National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rain and Severe Thunderstorms in the Southwest; Coastal Flooding Along Portions of the Eastern Seaboard

A slow moving front will produce a threat for heavy rainfall and severe weather from the southwest into the western High Plains through the weekend. Heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding and gusty winds will be possible this weekend into early next week in portions of southern Florida. Coastal flooding impacts remain possible through the weekend along the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic coasts Read More >

 

COZ207-232200-
COZ207-232200-
Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
1235 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1235 AM MDT Fri Oct 23 2026

.DISCUSSION...
This is an automatically generated forecast with no discussion. 
The normal Fire Weather Forecast will resume in its entirety in 
the spring.


...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%) until 1200, then mostly 
                    sunny (20-30%). Isolated thunderstorms until 
                    1200. Isolated showers. Isolated thunderstorms 
                    after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Max temperature.....53-63 F. 
Min humidity........41-51%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 35 to 45 mph decreasing to 30 to 40 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 1000, then 5000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers until 
                    2400. Isolated thunderstorms. Scattered showers 
                    after 2400. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Min temperature.....38-48 F. 
Max humidity........82-97%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................20 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 25 to 35 mph becoming south 20 to 30 
                    mph after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......1000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....East 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%). Isolated thunderstorms 
                    until 1200. Showers. Scattered thunderstorms 
                    after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....50 percent. 
Max temperature.....53-63 F. 
Min humidity........52-62%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 4 to 8 mph. Localized 
                    gusts up to 35 mph. 
CWR.................80 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....South 20 to 30 mph increasing to 25 to 35 mph 
                    in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 1100, then 5000 ft AGL until 
                    1700, then 2500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....East 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then south. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then good until 1500, then 
                    poor. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows 38-48. Highs
51-61. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
33-43. Highs 52-62. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33-43. Highs 55-65. Winds less than
15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34-44. Highs 55-65. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 34-44. Highs 54-64.