|
Forecasts and Warnings |
(below: true color daytime, multispectral IR at night) All 16 channels of GOES-EAST
200
FZUS61 KCLE 170131
GLFLE
Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
931 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
.SYNOPSIS...
A trough averaging 29.90 inches lingers over Lake Erie tonight. On
Tuesday through Tuesday night, a ridge averaging 30.30 inches builds
from the Upper Midwest. The ridge begins to exit slowly eastward
from the region Wednesday through Wednesday night and allows a
warm front to sweep northward across Lake Erie. During Thursday
through Saturday, the ridge should continue to exit, albeit
generally southeastward, as a cold front approaches from the
northwest. By Friday and Saturday, the front should waver in
vicinity of Lake Erie in response to weak frontal lows, averaging
29.70 inches, and moving generally eastward across the southern
Great Lakes region.
LEZ162>164-170830-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
931 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
.REST OF TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots. A chance of snow
showers late this evening. A slight chance of snow showers late.
Waves 6 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
.TUESDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots.
A slight chance of snow showers early, then a chance of snow
showers from late morning on. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 1 to
3 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest
10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest.
Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance
of rain during the day. Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to
20 knots. A chance of rain during the day. Waves 1 foot or less
building to 1 to 3 feet.
.SATURDAY...East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Waves 2 to
4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
$$
LEZ165>167-170830-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
931 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
.REST OF TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots increasing to 40 knots.
A chance of snow showers, then a slight chance of snow showers
late. Waves 10 to 14 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet.
.TUESDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots.
A chance of snow showers. Waves 10 to 13 feet subsiding to 3 to
5 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest
10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to
20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain
during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to
20 knots. A chance of rain. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to
4 feet.
.SATURDAY...Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Waves
2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
$$
LEZ061-168-169-170830-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
931 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
.REST OF TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots increasing to 40 knots.
Snow showers late this evening, then a chance of snow showers
after midnight. Waves 11 to 16 feet. Waves occasionally around
20 feet.
.TUESDAY...West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots. A
chance of snow showers. Waves 11 to 15 feet subsiding to 5 to
8 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding
to 2 to 4 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. A
chance of snow showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 feet or
less.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. A chance
of rain and snow during the day, then a chance of rain Friday
night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to
20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
$$
LEZ161-170830-
MAFOR 1703/
ERIE WEST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...12650 12640 14620. A
chance of snow showers late this evening and Tuesday. Waves 9 to
12 feet, and occasionally around 15 feet overnight. Waves 7 to 10
feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet, and occasionally around 13 feet
Tuesday. Waves 2 to 4 feet Tuesday evening.
ERIE CENTRAL 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...13650 11640 11630
13620. A chance of snow showers. Waves 10 to 15 feet, and
occasionally around 19 feet overnight. Waves 10 to 13 feet
subsiding to 3 to 6 feet, and occasionally around 16 feet
Tuesday. Waves 3 to 5 feet Tuesday evening.
ERIE EAST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...13650 11640 12630 11620
11610. A chance of snow showers overnight, Tuesday morning, and
Tuesday evening. Waves 11 to 16 feet, and occasionally around 20
feet overnight. Waves 11 to 15 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet, and
occasionally around 19 feet Tuesday. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding
to 2 to 4 feet Tuesday evening. Wave heights are for ice free
areas.
$$
832
FZUS51 KCLE 170118
NSHCLE
Nearshore Marine Forecast
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
918 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
For waters within five nautical miles of shore
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
LEZ142>144-170815-
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
918 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
.REST OF TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots. A chance of snow
showers late this evening. Waves 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally
around 11 feet.
.TUESDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 25 knots.
A chance of snow showers. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 1 to
3 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest
5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to
1 foot or less.
.WEDNESDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
See Lake Erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday.
The water temperature off Toledo is 41 degrees, off Cleveland 37
degrees, and off Erie 37 degrees.
$$
LEZ145>147-170815-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
918 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
.REST OF TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots. Snow showers likely
late this evening, then a chance of snow showers after midnight.
Waves 10 to 14 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet.
.TUESDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots.
A chance of snow showers. Waves 9 to 12 feet subsiding to 3 to
5 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest
10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
See Lake Erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday.
The water temperature off Toledo is 41 degrees, off Cleveland 37
degrees, and off Erie 37 degrees.
$$
LEZ148-149-170815-
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
918 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
.REST OF TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots increasing to 40 knots.
Snow showers likely, then a chance of snow showers late. Waves
10 to 15 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet.
.TUESDAY...West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots.
Snow showers likely in the morning, then a chance of snow showers
in the afternoon. Waves 10 to 14 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet.
Waves occasionally around 18 feet.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest
10 to 15 knots. Snow showers likely. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding
to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A
chance of snow showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
See Lake Erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday.
The water temperature off Toledo is 41 degrees, off Cleveland 37
degrees, and off Erie 37 degrees.
$$
143
WHUS71 KCLE 170117
MWWCLE
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
917 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
LEZ142>144-162>164-170930-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-260317T1200Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
917 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds 25 to 35 knots with
gusts up to 40 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. For the Low Water
Advisory, abnormally low water levels.
* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to
Vermilion OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay
to Vermilion OH.
* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Tuesday.
* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal
water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 9:06 PM EDT, the water level at
Toledo was 3.3 inches below low water datum. The critical mark
for safe navigation is 6 inches below low water datum. Gale
force winds on the lake will cause water levels in the western
basin to be mainly below the critical mark through most of
tonight. On Tuesday, gradual easing of winds should allow water
levels to rebound to above the critical mark by daybreak.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.
Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.
&&
$$
LEZ145>147-165>167-170930-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T1200Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
917 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and
waves 9 to 14 feet.
* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to
Geneva-on-the-Lake OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from
Vermilion to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.
* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Tuesday.
* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
LEZ061-148-149-168-169-170930-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T1200Z/
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
917 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and
waves 11 to 16 feet.
* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH to Ripley NY, and the open waters of Lake Erie from
Geneva-on-the-Lake OH to Buffalo NY.
* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Tuesday.
* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle
497
WHUS51 KCLE 160721
SMWCLE
LEZ144>146-164>166-160845-
/O.NEW.KCLE.MA.W.0004.260316T0721Z-260316T0845Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
321 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a
* Special Marine Warning for...
Nearshore waters from The Islands OH to Willowick OH...
Open waters from The Islands OH to Willowick OH...
* Until 445 AM EDT.
* At 320 AM EDT, showers with isolated thunderstorms producing
damaging winds were located along a line extending from Huron to
12 nm south of Western Vermilion to 20 nm south of Vermilion,
moving northeast at 55 knots.
HAZARD...Wind gusts to nearly 50 knots.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Small craft could be damaged in briefly higher winds and
suddenly higher waves.
* Locations impacted include...
Western Vermilion, Avon Point, Lorain Harbor, Vermilion, Huron,
Cleveland, and Willowick.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Move to safe harbor immediately as gusty winds and high waves are
expected.
&&
LAT...LON 4138 8254 4141 8259 4168 8257 4169 8237
4207 8153 4158 8148 4149 8168 4146 8190
4147 8201 4143 8214 4138 8242
TIME...MOT...LOC 0720Z 228DEG 54KT 4139 8253 4122 8246 4109 8248
HAIL...0.00IN
WIND...49KTS
$$
10
238
FZUS71 KCLE 160839
MWSCLE
Marine Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
439 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
LEZ146-166-160849-
/O.EXP.KCLE.MA.W.0004.000000T0000Z-260316T0845Z/
439 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026
...THE SPECIAL MARINE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 445 AM EDT...
The affected areas were...
Nearshore and Open waters from Avon Point OH to Willowick OH...
The showers are weakening and moving out of the area and no longer
pose a significant threat to boaters.
LAT...LON 4151 8200 4186 8200 4207 8153 4175 8151
4172 8149 4158 8148 4149 8168 4146 8191
TIME...MOT...LOC 0839Z 228DEG 54KT 4180 8191 4164 8184 4151 8187
$$
10