COZ207-131115-
COZ207-131115-
Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
104 PM MDT Sun Jul 12 2026

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Wrn Colorado and Ern Utah
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
104 PM MDT Sun Jul 12 2026

.DISCUSSION...High pressure remains in control resulting in very 
hot temperatures across the region. A gusty east/southeasterly 
flow is expected across the southern and central mountains and 
Four Corners region again tonight. A modest surge of moisture 
will lead to increasing chances for afternoon showers and storms
each day this week. Many of these storms will track to the west
with easterly flow aloft. Stay alert for these abnormal storm
motions and outflows!


...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Patchy smoke. 
Chc of lightning....10 percent. 
Min temperature.....65-75 F. 
Max humidity........37-47%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley winds 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    southeast 10 to 15 mph after midnight. 
                    Localized gusts up to 30 mph. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......11000 ft AGL until 2000, then 1000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2100, then poor. 

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (40-50%). Patchy smoke. Isolated showers 
                    until 1200, scattered showers and thunderstorms 
                    after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Max temperature.....89-99 F. 
Min humidity........13-23%. 
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph in the morning 
                    becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100. 
                    Localized gusts up to 30 mph. 
CWR.................30 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....East 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 0900. 9000 ft AGL after 1200. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Patchy smoke. 
Chc of lightning....20 percent. 
Min temperature.....61-71 F. 
Max humidity........47-57%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................10 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northeast 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 
                    mph after midnight. 
Mixing Height.......6000 ft AGL until 2000, then 1000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%) until 1200, then partly 
                    cloudy (30-40%). Patchy smoke until 1200. 
                    Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1200. 
Chc of lightning....30 percent. 
Max temperature.....87-97 F. 
Min humidity........16-26%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................30 percent. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northeast 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......1500 ft AGL until 0900. 12000 ft AGL after 
                    1200. 
Transport Winds.....East 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59-69. Highs 86-96. South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 
35 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58-68. Highs 88-98. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57-67. Highs 87-97. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 56-66. Highs 87-97. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 56-66. Highs 88-98.