Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area (COZ207) - Fire Weather Forecast

COZ207-160200-
COZ207-160200-
Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
347 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
347 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025

.DISCUSSION...Expect strong south to southwest winds today with 
scattered showers and thunderstorms. A cold front moves through 
the region tonight dropping temperatures 10-15 degrees and 
sweeping the moisture out of the area. The region will have quiet,
dry weather through the weekend with the next system bringing
scattered rain and mountain snow showers early next week. Fire
concerns remain low through the period. 


...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Max temperature.....62-72 F. 
Min humidity........32-42%. 
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 40 mph. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....South 45 to 55 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 1000, then 7000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1200. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Isolated showers until 
                    2400. 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Min temperature.....32-42 F. 
Max humidity........71-86%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 30 mph decreasing to 20 
                    mph after midnight. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....South 45 to 55 mph becoming southwest and 
                    decreasing to 30 to 40 mph after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......4000 ft AGL until 1900, then 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%). 
Chc of lightning....0 percent. 
Max temperature.....51-61 F. 
Min humidity........23-33%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 20 to 30 mph becoming west 15 to 20 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......5000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....West 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 27-37. Highs 54-64. Winds less than 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 28-38. Highs 59-69. Winds less than
15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 30-40. Highs 63-73. Winds less than 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35-45. Highs 61-71. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows 29-39. Highs
55-65.