National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat and Fire Weather Concerns in the West; Excessive Rainfall Possible in the South-Central U.S.

Heat will build over the Intermountain West and the Southwest the next couple of days. Lightning from dry thunderstorms can create new fire starts and combined with gusty winds may cause a fire to rapidly grow in Oregon and northern California. Flash flooding will be possible in New Mexico and west Texas today, as well as parts of the southern and central Plains due to slow moving thunderstorms. Read More >

 

COZ207-011100-
COZ207-011100-
Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
1256 PM MDT Mon Jun 30 2025

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1256 PM MDT Mon Jun 30 2025

.DISCUSSION...Showers and storms are expected each afternoon for
most of the week. Coverage and intensity of the storms will 
increase each day as the moisture increases. Storms will be 
capable of producing gusty outflow winds up to 50 mph, and 
lightning starts are a concern given in the very dry areas. 
Conditions may dry out a little by the weekend. 


...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers until 
                    2400. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....57-67 F. 
Max humidity........55-70%. 
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 40 
                    mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast 
                    after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......10500 ft AGL until 2000, then 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (50-60%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Max temperature.....83-93 F. 
Min humidity........16-26%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 0900, then 10000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then good. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 2400. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Min temperature.....55-65 F. 
Max humidity........66-81%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....North 5 to 10 mph increasing to northeast 10 to 
                    15 mph after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......7000 ft AGL until 2000, then 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2100, then poor. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (50-60%). Scattered showers and 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....30 percent. 
Max temperature.....82-92 F. 
Min humidity........19-29%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................20 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....East 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......3000 ft AGL until 1000, then 9500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 54-64. Highs 79-89. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 51-61. Highs 82-92. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 51-61. Highs 85-95. Winds less than
15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 52-62. Highs 88-98. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
55-65. Highs 89-99.