National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Flooding Threat Along the Gulf Coast, Southern Rockies and High Plains; Cooler Weather in the Central and Eastern U.S.

Strong thunderstorms may bring excessive rainfall and flooding over parts of the northern Gulf Coast today and over parts of the southern Rockies into the High Plains today through the weekend. A refreshingly cool and dry air mass will continue to produce below average temperatures across the central and eastern U.S. through the weekend. Read More >

 

COZ207-301215-
COZ207-301215-
Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
202 PM MDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
202 PM MDT Fri Aug 29 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Drier conditions develop Saturday and into next week, with a few 
terrain based showers possible Saturday. Lower relative humidity 
values could produced localized critical fire weather conditions 
early next week as we return to hot and dry across the region.



...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 2400. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Min temperature.....49-59 F. 
Max humidity........71-86%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 20 to 25 mph becoming northwest 15 to 20 
                    mph after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......6000 ft AGL until 2000, then 1500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....North 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....77-87 F. 
Min humidity........15-25%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 4 to 8 mph. Localized 
                    gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......3000 ft AGL until 1100, then 10500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....North 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1200. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....49-59 F. 
Max humidity........49-59%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast 
                    after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......10000 ft AGL until 1900. 1500 ft AGL after 
                    2000. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2100, then poor. 

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....78-88 F. 
Min humidity........13-23%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 1000, then 10500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then 
                    southwest. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.LABOR DAY...Clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 81-91. Winds less than
15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51-61. Highs 82-92. Winds less than
15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52-62. Highs 81-91. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 51-61. Highs 80-90. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
50-60. Highs 78-88.