Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area (COZ207) - Fire Weather Forecast

COZ207-200915-
COZ207-200915-
Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
1112 AM MDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1112 AM MDT Sun Apr 19 2026

.DISCUSSION...
Critical fire weather conditions are not expected in the near 
term. Mountain showers and thunderstorms return Monday and beyond 
as an active weather pattern continues through the week. Strong 
winds on Wednesday will likely lead to critical fire weather 
conditions across western Colorado and eastern Utah. Cooler temps
and wetting rains will increase RH values later in the week.


...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....39-49 F. 
Max humidity........34-44%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 20 mph after midnight. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......7500 ft AGL until 2000, then 1500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%) until 1200, then mostly 
                    sunny (20-30%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....68-78 F. 
Min humidity........12-17%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 4 to 8 mph. Localized 
                    gusts up to 25 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....South 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 1000. 12500 ft AGL after 
                    1200. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then south. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....39-49 F. 
Max humidity........51-61%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......11000 ft AGL until 1900. 1500 ft AGL after 
                    2100. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph until 2400, then southeast. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2100, then poor. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (30-40%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Max temperature.....70-80 F. 
Min humidity........11-21%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 mph in 
                    the afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....South 10 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph 
                    in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 1000. 13000 ft AGL after 
                    1200. 
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1500. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows 39-49. Highs 65-75.
Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to  50 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 30-40. Highs 59-69. West winds
10 to 20 mph with gusts to  45 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 32-42. Highs 60-70. West winds
10 to 20 mph with gusts to  30 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 32-42. Highs 61-71. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
33-43. Highs 59-69.