COZ207-150100-
COZ207-150100-
Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
253 AM MDT Mon Oct 14 2024

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
253 AM MDT Mon Oct 14 2024

.DISCUSSION...A system passing through the region will allow for 
isolated to scattered showers across the south today. This low 
will lift northeast and weaken by Wednesday, providing for daily 
isolated to scattered shower activity each day with embedded 
thunderstorms possible. Chance of wetting rain is low. A deeper 
and colder storm system looks to drop in late Thursday through 
Friday and Saturday, bringing potential for mountain snow.


...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60%). Isolated showers. 
Max temperature.....71-81 F. 
Min humidity........13-23%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 20 to 25 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 1100. 10500 ft AGL after 
                    1300. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph until 1200, then 
                    southwest. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then good. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers until 
                    2400. 
Min temperature.....43-53 F. 
Max humidity........57-72%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley winds 3 to 6 mph. 
                    Localized gusts up to 20 mph in the evening. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....South 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). Isolated showers after 
                    1200. 
Max temperature.....70-80 F. 
Min humidity........15-25%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southeast 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......3000 ft AGL until 1200, then 7000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....East 5 mph until 1200, then south. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 44-54. Highs 69-79. South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 
30 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 41-51. Highs 65-75. South winds 10 to 20 mph
with gusts to  40 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 40-50. Highs 55-65. South winds 10 to 20 mph
with gusts to  40 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 31-41. Highs 54-64. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 31-41. Highs 54-64.