COZ200-171100-
COZ200-171100-
Little Snake Forecast Area-
1248 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1248 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR COLORADO FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 203 BELOW 8000 FEET, 205 BELOW 8000 FEET, 290 AND
292, AS WELL AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONE 490... 

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the
afternoon, favoring areas north of I-70. Dry surface levels and
wind gusts of 30-40 mph will lead to critical fire weather 
conditions for central-eastern Utah and central-western Colorado,
where Red Flag Warnings are in effect through 8PM. Showers and 
storms could create strong outflow winds with gusts in excess of 
45 mph. Increased moisture, widespread precipitation, and cooler
temperatures arrive starting tomorrow.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%). Near 6000 feet, 
                    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. 
                    near 8000 feet, numerous showers and isolated 
                    thunderstorms until 2400, then scattered 
                    showers. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Min temperature.....36-46 F. 
Max humidity........73-88% near 6000 feet 
                    64-79% near 8000 feet. 
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 35 
                    mph in the evening becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset. 
CWR.................40 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 25 to 35 mph decreasing to 20 to 30 
                    mph after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......6500 ft AGL until 2000. 2000 ft AGL after 0200. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100. Poor after 0300. 

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%) until 1200, then mostly 
                    cloudy (70-80%). Scattered showers until 1200. 
                    Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms 
                    after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....50 percent. 
Max temperature.....52-62 F near 6000 feet 
                    43-53 F near 8000 feet. 
Min humidity........32-42%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 4 to 8 mph. Localized 
                    gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. 
CWR.................60 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to 20 to 30 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......4500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....North 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then west. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then good until 1500, then 
                    fair. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%). Near 6000 feet, 
                    numerous showers until 2400. Isolated 
                    thunderstorms. Showers after 2400. Near 8000 
                    feet, showers and isolated thunderstorms. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Min temperature.....30-40 F. 
Max humidity........90-100% near 6000 feet 
                    82-97% near 8000 feet. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................80 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 25 to 35 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....North 10 to 15 mph until 2400, then east. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%). Showers until 1200. 
                    Isolated thunderstorms. Near 6000 feet, 
                    numerous showers after 1200. Near 8000 feet, 
                    numerous snow showers after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Max temperature.....39-49 F near 6000 feet 
                    33-43 F near 8000 feet. 
Min humidity........58-73% near 6000 feet 
                    66-81% near 8000 feet. 
20-foot winds.......North winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 40 mph. 
CWR.................90 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....South 20 to 30 mph becoming southwest 15 to 20 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......3500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers near 6000 feet. Lows
23-33. Highs 48-58. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 
30 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 26-36. Highs 57-67. Winds less
than 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers near 6000 feet and
isolated showers and thunderstorms near 8000 feet. Lows 31-41.
Highs 61-71. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33-43. Highs 67-77. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 37-47. Highs 71-81.