National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

High Pressure and Near Seasonal Temperatures Persists This Week

A warming trend kicks off today under building high pressure. Plus, winter weather preparedness tips! Read More >

COZ290-171200-
Paradox Valley Forecast Area-
140 PM MDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue over the Four Corners region through the 
week allowing for mostly clear skies and dry weather each day. Surface
winds will remain light with strong inversions each night, resulting
in less than ideal burning conditions through the week. By Friday, a 
new storm system will increase winds in the afternoon with some isolated
showers returning to the region in the afternoon and into Saturday.

...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS...
...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10%). 
Min temperature.....25-35 F. 
Max humidity........37-47% near 6000 feet 
                    28-38% near 8000 feet. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 low. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%). 
Max temperature.....60-70 F. 
Min humidity........6-11%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 moderate. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 15 to 20 mph, becoming west 10 to 15 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......2000 ft AGL until 1100, then 6000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 mph until 1200, then southwest. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20%). 
Min temperature.....28-38 F. 
Max humidity........39-49% near 6000 feet 
                    32-42% near 8000 feet. 
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming 
                    downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph by sunset.
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 moderate. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....West 15 to 20 mph. 
Mixing Height.......4500 ft AGL until 2000, then 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....South 5 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%). 
Max temperature.....61-71 F. 
Min humidity........10-15%. 
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph becoming 
                    upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph by 1100.
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 moderate. 
15K Ft MSL Winds....Northwest 15 to 20 mph, becoming west 5 to 10 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL until 1100, then 7000 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 mph until 1200, then west. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.FORECAST FOR DAY 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 34-44. Highs 66-76. Winds less
than 15 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 40-50. Highs 65-75. Southwest winds
10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers near 6000 feet and
scattered showers near 8000 feet. Lows 36-46. Highs 56-66.
Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 28-38. Highs 57-67. 
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 31-41. Highs 61-71. 

$$