87° in 1986)
• March 18: 95° (tied, previously set in 1907)
• March 19: 101° (old record: 95° in 1907)
• March 20: 101° (old record: 94° in 2017)
• March 21: 102° (old record: 92° in 2017)
• March 22: 100° (old record: 91° in 2018)
• March 23: 96° (old record: 92° in 1896)
• March 24: 96° (old record: 93° in 1896)
• March 27: 98° (old record: 94° in 1988)
• March 29: 92° (tied, previously set in 2015)
• March 31: 91° (tied, previously set in 1969, 1989 & 2012)

Record warm lows broken or tied (7): Most in March (old record 6 days in 2004)

• March 21: 63° (tied, previously set in 2007)
• March 24: 60° (old record: 59° in 1966)
• March 25: 59° (old record: 58° in 1931, 1953 & 1998)
• March 28: 68° (old record: 63° in 1895 & 1986)
• March 29: 66° (old record: 60° in 2025)
• March 30: 67° (old record: 66° in 2004)
• March 31: 67° (old record: 61° in 1986)

Yearly records:

Earliest high temperature occurrence date records:

• 1st date of 98°: March 19 (old record date, March 26, 1988 [99°])
• 1st date of 99°: March 19 (old record date, March 26, 1988 [99°])
• 1st date of 100°: March 19 (old record date, April 11, 2025 [101°])
• 1st date of 101°: March 19 (old record date, April 11, 2025 [101°])
• 1st date of 102°: March 21 (old record date, April 20, 1989 [104°])

The monthly average temperature of 72.1° is an incredible 10.2° above normal and ranks as the warmest March on record. The previous warmest March was 67.9° in 2017. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 102° on the 21st to a low of 40° on the 7th.

Dating back to the early 1950s, March 2026 is the first calendar month to record a monthly departure from normal of 10 or more degrees. The only other calendar month to record a monthly departure from normal of 9 or more degrees was November 2017 (+9.3°).

How about this stat. The March 2026 monthly average temperature of 72.1° would rank as the 3rd warmest April.

Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages, and CoCoRaHS, ranged rom 0.25" to 0.75". The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded just over a quarter of an inch /0.27"/ which ranks as the 40th driest March on record, tied with 1896 & 1965.

The combination of the 10th warmest January and warmest February and March has produced the warmest first three calendar months on record. The average yearly temperature through the end March of 63.3° is a whopping 5.9° ABOVE normal. The previous warmest first 3-monhts of the year was in 2015 when the yearly average temperature was 61.2°.

Rainfall at the Tucson International Airport, the official location in Tucson, of 2.11" is slightly below normal and ranks as the 61st wettest January through March period on record. The water year rainfall is at the halfway mark it has been wetter than normal with 5.59" being recorded at the airport which ranks as the 39th wettest first half of the water year period on record.

The Climate Prediction Center's April outlook for Tucson favors a warmer-than-average month, showing a 48% chance of above-normal monthly mean temperatures compared to only an 19% chance of below-normal. For precipitation, the outlook ever so slightly favors a drier-than-average month, showing a 34% chance of below-normal monthly total precipitation amounts compared to a 33% chance of above-normal.

The trend of above-average temperatures during the first quarter of 2026 persisted through April, which concluded as the 3rd warmest April on record, tied with 2021. In a rare climatological twist, despite the very warm month, April was actually cooler than the record-breaking March that preceded it. This marks the third time since 1895 that Tucson's average monthly temperature in April was lower than that of March. (see table)

The monthly average temperature of 71.9° is 3.8° above normal with temperature extremes ranging from a high of 92° on the 21st to a low of 48° on the 15th. The monthly high of 92° is the coolest for April since 2010 when the monthly high then was 89°. The monthly low of 48° is the 2nd highest for April on record. The April record is 50° in 2021. There were four daily record warm low temperatures set or tied during April..

Rainfall totals across the metro area using sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages, and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a five-hundredths of an inch. The International Airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain. This marked the 35th April with no measurable rain being recorded the official Tucson locations since 1895.

The average yearly temperature of 65.5° through the end of April shatters the previous warmest January to April period by 2.3° degrees (63.2° in 2015). Rainfall at the Tucson International Airport, the official location in Tucson, is below normal and ranks as the 60th driest January through April period on record. The water year rainfall is running above normal with 5.59" being recorded at the airport. This ranks as the 46th wettest October to April period on record.

The Climate Prediction Center's May outlook for Tucson slightly favors a warmer-than-average month, showing a 37% chance of above-normal monthly mean temperatures compared to a 30% chance of below-normal. For precipitation, the outlook slightly favors a wetter-than-average month, showing a 37% chance of above-normal monthly total precipitation amounts compared to a 30% chance of below-normal.

The May outlook for Tucson, issued on April 30th by Climate Prediction Center, slightly favored a warmer-than-average month, (37% chance above vs 30% chance below) and a wetter-than-average month, (37% chance above vs 30% chance below).

Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.10" to 0.50" with localized amounts to 0.90". The International Airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded four-tenths of an inch which ranks as the 29th wettest May on record.

The Spring season outlook for Tucson, issued on February 19th by the Climate Prediction Center, favored above-normal monthly mean temperatures (58% above vs 9% below) and below-normal total seasonal precipitation amounts (50% below vs 17% above).

The seasonal average temperature of 73.7°, highlighted by the record heat-wave during March, shattered the previous warmest Spring by 1.6° degrees (72.1° in 1989). Temperature extremes for the season ranged from a high of 103° on May 11th to a low of 40° on March 7th. A record was set for the longest stretch, 50 days (March 22nd to May 11th), between triple-digit high temperatures during a calendar year. There were 24 daily temperature records set of tied during the season (11 highs & 13 warm lows). This is the most in Spring since 27 were recorded in Spring 1989.

Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages, and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.40" to 1.00" with localized amounts to 1.40". The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.67" which is a third of an inch below-normal. This ranks as the 52nd driest Spring on record, tied with 1904.

2026

The average yearly temperature of 67.9° through the end of May shatters the previous warmest January to May period by 1.6° degrees (66.3° in 2015). Rainfall at the Tucson International Airport, the official location in Tucson, of 2.51" is slightly below normal and ranks as the 66th driest January through May period on record. The water year rainfall is running above normal with 5.99" being recorded at the airport. This ranks as the 42nd wettest October to May period on record.

The June outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for Tucson favors a warmer-than-average month, showing a 41% chance of above-normal monthly mean temperatures compared to a 26% chance of below-normal. For precipitation, the outlook slightly favors a wetter-than-average month, showing a 35% chance of above-normal monthly total precipitation amounts compared to a 32% chance of below-normal.

The monthly average temperature of 88.3° is 2.2° above normal and ranks as the 12th warmest June on record, tied with 2025. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 106° on the 10th to a low of 67° on the 1st & 2nd. One daily temperature record was set, a daily warm low of 82° on the 13th (old record 80° in 2022). For the first time since 2020, the airport didn't record a high of 110° or hotter. In fact, the monthly high of 106° was the lowest since 2004 when the monthly high was 104°.

Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 1.25" with localized amounts up to 2.00". The International Airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.05" which ranks as the 11th wettest June on record, tied with 1984. For the only the second time since 1952, the airport recorded above normal rainfall for three consecutive Junes. The previous occurrence was in 1978 to 1980. The airport recorded two daily rainfall records, 0.40" on the 15th (old record 0.17"/2018) & 0.65" on the 17th (old record 0.14"/1904). 

The average yearly temperature of 71.3° through the end of June shatters the previous warmest January to June period by 1.6° degrees (69.7° in 2014 & 2017).

The July outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for Tucson favors a warmer-than-average month, showing a 45% chance of above-normal monthly mean temperatures compared to a 22% chance of below-normal. For precipitation, the outlook slightly favors a wetter-than-average month, showing a 38% chance of above-normal monthly total precipitation amounts compared to a 29% chance of below-normal.

The July outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for Tucson favored above-normal monthly mean temperatures (39% above vs 28% below) and above-normal total precipitation amounts (40% above vs 27% below).

The month kicked off with near-normal high temperatures of 101° & 102° and unseasonably cool low temperatures of 68° & 69°. This marked the first time since 2004 that the month opened with three consecutive sub-70° low temperatures.

Above-normal high temperatures were in the 105° to 109° range from the 5th through the 10th with Excessive Heat Warnings in effect on the 7th & 8th. Moisture increase on the 7th led to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms across mostly the eastern and southern portions of the metro area. Rainfall amounts were mostly less than 0.15" with isolated spots up to 0.50". On the 8th, storms were mostly near the Catalina and Rincon mountains with isolated rainfall totals between 0.50" and 1.00" between Sabino Canyon and the Tanque Verde area. The 9th and 10th were dry.

An active monsoon pattern took hold from the 11th through the 21st, delivering relief from the heat. From the 16th to the 22nd, Tucson enjoyed 7 consecutive days with high temperatures below 100°, the longest such streak in July since 2018 (which had 8). Below is a recap of the most notable days during this time period.

• 11th: Severe Thunderstorm Watch was issued by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC). Numerous severe thunderstorm warnings were issued as a line of severe thunderstorms swept across the metro area from east to west. Wind gusts of 55 to 70 mph were recorded with Davis-Monthan Air Force Base recording a wind gust of 81 mph. Rainfall was mostly less than a half an inch with localized amounts over one inch. Localized areas of flash flooding were also reported.
• 12th: Severe Thunderstorm Watch was issued by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC). Another round of severe thunderstorms swept across the metro area from east to west. Wind gusts of 55 to 70 mph were recorded. Rainfall amounts were a little less than the 11th, mostly less than four-tenths, but there were localized amounts over one inch.
• 13th: Following morning light showers, scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms produced heavy rainfall, localized flash flooding, and isolated winds gusts up to 60 mph.
• 16th: Scattered showers and thunderstorms produced heavy rain and localized areas of flash flooding. Rainfall totals in the foothills near Sabino Canyon ranged from one to two inches.

Hot temperatures returned to the area during the last 9 days of the month. Highs consistently ranged from 105° to 109° while overnight lows hovered between 80° and 84°. Extreme Heat Warnings were in effect from the 23rd to 25th, 30th, and 31st.

The monthly average temperature of 89.8° ranks as the 11th warmest July on record, tied with 2025. Temperature extremes range from a high of 109° on the 24th to a low of 68° on the 1st & 2nd. Four record warm daily low temperatures were set during the month (84° on 24th; 83° on 27th; 84° on 30th; & 83° on 31st).

Rainfall totals across the Tucson metro area varied considerably, based on data from rainlog.org, CoCoRaHS, and Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages. General totals range from 0.40" to 2.00" with isolated areas recording 2.50" to 4.00". At the Tucson International Airport, the official recording spot in Tucson, only 0.70" was recorded. This is 1.51" below normal and ranks as the 11th driest on record. The image below is courtesy of the Pima County Regional Flood Control District.

Monsoon 2026 is off to a slow start with 1.75" recorded at the Tucson International Airport through July which ranks as the 46th driest first 47 days on record. As is typical for summer thunderstorms, rainfall totals across the Tucson metro area vary widely, ranging between 0.50" to 2.50" with isolated locations recording 3.00" to 5.00".

The average yearly temperature of 74.0° through the end of July shatters the previous warmest January to July period by 1.5° (72.5° in 2018).

Rainfall at the Tucson International Airport, the official location in Tucson, has fallen below normal due the rather dry July. The total of 4.26" is nearly nine-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 42nd driest January through July period on record. The water year rainfall since October 1st of 7.74" is slightly over four-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 58th wettest water year to date with two months left in the water year calendar.

The August outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for Tucson favors a warmer-than-average month, showing a 45% chance of above-normal monthly mean temperatures compared to a 22% chance of below-normal. For precipitation, the outlook slightly favors a wetter-than-average month, showing a 36% chance of above-normal monthly total precipitation amounts compared to a 31% chance of below-normal.

The Climate Prediction Center's official August outlook for Tucson, issued on July 31st, strongly favored a hotter-than-average month, showing a 69% chance of above-normal monthly mean temperatures compared to a 3% chance of below-normal. The precipitation outlook showed equal chances (33%) for below-, near- or above-normal total precipitation amounts.

The first day of the month was hot with the first 110° high temperature of 2026 being recorded. For the years that recorded a high temperature of 110° or hotter, this was the 3rd latest calender date on record behind August 2, 1918 & August 19, 1915. On the morning of the 2nd, the low temperature at the airport dropped to only 86°. This established a new record for the warmest low temperature recorded in Tucson during the month of August.

Severe convection impacted the metro area during the first half of the month. Thunderstorms on the 3rd, 5th, 9th & 10th produced wind gusts between 55 and 75 mph. Subsequently, heavy rainfall during the early morning hours on the 13th caused flash flooding, leading to multiple road closures and several swift water rescues.

Severe convection persisted during the second half of the month with thunderstorms on the 19th, 21st, 23rd, 27th & 29th producing wind gusts between 55 and 70 mph. The severe thunderstorms on the 19th were particularly impactful with downed power lines, localized heavy rain that caused flash flooding, and half-dollar to ping-pong ball sized hail. On the 21st, a landspout tornado was spotted on the far east side of Tucson.

August 2026 ranked as the 5th hottest August on record, with a average monthly temperature of 89.7° (+1.8° above normal). Monthly temperature extremes ranged from a high of 110° on the 1st to a low of 68° on the 31st. In total, six daily temperatures records were set or tied during the month, including two daily record highs and four daily record warm lows.

Across the metro area, rainfall totals during August varied widely, as is typical. Utilizing data from rainlog.org, Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages, and CoCoRaHS, amounts ranged from 0.75" to 3.00", with some localized areas recording up to 5.00". The Tucson International Airport, which is the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 3.21", making this August the 26th wettest on record.

Every summer of the 21st century, excluding 2001, 2008, and 2021, ranked as a top 10 hottest on record at the time of occurrence. Thus summer heat is expected, with the primary uncertainty being how hot will it be. The Climate Prediction Center's May 21 outlook favored a warmer-than-average season, showing a 45% chance of above-normal seasonal mean temperatures versus a 22% chance of below-normal. Driven by the 12th warmest June, the 11th warmest July, and the 5th hottest August on record, Summer 2026 goes into the record books as the 6th hottest Summer on record.

Seasonal temperature extremes ranged from a high of 110° on August 1st to a low of 67° on June 1st & 2nd. The season recorded 70 days with highs 100° or hotter, 34 days with highs 105° or hotter, and 1 day with highs 110° or hotter. In total, 11 daily temperatures records were set or tied, comprising two record daily highs and nine record-warm daily lows.

The Climate Prediction Center's Summer precipitation outlook, issued on May 21st, slightly favored above-normal rainfall, assigning a 36% chance probability compared to 33% chance for near-normal and 31% chance for below-normal. As is typical during the summer thunderstorm season, rainfall amounts varied significantly across the metro area, with data from sources like rainlog.org, Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages, and CoCoRaHS  showing a range of 2.00" to 6.00" with some localized areas up to 9.00". The International Airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.96, which is slightly more than a half-an-inch above normal and ranks as the 54th wettest Summer on record.

Summer thunderstorm activity has produced highly variable rainfall totals across the metro area, which is typical, with totals between 2.00" and 6.00" and localized amounts up to 9.00". At the Tucson International Airport, the official location in Tucson, rainfall is above normal with just under five inches (4.96") being recorded. This ranks as the 52nd wettest Monsoon on record through the end of August.

The average yearly temperature of 76.0° through the end of July shatters the previous warmest January to August period by 1.7° (74.3° in 2018).

Thanks to a wetter-than-normal August, yearly rainfall at the Tucson International Airport, the official location in Tucson, ended August slightly above normal. The total of 7.47" is nearly four-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 60th wettest January through August period on record. The water year rainfall since October 1st of 10.95" is 1.66" above normal and ranks as the 48th wettest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar.

The September outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for Tucson favors a warmer-than-average month, showing a 44% chance of above-normal monthly mean temperatures compared to a 23% chance of below-normal. For precipitation, the outlook slightly favors a wetter-than-average month, showing a 37% chance of above-normal monthly total precipitation amounts compared to a 30% chance of below-normal.

The Fall outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for Tucson favors a warmer-than-average month, showing a 38% chance of above-normal monthly mean temperatures compared to a 29% chance of below-normal. For precipitation, the outlook favors a wetter-than-average month, showing a 43% chance of above-normal monthly total precipitation amounts compared to a 24% chance of below-normal.