National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Dangerous Heat in the Southwest; Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rain in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic

Dangerous heat will persist across the Southwest U.S. through Friday with daytime highs of 110-115°F. Heat across the southern Plains will briefly ease to near-normal by late week. Strong to severe thunderstorms may produce damaging wind, hail, a tornado or two, heavy rain and flash flooding across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Heavy rainfall threat continues across the Gulf Coast. Read More >

 

COZ207-272345-
COZ207-272345-
Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
142 AM MDT Thu Aug 27 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
142 AM MDT Thu Aug 27 2026

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers and storms continue today and tomorrow, mainly 
over the higher terrain. Some heavier showers and storms are 
possible any may cause issues over susceptible areas and new burn 
scars. Despite that, critical fire weather conditions are not 
expected. Heading into the weekend, increase moisture and 
disturbances will bring a return to more widespread convection, 
clouds and precip keeping fire weather concerns at a minimum.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Max temperature.....85-95 F. 
Min humidity........11-16%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......1000 ft AGL until 1000. 13000 ft AGL after 
                    1200. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 mph until 1200, then west. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....58-68 F. 
Max humidity........45-55%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 20 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......10000 ft AGL until 2000, then 500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....North 5 to 10 mph until 2400, then east. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2100, then poor. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....83-93 F. 
Min humidity........12-17%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 1000. 12500 ft AGL after 
                    1200. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then 
                    southwest. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58-68. Highs 85-95. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts
to  30 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 54-64. Highs 80-90. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 51-61. Highs 77-87. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 51-61. Highs 79-89. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52-62. Highs 80-90.