National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorms Thursday

Additional rounds of thunderstorms are expected Thursday and Thursday night across Oklahoma and north Texas, with risks for both large hail and flash flooding. Strong winds may accompany any storms from east Texas northeast through the lower Great Lakes. Read More >

COZ203-020030-
COZ203-020030-
Lower Colorado River-
229 AM MDT Thu May 1 2025

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
229 AM MDT Thu May 1 2025

.DISCUSSION...A weakening front will continue to push through 
southern portions of Utah and Colorado today leading to scattered
shower and thunderstorm activity. Otherwise dry conditions are 
expected over the next few days before a stronger system arrives
for the weekend. Critical fire weather condition appear unlikely
over the next week due either to light winds or abundant low 
level moisture. 

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Max temperature.....58-68 F near 6000 feet 
                    48-58 F near 8000 feet. 
Min humidity........16-26%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 0900, then 11500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....35-45 F near 6000 feet 
                    29-39 F near 8000 feet. 
Max humidity........44-54%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....North 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......10000 ft AGL until 2000, then 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....65-75 F near 6000 feet 
                    56-66 F near 8000 feet. 
Min humidity........8-13%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northeast 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......3500 ft AGL until 1000, then 10000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Fair after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers. Lows 38-48. Highs
69-79. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Numerous showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 42-52. Highs 65-75. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows 39-49. Highs 57-67. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 36-46. Highs 57-67. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 36-46. Highs 60-70.