Paradox Valley Forecast Area (COZ290) - Fire Weather Forecast

COZ290-201300-
Paradox Valley Forecast Area-
258 PM MDT Thu Jul 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...Moisture will increase across eastern Utah and 
western Colorado on Friday, allowing showers and thunderstorms to
develop during the afternoon and evening hours. The chance of 
thunderstorms will greatly increase on Saturday and Sunday 
bringing the chance of frequent lightning and heavy rain with 
stronger organized storms. Relative humidity will remain higher
due to monsoonal like moisture throughout the next week.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). 
Min temperature.....58-68 F near 6000 feet 
                    53-63 F near 8000 feet. 
Max humidity........33-43%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 high. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northeast 5 to 10 mph, becoming west after 
                    midnight. 
Mixing Height.......13500 ft AGL until 2000. 2500 ft AGL after 
                    2200. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph until 2400, then south. 
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 2100. Poor after 2400. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%) until 1200, then mostly 
                    cloudy (60-70%). Near 6000 feet, isolated 
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200. Near 8000 
                    feet, isolated showers and thunderstorms until 
                    1200, then scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....86-96 F near 6000 feet 
                    74-84 F near 8000 feet. 
Min humidity........11-21%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
LAL.................2 until 1200, then 4.
Haines Index........5 moderate. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 5 to 10 mph, becoming south in the 
                    afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 0800. 13500 ft AGL after 
                    1100. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%). Near 6000 feet, 
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms until 2400. 
                    near 8000 feet, isolated thunderstorms until 
                    2400. Isolated showers. 
Min temperature.....55-65 F near 6000 feet 
                    52-62 F near 8000 feet. 
Max humidity........45-55%. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................10 percent. 
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........4 low. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......10500 ft AGL until 2000. 2500 ft AGL after 
                    2100. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph until 2400, then 
                    southeast. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2100, then poor. 

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%). Near 6000 feet, 
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms until 1200, 
                    then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Near 
                    8000 feet, isolated thunderstorms until 1200. 
                    Scattered showers. Scattered thunderstorms 
                    after 1200. 
Max temperature.....82-92 F near 6000 feet 
                    72-82 F near 8000 feet. 
Min humidity........16-26% near 6000 feet 
                    22-32% near 8000 feet. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................10 percent. 
LAL.................4 until 1200, then 2.
Haines Index........4 low. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. 
Mixing Height.......3500 ft AGL until 0800, then 13000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Good after 1200. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59-69. Highs 86-96. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59-69. Highs 86-96. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms near
6000 feet and scattered showers and thunderstorms near 8000 feet.
Lows 59-69. Highs 87-97. Winds less than 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
near 8000 feet. Lows 59-69. Highs 88-98. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59-69. Highs 88-98. 

$$