Severe Thunderstorms in the Northeast and Northern Plains; Critical Fire Weather in the West

Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts and hail are forecast across the Northeast U.S. and North Dakota today. Heavy to excessive rainfall is possible over eastern New Mexico into western Texas and over the western Florida peninsula today. Critical fire weather conditions will persist today over parts of the interior Northwest and Great Basin. Read More >

El Niño/La Niña Information

ENSO-Neutral conditions persist over most of the Pacific Ocean (82% chance through August). ENSO-neutral is still favored to continue into winter 2025-26, though the probability is lower (48% chance of Neutral and 41% chance of La Niña in November-January).

Weekly Update

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) creates a weekly ENSO summary (with graphics), available in pdf or ppt formats.

Monthly Update - ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

This monthly summary from CPC is also available in pdf and Word formats.

ENSO Blog

This collaborative blog discusses the latest about El Niño and La Niña.

All About ENSO

An Introduction to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation

The above link provides a basic overview of ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation). Various links to other summaries and tutorials are also provided.

An Explanation of ENSO Indices

Descriptions of various ENSO indices are accompanied by an explanation of how the indices are used to detect/declare an El Niño or La Niña event.

Teleconnections

El Niño and La Niña primarily affect the weather during the cold season. What effects does the ENSO phase have on North Texas? Click the Teleconnections link to find out!

Current Data